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The Wolf Of All Streets - Coinbase User Data Stolen! Customers To Be Reimbursed | Crypto Town Hall
Episode Date: May 15, 2025Crypto Town Hall is a daily Twitter Spaces hosted by Scott Melker, Ran Neuner & Mario Nawfal. Every day we discuss the latest news in the crypto and bring the biggest names in the crypto space to shar...e their opinions.►►OKX Sign up for an OKX Trading Account then deposit & trade to unlock mystery box rewards of up to $60,000! 👉 https://www.okx.com/join/SCOTTMELKER ►►THE DAILY CLOSE BRAND NEW NEWSLETTER! INSTITUTIONAL GRADE INDICATORS AND DATA DELIVERED DIRECTLY TO YOUR INBOX, EVERY DAY AT THE DAILY CLOSE. TRADE LIKE THE BIG BOYS. 👉 https://www.thedailyclose.io/ ►►NORD VPN GET EXCLUSIVE NORDVPN DEAL - 40% DISCOUNT! IT’S RISK-FREE WITH NORD’S 30-DAY MONEY-BACK GUARANTEE. PROTECT YOUR PRIVACY! 👉 https://nordvpn.com/WolfOfAllStreets ►►COINROUTES TRADE SPOT & DERIVATIVES ACROSS CEFI AND DEFI USING YOUR OWN ACCOUNTS WITH THIS ADVANCED ALGORITHMIC PLATFORM. SAVE TONS OF MONEY ON TRADING FEES LIKE THE PROS! 👉 http://bit.ly/3ZXeYKd ►► JOIN THE FREE WOLF DEN NEWSLETTER, DELIVERED EVERY WEEK DAY! 👉https://thewolfden.substack.com/ Follow Scott Melker: Twitter: https://twitter.com/scottmelker Web: https://www.thewolfofallstreets.io Spotify: https://spoti.fi/30N5FDe Apple podcast: https://apple.co/3FASB2c #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading The views and opinions expressed here are solely my own and should in no way be interpreted as financial advice. This video was created for entertainment. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision. I am not a financial advisor. Nothing contained in this video constitutes or shall be construed as an offering of financial instruments or as investment advice or recommendations of an investment strategy or whether or not to "Buy," "Sell," or "Hold" an investment.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hey everybody, welcome to Crypto Town Hall, every day on X at 10 15 a.m. Eastern Standard
Time to be more specific every weekday on X and occasionally on a weekend when there's
big breaking news. The biggest breaking news of the day seems to be the announcement from
Coinbase. I will scroll down and find it right now. But for those of you who didn't see it,
this was a tweet from Coinbase, which I will pin in the next later. Cyber criminals bribed and recruited rogue overseas
support agents to pull personal data on sub 1% of Coinbase MTUs. No passwords, private keys,
or funds were exposed. Prime accounts are untouched. We will reimburse impacted customers.
And then there's a blog that you can visit for more information. I don't know about all of you,
but I live in the United States and I receive probably three to five text messages or
emails every single day telling me that my 2FA on Coinbase or Gemini or
another exchange has been hacked,
that I need to change my password,
that I need to contact customer service.
Some of these exchanges I don't even have accounts with.
But we've seen reports that Coinbase customers lost as much as 40, 50, 60 million dollars
just last month on these phishing scams.
So of course we can debate endlessly whether it's the responsibility of the platform when
people are randomly sending phishing links to anyone in crypto who has
an email address or a phone number because this is not.
Coinbase being hacked when people lose money and give their information to a scammer and
also largely this is a result we could argue of the Bank Secrecy Act and and quote unquote
protections put in place that require this massive level of KYC AML,
which means that these platforms have
to keep all of your personal data.
And we know that one day your personal data will be hacked
and released on the dark web,
whether it's by Ledger, Coinbase, or any phone company,
or anyone else who has your personal data,
all topics that I think
are worth digging into today.
But this is a case of probably a minimum wage employee being approached and bribed with
a hell of a lot more money than they would probably make in a year and giving up personal
data as a result.
And this happens all the time.
You know how big likely SIM swapping is of a problem in the United
States. I've been sim swapped twice before I joined a Fonny, the private phone service
that can't be sim swapped, but twice by T-Mobile and both times somebody basically social engineered
and or paid off a person at T-Mobile to basically just give them my data and my phone number.
They say, here's a thousand bucks. You're not gonna make a thousand bucks this month.
Here's Scott's information.
So I think that's what's happening here.
Dave, you had your hand up.
We can start there.
We can dig into any part of this,
but interesting that you had, you know,
the CEO of Coinbase, Brian Armstrong,
literally making a selfie video
to explain all this on X.
Yeah, I mean, look, the Coinbase response
was the exact right response.
The sad part here is that, you know, this happens.
I mean, I don't know anyone who doesn't get phone calls,
texts, emails that are phishing.
And the reality is, is there is no way anybody should ever put
information ever in any situation from an inbound phone
call and inbound, you know, email or inbound text, never,
like literally never. And you know, I've had legit phone calls
where I basically said, Listen, I just don't, we're not going to
give you any information. I actually think you probably are
from Citibank, but it doesn't matter, because they knew stuff.
And I'm like, you know what, I don't care. I will call the
number that I know. And if you're
answering it, awesome. You know, and funny, you know, and you
could always tell the difference, right? Because if you
say that to people, what do they do? You know, the scammers or
they'll argue with you and the other people like, Oh, yeah,
that makes sense. So do that. And it's funny. And so, you
know, you know, my wife and I, we've talked about this, and we
understand it, we don't fall for it, but so many people do.
And some of these are really crude, but when they get your information, there's so much
stuff they can do.
The real problem here, that's going to be, and I hate to be Pollyanna about it, but you
can take your time and count down to when the class action lawyers are going to go after
Coinbase just
because of the data breach.
Exactly.
