Advisory Opinions - Vindictive Prosecutions

Episode Date: October 16, 2025

Sarah Isgur and David French dive deeper into Chiles v. Salazar, the case argued before the Supreme Court last week about banning conversion therapy for minors, before analyzing the James Comey and T...ish James indictments. The Agenda:—Chiles v. Salazar—Tish James and mortgage fraud: Do the facts hold up?—Update on the James Comey indictment—Suing USPS over not delivering mail—Denying review in a death penalty case—Sarah says Seila correctly Advisory Opinions is a production of The Dispatch, a digital media company covering politics, policy, and culture from a non-partisan, conservative perspective. To access all of The Dispatch’s offerings—including access to all of our articles, members-only newsletters, and bonus podcast episodes—click here. If you’d like to remove all ads from your podcast experience, consider becoming a premium Dispatch member by clicking here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Advisory Opinions is presented by Pacific Legal Foundation, suing the government since 1973. You ready? I was born ready. Welcome to Advisory Opinions. I'm Sarah Isger. That's David French. First off, we got to talk a lot. little bit more about Childs. This was the conversion therapy case that was argued at the court last week. You guys sent in some brilliant questions, and I felt like, I guess, we didn't do a good enough job explaining some of this, so we're going to try again to answer some of your very,
Starting point is 00:00:46 very smart, thoughtful questions that we got from listeners across the spectrum. Also, the Tish James indictment. Is it vindictive prosecution, or is it exactly what she did to Donald Trump? And we've got three denials from the Supreme Court and some opinions from the justices on those case denials that we'll need to talk about. Finally, how the heck have I been mispronouncing this precedent for this whole podcast, like six years worth of podcasting and I'm still mispronouncing it despite all sorts of efforts? Once again, Sarah can't pronounce the name of that CFPB Humphrey's executor, unitary executive case. I will try once more on advisory opinions. I want to talk to my fellow attorneys for a moment. Do you really want to spend time on the technical side of briefing,
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Starting point is 00:02:04 When you're with Annex, Plathom, you get access to exclusive dining experiences and an annual travel credit. So the best tapas in town might be in a new town altogether. That's the best. powerful backing of Amex. Terms and conditions apply. Learn more at amex.ca slash yamex. So we talked about the Supreme Court's argument in this conversion therapy case. And we got some of the smartest questions that I think we have ever gotten from our listeners,
Starting point is 00:02:48 just smart questions about, you know, how the case could come out, smart questions pushing back on some of our ideas. All right, David, so let's set the table on what this case was about. Do you want to give us your version? If you are engaged in talk therapy, so in other words, you're a therapist, you're a licensed therapist in the state of Colorado. Do you have an ability to engage in what is called conversion therapy? But let's be very clear here.
Starting point is 00:03:14 When you use the term conversion therapy, that's almost sort of a, it's a big term that people sort of fill in with their own understanding of what it is. So conversion therapy is specifically defined by the statute in the state of Colorado. It's designed to prohibit licensed therapists from engaging in conversion therapy. And let me read the definition of conversion therapy. That's what we'll be, this definition, and I want to be very clear, this definition is what we're talking about. We're not talking about everything related to the term conversion therapy.
Starting point is 00:03:54 We're talking about this definition. Conversion therapy is defined in the law as any practice or treatment by licensee, registrant, or certificate holder that attempts or purports to change in individual sexual orientation or gender identity, including efforts to change behaviors or gender expressions or to eliminate or reduce sexual or romantic attraction or feelings towards individuals of the same sex. So that is the core definition. It goes on for a little bit longer. Conversion therapy does not include practices or treatments that provide acceptance, support,
Starting point is 00:04:34 and understanding for the facilitation of an individual's coping, social support, and identity exploration and development, including sexual orientation, neutral interventions to prevent or address unlawful conduct or unsafe sexual practices, as long as the counseling does not seek to change sexual orientation or gender identity or provide assistance to a person undergoing, or assistance to a person undergoing gender transition. So that's the definition. When a lot of the conversation around that, people hear the word conversion therapy, and much like when people hear the word hate speech, for example, they have an idea of what that is. But you're not dealing with what your idea of what conversion therapy is, you're dealing with the definition of it as enacted
Starting point is 00:05:20 by the state. And so those are the stakes of the case. It can conversion therapy as defined here be prohibited or be banned for licensed therapists in the state of Colorado. Okay, first question. I am currently a sophomore in undergrad studying government in Spanish and fascinated with the world of law. Already loving it. In your recent episode, you brought up the hypothetical about a state barring a therapist from encouraging anorexic behavior. My question is, wouldn't the distinction between the law and child's and the anorexia law be a question of which could pass strict scrutiny? You mentioned that Childs will likely trigger strict scrutiny and fail, but might the anorexia hypo pass? It seems to me like the state interest is much more
Starting point is 00:06:04 compelling. Losing more weight while skinny could be life-threatening, and the law is much more narrowly tailored and less restrictive than the law in Childs. While the hypo seems valid, it seems like the distinction between the two are if they could pass the level of scrutiny they trigger. Let me know if I'm off on this, not a lawyer, just an avid listener of the podcast. David, that's a really smart question. Super smart, and it actually really calls back to a previous conversation we had about the Paxton case involving age-gating access to porn websites, where it appeared to me that the dissenters in the case, they were not saying, for example, that the law was going to be
Starting point is 00:06:44 constitutional, they wanted a strict scrutiny analysis and then noted it could well pass strict scrutiny, which was, I thought, a very, I mean, for me, that was a big top line, sort of a top line response to that was, whoa, you had even the liberal justices here saying, this thing could pass strict scrutiny, that the problem, the problem is so compelling, the governmental interest is so compelling, the means here are restricted enough that it could actually passed strict scrutiny. So I thought that was a very interesting question. And the reason I brought up the Paxton case, Sarah, because remember, we had a whole discussion over whether the phrase strict in theory, fatal in fact, is, is or should be the formulation. Or if strict shouldn't mean just
Starting point is 00:07:32 strict, it doesn't mean fatal. And that, I think that's a very legitimate question, because especially in the First Amendment context, strict scrutiny has meant fatal scrutiny. Are there laws that would pass strict scrutiny in the right circumstances? I thought that was really an interesting question and called back exactly to what we've talked about before. So here's my back of the envelope take on this. A, yes, in theory, right? I think it's a smart question.
