Acquired - Andreessen Horowitz Part II
Episode Date: August 10, 2021Alright, backstory's out of the way, and Acquired is rolling three hours deep on the venture firm that changed the game for everyone — a16z.VC marketing? Check."Founder-friendly?" Check.Pla...tform services? Check.Huge valuations and massive fund sizes? Check and check.We dissect it all in glorious detail, right down to the famous office library (located next to the Rosewood on Sand Hill, natch). The story of modern venture capital starts here. Let's Go!!!Sponsors:ServiceNow: https://bit.ly/acqsnaiagentsHuntress: https://bit.ly/acqhuntressVanta: https://bit.ly/acquiredvantaMore Acquired!:Get email updates with hints on next episode and follow-ups from recent episodesJoin the SlackSubscribe to ACQ2Merch Store!Links:Michael Mauboussin on persistence of returns across asset classes: https://www.morganstanley.com/im/publication/insights/articles/articles_publictoprivateequityintheusalongtermlook_us.pdfTomorrow's Advance Man: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/05/18/tomorrows-advance-manEpisode sources: https://docs.google.com/document/d/12jf9pwTdEuANtdOffUzSzvE0xEJptT0Or-gBSJgk8mg/edit?usp=sharing Carve Outs:Childhood's End: https://www.amazon.com/Childhoods-End-Arthur-C-Clarke/dp/110196703XMKBHD's Studio channel and tour: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pkuxIy3kFZMThe Godfather: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0068646/Who Got the Truth on Spotify!! https://open.spotify.com/track/03X7SwpsCjZIofK8RFPwch?si=649d93b2be7743d5Note: Acquired hosts and guests may hold assets discussed in this episode. This podcast is not investment advice, and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. You should do your own research and make your own independent decisions when considering any financial transactions.
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I need an M1 so that we can not have this very quiet little background noise that hums that we have to remove in our audio that annoys me to the nth degree.
There's a million reasons I need an M1 Mac, but this one is clear and present.
I can't wait. September. Is it you? Is it you? Is it you? Is it you?
Sit me down, say it straight. Another story on the way.
Who got the truth?
Welcome to Season 9, Episode 2 of Acquired,
the podcast about great technology companies and the stories and playbooks behind them.
I'm Ben Gilbert, and I am the co-founder and managing director of Seattle-based
Pioneer Square Labs and our venture fund, PSL Ventures. And I'm David Rosenthal, and I am an angel investor
based in San Francisco. And we are your hosts. Well, listeners, welcome to Andreessen Horowitz
Part 2. We last left Mark and Ben in their instant messenger conversation in 2009 with the famous
first words, we ought to start a venture capital firm.
And I was thinking the same thing.
I think that conversation was actually, it was actually 2008.
2008.
That makes more sense.
Launched in 09.
Takes a little while.
We'll get into it.
We'll get into it.
It takes a little while to set up a venture firm, raise the money.
Well, you don't just like snap your fingers and have $300 million.
Well, today, listeners, we will cover the next 11 years from the firm's founding to today.
This is the story of the VC firm that basically changed everything in the whole landscape.
Super high valuations, massive fund sizes, criticism for both of those things,
becoming an investment firm and a media
company, popularizing the message that former operators make better VCs than career investors
do. I mean, David, reflecting back, it's pretty crazy that A16Z is only 11, 12 years old.
Wow.
Yeah, they became a big dominant force so quickly. To put it in perspective,
they were founded two years after the iPhone came out. That's right. That's right. Pretty good time to start a venture capital
firm. Perfect timing. Well, listeners, two things to highlight if you like the show. One is our
slack. And when I say slack, I do indeed mean the company that A16Z made three-ish billion dollars
investing in. Do you mean TinySpec?
Oh, sorry. I do mean TinySpec. You're right. We've got a great discussion of these episodes,
crypto, investment ideas, all good stuff with a community of 8,000 super smart people like
yourself. Join at acquired.fm slash slack and the limited partner program. This is our members only community where
we drop special for subscribers content. The most recent one was with Kyle Samani,
who is the co-founder and managing director of Multicoin Capital. We talked with him about
how to manage a crypto fund, how it's different than managing a normal fund, which is very
different on this show. What was his line? He was like, oh, because they have a hedge fund and a venture fund
all doing crypto. And he's like, well, the demarcation is, you know, if time to liquidity
is more than like six, nine months or so, we put that in the venture fund. Oh, wow.
Yeah, a whole completely different universe. If you want to listen to that or any of the other
LP show episodes or join us on our next upcoming
Zoom call with LPs, you can click the link in the show notes or go to acquired.fm slash LP.
Okay, listeners, now is a great time to tell you about longtime friend of the show,
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and make work better for everyone. Yep. So learn how you can put AI agents to work for your people
by clicking the link in the show notes or going to servicenow.com slash AI dash agents. All right, well, listeners, as usual, the show
is not investment advice. David and I certainly hold equity in some of the companies that we're
going to talk about on the show. So please do your own independent research. None of this is
investment advice. It's for informational entertainment purposes only. And one other disclaimer, disclosure, I do have a new investing vehicle that I am
super excited about. It is called Kindergarten Ventures. And it is a angel fund that I've
started with my buddy, Nat Manning, who's the COO of Kettle, a great company that we've talked
about a bunch on this show. So as I said last time, a few of the
Andreessen Horowitz GPs are small LPs in the fund. I don't think that that has had any influence on...
I've been keeping you honest.
Yeah. I mean, Ben, you keep me honest here. I mean, I'm going to be pretty laudatory of
Andreessen here, but I think I would have done that anyway. But you can keep me honest here. I mean, I'm going to be pretty laudatory of entries in here, but I think I would have done that anyway. But you can keep me honest here. Well, David, congratulations.
Exciting. You are moving from angel to super angel in the 2008 parlance. That's right.
Pretty cool. And just like Ben and Mark originally, it's not just about seed investing.
Really, it's about, in a large part, all the great folks on Acquired. We invest at any stage,
any sector.
We are super angels. All right. You're starting to spoil stuff. Take us in. You're sounding exactly like one of the tentpole theses of the start of Andreessen Horowitz.
Indeed. Indeed. Well, we'll see where kindergarten goes over time.
Okay. So as you said at the top of the show, we finished last time with the Ben Horowitz, not Ben Gilbert,
gets off the obvious recruiting call from Doug Leone at Sequoia. He hangs up and he IMs Mark.
I love it. So you might be wondering like, huh, why aren't they starting a company? Why are they
starting a venture firm? Well, venture was something that Mark, at least, had supposedly been interested in back from his first early days in the Valley. He says to the wonderful writer,
Tad Friend, in the great New Yorker piece that we are going to keep referencing today,
he says to him about venture capital, quote, I always thought the entire venture thing was
incredibly cool. Going to Kleiner Perkins with the high ceilings, the always thought the entire venture thing was incredibly cool. Going to
Kleiner Perkins with the high ceilings, the markers on the wall of all the great companies they IPO'd,
Larry Ellison walking through, and at 11 a.m., the biggest buffet you'd ever seen at a time when I
was eating at Subway, it was the closest thing to a cathedral for nerds. That's some way to talk
about the venture capital industry.
So as we talked about, Mark and Ben, of course, have been doing their super angel investing thing.
This wasn't entirely a huge leap, but as many, many people would point out to them,
and of course, as they knew themselves, building a venture capital firm that is going to lead deals and beat out other venture capital
firms to lead deals is a very, very different proposition than being an angel investor.
Yeah. I mean, in this angel investing they were doing, and we should say
Mark and Ben did 36 deals together over just three years. So a deal a month with their own money of,
I think about 200K of a max
check size, they're pretty much not leading rounds. So they already don't have the dynamic
of needing to be the one to set the terms and come in. That is about to hit them in a big way
of a total difference between coming in as a participating versus lead investor.
Oh, man. I'll say, having now made the opposite journey, it is way easier
and way more fun not to be a lead investor. But that's a whole nother story. But like we said,
it's a pretty interesting and definitely contrarian time to start a venture firm.
Here we are in late 2008, early 2009. Of course, what's going on? The financial crisis.
And so most other VCs, and if not VCs, certainly the LPs, they're all tucking their tails and
triaging their portfolios right now. This is not about deploying more money or starting a new firm.
Sequoia has literally just done the RIP Good Times presentation.
It's kind of crazy to think that, oh, we're going to go start a new firm right now.
Yeah, it's wild.
So here they are. And obviously, we've talked about the last time, the big thesis that they
have that there is no bubble. They're kind of all alone in shouting from the rooftops here that, hey,
things are actually great in Silicon Valley. This is not like the dot-com crash. The financial
crisis is actually only going to be great for Silicon Valley startups. And of course, they are
right about all this, but pretty much nobody else is saying this. And Tad would write in the New
Yorker piece later that A16Z was designed from the beginning to be a full
throated argument about the future. Of course, at a time when nobody else was making that argument.
So they've got this insight. They've got the interest in VC and the drive to make it happen
to go build a firm. They're Mark Andreessen and Ben Horowitz, but they're still just two dudes.
And if you want to pull off what they want to pull off, they're going to need a whole lot more
than that. So they go to see who else but their old friend, Andy Ratcliffe. And Andy, by this
point, of course, had stepped back from Benchmark and he's teaching at Stanford GSB, and he has just made the jump to become an entrepreneur
himself. He has founded Wealthfront. But of course, knowing Andy, there is nothing
that gets him more jazzed than the idea of a, in the words of Howard Marks, that he uses a correct
non-consensus bet. And that is obviously exactly what Bet and Mark are trying to do here.
So Andy tells them, this is great. I love you guys. And I love this contrarian bet that you're
making, but you want to be in the upper echelon of VC firms and you need a strategy to break in.
And you see, we did this at Benchmark about 10
years ago when we started Benchmark. And we've talked about this a lot on the show, but what we
did at Benchmark was we counter positioned against one of the two major incumbents at the time,
which was Kleiner Perkins. Kleiner, as we've talked about, it was the Koretsu approach to
venture capital. All of our companies work together in different ways. It's sort of like, you know,
they're like a mesh network. And we sort of sit in the network as the capital provider,
but they work with each other in all these different ways.
Yep. And like, on the one hand, that was great. But on the other hand, you know,
certainly some of the Kleiner entrepreneurs felt like they were pressured into doing deals and
working with other Kleiner portfolio companies that didn't really make sense for them.
So what Andy and Benchmark did is they said, there's no pressure from us to do anything
else.
We are going to treat you as sovereign states and help you make the best decisions for you.
So that was one.
The second piece of the Benchmark counter-positioning against Kleiner. Maybe this is the most important.
The thing about Kleiner during its heyday was it really was John Doerr. And we got to do a whole episode on Kleiner itself and storied history even before John Doerr, but the glory days,
it was all John, all their big wins from Netscape to Amazon and beyond. It was John that sourced them. And John was the
reason why the entrepreneurs wanted to take Kleiner's money. But the thing about how it worked
that wasn't talked about a lot was John would source the deals. He would be the face of Kleiner,
the reason everybody wanted to work with them. But then he'd farm out the board seats
to other partners and even associates.
So how do you counter position against that?
Benchmark is like, well, this is great.
We're going to be a small, equal partnership.
All the partners here are going to be great people you want on your board.
You know, when you're getting somebody from Benchmark, you're getting an equivalent, maybe not quite an equivalent, but they talked about like an equivalent of John Doerr.
And your partner is actually going to sit on your board. So then if you're benchmarked,
you need to start talking about how important it is who your board member is.
Right. And it's sort of this like all about the individual. You form one trusted relationship.
They aren't promising to do anything for you that we're not going to staff up
your company. We're not going to help you with PR. We're going to be the best financial investor and
board member possible. And you're going to have this really tight one-to-one relationship with
someone that you really, really want involved in your company personally.
Totally. And I think it's worth doubly underlining this because obviously it is super important who
your board member is. And the right advice from the right board member can make a huge difference.
Today, we just take this for granted. It's like fish in water. You're like,
oh, yes, of course, the board member that you have from your venture firm is super,
super, super important. That wasn't the case. And you could actually ask the question of like,
is that the truth, period? Totally. We're going to talk about a lot of things on this episode
that Andreessen Horowitz introduced into common startup wisdom. This was the one that Benchmark
introduced into common startup wisdom. Yep. And the reason they introduced this into startup wisdom
was specifically to fight against Kleiner Perkins.
It was a strategy credit.
It worked really well for them.
Exactly.
Exactly.
So then, of course, the last piece of the benchmark counterpositioning related to all of this and all working in concert together was Kleiner is this huge firm.
It's got lots of tiers of partners and lots of people there and lots of politics and lots of functions that aren't investing partners.
So Benchmark, they said, we're going to do the opposite.
We're going to be a small, flat, equal partnership.
So we're all going to get on board in a way that politics at a bigger firm like Kleiner
would sometimes make difficult.
Of course, there's a lot of luck that goes into building a venture capital firm as well.
And probably the most important thing for Benchmark
was that they made that early investment in eBay and all of this strategy and all this
counter-positioning. Sure, that helped, but they got eBay. Nothing else mattered after that.
And that helped them ascend to the top of the venture capital heap. So now, okay, Mark and Ben,
they sort of knew all this and they're hearing this from Andy and they So now, okay, Mark and Ben, they sort of knew all this,
and they're hearing this from Andy, and they're like, huh, okay, well, what are we going to do?
And remember, of course, they love Andy, but they hate Benchmark.
Yeah. And we should say the way that Benchmark established these tenets that they hold true,
the way that Andreessen Horowitz is about to.
It's not pure marketing, at least from what I can tell in all the research. It is a self-examination of what are the things we hold to be true,
and then what are the subset of those things that we can make a really loud marketing message about
that we were kind of going to do anyway, but play to a massive advantage for us.
Yep.
So they're like, like well we like this counter
positioning thing ben and mark are who are we going to counter position against not kleiner
and probably not sequoia like we talked about on the last episode like you're going to come at the
king you best not miss and uh that just seems like really hard. Maybe we should counter position against Benchmark.
Our buddy Andy's not there.
It's like the old saying, you either die a hero or you live long enough to see yourself become
the villain, right? Oh, and on that note, I know you're about to talk about this later. And so I
won't disclose how Mark announced the existence of the fund. But in the first sentence of the
interview that he did announcing the fund, he literally said the sentence, I'm crossing over into the dark side.
That's actually great because I cut that from the quote that I was going to use.
All right, perfect.
That's the perfect, perfect. So much later, Ben would actually just say point blank. He was like,
yeah, we were always the anti-benchmark. Our design was not to do what they did.
And of course, he's referring to them telling him that he wasn't CEO material, but also
just like in general, we're going to do the opposite of what they do.
So now the question becomes, okay, Mark and Ben know what they're going to do.
They're going to counter positioning against benchmark.
How do they do that?
Well, the obvious first thing is we don't fire founders here.
And we support young technical founders, help them become the best CEOs that they can be.
And we're not going to do what David Byrne tried to do to us.
And I love the way they talk about this, because clearly it's something they deeply believe,
having both been computer science undergrads and gone on to become founders of companies, the way that they sort of describe
it is without a synthetic network, without a network of what Andreessen Horowitz would become,
a technical founder doesn't really have a chance of becoming a professional CEO.
The pace of the company's growth is going to require a CEO network, a CEO's understanding of
how to organization build much faster than someone can develop those skills. So the thesis behind
developing what would later become platform at the entire VC ecosystem platform teams was really
Mark and Ben saying, well, how can we synthetically create or simulate
all the tools that a real professional CEO has if you are a technical founder, if you are the
innovator? Because their core belief, they believe that the innovator should be the one who is
running the company. And if that is true, oh my gosh, there's all these problems that now we have
to help them fix. Totally. Well, now think about how this all fits back into these various VC firms'
strategies. So what was Kleiner's strategy for overcoming this? It was the kuretsu.
Great. We're going to take all these founders and all these young companies,
and how do we turbocharge them into being real companies and building their networks and doing
deals? We're going to have them all work together and we have the best companies. And so that's
great. Now think about the benchmark strategy, right? Of like, we're going to position against
Kleiner. What do you need? If you're the benchmark strategy, you need CEOs who are grownups, who are
capable of standing on their own and running the companies because they're not going to get a lot
of support on that front from benchmark because it's just the partners. So now it starts to explain some of the
behaviors here over the past few decades. You show me the incentives, I'll show you the behavior.
Exactly. Exactly. Okay. So they start thinking about this. They're like, what are we going to do?
Well, we want to raise a big fund and we want to be a big firm. We're going to have a lot of management fees associated with that.
And we, Mark and Ben, we don't really need the management fee income streams. We've made plenty
of money and we're used to as being entrepreneurs, not VCs, not getting high ongoing salaries.
Lumpy cash flows.
Exactly. Exactly. So what if we take all
these management fees and we staff up, we build a platform at Andreessen Horowitz.
