Acquired - Standard Oil Part I
Episode Date: September 22, 2021It's time. We dive into the *original* American capitalist mega winner, Standard Oil, and its legendary founder John D. Rockefeller. This company and man almost defy characterization -- Elon,... Bezos, Gates, Buffett... they've got nothing on old John D. Not only was Rockefeller the wealthiest person in modern human history, his company wrote the blueprint for today's corporations and everything we now know about business and capitalism. Pull up a chair and get ready to hear how this hillbilly, nobody kid from the sticks grew up to became the richest person in the world, creating a legend along the way that would become the American Dream...Sponsors:ServiceNow: https://bit.ly/acqsnaiagentsHuntress: https://bit.ly/acqhuntressVanta: https://bit.ly/acquiredvantaMore Acquired!:Get email updates with hints on next episode and follow-ups from recent episodesJoin the SlackSubscribe to ACQ2Merch Store!Links:Episode sources: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1X7oskTGkPX_rIKqZFlN49USR20Ii6C9p2SJCGzEXHLU/edit?usp=sharing Carve Outs:There Will Be Blood: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0469494/Deadwood: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0348914/SB Nation's Secret Base Atlanta Falcons series: https://youtu.be/Lx_ORMhpmoU Note: Acquired hosts and guests may hold assets discussed in this episode. This podcast is not investment advice, and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. You should do your own research and make your own independent decisions when considering any financial transactions.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
So, history and facts going up through 1890. Welcome to Season 9, Episode 4 of Acquired, the podcast about great technology companies
and the stories and playbooks behind them. I'm Ben Gilbert, and I'm the co-founder and
managing director of Seattle-based Pioneer Square Labs and our venture fund, PSL Ventures.
And I'm David Rosenthal, and I am an angel investor based in San Francisco.
And we are your hosts. Today's episode is 150 years in the making.
David, somehow we missed this IPO, if or when it happened.
Can we still get secondary shares? Put together a little SPV?
I think it might be of a spinoff or something like that at this point.
Okay.
At least the Standard Oil that we will cover today never IPO'd.
It was privately held the whole time.
Its financials were kept very secret.
That must be why we have missed it until now, David, surely.
Ah, yeah, must be, must be.
Well, this episode on Standard Oil is, of course, the oil monopoly founded in the 1870s
by John D. Rockefeller,
the wealthiest person in modern human history. Embarrassingly, until I had started to do the
research, I didn't realize the oil in Standard Oil did not refer to gasoline, at least until
much, much later in the life of the company. Automobiles? Model T was like 1910 or so.
Totally. Standard Oil predates the Ford Model T by like 40 years.
Yeah.
John D becomes the wealthiest person in modern human history before gasoline.
This is a different kind of oil.
Yeah.
Gasoline helped later.
Turns out compounding can kind of show up, especially when the second business line gets
layered on top, but we will get into it.
Listeners, the other thing that is crazy that I want to point out, I didn't realize how much
Standard Oil is very much with us today. Despite being famously broken up, the parts went on to
become both Exxon and Mobil, Marathon, Amoco, which of course is now a part of BP, Chevron,
and several other companies. When you look at a gas station, you are probably looking at some remnant of Standard Oil.
Just wild.
So this one will be at least a two-parter. It turns out the company responsible for
creating the entire modern energy industry has a lot of wild stories.
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notes or going to servicenow.com slash AI dash agents. All right. Well, listeners, before David
takes us in, as always, this show is not investment advice. David and I may have investments in the
companies we discuss. Unlikely in this case. This is for information, entertainment. Let us know if
you find the
Standard Oil stock ticker. We'd love to go check it out and evaluate. No, without further ado,
Standard Oil. Maybe PitchBook has some data on them. All right. I just want to give a lot of love
to Ron Chernow, who is one of America's greatest historians, biographer of hamilton he wrote the book that
hamilton's based on the play right that hamilton is based on yep and also wrote titan the definitive
biography of john davis and rockefeller that is the main source for this episode it's so good it's
so good and uh i think the perfect place to start is with one of Churnow's quotes at the very beginning
in the introduction to Titan, where he says, the story of John D. Rockefeller transports us back
to a time when industrial capitalism was raw and new in America, and the rules of the game
were unwritten as yet. I think more than anything we've covered on this show,
Standard Oil wrote the rules. The way business is done.
The way business is done. The unwritten rules. They wrote the unwritten rules.
And then Congress wrote the rules about them, but we'll get to that.
The era that we should think of here, this isn't the wild, wild west. This is the wild,
wild east. We're 30 40 years
after our nation was founded here in the early 1800s the freaking civil war hasn't even happened
yet nope no texas no california yeah certainly early in corporate law but we're early in like
all forms of human organization in the united states law what is law uh speaking of okay so we start in 1810 in ancram new york which is
actually like not that far from manhattan but back in those days was a different world we start there
with the birth of william avery rockefeller big bill he would also go on to have another nickname. His other nickname was Devil Bill, which he got because of his profession that he would grow up to participate.
Of course, we're talking about John Rockefeller's father here.
Devil Bill, Big Bill, was literally a snake oil salesman.
You know, people use the term like, oh, Ben, he's a snake oil salesman.
This is where the term comes from. He sold medicines out of his pack that he rode into town on a horse that professed to be a doctor, but didn't do anything.
And then he got out of town before anybody realized.
So one day when he is 26 years old in 1836, he rolls into a new unsuspecting community to offload his goods on, shall we say,
Richford, New York, far, far, far away in central New York state. There, he encounters the Davison
family. The Davisons are quite unlike Bill and the Rockefeller clan. They're upstanding.
They are upstanding.
They are devout, religious, Christian followers.
They have a different moral compass than Bill, shall we say.
Well, yeah, and they're wealthy.
That is the other thing.
They are quite wealthy.
So Bill's, Wild Bill's, Young Bill's, Big Bill's eyes light up when he sees the davison ranch and he uh
so the story goes i think this is actually true one of his like sort of tricks of the trade if
you will was he would pretend to be deaf and he would carry like a chalk slate around his neck
and write on it and pretend to be deaf and couldn't speak and he's at the davison house and
he's doing this little charade and he hears the second eldest daughter of the davisons woman named eliza pretty young girl say
i would marry that man if he weren't deaf and dumb and miraculously oh my god the beauty of Beauty of young Eliza cures Bill of his affliction and he can speak and he can hear.
Amazing.
So the patriarch of the Davison family, one John Davison, remember that name?
He's a little suspicious of what's going on here.
But nonetheless, Bill woos Eliza and they are married shortly thereafter.
They get married.
They settle down.
Bill builds a house shack.
Literally, people built their houses back then a little ways down the road.
Bill's like, well, we need a housekeeper here.
And I've got this old friend, Nancy.
Why don't we have Nancy move in with us and be our housekeeper?
Well, it turns out Nancy was his girlfriend.
Yeah.
Oh, this old friend.
She could help with the kids, the housekeeping.
All right.
So we're painting the picture here.
You've got this unbelievable swirling concoction of well-to-do, religious, by-the-book mom
side of the family, dad side of the family, not quite as upstanding of a human being.
But here they mix. And one July evening, all of these forces swirl together. And July 8th,
1839, Eliza gives birth to her second child. It's the first son. They decide to name this child after Eliza's father, who was John
Davison. They named the boy John Davison Rockefeller. And oh boy, does little JD have a
lot of both John Davison and Wild Bill Rockefeller in him. So on the Rockefckefeller side little john is like totally captivated totally dotes on him he thinks
he's the best he would even for like the rest of his life rockefeller would intensely defend his
father chernow would write that in no area did bill impress his eldest son more or did his eldest son more, or did his eldest son prove more impressionable than in the magical realm of
money? Big Bill had an almost sensual love of cash and enjoyed flashing plump rolls of bills.
And indeed, one of Bill's companions at the time would say of him,
quote, the old man had a passion for money that amounted almost to a craze. I never
met a man who had such a love of money, except of course, for his son in the future.
And this is where we start to get into the ways in which his son would become like him,
but different. And the like him is, of course, in this love for making as much money as possible.
The way in which it is different,
you know, Bill would come back from these trips and he would have a fat wad of cash and he would
take the $100 bill and he would put it on the outside. He'd make sure that everybody knew that
there was at least one, maybe lots of hundreds in this fat wad of cash. Whereas John D would grow
up and detest shows of wealth. I mean, the smallest house on the nicest street in Cleveland,
he mixes his mother's side of the family into these lessons from his father.
Oh, totally. Well, so speaking of his mother, the Davisons were Baptists. And that was,
well, not unique, but pretty different than some of the original Protestant groups that had come
to America a generation or two before.
The Baptists, you think church revivals, you think big, showy, theatrical. The whole point was to
evangelize and to recruit. They didn't think that they were the chosen people that were going off
to the new land to be by themselves. They're like, no, no, we're going to take over the world here.
We want everybody on our side. It was an evangelical religion.
So here's where these two sides of John's maternal and paternal sides here seem like oil and water.
Oil and water.
Oh, David.
They're not.
The Baptists are all about the money.
They think money is also great. They just think it's great for a different reason,
which is that the more money, the more influence, the more followers we can recruit into the fold.
And this also has a huge impact on JD. He would say later, quote, I believe the power to make
money is a gift from God, just as are the instincts for art, music, and literature to be developed and
used to the best of our ability for the good of mankind. Having been endowed with the gift I
possess, the gift to make money, I believe it is my duty to make money and steal more money and to
use the money I make for the good of my fellow man. Boom. I mean, duty. He heard the word duty in there about making money that is God has asked him to go forth
and make as much money as humanly possible.
It is this incredibly unique thing about John D. Rockefeller, where when you describe him
as one of the wealthiest businessmen of all time and a philanthropist. It's very different
than the way that you would describe today's billionaires as wealthy people. And it's not
one then the other. It's not career and then philanthropy. John Dee held these things to be
intertwined, that he should go make as much money as possible and to be simultaneously incredibly
philanthropic. And the purpose of making this money was to be
philanthropic as if he were a better charitable allocator than anybody.
In every dimension, wealth, power, control, philanthropy, impact, John Dee makes Bill Gates or Mark Zuckerberg look like children. It's wild. So in 1853, when John is 14 and just on the cusp
of manhood, Bill swoops in, comes back from one of his trips, and announces that he is going to move
the family away from New York to Ohio, specifically to Strongville, which Ben, as you know, is right next to Cleveland.
For sure. Strongsville, Ohio. It's one of many wonderful suburbs of the Cleveland area.
Yeah. This is like your homecoming, this episode.
It's true. A lot of this episode takes place in places that were within a half-hour drive
of where I grew up. Oh, so great. So the stated reason for the move is that Bill wants to
go open new territories for his business. But there's actually another reason, which is he's
got another new girlfriend back in New York named Margaret, and he wants to keep the families more
separate. But he wants to marry this new girlfriend. And he's like, this is the world
that America was back then. He's like, well, if I just get a state border between the two of them, great. I don't see why
I can't have two wives. That's true. There's no internet. State registries are probably pretty
hard to go look something up in a different state. So they moved to Ohio. And at first,
before Bill marries his second wife concurrently, Margaret, he sends John and his little brother
William to a boarding house in Cleveland to go to a real high school in Cleveland.
And that goes on for about two years. And then when Bill actually marries Margaret,
he sends a letter to John and says, you know, this schooling thing and the plans have changed and I can't really pay anymore for
you and William to go to school. So I'm basically deputizing you now as head of household and
you're going to have to drop out and get a job and find a way to support the family.
Best of luck, son. Talk about a wild thing to just hear and totally hijack your life plans.
Totally. And this really was not what John was planning, but he decides, remember,
he's got this love of money. He's like, well, what can I do to make money? Well,
what if I stay close to the money? So he pays $40 and does a three-month crash course over the summer
in bookkeeping and decides that he's going to become a bookkeeper. And this is going to be
his path to supporting the family. Ever the sensible fellow, when he finishes his training
and he's off to go get a job, he decides that the way he's going to job search is he gets a directory
of all the businesses in Cleveland. And he looks up what their credit ratings are and decides that he's
only going to target the ones with the best credit ratings. He's smart.
