Acquired - Epic Systems (MyChart)
Episode Date: April 21, 2025What if we told you that the most important company in US healthcare was run from a farm in rural Wisconsin? And that farm contained the world’s largest subterranean auditorium, as well as ...Disneyland—style replicas of Hogwarts and the Emerald City? What if we told you that the person who started, runs and owns this establishment has legally ensured that it will never be sold, never go public and never acquire another company? And that this person, Judy Faulkner, is also likely the wealthiest and most successful self-made woman in history?Welcome to the story of Epic Systems, the software company that underpins the majority of the American healthcare system today. Epic isn’t “just” an electronic medical record (the category it’s usually lumped into), or an online patient portal (which is how most of the US population interacts with it via its MyChart application). It’s more akin to a central nervous system for hospitals and health clinics. Almost everything in a hospital — from patient interactions to billing, staffing, scheduling, prescriptions and even research — happens on Epic’s platform, and over 90% of American medical schools’ graduating doctors, nurses and health administrative staff are trained on it during their educations. Tune in as we dive into the almost-unbelievable story of how this epic company came to be!Sponsors:Many thanks to our fantastic Spring ‘25 Season partners:J.P. Morgan PaymentsFundriseServiceNowCrusoeLinks:Save the date, July 15 in NYC!Epic’s Verona campusWorldly Partners’ Multi-Decade Epic Systems StudyEpisode sourcesCarve Outs:Ken Block in San FranciscoNintendo Switch 2Knives OutBrat by Charli xcxMusic To Refine To: A Remix Companion to Severance by ODESZAMore Acquired:Get email updates with hints on next episode and follow-ups from recent episodesJoin the SlackSubscribe to ACQ2Check out the latest swag in the ACQ Merch Store!Note: Acquired hosts and guests may hold assets discussed in this episode. This podcast is not investment advice, and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. You should do your own research and make your own independent decisions when considering any financial transactions.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
The answer is somewhere in the middle.
Well, you texted me last night that you've made it to Singapore.
I made it to Singapore, yes.
Anytime you are researching anything in US healthcare,
you know it is time to stop your research process
and start the episode once you've found Singapore. Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha All right, let's do it. Who got the truth? Is it you? Is it you? Is it you?
Who got the truth now?
Is it you?
Is it you?
Is it you?
Sit me down, say it straight, another story on the way.
Who got the truth?
Welcome to the spring 2025 season of Acquired, the podcast about great companies and the
stories and playbooks behind them.
I'm Ben Gilbert.
I'm David Rosenthal.
And we are your hosts.
Listeners, today's episode is about a quote from a famous American actor, who's been
on the show for a long time.
He's a great actor, and he's been on the show for a long time.
He's been on the show for a long time.
He's been on the show for a long time.
He's been on the show for a long time.
He's been on the show for a long time.
He's been on the show for a long time.
He's been on the show for a long time. He's been on the show for a long time. He's been on the show for a long time. He's been on the show for a long time. He's been on the show for a long time. season of Acquired, the podcast about great companies and the stories and playbooks behind them.
I'm Ben Gilbert.
I'm David Rosenthal.
And we are your hosts.
Listeners, today's episode is about a quiet company in rural Wisconsin that plays an enormous
role in our lives, Epic Systems.
Indeed, whether you know it or not.
Yes, you probably know them from their medical patient software, MyChart, that if you're
listening to this, you most likely use.
Epic is a very unusual company in so many ways.
They do no marketing.
They basically don't do any sales either.
They often say no to potential customers who approach them.
They don't negotiate.
They don't discount.
They never raised any venture capital and they've never done any acquisitions in their
47 years of existence.
They don't work remotely. Everyone is in person all the time.
They notoriously have one gigantic campus on a farm
with buildings designed to look like the land of Oz,
a wizard's academy, a tree house, a barn,
a replica of New York's Grand Central Station,
and an 11,000 seat auditorium underground.
They have the majority of the US's major hospital systems
using their software and of their over 600 customers they have never lost a single
one. Yeah that is the craziest thing to me about this company is 47 years old
they have never lost a customer. Actually we found out that's not totally true
they lost one customer once for six months and then that customer came back
six months later. Yes.
The company's founder, Judith Faulkner, is undoubtedly one of the great founders
of our time.
You probably don't know much about her or the company because the company is still
privately held and Judy and her family foundation own about half of it.
Despite being large, and I think at this point, they're close to 6 billion in
revenue and over 14,000 employees.
They have a stated goal to never go public and never be acquired.
And Judith, at age 81, has created a succession plan and a trust structure for her voting
shares to ensure that that will stay true forever.
Yes, we heard all sorts of stories about companies sniffing around Epic over the years trying
to buy the GE, Microsoft, Google, you know, everybody you would imagine wants to buy this company.
And it's never going to happen. Yep. And we'll dig into this at the end of the episode when we
sort of have all the context and all the numbers. But I believe that Judith Faulkner in starting
one of the most valuable companies in healthcare is the most successful female entrepreneur in history?
Almost undoubtedly.
Well, all right, then spoiler alert listeners.
We'll discuss that at the end.
Yes, so the healthcare industry,
there is so much wrong with the American healthcare system.
That is an incontrovertible fact.
There's nobody that's gonna tell you,
oh, actually, it's pretty good.
It's not pretty good, it's a disaster.
Runaway costs, burdens of administration,
so much excess and waste causing,
I think healthcare costs are now 18% of our GDP.
So rather than trying to eat that whole elephant today
and unpack the entire system,
today's episode is about understanding Epic's role within it
and how Epic became so dominant.
And if you wanna understand the system,
you have to understand Epic.
Yep. Well, listeners, if you want to know
every time an episode drops, check out our
email list. It is the only place where we will
share a hint at what our next episode will be.
We'll share corrections from previous
episodes and little tidbits
that we learned along the way. So that's
acquired.fm slash email.
After this episode, come join the Slack,
talk about it with us and the entire
acquired community afterwards.
I bet there's a ton of people in the medical ecosystem
hanging out in the acquired Slack.
That's acquired.fm slash Slack.
If you want more acquired between each monthly episode,
check out ACQ2, our interview show,
where we talk to founders and CEOs
who are building businesses in areas
that we've covered on the show to go a little bit deeper.
Search ACQ2 in any podcast player.
So as we announced last episode, we have a very fun save the date for you.
We can't say much yet, but after incredible listener demand over the years, we are finally
coming to New York City with our friends at JP Morgan Payments.
So July 15th, mark your calendars. And if you want to be the first to find out what
we are up to, sign up at acquired.fm slash NYC.
This is going to be a night of absurdity, an incredible night. Yes. All right, listeners,
before we dive in, we want to briefly thank our presenting partner, JP Morgan Payments.
Yes. And just like how we say every company has a story, every company's story is powered
by payments, and JP Morgan Payments is a part of so many of their journeys from seed to
IPO and beyond.
So with that, this show is not investment advice.
David and I may have investments in the companies that we discuss, although not epic, and this
show is for information and entertainment purposes only.
David, take us in.
All right. Well, we start our journey in August 1943 when Judy, today Faulkner,
then Judy Greenfield is born in Earlton, New Jersey, which is part of Cherry Hill, New Jersey,
suburb of Philadelphia right across the Delaware River there, not too far from where you and I grew up.
That's true.
And Taylor Swift.
And Taylor Swift, that's right.
Fertile ground for entrepreneurs there in the Delaware River.
And DuPont, so much great American entrepreneurship in that area.
So much indeed.
And of course, I don't think Judy really knew about all this at the time, but yes, indeed,
it is a pretty auspicious time and place to be born
because just about four years later after Judy is born,
just up the road a little ways from Cherry Hill
in Murray Hill, New Jersey, William Shockley
and his colleagues would invent the transistor
at Bell Labs that would enable Microsoft and Epic,
Intel and all of this.
And for a long time, the early pioneers
of electronic healthcare records were hardware companies.
Yes, Lockheed, GE, Siemens.
Yes, Lockheed was a vendor to hospitals.
Incredible, but for the moment,
Judy probably didn't know anything about this
because her family is not in the tech industry growing up.
Her father, Lou, is a small town entrepreneur. He runs a local pharmacy and
soda fountain there in Earlton called Lou's. Lou's Soda Fountain. And perhaps this is where
Judy would later get her own entrepreneurial bent from. Could be. So that's Judy's father. Now,
Judy's mother, Del Greenfield, was an absolute freaking dynamo.
She graduated high school at age 15 and she worked first as a secretary and then she worked
with Lou at the store and pharmacy and soda fountain.
And then later got really involved in peace advocacy during and after the Vietnam War,
which I assume was not typical for her generation that lived
through World War II, she ends up becoming the director of the South Jersey Peace Center.
And then later in life, after the kids were gone, she and Lou moved to Portland, Oregon,
where Dell became the executive director of an organization called Oregon Physicians for
Social Responsibility, which, get this, in 1985,
this group, in partnership with a broader international group
called Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War,
wins the Nobel Peace Prize.
Judy Faulkner's mom was part of a group
that won the Nobel Peace Prize in 1985.
So, David, where did you find this?
Because in everything that I read about Epic,
and you and I basically read everything
you possibly can read about Epic that's you and I basically read everything you possibly
can read about Epic that's out there on the internet.
Nobody knows this.
This is not cited anywhere.
So how did you find your way to it?
I was curious.
I was trying to learn more about Judy's family growing up.
And I was trying to learn about the soda fountain
and the pharmacy and the impact that her dad had
on her future entrepreneurial career.
And so I started Googling obituaries,
and I came across her mom's obituary where I learned this.
The company actually confirmed this to us.
Yes, Judy's mom won a share of the Nobel Peace Prize in 1985.
Incredible.
So cool.
All right, so you've got entrepreneurial DNA.
You've got sort of peace-oriented, divergent
thinking DNA.
Yep. Then you've got Judy.
And at this point in time growing up,
she's mostly just interested in math.
So she loves to tell the story about how when she was in
seventh grade, a teacher asked the class a number theory problem.
Of course, probably didn't frame it as a number theory problem,
but asked the class, why is it that numbers that are divisible
by three, if you add up all the digits of that number, that number that is the sum of
its digits is also divisible by three? This is like a law of number theory. So Judy hears
this problem and is just like, my future is in math. So in 1961, Judy graduates high school. She goes to Dickinson College to major in math.
And while she's there, she gets a summer job one year at the University of Rochester,
just a little bit farther north, in their particle physics lab.
And for the work that she had to do over the summer, she needed to learn computer programming.
This is in the early mid-60s.
And so like, oh, you got to learn Fortran for the work that we're doing here and running these experiments
over the summer. So they give her a book, like a manual on Fortran, and Judy teaches
herself Fortran in a week and becomes one of the best programmers in the lab. If you're
not getting the picture here, like Judy is a genius. She is an incredibly talented person.
Yeah. And programming at a time when programming wasn't a thing, the field of software engineering
was not a field.
These are math people taking programming languages and using them, but there are very few of
those people in the world.
Universities didn't have computer science departments until this point in time.
Judy is intertwined with the beginning of computer science as a field.
Makes sense.
So she absolutely falls in love
with programming that summer in Rochester.
She'd later say that she felt like a kid playing with clay
and that programming a computer
was like this amazing combination of math,
which of course she loved,
but it was also language and art together with math.
Because she has an artistic side too. For as mathy as she loved, but it was also language and art together with math. Cause she has an artistic side too.
For as mathy as she is, she also has a hyper creative streak.
Totally.
And obviously her story is very different and she is a very different person than him.
But the echoes that you're seeing here in Judy and what she's exposed to as a kid, how
she thinks, how she operates as an entrepreneur.
You should be getting some Bill Gates vibes here.
I thought you were going to say Steve Jobs
with the peacetime orientation around her upbringing
and sort of the, I don't want to say hippie for Judy,
but almost hippie-esque movement too.
Yeah, that's actually a good point.
Well, Jobs and Gates, well, the reason I said Gates
is to sort of foreshadow some Microsoftian DNA and analogies that come into Epic here.
And their contemporaries.
She is going to build her company in almost the exact same timeframe that Apple and Microsoft were built.
Totally. So when Judy gets back to Dickinson to college, she decides that she's going to apply to grad schools in math.
So she applies to five PhD programs.
She, of course, gets into all of them.
And on her CV, she lists her Rochester experience
and her Fortran programming experience.
So two of the schools she applied to,
Stanford and the University of Wisconsin,
are just starting their computer science departments.
When she applied, they didn't have computer science
departments.
And in the interim, they started them. And so they saw Judy's application. Like,
obviously, this is a brilliant person who we want here at the university. We're
starting these CS departments. They unilaterally shift her applications to
their new CS schools. And so Judy's like, oh, I didn't even realize I could go get
a PhD in computer science. Like, amazing, this is what I'm going to do. So she ends up choosing Wisconsin, goes off to Madison, Wisconsin,
to start her PhD in computer science, which, as we shall see,
she never finishes, but she also never leaves.
What a sliding door moment.
If Judy had gone to Stanford instead, we would probably still
be telling this story about her, but it would be a very different story.
For sure, she would have been indoct it would be a very different story. For sure.
She would have been indoctrinated by a very different type of DNA and what computers are
for and what types of companies you should be building with computers if she was in the
Silicon Valley at that point.
Totally.
So while she's at Wisconsin, Judy takes a class called Computers in Medicine taught by a faculty member from the Wisconsin Medical School
named Dr. Warner Slack. And probably this is the first course of its kind anywhere in the world.
I mean, computer science departments themselves are new. The idea of applying
computer science and computers to the practice of medicine is new. Yep. It had to be one of the first classes of its kind because mainframes were really
becoming a thing in the 60s period. I think ENIAC was only 15, 20 years before.
Yeah, right. It's a good point. This is the first time anybody could use computers for
anything outside of government and the defense industry, right?
Yep.
So, Judy takes this class from Dr. Warner Slack.
And as you might expect, she's the star student in the class.
Afterwards, Dr. Slack asks her to work on writing a program for use
in the hospital, in the medical school,
to optimize the on-call schedules for doctors.
Doctors have to have on-call schedules,
and so optimizing that perfect thing that a computer
application could do.
So Judy says, yes, great.
She starts working on it, and this is a part-time job for her as a grad student.
She's getting paid $5 an hour for her programming time, trading time for money here.
And apparently, the story goes that her programming was so good, and she was so efficient at writing these applications
because she would go on you know lots of departments in the hospital would ask her to write you know
various applications for them that she actually didn't make that much money because she just
wrote them so fast and she was getting paid by the hour. They gave her a raise at one point,
they doubled their salary to 10 bucks an hour and still didn't make that much. Anyway, so as she's
going around throughout the Wisconsin medical departments, she's working with psychiatry and ob-gyn
and rehab and inpatient in the hospital and the intensive care unit, she starts to get
these requests from all the different doctors and the different practices. A big problem
we have is we're seeing these patients,
other departments are also seeing the same patients, but there's no way for us
to know what's happening to those patients in other departments across the
hospital as they're being seen. Like we really would love if there was a single
database that could keep records on every patient that we have across the
whole longitudinal course of their
care here at the University of Wisconsin Medical Center.
You know, an electronic sort of health record for these patients, you might say.
And this is the origin of Epic.
But before we go further on what Judy does next, I think it's worth taking a step back
and talking about what are health records?
What are medical records? What was the state of them in America here in the mid-60s? And
why is this idea of an electronic version of them so appealing? So patient health records,
at least here in the American medical system, were a ragtag, informal process. And they
were all paper-based, of course.
And I think they had dated back to attempts at unifying them or creating standards all the way into 1912.
Yes, at Mass General. So all of the efforts to standardize them, and you can imagine all the reasons why standardizing them is important.
You know, patients see different doctors at different hospitals and they move. And even within a hospital like here at the University of Wisconsin,
cardiology really wants to know what has happened to this patient in
other departments that they've been in before, etc.
Right, or if you have to see a different doctor for the same thing,
it'd be great if they're calling the same condition the same condition.
Exactly, so all of the efforts around standardization in the country really
go back to Massachusetts General Hospital in Boston,
which MassGen or MGH is the main and largest teaching hospital of Harvard Medical School.
It would make sense that this is where a lot of sort of research is happening. And like you said,
in 1912, a few members of the American Medical Association and the American Hospital Association
get together there at MassGeneral in Boston, and they start working on can we create some standard entry practices for physicians that we can
distribute across the country that physicians can use as their patient
diaries as they're known back in the day. So in 1919 it takes them seven years to
do this they do finally introduce a standardized treatment diary, quote unquote,
for distribution across the country. Now, there's no incentive for doctors to actually
use this. And doctors, as we shall see, are notoriously sort of an independent minded
group and profession and don't like being told what to do or how to design the notes
that they take.
Which makes sense. They've been the smartest people their whole life.
They're doing this thing that required an incredible amount of education.
It's a very prestigious, high paying job.
Totally.
And I think there's a good argument for this here too.
The practice of medicine, especially then and still now, is equal parts art and science.
Telling me how to standardize what is going on with my patient probably seemed
anathema at the time.
I'm the doctor.
I know best.
I'll figure out what delivers the best care.
Yep, exactly.
So this continues for a while.
And then finally, in 1928, the Association of Health Record Librarians of North America
gets set up as an official body to standardize collection, storage, retrieval of patient
data. This is a fun callback.
I believe the Rockefeller Foundation was behind funding all this.
Call back to our Standard Oil episodes.
I believe that because wasn't our conclusion on Standard Oil that the Rockefeller
Foundation is the initial funder of the nation's medical schools?
Yes.
Or sort of kicked off the movement of having real medical schools?
One of, if not maybe the main goal
of the Rockefeller Foundations was to improve
the state of medical care in America.
Makes total sense that, oh, here in the late 20s,
early 30s, this is getting funded by them.
So, all this is great, but the reality is,
until this time
in the 1960s when computers start to arrive,
even the best intentions that even let's say doctors
really wanna follow all this,
as long as you're dealing with paper records,
there's kind of a limit of how helpful this can all be.
You could standardize it as much as you want,
but you still gotta get the reams of paper
from one physical location in a hospital to another.
God forbid you're trying to get to a different hospital or a different health system or a
different state.
It's a mess.
Not to mention paper doesn't lend itself well to structuring data because at the end of
the day, you can write on paper however you'd like to.
So then we finally get to the current moment in time that we're here in the mid 1960s,
and two really important things happen.
And you can argue that they are both of equal importance.
One, the arrival of the computer age.
You can now digitize this stuff.
It's possible to have portability and standardization, and the dream can really be realized here.
The other maybe more important thing that happens is in 1965,
Congress creates Social Security and the Medicare and state-based
Medicaid programs in America.
Yes.
So we have so far given you the technological history
of medical records.
And now it's time to flip over to the sort of policy side
of things, which in medicine, you have to understand policy
before you can understand the business.
All business structure in this industry is driven by
what is the architecture of policy in America.
So we rewind the clock again to 1942.
Oh, all right. Educate me here.
We're gonna catch up to Medicare here, but in 1942, America is at war.
There is something passed called the Stabilization Act that imposed wage and price controls.
An interesting thing to note, at this point in time, only 10% of Americans have health
insurance.
Period.
Yeah, mostly the paradigm in healthcare is you pay for service.
You go to the doctor, you pay the doctor.
Right.
You don't yet have these runaway costs and, well, I might have a procedure that could
randomly cost a million dollars.
You don't yet have these amazing breakthrough treatments that could be very expensive if you were able to achieve them. So you mostly just paid out
of pocket. So you've got these wage controls, but employers still want to be able to attract
top talent. So the way around the wage controls was to offer health insurance as a bonus to
work around the system.
Markets always find a way.
Yeah, right?
So as soon as this happens, unions go, oh, this is awesome.
Our people can make more money.
Amazing.
We're going to make capital pay for our health plans now.
Yeah.
Exactly.
Increased wages for workers.
This is what we're all about.
They lobby to make it explicitly legal since it was kind of a gray area from the wage controls and so the National War Labor
Board makes it official. You can do this. Two, employers and the health insurance
companies that are springing up then lobby to say hey these health insurance
premiums can we make these tax deductible for the business? Because the
business, they shouldn't have to pay taxes on this money if they're going out
and buying health plans for their employees with it. And on top of that,
even though it's a form of compensation, can we make that not taxable as income?
That would be really great. The businesses can deduct it and the
individuals shouldn't have it affect their income taxes,
even though clearly compensation.
So this is where the whole origin of pre-tax stuff versus post-tax stuff in your paycheck
comes from.
Exactly it.
So this sets it all in motion with incentives like that.
Why would you want your healthcare any other way?
What a dream.
You can pay for your premiums with pre-tax dollars.
And what a dream for employers that can now offer this benefit that was deductible. So at the
end of the war in 1946 the percentage of Americans who had medical insurance was
already up to 30% from that 10% number just six years before. Flash forward a
couple decades 1964 it's now up to 80%. So of course it was gonna run the table
and become the default as soon as this regulatory
Framework was set up and once we did this the u.s. Did not have a chance of implementing any other system
We were just going to end up with employers
primarily being responsible for health insurance and
Creating large insurance companies to provide it. Yeah, and then of course that takes us to 1965 and Medicare and Medicaid because
The big policy
question is now what do you do about all the people who don't have jobs?
What do you do about people who don't have jobs, which actually aren't that many, but
what do you do about people who are old or poor? America needs a social safety net. That's
what we're all about.
Who also, by the way, are the highest consumers of healthcare.
Yes. So here we are at 1965. David, you're exactly right. Medicare and Medicaid enter the picture as a part of the Social Security Act.
How did we get here is sort of interesting. FDR, Truman and Kennedy had all tried to pass a single payer system the way that the UK did.
Right after World War II, the UK is in this moment of sort of great nationalistic pride. We all have to band together, look after one another.
They passed the national health system.
The US does not have the political will to do it,
and so we don't.
You sort of have this coverage gap,
to your point earlier,
of all these people who are not currently in the workforce.
So the compromise is we will create Medicare
for those over 65 and Medicaid,
if you have a low income or other special situations.
And we can't really fund either exactly right, so we'll sort of figure out how to fund Medicare
out of the federal government.
And Medicaid, let's make that the state's responsibility.
We'll help, but we'll federate that out to the states.
So all of that is our system today.
Private insurers, if you have a job, buying directly from the ACA, if you don't, but again,
still from private insurers, Medicare or Medicaid if you sort of fall outside those buckets.
And the important thing to realize from all this is that the vast majority of patients
do not feel the cost of their healthcare directly in the United States.
Those costs are so laundered through private insurance
companies and Medicare and Medicaid
that most people think about any given health encounter
as being paid for by someone else, by a part of some system.
If you're trying to unpack how did our healthcare
become 18% of GDP versus 11% of the UK GDP
or a staggering 6% of Singapore's GDP, albeit at a much smaller scale.
Why are we 18%? A big thing you have to understand is psychologically every healthcare encounter is
that the system is paying for it. I'm paying into the system, the system is paying for it,
but what does it cost? What do I actually pay? It's a big abstraction. Yep. Okay.
So in case it's not glaringly obvious,
why is this so important to medical records
and the fledgling electronic medical record industry here?
Well, it's because now with these second
and third party payers set up,
you need documentation of what happened
in order to get paid.
So if you're a hospital or you're a doctor or you're a clinical practice before this system,
you just see your patients and they pay you.
Now after this system, you see your patients and
then you need to negotiate with the payer, whether that's the insurance company or
the government about getting paid for that.
And the insurance companies and the government, they're like, well, hey, I need proof.
I need documentation of what you did.
I'm not gonna pay you if you just tell me
that you did this stuff.
And I need it in like a really standardized form.
Yep, I need an official standardized medical record.
And so all of a sudden you start this Faustian bargain or slippery slope, if you
will, for the medical profession of, okay, in order to get paid and get paid more and
more over time as my procedures that I'm doing become more and more complex, I need
strictly codified and regulated and standardized documentation of what I did.
