a16z Podcast - a16z Podcast: Mental Models for Understanding Crypto Tokens
Episode Date: January 22, 2018This episode of the a16z Podcast goes deep on various trends in cryptocurrencies -- from mental models for understanding tokens and what may give them long-term value; to the role of stablecoins in t...he ecosystem; to scaling, on-chain and off-chain protocols, forks, and more. The discussion features general partner Chris Dixon in conversation with Nick Tomaino, the founder of early-stage crypto venture fund 1confirmation, editor of The Control, and former business development at Coinbase. (He is also an investor in Basecoin, Cosmos, Ethereum, and MakerDAO.) You can also check out past episodes in this series, covering everything from investing in cryptocurrencies and protocols to accelerating research and practical applications to why crypto tokens matter -- as well as a video covering the building blocks of all things crypto -- at a16z.com/crypto. The views expressed here are those of the individual AH Capital Management, L.L.C. (“a16z”) personnel quoted and are not the views of a16z or its affiliates. Certain information contained in here has been obtained from third-party sources, including from portfolio companies of funds managed by a16z. While taken from sources believed to be reliable, a16z has not independently verified such information and makes no representations about the enduring accuracy of the information or its appropriateness for a given situation. This content is provided for informational purposes only, and should not be relied upon as legal, business, investment, or tax advice. You should consult your own advisers as to those matters. References to any securities or digital assets are for illustrative purposes only, and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Furthermore, this content is not directed at nor intended for use by any investors or prospective investors, and may not under any circumstances be relied upon when making a decision to invest in any fund managed by a16z. (An offering to invest in an a16z fund will be made only by the private placement memorandum, subscription agreement, and other relevant documentation of any such fund and should be read in their entirety.) Any investments or portfolio companies mentioned, referred to, or described are not representative of all investments in vehicles managed by a16z, and there can be no assurance that the investments will be profitable or that other investments made in the future will have similar characteristics or results. A list of investments made by funds managed by Andreessen Horowitz (excluding investments and certain publicly traded cryptocurrencies/ digital assets for which the issuer has not provided permission for a16z to disclose publicly) is available at https://a16z.com/investments/. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others. Please see https://a16z.com/disclosures for additional important information.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
The content here is for informational purposes only, should not be taken as legal business, tax, or
investment advice, or be used to evaluate any investment or security, and is not directed at any
investors or potential investors in any A16Z fund. For more details, please see A16Z.com slash
disclosures. Hi, everyone, and welcome to the A16Z podcast. I'm Hannah, and today's episode continues
our series on All Things Crypto, with Chris Dixon in conversation with Nick Tamano, founder of
early stage crypto fund one confirmation and formerly BD at Coinbase. In this conversation,
they start off with a framework for understanding tokens to what gives them long-term value,
what's the role of stable coins in the ecosystem, as well as scaling issues, on-chain versus
off-chain protocols, forks, and other trends in crypto. You can also check out more details
about this episode, as well as past episodes in this series and a video covering the building
blocks of crypto on our site at A16Z.com slash crypto.
So people may have heard of tokens on coins.
Token sometimes means like specifically ERC20, which means tokens built on Ethereum.
People use the term more broadly.
There's a little bit of confusion around the nomenclature.
But, you know, broadly tokens, coins.
There are different categories of tokens, I guess.
And maybe you can, so you have a kind of a framework here.
You can help walk us through that.
There's a lot of different mental models people have.
And this is just mine.
But how I think about it is simply kind of two types.
So the first is what I call a usage token, and some people call it a medium of exchange token.
Some people call that a utility token, but it's basically a token where ownership is required to use some digital service.
And you can think of any blockchain as a digital service where you have kind of buyers and sellers.
Bitcoin's the most widely known usage token where ownership is required to use this digital service.
And in the case of Bitcoin, that digital service is a ledger that can be used by anyone to store and transfer value.
The original usage token, by the way, were IP addresses and domain names, right?
I mean, like the sort of scarce network resources of the Internet, which, you know,
you needed an IP address to access the Internet, and you needed domain name to set up a website.