To the extent that he thinks that the access to capital is the thing that he wants to be close to,
you may as well only be a part of businesses with the best access to capital.
Strength leads to strength, right? So the story goes that he pounds the pavement for
six weeks. He goes to every firm on his list. They all reject him, but he's undeterred. And
he just starts back up at the top. So he goes to see all these companies, like at least two,
some of them three times. Finally, one company, the partnership of Hewitt and Tuttle, they probably
just get so tired of this little kid, the 16-year-old kid banging on their door
that they're like, all right, fine.
You can start.
You can work here.
You can be a junior bookkeeper.
This happens on September 26th, 1855.
And get this, for the rest of Rockefeller's life,
he celebrates September 26th as his job day.
I love this. Like More sacred than the birthday.
Job day was the day. It's like the day he was baptized into capitalism by being able to make money in the world. Absolutely. And literally, it's like this is the big deal every year in
his life. It's bigger than the birthday. It's job day. Except he's starting in labor, not in capital, but he makes the transition pretty
quick. Don't worry. So he gets to work. He becomes basically the best bookkeeper that history had
seen before or since, at least until Pilot. Chernow writes about this. John betrayed a special
affinity for accounting and an almost mystic faith in numbers. For
Rockefeller, ledgers were sacred books that guided decisions and saved one from fallible
emotion. Well, of course they're sacred. The numbers in the books are money. It's the divine,
you know, God-given path to be close to the money and get as much of it as possible.
Absent the divinity, this is very Buffett-esque. I mean, at a young age, having this sort of respect and obsession with the numbers.
Supposedly, when John was a younger kid, he would also go to the general store and buy a
big block of candy and cut it up into little pieces and then sell the little pieces around
to other kids. Yeah, just like Buffett and gum, right? Yep. Sticks of gum.
Yep.
So he goes to work in this firm.
Now, what is Hewitt and Tuttle?
They are a merchant trading firm that specializes in produce commodities, like foodstuffs, like things that people would eat, you know, meat, vegetables, produce stuff that's coming off
of the farms going into
cities like Cleveland. I assume they mostly dealt in foodstuffs that came into Cleveland to then be
sold in stores and consumed by the newly rising urban populace.
So John Dee is rising quickly through the ranks. Pretty much immediately, they give him a 50%
raise because he's doing so well, even his
little kid. In the beginning of 1857, so not quite two years after John joins the firm, Tuttle,
the junior partner, leaves to go seek his own fortunes out from under the thumb of the senior
partner, Hewitt. And Hewitt's like, all right, well, John, you're my new partner. Not partner, but you're going to take Tuttle's role here.
John is like, well, that's nice. Are you going to pay me like a partner?
And Hewitt's like, dude, you're like 17 years old. Like, no. John is undeterred though. This
is pretty crazy. So he's like head of household supporting his family. He's already making a lot of money. He's got this great role. But the next year in 1858, he's like, I think I'm doing
the work of a partner in a merchant trading firm. I'm going to go be a partner in a merchant
trading firm. So he hooks up with a much older gentleman named Maurice Clark that he had met
doing his bookkeeping training. And they go in 50-50 on a new merchant firm called Clark and Rockefeller.
And like doing the same thing, still produce and meats and trading foodstuff.
Exactly. Foodstuffs, produce. Things go like okay at first for a couple of years.
What is this, like 1859-60?
Yeah, 59-60. They managed between the two of them to put $4,000 in capital into the firm to start the trading operations, which was a lot of money.
And Rockefeller put in half of it.
It wasn't Rockefeller finding ways to borrow from Devil Bill.
Devil Bill definitely had his sticky fingers in all this.
That is for sure.
So things go okay, but they have some losses. They
actually have to bring in a third partner, I think in 1860, to sort of shore up some losses
and bring more capital into the firm. And just to put a point on that, the reason the capital
is so important is they basically need to have enough on hand to basically make the purchases
and then hold the inventory until they can go and sell it. There's a cash
flow cycle there that they need to have enough capital to be able to manage that cash flow cycle.
Yep. So, you know, things are going okay. And then 1861, something big happens in America.
Something very big. The North goes to war with the South.
Yeah. Fort Sumter, the Civil War. One, Rockefeller
doesn't fight in the Civil War despite being, what would he be, 21, 22 years old at that point
in time, like prime fighting age. He hires a substitute. There was technically a loophole.
He was, if you were head of family, you didn't have to fight. Rockefeller's careful in how he
messages the strife going on in his family.
He never throws his data to the bus.
He always holds everyone at least outwardly in the highest of esteem.
And so the way that he sort of drops a hint here at some point is he says, how could I
go fight in the war when the business would die?
It was young.
It was fledgling.
And so many relied on it.
And that's sort of him alluding to like, look, like my whole family kind of needs this business
to stay alive.
Yeah.
So he doesn't go fight.
But for his business that he needs to survive, the war is a pretty big boon for commodity
prices, specifically foodstuff prices.
I mean, you got to supply an army with food somehow.
Yeah, there are a lot more orders in demand for pork belly and the like coming in,
thanks to the war.
So this drives up the price of foodstuffs through the roof. In 1862, the first full year of the war, the firm, Clark and Rockefeller,
they make a trading profit of $17,000, which I believe was four times all the money that they had made in all the previous years of operations of the firm.
They are living large.
They're swimming in profits.
They can't buy enough.
They got to put this money somewhere.
So what do they do? Well, right around this time, people in Cleveland are starting to hear about an interesting development that's happening not too, too far away in western Pennsylvania in a tiny little hamlet called Titusville. Ben's obviously smiling here. Some of you are maybe smiling.
Yeah, I just did a zillion hours of...
But probably most of you are like,
what are you talking about here?
Like Titusville, Pennsylvania?
Like, I have no idea where you're going with this.
Everyone knows, David, that the center of the oil world
is not the Middle East or Russia or Alaska or Texas,
but Western Pennsylvania.
Western Pennsylvania. That's right. So I had no freaking clue until reading Titan
doing the research for this episode. For decades, the entire center of the oil industry in the world
was this small little town. For like 50 years.
Like literally, I mean, there were some producers, some oil rigs elsewhere, but like very small,
like most of the oil in the world came from Titusville, Pennsylvania.
Yeah, crazy.
Just wild. And not just Titusville, but Oil Creek and other areas of Western PA that had oil discovers.
So this is all going on.
It's not that far away from Cleveland.
For the first couple of years of this going on up until the Civil War, the whole industry
is just based there in Titusville.
They drill for the oil.
The oil comes out of the ground.
They refine the oil.
They make kerosene.
When we say they were refining, it was a pretty rough process.
I think pretty early they figured out you could use
sulfuric acid to refine and separate the kerosene out, but a crap ton of sulfuric acid and doing
this in large wooden boxes with cracks in it everywhere, and it's just sloshing around and
spilling all over the ground. It is a gnarly process of quote-unquote refining yeah super super gnarly but right as rockefeller and
clark have all this money that they need to have something to do with people come up with the idea
like so the with the oil they're refining it into kerosene kerosene the main use was to burn in
lamps and where do you need lamps and artificial light more than anywhere else? You need it in cities. People realize you don't actually have to refine the oil in the same place that you
drill for the oil.
So all of a sudden now, people are like, wait, wait, we can buy the oil that comes out of
the ground, crude oil from Titusville, bring it into our cities, refine it in the cities,
and then sell the kerosene in the city.
That's a really good business. That's a good place to park some capital.
Totally. And at the same time, all these interesting tailwinds are happening where
cities are blowing up. I mean, you have this industrial revolution that's happening where
people don't just live in rural areas and farm anymore. There's starting to be a lot more
industry in cities. You have,
for a while, only rich people could basically get oil to burn at night. Most people would just,
the sun would go down and then they'd have no light and they'd go to bed. But whale oil-
And then they would use whale oil, yeah, for the whaling industry.
Which, isn't that where Hathaway of Berkshire Hathaway-
Yes, that's where Hathaway of Berkshire Hathaway came from.
But kerosene's way cheaper than whale oil, which had a massive shortage.
And it's obviously terrible that we kill whales to harvest the whale oil.
Like way cheaper, way more plentiful.
It's a pretty clean thing to burn relative to the other stuff that people were trying to burn.
This is huge.
And the keyword, you said, it's cheaper, of course,
easier to drill into the ground than go like harpoon a whale.
Yeah, this is an infinite resource here.
Yeah, totally.
But the plentiful is the key word.
So like you said, it was only rich people that used whaling oil that they could have
light at night.
But the new demand, like with the Civil War going on, the war, and then industrialization
afterwards, you need light for commerce for like industry
like it's not just so that rich people can have light you need to like operate factories and like
do all this stuff you need light so there's a lot of demand and kerosene is the answer
so rockefeller is like oh okay cool like This is a new commodity. They start trading a little bit in this, Clark and Rockefeller.
They start making some profits.
But of course, Rockefeller is feeling a little hesitant to do too much of it because he's
like, ah, this is speculative.
Who knows when this will dry up?
And there've already been some boom bust cycles in this.
Food stuffs are kind of our thing.
So I don't want to dabble too much in this speculative weird oil thing and i think initially they were trading crude but then like i said people start
to realize wait a minute we can refine in the cities and this is like really like early knowledge
this would be like in uh i don't know 2011 if somebody came to you and were like, hey, there's this thing called Bitcoin.
And now don't just buy it, but I know how to set up rigs to mine it.
Why don't we just take some old computers you have and mine it?
So this is really hard to get knowledge.
And it just so happens that the one guy in Cleveland, a guy named Samuel Andrews, who
knows how to refine oil, is buds with Rockefeller's
partner, Clark. Well, that works out. He's like a chemist, right? He's a chemist. Yeah. Chemist
in quotes here. Well, but there's like real science involved in like applying the sulfuric acid and,
you know, separating the kerosene from the gasoline and other crap that's left over that you don't
have anything to do with. Which, by the way, they just pour that stuff into the river.
Oh, totally. In fact, this is a fun little Cleveland trivia. The Cuyahoga River caught
fire many times. There's this Great Lakes Brewing Company beer called Burning River Ale.
And this is where it comes from. Totally, because under the cover of night,
these refineries would have all this extra gasoline left over.
Cars wouldn't be a thing for 30, 40 more years.
They thought the gasoline was like useless and they would just like drip it into the river.
Yeah.
Oh.
Awful.
God, just wild.
Just wild.
So Andrew's the chemist who knows how to refine kerosene.
He's buds with Clark.
He goes to Clark one day in the office, the chemist who knows how to refine kerosene, he's buds with Clark. He goes to Clark
one day in the office, the merchant office that they have. And he asked him, he's like,
hey, I think it'd be a pretty good investment. I know how to do this. Nobody else around here
really knows how to do this. I think it'd be a good investment. Why don't you invest in me and
we'll set up a refinery and we'll start refining here in Cleveland. So the story goes that Clark is like, look, I'm not too interested in this.
But Rockefeller overhears what's going on.
And he pipes in and he's like, hey, actually, I think that's not a bad idea.
I'm interested in that.
And Clark, of course, knows that Rockefeller is really good at this stuff.
And he's like, OK, fine.
They turn around.
They invest $4,000 on the spot to go set up a new refinery. Wow. So later that year, they open the Excelsior
Works Refinery in a strategically chosen spot in town. Ben, you'll probably know exactly where
this is. In the flats, right? Yeah. I think in the flats, it's an area that has access both to the Cuyahoga River
and to the terminus of new rail lines that are going into Cleveland.
Yeah. And super industrial area. Actually, in the last few years,
there's been an amazing amount of renovation and cool stuff that's going on there. So you
have this interesting confluence of the river and like everything left over
from the standard oil days and like the steel boom that happened in Cleveland and now this
redevelopment.