And I need really bulletproof workflows and data flows between what's happening in the
patient room and then what bills get sent over to the payers.
And that's the existential need for an electronic medical record system, but really also, and maybe more importantly, an
electronic medical billing system.
Yep.
And the realization that I think the whole industry kind of had early is insurance wants
to pool together in a very large pool.
So the payers are always going to have a tremendous amount of leverage over individual physicians,
small hospital systems, even larger hospital systems.
So you really need to be extremely buttoned up and extremely standardized and extremely
auditable because you're negotiating with this large counterparty, whatever the given
payer is, be it a government or a large insurance company that's going to have leverage over you.
Yep. And for the hospitals, in terms of quote-unquote customers, I mean, they're not customers,
they're payers. The reason they're called payers is they're not getting the delivery
of care, they're just paying for it. Of that set of payers, Medicare and Medicaid are the
big gorillas because they're covering the elderly population who are consuming the vast majority
of care and the vast majority of complicated care and expensive care in the country.
Makes sense.
So here we are in 1966, the year after Medicare, Medicaid get created by the government.
And there's this existential reason now for healthcare to adopt systematized records.
And so a group once again at Massachusetts General Hospital in Boston, starts work on
the first real computerized medical record system called COSTAR, Computer Stored Ambulatory
Record.
And it's used for patient scheduling and registration and clinical data, everything you would think
in an electronic health record, but also critically billing
and interfacing here with the payers.
And development for that was funded by the National Institute of Health.
The technical requirements for creating this though are actually pretty difficult, especially
with programming languages available at the time like Fortran or whatnot.
This is a very high concurrency transaction system.
A lot of users need to use this across a health system. Even then? Even then, yeah. A lot of users
across a health system need to use this and it needs to interface with a lot of endpoints.
And especially with the limited storage and processing power of computers,
like mainframes at the time, the group of programmers that were working on this found
that existing programming languages couldn't really suit their needs to build what they
needed. So they end up writing their own new programming language called the Massachusetts
General Hospital Utility Multiprogramming System, or MUMPS.
Which is amazing that there's a medical-oriented programming language called MUMPS.
Yes. And Epic still uses MUMPS today, or actually uses its modern descendant cache.
But this is the standard programming language for the industry and database system for the industry.
I don't know about the industry, but for Epic.
Oh, yeah.
Which I guess now for the industry.
Yeah, well, that's what I was going to say.
Many of Epic's competitors do not use this, but Epic does.
So it's kind of de facto the standard now.
So now there are two key features of mumps,
and this is why these programmers had
to create their own language.
One, the language and the database are integrated.
Right there within the programming language is a database structure,
and that makes it very computationally efficient for handling all these
high-velocity and data-intensive transactions that need to happen.
Or at least efficient for the programmer, because you're not
switching over to write SQL queries in the middle of your program.
Everything is sort of in the same language.
If what you're doing is primarily building a wrapper around a database to use modern parlance,
a glorified database that is going to constantly be read and written to,
kind of nice for it to all just be one standard language.
Yep. And then the other thing that they design it for is for multiple simultaneous users.
Imagine you've got different departments within a hospital updating the same patient record
at the same time. You've got then administrators in the hospital also updating that record
to know what's been billed out to a payer, what's not been, what's been challenged, etc.
Right. You don't want collisions to create data loss or something like that.
This is people's lives we're dealing with.
Exactly.
Now, the lead programmer of this group here at MGH, at MassGen,
that is creating CoStar and Mumps,
was a recent MIT graduate named Neil Papalardo.
And being the young enterprising MIT grad that he is, a couple
years later in 1968, Neil spins out and starts a company around this to sell his software,
originally called Medical Information Technology, or MIT. Get it?
Names taken.
Hey. But soon he changes the name, perhaps at the request of the real MIT, to Meditech.
For folks in the industry, that'll sound very familiar because Meditech is still in
business today and is the number three player in the EMR space behind Epic and Cerner.
Yep.
Pretty amazing.
So, back to Judy now here at the University of Wisconsin.
She's working with Dr. Slack and the medical department there doing all these various application projects. And then Dr. Slack moves to Harvard, where he of course meets Neil and starts
working with Meditech. But he and Judy keep in touch. Judy's part of this community of programmers
and computer scientists building applications for healthcare systems. And like we said earlier,
what the people at Wisconsin really want is the same thing that the people at Harvard and MGH really want, is this integrated system where they can get
longitudinal patient records across the continuum of care and that they can use to bill the
payers.
The holy grail.
The holy grail.
So through this connection, Judy learns about mumps and she goes and learns mumps, the programming
language,
starts working on this problem.
And legend has it that one day in the mid 1970s, she's sitting in her living room and
has an epiphany about how she is going to build a great system, a single database that
can do all of this.
Her quote on this is, the sun was shining, I was disattentive, I was just sitting there, and suddenly it all came to me. Here's
how you build it, the integrated system. And I remember running to the kitchen,
grabbing a pad of paper, and just writing code, code, code, code. And that code became
chronicles. She called it chronicles. It's a chronicle of a patient's care journey. And that code in that database is still the core of Epic to this very day.
Is it actually the same code?
No, I mean, still claim.
None of my code that I wrote is still in production, et cetera.
That I'm sure that is true, but it is true that Epic's core database, the core
single database, and this is Epic's big differentiation.
There's only one database that every application pulls from.
Directly talks to.
It directly talks to whether it's the clinical side for EMRs, whether it's the billing side
with the Resolute module that Epic has, whether it's Cosmos, whether it's Stork for Obegine
or Beans for Kidney, or whatever application that Epic makes of their hundreds, it all
pulls from one single database in Chronicles. And that's what Judy writes here in the 1970s.
Okay, so it's just a database? Where does it go from she writes a bunch of code when
she has this insight that there should be a database with the patient model at the center?
Well that's a good question because it is just a database because the idea of
applications and certainly graphical applications on top of it doesn't make
sense because we're still in the mainframe world here.
So what the product is, is this database and then different departments in the
Wisconsin Medical Center can write their own screens like queries on top of the database
that can sit on their terminals and that they can read data out of the database directly
into their patient rooms or departments wherever they're sitting.
So these are terminals.
I mean, these are 80 character wide text only terminals.
Yes.
Green screens, Unix terminals.
Okay.
So you run Judy's database, you run Chronicles
somewhere in your hospital building on a big mainframe,
and then there's these text-only terminals that can query it.
Yep, that's the product.
Sweet. Long way to go.
So, just like the projects in Boston at MGH,
where the intention was to make the systems for use there at MGH,
Judy, at first, she's just making Chronicles
for the Wisconsin Medical System.
She's just a programmer employee of the medical center.
But the doctors at UW,
they're going to academic conferences
all around the country,
and they start telling other doctors
at other academic institutions
about this great system called Chronicles that they have,
that this programmer that they employ, Judy Faulkner,
has written in demand for it starts to spread virally
and Wisconsin gets calls and Judy gets calls
from all these other health systems around the country
that are like, oh hey, can you write this for me too?
Doesn't she get asked to start a company several times
and she's like, no, I just made it this one instance.
We don't need to build a whole company around this thing.
Exactly. And this happens again and again and again. And so legend is finally she just
breaks down like, fine, I'll start a company. I'll be part time on it. We'll get some other
people who are working with me. We'll be part time. This will be a small little thing. And
so thus, finally in 1979, the company is born Human Services Computing.
Amazingly generic.
The future Epic Systems.
But before we tell the story of how Human Services Computing became Epic.
Yes.
This is a great time to thank our presenting partner, JPMorgan Payments.
And in particular, to dive into how essential modern payments
infrastructure has become to building your business today, whether you are a large multinational
business or a startup in your early days of processing payments.
Yep.
If you think about it, there are whole companies and industries that couldn't exist a decade
ago without the payment tools we have today.
It's absolutely essential to create businesses with modern product experiences like
ride sharing, the creator economy, or b2b use cases like SaaS marketplaces or managing supplier
relationships. For those types of companies, Payments is their business. Thankfully, JP Morgan
has built the stack to let them focus on their differentiation instead of reinventing the wheel.
JP Morgan Payments has been pioneering in this industry for decades. They move $10 trillion a day.
You can literally never outgrow their capabilities.
Yes.
So while we are examining the healthcare landscape today, let's look at the industry through
the lens of payments.
There's a lot of innovation promise coming with telehealth and AI and preventative treatment
and new clinical trial processes.
Seamless and secure payments are critical
to improving patient experiences
in unlocking innovation for businesses and providers.
And when you zoom out,
healthcare is an incredibly complicated ecosystem
of payments, healthcare providers,
insurance network specialists,
health monitoring services, and more.
It creates a complex and friction-filled
payment experience.
Who's paying who and when and under what terms, and then you layer data privacy
requirements on top. It's wild. If you're a company or a provider trying to
innovate in this space, you know getting the payments piece right is paramount,
which is why JP Morgan's array of products, including their healthcare
payment solutions and Instamate offering, provides a patented cloud-based
technology to securely transform healthcare payments by driving electronic transactions, processing payments, and moving
healthcare data seamlessly.
If you're in the industry, you likely know that JPMorgan is finally attuned to all these
innovations on the frontier hosting the premier healthcare industry event every January.
If you learned anything at this year's event that's relevant to this episode, come share
it with us in the Slack.
Listeners can check out jpmorgan.com slash acquired to learn about how JP Morgan's end
to end payment solutions can accelerate your business and discover more innovation happening
across all industries.
All right.
So David, Judy leaves her job.
She starts, what is it?
Human computer, human services, computing, human services, human computer? Human services computing.
Human services computing.
Really rolls off the tongue.
Yes, she's not planning up till this point
to be the founder of a company,
and yet for the next 47 years of her life, she would be.
How does that go?
Well, before she does anything,
she needs to raise some money for not the least of which
to buy a computer to do this work on.
Which wasn't it like 70 grand to buy a computer?
Yes, a computer being a data general eclipse 16-bit mini computer, which is the size of
like a washer dryer system and sits in the basement.
That's right, because we're in this awkward era between mainframes and micro computers.
The microprocessor hasn't been invented yet, and so we have these quote-unquote mini computers
that are still washing machine-sized.
Yeah, we're right before the PC era here.
It's so interesting how sometimes you have the technology wave that eclipses all prior,
but sometimes you have these half-steps along the way that turn out not to eclipse everything.
Yeah, mini computers, they were like the netbooks of their time, you know?
Yes.
We talked about this a lot on our Microsoft episodes, but the critical thing about mini computers,
and especially for duty here in fledgling epic, was like a consumer wouldn't buy these things,
but small businesses could, and small departments
of big companies could.
Like an IBM mainframe system was going to cost you a lot of money.
A data general or a deck mini computer is going to cost you about $70,000.
And Judy needs to buy one, and she also needs to fund the company.
So she goes to the bank, and she gets a bank loan for $70,000 to
finance going and buying the Data General Eclipse mini-computer. And then she rounds up a bunch of
friends and family and other people, whether physicians or other programmers in the University
of Wisconsin system who are working with her on these projects to invest money in the new company.
system who were working with her on these projects to invest money in the new company.
And together they all put in about $70,000. They value the company at $70,000. So pre-money valuation of $70,000. Another $70,000 of new on top. Yep. Post money of $140,000.
Taking 50% dilution from your 70K fundraise. and then you also have this $70,000 loan.
Yep. And those were the only primary investors ever in Epic Systems. And there's some really
fun stories about what happened to those shares that the other original investors bought over
time. The company has bought a lot of them back, but not all of them.
There are still some floating out there.
There are some floating out around there. We can't share all the stories that we heard in the research,
but one fun thing is that at one point in time, I think this was probably the 2000s maybe,
a pretty good chunk of those shares made their way to Sequoia Capital.
Yes.
Sequoia did not put that one on their website.
Almost the only way in which Epic intersected with Silicon Valley in the entire company's history, made their way to Sequoia Capital. Yes. Sequoia did not put that one on their website.
Almost the only way in which Epic intersected with Silicon Valley in the entire company's
history.
But this is a crazy point.
They do $5.7 billion in revenue today.
They dominate an industry, at least here in the United States, and in total, they raise
70,000 of equity capital and 70,000 of bank debt.
Yes. And that's it.
This is IKEA all over again.
Totally. And I think a huge part of what enabled this,
building software is not necessarily a capital-like activity.
It is really hard, especially in those days, to build great software.
I think kind of like how Microsoft never really raised primary capital either.
It's because Judy was got generational talent as a programmer.
Hmm.
I hadn't made that linkage.
That's interesting.
They had kind of a cornered resource as a startup.
Microsoft did in Bill Gates and Paul Allen too.
But Epic totally did too in Judy.
She could write really, really great software.
They didn't need to go hire an army of programmers.
No, and the company stayed very very small for a very long time.
Hmm, cuz as legend has it, it's three halftime people in the basement of a building that started the company.
And I think they got pretty far on just that.
I think so and for years they didn't hire that many more people that would obviously change over time.
Okay, I'm 90% sure I'm going to stump you on this one.
You mentioned the basement of the building. So they get their first office space,
Judy gets the company's first office space in the basement of an apartment building
at 2020 University Avenue in Madison, Wisconsin.
Do you know what other great American company from Madison, Wisconsin. Do you know what other great American company
from Madison, Wisconsin also started
in that same office space and I believe overlapped.
I think they were both in this same
shared office space concurrently.
David, there's only so much material out there
on this company.
We were both gonna find this.
Oh.
Listeners, this is the American Girl Doll Company.
Oh, I really thought I had you on this.
You know, Ben and I don't do our research calls together.
We do most of them separately, but we were on one together.
And the person we were talking to was about to say this.
And I was like, no, don't say it.
I want to stump Ben on the episode.
I did see it somewhere else, though.
The crazy thing is I think when American Girl moved out, Epic bought some of their furniture.
Yes, I think that's right. So listeners, what we're talking about is the American Girl moved out, Epic bought some of their furniture. Yes, I think that's right.
So listeners, what we're talking about is the American Girl Doll Company founded by
Pleasant Rowland in Madison, Wisconsin.
My sister had, I think, a few of these growing up.
Oh man, Jenny had so many of these and a lot of them have migrated now to our house and
our girls have them.
And already my three-year-old runs around our house with the American Girl
Doll magazine and she tells me on a weekly basis, these are the ones I want for my birthday.
She's pointing to like a $250 doll. Yeah, incredible company. It actually ends up getting
acquired by Mattel in the late nineties. It was a big part of Mattel for a long time.
I'm so bummed I didn't stump you on this.
for a long time. I'm so bummed I didn't stump you on this one.
Okay, back to the epic story.
So Judy's got the financing, she's got the computer,
but she still doesn't know anything about building
and running a company.
She's a software developer.
So Warner Slack says, okay, come on out to Boston.
I'm gonna set up a couple days for you to spend time
with Neil and Metatech, and I'm to ask him to help you out starting this company.
I got to say, this is a pivotal moment and not just for everything she learns from
Meditech, which I know you're going to get into all these cool things that she
brought over. But instead of, I'm going to introduce you to a business person.
He says, I'm going to teach you as a programmer,
everything you need to know about running a business and it's not
True, but it kind of rounds to true to say epic basically never did hire any business people
It is essentially a big gigantic company of programmers
logicians
Implementation people who could be programmers who think like programmers that is the dna of the company to this day
programmers who think like programmers, that is the DNA of the company to this day. And it could have gone a super different direction of you need to go figure out a sales and marketing
strategy and a business plan.
And that is just not what happened.
This is a history turns on a knife point moment for Epic and Judy, because the likelihood
that she would get introduced to a business mentor who is also a software developer
and not a business school graduate business guy. We're talking about the 1970s here.
The business playbook is you bring the grown-ups in, right?
Bring in the suits, bring in the business school graduates, fire the founders.
Well, that only happens if you raise capital.
Exactly. You wonder why Judy
was so, you know, averse to venture capital. Everybody else she knew who was taking it in that
era was getting fired. Swapped in for a business guy. Totally. But yeah, Neil, he came out MIT,
he's a programmer. He was on the original Mumps team. So Judy goes out, spends three days with
Neil and gets a total crash course in setting up
and running a company.
And Ben, like you said, Neil ran Metatech
like a software developer.
So all the processes were extremely standardized.
He had like hardened APIs for running the company.
You know?
He had manuals and documentation for everything,
and he shared the manuals with Judy.
This is how you set up a HR system.
This is how you do benefits, payroll.
How you do college hiring, how you promote internally.
Well, yes, Meditech recruited from the universities there in Boston.
They didn't hire experienced programmers.
They were hiring fresh college graduates.
Totally natural that Judy's going to do the same thing at Epic out of first the University
of Wisconsin and then other schools.
But yeah, that was the playbook and that DNA runs right through to this very day at Epic.
It's mostly people from non-medical majors.
They're hiring from Midwestern schools, from people with technical majors just operating
under the assumption, eh, you can learn this healthcare thing.
It's the same thing as Microsoft or Google or Meta or what have you.
They are going to universities, all departments, and recruiting kids
on campus, recruiting at colleges.
Yep. And she was doing this at a time when it wasn't the norm.
I mean, I got to keep drilling in how different the world was then in a bunch of different ways.
But one of them was you didn't have these college career fairs where you would
just assume you could get this amazing high agency job right out of college.
Microsoft was really on the frontier of hiring smart college grads and empowering them and
letting them run free.
Epic was doing the same thing and this was not industry standard.
And Microsoft wasn't even really doing it
at this point in time.
They had only just moved to Washington.
They'd only just left Albuquerque.
This is the timeframe we're talking about.
Well, yeah, what year are we in?
We're in 1979.
So Microsoft really isn't starting to wrap hiring yet.
No, and to that point, there is no DOS yet.
There is no real PC industry.
Microsoft is still, its main product
is the basic interpreter for Judy
and the fledgling human services computing here.
Yes, they have demand from other large academic hospitals
out there in medical systems that have mainframes set up,
that have university computing infrastructure
that they can leverage
and use.
But your average hospital or medical clinic or outpatient clinic out there in America,
they don't have a mini computer, they don't have a mainframe.
The market isn't really there for this kind of stuff yet in a big way, except at these
university medical systems.
Yeah.
And part of what she is doing is going after a different segment than Meditech was
doing.
It's a little bit out of deference to Neil and his company.
They're kind of going after the small hospital market.
She's going to take the more sort of upmarket, enterprisey approach and go after the most
complex institutions, these academic training hospitals, later on the IDNs or the integrated
delivery networks, which are huge
hospital systems, or children's hospitals.
Again, the most complex upmarket enterprisee has the most possible needs for the most complex
software.
That is where she's about to point the company.
Yep.
Which she has to for the Unix-based product that she's making, because those are the only
institutions that have Unix infrastructure. Right, that can afford
these big computers. Yeah. So, 1979, they start out with four initial customers.
Four years later, in 1983, is when they renamed the company to Epic Systems. Ben,
why did they rename the company? Well, aside from the first name just being an
awful name, you can start to see Judy's
quirkiness come through.
I mean, I think you saw it originally with
Chronicles, her sort of abstract creative thought.
The notion of an epic, the Greek epic is this big
story, this big longitudinal historic event.
And I think the way that she's thinking about
a patient record is that the life of the patient is an epic
Mm-hmm. Yeah, is that kind of jive with your understanding? Yeah, it definitely was not a
Declaration of aspirations as a company because this was still a very very small business
They started with four initial customers in 1983 when they changed the name. They only have nine
customers in 1983 when they changed the name, they only have nine customers. And in fact,
by the end of the company's first decade of existence, so end of 1988, they only have 24 customers. And it's only doing one and a half million dollars in revenue. And they've got like
a handful of employees. That's the crazy thing. Unlike Microsoft, this was a small business from
the get go. Right. It took a decade to get to a small business from the get-go. Right, it took
a decade to get to a million and a half dollars in revenue. Yes. That's kind of a
slow growing startup. A great software business for a local entrepreneur in
Madison, Wisconsin, I think is how you would describe that. Yep. So yeah, for the
first 10 years of the company, you know, yes it's growing, but it's not exactly
setting the world on fire. And part of the company. Yes, it's growing, but it's not exactly setting the world on fire.
And part of the reason is the computing infrastructure wasn't there at customers
like we talked about. The other big reason why they weren't getting crazy customer adoption is
they actually were only doing the clinical medical record stuff at this point in time.
They weren't doing the really important stuff of the billing system until 1987.
So for the first, what is that called,
eight years of the company,
they weren't addressing the actual critical problem
in the hospitals, which is help us bill for this stuff.
Right, if you can help them make more money,
they're gonna be a lot more excited to buy your software
and pay a lot more for your software.
Yep, totally.
So in 1987, they launched a billing module called Resolute,
again, on top of the Chronicles single core database, which
still today is the company's revenue cycle
application for all their hospitals.
And I know we've made this point a few times,
but I really want to underline.
It is still just an application built on top of the Chronicles database.
And fast forward to today, I think that is actually the single biggest reason why Epic
wins over their competitors.
I would argue there's two big reasons Epic wins today.
One is reliability.
But the reliability also comes from the fact that it's all built on one database.
You're not gluing multiple systems together.
All their competitors along the way, or almost all of them other than Metatech, became 30
other companies glued together through M&A and take public, take private, crazy transactions.
Epic's just been epic the whole time.
So you get this system that when you buy it and they say it's
going to take X dollars and X time to implement, it does. And then you go live
and it works. Which sounds crazy, but it does the thing that they say it's going
to do on time and on budget or as good as anyone does in this industry. And then
the second reason, in addition to reliability, David, as you're alluding to,
is the fact
that the clinical side and the billing side are completely stitched together in one code
base working off of one database.
It is perfect harmony.
You don't have information dropped when one system is talking to another.
If your goal is to adopt a system that keeps track of everything in your hospital and makes
sure that you can make money from it for your organization.
This is sort of the ideal architecture for such a product.
It's funny, I'm laughing as you were saying earlier, it sort of does what it's supposed
to do as EMR.
I assume you're referring to the actual clinician doctor facing EMR side of it.
If you're looking for a system as a hospital that ties what happens in your medical practice to
your billing and your revenue events, there is no if. That's all you're trying to do as a hospital.
That is what you are looking for. That is the product. Yes. And Ben, like you said, all the
competitors out there, except arguably Meditech, in many cases, the billing system is a separate, and often separately acquired product from the medical record.
Not only is it just like, oh,
maybe not ideal if some of the information doesn't
pass quickly or efficiently or accurately between those two systems.
It's like incredibly not ideal.
It's like you're not getting paid for the work you're doing,
or even worse, maybe you're submitting documentation that is wrong
Which is like a federal crime, right?
Or even if it's bad in the other direction then it's not just that your billing system is not making it into clinical
You're potentially causing patient harm and costing lives any data flowing in either direction
That's bad is really really bad in this particular use
case.
So there's a great substack called Health API Guy, which I want to reference a few times
because it's just some of the best writing on Epic you'll find.
He put it perfectly.
Epic becomes the natural choice for enterprise decision makers precisely because of its integrated
system architecture.
Rather than managing multiple vendors and systems, buyers get a comprehensive platform with a single database, unified workflows, and built-in operability through Care Everywhere,
which we'll talk about later. But Care Everywhere is the magical button that makes it so that your
hospital records at one hospital are easily integrated and viewed in any other hospital
that is, of course, also an Epic customer.
Yes.
Okay, so after they launch Resolute, and now we're in the late 80s into the early 90s,
we're finally entering the PC era.
It's now possible for hospitals and health practices to adopt computers for a few thousand
dollars instead of a few tens of thousands of dollars.
The market really starts to take off for Epic.
And on the back of that in 1992, they launch Epic Care, which I believe is the first graphical
user interface like Windows based EMR application in the entire industry.
