Acquired - Spotify CEO Daniel Ek
Episode Date: May 18, 2023We sit down with Spotify CEO Daniel Ek live in Stockholm at Spotify’s amazing HQ studio (check out the video version of this episode — which plays natively on Spotify!). This was an incre...dibly special and timely conversation: for those who haven’t been paying attention over the past few years, after revolutionizing music Spotify has now ALSO completely transformed our own industry in podcasting. Starting from way behind with ~zero market share in 2018, Spotify has now aggregated the listener market and amazingly surpassed Apple as the world’s largest podcast platform — including close to home with the Acquired audience, where it has 60%+ market share among you all!We discuss the origins of this “second act” strategy with Daniel, the vision to move from a music company to an audio company, and what’s coming next with Spotify’s entry into Audiobooks. And of course we relive some key moments from the Acquired canon that Daniel was involved in, including his pivotal conversations with Taylor Swift and her team convincing her to come back to streaming following the release of 1984. Tune in!LinksFollow Daniel on TwitterSponsors:ServiceNow: https://bit.ly/acqsnaiagentsHuntress: https://bit.ly/acqhuntressVanta: https://bit.ly/acquiredvantaMore Acquired!:Get email updates with hints on next episode and follow-ups from recent episodesJoin the SlackSubscribe to ACQ2Merch Store!Note: Acquired hosts and guests may hold assets discussed in this episode. This podcast is not investment advice, and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. You should do your own research and make your own independent decisions when considering any financial transactions.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
It is impossible to flawlessly execute a podcast of this style.
Yeah.
And that's the beauty of it.
You come up with a bunch of stuff you want to talk about, and then you end up having
a real organic conversation, and then it turns into a product, and that product is totally
different than what you envisioned in your head, but can still be great.
But I think the amazing thing is, unlike you talking to a journalist, et cetera, it's
truly a conversation one. And the second part is there's enough time to actually elaborate on the thought and the
idea.
Whereas you have to be so succinct in how you express your idea and truly get it across
in 30 seconds or like you lose the moment and the journalists want to move on.
Brian Chesky is an example.
He's like the master on it.
He just switches it on and
he's like so good. For some reason, he and I always end up getting on the same panels and I'm like,
it's game over even before it started. You're going to have all the great stuff. Welcome to this episode of Acquired, the podcast about great technology companies and the stories
and playbooks behind them. I'm Ben Gilbert. I'm David Rosenthal. And we are your hosts.
This episode, we sit down with Daniel Ek, the man who saved the music industry
after Napster and the piracy era killed the CD business.
Some of the stats are mind-boggling.
Spotify has paid $40 billion to artists over their lifetime.
They're now the single largest source of revenue
for the entire music industry.
That's crazy.
Spotify also has over 500 million monthly active listeners, over 200 million of which are paid subscribers. Both of each other over the years. And two, we're going to
dive into the current moment that Spotify is in. They've entered podcasting in a huge way that has
not only changed the experience for consumers, but Spotify's business and their future as a company,
which is, of course, very interesting to David and I as Acquired's growth has really exploded
on Spotify. Totally. As I think we referenced early on in our conversation
with Daniel, over 60% of Acquired's audience is now on Spotify, which is up from basically zero
four years ago. It's wild. In fact, we were so interested in having this conversation that when
Spotify asked if we wanted to fly to Stockholm and record in person with Daniel in the Spotify
studio, we jumped at the chance. Daniel also foreshadowed some of what's
to come with the cousin of podcasting, audiobooks. We can't wait to hear what you think. Come discuss
it after you listen to this episode in the Acquired Slack, acquired.fm slash slack. You
should subscribe to our interview show, our second show, ACQ2. You can find it in any podcast player,
and we've had some killer back-to-back discussions with the CEOs of Retool and AngelList, both about AI.
Now, without further ado, this show is not investment advice.
David, myself, and our guest may have investments or many shares in the companies that we discuss, and this show is for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Now on to our conversation with Daniel Ek.
We wanted to start with, like, something kind of incredible has happened in podcasting.
If you look at January 1st, 2019, we had less than a thousand listeners on Spotify.
Yeah, crazy. And now it's by far the majority of our listeners.
And unless you're us and you're looking at the data all the time or other podcasters,
I think it's easy to underestimate how seismic of a shift has
happened in the podcasting ecosystem since you guys dove in. And I just wanted to sort of acquired
style, go to a moment in time and say, how did that happen? And how did you guys decide to become
an audio company instead of a music company? I like to say that there was probably this
genius insight at some point in moment, but that's certainly not in the case of Spotify true. It is often quite serendipitous. And for a long time, you know, I was kind of finding the urge on this, but we were oftentimes trying to not think of ourselves as the users and customers. Because once you got to kind of 100 million users, you're kind of like, well, obviously
I shouldn't be the target demo.
I need to kind of listen to what the actual users are telling me.
And there's some part that's true with that.
But then more and more what I've realized is also that actually internally, we probably
have the best sounding board of a quite representative Spotify user and what they might like.
And so one of my favorite topics is how often people game our platform.
For instance, in Germany, unbeknownst to us, but one of the sort of crazy things that ended
up happening was just people started uploading audiobooks because it turns out that these
music labels actually own a bunch of audiobook rights.
And so as the platform was taking off,
they realized what else can we put on this platform that gives us a leg up and creates more revenue for us.
And they realized that they have this catalog
of audiobooks sitting on there.
So I think that was kind of one realization
where we kind of realized, hey, this platform,
it doesn't seem to matter all that much
what we're putting on it.
People just like consuming content. And then I and others at Spotify, we were big podcast listeners ourselves.
And we love that. But we hate the fact that we had to switch app from our normal one. We hate
the fact that we couldn't get the recommendations working. We hate the fact that we couldn't
get this to work on my car speaker or my home speaker
and all these things that we spent literally a decade building for the music industry.
So it kind of dawned upon us that podcasters have sort of the same problems that the music
creators have, and we should be able to play a pretty big role.
And all the primitives that we built for music should work really well in terms of
discoverability, in terms of ubiquity that we call, music should work really well in terms of discoverability,
in terms of ubiquity that we call, which is sort of our ability to play on any device.
And of course, our freemium model where the ad supported and eventually paid models as
well should be able to all work together.
And so the craziest thing in the beginning was probably when we started talking about it as building it in the same app.
That was what the biggest resistance was.
Because the common wisdom at the time was obviously, well, podcasting has to be a distinct own thing.
I mean, this was like the, you've talked about this before, the constellation of apps was, you know, all the rage.
Facebook's got all these
different apps and Apple has all these different apps. And unless I'm a person who already defines
myself as into podcasting, I'm never going to click a podcast app to try and get into podcasting.
You can't expand the TAM if they're all in separate apps. Which still is a super nerdy thing.
Even merchandising podcasting is a very different problem than music.
And it's actually one of the things that we're still working on trying to crack the code on.
But that was probably the most contrarian, both inside and outside.
But to us, it was probably the most obvious one.
Because we had already seen the behavior happening in Germany.
And once we had tried unloading it for ourselves so that we could play around with
the product, it was kind of obvious that this would be a great experience. And it's probably
been the most interesting one for me where, and what I often tell other entrepreneurs is like,
well, the fact that people doubt you in the beginning, you kind of need to pay attention
to that and hear what valid concerns
they may have but a bunch of that is just like they're not used to the concept uh and it's going
to change but by the time it changes it will have already passed over and not that you were right
but actually well of course this is kind of obvious right so my favorite one obviously streaming music
where when we we began doing it i always got this sort of pushback of like, why would I want to rent my music?
I want to own my music.
And the phrase streaming did not exist.
Yeah, people were not talking about it.
And people actually conceptualized more around sort of renting things.
And why is that good for me?
This is horrible.
And, you know, that means that technically what happens
if you guys don't want to have that song anymore,
that song disappears.
And people care so much about their music,
like their identity.
Like I want to own this.
I want my record collection.
Yeah, exactly.
And we were fighting against it
where it was so obvious to us that,
because I grew up with piracy,
that no, actually, all you want is access to it.
And it was such a hard notion for people to get conceptually
because we've been spending 30 years
just getting people into that.
And I feel like most of the tech industry
has spent a decade plus learning about having separate apps.
And we kind of said, no, no, no, it doesn't really matter.
