a16z Podcast - "Is there an AI bubble?” Gavin Baker and David George
Episode Date: October 30, 2025In this conversation from a16z’s Runtime conference, Gavin Baker, Managing Partner and CIO of Atreides Management, joins David George, General Partner at a16z, to unpack the macro view of AI: the tr...illion-dollar data center buildout, the new economics of GPUs, and what this boom means for investors, founders, and the global economy. Resources:Follow Gavin on X: https://x.com/GavinSBakerFollow Atreides Management on X: https://x.com/atreidesmgmtFollow David on X: https://x.com/DavidGeorge83 Stay Updated: If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to like, subscribe, and share with your friends!Find a16z on X: https://x.com/a16zFind a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16zListen to the a16z Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5bC65RDvs3oxnLyqqvkUYXListen to the a16z Podcast on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a16z-podcast/id842818711Follow our host: https://x.com/eriktorenbergPlease note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Stay Updated:Find a16z on XFind a16z on LinkedInListen to the a16z Podcast on SpotifyListen to the a16z Podcast on Apple PodcastsFollow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Are we in an AI bubble?
I do not believe we're in an AI bubble today.
I was, depending on how you look at it, the privilege and the misfortune of being a tech investor during the year 2000 bubble, which is really a telecom bubble.
And I think it's really helpful to compare and contrast today to the year 2000.
The year 2000 internet bubble or telecom bubble was defined by something called dark fiber.
At the peak, 97% of the fiber that had been laid was dark.
Contrast that with today.
There are no dark GPUs.
Every major technology cycle raises the same question.
Is it real, or are we in a bubble?
Today, you'll hear a conversation from runtime between Gavin Baker,
managing director and CIO of a tradies management,
and David George, general partner at A16Z,
about how AI is reshaping the global economy.
From capital allocation and infrastructure spending to business models and margins.
It's a detailed data-driven look at where we actually are in the AI cycle
and what's likely to happen next.
Let's get into it.
And that brings us to our opening fireside chat.
We're going to start with a taboo question right out of the gate.
Are you ready for it?
If AI is the biggest trend in the world right now, where is the evidence for it?
Why is it only just beginning to show up in the economy?
And as Andre Carpathie asked, our agents really just ghosts.
To kick this off and to help us answer this question,
please join us in welcoming Gavin Baker, managing partner and CIO of Atreides.
Now, some of you may know Gavin as that really thoughtful guy on Twitter.
Anytime some big piece of AI news comes out,
I know more than a few people who count on Gavin to explain what the F is really going on.
So a huge thank you to Gavin for being with us today.
Joining him is our very own David George, general partner at A16Z.
Who knows what that music was from?
Glad they got our pump-up music right.
Yes.
Battlestar Galactica, the original 1977 one,
in case we have to all fight Cylons in a few years.
Yeah, could segue into the topic, I guess.
So thank you for being here.
I always love talking to you.
Same.
Really grateful to you for inviting me.
Grateful to your colleagues, for having me.
here. I'm really looking forward to the next two days. I think I'm going to learn a lot,
so thank you. Yeah. Okay. All right. So the big topic is AI bubble, kind of macro view of
things. So maybe just to start with a couple stats to set the stage, and then I want to get your
take on where we're at. So we have about a trillion dollars of data centers in the U.S.
The plan is to add three to four trillion dollars in the next five years. Over the past three years,
we have already built out in data center capacity
a larger amount of dollars
than the entire U.S. interstate highway system,
which took 40 years, just in terms of dollars,
and that's inflation adjusted.
Open AI alone, I think, has more than a trillion dollars of deals
set up that they've committed to,
and we can talk about that.
But at the same time, so those are all like big numbers on infrastructure
and they're scary and they say, oh, bubble.
And Google released a stat recently
that they have seen,
a 150x increase in the amount of tokens processed in the last 17 months.
So on the one hand, you've got this crazy, scary sounding buildout.
On the other hand, you actually have a bunch of usage that's happening.
So are we in an AI bubble?
I do not believe we're in an AI bubble today.
I had, depending on how you look at it, the privilege and the misfortune of being a tech investor
during the year 2000 bubble, which was really a telecom bubble.