Certainly, Epic definitely says that that is true.
Yep.
So what does that mean?
Go back to what Chronicles was originally.
It was terminal access directly into
a Unix-based database on a mainframe or on a mini-computer.
This is not something that your average doctor or
nurse or medical assistant is going to use.
Now here in the 90s with Epicare,
they've created a Windows application that any PC user can fire up on their Windows
machine and use a graphical interface for their patient interactions and their EMR.
And oh yeah, by the way, it's tied directly into your billing system for your hospital
or your health practice.
This is all of a sudden really compelling.
We're approaching Holy Grail here if you're a a hospital administrator, especially with scheduling in addition to billing.
Their scheduling thing is called Cadence.
But once you have billing, scheduling, and Epicare
handling the actual clinical part of it,
and this is all ambulatory, right?
We haven't gotten to inpatient yet.
Yes.
So the initial launch of Epicare, the GUI EMR application,
was only for ambulatory, only for outpatient settings.
Not overnight stays.
Yes, not overnight stays in the hospital.
Yeah.
As a non-healthcare person, that's
always how I define what inpatient is.
Yes.
You hear ambulatory, you just hear non-overnight stays.
Too confusing otherwise.
But this is it.
Scheduling, billing, and Epicare on the clinical side for ambulatory.
Pretty amazing product that is trajectory changing for the company.
It's now got enough functionality that it's not going to stay a small business for long.
Yep.
So by 1995, they hit 18 million in revenue, up from one and a half million in 1988.
So pretty phenomenal seven years there where they more than TEDxed.
So by most measures, you'd look at this and be like, business is going well.
Yes, no longer a small Madison, Wisconsin business.
Right. However, where we were comparing it before was Microsoft.
You made the Bill Gates comparison,
this company was started, when was it? 70? 79, so only a couple of years after Microsoft. Four before was Microsoft. You made the Bill Gates comparison, this company was started, when was it?
70?
79, so only a couple of years after Microsoft.
Four years after Microsoft.
Yep.
In 1995, Epic did $18 million.
In 1995, Microsoft had gone public and shipped Windows 95
and did $6 billion in revenue.
Right.
Very different trajectories.
The primary reason here is one is a small vertical focused
health care company, and one is creating the horizontal
platform of the future.
But it's worth contextualizing businesses going well
by making sure that we stop making the Microsoft comparison
from here on out.
Well, I think I want to come back to it later in the episode
and in analysis because, yes, Epic is and always
will be constrained by being a vertical software provider
instead of a horizontal software provider like Microsoft
or Google or Oracle or what have you.
Vertical being one industry.
Vertical being one industry.
However, the one industry that they operate in
is 18% of American GDP.
So how big can this get is, well,
it's a question we'll revisit.
Yes.
Okay, so then finally in 2001,
they launch the inpatient version of Epicare.
So yes, this is for inpatient hospital stays overnight.
Now you finally have the Holy Grail. You've got Chronicles as the
one single database. You've got Epic Care Ambulatory for all your outpatient clinics.
You've got Epic Care Inpatient for all your inpatient activities. By the way, again,
inpatient activities are probably going to be your majority revenue stream, because that's where the most expensive, most complex care is happening.
Kind of similar to Medicare is your most important payer relationship,
because old people is where the most complex, most expensive care is happening.
So you've got that.
And then you've got Resolute, the billing system,
all single database, all tied together, all built on top of it.
Yeah, if you're a hospital system administrator, this is the best thing you could possibly imagine.
And Epic is really starting to get religion around this point in our future is breadth.
Our customer, these hospitals do not want to buy piecemeal solutions.
They want to buy everything from one vendor and they want that one vendor to provide
the very best, most integrated experience possible.
So we need to continue to orient the company
around that philosophy.
Yep.
Now, right around the same time, actually,
before Epic Care Inpatient launches,
Epic also launches MyChart.
This is crazy.
If you had asked me before doing research for this episode,
when would I guess that MyChart. This is crazy. If you had asked me before doing research for this episode, when would I guess that
MyChart launched?
This is a internet-based, consumer-facing, medical records access interaction platform
on the web in a highly regulated, HIPAA-regulated industry.
I would have guessed like, I don't know, 2010 maybe,
mid-2000s at the earliest.
No, Epic launched this in the year 2000, which is wild.
Right, right around the dot-com bubble.
Yeah, crazy.
It's absolutely wild that they launched this
and that their customers launched this.
Well, and it's incredibly innovative.
I mean, it is truly cutting edge.
I mean, it wasn't 1994 like Amazon, but the fact that, yeah, to your point, the medical record thing was
being surfaced on the web, it's pioneering.
Yeah, that consumers had direct access to. Well, I want to come back in a minute to how
important this is for Epic and their customers, but the origin story of MyTard is kind of fun. So it actually started as an outgrowth
of what was called Epic Web in 1997,
which was a project that they were working on
for remote access to the EMR, to Epic Care,
for doctors at home.
So the idea was like, oh, you're a doctor,
you go home, you wake up in the middle of the night,
you're thinking about a case,
and you wanna check the medical records,
maybe you wanna update.
So foreshadowing here of how doctors are gonna spend
their time in the future.
Yeah, exactly.
Little did they know how much doctors would hate
what we're saying here.
But you wanna be able to access remotely from your home
the medical records of your patients,
so they start working on
Epic Web.
And a young, right out of college programmer is working on this by the name of Sumit Rama.
Sumit today is the president of Epic.
And he goes to the then president of Epic, Carl Dvorak, and says, hey, you know, this
is good that I'm working on this, but I'm kind of bored.
Can you give me something hard to do?
Which this says a lot about the culture of Epic.
This is a early career programmer going directly
to the president, and that says enough on its own?
Yes.
And the president is running this patient web project.
Right.
Is kind of a computer architecture person himself.
And the conversation is about, I want a more interesting project.
Can you give me something we're cutting-edge to work on?
Yeah, give me something more challenging and out of that is born the initial idea for my chart
I think they started working on it in 1998 and then launched it in the year 2000
So it becomes the first integrated patient portal and I mean truly and this is a very fair thing to say
This is insanely innovative for as many reasonable barbs get thrown at the company, some around, oh, old technology
and oh, the UI is kludgy and all this stuff.
Come on, MyChart99 is real cutting edge.
People immediately got it.
Once you could access your own medical records from home, from your own computer directly
without talking to anyone, you were never going back.
The world changed overnight. It was a little bit like Zillow in real estate.
Yes.
As soon as you can look up how much homes
in your neighborhood and your friends
and neighbors' homes sold for,
you're never gonna go back to not being able to do that.
We're gonna have some rich debate later
about the pros and cons of EMRs
and sort of are we better off today than we were,
but I just can't fathom being in a world
where I don't have a way to access other than going to the physical building and asking them for my records. and sort of, are we better off today than we were? But I just can't fathom being in a world
where I don't have a way to access
other than going to the physical building
and asking them for my records or placing a call
and asking for them to call me back.
Oh, records used to have to get faxed back and forth
when you moved or changed providers, it was brutal.
But the other really compelling use case for MyChart,
especially when it first launches
and even through to today, is managing family members' care.
You have elderly parents who are using the health system,
as you do as you get older, and you need to help manage that,
but you don't live in the same city, or even if you do,
having MyChart access to family members was huge
and starts this whole patient side virality now for the company.
And then for their customers, I imagine initially it was very scary to roll this out.
Once they add self-scheduling into MyChart, this becomes the greatest thing for hospitals.
I mean, the workflow savings of calls that had to happen to
scheduling appointments are huge. The other big thing is no shows. Before MyChart and self-scheduling
and the wait lists that MyChart manages for patients, if a patient no showed, that was lost
revenue for you as a hospital system. That was a big hole in your daily revenue operations.
Yep.
And now you can automatically fill that in with another patient on the wait list.
Yep.
So we're foreshadowing this, but everyone adopts this basically.
Today there are 191 million active users of MyChart, and this is deduplicated.
This is active unique users of MyChart today.
Yep. So, on the back of this, they launch MyChart in 2000, Epicare and Impatient in 2001.
The company crosses $50 million in revenue.
They feel like, okay, we're finally ready for the big leagues.
And just to contextualize that $50 million of revenue, they're up to 88 health systems now.
So, they really are starting to penetrate the market,
just going one by one by one by one to all these different
hospital systems and selling them their software.
Yep. So they're ready for the big leagues.
And then in 2003, they get a call,
not just from the biggest player in the biggest league,
Kaiser Permanente in California.
But before we tell the Kaiser story, which completely transformed the company.
Yep.
This is a great time to thank friend of the show, Fundrise.
The Fundrise team is awesome and they are big acquired listeners just like all of you.
And they've been evolving since we first worked together about three years ago.
So at the time Fundrise was mostly known as the US's largest real estate investment platform for retail investors.
However, they were watching technology markets get larger and larger than ever, thanks to
Moore's law, and technology, of course, sort of took over every industry.
Like healthcare.
And the team there was really feeling like, it really is a shame that all these tech companies
are staying private longer, and that means that retail investors can't get access. So in 2022,
they launched their move to bring the democratized model they had developed into venture investing,
which was a pretty contrarian idea. Totally. This had been tried in the past, but never
really worked. Fast forward to today, Fundrise has invested in great companies like Databricks,
Canva, Andoril, Ramp, fellow friends of the show Vanta and Anthropic, and also Service Titan,
which just went public last December.
Yeah, it is crazy what Fundrise has done.
They've taken a retail platform that any American can invest in and gotten pre-IPO access to
some of the best private companies in the world.
They have enabled access to all the value creation that's been locked up in private companies.
When the service Titan IPO happened, thanks to Fundrise,
tens of thousands of regular investors got to celebrate
alongside VCs, LPs and employees.
And look, timing really is everything here.
Fundrise is doing this at a moment where thanks to AI,
there's more value than ever being created
in the technology sector of the economy.
You can go check out the full portfolio that Fundrise is building at fundrise.com slash
venture.
And if you are a growth stage founder looking for a great series C or later investor, get
in touch and tell them that Ben and David sent you.
This is a paid endorsement for Fundrise and all investments can lead to a loss.
All right.
So David, Kaiser Permanente, the biggest of big fishes comes knocking.
Yes. So Kaiser Permanente is this fascinating organization that was started and is headquartered
here in California that is a fully integrated quote unquote managed care consortium. And so what
that means is that essentially they are both your health plan, your insurance,
and your hospital system all in one.
It'd be like if an insurance provider married up with a hospital system and said, this is
our captive hospital system, you as our members are only going to go get your care here, and
we control the whole system.
It's the closest thing that you can sort of have to a single payer here in the country. Hmm
But importantly, they do also need to work with an interface with Medicare as they have their own Medicare Advantage plan
And so for their older patients customers once they get older they transition to Medicare Advantage through Kaiser
Gotcha. Now at the time here were in 2003
Kaiser was the largest single hospital system in
the entire country.
30 hospitals, 400 plus clinics, 11,000 physicians, and 8.5 million patients that are part of
Kaiser here in 2003.
And they decide that they are going to put out an RFP for a whole new integrated, entire
Kaiser system-wide EMR system.
And this is when you really should start to think, okay, EMRs are not just medical records
or medical records tied to billing and scheduling.
This is the operating system for this industry.
Someone described it to me as the nervous system for a healthcare system.
You know, you've got 20 hospitals, a bunch of doctors, a bunch of administration people.
The whole thing is tied together by this unbelievably complex, tentacles everywhere piece of software
with thousands of different screens and levels
of authorization and authentication and roles and permissions.
And I mean, it is incredibly hairy and is the single nervous system that the entire
organization runs on.
Calling it an operating system is taking it too lightly.
It's like your operating system plus your ERP system plus your applications on top of your operating system.
It's your everything.
It's quite reasonable, even though we refer to these things as EMRs, to start thinking about EMR as a feature for a constituency of the whole system.
Yes. So in 2003, Kaiser puts out an RFP for a new, again, quote unquote,
EHR, but really new nervous system for all of Kaiser. And Epic wins the deal.
And Epic was a little company just a few years before they were a $50 million company.
Yes. And after they signed Kaiser, they go to $162 million in annual revenue. So transformative. Probably more than
doubled their revenue overnight. Yep. Interestingly, let's talk prices for a second. The headline
number, as everyone reports it, it's a $4 billion deal. They call it a $4 billion three-year project,
and that Epic's portion is around 400 million of
Course not all in one year
But the way these things work is there's a big implementation that costs a bunch of money upfront and then there's the ongoing
License that I think eventually would transition to subscription, but at this point is licensing to use the software
It's just funny to see these headlines because the four billion number not only they capture
It's just funny to see these headlines because the 4 billion number, not only do they capture
many years of the deal and the implementation, but they also roll in there the headcount of the hospital employees that have to do the work and they roll in there the potential lost
productivity from all doctors across the health system who have to sort of ramp on the new software.
Which is a real economic impact, by the way.
For sure.
But it's not like Epic got $4 billion out of this.
No, and I always chuckle, because every single one
of these numbers looks huge.
Multi-billion dollar.
Oh, even if it's small health system, $300 million project.
And it ends up resulting in nowhere
near that much money to Epic.
But this is how the industry has decided to talk
about the size of these deals.
Yeah, it's funny.
We should start talking about the size of acquired,
and you know, like-
Fourth and fifth degree tertiary impacts.
We are a billion dollar business.
Just think about all the business that our customers do
when acquired listeners.
But to your point, it is actually fair.
If Kaiser is gonna engage in switching their central nervous system over several
years, it's going to be net $4 billion of impact to them.
Yes.
So the story of how this goes down is wild.
At the time, Kaiser's two main centers of gravity were Northern California and Southern California.
And they were almost like separate companies under the Kaiser umbrella.
Had different systems, had their own EMRs, different management.
Of course, talked to each other and part of the same parent organization.
Wasn't there like a almost like cousin organization that was Northwest?
Yes.
Like this stepchild?
So they had, I don't know if it was just Northwest or they had maybe some other
smaller regional operations at the time, but they had a Pacific Northwest small
region based in Portland, Oregon.
Today, actually Kaiser has large regions through a large part of the country.
They've grown a lot since then, but this small little Portland region, they had
started using Epic for their ambulatory clinics.
So like not even inpatient stuff in the hospital, but their outpatient clinics.
And at the time, the Northern California and Southern California big factions were battling each other,
and they're each trying to develop their own proprietary EMR systems with software consultants with like Accenture and stuff.
Yeah, there was this era where hospitals thought that EMRs should be their IP,
that they develop and have sort of a competitive advantage over other hospitals because their EMR was better.
I don't know what the thinking was, but people wanted to own their own EMRs.
I think there may even have been some pipe dreams of like, oh, we're going to commercialize
this and sell it to other hospitals.
It seems like not a core competency that hospitals should be doing.
Anyway, within the Kaiser system, though, there was a fairly high degree of rotatability
of physicians, of doctors.
So if you were a doctor in Portland with Kaiser Pacific Northwest, and you wanted to move or your family had to move down to California,
you could transfer pretty easily to Northern or Southern California, Kaiser.
So this was happening, and as physicians from the Northwest started coming down to California,
they'd be like, man, what are you guys doing?
You're spending all this money with Accenture and, you know, blah, blah, blah,
all these consultants and trying to roll your own.
Like we've got this thing called Epic up in Portland that we're not even using at
the hospital and it's way better than the stuff that you're trying to build.
Yeah.
So finally, after a year or two of this battle between North and South, they
finally agree like, all right, ceasefire, let's come to a truce.
We're going to ditch our competing projects and we're going to bid this out to third party
vendors.
So they hold an RFP for a new EMR for all of Kaiser, one integrated system, and they
pick IBM.
IBM is going to come in and do this big $4 billion project for Kaiser.
Nobody gets fired for buying IBM.
We're on like the end of that era,
but it's still little that era.
I mean, this is only 2003 here.
This bid might've even happened before 2003.
So IBM comes in and the project fails.
Doesn't work.
And this is not uncommon, especially, think about ERP.
The number of times you've heard,
oh, failed ERP implementation,
and some CEO is explaining on an earnings call, yeah, we lost
at hundreds of millions or billions of dollars, and we
actually didn't even switch systems.
This sort of thing does happen in the hospital world too.
And Epic has bet the whole company on having a reputation
for, we don't have failed implementations and that wins deals.
Totally.
I mean, I think this is one of the most important reasons why their customers love them.
And we're going to say this a bunch of times on the episode, their customers love them.
When we say customer, we mean hospital CEO, CIO, the chief information officer, and CFOs.
When we refer to their customers, that's who we're talking to.
Obviously the chief medical officer and all of the physicians and nurses and care folks
are a part of that, but a part of my research has revealed the customer is the hospital
administration.
I doubt that's even like a controversial statement probably at Epic themselves.
I think they consider the customer to be the CEO, CIO, and CFO of their customers. Yep.
So, the IBM project fails.
And maybe it's worth another word on that too.
It's not like this doesn't impact the physicians and the staff of the hospitals
and poor performance for the hospital, as is in the case of this failed IBM implementation,
massive detriment to the physicians. this failed IBM implementation, massive detriment
to the physicians.
This must have really, really sucked for them.
They want stability too.
And the physicians provide the value at hospitals, and so therefore, you need to make the physicians
happy to retain your administration job.
They have the leverage in the organization because they provide the core competency.
But still, you're not going in and pitching the doctors
when you're going in and trying to land a customer.
You could think of a hospital almost like a media company.
The doctors and the nurses and the clinicians,
they're the on-air talent.
Yeah.
The on-air talent are not the ones, you know,
at Disney or Universal or wherever
who are making the business decisions.
Right.
And in this case, the medical staff is involved,
but they're not the business decisions. Right. And in this case, the medical staff is involved, but they're not the decision maker.
Yeah.
So OK, Kaiser's now got to re-bid this project.
And by this point in time, enough Portland doctors
had come down to California and sung Epic's praises
that they're like, all right, we should take
this little company seriously.
So they start the RFP, and it comes down
to Epic and their big main rival, Cerner. Now, we haven't really talked about Cerner so far
in this episode, part of Oracle today,
as we will get into later.
Cerner was a much bigger company.
Yep.
Interestingly, started right around the same time, right?
Yeah, wow.
I think it was started the same year as Epic, right?
1979?
Yep, by Neil Patterson.
By Neil Patterson in Kansas City, Missouri.
Unlike Epic, which took the no venture capital, no acquisitions, single platform, stay private
forever route, Cerner took the lots of acquisitions, raise capital, go public, get big route.
Which could have worked too.
It did work too.
It did work for a long time.
Yep. At this point in time
Cerner is almost a billion dollar a year revenue business. They're a public company way way way bigger. They're international
Etc. So the RFP comes down to the two of them, but it's worth saying before they were acquired by Oracle
Was a merger of 24 different companies put a nice little wrapper on it and call it Cerner
But a lot of companies along the way.
Yes, a different path than the one Judy took, let's say.
Yes.
But that's not to knock it.
It is, and especially back then,
was a good, really competitive product.
The obvious choice for Kaiser here in 2003
would have been go with Cerner.
And they actually try to go with Cerner.
So supposedly at one point, they come to both companies, to Cerner. And they actually try to go with Cerner. So supposedly at one point,
they come to both companies, to Cerner and Epic,
and they say, look, Cerner,
we wanna go with you for inpatient in the hospital,
since that's your bread and butter,
this is the most important thing,
this is the big business, we trust you,
you've been around forever.
And Epic, hey, you've got inpatient now,
but you only just launched that in 2001,
like you're new at this,
you are good at ambulatory, at outpatient.
You're doing a really good job for us in Portland.
We want to split the baby here and do one system with Epic for our outpatient clinics
and one system with Cerner for our inpatient clinics.
Oh yeah, that always works.
And Judy says, no, that is a bad choice.
That is the wrong choice to make.
And I don't care if you go with us or them,
but to do the right thing for your patients
and for your whole system and to make billing work
and have this all function correctly
and have patient records transfer
between your ambulatory clinics and your hospitals,
which you really, really need,
you should just pick one of us.
Now, this was a little self-serving on Judy's part because
Cerner was not good at ambulatory. It's a calculated high-risk decision. However,
definitely super ballsy to do this. But she knew that Epic had a good product in both. The problem
was just that their inpatient product was still new and so didn't have trust yet in the marketplace.
But she's still a pipsqueak.
I mean, Cerner's a billion in revenue,
and Epic is like somewhere slightly north of 50 million
at this point in time.
So they go a little further in the process.
And at one point, there's a technical due diligence
meeting where Kaiser asks both companies to come in and present
to them about how their systems are going
to handle all the volume of concurrent data transactions
that Kaiser has.
Remember, 8 and 1 half million patients, 11,000 physicians,
is a high volume system here.
Yes.
And listeners, this is a great story.
This is kind of the 11th hour of the deal.
This is, hey, we're pretty close to a decision,
but we haven't made it yet.
Can you both come to the same building and sit in different conference rooms? And throughout
the day, we're going to bounce back and forth and keep spending an hour with each of you,
formulate some questions from hearing the other pitch, and then come back and ask you
those questions. And so if you're on one team or the other, you can kind of learn through
the questions, what is being pitched in the other, you can kind of learn through the questions what
is being pitched in the other room and why am I suddenly being grilled on this new topic.
So the Epic team is doing their planning, getting ready for all the preparation for
this really big meeting.
And the team had decided that the way they were going to handle this question was to
do a theoretical presentation about how Epic's architecture worked, the single system, and theoretically how much load
could the system handle all at once.
And the story is that Carl Dvorak, the president, flew in to California
the night before the pitch meets with the team, sees this plan and is like,
meets with the team, sees this plan and is like, guys, no, we need to model out in Excel
exactly what Kaiser's transaction flow
is gonna be throughout the day in the system
and how our system will process it
and prove to them that we have far in excess
bandwidth capability to handle their system
and it'll never go down.
Cause I think they had done it at sort of a theoretical formula level, but Karl knew
that Epic had the advantage here, that they actually could, if they played it all the
way out and really built out the spreadsheet, show actually we're going to be more performant
for you.
Yep.
So he and the team pull an all-nighter the night before the presentation.
I don't know if Judy was there as well.
I assume she was too.
Come in and they show the model during these meetings that Kaiser is having back
and forth between the two teams.
And as the day's going on, it becomes really clear that Cerner has not done a
similar level of modeling and can't actually prove to Kaiser that their system is
going to be able to handle the transaction flow.
I think this was the moment when the tide turned that Epic was like, oh, yeah, we're
going to win this thing.
But it still wasn't obvious right away.
I think they earned big points there.
But my understanding is that Kaiser still went to Cerner and said, we're interested.
Can we do an equity deal on top of this? Can we take part of the company in exchange for basically giving you this big deal?
I think Cerner said yes.
Yeah, the story, as we heard it at least, is that at the last minute, then right before the decision,
yeah, Kaiser came to both companies and said, hey, we'd really like warrants in your company.
We're the biggest health system in America.
This is the biggest contract you're gonna get.
We want some equity in your companies for working with us.
And apparently Cerner did offer them 10% of the company
for this deal.
That's how important this was.
So then they come to Epic and they say-
Then they come to Epic and they're like,
well, what do you have to say about that?
And Judy's like, no, we're not going to do it.
We're not going to do it for you.
We're not going to do it for anybody.
And it's the wrong thing to do.
If we did it for you, we'd have to do it for all our big customers.
And then that would turn out poorly for you too.
So absolutely not.
And they still picked Epic in the end.
Through that, through the architecture bake-off, and through the know you have to pick one
of us, Epic still won out.
And stuck to their guns all the way through that negotiation.
Which I think really should just tell you how important the stability and continuity
of the system across inpatient, outpatient, and billing is.
Because Epic is the only one that can offer that.
Yeah. By the way, earlier when I said 24 different companies merged together to create Cerner,
I forgot that this chart that I'm looking at predates when Cerner then bought Siemens.