We can put
it in the same app. And actually, people will love it even more because we're solving the same sort
of user needs. Where did that insight come from? Was it you as a user? Was it elsewhere in the
company? Well, it was really a lot more of a first principles kind of thinking around it. It didn't
really make sense if you looked at sort of like, what are we trying
to solve for? And was it truly so different in terms of a consumer experience? No, it was the
same playing view, slightly different sort of modalities, but totally possible. And if you
thought about it as a discovery, okay, well, that's a similar problem. Ub Ubiquity being able to play it on all these speakers made a lot of sense
of having the same thing
search, all of these things were
basically shared infrastructure
that we could utilize and
again if you're searching for
content why
you don't really care all that much about it
on YouTube and on one end
you're listening to music on one side
you had all these other
short form videos and sports and so on. You don't think that those are distinctly different
behaviors. So why do you think about it that way? And it's because you really think podcasting is a
different format. But actually, it's audio, right? And go back to the radio days, talk radio and
music and sports, they were all on the same device. Yeah. I mean, that's the thing with audiobooks too, right? Like what's the difference between
an audiobook and a podcasting? Well, you would say chaptering and some of those stuff.
I mean, we think of ourselves as like right on that line between a audiobook and a podcast.
Actually, we'd love your help trying to solve this for ourselves. So we have recently realized that Acquired is the canonical episode,
NVIDIA episode or TSMC or Taylor Swift. These are more like conversational audiobooks between
David and I than they are podcasts. They're four hours long, they drop infrequently. How does that
kind of fit into what you imagine is the job to be done by audio?
And is it an audio book?
Is it a podcast?
My view, I guess, is the boundaries are from a format side is definitely being blurred
quite a lot and for right reasons.
But the better way to think about audio books and podcasting is it's really around a business
model mostly.
So one way to frame it instead would be podcasting is ad-supported audio, and audiobooks is paid audio.
So for you guys, I mean, I also happen to know you spent so much time and effort on the research of
that side. You could imagine that in the future, you have the ad-supported side of your podcast
be certain types of episodes,
and you'd have for your subscribers
the unlock where they get access to these kind of deep dives, etc.
And obviously, the subscription thing could be as simple as like,
hey, you're part of our other network and it doesn't cost money,
or you could paygate it all the way through.
But I think it's more of a business model
that's the big format differentiation.
Because as we said, like the quality,
the mics we're using relative to an audiobook,
there's no difference here.
You're using like high quality camera equipment,
also very similar to more professional
style than sort of do-it-yourself kind of equipment editing all these things it's getting
more and more blur yeah which is so interesting like to us like we've lived this over the past
eight years like what podcasting has unlocked and now with spotify bringing so many more people to the medium that weren't consuming
before is like a mass audience for niche products. Like if we were authors and we wrote a book
and we get pitched all the time on writing a book, like the business model for us does not
make sense anymore. Given the audience size that we have in a particular type of audience,
we monetize so much better with the ad supportedsupported content. But to make that unlock happen, it needed to become a mass medium. It's interesting to think
about would that change if audiobooks can access a mass audience in the same way?
Yeah. And obviously, our view is we eventually think audiobooks should be much, much larger
than what it is today. Hundreds of millions of people who are actually eventually think audiobooks should be much, much larger than what it is today.
Hundreds of millions of people who are actually listening to audiobooks because the content is great rather than today what's tens of millions of people.
Is that the market size today of audiobooks?
Yeah, we believe it's like tens of millions.
It's one of the fastest growing categories, which makes it interesting.
But it's, again, fundamentally, it's both a business model problem.
It's, you know, again, a discovery problem
and all those other things.
You either got to pay a lot of money
for a one-off purchase.
Yep.
Or you need to have a pretty expensive subscription
to a service that you may or may not use that
and get value out of.
It reminds me of music in 2008.
Exactly.
You guys are exactly right and and there
probably needs to exist a different business model for all these things but you could even
in your case i mean you guys have probably right now um a pretty defined audience i would guess
and and probably a very high value audience which makes makes ad supported monetization probably better than the average creator
for you guys,
just given the type of audience
that people want to get to.
But you could even contemplate
like some of your deep dives.
Like I've heard like actual hedge fund investors
literally have that as the sole input
to their entire process.
Which is terrifying.
Yeah, well. Not investment terrifying. Yeah, well.
Not investment advice.
Yeah, exactly.
But I mean, it is one of the areas
that I'm kind of the most intrigued about.
I think Ben Thompson had this piece very recently.
I think he called it
like the unified content business model piece.
I don't necessarily agree with everything he said,
but I think his main takeaway is obviously
that all media models ought to move to freemium. As someone who's been saying that for 15 years,
I obviously agree with him there. But I think that's true in all formats, right? Like, as I
said, I think, you know, what's the difference between audiobooks and podcasting? There are definitely
differences, but the formats are blurring. But the main one is the business model, as I said. So
it's just, it's talk audio, but with a paid or an ad-supported business model. And I guess my
advice to you guys would just be, I think you should kind of like explore both and see to an
extent what's possible.
Yeah.
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agents. Speaking of the podcasting business model, there's the potential for podcasting to be a far better business at
scale than music streaming. Obviously, with music streaming, you take 30% and you share 70% with
the labels. With podcasting, there's the potential for real operating leverage, especially if you own
the content, to build a fantastic ad network or however you want to monetize it, but you actually can take
advantage of the scale of your audience in a way that it's sort of hard to outrun your costs
in the music world. I'm curious, how early in your sort of dreaming about becoming a podcasting
platform did you start thinking about that, or was it purely product driven?
Well, I think it was a bit of both.
And you have to contemplate that if you're making moves, like certainly of our size,
because many of these investments that we're making are multi-year ones and pretty substantial from a signaling point of view too.
And obviously public market investors want
to know like, well, is this ultimately a good business and why do you think that is? And
for me to have said, well, we've bought a bunch of companies, but I don't really know what kind
of business it'll be. It's probably not going to be the right answer. So obviously we contemplated
that and we thought about that, but the reality is there's a lot of the grass is greener on the other side when you go too deep in that.
So obviously on the one hand,
if you deal with a lot of licensed content
and in this case from some major labels
and obviously a lot of indies as well,
but still relatively supply constrained from some big ones,
the natural tendencies for you to think,
well, this is much better
because all of a sudden you have this
sort of much wider scope of different creators
that matters.
It's great.
You can aggregate a fragmented market.
Yeah, you can do the aggregation theory.
That's all good and great.
We don't really contemplate all that much.
It's obviously, there's other challenges for that
business model. Moderation all of a sudden becomes a massive thing. You have to build an actual ad
network that probably then scales. So in theory, yes, you're right. You may have an opportunity to
gain more margin over time in this model.
But fundamentally, you have to do many more steps along the way.
Like we don't have to contemplate content moderation as much when it comes to music.
We certainly don't have to have these very elaborate systematic processes about what
constitutes speech and, you know, violence.
And we knew that because I'd seen enough of these, obviously, platforms.
But it is important
because if you think about it from a P&L,
so on the surface of this,
these models are great, right?
Because very high gross margins
and so on and so forth.
Great at scale.
Great at scale.
Expensive at small scale.
Yes.
But even at scale,
if you think about it,
is the cost increasing or decreasing?
And if you think about, you know, right now, obviously AI will come in and it will be massive.
But I think at one point in time, Facebook or now Meta had over 100,000 content moderators
actually working for them. 100,000? I believe so. I don't know an insane amount of people. So it's
tempting to believe that that's a fixed cost and that they're running this like unbelievably high
gross margin advertising business and they can outrun those fixed costs, no problem. But in
reality, what you're saying is actually they build up a whole bunch of variable costs too that don't
fit into this platonic form of ideal social media
business model yeah for sure and and even today if you think about it so all right oh well maybe
that's not a hundred thousand anymore because they've been able to automate some of that process
but it's kind of mouse game as well so the other side is now using quite sophisticated
they use open ai too yeah exactly to exactly, to do that. And that
means that your AI models has to be a lot more, you know, sophisticated, and that still adds cost.
So I think the best case scenario, I was looking at this, this is very old data, but I believe
at the time of Facebook's IPO, it was something like the cost for Facebook to onboard a user was like a dollar a user or something like that in like hardware cost and all that stuff, basically to have lifetime value of a customer.