Yep, that's right.
And so if you look right now at kind of coinmarkak.com, the top 25 tokens by market value,
I think 24 of the 25 are usage tokens.
One of the interesting things is right now a lot of the ICOs that we're seeing are kind of masquerading as usage tokens.
right. But how I think about whether a usage token can have long-term value is really is the
digital service that's being provided will demand for that increase in the future. And are there
kind of scarce, unique resources underlying that digital service? Yeah, will there eventually
be what I would call consumptive demand, not speculative demand, right? Meaning demand to actually
use the service as opposed to simply to buy it and hoping it'll go up in price. Right.
In the same way that, you know, at the beginning of the internet, domain names, people bought them
for speculative use case is eventually, you know, someone just bought pizza.com for 10 million
dollars. They bought it to use it, namely to sell pizzas, right? Yep. And so, or whatever their
model is affiliate marketing for pizzas or something. But eventually, the reason domain names eventually
or IP addresses, you need them to, you know, if you want to have servers on the internet or something
like this. So eventually the consumptive demand replaced the speculative demand. And I think
what you were saying about ICOs is a lot of sort of masquerading is that there are obviously
people taking advantage of the, you know, just the money flowing in and sort of taking what
is probably just a normal company that's not a protocol, and sort of calling it a protocol
and making up a kind of use case as to how it's a usage token, but it just is an excuse to raise
money.
Exactly.
All right, so that's usage tokens, and then what's the other kind?
So the other is what I call a work token.
So it's basically a token where ownership gives the token holders the right to contribute
some type of work to a decentralized organization.
And so an example of this is something like the reputation token, which is native to auger,
where you don't have to own rep to use the prediction market.
That's the design.
This isn't a live product yet.
But ownership gives you the right to do work in this decentralized organization.
Why would you want to pay to do work?
Well, you'd want to own a token, a stake that gives you the right to do work in the future.
So basically, if you think that millions of dollars will be flowing through the auger network in a couple years, and you want a piece of that, right?
Because it would be kind of like if Facebook were a crypto protocol, a work token might be the ability to vote on how the newsfeed algorithm works.
Yep.
Yeah.
And you can see how, you know, at some point, if Facebook is helping to determine who win an election, like having some say in that algorithm could be valuable.
If these crypto networks become very important, having some voice in it would seem to be valuable.
Exactly.
Exactly.
And I think it could manifest itself in many ways, right?
So I think the most interesting work token will be when Ethereum switches from proof of work to proof of stake.
And by the way, these aren't mutually exclusive.
So you can have tokens that are both usage and work tokens.
And I think many tokens in the future will likely be that.
And Ether will be when it switches a mistake.
Exactly.
You'll need Ether to pay gas to run smart contracts.
And then you'll also, ownership will be required to do work in the network.
And in that case, that work is validating transactions.
And so when Ether switches, you know, people will want to own Ether, they may want to own Ether to earn the mining fees, if you will.
Yeah, I mean, that's the other reason you want to own work tokens, not just to vote on it, but in the case of, like, the proof of stake in Ethereum, you get paid for it.
Exactly.
ZeroX is another kind of example of, you know, what they call a work token, where the work is just governance.
So in some cases, you may just value, you think this is going to be important and you want to play an important role in it.
But in other cases, like in the case of Auger and Ether, it'll actually give.
you the right to earn fees in the network. And so I think to me, I'm really excited about
like completely new organizational structures, which Bitcoin is kind of the first. But, you know,
on the work side, you can only participate if you, you know, have sophisticated hardware and a lot
of computing power, right? So I think when we see proof of stake, we're going to start to see
kind of more inclusive ways to create decentralized organizations that lots of people can
participate in. There's another kind of tokens we'll talk about, which I would call like
traditional asset security tokenization, you know, I guess my view on that is, and that is taking
something that's, you know, a piece of real estate or something that has traditionally had value
and creating a digital token that represents, you know, lets you trade that or something, right?
