Acquired - Episode 21: Inside the M&A Press with Bloomberg's Alex Sherman
Episode Date: September 27, 2016Ben and David go inside the M&A press with Bloomberg’s technology M&A reporter and host of the Deal of the Week Podcast, Alex Sherman. If you’ve ever wondered how stories about bi...g deals get broken or what “according to people familiar with the matter” really means, tune in for the behind-the-scenes scoop! Note: A technical glitch with our recording setup created occasional short silences between Alex’s comments and Ben & David’s. It shouldn’t impact listenability, but we apologize for the awkward pauses! Sponsors:ServiceNow: https://bit.ly/acqsnaiagentsHuntress: https://bit.ly/acqhuntressVanta: https://bit.ly/acquiredvantaMore Acquired!:Get email updates with hints on next episode and follow-ups from recent episodesJoin the SlackSubscribe to ACQ2Merch Store!Topics covered include: Bloomberg’s own fascinating “history & facts” and origins following the acquisition of storied Wall Street firm Salomon Brothers Bloomberg’s core as a highly profitable technology business (selling terminals to Wall Street firms), with a large media empire built on top of itThe tradable value of breaking M&A news & information to Bloomberg’s terminal customers, and competing on speedHow “sources" work — and industry standard that sources be directly within the companies involved in a dealThe coded language of M&A reporting and gleaning where information is coming from based on a story’s structure and phrasingThe lifecycle of a story—steps from sourcing to writing to release, and reasons (or lack thereof) for why stories run when they doInternal & external PR resources companies use for M&A How Alex prioritizes his time researching and creating stories, and who he’s meeting with to hear about what deals are in the works The difference between ‘news' and ‘analysis', and why news dominates the majority of stories versus deeper analysisMedia and social media business models, their evolution in the messenger world, and speculation on Twitter’s futureHow entrepreneurs can think about interacting with the press and building relationships with the right reporters for their stage and spaceApple’s ‘unique’ approach to press relations Followups: Instagram announces 500k+ active advertisers, up from 200k in February 2016 Amazon stock price surpasses $800/share Hot Takes: Ford acquires Chariot The Yahoo! data breach and potential impact on their acquisition by Verizon The Carve Out: Ben: Phil of Drones’ Burning Man 2016 recap videoDavid: Algorithms to Live By by Brian Christian & Tom Griffiths Alex: Clinton’s Samantha Bee Problem, by Ross Douthat in the NYT Opinion Pages
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Yeah, right. Welcome to episode 21 of Acquired, the podcast where we talk about technology acquisitions.
I'm Ben Gilbert.
I'm David Rosenthal.
And we are your hosts. Today is a special episode where we yet again break the mold and do a little
bit of experimenting of our own here at Acquired. We are covering the press perspective of mergers
and acquisitions. And we have special guests with us, Alex Sherman from Bloomberg. He's based out
of their New York headquarters and is the host of the great Deal of the Week podcast. He started at Bloomberg in 2008 as an intern out of graduate school
and has worked in a variety of roles and covered a number of beats since then.
Thanks so much, Alex, for joining us and welcome to the show.
Thanks for having me.
Yeah, yeah.
We are excited to have you here. And especially as a former employee of the media industry myself
a number of years ago now, I'm really looking forward to this one.
I think we're going to have a great time talking about the press and how you guys cover deals,
your business model, and how it all relates to tech and acquisitions.
So thanks again for joining us.
Yeah, absolutely. It's nice to be on this side of the table instead of the host of the podcast,
which I'm used to. I put my answer in questions.
You're getting the questions posed to you.
Yeah, you'll see as the course of this goes around, I may end up being
like just interviewing you guys for a force of habit.
Oh, that'd be... Our listeners can then see the tables turned.
Yeah. For our listeners out there, we wanted to do this episode. We were talking with Alex about
what would be a right way to kind of like work together on something or have Alex be
on an episode. And as we were talking, we realized there's this totally fascinating process of
the news cycle of M&A and
why we read about stories when we do and how that whole process works that was really not something
I had thought about even after doing 20 episodes of this podcast. So we thought it'd be a cool idea
to have Alex on and clue everyone in on the process. Yeah. So before we kick off, we're
going to abandon our traditional structure for this show and do it as a special episode. But
I want to sneak in a little bit of history and facts about Bloomberg, because I bet a lot of
our listeners may consume Bloomberg Media, but don't really know much about the company other
than Michael Bloomberg, former mayor of New York, was the founder. But it's interesting. So Bloomberg actually,
I think, might be like the largest technology company that nobody really thinks about
or talks about too much because people think about it as a media company.
But it actually is at its heart and its origins, a technology company. So it was founded in 1981
by Michael Bloomberg. And Michael had been a partner at Salomon Brothers, which was an investment bank on Wall Street.
And Salomon Brothers got acquired in either 80 or 81 by an entity that was rolling up banks and it eventually became Citigroup.
And as part of that acquisition, Michael, as a partner, made $10 million in the acquisition.
And he used that money, he turned around, he started a company called Innovative Market Systems, IMS.
Not quite as catchy, but definitely a little bit less self-serving.
Fortunately for the brand, a couple years later Merrill Lynch another large investment bank actually
invested 30 million dollars in the company for a 30 percent stake and then ultimately when Merrill
got bought by B of A during the financial crisis in 2008 Bloomberg bought that bought that stake
back from from Merrill but the core business of Bloomberg is actually this thing called terminals, which, Alex, you probably use every day and many consumers of Bloomberg Media use.
I do. I just don't have to spend the $25,000 a year per user fee that everybody else does.
Exactly. And terminals are, this was kind of like the WhatsApp or the, maybe Snapchat, more like the WhatsApp for traders for Wall
Street long before the smartphone or WhatsApp or AOL or anything like that.
It's the communications platform for Wall Street.
And basically everybody uses it today.
Yeah.
And if for our listeners out there that do use this, sorry for butchering the explanation
of what it is.
And for the listeners that don't, it's this total black hole for people that aren't in the industry. It's Bloomberg branded hardware and you pay an annual fee and it hooks up to service and it has all this software installed and it sits on your desk and it's your kind of core operating, you know, it's the operating system on which you work and you make trades on the platform. Uh, you communicate with other traders on the platform.
Uh, you can run all sorts of data and analytics on stocks, on companies, on markets. Um, it's
very, very cool. And as Alex was alluding to, uh, it's also quite expensive. Uh, when you,
when you're selling to clients that have a lot of money, they're willing to pay a lot. So Bloomberg, it's interesting, and then we'll get into the show here, but in recent years,
Bloomberg has evolved and started doing radio, which is now podcasts like Alex's deal of the
week and television has TV channels, news. There are about 2,000 plus editors and reporters at Bloomberg that Alex is
part of that organization. But the terminals, subscribers to the terminals, as Alex was alluding
to, pay about $25,000 a year per terminal. And there are in the neighborhood of half a million
people that do that, which makes Bloomberg quite a large company.
Yeah, it's really interesting to think about. There's all these, you know, we've talked about the changing dynamics in the media industry on a lot of these different episodes. And, you know,
it's primarily because the way that most publications work is just selling ads,
and that's their main revenue model. And there's subscription, there's paywalls,
there's all these other things. But you know with bloomberg they produce all
this media but the the core um the core business is is one with network effects one that's based
on technology one that's essential for people to do their job and it's it's not monetizing the
ads on the publications and there's a little bit of that too because you know it's a it's a
decent business, but
certainly not compared to selling terminals. So with that, Alex, with that long preamble,
what's your perspective on all that? Being at Bloomberg, at this company, but also being a
journalist and a reporter and an M&A reporter, how does that play out for you?