And wait for the, if it were the Gensler SEC would have been already today, they would
have already started building a case about how they didn't display non-public, you know,
blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
Maybe this administration will be better about this.
But look, this is not a crypto thing. And that's the thing that's interesting. blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah,
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blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah,
blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah,
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blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, up, so let other people talk. Yeah, go ahead, Tony. Good to see you.
Hey, Scott.
Great to be here.
To follow up on Dave's point, you know, it is not a crypto specific issue, but we
have the solution, so I'm a bit disappointed on CoinBusiness part.
We got to start putting data on the blockchain.
They should be innovating some sort of solution here, be leading the charge.
You know, it can't be the excuse, well, this happens in every industry.
We have the solution.
And I would expect more from Coinbase as a publicly traded company, the largest exchange
in the United States.
So we've got to figure out a solution here because how can crypto, which has all these
solutions, and we talk about data ownership and data on chain still be facing these problems.
It's interesting, Tony, and I'm going to go next to Ryan and then to Douglas. But I had,
I know Yago is actually joining later Bitcoin OS and we just happened to be talking about this this
morning on YouTube. To your point, this technology exists, whether on Bitcoin or elsewhere in crypto,
obviously with ZK Proofs, that you can effectively prove data without sharing all of it. You can give a yes or no
answer. Yes, this person is who they say they are. Yes, they're evade. Yes, their credit score is
good. Yes, they're viable to open an account, whatever it is, without giving all that data
using crypto. But like I said before, even in the United States, if Coinbase tried that,
I don't think they can because legally, the KYC AML regime would never allow that, at
least for now.
Go ahead, Ryan.
Yeah.
I mean, we do have the technology in the space, but everyone has to remember that Coinbase
is not a blockchain company.
Coinbase is a centralized entity that is essentially a bank.
And if someone hacks into my Coinbase account, they're going to get access to my $15 of Moudain
coin. And I'd be like, oh, well done. But I don't keep anything in centralized exchange,
specifically for that reason, is it's not a blockchain company. I wanted to give a quick
shout out to Naomi Brockwell, who does NVTV, because she's been
scouting this from the rooftops for years, making great viral videos about personal security and
cybersecurity and how to protect your data. And we need way more education on that, because a lot
of people are thinking like this is a general banking system, and it's not. It's digital cash,
and when people get access to it, it's gone.
Right. No, it's interesting in the, yeah, Naomi has made great content around this.
I think my first knee jerk reaction was self-custody solvess, right?
That's a, uh, kind of a brainless, uh, thought about it when you consider that
if you are in the United States, certainly at some point, you have to assume that
people need an on and off ramp, they need to buy and sell their assets somewhere. They need a way to get
cash out. And that puts you squarely into all these centralized exchanges, whether you like it
or not, and that KYC AML regime. So I mean, you can try to self-custody and live only on Bitcoin,
but it's very, very difficult. Most people need an off ramp.
It is difficult. And it's an off ramp. It is difficult.
And it's a problem people are trying to solve.
Ledger has been trying to solve it,
trying to make more user-friendly applications.
There's a handful of wallets out there that are trying
to be better at self-custody.
But no one's really created that general use.
No one has that technology where it
makes the general public feel safe to hold
their life savings and the majority of their net worth in a single key. I know Bobby Lee
has his hardware wallets and there's lots of different types of wallets out there, but
I don't think anyone's really figured out, even tying it to biometrics, I don't think anyone's really
figured it out yet for that mass adoption. Yeah. And even beyond that, for the simplicity part,
once again, you also need to somehow be able to get cash, right? So at some point you're attaching
to the bank. Yeah, I know we're agreeing. I'm saying, but at some point you need to attach
to the banking system and that may be more or less difficult depending on the jurisdiction that you're in.
Tony, go ahead.
Just a quick follow up.
I feel if this type of situation keeps happening to the crypto industry, it's going to force
more people to go to ETF route.
They're going to go to the Black Rocks with Deladies.
And as they build more crypto products, ETFs, and the ad staking and all these things. We've got to solve this because
I'm a big believer in self-custody and I feel like we're going to lose that aspect of crypto
and that great benefit if we don't solve this. Douglas, I'm sorry, I forgot you had your hand
up and I said you were next. Go ahead. First, great points, obviously, from Dave, Tony, Ryan.
I think that one of the most entertaining parts about today was that I thought that
the Coinbase response came directly from the Mel Gibson movie Ransom.
It's so good.
Where essentially he turned around and he said, listen, we're not going to pay your
ransom.
Instead, what we're going to do is we're going to pay that to people who find out who you
are.
And it was almost a direct ripoff from that 1996 movie.
So that's really the biggest thing I took from it. Obviously, I think I agree with Scott that
I think every day we get multiple phone calls, texts from Coinbase and lots of other exchanges
that we have no relationships with whatsoever. And that seems to be the nature of the game. And it's a shame that has to be the nature. And it'd be great if someone came up with a solution where we could just blow it all off.
Yeah, it's interesting, Tony, I agree with your point about ETFs, and obviously people going with the quote unquote, more secure products. But to what David, I were discussing earlier, you earlier, people can still socially engineer access
to your Schwab account, right?
Or your bank account or others.
But I think that you definitely do have
probably better insurance and systems in place
to protect you from that after it happens, if it does.
It's not really.
I mean, it depends that at a big level,
at a large level, yeah, probably,
because it takes as
long as you recognize it within a few days, it takes so long.
But here's the funny part, be careful what you ask for.
Once we finally get stablecoins done and stablecoins are underlying all the banking rails, then
that's gone. Once the actual transfers of money within the banking system speeds up because they're
using newer, better technology, and it has huge benefits to this, I'm not suggesting
they do anything about it, but it does make transfers and electronic payments far harder
to reverse.
Right now they're not that easy to reverse.