My own view is that's far less interesting and that's not even part of the crypto movement in a way.
To me, it's not really a cryptocurrency concept, and it just may just be a kind of regulatory
workaround or something.
Yeah, I agree with that.
I would say, I think, you know, it could be really meaningful in the sense that we could see a lot of traditional assets tokenize, but from a technology perspective, I don't think it's that exciting.
But I do know that, you know, everyone around the world is seeing all this money that's poured into ICOs this year and thinking maybe we should tap into this kind of global liquidity pool and tokenize our resources.
real estate project or our security or things like that. And I do think it's likely that we do
see particularly jurisdictions that want to be favorable to it, put regulation in place and
attract kind of investors and entrepreneurs that are thinking about this. Do you think that the kind
of tokenization has gone too far? I mean, the flip side would be, hey, maybe every project
should have, you know, should have a token. And this is just kind of like a new business model and a new
way to kind of, you know, align incentives around a new network or something. Yeah. I think it's gone too far.
My sense was that the ICOs slowed down quite a bit, but there were still 400 million in token sales in November alone.
And so I think in this boom, there's certainly people that shouldn't be doing tokens that are.
So how that will play out over time, I'm not sure.
But I would caution anyone who's looking at investing in tokens to think a lot about whether the token can have long-term value or not.
or is this just an interesting project, but there's not a strong reason for the token
to kind of persist over time and have significant value?
Yeah.
Everything we're discussing is highly speculative.
One thing we should say here is that we do not recommend that people listening buy any of these tokens.
And if you do buy them and, like, you do a lot of research and put a very, very small amount
of money into them because it's super risky.
And I think a lot of people, including me, think it's very,
very likely we're in a boom part of a cycle. And while I think we're very, very excited about
the long-term technological prospects of what's going on in cryptocurrency, I think it's very
likely that the prices have gotten ahead of the actual progress. Certainly this year has been
all about the token boom, right? There's been over $4 billion in token sales. What I'm really
spending a lot of time thinking about is, like, what are the actual products that people are
going to use over the next year or so? Because I think a lot of the...
big projects that have raised a ton of money aren't likely going to ship anything for many
years in some cases. But I think there are kind of a few different categories of products that
we're going to see actually start to drive real usage kind of in the next year. And we're
already seeing that to some extent. So one example is like decentralized exchange.
Just for the listeners, what is a decentralized exchange? So very simply, in a centralized
world, which exists now in digital assets, you're trusting a third party.
like Coinbase that allows you to trade, right? So you're storing your value on kind of a centralized
service and then trading and then withdrawing. Decentralized exchange basically facilitates
trustless exchange of assets. So if you control your private keys, you can trade basically.
And it's a more secure way and you don't have to, you know, give a third party your funds,
which is susceptible to hacking and things like that.
So what are some examples there?
So one kind of project that I think is quite interesting that's seeing traction is 0X.
So 0X did a token sale earlier this year, and they're already seeing some projects kind of built on top of what they call relayers.
Radar relay is a good example of that.
And the architecture there is you use Ethereum as the settlement layer, but then you have sort of off-chain relays or order books that do the high-thruput transactions,
which is an emerging architecture we're seeing more and more of,
which is sort of use Ethereum as less performance,
but you can trust it and you can send money through smart contracts
and things like this.
And so use it for what it's good for
and then do everything else off chain.
That's exactly right.
And X is sort of one of the more interesting examples of that architecture.
And so an alternative to kind of the zero X approach
is something like Ether Delta,
which does everything on chain.
So they do order book on chain.
And every time you change an order, for example,
if you're using Metamask, you have to pay gas
and click a button.
and it's kind of a poor user experience, right?
Well, and expensive, potentially.
Design protocols that use both on and off-chain is very tricky, right?
Because you have to make sure that the off-chain stuff is also happening in a trustworthy way.
Like on-chain, you get trustworthiness for free just based on the nature of the blockchain architecture.
But off-chain, you have to guarantee that as well, right?
So you don't have like a rogue, or a book or something like this, right?
