a16z Podcast - What's Next for the Internet?

Episode Date: January 19, 2020

How can we evolve the web for a better future? Has the web become a mature platform — or are we still in the early days of knowing what it can do and what role it might have in our lives? Just as �...�social/local/mobile” once did, what are the new trends — like crypto and blockchain networks and commerce everywhere — that might converge into new products and experiences?Chris Dixon (general partner at a16z and co-lead of the a16z crypto fund) discusses all things internet with Jonah Peretti (founder and CEO of BuzzFeed). Their conversation ranges from the early days of the web to the way innovation happens (what Chris calls “outside-in vs inside-out”) to the promise of a community-owned and operated internet, and more.Together they explore the possibilities that could co-evolve and converge are we enter into the next era of the web, and they share how we might not be quite as far removed from the “wild west days” of the internet as we imagined.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 The content here is for informational purposes only, should not be taken as legal business tax or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any A16Z fund. For more details, please see A16Z.com slash disclosures. Hello, everyone, and welcome to the A16Z podcast. I'm Amelia. Today's episode is all about the past, present, and future of the web, featuring a conversation between two people who have played key roles in shaping how the internet has developed to date. A16Z general partner, Chris Dixon, is interviewed by the founder and CEO of BuzzFeed, Jonah Peretti.
Starting point is 00:00:42 The conversation originally took place at our most recent annual innovation conference, the A16C summit, and it was also previously released on YouTube, if you'd like to check it out there as well. Hello, good to see you all. So I am very excited to have a conversation with Chris today. I first met Chris back in the New York tech scene. Chris, at the time, was running this company called Hunt. And it was a company that was really sparking a lot of thinking among all of the New York tech entrepreneurs. I feel like Chris was very much in the scene in New York.
Starting point is 00:01:21 And hunch was a company that opened people's eyes to new possibilities and a kind of shift in the web. Could you maybe give a little overview of what the internet was like back then and then what hunch was doing? Yeah, so, I mean, the way I think about the web, and I think the title of this talk is past and future of the web, so we'll try to cover all that, I guess. But I think of it as sort of there's the web one era, which was in the 90s, where really a lot of what was going on, it's similar to a lot of forms of new media where, like, you look at early films, and early films, they would just sort of film plays. And then eventually they figured out, okay, like, you can have a close-up, you can have an establishment. You had a sort of new grammar, and now, of course, films look totally different than plays and much better. And so early web was kind of like people were taking their magazine or their brochure and putting it on the web, right?
Starting point is 00:02:10 And that was sort of the night. I mean, there were exceptions and things like eBay and other things. But for the most part, that was sort of the dominant thing, right? So it was exciting. I think when you and I got started as entrepreneurs in like the early mid-2000s was this idea that people were starting to realize that the web was fundamentally a two-way or a multi-way communication device. And, you know, what were all the new design possibilities that you could create, right? And so that was a big sort of the, you know, Twitter and Facebook and, you know, all of the kind of tagging and all these other new kind of concepts. Like every week there was like this new kind of concept when we come up with like tagging or, you know, if you remember like Delicious and Flickr and all these other cool things.
Starting point is 00:02:48 And it was sort of this relatively small group of people because I think the conventional wisdom at that time was outside of Google, you know, The web was this great invention, but wasn't a great business for the most part. You know, people were still getting over the hangover of the dot-com period. But it was a great, in my mind, it was a great period of experimentation, right? And then, like, Wikipedia as an example, which I still think of, I think it's still kind of an underappreciated Marvel. Wikipedia, by the way, for years and years was just, was trashed. I wrote a blog post about this very interested.
Starting point is 00:03:19 I went back and found all of the negative thing. It was actually, like, banned in schools. Like, it was going to destroy young minds. It was so inaccurate. there was finally in 2007 there was a study done that said it was actually as accurate as Encyclopedia Britannica it was like a nature study and that was like a big revelation of course fast forward to today and like all the other things are bankrupt
Starting point is 00:03:38 and Wikipedia is sort of the dominant thing and this idea that you could have like users could come together right and collectively like the interesting about Wikipedia is it's something like there's like 100,000 per day 100,000 sort of attacks on Wikipedia people spamming it changing it but per day there's also more than 100,000 people fixing it right? this big kind of ocean of like errors and hacks and mistakes and then these this other kind of counterforce of like people doing good things and fixing stuff right right it's like wrong but
Starting point is 00:04:07 for for 15 minutes and that's right that's right yeah that's right and so um and so that to me that was sort of the really kind of the big story of that decade of the 2000s but then you know the next era which you were deeply involved with i remember you talked i remember you telling me like I think it was like 2000, like, it was pre-Iphone, I believe. You said someday people are going to read their news on smartphones via social networks. And at the time, like, you know, we had our StarTac phone or whatever it was. And it sounded like completely insane. I had a side kick for a little while.