So then there's another 12 companies that had merged together to become Siemens that merged also in discerner
Yeah, we're gonna come back to the Siemens acquisition in a minute. That was 2014 when that happened. But yeah
This is key. This is why epic wins. Yeah, so they win the deal
Basically doubles or triples revenue overnight the LA Times writes about the deal when it gets announced, quote, because of its scope, the Kaiser Epic system could become the model T of its industry,
not the first of its kind, but the first to reach masses of people. Once this happens,
Epic gets elevated to the new gold standard. If you're a hospital system, if you're a CIO or CEO looking to rebid your EMR, well, Kaiser,
the biggest system in the world, just chose Epic, and they chose it over all of these reasons not
to, there must be something really good in there. Like, of course, you're now going to consider Epic,
and of course, Epic is going to perform really well in these evaluations.
Yeah, it helped a little bit at first, but after the go live a few years in,
after the whole implementation took place
and they didn't tip over and it did go well,
that was really when the floodgates opened
sort of in that 2006, seven, eight timeframe.
Yep, so by 2007, Epic has hit 500 million in revenue.
So another three X what they were doing
once they added Kaiser and like eight X what they were doing once they added Kaiser and like eight
X what they were before Kaiser, almost 10 X what they were before Kaiser. They're really starting
to transform into a big company. I spoke with one former employee and I was asking what were the
inflection points in the company and this employee said, oh, after we won the Kaiser deal, we had been
hiring like 10 kids a month out of college,
and it now felt like hundreds a month were just
flowing into the doors so we could scale.
Which will bring us in a minute to epic's epic,
shall we say, Verona, Wisconsin campus.
Yeah. One thing just for
our storytelling narrative there we skipped over was,
there's another thing that happened in the early 2000s that reads a little bit as a sort of alternate history
for what could have happened at Epic.
Imagine you're a small company and a big company comes to you and says, can we co-develop a
new product together?
You can distribute it to your customers, we'll distribute it to our customers, you know,
under our brand name and everything, but you get some of that revenue and we'll sort of build this with you and it really
will charge your business up.
And if you don't know any better and you've never done it, it kind of sounds appealing.
Maybe we should do that.
And there are many instances of it working.
So you know, that's extra tempting.
My favorite weird example of this in history of it not really working is the HP iPod.
Do you remember this?
Oh yeah, that's right.
I do remember this.
I think I might have had one.
No, I had one of the U2 iPods, the red and black one.
Listeners Google it.
It's this really odd thing.
It's an HP brand on the back of an iPod.
That tells you all you need to know about what a weak position Apple was in at the time,
that they were willing to let HP put their brand on something entirely created by Apple to get HP's distribution and get
some cut of that revenue. And of course it would have bootstrapped their ecosystem since
it used iTunes and all that. But that's basically what happened here. So Phillips, the Dutch
company comes to Epic and says, we want to do something focused on the radiology segment.
You do a lot of the development work, we have the customer relationships and distribution.
Right, because they're probably selling the machines.
Yes. We Philips will get a license to Epic's whole IT system.
Everything that you already sell, we want to sell also.
Oh, wow.
And we're going to market that as Philips Externity Enterprise to our customers,
they're gonna buy a Philup branded version of Epic.
Interesting, and I imagine Phillips probably has a lot
of customers not in America too, like in Europe.
So this is a way to go international.
Right, so Epic starts hiring people in the Netherlands,
they build up this team, they spend multiple years
or at least a year building it out.
I think they
even launch it? The whole thing ends up folding and within a year or two of coming out, it
was a really expensive detour and the company develops this intense scar tissue for partnerships.
Partnerships at this era to the Epic team means A, stuff I can't control outside my organization, B, big risk, C, never in
our history do we have an example of it working.
This is an uncontrollable dependency and they sort of internalize this scar tissue as stay
focused on what we can control, go directly to the customer, don't try to do any fancy
partnership integration stuff with other people.
And that's oversimplifying it, but I think it's still reasonable to say that some of the DNA of what Epic would become,
and they would take tons of arrows for this, this closed, not interoperable, blah, blah, blah.
Some of it stems from this failed partnership.
With Phillips. Yeah, totally.
They're now partnering again, finally, but yeah, like 15, 20 years later.
Yes.
And thanks to health API guy for the tip on that.
Yeah.
So at this point in the late 2000s, Epic is eyes on the prize.
We're building everything ourselves.
We can get big customers on our own.
We can stand firm and not negotiate, not have to give up pieces of our company,
the price is the price,
and we know that we're gonna deliver.
And so it's time to invest in our future.
How do they invest in the future?
Uh, the Verona campus.
So for the probably minority of you listening
who know anything about Epic as a company
or have been involved with them in the past,
if you have, you almost certainly know about their corporate campus. Yes. So there's
sort of two stories of how the campus came to be. First is Judy's son, by this
point in time, is actually working at Microsoft in Redmond as a developer. And
Judy and Carl had always been inspired
by Microsoft's way of doing things.
And so one time when Judy's visiting her son,
she's like, hey, can you go give me a tour
of the campus in Redmond?
We're thinking about expanding, we're outgrowing our space,
I wanna see what it's like there.
And she's really impressed by Redmond
as I think anybody who goes there would be.
Yeah, especially in this era.
It was sort of pre-Googleplex.
It was kind of the fairy tale tech campus.
Yes, it was Google before Google.
Yep.
And she's like, this is like a college campus here,
the atmosphere that you've got.
Sports field and tons of buildings,
and all of them are pretty short, two, three, four stories.
A lot of outdoor space, walking space, everyone gets an office.
This is perfect.
So Judy comes back and basically copies
the campus strategy of Microsoft almost exactly.
They had been in that renovated schoolhouse.
I mean, if you think about where they came from
and sort of what they now have the opportunity to build,
they had renovated the schoolhouse to be nice, but.
Yeah, that was well before they were a half a billion
dollar a year revenue company.
Yes, exactly.
So she goes out and buys a thousand acres of farmland
in Verona, Wisconsin, which just like Redmond,
is a kind of bucolic looking suburb about half an hour
outside the city in Madison.
Or I guess maybe Redmond was bucolic before Microsoft
really got it built up.
But just like Microsoft kind of owns Redmond,
Epic owns Verona spiritually.
So they build this incredible campus there.
And what is very different about it than Microsoft
is it is not utilitarian the way that the Microsoft
buildings were.
A thing that was already happening at Epic
was this fairy tale whimsical thing
that you can kind of see in their product names.
But David, what was the story we heard
about the schoolhouse fireplace?
Yeah, okay, so this is the second story of the Epic campus.
So like you said, Ben, before Verona,
the headquarters was in an old school building in Madison
that they'd bought and renovated.
And as they were renovating it, the designers decided that in one of the main conference
rooms they were going to put a fireplace in there to make it feel more homey.
Yes.
Like a Wisconsin lodge.
Yes.
I don't even know if the designers did that, but I think Judy and the company were like,
well, this kind of feels like a Wisconsin lakes lodge.
Let's lean into it.
And so they decorated it like a lodge.
They brought snowshoes and furs and like an ax
that they put on the wall and stuff.
And it ends up becoming the most popular room in the building.
And anytime customers are coming to Madison,
they always want to meet in the lodge conference room.
And so now they're building this new campus. And Judy's like, oh, well, let's take
the lodge idea and really blow it out. Maximize it. Yeah. So they inject this fairy tale-ness
times 10 when they're building out the new campus. They hire the same firm that did the Disneyland California
adventure renovation in 2008.
I think it's even more on the nose on that.
They hire two architecture firms.
One is that, and then they also hire the firm
that built a lot of the Redmond campus for Microsoft.
Oh, is it really?
Yep.
Wow.
And it's crazy.
I mean, it's Alice in Wonderland stuff.
It's Harry Potter inspired stuff. it's Alice in Wonderland stuff. It's Harry Potter inspired
stuff. It's Wizard of Oz inspired stuff. Just Google pictures of the Verona campus for Epic.
And we'll link some of the show notes too. It's bananas. But it is extremely attractive to
new hires coming out of college who want to kind of feel like they're still in college and want to go work for a company
that seems fun and interesting.
And Epic is this sort of two-sided culture
that seemed to play well together somehow.
This goofy, whimsical, fairy tale thing
and this hard-driving, win-it-all-costs,
performance-oriented, fierce competitor.
And it just is both.
To understand the company, you have to hold in your head that the DNA is both of those
things concurrently.
And I think it's because that's what Judy is.
Yes.
100%.
That is completely spot on.
I had in my script here, the question of all this is why on the campus.
And that is exactly why. We are hiring super smart, young, hungry, new college grads.
How are we going to attract them to Verona, Wisconsin?
Well, we are gonna create a paradise for them.
Yes.
So some interesting stats.
It's 1,700 acres, 410 of them are the campus.
The rest is the farm.
It now covers 89 buildings. There are four indoor auditoriums with 18,000 seats total. The
big one, Deep Space, is the world's largest subsurface auditorium. There are
11,400 seats. This is an auditorium. This is two Radio City music halls full of
people smashed together in one giant auditorium underground on a corporate campus.
The number of seats is much closer to a chase center is much closer to a basketball arena than it is to any other auditorium that i can think of.
It goes down seventy four feet beneath the surface. I mean, the whole logic behind
it is when they built it, they thought, oh, we'll never grow to 11,400 people. We can
have our all hands in here, no brainer, but this can also be the place where we have all
of our customers and our whole ecosystem can come here. Of course, now they don't actually
fit in there because they've outgrown it. Not even all their employees can come to all
hands there. The logic for building it was that they had a movie theater that they used to do their monthly All Hands meeting
and they wanted to sort of have this opportunity to do it on their new campus too. It's wild.
I mean, when you look at it, you just can't believe the scale of this building.
Yep. All right. I think now is the right time while we're talking about the campus and Epic
Culture to really talk about Epic culture.
Yeah, because the first thing that you have to understand is Judy refers to it as a software
factory.
When you keep looking at it and you're like, why is it so weird?
The biggest takeaway is in Judy's mind, since they don't ever go buy any other companies
and they don't have any competencies at the company other than making software,
what they are is a factory that churns out software.
They take in software developers and they turn that into software for the medical industry.
That's funny.
Apparently she was just ahead of her time with the AI factories.
There's Nvidia and Dell are calling, you know, yeah, AI factories now.
Yeah, absolutely.
And so it starts to click and make more sense
when you think, well, what would a factory
for turning developers into medical code,
medical applications look like?
Well, Verona, Wisconsin.
Yep, so while we're on culture here,
one of the most amazing things about the campus
is Epic has a list of 10 commandments.
So the Epic 10 commandments is like, you know, Moses in the Bible here.
They have them posted in every bathroom and in every break room across the entire campus.
And so any visitor who goes there and it's open to the public, you can just go in and
see the 10 commandments in the bathrooms there.
The 10 commandments are number one, do not go public.
Number two, do not acquire or be
acquired. By the way, those first two things, you don't need to communicate that to employees. Only
the CEO can do either of those things. So it's just funny to put it as commandments. That shows
how deeply Judy feels it needs to run in all the employees. And I think the other big motivation
for doing this is, and having it there in the bathrooms, is every customer who comes to visit.
It's right there to the customers too.
Right.
We will never go public.
We will never be acquired and we will never acquire another company.
You can trust this is one system forever.
Yep.
Yep.
Okay, so that's one and two.
Number three, software must work.
Number four, reality equals expectations.
Number five, keep commitments, even the unspoken ones.
Number six, focus on competency, do not tolerate mediocrity.
Number seven, have standards, be fair to all.
Number eight, have courage,
what you put up with is what you stand for.
Number nine, teach philosophy and culture.
And number 10, be frugal,
do not take on debt for operations.
Zero of those pertain to healthcare.
Yes.
When I was looking at them, I kept thinking,
oh, I'm gonna find something here about every life
is important or the patient is at the center of everything
or no, this is how to run a company.
This is my opinion on how to run a company period.
Yep.
And I think specifically to your point, this is a pretty good way to run a software period. Yep. And I think specifically to your point,
this is a pretty good way to run a software factory.
Yes.
So these hang in the bathroom.
Other interesting things about the campus,
they have wedding bells that will play campus wide
when a new client is signed,
just showing that that's the type of commitment that this is.
We've now married this client for the rest of our lives.
Yeah, it's like the wedding march, you know?
Dun, dun, dun, dun.
That's their version of like ringing the gong.
Yes.
And I think we haven't really talked that much
about what it is like to be an employee there.
So this is probably a good time to do that.
This is an insanely awesome training ground
if you are a smart, ambitious person out of college.
People accuse them of being cult-like, but there are ways in which that's a good thing. I mean, they take you fresh out of college. People accuse them of being cult-like,
but there are ways in which that's a good thing.
I mean, they take you fresh out of your career
and they teach you everything.
And when I say everything, I mean how to take notes.
There is an epic way to take notes on a yellow legal pad.
There is an epic way to write emails.
And these are like hardened practices over the years
that they just believe through iteration,
through testing, through data.
Probably going all the way back to Neil and Meditech and the three days in Boston.
This is the best way to do this period.
And so we're just going to teach everybody the best way to do everything.
And everybody is going to be like reasonably robotic.
We can sort of trust that once we squeeze you through the Epic system,
when you come out the other side, you are able to operate in a way that works really really really well in our machine where people can really trust each other
So because of that high level of trust there's very few middle managers
You understand the system that everybody else works within and you don't have to corral chaos
Most of the people that are hiring are right out of school.
So they've been there for a long time.
They don't have budgets, which you can kind of only do
when you have a high trust environment like this.
I mean, there's some financial controls, of course
but Judy's got this great story that she used to go see
customers and they'd say, oh, this is the right thing to do.
I just don't have the budget for it this year.
So we're gonna push it next year.
She's like, that's stupid. Or they would tell her, can we squeeze this in this year?
Because if I don't spend this money, I'm going to lose it in my budget. And she would say, well,
that's also stupid. So at my company, we're not going to have budgets like that. They're super
light on titles. You might have a business card, whether you've been there 20 years or six months,
that says implementation that you hand to a customer when you go and do an engagement.
Everyone does immersion trips where the software developers, I mean, everyone is required to
spend time in clinical settings like operating rooms to directly observe workflows.
Yep.
I think when you start, you have to do five of them and then you do more every year.
Wow.
Why Combinator preaches, go talk to your customer, spend time with customers.
Epic's been doing this forever. This is the epic way that I think the rest of the world sort of
woke up to when startups internalized as doctrine. But every person in the company spending time in
medical settings, talking to customers, hugely valuable. On the developer side, there's a super
prescriptive software methodology that they use to minimize bugs.
So you go through this intensive training for six months when you join, and then when you start programming,
the whole system is designed around minimizing the number of hours between when a line of code is written and
then when it is tested. So if a bug is found,
then you drop everything as the original developer and you fix it
so that you still have the whole context fresh in your head.
You don't sort of go months and then the system gets tested
and bugs aren't allowed to compound
into bigger problems this way.
They get caught right away.
And I believe the rule right is that
every developer must fix their own bugs.
That's my understanding too.
It's this method of software engineering
that places way more importance on a zero bug environment
because lives are on the line than other ones.
So you're not necessarily going to ship software the fastest way.
You may not even ship the most innovative, clever, amazing, cutting edge.
You're just going to make sure that you're shipping bug-free software.
Yeah. Well, I think the reasons are twofold.
One, it absolutely is right that lives are on the line.
If an order for the amount of dose in a prescription
gets messed up because of a bug, a lot of people are going to die.
And also, the complexity required for the revenue cycle
and billing for your customers is of paramount importance.
You cannot have bugs there either.
Or at best, the hospital's gonna lose
a lot of revenue opportunity.
At worst, they're gonna get sued for federal crimes,
for medical fraud.
Yep, great point.
So that means you need a-
Highly robust system.
Yes.
The work done as an implementation person
at the company is insane.
It's like military level logistics.
You're handling multiple customers, all of which are among the most complex systems on
earth.
Peter Drucker famously referred to hospitals as the most complex form of human organization
that we have ever attempted to manage.
You have to understand all these dependencies at the customer and the status of a dozen
interrelated things on a daily basis.
You really are in this high adrenaline, high stakes leadership role as a really young person.
You can work 10, 12 hours a day, but a lot of them love it because you're winning.
You're doing really big things right out of school.
You're doing it with other really bright people. So they really try to get high IQ, high EQ, often
like very sweet Midwestern kids to take these customer facing roles.
Yeah. And I think also because the flat organization, like you're also doing it alongside other
senior people and learning from them directly. Like the story about Carl and Sumit.
You know Sumit is a young programmer working on
a project with Carl the president,
who's also a programmer leading the team.
Like that happens.
If you're an ambitious career-focused person,
there is nothing more fun than winning in
a high-stakes environment with other high performers as a team.
That plus the whimsy encapsulates pretty well the epic culture.
And the result of that is it becomes the number one thing in your life.
If you talk to a lot of these people who spent time there or still work there, you're all
in and you're in the middle of nowhere.
This is the other job the campus does.
You're not really getting exposed to other things you could leave and go do. They make it very easy for your whole life to become epic.
Yeah, you could drive to the big city of Madison.
Yes.
I know we keep making the comparison and it's a direct one with the campus here too, but
the company that this reminds me the most of is those early days of Microsoft. This
is exactly what being at Microsoft in the 80s and 90s was like when we talked to people doing that research.
And I heard from some people too, when I was researching for this, two or three times Palantir came up
of these sort of bright-eyed, bushy-tailed, smart young people where you're deployed into these really intense environments,
but you know your stuff, you've been through the training, you've been through the process,
you're armed with good tools, and you're going to go make it happen.
Yep. So the other side of this is it is up or out.
They aggressively trim bottom, whatever percent of performers,
and they work you really, really hard.
And so with the vast amounts of new hires, they're trying to figure out if you're
going to cut it and it's more cost effective to replace you than keep you as dead weight.
And so you have lots of attrition in the first few years, but you know that once someone's been there for a while,
they're good, you can count on them.
Yep.
Their method of hiring is crazy,
and this is more common now to give out programming tests
as a part of the hiring process.
Oh, this story is so good, can I tell it?
Yes, please.
So we mentioned that Judy's son was a programmer at Microsoft
and that's how she went to visit
him, part of the inspiration for the campus.
His involvement in the company actually predates him becoming a programmer at Microsoft or
even an adult.
In the late 80s, Judy was hiring software developers and found that interviewing them
just wasn't that predictive of whether they were gonna be great software developers
or not.
Meanwhile, her son, I think was in like seventh grade
or something like that,
and was doing these programming competitions
around the state.
And she was talking to him,
was like, well, you do these programming competitions
and there are these tests
and then you're winning some of them.
And that's a pretty good judge
of whether you're a good programmer or not.
They're reasonably predictive.
Do you think you could write one of these types of tests for me and I can use it at epic and test
software developers as we're hiring them and see if they're any good?
And for 18 years listeners, that was how they tested to determine if someone should work at epic.
And many, many times, I don't know if the number is close to 100%
but some large percent of the time,
they just don't interview you.
They believe that their tests are predictive enough
that that's it, you can get a job offer,
you come visit campus and all that,
but you get a job offer after scoring high on this test.
And it's not just that test.
Now, there's other tests, there's a Rembrandt test,
they've got a bunch of tests.
It's all systemized and cataloged and
Everybody takes one on the way in for every role in the company
Yeah, the culinary team we heard takes not full software developer tests, but logic tests on the way in
Yep, amazing. But yeah, Judy's teenage son wrote the first test that is now no longer being used
I think the answers have gotten out on the internet, but for a long time was used.
And it's a funny story, but this was in the eighties.
This was way before Google was doing this kind of stuff.
This was really out there hiring practices at the time.
Yep.
So we've talked a lot about the internal culture.
The most important thing that we haven't really dove into yet is how
it touches the outside world.
The Epic culture is completely customer obsessed.
And I mean that the way we talked about customer before, there's a great quote from Jeff Gottney,
the chief information officer for Rush University System for Health.
He says, you get what you pay for 100% of the time, despite Epic being quote, not cheap.
You kind of see that echoed over and over and over again.
And these customer conversations is reliable.
It worked.
They didn't over promise on something.
It is fully integrated.
At this point, no one gets fired for buying Epic the same way.
It used to be true about IBM.
Yep.
Customers are like always number one, everything.
They vote.
I mean, the way that they pick the next things to build
is when all the customers come to campus
for their annual conference, they ask for ideas,
and then they vote and take customer input
as a way for figuring out what are we going to do next.
Totally.
There are basically only three roles at the company.
There's software developer, project manager,
who are the implementations managers
doing the new active implementations for new customers. And then there are technical specialists
who do ongoing customer support. There's not a sales or marketing department. There are
eight or so salespeople quote unquote in the company who only react to inbound requests
and they all came from either project management or technical specialists. That's the whole company. The technical specialists are
the biggest group in the company. Every single customer of the 607 whatever
hospital system customers that Epic has, every single customer has their own
technical specialist teams for every single product that they use.
So like if you're a hospital system, you have your own technical specialist team for your
Epic Care EMR, for MyChart, for Resolute, for Cosmos, for you name it, anything you use,
you have your own dedicated team for that.
And then on top of that, every customer has their own dedicated BFF, best friend forever, really BFF, who is a single
person within Epic and their sole job, their only job is to make sure that you as a customer
are successful with their products.
So this means they do things like they grade you as a customer every year, benchmarked
relative to what other customers are doing and how you're doing with the Epic tools.
So they will send separate report cards every year
to your CEO, CIO, and CFO.
And they will grade you one through five
on a bunch of dimensions.
And then they will show you benchmark data
against other customers at your peer set of like relative
similar size
hospital systems, how you're doing.
Wow, that's crazy.
Yes, I've never heard of any other company that does stuff like this.
Well, they have a lot of leverage in the customer relationship.
I think at this point in history, you know, 2025, when the customer wants to do something
a certain way and Epic wants to do something a certain way and Epic wants to do something a certain way. Ultimately, Epic is customer focused, so they will do whatever the customer wants, but they're going
to lay out very compelling, convincing arguments why their way is the correct way. And what
this leads to is things like a standard package. A lot of times when people are setting up
Cerner, every implementation looks completely different. Epic is highly opinionated. Please use as much standard stuff as you can so that
we can easily push out updates or we can easily add in new modules for you or interoperability
all works exactly the way that we're thinking it should. They have a strong negotiating
position with customers when they're saying, ah, I think you should do it this way.
Because at some point, they may choose to just say, you know what, I don't think you're
ready to be a customer yet.
I think we're going to focus elsewhere this year because we're going to pick up only 10
to 20, maybe 30 new customers.
And we're happy to wait.
We're happy to wait until you're ready to work with us.
And they actually have the leverage to pull that off now.
To your point about the standard implementations, I believe this is the only way that you can
get discounts on pricing with Epic is by doing either fully or mostly standard. I think there
probably are some tiers based on how standard your implementation is and the more you deviate
from it, the more you have to pay.
I can see that.
I know if you stay up to date on things like database
maintenance and versioning and all that,
then they give you discounts.
Yep.
So all of this sounds sort of epic accruing power for Epic,
which it is.
There is also this almost altruistic part
of the company and their customer relationships.
And I think this comes from just Judy
and who she is as a person.
Ultruistic capitalism does feel like ultra competitive,
ultra value maximizing,
altruistic capitalism is kind of like,
I would describe the company.
Yeah, I think that's how you sum up Epic.
And this altruistic piece is,
despite certainly being expensive,
they basically never raise prices once you're a customer.
They do, but their average yearly increase is about 2% across the board. So below inflation,
compare that to lots of other software companies out there. They're not raising prices 2% every year.
They also do things like they have never in its entire history changed the
price of my chart.