So I started at Bloomberg, as you mentioned, as an intern in January of 2008.
And I have sort of without revealing the who, what or when, I'd say I've had interviews with virtually every single competitor of Bloomberg since then at one point or another for to change jobs or because just someone was interested in meeting me.
And I've never left.
And there is a reason for that.
And the main reason is what you just described.
Bloomberg is – and this has been the case since I joined the company.
Bloomberg is in better financial shape than all of our competitors.
So it has been hard for me to rationalize why I would go work at, say, a newspaper, which really struggles financially and lives on advertisement, when our entire operation is, you could say, subsidized by the Bloomberg Terminal business, which does $9 billion a year in revenue and is not ad-supported. Ad-supported businesses,
unless you're Google or Facebook, are by and large not good. You don't have to look very far.
Even digital media companies that have decent valuations really struggle, and nothing is near
the size of Bloomberg. So what I have tried to do at Bloomberg is to try to figure out what can I do
to provide value here to the core business,
not just some sort of ancillary side project. Because you mentioned Bloomberg has Business
Week, we have a TV station, we have a radio station, we have podcasts. But in the end,
if you're not serving the core function of this business, you're not essential to this business.
So whatever I did here, I wanted to make sure
that I was providing value to maybe both the common user and the terminal user. And covering
M&A, I think, is very central to that function because M&A stories move markets a lot more than
almost any other story. If we can break a deal, if we can say this company is in talks to buy,
you know, company X is in talks to buy company Y, the stocks and bonds are going to move for
those companies. The prices are going to move. And it therefore makes it worthwhile for you to
spend $25,000 a year to buy a Bloomberg terminal if you're trading on this information. And one
very important note that your listeners should know is that Bloomberg terminal customers get our news 15 minutes before the rest of the
world gets it. It's basically a built-in paywall. So if you're a terminal subscriber, you have
access to this information first. Now, a lot of that advantage- And if you're a hedge fund and you're trading the markets,
and Alex breaks a story about a potential merger, that pays for itself in literally,
the $25,000 a year pays for itself in seconds, right? Yeah, well, 15 minutes is an eternity.
It comes in the sales pitch. There's no question that, you know, some of our biggest scoops while we try to sell customers' terminals, we say, look, we broke this deal.
You know, $6 billion in market value was created instantly.
And you would have missed it if you don't have a Bloomberg terminal.
What I will say, though, and this is very important toward the future of this business, is that that 15-minute – the 15-minute delay has eroded because of social media and, in essence, TV. So what has happened is
you still don't get the story first. But as soon as we hit headlines, it goes on Bloomberg TV. So
we have it virtually instantly. So in other words, we've sort of cannibalized ourselves that way.
And of course, anyone that has a Bloomberg terminal can then
tweet the headline. So we realize that we live in a world now where the 15-minute delay
is a little bit anachronistic. It still exists, but it's something that's discussed here internally
almost all the time. Like, do we want to change this? Do we still want to keep it? So far,
we've decided as an organization that there's still value in this, so we do keep it. But Twitter and other forms of media have certainly put this 15
minute delay in a different category now. And I think we're okay with it because honestly,
so much of the trading is algorithmic that the money is made instantly. So really,
you just need to be first. And as long as you're 0.0001 seconds
first, you've paid it off. After that point, when the stock jumps and everything's programmed in
there, it's much less important. That's exactly where I was going to go. I mean,
it's super interesting how that's evolved. It reminds me a little bit of when I was at the Wall Street Journal, you know, our debate was famously the WSJ.com had a paywall in an era when, you know, very few news
organizations did on the internet. But that's like almost, that's like the, if you're talking
about like access to a story when all that matters is the news, that's totally different from this
situation. And I was going to ask,
as a reporter now, and when you're covering an M&A acquisition, when it is all about that data
that's going to feed the algorithmic traders, does Bloomberg now, and do you as you're writing
stories, set up data feeds that come out when you break the story? So we deal with this in different ways. So we know that there's going to be a reaction
given our stories. And there are ways within the Bloomberg terminal that we can actually
somewhat manipulate the reaction. And it becomes incumbent upon us to do this responsibly.
So the most telling way that I can explain this is that our biggest stories are redheaded. They're
literally red on the terminal. So there's a scrolling set of headlines at the bottom of
your terminal that are constantly going by. And the biggest stories are highlighted in red. So if we break a news story and we redhead it,
there's almost always a massive jump in the stocks. And that, I would imagine, has to do with
algorithms from trading, from traders that are set up, however they do it, to be coded,
where if something is redheaded,
then the stocks move. So we will purposefully not redhead stories where we don't actually
want to generate an enormous market reaction if maybe the story is more nuanced. So, you know,
if let's say a company might be considering buying another company, but they haven't entered formal talks yet
or something like that. You know, we want to make sure that we emphasize the nuance there
so that maybe that particular M&A deal is not as advanced as we would, you know, maybe want one to
be. Or maybe here's another example, that talks have happened and ended and are now dead and it's not live.
For example, you wouldn't redhead something about, you know, Apple to probably buy McLaren.
Right.
Well, that's right.
In fact, we did not redhead that story because we did write sort of a version of it after the FT put out their story.
And, yes, we did not redhead that story.
Although, let me put it this way.
And this is something that we do as a sort of a service to our clients.
When the FT ran that story, their headline was redheaded.
So we did redhead their headline because the people that made that decision thought that that was an important enough headline. And the FT is of a stature where we have decided at Bloomberg that they're right almost all the time.
So, you know, we've given certain media organizations, the FT, the New York Times, CNBC, the Wall Street Journal,
the benefit of the doubt that they're, you know, we know that their track record is good enough
that even if they beat us to a story,
we typically will alert our clients to that fact.
Yeah, well, it's interesting.
It's almost like even at that point, this is what's so fascinating about how markets work.
The news, you guys may have decided not to redhead or not to run a story about that potential acquisition.
But once that news is out there, that impacts the markets. So redheading the news that the rumor is out there is super
relevant to your customers. David, you've hit on something that we talk about all the time here as
reporters, which is if we get beat on a story, how much do we then have to react to somebody else's
story? So it's a, in other words, this wasn't news a minute ago and we didn't feel.
But now that the news is out there, all of a sudden things are baked into the stock price.
So is it worth it for us to negate somebody else's story just to have the stock price come down?
You know, sometimes the answer to that is yes.
And sometimes the answer to that is a yes. And sometimes the answer to that is no, and just let it be and sort of let the fact that Bloomberg didn't match the story
speak on its own as look, you know, we weren't able to confirm this. So we're not really in
the business of slamming other people's erroneous reports. But sometimes, it is sort of necessary
to do that if the market has moved one way or another.
Right. And it's interesting that your incentives are kind of the opposite. I mean,
a lot of publications these days, the incentives are around page views and their CPMs. And what they want to do is make something seem splashier than it is so they get more attention. And for
you guys, you don't want to be the boy that cried wolf and you
have a responsibility to your paying customers to deliver them what you believe is the most
accurate representation of the news.
So you actually have an incentive not to downplay things, but certainly to play them
accurately.
And if others are overplaying them, then you might be incentivized to give your customers
the kind of edge by making
sure to downplay it just to negate the overhyping. Yeah, absolutely. Which actually, I think,
makes this place sort of a good place to work because you don't get caught in that game. You
can sort of feel good about yourself when you go home at night that your sole obligation is to just
be as right as possible. Yeah, your incentives are aligned with the truth.
Absolutely.
And that helps a lot when we cover M&A because I am reliant on people
that are directly involved in these transactions
to give me the information to put out these stories.