So 2.5% of $300 million is $7.5 million a year. That's a lot of money.
Right. And classically, when people say 2.20, it's 2% on average for the lifetime of the fund.
So you can sort of say, in the back half, we're not going and 20, it's 2% on average for the lifetime of the fund. So
you can sort of say, in the back half, we're not going to be doing as much active work on this
particular portfolio. So we'll take 1 and 1 half at the front end. We want to take 2 and 1 half
to balance it out. But yeah, David, you're right. It's like, gosh, if we're not paying ourselves,
which we should say for at least the first two years, Mark and Ben did not take a salary,
we got a lot of cash we can spend on stuff.
Yeah, on people and resources. So then you start thinking about this dynamic. You start thinking
about the rest of the venture industry through Mark and Ben's lenses as former entrepreneurs.
If you've got these firms that are small partnerships, not that many people, but they're just getting these huge management fee streams.
Well, it's kind of weird then that these VCs are telling entrepreneurs, oh, you should take $50,000 annual salaries, which is what was the norm back in these days.
$50,000, $60,000 is your annual salary. And you should give us this big ownership,
but we're going to make a few mil a year each, rain or shine out of these management fees.
Interesting. So the next piece that they start thinking about is of how they can counter position.
So benchmark more so than pretty much any other venture firm even to this day.
But lots of venture firms felt the same way. They had this Series A purist approach and really this
idea that still permeates venture to this day that the Series A, that's the real craft of venture.
That's the board. It's related to this board member thing that like that round is this
sacred special round where the shoe leather really gets polished, so to speak.
And to say why, because in this very clear cut world, which we're not in now of these
crazy names for rounds and incredible fluidity of rounds, there was not a seed asset class.
There were no seed firms. And so the Series A was your
first professional venture capital institution coming in and writing a check into your company,
taking a board seat the first time you have real governance. And before that, you have whatever
cowboy would help you as an angel investor get to something that looked venture capital fundable.
If that even happened at all. I mean, in many cases, the Series A, that was the very beginning
because you needed a few million dollars to go buy servers and do all that. But by the time we're
talking about here in 2008, 2009, the Series A has really become this catbird seat for the
venture capitalists because they can outsource
all the real early stage risk to the seed stage with way less capital, have these companies get
going. And then once they kind of start to show product market fit and a lot of the risk has been
removed, then the series A venture firms can come in, lead a round, and there's still all this sort
of hangover
baggage with the round where it's like, well, it's the norm that whoever leads your Series A
is going to get a huge ownership percentage in your company, like 25%, 30% ownership.
And it turns into this total bonanza for the venture firms who aren't really taking that much
risk. So Mark and Ben are like, hmm, well, what if we say that Andreessen Horowitz will do
any round at any time? We'll do seed. We'll do lots of seeds. And we won't take board seats in
the seed investments. And you don't need that much capital. We won't give you that much capital. And
we won't take that much ownership. And then we'll do series A's, sure. But we'll also do series B's and we'll also do
growth rounds. So listeners who are not professional venture capitalists listening to this,
it kind of sounds like, okay, cool. They'd have a different strategy. They don't focus on a stage.
They just focus on lots of stages. And for anyone who has raised a fund before,
you will know how insane this sounds. What venture capitalists classically pitch to LPs is,
our sweet spot investment is this. It is a company that looks like this. It is a stage
that looks like this. It is an ownership percentage that looks like this. It is a
check size that looks like this. And it's a set of governance rights that generally look like this. And we intend to do that 20 to 40 times.
And that is how we will construct our portfolio. And so therefore, there can be a bunch of different
variations among the companies as they go along. There'll be winners, there'll be losers,
but they'll all kind of start out like this. So that's what you're buying.
And by starting a venture firm and being like, we're stage agnostic, we're governance agnostic. It's just like, so wait, sorry, what's the thesis?
Totally. It seems crazy. But again, they look out at the ecosystem and they're like,
wait a minute, there's these super angels of which we've been them. We're doing great.
We're cleaning up on Twitter and Facebook and LinkedIn and Zynga, I think.
Groupon, all of these companies, we're in them. We're doing great at seed. Why on earth would
we stop that? Then they look downstream past the Series A. There's a whole set of venture firms
at this point in time that all they do is they just ride the coattails of Sequoia and Benchmark
and Kleiner. And they say, what Series A's did they do?
Great.
We're going to come in.
We'll mark it up like 2X at the Series B.
We'll ride along.
And they're doing great.
And so Andreessen's like, you know, Andreessen Orr, they're like, we can blow these guys
out of the water.
Then they look across even further and they're like, whoa, there's this whole other asset
class out there.
I'm talking about like Summit and TA and Silverague, which is going to come back up.
Now, those guys, they're deploying a lot of capital.
They're getting less multiple returns, but the dollar returns that they're generating
are enormous right now.
In pretty short periods of time with very, very protected downside.
So very low risk,
low multiple, but fast return, big dollar amount investments.
Totally. And they don't even pretend to offer any of the stuff that venture firms pretend to offer. So they're like, huh, okay, great. So this whole set of things, this we're going to build
a big firm, people-wise,
we're going to use the management fee resources to build out platforms to help
technical founder CEOs become CEOs.
And they would later call these networks, like each individual function,
recruiting or finance or acquiring enterprise customers.
They call these networks at the firm.
Yep.
So we're going to do that. We're going to not necessarily focus solely on series A's. We'll do
series A's. Series A's are great, but we'll also do seeds. We'll also do growth rounds because we
think there's opportunity there and we can break in. And then the governance thing, sometimes we'll
take board seats, sometimes we won't take board seats, but we don't necessarily need to. And maybe that'll help us scale. I would say all of that collectively becomes
the counter-positioning against benchmark. And it works to varying degrees. On the whole,
it works great. There are a few specific things that don't work. So the seed and the governance
in particular, I think these are good ideas and they work now, but at the time,
they sort of inadvertently leave a pretty big flank exposed to old school VCs here,
which becomes this signaling effect. And this became talked about for like
five to seven years after this was an issue. Oh my God. People were still talking about this
like three, four years ago, which is insane. All right. So what is it, David? So if Ben and Mark are going to go out there and do all
these seeds and not take board seats, well, the question then becomes if they don't invest in the
next round in the series A or later, is that going to send a really negative signal to the market of
like, oh, well, Andreessen Horowitz had the inside information on this company because they did the seed, and now they're doing the A in a competitor. Does that mean that
the original company that they seeded is no good? Other VCs in private and in public vehemently
attack Andreessen Horowitz on this front. The reality is the most exemplary cautionary tale about this is completely the
opposite. And that is, of course, Instagram. Instagram. Yep. Which is so great. So Andreessen,
along with Baseline, does the seed in Instagram and then chooses at the Series A in one of the
most boneheaded decisions of all time,
to instead back competitor Pick Please. Well, right, because they ended up both being in their portfolio because Instagram started as bourbon, pivoted into Instagram. Suddenly, Andreessen
Horowitz has a problem because they have two competing things in their portfolio. And they're
like, well, we got to pick one and we're picking Pick Please. Totally. So now what actually happens
here? Like,
oh, what you would think, you know, if you buy the narrative of the attack against entries and Horowitz signaling effect, Instagram, they're toast far from it. They go raise a series
a from benchmark from Matt Kohler benchmark. And of course we know what happens there and what
happens to pick please, which is nothing exciting. So the reality is the signaling effect kind of works more against the VC firm than against the companies. But hey.
So David, we've got this thing where the innovator should be running the company.
Andreessen Horowitz is going to have all these networks that are going to augment
that innovator and give them a CEO-like resources at their disposal so they can really be the
professional CEO and the technologist who brought it into the world. They're going to spend a bunch
of management fees to make this possible. They're going to raise a pretty big fund for the time,
$300 million. They're doing wacky stuff with portfolio construction.
Okay. So all this is great, right? They've got this great theory, the grand unified theory of counter-positioning and market entry
strategy into the venture industry, blah, blah, blah, all good.
But Andy's like, look, guys, there's this one other thing, which is the reality on the
field.
I've done a bunch of research here since I joined the faculty at GSB, and I've concluded
with data approved what we all knew all
along, which is that there's a very small finite set of companies that get started in the Valley
every year that actually matter. And it is a blood sport to win the lead position as an investor in
those companies. And you're fighting against Benchmark and Sequoia and Kleiner, and you can
counter position all you want, but you're going to go fight against John Doerr, and you're fighting against Benchmark and Sequoia and Kleiner and you can counter position all you want, but like you're going to go fight against John Doerr and you're
going to go fight against Bill Gurley and you're going to fight against Moritz and Leone and all
these guys. And how are you going to win? Just like, you know, the Mike Tyson quote,
you've got your plan. You're going to, you know, it's going to work until you get punched in the
mouth and they are going to punch you in the mouth. And how are they going to punch you in
the mouth? Well, they're going to say things like, you know, yeah, Mark and Ben, like Mark and Ben sit the browser and that's great and whatnot.
But, you know, they haven't been VCs. They haven't been board members. They haven't been
professionals here. But the other thing that they're going to say, and that's going to cut
way deeper for you guys, is they're going to say that you guys don't have staying power.
You know, as Don Valentine would have said back in the day, obviously not about Mark and Ben, but
he would have said, where are the monuments?
What's Netscape?
What's Opsware?
You guys have built these good stories, good companies.
They're not around anymore.
Who's using Netscape?
Nobody.
So you talk this big game, but where's your eBay?
Where's your Cisco?
Where's your Oracle?
Where's your Google?
They aren't there.
You want to work with us. We've got those monuments. So there's this great quote from the Fortune
cover story when they launched the firm. But there's this quote in there that says,
just five years ago, Andreessen's image was more that of a smart, amiable billionaire playboy who
dabbled ineffectually at technology's fringes he seemed
more paul allen than bill gates then in the same piece this is the from the launch of andreessen
horowitz like think about you know who was placing these quotes there's a quote from steve case
somebody ginned up steve case to like give a quote here mark is like a rock star who had his first album hit big, and then the next ones were not quite the same.
Ooh.
Whoa.
Brutal, right?
Like, they're getting punched in the mouth hard.
Wow, those are brutal.
So, David, you're implying then that in this punch-you-in-the-mouth landscape that's going on, the journalist is doing research for the story, and they just get connected with people who are going to, from day one, right out of the gate, beat the crap out of
Mark and Ben's accomplishments. Yeah. I'm sure Mark and Ben and the great people they were working
with on the PR side, which we'll get into in a sec, they weren't the ones that pointed people
to this quote. The Steve Case thing is interesting interesting too, given that Mark reported to him for nine months as the CTO of AOL.
Totally. There's actually another sentence to the quote where it really softens the blow.
Something like, people have a lot of respect for him that he's persevered or something like that.
But the point, the damage is done here. So they're like, huh, we're going to have to deal with this.
Fortunately, they know somebody who
knows a thing or two about punching other people in the mouth. And that is their other old board
member from the Loud Cloud Opsware days, the original OG Hollywood super agent, Michael Ovitz. Yeah. So great.
We've talked a lot about Ovitz on this show,
CAA and the whole Disney debacle where he goes and becomes president of Disney.
And then we, of course, talked about him joining
the Loud Cloud board after that on the last episode.
But I think if Andy was the inspiration
for the sort of highfalutin strategy of entries in Horowitz, Michaelael was the inspiration for the like okay how are we going to get this done
so the quick story you know on ovitz is he started in the late 60s in the mail room of william morris
you know the storied long-term hollywood talent agency and everybody started in the mail room back
in the days and uh the dynamic in holly Hollywood was totally broken. We're talking here about how
the venture and startup dynamics were a little broken at this time. Hollywood was
bad. The studios controlled everything. They held all the power. They held all the creative
decisions. The talent and the artists, the actors, the directors,
the writers, et cetera, they were more but little more than indentured servants. And the agencies,
like William Morris, they claimed to represent the talent, but they knew who the real customers were,
which were the studios. I don't know if we've talked about it before on the show,
but I've talked about it before with other folks in the Pioneer Square Labs context of how startup studios fit into
the landscape. But I love this equivalence between the Hollywood and tech, where especially in the
old school days, you sort of had the VCs, which are a lot like the studios. And there were three
to five major VC firms with money, and there were three to five
major studios with money that could greenlight a movie. And then, of course, you've got the CEO
founder, who's a lot like the director of a film. And then everyone else, including the actors who
works on the film, is a lot like the team of the startup. And watching the way that the power
dynamics evolved between these two ecosystems in parallel is really fascinating.
Totally. So what Ovitz does, so he and a bunch of buddies from William Morris, they're like,
screw this, there's got to be a better way. They leave and they go start their own firm. It's
exactly like Jerry Maguire. Jerry Maguire was actually about this guy, Lee Steinberg,
in the sports agent world, but it's the same story. So they leave, they're going to start
a new firm and they're going to focus on the talent, not the studios. They're going to figure
out how to deliver the power to the artists and the talent and take it away from the studio.
So how do they do that? One, they package projects and talent together, and then they
sell whole packages to studios and say, we'll sell the rights to you. But by doing that versus like,
oh, we represent this actor and you studio, you're making this project. It's more like,
no, no, no, we got the project and the artists on the project and we packaged it and we're
going to bid these studios off against one another to finance it at the highest price.
So how do they do that? Well, they got to connect up the talent. They got to take the
talent from being like each individual person for their own to like working together against
the studios. How did they do that? Well, they transform what the firm from being, you know,
each individual agent is a silo to we are a network. We're like a web network. They call it the franchise. And so anybody who's
part of CAA, your job is to have your clients, but to get them to work with all the other clients
of the firm that are represented by- A shared Rolodex.
A shared Rolodex. And so to do that, everybody at CAA is a partner. No mailroom, no blah, blah, blah. We're all here.
We're all together. This is about the franchise. And it's really fascinating in a business strategy
context, zooming out what they did. And this is a common discussion point on Stratechery of what is
the point of integration within a value chain? And what it used to be was at the studio level,
because that's where the money would come from. And then it used to be was at the studio level, because that's where the money would
come from. And then they would get to aggregate all the resources together using their money and
the fact that it wasn't that competitive, because there were very few people that they were competing
against, and they knew them very well, and nobody wanted to lose their power. And when you start
having CAA say, actually, we're going to package all this together. The point of integration shifted
down the value chain one click to where now it was happening with CAA. Exactly.
And the important thing here is wherever the point of integration is, that's where you gain power.
That's where you're able to become more than a commodity, where you're able to gain... Basically,
you're able to create margin,, you're able to create margin where
you're able to get more cash for something than it costs you to assemble it. So what does CAA do?
They create the project. So Jurassic Park, Lethal Weapon, Schindler's List. These are CAA projects.
These are not studio projects. They pull them together and then they bid them out to the
studio since now all of a sudden all these studios bidding against one another the price goes way up
the dollars flowing into the space goes way up and the artists all do way better so tom cruise
kevin costner barbara streisand steven spielberg you know within a couple years years, CAA is just vacuuming up everybody. And so literally the term that they use that I think Ovid's coins become said about CAA
and Hollywood about all this is they become, quote, the dream execution machine.
You're an artist.
You have a dream.
CAA is your dream execution machine.
It's great marketing.
Oh my God.
So Ben and Mark, they're like, oh, holy crap.
This is so great.
What better?
What better analogy to use than we're going to go build the dream execution machine in
startups?
Which happens to work particularly well because they're working with technical founders.
Exactly. You have the glint of a dream and the ability to create the core piece of value,
the core way a customer interacts with it and gets value out of the product. But you can't do all
the other stuff. We are the dream execution machine. You should come to us. Yep. Yep. They're
just like a director or a great actor or a great writer,
et cetera. So the sort of last unwritten, but it didn't need to be written principle at CAA was
take no prisoners and we're going to burn the old system to the ground. Like F all of those people.
And of course, Ben and Mark have that same ethos about the venture ecosystem.
And whether theirs was written or not internally, it certainly
became written externally in all of their communications. They pulled no punches in
talking about how the entire existing incumbent industry sucked and people were greedy or...
We'll pull some quotes later, but they were not shy about being critical of the establishment.
Totally. So this is the punch back in the mouth.
Like, great, you're going to punch us in the mouth, say that we're has-been rock stars who
are one-hit wonders. We're coming at you twice as hard. So that's what they do. And they also
basically wholesale copy the firm building approach from CAA. So as you said, the platform
and the networks that they build up,
they hire a whole bunch of people. They have a biz dev network to connect founders with large company customers. They've got an executive recruiting network. They've got an engineer
recruiting network. They've got a future financing like other venture firms network and an M&A
network associated with that too. You need an acquirer, we'll hook you up with acquirers. And then of course, probably the most differentiated and important last piece of this is
they have a PR network. Yeah, which they wouldn't say is the most differentiated. The most
differentiated I think they would say is like the executive briefing center and our ability to
galvanize a set of Fortune 500 companies to become your customers.