And so that becomes a very tricky design problem, right?
Yep.
To be clear, it's still early.
And I think there's still even in ZeroX, a lot to be figured out.
By the way, I am a personal investor in many of these projects being discussed.
But I think what's interesting about ZeroX is they're solving a real problem
and they're seeing a real ecosystem kind of emerge on top.
That's kind of characteristic of the projects that we'll be seeing work to get usage in the near term.
They tend to be more crypto-focused because that's where the users are today of these crypto products, right?
So as opposed to, you know, I think you and I both believe that someday people will have social networks
and ride-sharing and all sorts of things using crypto protocols, but that might be farther away.
just given the way this is evolving.
That's right, yeah.
I think one mistake I see you see a great entrepreneur on paper
that's solving some real-world problem with blockchain technology
and it sounds really good, but can they really execute?
Is the technology stack really there at a point to solve an end-user application?
I'm most excited about projects that are solving problems
for the existing crypto community rather than the broader landscape.
What's missing?
Why can't you solve problems?
the broader landscape today? Is it just the Ethereum scaling issues? Is it other services like,
for example, identity services? Is it just that we're missing kind of core components?
There's a lot of core components that are still missing. Take something like Auger, which is a
decentralized prediction market, which is kind of an end-user application. In order for something
like Auger to become interesting to a mainstream, even if kind of mainstream users wanted to use
this type of product, I think there's a lot of things missing. So one is a decentralized
stable coin, right? So what is a stable coin? So stable coin is a coin that has the volatility
characteristics, similar to that of a dollar combined with the decentralization characteristics
similar to that of a Bitcoin or Ethereum. So taking kind of the best of the stability
characteristics of fiat currencies and the decentralized characteristics of cryptocurrencies.
The volatility of Bitcoin and Ether are such that they're moving 5 or 10% in a given day
and no one that's actually using it as a medium of exchange for something or placing bets
would actually want to use that, right?
So a decentralized stable coin, in my view, is like a core piece of middleware that's missing in the ecosystem.
I think another is identity.
A lot of these services, you know, really rely at the application layer, rely on identity.
And there hasn't been an identity-based protocol that's really emerged and gained a lot of traction yet.
So that's like if you build a decentralized ride-sharing service, how are you going to keep track of the rider and driver ratings as an example, right?
And how you're going to avoid civil attacks and all these other things?
Exactly. I mean, one of the things I'm excited about in terms of kind of new projects is, like, continuous token mechanisms.
So how do you drive usage of the product and give new users for some action new tokens?
And something like identity, I think, is a piece that's really needed in most cases to do that in a way that can't be gameed by Sibylok attack.
So let's like a little bit about Stable Coins.
So we're investors in Stable Coin, Basecoin.
First of all, I think there's two categories of Stable Coins.
there's things where they try to peg the digital asset to a physical asset, right?
And some of these are controversial.
Yeah, tether being the most well-known.
And then there are what you might call kind of like crypto-native, the ones like make or die and base coin,
where there's no tying into something.
Instead, there's this kind of game theoretic mechanism that's been developed.
So maybe we can talk a little bit about how these, the maker die and base coin work.
The actual mechanisms that they're using to create a stable coin are,
quite complex. At a high level, this idea of creating what some people call an algorithmic
central bank, right? A central bank where you kind of peg some asset, and based on market supply
and demand, the supply of the token adjusts. And so in the case of Bitcoin, for example,
Bitcoin has a very clear cut money supply, which is that 21 million Bitcoin will ever be
created in the year 2140 and the rate at which new Bitcoin or mine decreases by half every four
years. In the case of something like base coin, they're pegging, you know, the coin to some
asset. You could say one base coin equals one dollar. And then based on the free floating price,
the supply of the coin adjusts. Right. So if the price goes up, more coins get printed.
If the supply goes down, then a new type of token in their ecosystem called a bond
gets printed and folks buy the bond with base coin.
So that's kind of...
Essentially, as you said, you can think of it as kind of a second reserve of currency
that acts like a banker or something and buys and sells or, you know...
