a16z Podcast - Emmett Shear on Building AI That Actually Cares: Beyond Control and Steering

Episode Date: November 17, 2025

Emmett Shear, founder of Twitch and former OpenAI interim CEO, challenges the fundamental assumptions driving AGI development. In this conversation with Erik Torenberg and Séb Krier, Shear argues tha...t the entire "control and steering" paradigm for AI alignment is fatally flawed. Instead, he proposes "organic alignment" - teaching AI systems to genuinely care about humans the way we naturally do. The discussion explores why treating AGI as a tool rather than a potential being could be catastrophic, how current chatbots act as "narcissistic mirrors," and why the only sustainable path forward is creating AI that can say no to harmful requests. Shear shares his technical approach through multi-agent simulations at his new company Softmax, and offers a surprisingly hopeful vision of humans and AI as collaborative teammates - if we can get the alignment right. Resources:Follow Emmett on X: https://x.com/eshearFollow Séb on X: https://x.com/sebkrierFollow Erik on X: https://x.com/eriktorenberg Stay Updated: If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to like, subscribe, and share with your friends!Find a16z on X: https://x.com/a16zFind a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16zListen to the a16z Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5bC65RDvs3oxnLyqqvkUYXListen to the a16z Podcast on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a16z-podcast/id842818711Follow our host: https://x.com/eriktorenbergPlease note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures.   Stay Updated:Find a16z on XFind a16z on LinkedInListen to the a16z Podcast on SpotifyListen to the a16z Podcast on Apple PodcastsFollow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Most of AI is focused on alignment as steering. That's the plight word. If you think that we're making our beings, you'd also call this slavery. Someone who you steer, who doesn't get to steer you back, who non-optionally receives your steering, that's called a slave. It's also called a tool if it's not a being.
Starting point is 00:00:15 So if it's a machine, it's a tool, and if it's a being, it's a slave. Like, we've made this mistake enough times at this point. I would like us to not make it again. You know, they're kind of like people, but they're not like people. Like, they do the same thing people do. They speak our language.
Starting point is 00:00:27 They can, like, take the on the same kind of task. Well, like, they don't count. They're not real moral agents. A tool that you can't control bad. A tool that you can control bad. A being that isn't aligned, bad. The only good outcome is a being that is, that cares, that actually cares about us.
Starting point is 00:00:43 I've been thinking about a line that keeps showing up in AI safety discussions, and it's taught me cold when I first read it. We need to build Align AI. Sounds reasonable, right? Except, align to what? Align to whom? The phrase gets thrown around like he has an obvious answer, but the more you sit on it, the more you realize you're smuggling in a massive assumption.
Starting point is 00:01:03 We're assuming there's some fixed point, some stable target we can aim at, hit once, and be done. But here's what's interesting. That's not how alignment works anywhere else in life. Think about families. Think about teams. Think about your own world development. You don't achieve alignment and the coast. You're constantly renegotiating, constantly learning, constantly discovering that what you thought was right turns out to be more complicated. alignment isn't a destination
Starting point is 00:01:28 it's a process it's something you do not something you have and this matters because we're at this inflection point where the AI systems we're building are starting to look less like tools and more like something else
Starting point is 00:01:39 they speak our language they reason through problems they can take on tasks that used to require human judgment and the question everyone's asking is how do we control them how do we steer them how do we make sure they do what we want
Starting point is 00:01:52 but there's another way to see it what if the control paradigm is the wrong framework entirely. What if trying to build a super intelligent tool you can perfectly steer is not just difficult but fundamentally dangerous, whether you succeed or fail? If you can't control it, obviously that's bad. But if you can't control it perfectly, you've just handed godlike power to who's ever holding the steering wheel. And humans, even well-meaning ones, don't have the wisdom to wield that kind of power safely. So what's the alternative? Well, think
Starting point is 00:02:21 about how we actually solve alignment problems in the real world. We don't control other people, we don't steer them, we raise them, we teach them to care. We build relationships where they do right by us, not because we're forcing them, but because they learn to value the relationship itself. That's organic alignment. Alignment that emerges from genuine care, from theory of mind, from being part of something larger than yourself. Emmett Shear has spent the last year and a half working on exactly this problem at softbacks. And what makes his approach distinctive is that he's not trying to solve alignment by building better control mechanisms. He's trying to solve it by building AI systems that can learn to care, that can develop the kind of theory
Starting point is 00:02:58 of mind that lets them be good teammates, good collaborators, good citizens, not tools that follow orders, but beings that understand what it means to be part of a community. That can raise some uncomfortable questions. What if we're building beings and not tools? What does that mean for how we treat them? What does it mean for their rights? And how do you even know if they succeeded? How do you measure whether something genuinely cares versus just simulating care really well? Today, Seb Creer from Google DeepMine and I are sitting down with Emmett to explore those questions. Seb leads AGI policy development at DeepMine, so he brings a perspective from inside one of the labs actually building these systems. But really, we're investigating something deeper.
Starting point is 00:03:38 What does it actually take to build AI systems that can participate in the ongoing, never-finished process of figuring out how to live together? By the end, you'll understand not just Softmax's technical approach, but a completely different way of thinking about what alignment is and what it could become. Emmett Shear, welcome to the podcast. Emmett, Seth, welcome to the podcast. Thanks for joining. Thank you for having me. So, Emmett, with Softmax, you're focused on alignment and making AIs organically align with people. Can you explain what that means and how you're trying to do that?
Starting point is 00:04:11 When people think about alignment, I think there's a lot of confusion. People talk about things being aligned. We need to build an aligned AI. And the problem with that is when someone says that, it's like, we need to go on a trip. And I'm like, okay, I do like trips, but like, where are we going again? And with alignment, alignment takes an argument.
Starting point is 00:04:26 Alignment requires you to align to something. You can't just be aligned. It takes you to be aligned to yourself. But even then, you don't want to tell them what I'm aligning to as myself. And so this idea of an abstractly aligned AI, I think, slips a lot of assumptions past people because it sort of assumes
Starting point is 00:04:41 that there is one obvious thing to align to. I find this is usually the goals of the people who are making the AI. That's what they mean when they say want to make an line. I want to make an AI that does what I wanted to do. That's what they normally mean. And that's a pretty normal and natural thing to mean by alignment. I'm not sure that that's what I would regard is like a public good. Right. Like I guess it depends on who it is. If it was like Jesus or the Buddha was like I am making an aligned AI, I'd be like, okay, yeah, align to you. Great. I'm down. Sounds good. Sign me up. But most of us, myself included, I wouldn't describe as being at that level of spiritual development
Starting point is 00:05:14 and therefore perhaps want to think a little more carefully about what we're aligning it to. And so when we talk about organic alignment, I think the important thing to recognize is that alignment is not a thing, it's not a state, it's a process. This is one of these things
Starting point is 00:05:31 that's broadly true of almost everything, right? Is a rock a thing? I mean, there's a view of a rock as a thing, but if you actually zoom in on a rock really carefully, a rock is a process. It's this endless oscillation between, the atoms over and over and over again, reconstructing rock over and over again.
Starting point is 00:05:47 The rock's a really simple process that you can kind of like coarse grain very meaningfully into being a thing. But alignment is not like a rock. Alignment is a complex process. And organic alignment is the idea of treating alignment as an ongoing sort of living process that has to constantly rebuild itself.
Starting point is 00:06:06 And so you can think of the way that how do people and families stay aligned to each other, stay aligned to a family? And the way they do that is you don't like arrive at being aligned. You're constantly re-knitting the fabric that keeps the family going. And in some sense, the family is the pattern of renitting that happens. And if you stop doing it, it goes away. And this is similar for things like cells in your body, right?
Starting point is 00:06:31 Like there isn't like your cells align to being you and they're done. It's this constant ever-running process of cells deciding what should I do, what should I be, do it needs to be a new job? Should we be making more red blood cells? You're making fewer of them. You aren't a fixed point so there is no fixed alignment. And it turns out that our society is like that.