But yeah, it's totally the city area that's up against the waterfront.
Huh.
Interesting.
We'll have to go do a field trip there.
For sure.
We'll do a trova trip.
So he is like a pig in mud here.
I mean, he was a bookkeeper.
He's so meticulous.
He loves money.
He loves profit.
He was focused on trading before, but now he's got this operation, this refinery.
And he becomes like, literally, he's like the Morris Chang of oil refineries.
He's experimenting with constantly tweaking the process. Andrews,
the chemist is like, dude, I'm like the technical talent, but Rockefeller is like everything around
it. The operations, how crude comes in, where things are located in the factory. He's AB
testing. He's doing all sorts of stuff. He's always looking at any efficiency and it's all
with a view to it. It's not just better is good, but it's all with a view to profitability. We want to run this as lean as possible,
make as much money. God told me to make a profit, and I am here to make a profit.
By the way, put a pin in that Morris Chang thing, because there's an interesting way that they are
very much like TSMC that I want to talk about later.
So he's focused. This is so different.
There are other people that are setting up refineries in Cleveland and elsewhere,
but they don't care about optimization.
They don't care about efficiency.
They're just like, look, hey, it's a gold rush.
Give me the gold and I'll just take as much of it as possible.
If it goes away tomorrow, that's fine.
Yep.
High margin dollars just flying out of the ground.
All of this, the behavior of the other folks, this causes huge gyrations in price. It really
is. It's like the early days of Bitcoin. I mean, still today in crypto, things are
flying around all the time. Prices could be $12 a barrel. They could be 12 cents a barrel for oil.
And it all depends on two things. One is who found what? And two is what do people believe people have found recently? And so prices would be impacted by word of mouth traveling and saying, hey, I heard there's a big gusher going on in this city right now. And people would be like, well, I guess I'm make, the more money and more capital I can put into this, the more oil I can hold, the more I can produce. And when the price crashes, I'll just keep buying. He buys the dip over and over and over again. And because his operations are so much more efficient and so much more
profitable, he can afford to pay more than anybody else. He can afford to hold this stuff longer.
He's really thinking long term in a way that none of his other competitors are.
Oh, and we should say, when we say he's tweaking stuff, he's so much more profitable, he is both horizontally and vertically integrating. So let's talk about vertically integrating first. He's doing things like realizing, geez, we're hiring a lot of plumbers to come in and lay this pipe every time we do a build out. And so they do things like hire their own plumber and hire their own blacksmiths and
decide, actually, we should do this ourselves.
And that way we can save all this money on piping instead of buying it from a third party
contractor.
Later down the road, he even plants a forest, like buys up a forest so that they can cut
down the trees themselves to build the barrels out of.
To make their own barrels.
Yeah.
Oh my gosh, this is so great.
All this money rather than buying barrels from somebody else.
And then, of course, they can innovate on the barrel making process.
So he figures out, oh, if we treat the wood in the forest,
then it's lighter and cheaper to ship back to the refinery.
So we save all this money on transportation.
So that's like the vertical integration side of things, which would be crazy enough. But he's figuring out that,
wait, we do this process. How can we sort of use the whole buffalo? What can we sell the gasoline
for? I think they invent Vaseline. Yes. I think they buy the company that invents Vaseline. But
yeah, they like petroleum jelly, which is one of the byproducts. They commercialize it. So Rockefeller, he's found his calling here. This is divine passion here. There's just one
problem, which is the partner, Clark. Clark is not so into how much capital Rockefeller is tying up in the business here. He's like,
hey, we're like merchant traders. The point is profits. And then we keep the profits.
And Rockefeller's like, no, reinvest in R&D and CapEx and inventory. So Rockefeller starts going
around all the banks and all the financers in Cleveland and lining up.
He's not even using just the profits from their operations. He's getting more external financing to finance growth here. Oh, totally. When I say both vertically and horizontally integrating,
in the horizontal sense, he is obsessed with trying to figure out how to be the sole supplier
of oil to the world. As soon as he figures out
that there's economies of scale here, he's like, okay, cool. How do we start the flywheel,
get as much capital as possible, build out as much production as possible,
start having agreements with whoever's got rights to the land as possible,
so we can start vending to the world. Yep. And own this super strategic choke point of refining in cities.
So Clark is spooked by all this.
Chernow has this amazing quote that he finds from Rockefeller.
I don't know where he found this.
I should look up in the notes at the end of Titan.
This is so good.
Rockefeller apparently wrote or said this at some point.
Clark was an old grandmother and was scared to death because
we owed money to the banks. So great. So Rockefeller engineers a coup.
This is so good.
And some of Clark's brothers are also partners in the business at this point in time.
They get into all these arguments. So John baits them one day into threatening that they should
just dissolve the partnership. And John's like, okay threatening that they should just dissolve the partnership
and John's like okay great let's dissolve the partnership because he knows that if he goes
to them and says look first of all I don't think you are risk tolerant enough second of all I don't
think you're upstanding and so I want out like he knows that he loses leverage by doing that
so that's why he baits them into doing their normal thing of getting all up in a fit and
saying, we're going to back out.
Yep, totally.
So Rockefeller immediately goes to the local paper and places a notice that the partnership
is dissolving and that there's going to be an auction for the assets of the partnership,
including the oil refineries.
And it sets up this showdown where the Clark brothers and Rockefeller bid against each other for each
other's 50% stake in the business. Which is, by the way, a great way to do it. If you've got a
partnership that's blowing up, all right, whoever wants to pay more to buy the other person out is
the person that should get to own the whole thing. And so the idea of a bidding war between the two
of them to figure out how to value the business makes total sense. Between the two principles. So Rockefeller,
though, remember, he's been going and getting the relationships with all the banks and financiers.
He lines up financing in advance of the auction. So he's got basically unlimited
resources, although it's still the price ends up stressing him out.
He buys Clark's 50% of the oil business for $72,500.
And in exchange also gives Clark, Rockefeller gives Clark his 50% share of the produce trading.
Which by the way, that's something he probably buys him out for like
three to $4 million, something like that in 2021.
Yeah.
So good chunk of change.
Yeah.
But that 50%, that $72,500 or however you want to think about it, that's 50% of Standard Oil right there.
Wow.
Rockefeller would say later, it was the day that determined my career.
Probably bigger than job day.
I felt the bigness of it, but I was as calm as I am talking to you now.
And this is what we're going to see. This man has ice.
Not ice water,
literally solid ice running through his veins.
It's crazy.
So this was a big price.
It was more than Rockefeller wanted to pay.
But this happens in 1865,
in the beginning of February of 1865,
back to what's going on in America.
Two months later,
General Lee surrenders to grant and the civil war is over and with the civil war over what's less important
commodity produce trading and what is all of a sudden a hell of a lot more important
oil industry urbanizationization, everything.
Well, because all these soldiers are coming back and getting jobs in factories.
Like you have sort of an industrial boom here.
And it's interesting how Rockefeller is sort of obsessed with I'm not a speculator.
You know, I'm not one of these people rushing to prospect, you know, various plots of land
in Western Pennsylvania.
It's funny that it's,
I would say, a picks and shovels play. I guess the point to make here is he's doing the predictable,
reliable, stable, very strategic part of the value chain. He's not out prospecting land.
Yeah. To just doubly underscore strategic, did Rockefeller know the war was going to end in two months? I mean, probably. I think Sherman's probably marching to the sea at this point.
So Chernow writes, quote, the war had stimulated growth in the use of kerosene by cutting off the
supply of southern turpentine, which had yielded a rival illuminant called a campene. The war had
also disrupted the whaling industry and led to a doubling of whale oil prices.
Moving into the vacuum, kerosene emerged as an economic staple and was primed for a furious post-war boom.
This burning fluid extended the day in cities and removed much of the lonely darkness from rural life.
Soon, John D. Rockefeller would reign as the undisputed king of that world
so he's now got the oil operations the refining business all to himself
december of 1865 the war is over all this is going on he opens a second refinery in cleveland
next to the excelsior works the The new name that he really chooses,
he wants to let everybody know that his oil, his kerosene, his business, his operations
is going to be bigger than anyone else. It's going to be the best quality and it is going to
rain from sea to sea. What does he call the new operation?
Standard oil. rain from sea to sea what does he call the new operation standard oil well at first it's the factory is the standard works and then it becomes oh really yeah the first refinery was the excelsior
works and then the standard works is the name that he chooses the standard he's setting the standard
and importantly yeah it's about setting industry standards. I mean, for him, he was observing, I know I'm hammering home on this like speculators and cowboys thing,
but like, especially after the war, you've got all these soldiers who are trying to figure out
what to do with their lives. And they're going and they're working and drilling. And so you have
all these people that have, I think in the book, it refers to someone with a gun and a canteen and
their plot of land in Pennsylvania. And I think Rockefeller book it refers to someone with a gun and a canteen and their plot of land
in Pennsylvania.
And I think Rockefeller is basically observing that the kerosene that could power the world
is volatile in price.
People are scared that it's not safe because it's being refined in questionable ways.
And so people's houses are burning down.
There's not professionalization in the kerosene industry
the way that he wants to bring it. So this notion of standard is almost like the TSMC chip yield
thing. Everything that comes off of our mind is super high quality. Totally. That is exactly the
same analogy. This is not necessarily easy stuff to do. They're going to set the standard.
And by the way, at this point, he's now figured out that he can run the factory on gasoline. Oh, I didn't realize that. So the
standard oil factories are burning less coal than their competitors and using the gasoline byproduct.
Oh, that's so great. So they're literally feeding themselves. Yep. So you said something a minute
ago when you're talking about this, you said selling this oil, this kerosene to the world.
So by the very next year in 1866, America is a big market and is going to grow hugely, especially after the Civil War.
But do you know what's a bigger market?
The rest of the world.
Especially at this point in time.
I mean, America is not America yet. It's probably 30, 40 million people. Yeah. Maybe if that. All right. You keep talking. I'm going to
Google this. Okay. Okay. Great. So by the very next year in 1866, the fledgling standard oil
company is already selling two thirds of their kerosene overseas,
primarily to Europe. So like one-third domestic, two-thirds international already.
31 million people in 1865.
Wow. So they're selling most of their oil overseas. Rockefeller dispatches his little
brother, William, who's now working in the business, to New York City to go
handle all of the export business for Standard Oil. Do you know the story about when he needed
to raise, I think it was $50,000? Ooh, I don't know.
Oh, yeah. Well, it's a great story. So this is in Chernow's book. Rockefeller has a
bit of his father in him, sort of a flair for showmanship. And he really needs $15,000. He
needs a loan pretty quickly. And he's sort of looking around for financiers for it. And he
dresses very nicely, and he presents himself nicely, and he walks in areas where he's sure
to bump into people. And at some point, someone stops his carriage and looks over and says, oh, Mr. Rockefeller, could you use a $50,000
loan? And of course, Rockefeller is like, jackpot. And he sort of looks at him like without breaking
and he looks at him, he goes, hmm, could you give me 24 hours to think it over? And of course,
by doing that, he gets like the best terms on the loan.
It's like, I'm not sure I really need this.
He's unbelievable at getting his hands on way more capital at way better terms than
other people would be able to.
Oh, so good. Now that William's in New York and the family has got operations in New York. They can get like, oh, Mr. Sir Rockefellers,
could you use $250,000 or $500,000? So pretty soon they're bringing a bazooka to a fist fight
with the other refiners out there. And it's kind of like this whole part of the story just reminded
me so much of the Uber days. You remember when Uber went out and raised all that money?
Totally.
Oh, we're going to flatten Lyft and DD and all the global competitors that like, oh, it was totally it was the Uber playbook, except it really worked.
Yep. Right after William goes to New York, the sort of, shall we say, Emile Michael character of Standard Oil.
You're stretching a metaphor here, David.
All right, I'm stretching it too far.