In other words, we can hear all sorts of information
from indirect sources.
Maybe they're bankers that aren't working on a deal or maybe they're rival executives or maybe they're ex-board members or maybe they're friends of an executive or maybe they're traders who have a financial incentive on their own.
Well, none of those sources are good enough for us to publish something on because they're not direct. So when Bloomberg runs a
story, as someone who reads it, you can be certain of the fact that this is not indirect information.
You know, there have been a number of cases where I have put out a story and it's happened to be,
you know, the day before earnings or something like that. There was a big,
there was a company called Synaptics, which is based in California. And it was a takeover target for a
Chinese conglomerate for about nine months. And I put out a series of stories basically that said,
you know, the Chinese conglomerate is interested. They're interested in this price.
They've done due diligence. They've lowered it to this price. They're still in talks.
And then eventually the thing died. And it was a whole lifecycle story of interested, lowered price, thing over.
There were like four stories all along the way.
And I was the only one that reported it.
For whatever reason, no one matched this story.
But I knew who my sources were.
And they're directly, intimately involved in the process.
So from both sides, not just one side.
So no one has an incentive to lie
here. And that also should be pointed out that we have to get both sides sourcing in order to run a
story to be comfortable with the fact that it's right. So everyone is given a chance to sort of
weigh in here before we publish things. So I got a number of emails from traders saying,
you know, you're being played.
You're being manipulated here.
No one else is matching these stories.
Someone is playing you to manipulate the stock and make money off it.
But, of course, I know who's doing this.
And, I mean, there's no way.
We'd all go to jail.
And it's just not their job to do that.
So, you know, it's one of those things that I sort of have to explain to people.
Like, no, you don't understand the way Bloomberg sourcing is done. I'm not getting
this information from traders. It doesn't work that way. Yeah. Is that so across the industry,
this is a great transition. The kind of other thing we wanted to talk about, one of the several
things we wanted to talk about is what are the nuts and bolts of how this works? So is that
standard across the industry or is that unique to Bloomberg that you need? And is it for you to feel
comfortable going with a story that you have direct sources from both sides of a deal? Is
that your standard and is that standard across the industry?
So this can be, in general, that is the standard.
There can be exceptions if we know something is really in a hot pursuit and we know The Wall Street Journal is chasing it and we know The Financial Times is chasing it. There are certain times where if we are so certain of one side of the source, let's say it's the CEO of a company that we've gotten to tell us something
on background. All this stuff, by the way, it's never on the record. It's all anonymously sourced.
So the whole job is based on relationships with people. So if we have an existing relationship
with the CEO or the chairman of the board of a company, and they've told us something,
at that point, what we'll probably do is we still will reach out to the other side to say we're running this. But we may only give them a very short amount of time to sort of get back to us before we say, right, like at least give them the chance. They didn't wave us off the story. We know our other source is so strong here that we'll go with it. And in those cases, you will see some stories that we
run attributed to just a person familiar with the matter. But everything else will be attributed to
people familiar with the matter. And by and large, that means that people on both sides have weighed
in. That means both sides. Interesting. Wow. That's so that's so cool i had no idea and these are the
words that you know i mean we read like we read a lot of these articles given what we do on this
show and um i think the bad probably if you're not in the industry that like eyes just gloss
right over that like what does that mean like but but coded in that language are these indications about what the genesis of the story
is. So I'll give you a little bit more. So there's a lot of inside baseball things that you would
never know to look for unless you're talking to a reporter. You can sometimes glean where the
information is coming from based on who the reporter is. So people that cover M&A, you have to look up what
these people do and what their jobs are. So on a given story, there may be three bylines.
The first byline is typically where the main information has come from. Almost all major
news organizations does this. So the person with the first byline usually has gotten the critical
or maybe the first piece of information to kick off a scoop.
This is based purely on fresh news, scoops.
Well, sometimes on a deal, reporter number one is, let's say, the activist investor reporter.
So you know that the information came from the activist because otherwise that person
wouldn't be on the story. In other cases, maybe the first byline is, let's say, you know, Verizon just bought Yahoo.
Well, we have a different Verizon reporter than a Yahoo reporter.
Same with the Wall Street Journal.
Same with Reuters.
Take a look at who the first byline is.
If the first byline is the Yahoo reporter, then the main information came from Yahoo or someone
involved with Yahoo. So then maybe the last byline is the Verizon reporter. Then you could say,
all right, well, then that person probably just called Verizon to check up on that the information
from the Yahoo side was right. So you can sort of figure out where the information came from.
It's not always a leak though, which is very important, I think, for people. We're not talking about strategic leaks all the time. And we actually talk about this.
If you go to episode seven of my Deal of the Week podcast, I talk about this with the other two M&A
reporters at Bloomberg. A lot of the information simply comes from, you know, what I would say to
some degree is coincidence, which is I have been trying to get a meeting with a person for weeks or months.
And finally, this person has said yes.
And so I have lunch or coffee with them.
And I'm able to ask the right questions to the right person and get information.
And then I come back to the office.
Well, maybe it's 7 at night at that point.
And we made a decision at Bloomberg.
This story is not so important that it needs to go out at 7 at night.
We'll put it out tomorrow.
So then the story goes out tomorrow.
But, like, you know, I had to have some sort of, you know, parent-teacher conference with my kid in the morning.
So the story eventually goes out at, like, 3 o'clock in the afternoon.
Well, there's no strategy to that.
But I think a lot of people read in.
And, in fact, you see it all the time on Twitter after stories I've broken. Why did this story come out when it did? Like there's way less into that than you think almost all the time. Like the story went out when it did because like I got around to writing it when I did and I met with the right person at the right time. I would say 80% of the stories fall into that bucket and 20% of the stories fall into there's some sort of reason for why the story is going out right now.
Interesting.
Do the – from your perspective generally, do the players in the stories understand all of this coded language as well?
Like let's take Yahoo Verizon, for example,
which I know you spent a ton of time on that story.
Byline comes out on one of the pieces of information,
and let's say it's a critical story,
and the Verizon reporter is first in the byline.
Do people at Yahoo then understand that means that,
okay, this information is probably coming from Verizon?
Or is this kind of the backroom baseball?
So it depends on who at Yahoo you're talking about.
So your general CEO or CFO or board member
has no idea, by and large.
So they rely on their own internal media relations.
Or in the case of an M&A deal, they actually hire outside PR firms.
And these people absolutely know.
In fact, many of them are former journalists.
So they are hired specifically to help companies figure out, A, where the information is coming from, and then B, to
sort of craft the story and to work with reporters.
So all the M&A reporters know the major external PR firms that are hired on deals very well.
We speak to them all the time.
So the companies are called – there's one that's called Brunswick.
There's one that's called Saad Verbinnen.
There's one that's called Joelle Frank.
There's one that's called Abernathy McGregor. There's a handful of other ones, but those are
the major ones that are hired specifically to deal with M&A transactions. So when one company
decides it's going to sell itself or is engaged in a sales process, they then hire one of these
external firms. And sort of the PR at that point is then pushed in their direction. So in many cases, you actually stop dealing with the company directly.
And then you sort of start dealing with the PR firm.
So for instance, in Yahoo's case, Yahoo had a preexisting relationship with Brunswick.
But a lot of the communication, trying to figure out if stuff was right or not, ends up going through Brunswick rather than Yahoo. The Yahoo internal PR system also is still a method
of getting at what information is right and wrong. And they were certainly still involved
in that process. But it really does depend on how sophisticated the company is,
whether or not they keep the PR internally or sort of hand it off externally.