We got told this multiple times. I think that's a red herring. We don't know what the bottom
line price looks like. We got told one piecemeal. It's not like we have a full contract in hand
of what it looks like to be a customer and add up all the subcomponents.
Good point.
Two points to make. Yes, they're customer obsessed. Yes, they're listening. But yes,
of course, it's to do what's in Epic's long term interest. I mean, the core functionality
of if you're a customer, the reason you pick Epic is to turn an interaction with a patient
into as many dollars as possible for the health system without risking downside.
With the lowest risk possible.
Yes. So that is why the customer is picking them. And what is Epic trying to do? Epic is trying to win deals and stay in forever
and achieve world domination.
So they do these very interesting things
that feel very customer focused and are,
but are also very valuable for Epic.
Like they'll recommend alternative third party
new pieces of software to their customers.
Some new thing comes out, oh, it's 2020, telehealth suddenly is really important.
Here's a HIPAA compliant way to do Zoom.
By the way, we're going to start working on our own telehealth thing.
It'll be out soon.
You should feel free to use Zoom right now.
By the way, when our new module comes out, it's just going to be free to you.
You're already a customer.
It's just going to be free to you. You're already a customer, it's just going to be free to you.
So you're certainly not going to go around shopping for
some new thing when you know that it's just going to come for free.
You're not going to take it right away because it's going to be too bare bones.
But at some point, it'll get good enough where you can say,
oh, yeah, I'll just adopt the Epic version now,
part of my enterprise-wide agreement.
It's this amazing bundling strategy
that certainly reminds me of the Microsoft episode.
Yeah, you're totally right.
I think that's the right way to look at it.
They're customer obsessed because in the long-term,
that is the right thing to do for Epic also.
This is not a new realization.
There is a Jeff Bezos quote,
and I just thought of it, I don't have it in my notes,
but it's something about in the long run,
there is no difference between what the customer wants and what Amazon
wants.
And I distinctly remember him saying this in like 99 or something, some really old video.
Yep.
Epic is absolutely customer obsessed, again, CEO, CIO of hospital systems, because if you
deliver for them, you deliver for Epic in the long
run.
Yep.
Well, I mean, that's kind of like-
That's like the goal of running a company.
Theoretical underpending of capitalism, right?
Right.
So all that to say, it is a very fascinating corporate culture and organization.
Yes.
All right.
So listeners, if you know anything about this industry,
you know that we haven't gotten to the important part yet.
We've gotten to the Kaiser deal, that was a big deal.
Gotten to moving to Verona,
it's important part to understand the culture.
And it's like this cutesy thing that most journalists
who write about the company kind of latch on to,
oh, cool campus.
Like I should go take some pictures
and write a cool story about campus.
There's a whole big crazy thing that happens as a part of the great recession and some
legislation that gets passed, transformative for the industry and causes a whole bunch
of good and a whole bunch of bad to happen.
But before we do that, this is a great time to thank good friend of the show, ServiceNow. ServiceNow has been working on something really exciting, CRM. Now I know we've
talked about ServiceNow as the AI operating system for the enterprise, but
what you might not know is they've also quietly been building a billion dollar
plus CRM business for years. Yep, and part of the reason it's been hiding in
plain sight is because
ServiceNow has always been one single platform for all your company's data and operations.
So it's a totally natural consequence that ServiceNow is also one of the best ways for the
whole enterprise to access and interact with customer data. It's fascinating because ServiceNow
approaches CRM from a completely different angle. Traditional CRM systems were built decades ago, primarily to record data and report on activities,
not to take action or connect customer-facing teams across your business.
ServiceNow believes the new age of CRM is not just about selling, but also about delivering service
across the whole totality of your organization.
Ah, you mean like delivering service now?
Hey-o.
Hey-o.
But yes, exactly.
Think about it.
If you have separate systems for sales, service, and operations, you end up with what ServiceNow
calls human middleware.
Employees manually updating different systems with the same information.
But ServiceNow is all just one platform and one single source
of truth. Ah, sounds like a familiar strategy. Ah, kind of like what we've been talking about this
whole episode. Yep, service or sales interactions automatically get updated everywhere on ServiceNow
because it's just one platform. So since ServiceNow is already your enterprise operating system,
shouldn't it also be your CRM? And timing is everything with the rise of AI agents.
So let's say a customer contacts support
about a delayed shipment.
In traditional CRM, you might log the complaint,
but the root cause remains hidden in your operation system.
And with ServiceNow's modern CRM approach,
AI agents can seamlessly access your data
across departments from inventory to logistics
to consumer history, and not just track the issue,
but actually resolve it. It's not just about managing customers, it's about connecting your entire business
to serve them better.
Yep. So if you want to learn more about ServiceNow's modern approach to CRM, go to servicenow.com
slash acquired and just tell them that Ben and David sent you.
Okay, so we're coming through the 2000s here. We just got through the Verona campus, you know everything about epic's culture now,
or at least everything that we could discern from the outside anyway.
And we're in this pretty interesting era in 2006.
We're in the Bush administration here in America.
And Bush says in a state of the union, for all Americans, we must confront the rising cost of care,
strengthen the doctor-patient relationship, and help people afford the insurance coverage
they need. We will make wider use of electronic records and other health information technology
to help control costs and reduce dangerous medical errors. Wide applause.
This is one of the craziest things to me in doing the research.
The narrative out there, and certainly in as much as I knew or paid attention to any of this,
was that Obamacare and the Obama administration were the ones who really pushed
EMR adoption and meaningful use and all this stuff that we're really going to get into.
Totally bipartisan, totally started in the Bush administration.
Yeah.
And just to give you a little look into how much the window changes of which side represents
which party.
The next paragraph, George W. Bush also says, we will do more to make this coverage portable
so workers can switch jobs without having to worry about their health insurance.
I mean, it's crazy.
If you're a Republican during the Obama era, talking about having coverage that's portable
across employers, that's a scary thing to be talking about just four years later.
Yep. So funny.
So you're starting to get these political winds of, hey, everyone wants a good system
for electronic medical records.
We think in the abstract, there'll be a lot of good that comes from it.
Well, I think there's an even deeper motivation than that.
In 2006 already, I think everybody knows in America the current healthcare system sucks.
Yes, there are great things about it, but overall, this is cost disease run rampant,
huge portion of GDP, massively inefficient.
We want to try and fix it.
How to fix it we don't all agree on.
How to fix it we don't know, but this promise of digitizing it and incentivizing EMR adoption
is held forth as a promise that can deliver us from this problem.
Right. It feels like a step in the right direction.
And at the time, only 13% of healthcare facilities in America had an EHR system at all.
This is a massively not digitized industry here in the mid-2000s.
Which I think there's some pushback on that 13%.
People would say, well, the definition of EHR just changed.
So actually there were a lot more than 13% that had it.
But that's the best data that we have is that.
Fair enough.
OK, now before we get to the actual legislation
and what happened, there's one other concept
to sort of have in your mind, which is interoperability.
Because this word comes up every time
Epic comes up or any EHR comes up.
And it's worth knowing sort of the buckets.
So there's the first and easiest interoperability,
which is EPIC to EPIC at a different hospital.
I wanna transfer my records from one hospital to another.
They also have EPIC.
It's the same technology that should transfer easily.
Two is EPIC to another EMR that's at a different hospital.
EPIC to Cerner, EPIC to Meditech, EP Epic to Allscripts, Epic to some homeworld system. You can imagine the
technical reasons why that would be harder. They have different architectures,
all the other ones arguably except Metatech don't have a single database, you
know etc. And standards have not been quite as standard in this industry as
they are in SaaS software, easier B2B software mode.
Now, before we get to the third category,
let's just think about some of the incentives
that are probably at play here.
Epic transferring to themselves, fine, easy.
A hospital transferring to a different hospital,
you can imagine these places are competitors,
they're businesses.
They may not wanna support that
unless it's really in the patient interest, but they're at least can be sensitive to it. Epic to another EMR at
another hospital, well not only the hospitals maybe don't want that, maybe
Epic doesn't love that either. Right, interests are sort of aligned against
this happening. Right. Epic doesn't want that and the hospital doesn't want that.
And you know they talk about a lot of good reasons why, hey actually we do want
that, but let's just call a spade a spade and say,
there's no business reason why Epic would love
for that to happen.
Other than of course, it's in the patient's interest
and everybody really should do what's in the patient's
interest, because we all get care from multiple places.
Then there's this third category,
Epic to third party application that wants to use data
from Epic or sit on top of Epic or interoperate
somehow with Epic.
As a company, they have been very, very careful about this one over the years.
And for good reason, I mean, you don't want patient data to leak.
Epic has publicly referenced the fact that they have never had a Cambridge Analytica
situation because they're very, very careful about sharing data with
other application developers.
But the result of this is that it's been much harder to integrate with Epic as an application
developer than you would be used to in any other software category.
Yep.
And again, very justifiable reasons why that should be the case.
We're dealing with HIPAA data here.
But also massively in Epic's interest for that to be the case.
It's very convenient as a strategy.
So as for that first scenario, Epic to Epic, it's actually awesome.
They have this thing called Care Everywhere.
Today there are 20 million patient records exchanged daily.
I used it as a part of prepping for this episode to join all my MyChart accounts across the
three health systems I have in Seattle.
It just seems to work pretty well.
There's a great story of how it actually happened and how it came to be.
Judy made the call personally that Care Everywhere wasn't a thing or shouldn't be a thing where
their customers could pick and choose.
If you were enabling it, it worked across all Epic customers, even if they were your
local competitor.
And so here's the story. One of the first customers to accept that new software
that came with Care Everywhere,
unknowingly agreed to the interoperability feature,
and he later admitted that he would have declined it
if he realized that it was included
in the contract that he was signing.
Yeah, this is the CEO of that health system
later admitted that, yeah.
That hospital.
And Judy described it as pure luck
that Epic was actually able to move ahead.
And so after that win, they then made it mandatory for all of their customers and they retrofitted
old versions of the software to support care everywhere.
So every Epic customer in the US has it and can share with every other Epic customer in
the US.
So this is kind of their talking point of, hey, actually, we have lots of interoperability.
We launched this thing called Care Everywhere.
It shares millions and millions of records all the time.
Yeah.
They talk about, hey, we are the biggest share of medical record data of anybody.
Right.
So coming into 2008, that's sort of the historical baggage that you should know about in
epic land of they believe they're doing a lot of interoperability in the way that
they like to do it. Almost no one is great at interoperability. I saw some
transcripts of talking with hospital administrators who were like
interoperability in this industry is just laughable period. No one's
incentivized to share with each other unless they absolutely have to and it's not easy. And these are incredibly complicated
systems and there's lots of risk.
One CIO put it to me in an interesting way when I was chatting about this with him. Because
it's patient data and health data, there's this sort of we feel like interoperability
should be a thing. You should be able to share your data everywhere. And like, sure, of course
you should. I don't want to discount that whatsoever.
However, he was like, imagine this were a different industry.
Imagine this were the airline industry.
Does United share their customer data with Delta?
Even though it's customer friendly to do so?
Even though it's the customer's data, no, of course not.
They never would.
So do I feel great about sharing my patients data with my competitor down the street? No, of course not. They never would. So do I feel great about sharing my patient's data with my competitor down the street?
No, of course not.
Right.
This is where you really start to feel the friction.
I'm sure you're listening to this and you're emotionally getting charged up at this point
because you're feeling your inner capitalist think, well, it's a business.
They should do the things that make sense for them as a business. And you're feeling your inner human being who is part of a society that
has your own health needs thinking, well, maybe, but this thing shouldn't be subject
to the bad parts of capitalism. Maybe this thing should function differently and business
interests. It feels yucky to me that business interests are governing
the way that things get done. You should feel that tension because this is one of those
bothies.
Well, that kind of describes the whole healthcare industry.
Right.
Make no mistake, this is definitely a for-profit industry.
Yes.
And it's highly regulated and there's all these issues.
Yep. Okay. So we're into the meat.
2008, the great financial crisis happens.
At some point, we should just do a whole episode
on the great financial crisis and the collapse
and the government bailouts
and how we managed to figure out
how to not collapse as a nation and a global,
we pulled out of it and it was amazing.
Took some time, but we pulled out of it.
But one element of pulling out of it, just like during COVID, is the government said,
all right, we need stimulus, baby.
Stuff.
We need stimulus.
We need programs that we can throw money at the economy.
Interest rates go to zero, money out all over the place, turn on the printers, figure out
how to get people doing productive stuff and reward them for it.
And there's the monetary policy stuff of interest rates to zero,
but there was also the fiscal policy stuff of we need to helicopter money into the economy.
So the question is when you're going to helicopter money into the economy,
you could mail everyone checks. And that happened during COVID.
Yep. Not a ideal way to do it.
A more productive thing to do that calls all the way back to the Civilian Conservation Corps in the FDR sort of New Deal era is we want to look
for shovel-ready projects. What are things that we just kind of all agree on
are good ideas for the country that should happen and let's just pass some
legislation that rewards the crap out of people with money, with free money, for
doing the things that we think are a good idea anyway.
The hope is you get this double whammy. You get the money distributed, which is just a goal.
You're just trying to create jobs, trying to create economic motion,
and you get something accomplished that is widely agreed upon to be a good idea.
Oh my gosh, a shovel-ready project right
here, electronic medical records. Let's do it. Let's just figure out how to finally
make that a thing. So the goals, one, fiscal stimulus to stimulate the economy
after the Great Recession. Two, promote the adoption of electronic health records.
Three, promote the use, which is different,
the actual use, the meaningful use of electronic health care records. Not only
do we want people to become users in your system that never log in, we want
them logging in all the time using the stuff. And promote the adoption of
interoperable standards so that providers could share patient data nationwide.
These are the goals of the HITECH Act.
The 2009 Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health Act.
I love how they name these things.
I know.
Which gets folded into the almost trillion-dollar American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.
Yes.
So the mechanics, in 2009 when the bill is passed,
there is $27 billion available in direct incentive payments
to hospitals that implemented electronic medical records.
And if you include broader incentives,
other health IT projects, data exchanges, training,
the total actually comes to $36 billion.
This is amazing. Imagine if you're a software startup and
the government just starts mailing checks to your customers,
not only for signing up and becoming a customer and paying you money,
but then paying them even more for actually using your software.
It's like the best thing that could happen if you're a software vendor.
This is the government going to your customers and saying, hey, I'm going to give you money,
but it's like a dedicated use credit card. The only thing you can use this money for
and you must use this money for is to buy this software startup's products. And then
you must also use them. And if you don't buy it and you don't use it, not only are you not gonna get the money,
I'm going to penalize and you're gonna have to pay me money.
Yes, carrot and stick.
So specifically, it amounted to $44,000 to $64,000
per physician in incentive payments
over a few years for adopting it.
Now that actually went to the hospital,
but it was basically you get paid
for how many physicians are doing this.
Yeah, so imagine a huge system like Kaiser with 11,000 physicians. It's a lot of money.
Yes. High-tech contained the phrase meaningful use, which is this crazy phrase where if you say meaningful use or you even say M-U to anyone, it is a triggering term in this industry. First meaningful use was a carrot,
and then as a stick. So after the stimulus ran out, David, as you were saying, after about five
years, health systems would face meaningful financial penalties for not meaningfully using
health IT software like EHRs. There's a KFF article entitled death by a thousand clicks that has a quote on this.
The EHR vendor community, then a scrappy two billion dollar industry, griped at the litany
of requirements but stood to gain so much from the government's 36 billion dollar injection
that it jumped in line. As Rusty France, CEO of EHR vendor NextGen Healthcare, put it,
and NextGen is one of the top 10 Epic competitors, the
industry was like, I've got this check dangling in front of me, and I have to check these
boxes to get there. And so yeah, I'm going to do that. For everyone that wants to just
think this was the most amazing thing ever for Epic, yes, it was obviously net very good.
They had to do a bunch of hoop jumping through to make sure that it was exactly the thing that the bill was gonna reward.
And everybody in this industry had to make sure that they spent a bunch of development time and
a bunch of reprioritization in the company to make sure that it was exactly the thing
that high tech was saying that it needed to be.
Yeah. It's more nuanced than this is really good for Epic. Of course, it was really good for Epic.
But really it's that this was really good for the entire EMR industry. The competitive dynamics
within the industry are almost like a separate kind of question.
Well, okay, so who's it going to benefit the most? Probably the most reliable one. If I
wasn't going to do this before and now I just have a check dangling in front of me as a
hospital to implement an EHR, I want the one with the integration
that's a hundred percent gonna work.
I'm taking no risk.
And also that Epic one,
I think someone told me before that was an expensive one.
Well, I guess it doesn't matter that it's expensive anymore
because it's free.
So I'm just gonna buy the good one.
Yeah, right.
It's effectively free.
So Epic, by being the high price, high value vendor
and the one that you could count on working
with the lowest risk, they were gonna win in this situation.
Yeah, that's a great point.
It's like you're getting a stimulus to buy a handbag
and you could get the Target one
or you could get the Birkin bag and they're all free.
And it's not exactly like that, but it rounds to that.
It also is interesting
because it basically rewards the most reliable
software, not necessarily the most innovative software. You end up not taking any risk in
situations like this because you're not going to get rewarded unless you actually stand the system
up and then start getting meaningful use. So you end up with the one that's just going to work.
So what did high tech actually do? We'll go through sort of each of the goals. Did it accelerate
usage?
Absolutely.
Market penetration of electronic healthcare records
went from 9% of hospitals in 2009 to 95% by 2014.
That's insane.
David, what other markets have you ever heard of
that saw usage go from almost nobody
to almost everybody in five years?
Certain categories of software during the pandemic. Yeah, that's a good point.
I would imagine maybe Zoom during the pandemic is the closest thing.
I mean, to be an Epic employee at this moment,
where suddenly your category is just free for all your potential customers, it's crazy.
And digitization was great for patients, even though like a lot of doctors will complain
about it.
It is totally amazing to be able to message your doctor about something and pull up your
own records electronically.
As we talked about with my chart.
Schedule your own appointments.
You have all of the above.
Manage your family's care.
Yes, absolutely.
Okay, so then the next goal, cost reduction.
There are stats both ways on if EHRs generally reduce costs.
We found one stat that claimed that costs in hospitals went down by 10% with the introduction of EHRs.
There's also arguments that the adoption of EHRs may actually have accelerated the ordering of unnecessary care,
as well as increased billing codes for either more codes or higher dollar codes for the same procedures.
So that's sort of the counter argument to did it decrease costs in the system.
The critics of EHRs say that basically more stuff is getting ordered from exam rooms for the exact
same procedures than was happening before. And frankly, that's the goal of hospital buying an
EHR. I mean, part of it is revenue maximization.
Right. Again, these are commercial entities.
Even though many of them may be nonprofit organizations
or part of a university system or what have you,
at the end of the day,
this is revenue being generated by a hospital
with a management team and with its primary staff being doctors and nurses
who like to make money. The reason you go to medical school to be a doctor or
nurse is to get a good job and make a good living. And the prestige of it and
you want to help people but it's a high-paying job. Yeah. So there's a great
read called an epic dystopia and I will say this article presents kind of a
one-sided view of things.
This is the American prospect article.
Yep.
But there's a quote, one doctor, for example, stated her supervisor
regularly contacted her and said something like that appointment was a two.
Don't you think it might be a three?
And obviously in this case, a three could bill more to insurance than a two.
Or someone else gave me a quote, hey, if you did X,
almost certainly you did Y in that appointment.
If you use those codes, you could charge more.
And if you have a system, a computer system,
versus not having one,
it's more likely that you are billing for more stuff.
That would be the counter argument
to this mass implementation of EHRs
saving costs for the system.
Yep. Data interoperability?
Not really. The legislation was prescriptive about meaningful use. It really wasn't prescriptive
about data standards that people talked about. That's a goal of the legislation.
But it's not like there were incentives for data interoperability the way there were for meaningful
use. And so people follow incentives. The data interoperability did their way there were for meaningful use. And so people follow incentives.
The data interoperability did not really happen, which was very convenient for Epic, who had
a whole system that they made themselves and they didn't really need to integrate with
anyone to make the software suite useful.
So again, as the leading player in the industry and the one that can kind of do everything
themselves, they didn't need interoperability and it wasn't explicitly rewarded.
So customers didn't need interoperability and it wasn't explicitly rewarded, so customers
didn't prioritize it either.
And there is a fact pattern that opens Epic up certainly to criticism here, which is that
Judy was on Obama's health IT council through all of this, which was advising the Obama
administration on the high tech act.
And other competitors had people on other committees too.
It's not like she was the only one
with a voice in government.
Right, I was gonna say that is a convenient fact
that gets left out by a lot of people making that argument
or that all the competitors, Cerner, Allscripts, et cetera,
they were all on those councils too.
Yeah.
But let's just look at the data interoperability thing.
It didn't happen, but it's happening more now,
15 years later.
And so at least we have the foundation of digital records so that as pushes and shoves
happen to make it more interoperable, without operability, you can't have interoperability.
And I think for me, that's kind of my takeaway of the High Tech Act and meaningful use here,
at least when it comes to the industry of EHRs.
Yeah, anytime you've got government coming in
and distorting a market,
you're gonna get weird stuff happening.
And especially anytime you have government coming in
and regulating how products are to be developed
and used in a market,
you're gonna get really messy stuff happening.
Okay, so there were two really bad side effects here.
One, by literally defining what is meaningful use,
Congress not only accidentally designed the software
and specified the features,
but they also accidentally told doctors
how they needed to do their jobs.
And so doctors are like running around now
clicking nine things that they never needed to click before,
some of which are poor implementation
by their hospital system,
some of which is because the software is really complex,
but a lot of it is like just making sure that-
This is what the legislation requires.
Yes, complies with meaningful use
so that the hospital then doesn't come
and get hit with a financial penalty.
Yeah, this is sort of the most unfortunate aspect
of meaningful use, I think.
I think it's the second most.
I think the biggest one is they increase the regulatory burden of practicing medicine period.
So now since hospitals can face big financial penalties, there's all these mandatory fields
and workflows everywhere forever, even after the stimulus runs out.
And so it just generally increased the operational overhead of the whole industry.
The thing to optimize for now is hitting the MU definitions legally rather than the spirit,
which is help doctors and patients get more out of the system.
And you end up with things like health systems merging with other health systems because the cost of doing business is higher,
which is a pre-existing trend, but it's certainly an accelerant.
There's more overhead, more burdensome regulation, just more crap in the system, more waste.
So all that unquestionably bad.
At the same time, what's the alternative?
Are we going to be in the paper-based system?
Like, that's not good.
At least we have adoption here.
At least we have adoption here is what a lot of people
have sort of chalked this up to.
It's definitely better to be digital.
Is this the best form of digitization that could have happened? No. Is digitization overall good? Yes.
And I think if you zoom way, way, way out, you give the most credit to the government and
the legislators who created all of this. Was the goal actually a jobs program and an economic stimulus for the country?
If that was the goal, A plus. A lot of jobs got created because of this.
18% of our GDP's worth of jobs are in this field. So it's now a huge part of our society
as people who work in medicine, for better or for worse. And related fields to medicine, like IT administrators,
you know, epic administrators at hospitals.
These are a lot of jobs and these are a lot of good jobs.
And play it one step forward,
these are all domestic American jobs,
not dependent on imports, not dependent on manufacturing,
that have created viable, great career paths
for a lot of people in this country
from a policy standpoint, like maybe not bad.
Yeah, I hate it, David.
Oh, I'm not saying I love the idea of jobs programs.
I'm just saying if you zoom way out of what was the goal of government in doing this,
did they succeed?
If that was the goal, they succeeded.
Yeah, it was good to create fiscal stimulus for that period of time where we really needed it
Should the government be in the business on a durable basis of using taxpayer funds?
to
Prop up industries and create and maintain a bunch of jobs in those industries. No, absolutely not
And so it's a very low bar what you're saying. Did it stimulate the economy?