In fact, with Zelle, they tell you that easy to reverse and in fact with Zelle
They tell you they won't reverse it but that's generally limited to like five thousand bucks a day or something
but
You know people do need to understand that it's just as big of a deal in the banking system as it is with anything else
And as stable coins come in it's gonna blur the line. So this as I said, it's not a crypto thing
It is a thing and it's something that is very important
as I said, it's not a crypto thing. It is a thing and it's something that is very important.
Ryan? Yeah, I can see us going down the route where as AI technology gets better and better and better and these AI agents get better and better and better, we start hearing the mantra that
they can be trusted more than your own brain where you're going to misplace things, you're
going to forget things, but these AI agents will never forget. So once we start having personal security AI agents to handle
our keys for us, I think that's going to be a big shift in the industry.
I was just going to say, I am not killing. And frankly, I think I'll be one of the last people
to put my eyeball on, you know,
on the world coin scanner on the orb or anything like it. I don't trust it and it's gonna be a long time before I even think about trusting it.
But one doesn't it doesn't take a rocket scientist to realize that at some point you're gonna end up using biometric
encryption for everything that you do and
it and that's where the real hack or the real danger is, right?
Because at that point, you know, all bets are off. So it really becomes a question of can it be,
you know, can this thing be secure that way? But you know, I'm kind of going down that rabbit hole.
So I'm gonna let's pull it back. Well, Dave, I think that's a good point. It's funny,
because I think everyone's once again, knee jerk reaction about the world coins and the identity verifications by
biometrics is just that this is dystopian. But I'm not,
I'm also not like, uh,
I'm well aware of the irony of that as I stare right now into my iPhone that I
just unlocked with face ID right after getting off of my webcam while
live streaming to YouTube. Right. There's once again, it's like,
when we go back to point base,
I don't think point base could have prevented this
because you're always gonna have human beings
that are not getting paid much protecting data
that can be incentivized to do it.
I also like don't know that WorldCoin and these things
or whatever iteration of biometric data is avoidable
as we all give our biometric data intentionally and voluntarily all day, every day, everywhere
with our devices. I don't really know what the final answer there is, but I do think that
biometric verification is what's coming. Does anybody have any more specific thoughts on this?
Because I want to pivot, if not, any more thoughts on the Coinbase situation.
It's quite a few more news stories.
But, Clinton, since we have you here and obviously you're the CEO of Crypto Tax Audit, you deeply
understand something that just because you're here, I want to ask you about.
I've heard from three people in the last week, basically, that they've recently gotten very
vague letters from the IRS.
This is under the Trump administration, which I didn't think was necessarily going to happen,
saying you may have under reported your crypto taxes if you'd like to file an amendment,
please feel free to, but with no direct evidence or claims that that was the case, it seems like there's this widespread letter potentially going out just to people who had some sort of sufficient significant exposure to crypto saying, hey, fishing for more taxes.
I don't really understand what the letter is. I'm curious if you've heard of this.
Oh, it's big. It's big, Scott. Thank you for asking about it. These are letters. They're identified as an IRS letter number, 6173 and 6174 and 6174A.
So if you get a letter, that's what it says. It is a real letter from the IRS. It does feel like a phishing letter.
It feels like a phishing letter because, as you said, it's a very vague, we know you had crypto accounts.
You might want to check your tax returns and amend them.
And who isn't afraid of the IRS? Who isn't insecure?
I've had our phone, we get calls all day long, several of my staff all day long, people asking about this.
Who's not afraid they didn't do something right in a previous year or they didn't trust their accountant
or they didn't even file at all. So it's a big fear. Now let's break this down. Why are
you getting these letters? Most of we've identified the primary reason is that the IRS has information
from Binance and the former Poloniex exchange that if you had a
Binance account, they've been able to link it back.
And the way we imagine this is they kind of they looked at what addresses you were shipping
things.
Really quickly, Clinton, finance US or literally a Binance account?
Because in theory, Americans are not international.
Oh, okay.
Because that's interesting because we weren't supposed to be able to use it as Americans. Go ahead. Well, you weren't. I know. In 2019, they said no,
no more. But they hadn't really started KYC. And a lot of people were going in through VPNs looking
like they're outside the US. So I think what happened because, you know, the US sued
Binance, they put CZ in prison. And this is why he only got four months in jail, because he
turned over all this data. They've linked it back. Okay, you shipped from a Coinbase account to Binance,
that Coinbase account, oh, that was linked to Scott. Oh, go to Coinbase, oh, Scott, yeah,
here's the social security number. Bingo, you're getting a letter. So you can kind of see how they're
putting this up. They've done this before, back in 2019. The IRS sent out these letters.
What they do is it's basically a scare letter.
Because they do not state what year is in question like a typical audit.
And the second thing that's extremely offensive to me in the US government engaging in just
bald-faced fear is that you can only amend a tax return for three years.
That's right. So if you're filing on April 15 each year, you can't even amend your 2021 tax return.
It's already been three years since you filed it in 2022. So in 22 and 23, you know, we're down years, 24, not a lot of people didn't sell. So most people are afraid of 2021, 2020, 2017,
the big money years, and they're terrified.
If you call the phone number on there,
everybody should know that the IRS records the fact
that you called from that number
and anything you say in the background is all recorded
attached to your account.
Our advice is in general, you should do nothing. Ignore it, right? You're not going to go out of
your way to prove that you were wrong when you made your best effort. Right. So, but a lot of
people's, everybody's situation is different. And it always surprises me. I talked to so many people,
different trading styles, people got in at different times, did different things.
So if you feel like maybe you're exposed because they could initiate an audit afterwards, that's
their bail threat, then I would suggest calling our office and talk to your personal situation
and see what makes sense for you.
One thing that we're recommending for people is we have a service we call Tax Shield where
we actually pull the IRS in your IRS
information on a weekly basis under the power of attorney so that they know it's
not used against you and we monitor for flags we've can see these flags
occurring actually as much as six to twelve months in advance you mean the IRS
flagging you for a potential audit, basically?
Right.