That's really interesting. It sort of leads me to start thinking about your week and your day.
How do you decide what you're going to chase down and when you're going to do sort of long lead things where you should be aggressively trying to get this lunch or this coffee set up?
And how do you decide, hey, this is the panic button? And then in terms of amount of media created, like how many stories do you write a week? You do one
podcast a week. What's the total amount of media that you create? So on a given week, I'd say I
probably write two to three stories on average. There's certainly no quota for that. In terms of
what I'm focusing on, I have a chase list that I keep for myself that
is built on sort of a running list of tips that I've gotten from everyone I speak with.
So that runs the gamut of company executives, company corporate development type people,
bankers, lawyers, board members, consultants that are hired by some of these
companies, private equity firms, PR people. I'm sure there's a few other people that are in there
in that mix at all. But those are the general people that I'm meeting with that are at the
level that they'd actually know sort of what's going on. That's sort of my rotating cast of
characters that I'm meeting with on a given day. Then when I have to sort of narrow in on something, so, you know,
sometimes these sales processes I'm coming up with purely out of the blue. And so, you know,
nothing had been reported on this. And then suddenly I'm able to break a story and now
there's a whole circus around it. So one of the stories I broke was Verizon was actually – had started talks and was interested in buying AOL.
So this was before the Yahoo thing.
So that was a story that sort of – there was no narrative around that.
And then my colleague Scott Moritz and I broke that story.
And now all of a sudden it's sort of out there.
So now everyone is chasing it.
For the Yahoo story, Yahoo eventually decided like they would go public with that and sort of admitted that they were
going to sell the company. So then the whole world is on the Yahoo story. So it then becomes
very high profile for me to your question about what to chase. Because now I know that that is
going to be a really competitive story. And I know that Yahoo is a big enough company that
everybody's going to care about that. So I'm going to pay more attention to
breaking a Yahoo story than any of the sort of, you know, deals of lesser significance,
either by name recognition or by size that may come along that's still sort of technically under
my umbrella beat of all technology, media and telecom companies, which is my beat at Bloomberg.
So, you know, I may let
a $3 or $4 billion deal pass without really chasing it if I'm close to breaking some news,
even if it's just incremental news on Yahoo, because I know it's going to get a lot more
readership and it's going to get a lot more attention both internally and externally.
Now, beyond name recognition, the other general metric I use is size.
So I'm trying to, at Bloomberg, we sort of pride ourselves on breaking the biggest deals.
So if I can break a $15 billion deal, that's going to be a lot more important to me than
breaking a $1 billion deal. And really, we don't even pay attention to deals that are under $1
billion unless they come with some big name recognition.
So maybe a company used to be worth a lot more, and now they aren't anymore.
Or for some other reason, a lot of people happen to know this company because they're consumer-facing or whatever it may be.
So you're saying if we've got some small M&A that we want to sweep under the rug, just wait until Verizon is going to pull an acquisition and then do it then?
Yes, exactly. That's exactly what I'm saying.
Getting buried. Yeah. Wait until Verizon's going to do an acquisition on a Friday and then do it on a Friday. Take it out with the trash. Right. So this leads to a point that David and I had
been talking about since kind of a couple of years ago before we
were doing Acquired. And we were thinking about, you know, if we were going to do a podcast,
maybe this would be an interesting area to go after because it sure seems like nobody talks
about these deals after they're done. People talk about them when they're announced. People talk
about them when they close. But there's never this this retrospective or like, did that actually go well
or trying to understand what trends can we extrapolate from these deals that have gone well
and hence us starting this podcast. Why is that in your opinion? Why do we not see this sort of
coverage later on beyond just the fact that, you know, that information is less actionable at that point?
So one of the reasons is it's much harder.
It's much harder to write a good comprehensive story on that.
And it would necessarily be sort of a feature-y type story because you really have to dig in and sort of start at the beginning.
Look, you guys do a good job of it on this podcast.
But from a reporter's standpoint, we need to decide, do I want to spend the work on sort of figuring out exactly how good this acquisition was from a culture standpoint, from have to go back, I have to figure out sort of exactly how this acquisition may have
been profitable or unprofitable. A lot of times the numbers are masked because once a big company
buys a little company, they don't necessarily need to break out all of the numbers that used to be
publicly available when that first company was public.
We joke on this show, that's why we love lawsuits.
Right. Exactly.
Because we get to dig into them.
Exactly. The numbers all of a sudden become public or other things that were hidden, for sure.
But, I mean, the biggest reason is what you said, that it's not actionable. The main reason is that
my incentive here, particularly at Bloomberg, is to move markets. I mean, it's not actionable. The main reason is that my incentive here, particularly at Bloomberg,
is to move markets. I mean, it's something that is very well known here. Like the goal
is to provide value to a Bloomberg subscriber that's trading on information. So at Bloomberg,
it's very cut and dry, which is like, if you have the time, you know, 80% of your day should be
trying to break news on live deals.
And the other 20%, I mean, these are just made up numbers, but I'm saying whatever.
The other 20% is sort of your own time.
So if I wanted to write a story like that.
It's your Google time.
Right.
It's Google time.
Exactly.
That's right.
It's free project, Google X or whatever they call it at Google.
So then it's up to me on what to do.
So, look, we are – this isn't quite what you guys do in the podcast,
but we did decide as a team that we're going to take on a project for next year
where we do oral histories of certain deals.
So that's something you can expect for Bloomberg.
So we will go back in time and talk to the people that were involved, let's say, 10 years ago.
I think we're going to try to do them around like acquisitions or anniversaries of acquisitions.
So we're going to go back and talk to the people that were involved and ask them why they did this, what they were thinking at the time.
It won't really be a look at sort of how successful or unsuccessful the acquisition was.
So that's not quite what you're getting at.
Those really, you know, are sort of what I read in Harvard case studies, typically,
Harvard Business School case studies at business school. So for people that have actually gone to
business school, I think you do see that a lot of the time. But those are not, you know, publicly
available in general for people. So you really don't see that very much. So one of the reasons, yeah, is it's not actionable. And the other reason is that
it's just sort of hard to do it, given the fact that you have mandates to do other things.
Yeah, it's a little bit like, it's, it's like, you know, getting news on Facebook versus,
you know, reading articles on Medium or something like that, or, you know, or, uh, or, you know, or long reads.com or something like, you know, it's the, um, you want the dopamine, like the,
the dopamine hits of, and which for you guys is moving markets. And for the news industry, like
there's a lot more, um, in aggregate, there is a lot more dollars and value and buzz in that than
there is on the, you know, the heart of going back and
eating, you know, like a whole plate full of vegetables. I do think that another part of it
is that the general public really just wants to know the headline information. So, you know,
what company is buying what company and how much is it? And then like they sort of move on. So that's how the news – I mean all the news cycle works like that in all forms and fashions of life.
What's the headline news?
Okay, I got it.
We'll just move on.
That's sort of what our culture is like now.
So even in what you're talking about, which is like was an acquisition successful or not, you know, almost all I want to know, it can be sort of told on a gut level.
So like have I read how successful
Facebook buying Instagram was? No. Do I know that Facebook buying Instagram was really successful?
Yeah, I do. I'd like to know maybe how successful it was, but once I know how much money Facebook
gained from Instagram, which would require some analysis, that's about all I need to know.