It tries to adjust the price to a target.
And like with a lot of these economic things, it works to the extent people will believe it works
because for the banking mechanism to work, there has to be real value there.
Whether there's value there, partly depends on whether people believe there's value there.
Right.
And so it has this kind of reflexivity property.
until these things are running at scale for years, I guess we won't really know if they work.
But it seems like a really important problem and one that's worth working on.
One kind of fair question, some would argue, well, Bitcoin volatility has decreased every year.
And at some point, it will get to a point where it's actually a good medium of exchange, which we'll see.
Other economists would argue, well, it's a fixed supply.
And so by definition, there will be more volatility fundamentally than a coin where, you know,
know, stability is the actual goal. So we'll see.
Yeah. Okay. So let's talk about forks. So forks were a big topic this year.
Forking is a very powerful mechanism. And it's really kind of a new concept where if you don't like how a project's being run, you can copy the project and not just the code, but all the data from the code.
There was a Bitcoin fork with Bitcoin Cash. There was a threatened fork with Segwit 2X that was called off.
There was a, you know, famously Ethereum forked, creating Ethereum classic and Ethereum.
the equivalent would be like
I don't like how Facebook is running
their algorithm creating Facebook 2
and it not only has all the code of Facebook
but it also has all the
photos and everything else like it's just the
whole thing it's just Facebook 2 and one of the important
things about is it keeps the people governing the network
in check right if they start to extract
rent or do other things that are bad
the community can just fork them in fact that happened with
like Monaro came out of a fork right so Minero is a
very popular privacy coin that
the community felt like the creators had
taken too much of the of the initial
token distribution to fork them and now Monaro is far more popular and successful.
But it also creates this really weird situation where you have these kind of alternative
timeline history things and you have these weird coins and like there's for example
Bitcoin Gold, right? What's the story of Bitcoin Gold?
I actually don't know the exact story other than it popped up a couple of weeks ago and it now
has a total market value of over $6 billion. And Bitcoin Cash had like a real community
momentum behind it. It was a set of sort of Bitcoin core community.
members who were unhappy with the governance and decided to create a new fork, Bitcoin
Cash has like a $26 billion market cap now, which is more than the entire crypto space
a year ago.
Yep.
But that at least has sort of this community and kind of use cases and Reddit forums and
a whole bunch of other things, right?
Whereas you have these other things, which are just like mystery forks or something.
You know, we hear so much about the ICO boom, but in terms of kind of like total value
created this year, there's actually
been way more value created by forks than
ICOs. Hey, you're right.
Like the total ICO raise, what is?
It's a couple billion. It's like four billion.
Over four billion. Whereas Bitcoin
gold, which is a fork that none of us even
know where it came from or whether it's real
is worth $7 billion.
It's a lot of crazy stuff, yeah.
My view, though, is that
the developer team and community behind
the project is the most important.
aspect of these projects. So when you have a fork, you basically have two different communities
that have some disagreement about how the future should look, right? And in the case of Bitcoin
versus Bitcoin Cash or B-Cash, you know, it's about the block size.
Well, yeah, the block size, which is symbolic of a broader debate around being kind of
digital gold or digital visa. Yeah, exactly. So, but an idea and a belief is one thing,
but having like a team and a community that can execute on that belief is another thing.
So what are some of the other things you're excited about in the crypto world?
So I think, you know, this idea of solving scalability problems, right, is very important
and I think is going to manifest itself in many different kind of directions.
What I call kind of middleware piece that's really needed for something really being used by millions of people is, you know,
the Ethereum blockchain or whatever blockchain you're using has to be able to process hundreds or thousands of transactions per second, right?
Right? And right now, Ethereum can process roughly 15, Bitcoin, roughly seven. And so there's a lot that needs to be done there. And so there's some interesting kind of approaches.
Well, in Bitcoin, it's only going to get worse now that the Bitcoin scaling debate seems to be over. So the price, the transactions will go up. And the transactions per second, I think, will go down. Right. But the hope with Bitcoin is that the so-called layer two solutions work.