Starting point is 00:04:40 Yeah, it was pretty cool. But that, then in my mind, that was the next wave, right? Which, which I think even at the time, we all knew the iPhone. I had an iPhone, you probably had an iPhone, but the idea that it was going to be as big as it was, even essentially if you look back, even like Clay Christensen said the iPhone is not a disruptive technology because he said it's just a high-end,
Starting point is 00:05:06 rich person smartphone. What he didn't realize is it actually was disrupting the PC and those things. He likes disruption from the bottom moving up and a fancier phone with bells and whistles isn't disruptive, but a cheap computer that you can take, That's right. That's right. Exactly. Yeah, yeah. But then, yeah, but that was the era that you were, you know, kind of helped pioneer.
Starting point is 00:05:30 Yeah, I mean, I would say, like, it's hard in retrospect because we take the internet for granted today. But if you look at early internet, there was still this long period of everyone figuring out what you could do with the internet. To your point about film, figuring out the grammar film. And so I think initially it was like, oh, you can use the internet. as a way of doing, you know, make a portal, which is kind of like a newspaper, and everyone sees the same thing, and there's no personalization, there's no two-way connection.
Starting point is 00:06:02 And then I think people started to realize all these things you could do with the Internet you couldn't do in traditional media. So it's instantly global, so that was one thing. It's like, oh, you put something online and people read it all around the world. Then people started realizing, oh, it can be social. Like, you can share the content with a friend.
Starting point is 00:06:17 If you read a newspaper, I mean, some of you maybe have, like, a grandparent who will, like, cut out a newspaper article and send it to you. So it's possible to share, but with the Internet, it became really easy to share. It was possible to see the data of the users. So, like, early Huff Post, we just did something super simple, which was at a click meter on every headline,
Starting point is 00:06:37 and we could just see which headlines were people clicking and which ones weren't clicking. If there was an important story and no one was clicking it, we'd rewrite the headline. So having this two-way data connection was another piece. The instantaneousness of it was another one. Like, it used to be you get a newspaper with yesterday's news on your doorstep, or you'd read Time or Newsweek, which would have news from a week or longer in the past,
Starting point is 00:07:03 and now you'd just instantly get a push notification. So I think we keep seeing new things you can do with the Internet, and it keeps surprising people. And so I guess one sort of question for you is, is, you know, what are the surprises that the Internet still has in store for us? If it's if it's over the course of, you know, 15 years, we've figured out it's global and it's social and it's personalized and it's, you know, instant and it has all of these characteristics that have really changed lots of industries, are we going to discover new things about the internet in the next few years that are going to open up new businesses and markets? Yeah, that's a great question. I think that's, to me, that's the big question right now. It's sort of like, how will the Internet evolve? And I'll take that in a few parts.
Starting point is 00:07:48 So, like, the first thing I'll say is, so I think the kind of conventional view, I would call it, is if you read a book like Tim Wu's Masters, which is a very good book, but I would describe that as sort of the conventional view, which is the Internet is like every other form of media in the past, which is it starts off and it's sort of the Wild West, and then eventually a few incumbents emerge, you know, ABC, CBS, radio, cable. And then it's sort of, okay, those incumbents,
Starting point is 00:08:11 and it's control it and it's sort of game over and they're the gatekeepers and that's it right and that's kind of the conventional view yeah in that book by the way i think the thing that felt most analogous to the internet was radio because radio was started by a bunch of hobbyists who would put up an antenna and broadcast in their local area and it was a lot of hobbyists who were hacking radio and and building things out and then slowly it ended up being consolidated into cbs as a national you know media a conglomerate that had lots of control over radio. So it kind of went from hobbyists to... I think of that is, the way I described that is
Starting point is 00:08:46 there's technologies that have an outside-in adoption pattern and inside-out. And so outside-in, like, open-source would be the canonical example, right, where it's completely fringe stuff. I mean, it's Richard Stallman, extreme libertarian, you know, statements in the 80s at MIT, and now it's 95% of the operating systems
Starting point is 00:09:02 in the world, right? So completely on the fringes. Whereas, like, the iPhone, that was inside out. It was Apple in, you know, Cupertino. And a lot of... Really early Apple was the hobbyists, hobbyists. The PC was outside in, smartphone was inside out, right? A lot of it has to do with, you know, you needed probably a billion dollars to build a proper iPhone and to market it and everything else and supply chain and there's a whole bunch of complex reasons
Starting point is 00:09:24 why that had to be crypto, which we'll talk about, I think it's very much an outside in kind of movement and sort of these hackers and hobbyists and smart people doing on the weekend. And you like the outside in movements generally. I mean, yes, I do like them. I think that they, well, I think from a startup investor point of view, both as an entrepreneur and as an investor, those are where the bigger opportunities are, right? Because it's much harder, if it's an inside-out
Starting point is 00:09:45 and it's going to require a new game console, like just the reality of the economics of it, it costs $5 billion probably to build that, to market it, to do all the exclusives, like, you know, it's a very expensive proposition. You have enough funds under management to cover that, right? Yeah, I guess we're getting narrowfully. But from an entrepreneurial perspective,
Starting point is 00:10:04 it's these kind of disruptive things that, you know, I like to say to start off looking like a toy, that are sort of hackers on the weekends, right? Like, there's a deep reason why, like, I think there's a deep reason why so many of these technology movements were done sort of by hobbyists. And it's not just sort of a cultural thing, you know, that technologists like to wear flip-flops and hang out or something like this. It's a deep reason, which is you basically have the nine to five is governed by business people, right?