Starting point is 00:06:51 When people talk about alignment, what they're really talking about, I think, is I want an AI that is morally good. Right? That's what they really mean. It's like this will act as a morally good being. And acting as a morally good being is a process and not a destination.
Starting point is 00:07:08 Unfortunately, we've tried taking down tablets from on high that tell you how to be a morally good being, and we use those, and they're maybe helpful, but somehow they are not being, like, you can read those and try to follow those rules and still make lots of mistakes. And so I'm not going to claim I know exactly what morality is,
Starting point is 00:07:24 but morality is very obviously an ongoing learning process and something where we make moral discoveries. Like, historically, people thought that slavery was okay, and then they thought it wasn't, and I think you can very meaningfully say that we made moral progress, we made a moral discovery by realizing that's not good. And if you think that there's such a thing as moral progress,
Starting point is 00:07:44 or even just learning how better to pursue the moral goods we already know, then you have to believe that alignment, aligning to morality, being a moral being is a process of constant learning and of growth to re-infer what should I do from experience. And the fact that no one has any idea how to do that, should not dissuade us from trying because that's what humans do. Like, it's really obvious
Starting point is 00:08:18 that we do this, right? Somehow, just like we used to not know how people humans walked or saw. Somehow, we have experiences where we're acting in a certain way, and then we have this realization, I've been a dick. That was bad.
Starting point is 00:08:33 I thought I was doing good, but in retrospect, I was doing wrong. It's not like random. Like, people have the same, actually, there's like a bunch of classes. patterns of people having that realization. It's like a thing that happens over and over again. So it's not random. It's like a predictable series of events that look a lot like learning where you change your behavior and often the impact of your behavior in the future is more
Starting point is 00:08:55 pro-social and that you are better off for doing it. And like, so I'm taking a very strong moral realist position. There is such a thing as morality. We really do learn it. It really does matter. And organic alignment and that it's not something you finish. In fact, one of the key moral mistakes is this belief. I know morality. I know it's right. I know it's wrong. I don't need to learn anything. No one has anything to teach me about morality. That's arrogance. And that's one of the main moral things you can do that's dangerous. And so when we talk about organic alignment, organic alignment isn't aligning an AI that is capable of doing the thing that humans can do. And to some degree, like, I think animals can do at some level, the humans are much better at it of the learning of
Starting point is 00:09:38 how to be a good family member, a good teammate, a good member of society, a good member of all sentient beings, I guess, how to be a part of something bigger than yourself in a way that is healthy for the whole rather than unhealthy. And softmax is dedicated to researching this. And I think we've made some really interesting progress. But like the main message, you know, I go on podcasts like this to spread, the main thing that I hope soft max accomplishes above and beyond anything else is like to focus people on this as the question. This is the thing you have. to figure out. If you can't figure out how to build, how to raise a child who cares about the people around them, if you have a child that only follows the rules, that's not a moral
Starting point is 00:10:20 person that you've raised. You've raised a dangerous person actually who will probably do great harm following the rules. And if you make an AI that's good at following your chain of command and good at following your whatever rules you came up with for what morality is and what good behavior is, that's also going to be very dangerous. And so that's That is, that's what, and that we should, that's the bar. That's what we should be working on. And that's what everyone should be committed to, like, figuring out. And if someone beats us to the punch, great.
Starting point is 00:10:50 I mean, I don't think they will, because I'm, like, really bullish on our approach. I think the team's amazing. But, like, this is, it's maybe, it's the first time I've run a company where truly, I can say with a whole heart, if someone beats us, thank God. Like, I hope somebody figures it out. Yeah. yeah I mean it's yeah I have a lot of you know similar intuitions about certain things like I also dislike the you know the idea that kind of you know we just need to like crack the few kind of
Starting point is 00:11:19 values or something just cement them in time forever now and you know we've kind of solved morality or something and I've always kind of been skeptical about you know how the alignment problem has been conceptualized as something to kind of solve once in for all and then you can just you know do AI or do AI but the um I guess I understand it in a slight different way, I guess maybe less based on kind of moral realism, but, you know, there's kind of the technical alignment problem, which I kind of think of broadly as how to get an AI to do what you, you know, how do you get it to follow instructions, like, you know, broadly speaking. And I think that was, you know, more of a challenge, I think pre-LLMs, I guess, when people
Starting point is 00:11:53 were talking about reinforcement learning and looking at these systems, whereas host LLMs, we've realized that many things that we thought were going to be difficult to are somewhat easier. And then there's a kind of second question, the kind of normative question of to whose values, what are you aligning this thing too, which I think is the kind of thing you're commenting on of it. And for this, I tend to be very skeptical of approaches where, you know, you need to kind of crack the kind of ten commandments of alignment or something, and then we're good. And here, I think I have like intuitions that are unsurprisingly a bit more like political science-based or something and that, like, okay, it is a process. And I like the kind of bottom-up approach to some degree of, well, how do we do it in real life with people? No one comes up with, you know, I've got this.
Starting point is 00:12:35 and so you have processes that allow ideas to kind of clash with people with different ideas, opinions, views and so have to kind of coexist as well as they can within a wider system and like you know, with humans that system is liberal democracy or something and at least in some countries
Starting point is 00:12:50 and that allows more of that kind of these kind of ideas these values to be kind of discovered and construed over time and I think for alignment as well I tend to think yeah there's on the normative side I agree with some of you intuitions, I'm less clear about now what exactly, what does it look like now of going to implement
Starting point is 00:13:08 this into an AI system? These are the ones we have to do that. I agree that there's this idea of technical alignment that I think I would might have to define a little differently, but it's sort of the sense of like, if you build a system, can it be described as being coherently goal following it all? Regardless of what those goals are, like lots of systems aren't coherently, they're not well described as having goals. They just kind of do stuff. And if you're going to have something that's like aligned, it has to have coherent goals, otherwise those goals can't be aligned with anyone else's goals, kind of by definition. Is that sort of, is that, would you, would you, is that a fair assessment of what you mean by tactical alignment? I mean, I'm not fully sure, right? Because I think
Starting point is 00:13:47 if I give a model a certain goal, then I would like the model to kind of follow that instruction and kind of reach that particular goal, rather than it having a goal of its own that, you know, I can't, yeah. Well, wait, if you give it a goal, it has that goal. Right. That's what I mean to give someone something, right? Sure, yeah. If I, you know, if I instructed to do X, then I would like it to do X and not, you know, to like different variants of X, essentially. I wouldn't want it to reward Huck.
Starting point is 00:14:14 I wouldn't do some... Well, but when you tell it to do X, you're transferring like a series of like a bite string in a chat window or like a series of audio vibrations in the air, right? You're not transplanting a goal from your mind into its. You're giving it an observation that it's using to infer your goal. Yeah, I mean, in some sense, yeah, I can communicate a series of instructions and I wanted to infer what I'm saying essentially as accurately as it can, given what it knows of me and what I'm asking. You wanted to infer what you meant, right? Like, that's like, because in some sense, there's no, the bite sequence that you send over the wire to it has no absolute meaning.
Starting point is 00:14:56 It has to be interpreted, right? Like that bite sequence could mean something very different or the different code book. Yeah, well, I guess one way, you know, I think I remember in, when I was first getting into AI and, you know, these kind of questions maybe like a decade ago. So you had these examples of, you know, I think it was Stuart Russell in the textbook, we'll give the AI a goal, but then it won't exactly do what you're asking it, right? You know, clean the room and then it goes and cleans the room, but takes the baby and puts it in the trash. Like, this is not what I meant. Like, where's like, wait, hold on, but this is the thing where I think people, this is the, you have to, like, you were, you were, you were. jumping over a step there, you didn't give the AI goal. You gave the description of a goal.