But in reality, yes, they are masterful at PR. Well, Ben would say later, I had this quote later,
but here's the perfect spot for it. He would say, literally, we introduced a new concept
to the field of VC, which was called marketing. And it's true. No venture firms were doing this for themselves or helping their
companies with PR and marketing before Andreessen Horowitz. Well, the interesting thing about why
no venture firms were doing it about themselves was the commonly accepted wisdom is that opacity
plays to our advantage. I think most people didn't actually think through it. They just thought,
what have successful venture capitalists done in the past? And that was be opaque,
don't make too much PR noise other than to claim your win when you have it. But you don't need to
take these big positions and be brash and counter position publicly. And Andreessen Horowitz not
only saw that as a thing they could exploit, but I can't remember if it was Mark or Ben I was listening to on a podcast that we'll link to in the
show notes, along with a lot of other sources we did for research for this one, brought
up the fact that if you trace back the origins of institutional firms, like venture capital
firms, it comes from the investment banks of the 40s and 50s who were opaque because
they were financing wars.
There was lots of reasons about why they wouldn't talk about where their returns were coming from
or their excitement about the projects they were financing. Whereas Mark and Ben are unabashed
optimists about the future, Mark in particular, of just standing on the largest soapbox possible
and preaching about how cool
the future will be and how much better off everyone will be, both on average and in every
spot in the distribution in the long run.
So let's bring that closer as fast as possible and be really loud about the future that we
see and about the companies that we're investing in to build it and how much we believe in
that and how unapologetic we are about that. And that was just totally different than the commonly accepted wisdom of how venture
capitalists should go to market. Yeah. Well, two things. One, I think the version of hiding the
war financing of investment bankers that VCs were doing here is they're hiding the management fees.
Come on, you got a 10-person organization, half of which are assistants, and you're making 20 mil across your funds in management fees a year.
I don't want to shout that from the rooftops if I'm a VC firm.
Or brag about how I'm putting 2 million into work to own 30% to 40% of a company.
Yeah, exactly. Then the other thing though, the flip side is,
if you are going to go be unabashed about
pounding the table about what you're doing in the future, if you're an entrepreneur who
you think you're part of building that future, God, now you've got a champion.
This is great.
Yep.
So there's one other person along these lines that they go see before launching the firm,
which is the number one, hands down, best PR person in Silicon Valley at the time,
Margit Wenmachers at the OutKast PR agency. So Margit had co-founded OutKast and they had
all the best clients, all the best clients, Facebook, Salesforce, VMware. And they worked
with them from the time they were nobodies still up through
being huge companies. Amazon, they did the Kindle launch and still work, to this day,
still work with the Kindle team. So the story of how they get connected is, Margaret tells this
on an A16Z podcast episode. She says that one of the companies that Mark and Ben had been angels in
wanted to work
with OutKast, but Facebook blocked it and said it was a conflict and wouldn't let OutKast work with
them. So Mark had just joined the board of Facebook and he gets involved in trying to smooth this all
over. And he's like, wow, market is really amazing. And I see a Facebook, like what she's doing there.
So he gins up an excuse to get her contact info,
calls her up, you know, supposedly to talk about this situation and instead brings her to the
creamery in Palo Alto, sits down with Ben and they just like talk the whole time about how they're
going to launch a venture capital firm. I've got another project for you, which is great.
So Margaret's like, okay, you know, like we work with venture capital firms. I can do this.
What are you going to call the firm? And they're like, we're going to name it Andreessen Horowitz. She's like, that is a
terrible idea. You're talking about this big game about how you're going to be a franchise. You're
not going to be about the partners. It's all about the entrepreneurship network. And you're
literally going to put your own names on the door. Are you serious? And they're like, no, no, no,
no, no. It's not what you you think we did a whole big branding exercise about
this we hired a big branding firm we did all this work and we decided we need to do this for two
reasons one andreessen you know mark andreessen is a known quantity he invented right it's already
a brand it's already a brand he's already a brand so we can draft off of that to get going. And then once we get going, we transition from Andreessen Horowitz
to A16Z, which is A to Z. So supposedly the story is, I guess it's probably true
that people used to abbreviate internationalization to-
Oh, I actually, no, it's definitely true. My first job when I was 14
was as a product test engineer at this medical printer company in Cleveland.
I did not know that. That's awesome. We're learning some Ben Gilbert history.
Yeah. And I did some internationalization work, which you only need to type that once before
you're like, well, I never want to type that word again. And that is abbreviated I-18N.
So people really do do this.
Absolutely. And there's another one. I think it's localization. Might be L something N,
L-16N or L-11N. I can't remember how many letters, but yeah.
Interesting. So they're like, well, it's perfect. It's kind of a geeky reference.
Super esoteric.
Super esoteric. But it's A to Z. And we're going to do A to Z at Andre Snorritz. We'll do any round
A to Z. This is great. By the way, you'll get a heads up that Mark and Ben are going to step
back from the firm when they actually formally change the name to A16Z. I was looking for it
in this most recent visual refresh that they did. I'm like, oh, is it time?
Are they actually flipping it to A16Z?
But nope, nope.
The official logo, as you'll see on the art for this episode, is still Andreessen Horowitz.
Still Andreessen Horowitz.
Interesting.
It's got to be coming.
I mean, all across the website, everywhere, and on all the media they do, it's A16Z.
It's not Andreessen Horowitz.
Yeah.
But it's still the unofficial moniker.
Still there, baby.
So there's one other thing, one other benefit about the name, which we know very, very well
at Acquired.
They're going to be listed first in the phone book.
Yeah.
Huge advantage.
Huge advantage.
I mean, it literally is a huge advantage.
You know, anytime that a reporter's writing a piece about them talking about various venture capital firms, you know, as much as not, they're just going to alphabetize stuff. And who's going to come first? Andres Norowitz is going to come first.
We happen to be just very lucky that podcast clients are not terribly sophisticated in how they do sorting. And so whenever you subscribe to a show, it just displays them in alphabetical order. Totally.
So Margaret's like, yeah, all right, whatever.
Fine.
All right. You guys have done a lot of justification to put your names on the door.
I won't argue with you.
Rationalize, rationalize, rationalize.
Great.
Yep.
But what you need is you need to build a pipe and you need a cover story.
So what do you want to do?
What outlets do you want to go on? Where's your cover story? You know, I can get you whatever you want. What do you want to do? What outlets do you want to go on? Where's your cover
story? I can get you whatever you want. What do you want to do? So February of 2009, Mark goes on
Charlie Rose. Even 15 years later, it holds up really well.
Yeah, it was really good. So landing Mark on the show when there's no reason for it. It's not like
he has a new company or anything. There's no in fact the funniest thing is that i tweeted this from the acquired account last night there's
a some point where it brings up the little like title tag underneath and it says mark andreessen
i think it's founder yeah founder ning you're like founder of ning like it was true at the time but
like did anyone care about Ning?
Not really.
That's the best you can come up with?
Yeah.
We should be clear.
He is on the board of Facebook.
He's involved in some stuff that's going crazy.
He's an investor in Twitter, and Twitter is in its third month of vertical line growth.
He's not just the Netscape guy.
He's involved in something that these companies that
are part of a cultural phenomenon at the moment. Totally. Still, it was a pretty big win for
OutKast to get him on the show. So Charlie starts off and says, when we interview people like you,
we always have to ask the question, what's the hottest idea there in Silicon Valley? What's
the next big idea? So Mark replies, well,
maybe this goes off track from your question. He's great at redirecting. He's obviously had
some training. But I think the hottest idea is that innovation is actually alive and well.
Remember, this is February 2009. But look, there are a lot of people out there who are arguing
the other side of that.
So he's already setting up like, we are the champions of innovation. Only we can save you.
Then Charlie asks him about rumors he's been hearing that Mark is starting a venture capital
firm. It's like rumors he's been hearing. This is why he's on the show. Totally.
Generous of you to give him... Rumors he's been hearing from Margaret that you are starting a venture capital firm.
And you have to realize, before you finish, I think it is worth planting the seed.
I watched this interview because I was reading an article and I was like,
oh, this article says that he announced it on the show.
I should go watch the Charlie Rose interview where he announces it.
And I start watching it and I get 20 minutes in and I'm like, this isn't about
Andreessen Horowitz.
And then I remembered like exactly what you opened with.
Obviously, it wasn't a brand yet.
He wasn't known for being an investor yet.
And so if you're making the pitch to Charlie Rose of you need to have this guy on the show,
Charlie's throwing Mark a bone by letting him mention his new project to galvanize it on this show.
And so, of course, it only occupies three minutes of a 50-minute interview.
So Mark replies with, as he said at the top of the show, the,
yes, I'm going to the dark side. But then he says, so I'm creating a fund. And as you know,
our claim to fame is we've actually been entrepreneurs. We're by entrepreneurs
for entrepreneurs. We've done it. We've been on that side of the table for a long time.
We know what it's like. Yet another way they're counter-positioning. It's like,
oh my gosh, these professional investors out there, you don't want to work with them. You
want to work with us because we've been in your shoes, which is now the dominant dogma that VCs feed to founders. And then just kind of uncommon. They were the first.
You heard it here first on Charlie Rose.
Yeah.
Yeah. It's actually really funny. Did you get to the part later in the episode where
they're talking about various new seed stage companies in Silicon Valley. And Mark starts
talking about this really interesting guy who's starting a company and he's proven demand for it.
Yes. He describes what we do at PSL, the validation process of driving traffic and
having a brand and testing conversions. He just built a landing page. There's no product.
Did you get to the part where he says who it is? Yes. It's Andrew Chen.
It's Andrew Chen.
Who would become his partner 10 years later.
So great. So great. And he's trying to remember, oh, what was that guy's name?
Right. He pitched me on this thing. I think he's getting close to having a round that's
coming together. Good for him. And of course, this is pre-Uber. Andrew hadn't even done the
growth thing at Uber yet.
Oh, so great. These artifacts of history. I just love them.
It's like when Don Valentine holds up the resume and it turns out to be Alfred Lin's.
Like it's like that kind of reference.
It's one of those moments.
Totally.
So the actual big cover story reveal, as we've said, July 2009 cover story, Fortune magazine,
Marcus, I think not barefoot in this one on a throne i actually didn't
see what the image was i'll be very curious i'll look it up while you talk great they announce
andreessen horowitz 300 million dollar fund which was very large at the time especially for
a first time fund the piece starts off with the old netscape email story about uh with that we told last time
about ben emailing mark about the launch back at netscape and mark replying like next time do the
effing interview yourself f you yeah and then this is where the quote from mark of this is why i
should not run another company comes up, which of course, like this
is the perfect, oh yes, we're starting a venture capital firm because I shouldn't run another
company. Ha ha ha. Perfect. So the cover image is this like pretty hokey Uncle Sam gag where it's
Mark pointing at the camera and it says, I want you to get the future. And David, I'll hold it
up so you can see it here in the camera. Oh my God, that's so great. I want you to get the future. David, I'll hold it up so you can see it here in the camera. Oh my God, that's so great. I want you to get the future so present given that future
would be the future for them. That's awesome. Okay, so a couple of quotes later in the article.
First, quote, entrepreneurs are sure to be attracted to Andreessen, drafting off the
Andreessen brand here, who expresses more kinship with founders
than with his peers in the finance world. One blog post that Mark has written titled,
The Truth About Venture Capitalists Raised the Question, VCs? Soulless and Rapacious Capitalists
or Surprisingly Generous Philanthropists? Two guesses which side of the coin he comes down on in that piece.
Talk about punching back in the mouth.
It's like, how could you even have listed the second one?
It's like, of course, it's not the second one.
Yeah.
Has anyone in John Doerr's life or Don Valentine's life ever accused them of being
merely a philanthropist?
Like, no, come on.
It's the readers of Fortune, too. They do some great philanthropy, but- For sure, but not through Sequoia and Kleiner Perkins.
No, definitely not.
I mean, it's a value created for the world. Clearly, I believe that or I wouldn't be in
this line of work and you and us doing this show and everyone listening, but it's not philanthropy.
It's just so easy for Mark to set up these
straw men here. But the punches are flying in this article. We've already alluded to this a little
bit. So later in the piece, another quote, the Andreessen Horowitz strategy of investing in a
menagerie of startups could pose hazards. And here's a direct quote in the article. If I were one of those guys whose
company stumbles, will they, they being Mark and Ben, be there to help me or will they have time,
says Paul Holland, general partner at Foundation Capital, a Silicon Valley venture firm.
Where the pain part of it comes is when you get up to those 60 or 70 investments.
It will be an interesting chore to keep track of all that. Bad idea to go on the record here, Paul.
It's like everyone's just finding a way to talk their own book. It's like,
whatever my strategy is, is superior because XYZ. Whatever they're doing is stupid because of XYZ.
Yeah, totally, totally. So it lands with a big splash. They're in business. They got this $300
million fund. It's summer 2009. I think, according to PitchBook, the very first check they write is
actually a small, very small check early. I think they hadn't even done a final close on the fund
into, do you know the company, Ben? Is it Seattle-based?
Not a Seattle-based company. This is a very small check that they write.
No. Into a larger round, a Series C that is led by somebody else of a then,
this is like at the end of 2008. So it must've been just like a first close on the fund,
like a warehoused investment or something like that. A then very, very hot company,
end of 2008 in Silicon Valley. Not Facebook, not Twitter,
another social media company. LinkedIn?
Nope. Dig. Dig.com. Dig. I knew he was... I thought that was a personal investment.
I think it was, but I think they managed to get a little bit of fund money into their series C.
I was obsessed with Dig. Oh great kevin rose amazing in the
reddit versus dig war i was so team dig as like better designed it makes more sense i watched
dignation i think every episode of dignation i was all in so great so great me too oh it was the best
so that was the first then the first like first real actual large check round that they lead is a Seattle company, Appdio.
Appdio. While doing research for this episode, I was on a bike ride and I rode past the Appdio building and I was listening to some podcast interviews with Mark and Ben and I took a selfie and sent it to David and I was like, doing research. And the irony is I was going to a Giants game
in San Francisco right at the same time.
And when I get out of the Uber,
like a block away from the Giants stadium,
I get out right in front of Andreessen Horowitz's
new San Francisco office building
with the big sign up front.
I didn't notice if it was A16C or Andreessen Horowitz.
I think it was Andreessen Horowitz.
It's Andreessen Horowitz. Yeah. Yeah, You know if they're putting it on the sign that
the intention is for it to stay around for at least a few more years.
At least a few more years.
But yeah, the Aptio investment. I mean, it's a co-investment with
both of our former employer, Madrona.
Yep. And Greylock, I think, too.
Yeah. And I think they had worked with Sunny in the past, the founder at, was it at LoudCloud?
So I think Sunny's previous company had been acquired into LoudCloud.
But that was really emblematic of part of what the thesis was at that point is we've worked with
these amazing people over the course of our careers. We're going to be a network-driven firm
and they didn't have the firepower yet to be a network-driven firm, and they didn't have
the firepower yet to be a thesis-driven firm. Now they're extremely thesis-driven. But at that point,
it was like, oh, this guy's an entrepreneur and starting a company, or it was, I think,
already a company in flight. Absolutely, we should invest in him. We know him very well.
He's a great employee. Totally. Well, so one of their other first checks...
Speaking of stage agnostic.
Speaking of that same, we're going to invest in the Opsware, LoudCloud diaspora.
Great, great indeed.
Truly great people.
I think this is one of their first five or 10 investments.
Rockmelt.
Rockmelt.
Our boy, great friend of the show.
Eric Fischria.
Former Opsware VP of Marketing,
future Benchmark Capital general partner, Eric Vichria. Pretty cool. So funny that they led
his round. Benchmark, I don't think was an investor in Rockmelt. Well, the other funny
thing about that is that it was supposed to be a next generation web browser. And obviously,
Mark knows a thing or two about web browser. And obviously, like
Mark knows a thing or two about web browsers. And Rockmount was like, you know, what if the browser
had built in social characteristics and could bring in your your newsfeed and Twitter and all
this stuff right into the browser. So it was like a sweet spot investment for Mark and Ben having
worked directly with Eric. And then also, you know, Mark saying that seems plausible.
Yep. Totally. It was it was a great
idea. I was I remember using it. I thought the browser was great. It was built on Chromium.
You know, it was in many ways it was brave before it was brave too early and before crypto was a
thing. Yeah. Okay. Do you know what I was referring to? Speaking of stage agnostic?
You're talking about their $50 million investment in September 2009?
In the first year of operations of the fund out of a $300 million fund.
They're just going to put one sixth of it.
$50 million into one company that ended up looking genius.
But boy, did this cause a lot of kerfuffle and criticism when they did it.
Boy, did it ever. September 2009, $50 million deployed alongside Silver Lake.
The private equity firm, Silver Lake.
Tech private equity firm, Silver Lake, who I believe the Silver Lake headquarters are
in the same Rosewood office park on Sand Hill Road that the Andreessen headquarters are in.