Starting point is 00:10:37 Nine to five is governed by, like, what you do during nine, to five work hours is governed by people that generally have a one to three year time horizon, right? They have to, like, unless they're the, you know, maybe Jeff Bezos is an exception or something. But, like, for the most part, like, you want to keep your job as a manager of a company and you've got to manage to a one to three year time horizon. So where does the 10 year away stuff, the five and 10 year away stuff happen, right? It happens when the smartest people get to vote themselves with their time, right? And that's why it happens on the week. And that's why, like, I have always done, if you go back and read history,
Starting point is 00:11:09 like so much of the, you know, there's a great book about Henry Ford I read recently, and you look at early cars, it's, like, exactly like, you know, Soma 2015 or something. They were in Detroit. They were hacking. You go read, like, I was reading the old, Matt. It was a horseless age was like the hot, was a tech crunch of the era. It's now, now actually car and driver is the same magazine. If you go read the old ones, it was all like, oh, my God, this, like, cool new carburetor.
Starting point is 00:11:31 And, of course, what did they do? Like, today we think Henry Ford, you know, he's wearing a suit. No, no, he was, like, lying down, trying to race as fast as he could with his friends, and whoever could do the fastest car. He's, like, these pictures covered in oil, like, you know, he was going 70 miles an hour, the things, like, practically blowing up, you know, it was just basically like it was like Wozniak and, like, you know, and these other hackers. So, yeah, so I think, and so I think the big question, going back to the Tim Luther,
Starting point is 00:11:55 I think the big question with the web right now is, is it going to be like that? Is it Comcast? Is it over? Is it sort of Google, Apple, and that's it. Or is it different? I would argue it's different. The Internet is a very different type. of medium than, let's say, radio or cable, and that it's software-based. The design of the
Starting point is 00:12:11 internet is you have a very, very, deliberately, very simple, you know, core protocols, like internet protocol. And then all of the smarts live on the edges, and the edges can upgrade themselves and are constantly, it's just constantly evolving organism. And it evolves according to incentives. And one of the very powerful things, and one of the reasons I'm so excited about the whole kind of crypto blockchain movement is it, is it, the whole thing is around how do you design incentives to get people to kind of upgrade and change the code they're running on the internet. And so to me, a huge question right now is just sort of, you know, is it going to be like the last things, the last kind of radio, TV, et cetera, where it's sort
Starting point is 00:12:49 of, this is it. And now startups just get sort of pick up the scraps or maybe there, you know, there's just, by the way, I don't want to, there's plenty of other, one interesting thing about tech is there's so many different movements happening, right? So this is sort of the core internet. Meanwhile, there's all those interesting stuff happening in enterprise software, in fintech. So that's all going like full speed ahead. I'm talking more of just sort of the core internet architecture structure. I think another really interesting thing, if you look at past historical trends, is there's always sort of a first order and second order effect of any major new technology. Okay, so what I mean by that is like the car comes along and the first order
Starting point is 00:13:22 effect is you can drive from point A to point B faster, right? The second order effect took 50 years to play out. It was suburbs, trucking companies, e-commerce, and able to, you know, what, you know, I don't know, mechanized warfare. Like there's just thousands of, like, kind of secondary, second order implications of this new technology, right? But it took a really long time to play out. And I think the thing that we're seeing right now is with social media and the internet.