And I think it's really helpful to compare and contrast today to the year
2000. First, I think Cisco peaked at 150 or 180 times trailing earnings and
VDivDi is it more like 40 times. So valuations are very different. Most important, however,
is that the year 2000 internet bubble or telecom bubble was defined by something called
dark fiber. And if you're a veteran of the year 2000, you will know what that was. But
dark fiber was literally fiber that was laid down in the ground and not lit up. Fiber is
useless unless you have the optics and switches and routers that you need on either side.
So I vividly remember companies like Level 3 or Global Crossing or WorldCom would come in and
they say, we laid 200,000 miles of dark fiber this quarter. This is so amazing. The internet's
going to be so big. We can't wait to light these up. At the peak of the bubble, 97% of the fiber
that had been laid in America was dark. Contrast that with today. There are no dark, deep.
All you have to do is read any technical paper, and that one of the biggest problems in a training run is that GPUs are melting.
And there's a very simple way to kind of cut to the heart of all of this.
It is a return on invested capital of the biggest spenders on GPUs, who are all public.
And those companies, since they ramped up CAPX, have seen, call it a 10-point increase in their ROICs.
So thus far, the ROI on all the spending has been really positive.
It's an interesting and open debate about whether or not it will continue to be positive.
With the quantum of spend we're going to have on Blackwell, I personally think it will.
But there's no debate that thus far the ROI on AI has been really positive.
And valuation-wise, we're just not in a bubble.
I couldn't agree more.
The other thing that I would say is you can contrast the actual adoption and usage of the technology from then, right?
The internet was actually really hard because you had to build a two.
two-sided network. Like, you had to build websites and then you had to get users and it's much
more difficult. In the case of the AI tools, all you have to do is kind of light them up via
API or turn on your website, chat, UPT, and everybody has access to them, right? Built on top of
cloud computing, on top of the internet, and you can get to instant distribution, a billion people
right away. Absolutely. So the other thing is the counterparties. So you mentioned this. They happen
to be the best companies in the history of the world, right? I think collectively the people who are
coming out of pocket the writing checks for this capex i think they collectively generate like
three hundred billion dollars of free cash flow a year is that right some directionally round
numbers yeah and they have 500 billion dollars of cash on the balance sheet so whenever people are
like oh my god it's a bubble or is it going to pop i'm like i think it's kind of fine i mean it costs
like 40 or 50 billion dollars to light up one gigawatt yeah if you're on a video chips
On video chips.
Yeah.
Yeah.
So, you know, there's kind of like an $800 billion buffer growing $300 billion
every year.
Yeah, I mean, free cash flow at some of them has begun to maybe, you know.
Well, this is going to your point on return on invested capital.
We should see that next.
Yeah, a little bit of a mismatch at the buildout.
But, you know, Larry Page apparently internally said,
I'm happy to go bankrupt rather than lose this race.
And I think that is the mentality for sure at Google and perhaps meta.
It's just seen as existential, and you have to win.
Okay, so Lott's has been written about these round-tripping deals.
Because round-tripping is a very scary concept from the internet build-out.
That was a big problem.
What do you make of it here?
It is objectively happening.
Money is fungible.
So, InVidia, if they sign a deal with Open AI, they can say,
hey, you can't use our money to buy our chips, but money is fungible.
But it's happening at a very small scale.
I know this is like a crypto or blockchain.
Exactly.
And I think what is driving this isn't the need to finance GPU
or data center purchases, but it's actually competitive dynamics.
So, Nvidia's biggest competitor, it's not AMD, it's not Broadcom, it's certainly
not Marvell, it's not Intel, it's Google.
And more specifically, it is Google, because,
because Google owns the TPU chip.
And this is by far, maybe perhaps today,
the only alternative to Nvidia for training
and maybe the best inference alternative.
And Google's a problematic competitor
because they also own a company called DeepMind.
And they have a product called Jimini.
And I think you could argue that they're
the leading AI company today.
I think they've taken 15 or 20 points of traffic share
in the last two or three months,
and that's just traffic to Gemini.
It does not include search overviews.
I suspect on a actual traffic basis,
Google is bigger than Open AI, Anthropic, anyone today.
And that business is going to run on TPUs.
And then we have three other labs that are relevant today.
There's Anthropic, and that's an Amazon and Google captive.
Anthropic is really going to run on TPUs and Traneums.
And so you're left with XAI and OpenAI at the forefront.
And if Google is going to a lab like Anthropics,
and saying, I'm going to help you fundraise and give you chips for competitive reasons.
It's very hard for Nvidia not to respond.
And as Jensen said, he thinks it's going to be a good investment.