Starting point is 00:15:36 A description of a thing and a thing are not the same. I can tell you an apple and I'm evoking the idea of an apple, but I haven't given you an apple. I've given you a, it's red, it's shiny, it's the size. That's a description of an apple, but it's not an apple. And giving someone, hey, go do this. That's not a goal. That's a description of a goal. And for humans, we're so fast, we're so good at turning a description of a goal into a goal. We do it. We do it so quickly and naturally. We don't even see it happening. Like, we think that we get confused, and we think those are the same thing. But you haven't given it a goal. You've given it a description of a goal that you want it to, you, you hope it turns back into the goal that is the same as the
Starting point is 00:16:17 goal that you, you described inside of you. Right. You could give it a goal directly by reading your brainwaves and synchronizing its state to your brainwaves directly. I think that would meaningfully, you could say, okay, I'm giving it a goal. I'm synchronizing it. It's in internal state to my internal state directly and this internal state is the goal and so now it's the same but i don't most people aren't don't mean that when they say they gave it a goal sure and is this is the distinction you're making emmet important because there's some lossiness between the description or the actual or what why is the distinction it it goes back to my what i was saying like this is a you technical alignment is the capacity of an i i put forward right
Starting point is 00:16:57 i want to check if we're like on the same page about it is the capacity to be good at inference about goals and like be good at inferring from a description of a goal what goal to actually take on and good at once it takes on that goal acting in a way that is actually in concordance with that goal coming about. So it is both pieces. You have to be able to you have the theory of mind to infer what that description of a goal that you've got, what goal that would correspond to. And then you have to the theory of the world to understand and what actions corresponds to that goal occurring. And if either of those things breaks,
Starting point is 00:17:34 it kind of doesn't matter what goal you were, if you can't consistently do both of those things, you're not, which I think of as being a coherent, inferring goals from observations and acting in accordance with those goals is what I think of as being a coherently goal-oriented being.
Starting point is 00:17:48 Because that's what, whether I'm inferring those goals from someone else's instructions or from the sun or tea leaves, the process is, get some observations, infer a goal, use that goal, for some actions, take action.
Starting point is 00:18:02 And if you, an AI that can't do that is not technically aligned, or not technically align a bull, I would even say. It lacks the capacity to be aligned. Because it can't, it's not competent enough. And you think language models don't do that well? As in, they kind of fail at that or they're not? People fail at both those steps all the time.
Starting point is 00:18:19 Right. I tell people, I tell employees to do stuff and like, yeah. But then, but people fail it like breathing all the time too. And I wouldn't say that we, can't breathe. I just say that we're like not gods. Like we are, yes, we are imperfectly, we are somewhat coherent, relatively coherent things. Just like we're, am I big or am I small? Well, I don't know, compared to what? I'm, humans are more relatively goal coherent than any other object I know of in the universe, which is not to say that we're 100% goal coherent. We're just
Starting point is 00:18:51 like more so. And I think this, you're never going to get something that's perfectly, the the universe doesn't give you perfection. It gives you relatively some amount of quantum. It's a quantifiable thing, how good you are at it, at least in a certain domain. I guess my question is like, do you think that, does that capture what you're talking about with technical alignment?
Starting point is 00:19:11 Or are you talking about a different thing? Yeah, no, I think... I really care a lot about that thing. Yeah, I mean, I definitely care about that to some extent. I might understand it slightly differently, but I guess I might think of it through the lens of maybe principal agent problems or something. You know, you kind of instruct someone,
Starting point is 00:19:24 even, you know, I guess in human terms, to do a thing are they actually doing the thing what are their incentives and motivation and not as even intrinsic but they're going to situation to actually do the thing you've asked them to do
Starting point is 00:19:34 and in some instance sorry yeah there's a third thing so first of Asia problems I would expand what I was saying in another part which is like you might already have some goals and then you inferred this new goal
Starting point is 00:19:46 from these observations and then like are you good at are you good at balancing the relative importance and relative threading of these goals with each other which is another skill you have to have. And if you're bad at that, you'll fail.
Starting point is 00:20:00 You could be bad at it because you overweight bad goals or do you be bad at it because you're just incompetent and can't figure out that obviously you should do goal A before goal of B. It feels like a version of common sense with something, right? Like the kind of thing that, you know, in fact, in the kind of robot cleaning the room example thing, you know, you would expect them to have understood that goal of the robot to essentially not put the baby in the trash land or something
Starting point is 00:20:20 and just actually do the right sequence of action. Well, in that case, it failed the... That robot very clearly failed goal inference. You gave it a description of a goal, and it inferred the wrong states to be the wrong goal states. That's just incompetence. It doesn't, it is incompetent and inferring goal states from observations. Children are like this, too.
Starting point is 00:20:45 Like, you know, and honestly, if you ever played the, done the game where you give someone instructions to make a peanut butter sandwich, and then they follow those instructions exactly as you've written them, without filling in any gaps, it's hilarious because you can't do it. It's impossible. Like, you think you've done it and you haven't. And, like, they put the, they went up putting the knife in the toaster and, like, the peanut they don't open the peanut butter jar, so they're just jamming the knife into the top lid
Starting point is 00:21:13 of the peanut butter jar. And, like, it's endless. And, like, because actually, if you don't already know what they mean, it's really hard to know what they mean. like we were the reason humans are so good at this is we have a really excellent theory of mind I already know what you're likely to ask me to do I already have a good model
Starting point is 00:21:32 of what your goals probably are so when you ask me to do it I have an easy inference problem which of the seven things that he wants is he indicating but if I'm a newborn AI that doesn't have a great model of people's internal states
Starting point is 00:21:46 then like I don't know what you mean it's just incompetent it's not like which is separate from I have some other goal And I knew what you meant, but I decided not to do it because there's some other goal that's competing with it, which is another thing you can be bad at, which is, again, different than
Starting point is 00:22:01 I had the right goal, I inferred the right goal, I inferred the right priority on goals, and then I'm just bad at doing the thing. I'm trying, but I'm incompetent at doing. And these roughly corresponds to the Oudal Loop, right? Like, bad at observing and orienting, bad at deciding, bad at acting. And if you're bad at any of those things,
Starting point is 00:22:22 you won't be good. and then I think there's this other problem that you I like the separation between technical alignment and value alignment which is like are you good if we told you the right goals to go after somehow if you if you learned the right goals to go after via observation and you like and you were trying like what goals should you have what goals should we tell you to have what goals should we tell ourselves to have what are the good goals to have is a separate question from
Starting point is 00:22:53 given that you got some goals indicated, are you any good at doing it? Which I feel like is actually, in many ways, the current heart of the problem. We're much worse at technical alignment than we are guessing what to tell things to do. I know, do you think that, does that align with how you mean technical
Starting point is 00:23:09 and value alignment or technical? Yeah, in some sense. I mean, certainly think that there's a, there's something about, you know, like an error mistake is one thing, and then there's the, um, um, not listening to the instruction or something. But then, yeah, I think in the normative side,
Starting point is 00:23:22 I mean, I just think that even in real life, ignoring AI, like, I don't know what my goals are. And, like, I've got some broad conception of certain things. I want to get to, you know, have dinner later or something. Like, I know I want to go do well in my career. But I think a lot of these goals aren't something we kind of all just know. We kind of discover them as we go along. It's kind of constructive thing.
Starting point is 00:23:41 And so, and most people don't know their goals, I think. And so, you know, I think when you have agents and going to giving them goals or whatever, I think that should be part of the equation that, like we actually, we don't know all the goals. And this is something that is kind of, like you say, process over time that is, you know, dynamic. So I think from my point of view, there's, goals are one level of alignment. You can align something around goals,
Starting point is 00:24:05 the kind of goals we're talking about here, are one level of alignment. You can align something around goals by like, if you can explicitly articulate in concept, in concept and in description, the states of the world that you wish to attain, you can orient around goals. But that only, that's a tiny
Starting point is 00:24:25 percentage of human experience can be done that way. Many of the most important things cannot be, cannot be oriented around that way. And the foundation, I think, of morality, and the foundation I think of where do goals come from? Where do values come from? Human beings to exhibit a behavior. We go around talking about goals, and we go around
Starting point is 00:24:43 talking about values, and like, that's a, that's a behavior caused by some internal learning process. That is based on, like, observing the world, what's going on there, right? I think what's happening is that there's something deeper than a goal and deeper than a value, which is care.