Starting point is 00:13:47 And we're in that kind of, I don't know, if it's a car, we're probably at 1915, not at, you know, 1950 or something. We're still very early on. We're seeing the effects on the media landscape. We're seeing the effects on the political world. I think things like cryptocurrency, for example, in many ways, it's a consequence of social media. 20 years ago, someone invented Bitcoin,
Starting point is 00:14:09 you'd have a couple New York Times articles, quoting some Yale economists, this is stupid, it's over, maybe they'd be like a zine or whatever, like some weird hobbyist magazine you could read, but that would be it, right? Whereas now you've got an army of, I don't know, probably 100 million plus cryptocurrency enthusiasts who have, they have Twitter followers,
Starting point is 00:14:27 they have blogs, they have GitHub accounts, They have Reddit Karma, and they're out proselytizing, and, you know, it's the Fifth Estate. Like, the Fifth State loves it, right? The Fourth Estate doesn't. The Fifth State loves it. And it turns out they have a lot of influence these days, right? And so that's like another example of something that, you know, is this sort of unexpected second-order effect. And what will those other second-order effects be, I guess, to me a big question?
Starting point is 00:14:49 So this concept of Fourth of State and Fifth Estate, basically the press and the public or active people on social media and public sentiment. One thing about the press that I feel like has happened in the last, you know, really Trump was maybe an inflection point, but it was a larger thing, which is there feels to be now a lot more fear in the press about decentralized networks. And the fear seems to be, well, if there's not a gatekeeper, there's not someone checking the facts, or if there's not someone making sure the information has integrity,
Starting point is 00:15:25 that you might end up with, you know, fascist movements, populist movements, separatist movements, people being driven by emotion and not facts, sort of post-truth where politicians can just say whatever they want and just spread it on social media and kind of bypass the press, kind of go direct to consumer. And I think that that fear probably also has influenced press about crypto because the promise of crypto is similar to the Internet in that it is democratizing, and giving more people a voice and more decentralized. And so what's legitimate about those concerns?
Starting point is 00:16:07 What are the press missing? Like, how should the press and the public be thinking about the value of decentralized systems? I think, by the way, not just crypto in the blockchain sense, but crypto and encryption sense. Like, I wouldn't be surprised if we head into another era similar to the 90s where there's real battle. I mean, we see with Apple and the FBI and things like this,
Starting point is 00:16:25 just like encryption in general. I mean, it used to be in the 90s they were classified as munitions like the RSA algorithm and things and then the whole clipper chip thing anyway so like that, like encryption alone like Zuckerberg says they're going to go to private messaging and end end in encryption
Starting point is 00:16:40 and you know so forget about blockchain just like that alone is going to be a hot button issue and look at the realities you're going to have bad stuff there are really tough issues. Even within Facebook there was a lot of disagreements about should we have everything be encrypted to protect privacy or should we have content not be encrypted?
Starting point is 00:16:56 we can scan the content for child pornography or terrorist activity or abuse or other kinds of things. I mean, you know, take the telephone was to have bad things happened using a telephone. Like probably a lot of bad stuff that's happened using a telephone, right? We decided society that we wanted to put pretty strict privacy controls over telephone use, right? Well, like in court transcripts whenever you see, call me, you know something bad was going to happen on that phone conversation. Yeah, because we decided, like, we decided. Some knowing laughs in this audience. From a regulatory perspective, though,
Starting point is 00:17:30 we decided to make that trade-off, right? We decided to make the trade-off that we wanted to preserve the, you know, people's feeling that this was a private, feeling that probably more of a feeling, but the feeling that it was a private medium and decided to regulate it as such.
Starting point is 00:17:47 And I think that's going to be a big question. And look, there are going to be trade-offs. Like the New York Times in the one week we'll have an article about how these, you know, Google, et cetera, are surveilling you. and the next week we'll have one about how they're allowing terrible stuff to happen. And so where do you draw the line? It's really hard.
Starting point is 00:18:01 I think that one of the great things about the Internet in the first era was the fact that it was sort of community governed and controlled. And the second era, what was great is that we got amazing web services that were free for billions of people. And what my hope is in the third era, we could find kind of a happy medium where we'd recapture some of the kind of community-controlled aspects. So instead of, so for some of these issues, you know, should political ads be allowed on a social network? Like, should this be decided by a single company or should it be decided by a community?
Starting point is 00:18:34 The way that decisions around DNS, for example, the naming service for the Internet was always a community thing. It was run by a nonprofit. It was like a community, you know, standards. It's done in an open way. This is not, you know, it sounds very utopian. It was actually reality until recently how the Internet was governed. And so the question for me is, I believe that what we can do, now is we now have the technology where we can have kind of the best of both worlds.
Starting point is 00:18:58 I mean, why is everyone so upset on Twitter, right? There's a bunch of reasons they're upset. But I think one of them is, you know, they helped create that platform. I mean, I was early on Twitter. And then you feel like, you know, you helped create it. And then suddenly all these new rules are getting imposed. Like you kind of felt like you sort of felt like an owner in a lot of these cases if you were early on these networks.