The Ethereum development team, on the other hand, has a different approach, right, which is they're actually willing to come.
kind of make pretty dramatic changes to the core, including sharding, right, which adds
sort of parallelism.
So instead of having 30,000 miners all running the same code, they can run different
code, right?
That's right.
It feels like there's a lot of interesting directions through which people are trying to
improve the scaling, especially on the Ethereum side.
For sure.
And then the other thing that I would add is kind of what I call horizontal kind of solution.
So something like Cosmos, which is trying to create some framework for new coins to be
created and even port over
kind of existing ledgers.
They're working on a cool project right now called
Etherment, which is basically
taking the ether ledger,
porting that on top of the
cosmos, what they call tendermint,
consensus mechanism, and their own
peer-to-peer layer.
And so if a developer
is building something on
Ethereum, but they want
a thousand transactions per second or something like that,
they could just port it over.
Port it over and have the code work and also have
the transaction history port as well.
Both. But the transaction history
from that point
forward is different, right?
I think of Cosmos is, I guess people are calling a pair of chains
like Pocodot. And there's just sort of
a set of proposals for doing this, which is sort of
for interchained interoperability or something like this, right?
And you think of that as like another
I guess vector through which
scaling. Can we achieve.
It kind of goes back to the original side chain
idea, right? Yep. And back, you know, which is
back from CryptoV1
or Crypto Wave 1, which was his idea.
that you'd have these side chains off Bitcoin, which you could basically burn coins on Bitcoin,
take them over to the side chain, do other things, try out new software and do other experiments
and then bring them back, right?
Yep, yep.
So this is kind of like V2 version of side chains or something.
Exactly.
And then there's, you know, new chains that are just fundamentally more scalable, right?
It's like DFINITY as an example, yeah.
And the exciting thing as kind of an investor and someone interested in the space is that there's
a lot of different projects kind of all happening at once, right?
Where if you look back on Bitcoin, you know, a couple years ago, it was really just side chains
and then lightning came along, but it feels like there's a lot of stuff kind of all happening
at once on top of Ethereum.
I feel like the good news is the token model provided an economic model through which
new projects could get funded and have sort of maybe a long-term business model as well to
have the token appreciate and have the sponsoring entity hold some portion of those coins.
The flip side of it is it almost work too well, which is now the incentive being to go join the, you know, work on Ethereum, which in the old days would be like working on Linux.
The incentive is to create, you know, your own operating system, your own blockchain.
Sometimes I worry that like this new incentive of having a token almost works too well and is creating kind of splintered development efforts.
It's certainly possible.
And yeah, some people are kind of hoping to see more like coin distribution for contributions and things like that, which.
Like Fred Arsum has this idea, right, this idea that you would have kind of through token inflation, you would have essentially like, you know, bounties paid out for people that contribute helpful new code to a project.
But I think right now what is kind of interesting to me is that we are seeing all these different ideas being attempted, right?
In my mind, in kind of crypto, the idea maze is kind of just accelerated like 100x, right?
We're seeing all of these different ideas happen at once.
I think the best kind of entrepreneurs are paying attention to what's going on in all of them
and seeing what's working, what's not, and taking kind of different pieces.
And that was like Ethereum being the best example of that to date, right?
Where Vitalik studied the ecosystem very carefully, knew exactly how Bitcoin worked, what
didn't, knew how the initial proof of stake systems like Purecoin worked, knew what was
wrong with them, and kind of crafted together.
a lot of different pieces from like historical context and then built something.
I've been involved as an investor in the space.
We invested in Coinbase in 2013 and I've spent all a lot of 2014 and 15, 16 and 17 meeting
with crypto companies.
I probably see five what I would call like highly qualified teams a week now, whereas I might
have seen five highly qualified teams like in the year of 2014.
It's just dramatic, right?
To me, it feels like the way the iPhone felt in 2009 through 11, we're just like every
smart person who knew how to program
and design and do other things that I'm going to
build an iPhone app. Right? And of course,
99% of those didn't work,
but the ones that did
work spectacularly well, right?