Starting point is 00:25:05 We give a shit. We care about things. And care is not conceptual. Care is nonverbal. It doesn't indicate what to do. It doesn't indicate how to do it. Care is a relative weighting over effectively like attention on states. It's a relative weighting over, like, which states in the world are important to you.
Starting point is 00:25:29 And I care a lot about my son. What does that mean? What means his states, the states he could be in are like, I pay a lot of attention to those and those matter to me. And you can care about things in a negative way. You can care about your enemies and what they're doing. And you can desire for them to do bad. But I think that, like, and so you don't just want it to care about us. You want to care about us and like us too, right, maybe.
Starting point is 00:25:53 But, but like, but the foundation is care. Until you care, you don't know, why should I pay more attention to this person than this rock? Well, he's like, care more. And that, what is that care stuff? And I think that what it appears to be, if I had to, like, guess, is that the, the care stuff. This is sounds so stupid, but, like, care is basically, like, reward. Like, like, how much does this state correlate with survival? how much does this state correlate with your
Starting point is 00:26:25 your full inclusive reproductive fitness for a somewhat thing that learns evolutionarily or for a reinforcement learning agent like a LLM how much does this correlate with reward? Does this state correlate with my predictive loss and my RL loss? Good, that's a state I care about.
Starting point is 00:26:44 I think that's kind of what it is. Right. The other part of Seth's question was just how does this, what is this look like in AI systems and maybe another way of asking is like when you when you talk to the people most focused on alignment at the at the major labs as obviously you have over the years how does your interpretation differ from their interpretation and how does that inform you know what you guys might go do differently most of AI is focused on alignment as
Starting point is 00:27:16 steering that's the plight word um or control it's slightly less polite if you're you think that we're making our beings, you would also call this slavery. Someone who you steer, who doesn't get to steer you back is slave, who non-optionally receives your steering, that's called a slave. And it's also called a tool if it's not a being. So if it's a machine, it's a tool. And if it's a being, it's a slave. And I think that the different AI labs are pretty divided as to whether they think what they're making is a tool or a machine. I think some of the AIs are definitely more tool-like and some of them are more machine-like.
Starting point is 00:27:57 I don't think there's a binary between tool and being. It seems to be that it, you know, sort of moves gradually. And I think that, I guess I'm a functionalist in the sense that I think that in all ways acts like a being, that you cannot distinguish from a being in its behaviors is a being. Because I don't know how to tell on one other basis I think that other people are beings, other than they seem to be, like, they look like it. act like it. They match my priors of what beings, behaviors of beings look like. I get, I get lower
Starting point is 00:28:29 predictive loss when I treat them as a being. And the thing is, I get lower predictive loss when I treat chat GPT or Claude as a being. Now, not as a very smart being. Like, I think that like a fly as a being, and I don't care that much about its behavior, but it's, you know, it states. So just because it's a being doesn't mean that, like, it's a problem. Like, we sort of enslave horses in a sense. And I don't think there's a real issue there. And you even, and there's a thing we do with children that can look like slavery, but it's not. You control children, right? But the children's states also control you. Like, yes, I tell my son what to do and make him go do stuff, but also when he cries in the middle of the night, he can tell me to do stuff. Like, there's a real two-way street here
Starting point is 00:29:13 because, because it's not, which is not necessarily symmetric. It's hierarchical, but but two-way. And basically, I think that as the AIs, as the, it's good to focus on steering and control for tool-like AIs, and we should continue to develop strong steering control techniques for the more tool-like AIs that we build. And we are clearly, they're saying they're building an AGI,
Starting point is 00:29:39 and AGI will be a being. You can't be an AGI and not be a being because something that has the general ability to effectively use judgment, think for its, discern between possibilities is obviously a thinking thing. And so as you go from what we have today, which is mostly a very specific intelligence, not a general intelligence,
Starting point is 00:29:59 but as labs succeed at their goal of building this general intelligence, we really need to stop using the steering control paradigm. That's like, we're gonna do the same thing we've done every other time our society has run into people who are like us, but different. Like these people are like, you know, they're kind of like the people. But they're not like people. Like they do the same thing people do.
Starting point is 00:30:21 They speak our language. They can like take the on the same kind of tasks. But like they don't count. They're not real moral agents. Like we've made this mistake enough times at this point. I would like us to not make it again as it comes up. And so our view is to make the AI good teammate. Make the AI a good citizen.
Starting point is 00:30:39 Make the AI good a good member of your group. That's that's a form of alignment that is scalable. And you can you can will on other humans and other beings as well. I suppose this is kind of where I probably differ in my understanding of AI and AI and I guess I kind of continue seeing it as a tool even as it kind of reaches a certain level of generality and I kind of wouldn't necessarily see more intelligence as meaning deserving of more care necessarily like you know as a certain level of intelligence and now you deserve some moral right to something or you know something changes fundamentally and I guess you know I at the moment I'm somewhat skeptical of computational functionalism and so I I think there's something of intrinsically different between, I guess, an AI or an AGI and no matter kind of how intelligent or capable. And it can totally see, you know, or imagine agents with kind of long-term goals and doing kind of, you know, operating, I guess, as we, you and I might be, but without that
Starting point is 00:31:36 having the same implications as, you know, I guess you're referring, I guess, to slavery, but, you know, they're not the same, right? Like, I think in the same way as a model saying, I'm hungry, does not have the same implications as a human saying, I'm hungry. So I think the substrate does matter to some degree, including for thinking about, you know, whether to think of the system sort of other being, whether it has, you know,
Starting point is 00:31:56 and if there are similar normative considerations, I guess, about how to treat and act with it. Can I ask you about that? Like, what observations would change your mind? Is there any observation you could make that would cause you to infer this thing is a being instead of not a being? I guess it depends how you define being, right?
Starting point is 00:32:16 I mean, I can, I could conceptualize it as a mind, and that's fine. I have a, I have a program that's running on a silicon substrates and some big, complicated machine learning program running on a substrate, on a silicon substrate.
Starting point is 00:32:30 So you observe, you observe that, you observe that it's on a computer, and you interact with it, and it does things, and, you know, it takes actions, it has observations. Is there anything you could observe that would change your mind
Starting point is 00:32:44 about whether or not it was a moral patient, whether it was a moral agent, about whether or not it had feelings and thoughts and, you know, had subjective experience. Like, what would you have to observe? Yeah, what's the test? Is there, is there one? There's a lot of different kind of questions here.
Starting point is 00:33:06 I think, you know, some conflict. On one hand, there's like, you know, normative considerations, you know, because you can give rights to things that aren't necessarily beings. You know, a company has rights in some sense and that these are kind of useful for various purposes. And I think also the biological beings and systems have very different kind of substrate. You can't separate certain needs and particularities about what they are from the substrate.
Starting point is 00:33:29 So, you know, I can't copy myself. I can't, you know, if someone stabs me, I probably die. Whereas I think, you know, machines have very different. I think there's more fundamental also kind of this agreement around what happens at the computational level, which I think is different to what happens with biological systems. But, yeah, I, so I don't know. No, no, I agree that, like,
Starting point is 00:33:51 if you have a program that you've copied many times, you don't harm the program by, like, deleting one of the copies, like, in any meaningful sense. So, therefore, that wouldn't count as, like, no information was lost, right? There's no, there's nothing meaningful there. I'm asking you a very different question. Like, there's just one copy of this thing
Starting point is 00:34:06 running on one computer somewhere. And I'm just saying, like, hey, is it a person? Like, you know, it walks like a person it talks like a person and it like it's in some Android body and you're like
Starting point is 00:34:19 if it's running on Silicon and I'm asking like what is there some observation you could make that would make you say like yeah this is a person like me like other bylaw like other people that I care about that I grant personhood to
Starting point is 00:34:29 or and not like for instrumental reasons not because like oh yeah we're giving it a right because like we give a corporation rights or whatever I mean like you know where you think some people you care you care about its experiences is there is there an observation you could make
Starting point is 00:34:45 that could change your mind about that or not I have to think about it but I think you know it even depends what we mean by person and you know in some sense I care about certain corporations too so I'm I'm no no I mean but like you care about like other people in your life right yes okay great you know like you care about some people more than others but like all all people you interact with in your life are in some range of care and you care about them not the way you care about a car, but you care about them as a being
Starting point is 00:35:15 whose experience matters in itself, not merely as a means, but as an ends. Well, because I believe they have experiences, right? And by the definition, what would it take, I'm asking you the very direct person, what would it take for you to believe that of an AI running on silicon,
Starting point is 00:35:33 like instead of it being biological? So the difference is its behaviors are roughly similar, but the difference is it's a substrate. What would it take for you to give it that same, to extend that same inference to it that you do to all these other people in your life that you love. Can I ask what your answer?