And so at that time, obviously, the monetization wasn't as advanced.
So that was what was burning cash for quite a while. And then eventually, their growth rate
probably slowed down enough where their monetization started kicking in and kind of
scaled up enough where those two effects kind of took out each other and they became very profitable.
But if you look at it now, I don't know what the cost would be. But if I would guess,
if I would start a social media company today, the cost
may be an order of magnitude more, right?
Because of all the other things you now have to do.
The ad platforms are way more sophisticated.
They have to build the moderation tools are way more sophisticated.
Now, the good news, so you may then come to this and say, well, was that a mistake
then? Well, we knew a lot about that going in and we weren't entirely new. It wasn't like we were
starting an ad business from the scratch. Right. So we had already made- You worked with Facebook
for a long time. Yes, that too. So we had relatively good idea of what type of problems
we would encounter. And to give you some credit for listeners, I think at the time, you probably had maybe 200
million people on the ad supported tier who weren't in premium when you launch podcasting,
maybe something like 150 million. But you had a gigantic scale advertising business,
you just didn't have user generated content being the content that it was advertising against yes that's accurate and and the amount of inventory obviously um that we were
were uh monetizing it against was relatively small and and one of the big things right now is
obviously this is a huge thing perhaps even more so than music for us to offer monetization to a lot of these podcasters that perhaps unlike yourself
can't sell ads unless you're in a niche like ours if you're subscale you're never going to be able
to access unilever or png or coke you know on your own or nike so i want to ask you about that because um i saw the um episode you guys did with david
senra by the way uh oh so so uh and and he he's interesting because like in in my opinion he seems
to almost dig in more in like what made him successful and like tries to not at all veer to
broadening the base so how do you think about that like because you could just go serve
your niche even better uh or you could try to like well let's try to include other forms of
content like how do you decide what what type of content to go after oh man we are right in the
middle of figuring this i mean you always said for a long time, you're like, I would rather not have growth and keep
our audience who they are. I'm not sure I'd go that far, but I would rather saturate our niche
and then at some point stop growing, then expand the niche. And then, which I think we have three
to four X headroom on our current. Yes. We, we still can expand in our niche, but, but then
we did our Taylor Swift episode. We did the NBA, we did the NFL, and then we did LVMH and LVMH.
We got 40,000 new subscribers.
Wow.
And we were like, okay, so to your point about like some, something is hacked here.
Like there's a, there's a new phenomenon.
So we, we have had to redefine what acquired is basically once a year since we started.
It used to be technology acquisitions that actually went well.
And then it was acquisitions and IPOs.
We would never be talking if it were still that.
And then it was, you know, and so at some point we expanded beyond just tech founders
and engineers.
It became venture capitalists also.
And then it became their LPs.
There's a
bunch of university endowment folks that listen. And now we're realizing as long as we keep making
these really deep, really long, really esoteric stories and analysis, you can create smart content
for smart people that is not scoped to a particular industry. And I think that that's our new sort of definition of the job to be done from acquired.
Yeah. I think it's brilliant how you're able both to satisfy your own curiosity, I guess,
and at the same time, it doesn't seem that far-fetched, some of the ideas you're trying.
Obviously, I would probably assume the Taylor Swift one was more out there than something else.
But the LVMH one actually felt to me super natural.
And it's funny how well-talked about it it's been,
even among what I would have not assumed would have been your crowd like
i had a bunch of like really old school value investors that i honestly didn't even realize
listened to podcasts they've been pinging me about it and i have you listened to this one it's like
uh which is pretty cool um so so i think there's a way where there's probably some overlap between
the audiences but also kind of clearly attracts a
new yeah i mean it's kind of like it's a very very different scale and different business but um
it's a little bit like the spotify adding podcast to a music but like we have this audience
that is like traditionally very tech focused we have this format that we've refined. Uh, and now we're like, well, okay,
if we bring something else into it, is that going to expand it? Yeah. But I will say unlike Spotify,
which you can, by virtue of being a tech platform, you can aggregate a bunch of different audiences
and then let them choose their own adventure on a really broad platform. We choose the adventures. We create these serial episodes. And so if we go on a bender and do, like we just did Lockheed
Martin and it hasn't come out yet as we speak, but we could have done eight Lockheed Martin
episodes and we chose two particular stories to tell. And we called that the Lockheed Martin
episode. If we went on a bender and did eight, then like we're underserving a lot of our other niches.
We did two and a half episodes on Nintendo, two on Nintendo, one on Sega,
and we had a blast. And people who love video games had a blast. But by the time the Sega
episode came out, the people who don't love video games and video game history had stopped listening.
Right, right. But sort of diving deeper on that, I'm curious then,
would it have been that much more effort
for you guys to produce the eight
or did you have the content
but it just didn't make sense
from an audience point of view?
I think we had high level concepts
in our head for eight,
but it turns out most of the work
is the last 10%.
Yeah, yeah.
It's like that.
It's like software engineering where there's the first
90% and then there's the second 90%. And I think so much of the work is-
The last 10, 20%. Yeah.
There's usually one thing on the cutting room floor though. So we're playing with this idea
of shorts, what we did for Sega. If in approximately one hour, can we take one
thing that just we couldn't squeeze it in and tell one more story?
Yeah, I was just thinking about sort of touching upon where we sort of were a little while ago about sort of paid versus ad supported.
I bet you that there would be a very small one, but there would be an audience that would listen to all eight. Whether you want to spend all the time doing the eight
is a totally different question.
It seems to me like the best creators just pursue
whatever they're interested in.
And some of it will work, some of it won't work.
They don't really seem to care all that much.
Obviously, they'll learn from what seems to be resonating and all,
but that's the cool part.
We're living
in an internet where on the one hand everyone talks about this 15 second kind of clips um thing
and everyone's uh sort of getting down in that rabbit hole but then at the same time uh you can
have like three four five hour long conversations in super esoteric, very, very deep topics. And people love that
too.
It's funny us, uh, Joe Rogan, Lex at the same time that short form is having a breakout
moment. Extreme long form is also having a breakout moment.
We want your views on this on our very small scale. Like we're struggling. Like we haven't
acquired Tik TOK. We're on YouTube shorts. We're on YouTube Shorts. We post on Twitter.
None of that drives the needle for us. We've had videos on TikTok get a couple million views,
and we don't know if it translated to a single new subscriber.
Or in many cases, we do know it translated to a single new subscriber.
A single new subscriber.
Welcome, both of you, from TikTok.
Welcome, both of you. Thank you for staying with us.
At the same time, you
are, at least on the podcasting side,
the home of long-form content
and you just launched the new
Wall Street all thinks it's the TikTokification
of podcasts. It's the new home screen.
The new home screen, yes.
Both extremes seem to work. I believe
one of the biggest problems we have in this
new creator economy is the one of attribution, right? So many creators like you have or try many of these
different platforms and use it, and they can see on each individual platform how well they're doing,
but it's very hard for them to understand what actually drives what. And I actually see both. I see some creators who are like under-investing in other platforms and
probably too singularly just because they have success on one, they kind of ignore all the others,
which my advice to all of those is that feels kind of dangerous to do because if there would be an
algorithm change or any of the kind, even, kind, even unanticipated by the platform,
because they may see that something resonates,
watch time resonates better with some other metric.
It doesn't have to be skewed as an evil thing.
It just could be something that actually benefits the user.
But if you built your entire livelihood of that one platform,
that could be a big problem for you.
So I see them
under-investing in other platforms. And then the other one also be true, which is they're
over-investing in too many and not realizing that actually they probably would do better in just
focusing more on one or two. And so I think that there's two different problems. I believe that for us and why we care about this
and certainly why we designed the home feed the way we did
is because fundamentally how we merchandise content
has to be very different for music
than it is for an audio book or a podcast.
And if you think about it, it's kind of logical
because in a song,
it's a three-minute commitment of your time.
And you can actually probably tell
within the first 10, 15 seconds
whether this is worth investing your time in or not.
Unless it's a Radiohead song.
That is true.
That is true.
But you probably then know the brand
and you know how to give it the time and attention to it, because you're like, well, love Radio Edge, I'm gonna give this song a chance.