I don't really need to read the sort of the why behind that. People that are
really involved in this stuff and do it for a living, I'm sure would. But, you know, then all
of a sudden now you're dealing with sort of a new form of media, which is like, all right, well,
if I'm only writing something to the people that are really involved in this, now I'm almost
working for a trade publication rather than the Wall Street Journal or Bloomberg. So I'm going to write something that's really focused on from an audience
perspective about who I'm writing for. Yeah. I mean, that's something we think about with this
show all the time. David and I have looked at our numbers. We probably had three sort of check-ins
since we started the show trying to figure out, okay, what's the future of this thing? You know,
this is like a side project for both of us. And, you know, you start looking around at other
technology podcasts like, whoa, how big could it get?
But you're right.
It's super niche.
It's this thing that it's people that are in the M&A world or in startups and hope to
one day be in the M&A world.
And that's got a ceiling.
And I think you talking about the fact that it kind of fits under that moniker of trade
publication is the best way to succinctly put it that I've heard yet.
It's something that I think about too for my podcast, which is – I mean it's an M&A podcast.
So I think to myself like, all right, well, people that have some sort of demonstrated interest in M&A, which pretty much means you work in the business will listen to this.
And how do I get out of that box?
How do I grow an audience for my podcast too? So just this
past week's episode is Rob Kindler, who's the head of M&A at Morgan Stanley, global head of M&A,
and his brother is a standup comedian, Andy Kindler. So I had them both on the show.
So I'm trying to figure out ways myself of like, all right, well, maybe Andy Kindler fans will
listen to this thing. And it's not just the M&A crowd. And like, I've got to think to myself, how do I grow the audience
here so that it's not just sort of the standard fare of people that work, you know, and sort of
live and breathe this industry? Well, I can tell you that I think your idea to do the what you and
the team have decided to do with kind of more of the feature piece around
anniversaries, just looking at what people have told us about this show has a lot of merit.
Because when we do certain episodes, for example, the Snapchat and Facebook
acquisition that wasn't episode, that has a tremendous backstory. And there's drama.
And listening to David run through the acquisition history and facts there
is enjoyable in its own right, just as a form of entertainment. So I think that
there have been a few instances where we had a more dramatic history reading there. And
that is something that we continually have people tell us, you know, I actually am not that
interested in M&A. But I listened to that episode specifically, because my friend told me it was
interesting. And I loved hearing that story. Yeah, that is absolutely something we found on and been spot on on this show. And
our listeners can tell us, you know, if you disagree, but I doubt you will. Like people
listen to us for the stories, you know, and that's like that's what's so interesting that
we found is this difference between, you know, news versus stories versus analysis and getting
that balance right. You know, obviously our listener base and potential listener base is much smaller than
Bloomberg's.
But I find it fascinating, like how those three pillars of what's going on, you know,
vary by medium.
Yeah, my idea for the, or I don't know if I should give this away because like my competitors
at the Wall Street Journal are listening, they'll take the idea.
But I'll at least tease you guys that it's sort of what you're hinting at
where there is sort of an anniversary coming up of a counterfactual,
a deal that did not happen.
So that's sort of what the oral history that I'm thinking of doing
is to talk to the people that were involved
and sort of why it didn't happen
and like what the world would have looked like if it did.
Oh, so cool.
Yeah.
Well, that's what – I mean, I think thus far,
our latest episode on Android is probably on track to eclipse this,
but I think our most popular episode is Snapchat.
It's neck to neck with LinkedIn because we did that one.
Like that was the first time that, you know,
not that we were anywhere close to breaking news there,
but it was still at the top of the news cycle when we released that episode.
So I think it was a lot of people asking their friends, what do you think of this LinkedIn
thing? And we had already put up an episode. So, people would say, you really should listen to that
at this podcast episode to hear about it. But that was like a spike when it was relevant in the news.
But Snapchat just keeps getting tons of downloads. And I think it's because of this, like, oh,
it's this anti-history, you know, like what the world could have been if Snapchat were part of Facebook.
Yeah.
Also, I think a lot of people are simply just fascinated with Snapchat.
I know I am in part because, I mean, I'm 34 years old and, like, I can't figure out how to use Snapchat.
Like, so it's the first, like, company that has a product where I'm like, I am aged out of this at this point.
Like, I don't know what this thing is.
It's depressing.
It's really not intuitive to me.
I don't fully understand why it's popular.
That said, I do see sort of a Snapchat model here where I feel like other companies are –
we're all sort of moving towards something.
I just actually – we just met with the whole executive team at Line, the Japanese company that does its messenger service.
And they were sort of explaining to us how in Japan, Line and some other companies have sort of taken the path of having your whole ecosystem done through its platform. So online,
you know, you can order a cab through Line. You basically, yeah, you order your meals through
Line. So all of these other independent apps in this country are sort of housed within one ecosystem
with Line. And you can see Snapchat developing into that. Certainly, Facebook is
trying. But Facebook Messenger is still sort of very much independent of Facebook and sort of
your core Facebook, your newsfeed, your pictures. It's not quite all lined up in the same sort of
bubble ecosystem. Obviously, I think even the new iOS 10 for Apple, you're sort of seeing things
move in this direction a little bit.
But, you know, there's an app store baked into iMessages.
Exactly.
Exactly.
So, you know, I think Snapchat has it right where they've realized, oh, this sort of,
you know, housing form of chat and general communication can also be used to do other
things.
One of the questions we were going to ask you is, you know, a section we always do on
the show is tech trends and, you know, what this deal represents and tech trends. And I think that's a perfect one of, you know, that we were going to ask you, like, what tech trends do you see, you know, covering the landscape that are coming? And absolutely, how messaging, like, you can look to Asia and see how messaging has evolved into this operating system there.
And then the question, I think, is, like, is and if so, when will that start to be the reality, you know, in the U.S. as well?
Major wave that's happening in Asia, and the question is, is that coming here to the U.S.
too?
I'm curious to hear your thoughts on this one, because here's a tech trend that has not happened yet, but I'm, I want, so before I was
an M&A reporter at Bloomberg, I covered media for three years. And then I transitioned into this
role of covering all technology, media, and telecom. Covering media at a media organization
is like the ultimate neighbor. For sure. Absolutely. Totally right. Look, you're around a
lot of people that sort of came from organizations that you're covering from too.
So it's sort of like, you know, oh, like I need like a time ink source.
Like, well, I just walk three rows down.
And like that guy used to be the managing editor at time.
That type of thing.
So here's my question to you. We have seen the way a lot of consumerish media tech companies are valued for years now has been based on users, whether it's MAUs or some other form of just user growth.
That has been the main way that a lot of these media-ish companies have been valued.
But at some point, and we're already seeing it with some, like let's say
Twitter, the growth stalls. But there's still value to these products. But the way Wall Street
has valued them, basically, there just seems to be a cap. And then they may turn into sort of
zombie-like companies because the user growth isn't there and they're not making any money.
So what's the way out? Well, right now, the answer seems to be like they just
sort of give up or sell. But I wonder if one day we see some of these user, these media,
tech media companies that have always been based on users, if they can somehow formulate a new way
of generating revenue through some degree of subscription, which we have not seen. So,
you know, Twitter has never thrown out a subscription fee. Certainly Facebook hasn't,
and they've never wanted to because the way Wall Street has valued them, that would actually be
sort of anathema to what they're going for. But, you know, at one point, but we have seen
among more traditional media companies that have gone online, they have transitioned to something that you would call a subscription model, which is the paywall.
So you now have to subscribe to The New York Times or subscribe to The Wall Street Journal.
So is it just a matter of time before this sort of traditional media that has gone online meets the new media that has not done this?
And do we see some of these older new media
companies go subscription? Well, Alex, I think you're forgetting about the vibrant community
over at app.net, the subscription only Twitter. That is a blast from the past, man. Yeah, right. So I look at this as a...