Maybe they talked about it at lunch at the Rosewood one day. We haven't talked about the
headquarters on literally in the Rosewood complex on Sand Hill. Can't get any better than that.
So yeah, $50 billion into the spin out of Skype from eBay. So the whole transaction, a $2 billion purchase of 65% of Skype from eBay.
Worked out pretty well, but they probably should have spun out PayPal instead of Skype. That would
have been a lot better. Hey, I mean, well, they did eventually, but both of them ended up being
really fantastic ideas. Both of them created a lot more value independently.
Oh, I did. But yeah, Andreessen Horowitz wasn't part of the PayPal spit out.
Early stage investors often talk about how there's a minimum ownership percentage that
they need to hit in order for it to be meaningful for the fund return, which is true if you're only
deploying a very small percentage of your fund. But this is a case where they used $50 million to buy 1.8% of Skype.
So on the one hand, you're like, oh man, that 1.8%, gosh, we need to own a lot more for
this to be meaningful for our fund.
However, since you were putting $50 million to work, that even if you got a 2x on that,
which is not great by venture standards for a normal early stage investment, but I mean, that really is meaningful toward helping to return the fund.
Yeah.
Yeah.
And they ended up getting what?
Like a 4X on it?
A 3X.
Yeah.
3X.
And it was quickly.
It was just a year and a half.
It ended up turning into 153 million for them.
Yeah.
So a couple of things on this.
One, Mark, back to like, okay, what are we going to do here at Andrews?
No, this is going to become a case study.
So he helps broker a Facebook partnership for Skype, which I remember this.
Remember when Facebook integrated Skype for video calling?
In Messenger.
Yeah, man, huge.
Could you imagine something like that happening today?
No effing way.
No.
That was all Mark.
And then he helps recruit Tony Bates to come in as the CEO.
Tony from Cisco was a rising star there.
And then in a later fortune piece that Margaret would place another great one talking about
the deal, quote, the clincher was Bates's meeting with Andreessen.
Quote, I'd always been a big admirer, but never met him, Bates says of Andreessen.
Going into the Andreessen Horowitz office was an experience.
They have this wonderful library in the lobby, and I looked for a couple books that were
special to me.
One was Neuromancer by William Gibson.
I couldn't find it, so that became a good opening to the conversation.
Ah, and I think it's Mark's personal library is the library in the lobby.
But you can just see the whole mystique, the firm, the franchise, all of this being woven
together here. And it's happening in public in Fortune magazine.
In the press.
So great.
Yeah. There's another great little end of this story, which is there's a blog post where Ben Horowitz
said that the Skype deal generated a tremendous amount of controversy for us.
That controversy ended this morning.
And of course, this is when the deal gets done.
What was it?
Nine and a half billion dollars that Microsoft acquired it for?
I think eight and a half, somewhere in that neighborhood.
Oh, eight and a half.
That's right.
Still pretty nice quick return. Unfortunately,
shortly after this, right around this time, I don't know. I keep saying the biggest mistake
in the firm's life, but the reality is Instagram only got acquired for a billion dollars. There
were two mistakes. One, Andreessen screws up not continuing to invest in Instagram.
Two, Instagram sells to Facebook for a billion dollars.
Versus a, I don't know, 200 billion, 500 billion,
some massive company inside of Facebook that it is today.
Ah, totally.
So sad.
So that was March 2010.
Fortunately, though, also in early 2010, they make a great decision.
Wait, David, I just have to pause for one quick
second and say, Instagram was definitely not their biggest miss ever. Their biggest miss
ever is definitely Uber, right? That's coming. Don't worry. Don't worry.
Yeah. No, you're right. Not the biggest miss for Andreessen, but Silicon Valley's biggest
miss of the past 15 years was Instagram being sold to Facebook.
Accrued to Facebook shareholders, but not the rest of the venture ecosystem.
Totally. That's a whole other rabbit hole that we've been down many times.
So a great decision that they make in early 2010 is they lead the series A of Okta,
the identity company, which they would then own, what, 18% at IPO, I think?
Yep. They owned just a hair under 20% pre-money at the IPO before the new IPO cash came in.
So that, and what was IPO valuation was 6 billion. Is that right?
6 billion. And today it's, what is it? $33 billion. That company has continued
to just be a monster. Yeah. And this is out of a $300 million fund. So at IPO, their stake was
worth? Call it $1.5 to $2 billion at IPO. At IPO and this one company. And if they've held to today...
Which it's unlikely given it was a fund one for them.
Totally. And I'm sure they
distributed over time, so they probably captured some of this upside. But just as a thought
exercise, what, 20% of or 15% of that's what, 5 billion-ish? Ish. Yeah. Not bad. Not bad.
And Okta, this is another one that Mark talks about publicly as we were totally laughed at. Identity providers were a thing already. And Microsoft with Active Directory, it was owned. But the CEO of Okta, Todd McKinnon, had this big thesis around the shift to the cloud means that there's time for a new identity provider. There's room for a new person to come in and none of the incumbents are going to be able to react to it. And Mark always talks about that. This is the kind of thing that we loved
hearing when there's a rearranging of the technology paradigms that are used. And right
now it's just by a small select set of people, but over time, everyone will shift to the cloud.
But yeah, he said they were totally laughed at for doing the Okta deal because it was
very against collective
wisdom that that would be successful.
Well, two things.
One, it even goes deeper than that because Tim Howes, who was early Nutscape guy and
then co-founder of LoudCloud with Ben and Mark and Sikri and everybody, he invented
LDAP, the directory access protocol.
So they knew a lot about this.
And then the other thing, just everything you said reminds me of the classic Sequoia
question, the why now? Well, it was a great why now for Okta. The cloud was changing
everything. There were a lot of companies around this time, and even for the next five years,
were just saying, hey, we're going to do a thing that's already a settled frontier and a very
settled frontier in the on-premise world, but we're going to bet big on cloud and we're going
to architect it in such a way that we're not even compatible with the on-premise world, but we're going to bet big on cloud and we're going to architect it in such a way that we're not even compatible with the on-premise world. If they mistimed the enterprise
shift to cloud, the whole thing would have gone under because there would have been no way to be.
I'm thinking specifically of like a Snowflake, the cloud-based data warehouse.
You had to be binary in your bet and say like, we believe in this thesis at this timing.
And obviously with Okta and Snowflake,
it paid off. But with other cloud bets like LoudCloud, it did not.
The timing was not right. The why now was not great. Well, actually, it was great. It was a
good story. It just didn't play out well. So they're spending money as, let's see, maybe their
VC enemies would say, drunken sailors, maybe, would be a good term at this point.
You know, we're still, we're in like the early parts of 2010.
They've done 50 mil into Skype.
They've done all of these deals.
They're doing tons of seed deals on top of it.
It's a lot.
They're almost out of cash, you know, and they're reserving half the fund for follow-ons.
So they only have 150 mil of new money to deploy.
So they're like, we got to go raise another fund. And so this actually just came out recently. I
saw this in, I forget which publication this was in, but I quote recently that Ben said,
and this is a quote, Horowitz said in a recent clubhouse interview that when the duo were
raising their first investment fund of 300 million, a big sum for a VC firm at the time,
indeed, Andreessen told him they needed to raise a second, much bigger fund right away.
And here's a quote.
In fundraising and in venture capital, strength leads to strength, Andreessen said, according to Horowitz.
It's so true. It's such a good point. Oh boy, strength leads to strength. It's so true. It's
so funny and it's so true. Have you read the Michael Mauboussin paper on persistent differential
returns by asset class? I have. We'll put a link in the sources. But for those who haven't read it,
there's all this data to support the fact that you look on one side of the spectrum at hedge fund managers.
And if you're the top performing hedge fund manager this year, it has almost no bearing
on whether you will be a top performer five years from now, maybe not even one year from
now.
But if you look all the way on the other side of the spectrum at venture capital, and because
he's a good academic, he doesn't presume to state the cause. He just states that there is a correlation,
that the top performing firms stay the top performing firms for a long time. If you're
the top performing venture investor this year, it's very likely that you will be 10 years from
now, or at least one of the top performing ones. And the sort of postulate is that, well, strength follows strength. That
when you do the best deals, you then start to realize the flywheel of getting the best
entrepreneurs that are referred to you. Totally. I mean, this is everything that we
talked about. We spent the last hour and a half talking about of like, how are Mark and Ben going
to break in to this dynamic? I mean, I remember, I think I've maybe talked about this on an episode in the past,
but back when I was an even younger whippersnapper just starting out in BC at Madrona, I got a chance
to get drinks with Bill Gurley once. And I was so eager. I had all my questions prepared. I was
literally like, I had a notebook. And the biggest one I wanted to ask him was like, Bill, tell me
the secret. What is the secret to success
in venture capital? And he just kind of looked at me and he was like,
David, the secret to success in venture capital is success in venture capital.
It's so true. You have success and that gets you more success. You don't have success, good luck.
And to Mark's point here, it also is true in startups. If you are massively out-raising
everyone else in your category, you're going to be able to keep that mindshare of the category
leader. You're going to be able to recruit the best executives. You're going to be able to land
those customers. So there is this... On the one hand, it's hype. And on the other hand,
hype is a self-fulfilling prophecy in a lot of ways. Totally true.
I mean, God, what a great encapsulation of startups and venture and everything.
It is hype, but it's also real.
Anyway, so they go out, summer 2010, and they raise a second fund.
One year after deploying an already large $300 million fund, they raise a $650 million second fund in 2010.
This was nuts.
This was like an atom bomb going off in the industry.
Two reasons.
A, that is so much money.
I mean, when I was at Madrona at the time, we were investing out of a $250 million fund,
and we were a 20-year-old firm.
It's still pretty closely after the financial crisis.
Yeah. I mean, 2010, the pace, the idea that you would blow, quote unquote, blow $300 million
worth of a fund in one year and be back a year later to your LPs to go raise another fund.
This was crazy. The established VC firms,
they were still coming off the hangover from the dot-com bust where they stretched their 99 funds
for four or five, six years. We did that special with Ho at Altos talking about how they had to
stretch a fund. God, how long was it? Six, seven, eight years before they could raise their next one. So this is just like wild
what's happening here. And the press eats it all up. Now, the other thing that raising,
now having almost a billion dollars in capital under management gives them is even more management
fees to go out and recruit more people. So this is when they go back to Margit, who's been just
doing a bang-up job for
them on PR. Which we should say, when you say a lot, this is $16 million of new fees coming in
every year, or about 15. So you got a budget. Wow. You got a budget. How about you leave OutKast
and join Andreessen Horowitz full-time? Now, this wasn't totally crazy because she had already sold
OutKast to a holding company. So she had co-founded it, but it had been sold and they
just brought in a separate CEO. So she comes and full-time joins as head of marketing for
Andreessen. No venture firm had a head of marketing before this. They also bring on
Jeff Stump to run talent.
They bring on John O'Farrell, who was head of BizDev, I think, at Opsware as a GP. Now,
interestingly, he had not obviously been a CEO, despite the mantra of, we only have CEOs as GPs here. But anyway, it works out well. So what do they do? They've had the strength. They now have more strength.
They keep the foot on the gas. They keep deploying the money quickly. So early 2011,
this is crazy and totally works out great for them, but gets pilloried in the industry at the time. They take all this money. They start going and buying private secondary shares in pre-IPO
companies like Facebook and Twitter and Groupon. I don't
know how well Groupon worked out for them, but they deploy what was, I think, over $80 million
into buying pre-IPO secondaries in these companies. Wild. Which they probably were investing exactly
the upper limit of each fund in secondaries because they weren't a registered investment advisory yet. They were just a regular venture firm.
Yep. That makes sense.
Which is what? 20% per firm is what you can do into...
Yep. 20% per fund. So 20% of 650 would have been like, I don't know, 120, 130 million.
So I bet they did.
It's like up to that, give themselves a little breathing room. That's how you come up with the 80.
Yep. It may have been more than 80 too. That may have been just Facebook. Anyway.
So then in April of 2011, they lead a hotly contested series B for a little gaming company, making a game called Glitch. Tiny Specc. By the name of TinySpec. Mark had invested in the seed for TinySpec
personally. And then in the previous fund, Andreessen Horowitz had put a little bit in
in the A that Excel had led. And of course, the head, the CEO of TinySpec is Stuart Butterfield.
Stuart Butterfield. I know that name. So shortly after, like very shortly after, I believe, Andreessen Invest leads this round,
this series B, Stuart sends an email to the board. Quote, we've had this quote on Acquired
before. I did not feel that we are pouring gas on a fire here. More like pouring good whiskey on a drugstore heating pad. It is unlikely to
burst into flames. And he means that bursting into flames being good for the company,
not bursting into flames being quite bad for this new Andreessen Horowitz investment.
Well, I loved his honesty. I mean, it's great.
Yeah. Just keeping it real. So he recommends, they sort of all figured out his board and I
think Mark's involved in all this.
And all right, well, what else are we going to do?
We don't necessarily want the money back.
And they pivot into-
By the way, this is why repeat entrepreneurs, there's a lot of negative things about serial
or repeat entrepreneurs that get a lot of criticism.
It's not their life's work.
They've already made their money.
There's a lot of reasons to be a little bit careful. But this is one way where it massively plays to the company's advantage that Stuart from
Flickr knew what bursting into flames felt like.
You could call it escape velocity.
You could call it getting real traction or product market fit or starting the flight,
whatever it is.
Stuart knew what that felt like, much like Mark did from his Netscape experience.
And this wasn't it. It was not it. No, it was not. So of course, they pivot into this little
front end that they'd built on. It was on IRC, I think. IRC. Yeah, it was like extensions on top
of IRC. Yeah, extensions on IRC for workplace communication that they were using internally.
Decided to call it Slack.
They call up our friends, Andrew and the crew at Metalab.
Andrew now, of course, of Tiny Capital.
Get Metalab to design the UI, take it to market as a product called Slack.
Works out pretty well for everybody involved.
That it did.
And I threw out that 3 billion number earlier.
A lot of these exit numbers are estimated since it's not like we actually know Andreessen Horowitz's returns, but we can back into it based on what we think they own from participating in various rounds or what they owned
at IPO and when we think they may have liquidated. Assuming that they held it from IPO to the 18
months afterwards till the Salesforce transaction, it would have been about a $3
billion outcome. So very good decision for Andreessen Horowitz to let Stewart keep running
with the money, even though the game was not bursting into flames.
Yeah, that's a good couple multiples on that huge $650 million fund too. How would they ever
return that? Oh boy. And when you say how would they ever return that, that's because that was
the knock on Andreessen Horowitz at the time. That was the bare narrative.
These guys made this huge fund. There's no way. $650 million venture fund. Can anybody return that
amount of capital, let alone these new guys? So 2011, oh, boy, what a schizophrenic year.
Here are some of the investments that they made in 2011. Do you remember Shoe Dazzle?
I do.
Yep. Shoe Dazzle. Jawbone. How about that one?
Oh, yeah. Boy, everyone lost money on that.
Oh, boy. It was a great quote from Mark. I forget where. Maybe it was in the New York piece
saying that Jawbone is the new Sony. Not quite.
I mean, such an unbelievable, cool technology innovation that just...
Yeah. Yeah.
Yeah.
Litro Camera.
Remember that one?
Oh, yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
How about this one?
Fab.com.
Jason Goldberg.
Yeah.
Oh, boy.
That was a flame out, unfortunately.
And there was a lot of other big name folks.
Speaking of Dig, Kevin Rose was involved in that one, too.
Oh, in Fab?
Was he? Yeah, I bought some stuff on Fab. They of Dig, Kevin Rose was involved in that one too. Oh, in Fab, was he?
Yeah, I bought some stuff on Fab.
They had really unique merchandise.
Yeah, I did too.
It was cool.
But man, burned through a lot of money.
But it doesn't matter because also in 2011, they bring on a new general partner.
They bring on a few new general partners, I think.
But one in particular, Jeff Jordan.
Boom.
Wow.
So Jeff, I believe, started his career in the famous Disney strat planning group.
I think he worked for Meg Whitman there.
Hmm.
I didn't realize that.
Yet another.
That's quite the mafia.
Yeah, totally.
I think that's how he, if I'm remembering this right, I think this is how he ended up at eBay.
And of course, at eBay, he was North America GM and then championed the
PayPal acquisition and ran PayPal within eBay. Pretty good. Then after that, remember, he left
and became CEO of OpenTable, who was OpenTable's main venture capitalist and board member, Bill Gurley. Ah, wow. The bet noir of Andreessen Horowitz. But Jeff becomes one of the
best consumer investors of the last decade at Andreessen Horowitz. He would go on to do the
Airbnb investment, right? Oh, yeah. In 2011, right after joining. So I believe the first right after joining Pinterest. Wow. Pretty good.