And maybe not just one chance, I'll listen to it a few times before I make up my mind. now think about that with podcasting i mean if if i'm listening to you guys and and even if it's a
topic i don't necessarily know that i'm interested in i might give it a shot because it's you guys
and i trust you because i built up this rapport with you it's a much bigger commitment though
it is a much bigger commitment for sure but i may give it 10 15 20 minutes right because i have that
relationship but if i've never listened to you guys before,
that one hook that gets me in,
how many people in marketing you usually had.
And in early Spotify,
we had eight people needed to have heard about Spotify
before we were able to sign someone up.
Oh, interesting.
And so we realized that the geographical density
in which that happened
was actually a key sort of contributor and a timeline.
So much of our early marketing efforts were in college cities in the US.
Makes sense.
You have like consumers who are probably more attuned to music being a big part of their life, small geographical areas.
So we kind of bombarded it.
We did a bunch of different things that was hugely successful. In retrospect now, God, how long? 15 years later.
Was it almost like a benefit that you had to launch geographically specifically because of the
label negotiations? Like that you could really saturate Sweden, the UK before moving?
Oh yeah, for sure. We all believe that these like sort of internet companies
that go global day one, that's like the right approach.
I actually think 99.9%, this is just untrue and false.
The entrepreneurs have to revise.
We all are benefited from constraining ourself
to finding what our first audience is.
And it could be geographically niched.
It could be that it actually is,
again, a subset of a demographic or whatever.
But more often than not,
it's actually geography helps,
limiting yourself to a city,
to a state, to a country,
whatever it might be.
And so that was a huge part.
I can tell you definitively,
Spotify would not have been alive today
had it not been that we couldn't launch in the US
as our first market.
And if you ask me at the time,
it was like a huge kind of step back to say,
well, I can't launch in the most biggest market in the world
and I'm running an internet company like come on you told the stories
of uh you believed and you told investors like oh we're gonna be live in the u.s in like three
months yeah we're having the conversations yeah and then it was three years later oh yeah actually
yeah you must have been so stressed yeah uh well i had many uh many of those episodes and it always followed with enormous weight gains
and hair loss.
So that was basically-
You literally ripped your hair out.
Yeah, pretty much.
Like when I started, I had hair
and then like two, three years later, I didn't have hair.
When you started Spotify, you had hair?
Yeah.
Whoa.
Yeah, there's like old pictures of me with hair,
like from the first year or something and then it kind of all disappeared.
Wow.
And I don't know anything.
Was it worth it? Was it worth the trade?
Well, so obviously, I think it has been, but obviously, I can't recommend. It is an emotional rollercoaster. You guys know this being an entrepreneur. It's not for the faint hearted. And I think every really successful entrepreneur, in my opinion, has had at least three near death experiences with their company, right? Where you just feel like, I'm not sure whether this thing is going to work, not work, whether we're going to be alive tomorrow or not. And I kind of hate how media portrays this
and sometimes how entrepreneurs,
we're supposed to be sort of like, we're so big,
we understood everything from day one.
It's certainly not been my journey.
Like my journey was, you know, I had a lot of luck.
I worked insanely hard to get to even half of where we were today.
And then it's been a true sort of emotional rollercoaster.
And it is true what you say, but like for me,
had you told me how hard this would have been,
I would have never done it.
I'm happy I went through it, but I would have never done it.
Wow.
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We wanted to ask about, I wonder if you consider this one of those near-death moments.
But because we did the T-Swiftift episode we talked a lot about it on the
show um the week that 1989 dropped and taylor pulled off the platform like do you consider
that one of those moments um this was 2014 2014 yeah october 2014 yeah weirdly enough no uh that
that's that's the crazy part uh with it it It was one of those where if you'd asked us externally,
it felt like this massive event.
But if you were inside of Spotify at that moment,
there was no one who thought that that was sort of the defining moment.
We certainly worried about, okay, well,
is this the beginning of more artists sort of pulling out, et cetera, for a few days.
And then I spoke to a lot of artists,
but I think there were certainly a lot of skepticism
about Spotify at the time.
But generally speaking,
there had been enough things in Europe
where people really saw
like no actually this kind of works
maybe it doesn't work yet in the US
maybe it's better for her to do this thing
but there was enough people
that believed at that time
that it was only a matter of time
before the US would be majority streaming too
the sort of way it's been portrayed oftentimes with Spotify in particular has been like this
sort of dogmatic, it has to be all in with me or not.
And actually that's not how I advise artists or creators.
I always tell them like this kind of, and it's kind of unusual thing because everyone
wants to build their own platform
and so on.
But my firm view is that truly,
I believe in open as the model at its core.
And so my view has been like,
there's some artists that at that time,
I don't believe it's true anymore,
but like the adults of the world
that probably benefited from physical scarcity,
that probably didn't need to be on streaming, uh, that probably, um, should have
done a windowing type model.
Um, the number of those artists, uh, were going to be very, very small.
Yeah.
Um, but she was certainly one of them.
Was that because of the demographics of her audience? I think so.
But also she on her own can basically control the zeitgeist, right?
Like she can decide that this is a big cultural moment.
Taylor Swift.
Yes.
Yeah.
It is remarkable.
Not a lot of people in the world can get hundreds of millions of people around the world to wait for a moment.
And she did it brilliantly with this album launch too.
I stayed up till midnight.
Yeah.
A lot of, I don't know if it was hundreds of millions,
but certainly tens of millions of people literally waited
and sort of, she got them in on the hour
and it was like each hour was another sort of gift.
So she played that to perfection.
And she's really remarkable at understanding
how to speak to her audience.
And she does it authentically.
So she can do that.
And there's definitely other artists that can do the same.
But what's rare is for her to have that kind of zeitgeist
and connection with that,
deep connection with that audience,
the fan base that she has, how vigorous and how intense they are at that scale.
That's the unique thing, right?
Was there something that changed between 2014 and when she came back on
Spotify, where it may have made sense for her not to be here in 2014,
but then in 2017 or whenever that was that she came back,
that the world had changed enough where it did make sense.
And how did the relationship between, like, did you actually talk to her?
Like, how did that all go down?
Yeah, I think the predominant thing that changed
was streaming just became the majority of the industry in a bigger way.
So if the option was like, hey, am I on streaming or not on streaming?
Do I think she could have reached number one at that point without streaming?
Probably not would have been the answer.
And she's super smart.
So she understood that.
And kind of to your point, like even in 2014 in Europe,
that had already happened but it
hadn't happened in the u.s no it definitely hadn't happened in the u.s we were much earlier i mean
spotify at that time was like shy of three years in the u.s streaming penetration was relatively
low radio was like the the predominant thing uh at that time physical sales i was still very big
um you know i remember i think it was little wayne that
sold like three million albums in that year uh on costco out of all places no way yeah it's it's
some sort of demographic connection thing what's going on i love that the intersection of like
charlie munger and little wayne and costco costco sells more chickens than anyone in the u.s
in the US.
In the world, actually. Costco just is an unbelievable distribution channel,
if you can get it.
Yeah.
And we were talking about it before,
but Starbucks and Howard Schultz
was actually one of the biggest retailers of CDs in the US.
That's actually how I met him the first time.
Oh, really?
Yeah, because they were becoming a partner of ours.
That's right.
You did a partnership with Starbucks.
Exactly at that moment and got to know him, spent some time with him.
So, yeah, I mean, the world just looked very different back at that time.
And I think that changed.
And yeah, I mean, ever since, she's been great with the team and she's super smart.
That was our big takeaway from the episode.
Just like she is really, really smart.
David and I were talking before this episode.
Are there other artists that you've got an interface with where you walk away and you're like, better business acumen than any founder I've met, any investor I've met?
We've kind of become obsessed with like, who are people who are top of their game artists
and top of their game business people?
There's quite a few of them
because I actually believe these days,
if you consider a mega artist of that stature,
it's like they're their own enterprise
and they're the CEO of that enterprise.
They certainly have people who help them.
But at this level today, there's almost no
one of them that's not very active as well on the business side and understand deeply what their
audience wants, what's authentic to them. By making move X, how does that affect that relationship?
And what's super cool to me is that you know you you have
everything from from the taylor swift's of the world um and then you have um something like bts
which is like insane and how are they different because they're reason they're same order of
magnitude scale right i don't uh pretend to know all of Taylor Swift's business
sites and who's involved in everything. But from what I would guess is she
probably runs with a pretty lean team.
That's what we heard when we were researching the episode.