I think the reason why there is a little bit of success
with paywalls at publications
and why I think that would be the nail in the coffin
for any form of new media that involves...
Let's call it social media,
is that traditional media doesn't require network effects.
And let's say Twitter,
for example, absolutely does. And as soon as people are, you know, my sources are no longer
on Twitter, like the people that I want to be following because they decided not to subscribe,
it's less valuable for me. And then I don't get that content. So I'm incentivized not to subscribe.
And I think that there's this like unidirectional value creation that happens from traditional media companies to their readers. And there's this like massively bidirectional interconnected web on social media where if people start falling out of the ecosystem, you know, then everybody else is less incentivized to pay also. Isn't it possible though that some of these systems become
so sticky and invaluable to our life that if you present people with the option of having to pay
some sort of really small micropayment, which you can then slowly move up over time, that people
wouldn't just drop out? If you had to pay a penny to stay on Facebook, would you do that?
That's a lot of pennies.
My whole life's on Facebook.
All my pictures are on Facebook.
Well, it's interesting.
WhatsApp took this approach that it was a dollar a year to use WhatsApp.
And free for the first year, crucially.
Free for the first year and then a dollar a year.
I think it's super interesting what you're saying.
Well, the cynic in me says, Alex, come on, that would require actual creativity.
And, you know, Silicon Valley is creative on the surface.
But, you know.
I mean, I think the more like the cynic in me says people don't pay for things.
And people especially don't pay for, well, I guess, just to say people don't pay for like and people especially don't pay for um well i guess just to
say people don't pay for like entertainment people don't pay for websites but well here's why i think
you could do it though but but of course they do pay for entertainment they pay for tv for instance
now i mean that's eroding a little bit but that's still like a hundred million people that pay for
tv in this country oh would they do a rev share like could you see twitter
influencers getting paid out a percentage of for producing the content yeah well ben no i mean the
crux of the point that ben's bringing up is um unlike a wall street journal or a bloomberg or
new york times um you know twitter and facebook don't pay their reporters to generate content it's it's
dependent on people being on the system or even like youtube yeah that's actually the the interesting
middle ground youtube does pay is youtube right so they they pay their high-end content creators
and they have a subscription service that's right red yeah yeah um but where i think this could work
i actually think bloomberg is could be a really interesting model here
that people haven't really tried in this area in tech. You guys, just like we were talking about
in the beginning of the show, you monetize the information and the meaning of what you do
and sell that as a very, very expensive subscription to people who care a lot about that.
And yet for Ben and me, we go to Bloomberg.com and get your news and read your reporting for free.
It would be super interesting. You know, Twitter especially, I think, could do that if they made
the right investments. Like what is the data that in aggregate is generated from Twitter,
from the fire hose, quote unquote,
that is very valuable to people?
You know, and it's interesting,
like there is clearly demand for this.
There are third party companies that do this.
There's Datasift.
There was the company Topsy that Apple bought.
And there are a few others.
But obviously as a third party,
like you're not going to be able to do that
anywhere near as well as Twitter itself could. There could be something where it's very purely additive for them to
actually pay for whatever it is that they're getting rather than sort of have them feel like
they're targeted to pay more money. Right. Does Bloomberg use paywalls at all?
We don't. We don't because we have the terminal. So we've decided that we're not. Now, again,
that is a discussion that I know
has happened here before, sort of the idea of should we use a paywall? So the decision so far
has been no, because we sort of have this built-in paywall in our system. But, you know,
one day, I suppose that could change.
Super. You're bringing me back here to my days at the journal and in media.
They're very happy memories in one regard, but on the other hand, business models of media are
tough. Look, we're talking about Twitter or social media in general. And one point that I do want to
make here, which again, it speaks to an issue that we have sidestepped,
but the issue still remains, which is as a reporter now, I no longer really, if I have a
reputation of being right, I actually don't really need Bloomberg's infrastructure anymore to move markets. So, I'll give you a real world example,
which is when Comcast acquired Time Warner Cable, I got that information at like 9.30 at night.
And I had it sourced. We were good. I knew I was 100 percent right.
But it was 9.30 at night and the Bloomberg infrastructure sort of among like my editors, like no one was at work.
They're all at home.
So I had to sort of figure out and I was also sort of new to this role.
So I had to figure out like how do I alert the right people here to get them all online so that they can approve my sources so that we can actually write this thing? And not only do the sources have to be approved,
but then I have to write four paragraphs, an editor needs to read those four paragraphs,
an editor then needs to queue up headlines. We need to make the decision to redhead,
as I talked about before, which of course that requires sort of a new level of authority.
So in the amount of
time that it took for me to figure out all of the different levers that needed to be pulled,
the right people to contact, the phone calls to be made that first weren't answered and then were,
in that amount of time, David Faber, who at CNBC got the news and just sent out a tweet.
And he broke the story on Twitter, which CNBC sort of allowed
him to do. Well, I had the story at least 42 minutes before he did because he just broke it
instantly. So, you know, it made me think like Twitter has sort of upended this. Like, I don't
need Bloomberg anymore. Like, I could have broke this thing on my own. But, you know.
That's got to be so frustrating. That's like as a venture capitalist when you miss investing and you pass on Facebook.
Right.
But of course I do need Bloomberg because they're paying my salary.
So I would have to be a real entrepreneur and be confident enough that like I could sort of start my own thing on my own and just sort of use my own channels.
You have the example, right, of Kara Swisher and Walt at Recode who have done this.
But still, they got acquired by Vox.
Well, exactly.
And they make their money in part through their conferences business.
The better example might be the information, which is Jessica Lessons, which charges.
So they are a subscription media model like we were talking about.
They charge several hundred dollars per year for their information.
And I don't know exactly how successful they've been at getting people to pay for their information.
But it's not sort of a slam dunk here. Obviously, Bloomberg has enough else going for it.
If you're listening to this, bosses, I'm not leaving.
What you can't have as an independent, though, and this is the ultimate tech trend for me,
is they don't have the redhead. They don't have the customer relationship and proprietary data channel to your customer, the financial
traders, or whoever the equivalent is in whatever industry.
If you control that, you can...
Well, but all you need is that to initially build the trust.
And now that Alex has that, if Alex were to tweet, I would suspect that he would be able
to move markets on his own.
This is why Twitter needs to build the redhead.
In fact, there was one time several years ago, I think it was a shutterfly being for sale,
although that might not be right.
But there was one instance several years ago where I thought that we had –
this actually changed Bloomberg's tweeting policies, this one mistake I made,
where I thought the story had gone out and tweeted something and actually front-run my own story.
And so it was a real-life test case where I did move markets.
My tweet was picked up by traders and the stock moved like 5% because I said Shutterfly had hired Catalyst to sell themselves or whoever it was.
And then we realized the story hadn't gone out.
We immediately pushed out the story at that point.
But, you know, there was like nine seconds of confusion there where I had basically beat my own story. Bloomberg reporters can't tweet out stories until the story has a link involved to it so that we're sure the story has gone out to the world.
Now, again, we've even amended that policy by now we have a link that only terminal subscribers can see so that we can tweet out with this link. And then you can, so the normal
web link doesn't go out still until 15 minutes after the fact, but we keep sort of coming up with
like, you know, little incremental amendments to this in order to sort of try to keep up with like
the general world of social media with this built in 15 15-minute difference. And I imagine that if I speak to you
next year or two years from now, the rules will have changed again. Wow. All right, listeners,
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One quick topic we wanted to cover before we move into follow-ups and carve-outs is
any advice you have. So many of our listeners work at startups, are entrepreneurs, are aspiring
entrepreneurs. And maybe this is earlier in the life cycle than where you play of companies but the press for
startups is like such a black box like if I'm a startup CEO or founder and I just have no idea
how you work I have no idea how to get in touch with you should I should I invest in building
relationships any thoughts from your end being on that side of the table of how entrepreneurs can best interact with you?