But an interesting, colorful character comes into the fold in the fledgling Standard Oil empire.
I've been posting on Twitter all the fun stuff just because I've been enjoying this research so much. And I posted about this guy, Henry Morrison Flagler, on Twitter. And Andy Sparks replied to my tweet with, I think, the best one-liner about Flagler possible. He says, quote, Flagler was savage. And he was really like, you know, Rockefeller, he's driven by this divine calling.
He's willing to go to the mat. He's willing to do just about whatever.
But it was Flagler and then some of the other lieutenants that he brought in that were like,
they're the ones who did the dirty work. Oh, yeah. Because Rockefeller, he needed to preserve plausible deniability left,
right, and center, especially once they figured out all the business tactics that
were really going to let them press their advantage. He had some very bad lieutenants,
so he could stay as plausibly good as possible. Rockefeller was for sure the one pulling the
strings. So Flagler ends up coming into the
business because he has a wealthy relative named stephen harkness who hears about what's going on
and wants to invest like equity dollars into this new standard operation so he invests a hundred
thousand dollars in the operation which oh my goodness like i didn't actually find like what the net worth
of the harkness family ends up being because of this but like enormous yeah it has to be just
generational wealth and his sort of one term that he asked for as part of investing is that he wants
i think maybe flagler was his nephew or something he wants flagler to join the firm as treasurer to
quote keep an eye on his investment.
And so Flagler joins and literally, this is what I tweeted, he keeps a quote on his desk at Standard Oil for all the time he's working there.
The quote says, do unto others as they would do unto you and do it first.
Oh my goodness so flagler takes over the negotiations for shipping of oil with the
railroads if you know anything about standard oil you can see where this is going when rockefeller
was running negotiations with the railroads he always was able to get pretty good rates, shipping rates, because he
had a BATNA being there in Cleveland on Lake Erie. Totally. During the summer months and the spring
and fall, we can ship way cheaper by sending it out by water. By water. Yep. So all the crude
coming in from Titusville to be refined in Cleveland at Standard could come in over the
water or by rail. And then when it was going out to then go off to the rest of the country and the
rest of the world, he had another option. Flagler, he's like, oh, this is nice. That's cute.
Let's exercise our power a different way.
Yeah. What about if we go to the railroads and we're like, hey guys, it's really expensive
to operate these railroads. What would you say if we were to guarantee a really, really,
really large amount of minimum shipments of oil that we'll do with you in exchange for us
guaranteeing you guys an unbelievable amount of volume that we'll do on your railroads, you give us an
equally unbelievable shipping rate, like cost of doing this. The railroads are like, yeah,
that sounds good. Except the railroads are like, wait a minute, but you don't make that much oil.
Where's all this oil going to come from? Well, specifically, the railroads think this sounds
really good because with the amount of volume that they're talking about, this means they can run dedicated
lines of just oil tank cars. So not mixed trains with box cars and oil cars, just oil tanks
between Titusville and Cleveland with no stops. So if you think about operating a railroad,
if you have different types of product that you're loading on to the train, that takes more time and money.
They were being forced to stop to pick up one car and add it to the train.
Exactly. And then all these stops, that just adds up. It costs money. Time is money here.
So they love this. But as you said, Ben, they're like, well, how... Henry, this is
a great idea, but how are you going to do it? You don't have enough capacity. the same amount of money on like 40 or something just like dramatically smaller and the other thing
is standard oil has started to like really build up some credibility here because when people were
putting oil on trains before they were sloshing around in like open wooden boxes and like standard
oil pioneered hey we're gonna put them in like tanks and then eventually metal tanks and it
really like professionalized the and eventually we going to make railroad cars that are like the car
itself is just a tank. And fast forwarding a little bit like, oh, railroads, what if we made
those tanks for you? But we're getting ahead of ourselves. So Flago's like, don't worry, guys,
I got this. So he goes around to all the other refiners like everybody else
in cleveland and he's like hey guys i have negotiated a great rate for all of us do y'all
want to come on board together and we'll all like pool our uh shipments that we're all getting in
from titusville and uh by doing this all together, we've got this great rate. And this is an offer that
they can't refuse. And not only can they sort of not refuse it because, uh-oh, what happens if we
say no, but this is their major cost driver. They're in a commodity industry at this point.
And so distribution of the oil is actually the big driver of the business. Yep. So, okay. Everybody's
like, well, this is fantastic. i feel like it's like okay great
great let's do this but uh you know one thing let's not write any of this down okay let's just
keep this all as a little gentleman's agreement between all of us and the railroads nobody we
don't need any feds you know sniffing around here fed quote unquote, if there even were any then. Well, basically, if anybody ever asks us if we have an agreement, there's no agreement.
Everybody can look at each other and go, I haven't seen an agreement.
Yep, totally. So this agreement comes to be known as the Lakeshore Agreement,
because the Lakeshore Railroad was the main railroad that they did this with.
And this is huge. So by doing this, until this point in time, Cleveland as a city,
so if you forget the individual companies of which Standard is one within Cleveland, but just think about refining production of oil in America, Cleveland was actually the number two
largest center for oil refining behind Pittsburgh atsburgh at this time once they do this
deal cleveland is like fast-tracked and becomes number one and standard and rockefeller and
flaglet they're like the godfather they're like they just brought all the other families in
cleveland like to heal like they run the collective now and And this starts a playbook of if there's oil leaving the
city, either it's ours or we have some agreement in place where it's good for us, even if it's not
actually ours. And maybe it'll eventually become ours. Yep. So they dominate Cleveland. Cleveland
becomes the number one oil refining center in America. But that's not enough for young Rockefeller. He's got his sights
set on the whole industry, like Pittsburgh, Philadelphia. There is some refining happening
in Titusville, some in West Virginia, some in New York. He wants all of it. So how's he going to do
this? As you alluded to at the top of the show there actually is no legal
framework at this point in time for businesses to operate outside their own states importantly
they cannot own property in other states yeah they can't own property they can't have operations
literally this you know the united states was like this is all changing after the Civil War, but it was United States. The states were the sovereign or near sovereign entities here. the government. I mean, in the days of England and early in the US, incorporating a company,
a corporation was like, the government's granting you a special right to operate this business.
And so already the doors are-
Needed a charter, literally.
Blown wide open that you can just start a company, but we're not yet to the era of like,
oh, I can start a national corporation.
Yep. So they think for a while, this whole little crew at Standard Oil
and Cleveland about how they're going to do this. They know that if they want to consolidate the
whole industry in the whole country, they need A, a lot of capital, and B, an ability to operate
outside the borders of Ohio. So Flagler comes up with this idea. It's financial and corporate law innovation.
Innovation. Did you read about how he comes up with a new structure that they use, or I guess
was an old structure, but that they wasn't very popular, but they turned to the joint stock
company. Did you read about how Flagler, who was not a lawyer, drew the actual like incorporation oh wasn't it on like
a yellow legal pad yeah like on like the equivalent of a yellow legal pad no letterhead
yeah totally which partially i think was just because that's how like this was still you know
wild west type stuff but also i think they didn't want anybody to really know about this they wanted
this to be super secret so flagler comes up with the ideas like these
joint stock companies, which I mean, I think like, wasn't the Dutch East India company a
joint stock company? So he takes this idea, but not many other companies were doing it.
He says, if we were a joint stock company, then we could buy shares in other joint stock companies.
We could also sell shares in ourselves to raise money or to strategic
partners who we might want to have a vested interest in our success. This is interesting.
This might solve some of the capital requirements. Okay. Well, that's interesting.
And also this selling shares to raise equity capital thing, Rockefeller is like,
my God, that is brilliant. How did I not think of this before? Totally. It's Flagler that comes up with this. It's amazing.
So on January 10th, 1870, they abolish the old partnership and they pour all of its
assets into the new joint stock company, the Standard Oil Company of Ohio.
Boom, it's born. They capitalized this new joint stock corporation
with $1 million of liquid assets. That is how enormous this had become already. Unheard of.
I don't think that there was any other organized enterprise in America with that amount of capital,
period. Any other industry, already, that's how big big this is and we're still just getting started
so this doesn't solve the interstate commerce issue though so they come up with another
absolutely brilliant and diabolical plan to solve this which is the trust. And what they decide to do is they say, well, okay, technically,
companies can't own shares in other companies outside the state. But what if we create a trust,
then this trust holds shares in companies all around the country.
The trust could have some trustees that sort of get to decide what happens
with maybe all the companies that roll up to the trust. We can sort of make sure that these
corporations, each of which are nicely situated inside their own state and don't own any property
outside their own state. But like we, the trustees sort of get to decide how those companies might work together.
Yep. And there's no law that says that officers of any given company can't be trustees of a trust
that owns shares in other companies. So this is the loophole around it. So they create this trust
and the trustees just A, dictate to the other companies that they purchase what to do,
but also, B, this is important, all the dividends from all the other companies, the trustees
designate the beneficiaries as the individual shareholders of Standard Oil of Ohio. So nothing
ever touches the actual company, Standard Oil of Ohio. It all goes to the trustees and then to the individual shareholders.
And that's how they get around this.
Interesting.
So the individuals who own the corporation.
Yep.
Literally everybody on the cap table.
Ha, end up being the sort of puppeteer, controller,
and beneficiaries of all these other entities.
So Rockefeller, he's like, oh, this is amazing.
He comes up with the idea that none of them are going to take a salary.
They're going to focus solely on these dividends that are coming in as a source of value and
income, but also even more importantly, focus on the
appreciation of the value of this whole enterprise. This was new thinking. Now,
people are listening to public, yeah, duh, equity. Why else would you join a startup?
Why else would you start a company or join a startup? Nobody had ever thought this way before. The idea that equity and dividend, that that could be your primary
source of income and wealth generation, and that you could use that to incentivize
new people who you're bringing into the organization as employees or partners or
companies you're buying. Yeah. The idea that your competitors could become your friends by
being able to offer them ownership in the joint
combined company, where as we win in this industry and this industry gets bigger, we all win by
holding shares of this thing together. Yep. Chernow writes, whatever the debates about his ethics,
economists and historians have unanimously extolled Rockefeller's role as a pioneer of
the modern corporation. And then quoting from another biographered Rockefeller's role as a pioneer of the modern corporation.
And then quoting from another biographer of Rockefeller, Rockefeller must be accepted as the greatest business administrator America has ever produced. And it's this. So this is how well
this works. In the very first year of the trust, 1870, first year of all this getting set up remember there's one
million dollars in total capital that gets put into this structure they pay a 105 dividend at
the end of the year including also reinvesting tons of cash flow back into the business and
expanding and buying other companies so like the million dollars that was in there, they pay over a million dollars out to the shareholders
and have many other millions of dollars to go do other things.
It's crazy. They're extremely profitable and they're growing like crazy.
Yeah.
And let's talk about Rockefeller's argument to the societal benefit for a moment,
which is like, A, it's silly that
the state borders are preventing us. Why should that really be a thing? To the extent that I've
been able to rapidly expand in Cleveland, and we've been able to create great product for
consumers at a low price, quality of life for people has gotten better, and that has all happened
because we've expanded here. Why shouldn't we just be
able to do that for people everywhere? And his argument is really like, this is for the betterment
of consumers. Now, my competitors, when I move into these states, probably don't like it, but
ultimately, the American public wins. And he's right. He's totally right. Just like Jeff Bezos would probably say the same thing today. for small to mid-sized businesses and provides enterprise-grade security with the technology,
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to become a national trust and expand here. How do they do that? What happens?
Oh, this is so great from just like this story. The smile on my face is so wide right now.
It's juicy. Yeah. Great is up for debate. So the structure, the joint stock company,
they come by and hold stock in other companies that can issue shares, hold it in them.
What are they going to do here? Remember we said the railroads are the most strategic, important supplier and choke point
for the industry.
Standard goes to
the three biggest railroads,
the Pennsylvania Railroad,
the storied, huge,
enormous Pennsylvania Railroad.