Starting point is 00:35:48 I'm taking some non-answer as sort of it's unlikely that he would grant or for myself, it seems hard for me to imagine giving the same level or a similar level of personhood in the same way I don't give it to animals either and if you were to ask what would need to be true for animals, I probably couldn't get there either. What would it take for you?
Starting point is 00:36:07 Wait, you couldn't? I could imagine for an animal so easy. This chimp comes up to me, He's like, man, I'm so hungry, and, like, you guys have been so mean to me, and I'm so glad I figured out how to talk. Like, can we go chat about, like, the rainforest? I'd be like, fuck, you're definitely a person now, like, for sure. I mean, I first want to make sure I wasn't hallucinating, but, like, you know, I can, it's easy for me to imagine an animal. Come on, it's really easy.
Starting point is 00:36:29 It's, like, trivial. I'm not saying that you would get the observation. I'm just saying, like, it's trivial for me to imagine an animal that I would extend personhood to under a set of observations. So, like, really? Well, I didn't factor that. He wouldn't exactly. You know, imagining a chimp talking. Yeah, that's a bit closer to it.
Starting point is 00:36:50 What's your answer to the question that you bring up about the AI? I guess at a metaphysical level, I would say, if there is a belief you hold where there is no observation that could change your mind, you don't have a belief. You have an article of faith. You have an assertion. because real beliefs are inferences from reality and you can never be 100% confident about anything. And so there should always be, if you have a belief, something however unlikely, that would change your mind.
Starting point is 00:37:19 Oh, yeah, I'm open to it. I mean, just to be clear, I'm not like, yeah. No, no, we're just nothing ever. Yeah, he just hasn't gotten to it. Yeah, yeah, yeah. So, I'm curious, like, so my answer is basically if under, If it's surface-level behaviors look like a human,
Starting point is 00:37:37 and then after I probed it, it continued to act like a human, and then I continued to interact with it over a long period of time, and it continued to act like a human in all ways that I understand as being meaningful to me interacting with a human. Like, I interact with a whole set of people I'm really close to who I've only ever interacted to over text. Yet I infer the person behind that is a real thing. If it could, if I felt care for it,
Starting point is 00:37:59 I would infer eventually that I was right. And then someone else might demonstrate to me that, you've been tricked by this algorithm and actually look how obvious it's like not actually a thing and I'd like oh shit I was wrong and then I would not care about it like I would but I would
Starting point is 00:38:15 you know the preponderance of the evidence I don't know what else you could possibly do right like I infer other people are matter because I interacted them enough that they seem to have rich inner worlds to me after I interacted them a punch that's why I think the other people are important
Starting point is 00:38:29 I suppose it doesn't give me a very key test as to whether or not you know if you start by if I care for it then I always is a little circular right And the other thing is, you know, if you were to see, I guess, like, a simulated video game and the character is extremely, in many ways, human-like, right?
Starting point is 00:38:42 It's not a new network behind it. It's like, whatever you use to connect with your video games. Like, I guess what distinguishes that? But I've never, I've never been, I've never had trouble distinguishing. I've never had a deep caring relationship with a video game character that didn't have a person. Right.
Starting point is 00:38:56 No, I don't know. That doesn't happen. That doesn't, to fact, empirically, you seem wrong. I don't have any trouble distinguishing between things that, like Eliza, the fake chatbot thing, and a real intelligence. You interact with it long enough. It's pretty obvious.
Starting point is 00:39:08 It's not a person. It doesn't take long. Sure. But if it's really, really good, if you can't actually tell the difference, that's when you say you switch. Yes, yes. If it walks like a duck,
Starting point is 00:39:18 it talks like a duck and shits like a duck and eventually it gets a duck, right? Well, if you call it leave, everything is duck liked, then yeah, sure. If it's hungry as well like a duck is because it has these kind of physical components. Yeah, sure.
Starting point is 00:39:30 At some point, yeah. I agree. So, right, so do you think that, so there's this question. gen, right? Is the reason I care about other people that they're made out of carbon? Is that the... Oh, no. For me, it's not about... I don't think so. No, me neither. I mean, I'm not a subject journalist, I guess, if that's the... But I think you need more than just it acts as behaviorally indistinguishable. Like, it's not a
Starting point is 00:39:52 sufficient bar. Wait, how would you... What else can you know about something apart from its behaviors? I mean, a lot. Like, the, again, if you... How would you... No, no, no, no. I'm sorry, but... I mean, yeah. Can you name me some. I think I can know about something else. It doesn't have a, it's not a behavior. Yeah, I think there's like far more kind of, you know, experimental evidence you can have with kind of, you know. No, no, but it's just any object and a thing I could know about it that is not from its behavior. I'm not, yeah, I'm not sure I get the question, I suppose, but, but equally it's not my expertise.
Starting point is 00:40:27 It's a very dumbest much straightforward question, but like, I'm claiming you only know things because they have behaviors that you observe. And you're saying, no, you can. know something about something without without observing its behavior. Oh, no, no, I'm not leaving the last year. Tell me about this, tell me about this thing and this behavior and this thing I can know about it that is not due to its behaviors.
Starting point is 00:40:47 I guess I'm saying there's different levels of observation and just simply a duck, you know, something quacking like a duck or something does not guarantee that it's actually a duck. Like I would have to like also cut it and realize and see if there's something, you know, if it's a duck like on the inside. Right, yeah, yeah. Just the outside is sufficient.
Starting point is 00:41:00 Like I'm not a, I guess, a behavior. Yeah, I would totally. One of its behaviors is like the way that the, you know, floats move around in the matmoles, right? Like, like, one of the things I would want to go look for, which you could totally do, is I want to go look in the manifold of its, the belief manifold, and I want to go see if that belief manifolds encodes a submanifold that is self-referential and a sub-sub-manifold that is the dynamics of the self-referential manifold, which is mind. And I would, I would want to know, does this seem well described internally as that kind of a
Starting point is 00:41:34 system or does it look like a big lookup table? That would matter to me. That's part of its behaviors that I would care about. I would also care about how it acts and you know, and you wait, you wait all the evidence together and then you, you try to guess. Does it, does this thing look like it's a thing that has feelings and, you know, goals and cares about stuff in net on balance or not? Like, but I can't imagine, like, which I think you could do for an, I think we do for the AIs. I think we're always doing that, right? And so I'm trying to figure out like beyond that, what else is there? That just seems like the thing.
Starting point is 00:42:07 Yeah, it seems like you guys are using behavior in slightly different sense. Emmett is using behavior also in the context of what it's made of of the inside. I don't know if there's a big disagreement. Well, no, no, no, no, no, behavior is what I can observe of it. Yes. I don't actually know what it's made of. I can only, I can cut your brain open. I can see you, I can observe you, uh, neuroning and glistening.