I mean mailing checks would have stimulated the economy
I look at this as like yes stimulated the economy. I look at this as like, yes, it stimulated the economy,
and it had the free stapled coupon
of we got some amount of electronic medical records,
even though they're not interoperable,
and even it's not the best system
we possibly could hope for as a country,
it's a better one than we would have had otherwise,
and it kind of came for free with the stimulus checks.
Yep.
So, back to the epic story here.
Yeah, so what did Meaningful Use do for them?
Well, interestingly, if you just take a step back and say,
what is the byproduct of the government paying off
a whole industry to adopt something new?
What you're basically doing is pulling forward the future
and saying, this was all going to happen eventually.
We want to make it all happen right now.
And to be clear, I think, especially after the Kaiser win, Epic was going to become the
dominant player anyway, absent of meaningful use.
They were starting to run the table on competition.
So that's the question.
They were starting to.
But what you definitely do when you throw $36 billion at the problem is you say, we're going to close the door
on anyone that might become a dominant player after this.
The current competitive set is now what we're dealing with.
And we think the current competitive set is good enough that this is shovel ready enough
that we want the best ones to get implemented everywhere.
These are stuck in there for multiple decades, so.
Yeah, the switching cost here is enormous.
Yes.
And that's a fair trade-off.
I don't even think it was that intentional of a trade-off
that they made by passing this legislation,
but it is definitely true that a new EHR
that may have been more theoretically innovative in some way
that could have come after high tech
wasn't going to happen, at least for a long time.
Yeah, because you pulled forward so many RFP processes to a single point in time.
Yes.
And the majority of them chose Epic, which they probably would have anyway,
but a lot of those processes would have happened in the future at which point in
time other competitors may have emerged.
Right. There's no greenfield bidding for those theoretical future innovative competitors.
Everyone's bidding against your current system.
I buy that.
But that's kind of nitpicky, right? It's a little bit of like a, for whom are we holding the door open?
So if you're looking for a smoking gun on regulatory capture I think the right way to characterize this is as regulatory tailwind rather than regulatory capture
I don't think the folks at epic loved it either
My impression is they felt like they were going to take this market and now they had to do it in sort of this
Frankenstein style way what definitely made the product worse. Yeah, it made the product worse.
It increased burdens for everyone.
You know, it made it more sure that they
were going to win the market, because if something's
going to happen five years from now where it could happen now,
you'd rather it happen now, and it be certain.
But they certainly don't love it that doctors have to check
57 boxes on every patient visit.
Right.
So all this compliance burden and the software being frankly hard to use once it's
–
Legislated.
Yeah.
Product development by legislation. Which to be clear isn't just Epic, it's all of
them.
And also just the complexity of software of this magnitude with this many different screens
and participants and all that. A big criticism is that it takes time away from
patients. There was a 2016 study that showed that entering data into EHRs consumes about
two hours of doctor time for every one hour spent providing hands-on patient care. There's
all this other research around doctors now work 11, 12 hours a day. They're like constantly
responding to messages, which again is a hospital configuration thing. There's a way to triage messages.
Another downside to the High Tech Act and meaningful use is that before digitization
and moving all this activity from hospitals into the EHR, there were a lot of regulations
and guidelines that maybe weren't always followed and that was sort of for the best in the hospital.
So things like, it's supposed to be doctors themselves
who put in orders for pharmacy, for meds,
or for scans, or stuff like that.
But in the old world, before everything moved into the EHR,
doctors were supposed to do it,
but they would have their medical assistants do it.
If you're seeing 20 patients a day,
and a whole bunch of them need scans, or meds, or whatever, you can just be like, hey, medical assistant,
do all this and they can do it during the day.
Yeah, I'll sign them all later.
Exactly. But now, once everything's digitized and in the EHR, that means that the rules
have to be followed because they're tracked, right? And so that means that all of a sudden,
doctors don't have as much help in slack in the system as they used to.
Yeah, it's interesting. So this is the sort of thing that ends up contributing to doctor burnout.
Yep.
But you do have to compare it to how it used to be. There's a great old study from 1970
that found that communications activities such as managing physical records accounted for 35 to 39%
of total hospital operating costs.
That's not the doctor's time, but especially in the paper world, it was
always a huge amount of cost and time from the hospital. Right, you're shifting
around the burden of this a little bit and creating more burden through all the
meaningful use regulations, but this is not a new problem. You know who else
doesn't love it? So in 2017 Obama himself told Vox that he felt that the high
tech legislation
did not live up to what he wanted. And here's his quote, the fact that there are still just
mountains of paperwork, and the doctors still have to input stuff and the nurses are spending
all their time on this administrative work. We put a big slug of money into trying to
encourage everyone to digitize to catch up with the rest of the world. And that's been
harder than we expected. The quote, I actually don't think it was at all about catching up with the rest of the
world on digitization.
I think we were a leader there, but if the hope was that we could somehow downgrade our
costs to be in line with the rest of the world, that would have been great and that did not
happen.
Yep.
One of the CIOs I talked to had a great quote on this.
He said that meaningful use and the High Tech Act wildly succeeded at digitization of the
industry.
It did absolutely nothing on digital transformation of the industry.
We digitized, but we didn't transform in the way that I think people were optimistically
hoping for.
That's interesting.
And the good news is that can still come.
Now that all the records are digital.
Yes.
Now that we've digitized, yes.
You actually can do interesting things with the data that you couldn't have done before.
And we'll talk about when we get to the end of the story in a couple minutes, the promise,
at least right now, of AI and ambient AI in making a lot of this onerous process just
disappear for humans.
Yes.
So on the back of all of this, Epic continues to win epically.
In 2011, they hit a billion dollars in revenue.
They keep winning all the big systems that come up for RFP.
Johns Hopkins, Cedar Sinai, UCSF, list goes on and on and on.
For Epic's competitors, they had always been merging and consolidation
had always been happening, but now with meaningful use being in place,
consolidation really picks up.
Which again, all of which is just going to accrue to Epic's advantage
because consolidation in this space means the products get more complex.
They don't work as well altogether as a suite, and Epic's advantage just becomes all the more
pronounced. So 2008, Allscripts merges with Mysis. 2010, that new Allscripts entity then merges again
with Eclipsis. They keep on acquiring more smaller players. Today, that company is called Veridime.
more smaller players today. That company is called Veridime. 2011, Metatech acquires LSS data systems. And then in August 2014, one of the big ones that we've already alluded
to happens, Cerner buys Siemens Health for $1.3 billion.
Which that starts the downward spiral for Cerner. That's my understanding.
Yes. I heard in the research that even today in 2025, customers will still refer to themselves
as either Siemens customers or Cerner customers.
It's still not fully integrated.
Meanwhile, I think post-Oracle acquisition, Oracle's trying to rewrite it all anyway.
Right.
And that's not going well, which we'll come to later.
Yep. And that's not going well, which we'll come to later. So this leads us right into the Department of Defense contract.
The motherload of all opportunities if you are an EMR.
VA contract.
Oh boy.
The motherload of all opportunities, or if you are an American taxpayer, the motherload
of everything that is wrong with governmental waste in America.
But before we get into that story, we have some happier and better news to tell you.
And that is to thank long time friends of the show, Crusoe.
Yes.
Thank you, Crusoe, for giving us a moment of levity here and a moment of excitement
and optimism looking to the future.
Crusoe is not just an AI cloud platform.
They are actually re-imagining how AI infrastructure
gets physically built from the ground up.
Yep.
In the past, we've talked about Crusoe's climate-aligned
approach, powering their GPU data centers
with stranded energy.
But what's truly unique about Crusoe
is that they're a fully vertically integrated AI
infrastructure business.
So Crusoe's founders, Chase and Cully,
realized early on
that in order to become the best AI cloud platform,
you actually need to build the entire stack
from sourcing the energy to building the data centers
and ultimately providing the end AI cloud service layer.
So the best example of this is the giant 1.2 gigawatt
AI data center that they are building in Abilene, Texas.
They broke ground in just June of 2024 on an empty field,
and now, within a year, they are about to turn on the first few buildings.
Bringing on new capacity of this size in less than a year is crazy fast for the industry.
Yep. And to put that 1.2 gigawatts in perspective, if you take the entire data center capacity
located in Northern Virginia today, so where like 70% of the world's internet traffic flows through,
all of that is only 4.5 gigawatts.
So Crusoe's single AI factory in Abilene will be more than a quarter the size
of what powers a huge portion of the internet today.
And that's just one of their locations.
Yeah. Crusoe handles all of the incredible complexity of building physical AI capacity so that their customers can just
focus on innovation, not infrastructure.
And they just announced two new services to do that.
Their managed inference service frees developers
from managing servers, and their auto clusters service
eliminates the operational burden of model training.
Yep.
So when you're thinking about where to run
your AI workloads, make sure you consider Crusoe.
Because they operate and innovate at every single layer
of the physical stack, Crusoe delivers unmatched price
to performance, speed to market, and a platform
that customers can rely on for years to come.
It's an incredible company and Ben and I are excited
to be investors in their recent funding ground
alongside Nvidia Founders Fund and a whole slate
of other great investors too.
That we are.
To learn more, head on over to crusoe.ai slash acquired.
That's C-R-U-S-O-E dot A-I slash acquired, or click the link in the show notes.
And when you get in touch, just tell them that Ben and David sent you.
Okay, David, the DOD debacle.
The 2015 DOD debacle. So the Department of Defense decides that they're going to bid out a global
EHR contract for all of their hospital and health care across all branches of the military. Now,
this is at the beginning, just active duty US military. So separate from the VA system,
which comes later, the Veterans Administration, all the veterans of the US military, so separate from the VA system, which comes later, the Veterans Administration,
all the veterans of the US military.
This deal in 2015 is up until this moment in time, the biggest healthcare IT contract
of all time.
It ends up being a $4.3 billion deal, so even bigger than the Kaiser deal.
It remains the biggest until two years later,
when the VA contract does go out. That is a $10 billion deal. Now, Epic, of course,
bids on both of these contracts. And as you would expect, just like with Kaiser, it comes
down to Epic and Cerner.
But not directly, because just to add to the insanity of this system, it's basically impossible
unless you bid on government contracts all the time to bid on a government contract directly.
So you need to pony up with one of the companies that subcontract off of someone who makes
their bread and butter all the time by contracting with the US government.
Yes, so they each choose their partners.
There's all sorts of drama around this.
Basically, the knives come out on all sides.
As we shall see with Cerner, if you win one or both
of these contracts, I mean, this will keep your company going
for years and years and years.
So drama aside, Cerner ends up winning both of these contracts,
the DOD and the VA.
And sadly, in what will perhaps
not shock you at all, both of these projects, despite being huge at the bidding phase, go
massively over time and budget. It's really, really bad. So the DOD system, the active
duty system, only just fully went live late last year in 2024.
This contract got bit out in 2015.
So there's a nine-year implementation process.
The VA system is way worse.
It is nowhere near fully live today.
And Cerner won both of these?
Cerner won both of these.
As a subcontractor, won both of these.
The VA system was bit out in 2017.
The latest announcement from the VA about this project
is that it will be live at all VA sites by, this is direct quote,
as early as 2031.
What?
So even the most optimistic scenario that they're saying,
which seems very unlikely,
is this is a 14-year project. The latest I had seen is that it's still not live. They actually gave an as early as 2031.
Now it is live at a few sites. It's not like nothing has happened over the last decade, but
oh my God. I mean, if as an American citizen or watcher of America, you were disgusted
by the whole meaningful use thing, if you're an American taxpayer, this is just beyond
disgusting.
So why? What took so long? Or what made it so expensive?
I don't really know. I think it's a combination of a lot of things.
Or I guess what are the incentives?
Well, it's really unfortunate, but there's an old saying that you make more money on
failed government contracts than successful ones.
And I think that's probably the incentives that are applying here.
Oh, because as long as the contract doesn't end and you're still implementing, you can
still keep finding more costs.
You can still keep getting paid.
Now, I think it would be unfair to blame Cerner for this.
I mean, maybe some of the blame lies on them,
but they are a subcontractor to big government primes that
are the GC here.
I mean, we talked about this on the Lockheed episode.
This is just how the military industrial complex works now.
So you've got the compounding layers of bureaucracy
of the government, the military, EMRs generally,
as we've talked about, like this is just like a rat's nest
of awfulness of bureaucracy.
And you know, you've got these multi-decade now projects
with many billions of dollars of taxpayer dollars
going into this, still not live. Just freaking brutal.
Do you think Epic is glad they didn't win?
Well, so here's the thing.
Epic, of course, was part of this process.
Bid on the RFPs and I'm sure would have loved to have won them.
Because even the $10 billion initial price tag before the overruns
is twice Epic's revenue today.
It's transformative for your business in the best case.
Yes. Kind of like Kaiser was transformative for Epic back in the day.
Yeah.
That said, talking to Epic customers and CIOs in the research,
they are down on their hands and knees thankful that Epic did not win this deal.
Because Cerner just got dragged so into the process.
So into the muck here.
There were a lot of other compounding factors happening here.
Cerner, like we've talked about,
already was now post Siemens,
what do you say, 36 companies that had been
acquired to get pulled together to make Cerner.
Neil Patterson, the founder and CIO and longtime leader,
right around this time he gets cancer and then he passes away in 2017.
So your founder and your leader is passing away in the midst of this very complex process.
After that, Cerner cycles through a whole bunch of different leaders over the next few years.
Meanwhile, Epic, unburdened by this DoD and VA shit show,
for lack of a better word, they just
keep winning deal after deal in the large system providers.
And in their own way.
I mean, this is a testament to how Judy thinks
a company should be run.
We're going to stay extremely focused.
We have a very particular playbook.
We listen to customers.
We meet our promises.
We're hardcore about our software engineering
and our product architecture.
When our customers find new use cases,
we develop that software too.
She runs a company in an unconventional way,
and that unconventional way is proving to be the right way
to win this market.
Yep.
So after the DoD deal, Epic wins Partners Healthcare
in Boston, which is the sort of new entity
of Harvard and Mass General MGH and like the original big research institution.
They win all of the Mayo Clinic, all of their hospitals.
That's one of the biggest contracts, again, outside the DoD craziness.
They win Cambridge in the UK.
They win Intermountain Health.
Recently they win Common Spirit Health.
The list goes on and on and on.
2018, Epic hits 2.7 billion in revenue.
They announced that they have all 20 of the top academic hospitals in the US News and
World Report rankings, which is critical for them because winning the top academic hospitals
means that all the new doctors and nurses that are coming through, getting minted by
these institutions and trained, are coming through, getting minted by these institutions
and trained, are all trained on Epic.
I think they sell them a separate educational license too.
I think they treat the university hospital
and the academic classroom as separate.
I mean, I'm sure it helps to be in the hospital,
but I think you also buy it as a school.
I'm sure that's right, but also a huge part
of medical education is practicing in the hospital.
And I think now 90% of med school students train on Epic.
Yes, that is the current statistic.
2019 Epic hits $3.2 billion in revenue.
And then finally, December 2021, as we've been alluding to,
Cerner gets bought by Oracle for $28 billion.
So Cerner, as we talked about,
was and still is a big company. I mean, they've acquired all these companies over
the years. There's a lot of revenue there and they're big international and they
have the DOD and VA contracts ongoing, which is a lot of money coming in. So
they're doing maybe call it five and a half billion a year in revenue, maybe a
little more
But that's been flat to declining since 2018
Oracle again acquired them in 2021
Oracle now no longer reports Cerner's financials as a separate segment within the company and they talk about
Cerner and Oracle Health being a quote-unquote headwind to overall growth and profitability for the company.
There've been a lot of layoffs within Oracle Health.
You know, maybe it's too early to tell,
but I think this is probably one of Oracle's worst acquisitions of all time.
You'd be hard-pressed to find an analyst who would say that
this was a great acquisition by Oracle, shall we say.
Yes, to put it lightly.
Meanwhile, this is all just great for Epic and totally reinforces Judy's whole thesis
of company building in this space and her whole story to customers of one single integrated
platform that is hardcore about software development, that is 100% customer focused, that will never
acquire another company, never go public, never get acquired.
You can see why it's just this warm hug embrace to their customers out there.
Yeah.
It becomes more and more different than everyone else in the market the longer time goes on.
And the lesson here, which is really interesting is they started slow.
They started really slow and they did things in a way where they almost built up momentum
for the future in a way that would pay off 20, 30 years down the road rather than inorganically
trying to take shortcuts and pull the future too far forward into today. The first 20 years kind
of looks like an unimpressive company because they were
sort of just building strength, building muscle, growing the way that you need to grow in order
to be as bulletproof as they are today.
That's such a good point. And I was trying to square in my mind earlier when we were
telling the meaningful use story, how on the one hand, it really was obviously good for
Epic and an
accelerant and it further cemented the market dynamics where they were already
emerging as the leader. On the other hand when you talk to people within Epic
they're very mixed on meaningful use. Yeah and I could never figure out if that
was like lip service of oh it didn't help us that much but when you look at
the graphs of customer counts and a revenue, it was going great. Yes, it did pull forward some growth, but the trend lines were going to get here anyway.
It's not like it was some big, massive step function in two years. That is not how the graphs look.
As we told the story, they had the better product, they had the better customer offering,
they were on the way to winning anyway. I think to your point here about they've always been
the way to winning anyway. I think to your point here about they've always been just philosophically allergic to artificial growth. I wonder if that's part of why, to the extent
they are serious about really being ambivalent about meaningful use, that's the reason why.
Yeah, they want to win slowly.
They absolutely want to win.
And they're gonna win. But they want to do it slowly because it will help them win harder
in the long run if they win slowly.
Yes.
Yes.
So, meanwhile, for them, I mean, I think things have never looked brighter, basically.
I mean, there's some risks that we'll talk about, but they're now starting to sell international
and build that as a real market.
It's not huge, but it's, you know, call it 10 to 15 percent of the business
now. 2023, they went live at London's Guys and St. Thomas's NHS Trust, which was, I think, their
biggest ever single implementation and happening in the UK. The UK is becoming a real market for
them. Interesting. You know, there's another big tailwind
that's happening for them.
And like you've probably been hearing from me
over the course of this whole episode,
there are tailwinds that don't make you feel good,
but there's still tailwinds for Epic's business.
The acceleration of the trend where hospital systems
are merging and rolling up all the smaller local practices.
Oh, totally.
It's just an excuse to rebid.
Yes, there's a bunch of reasons this is happening
But one of them is the Affordable Care Act that also increased the compliance burden of practicing medicine
Which was already really heavy from all the regulations over the years
Including high-tech adding big penalties for HIPAA for violating HIPAA. That's another thing
We didn't talk about in high-tech
That was one of the things that sort of came stapledpled onto it was even more strict oversight on HIPAA.
So you now require scale as a local medical practitioner to be able to afford the compliance
burden.
And what that means if you play it out is all healthcare or most healthcare gets provided
by these mega giant hospital systems rather than community clinics, which really benefits
Epic. Because their strategy from 30 years ago of going over the biggest and most complex health
systems now looks totally genius because those are the only customers really left standing.
Yep, totally.
I actually think this is one of the most messed up things in the US healthcare system. Aside from the really big, hard to negotiate with
private health insurers who have gotten a lot of power
over the ecosystem, you now have also really big
local pseudo monopoly hospital systems.
And so this consolidation's not good.
This consolidation will not lead to prices coming down.
Let's just put it that way.
Yep, but you see why it's been happening. you and I enter doing this episode expecting to be like, ah, the hospitals are really the bad guys
They're charging so much money and I don't think the hospitals make very much money. They don't make much money at all
They're barely surviving which is why they're merging
Right and any money that the very successful ones are making they tend to plow back into growth because like we've been talking about
successful ones are making, they tend to plow back into growth because like we've been talking about, hospitals kind of need scale in this day and age and so
it's new buildings, it's acquiring other practices locally, everyone is just
chasing scale because they constantly are having to do business with other
scale players so they need to size up to do that.
Yep. So that brings us to the other big, I think,
potential growth vector for Epic going forward
that they're absolutely pursuing,
is they have enough scale on the provider side now
that they can start going to the other big players
in the system, the payers,
and then also the biotech and pharma side,
and say, we actually
have ways that we can work with you guys now and offer compelling products to you.
So they call this the system of connectedness or the quote unquote grid of care that you
might sometimes hear from Epic.
But this is building products for and working with payers, the insurers, and pharma companies
and other stuff like home health companies
or post-acute rehab, et cetera.
But really the big opportunities are payers and pharma.
One example of this is prior authorizations.
Prior authorizations are a huge problem in the American healthcare system.
This is when a patient needs or a doctor thinks that a patient needs either a medicine or
a procedure that the payer, the insurance company says, well, you can't just go do that.
It's expensive enough that you need to ask us first on a case by case basis if we'll
cover it for this person.
Yeah, exactly.
We need to prior authorize this.
Epic now has enough data and enough scale on the hospital side that they can
go to the payers and say, hey, prior auth, our customers don't like it, you don't
like it, we have all the data, we can just automate this for you. I would argue this
is an area where you are seeing one of Epic's favorite business strategies,
which is we sell the main thing to a hospital system.
We see what other vendors they're using.
We figure out if they should also buy that from us if we have some competitive advantage
other than just single vendor to be able to do it.
Sometimes just being a single vendor with the same offering is enough, but then they
try to figure out if they can also do that and include it in their enterprise agreement.
They want to sell everything to the hospital and be the single IT vendor.
The hospitals do still buy other IT services.
So the epic playbook is go from selling a hospital one thing to figure out how to then
sell the hospital everything.
And then once you've sort of exhausted that, then figure out who else you can sell stuff to.
And that's why they're looking into payers
and that's why they're looking into pharma companies.
It's how can we leverage the asset that we have
to then now that we sort of saturated this market,
sell to other customers too.
Fair point.
All right, so that basically brings us to today.
If you're in this ecosystem, you're gonna say,
there's 50 things that Epic does
that you didn't talk about.
That is true.
There's no chance that we could talk about all of that
on this episode, but there is one really cool,
interesting thing that they are doing right now
that we do wanna talk about as we catch up to today.
And then we'll give you the stats on the business today,
and we'll talk about the future,
and then we'll do our analysis.
They launched something a few years ago called Cosmos.
Yeah, this is pretty cool.
This is awesome.
So they've realized, okay, there is data on patients
that is owned by patients in hospitals, not by us,
that lives on a bunch of different servers.
Some are on-prem at hospitals, some are in our cloud,
some are on AWS, some are on Azure.
But either way, there's all this interesting
structured patient data stored in Epic care instances. Can we anonymize that and get it
all in an Epic hosted instance of something very queryable and very useful for a bunch of activities. They did it, it's called Cosmos,
and Cosmos has 295 million patients worth of data in it,
all anonymized.
Yep, and I think that across those 295 million patients,
there's data from 15 billion individual patient encounters.
Yes.
So like structured data from a doctor encounter
15 billion times with patients.
It's crazy. So we were asking the question earlier,
do EMRs or EHRs really benefit patients?
And there's some arguments that aside from how
awesome it is to just access your records at home,
there's a bunch of stats around, yes, it benefits patients.
It's patient safety, it's patient ease. There's studies that say 45% of patients reported
improved quality of care with EHRs while only six noticed decline. Epic has a stat in 2023,
its system prevented 66 million potential adverse drug interactions and 250,000 potential
surgical errors. All of this seems very plausible. If you're tracking all this stuff digitally,
you can do intelligent things that improve care.
But on top of that, more interestingly,
what if all of the data was actually in one place
and you could do stuff with it?
What is the value of having something digital versus paper?
This is sort of like the utopian dream
that people have always had
and that the Bush administration
and the Obama administration had.
Epic is finally doing it.
Yes.