I think that's on a Monopoly board.
It is.
It is literally on a Monopoly board.
Like that is how...
The Pennsylvania, the New York Central, board it is it is literally on a monopoly board like that is how uh pennsylvania the new york central and the erie railroads and they say uh so we got this new thing this new thing lets us do things with other companies do you want to cooperate as a part
of our new thing want to cooperate how about we all do something together? And the railroads are like,
oh yeah, we like doing stuff. This sounds pretty good.
So they get together.
They set up a shell corporation
called the South Improvement
Company. Oh, this
is so juicy. Which is intentionally
nebulously named. Yes.
And in fact, later
in life when Rockefeller
would be getting grilled in federal depositions,
he would be asked if he was ever a director or involved in the Southern Improvement Company.
Which of course is not a thing.
Nope.
I have no idea.
Standard Oil was never involved in the Southern Improvement Company.
Oh my goodness.
So great.
Obviously, he was not perjuring himself by saying that because
the questioner got the name wrong. Though I think he did perjure himself in other
SIC related. Yeah, I think he did. So here's the deal. Standard Oil is going to set up and control
most of the South Improvement Company through their new trust and joint stock corporation structure. The railroads will own a token amount, but the railroads and the principal owners of the railroads,
the individuals, they're going to issue some... Standard Oil is going to issue them some stock
so that these guys now have a little skin in the game with Standard Oil. All the interests
are aligned here. Well, and the railroads had a problem that they need solved, which was that because of the boom
bus nature of everything that's going on their cars, especially oil, and the sort of... Remember
that thing that I mentioned earlier where people are deciding not to buy because they hear it's
going to be cheaper soon because they know there's a big gusher. This whole thing is totally screwing with the railroads, not to mention the fact that
with intense competition among the railroads, just like there was intense competition among
all of the non-standard oil companies, a lot of the profits are just being arbitraged away.
And so they've got unpredictable demand.
They've got booms and busts. They've got this
situation, especially with oil, where certain types of oil in certain areas were so insanely
cheap that everybody's going out of business because no one can make any money. The same
sort of thing is happening in the railroad industry. And so if there's a cooperation
opportunity for the railroads and Rockefellers offering them,
I can kind of solve your problem here and we can sort of smooth out business.
Ben, it really comes down to like, it's really hard to run a business
when prices are fluctuating and they're not fixed. So clearly the answer is to fix the prices.
Oh my goodness.
We ascribe no virtue to this. I think the jury on this whole thing,
and we'll get to this later in the episode
and certainly in part two of like,
what parts of this were good
and what parts of this were bad?
It's both.
There's lots of both that happened all through this story.
Yep.
The three biggest railroads and Standard,
they get together in this South Improvement Company
and they say, here's what we're going to do.
All the railroads, we're going to set a new
fixed price. There is now a fixed, literally a fixed price for shipping oil on railroads.
To everybody out there, anybody who's shipping oil, there's one single fixed price and it's
really high. Whatever it was before, it's a multiple of that. It's really high. Except for anybody who's a member with us of the South Improvement
Company, y'all get a 50% discount on that fixed price. And it goes even further. This is just
twisting the knife here. Anybody who's a member of our little company here?
One might say a little cartel. Little cartel, yeah. Also, they will receive a little dividend, a little kickback. They call
it technically a drawback from any revenue that any other oil producers that are not part of this,
that ship on the railroads, part of that revenue from the really high price that they're charging,
they're just going to give some of that revenue to the competitors that are part of this little
cabal here. This is the most mind-blowing part of the
deal. Not only do you get a rebate for shipping with us, so that way the price is actually way
cheaper, but you also get a rebate even when you're not the shipper. I mean, they call it
this strawback, but other people ship stuff with us and thank you because you are a nice member of
our organization. You're going to get some of that money. And so your competitors are just paying you.
It's the craziest system ever. I don't know what the formal definition of the crime of
racketeering is, but this sounds like whatever it is, I think this fits the case. Well, there's a
couple of different ways that this story draws parallels to Microsoft, but this reminds me so much of that CPU licensing thing that they did.
Do you remember this in the early Windows days? The deal that Microsoft cut with, I think it was
IBM, was, yeah, you guys can use Windows and that's great. And any computers that have a CPU
in them that aren't running Windows, you're also going to pay us for those CPUs.
And that's the deal they signed.
And so Microsoft basically ended up with the monopoly, the entire industry, because IBM's
like, well, wait a minute.
Whether we're putting Windows on these machines or not, we're paying for it.
And so I think Windows it is.
And actually, I don't know if it was Windows yet.
It might have been DOS. If only Gates and Bomber and Jeff Rakes and all the like, if they'd had our episodes here
on Standard Oil to listen to before they put that stuff in writing, history could have
been different.
It turns out, yes, this may have been a flashpoint once the public realized how egregious this
sort of agreement sounded.
I'll say there is literal rioting in the streets in Titusville in reaction to this.
Once word gets out, like literally, like people are like fighting in the streets.
They're like banging up and destroying, you know, standard tanks and property.
And like, I mean, it's truly heads.
I win tails.
You lose for standard oil versus their competitors.
Yep.
This is the point where public opinion really starts to get concerned about Standard Oil.
In particular, informed by the competitors, because the public public is like, great,
like we're getting so much stuff so reliably for so cheap.
This is awesome.
Yep.
So the railroads, they know they may be gone a little bit too far.
And they're like, guys, I don't know that we can actually do this.
And Rockefeller and Flagler, they're like, it's okay.
Let's just hold out for a couple of weeks.
I think we're going to be fine.
We're going to go do some stuff and we'll get back to you.
So during these few weeks when this deal has not yet gone into effect yet, but rumors of it are spreading
throughout the industry.
Flagler and Rockefeller go around to all the other refiners in Cleveland.
Keep in mind, many of them are in very rough shape right now because A, the fluctuations,
but B, oil prices are getting driven down so far that people are trying to produce
and make profit on this. But because of this crazy inflation then deflation thing that happens,
a lot of these companies are slowly on their way to going out of business anyway.
Yep. And they're already brought to heel by standard by the Lakeshore deal where they're
already sharing capacity. so now flagler and
rockefeller go to them and say like you know that great rate that we organized for you
it's over y'all have heard about this uh south improvement company thing
it's happening so the way we see it you basically have two choices You can stay nominally independent and you can die,
or you can just sell your operations to us.
Come in and join the fold.
Get some Standard Oil shares.
We'll even give you stock.
And then we can all profit from this amazing deal that we have.
And there's something Larry says, like Rockefeller says,
own shares of Standard Oil and your
family will never go hungry.
Yeah.
So as Ida Tarbell, who we're going to talk much about next time, wrote in her investigative
reporting on Standard Oil, this is what she claimed that the standard pitch was to other
folks about joining the scheme.
Quote, you see, this scheme is bound to work. It means an absolute control by us of the oil business.
There is no chance for anyone outside, but we are going to give everybody a chance to come in.
You are to turn over your refinery to my appraisers, and I will give you, standard oil
company, stock or cash as you prefer for the value that we put on your
business. I advise you to take the stock. It will be for your own good. So they're literally just
saying like they're deciding what value they're going to pay for all these refiners.
And of course, the offer that they put in is like 25% to 50% of-
Book value.
Yeah. What the refiners even paid to build the factories in
the first place. And Rockefeller's argument is like, well, we're just going to shut most of
these down anyway. I mean, we're actually doing them a favor by taking this thing that's just
going to go out of business over the next few years, giving them some shares in our company
as like, you know, we don't want to be too terrible to these guys. They're our fellow
countrymen, and they're also in our industry. And we're just bringing them in, We're giving them some shares. And I'm going to write the whole thing off anyway.
So it's a crap factory. So over a period of six weeks, from February 1872 to April 1872,
Standard Oil buys 22 of the 26 other refineries that are operating in Cleveland. And this comes to be known
as the Cleveland Massacre. And then once they already own all the refineries in Cleveland,
they're like, all right, we're done. We don't really even need this South Improvement Company
thing anyway. And I guess the public doesn't like it. So we're not going to do it.
And apparently not a single barrel was ever shipped using the South
Improvement Company. They never documented anything but structure. It was all set up
and agreed upon, but then they didn't actually ever need to do it because they used it as leverage
to just go and roll everyone up anyway. And this was the tipping point. So obviously,
this was the Cleveland refiners first, but then immediately after they go
to Pittsburgh, they go to Philadelphia, they go to West Virginia.
They don't even have to set up some ploy shell corporation like the South Improvement
Company.
They just go to all the other refiners in these cities and they're like, y'all heard
about what happened in Cleveland.
We're coming here next.
So you want some shares?
You want some shares?
Yep.
By 1877, Standard Oil controls 90% of the oil business in America.
Nine zero percent.
As Barron's put it, consumers of kerosene had no choice but to purchase the product from a standard company. Not that they complained. Standards policy was to upgrade the product continuously
while lowering the costs in order to frighten away potential competitors and increase sales.
I just want to say, David, just like TSMC, it's like, yep, I think it's something like 70%
of the leading edge CPUs flow through
the island of Taiwan.
And, you know, 50% are actually TSMC, manufactured by TSMC.
And like, we're all better for it as consumers.
And I think it's just fascinating, this notion of like, we're going to keep lowering prices,
the product's going to keep getting better.
And at the end of the day, it actually is good for consumers.
Oh, and we're going to get huge and super profitable on the way. Yeah. Well, and, you know, ASML and, you know, all the
equipment manufacturers, they're kind of like the railroads here. Right. Although, amazingly,
this cooperation with the railroads really didn't lead to Standard Oil squashing the railroads.
They stayed really good businesses for a long time. Well, they did for other industries.
Or at least I think they did.
I don't know enough to say about the railroads.
They certainly stayed independent.
But Rockefeller and Flagler and this whole crew,
these guys are paranoid as well.
They do realize after they've just gone and consolidated the whole oil industry,
they know that the railroads do have strategic leverage over them. And again, remember like the oil refiner, they
let the other refiners stay in business. They just bought them and gave them standard oil shares.
They're worried about the railroad. So we don't want them having strategic leverage over us.
How can we co-opt them? So I mentioned earlier, tank cars.
Yeah. What was the deal here?
So right around this time, Standard starts going to all the big railroads and they're like,
we've saved you all this money on OPEX. Now you get to run trains directly, no stops,
no box cars. This is great for you. But these tank cars, these modern tank cars,
made of steel and the like, that's a lot of capex for you to keep building. And we just keep sucking
up all this shipping volume with y'all. What if we just make these cars for you and we lease them
back to you? We'll take on the capex to make the cars. And we'll lease them to you at a really low rate.
So what's the play here?
So Chernow writes about this.
He says, as the owner of almost all the Erie and New York Central tank cars,
Standard Oil's position grew unassailable.
At a moment's notice, it could crush either railroad by threatening to withdraw its tank
cars.
No tank cars, no business.
You can keep running this great business for y'all, but you mess with us, we can withdraw
our tank cars.
Wow.
And so now they've got 90% market share of kerosene, and they've got this relationship
with the railroad where they basically are going
to get the most favorable rates without a railroad going out of business and then they take it one
step further again so by the way david you laughing through this like maniacal plan you're
like the nicest it's so scary because i'm like, I just have implicit trust in you. You're so kind
and you're so warm and you're so... And you're like, and then they take it one step further.
And then they stab the knife in the back again. And it's so great. Oh,
this is such a good story. I love it. Not condoning this behavior by any stretch of
the imagination. An important pillar of American history.
A critical part of American history. So, okay, they take it one more step further,
and this is really the coup de grace here. So, as they're doing all these deals and Standard Oil
is becoming this octopus, as it would be known, a derogatory term by its critics. Octopus,
you think the Goldman Sachs vampire
squid sucking on America was bad. Literally, the standard oil octopus is bigger than
10 vampire squids. So there's a new technology that people are thinking about with regard to
oil. Not gasoline, not yet. That's coming later. But all of the oil is being moved around either by water or on railroads.