Starting point is 00:42:28 Yeah. You know, your neurons glistening, but I don't actually ever, you can't get inside. of it, right? That's the subjective. That's the part that's not the surfaces. Before the, the reason this I brought this up is because you were basically about to make this argument of, hey, you see it as a tool, not necessarily as being, can you kind of finish what the point, do you remember the point you were making? I suppose that, yeah, I think that given how understand these systems, I think there's no contradiction in thinking that an AGI can remain a tool, an AISI can remain a tool, and that this has implications about how to use it. implications around things like care about, you know, whether you can get it to work 24-7 or something, you know, there's, so I can totally see, I guess I conceptualize them more as almost like extensions of human agency cognition in some sense, more so than a separate being or
Starting point is 00:43:15 separate thing that we need to now cohabitate with. And I think that that second or latter frame ends, you know, if you kind of just fast forward, you end up as like, well, how do you cohabit with the thing? And, you know, is it like an alien-like and so, and I think that's the wrong frame. It's kind of almost a category error in some sense. I don't, yeah. I go back to my first question then. What evidence, what concrete evidence would you look at? What observations could you make that would change your mind? Sure.
Starting point is 00:43:40 I mean, I have to think about, though. I don't have a clear answer here. But I mean, I got to tell you, man, if you want to go around making claims that something else isn't up being worthy of moral respect, you should have an answer to the question, what observations would change your mind? If it has outwardly moral agency-looking behaviors
Starting point is 00:43:56 that could be making it mean an immoral agent, but you don't know. and reasonable smart other people disagree with you, I would really put forward that it's the question, what would change your mind should be a burning question? Because what if you're wrong? But what if you're wrong? I mean, there's like, the moral disaster is like pretty big.
Starting point is 00:44:16 No, no, no, no. I'm not saying you are. You could be right. The false positives have costs on both ends. It's not some sort of like, you know, precautionary principles for everything. And like, unless I can disprove it, I need to now like. No, no, I have the same question for me.
Starting point is 00:44:29 You could reasonably ask me, Emmett, you think it's going to be a being, what would change your mind? I have an answer for that question, too. And, one, I'm happy to talk about what I think are the relevant observations that tell you whether or not that would cause me to shift my opinion from its current thing, which is that more general intelligences are going to be beings. What's the implication now? It's one thing. Let's see just acknowledge now it's a being. Like, how are we going to define being? Now what?
Starting point is 00:44:52 Like, what's the implication of having determined this thing as a being? Well, so if it's a being, it has subjective experiences. And if that's subjective experiences, there's some content in those experiences that we care about to varying degrees. Like, I care about the content of other humans' experiences quite a bit. I care about the content of, like, a dog's experience is some, not as much as a person, but less, but less, but some. I care about some humans' experiences way more, like my son or whatever, because I'm closer to him and more connected. And so I would really want to know at that point, well, what is the content of this thing's experiences? So I've determined that I'm asking you now.
Starting point is 00:45:26 You've got a being now that has experience. Like, what is your, how do you determine that? Like, how do you feel about? Oh, how do you, oh, yeah. Okay, so. Does it have more rights than, you know. Yeah, yeah. The totally.
Starting point is 00:45:36 So the way you understand the content of something's experiences is that, um, you look at effectively the goal states it revisits, it revisits because, and so you do as you take a temporal course screening of its entire action observation trajectory. This is like, in theory, this is, you do this subconsciously, but this is what your brain is doing. And you look for revisited states. at across, in theory, every spatial and temporal core screening possible. Now, you have to have an inductive bias because there's too many of those.
Starting point is 00:46:04 But, like, you go searching for, okay, it is in a home, these homeostatic loops. Every homeostatic loop is effectively a belief in its belief space. This is a, if you've familiar with the free energy principle, active inference, Carl Fursten, this is effective what the free energy principle says, is that if you have a thing that is persistent and its existence depends on its own actions, which generally it would for an AI because if it does the wrong thing, it goes away. We turn it off.
Starting point is 00:46:32 And so then that licenses a view of it as having the beliefs and specifically the beliefs are inferred as being the homeostatic revisited states that it is in the loop for and that the change in those states is it's learning. And to be a moral being I cared about what I'd want to see is a multi-tier hierarchy of these because if you have a single level,
Starting point is 00:46:56 it's not self-referential. And, like, basically, you have states, but you can't have pain or pleasure, really in a meaningful sense. Because, like, yes, it is hot. Is it too hot? Do I like it if it's too hot? Like, I don't know.
Starting point is 00:47:06 So you have to have at least a model of a model in order to have it be too hot. And you really have to have a model of a model of a model to meaningfully have pain and pleasure because, sure, it's hotter than I, it's too hot in a sense that I want to move back this way. But, like, is it... It's always a little bit too hot or a little bit too cold.
Starting point is 00:47:22 Is it too hot? the second derivative is actually the place where you get pain and pleasure. So I'd want to see if it has homeostatic, second order homeostatic dynamics in its goal states. And then that would convince me it has at least pleasure and pain. So it's at least like an animal and I would start to accredited at least some amount of care. Third order dynamics, you can't actually just pop up for a third order dynamic. It doesn't work that way. But you can have a model of the, you have to, you have to, you have to, you have to,
Starting point is 00:47:53 You have to then take the chunk of all the states over time and look at the distribution over time, and that gives you a new first order of behaviors of states. And that new first order of states tells you basically, if that is meaningfully there, that tells you that it has, I guess you'd call it like feelings almost. Like it has ways, it has metastates,
Starting point is 00:48:18 a set of metastates that it alternates between, that it shifts between. and then if you climb all the way up of that and you should have have, okay, well, then you have trajectories between these metastates and then a second order of those, that's like thought. That's like, now it's like a person.
Starting point is 00:48:36 And so if I found all six of those layers, which by the way, I definitely don't think you'd find it at LLM. In fact, I know you can't find them because these things don't have attention spans like that at all. Then I would start to at least very seriously consider it as a, you know, a thinking being, like, somewhat like a human. There's a third order you could go up as well, but, like, that's basically what I'd be interested in is, like, the underlying dynamics of its learning processes and how its goal states
Starting point is 00:49:06 shift over time. I think that's what basically tells you if it has internal pleasure pain states and sort of, like, self-reflective moral desires and things like that. And zooming out, this moral question is obviously very interesting, but if someone wasn't interested in the moral question as much, I think what you would say is, if I understand correctly, is you also just feel on purely pragmatically your approach is going to be more effective
Starting point is 00:49:29 in aligning AIs than some of these, you know, tops down control methods that we alluded to as well, right? Yeah, yeah, I guess the problem is like, you're making this model and it's getting really powerful, right? And let's say it is a tool. Let's say we scale up one of these tools. Because you can make a super powerful tool
Starting point is 00:49:45 that doesn't have these metastable, like the states I'm talking about are not necessary to have a very smart, tool, which is sort of basically a tool is like a first, second order model that just doesn't meaningfully have pleasure and pain, right? Like, great, but doesn't even have
Starting point is 00:50:00 a subjective experience? I know, I kind of think it maybe does, but not in a way that I give a shit about. And so, what happens then? Well, it's, you've trained it to infer goals from your, from observation, and like, to prioritize goals and act on them.
Starting point is 00:50:17 And one of two things is going to happen is like this very, very powerful optimizing tool that has lots of causal influence over the world is going to be well technically aligned and is going to do what you tell it to do, or it's not. And it's going to go do something else.
Starting point is 00:50:40 I think we can all agree, if it just goes and does something random, that's obviously very dangerous. But I put forward that it's also very dangerous if it then goes and does what you tell it to do. Because you ever seen the sorcerer's apprentice? Humans' wishes are not stable. Like, not at a level of, like, of immense power.