Then Airbnb, then Instacart, then Affirm a couple of years later, many others. He's done so well
that in 2019, he actually became a managing partner. They made him a managing partner of
Andreessen Horowitz, the firm alongside Mark and Ben and Scott Cooper, who's also a managing
partner, but more like the COO of Andreessen.
And I get the sense it's sort of the four of them are like really the sort of stewards
of the firm at this point.
Yeah.
Oh, that's a good word.
That's what Sequoia calls the Sequoia stewards.
They're the four stewards of Andreessen Horowitz.
So quick recap, and this is just a small sampling of the 2011 deals at
Andreessen Horowitz, according to PitchBook. Shoe Dazzle, Jawbone, Bump, Lytro, Fab, Airbnb,
Pinterest, Stripe, Nicera, TinySpec, Facebook, Twitter, Groupon. What a collection.
Whoa. Also, they did Stripe?
They did. The seed. They didn't lead it, but they were part of the seed.
Fascinating. Yeah, man. Slugging percentage, not batting average.
But Ben, you've already alluded to it. You've already spoiled
the biggest mistake in the history of Andreessen Horowitz that they make in 2011. I was going to
ask if you knew what it was, but obviously you know what it is. Which would lead to a subsequent
success, like a multi-billion dollar success, but...
Yeah. Uber, fall of 2011. Oh, this is brutal. Brad Stone does great reporting on this in the upstarts. Andre Snorowitz is in line, specifically Jeff Jordan. Man, could you imagine what a monster
year it already was for Jeff. Pinterest, Airbnb, all in the same year. He's in line, handshake on a deal
to lead Uber's Series B. And of course, who was Uber's Series A investor?
Benchmark.
Benchmark and Bill Gurley. And we've got this huge feud between the firms, but hey,
Bill Gurley was on Jeff's board. They're great. They know each other. We're going to make the
peace here. Handshake deal. It's all done. Jeff is going to lead it. Hot streak is going to continue.
Mark's involved. Everybody's shaking hands on a deal at a slightly over $300 million post-money
valuation for Uber's Series B. God, this reminds me of the Berkshire episode when Warren buys Berkshire. Oh, no, it's brutal.
God, it's so brutal. So somebody, and Brad kind of implies in the upstarts that it was Mark himself,
starts to get cold feet about the deal. He takes Travis out to dinner and he tells him at dinner, they still want to do the deal,
but they can only do 220 post, not 305 or 310 or whatever it was supposed to be.
That's a pretty big haircut. It gets worse. Supposedly, Travis was still going to take the deal. He really wanted Andreessen Horowitz to be the lead. All the marketing had worked. He was going to do it. But then the actual term
sheet arrives. And in the actual term sheet, they must have really had cold feet. They didn't want
to do this deal. This is half-assing your way into a term sheet right here.
This is limping across the finish line if I've ever seen it. They put a huge new option pool
refresh in there, which of course would dilute
existing shareholders and particularly the entrepreneurs even more. And that's the straw
that breaks the camel's back. Travis is like, he very politely tells them he's not going to
take the terms. Yeah, right. Typical Travis fashion. Nope, scorched earth. Big mistake.
Big mistake. And is it Menlo that ends up doing the deal?
Menlo, who was, according to Brad,
the stalking horse for the deal on valuation.
They come in, they're like,
oh yeah, we'll do.
You want over 300 posts?
No problem.
We got that.
Which ironically is the Andreessen Horowitz playbook
that everybody's bashing them on.
Andreessen Horowitz has conditioned us all
that we can pay 50 to 100% more than we
thought for deals. And not only will we win them, but that may actually work out for us
well in the future. And it worked out real well for Menlo,
not Andreessen Horowitz. So sad for Andreessen. Great for Menlo.
Of course, they would go on to invest in Lyft and own... Let me go look at my best guess data here.
I think they owned about 6% at IPO.
And so if you think about when the lockup would have ended, it'd be about a $16 billion
market cap at that point.
They ended up with a billion dollar stake of Lyft at the time that they could liquidate.
And if you want to get really nerdy about this, we covered this, of course, on our Lyft and Uber episodes back in the day. At this time, while this Series B is happening, Uber's
a black card company. Nobody's doing peer-to-peer ride-sharing yet. Nobody. And it wasn't until
2013 when Lyft would be the one that would pioneer, take the homemobiles playbook and do true
peer-to-peer ride sharing. And that's when Andreessen invested in Lyft. They saw the future.
And then Uber launches UberX and the war is on.
Exactly. Don't really want to cross Travis Kalanick.
But just to be super crisp about this, it's a huge, huge loss. Sure, Lyft ended up being worth $16 billion.
Uber at that point was worth $80 billion. I mean, it would have been a completely different
fun dynamic if they were an Uber instead of Lyft. Totally. Huge loss. Man, 2011, what a freaking
year for tech period, but also for Andreessen Horowitz, do you know what else happens in 2011?
Literally right before the Uber deal goes down, which just makes it all the more
mind bending that Mark would get cold feet here. No. Software is eating the world.
Oh my gosh. That's when he published the op-ed? August 2011, right before the Uber deal goes down.
Yeah, op-ed in the Wall Street Journal.
Crazy.
I mean, the piece itself, it's kind of a masterwork of arguing this, there is no bubble thesis.
I mean, at this point in time, people still think tech is overvalued.
We're still in the shadow of the financial crisis.
Mark talks about in the piece,
he says, this is a quote, today's stock market actually hates technology as shown by the all
time low price to earnings ratios for major public technology companies. Apple, for example,
has a PE ratio of around 15.2, the same as the broader stock market, despite Apple's
immense profitability and dominant market position. Yeah, I mean, crazy. Today, Apple's
PE ratio is 32.5, Microsoft is 39, Amazon is 69. The market did hate tech or just didn't recognize
tech at this point in time. Which is fascinating because those companies did have unbelievable gross margin profiles and continually high growth rates for public companies. So it is,
I mean, not as high as they have now. It's crazy to watch all these companies continue to
grow the rate at which they're accelerating even today, even later in their life. But yeah,
at that point, he's totally right that investors in public markets
hadn't really realized this about tech companies yet. The other thing that he sort of sharpens his
pencil on this point later, I don't think he makes it as directly in the software is eating the world
thesis. But he now argues, look, compute costs are just going to zero. Truly, it's going to
asymptotically approach zero. And so at some point, if you have infinite free
compute, which we should say, that does require continuous innovations in energy because it does
take a lot of energy to do stuff. And that's the big knock on crypto. But hey, Moore's law.
Let's make the assumption that compute asymptotically approaches a cost of $0. Then
truly, software can just continue to... The question
becomes, what's the interesting thing that you can do with software, even if you have to have it do
a lot of compute to do the thing that you want it to do? Well, the thing that's so cool that I
didn't put together until doing the research for this episode. Remember last time we talked about
the Mike Moritz line that I don't think is public. I think it's kind of more like an internal sort of Sequoia saying that every successive generation of technology companies should be an order of magnitude bigger because of, more people, and thus the outcome should be bigger and every fund's performance should surpass the last.
It's the same argument as software is eating the world.
It's exactly the same argument.
Compute, cost, declines.
And Mark says in the piece, more and more major businesses and industries are being run on software and delivered as online services from movies to agriculture to national defense. Over the next 10 years, I expect more industries to be disrupted
by software with new world-beating Silicon Valley companies doing the disruption in more cases than
not. That's exactly what happens. The only thing I will disagree with in your comment is that every
successive generation of funds should be that much better
than the previous. Because as we've seen, even in the earliest stages, price goes up. And so your
entry point continues to be higher and higher, even though, as you're pointing out, your exit
value or the addressable market of every single company continues to be greater and greater as
software companies. Look at you making the anti-Andreessen Horowitz argument.
Someone's got to make it here on this optimistic program.
So great. So great. And also then there is this question of like, will that always be true?
Like there's 3 billion people on Facebook now. At some point, if you saturate the entire global
population with compute at their fingertips, and you take up 24 hours of their day, and you have 100% of their value
creating activities, aka their jobs, running on software, at some point, especially because the
population's not growing, it would seem that you no longer have an order of magnitude greater
addressable market than in the previous year. But we're probably very far from that horizon or an order of magnitude more than the previous decade. Well, and I think it looks like
now that crypto is going to be the next answer to that, right? What is the next value of Moore's
law accelerating and decreasing? You said a lot of energy. Ooh, David Rosenthal calling it here
on air. Well, I think Andreessen Horowitz has been calling it for a while. 2013. Okay. So back to that. So after software is eating the world at the end of 2011,
in January 2012, they go out and they raise fund three, one and a half billion dollars.
Oh my gosh. Get at me. You thought we were big before. Watch this. Watch this. So that $1.5 billion fund,
get this, was 7.5% of all of the venture money raised globally in 2012.
Whoa. One fund, one firm.
Wow. That's wild. Isn't that crazy?
It's interesting because it's basically like,
in a lot of ways, Andreessen Horowitz was just slightly out of step with the growth of the rest
of the venture ecosystem. And they took advantage of these arbitrageable moments,
where the one that you were talking about, where they realized, wait a minute, there's actually
less risk in Series A than there used to be because there's
all these seed investors. So therefore, we should invest at Series A because we can kind of get paid
too much in equity for the risk that we're taking. Or more appropriately, other people are getting
paid too much in equity for the risk that they're taking, so we can price higher. And they're kind
of doing it again here where this is really like two years before the race is really on in raising massive, massive funds. So they can kind of play that to
their advantage too. Yep. And what's the other piece of the arbitrage here? It's the summits,
it's the TAs, it's the Silver Lakes. So they raise a $1.5 billion venture fund, 7.5% of all venture
money raised in 2012. But a big portion of that isn't going to venture in the
same way. So pretty quickly after they raised the fund, they do, at the time, you're like,
this was nuts. $100 million Series A in GitHub. GitHub, that's right.
GitHub, yep. And that was the first real capital that GitHub had raised, right?
It had been bootstrapped all the way. Yeah, yeah. It was the first real cap. So this wasn't a Series A.
You know, this was the type of deal that a generation earlier, you know, Summit or Insider
or Silverlake or whoever would be doing.
And this was like the largest quote unquote Series A ever.
Oh, masterful PR and branding of this as a Series A.
There's no way in hell this was a Series A.
But anyway.
I think they bought 10% of the company or something yeah i think even more
i think it was a 750 post money valuation so that sounds familiar yeah whatever you know slightly
more than 10 i do know that they would end up making a billion dollars on this in this the
ultimate sale to microsoft in 2018 yep so that almost returns the whole fund, right? I mean, this is how
that type of investing works is like very low downside, still pretty high upside. I mean,
they 10x that money, right? Yeah. Again, going back to before, a 10x, actually not interesting
to an early stage investor. You kind of need to be in that 50 to 100x territory to make the
portfolio math work for that to be the big winner in the portfolio.
However, if you're investing $100 million out of your $1.6 billion fund, then that 100 million
10x-ing, very impactful for the fund. Very impactful. Yep, totally. So later in 2012, Chris Dixon joins the firm. And Chris, of course, was a very, very well-known
New York entrepreneur, venture capitalist. He started SiteAdvisor and then Hunch,
which was acquired by eBay. He'd started Founder Collective, the seed VC firm. He'd been part of
Bessemer earlier in his career. I remember it because I used to live in New York. People
really identified him with New York. People really identified
him with New York venture capital. He's like, going to Silicon Valley, joining Andre Snorowitz.
This was big news. And shortly after he gets there in 2013, he leads a Series B.
Coinbase?
$25 million in Coinbase at a 150 post. Wow. Oh man, really overpaying for that one.
150 posts. What does this thing even do? Crypto. Here's the kicker. Over the years,
Andreessen Horowitz would keep buying shares from other investors. So other early investors
were selling shares, including USB and others. And Andreessen was just buying, buying,
buying, buying. Man, I mean, this is like ventures of power law. We're talking about so many great
outcomes here. This one dwarfs everything, everything else. At the DPO, Andreessen Horowitz's
stake earlier this year in Coinbase is worth $11 billion. Oh my God. That's 7X, that entire $1.5 billion fund. Oh my God.
Thank God for the investors in that $1.6 billion fund that that Coinbase investment was out of
this fund instead of one of the smaller funds because returning a $1.6 billion fund, no easy
feat. But if you have one $11 billion return in there, okay.
Yeah. And this is the whole thesis, right? It's like these outcomes are bigger than you think.
There is no bubble. These valuations are not just justified, but the crazy prices we're paying
now, we're getting the deal. It's wild.
It's wild. They invest all told in 76 new companies in 2012. In 2013, they had another 97 new companies, including Lyft and
PagerDuty, which is going to be another great win for them. Robinhood, they only do the seed in
Robinhood. I think they don't continue until later. I think that's right. I think until 2020
or something, and they did it with the growth fund. Yeah, yeah. Oculus. By the way, all this
great data that we're finding from our friends of the show at PitchBook, just an awesome resource
for digging through this and figuring out who participated in what round. Totally. Oh, so great
for this episode. Databricks is in 2013, which is still private, but that's going to be a monster
for them. Most recently valued at $28 billion. They led the seed round and have
participated in, I think, every round since. I bet they own a ton of that company. I bet. Yeah.
Can't wait to see that S1. I just love this episode. We've got so much great stuff and
we've got just so much funny stuff too. Zenefits. That was 2013. Oh, I forgot they were in Zenefits.
Oh, they were the big ones in Zenefits. They were holding that bag for sure.
Clinkle, remember Clinkle?
Oh, yeah.
Oh, boy.
One of my GSP classmates spent his summer at Clinkle.
He didn't go back full time.
That was a good choice.
And then the kicker.
This may be my favorite part of the whole episode.
In 2013, they band together.
A band of brothers.
Three Musketeers, it ends up being called, with Google Ventures and Kleiner Perkins to create the Google Glass Collective.
Oh boy, this is the most ridiculous thing ever.
It wasn't a fund.
It wasn't like their crypto fund or their bio fund that we're going to talk about in a minute here. It was a collective where the three firms said they were going to share
Google Glass related deal flow, but no actual commitment to invest in any of them. Oh my God.
What? That's an incredible PR. To be able to plant that story is impressive work because
that's a non-story. It's a total non-story. I agree to share deals with other investors all the time. That's a non-story.
So there's a huge press release. There's an event, a big TechCrunch piece,
money quote from Marc Andreessen in the TechCrunch piece. You put on glass and you say,
yep, that's the future. Yep, that's the future, Marc. Can't win them all. Can't win them all.
I do legitimately think augmented reality, both visually and audio, is the next big compute
platform. Oh, totally. Yeah. But was Google Glass? No.
Oh, they're so great. We tweeted the photo of Bill Maris from Google Ventures and John Doerr from Kleiner and Mark
Andreessen wearing the Google glasses and posing on Sand Hill. Oh my God, what a classic photo.
It's just great. Despite all that, things continue to go pretty well. In 2014, Mark gets really into
Twitter. He tweets something like- It was over 100 times a day.
Despite being an angel investor in Twitter, he had only tweeted twice before 2014. I remember
thinking that was ridiculous back in the day that all these people who were talking about how they
invested in Twitter and blah, blah, blah, had never actually participated on the platform.
I think Fred Wilson was the only one who actually was active on the platform. But then for whatever reason, in 2014, Mark decides, oh, yeah, I'm going to get really
into this.
He tweets like 20,000 times in six months.
It's wild.
And he was the best person to follow.
Because if you were interested in mental models and exploring wacky futuristic ideas, it was
a buffet table of that.
Yeah.
He actually, people, of course, also creates press and everybody wants to know why is he tweeting so
much? It's so great. And he says in some interview, he says he loves Twitter because,
quote, reporters are obsessed with it. It's like a tube and I have loudspeakers installed in every
reporting cubicle around the world. So great. March of 2014, they close another
$1.5 billion fund just a little over two years after fund three, the $1.5 billion fund.
So assets under management here are about $4 billion.
Yep. They do Instacart. They do Reddit. They do Magic Leap. They do all sorts of stuff. Interestingly, though, the pace actually steps
down a little bit. They stopped doing quite as many seeds during this time period. They've now
since stepped back up the seeds. But I think maybe they started listening to folks about the signaling
talk, or maybe entrepreneurs were actually listening to the signaling effect. It was
resonating with people.
It was.
I mean, David, to recall a conversation we had when you were starting your venture firm
in, when was that?
2016?
17, 2018.
Yeah.
This was part of the thesis.
You were like, well, no one wants to raise seed rounds from the Series A firms because
of the signaling risk.
So we're a pure play seed firm.
And I think that makes a lot of sense. And that was the professionalization of the asset class of seed happened because of that.
Of the signaling effect. Yeah.
Yeah, totally. It's just so funny. It's completely disappeared now.
Yeah. Well, in so many ways, everyone has followed Andreessen Horowitz's lead in truly
every way. The one that we're describing here is
kind of shrugging a little bit on what stage is the right one for me and how much do I need to
stick to my knitting and how much does signal matter? Yep. So, okay. In 2015, finally,
the New Yorker piece comes out. It's so good. It's so damn good. You got to go read it. Tomorrow's Advance Man.