People are thinking that there might be a way to move oil much, much, much more efficiently.
So the concept of pipelines already existed, but really short distance pipelines,
literally from the derricks, from the wells to the railroad depots. So this
would be like a mile at most. They would pump oil through pipes to the railroad depots or to the
shipping depots or whatever to then load it up in cars and get it out of there.
Some people start thinking like, well, I wonder if we could pump oil a lot farther than just a mile or two. And meanwhile, the remnants of the
industry that haven't yet been consolidated by Standard, they're looking for any kind of
Hail Mary pass to get some leverage back in the industry. So they decide that they're all going
to go in together against Standard and
the railroads. They know they can't get any concessions out of the railroads. They're
going to try and develop a pipeline, a long distance pipeline. So in 1877, they do this.
They band together and they form the Tidewater Pipeline Company. This just sounds like a scandal
right off the bat, like the name Tidewater Pipeline Company. Why would you name it that?
I mean, it's 1877.
I have no idea.
And first, the goal is that they're going to pipe oil from Titusville directly to Baltimore on the seafront.
They then shorten it to Williamsport, Pennsylvania, which is still 110 miles.
This would be like an amazing proof of concept that this would work.
Isn't that where like the Little League World Series is?
It is.
It is.
Yeah.
I don't know why Williamsport was where they wanted to pipe this stuff to, but they do end up piping it.
So Standard, though, fights them tooth and nail on this.
A bunch of the execs want to go hire thugs to go like smash the pipeline and do all this stuff.
Rockefeller is like he reigns in his exuberant execs on this
and says no no we're gonna fight it with every like you know uh political leverage that we have
which they do but they don't succeed in 1879 the pipeline turns on and it works and i think a bunch
of people in standard hill like probably like probably pissed at John or don't understand why he let this happen and how could this be terrible.
And Rockefeller's like, oh, don't worry.
I have a plan.
Now, remember, this is just one route that this new pipeline has opened up from Titusville to Williamsport.
Rockefeller's like, I got all the railroads in my pocket. They go around to the railroads,
and they tell the railroads, they instruct the railroads to cut shipping rates so far down
on this line that literally they're basically paying anybody who's willing to ship by railroad
on this line to ship. So it's actually the pipeline, even though they invested all this
money in building it, and it's so much pipeline, even though they invested all this money in building
it and it's so much more efficient, so much cheaper than running a rail car, because at
Standard Oil's pressure, the railroads have now lowered prices so far in response, it's not
economic to use the pipeline. So they starve them out. This is like the Bezos versus diapers.com
thing where Bezos is like, oh, I can sell diapers at a loss forever. You don't understand.
That is totally what happens.
So the Tidewater Pipeline Company is like up against the wall.
They're about to go bankrupt.
They can't compete.
And by March of 1880,
they sell a minority stake in the pipeline to Standard Oil.
Standard assumes control of the pipeline, Standard Oil. Oh, wow. Standard assumes control of the pipeline,
takes all the technology,
immediately turns around
and goes and builds out four more major pipelines
from Titusville to Cleveland to Manhattan
to Philadelphia to Buffalo.
So they build these pipelines that are huge.
Do you know what land they build the pipelines on?
This is the most cold-blooded thing in the whole freaking episode. No. Okay, so who would have land rights in straight
lines between cities? Standard Oil goes to the railroads and they're like, my friends.
We've got this really exciting new
thing that we're working on. We're friends. We help you. You help us. How about we use your land?
How about we build our pipelines right along next to your railroads? And then it'll just be a little
reminder sitting to you right there. Reminder to y'all that we don't need you, that we've built on your land.
You're looking at your competition every single time you glance out of a train car.
So if you ever want to try and screw us on prices, just remember we've got an alternative
right there.
Wow.
Oh my God.
So great.
By the way, do you know the deal with Sprint, random business trivia fact?
I may have said this on another Acquired episode.
I think we've talked about this before.
Yeah, that telephone lines were laid along rail lines.
Yeah, it's the Southern Pacific Railroad, SPR.
Oh, yeah, that's right.
That's right.
And exactly for this reason.
Hey, we need someone who's already eminent domain to a bunch of land that we can go directly
in a straight line from one city to another.
Boom.
Yeah, crazy.
Now, I don't know for sure, but I didn't see anywhere that the railroads got any equity stake in these pipelines.
Wow.
All right.
So I fully take back my comment earlier that it seems like the railroads made it out okay.
Well, I think they actually did.
This was kind of Rockefeller style and Standard Oil style.
It's like, we're going to let you live.
We're going to be benevolent dictators.
We're going to let you continue.
You're just going to remember that,
you know,
our knife is pressed against your back at all,
at all times.
Okay.
So after this,
it's done.
I mean,
this is the story of how standard oil became standard oil,
like Rockefeller standard.
Like they have one on a scale that nobody has ever won before
or since. Their competitors are obliterated. New upstart technologies are co-opted.
All of the suppliers are reduced to total lackeys. We didn't talk about the customers.
This is great. So most kerosene was sold at retail in america in grocery stores so writer in the sort
of early 1880s standard decides to run the same playbook that they've run with the railroads
with the grocery stores in america they go to them and they say hey uh you know it's expensive
for you to um set up and give shelf space and everything to all of these
cans that are all, you know, non-standardized of standard oil kerosene in your stores.
From now on, all standard kerosene needs to be sold in standard canisters that we set the terms
on and we fix the price and we tell you where you're going to put it in your
stores. So some stores, you just sort of bristle at this and say they're not going to do it.
Standard sends out a letter. In Mississippi, they had a particular problem with this.
They send out a letter to all the grocers in Mississippi. They say, if you do not buy our oil,
we will start a grocery store chain to compete with you and sell goods at cost
and put you all out of business. This is in writing, sent to all of them.
You can just feel the American public and Washington getting stirred up about like,
okay, monopolies are pretty bad. We really need some legislation about this.
Yeah. As Chernow writes, by this point in time,
Rockefeller's creation could only be discussed in superlatives. It was the biggest and richest,
the most feared and most admired business organization in the world.
Wow. Wow. In 1883, official Standard Oil headquarters moves to Manhattan, to New York City, and Rockefeller
himself moves to Manhattan, to 26 Broadway. Do you know, which is the building that they
have constructed for the Standard Oil headquarters, 26 Broadway, right on Wall Street,
do you know what is right outside of 26 Broadway today?
No.
The bull, the charging bull on Wall Street is literally right outside 26 Broadway.
You know, the bull was only put there in like 1989, I think.
Oh no, I would have assumed it was there through the 80s.
It was put there after the 1987 stock market crash.
Ah, interesting. So Rockefeller and his brother and all of their lieutenants,
they moved to New York also around this time.
They just buy up Midtown.
So Rockefeller moves to right off Fifth Avenue in the 50s.
Was it 54th Street, maybe?
I actually don't have it written down.
It was either 53rd or 54th Street, right off Fifth Avenue.
He buys a house, moves in there.
Really right there between the park
and between Rockefeller Center.
No, there is no Rockefeller Center.
They build freaking Rockefeller Center.
Which he had nothing to do with.
That was a-
No, it was Junior.
It ended up being endowed by his son, but yeah.
We'll probably talk about this more next time.
I didn't realize it was Columbia University's campus there.
And when Junior decided to get in and start developing and building Rockefeller
Center, they lease it from Columbia and then they ultimately buy it.
Fascinating.
Yeah.
Well, part two, I mean, we'll have a lot to say about universities and Rockefellers in New York.
And we haven't touched a lot on the personal side of Rockefeller other than saying he was
deeply religious and believed he should make a lot of money and then do interesting things with it.
There's a lot of very good things he does with it that I think we'll save for part two,
and a lot of his idiosyncratic things around being afraid of death and wanting to live a long time
and his health obsessions. I think a lot of that especially starts to show up in his old age. But
David, bring us home here to 1890.
Yeah.
So, I mean, this is like, it's funny.
We're going to recount now what will ultimately become the beginning of the downfall of standard oil.
But I don't know.
It's weird being at this moment in the story because they've literally won.
I don't think we've ever had this before.
The only thing that can bring them down is the government. Or a paradigm shift. I'm referring to electricity and lights in houses,
but they very quickly were saved by the fact that conveniently right around the same time,
any thirst that we had for oil before, once you have the car, Rockefeller got so much richer in
his retirement from his shares of Standard Oil,
which became the things that powered us moving around the country in cars than he ever got
from kerosene. So it was like a paradigm shift could have disrupted and did disrupt the core
kerosene business, but the thing that happened at the same time was so much bigger than anything
they ever could have imagined. I think that Standard was
also making some investments into electricity and electrical utilities. I don't know how deep
they got into the business. But all I'm saying is monopolies, even if you don't trust bust them,
are always at risk of being disrupted by a paradigm shift.
Totally fair point. Not in this case, though.
Not in this case. So, you know, it's funny. I always assumed, you know, what I knew of the
Standard Oil story before doing all the research was that it was the 1890 Sherman Antitrust Act
that brought down Standard Oil. It wasn't for another 21 years. Indeed, it was. Yes,
it was the Sherman Antitrust Act, but it was not for 21 years. So we'll close with the wild
story of the Sherman Antitrust Bill. So Ohio Senator John Sherman, brother of General William
Tecumseh Sherman. No way.
The great hero of the Civil War.
Wow.
Yeah.
Unbelievable.
You know how we joke about how there must have been 10 people in Silicon Valley in the
1970s and 1980s?
Right.
I think there must have been 10 people in America at this point in time.
So Senator John Sherman, in 1889, as the sort of public sentiment is starting to shift against this huge octopus monopoly, proposes an anti-trust bill in the US and the federal Senate.
It turns out that just a few years earlier, when Sherman was running for office in Ohio, guess who one of his biggest campaign supporters was?
Rockefeller? Yes, that would be correct so this is like like hmm you're biting the hand that feeds you here
yeah so the act you know does pass but sherman makes the political gamble that like the political
power and stature that he's going to get from doing this is going to be worth more than the
money that he's going to get from rockef going to be worth more than the money that he's going to get from Rockefeller and Standard going forward.
The act ends up passing in July of 1890, outlawing all trusts and business combinations in the
United States of America that were, this is the key modifier, quote unquote, in restraint
of trade.
But they don't define what in restraint of trade means
it's up to some judge to set precedent and everybody thinks oh well there's no legal
precedent for what that means so that's never really going to become an issue and in fact
rockefeller and standard oil viewed this as a win they They were like, oh, great. The public is now going to feel like
the US government has taken action. They have heard them. They're going to curtail standards
power, but they're not actually going to curtail anything that we do. We're going to keep doing
exactly what we've been doing. And in fact, when Sherman runs for re-election in Ohio the very next
year in 1891, do you know who, once again,
one of his biggest donors was? Is it Rockefeller again? It is John D. Rockefeller. Fascinating.
How funny is that? The act that ends up bringing them down.
He is the biggest or one of the biggest donors after the act passes to the senator that introduces it. Huh. Fascinating.
So in 1896, Rockefeller is like, well, I guess it's been a good run. I'm going to hang it up.
I'm going to retire. I'm going to focus on my philanthropy. And I'm going to leave one of my
lieutenants, John Archbold, and my son, John Rockefeller Jr., who's about to graduate from Brown University. I'm going to leave them in charge. I'm going to
go retire to my estate, and I'm going to focus on doing good works.
But key mistake, he didn't fully leave.
No. No, he did not.
He's like, well, just in title title only i'll kind of stick around as president
right or as chairman but of course that's not how the public would view it they're like no your name
still on the door oh he's gonna get dragged back to the witness stand in the years to come so no
no sunset ride off for him yeah what a story i want to talk a little bit about like that we used
to do these narrative sections when we do ipos i want to talk a little bit about like that. We used to do these narrative sections when we do IPOs. I want to talk about like the public sentiment versus Rockefeller's defense.