Starting point is 00:19:18 And then you realize later on you're not. They were just setting up a platform for Kim Kardashian. basically and so and and not it's not just users by the way it's people like you like it's i mean companies like yours like media companies right you have a partnership and then the rules change and like next week the rules are different and like you know should you have a seat at the table deciding that right to me that's a right that doesn't mean it's anything goes it just means you have a community kind of governed process and that that's the core value of the whole kind of crypto blockchain world everything is open source everything is community governed
Starting point is 00:19:50 it's a very deeply held belief and it really comes from the open source movement I think of it as an extension of open source and we were talking backstage about the difference between a city and Disneyland and you know if you're in Disneyland everything is controlled there's not bad areas where there's crime
Starting point is 00:20:19 or there's things like that but also everything feels a little fake. And if you're in a vibrant city, there's lots of dynamic things. Everyone's building and creating things and making things. There's good parts, there's bad parts. And that can be a metaphor for, you know,
Starting point is 00:20:34 what different kinds of visions of the internet. Do we want the Walgarden Disneyland internet or do we want the more vibrant city internet even with some of the downsides? Yeah, and I think until, so to me, like one way to think of what a blockchain is, a simple way to think of it. It's the first time that we've had a concept of a community-owned and operated web service,
Starting point is 00:20:55 one that's truly owned by a community, right? And so I kind of think of it, if you think of analogy to the real world, like you have an iPhone that's kind of like your home. It's like your personal computer. You can rent a computer at AWS, and it's kind of like your office, right? And then you have things like Facebook and Google, which are shared services that feel like public spaces but are actually controlled by a company. And now we have the ability to create things that are kind of more like part.
Starting point is 00:21:19 or like cities, they're community-controlled public spaces. And you can, it's a very interesting kind of new thing that allows, and I think it... And you know the rules aren't going to be changed, because the rules are written into the... That's right, the rules are written. That's actually the core feature of a blockchain. The way I would define a blockchain is a computer
Starting point is 00:21:37 where there are game theoretic, strong guarantees that the code will run as designed and the rules won't change, essentially. Like, that's fundamentally what it is. And so until now, you know, if you were using a public computer, if I was on Facebook, just by virtue of the fact that
Starting point is 00:21:55 that computer is controlled by that company, they can change the code, they can change the rules, right? This is the first time you had. Now there's tradeoffs, like, you lose performance and there's a whole bunch of, like, kind of weaknesses with this architecture
Starting point is 00:22:07 that I think will get fixed over the next few years and we're investing in a lot of these things to try to improve it. It's still, you know, early and evolving. But that's a very powerful concept, and it means you can have a commons and so you can have a social graph, for example. Actually, if you go back, for people that are interested in the history of this,
Starting point is 00:22:25 RSS was a real contender for a while. So RSS is a protocol. It's like a sort of a blogging protocol that was a real contender for a while to compete with the proprietary social networks. But the problem with RSS, in my view, I was involved in this and invested in a bunch of companies around it, is that you didn't have, you couldn't make a user experience the way you could with Facebook or Twitter or something like this
Starting point is 00:22:49 because you had to do all this kind of weird technical stuff and set up your domain and do all and have these. So we, back in these days, we did a project that was an open source project called ReBlog. Yeah. And Reblog would take, it was a server-side RSS reader where you'd get all, you could subscribe to all the sites you wanted, you'd get this information.
Starting point is 00:23:08 And then you could press a button to repost anything you liked, and it would say, Chris has re-blogged this. and that was a long time ago I don't remember the exact year we did it but then David Karp saw that and had reblogged a Tumblr and then Twitter's community saw sort of Tumblr having this functionality
Starting point is 00:23:31 and then they added that to Twitter where originally when you would retweet something you would just write RT and retweet it and it wasn't built into the software eventually Twitter then built it into the software and then Facebook added the share button kind of looking at Twitter and so it was really
Starting point is 00:23:45 to your point about RSS not being able to have a functionality, we saw this need to make content social way before BuzzFeed and made it through using RSS, which was this open platform. And it was, and like maybe 15 to 25 people installed the re-blog software.
Starting point is 00:24:08 And there was like a little network where they would like reblogged it. And they had sites that maybe got a few thousand readers. And so we would sometimes have something get reblogged like three or four times. And so you sort of saw, oh, this is how it should work. But to make it really good, and for a user, the Facebook and Twitter model was a lot better.
Starting point is 00:24:26 And we never tried to make it into a company, but had we tried to make it into an open source company, we would have been at a disadvantage compared to... You just didn't have... There was no way to have a community, like, controlled place to store things, like to store social... Just simply the technology wasn't there yet.