The other interesting thing is now it's
transition, it's not just these people that have sort of
grown up in crypto. At least what I'm seeing
is lots of teams leaving
GAFA companies, Google, Facebook,
etc., and getting into this
and really good teams. People
with real, you know,
strong engineering and product backgrounds.
And I think for me, at least, it's the vast majority of it centered around the Ethereum ecosystem.
Who knows which of these projects will work, but there's a lot of stuff going on.
Yep, yep, agreed.
So what would be your predictions for the craziness to come over the next year or two?
I think that we're going to see proof of stake really, you know, a lot of people are still skeptical on proof of stake and don't think it could be pulled off.
But I think proof of stake is going to be a really important kind of catalyst for the broader adoption and interest.
in blockchains.
What specifically makes you think that proof of stake will spur broader interest?
I think it solves a number of problems.
The one problem that a lot of people point to is kind of the electricity cost, right?
So, you know, hundreds of millions of dollars are being spent external to the network of Bitcoin
just to secure the network.
This is Bitcoin mining, which, you know, you see all these articles about it.
It's now passed.
I think it's like the country of Ecuador or something in electricity usage, which is, which, you know, is
excessive. That's just too much. But more broadly than that, I think minors controlling a network
has proven to be pretty problematic. And so I think kind of aligning stakeholders and miners and
putting them, you know, as one will be important in terms of, you know, progress in making changes
to protocols and just kind of making blockchains more cohesive, if you will. It also, from a
technical point of view, I think, allows for a lot more wider space of design of blockchain
consensus mechanism designs that allow for scaling and other kinds of things, right?
Things like DFINITY, you can't do, as far as I understand it, without proof of stake.
And that has, like, all these nice features, like, you know, a couple second transaction finality
times, which you, you know, which is a much shorter time than on existing popular blockchains.
So, you know, your job is to invest in new protocols.
What are some of the characteristics you look for for differentiating between, you know, attractive
investment opportunities and unattractive
ones. So I have four
characteristics that I evaluate every project
based on. The first is team, the
second is product, the third is
community, and the fourth is
token mechanics. So for me,
someone with kind of deep historical
context on crypto
is important. Someone that
has, you know, deep
technical understanding of
consensus mechanisms and crypto
economics and things like that is
very important. So let me push back here on that
A little bit. One thing I'm seeing is because the kind of movement is growing, by definition, you have new people entering who don't have the same history in it, but do have, in some cases, very strong technical backgrounds and relevant fields like distributed systems and cartography. One thing I debate is that, you know, if someone is very strong in those areas, but maybe hasn't, like you and I have, like, kind of live through all the different, you know, events of the last four years. I mean, if you look at the internet as an analogy, like a lot of the early teams, you know, that were working on it were kind of like, you know, hard.
core internet believers, but then eventually like this sort of different, this new vintage kind of
came in that was sort of more classic computer science and built a lot of the important
things.
Yeah.
No, it's a good point.
I struggle with this.
I think I'm just personally more biased towards kind of the deep crypto person as opposed to
the new kind of entrant.
I think there will be a time in the ecosystem when, you know, the new entrant, you know,
builds some really important stuff.
I think my view is that we're still in the infrastructure middleware.
build-out, and so I think it's more likely that the deep kind of crypto person has that.
What about, and so second, it's product. So how I think about product is, like, I'm a native
crypto person myself. Like, I was one of the early users of Coinbase. That's how I got involved.
And I spend a lot of time in Reddits and slacks and different forums, just, you know, paying attention
to new products being developed. So one takeaway from Coinbase, I would say, is that, you know,
you need a great team, but you also need fantastic.
product timing, right? There's a lot of great teams, and you really need both. And so I spend
time thinking about, like, what are the right products right now? Specifically, my experience
with investing is the risk is often being too early, right? As opposed to too late. Like, you know,
when you're deeply into a field, like, it's sometimes easy to go and kind of try to jump ahead
of where the reality is right now. And then third is community. In almost all cases, having a strong
community is important to being successful. And so I take a theory.