So I think the round-tripping concerns are pretty overblown.
Yeah.
I mean, what Nvidia really needs is they need meta to get their act together
or another American open source player to emerge or maybe some sort of detent with China and AI.
Yeah.
When people ask me about Nvidia and all the moves and the round-tripping,
my reaction is everything they've done is completely rational.
100% rational.
Yeah, long-term.
Yeah, long-term.
Some of the things they do may not have, yes, I have a return on capital as other things,
but strategically, I think they're all kind of the right moves.
Jensen's one of the two best CEOs, along with Elon, I have ever known,
and I think he's playing a strong hand really well.
Yeah.
All right, so you started getting into the model companies.
Let's just talk about the model.
So we can come back to chips and memory and networking
because I want to get your take on that.
But since we're on the model side,
what do you think happens with market structure?
Who wins where?
Who are you most optimistic about?
Where do you have concerns?
So I think humility is an important virtue for an investor.
And I'm just, if we're going to make an analogy
and say that chat GPT is to AI,
has Netscape Navigator, was to the internet.
At this point in the internet,
boom, Google had not been founded.
Mark Zuckerberg was in middle school.
Travis Kalanick was in kindergarten.
So it's just very early.
So I think it's important to be humble
about making high confidence predictions
at the application layer.
It's one reason I think the infrastructure layer
is often maybe a safe place to be
at the beginning of one of these new technology waves.
Well, actually talk about the role they play
at the infrastructure layer
because there's a piece of them
that obviously they serve as an infrastructure layer
powering other application providers,
and then they also have their own application.
So I think I would draw a distinction.
Yeah.
I mean, that's most true of Google.
But I think it's hard to have high conviction
other than to observe.
The internet was a very disruptive innovation.
I think there's reasonable arguments
that AI could be a sustaining innovation
because the raw ingredients of kind of data,
the capital to buy compute,
and distribution, which is what you need,
all of today's biggest.
tech companies have all of those in spades.
So as long as they execute well,
hire good people
and have a sound strategy,
like I think you could see it be a sustaining innovation
for a lot of members of the MAG7.
On the other hand, I do think it's existential.
And if you don't execute,
you know, IBM might be a good fate.
Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
That's tough.
Yeah, data distribution, compute,
dollars, talent.
Yeah.
And like...
They have every right to win.
Yeah, they have every right to win.
And it seems now more than before
they're taking it quite seriously.
Yeah.
Maybe Google in particular, but...
Oh, no, no.
And obviously Meta's making the dramatic moves
they're making, too.
No, to me, chat GPT was Pearl Harbor for Google,
and we're going to see how they responded.
And they're slowly starting to respond.
Yeah.
And then what do you think, what's your forecast
for that sort of, the platform piece
of their business, the infrastructure piece?
What do you think?
think it shakes out in terms of like business model market structure so do you think they end up as
high margin businesses like the clouds or like aircraft manufacturers or do you think they end up
very competitive and low margin businesses like airlines um i don't think they'll be airlines but you can
anybody can just look at the p and l you know of a SaaS company circa 2021 and 2002 and you see
you know, 80, 90% gross margins.
And the nature of AI, because of scaling laws,
Richard Sutton's the bitter listen,
they're just more compute intensive.
So their gross margins are structurally going to be lower.
But that doesn't mean they can't be great businesses.
I just, I think it's going to be a long time
before we see a truly kind of, you know,
an AI lab, a frontier lab,
with gross margins anywhere near,
SaaS or internet era margins.
Now, their OPEX can be a lot lower.
And maybe that's how you square it.
But just the gross margins are fundamentally different.
And until scaling laws change
and the importance of test time, compute,
things like that change, which I don't see happening,
they are going to be lower margin.
Yeah.
Okay, so let's talk about application layer.
So you just kind of got into it a little bit
with the SaaS businesses.
And I don't know if you've waited.
into this fight on Twitter, but it's sort of, you know, the like, you know, every few months
it comes up and it's like, SaaS is terrible and it's dead and, you know, it's all going to go
away. And then, you know, with Andres, to our Keshe interview he just did, it's, you know,
like the market's reacting positively to it. And it's like a whipsaw reaction. So what do you
think happens with SaaS and software? You know, I think I, you know, first said probably in
early 24 that I thought all of application SaaS might be a zero.
than infrastructure SaaS.
I would say I have a more nuanced view now.