Tad Friend is such a good writer. And this is like once every year, couple of years,
the New Yorker is like, we're going to do a profile on an industry. And they talk about
this on the A16C podcast. And I think it's the episode with Margaret, like the opportunity to have
the profile on venture capital in the New Yorker and to have Mark Andreessen be
like the mouthpiece for it. Oh, it's so great. So I'm just going to, it's okay. Can I read a
couple of lines? Cause these are, these are so good. Okay. So first off the piece starts off
with a little vignette of mixed panel, which of course was a big Andreessen
investment. And talking to the founder, Suhail Doshi, about his experience raising venture
capital and whatnot. And he says, oh, this quote is so good. Mediocre VCs want to see that your
company has traction. The top VCs want you to show them that you can invent the future. It's so funny and it's so true.
It's just great. Let's see. Andreessen and Horowitz modeled their brand strategy,
not on the industry's elite, but on Larry Ellison's Oracle and its aggressive marketing
during the enterprise software wars. For one investor in their funds, Princeton University's
chief investment officer, Andrew Golden, it became a running joke how long it would take other firms to complain about Andreessen Horowitz.
In the early days, it was within two minutes, he says.
Here we go. This might be my favorite part. One morning, as I sat down to breakfast with Andreessen, a rival VC sent me a long email about A16Z's
holdings.
The VC estimated that because Andreessen's firm had taken so many growth positions, its
average ownership stake was roughly 7.5%.
It's actually 8%, which meant that to get 5 to 10x across its four funds, you would
need your aggregate portfolio to be worth $240 to $480 billion.
How could that possibly be?
I started to check the math with Andreessen.
He made a jerking off motion and said, blah, blah, blah.
We have all the models.
We're elephant hunting, going after big game.
Oh, my God. A, that a rival VC would take
the time to type out a long email. And would take the time to have themselves or an analyst go
model out a different firm's average ownership. Are you kidding me? So great. So great. And model
out close enough to be within half a percent of the actual number.
Totally. And wait a minute. So that's actually an interesting question. So they would need,
what were the numbers of how much market cap in aggregate would need to be created?
$240 to $480 billion of market cap.
So you got Coinbase at, what is it, 100?
Right around a cool 100 you got roblox at 45 so that's 145 you got octa at 33
so that's around 170 yep you got slack at 24 no something like that let's take it to 200
okay on the 200 you got airbnb that's another hundy right there yep you got pinterest which is another 45 50
yep all right so we're at 350 so like you can see sending that email being like
uh good effing luck and like you do look at the companies they invest in you're like
yep they far surpassed that and like we haven't talked about instacart or data bricks or robin
hood or and of course these are smaller positions, but yeah.
Yep. It's so, so good. And then Mark's response makes a jerking off motion with his hand.
It says we're elephant hunting. We're going after big game.
That has to be the first time that was printed in the New Yorker.
In the New Yorker.
It must be.
Oh, so great.
Yeah. I mean, well, the interesting thing is the whole industry seems to massively give whiplash
from some new disruptive entrant, often who's writing bigger checks and has a bigger fund.
And the first reaction is, oh my God, complain about them.
See Tiger today.
Exactly.
It was Andreessen Horowitz and then it was SoftBank and then it was Tiger.
And at least with Andreessen Horowitz, and it seems like, I don't mean information that's not
public, but it seems like with SoftBank Vision Fund 1, strategy worked a heck of a lot better
than people thought it was, at least a lot better than the media was reporting. So I don't know. I
suppose the next time my knee-jerk reaction is to be like, oh, these new guys, they don't know what
they're doing, and they're being irresponsible, and they're blowing us out of the water. Maybe think twice
about just complaining and figure out, okay, how do I actually need to adjust my strategy,
because maybe this is going to work. You couldn't have teed me up any better here.
Back to the New Yorker article. His quote, A16Z's services model made a strong impression on Sand Hill Road.
Andreessen caused us to up our game on the marketing side, said Sequoia Capital's Doug Leone. Younger founders pay attention to media and we don't want to be depositioned. Sequoia hired
an in-house publicist and two new marketing specialists to complement the four it had. And most top firms
made similar moves, even if they primarily believed that A16Z's services were simply
a marketing tool. Oh, so Doug, so Sequoia. We're not going to be depositioned. Yes,
this is a good innovation. We're going to adopt it. Yeah, it's Bill Gates-ian in that way.
Yep, totally. I can't wait until Power to talk about this one. It's Bill Gatesian in that way. Yep. Totally. I can't wait until power to
talk about this one. It's so interesting to me that this caused effectively margin compression
in the venture capital industry. Ownership compression?
No, I literally mean margin compression in how profitable it is to be a general partner.
Oh, you mean the management fee side of the thing. Yeah. It's hard to run lean as a big firm because you kind of need all this stuff to be competitive
and that stuff is really expensive. It's a big team. You can't just take home $10 million in
fees every year. Even if you're Sequoia, you need a big team. Yeah.
Totally. And so you end up with this fascinating dichotomy it's the same thing that's happening in the media ecosystem where like there is no more middle if you are going to be one of the few who succeed
and you're big you gotta have a big ass cost structure yeah andreessen horowitz is the new
york times of venture capital and simultaneously it will be true that there's this long tail of
people that are like f F that big cost structure.
I'm going to start kindergarten ventures and take my small amount of capital and no team,
and I'm going to play a completely different super niche game. And there is some room in the middle,
but there's not the room that there used to be in the middle.
Yep. And I think the industry has found that out painfully over the last 10 years.
Yeah. But this really interesting thing of like, it took a long time. It took 30 years or 40 years of venture capital as a profession for the arbitrage of profits to go away from general
partners. Yep. So flip side of this coin, both on the staffing and the services side of
things, but also on the deals and the valuations front and just the support.
God, it just beats me over the head. And maybe this will sound biased towards entries to Horowitz,
but I'm not trying to be. I'm really just doing this research, thinking about the last 10 years.
There is no bigger winner in all of this
than entrepreneurs. Oh, for sure.
Oh my God. You used to be giving up 25, 30 plus percent of your company at series A and getting
$2 million for that and somebody sitting on your board doing something maybe.
You're absolutely right. I was talking about the margin compression in fees.
Now let's talk about the margin compression in returns.
Everyone's cost basis is higher because there's way more capital competing to go in. So therefore,
your ownership percentages are going to be less for the same amount of capital that you wanted
to put to work. Well, and even on the fees side, vis-a-vis entrepreneurs, they're just getting a
lot more. You can argue all you want and people do about how valuable
these various services are and whatnot. But I think it's pretty valuable that somebody,
and Jason Horowitz in the lead, but now the whole industry is out there just banging the drum about
how great startups are and how great their portfolios are. And if you're an entrepreneur,
why would you not want somebody championing you? And in a way that's going to be so hard for you as a founder of a small company
to do, you're not going to go get a profile in the New Yorker, but Andreessen is, and they're
going to talk about how awesome you are. Yeah. It makes the most sense for these
things where it doesn't yet make sense for a startup to have that competency in-house.
So having access to a fractional resource of that competency, who's a specialist and one of the best in the world at it and really
highly paid who you couldn't afford for how sort of tiny and pathetic your company is,
which all startups are, it is an unbelievable boon to get that. So not only are you facing
less dilution and getting more capital than you ever used to before, but you are also actually getting a far superior product to what you used to get.
This sounds like our cap chase ad read from last season. I love it. I love it.
One playbook theme I want to highlight here, and we'll talk about this again at the end, but
anytime your name is on your competitor's lips, you're winning. You're winning. It doesn't matter
what they're saying. If they are talking about you, good, bad, ugly, indifferent, you're winning.
You should just keep doing what you're doing. Particularly when they're the most successful
incumbent of all time with Sequoia. So, okay. After that, later in 2015,
they raise a $200 million bio fund. June of 2016, they raise another $1.5 billion core fund. 2017, they raised a $450
million second bio fund. 2018, first $300 million crypto fund led by Chris Dixon and new GP Katie
Hahn, who interestingly, I didn't know this about Katie until doing the research. Do you know what her background was before she joined Andreessen?
She was a federal prosecutor at the DOJ, and she led the Mt. Gox case.
Whoa, awesome.
After that, Coinbase recruited her to join the board of Coinbase after the Mt. Gox debacle.
They're like, look, we're Coinbase.
We're doing this above board.
We're the right way to do this.
And so that's how Chris met Katie. And then she came into Andreessen. Super in demand.
Crypto is so different than the rest of the startup ecosystem.
Totally.
Let's see. Also in 2018, they launched the Cultural Leadership Fund,
which got a lot of blowback at the time, and I think was pretty misunderstood.
I think it's actually a pretty good idea.
2019, they split the main fund finally into separate funds for early and growth.
$750 million for early, $2 billion for growth.
And then 2020, just one year later, they're back in the game with $1.3 billion main early fund seven,
$3.2 billion growth fund two, $750 million bio fund three, $515 million crypto fund two.
So that is $6 billion in total across a suite of funds raised in 2020.
Strength follows strength.
Dang. And then this year, of course, in 2021, they added another
$2.2 billion crypto fund three bringing total capital under management to just a hair under
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to Huntress. All right, other things that I pulled from PitchBook about the firm today.
So they made us this great tear sheet that we'll have to see if we can share this in the Slack,
because it's a great set of data on the firm. They did a little under 1,000 investments in a little over 500 portfolio companies total.
They've produced 160 exits, 20 of which were companies going public. There's now 22 GPs with
the addition of a new New York-based GP. The first time there's been someone outside of the Bay Area added as a GP.
Another friend of the show.
David Haber. And David, as you mentioned, 19 billion hair under in assets under management,
eight network teams, 220 people now work at the firm. So to give you a sense of like,
they've got 22 GPs, but that means that 90% of the people who work at the firm are not
GPs. So they've got a big investment team, but obviously these network teams have grown
meaningfully. And I also was talking to some folks, they did a lot of hiring outside of
the Bay Area during COVID. So as much as they were sort of one of the champions of
Bay Area for life, and if you're serious, you invest here and the best companies are created
here, blah, blah, blah. The last year has really changed that. And not only are they investing in
more places, but they actually have staff in more places and have adapted the culture and
the processes internally to be hybrid. Then also, we debated, including all this
in the history and facts, I think for length, if nothing else, but also to do it right,
we're going to do a different venue to talk all about this, but they've also built a media company
alongside all of this. Yeah, absolutely. Yeah, there's a whole sort of forward-looking
view of... A future-looking view, one might say?
Yes. I was trying to avoid, let's call it lowercase future-looking view, one might say? Yes. I was trying to avoid, let's call it lowercase future looking view, not only of the media company, but like other things that they're doing that transcend
being a venture firm with value-added services. And I think as Mark recently coined it, and he
had a great invest like the best episode on this HP 2.0. And there's definitely a lot more that
we'll talk about there probably in a future episode at some point. Yeah, I think that's the right way to do it.
So yeah, that's Andreessen Horowitz.
Oh yeah, wait, there is one more piece to talk about.
So there's this great saying in venture that is also a Mike Moritz phrase.
He's so good, which is that the apples take longer to ripen than the lemons.
And of course, apples being a double entendre, meaning good companies, but also Apple.
In Sequoia's case, so good.
They start having some success.
So April 2017, success on the distribution front.
Okta IPO, March 2019, Lyft IPO, April 2019 PagerDuty Pinterest,
June 2019 is the Slack DPO, December 2020 Airbnb, January 2021 Affirm, March 2021
Roblox, which within a year, they turn around like a 15x on that.
Yeah, here, I actually calculated that. So their initial investment into Roblox,
which I think is out of their late stage fund, the growth fund, somewhere between 100 and 150
million. It was a $150 million round at a $4 billion valuation. Oh, so great. Big shout out
to Ho and our friends at Altos. Totally. It means they own probably about 2.5% of the company at IPO,
which of course is a $45 billion market cap today. So pretty quick turnaround for that
100 to 150 million into $1.2 billion. Yep. And then the big one, April 2021.
What's that? Seven years after the initial investment? In Coinbase. Coinbase.
Damn.
$11 billion stake that Andreessen Horowitz has in Coinbase.
Which I think is an even better outcome,
or it's about on par with what Sequoia had with Airbnb,
if I'm remembering right from our episode there.
Yeah, it sounds about right.
Maybe a little less. I want to say Sequoia had like a 15-ish percent stake in Airbnb,
13, 15, something like that. But I seem to remember this like $10 to $12 billion
absolute dollar return. That could be, but Airbnb traded up to around $100 billion.
I think it might be back down a little bit now. Anyway, we're splitting hairs here. These are pretty good.
In any case, one of the single greatest venture capital returns of all time.
Yeah. Hard to argue.
Well, we're definitely going to get to grading. I did a little bit of math. It's napkin math,
but I think it's interesting to sort of review this. But let's do some analysis first. Let's
take our narrative section. What's the bull case and what's the bear case on Andreessen Horowitz
moving forward? Let's start with the bull. I think we just painted the bull case, right?
Well, okay, okay. Bull case. I got two bull cases. One crypto. I mean, if you believe crypto is the
next... I wrote two and you just got the first one.
Okay.
Next bull case I would have, I'm curious if you'd have this as well.
A16Z has been pretty adamant, like you said, about like Bay Area and in particular about Western technology companies that they invest in.
They haven't touched China, India, et cetera, rest of the world.
No reason to think that their brand couldn't extend.
So that feels like a green shoot for them.
Those are the two off the top of my head.
I like that.
I didn't have that.
The second one I had is this sort of HP 2.0 notion of, you know, in the old days before
there existed a startup ecosystem where you could get funded by venture capitalists to go and pursue
your idea, you would try and rise up the ranks of an HP or one of these companies as an executive
to go and invent the future. And HP was the 100% owner of every division. GE was the 100% owner of
every division of their company. Obviously, taking minority positions is different, but can you be more of
the Hewlett Packard in their heyday if you aren't the majority shareholder of these businesses? Can
you still find a way? And now we're drifting into Kleiner Perkins territory a little bit,
but can you find a way to both provide the services, find synergies between portfolio companies, and really find leverage from your own scale
such that you can find economies of scale across the different companies.
And by that, I mean, does everyone really need their own totally separate finance team?
At some scale, probably not.
The same kind of thing that you see in industry consolidation when one company buys another. I'll be very curious if they sort of transcend the
we help you out with part-time resources thing in their networks
to see if there's some way where actually some part of the fundamental operations
of the company are happening at the venture level.
Interesting.
It's kind of like maybe sort of like an actual fulfillment of the, um, you know,
the CAA dream execution machine thing.
Hmm.
Cause the CAA package, like Jurassic park, you know, the packages that they were putting
together, the talent, you know, they weren't doing any, like part of the reason CAA had
to exist was like, they're not going to pull together.
Like, I don't know.
I don't know what goes into making a movie, but I'm assuming there's a lot of stuff that the studios used to do and
that CAA was able to bring together into a package and then be like, nope, studios, you are just
financers now. Totally. I wonder if this is part of what's informing this HP 2.0 strategy.
Yeah. I mean, the thing that I wrote down is that the biggest case is that the firm is actually unrecognizable in 10 years, that they're sort of the startup platform, like an
idea platform. And I'm not being specific about what that means because I don't really know,
but maybe the right term is that they're like the startup dream machine, which actually lends
itself more toward a studio. It would seem like, I mean, just based on all the work we've done at PSL starting 27
companies, I do wonder if they'll shift earlier and start being more of like a, you literally
are a person with an idea and we have an ability to sort of take that and plug it in.
And the cool thing about the studio is we have that machinery built for the first 18 months. And I'd be curious, a lot of people talk
about seed to IPO as an investor. It'll be interesting to see if Andreessen Horowitz can
sort of become the startup dream machine all the way from idea to IPO. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Well,
or you could just go raise a whole lot of money and you could be the next disruptor in the industry.
It's a great point. It's really like that Mark and Ben kind of have no sacred cows and like whatever, you know, they're very experimental. They're very willing to change things. And like, it wouldn't surprise me if some point in the near future, they stopped talking about it as a venture capital firm because they feel that it's a sort of broader set of activities.
Well, clearly, they're already sort of going this direction with the media company and all that.
Yep.
Yeah.
We also totally skipped over crypto, which I think is okay.
But can you give like one or two sentences on how they're different than other firms with a lens toward crypto?
Well, in one respect, it was just simply that they were there first and early. And so they've
been part of these big ones. Other firms have too, USV being primary among them, and then native
crypto firms like Paradigm and Multicoin and all those great folks. But to the extent that
success breeds success is going to apply in crypto, early stage crypto
investing as it always has in venture, Andreessen has been there, right?
Like Coinbase, dang.
Solana, yep.
Bitglobe, like everything interesting, they're there.