Starting point is 00:24:40 There was a wired article. I have a blog post I wrote about it, that were they, in 2008 or something, they tried to create a open-source social, you know, kind of Facebook competitor. And they said, like, basically the problem is there's nowhere to store the social graph or something. Now what we have today is we have these public commons. We have these publicly shared data, but community-controlled databases. So what can we do with it, right?
Starting point is 00:25:00 And we're in a very exciting period, I think, where, like, I always think of it as, like, the history of technology is every 10 to 15 years, there's a major new computing cycle. So mainframes, you know, PCs, Internet, smartphones, and now. today what are we you know what is the cycle I obviously have my my beliefs um but uh what what you have is you with each of those periods you have kind of a kind of gestation phase where people are sort of experimenting so the early smartphones you had sidekick and Blackberry and trio and it was sort of you know they had on the scale of like you know Blackberry was more successful the rest were like on the scale of like a few million you know
Starting point is 00:25:38 maybe 10 million users and then eventually you kind of get to the point where you have like kind of a breakthrough device and then you have this amazing golden period where entrepreneurs flock to this new platform and then very rapidly explore what I would call like the design space like what can you do with this right so like
Starting point is 00:25:58 the smartphone comes along and you know if you ask people in 2007 what are you going to do with a smartphone they probably would have taken a lot of the ideas of what happened with PCs right they wouldn't have thought like the killer thing will be calling a car or sending a vintage looking photograph to a network of people or like it wasn't like you may have been on your list of a hundred things
Starting point is 00:26:18 but it probably wasn't the you know if you look at or ephemeral messaging i need this will be the killer app for this like it you know i mean clearly there were entrepreneurs who believe that but there were you know 10 000 credible attempts to create mobile startups and of that probably you know 10 of massive significance kind of emerge and so um i think that we i believe we're on the precipice now not just crypto i think AI and virtual reality and there's a bunch of really exciting things happening. But where we're about to hit that point where you get kind of the iPhone moment
Starting point is 00:26:47 and then you get all sorts of interesting experiments that get run. And out of that, it'll be a lot of chaos, a lot of terrain wrecks, you know. So there's pain in this process as well. The other thing that I think happens is trends converge that you didn't expect. You know, so I think just as an analogy,
Starting point is 00:27:05 when BuzzFeed started, the iPhone didn't exist yet. And then when the iPhone first started getting used, people were only consuming really text content, maybe images on it, and it wasn't great for video. And then there was this digital video trend. So there was these digital video trend and this mobile trend and this social trend. And so there are three sort of different trends. And by the way, I would add cloud to that too. Like if it wasn't for the work that Salesforce and the AWS did, you couldn't have stored all that data so cheaply. You couldn't like so. So there's really four different trends, you know, cloud, mobile, social,
Starting point is 00:27:41 digital video, and then it turned out that those trends all converged into mobile, being on a mobile device on a social platform, watching digital video that streamed from the cloud, you know, so all those things converge and then make something seem just like one simple thing, which is like I'm scrolling through a feed and watching video. And so I think you'll see the same thing with crypto and, you know, where the... The other trends you mentioned, AI and VR and Crypto, it's hard to predict how those trends will converge and end up making something that is more than the sum of its parts.
Starting point is 00:28:24 I actually think I would even go further, and I would say not only I think are we about on the cusp of multiple major technology breakthroughs converging, so probably AI, then I would call kind of new devices, so that's everything from talking speakers to cars to VR to blockchain and crypto. And I think those will be kind of like cloud, mobile, social, and reinforce each other.
Starting point is 00:28:45 I think in addition, though, what else is happening right now? We've got, what is it, like 3 to 4 billion people with smartphones. That's going to go to 8 billion. In addition to that, the hours per day spent on these devices is going to continue to go up. So you're just going to have essentially like 2X the time spent, if not more. Number three, you now have major areas of the economy
Starting point is 00:29:03 that were previously relatively untouched by technology, namely finance, education, healthcare, I think now entrepreneurs have now figured out ways to kind of bring modern technology into those industries. So I kind of think, like, if you combine, like, number of people, number of engaged users, level of engagement, plus unlocking what's basically 70% of GDP with these new kind of markets, plus, you know, what I think is kind of like multiple major new trends coming together. It's not quite there. The technology is still, like, all of these things, like, even the, you know, I mean, like, Lex is awesome, but, like, you know,
Starting point is 00:29:43 autocorrect breaks half the time. Like, it's still not quite there, but it's very, very close. And the, if you go, and same with the crypto blockchains, like, it's slow, and Bitcoin has its issues and everything. It's not quite there. It's still the sidekick era. You know, it's not the iPhone era. But, yeah, I think those three things will converge, and you have these other kind of macro trends now. And you have these, and the economics, too, like the, you know, like the cable bundle is going to break at some point, I think, soon, right? But at some point, like the economics will fundamentally like it will no longer work to have the cable bundle. I think that's relatively near future.