So like the public sentiment here, and when we say public, it's less at this point in history,
the actual public and more about their competitors who are sort of making a bigger deal out of this
because all the public knows is there's this really big company. They provide
things, kerosene mostly, that I use in my life and it gets to me in a consistent way at a stable
price. It is good for consumers. If you think about the consumer welfare standard of antitrust,
this really isn't bad for consumers. It could get there if Standard Oil is the only company and
they sort of wield that power to raise prices and stuff like that. But at this point, it's really
like their competitors hate their guts. And especially anybody who's sort of been coerced
to cooperate with them, the railroads, the pipelines, like anyone in their orbit, the
retailers, like it sucks for them too. And so you've got this beginnings of really stirred up public sentiment against this company
that's like, by some views, the most evil capitalist structure of all time.
Americans, ever since we got here from England, and my family immigrated at some point, so
I certainly didn't come from England, but ever since the original Anglo people came
over from Europe
and settled America, there's been this incredible hatred of monopolies, in particular because
our country was founded on equality and people having the right to be free and the free market.
The government was a monopoly in England, and that's what we were running from. quite put my finger on why, but I don't like big stuff and I don't like concentration of power.
And I didn't like it when it was concentrated in a government and I don't like it now when
it's concentrated in the rich people. And that shows up all the way through to today. I mean,
that's a defining characteristic of the national conversation now.
And of course, Rockefeller's defense to all this is saying, look, social Darwinism is bad. Without Standard Oil rolling
everyone up, you just have all these people producing non-standard products that consumers
can't trust. They're going to kill this industry that could make everything great because consumers
won't trust it. All these businesses will go out of business because the prices are so low,
because every time there's a gusher, the prices drop so much. These people are all going to go out of business anyway.
And Standard Oil is the antidote to social Darwinism, which is bad, which is killing
the golden goose here.
And so the way he sort of makes this argument is it was a cooperative success.
It was for the general good.
It was our moral imperative.
It was downright Christian for me to do this and provide this
service. And certainly any of the competitors or suppliers or partners or the like who ended up
taking Standard Oil stock got fabulously wealthy by doing so. How could you argue that that was
bad for them? He really seems to have deeply believed that this invisible hand, the Adam
Smith concept of the invisible hand that guides the free market, that it just takes too long.
And there's a lot of bad stuff that happens along the way.
Academically, sure, it makes sense that the free market will work itself out.
But when you actually look at the businesses today and the people running those businesses
today, there's going to be a bunch of hardships and dirt along the way. You might have whole industries that die out because they
never sort of reach their full potential. It's not communist and it's not social. It's this
interesting, uniquely American viewpoint on actually social Darwinism and free market
capitalism is a bad thing. And everybody just eating each other's lunch and
eliminating all the profit in every industry and potentially to our own detriment is bad.
Chernow even talks about this. In some ways, what Rockefeller was trying to do and what Standard
became shared just as much intellectual grounding as with like marx and communism as it did with adam smith and
capitalism it was this view that like hey pure individual competition is not actually like the
most ideal status and like some form of collectivism in this case collectivism in some form of collectivism, in this case, collectivism in the form of a company, Standard Oil, was the best path.
Yeah.
And the place where it kind of falls down is where he sort of says, look, if we just knife fight to the death, someone's going to win.
And ultimately, that one is going to be me because I'm the best at this.
And like, he's probably right but this notion of like so therefore everyone should
allow me to save them at truly in like a very evangelical christian way like i'm gonna go and
save you know and bring them into my business church is very much how he sort of thought about
it and he come into the light and embrace the standard oil literally the light i love it and
just dripping
with irony in the way that I'm drawing these parallels here, it kind of falls down where
him accelerating the death of all of these businesses and saying, eh, it was inevitable,
and at least they're getting some upside now. The benevolence argument does seem to fall down
there a little bit. Perhaps maybe the most blatant example to me is the grocers, right? Like that letter sent out
totally writing to grocers saying like, if you don't do what we want, we're going to metaphorically
burn down your houses like it's unreal. Right? There are places where like, it made sense for
him to exert his power to reorganize the industry for the betterment
of all the producers involved and all the consumers.
But those places are far more limited than the number of places where they actually reached
and exerted their power.
Yeah.
Sidebar on the logo because it's so great.
We'll see if we can link to it in the show notes.
You'll recognize it when you see it.
It's this red, white, and blue.
Oh, it's the Amoco logo now. Oh, it's the Amoco logo now.
Yeah, it's the Amoco logo. Yeah, yeah. Amoco was a set standard of Ohio.
Oh, wait.
California was Chevron. Was that either Ohio or New Jersey?
I think it was Ohio that became Amoco. I could be wrong on that.
I think you're right. I'll fact check that.
But yeah, it's this red, white, and blue oval with in the middle of the oval,
this like Grecian column looking torch, like Olympic torch looking.
Indiana.
Indiana.
Oh, interesting.
Like Olympic torch looking column with a fire burning on top of it.
And interestingly, I think the Standard Oil of Indiana company adopted a different logo,
but then when they turned into Amoco, they adopted something that
looks a lot more like the original Standard Oil logo. Interesting. The other thread I want to
talk about here in narratives is Rockefeller and Standard Oil as an organization, but Rockefeller really like the prototype of so much of American culture today.
Like he was simultaneously viewed as this like,
you know,
sinister villain and as this great hero,
you know,
people hated him,
but people wanted to be him.
Is that a rap lyric?
I feel like it must be.
Well,
I mean, Jay-Z would name uh you know his uh his
label rockefeller records like you know there's a reason for that but like everything that like
i feel like the public feels about bezos zuckerberg musk you're like everybody all these billionaires
today like this was the prototype this was the first time that americans felt this way there's
this great quote in titan that says the general public was of two minds and viewed the new entrepreneurs,
of which Rockefeller was the foremost, as alternatively sinister and heroic. By 1888,
Rockefeller began to pop up in fawning magazine features about rich Americans. But he was also singled out as a notorious trust king
in Joseph Pulitzer's World and Other papers. The press kept up an editorial drumbeat against
Standard Oil demanding vigorous state and federal antitrust action. At the same time that he's in
like the equivalent of, you know, like Vanity Fair as like the new elite.
And I think he started embracing that later.
For a while, his policy was don't talk to the press.
And then sort of later started opening up to this idea of like, geez, maybe it's probably a good idea for me to have a positive image out there.
Like silence is not doing me any favors.
Yeah.
All right.
Power.
Ooh, power.
Okay.
So what are, what are our power categories here?
So as Hamilton Helmer would put forth in his wonderful book, Seven Powers, counter-positioning,
scale economies, switching costs, network economies, process power, branding, and cornered
resource.
And what I would put forth here is, I think, and I haven't rigorously looked at each one, I think Standard
Oil at various points in its first 20, 25 years of existence exerted every single one of these,
but the domineering one, the one that enabled them to do everything that they did was scale economies.
No argument from me on scale economies being the most important one here. I mean, literally, that was all the machinations with the competitors, with getting the volume
in the Lakeshore deal, with doing the deals with the railroads. It was all about economies of scale,
so for sure. What's your thought on counter-positioning? I think in being a pure
play refinery that was located in a different location than the like is there
a reason that no one else should have done an off-site refinery because they had too much
vested interest in an on-site refinery i'm not sure i'm not sure that it was there was any reason
why they couldn't but i think all the folks who are in the producing world like the drilling and
the crude world they were just so it was just such a gold rush mentality that like it was not professionalized yeah they were just
chasing the quick profits and like they were distracted they weren't thinking long term but i
i don't think there was any reason why they couldn't have set up refining businesses in
other locations the counter positioning feels a little thin. Yeah. All the others, like switching costs, for sure, with all the railroad deals and then the
tank cars and all that. Network economies, yeah. I mean, they build the retail distribution with
the standard cans. Actually, is that all scale economies, though? Is there any network effect
here where it's better for one customer that other customers exist? Does anybody ever sort of have a relationship between customers?
That's a good question. Maybe not.
I mean, network economies were certainly less common in a pre-telephone era.
Yeah, maybe not. Maybe that's more of a stretch.
Process power, certainly, especially over time as it got more and more complicated. Branding, I mean, they named themselves Standard and then they became that.
Yep. And then, yeah, I mean, they had lots of cornered resources.
Eventually, they cornered the resource on all the crude in the Eastern United States
because they eventually actually owned all the land rights, right? To actually produce the-
Yeah, they did eventually get into exploration and production. I think when it was much later,
I want to say it was in the 1880s, 1890s maybe when big oil deposits started being discovered
elsewhere in America. And then they got into that in bigger ways.
Fascinating. Cool. Let's move into playbook.
Let's do it.
So I have one playbook theme that we didn't
touch enough the rest of the episode and i have sort of a long quote and this is in particular
around the period where there's a lot of fluctuation in prices there's a race to the
bottom lots of people are going out of business and this is sort of rockefeller talking about how
they're going to weather the storm and you everyone else up. What made an expeditious
shutdown of outmoded rivals vital to Rockefeller was that he borrowed heavily to build gigantic
plants so that he could drastically slash his unit costs. Even his first partner, Maurice Clark,
remembered that the volume of trade was always what he regarded as paramount importance. Early on, Rockefeller realized
that the capital-intensive refining business, in this business sheer size mattered greatly
because it translated into economies of scale. Once describing the foundation principle of
Standard Oil, he said it was the theory of the originators. The larger the volume,
the larger the opportunities for the economies, and consequently, the better
the opportunities for giving the public a cheaper product without the dreadful competition
of the late 60s ruining the business.
During his career, Rockefeller cut the unit costs of refined oil almost in half, and he
never deviated from the gospel of industrial efficiency.
There's so much tied up here, but one of them is this is kind of the first venture capital business. We talked a lot on the TSMC episode about these massive fixed costs. I mean,
they're investing $100 million in fabs over the next three years. And then it's all a volume game,
how much can you get the plants at full capacity as fast as possible?
Because the unit costs can be super small because your variable costs are super low,
but it's all about that gigantic capital investment of the fixed costs.
I love it.
There's the TSMC payoff.
I love it.
Two hours later.
The other thing that I was just thinking the whole time as you were reading that quote was Andreessen, Mark Andreessen, strength leads to strength, right?
This is the original strength leads to strength business.
Totally.
And this is him justifying rolling up all these other producers where he's basically
like, look, the best thing for consumers is to run as much consumer demand through one
capital structure as possible so we can just absorb all
the fixed costs and then make the variable costs as low as possible. Yeah. It'd be fun to think
about, we're on such a kick here with these types of businesses. Is there ever a kind of business
or industry where not scale economies per se, but this broader maxim of strength leads to strength?
Is that ever not the case?
It's always the case, I think, but it's like in varying strokes, especially where industries
where there's not fixed costs or where there's low fixed costs.
Like think about a restaurant business.
Assuming that you don't own the building and you're leasing everything and you even lease
the equipment, then you're like, geez, what is really the capex?
You're kind of just like at the whim of, can you produce like, geez, what is really the capex? You're kind of just at the whim
of can you produce a better product and get a little bit more margin than the person down the
street? Maybe this is kind of similar to that. It also would apply to the restaurant business.
Any time where if you're competing on the highest end of quality, I'm thinking like a fine dining
restaurant, that's a kid where
strength might lead to strength in terms of its brand but if it were to like raise a bunch of
capital expand go have a you know a bunch more restaurants oh if your value is scarcity then
yeah it's value destructive yeah okay that's a case where strength wouldn't lead to strength
in the same way but so many venture capital businesses and
businesses that scale as large as we're talking about in the last few episodes, we've been talking
about the largest businesses the world has ever known. Yeah, it's amazing how this dynamic applies.