So I think that's a big part of it.
The other piece of it is it's different doing
that. And they've built the machinery to do it in a way that other traditional venture firms have
not. I think, if I understand the history right, I think part of the reason why they created a
separate fund for crypto versus doing it out of the main fund was because of the same things that
Trigger was secondaries needing to be an RIA. I think if you do too much token investing
in a core fund, you would need to register and you would lose your venture capital exemption.
So while other firms were registering as RIAs to do secondaries, which of course,
Andreessen also does, they were like, oh, well, we'll go do this first with crypto funds
and then now for the whole firm to be able to buy tokens instead of equity. So I think it's
just going to take a lot of firms a long time to catch up to that. And the operations of things,
of staying abreast of the things you can do in the US versus international takes overhead.
And they've invested in that overhead and they've figured out what the necessary infrastructure is from a regulatory perspective to do crypto investing with LP dollars.
Yeah. So we talk about the bear case.
Yeah. Okay. So here's my biggest one. We have been on an unprecedented, unbelievable
bull run in tech that started the same year that Andreessen Horowitz was founded.
They've never operated in a down market. I'm not saying it's not going to go well,
but their strategy has aligned perfectly with the economic landscape while they've been operating in
it. So it is untested, unlike all these other firms that have needed to...
If you believe the A16Z haters who say, they have no price discipline, will that come back to haunt them during the one or two funds from the vintage years of whatever downturn
comes at some point in the future? It could hit them a lot harder than it hits other folks.
Yep.
You don't have to debate that. I'm just saying that's like...
Yeah, no, yeah, yeah. Yeah. Yep. You don't have to debate that. I'm just saying. Yeah, totally.
Question mark.
That would be the knock.
The other bear case I was thinking of is they basically overextend themselves
in trying to get too creative and imagining what this HP 2.0 could look like.
And they have a great, very profitable business on their hands where they
have really dominated an industry.
And them trying to turn that into something entirely new and different may actually not work.
I gotta also say for a firm and people that are so good on branding and marketing and whatnot,
calling this strategy HP 2.0, you might want to rethink that one.
I don't know that HP is something you really want to
associate with these days. Well, and nobody, I mean, there's just not that many people alive
and operating in the business world right now or leading companies in an aspirational way who are
aware of the HP that Mark talks about. Yep, exactly. They're only aware of the defunct
PC manufacturer. You want to say Amazon 2.0? Great. But anyway, I think a big one that I have
no view one way or the other whether this is happening or not or at risk of happening
would just be that as you turn this into a big firm, it's already a big firm,
politics are going to start to creep in. It happens. this happens in organizations and frankly probably politics have been the
downfall of every venture firm that has risen and fallen to varying relative degrees you know
there are all sorts of reasons right but you break it down at the end of the day it's people it's
politics that's the problem and the bigger you get the more opportunities there are the bigger you get
the more time that goes by the more opportunities there are for that and so maybe some seams will
start to get exposed and other firms can now come along and you either die a hero or live long
enough to be the villain like i guess they've been the villain their whole lives to a certain
extent but at some point they're going to be the villain to entrepreneurs. In some way, they've been the underdog too. They've had this tailwind of feeling like,
fight the man. And you're right, they're the man.
They're the man. Yeah.
Yeah. I guess one other thing I was thinking about is, speaking of Tiger Global and what's
going on in hedge funds coming into late stage financing and now even early stage
financing, those folks are beating the drum of, we're a financial investor and we're going to
give you the cheapest available capital and you can use that capital to go and build your own
relationships and hire people and do all the things you need to do. VC is kind of a bundle
of both advice and relationships and capital, and we're just
selling you pure capital.
There's some set of entrepreneurs who are going to do that because they're very experienced,
they have their own relationships, they don't need the services that a firm like A16Z brings
to bear.
The question is, will that belief spread where more and more people, even if they're inexperienced
and could benefit from the set of
services that A16Z offers, if they're like, actually, the most capital at the cheapest
price sounds great to me, and I actually just want all these competencies in-house.
Which, as hopefully we've painted along the way here, was a key component of the Andreessen
Horowitz strategy. There's all the stuff, there's all the services, there's everything about it,
but also they were offering the best terms at the highest prices for a very long time. And if they're no longer doing that, I think it's a very valid argument
that price is what matters. It's sort of like Andreessen Horowitz had a different underwriting
model on the future than the rest of the VCs did. And so far, because we've been in this bull run
this whole
time, it has proven to be right. So everyone else who is being too conservative in their valuation
models and basically underwriting of what future markets could look like was wrong. And that's why
Andreessen Horowitz could both be the best product at the best price. But it may prove to be the case at some point in the
future that the gas in the tank runs out on software is eating the world, or that we go
through a little extended hiccup where people stop believing that for five years and the money coming
after you dries up and LPs are difficult to raise from. I'm just imagining a little bit more capital crunched environment where you can't be both higher valuations with more money and a really
expensive broad set of services. Yep. Now, I mean, in the long run,
obviously, I think we all know what side we fall on here.
Like everything, it depends on your time horizon. And if your time horizon is infinite, then yes,
you and I being the optimists that we are, we're looking at this bear case being like,
yeah, but as long as you can tough it out, it'll be fine.
The internet. Never bet against the internet.
Never bet against the internet.
But you're so spot on about the underwriting thing that they were just underwriting differently than
everyone else and more correctly. The vignette from the New Yorker article with the competing VC. Right. The point of that competing VC was like, this is crazy. The math doesn't work.
Their underwriting is wrong. Yeah. And A16Z is like, oh, that thing that you said was crazy,
where you're like, the math doesn't work because the numbers are too big. We think we can hit those
numbers. And they did. Yep. And they did. And by we, like tech companies broadly that we invest in.
Yep. Well, I think this isn't exactly a narrative one way or the other. Maybe it's a narrative about
the industry as a whole. We made this point on the first episode, but I want to double,
triple, underline, underscore here. We're telling this whole thing. And there's so much drama and
it's so fun. It's like Andreessen's the underdog and the disruptor, and there's all this, you know, feuding and whatnot. This is all just great for everybody. It's just freaking fantastic for
everybody. Like the fact that the New Yorker is writing about tech, it's great for other VCs.
It's great for startups. It's great for entrepreneurs. It's great for podcasts like
you and me. It's great for Andreessen. It's great for Benchmark. It's great for Sequoia.
Full stop. Yep. Which is a great lead into power.
So I think this is interesting.
I think that they had a source of power that worked really well for their first, call it
eight-ish years.
And now they have a different power.
And remember, for folks that are new to the show, power is the thing that enables a business
to achieve persistent differential returns.
How can they be sustainably more profitable than their nearest competitor?
The first one was clearly counter-positioning.
We've used it several times in this show to describe the way that they positioned themselves
in the press versus other folks,
versus incumbents. And I'm going to use it a little bit more specifically in this case, which
is they literally did things that other people could not do because their business models did
not allow for it. If you were to go to GPs at big firms and say, in order to bet on the future correctly, the way these other guys are,
and we need to staff up like this, overnight, we all need to stop taking salaries for the next
three years. Oh, and we all make over a million dollars a year in salary and have personal lives
and burn rates that have accommodated that. And that's even before we start getting our carry.
The chances of that happening immediately, rather than over the next five to eight years being forced to, was like zero. And so there
was that moment in time, much like how a CAA was able to do it in the agency world, where they
literally took a different business model and did a thing that the incumbents couldn't copy,
which was genius. Yep. Totally.
Totally genius. The, which was genius. Yep. Totally. Totally genius.
The other one was brand.
Totally.
And that's the one that will last for the future.
All this highfalutin stuff is great.
And all the value added services are great.
And all the networks are great.
And the executive briefing center is great.
Let's not forget the business that we're in here, which is deploying capital and getting
a return on that capital. Now,
that is a commodity. Capital is a commodity. And the way that commodity industries look is that
they're pretty much undifferentiated because the vast majority of the value is available from a
near exact provider substitute. And so what differentiates a commodity from
another commodity? Brand. Coke and Pepsi, baby. There was actually a great quote, I forget where,
I almost put it in the script and I didn't, of an entrepreneur talking about the entries
and benchmark thing. And they're just like, oh, it's so great. It's like watching Coke and Pepsi do a price war. I'm just sitting here sipping.
Truly. It's like watching a game of chess play out too, because it is simultaneously true that
having a great board member can be game-changing for your company. Having this set of services
can be game-changing for your company. I just watch, not to toot our own horn, but some of the folks that were able to bring
into portfolio companies through us at PSL recruiting them, trajectory-changing for companies.
And I'm sure, I've never worked at Andreessen Horowitz, I'm sure that works in spades there.
And so even forget all the other services.
If you have a great recruiting mechanism, game-changing for companies.
And also, it is true that the primary value that comes from raising capital is the capital.
The brand piece is also interesting, too.
And you said about just riffing a little more on the Coke and Pepsi thing.
Back to the Benchmark versus Andreessen.
Benchmark's brand.
We are the craft venture capital
firm yeah andreessen's brand we are the franchise it's just like coke and pepsi right it's like you
know coke is you know whatever you know coca-cola classic with the polar bears and whatnot and pepsi
is like the taste of a new generation you know like it works like there's different segments
that they address like it works yeah it's funny while we're
talking about power we should also talk about like when you talk about profits you know like
persistent differential returns you should literally talk about like pricing power
in forbes it was reported that andreessen horowitz takes 30 carry and so it's interesting to see that
like their returns and their market perception has literally
turned into them being able to price higher than their competitors.
This is LP facing when it's them versus other venture firms.
And they can say, yeah, yeah, yeah, you're going to get a worse deal with us than you're
going to get with other people.
But it's worth it.
So you'll take it.
And they do.
This is the Hamilton-Hellmer definition of brand power, right?
It's like you can charge a higher price for the same product.
Yep.
That's why people pay more for a Tiffany's diamond than a no-name diamond.
Yep.
So the brand thing is multi-sided.
It's your brand entrepreneurs and it's your brand LPs.
Yep.
And the entrepreneur version of this is you get into the round.
You get into the round and you get a large ownership allocation in the round.
Yep. All right, playbook. I know we've done a lot of this already, but there's a few
that I want to hit. Go for it.
All right. So just to review all the things that were unheard of or uncommon before A16Z
started doing them, GPs as former founders rather than investors, huge team of experts, which is now
known as VC platform, calling everyone at the firm a partner, blogging, which other than like
Brad Feld and Fred Wilson, doing transparency versus opacity and content marketing more broadly,
like that didn't really exist in venture, paying huge prices to blow your competitors out of the
water and just offer much higher
valuations and bigger checks.
It's crazy.
Yeah, literally nobody did that.
Yeah, it existed at some extent in isolated ways, but no one just said, like, F it.
We're doing it over and over and over again because we're underwriting the future differently
than you are.
Yeah, and not really.
People would be like, oh, I can't believe.
I mean, because I entered the industry in 2010, so Andreessen was there, but it was still early days. It would be like, oh, I can't believe the price that X firm
paid for this. We offered a six pre and they did an eight pre. Nobody was just step change.
Nobody said like, what if you raised eight? And then we'll figure out how to value that.
And then lastly, venture firms investing in crypto. I think USV probably gets a little bit of credit for, I think they were earlier in some ways, but not nearly investing as many dollars and for sort of as long a period and building a brand with the crypto community the way that Andreessen has gone on to. So you look at those, what is that, six things?
I would add seven too of PR as well. Yeah. I guess I'd put that into the content marketing, brand building, but you're right.
It's a different function of marketing. So those seven things that you take at face value,
that's part of the job. That's what it is to be a venture capital firm, which just weren't things
a decade and a half ago before Andreessen Horowitz made that a part of what it takes to do this job.
Yeah.
I can't argue with that.
It's literally their playbook was to change the requirements of the job to be done for everyone else in the industry.
It was wild. On that note, there's this interesting thing that I've been thinking about, which is like everyone, the common knock was that they were overpaying to buy name brand for themselves
to sort of like buy their way into winners, which first of all, even if they did that,
it actually is accretive to their LPs since their LPs would benefit from being investors
within this name brand fund in the future, assuming that they were going to continue
investing in subsequent funds. It actually was a good use of the capital, even if their prices were irrational,
because great, now in the first year when that fund was deployed, yeah, we might have overpaid
for some deals, but now we're in a top three franchise. So awesome.
And the first funds ended up being good.
Right. Would anybody argue today that they
actually paid too high of a valuation for anything they did from 2009 to 2015? Absolutely not.
Yeah. One other corollary on this playbook theme I wanted to make, we made this point on the last
episode, but I don't think we've talked about it yet here. This is just so silly. And I didn't quite get this perspective until being outside
of the institutional venture industry. And now it's just obvious to me. It's so silly.
Why would you ever publicly argue as a venture firm that valuations are too high?
Who's your customer? Your customer is entrepreneurs. That'd be like saying a
politician running and being like, taxes are too low. We need higher taxes. That is my platform. And not only that,
but this specific other competitor of mine from the other party who's running,
the problem with their platform is they want lower taxes. If you're an entrepreneur listening
to this, you're like, I like lower taxes. I like higher valuations.
Right. Yeah, that's a great point. Yeah. Pick a different thing to argue about if that's your
side. You can feel that way all you want, but don't argue about it.
Right. Yeah. Speaking of things that are specific to institutional VC,
like we discuss on our VC Fundamentals episodes in the LP show, there is an investment process
that has to happen because there's a lot of partners.
So you need to figure out, we raised this fund, we got these 22 people.
Isn't that crazy?
It's 22 now.
But even imagine a smaller partnership earlier on, five, six, seven people.
How do we make decisions to invest this fund?
Well, an interesting thing that they do is they do not have a consensus-based approach.
So I think, and this is according to the information, which is LinkedIn sources, any GP can pull
the trigger on any deal on their own.
So they can say like, I'm going to bat for this.
The way Mark describes it in some podcasts is that they assemble a red team to basically
be there.
The way we've talked about this at PSL, and I think I've talked
about on LP episodes in the past, is to have a foil. If you're advocating to turn a project into
a spinout, someone should be the bear case on it or your foil. Mark calls it a red team. And he's
like, we basically staff someone with the responsibility of going and trying to figure
out why this is a bad investment. Because if you don't have the consensus of the partnership and
you're putting your name on the line, sure, we should do that investment maybe. It's a good non-consensus bet.
But also, you should have to go argue with someone who's going to present the other side of the case.
And he's like, we figured this out because Ben is my red team. I can come in and be super
optimistic about something and Ben is naturally good at, because they fight like dogs, he's
naturally good at presenting the other side of my arguments. And we decided to institutionalize that in the
firm, which I think is really an interesting approach that both forces you to be diligent,
but also allows for non-consensus bets. Interesting. Yeah, I like that in theory.
I wonder in practice how much it actually goes. Because you and I know these deals happen in days, if not hours.
Lightning speed.
Interesting.
At least in theory. And great to talk about on podcasts.
Yeah, great to talk about on podcasts. It makes total sense, though, that they can't be a consensus-driven firm with that many people. You're never going to agree on anything.
Yep. Especially at the pace that they're doing deals now because of the pace that the whole
thing is working now. Yep.
The last one that I had that I just thought was interesting that we didn't talk about on any of
this, but Mark talks about a lot, which is he doesn't really believe in pivots or the notion
of failing fast or the lean startup. I'm amenable to this argument,
even though I do a ton of testing of ideas, that the big innovations throughout history
are made by true believers who just kept trying. There's something like the filament of a light
bulb was Edison's 200th attempt at creating filament. And it's like,
it may not be the right decision for you as an individual to keep ramming your head against a
wall, but it's good for all of us as a society that there are a lot of people who are willing
to keep running at something almost illogically so in a way that is potentially not in their best
interest because that is where the true breakthroughs
come from. And if everybody's always looking at data from the first sort of test and they're like,
eh, it's not really working, let's try something else, then you don't get the breakthrough
innovations. Yeah, that makes sense. I mean, I think both of these things are true, but certainly
we didn't test acquired. And if we had tested acquired in the early years, we probably would have been like, well,
that's not working very well.
Totally.
But passion projects, passion leads you to do things that aren't necessarily economic.
And then at some point, you sort of look around and you're like, whoa, value creation has
happened.
I love that image.
Hopefully not said in that sterile of language, but yeah.
I like that.
I'm going to use that with startups coming forward.
I just feel like, guys, value creation has happened.
Well, I was talking actually with a portfolio CEO the other day about how I really believe
from doing Acquired now that, and we talked with
Patrick O'Shaughnessy about this, that brands just take time. People don't love stuff quickly.
They're always skeptical of new stuff. And so brand is like, it's time times absolute number
of people who are familiar with the brand times the magnitude of how much they care about the
brand. Sure, you can get the coefficient on those second two factors to be very high,
but it sure helps to have a lot of time
because it multiplies through.