They flag your tax return.
They have a whole group that decides who's going to audit.
When they decide they're going to audit, they put a flag on Scott's 2022 tax return.
And then the examination department, it goes into their hopper and eventually gets assigned
to an auditor and the auditor gets around to it when he can.
Because they're having a little bit of a shortage of auditors right now, because of the recent layoffs, you're really looking at about a six-month time frame. But we can see that and let
you know about it ahead of time. We can amend the tax return and prevent the audit from happening
in the first place. Because the last thing you want is your face on an auditor's dark book.
Yeah. Another question. I think there was a sentiment that with the quote unquote new IRS, it was effectively
being gutted and they wouldn't even have the resources for these type of audits.
I listen, I know technology and AI will take that very easy.
But I think a lot of people thought we were in a Cinderella.
I think a lot of people thought we were in a Cinderella period right now where they
were somewhat safe.
Well, hey, look, there's there, there's been a lot of layoffs.
Most of the people that, I mean,
I saw a recent news article,
31% of all auditors laid off.
That's probably true.
And they were probably all new auditors.
All right, so it takes several years for an auditor's,
you know, beginning to get capable of doing a complex audit.
Secondly, the IRS has shifted their focus
to just going after big rollers.
They used to audit small taxpayers a lot
because there's an immense amount of fraud
with child tax credits, earned income credits,
but they've laid off, they're not doing that anymore.
They're focused on high-end people.
And this is actually very newsworthy right now.
We have just seen the first audit initiated
on people who have moved to Puerto Rico to take advantage
of the tax incentives there.
Do not have to pay capital gains tax.
We're seeing our first audit on this come through.
Of a single individual or the group in general sort of?
A single individual.
It's a single individual.
You can move to Puerto Rico that it's happened to.
Well, Puerto Rico is the US tax haven. If you live in Puerto Rico, your capital gains that you
experience after you've moved to Puerto Rico, if you get the right approvals, are no longer
taxed by the US government. So there's a lot of whales down there. Okay. And they have
massive holdings.
Ryan's giving you the fist because he's a Puerto Rico guy down there.
Exactly.
So no, but I mean, I've been to Puerto Rico several times.
I've talked to people and there's an immense,
there's a complex set of residency rules
that you have to comply with
if you're going to satisfy this.
They're US residency rules, not Puerto Rican so much.
And this is what the IRS audits. If you violate residency rules, not Puerto Rican so much. This is what the IRS audits.
If you violate those rules, then they can deny you the Puerto Rican tax-exempt status,
and they can then tax all those gains.
There's a lot of money there that they can go after.
The big role is this particular guy, he was sent to eight digits in sales or in gains
that year.
So this is in it, they're looking on, it's very interesting.
So anybody who is a Puerto Rican resident wants to talk about that.
They should schedule a call.
We can debrief on how to prepare, how to transition, how to protect yourself.
But this particular audit's going, when you live in Puerto Rico, you're subject to audits
for up to 10 years.
Actually, if you live outside of the United States, it's 10 years.
You're a massive target when you make the move.
I think people understand that and you have to do it in a very, very compliant
way, Ryan, go ahead.
Did you know, is it just become this better than you guys?
I was having such a great morning.
Yeah.
So the birds are chirping, the sun is out.
Like, man, this conversation took a turn.
Yeah, people in Puerto Rico,
this is a conversation we get into so much.
Everyone is highly aware of the auditability
or the audit risk.
And people have GPS trackers on their phones
to track exactly where they're at when they're there. There's a
constant discussion going around of the closer connections and what do your ties to the US look
like? What properties do you own? It is well on everyone's radar when they move down there.
That being said, the incentives are insane. And you know, I even got to tour a research and development
facility the other day, where they had a $40 million buildout
on it, and they got $20 million back in research and
development credits. And it's just the tax incentives are just
mind boggling. But it is it is a sacrifice, you you do have to
cut a lot of ties to the US mainland to make the move.
Yeah, that didn't even end it.
I think it used to be a lot more casual.
Now it's just become exceptionally strict.
Everybody's aware of it.
I was actually, of all people, I was having a conversation last time I was there with
Peter Schiff at a bar in Toronto.
He was breaking down, to your point, the links he had to go to prove like
anytime he left Puerto Rico that he wasn't working.
Yeah, he wasn't earning a single dollar of income when he stepped off the islands to
make sure that he was being compliant.
It's pretty, it's pretty wild.
But just circling back, Clinton really quickly just as a TLDR, these letters are very real,
they're going out, but in your opinion, they're purposely vague targeted at largely people who were exposed
via Binance data becoming public, or at least becoming available to the United States government.
And getting a letter doesn't mean you did anything wrong. They're effectively trying to get you to
call in, get on the radar and maybe see what you cough up.
Good summary.
And you know, back in 2017, everybody had a Binance account.
And you know, everybody has a lot of fear.
I mean, we know that three fourths of taxpayers aren't reporting all their crypto income.
So you know, there's a lot of fear there.
But the key thing is, don't be bluffed into disclosing problems in prior years by calling up and talking about
anything further than three years back, because then you're opening yourself up for them to
come after you.
But if anybody has a concern about their case, they should call me.
But I know this was never meant to be the topic today, but I find this so interesting.
So they have the fact that you had an account probably in 2017, 18, but how savvy are they in actually calculating what you theoretically owe based on what you
actually did on those exchanges back then?
The rules were so even unclear at that time.
There are tools that the IRS is using and they're called cluster analysis,
where they can look at your addresses and start to tie together a
picture of the total amount of Bitcoin that you have. This is described in the court case that was
filed against Bitcoin Jesus. I forget his name off the top of my head. Roger Veer. Roger Veer.
They describe exactly how they do this, but they basically build a connection chain of all the
different networks, addresses
that are talking to the same one, and then can analyze the behavior, determine if this
is a transfer between your own accounts or maybe an income.