And I think there could be some really big application SaaS winners,
especially if you serve like a more fragmented S&B customer base.
You know, Google is making it really easy if you were a customer of theirs
to use your data and essentially make any SaaS app you want.
And then your data isn't shared with anyone else.
But the critical mistake that I think a lot of,
retailers made in dealing with Amazon is they looked at Amazon's margins and they said we don't
want to be in that business. And that was obviously a terrible mistake. And here we are 25 years
later. And Amazon has really healthy retail margins. And I worry that application SaaS companies
are trying to preserve their existing gross margin structures because they believe that if their
gross margins go down, their stocks will go down.
It is definitely impossible, given what we just discussed, to succeed in AI without gross
margin pressure.
And I do not know why they have concerns, because we have an existence proof that a software
company can deal well with declining margins.
In Microsoft, in Adobe, to the whole AI thing came along.
It used to be that companies were scared to go from on-premise to the cloud because margins
were lower. Cloud margins are lower. They're still good. And Microsoft, they transitioned, you know,
from, you know, on-premise perpetual licenses with maintenance to a cloud model. And it was a
pretty good stock for 10 years. So I don't, if you're an application SaaS company, like what I would
just say is, don't be scared and look at declining gross margins kind of has a mark of success
rather than, you know, a badge of shame or something to be feared. It's actually so funny you say that,
because whenever we have these discussions about companies,
basically every company that comes to present to us
is like, we're an AI company.
And we always look at their gross margins,
and it's become like a badge of honor
for them to actually have low gross margins.
Because we're like, oh my God, people are actually using your AI stuff.
Yeah.
But if you show up and you're like, I'm an AI company,
and it's like, I got 82% gross margins.
You're like, I don't think anybody's really using it.
We're not.
Yeah, it's interesting.
Yeah, if you're one of these public companies,
would you rather have like $10 of revenue
with 90% gross margins
or $50 of revenue with 60% gross margins?
It's not hard.
It's not that complicated.
It's hard to do in the public market.
It's hard to do in publics.
But if you communicate it, you draw parallels to the cloud transition.
I mean, I'm an investor, and I would be excited about it.
And I don't think I'm alone in the world.
And then the big advantage these legacy application SaaS companies have
is they do have these really profitable existing businesses.
And so you can run your new AI products at break-even.
And, you know, catch up to the...
leaders, et cetera, et cetera, and I'm just surprised more people have not done that.
Like, why are none of the public coding companies even trying to compete with Cursor?
And the reality is Cursor now, they have a trillion tokens, and, you know, there will be a point
where they have enough coding tokens that it's tough to catch them.
But I think today, if you're a public coding company, and you said, I'm going to lean in,
I'm going to run it break-even, I have an existing business, I'm going to attach it to everything,
hey you have a chance
and you know
the prize is clearly really big
I see Martin is skeptical
Martin's shaking his head
I said a chance
I said a chance
it's like a dumb and dumber
you're telling me there's a chance
not like a real chance
you're telling me there's a chance
so yes exactly
it's like a
yeah exactly
I totally agree
yeah we actually saw
I mean you know we see it
you know we may
if we if we
you know
Figma for example
like when they went out
they are extremely high gross margin
and they're like hey we're gonna
you know, pretty aggressively distribute our AI tools
and our gross margins are going to go down
and, you know, investors asked a few clarifying questions
and then they were like, oh, that actually would be a good thing.
And so it's surprised more people in the public markets
aren't doing it.
It worked out okay for them.
It's working out well.
Long game to play.
What about on the consumer side, the application layer?
So obviously, Google was the portal to the internet,
kind of still is the portal to the internet.
And the whole business model was predicated upon
taking some intent and directing you to someone else's
website where they would do stuff with you. It's kind of not going to be that way. It already is
not that way with AI. Although I tried the browser today and I tried to do some pretty basic
shopping stuff and it's still some work to do. But I think it will get there. So what do you actually
think happens with the sort of market structure of the consumer internet companies? Do they get
subsumed into a component of a chatbot interface or do you think it's something else?
So one, humility, hard to say.
Two, I would just say, I think the AI companies
that have launched these AI browsers may come to regret it
because there's something called Chrome
that has, whatever it is, 5 billion users.
And if you're Google, you know, you can just go look
and what happened with Google Buzz.
They are very cautious.
You know, they're currently in litigation with the government.
and they could easily do this
and probably do it even better,
but they didn't want to be first.