So just looking back at Acquired
and A16Z now has this going for it too,
it is remarkable,
even if the product doesn't get any better,
and certainly the product for us
and for what they offer
has gotten dramatically better,
that time existing in market, continuing
to bang your head against the wall and keep doing your thing and being true to it, even
if it's an irrational decision because it may not pay off, the passion can allow you
to stick it out long enough such that a brand can be built.
Well, there's also like once you get a brand like that, I mean, I guess this is the point of seven powers, like any of the powers.
Once you achieve them, you're just like a whole lot more robust than you used to be.
Like, think about the first Andreessen Fund and the Skype deal.
If they had lost money on that, man, history would have been different.
Totally.
That could have torpedoed everything.
Yep.
Now they write
a couple hundred million dollar check into something and it blows up in their face. Like,
like let's take clubhouse, like jury's still out on clubhouse. Like will it work? Well,
no, you know, who knew, but let's assume for a minute that just play out a scenario where it
goes to zero and they lose a whole bunch of money on it. Won't matter at all. Literally no impact,
right? That's such a good point.
Or similarly, early days required, right? First couple episodes, if something really bad had
happened, we probably would have quit. But not that I want to do this at all, but if we have a
bad episode or something like that, we're probably going to be fine. Yeah. I don't know. Man, this is
my constant paranoia because it's such a big risk to dedicate. It does feel a little tightropey.
Listening to a podcast is a risk
because we're like totally off topic here,
but this is something I'm like super fired up about.
If an article is boring, it's fine
because you skim it real quick
and then under a minute, you're gone.
If an episode sucks, you're like,
wow, I just dedicated an hour, two hours,
three hours of my life to this thing.
I'm not going to trust these people
to produce things that are high quality anymore.
I'm gone. And so I don't know about you, but I constantly live in fear and
have gotten aggressive on if this thing is not of the quality bar in which we set,
every single episode we release is a risk. It's funny. I think my level of nerves going into every episode has remained constant and steadily increasing for the six years we've been doing this.
Totally. There's more on the line every time.
Every time. Yep.
Huh.
Well, that was a digression.
Totally. We want to thank our longtime friend of the show, Vanta, the leading trust management platform.
Vanta, of course, automates your security reviews and compliance efforts.
So frameworks like SOC 2, ISO 27001, GDPR, and HIPAA compliance and monitoring,
Vanta takes care of these otherwise incredibly time and resource draining efforts for your organization and makes them fast and simple.
Yep, Vanta is the perfect example of the quote that we talk about all the time here on Acquired.
Jeff Bezos, his idea that a company should only focus on what actually makes your beer taste better, i.e. spend your time and resources only on what's actually going to move the needle for your product and your customers and outsource everything else that doesn't. Every company needs compliance and trust with their vendors and
customers. It plays a major role in enabling revenue because customers and partners demand it,
but yet it adds zero flavor to your actual product. Vanta takes care of all of it for you. No more
spreadsheets, no fragmented tools, no manual reviews to cobble together your security and
compliance requirements. It is one single software pane of
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your organization. There are now AI capabilities to make this even more powerful, and they even
integrate with over 300 external tools. Plus, they let customers build private integrations
with their internal systems. And perhaps most importantly, your security reviews are now real-time instead of static, so you can monitor and share with your customers
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and your company is ready to automate compliance and streamline security reviews like Vanta's 7,000
customers around the globe, and go back to making your beer taste better, head on over to
vanta.com slash acquired and just tell them that Ben and David sent you. And thanks to friend of the show, Christina, Vanta's CEO, all acquired
listeners get $1,000 of free credit. Vanta.com slash acquired. So great. There's so many stories.
That was, you know, continuing to riff on the tangent of the podcast. We were worried we were
going to run out of stories after like 10 episodes.
Well, we did run out of good acquisitions.
That's true.
That's true.
But my God, there's stories everywhere.
And in our community now, it's the best.
Firewheel spinning.
All right, grading.
So listeners, we are not LPs in Andreessen Horowitz.
And if we were, we wouldn't be able to disclose their returns.
That said, thanks to our great relationship with the folks at PitchBookData,
we are able to pull a ton of stats on when they invested, at what rounds, at what valuations.
We're able to scan S1s of all these companies to see if they owned more than 5% at IPO,
what they own. We do
know how much money they've raised. And so we're able to do some napkin math. And here's the napkin
math that we've done. So we looked at the proceeds from their top 10 liquid outcomes. And that may
not mean that they've actually liquidated their position, but that they could have. So that is, and I'll just run through them real quick, because I think we said some of
the numbers earlier, but it's worth highlighting again.
Okta was a billion and a half to two billion, back to Andreessen Horowitz.
Coinbase, 11 billion, the granddaddy of them all.
Airbnb, we estimated around three and a half billion, based on an $85 billion market cap.
They have IPO'd in the last six
months, so it's reasonable to think that they would start liquidating that position now.
We think that they own about 4%. They're a sub 5% shareholder, but are of course on the board.
They led the Series B. I think they put 60 plus million into the Series B.
Yeah, a lot of capital there. Probably probably 3%, 4%, somewhere in there.
Lyft, they generated about a billion dollars out of. PagerDuty, half a billion. Slack,
we think about 3 billion, assuming they held all the way to the Salesforce deal 18 months later.
Pinterest, a billion and a half. They own 10% at IPO, which was, I think, like a $15 billion
market cap, but has 3X since then. So it depends how
much they held. Depends when they distributed, yeah.
Right. Could have been higher. Roblox, a quick $1.2 billion. GitHub, a billion. And Affirm,
somewhere between half a billion and a billion. Again, all these things are estimated. But if
you just look at those companies and think about distributing pretty early, assuming that they didn't hold Okta all the
way until it is worth $33 billion that it is today, these companies probably generated about
$25 billion in returns. So an interesting thing to do is to then look at that divided by the AUM
of the funds that they come from, just to say what's the worst case scenario
for their multiple. So that's assuming no more value from anything else.
Which is simply not true. And we'll revisit some of the things that still could bear fruit
after we just do some quick math. So you look at their total asset center management, $18.8 billion.
But a lot of that doesn't contribute to any of those companies we've talked about. So subtract out the early stage funds from 2019 onward, because none of those companies
were from...
Those haven't matured yet.
So that's $2.2 billion off the 19.
Then you got to take out their most recent late stage fund from six months ago, which
is $3.2 billion.
Then you take out at least crypto funds two and three, and maybe you even take out
crypto fund one, which is only another $350 million. But then you're pulling out from all
of that another $2.7 to $3 billion. Then you take out all the biotech funds, which is $1.4 billion.
You have close to $10 billion to subtract out. And you could maybe even argue that
one or two of the more recent early stage
funds to take out as well. But to make this like, again, all napkin math really easy,
because we're just trying to figure out like, did it work? Is it going to work? Is it showing
signs of working? Let's just say their first $8 billion, we have some data on. And then the more
recent $8 billion, jury's still out, we don't know yet,
time will tell. And so if you look at that sort of first eight, well, that created at least $25
billion, which is a cool 3x. And you're not even counting, and this could be a monster, Databricks,
which that company's worth $28 billion. And it wouldn't surprise me if A16Z owned like
25%. They invested very early and they've been investing every round. They could own like $7
billion of that company at the current valuation. Again, I don't know, but this would be a reasonable
estimate. Instacart, it would seem reasonable to think they own like $2 billion in that.
Robinhood, a small percentage because it was only a seed investor and then something more recent in the growth round. But you also have Robinhood, Oculus, Flatiron Health,
Stack Overflow, Instagram, which is so funny. They generated 78 million out of Instagram,
which was a nice return at the time, but it doesn't matter in this overall analysis today.
So that 25 billion number, that gross 3x is even before all these other companies that
definitely contributed and before all the other ones that may have returned capital,
may have done well, but not Coinbase well. Well, and there's one more dark horse too,
which is, I believe in the crypto funds and maybe some of in the early core funds, they're buying Bitcoin and Ether.
Oh, interesting.
I'm almost 100% sure at least Bitcoin, if not Bitcoin and Ether, they were buying in a bunch of these funds.
Wow. Depending on when they were buying, that's game changing for this whole, depending on how much capital they put to work for this whole analysis.
Yep. much capital they put to work for this whole analysis. The reason that I wanted to do this napkin math is to basically say, okay, we know with the first half of the capital that they
raised in their life, at the very worst case, they had as good a returns as anyone else in
the top quartile of the industry. So at the very worst case, it didn't not work.
Right. Yeah. This is not an F.
Yeah. They were able to do a hard thing, which is burst onto the scene and break into something
where there is really persistent returns year over year, decade over decade, and compete with
the very best of the best. And do we actually have the data to tell you if they're the best
in the industry or to compare them to Sequoia?
It's too hard to do.
But it also doesn't really matter, right?
Like, it would be fascinating to know if they're better than Sequoia or better than Benchmark
or not.
But like, they're in the ballgame, you know?
Yeah.
And this also, I think we can finally put to bed that leaked data in 2016.
It's not that the data was wrong at all, but the conclusion of a lot of people's analysis
is for the brand that they have, Andreessen Horowitz is way underperforming. Gosh, they're
only at a 2X or a 2 point something. And you're like, okay, we don't know yet. Coinbase, if you
had analyzed Coinbase in 2016, would you have been able to determine that it's going to whatever
gigantic multiple it was on that fund
just from that one company, there's no way you would have been able to.
The apples take longer than lemons to ripen. I skipped over that in the script for a time,
but it was a Wall Street Journal article that was so clearly a hit piece planted by
rival venture firms where they had a bunch of quotes from LPs and stuff that the entries and
returns were. I think the headline of the article was something like, despite bluster or whatever,
entries and returns are average. Yeah. Well, I don't have much more to add. And frankly,
I guess I would throw an A on it with the plus sort of being if we ever got cleaner data. But for what a challenge it was
to break in and challenge the incumbents in such a short timeframe, it's remarkable how well they've
done. That's spot on. It's an A. Only reason it's not an A plus is like, A plus is Facebook buying
Instagram and getting $500 billion of value for one. We just don't know
enough yet that maybe it could end up being that in the future, but it's not that today.
But no way, this is less than an A. Who else did this? Nobody's done this.
And just to put some numbers, I'm going to guess that the first $8 billion of capital in these
funds that we're sort of calling inbounds for this analysis returned somewhere between $25 and probably $40-ish billion.
It's so good. And it's funny, the other navel-gazing aspect to venture and investment
returns that people talk about all the time is the multiple and the IRR is an efficiency of capital and
only having the best companies and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. Just the magnitude is like,
at the end of the day, what really matters is the magnitude here.
Yeah, the absolute dollars.
The absolute dollars. They generated what, let's make it easy, let's say 30 billion
that they've returned on 8 billion invested. That's $22 billion that they've generated.
Name me other firms who have done that. There are a few, but there are very,
very few who have done that. Yeah, it's interesting. A good multiple means you are right,
but a great amount of absolute cash returned means you were three things. You were right with conviction, you had access,
you had winning access to be a meaningful participant on that cap table, and you effectively
did the work to obtain the capital in the first place to be able to deploy a large enough amount
of it to generate a large dollar return. You got to be good at a lot of things, and you got to be
convicted and right in them.
Yep. And I think large institutional LPs, I think that's how they think about it, right? It's like,
they're like, yeah, great. You have a 10X fund. Fine. If it's a $50 million fund and you 10X and you return 500 million, clap, I'm proud for you, but I'm not jumping out of my seat. But you return
me 22 billion. Now I'm jumping out of my seat. I don't care what the multiple is.
All right. Well, um, gosh, it feels good to come to the end of this two-parter. You want to do
carve-outs? Yeah, let's do some carve-outs. I got two. First, they're both sort of, uh,
quasi carve-outs. The first one is a quasi carve out because I've already had this author as a recent previous
carve out.
Arthur C. Clark.
So good.
I wasn't on the Ethereum episode.
Maybe I had him as my carve out.
OG, super OG science fiction author.
I have since continued to read his stuff and I read Childhood's End.
Have you read Childhood's End? No. Oh my gosh. This is so good. You got to go read this book. You know the movie
Independence Day? Yeah. The Will Smith movie? Absolutely. Oh, so great. So Independence Day
is based on Childhood's End, but it's only based on the very beginning. The beginning of Childhood's
End is what Independence Day was based on but then the
rest of the book takes a very very different turn and it's super mind-bending and really cool
can't recommend it enough that's number one number two is specifically for you ben i have a carve out
for you we are both huge mkbhd marquez brownlee fans yeah and i think his most recent video he
just launched a new channel on youtube called the studio channel with the video you're gonna
love this because you're such a gear geek studio tour mkbhd studio tour and like oh my god it's so
cool and he's got great gear. I gotta go check that out.
I was watching and I was both like jaw on the floor and I was like, wow, we are such amateurs at Acquired.
He is a litany of red cameras.
Litany.
And like, wow, video is,
I have so much more respect for what YouTubers do.
Like audio is easy.
We're playing on easy mode here.
Oh, it's so much harder for sure.
Okay, cool.
I'm legitimately adding that to my to-do list right now to go watch that after.
All right, mine is continuing my recommendation of The Sopranos and Goodfellas, The Godfather.
Somehow, I have never seen The Godfather trilogy.
Like, it just escaped me.
I know.
I'm like going back and like actually
watching all these.
Wait, so you started
with the Sopranos
and Goodfellas
without having seen
Correct.
the Godfather.
Correct.
You know,
whatever path leads you
to greatness,
the point is
you get to greatness.
Yes.
And greatness it is.
God, it is so good.
And like one is so like good
and raw
and two is so artistic and well thought through and the method of
storytelling flashing back and forth between the two stories i think some people complain about it
i loved it i think it's deniro's best performance ever it's definitely al pacino's best performance
ever and three three exists three i turned off actually i didn't watch three i watched coda
people think it's better than three it's like a reshot there's some stuff that's reshot and
re-edited and like maybe if i had 14 years between two and three then it'd be okay but
because i tried to watch them back to back i was like allergic to the 90s-isms of Coda where I was just like, this is unwatchable.
I mean, the haircuts alone.
I think Michael Corleone says more words in the first 10 minutes of that movie than in
the entirety of two.
I believe it.
I believe it.
Just no subtlety.
So that's an anti-Cardinal.
I don't know that I've ever watched three.
I was just...
This is what I hear from everybody.
One and two are so good.
Oh, they're so good oh they're
so good they're so the horse head oh it's beautiful just great all right well with that listeners
come join us in the slack become an lp all those links are in the show notes if you liked this
episode share it with a friend you could share it on social media. That'd be nice. But I actually like the one-to-one stuff better.
We're all about slow, methodical, high-touch growth here at Acquired.
And so if you can put your personal, someone that you think would really appreciate it,
then that's who you should share it with.
We love social media shares, of course.
But it's kind of hard to just post on social media and be like,
you should listen to this three-and-a-half half hour podcast that is part two of Andreessen Horowitz. Like you kind of got to like really
convince someone. So if you love this, tell your friends. It's like when I get an event bright
invitation to go to something versus when a friend texts me and like, Hey, you should come over for
this. You know? Yeah, exactly. It's a totally different thing. All right, listeners, we'll see you next time.
We'll see you next time.
And wait, we got one more piece of news.
Who Got the Truth live on Spotify.
Go check it out.
You can listen to it here for the next two minutes
and then go listen on Spotify.
Young Spielberg.
Mike Taylor, take us out who got the truth is it you is it you is it you who got the truth now
hmm is it you is it you is? Sit me down, say it straight
Another story on the way
Who got the truth now?
Who got the truth?
Everybody's talking
Nobody's listening
These days I feel lost, man
Lost in opinions
Everybody's fighting
Nobody's winning Take me home Lost in opinion. Everybody's fighting.
Nobody's winning.
Take me home.
Cause I don't know what's going on in the world I'm living.
Everybody's brick, brick, breaking up the dinner.
Brick, brick, breaking up the dinner.
Oh, baby.
Brick, brick, breaking up the dinner. Through all this smoke, I need to know who got the truth.
Is it you? Is it you? Is it you? Who got the truth. Is it you?
Is it you?
Is it you?
Who got the truth now?
Is it you?
Is it you?
Is it you?
Sit me down.
Say it straight.
Another story on the way.
Who got the truth now?
Who got the truth?
Not here for the cheap talk.
They flip flop like a seesaw.
Not free under these laws.
Now the world see what we saw.
People wonder what to do now.
It took a body cam to get the truth out.
Hit the streets, time to move out.
Got so much to lose now.
Everybody's break, break, breaking up the dinner.
Break, break, breaking up the dinner.
Oh, baby. Break, break, breaking up the dinner Break, break, breaking up the dinner Break, break, breaking up the dinner
To all this smoke I need to know
Who got the truth?
Is it you, is it you, is it you?
Who got the truth now?
Is it you, is it you, is it you?
Sit me down, say it straight
Another story on the way Who got the truth now who got the truth