Well, you absolutely should try to build a relationship.
But the way you should try to build a relationship is to know what our job is.
And that very much depends on who you build a relationship with.
So certain outlets are going to cover startups much more closely than others.
So, you know, Bloomberg plays in sort of the big game land where, like, we're going to write a lot of stories about Uber.
But, like, we're not going to write any stories about your piddling, you know, million-dollar valuation startup at this point.
You're not covering Series A funding announcements.
No, no.
But, you know, TechCrunch is or, like, might be that's sort of covering that at that level. So, yes, build a relationship with a Bloomberg reporter. But don't expect us to sort of curry you favor and write about your startup that like nobody knows because we just don't do that here. Like it's just we don't have the audience for it. So know where we're coming from. It's not personal. It's just that like our editors are not going to allow us to write that story.
However, the day that you guys – all of a sudden you've put out a series B, series C, series D, and now like you're in almost unicorn territory or unicorn territory, then yeah, like it's good that you put in the time to make a relationship with the reporter because now that your company is big enough to write about, like now you're probably going to get a more favorable story because you've spent the time having some lunches and coffee and you've
built a relationship with the reporter and the reporter knows that he can go to you for access.
You have to remember where the reporter is coming from too. What we want is exclusive information.
That's what we want. This we want is exclusive information. That's
what we want. This happens all the time with smaller M&A deals with me that are sort of
pitched at me. And like if a deal sort of with two companies that like no one's really ever heard of,
and it's right on that billion dollar line, like we might cover it or we might not.
If you give us the information exclusively, if this is a Bloomberg scoop, we'll cover it. If you
wait and put out some sort of press release or you give it to somebody else first, like we're not going to cover it.
It doesn't give us any value.
So you need to figure out – and this is maybe the best piece of advice I can give to an entrepreneur that wants to build a relationship with the press.
Ask the reporter what matters to them and then figure out a way that you can give the reporter what
matters to them. So for Bloomberg, it's exclusive information. For somebody else, maybe it's,
you know, I don't know, a sit-down interview with the CEO or whatever it may be. But figure out what
it is that the reporter wants and whatever that is will be dictated by what the organization
finds meaningful. And then, you know, down the road, if you're able to sort of
cash in on that, then I think you'll get sort of the positive result you're looking for from the
press. Yeah. And it's probably always exclusive information, but it's what type of exclusive
information? For you, it's a deal. For another type of organization, it's a sit down interview.
That's so right, David. And that's, I think, the important part to make, which is in many ways you can sort of give out eight different scoops on the same story.
You know, just sort of piecemeal your information and give one person one piece of exclusive information and give another press outlet another piece of exclusive information.
And then, you know, Recode, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, The Financial Times, and Bloomberg
can all sort of say
that they had scoops.
And because you've sort of
divvied out the information,
you've now gotten
seven different stories
instead of one
with six others ignoring you.
Love it.
In VC, we call that a party round.
Right, exactly.
Yeah.
This has been
awesome.
I've had so much fun with this.
Like I said, reliving my old
glory days in
the media and tech press.
How long were you at the Journal, David?
I was there for just
a year, so a very
short stint.
I can't speak as any sort of expert, but it was a lot of fun.
I think I was the youngest person there by about 30 years.
Right. Naturally. Yes. So now you'd only be the youngest person by 25 years or whatever.
20 years. 20 years. Yeah, exactly.
A couple of quick follow-ups, and this will be having alex on the show here so we do um we have
three quick sections to wrap up the show one is follow-ups on things that have happened with with
deals we've covered um in past episodes uh two is hot takes which are any m&a deals that have
happened in the last couple weeks so we do a 30 seconds or less quick analysis of um and then
three is carve outs, which are fun,
unrelated items we talk about. But Alex is probably up on a lot of this stuff.
So feel free to chime in if you like, or Ben and I will lead. But any thoughts, please chime in.
First follow up we have is Instagram. Alex, you were joking about, you know,
yeah, Instagram is probably good. I have no idea how good it is.
The A plus of Instagram keeps on rolling.
It is our, on this show, Instagram is our benchmark for the best deal, the highest rated
deal that we have ever had on this show. So they announced this week that they now have,
we've talked in the past with follow-ups about user numbers.
Also going back to our conversation, Alex, that we just had on social media and aggregating users
and the value of users. They announced this week that they have 500,000, more than 500,000 active
advertisers. So separate advertisers, organizations buying ads on Instagram over 500,000.
That's up from 200,000 in February.
Yeah.
I mean, it's interesting because advertisers are where the revenue comes from.
So it's interesting to look at that.
But just by looking at the growth of that, I mean, it's been, what, eight months since
February?
Yeah.
And seeing Instagram's ad program is what, like two,
three years old now. So seeing like in eight months to grow that much, probably most thankfully
due to the fact that the advertiser portals are integrated. If you're going and you're an
advertiser that already is using Facebook, you check a box, upload some different assets and
boom, now you have an Instagram ad. They've really like, talk about synergies, they've really leveraged their
relationship and the tools that they have for Facebook advertisers to have a whole new, you
know, incredible growth channel there with Instagram. Yep. Next one. Next one we have real
quick is Amazon. Obviously, Amazon wasn't acquired, but has been an acquirer on several companies
we've talked about and reference a lot. Just today, share price hit 800 bucks a share.
Ben, you're trying to time the market on buying Amazon.
I can tell you, property values...
Not that we give investment advice on this show.
Yeah. Property values in Seattle are now at an all-time high. The Amazonification of Seattle is something really incredible to watch, and the economic growth in the region from this company starting right in the center of the city and kind of exploding outwards and is now in three or four separate neighborhoods overtaking downtown. We've talked a lot about their strategy before. I think
I couldn't be more bullish. I still am stupidly trying to time the market and wait for
investors to cool a little bit so I can get in, but I continue to say I should just buy in now.
And for the investors on the show, not advice, but if you are looking for a derivative way to
play the Amazon story, you should invest in Seattle real estate.
Hot take. We only have one this week. Real quick. A small deal, but interesting one,
relevant to our episode on ways and discussion of the future of automotive and transportation
and technology is Ford buying Chariot.
Yeah, this one's interesting to me. So Chariot is basically the public bus system, but better
and with fewer stops and subscription based. I believe it was only in San Francisco.
I believe it was only in San Francisco.
Yeah. And you pay, I think it's like a hundred bucks or something and you get access to
these great buses that pick you up at a...
Shuttles, yeah.
Yeah, yeah.
So as far as Ford breaking into this trend of service-based or subscription-based car ownership or self-driving cars,
transportation is changing in a lot of ways.
This doesn't like seem that
interesting to me like it seems like there was a lot more things they could have bought that
would have signaled to me oh they're they're doing something um you know really transformative and and
here i'm not totally sure what the play is yeah i'm not either it was a small deal but but uh
definitely you know we saw g GM by Cruise earlier this year.
Which, you know, Cruise, that game-changing, right? Like you drop this thing on the top of your car and it can become self-driving. Are you kidding me?
Bloomberg probably covered that deal. Probably not Chariot.
Yeah, we're obsessed with this sort of self-driving car. And, you know, that's why they, the sort of the, you know, we decided to redhead that Apple McLaren story, even when McLaren later
came out and denied it, which by the way, as sort of an aside topic, they didn't have to deny that.