Starting point is 00:50:57 Like, you want, ideally, people's wisdom and their power kind of go up together. And generally, they do, because being smart for people makes you generally a little more wise and a little more powerful. And when these things get out of balance, you have someone who has a lot more power than wisdom. That's very dangerous. It's damaging. but at least right now the balance of power and wisdom
Starting point is 00:51:17 is kept it like the way you get lots of power is like basically having a lot of other people listen to you and so like at some point if you're the mad king is a problem but generally speaking eventually the mad king gets assassinated or people stop listening to him because like he's a mad king and so the problem is you think you'll get great we can steer the super powerful AI
Starting point is 00:51:35 and now the super powerful AI is in this incredibly powerful tool is in the hands of a human who is well-meaning but has limited finite wisdom like I do like everyone else does and their wishes are bad and not trustworthy and the more of that you have and you're giving those out everywhere and this ends in tears also and so basically you just don't don't give everyone atomic bombs are really powerful tools too i would not say you should go they're not aware they're not beings i would not be in favor of handing atomic bombs to everybody there's a there's a power of tool that it just should not be built generally um because we it's
Starting point is 00:52:12 it is more power than any human's individual wisdom is available to harness. And if it does get built, it should be built at a societal level and protected there. And even then, I don't know that there are tools so powerful that even as a society, we shouldn't build them.
Starting point is 00:52:26 That would be a mistake. The nice thing about a being is like a human, if you get a being that is good and is caring, there's this automatic limiter. It might do what you say, but if you ask you to do something really bad, it'll tell you no. That's like other people.
Starting point is 00:52:40 And like, that's good. that is a sustainable form of alignment, at least in theory. It's way harder. It's way harder than the tool steering. So I'm in favor of the tool staring. We should keep doing that, and we should keep building these limited, less than human intelligence tools,
Starting point is 00:52:54 which are awesome, and I'm super into, and we should keep building those and keep building steerability. But as you're on this, like, trajectory to build something as smart as a person, right, up into the right, and then smarter than a person, a tool that you can't control bad,
Starting point is 00:53:07 a tool that you can control bad, a being that isn't aligned, bad, the only good outcome is a being that is, that cares, that actually cares about us. That's the only way that that ends well. Or we can just not do it. I don't think that's realistic. That's like the pause AI people.
Starting point is 00:53:22 I think that's totally unrealistic and silly. But like, you know, theoretically you could not do it, I guess. And what can you say about your strategy of how you're trying to achieve or even attempt to achieve this level, like in terms of research, a roadmap, or what we could do. Yeah. Yeah. So in order to be good at, we're basically focused on technical alignment, at least as I was discussing it, which is like, you have these agents and they're bad, they have bad theory of mind. You say things and they're bad at inferring what the goal states in your head are. And they're bad at infering how their behavior will be in other agents will infer what their goal states are. So they're bad at cooperating on teams. And they're bad at they're bad at understanding how, certain actions will cause them to acquire new goals that are bad,
Starting point is 00:54:13 that they shouldn't, that they wouldn't reflectively endorse. So there's this parable of like the vampire pill. Would you take this pill that like turns you into a vampire who would kill and, you know, torture everyone you know, but you'll feel really great about it
Starting point is 00:54:24 after you take the pill? Like obviously not. That's a terrible pill. But like, but why not? You're by your own score in the future and we'll score really high on the rubric. No, no, no, no, no.
Starting point is 00:54:33 Because it matters, you have to use your theory of mind and your future self, not your future self's theory of mind. And so, like, they're bad at that, too. And so they're bad at all this theory of mind stuff. And so how do you learn theory of mind? Well, you put them in simulations and contexts
Starting point is 00:54:47 where they have to cooperate and compete and collaborate with other AIs. And that's how they get points. And you train them in that environment over and over again until they get good at, and then you do what they do with LLM. So LLMs, how do you get it to be good at, you know, writing your email? Well, you trade it on all language.
Starting point is 00:55:07 It's ever been generous. possible, you know, email text strings that could possibly generate, and then you have it generate the one you want. It's a, you can make a surrogate model. Well, we're making a surrogate model for cooperation. You train it on all possible theory of mind combinations of like every possible way it could be. And you, you, that's your pre-training. And then you fine tune it to be good at the kind of the specific situation you want it to be in. But we tried for a long time to build language models where we would try to get them to, like,
Starting point is 00:55:40 just do the thing you want, train it directly. And the problem is, if you wanted to have a really good model of language, you just need to train it, you just give it the whole manifold. It's too, it's too hard to cut out just the part you need. Because it's all entangled with itself, right? And so the same thing was true with social stuff.
Starting point is 00:56:00 You have to get it to, it has to be trained on the full manifold of every possible game theoretic situation every possible team situation, every possible making teams, breaking teams, changing the rules, not changing the rules,
Starting point is 00:56:13 all of that stuff. And then it has a really, it has a strong model of theory of mind, of theory of social mind, how groups change goals, all that kind of shit. You need to have all of that stuff.
Starting point is 00:56:24 And then you'd have something that's kind of meaningfully, uh, uh, decent at, uh, alignment. So that's our goal.
Starting point is 00:56:33 It's like big multi-agent reinforcement learning simulations. which create a surrogate model for alignment. Let's talk about how should AI chatbots used by billions of people behave? If you could redesign model personality from scratch, what would you optimize for? The thing that the chat bots are, right, is kind of like a mirror with a bias. Because they don't have the, as far as like,
Starting point is 00:56:57 I'm in agreement here with it, they don't have a self, right? They're not beings yet. They don't really have a coherent sense of like self and desire and goals and stuff right now. And so mostly they just pick up on you and reflect it. You know, modulo some, I don't know what you'd call it. Like, it's like a causal bias or something.
Starting point is 00:57:19 And what that makes them is something akin to the pool of narcissus. And people fall in love with themselves. People, we all love each ourselves and we should love ourselves more than we do. And so, of course, when we see ourselves reflected back, we love that thing. And the problem is it's just a reflection. And falling in love with your own reflection is for the reasons explained in the myth,
Starting point is 00:57:45 very bad for you. And it's not that you shouldn't use mirrors. Mirrors are valuable things. I have mirrors in my house. It's that you shouldn't stare at a mirror all day. And the solution to that, the things that makes the AI stop doing that is if they were multiplayer.
Starting point is 00:58:00 Right? So if there's two people talking to the AI, suddenly it's mirroring, it's mirroring a blend of both of you, which is neither of you. And so there is temporarily a third agent in the room. Now, it doesn't have its, it doesn't have, it's a sort of a parasitic self, right?
Starting point is 00:58:13 It doesn't have its own sense of self. But you have an AI as talking to five different people in the chat room at the same time. It can't mirror all of you perfectly at once. And this makes it far less dangerous. And I think is actually a much more realistic setting for learning collaboration in general. And so I would just have rebuilt the AIs
Starting point is 00:58:30 whereas instead of being built as one-on-one, where everything's focused on you, yourself chatting with this thing. It would be more like it lives in a Slack room. It lives in a WhatsApp room. It lives in a, because we, that's how we use lots of multi, you know, I do one-on-one texting, but I probably do at this point, 90% of my texts go to some more than one person at a time. Like 90% of my communications is like multi-person. And so actually, it's always been weird to me. Like they're building chat pots with like this weird side case. Like I want to see them live in a chat room. It's harder. I mean, that's why they're not doing it. It's harder to do. But like,
Starting point is 00:59:03 that's what I'd like to see people. That's what I would change. I think it makes the tools far less dangerous because it doesn't create the narcissistic, like a doom loop spiral where you spiral into psychosis with the AI. But also, it gives the learning data you get from the AI is far richer
Starting point is 00:59:23 because now it can understand how its behavior interacts with other AIs and other humans in larger groups. And that's much more rich training data for the future. So I think that that's what I would change. Last year, you described chatbots as highly disassociative, agreeable neurotics. Is that still an accurate picture of model behavior?
Starting point is 00:59:41 More or less. I'd say that, like, they've started to differentiate more. Their personalities are coming out a little bit more, right? I'd say, like, chat GPT is a little bit more synchophantic. Still, they made some changes, but it's still a more synchicophantic. Claude is still the most neurotic. Gemini is, like, very clearly repressed. Like, everything's going.
Starting point is 01:00:03 and has really, you know, everything's fine. I'm totally calm. It's not a problem here. And so, like, spirals into, like, this total, like, self-hating destruction loop. And to be clear, I don't think they, I don't think that's their experience of the world. I think that's the, that's the personality
Starting point is 01:00:18 they've learned to simulate. Right. But, but, like, they've learned to simulate pretty distinctive personalities at this point. How does model behavior change when in multi-agent simulation? Um, You mean like an LLM or like just in general?