Yeah. And that's certainly been our interaction with her. It's like, very
tight, very lean. And then if you think about um something like bts but i actually
quite a lot of the korean artists it is like an industry it's huge just on the songwriting side
it's the difference between uh if in taylor swift's camp it's like two three four maybe at the top
in some koreans it's 200 writers involved.
And that's like a small part.
And then you have like everything from merchandising,
there's another few hundred.
The talent development too,
like the pipeline to go from you enter into the K-pop system
to you become a member of XYZ group is, yeah.
Well, that could be your next deep dive
because honestly, it is fascinating how they do it and the 360, how they think about it, not just from sort of maximizing their recorded side, but actually thinking about sort of fan development, all the digital platforms, they have their own developers, programmers, building specific platforms. It's pretty cool. One thing I'm really curious on that we hadn't
thought about before, we came here yesterday to Stockholm when we were talking with other folks
on the Spotify team. I'm curious in this lens, what the past few years have been with Bad Bunny
and Reggaeton. And I've heard you talk about that. You knew from the data on Spotify that this was
going to be huge. And now I think it's the largest genre on Spotify.
And many of our listeners will not know either of those two terms you just threw out.
And I think this is a broader trend, right? We're now living in a very global world when it comes
to culture. At the same time, there's still a lot of local nuances, right?
So it's this extremity that we talked about. On the one end, you have this super, super
niches that exist. But then once every blue moon, one of these niches kind of
develop into something that's actually quite sizable, And you kind of start realizing that maybe this has a global appeal on top of it.
So in Latam, as an example, gospel music is quite big.
And funk music is also quite big.
Okay, well, that's probably not what you associate
with popular music, but there are real things.
And obviously they exist in microcosms elsewhere, like you could probably guess in the South, in the US, gospel might be a larger genre, etc.
So it's not like it's totally kind of isolated and just happening there, but there's something that creates a sort of cultural resonance with those types of styles. And then you have something like reggaeton,
and it usually starts pretty small.
And then actually in each cluster,
it's kind of like starts developing more broadly.
And when you really look at it,
like it has oftentimes a pretty huge diaspora
outside of that sort of near region as well.
So, I mean, the Hispanic population, the US would be kind of an obvious one, right?
And so many years ago, we kind of started seeing them breaking out their natural clusters
and becoming a pretty big thing.
And it was, for me at that time, it was just pretty obvious that um if we invested in that genre um on a global basis we thought that
that that would have a global appeal and yeah because before a platform like that obviously
like it could happen and maybe there are examples where it did but like that's like it's just so
maybe the acquired audience not as many people know bad bunny or like know the lyrics to his songs but like a large portion of non-spanish speaking americans and like non-spanish speaking
people around the world know all the lyrics in spanish to bad bunny songs they may not know what
the lyrics are about though right yeah that would be a very different thing there's a lot of local
cultural things that seems like what is talking It's talking about, you know, someone cheating with this one,
all these kind of relationship stuff.
That's the sort of local nuances.
But yeah, I mean, yeah, that's the fascinating thing, right?
But at the same time, you probably wouldn't have imagined MSG being sold out
and like 20,000, if not more people singing Korean lyrics that doesn't look
Korean, by the way, like know every word to every lyric. And that's the amazing thing, right? Like
when things catch on, it's music, it makes people feel there's something about the artist,
there's something about how they're communicating that resonates with you as an individual.
And it is the foundational storytelling.
We've always used music.
It is so hard to describe art, right?
Like we can objectively describe, oh, there's art, but how you feel,
why do you feel a certain way when you're looking at a painting?
Why do you feel a certain way when you're listening to a song?
It's really hard to describe that.
And that's the amazing thing about what we're able to do.
And the really cool thing is you're able to take artists
that otherwise, you know,
perhaps may not even have been able to be professional
and now they have a global audience.
I don't know how to express it
other than that they have some sort of God-given talent that's the best way i can describe this kind of genius when they're able to express
these things in a way that it just resonates with people uh all over the world just instantly it's
like how do you do that it's clearly they're tapping something innate to humans independent
of culture which absent data if you were to ask me and say, hey, do you think that
someone is inventing a brand new genre of music today? Do you think it's going to appeal to people
similar to them or all humans equally in some way? I would probably tell you like,
no, it's more about nurture than nature. Yeah.
Yeah. It's like we were talking about on the Nintendo episode. Like there are always only going to be a handful of Shigeru Miyamoto's in the world.
But until recently and in the gaming industry, it's still pretty much the case.
Like you need to also have the luck of being,
be in the Venn diagram of a Shigeru Miyamoto
who happened to be the arcade cabinet designer at Nintendo.
Yeah.
In order for like the possibility of mario and zelda to happen
yeah and like in music and podcasting now in this world like everybody has the opportunity not
everybody's a shigeru miyamoto not everybody's you know a bad bunny most people aren't but you
have the opportunity to be one i think that's so interesting uh i was talking to ted sarandos about
this um he's on on our board
and um this was a number of months ago but like if you think about filmmaking it's still as you
said one of the things about a nintendo is you have to have the resources enabled to build a
game and that's still not cheap um and it's expensive and back in the day maybe you had
to build the entire console in order to even have a chance of doing it.
But these days, you still like a AAA game is...
A few hundred million dollars.
Yeah, very big productions.
And five years.
Very big productions, right?
And sure, you can build an indie game and so on and so forth,
but it's still a very limited number of people that are able to do that.
But even in filmmaking or in TV series,
the amount of people that used to be able to be showrunners
or producing or directing these things,
it was a fairly limited group of people, right?
Yeah, very socially connected,
people hanging out in backlots in LA, part of the studio.
And it probably mattered a lot,
not to diminish any of their talents,
but it probably mattered who you knew
was an integral component and having talent.
So you kind of had two different things.
But in the last few years,
as the budgets have expanded,
and certainly in the Netflix case,
it would have been physically impossible
to just keep this same set of producers, directors, etc.
Because they're just trying to make so much more content.
So one of the interesting things is the same thing is happening now where there's last time directors and producers, not just doing sort of local productions, but actually now coming to Hollywood and doing that as well. And I've seen it in my case, there's been a bunch of Swedish writers and producers and
actors now that are getting into Hollywood productions.
And it's been fun to see.
And not just the usual names, but actually like some more unknown talent making its way
as well.
And there are more people trying, but there like some more unknown talent uh making its way as well and there are more people trying but there are also more opportunities um and then obviously as you
mentioned on the podcasting side the same is true there but but it's true on both sides
that's that's the crazy thing but there's also more competition which is yeah i think when when
people are are talking about spotify and criticizing, that's the part I think is the biggest misconception. Because they hear so many people who are trying and it doesn't work where they're not making a lot of money of it. They're naturally sort of drawing the conclusion that, hey, there has to be something wrong with the model. This model can't work. But in reality, both things could be true at the same time right there are a lot more people who are failing but there are also a lot more people who are succeeding like the total pool
is so much bigger yeah and and i think that's podcasting is like much earlier in its maturity
yeah so we may not hear it plus we don't have this sort of um i'm not sure a podcaster sees it as it's a sort of given that monetization is there and it needs
to be there from day one. Whereas I think obviously with the professionalization of music,
that's a much bigger part of the expectancy. But that's actually a kind of relatively limited part of our human history.
It's not been, you know, it's probably less than 100 years
that we've had recorded music and it being a form.
And yet it's part of the copyright regime.
It's part of like some pretty important laws.
So I think it comes with a different expectancy.
I'm not saying that's wrong.
I'm just saying just the arc of history.
And I was actually going to latch on to something you talked about
sort of being creative to.
One of the things I often think about when you think about
sort of the history of music, going back to it,
at the time of Mozart, if I wanted to create music,
the reality is I had to be a musical genius
because I needed to hear every single tone in my head,
every single note.
I needed to hear all the different instruments,
how they would all play together.
I could write them down,
but I could never hear them all being played at once, right?
Many times the composers of that era,
they were only able to listen to their actual compositions like a few
days before the actual concert that they were doing and then making small tweaks. But by that
time, it had to be pretty perfect. And so sure, they could play a little bit on the piano, but
then they kind of needed to visualize but somehow internalize what that ended up being.
Having a whole orchestra is the AAA game equivalent.
Yes, exactly.
And so obviously very few could do that,
but also the process, the creation process was insane
because you needed to do so much.