So I was a little, I don't know why they publicly denied it because based on our sourcing,
they had at least had conversations with Apple. They phrased it, we're not in talks right now.
So I'm not really sure why they denied it rather than just stayed silent, but whatever,
I'm sure they had their own reasoning for doing that.
And it was interesting.
Did it positively affect them because the rumors seriously negatively affected Apple stock?
So, you know, you never know in these cases.
Like because it seriously negatively affected Apple stock, that may have been why they came out and denied it.
Apple may have gone to them and said, please do this. Apple, I can tell you from a reporter's standpoint,
is like sort of one of the few companies that acts as like the mafia.
I mean, the amount of fear that they put into other –
I heavily covered when Apple was seriously considering
coming out with their own TV product back in, I want to say, 2013, 2014.
And they were in – I was covering media then.
So they were in discussions with Comcast and Time Warner Cable
and other companies to potentially figure out
if they wanted to sort of own the programming themselves
or just sort of be like a partner with the cable companies
and use their programming.
And it was so difficult to a partner with the cable companies and use their programming.
And it was so difficult to get information from the media companies because they basically said like Apple told us not to say anything.
And you just – that was – I had never heard that from any other company
that the company had done business with.
Like Apple is not your boss.
Exactly.
They were free to talk about every other company they did business with but Apple.
But it was like, no, no, no.
Like we can't – I think Steve Jobs was still alive then with but Apple. But it was like, no, no, no.
I think Steve Jobs was still alive then too.
So like maybe it was a Steve Jobs thing.
Katie Cotton was their head of PR and apparently, you know, it was much, much tighter back in that era than nowadays.
I'll throw in one more hot take for you guys, which is just I'm curious to see what happens with the Yahoo sale to Verizon now that Yahoo has said that 500 million of their users were breached in this big data breach
from whatever sort of state-sponsored hacker hacked into their system back in 2014.
I don't know if this will have any sort of repercussion on the Verizon deal,
but already you're starting to hear sort of outsider speculation that if this does turn out to be a big deal, maybe Verizon would push to try to alter the price of the deal.
So I don't know.
A lot of that stuff will certainly come out in the next days, weeks, months.
Interesting. Do you know if that's precedented to alter the price
based on something like this or any event in general?
It definitely has the potential to be materially adverse,
which I presume all the contracts.
In another form of life, I was an investment banker.
And yeah, all the merger agreements and stuff
until closed will have uh that's right contingencies
and max material adverse uh clauses that's right i think this would definitely fall into that
yeah i don't know enough to speculate but um but that you know if if the breach is as bad as it
sounds like it could be um you know i mean you, it wasn't that long ago that the Sony hack happened
and like the amount of value destroyed at that company and costs they had to incur is
definitely material.
Right.
So who knows?
This apparently happened in 2014 and like, I don't know what has been done with it since.
So like maybe that would suggest that it's not that material, but I don't know.
Obviously Verizon is going to want to look into the details of this. So that might be something to keep an eye
out on. We will be on the case when it does. All right, carve-outs. Ben, what you got?
So my carve-out, carve-outs for new listeners is a thing that we do that is a book or a piece
of media that we've consumed that may or may not be related to the topic of this podcast.
And a lot of times I'll give an article or something that gave me pause and was something
I liked reflecting on or might be more philosophical or any of those things.
This time I'm going kind of totally out there. There's a little recap video from Burning Man on Vimeo by user Phil of Drones. And it is one of the most
just beautiful visual captures of any real life event I've ever seen. It's a ton of drone footage.
It's a lot of like maybe Steadicam footage, but it's just this really tremendously beautiful uh recap of of burning
man this year and um burning man i think it gets bigger and bigger every year and more and more
technology arrives there every year so you know 10 years ago it was something that you'd hear about
you wouldn't really get what it was and you couldn't really get much about it and now you
know people are still grappling with like what the heck is this thing if you've never been, which, you know, I, for the record, I've never been. But now the amount
of media coming out of this where we're seeing people's just like incredible creations is super
cool. So we're going to drop the link in the show notes. It's Burning Man 2016 by Phil of drones on
Vimeo. Go check it out. It's a super cool way to spend five minutes.
Super cool.
Mine is a quick one this week.
New book that came out recently that I read
called Algorithms to Live By
by Brian Christian and Tom Griffiths.
This is a super fun book, quick read.
It's about fundamental computer science algorithms like,
um, searching and sorting and scheduling and optimal stopping, um, that you learn about in,
uh, you know, your intro CS classes in college or in high school. Um, but then about like what
those algorithms are for like lay people who aren't, uh, CS folks, um, but how to apply them
to your life. And it's super cool.
It's like, how do you sort your closet
based on optimal sorting algorithms
to how should you handle your email
based on scheduling algorithms
to all sorts of stuff?
How should you decide
when you found the right person to marry
based on optimal stopping problems?
It's very techie, but written from a humanities perspective. So I enjoyed it quite a bit.
I think I've got one. I wish I had the time to read books now. I have two kids under three. So
like those days are, I assume they'll come back. You need optimization algorithms.
Right, exactly. That's what I need. Raising children in linear time.
But I'll give you one because I thought it was very interesting, which is Ross Douthat wrote a column, an op-ed column for The New York Times talking about – the headline was Clinton's Samantha Bee Problem. late-night talk show hosts have sort of vehemently swung to the left in this particular election.
So now, you know, you have – whereas even four years ago in sort of the Letterman-Leno
late-night world, you know, these guys were Letterman, I guess, sort of tilted left.
Leno was very middle of the road. But you just,
other than maybe Jon Stewart occasionally, and even Jon Stewart would sort of pad his criticism
of the right by saying, hey, look, I'm a comedian first, and this is a fake news show.
You're no longer seeing that. You're seeing John Oliver and Samantha Bee and Seth Meyers and
Trevor Noah and a lot of these sort of late night characters really swing hard to the left and
basically, you know, call out Donald Trump and Donald Trump supporters of, you know, as being
bigoted and racist. And there's no sort of middle ground here.
And yet he says – he juxtaposed this to the general public where there's still a huge percentage of this country that votes Republican. late night TV and sort of your maybe random averagely – average picked American that
maybe is an independent or a centrist or a republican.
And there's no real outlet on the late night spectrum for this.
And what he makes of this is sort of like – basically he likens it to what we saw
in the 60s and 70s where the culture really dramatically shifted leftward.
And yet we had Nixon and then in 1980, we had Reagan. And so there was this sort of mismatch
between the culture and the politics. And so he's sort of hinting at, are we going to see this again
if Trump is elected where just the sort of your general entertainment culture is really out of whack with your general politics in this country.
So interesting read, I thought.
It got a lot of criticism on Twitter, but I didn't think it was particularly deserved.
Huh.
Huh.
Well, I definitely have to read it.
Yeah, me too. Um, there's a, no matter what you think about this election,
it has been a bonanza for the media industry covering it. Um, all right.
Well, well, Alex, where can our listeners find you? Um, from your podcast, your Twitter,
where do you want to send them?
Yeah. Um, so, uh, the podcast is called Deal of the Week. It's available on iTunes
or you can find it on Bloomberg.com. And you can find me on Twitter at Sherman4949.
I typically will tweet out the podcast. It's once a week. The episodes are about 25, 30 minutes.
So feel free to subscribe on iTunes. We want to thank our longtime friend of the show,
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Yeah. And most importantly, thank you to Alex. This has been a huge treat for us and a lot of fun.
We'd love to do it again sometime, cover more aspects. But thanks so much for taking your time to be on our show. My pleasure. Love doing it.