And one very clear, interesting illustrative example is imagine there's something wrong
in the water supply, but all the records are on paper.
So unless you're going and pulling individual files
and then looking at some specific test result
across a whole bunch of people,
which you probably need a research grant to do
to actually go and sit down
and pull all these individual files,
you're not gonna find it.
But if you have a whole database full of information
and you can quickly and easily look horizontally
across a whole bunch of records. This is Flint, Michigan.
This is how they figured out there was a water problem in Flint, Michigan, and you would
not have found it in a paper-based world.
Cosmos is that on steroids.
What can you figure out about the whole world if you have 295 million patients' worth of
data in an anonymized accessible database, And it's accessible to any institution for free
that contributes data in.
So of all the Epic customers, anyone who opts in
gets to access and query it for research or cool stuff.
Like I have a really unique patient
who has some crazy condition I've never heard of.
Has this ever happened to anyone else in the world?
And what was the result?
Yep. This is what's really cool. They've productized this and made it free that any of their customers
can just turn it on. So Ben, exactly like you're talking about, I'm a doctor, I have a patient,
there's something going on. Cosmos can surface to me, hey, here are other examples of similar cases
anonymized.
They call them look-alikes, I think.
Yeah, look-alike patients throughout the history of everybody that's ever been on Epic.
And here are the doctors who treated those patients.
So this is already happening quite a bit, I think, with rare diseases and crazy cases.
I think so too.
It'll be useful for clinical trials. It'll be useful for clinical trials.
It'll be useful for research.
I do think it's free right now, which is pretty interesting.
We'll have to see how they price and package it
in the coming years.
But yeah, you're right.
This is like the utopian dream of wouldn't it be cool
if we had all this data in one place?
Yep.
And then that really prestiges something
we're going to talk a lot about in analysis, which is, wow, imagine what you can do with AI with this data. Yep. And then that really prestiges something we're going to talk a lot about in analysis,
which is, wow, imagine what you can do with AI with this data.
Yep.
But we will get to that in a minute.
All right. So the business today, let's just make sure we're all on the same page on where
things stand. They have 607 customers with 3,200 hospitals in between them. As you know,
they've never lost a single one, which is insane.
They add 10 to 25 new health systems as customers each year.
Their customers represent 590,000 physicians
and 495,000 staffed beds.
And that's across 325 million patients?
Worldwide, yep.
280 million of which are in the US.
Yep. So basically, almost all of America
gets seen in some part of their health care by a epic system. Yes, that is correct. In revenue
last year in 2024, they did $5.7 billion, which grew 13% year over year over the last five years
year-over-year over the last five years and 16% last year from 4.9 billion to 5.7 billion. David, I wanted to bring something up with you. They actually do
less revenue than I would have figured. Yes. And for people they're like 5.7
billions a lot. What are you talking about? If you divide it by their number
of customers it comes out around 10 million dollars a year a customer. If you
live in the enterprise software world,
that's not crazy.
This is the central nervous system
of these giant health systems.
This is what everything else relies on.
They run their entire business on this.
It costs a lot of money
because there's all these people administering it.
I talked to someone at a mid-sized health system
that said there's a hundred full-time employees
administering
Epic at her hospital system. But Epic actually only captures about ten
million dollars a year of the value created. So there's this sort of interesting
dichotomy of yes it's a lot of spend but the minority of it actually goes to Epic.
Yeah it is this element of I know I said altruistic earlier
when talking about the company.
You're right, it's not altruistic,
but I think it's really, really important to understand.
It's very long-term orientation.
They could charge their customers a lot more money.
They definitely could.
I think, I mean, they didn't used to be able to.
I think they used to saturate willingness to pay now that
They're this sort of dominant. They probably could
There's so many costs that get paid out to the consultants the Accenture Deloitte IBM Nordic the post implementation people the
optimization people the headcount internally the lost revenue from doing the switch and
Taking that downtime. I mean, this costs health systems
a lot. Epic actually just doesn't capture that much of it. I'm not as convinced that
they have room to take price as much as I'm surprised they don't capture more of the overall
value of a central nervous system for a hospital system. They could probably capture some more.
And as we get further and further in the future
and they get more and more dominant,
they certainly will gain more pricing power.
I think they could.
I mean, again, to your point of on average
$10 million a year cost for a piece of software
that is so absolutely vital to your business,
I think they could capture more.
And I think part of the reason they don't
is they never want to give a customer any kind of incentive
to rebid or consider another solution.
It's kind of like the Jeff Bezos quote about AWS
in the early days that he wanted to be
an irrational and irresponsible decision not to use AWS.
Oh, to pick someone else.
Yeah.
Yeah.
I think they want it to be an irrational
and irresponsible decision for a healthcare system
not to use Epic.
Yeah, I think that's right.
And just one other number to throw out
to analyze this on a different vector.
When I said 5.7 billion,
top line isn't that big of a number.
In healthcare, United Healthcare,
which owns an insurance company and a hospital
system, does $400 billion a year in revenue. That's wildly apples to oranges because they're
actually administering care in the case of their hospital system, so it's a different
thing. But that company does $35 billion in EBITDA. UnitedHealthcare's profit dollars are six times Epic's entire revenues.
So Epic has become this incredibly important and powerful linchpin in the system,
despite not actually having that big of a profit pool in the industry.
Yeah.
Or even maybe better put,
of having that big of a revenue pool in the industry.
I came into this episode expecting to be like, my God, this company just mints money and
is such a, for how much people talk about it as a part of the healthcare system, I just
expected it to have more cash moving through it.
All right.
Other quick stats, 14,000 employees today.
The market share is only 42% of hospitals,
but it's the largest and most successful hospitals.
So they actually have a bigger share of all care performed.
58% of ambulatory physicians now use Epic.
79% of the US ends up using Epic in one way or another.
In terms of profit, we heard a few different estimates.
There are EBITDA margins somewhere between 30 and 35%.
So just to be conservative, we'll take that at the low end
and say about $1.7 billion in EBITDA
if those estimates are correct.
So then that kind of brings us to what is Epic worth?
Which is sort of a silly question
because if you own shares,
it would be very difficult to ever sell shares to anyone
other than the company itself.
So what's the point of valuing something that you can't own
and what's the point of owning something
that'll never provide a financial return?
Yeah, there's never gonna be a liquidity event
for your shares.
Right, but it's worth doing.
So we started this episode talking about Judy's
one of the most successful, if not the most successful
female founder of all time.
Forbes has a list of this,
of the most wealthy self-made
women. I think their estimate is silly low.
Yeah, wildly wrong.
In 2021, Forbes estimates her net worth to be 7.6 billion, implying that the company
is worth, what, 15 billion? That is a ludicrous valuation for Epic. If you do the very conservative thing of looking at Cerner's EBITDA multiple of
30 times when Oracle bought them and you assume conservatively again a 30% EBITDA margin at Epic, that would give you a
number of 51 billion.
Valuing Epic at 51 billion. But come on, Epic's revenue streams are way more durable than Cerner's and
billion. But come on, Epic's revenue streams are way more durable than Cerner's. And Epic is growing while Cerner was going through a hard time. You could get to a similar number
of that 50-ish billion if you just slap a 9x revenue multiple, which is a reasonable
public market software comp. But this company has insane durability.
Yeah. It's missing the point that I think this is maybe the most durable software company in history.
Yes. My guess is if this is public, which it never will be, investors would value it somewhere in the
$100 billion neighborhood, giving Judy's shares a value of about $50 billion and making her the
wealthiest self-made woman in the world and one of the most successful entrepreneurs, period.
self-made woman in the world and one of the most successful entrepreneurs, period. And that would put Epic in one of the most valuable 150 or so companies in the world,
right along with Shopify, Arm, Lockheed Martin, and Starbucks.
Yep. Another thought exercise to kind of come at this question is if in some alternate universe,
Microsoft or Google or Amazon or I don't know,
maybe even Berkshire Hathaway, maybe Apple,
if they could acquire this company,
how much would they be willing to pay for it?
I think $100 billion is on the very,
very low end of that spectrum.
That's 4% of Apple or Microsoft.
Of course they'd be willing to pay 4% of themselves for this.
There's the market, there's the durability of the revenue and the profits.
Oh, I see.
You're arguing that on a financial basis alone, yes, and also the strategic value on top of that.
And the strategic value, both in terms of becoming the most important partner to this huge industry,
to the biggest players in this huge industry in healthcare, but then also just the data
in the AI world that we're in today.
I mean, my God, Cosmos, 15 billion patient interactions.
You think Google or Microsoft or whomever wouldn't pay a lot of money to own that?
Of course they would.
Part of me is like, ooh, thank God Judy's putting it in a trust. Microsoft or whomever wouldn't pay a lot of money to own that. Like, of course they would.
Part of me is like, Ooh, thank God Judy's putting it in a trust.
Oh, let's say this is never going to happen. So final chapter of the story here is Judy's 81 years old.
What is going to happen at some point in the future, even if she's the
next Warren Buffett here, we're still talking about in the next couple of
decades, you know, there will have to be a transition.
Like you said, Ben, she owns about half the company economically and
100% of the voting shares.
She has been transferring her non-voting shares into her foundation called
Roots and Wings.
So she signed the giving pledge and is transferring her wealth into the foundation.
They then sell those shares back to the company at a price that changes every year and that funds the foundation, they then sell those shares back to the company at a price that changes
every year and that funds the foundation.
Judy has announced that upon her death, all of her voting shares, so the 100% voting
control that she has the company, will transfer into a, quote unquote, purpose trust that
will be administered by three constituencies.
One her family, her husband if he's still alive, Gordon, and their three children.
Two, a set of five long time senior managers from Epic.
And three, I believe three customer CEOs, CEOs of big customers, and that that group will manage the trust.
And in the trust bylaws are several things.
One, the company can never be sold or taken public,
ironclad, that can never happen.
Two, the next CEO of Epic must meet two criteria.
Oh, be a software developer, right?
Yes, one must be a software developer, right? Yes.
One, must be a long time Epic employee, and two, must be a software developer.
I love the idea of the CEO being someone who came from the core skill of the company.
It's very Costco.
You know, you think about all the Costco CEOs have been people who were core to Costco's
operations over the years and had worked there for like 30 plus years.
Nike's heyday was when a guy who started in sneaker design ended up running the company,
Mark Parker.
There's sort of a beauty to when that happens.
There is a playbook to this.
Yes.
One last thing to know about Epic today looking forward, we talked a lot about interoperability and their notorious lack of partnership or ability to access their data or integrate
with them in the past.
A lot has changed, but there would be a whole nother four-hour podcast on specifically how
there are many programs, each with different methods of integration, different names, different
standards.
They've all evolved over the years.
They come with things like revenue shares back to Epic.
And if it is the rare true partnership,
they can also come with warrants
to own a chunk of your company.
But the bottom line is you actually can do
a lot more building on top of it integrating with Epic
than you could have 10 or 20 years ago.
All right.
That's our epic story.
Should we move into analysis?
Let's do it.
So the first part of analysis is a section
called power, which we have shamelessly ripped from Hamilton Helmer's book, Seven Powers. The
question is, what is it about any given business that allows them to achieve persistent differential
returns or to be more profitable than their closest competitor on a sustainable basis.
And there's seven of these,
there's counter positioning, scale economies,
switching costs, network economies, process power,
branding and cornered resource.
And as usual, we have to separate the takeoff phase
from the phase that they're in today.
David, I'm curious, do you have one for the takeoff phase?
Do you feel like you can analyze why in the takeoff phase they gained power?
Well, it's funny.
They didn't take off for quite a while.
Right.
And I might argue they didn't actually have any power during the takeoff phase.
Yeah, I don't think so.
I mean, ultimately, their biggest point of differentiation being the single platform
didn't matter that
much in that phase because everybody else was starting up new and they hadn't
built that much of it out it there wasn't that much computing adoption
among hospitals generally so like didn't really matter. I think what was
happening is they had this kind of nascent market in the proto EHR world
where they were able to sell something small enough
at enough of a profit to be self-sustaining while they bided their time and built out
the bigger suite, which they were able to basically use time as a resource that most
people don't flex.
Most entrepreneurs want to do something in a short period of time, usually because their
capital structure demands it.
And so you launch a platform and try to get other people to
build the applications because you're in a really really dynamic fast-changing
market, or you launch an application on a platform that somebody else built
similarly because you're in a dynamic changing market. And Epic's market was
developing slowly over a long period of time and they were willing to run a
small business for a long period of time and then sort of grow into building all the functionality for the eventual huge
market that wanted all the functionality tied together.
Yep.
Okay.
So then what powers do they have today as the scale incumbent?
Yeah.
A lot.
A lot is the answer.
A lot.
A lot.
I mean, the most obvious one is switching costs. I mean, this is the
biggest switching cost piece of software ever.
Ooh, that's interesting. Is that true? Do you think it's bigger than people's ERP instance?
For sure. This is like an ERP on steroids. This is the most important nervous system
for your entire business. Oh yeah, and by the way, if things go wrong or it goes down,
people die.
That's a very good point. So people spend, you know, including by the way, if things go wrong or it goes down, people die. That's a very good point.
So people spend, you know, including all the opportunity
costs and everything, hundreds of millions or billions
to put this in.
Are there any ERP or CRM implementations
that cost a billion, five billion, $10 billion?
Maybe, but I don't think any that are so core
to everything about your customer's business. You're right.
Even if it was really expensive to put it in, you're still more likely to swap out one
of those systems than you are your EMR at this point.
Right.
It's so much more than a medical record.
Yes.
Yes.
So that's definitely true.
Scale economies is definitely true.
The thing we were talking about a minute ago,
you can't make the investments in product breadth
without having the scale that you have today.
Yep.
You also can't do their clever bundling in a bunch of free
stuff that you might want to use in the future
unless you have the scale economies also.
I mean, they just develop a lot of software
that they either throw in for free
or offer to you in the future.
And the only way you can develop that much software
is have a huge number of customers to amortize it across.
Yep.
If you're trying to start a new EMR today,
you have to write a lot of software to be competitive.
Yep.
And that's scale economies.
Yep.
Network economies, yep.
You bet.
You betcha.
They hit this interesting tipping point
where they could win just on, we're the best, most reliable
platform for a long time.
And then at some point, it hit some tipping point
where there was a second value proposition, which
is most other hospitals are also on Epic.
So your patients and your doctors will all appreciate it if you adopt Epic to make it
easier to interop with the records at all those other hospitals.
It's like icing on the cake.
Oh, you're talking about interop.
I mean, there's interop, but there's also, do you think you will need to hire more doctors
in the future, either to grow or as
your existing doctors retire?
Right.
Pick the standard.
Yes.
Well, what do they know how to use and what are they trained on?
Epic?
Great.
Yeah, that's true.
It's a second network economy in addition to the care everywhere concept of being able
to share my records across institutions.
There's one institution in Seattle that I go to for my son's food allergies.
They're on Cerner. I have three institutions that I've gone to over the
years for various other stuff
that are all on Epic. I don't know why that one hospital is still on Cerner.
Yeah, it's really annoying to you, isn't it? I'm sure everyone else in Seattle is like
why don't you just do the thing that all the other big hospitals do so that it's all the same
platform? That's network economies. Yeah, it's kind of amazing that they have
built a network economy business. Like who would have thought medical software?
There is value to every participant in the system from the other hospitals to
me as a patient to doctors if that one holdout hospital that for some reason is
on Cerner just switches to Epic. It's a definition of network economy. I think they also have branding. They're the most trusted by
all the most prestigious institutions. So at this point, if they had no other powers and they just
came in and identical bids on the table, 100% of the time people say Epic because it's going to
work. Like I know your brand. Don't get fired for buying IBM. Yep, exactly. Yep.
I didn't think about that. I was like, oh, no, they don't have branding.
It's not really a consumer brand, you know, my charger, but no, no, no, you're
totally right. They totally have branding.
That is in part why they built that massive auditorium to bring the whole
universe of Epic together every few months.
Yep. And then I think you could argue that they do have process power, I think
is the last one I would say, in their development process and the language that they use and it being
kind of unique to Epic.
This is more of a defensive one.
I think it's about the training of young employees, the way that they sort of make them the Epic
way.
Well, interesting.
There's the epic way I buy that generally, but I think specifically
you can point to their software developers who they are hiring out of college, mostly
building on cache and mumps and they don't-
Don't develop transferable skills.
It's not like you can easily then go work at Cerner and port that over. I mean, sure
you could,
like if you're a great software developer,
you can learn other languages and other frameworks,
but if you spent your whole career
all developing in this sort of proprietary epic system,
and I should say proprietary is the wrong word.
They don't make mumps or cache,
a separate company called InterSystems makes them,
they license it from them.
But most of the rest of the industry
does not operate on that.
It is a bit of a process power.
Yep, I think that's fair.
All right, that does it for power.
Great.
Do you have any playbook themes?
Yes, I do.
The one that jumped right out at me was the heavy spend on research and development.
This one is from friend of the show,
Arvind Navaratnam at Worldly Partners in the always excellent write-up that he does associated
with these episodes that we'll link to in the show notes. Epic of course builds as we've talked
about a million times their whole systems from scratch and they don't buy companies,
it's all in-house development. The result of that is 35% of their operating expenses are spent on
R&D. If you compare this to Athena Health, a competitor, that's 10%, or Oracle all up is 23%, or if
you look outside this industry, it's actually equivalent to Apple at 36% of their operating
expenses of R&D, Amazon's 28%.
So 35% is quite meaningful.
It's quite high, yeah.
The only one that beats them is Google at 45%.
And think about all the money that Google is just dumping
into R&D for all these sort of future looking projects.
And they're a core technology company.
So on the one hand, duh, because Epic doesn't really
buy other companies or spend any money on sales and marketing,
and they keep their G&A low.
So what are their other expenses?
Of course, it's going to be high on R&D. Yes, unlike most companies, they spend zero on sales and marketing and they keep their G and A low. So what are their other expenses? Of course, it's going to be high on R and D.
Yes.
Unlike most companies, they spend zero on sales and marketing.
If they classify those eight people that they employ as quote unquote salespeople
as, you know, headcount, maybe they spend, I don't know, not much.
Yes.
Small.
But I think to get to this point that we've been sort of hitting in a bunch
of different ways, as long as you can win deals in the short term early days without sales and marketing spend, and you can just spend all of your
costs or as much as possible on R&D, that R&D does compound over time to give you a
big competitive advantage later in life that other forms of spend do not.
Yep.
Especially in software.
Yes.
My next one is about growth.
So I was reading an article that said
Faulkner once described her approach as climbing a mountain,
not trying to see the entire mountain at once,
but by focusing on the next hill in front of her.
And it reminded me of something I've read before.
Does this remind you of anything?
Hmm.
Uh, I've drawn a blank.
Go for it.
OK. So in Paul Graham's legendary 2012 essay, Let's remind you of anything. Hmm. Uh, I've drawn a blank. Go for it. Okay.
So in Paul Graham's legendary 2012 essay, Startups Equal Growth, he's talking about
how the whole thing you need to do as a startup is focus on next week's growth.
He then says, in theory, this sort of hill climbing could get a startup into trouble.
They could end up at a local maximum.
But in practice, that never happens.
Having to hit a growth number every week forces a founder to act. And acting versus not acting
is the high bit of succeeding. Nine times out of ten sitting around strategizing is
just a form of procrastination. Whereas founders intuition about which hill to climb are usually
better than they realize. Plus the maxima in the space of startup ideas are not spiky
and isolated. Most good ideas are not spiky and isolated.
Most good ideas are adjacent to even better ones.
I just thought, I don't know, it just jumped off the page at me that Judy, who has almost
certainly never read any of Paul Graham's writings, had this same insight, I don't try
to see the entire mountain at once, I just try to focus on the hill right in front of
me.
And that hill is adjacent to a bigger
and more interesting hill.
Oh, I'm so glad you brought this up.
I was thinking about Judy as this incredible software
developer who became a founder of a company
and this incredible business person
and didn't follow any of the, you know, MBA rules.
Except that she did.
She just discovered them all for herself in Wisconsin.
Well, right. And I was thinking about it, and I was like, man, her story in this company kind of
reminds me of Paul Graham and Y Combinator. And there's so many resonances here, but they're also
kind of like a different world. If Y Combinator weren't about funding companies and being a
venture capital firm, and instead was espousing to founders instead of raising money, build
your companies independently without capital.
We would have a lot more epic systems running around out there.
But she also built this in a different era where you could do this without capital.
Yeah, I think that's right.
But the distance between Judy Faulkner and Paul Graham is actually not nearly as far
as you would think. Yep.
It's applying computer science principles and common sense ways of running a company
that are like obvious to you, but contrarian to the way that most people seem to run companies
and just being a programmer turned business person to its logical extreme.
Yep.
Okay.
One that we did not talk about is their litigation strategy.
It's worth just touching this so people are aware.
They are aggressive on defending IP,
and as they would put it on defense against patent trolls,
they're also extremely aggressive
on employment practices law.
They have non-competes to keep secrets secret,
and they enforce them.
They are also why employers can force their employees into arbitration.
They want a landmark case around forced arbitration.
Yep.
Went to the Supreme Court, I believe.
Yep.
They're embroiled in lawsuits with other health IT companies trying to use Epic Software in
a way that Epic believes violates terms of service.
There's not one of these, there's a bunch of these.
Including an antitrust lawsuit.
Yes.
A big one with a startup called Particle Health.
That is at a really pivotal point right now.
Yes, David, they are being accused of violating the Sherman Antitrust Act.
Yep.
And that suit is ongoing.
Yep.
We just put this out there to say this company is seemingly not shy about using the
law to protect things that they believe are theirs and to deepen their moat. Interestingly
though, they have never been in a lawsuit or even in mediation with a customer. There's
a sacredness to that customer relationship that they hold really dear.
It comes back to when we were talking about the company culture. Everything at the company
is about customers.
Yep.
All right.
The next one is one I call enterprise sales on steroids.
So normally in enterprise sales, you have a bunch of things, long sales cycles, stuff
where the buyer is not the user.
So you end up with Cluj UI.
And it's not just because people don't care, but the breadth of enterprise software is really, really wide.
So it takes forever to write everything.
And so you're not going to keep updating it
every time there's new UI trends.
And on top of that, a million screens
look really similar for different users,
for different use cases.
So they all just kind of end up looking
like drop-downs and buttons.
Hard to blame someone specifically for that.
There's tons of customization, long implementation times.
This is enterprise sales and enterprise software generally, not in healthcare.
And then in healthcare, here comes the steroids.
You have the added layer of regulation from HIPAA and other medical system compliance
stuff and data sensitivity and lives are on the line.
And so in most industries, when you're a startup looking down the end of the
barrel and you're like, all right, I am not doing this top-down enterprise
sales thing, I'm going to do product-led growth, but it gets some bottoms up
adoption will play the slack or the figma or you name it, but HIPAA makes
product-led growth much harder.
So from the great substack health API guy under HIPAA makes product-led growth much harder. So from the great substack health API guy,
under HIPAA regulations, a business associate agreement
typically needs to be signed by someone
with the proper authority to legally bind the organization,
not individual providers or employees.
So David, this is something I kept thinking,
why doesn't one doctor or one practice adopt something
and then bottoms up adoption
and that's how we'll get the next EHR in the future.
No, these are all CIO sales because they all need to be.
Right.
You can't have the typical, oh, a small team
within a big company is going to buy this on a credit card.
Nope, not going to happen.
And there's some exceptions.
I know there's some PLG that happens in health care,
but it's way, way harder to figure out
how to do that than normal B2B SaaS.
Yep.
And my last one, Judy is a wacky, wacky founder.
And so is every truly great entrepreneur that we study.
She is truly N of one.