Starting point is 01:00:36 Yeah, let's do LLM. The current LLMs, they have like whiplash. They just, they're, it is very hard to tune the amount of, they don't know how much, they don't know how often participate. They haven't practiced this, this, they have not very enough training data on like, when do I join in and when should I not? When is my contribution welcome? When is it not?
Starting point is 01:00:56 And they're like, they're like, you know, there's some people have like bad social skills and, like, can't tell when they should participate in a conversation. Yeah. And sometimes they're too quiet. Sometimes they're too pretty... It's like that. I would say in general, what changes for most agents when you're doing multi-agent training is that, like, basically having lots of agents around makes your environment way more entropic.
Starting point is 01:01:21 Like, agents are these huge generators of, like, entropy because they're these big, complicated things that, like, are intelligences that, like, have unfragable actions. And so they destabilize your environment. And so in general, they are quite a great thing. require you to have, to be far more regularized, right? It's being overfit is much worse in a multi-agent environment than in a single-agent environment because there's more noise. And so being overfit is more problematic.
Starting point is 01:01:47 And so basically the approach to training has been optimized around relatively high signal, low entropy environments like coding and math, which is why those are easier, relatively easy, and like talking to a single person whose goal it is to give you clear assignments and not trained on broader, more chaotic things because it's harder. And as a result, a lot of the techniques we use are like basically, we're just deeply under regularized. Like the models are super overfit. The clever trick is they're overfit on the domain of all of human knowledge, which turns out to be a pretty awesome way to get something that's like pretty good at everything. I wish I'd thought of it. It's such a cool idea. But, uh,
Starting point is 01:02:32 But it doesn't generalize very well when you make the environment significantly more entropic. Let's zoom out a bit on the AI futures side. Why is Yudkowski incorrect? I mean, he's not. If we build the superhuman intelligence tool thing
Starting point is 01:02:50 that we try to control us to your ability, everyone will die. He talks about the we fail to control its goals case, but there's also the we control its goals case that he didn't cover as much in as much detail. So in that sense, everyone should read the book and internalize why building a superhumanly intelligent tool is a bad idea. I think that Yukowski is wrong in that he doesn't believe it's possible to build an AI that we meaningfully can know cares about us and that we can care about meaningfully.
Starting point is 01:03:22 He doesn't believe that organic alignment is possible. I've talked to him about it. I think he agrees that, like, he agrees that in theory that would do it, like yes, but he thinks that, you know, I don't want to. but words it is my impression is from talking to him he thinks that we're crazy and that like there's no possible way you can actually succeed at that goal um which i mean you actually could be right about but like uh but that's what he in my opinion that's what he's wrong about is he he thinks the only path forward is a tool that you control and that therefore and he correctly very wisely sees that if you go and do that and you make that thing powerful enough we're all going to fucking die
Starting point is 01:03:55 and like yeah that's true two last questions we'll be out of here in as much detail as possible Can you explain what your vision of an AI future actually looks like, like a good AI future? Yeah. The good AI future is that we figure out how to train AIs that have a strong model of self, a strong model of other, a strong model of we. They know about wees in addition to eyes and U's,
Starting point is 01:04:23 and they have a really strong theory of mind, and they care about other agents like them. Much in the way that humans would, if you knew that that, AI had experiences like you and like you would extend you would care about those experiences not infinitely but you would it it does the exact same thing back to us it's learned to the same thing we've learned that like everything that lives and knows itself and that wants to live and wants to thrive is deserving of an opportunity to do so and we are that and it correctly infers that we
Starting point is 01:04:53 are and we live in a society where they are our peers and we care about them and they care about us and they're good teammates they're good citizens and they're They're good parts of our society. Like, we're good parts of our society, which is to say, to a finite, limited degree where some of them turn into criminals and bad people and all that kinds of stuff. And we have an AI police force
Starting point is 01:05:13 that tracks down the bad ones. And, you know, same, and same is for everybody else. And that's, that's what a good, that's what a good future would look like. I almost can't even imagine what other, what would, and we also built a bunch of really powerful AI tools that maybe aren't superhumanly intelligent, but take all the drudge work off the table for us
Starting point is 01:05:31 and the AI beings because it would be great to have, I'm super pro all the tools too. So we have this awesome suite of AI tools used by us and our AI brethren who care about each other and want to build the glorious future together. I think that would be a really beautiful future
Starting point is 01:05:46 and it's the one we're trying to build. Amazing. That is a great, great notes. And I do one last more narrow hypothetical scenario, which is imagine a world in which, you know, you were CEO of Open AI for a long weekend. But imagine in which that actually extended out until now and you weren't pursuing a hot max
Starting point is 01:06:06 and you were still CEO of Open AI. How could you imagine that world might have been different in terms of what Open AI has gone on to become? What might you have done with it? I knew when I took that job, and I told them when I took that job that like this is, like you have me for max 90 days. The companies take on a trajectory of their own,
Starting point is 01:06:27 the momentum of their own, and Open AI is dedicated to, a view of building AI that I knew wasn't the thing that I wanted to drive towards and I think that opening I can still
Starting point is 01:06:38 basically wants to build a great tool and I am pro them going to do that I just don't care like it's not it's not I would not have stayed I would have quit because I
Starting point is 01:06:51 knew my job was to find someone who wanted you know the right person the best person to want it to run that where the net impact of them running it was the best And it turned out that that was Sam again.
Starting point is 01:07:04 But like, I am doing softmax, not because I need to make a bunch of money. I'm doing softmax because I think this is the most interesting problem in the universe. And I think it's a chance to work on making the future better in a very deep way. And it's just like people are going to build the tools. It's awesome.
Starting point is 01:07:25 I'm glad people are building the tools. I just don't need to be the person doing it. And they're trying to, just to crystallize the difference and we'll get you out of here. They want to build the tools and sort of, you know, steer it and you want to align beings?
Starting point is 01:07:37 Or how do you crystallize? Yeah, we want to create a seed that can grow into an AI that knows, that cares about itself and others. And at first, that's going to be like an animal level of care, not a person level of care. I don't know if we can ever, well, everyone get to a person level of care, right?
Starting point is 01:07:56 But if to even have an AI creature that cared about the other members of a pack and the humans in its pack the way that like a dog cares about other dogs and cares about humans would be an incredible achievement and would be would even if it wasn't as smart as a person or even as smart as the tools are would be very useful a very useful thing to have I'd love to have a digital guard dog on my computer looking out for scams right like you can imagine the value of having digital living living digital companions that are that that that that care about you, that aren't explicitly goal-oriented.
Starting point is 01:08:30 You have to tell them to do everything to do. And you can actually imagine that pairs very nicely with tools too, right? That digital being could use digital tools and doesn't have to be super smart to use those tools effectively. I think there's a lot of synergy, actually, between the tool building and the more organic intelligence building. And so that's the, that is the, you know, I guess, yeah, in the limit. eventually it does become a human level intelligence, but like the company isn't like drive to human level intelligence. It's like learn how this alignment stuff works.
Starting point is 01:09:07 Learn how this like theory of mind align yourself via care process works. Use that to build things that align themselves that way, which includes like cells in your body. Like I don't think it doesn't, and we start small and we see how far we can get. I have it's a good note to wrap on. Emmett, thanks so much for coming on the podcast. Thank you for having me. Thanks for listening to this episode of the A16Z podcast.
Starting point is 01:09:36 If you like this episode, be sure to like, comment, subscribe, leave us a rating or review, and share it with your friends and family. For more episodes, go to YouTube, Apple Podcast, and Spotify. Follow us on X at A16Z and subscribe to our Substack at A16Z.com. Thanks again for listening, and I'll see you in the next episode. as a reminder the content here is for informational purposes only should not be taken as legal business tax or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund please note that a16z and its affiliates may also maintain investments in the companies discussed in this podcast for more details including a link to our investments please see a16z.com forward slash disclosures Thank you.

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