Starting point is 00:30:14 And then there will be this sort of massive, you know, wave of people and dollar shifting over to digital technology. My earlier comment about all the things the Internet enables, TV hasn't gotten the benefit of those things. And now, except for Netflix, and now all the digital, all the big media companies, traditional media companies are moving over and they're going to have the advantages of the Internet. Like, for example, the idea that you would flip through the channels hoping something good is on was a way that traditional media has historically worked, as opposed to what is the best content for me that has ever been produced in the universe, I'm going to, you know, watch that. And so now that's possible with Disney. It used to be that was possible with Netflix archive.
Starting point is 00:30:58 Now it's possible, you know, so we're seeing a lot of big industries that are slower to change starting to adopt these technologies. Yeah, I mean, if you think about the, I mean, the, it's kind of surprising 25 years into the internet that the only industries that have been really, quote, disrupted have been, I think media, maybe transportation and maybe starting to happen is retail, right? And then the rest, I mean, if you look at the list of incumbents and every other industry, it hasn't changed that much, right? And even the media world, right? Like, still the vast majority of people, like, they sit there and they, you know, they watch whatever reality TV and on a regular cable box. And, like, it hasn't changed that much yet. Yep, yep, it's slow for these to change.
Starting point is 00:31:38 There are also times when I feel like the converging trends end up creating some kind of a Frankenstein situation where the trends are in conflict with each other. The goal of being the future of media and recommending content of people and the goal of being a place for people to connect with their friends in a private way with close friends feels to be in conflict.
Starting point is 00:32:00 So you end up having Facebook, it's almost like we're having a phone conversation and then you say something interesting, and then it's like, oh, we're going to show that to a million people. You know, it's a little weird if you're talking with your friends and sharing content with the small group, that that could end up reaching tons of people.
Starting point is 00:32:15 And there are trends that kind of smash into each other in a way that causes problems and... Yeah, it feels like we're in a very interesting time now with all of... There's so much attention on these platforms and, you know, the decisions they're making and just the, like, I don't feel like we've... I mean, maybe you have insight into,
Starting point is 00:32:34 to it, but I don't feel like we fully understand how to, you know, the, the etiquette, the personal etiquette, you know, like, is it okay to, you know, talk a certain way on Twitter or go find somebody's old tweets or, you know, should the, like, all these things are being figured out, right? Like, it's, and it's very confusing. And I think kind of, my view, at least causing a lot of upheaval, kind of social upheaval or something. Yeah, people don't know how to interact with each other. People don't know how to figure out what information they should pay attention to. And I definitely think there's...
Starting point is 00:33:17 And then I feel like when you look at the press coverage of all this, there's just so many trade-offs that it's... And reporters... I mean, I know this because we have BuzzFeed News covers this stuff. And reporters are not in a... You know, it's not really the job of a reporter, at least classically. to read everything and make a policy recommendation. They're just trying to say,
Starting point is 00:33:38 oh, there's this like, here's a leaked document or here's some information people didn't know or, oh, this company's struggling with deciding between these two different, you know, possibilities. But it doesn't feel like there's a clear sense right now of this is where society is headed and this is how technology is part of progress. And is there a way to get more of that back
Starting point is 00:34:03 where people see the benefits of technology and, you know, both to the economy but also to people's lives and to society and... Yeah, that's a great question. I think, I mean, my view is partly this feeling of... I do... This is, again, going back to my main area of interest, the crypto stuff, but it's this feeling
Starting point is 00:34:21 I think a lot of people have that it's sort of this bait-and-switch, you know, that they help build up these networks, you know, whether it be a marketplace or a social network, and then the benefits go to other people, the governance goes to other people, And so I think having more new architectural designs that provide incentives and are more inclusive can help with that. Now that getting that message out, like it is very hard because there's a lot of like negative, I think, misunderstandings around, you know, going back to Bitcoin and crypto in general. And like it's actually like a very kind of utopian meritocratic technology, but that's not very hard to explain to people.