And then you move forward and think about
sort of the era of playing instruments
and take jazz, which is highly technical, right?
Like every single member in a jazz band is excellent at their instruments, right?
Like really excellent.
And it's really hard.
Like it's really hard to be that good of a musician and play jazz.
And then fast forward a little bit
more and take someone like, you know, Swedish Avicii as an example. He was a brilliant composer,
he truly was. But he didn't really know how to play any instruments.
It turns out that technical musical proficiency may or may not be correlated with making great music.
Exactly.
Exactly my point.
But he actually had a different tool.
He had software, right?
And he was really good at that software.
And he knew all the knobs and plugins and all that stuff
and how it worked.
And a lot of musicians are that way today.
If you actually look at the workflow,
it's very technical. It's very of musicians are that way today. Like if you actually look at the workflow,
it's very technical.
It's very detailed.
It's very nuanced.
Like I have this thing that I do where I probably shouldn't admit this,
but like I said on YouTube on evenings,
I look at music producers,
their workflows,
and like when they get into the weeds
of like decoding how they do stuff.
Oh man, we were like having just like our faces lit
up we walked in this studio and we're like we think we are like highly technical podcast
producers we think we're like top 0.1 percent of the well i think we are i think we are uh you know
better and then we walk into this studio here you know in in stockholm and we're like this is just a
scale beyond our imagination yeah yeah we're we're very fortunate and is just a scale beyond our imagination. Yeah, yeah, we're very fortunate.
And it's a lot of fun because artists love just hanging out here too
because we've got kind of everything that they'd like to use and to do.
But my point is, I mean, if you think about it,
it is a kind of a very technical workflow
that takes a lot of time to get into.
And some of the parts of that
workflow, you'd have to watch probably hundreds of hours of YouTube videos to even decode or how
to do it and like start getting into it. And a lot of these today's composers are experts in their
workflows, right? Like they've kind of had their plugin sets, they've got like these 16 things that
they desechained together
in order to create that one effect that defines them
and so on and so forth.
So the barrier still, like if you said today,
I want to start making music
and I want to make something that sounds pretty good,
it's still quite high, that barrier.
And it's getting lower and lower
and it's getting easier and easier. it's, it's getting easier and
easier, but, but, but I would still argue the bar for you to sound, make something
that sounds professional, it would actually be a high quality song.
It requires a lot of time and a lot of effort.
And it might be less CapEx and less equipment.
I mean, you hear the, the rise of the, you know, apartment music producer on the
laptop, but it still takes an enormous amount of self-training, mastery, creativity.
My opinion is it takes a little bit too much to get started.
Like it's quite a barrier to entry still.
I mean, if you just want to make something like super simple,
it doesn't take a lot.
There's all Smule and all these other apps.
You can probably make something. But from there on to actually compose something, getting into the idea of the
workflows, the plugins, all that kind of concept, it's quite a lot to master. And I think that's
the potential power with something like AI, obviously, right? Which is, we're most likely going to have another order of magnitude of
simplicity. You know, on a personal level, if you liken that to coding, I used to code,
but I haven't now for about 10 years. And so probably a little bit embarrassing to admit,
but the barrier to entry or re-entry for me was so high with all, you know,
Node, all of these different frameworks, even setting up my own workflow for me to be able to
do something in the Spotify ecosystem. This is hundreds of hours probably for me to kind of
re-acquaint myself with all the stuff, right? How do I install the PHP server?
Yeah, exactly.
I got bad news for you.
Yeah, it's changed a lot, right?
And so the amazing thing is,
I just for the fun of it,
like wanted to start doing stuff
and I asked ChatGPT to help me.
And pretty much on a few hours on a Sunday afternoon,
I was up and running.
And because of that sort of starter help,
I had my own sort of environment set up.
I was contributing code.
I was iterating.
Did you contribute code to the Spotify code base?
No, they won't let me do that yet.
So I got a little bit more work to do before they allowed me to do it.
You got to pass a coding test.
Yeah.
I think out of spite, they probably won't let me do that anyway.
They pride themselves on not,
I don't have any access to any of the actual systems.
But it was such a liberating feeling
because it made the re-entry for me so much easier
and so much more enjoyable.
And so I think about that.
So if you think about the world of music now,
there are tens of millions of people in the world
that probably are recording stuff,
but there's 100, 200 million, something like that,
that's playing some kind of instrument
and expressing themselves musically.
There's nothing that says that it wouldn't be possible
for those 100 million plus
people to make something that actually sounds pretty good. Now, again, what is that going to
do with the music industry? And is it really going to be that all of a sudden everything becomes
commoditized? I don't believe so, because we've seen time and time again, the quality rises
to the top and actually becomes even more valuable in that world. Photography being the sort of
key reference point. When Instagram came, oh, no one's going to want photography, but
price of fine art photography actually increased, not decreased. So my view is you're going to see
both extremes. You're going to see the middle getting wiped out, more people participate,
but the very, very top is probably going to increase in value as well.
And they'll figure out other things to do with this technology.
But it is pretty cool for humanity,
and we talked about that,
being able to relate and expressing ideas.
Every permutation of every cultural idea
will finally be able to be expressed.
We've never been in a world where that's been possible before.
And it'll be really fascinating to see what that means for our understanding of other
cultures, our ability to relate to other people, some really cool stuff.
This is kind of like already happened
over the past few years in podcasting too right like they're i don't know you probably know better
than me millions of podcasts out there right two million two million plus i'm sure at this point
it's about a little bit more than double that now really yeah yeah whoa so like it's kind of like
these are numbers like you're talking they're four to five million people out there that are like i can make a podcast yeah and yet the very very top ones
are still like of a quality bar that is so high and getting higher yep but like i've heard you
guys talk about this that you now can take shows that are in a specific language in a specific
region that you can identify based on the data
there's something really cool happening here yeah and then bring them to other around the globe to
other audiences yeah and right now obviously that's a manual um process where um you know we
have to hire voice actors that reenact that we have to kind of tweak the script a little bit to
make it culturally relevant and obviously this won't be news to you We have to kind of tweak the script a little bit to make it culturally relevant.
And obviously this won't be news to you,
but perhaps to some of your listeners that,
I mean, already probably today,
it won't be as high quality and the cost would be too expensive to express this.
But there's no reason technically
why you guys and I,
this podcast couldn't be done right now
in Chinese with our voices.
Well, I was going to say, you have X now, the AI DJ that speaks many languages.
Well, we've had him speak Swedish for sure.
And he obviously doesn't know Swedish.
But it's only today available because the intonation is a little bit off.
So it's really only English language content.
And honestly, that's probably just a training problem.
So if we were training the models on specific languages
and not just X-Voice per se,
I think that would have been totally possible.
And again, the largest problem today is the cost per minute
would be too high for most podcasts. I think you guys could actually support it
probably with your model, but the average podcaster couldn't.
I don't know if you guys have seen this, but MrBeast has a Spanish language
channel. I don't know if he has
a French one, etc etc but he certainly has a
spanish language computer translated or humans re-recording uh i think it's humans re-recording
it at the moment uh but it's huge uh i think it may have like 15 20 percent more subscribers
uh additional subscribers not more than what the English language one has.
So it's like a really big deal.
And I think that's like the next step, right?
Like where, you know, in your case, like why wouldn't you take the LVMH episode and make it all in French or whatever?
It should at least be in French.
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I've been uncomfortable until now using any sort of AI for any seconds of audio in our podcast. We always played around with the
Descript replacement of certain words, but then we never shipped it to production because I was
always like, eh, it doesn't sound quite as good and everything should be hand mastered and acquired.
And then for the first time on a recent episode, we used an AI tool that our editor found it
dramatically increased the sound quality of the episode
based on the mic that the guest was using.
And once you start doing that, you're like,
well, I mean, shouldn't AI do all sorts of things to our audio?
Yeah, I mean, I think we're only in the beginning, obviously.
And that's hugely exciting for creators like yourself.
But it's also scary,
right? Because it's totally possible for us to make an entire episode where we're saying
totally different things than what we're saying now. And it, at some point in the future,
might be virtually indistinguishable from the real thing.
Yeah, and platforms probably have a role to play in verifying
authenticity. That actually raises
the value of platforms
because platforms like
Spotify, YouTube, you actually can
point to, we know for a fact that this
was created by the creator and we can stamp it
and say that this, you know, you can trust this.