So now you have two AI-native companies
with their own browsers,
let them run for three to six months,
get a little head start,
and then, wow, here we are.
We had to do this,
and I don't know how that's going to work,
maybe for the companies other than Google
who don't own Chrome.
I guess data and distribution is pretty powerful.
Yeah, hindsight's 2020.
And the one thing I would say is I do think it's tough to bet against the companies
with large existing user bases today.
And I also think reasoning has fundamentally changed the economics of these frontier models.
You know, pre-reasoning, I often said,
if you are a frontier model without access to,
unique, valuable data and internet-scale distribution,
you're the fastest depreciating asset in history.
I think reasoning really changed that
because the way R.L works during post-training,
having a big user base now kind of unlocks that flywheel
that was at the center of every great consumer internet company
where you have a good product, you get a lot of users,
the users make the algorithm better,
the algorithm makes the product better,
and it just spins.
and that it's not quite spinning yet in AI,
but you can squint and see it.
And so I think that fundamentally changes economics
for Anthropic, for XAI, for Open AI.
But, I mean, Mark Zuckerberg try it hard.
Yeah, we'll see.
Yeah, yeah, yeah. A lot of smart people in there now.
Yeah, for sure.
I think that worry is, and I think this is another interesting thing,
is if you don't, like in a strange way,
the Chinese open source model ecosystem
is a godsend to any American company
that's trying to catch those four leading labs.
Because the problem is,
if you don't have Gemini 2.5 Pro,
or a later checkpoint of it,
or a later checkpoint of grok that we don't see,
or a later GPT checkmate checkpoint,
training the next model, you're at a big disadvantage.
Oh, by the way, one thing I just want to say
that drives me crazy
is all these people who say that GPT-5
is the end of scaling loss.
GPT-5 is a smaller model.
It was not designed to be better.
It was designed to be more economical
for Open AI in Microsoft to run.
Any reference to GPT-5 at scaling laws is crazy.
Yeah, sorry.
Rant over.
We get the pedestal up here if you want.
Yeah, exactly.
Shaking your hand.
Yeah, it'd be good.
That'd be good.
Do you want to talk about chips?
Sure.
So, okay, I know you love NVIDIA.
Talk about, you know, your view of NVIDIA, AMD, TPUs, A6,
and how do you think sort of market structure shakes out there,
you know, competitive advantage that the various players have?
Yeah.
I think it goes, I think it is really, it's a fight between NVIDIA
and the Google TPU.
And that's something that I don't think is broadly appreciated
it is the extent which Broadcom and AMD are effectively going to market together.
Nvidia is no longer just a semiconductor company, as I'm sure you'll hear from Jensen tomorrow.
You know, it was a semiconductor company, then a software company of Kuda,
now a systems company with these rack level solutions,
and now arguably, you know, a data set level company with the, you know,
level of architecting they're doing with scale up, scale across and scale out,
scale across networking.
So the networking, the fabric, the software, it's all important.
And what Broadcom is saying to companies like meta
is, hey, we will build you a fabric that can theoretically compete
with NVIDIA's fabric, which is a mixture of NVLink and either
Infinaband or Ethernet.
It will build it on the Ethernet.
It's going to be an open standard.
And hey, we'll make you your version of TPU, which, by the way,
took Google three generations to get working.
And you know what?
if your ASIC isn't good, you can just plug AMD right in.
But I personally believe most of those ASICs are going to fail,
particularly if it's in the fullness of time,
like over a period of time or in the fullness of time?
In the next three years.
I think you'll see a bunch of high-profile ASIC programs canceled,
especially if Google starts selling TPUs externally,
which has been all over X.
And then, you know, they, you know, who knows exactly
how that would work.
Because if you're Anthropic,
it's just rumored Anthropic
wants to buy tens of billions of TPUs.
If you're anthropic,
maybe you don't want Google
seeing your secret sauce.
But there's ways around that.
So I think this is really
a battle between Google
and its TPU,
enabled by Broadcom for now,
and Google can take the TPU
away from Broadcom whenever they want.
Yeah.
Now, they can't do the Ethernet
networking that Broadcom is doing,
but they control the TPU.