Starting point is 00:35:01 I think some of it from the fifth estate is you'll see people on social media being like, you know, triple your money right now and like trying to basically pump an alt coin or something like that. And how much has that driven progress in, you know, the fact that people are trying to make money is in its powerful incentive. How much has that driven progress in crypto and, you know, blockchain? And how much is that like holding it back? And is there a way in a more decentralized system to shift the narrative towards things that will lead to the overall benefit of the total community? Yeah, I think it's definitely a good point. And like there was this big run-up in 2017 where a lot of people kind of, you know,
Starting point is 00:35:48 sort of had this get-rich-quick kind of mentality. I do think what's really important about it is there's the negative side. you highlighted. The positive side is a business model that doesn't depend on advertising and tracking users, right? And so Mark Andreessen talks about this, how the original, there's actually an error code.
Starting point is 00:36:10 People are probably familiar with error code 404. There's a, you know, when you go to a web page, it's not there. There's error code 4 or 2, which was never implemented. It said payment required. So the original idea, but the original internet was to actually have
Starting point is 00:36:20 like money as a native unit. Right now, of course we have credit cards and things. It took a long time, by the way. And in fact, it was very controversial. SSL you needed SSL for credit cards and that was actually almost regulated away because people thought who would want encryption except for bad people but it turned out you needed it for banking and things anyway so we've now grafted on kind of the legacy financial payment systems onto the internet and it sort of works
Starting point is 00:36:44 right but still the vast majority of these big companies are funded through advertising so I think one of their utopian idea is that is that you know I think one of the reason people are disillusioned is they feel this sense of like they're not part of it they aren't included and the business model they feel like is extractive and you know and we see this with GDPR and I think there'll be similar kinds of stuff happening in the U.S. around sort of privacy and so you know I think well there's this huge I mean it's in my sort of corner of the of the internet with digital media there's a huge number of intermediaries who are skimming money in the in the ad tech space and oftentimes the main value they're providing
Starting point is 00:37:27 to an advertiser is surveilling and tracking users where if users had the choice to say, do I want to be tracked this way or not? They would almost always say no. And these are companies that don't actually make content or create apps
Starting point is 00:37:46 or build things that consumers value. So there's some hope that blockchain could help with that. I think right now, what I think a lot of what we're feeling is and why people are upset, is they don't feel like the interests are aligned. And the question for me is, can, is there a way to realign that,
Starting point is 00:38:01 or is it just too late? And that's just the state of things, and maybe that's the pessimistic view. And it's just going to be, you know. One trend we have seen at BuzzFeed, if you had asked me a couple years ago, I would never have guessed the transformation that's happened in our business,
Starting point is 00:38:14 from advertising revenue being essentially the only kind of revenue, to now having so many of our, so much of our audiences looking to transact. And so 500 million in GM, where people are seeing, you know, products we might recommend or things that we're talking about. And, you know, multiple of that of other kinds of transactions that were indirectly influencing. But we're seeing that, you know, again, to this convergence of trends, that used to be content shifted to mobile, but people weren't transacting on mobile. They were going
Starting point is 00:38:48 back to their desktop to do their shopping where they could, you know, type in information and do things more easily. Now, it's better to shop on mobile. that's where more people want to shop. You can double-click and buy stuff, your credit card's integrated in. And so we're seeing a huge shift where media has become much more transactional, where people are looking to be inspired to do something,
Starting point is 00:39:11 go on a trip, or buy a product, or try a new experience. And I think a lot of it is also just these online marketplaces are starting to dominate the entire economy. And there's infinite choice. If you're Gen X, Y, or Z, or anyone actually who's using the internet,
Starting point is 00:39:26 you're used to being able to watch any show on the streaming services, watch, listen to any song on Spotify, you know, go to any travel destination with Airbnb or one of the OTAs. And so you're looking for some culture and content and vicarious experience and something that will inspire you to choose which option out of all of these options are worth doing. And now with your phone, you can just transact. And so I think that there is this larger shift towards just transactional media as opposed to
Starting point is 00:39:58 impression-based advertising-based and also some of if I'm wrong, but also the sort of the adjacent, like so using Tasty
Starting point is 00:40:10 to build a brand and then partnering with retailers to sell products related to that, right? So instead of like new models like that where you're inserting yourself into the kind of the purchasing experience. There's like a hundred skew line
Starting point is 00:40:24 of tasty products at Walmart. So when You see a video where people are cooking. They're like, oh, I can actually make that recipe and I can buy the pots and pans. You know, like connecting. I feel like one sort of shift is just connecting the Internet to people's actual lives and the things that they're doing,
Starting point is 00:40:41 you know, every single day. And I think that, you know, crypto and blockchain can help people do that in a way where there's more trust and more security and that they're more part of it and can build it with as part of a community. All right. We're out of time. I only ask the first question, though.
Starting point is 00:41:01 So I don't know if we have a couple more hours, but thank you, Chris. Thank you, John. Thank you, John. Thank you, everyone.

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