They can also see what you're disposing, so they can get a general size of how much money
you're moving.
They don't really know how much is profit, right? But they can see how much you're selling. So the more higher frequency you are in your movements,
you will look like a bigger target to the IRS.
Really, really interesting.
Gary, listen, I got you on stage.
You actually, you and Clinton should be friends,
but with Node 40, this is something you're looking at
actually all day with a company
that you're heavily invested in, right?
Is that fair to say? Yeah, yeah, for sure. I mean, it's a huge area that, you know, you can't,
and I'm glad Clinton's up here because I wanted to actually get to this capital gains thing,
but we can get to that. I think that's a horrible idea, by the way,
that we would treat crypto differently than any other commodity.
Good reason to sell your crypto.
Yeah.
Oh, totally.
I think you'd have a major sell-off.
Major.
Like, somebody's got 3,000 Bitcoin at 300 bucks and there's no capital gain.
Like, they're going to sell that Bitcoin right then and there because they're not going to
wait for the next administration to change that rule.
It makes no sense to me.
Nonetheless, to Clinton's point, very few people have actually
paid much attention to this. They've been almost like, fuck off the IRS, like, hey,
this is Bitcoin, we don't have to pay taxes. That's just not going to fly. And I don't
think we want that either. You don't want Bitcoin to have some kind of special allocation or treatment.
But most certainly, the guys in Puerto Rico, for instance, Clinton, what do you think an
audit costs?
The guy's got a million dollars of crypto or whatever.
Well, two questions.
What do you think the threshold is?
What do you have to be to hit the radar?
Is it a million dollars? Is it 10 million? And then what does an audit cost? Because I think people in Puerto Rico,
they just need to determine part of their cost is going to be buckled up, buttoned down, high
details. You provide more information than the IRS can give you.
More clarity.
And I think the case goes away because I don't think the IRS today has the tools to actually
prove in court the damage done on very complex high-frequency trading.
And if they do, it will cost them so much money, I'm not sure it's worth it.
Clint, you got any response to that? And if they do, it will cost him so much money, I'm not sure it's worth it.
Clint, you got any response to that?
Yes. The cost of an audit is there's two phases of it. One is the actual audit where you're talking to an examiner who's making a determination of how much you owe. And then from there,
they decide you owe them big bucks, then you're basically off to tax court.
There's an appeals branch,
but we usually go straight to tax court.
We've defended numerous people there, five people.
We win all the time at tax court.
But the stakes are much higher.
So you're, I mean, we're defending one guy
who had $2 million in,
the IRS claimed he had $ million dollars in gains in 2017.
And we said, no, he had $36,000 of refunds
he should have coming to him.
And they have gone back to, you know, your friend Taxbit,
they've gone back to them five times to calculate the gains.
And they come, Taxbit comes back with a number
and my in-house forensic accountants
just destroy the numbers.
Totally. Going on forever.
Yeah.
Every time we beat them,
y'all need to understand what he's saying.
These systems, they weren't built for scale.
They were built to do taxes.
And this is not really tax preparation.
This is large scale transactional monitoring and making sure each piece connects to the
other piece to allocate, hey, what was the actual loss or gain minus fees?
Right?
Like, these are, there's so much data.
I mean, there was 30,000 coins launched in one month.
And, and, Terry, I don't even mean to interrupt,, but and it's, I think, important to note that a lot
of these are crypto to crypto transactions, which makes it even more complicated because
you're selling one asset into another, not via a dollar, which means that you have to
pay at that exact moment, the price of both of those things.
Yeah, that's what gets debated with the with the IRS.
I mean, a typical audit, like you said, you're easily into $60,000 to $100,000
during the audit phase, and then you could easily be up to another $100,000 in the tax court phase.
It's important to realize that you have to have a strategy for the IRS is definitely just focused on the high-income rollers.
The way you asked about a threshold, I think the IRS has visibility to tax filings at Puerto
Rico.
I think they see those tax filings.
When you're in Puerto Rico, you want to report all your capital gains from trading.
You want to put your biggest number in there because it's taxed at 0%.
And you want to show that you reported it.
You can't claim that.
That way you can say, I claimed it.
I already claimed it and paid tax on it.
Tax is zero.
So they can look at the IRS filings at, or pardon me, the Puerto Rican tax filings, see
who deducted the most.
And then that drives it.
Like I said, this guy was, you know, he's enormous.
And that's it. But he was highly compliant with the residency rules. He was extremely compliant.
But so we think, why was he selected? Because he's a big fish from the information from the
Puerto Rican tax authorities. Yeah. And Gary, how does Node 40 specifically handle this?
Our job is to provide granular details down to the penny.
I mean, you got to remember, we focus on exactly the type of guy that Clinton's talking about,
big players, wholesale players, large family offices.
High frequency.
Like, we got a guy that does a billion transactions
a year, man.
He's under audit.
See, this is the problem though.
Once the audit starts, most of these sophisticated traders, they're like, okay, we're putting
our pencils down.
We're not going to trade.
We're going to get through the audit.
And the good ones, the good ones don't buy tax bit $99 software.
Like how could you possibly imagine buying software
for 99 bucks and you're trading a billion transactions a year?
You want to have information that the other side,
like my goal is settle it to zero.
But we have an account, a billion transactions,
$589 million worth of transactions,
and we settled it to 98 cents, man. Now, if you can settle something, meaning that we
showed all the ins and outs down to 98 cents, so that's just a little friction, it's very
hard to walk into a courtroom or into an auditor and
go, hey, by the way, I settled a billion transactions to 98 cents. Why don't you guys figure out
where I made a mistake or I cook the books? Because you can't cook the books that perfectly.
And that's the beauty of crypto. Like this shit all gets settled down to zero. We just
have not built between node 40 and fucking tools for this stuff. We don't even have dashboards
Y'all still don't most of the people in the speaker panel do not know their average cost of Bitcoin for last year's purchases
That that all changes in the future. We'll have dashboards that show us exactly what we're doing
That's fast, but it requires investment man
Hey Gary, by the way, I owe you a text.