So it's really Google and the TPU versus
um invidia you know with with you know amazon like that's a very talented team arguing the most
talented silicon team at any hyperscaler the anapurna team like i think the trainium three will
probably be a much better chip than the trainium two it took google three generations to get the
tp you right um and then amd will you know will always be kind of the second source and you need a
second source all right exciting uh what do you think happens okay so i want to go back um to business
models. So one of the big things that is widely discussed is like, you know, source of
disruption. And most of the CEOs in this room are CEOs of startups who are trying to go
beat some incumbent or find, you know, some new market opportunity. And the most ripe opportunities
tend to come when you have a big platform shift that is also accompanied with a business model
shift. And so there are a couple of areas where I can see it. I feel like in an obvious way.
so, you know, we're investors in Decagon, customer support.
Like, you can pretty easily see a business model
that is priced on the resolution of a task
because it's so measurable.
You can see, you know, like in coding,
like a lot of the business model has now shifted to consumption.
And, you know, obviously, especially for developer-facing things,
like that's comfortable and pretty well known.
What about the rest of the industry?
Because I feel like there's sort of this handwave thing
that is going on,
which is like, we're going to go get all of services.
But it's like, okay, so how do you actually go do that?
It's going to be pretty hard.
So do you have any prediction on how that plays out?
Well, I think what you're seeing in customer service,
which is kind of like an easy first example,
we have a lot of textual data.
The LLMs are good at text.
You can kind of, you know, probably really easily run some RL
to make sure that they, you know, get a good verified reward,
you know, verified reward being a happy customer
or first call resolution or whatever.
it is.
But I do think you will see that played out.
Like humans were fundamentally paid based on outcomes.
And a lot of AI will be augmenting humans, but probably also replacing some humans.
And that will involve being paid for outcomes.
You know, going back to the consumer business model, you know, everybody's talking about
affiliate fees.
And for sure, I'm going to have, you know, my own AI will be a version of GROC because
we're both XAI shareholders, it will be a version of GROC, then no.
me and it likes me um and you know when i when i want to you know the next time i want to go on
vacation it will know the hotels that i like to go to and it'll say hey three hotels i have
gavin you know i have gavin coming who's got the best price of the best room um it's going
massively upgrade the gifts that you give to becky yes in case she's at the audience she really
appreciated your dumb and dumber reference i'll have you know um but um
Yeah, and then there will probably be some sort of affiliate fee.
And again, that's just being paid for an outcome and kind of closing that loop,
which will be probably a little bit of a business model degradation.
Why did Google never start a marketplace?
Because people overvalue systematically their ability
once they've acquired a customer through Google to keep it as an organic customer.
So they systematically overpay, and they continue doing that.
That's why Google never went to outcomes.
are a marketplace, because advertising leads to the advertisers systematically overpaying.
So that inefficiency will be squeezed out.
But yeah, we'll go to outcomes.
And I think Elon tweeted today that, you know, work would become optional, you know,
like instead of buying your vegetables at a supermarket, you can grow your own garden if you want.
Now, who knows how long it takes us to get there.
But that doesn't sound wildly implausible to me for how powerful this technology is.
And I was just struck. Carpathie, you know, whatever, two days ago, you know,
was being painted as like a skeptic for saying AGI is 10 years away.
Are you kidding?
It's insane.
10 years?
Yeah.
That's wild.
Yeah, sign me up.
Well, we're of shorter timelines, please.
Yeah, well, so, no, that's awesome.
While we're on the topic of, like, very exciting, futuristic things, robotics.
Do you have you on?
Yeah, very real.
And it's going to be Tesla versus the Chinese in the same way.
It's Tesla versus the Chinese in car.
cars yeah yeah i would just say cars not electric cars yeah cars yeah do you have a sense of timeline
i mean you can you can all watch the optimist videos um every roboticist i know is extremely
impressed um you know there's there's a giant debate isn't going to be humanoids or not humanoids
i think that debate is over because humanoid can kind of learn you know from watching youtube
videos and then it's easier for a human being um you know to put on a suit and show the robot how to do
I mean, it's kind of crazy to watch the video of all, you know, the 50 optimist robots doing
50 different tasks. And then it's very simple, you know, did you, did you put the glass
of the dishwasher correctly or not? This is so fun, Gavin. I always love chatting with you.
Let's give a hand to Gavin. Thank you, David. Thank you. All right. Next up, we have a very
exciting panel on building out real world infrastructure. But first, give us a few minutes.
we've got to do a quick stage change here.
So thank you.
Thanks, everybody.
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You know what I'm going to be.