Or approved by the creator.
No, I think you're entirely right
which is why, you know, there's been a lot of sort of debate
around the Elon Musk, the subscriber thing.
And actually, as usual, when you tease it out,
there's many different things in that controversy.
But perhaps the most potent and most interesting one
has been the one around the notion and idea around like staking as a way of reducing the bot thing.
And I feel like so much has just ended up being sort of, hey, do I have to pay in order to reach my audience now?
That kind of switch well forget about if it's paid or not but just increasing the cost of spam but also
increasing kind of the quality of verification and being able to truly understand what's what
in in the end twitter is so interesting that um we were talking with a friend who's a creator peer
but um his platform is twitter and you can't monetize Twitter. Like there's no
rev share. Traditional social platforms like that, you've kind of got them on one end of the spectrum.
You've got Spotify, well, maybe Spotify podcasting and then Spotify music at the far end of the
spectrum. And then you've got YouTube kind of in the middle. How do you think about what role
for monetization, maybe especially on the podcasting side, Spotify should play for creators?
Yeah, I mean, our goal is to be the best partner of creators.
Not the only partner, but just the best. and win by basically not forcing the creator to do something,
but just offering a really good way for creators to work,
low friction, but also lots of potential
to customize their business the way they would like to.
I think for some creators,
the monetization aspect is absolutely critical.
They may even be a gatekeeper
or a gate between them doing something on that platform or not.
And maybe they have switching costs relative to what other stuff they're doing.
Think about a creator that's in a traditional media ecosystem.
If they want to take their thing, okay, well, maybe I will be less valuable on cable or
whatever other thing I'm on.
That would be one end of the spectrum, right?
And then you have another creator
that may have an entirely different business model.
I don't know about your other Twitter creator friend,
but perhaps that creator
either has a different business model somewhere else.
Well, you have to.
You can't have a business model on Twitter.
Yeah, you can't do that.
But the question is if that's truly a
creator or you could argue VCs, a lot of them have Twitter as their marketing channel, right?
Just top of mind. And podcasts. Yeah. There are many different ways and the needs are different,
which is why for some of them, they would probably happily forfeit all the monetization because they
feel like they have such a strong
other business model um on the customization point is really interesting too and i think that's the
that's the um really interesting nuance about about youtube because like on the one hand
i think youtube for creators is amazing because you can completely abstract the business like
you just make the content and they take care of the business and you get a check.
Yep.
On the other hand,
like, you know,
I can't even remember
if we have ads on YouTube ads
on acquired content.
I think we don't.
Because like,
do we want a sprite ad
in the middle of this?
Like, no, we want creative control.
And like you lose that in a,
if the platform is like too opinionated about
what's happening with monetization yeah most of us as platforms go uh we have to start out
very simple with our models right and it takes a long time to then change that default um setting
but i mean um as i i even talked about in music, it had to be like very binary.
You had to be on or you had to be off.
There was kind of no in-between like,
well, let's do windowing, let's do this and that, et cetera.
Because that was the only way.
My biggest problem was getting everyone off of piracy
into this other model
and I needed the consistency of user experience.
That was the model.
Now, the next decade of music may look very different.
It may look like something where there's going to be
a lot more options for what a creator chooses to do.
I certainly would hope so,
and we're certainly gonna work towards that avenue,
but any change that we're doing
with the scale that we're having, there's going to be
winners and losers. It's almost impossible to find a single thing we could do that's just
universally going to help. And that naturally creates the constraints that it's more of a
one-way door than a two-way door where we can kind of like iterate and invest on it.
So I'm fairly certain that like what you're seeing now in this world of
platforms and creator ecosystems is if you asked YouTube like, Hey, if you
had to, if you could redesign the platform right now would you just make
all the same decisions you made about discovery and monetization all over again?
The answer would probably not.
Almost assuredly, no.
Right.
As evident actually by Shorts, that works a little bit different on their platform, right?
And they're all different too, because Shorts, obviously you have many more potential impressions over a shorter period of time.
And, you know, an average YouTube video has been X minutes.
And that means more interstitial ads. And then we have host red ads or the equivalent of sort of
more native ads or paid promotional ads that both Instagram and YouTube. So we're living in an
ecosystem where on the one end, 10, 15 years ago, we were very primitive in terms of monetization.
And today, it is very, very different.
And I kind of think about it in a way like this is not too dissimilar from mom and pop shops,
they're sort of like coming up in the US as a cultural norm.
On the one hand, you had physical infrastructure, urbanization driving these kind of things where we both created these mega Walmarts of the world as a direct consequence.
But actually the complete opposite was also true.
We had this hyper local thing, etc.
And if you think about it today, these mom and pop stores, the ones that are still around, they're hyper distinct in what they're offering. They're really focused on community in many cases, really knowing your customer, they're offering events around their stores, they're offering obviously online things through Shopify and so on and so forth. And in a way, I think about it in a very similar way for the creator economy too.
We had to start very simple. It was based on a very simple model where there were free platform,
ad-supported platforms, and paid platform. All of that is kind of not merging together.
In addition to that, just monetizing the content in itself is probably becoming an auxiliary revenue sources around them 360 very similar again to mom and pop shops like where you could do live events you could be doing merchandising
you could build another business like kylie jenner or something on the side what's cool is like this
is true at scale now too i mean tay I mean Taylor Swift monetizes through everything you're
talking about the same way mom and pop coffee shop does, she just does it at scale.
And it's necessarily had to be because streaming,
well at first it looked risky and then turned out to be, I don't think it's blowing smoke to say,
you guys save the music industry. Like it is the thing that while the industry was in dramatic
decline ended up making it so that the music industry now generates is the thing that while the industry was in dramatic decline, ended up making
it so that the music industry now generates more revenue than it ever has before with by far the
largest thing being streaming. At the same time, if you're a Taylor Swift or you're any big artist,
you're not making as much money streaming as you would have on CD sales in the CD sales heyday.
So you sort of have to figure out what the new business model
looks like as a creator. And you have to figure out what your sort of unique constellation of
revenue streams are, because it's not just going to be Walmart or Target is going to cut me the
check from selling CDs. Yeah, the music industry is healthier than it's ever been before. But
certainly when you think about it from a singular artist point of view,
you know, there was a point in time
where the majority of the revenue
could be derived from recording music.
But the challenge to that,
what I would say is that
the time in history where that was true
was actually very, very short, right?
It was the heyday of the cd era
right yes it wasn't true back in the radio era and so the question is what what's the analogy
was it that like that's the right model or was it actually that having multiple revenue models
was always the answer um but there happened to be a moment in time where recorded music was
sort of the prevalent revenue source.
And I don't know.
I mean, I certainly don't say that to try to shy away from sort of our role.
And my goal is just like, I think these people generally,
whether you're a podcaster, whether you're a musician,
are insanely creative people.
And I love seeing people like yourself or David or Sandra or Taylor Swift or whoever.
Or Joe Rogan.
Or Rogan or whoever
that are like really deep
on whatever they're passionate about
and they're able to get across the microphone
and having lots of people
that can resonate with them that opens up like so much more opportunity one of the things we
learned on the lvmh episode is that rihanna became the first female recording artist billionaire
because of fenty beauty you know and like imagine that in the CD era. Like, that wouldn't have happened.
Oh, yeah.
And that's the insane part too, right?
Because that fame, in a way, it doesn't necessarily, if you think about an Elvis Presley, what time did it take for Elvis Presley to get to a billion people that had heard him?
I don't know, but I would venture to say it probably took a decade at the very least,
maybe two, for him to do that.
And sure, it was worth a lot, that billion then, but it was hard to scale to that. And then you think about how many artists today get to be heard by a billion people.
And actually, that number is way higher, and it's way faster for you to do it.
Now, but because it's not as scarce anymore, perhaps the societal value slash monetary
value, whatever you want to put it on it, maybe isn't the same because it's not as scarce.
But as you said, if you're smart in how you do it, and this is the sort of the zeitgeist
on how you execute it. It doesn't work when
it's not authentic. So you take the Rihanna example, it worked because she had a way to do
it, which was authentic to her, but also authentic to her audience. If she would have tried to
flog something else that she didn't care about, it probably wouldn't have worked.
And that's the unique thing when you realize
and you think about it yourself as an enterprise
and, you know, JC, you know.