Were you around this afternoon?
I'll give you a call.
Yeah, I know. Thank you, man.
Yeah, no problem. Ryan, go ahead.
Yeah, it's funny, Gary and I had this exact conversation in Nashville last year.
And, you know, I've been under audit by my ex-wife for the last five years, so I've been
prepared for this stuff under like intense scrutiny.
But the reality is, going through all these transactions and doing all the accounting,
once you get to a programmatic layer is not difficult.
It's just a matter of building the system to do it.
It's all on chain.
It's all a matter of building the systems to do it. It's all on chain. It's all accounted for, all the ins and outs, all the cost bases.
It's just people have to write the software for it.
I don't think the IRS is skilled in that area, but there are a lot of homegrown private solutions
in a lot of these capital management firms that have built their own stuff.
But a widely accessible, like what Gary was saying,
like a highly in tune that what's gonna settle
all the way down to 98 cents,
I don't know of very many that are publicly available.
I started my little side startup on a side
with some engineers called Cryptosleuth,
specifically for divorce lawyers,
because I realized like this was such a big thing
in the divorce cases where like,
you have these lawyers going after crypto assets
and no one knows how to make heads or tails
of the audit system.
But we're gonna start seeing services like this
pop up all over the place for crypto asset forensics.
Gary.
Hey, yeah, Ryan, I'm so glad you brought that up
because I'm the only guy that talks about divorce in the crypto space.
46% of you guys holding crypto will get divorced.
And I went through this, okay, and I like I actually should probably do a little show
on this because literally, I had somebody going after everything I had
when the market was down 76%.
So I look like a complete idiot.
But when I walked in with node 40 against 10 lawyers and auditors for a nine hour deposition,
my deposition lasted one hour because I removed any questions from the opposing team.
Really worth noting that that divorce would take three years to settle.
Not one question was asked to me about crypto after that deposition.
When I showed them the detail, they were like, fuck, we ain't going there, dude.
There's nothing to squeeze.
No juice.
Very powerful message.
Yeah, it is a powerful message. Nick, I saw you down there giving the thumbs down. So was that to the divorce?
I bet. So the, uh, the divorce stat of 50% of divorces or 50% of marriages and a
divorce is actually, uh, this 50% of marriages, or 50% of marriages and divorces actually, uh, this
50% of marriage is not 50%.
That does not take into account people who have remarried, which the likelihood of you
getting a divorce if you're remarrying is higher than first time marriages.
Second, 72%.
Yeah.
So it's, if you look at the actual divorce rate, it's in like the 20s.
That's all.
Okay, so guys, 28% of you who hold Bitcoin, sorry.
Yeah, brutal, brutal.
So listen, let's pivot.
The tax conversation wasn't meant to be it, but I think that was exceptionally valuable
and actually really, really important.
So I'm glad we discussed it.
There were a few other large sort of stories, obviously, MetaMask saying they could potentially have a token is one.
And I think they're actually going to be full, fully integrating Solana layer one.
I think that's big news.
We talked about this next topic a bit yesterday, but I want to go into it more
because of how successful it was. eToro obviously had their public offering. It started at about $45 a share. I think they
ended up raising at $52. And then I think it closed yesterday, if I'm not wrong, at
$67. I think that this is wildly eye opening because A, we haven't seen an IPO perform
well in general in America that I can remember
in a long time, especially, and we didn't even have them because of the environment with the
last administration. But eToro, I mean, this is like an exceptional, exceptional performance,
exceptional appetite for this on the listing. I mean, Dave, we kind of did talk about this
yesterday, but now today after a full day
of trading that it continued up another 10 or more percent, that should be a pretty big
green flag for the industry and public offerings, right?
I mean, look, if you're a financial advisor and you've been restricted from what you can offer clients. And there's, and Coinbase's success,
it's added to the S&P, it's a sector that matters,
and there's an IPO, and your clients
are gonna ask you about it.
The likelihood that you're going to be against it,
and risk being labeled a Luddite, a dinosaur, or whatever,
it really is vanishingly low.
So, E-Toro is a consumer-based company with great margins in crypto, in a world where
there's literally only one competitor and a comp, and people go, well, it's just like,
I hate to say it, it's the unit bias problem, but you're coming to market
at the exact right time, right?
Where people say, well, should I buy the expensive thing?
How much higher can Coinbase go?
Or should I buy the cheaper thing, which could continue to expand and is part of the market
at the same time as it's clear proof that there's retail demand and institutional demand
to be exposed to our economy.
And so yeah, it is kind of a big deal, but these are all like little proof points for
what's going on.
And it makes sense.
I mean, it's not illogical in any way, shape or form.
And it's sort of predictable if you think about it.
Anyone else thoughts on this? If not, we'll move on to the market because I think interesting day we're having here. I haven't actually checked most of the morning Bitcoin trading around $101,965
at the moment. All coins obviously seeing a bit more downside than Bitcoin in this case.
And I did see this morning that gold was having a really nice bounce, which is usually a pretty
good signal. Dave, your mic slipped in. I don't know if you had a comment or if your
mic was just up. But talk market, I mean, Follis, we got to hear what are you looking
at right now in the crypto market? Hey, Scott. Hey, guys.
Yeah, I mean, look, it's one of those things where I was just seeing
so many guys on my timeline, so many so many traders adding risk
after BTC had been up only for 30 days and many alts were like some alts,
like random random coins like Moudang and like some of the AI agent coins were like two three four or five X
off the lows and guys were you know saying this is where you should be you
know long your longs we're gonna be trading higher and and that might be
true but in my experience you know top longing top lasting entering late with
high leverage is never
really the play.
And some of those guys are kind of feeling the pain now.
There's a lot of coins on my watch list that are down like 30, 40% from the highs.
Now, admittedly, they're all big off the lows.