Totally. Well, for grading on this one, listeners, we are going to combine value creation,
value capture, and grading. We already talked a lot about the component of this value creation
section where how does the value created for the world compare to value destruction? I think we
talked a lot about that in this episode, but we haven't spent a lot of time on how does the value
that Standard Oil created compare to the
value that they captured for themselves, which I think is sort of the interesting one to look at
here. And like a terrible example is Wikipedia, where there's no company that creates any more
value in the world, but captures so little of it. Whereas you look at a Google and they create a lot
of value, but they're enormously profitable based on it. And so some interesting numbers with Standard
Oil. So we know that they were responsible for this sort of like kerosene boom in the United
States and the world. And I think let's save the gas car conversation for the next episode. And I
absolutely want to have a conversation around climate. And I think we should save that for
the next episode too. But in this one, let's just look at the shape of the business by this period of time. So Standard Oil in the mid
1880s employed 100,000 people, which that's probably the first time a company ever employed
100,000 people. Governments probably did, but did corporations? It'd be hard to imagine,
especially in a world where there are only 30 million people
in the United States. Totally. They had dividends of between 50 and 200% to all shareholders per
year, which of course were private shareholders. It was mostly Rockefeller and his partners.
I just want to underline that again. That's balling out of control.
That's a very, very profitable business. Oh my God. The amount of capital invested in the business, literally anywhere from half to two times
that being dividented out to shareholders every single year while you continue investing
capital and growing.
Ball so hard.
They want to find you.
Yep.
And then the last thing I want to throw out is this period between 1890,
where we're ending this episode,
to 1900,
they grew tremendously.
So they had annual earnings
where we're leaving the story off of
somewhere between $10 and $20 million,
which inflation adjusted is like a 30x.
So it's really like $300 to $500 million
in terms of the amount of earnings profit
that they were generating per
year in today's dollars. By 1900, they 6X'd that. So over a decade, they actually grew tremendously.
So it sort of depends whether we're thinking about the business in this 10 to $20 million era
or in the like 60 plus million dollar era by the turn of the century. But I think that gives you a good
shape of like, this is a business that was spitting off cash, David, the way that you were just
describing for us, that employed 100,000 people that kept America and Europe's lights on. And
because it's been so long since this happened, we don't have SEC filings telling us, here's
literally the amount of value they were able to capture versus create.
But I think the way I would sort of look at this one and talk about this is, you can tell
from the business practices that we've harped on this entire episode that every time they
created value, they looked around to capture every single scrap of it that they
possibly could rather than let consumer surplus exist or their competitors participate in
the upside that they were creating or partners.
Well, and I think even the numbers that we have, scant data such as it is, again, wish
we had PitchBook back in the day. But the numbers that we have,
I think they're also misleading. They do seem a little small. You're like, wait a minute,
you guys are talking about how this is a business on the scale that no other business
in America has ever been before. But inflation adjusted, even by 1900, you're talking about a
few billion dollars of cash flow that's dwarfed by companies
today. But I don't think these numbers tell the whole story because so much of the capital in
this business was A, being recycled and B, not accounted for because of the crazy decentralized
trust structure. We'll talk about this much more in the next episode. But when it ultimately gets broken up,
you know, you said at the top of the show, the children companies that come out of Standard Oil,
Exxon, Mobil, Chevron, the bulk of BP, British Petroleum now, like Amco, like all of these
companies, you know, it wasn't until the rise of the FANG era in the last 10 to
15 years, before that ExxonMobil was by far the largest market cap company in the world. And that
was just one of the children that came out of this company. The value that was tied up here was
immense. That's a much better way to look at it. You're right. I also think inflation adjusting
these things is probably the wrong way to look at it. I was thinking about this more in the context of Rockefeller's personal wealth,
which we'll dissect in depth on the next installment here. But sure, you can inflation
adjust wealth and you can inflation adjust profits, but really what you should be doing
is looking at them as a percentage of the GDP at that time. And so let's look at 1900.
So standard oil in 1900 produced $60 million in earnings.
And rather than inflation adjust that,
let's look at it relative to the total GDP,
which was $24 billion.
Okay, so $60 million divided by $24 billion. Okay, so $60 million divided by $24 billion. So 0.25% of the entire country's GDP
is Standard Oil's profits. And I suppose GDP really would be based on revenue. So assuming
they had, I don't know, 33% operating margins,
I'm kind of pulling a number out of thin air, but that feels reasonable.
Well, I don't know how they're defining profits here. I don't think this is gap accounting. Gap
accounting doesn't even exist at this point in time. That might be the dividend, the annual
dividend. Oh, the earnings being the... Yeah.
No, the dividend, because the data source we pulled this from had dividends differently.
Let's assume that Standard Oil's revenue represented something like 1% of America's
GDP, probably a little bit shy, but something like that.
That, I think, is the right way to frame the amount of money that was flowing through this
one company at the time.
Yeah.
Wow.
That is a significant scale. Yep. So I think the question
is that we wanted to ask on grading is like, Standard Oil becoming a monopoly in this way
versus if the industry were to have played out with unfettered individual competition.
Which of course is a counterfactual that we have no idea, but how can we get a sense of what the shape of that could have looked like? You know, it's interesting. This really makes me
think about China and what's going on in China right now. I think the Chinese political economic
philosophy is really aligned with the Standard Oil view of the world, right? Which is that
unfettered competition is fine in the
early days of an industry, but then you got to come in and you got to consolidate it. You can
consolidate it through the government's hand in the case of China. In this case, it was through
Rockefeller's hand, but that's what you need to enter a phase of maturity in an industry.
And as we were just saying, Rockefeller's argument is like, all of this was good for
consumers.
This was great for consumers.
This was great for America.
It's like in the most recent Amazon letter to shareholders when Jeff Bezos calculates
the amount of consumer surplus.
He's like, if you look how much Amazon shareholders have profited on us existing, Amazon employees have profited, and Amazon customers, it's by far the customers who have won.
Yes. Oh, so good. Bezos, student of history.
But yeah, Rockefeller is making the same point here. I think it's really interesting.
Yeah. Well, again, counterfactual, impossible to know. But there is definitely a world where the keller Family Foundation wouldn't be as large.
I think, give or take a few years, I think the whole thing would have played out pretty similarly.
We would have ended up in the same sort of major players in the oil world that we have today.
Yep. And maybe all of the standard oil children, the Exxons, the Mobils, the Chevrons, etc. would have developed anyway.
That could have been independent Cleveland refiner growing on their own and not being a part of Standard Oil and then having to get spun out.
That's a really good point.
I mean, Rockefeller was a genius in so many levels.
He brought the Morris Chang level of thought and discipline to the business.
But eventually, other people would have done that too.
Yep. I mean, it might've been a little more annoying where you had to get those two types
of kerosene sitting next to each other on the shelf and you had to go make sure to buy the
compatible one for whatever apparatus lamp you had at home. And that would have been a slight
bummer. I don't know. I think Rockefeller made a lot of arguments that served his purpose. And as fun as it is to sort of imagine and sort of theorycraft why he was right and how
that would have played out, I think net-net, we would have consumed about the same amount
of oil between then and now.
Consumers would have spent about the same amount of money on oil between then and now.
And we would have about the same number of players we have today.
So let's see if I can translate right.
It sounds like you're arguing for like a grade of like a C, like a passing grade.
Oh, well, it depends what we're grading.
In terms of creating a bunch of value and capturing as much as he possibly could, A+.
Right, right, right.
In terms of the grade of like the development of this industry in America,
as it did versus a non-standard oil path.
Yeah, I guess that is what I'm arguing. What do you think?
I'm not feeling strongly any different way. I think that's a really good argument.
You know, it's funny. I feel like if Peter Thiel were here as a guest with us,
he would be vehemently arguing the opposite, that it's the zero to ones. It's the
yes, anybody could have done this. Yes, other people might have, but Rockefeller did it.
And in the absence of somebody doing it, then it might not have happened.
And without all this standardization in the oil industry, then we wouldn't have had all the
unbelievable lifestyle upgrades that we've all had over the last 150
years because of the advent of unified oil ecosystem. Yeah. You like your electric cars
and Teslas and the like? Well, no kerosene back in the day, no gasoline thereafter. We don't
advance to the level of technology and development that we're at now.
Oh, like if the car was much more inconvenient to drive or that waited another 30 years to develop,
I mean, then there's a zillion knock-on effects of America doesn't innovate in all sorts of other
ways and people don't have a lot of other products that we all take for granted in our lives now.
Yep. All right. So I think my answer, I don't have a strong point of products that we all take for granted in our lives now yep all right so i think my answer i don't have a strong point of view i think i'm going to go a notch higher
than you to uh b just because i really do see both sides here one side being the argument that
like this all would have happened the same way anyway and the other side being yeah but like
you need rockefeller like no rockefeller it doesn't
happen mostly though the other reason i'm gonna go with the b is i just really love telling this
story well that that i could tell that i could tell all right carve outs carve outs let's do it
two for me both are related the first more related than the second. The first one is the movie There Will Be Blood with Daniel Day-Lewis. If you are jonesing for some good old-fashioned, extremely violent
early oil days, I think it's like, I mean, I wasn't there, so I have no idea, but unbelievable
articulation of what it would be like to go and prospect an oil field and the risks involved in
that and the personalities involved in that and the deception and the way that rogue entrepreneurs were organizing labor and capital to make
these things happen.
I saw the movie maybe six months ago, but I thought about it so many times, especially
in regards to Titusville and some of those in researching this.
And my second is only tangentially related because it is actually about a gold rush,
not the oil rush, but the TV show Deadwood with Timothy Oliphant.
I've heard that that's very good.
It's excellent. I am one of three seasons in right now. I just finished the first season.
It's so good. The characters are so compelling. The acting's great. I actually got tipped to it
when I was doing the research for the Andreessen Horowitz
episode. Mark, I think, mentioned that it was his favorite TV show. And so I was like, I should
check that out if it's Mark Andreessen's favorite TV show. And sure enough, it's awesome.
It used to be the Halt and Catch Fire show.
Oh, really? Which is also great.
Yeah. I've never seen it, but which, I mean, given what we do here, I need to watch it.
You do. So go watch deadwood it's awesome nice love it and uh there will be blood i've never seen it i'm like
so living under a rock oh man you need to see that in gangs of new york yeah which i also have never
seen huh my carve out is completely unrelated i'm sure i could think of some the the standard oil
octopus tentacles reach so far that i probably could think of some the standard oil octopus tentacles
reached so far that I probably could think of some
connection but I'm not going to
is the secret
base YouTube channel
which is part of SB Nation
the sports
news website it's
so good and in particular
I've liked this channel their work for
a long time these guys are so
they just do like irreverent histories of like sports moments and teams.
In particular, they just did a seven part series on the Atlanta Falcons.
It's probably like five or six hours in total.
And it's so good.
It's so funny.
And just like, so the whole like premise of the history is they do a lot of great
graphics on the channel so they take a visual representation of the win-loss differential for
the team where like you know if the the horizontal x-axis is a 500 record and then going down below
is losing and then going up above is a winning overall record. And basically the whole
history of the Atlanta Falcons, their wing, as they call it, because it's all, you know,
losses down into the red, almost exactly mirrors the Falcons logo. And if you like tilt it up on
its side so that the X axis becomes vertical, it really looks like the Falcons logo.
Brutal.
It's so funny. But yeah, very, very well
done. Highly recommend. Sorry to any Falcons fans out there. Oh, but it's like a love letter to
Atlanta and the Falcons. It's so fun. I don't think I made this my carve up, but they did one
on the Mariners a year or two ago. That was equally, equally good. We'll link to that one too.
All right. Well, listeners, thank you for joining us on part one
of this epic journey. We are excited to
take you on part two here.
We are very interested in your feedback
in between episodes, and I think we're going to leave
ourselves enough time to make sure we have this
out in the wild before recording the next one.
Join us in the Slack to come talk about it.
Acquired.fm slash Slack.
Email us at AcquiredFM
at gmail.com or tweet at us at
acquiredfm on Twitter. And listeners, we'll see you next time. We'll see you next time. Huh.