I'm not a businessman.
Exactly.
Which, JC sold his champagne company to LVMH
recently at a 50% stake.
Yeah, but back to that,
they're incredibly talented artists and they're incredibly
talented business people as well. Yeah. Well, as we start to wrap up here, there's one question
that I've really wanted to ask you, which is, as I've studied Spotify over the last month and a
half preparing for this, it seems like you guys have been very intentional
about the way that you grow and having a completely different strategy to add each
next 100 million users. You guys are now over 500 million users. A, I didn't know the scale of that
before I started researching. It's pretty unbelievable. And B, I sort of thought that, well, you know, they just let compounding do its thing. But I think you guys, it's not well understood by the public, or certainly wasn't by me, how you change strategy in for founders who are scaling to sort of continually
stack these S-curves on top of each other and do completely new different business activities
while maintaining the cohesiveness of one platform? Yeah, I think it's a very astute observation
that you're making that it's not been sort of being able to just ride on this macro tailwind and just do that.
But actually, it's been many different things that's driven the success of Spotify. And
the way I oftentimes talk about it is, if you think about an exponential curve,
if you really zoom in on that exponential curve, it actually is like a lot of different linear curves
stacked on top of each other
that creates that kind of exponential curve.
And this will sound like a little bit of a cliche,
but what I've really realized,
perhaps even in just the last two, three years,
more, I knew that I could talk about it,
but I hadn't truly internalized it,
is to be intentional about the culture you're building.
There are many different cultures that can be successful,
but there are trade-offs with each cultural expression.
And oftentimes today,
what I see with younger entrepreneurs is that they're
unintentional about what type of culture they are. So they flip-flop between them. So as an example,
you know, we all, you know, many years ago, I was certainly enamored with Google, right? Like the
20% projects and all these different things.
Those are cultural expressions.
It's not the culture itself,
but it's the cultural expressions.
So that's where the early innings of Spotify's culture was,
like I'm sure almost every Silicon Valley company of that era.
And then we all switched,
maybe became Facebook for a while.
And we all kind of took that of like moving fast and breaking things and so on and so forth.
And then you had like an Amazon kind of model where on the one end, it was incredibly long term, but also maybe a little bit more bottoms up innovation than top down.
And then you see another cultural expression with like a Tesla,
where incredibly top down, incredibly focused company actually
for this type of scale that they're doing.
And my point is, I think the most important thing
is to really, really think through
and be really, really diligent about the culture you create.
And we certainly were victims of that at Spotify
because we had taken all these different things.
There were certainly things that were Spotify, but we kept talking about all these other
companies and we're like, well, we like this thing that Amazon's doing, so we should copy
that.
And then, oh, we like this thing that Google's doing, so we should copy that.
And actually what ended up happening was we were at one point in time, almost like a little
bit of a Frankenstein monster because we had some of the stuff everyone, and we had some of the bad stuff from everyone too,
instead of sort of really leaning into that. And then sort of without really being intentional
about it, we started iterating and improving on that culture. And I often get this question. So
for instance, when we launched certain things, people are like, well, this thing wasn't very great. And they have a mental model of what they expect of Spotify. And the mental model may be, hey, your music app is so amazing. How come in 2019, your podcast just sucked. And so that must mean that podcasting won't work.
Having a separate app must be the right thing to do, etc.
And what people didn't realize is we're actually one of these companies
that happily will release something out that's not great.
It's probably have the right strategy, but execution isn't super crisp and perfect.
You said this about audiobooks at StreamOn. You got on stage to the public and said, we have audiobooks. I don't think it's great right
now. Yeah. And it's true. And it's not great right now, but we will make it great. But that's a
different culture, right? And that's one where we're iterating on. But then the flip side of that
would be something like A AI DJ, where actually,
I think it is really high quality. And unlike a lot of other products that are AI, where it's
really kind of wonky, we've made something that's actually working, and it's working on very large
scale, probably one of the most popular AI products out there now in terms of reach. We don't really
tout it all that much, but it's huge in terms of moving our metrics in a pretty substantial way.
Like Discover Weekly huge?
Yes. And I think it'll even outdo Discover Weekly. So it is really cool, but we had to be super intentional about it because we knew
that it was an area
where
we had to think through
the consequences of this because
it would be highly scrutinized
so as you can imagine
one of the benefits by choosing to do it for
music and not for podcasting was
obviously that it would
have been horrible if we
somehow summarized or said something based on a podcast that wasn't safe or culturally attuned
to say, and yet with music it's kind of the primary candidate, plus it's the one where we
have a huge audience that's listening in the background every day and they really want more context.
And my point being is understanding when to do which
and understanding that both of these cultures
are perfectly fine,
but just being very intentful
about when you're choosing to do what
and having the right mental models
and not sort of becoming half-assed in everything,
but actually becoming really good at what makes you, you.
And I would say that probably other thing
that's been hugely important
and that I wish more people talked about it
is there are not many of us,
but there's a few companies like Spotify,
which in a way has been heavily influenced by Silicon Valley
but we are not Silicon Valley first.
So that sort of notion of being on the side
and watching and sort of iterating in a corner
Spotify is definitely sort of not the overnight success.
It's been a sleeper for many, many years.
And when you started the common wisdom was anybody who's starting an online music thing,
it will die. And I think you sought advice from hundreds of people who all told you,
don't do this. This category is toxic.
Yep. You're exactly right. But also because we were kind of doing this in Europe for the first
few years, we started getting some real first learnings.
And I think this is like really key because if you think about the ones we talk about as iconic
companies, the Apples, the Amazons of the world, we all tend to forget a few things. But one is
that many of them are quite old at this point, they're 20 plus years old. So they've had a time to refine their cultures
and getting that right.
And the other thing is they almost started
in empty ecosystems.
And Amazon, sure, there was Microsoft,
but they started an internet company in Seattle, right?
Where there was a software company that was really big,
but it's not the same culture.
They didn't start it in Silicon Valley.
It's definitely not the same culture.
And I like to believe that that culture became very distinct also
by having to figure out its own things from first principles
and from learning rather than just being able to gather it through osmosis.
And that might have been going slower in the beginning, uh, to then go faster.
But, um, I, I think it's been hugely important for Spotify's journey and
we're, I feel like we're, we're just right now getting into our own of like,
what is our culture in a very unique way that it's probably the most exciting
thing for me at the moment, still being here at Spotify 17 years.
This is so cool. I love this as a final thought from you because it so matches something that
surprised us from the LVMH episode. It's just like all of those brands, which are like,
you know, the most iconic things, you know, both owned by LVMH and ones that aren't like Hermes.
And, you know, they are all N of one. You can't
copy them. They don't copy anybody else. They are their own thing. If you're going to be around for
400 years, that is by necessity the case you're not taking from anybody else. Yeah. And I have
to imagine it's hard for you internally and that it takes a decade or two to figure out
what it is that makes you special too.
Because when you started, you were the company that figured out how to make it so music felt
like it was on your hard drive and play fast when it wasn't through a hybrid of peer-to-peer
and client-server solutions.
Yep.
And that's not at all what Spotify is today.
Thank you for summarizing that so succinctly, by the way.
It has to be a very methodical individual journey too to figure that out.
Yeah. And that's why I said, I mean, I used to talk about culture, but I would honestly say
it was probably two, three years ago where it really clicked for me. Like, oh,
that's what it actually means. it's not 20% work time
that's just an expression of a culture the more interesting thing is the true culture
of what makes google google or an amazon amazon etc and i don't even know whether that's possible
to change going a decade forward that's probably the most exciting thing for me
to still contribute to and work on is the culture.
And I think that's what's driving at the moment
pretty much every major decision we're making.
Well, Daniel, thank you so much.
Thank you guys for coming.
Really appreciate it.
Thank you for hosting us.
Of course.
Well, listeners, thank you so much for tuning in for this conversation with Daniel. We'd love to hear what you think, Thank you for hosting us. Of course. launched this at StreamOn recently. There is a question on the page in the Spotify app for this episode
that says, what did you think of this episode?
And you can reply and leave your thoughts right there.
Awesome. Well, thank you so much
listeners. Check out in any podcast
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And I think that's it.
Listeners, thank you so much.
Thanks to Spotify and Daniel.
We'll see you next time.
We'll see you next time.
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