I mean, she has stated that it is more likely that she'll die than retire, just like Warren
Buffett always jokes
She is singularly focused on making epic great in her life. Just like Ingvar Kompra and IKEA
She's totally obsessed with rapidly incorporating feedback from customers just like Jeff Bezos and she believes
Correctly that the nerds will prevail in the long run at least correctly correctly for her market, her point of view, her industry.
She is completely unique in the way
that all the great founders we study are.
Yep. You foreshadowed in the intro
that Judy is almost certainly the most successful
by any measure female founder in history.
I think that is actually true.
I looked up to try and see who else might even come close.
You could maybe make a case for Estee Lauder.
However, despite Estee Lauder reaching about a hundred billion dollar market cap
during the pandemic, it's only worth about 20 today.
I don't know what happened there.
Taylor Swift and Oprah, which we've talked about, and we did our Taylor
Swift update at the Chase Center show last year.
We think the enterprise of Taylor Inc is only worth about 11 billion.
I mean, only, quote unquote.
I love that you and I have like an ongoing
Taylor Inc. calculator.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Oprah's less than that.
Forbes currently thinks that Diane Hendrix
is the wealthiest female founder in the world,
or at least in America.
She's the founder of ABC Supply,
which is one of the largest roofing suppliers
in the country.
You know what's crazy?
This means that the two most successful female founders
in America are both based in Wisconsin.
I know, isn't that amazing?
I was gonna say that.
I love that you found that too.
It is a big and great company for sure.
However, ABC Supply does about $20 billion a year
in revenue, I assume not at anywhere near Epic's margins.
So I don't think it is worth the, call it,
I think minimum 100 billion that I think Epic is worth.
Ooh, you're now up to a minimum 100 billion.
Well, I'm going by my rubric of,
if somebody could acquire this company,
what would they be willing to pay?
Yes.
That's kind of funny.
If someone offered you shares in Epic right now
at $100 billion, would you pay it?
Ooh, good question.
If I could get profit distributions from Epic,
yes, I would love to hold Epic shares for the rest of my life.
I would for sure pay that.
Yeah, I totally agree.
If I were banking on a liquidity event, then no.
Yeah.
But me personally, yeah, I would love to hold shares.
Yeah.
When people are speculating on the value of something, the interesting way to
turn it around is always, okay, are you buyer at that price?
Like open your wallet.
Makes it feel much more real.
I would for sure buy shares of Epic at a hundred billion dollars.
There's no way I will ever be allowed to, but I would love to.
That sounds like a standing offer and the show is not investment advice.
I would love to. That sounds like a standing offer and the show is not investment advice.
In this category, man, it is crazy how powerful founder continuity can be.
I was thinking about this.
How many other companies have had a single founder leader for 47 years?
I mean, Jensen's 31 years into Nvidia, Zuckerberg is 21 years into Facebook.
Obviously, there's a lot running smaller companies.
There's Berkshire Hathaway.
Right. That's actually the exception.
Buffett's been running Berkshire for over 50 years.
But in Judy's case, having 47 years to imbue the founder's
personality into the organization as it's built all
the way to this scale is
Really rare and really powerful. Yep. And as you've alluded to I mean, she really is like Jensen. She's still
Running the company. She's still highly engaged. Yep. Absolutely
All right, Baron bull cases. Yep. Let's do it
All right
A few different things contributing to the bear case, if I were to make one.
US customers had very big dollars they could pay.
The market is big because one, the US economy and population are large and two, unfortunately,
healthcare is a large percent of that.
So if the future is coming from international, that could be less fruitful, much lower willingness
to pay in most countries for healthcare administration
stuff. So that's one sort of bear case element. The other would be if this particle suit ends
up getting actually picked up and there's a material event that happens for epic around
antitrust and a violation of the Sherman Act, that's a huge, huge problem. And that is a company changing
thing if that comes to bear. So we'll have to watch the news on that.
The third is there is legislation that happened in the last few years about information blocking.
There's an act that passed called the Cures Act that essentially says that an EHR or health system
cannot block access to information. So even though Epic
makes the very reasonable argument around data privacy and security and in the long
run patient safety by locking down data, the Cures Act makes things like screen scraping
or Chrome extensions or RPA legal as a means to extract data from Epic. And there's nothing
they can do about it that is required allowed.
Interesting. So at this point I don't know how that could really displace them.
What also sort of begs the question of yeah what would you do?
Okay you scrape epic data you're not going to build epic.
Right epic has always been hyper sensitive about locking that stuff down for good reasons for
their customers but also for their own durability reasons.
And I think this is going to be a tiny crack in the armor.
The fear is that someone deploys to like 70% of your customer base.
They're all using some Chrome extension.
They're all feeding the data into some nice UI.
That nice UI is the thing everyone prefers to use.
And then that UI vendor's like, oh, instead of using Epic on the backside,
you could use my own home world thing on the backside.
But the probability of that happen is near zero.
Yeah, not gonna happen.
So I'm not that worried about that.
The other thing is maybe if interoperability comes to pass
in a bigger way, then you could kind of see
the best of breed applications becoming a
more dominant paradigm versus the all-integrated paradigm.
Again, this feels pretty hand-wavy to describe as the bear case.
Yep.
Well, and should that happen, they still have the Microsoft Playbook, which they absolutely
run.
Okay, let's even say there are better, best of breed point applications out there.
Great, Mrs. or Mr. Hospital CIO,
you could go pay money for those,
or you could just keep buying your epic enterprise license
where you get access to all of these point applications
that you need for one price.
Yep.
And then the last one is paradigm shift.
And this is always the
bear case for any dominant company. Is AI going to be such a dominant paradigm shift
that it changes the needs of health systems? Or is value-based care going to be such a paradigm
shift that it changes what a health system is? Maybe you don't go to the doctor most of the time.
I have a hard time even imagining what it could be that you wouldn't need a system like Epic.
Maybe new care delivery models will make the old type of EMRs obsolete.
This requires some imagination and again, it's very hand-waving.
Epic also has their eye on all of this.
So it's hard to imagine any of those things being the-
Yeah, right. My question to you is going to be, Wavy. Epic also has their eye on all of this. So it's hard to imagine any of those things being the.
Yeah, right.
My question to you is going to be, OK,
how much do you want to talk about AI here?
Or how much do you want to talk about it in the Bullcase?
Yeah, it's probably more a Bullcase.
All right.
Well, let's do Bullcase.
Great.
All right, the Bullcase is they've successfully
expanded from EMR plus billing to all these other specialties
and modules.
They basically served all those same customers even more products.
Those customers A, will need more products in the future.
B, there continues to be more health systems they can sell to.
And now C, they are expanding the customer base from just health systems to other types of companies, pharma, payers,
researchers, from this new dominant position that they're in.
So, they're sort of expanding to a whole new set of potential customers who could pay them
because of their dominant position.
I think that's extremely credible.
Yep.
They could have an even larger business.
I mean, PriorAuth seems like the first and most obvious business opportunity for them
here.
In some ways, hospitals are kind of crappy customers because they don't generate much
profit. Insurance companies are probably much better customers if you can figure out something
really compelling for them.
Yep.
Unfortunately, again, I feel like every time I come up with some profit pool in healthcare,
I'm like, boy, I really wish that wasn't there. I have to sort of think philosophically on why I keep feeling that way.
But I'm definitely, I end up critical of any thing that becomes too profitable in the healthcare system.
Well, behind that though is that you as a consumer or we as consumers feel like some of these entities
are not in any way providing value to us.
Right. I feel like I'm getting ripped off.
Yeah. I mean, I saw a study that said 30% of spending
in the healthcare, you know, in the 18% of GDP
goes to waste, truly waste.
And I saw another one that quantified it and said
$800 billion of waste is in the system.
The entire GDP of Switzerland's worth of waste
exists in our
healthcare system.
Yep.
Sounds about right.
Another interesting thing that someone brought up is
they asked me how much I pay in premiums a year for
health insurance for the family.
And I was like, I dunno, I think somewhere in the
neighborhood of 25, $30,000.
And their comment back was like, in what world are
you ever going to use 25 or 30,000?
Don't like imagine what's on the bill. Cause that's all made up. All the numbers are made
up. The top line, the negotiated rate, what I uncovered for, they're all made up. Just
imagine like dollars out of your pocket for health care and don't even just pick this
year, pick a 10 year period because stuff might come up. You'll have surgeries in some
years but not others. What are you actually willing to pay and go out of your pocket dollars, give a
doctor for everything you need over the next 10 years and compare that against
everything you're paying into the system? If you were to be paying your own
employer side, employee side and all the out-of-pocket stuff, we're not getting a
good deal. We're just not and we can all feel it. Yep.
All right.
Continuing the bull case.
So there's a whole category called ambient listening.
And one of the biggest complaints that people have with EHRs is doctors spend too much time in front of the computers.
They're typing in notes.
They're clicky clicky on nine different dropdown boxes and alerts.
And sometimes that gets fixed by having someone
in the room typing while the doctor is doctoring with you.
But either way, there's the scribe,
but the doctor's like also at a computer
because they just need to read the medical records.
So the doctor ends up in front of a screen,
they're wasting a bunch of time typing
or they're hiring someone to type.
Oh my God, AI would be amazing for this.
If only there was an ambient listening AI scribe
that could be writing down and categorizing and structuring all the data that comes out
of an interaction with a physician.
Well, good news, it's happening.
It is happening and it works.
So David, there's a few companies that are partners of Epic, right?
Yep, that's right.
So one is Microsoft and Nuance.
Microsoft bought a company called Nuance a few years ago.
They used to do like dragon dictation.
Yeah.
So they've always been in kind of the voice space for healthcare.
So they now have an ambient AI product.
And then there are two big startups, one called a Bridge based out of Pittsburgh.
And then another one called Suki that have
really good ambient AI products that plug into Epic and yeah, are an AI scribe and people
who use them, physicians who use them, love them.
You can just focus on the patient and it scribes it all.
Yep.
This would be a great solve to some of the doctor burnout and fatigue and too much screen time
That a lot of physicians are seeing. Yep. That's the bull case for this
These products are all partners of epic and in some cases epic may have relationships or warrants with some of these companies
Or just revenue you could also imagine epic might want to build their own product to this someday
It's a big opportunity epic is kind of the choke point of the industry
at this point to decide what software innovations
reach hospitals.
I don't think it's overstating it to say
if you're developing new breakthrough software
to be used by physicians in hospital systems,
Epic's kind of the one that gets to decide
are you going to reach that customer or not?
Yep, exactly.
So I think the basic bulk case on ambient voice,
ambient AI is this is a great new product revenue
opportunity.
The mega-bulk case to borrow from our IPL episode here
is one CIO was talking to me.
He's like, look, I don't have high confidence
that this is gonna happen,
but as ambient AI becomes better and better,
is there a version of the future
where the EHR quote unquote itself
just kind of fades into the background
and this all just becomes an AI operating system?
Like what is it primarily doing, the EHR?
It's capturing data about what happened. It's recording it,
both for clinical uses and then, importantly, for billing purposes. And then, what needs to happen
with that for billing purposes? Well, that data needs to get shipped over to the payer, whether
that's the government or an insurance company, and then needs to get judged and adjudicated,
and then payouts need to happen. Is there any real reason why this can't all be done by AI in the future?
Why do we actually really need user facing software here or a lot of it?
Hmm.
So yeah, there may be some future where, and this is, you know, a utopian
type future, but a lot of the administrative bloat and costs in the system
actually gets taken care of by
ambient AI sort of just sucking it all up here. I'll believe it when I see it, but it sounds nice.
Exactly. But a real CIO of a real big hospital system made this case to me.
It's just so hard to believe bloat ever goes away. Getting administrative costs down is so hard. What
are you gonna do? Put a whole
bunch of people who have good administrative jobs at hospitals out? That is going to be
hard for our whole society.
For sure. I mean, this is the question about AI, right?
You're right. I think it's a bull case if you're a shareholder of Epic though.
Right. If Epic becomes that system.
Yep.
All that to say, like every industry, AI has big potential here.
Yep. I think that's fair. And that's on top of everything we've already talked about.
No one is switching off of them. Revenue from their install base will just continue to grow.
They've become the standard that everyone will switch to. Once they get a customer,
they don't leave. Honestly, at this point, regulation is probably also a bull case.
This is sort of what happens once you become an incumbent and regulation tends to shut
out new entrants and entrench the older companies because the older companies are the ones that
have the resources to comply.
So they've got their ear to the ground.
They've got a ton of resources.
So when new data interoperability stuff, like there's one called TEFCA that is in the works,
Epic can be the first to implement it well.
And so that can further entrench them
as they comply correctly with new regulations and new compliance.
As we talked about, there's probably pricing headroom at this point,
which may or may not be great for their customers,
but it's great for Epic, and they probably can start extracting more value
if they wanted to pull forward
some of the future into today.
I would be really, really surprised if they do that.
I would too, I don't think they will.
Then the last one is becoming a platform.
They really haven't done this to date,
they've built it all themselves,
but I'm curious if they start platformizing
a little bit more,
and they've always had little things here and there, App Orchard, but I'd be curious if they start platformizing a little bit more. And they've always had little things here and there,
App Orchard, but I'd be curious if they, at some point,
make a real play to be a robust platform layer
upon which other applications build on top of.
To your point about vertical software,
maybe that's just not the way this ends up playing out,
but they have the opportunity if they want it
and think it would be more valuable than their current path.
Yep.
All right.
Should we do quintessence?
The biggest question I have is why did it uniquely work in this field to build the entire platform and all the applications yourself?
Any other time you get that pitched, pass.
I'm not investing in that.
That's a stupid strategy.
Why in this industry did it work?
So I sort of phrase this as a different question to myself, but I think it's the same thing.
I asked, why did Epic win?
But I think it's the same question here.
And to me, it just smacked me in the head.
This is vertical market software.
This is the correct playbook to win
in vertical market software.
And it is very different
than building horizontal market software.
That's interesting.
Because in vertical market software,
you are only serving one category of user,
the deeper and deeper and deeper you can go
into their business operations
and solving their problems,
the better.
Whereas if you're building Slack or Salesforce.
Let's pick a horizontal complex piece of software, Microsoft Office.
Yeah, Microsoft Office.
Great.
Canonical example.
Or Windows, actually.
Right.
You need to be really, really, really careful
about going too far into one customer segment.
And this goes all the way into product development.
You hear all the time from really great product
people and engineers at the big horizontal technology
companies that the surest way to design bad products
is to listen to your customers.
Right.
You internalize the feedback, and then
you decide what the best feature would be based
on their own experience, or based on collecting
all the different experiences.
And that, I think, is generally right
for building horizontal software and products.
However, when you're building vertical market
software and products, you absolutely
want to listen to your customers.
And that is what Epic is really good at.
That's interesting.
And you want to build exactly what they want. And you want to understand who your customers. And that is what Epic is really good at. That's interesting. And you want to build exactly what they want.
And you want to understand who your customer is.
And your customer is the CIO and the CIO and the CFO
of the hospital system.
Right.
I now agree with you.
My answer, it probably just layers
on top of why it's health care specific, not just vertical
specific.
It is all the, we were talking about carrots and sticks earlier, all the sticks in this industry. If your software is bad, they die. So the
right thing is one big integrated approach, rather than any risk at all of discontinuity
between different applications. So that's one. Two is all the compliance stuff. Again, if you have
any data leak, whoa, it's catastrophically bad for HIPAA. If you don't function
correctly, oh, you get your Medicare, Medicaid subsidies crushed for violating,
you know, meaningful use stuff. There's just all these sticks with any mistakes.
And so in a situation where you can't make any mistakes, the single vendor playbook is
the right playbook, even if it's going to take 47 years to build the dominant company.
Yep.
You have to write a lot of software and it all has to work together really well.
Yep.
And one of the things I was thinking about about this idea of Epic as a vertical market software company.
I don't think we've ever really covered any other vertical market
software companies on the show before.
No, I don't think we have either.
We sort of haven't.
I was thinking about why is that?
I'm like, Oh, well, that makes sense.
Generally vertical market software companies are not going to get that big.
You're limited by your vertical market.
This is a rare case where, because the market they operate in is so big, you're limited by your vertical market. This is a rare case where because the market they operate in is so big, the American healthcare
market.
And it's something we all use.
And it's something we all use and it's something that is so important.
You actually can get a really valuable company built serving just one and market.
Then I was thinking about it, I was was like, Epic has gotta be the most valuable
vertical market software company in the entire world.
What else could possibly be up there?
And so I started racking my brain.
I was like, Bloomberg was the only one
I could come up with that could
plausibly maybe be as valuable.
We gotta do a Bloomberg episode someday,
but that'll be our second vertical market software company
that we cover.
But then I was Googling and I was thinking about it and I was like, well, people talk
about Viva Systems.
Yeah, Viva, which is also healthcare.
They're probably the largest public company, but I was like, yep, they're definitely not
worth as much as Epic and they are also operating in healthcare.
They're not worth as much as Epic?
No, it's about a $20 billion market cap company.
Oh wow.
Yeah, I don't think so.
You know, the only other company I could come up
with in the vertical market software industry that's
also in this kind of big league is Constellation Software,
of course.
Fan favorite, friend of ours.
But they bundle together a bunch of different verticals.
Exactly.
They're a roll up.
And I think some of their biggest companies
are vertical market health care and health care IT companies within Constellation.
Yep.
Mark Leonard, I'm sure, is a big Epic fan. Or maybe not fan because he probably operates some competitors.
Yeah.
I'm sure he has respect for Judy.
I am sure. I mean, she's got a gold medal in the Capitalism Olympics. So you gotta respect it.
All right, that winds it down.
Should we do some carve-outs?
Let's do carve-outs.
Let's do something fun.
All right.
I've got two.
I've got a regular carve-out, a today carve-out, and then I have a preemptive carve-out.
Great.
My today carve-out is a friend of mine turned me on to a very, very popular OG YouTube video that I had never
seen.
Ken Block, the rally car driver, did a YouTube video back in 2012 of San Francisco.
They shut down the streets in San Francisco and he did this incredible rally car, 10-minute
long video through San Francisco.
It's like watching the old movie Bullet
with Steve McQueen and the iconic.
Yeah, yeah.
But it's like that with a 600 horsepower rally car
driven by one of the best in the world.
I can't believe I'd never seen this before.
And it's like, I sit, I'm like,
oh, I know those blocks, I live there, you know?
Wow.
It was so cool, amazing video.
And he sadly died recently in an accident,
which is why I was kind of back in the news.
But I did some more research into him
and I knew nothing about him before.
He was one of the co-founders of DC Shoes,
you know, like the skateboarding shoes.
He was one of the two co-founders.
Then after they sold it to Quicksilver,
he got into professional rally car driving,
became one of the best professional rally car drivers,
filmed this whole series of amazing videos in cities. Super awesome. I can't believe
I'd never seen it before. We'll link to it in the show notes.
Huh. I don't know anything you just said, so I gotta go look it up because none of that
made any sense to me.
Right. It's a short enough, very impressive video. Very cool to watch.
Sweet.
That's my main carve out. And then my preemptive carve out is,
I am so excited for the Switch 2.
Ah.
If it ships, if they start taking pre-orders again.
Ah, yeah.
Maybe by the time this comes out.
I'm not worried about it hitting the ship date.
I think they got to sort out the US price and everything.
But A, it looks incredible.
Basically everything on our Nintendo episodes
that we've hoped
Nintendo would do with the successor system to the Switch, they're doing. Full
backwards compatibility, maintaining the online accounts. System looks incredible.
Shipping with a new Mario Kart. It's gonna be just awesome in and of itself. I
can't wait to have one for me. Also my older daughter, like I have been waiting
since the day she was born to
play video games with her. And by the time it comes out, like I'm thinking she might
finally be ready for Mario Kart. And I'm just so excited.
Sweet. Oh, that'll be so fun. All right, mine.
Go for it.
I just rewatched the movie Knives Out.
Oh, yeah. Good one. Daniel Craig. Extremely fun. So good.
It's just pure popcorn.
It's visually stunning.
Everyone loves a whodunit.
Daniel Craig is awesome. The whole cast is great.
So if you haven't seen that,
you'll really enjoy movie night.
My second one is I must be
the last person to discover this album.
I've been listening to the album Brat by Charlie XCX. It was awesome.
Well, you're definitely not the last person because don't worry Ben, I will always be
behind you in discovering music.
I just got to say like I'm the oldest male-est and also the fact that this came out 2024.
Everything about this is like a ridiculous carve out, but I was watching Charlie XCX
at the Grammys in her performances there and ever since I've just
Had the album on repeat and it's amazing
It'll transport you to another and much more fun world than the one you were currently sitting in in front of your computer
I love it
And then my last one is Odessa just released an album called music to refine to and it is remixes from
Severance.
It's just good, leave it on lo-fi in the background
while you're doing work.
I love Odessa, I love Severance.
It's my world colliding.
I'm grateful that all of us have you too.
Keep us up to date on music here.
My music is Frozen and Amber at like 2006.
If you want to feel like you're at like a much cooler party
than you've been invited to in 20 years listen to Brad. Great.
All right, one last thing listeners remember New York City, July 15th
We can't wait to see you there acquired.fm
NYC to make sure that you get the latest and you're first to know as soon as we say, what the heck is going on?
On that note, thank you to our partners this season,
JP Morgan Payments, ServiceNow, Crusoe, and Fundrise.
You can click the link in the show notes to learn more.
Thank you to all the people who spent time with us
on this one, we talked to dozens of people
and I think we can probably thank four or five of them
specifically on air.
As always, Arvind Navaratnam at Worldy Partners
for his great write-up linked in the show notes.
Brendan Keeler, who writes the Substack Health API guy.
He's awesome.
Brian Lawrence is the founder of Oak Cliff Capital and was a great thought partner in this episode.
Lhikan Wang, a healthcare technology investor and managing partner of JSL Health Capital. Scott Gaines, a long-time
IT executive from Highland and CoverMyMeds. Patrick Wingo, the head of research at Elion,
someone who has studied the health IT space very diligently and formally at Palantir. John
Bertrand, the CEO of Digital Diagnostics, an advisor at 8VC and a former Epic employee.
He really helped me understand the culture and what a unique place it is
to sort of grow and develop there.
And to Dr.
Abed Mir, a Stanford physician and investor who used Epic firsthand before
becoming an investor and was inspired to become an Epic shareholder himself.
David, I know you've got a few folks as well.
Yeah.
A whole number of health systems CIOs who I spoke with.
Huge thank you to all of you.
One that I wanted to call out specifically is Mike Pfeffer, the CIO of Stanford Medicine.
Two fun ones.
Two of Jenny and my friends from our Princeton undergrad days who are now doctors at big
epic sites.
So Molly Cantor, who's a doctor here at UCSF in
San Francisco, and Kareen Davila, who is a doctor at MGH, at Harvard MGH in Boston.
Nice. Got to speak with both of them about the physician experience of using Epic.
And then finally, we have a number of people to thank at Epic itself, since
there really isn't any canonical long form piece
about the company out there.
We thought, we usually don't do this,
but let's just email Judy and see if we can chat.
And she responded and we did.
Thank you, Judy, for spending time with us
and helping us understand all the missing details we had
on Epic's company history.
And of course, also to Carl Dvorak, Sumit Rana, and Lee LaVon, also from Epic, who spent
time with us and walked us through the history.
Yeah, we really, really appreciate it.
Yep.
Listeners, if you liked this episode, go check out anything else in the acquired back catalog.
We should specifically call out Novo Nordisk if you are into the healthcare space.
You've also got lots of
interviews available on ACQ2. Our most recent one was a conversation with Bill McDermott,
the CEO of ServiceNow. After you finish this episode, come discuss it with other smart,
acquired Slack members at acquired.fm slash Slack. And with that, listeners, we'll see you next time.
We'll see you next time. We'll see you next time. Who got the truth? Is it you, is it you, is it you? Who got the truth now?
Huh.