But I think that anyone trying to enter those coins late with leverage has been washed,
and probably rightly so.
With these kind of rallies, it's almost never worth
it to try and chase the move. If you haven't caught a nice entry, don't settle for a substandard
entry in order to just participate in the move. That's like textbook FOMO. That's exactly
what you want to try and avoid doing. As with all things in trading, patience pays.
That's the same in a trending market.
It's the same in a ranging market.
It's the same in a market with lots of upside.
It's the same in a market with lots of downside.
Patience always pays.
Now, that doesn't mean you sit and look idly as price action passes you by, you don't execute.
I mean, patience isn't just about sitting there and waiting endlessly, but it is about
waiting for the right time to execute your plans.
So I mean, I've been saying to my guys for the last few days, BTC looks a little bit
overextended.
All coins look crazy overextended here.
I'm looking at coins like we saw Jelly Jelly yesterday, dumped like 50%.
There's another coin on my watch, this layer,
which everyone was super bullish on earlier in the month
and kind of back into April.
I mean, it had a huge run-up.
It's now down 70% from the highs.
I mean, there's a lot of manipulation going on there.
Obviously that's not organic.
Yeah, what does it say about me
that I've never heard of these things?
It says that you're a sensible trader
who avoids trading crappy meme coins
and manipulated projects.
But there's a lot of coins that guys are entering late,
they're entering with leverage,
they're trying to catch the last five, 10% of a move
when in fact they're far better off
just waiting for retraces.
So in terms of what I'm looking at going forward, sorry go on.
No, I was going to say perhaps a way to frame this is like the mental model, but you're
about to just jump into it.
I think for a very long time people were obviously, smart people were selling rips, you know?
You would sell every bounce, whatever.
Now at least for me mentally, like
I see Ethereum making a 40 something percent move. I'm not buying Ethereum there, right?
Exactly. I looked at the chart, there's like massively overbought, I use RSI, I look at
bearish divergences, it's on every single timeframe, most fortuitous, topping signal. That doesn't mean
top forever. So me, my mental model has now been awesome.
Let me buy the next big dip on a lot of these things as opposed to this was the time to
sell for lower lows. Exactly. So this is where, as I said, patience will pay. You set your
level, you pick the altcoins that you think are going to have a strong remainder of May,
they're going to have a strong summer. You set your levels, you say, this is where I'm a buyer on these coins, and you enter
gradually that from some people, that means you enter in two or three goes.
For some people, it means you DCA with 10 orders or more.
There's a lot of different ways to do it.
But the guys who are feeling the pinch now are the guys who entered late, they got bad
entries and now the market is pulling back a bit and they're caught a little bit offside.
I do think that the market looks fantastic here.
I think a lot of coins are breaking structure to the upside, including Bitcoin, including
Ethereum.
A lot of coins are reclaiming key support levels, and they're looking really hot.
That doesn't mean that you start top-blasting stuff on 10x, 20x leverage and hoping to catch another up only move.
Set your levels, wait patiently, execute when the time comes, and you'll do pretty well over
the coming weeks and months, I think. Yeah, Nick, you had your hand up.
I did. I was actually looking... It was interesting to see the VIX come down
as precipitously as it has. It seems really risk offy right now. Excuse me,
risk awny right now because the VIX is down to levels that we haven't seen, gosh, in like
well over a year, I think. And then gold, there's talk about like the gold pullback,
like last time gold dropped 9%, Bitcoin went up 60%.
People are saying gold could correct 20% now.
And then what would that mean for Bitcoin?
That's kind of what I'm looking at right now.
But I, I echo what Phyllis says.
Like, yeah, don't, don't be top blasting the, um, moodangs guys.
Um, every night, just don't be blasting mudangs period.
Don't don't do that.
Bottom or otherwise because it's just fucking stupid.
98% of everyone in this room
should just be sitting on their hands
and DCAing into Bitcoin.
If we're keeping it 100%,
like if you actually wanna change your life,
don't, unless you're looking at
charts, the way Phyllis or Scott does, or even Tom Crown, then
don't just just just set it up on Kraken or whatever you want
to use and just DCA and pray. And that's it. So yes, but I it
does look it. I mean, gosh, the Trump speech in Riyadh was kind of like a level set for
the global economy.
It was him.
He shook everything.
He shook the refrigerator, right?
And everything fell out back in March and April.
And now everything's calming down.
And I really think that this Middle East situation that's going on right now is him just like,
hey, let's all just chill.
Let's all just make money right now.
So I'm, Follas is saying it structurally looks good.
I think on the macro, it looks even better.
Yeah, well, I was gonna talk about the macro,
but the first thing I wanna give a plug for Follas
because if you're trading and you're not listening
to the advice you just heard,
you better check, look at yourself in the mirror
and say what the fuck am I doing?
People who use leverage and are trying to,
and are top blasting are, it might work once or twice,
but by the third or fourth time,
you're gonna lose everything that you put in.
It's a fairly classic pyramid scheme. And the funny part is, is that's what all the do or fourth time, you're gonna lose everything that you put in. It's a fairly classic pyramid scheme.
And the funny part is, is that's what all the doomsayers,
and I see them every day, are saying is what Saylor is doing,
and yet that is not at all what he's doing.
This is 10x leverage.
It's barely two or three,
and it's with a huge balance sheet, et cetera.
So you see that.
There's this incredible dichotomy.
There's almost two markets now.
I mean, yes, Bitcoin leads the altcoin markets,
but what Phyllis was telling you about
is how much volatility is in the altcoin markets.
Bitcoin's volatility, I mean,
it's almost like a damn stable coin, right?