Ethereum is the best example where, like, Ethereum has, you know, great technology, but even more so, I would say Vitalik has done an incredible job kind of building a really healthy, vibrant developer community in kind of leading in a way that's inclusive and open and things like that.
I'd also say it's very technology focus.
So if you just look at like our Ethereum versus some of the other coins, it's focused on the technology and the applications, not on just the price.
And they made a concerted effort early to do that.
In the fact, they push price discussions over to ETH trader, which is very interesting with.
And the community could be what?
It could be GitHub, Twitter, Slack, groups, Reddit.
They tend to be on sort of multiple networks.
I often look even at a founder's Reddit activity.
So is this a founder that's kind of been deep in the community and is very engaged and things like that?
And then the fourth is token mechanics?
Yeah.
Does the token make sense?
and do you have conviction that, you know, it's a token that could have long-term value?
So that's one piece of it.
And then the second is, I mean, I think maybe this is a little bit of a different perspective than some,
but I actually think kind of the way that the token is priced and launched initially
is pretty important to the long-term success of the project.
So in token mechanics, it's one, do you think this token could have long-term value?
And two, is it being launched in a way that is perceived fair and that can attract a lot of people
from all over the world over time.
So the mistakes people make are sort of unfair, you know, investors granted deep discounts.
I've been hearing a lot more talk about things like airdrops or other kinds of token sale mechanics
that ensure broader distribution.
I feel like there's more and more thinking around that.
Yep.
And I hope that continues, right?
Like for air drops, I think Omisei Go is a good example of, you know, they gave everyone
that owns ether some ratio of their own token.
I'm hopeful that more teams will be thinking about when they create a token, not optimizing for like the short-term cash grab, but more optimizing for product usage.
And so thinking about how to create a token distribution where users do an action and get tokens.
There's been so much attention on ICOs that, by the way, you don't need an ICO.
Bitcoin never had an ICO.
Ethereum had a relatively speaking small one, 18 million.
Yep.
And I don't think that was a key part of the network success.
it's really kind of a secondary part of this.
It's really about building networks and communities.
Exactly.
Yep.
And I actually think if you focus too much on the ICO or the token sale, it can actually
really hurt your community.
And I think we've already seen that in a few cases.
One thing I'm surprised on your list is governance.
Do you think about that?
My view is that in the early days of like a project, governance is less important.
So I think governance once a project reaches a certain scale is very important.
but I don't view, like, traditional startup governance is that broken?
Something like Ethereum, which, from a decision-making perspective, is pretty centralized right now,
that's actually been a good thing for Ethereum, and it's allowed them to move fast and break things, right?
Once it gets to a certain level, I think, you know, they'll recognize that shifting governance is important,
but I think it's really hard to have, like, a really decentralized or empowering governance structure early on and really build something important.
There's some basic things like vesting as an example.
Like a bunch of projects had no vesting for the key team members.
And I think that then those people took their tokens and left,
which in startup world, like vesting is just a fundamental concept.
Okay.
So you're talking less about governance from a decision-making perspective from the protocol,
but more how the team that's building is governed.
Yes.
Well, I think all of the above.
Like it can be on-chain or off-chain governance, right?
So you can imagine both, and people have experimented with both.
But there can be governance in a sense of like,
how do you control the protocol? How do you upgrade the protocol? Do that on-chain or off-chain, right?
And to the sense, it's off-chain, like, that means the human layer. And those organizations,
how are they formed? Are they for-profits? Are they for-profits? Are they non-profits? Do they, you know,
do they have vesting? There's this whole thing, right? Yeah. Yeah. Like, is it run well?
Yeah. Certainly important. And on the governance of the teams, I think there's certainly been a best
kind of learning curve this year and in in the beginning of the year I think there was a lot of
abuse of ICOs and you know for founding teams getting liquidity right upon funding and things
like that and I think from that perspective there's been kind of big changes already and I think
there will continue to be great