You know, for weeks at a time,
and it's been doing this now for a while,
you get these, you know,
we had eight months of a trading range last summer, you know, the last two or three weeks,
it's been in a few percent range. I mean, the volatility, you're saying with the VIX
collapsing, I don't know, if you measured a B VIX, you would see that collapsing as
well. And it's important to understand why. And know, you've talked to you've had multiple guests on this week Scott where they've talked about it
Which is there are patient long-term buyers who have gotten progressively less patient, but only incrementally
So and all the chart signals all the charters in the crypto world continue to say it looks weak here
I'll be able to buy it back in lower and it just doesn't seem to be happening
And so you get this market and you know, we're sitting at 102.
The fact that we haven't seen a pullback below 100,000 in the week and a half since I joked
that we may never be able to buy below 100,000 again, ha ha ha, I'm actually stunned by,
right?
Not even a candle.
It's just simply that there's demand and the demand is participating
and you're gonna start to see this stuff happen.
If you look at the liquidations over the last day,
it's fascinating.
Again, you know, Ether had a pretty big move down,
you know, like 150 bucks.
So, you know, there's a hundred million
in Ether liquidated people trying to top glass that.
Bitcoin is less than 60 million of liquidations.
And we know that that's from people who are doing it on a hundred X leverage and just oops, Bitcoin is less than 60 million of liquidations.
And we know that that's from people who are doing it on 100x leverage.
Just oops, it dropped a thousand bucks, which is, you know, one percent.
And in a one percent move, they get wiped out.
But it's all these that really disperse all coins where people are playing.
So it's effectively, the last day, it almost completely resembles a casino, which it often
does, but really specifically so.
So that when you see 330 million in liquidations, it's really dispersed.
I mean, long liquidations.
It's really dispersed.
And what is that telling you?
That's telling you that people get bored when you get into ranges.
And what happens after that is anybody's guess.
Although I would say that if you look at what's going on
in the world on the macro side,
it looks like it will resolve to the upside
more like the downside.
One last point.
I don't know how many people here
are on Arthur Hayes' mailing list,
but his method yesterday was really a masterclass
in understanding where the liquidity is going to be and
You know he likes to tactically trade and will tactically trade but his commentary on why the liquidity situation
Is shaping up the way it does?
Is extremely accurate to me and and feels right so you know we'll stop it there
his basic point is the rally in Bitcoin will happen because of the global liquidity flows and
That this cycle will be substantially larger than what people are expecting it to be that that that's sort of the TLDR
But there's a lot in there and I encourage everybody to read it. I
Really giggled when I saw that
Title I mean it was fatty fatty something and it had a picture of Lizzo.
Yeah, you know, his what he was, he made a few plugs in there
about the health crisis, crisis, and it is funny. It's look, he's
always funny. But his point is, they tried tariffs didn't work
politically, it's a loser, they're gonna, they're gonna
pivot to, to capital controls in a very small way, in a way that is virtually
guaranteed to be politically popular, and they're going to use other tools at the same
time, but it all boils down to liquidity.
He just sees all road looking to it, and he's actually calling for Bitcoin a million by
28, which is more optimistic than me.
And I've been more optimistic than him over the last year.
And now it's flipped.
So I find that interesting.
That was fatty fatty boom boom.
I just went and looked at that.
Go ahead.
Yeah, hilarious.
Yeah, I mean, my takes on Bitcoin versus everything else is kind of really that. It's Bitcoin and then everything else. And I think what I've
been trying to kind of talk about to some of my people is you've got to have a Bitcoin strategy. For me, that's buy and
hold. I don't trade Bitcoin, but I literally trade everything else. So when you see these two days of green, what I like to
do is kind of go back in there and say, OK, what moved the most? Because chances are they're going to come down, but they're also
going to move like that again when you get that 24, 48 hour move. So you saw Ethereum move,
a great way to fast track your Ethereum holdings or get exposure to Ethereum without Ethereum
itself. Just go look, Pepe and Brett were like those two meme
coins. But again, I think the biggest thing is you got to look at like what meme coins are for what they are. Some
people just look at it and say, Oh, this is my next chance at Bitcoin. It's like, as long as you're looking at it for
what it is, and you look at it as a trade, and it's a way to acquire more whatever Bitcoin or you want to put that
money in the stock market or real estate or whatever.
That's the way I kind of approach it.
You just got to be real with yourself and what it is.
And so, yeah, I mean, that's kind of my take right now.
BitTensorTAL is another one, like the whole AI thing.
The SWE ecosystem.
I've been trading the hell out of the SWE ecosystem.
Assets like Deep and Walrus, if you go look at this most recent push,
that's where the liquidity is.
So you just kind of, you know,
liquidity moves around in the altcoin market.
A lot of this stuff is just recycled right now.
We obviously aren't seeing a ton of new retail money
coming in.
So when the market decides to pump
and altcoins go up like that,
what moves the most chances are
they're gonna move the most again,
you know, the next time you get you get that move
Boris
The last I love that you guys are so deep in the weeds and understand and can do this that I used to aggressively
Trade all coins, you know seven eight years ago, but man, I'm just too old for this shit
Like I wouldn't even know how to trade something in the suey ecosystem, but I do own some suey.
So at least I've got that going for me, which is nice.
I think we're pretty much at wrapping time here, guys.
So we're going to go ahead and shut it down.
Give everybody on stage a follow.
Don't get fished into sending funds to any idiot who's texting you about Coinbase or
Gemini or 2FA.
And speaking of idiots not to get fished by,
do not get, I shouldn't say this out loud,
don't get fished by the IRS sending you a letter
telling you that you might vaguely, potentially,
maybe in some world owe them money,
but they don't know for sure.
But maybe you should tell them that you do.
Don't do any of that either.
Ignore those letters unless, of course,
you just haven't paid the taxes in a few hundred years.
Maybe then you should call Clinton.
Otherwise, everybody in the audience, give everybody on stage a follow and we'll see you back here tomorrow paid the taxes in a few hundred years, maybe then you should call Clinton. Otherwise everybody in the audience,
give everybody on stage a follow
and we'll see you back here tomorrow at 10, 15 a.m.
Eastern standard time later.