Starting point is 00:08:01 I think it absolutely could. However, in this case, what it takes you to is the standard of care problem that basically what the state is saying is that conversion therapy as defined by the state, the reason that this isn't speech and the reason that they can do this at all is because it violates the accepted standard of care. And same with the anorexia hypo, right? It would violate the accepted standard of care. And so I think because this involves a licensing scheme, you get to this weird standard of care problem of does the state get to base stuff on the standard of care? How does one define the standard of care? Can the standard of care be speech only?
Starting point is 00:08:43 And I think that throws a wrench into the pure, does it pass strict scrutiny or not question? Because both of them in this case will still involve a, you go back to the state saying, well, this violates the standard of care. That's why we can do this. Which brings me, David, to the licensing question. We got several emails from doctors. So here's one. The primary difference between a talk therapy treatment and a physical treatment like antibiotics lies only in the modality of intervention, not its scientific basis. A surgeon uses tools to repair damaged tissue. A physician uses drugs to chemically alter bodily functions. A psychotherapist uses communication techniques and structured exercises to facilitate
Starting point is 00:09:29 neuroplastic change and alter maladaptive thought and behavior patterns. And David, let me just summarize this in different terms. the state can demand that a person learn certain things to have a job that only uses speech like psychotherapy, why can't they forbid certain things that are also speech? Right? The whole job is only speech. This isn't like there's some doctors, you know, like we're telling the surgeon, yeah, but now you can't say this other thing. It is an entire profession that is speech that is licensed? So isn't that then conduct and not speech? It is very interesting to me how this whole licensing discussion achieves such outside importance, as if licensing sort of exists
Starting point is 00:10:15 outside and above the First Amendment, that in essence we have this national value, constitutional value of free speech with strict limitations and prohibitions on government intervention into speech. And then we sort of say, okay, well, wait, in the world of licensing, however, do you really mean it? And this is, to me, I guess I'm sort of stumped as to why we would presume to think licensing figures, especially licensing entities that are empowered by law through the process of politics. So then if you're talking about licensing and you're channeling licensing standards through law through elected legislators. So now this is directly pulling licensing into the political process, that that is going to
Starting point is 00:11:09 stand outside and above the First Amendment. I'm unconvinced by that. I'm very convinced that a private entity can absolutely establish licensing standards and that these licensing standards can be rooted in the licensing industry. entity's best assessment of what the standard of care should be. I'm absolutely convinced that that licensing entity can be relevant and the judgments of the licensing entity can be relevant evidence, say, in a malpractice suit, absolutely to determine whether standard of care and whether there was negligence. But this kind of this idea that you're going to have this category of
Starting point is 00:11:50 professions, we'll call them the regulated professions. And that in some ways the act of regulating the regulated professions through means and mechanisms that arose well after the ratification of the First Amendment, that this is, I can waive the licensing wand and suddenly achieve a much lower standard of review for government restrictions on speech involving core, core areas of religion, morality, etc. I'm extremely unconvinced. I'm extremely mistrustful of the political process that yields such standards and prohibitions.
Starting point is 00:12:31 And I do not think it is superior to the First Amendment. But, David, there's two ways of looking at this. You're arguing about whether the licensing scheme saves the state law restricting speech. But what about the other direction that the, invalidation of the state law restricting speech invalidates the licensing scheme. Why can the state require a licensing scheme in a profession that is only speech-based if the Supreme Court comes out to say that this is speech and you can't ban this kind of speech? Why can you license
Starting point is 00:13:04 any of it to begin with, which is maybe a little bit more concerning? I think it depends on, you know, what you're licensing and can you, what is it that the licensing entity is looking at if a licensing entity is providing a private validation that the public can rely upon to sort of say, if you're going to be licensed by this association, and then you're going to advertise this, and you're going to put this out there as in much the way, you know, contractors will note that they're licensed or bonded or whatever. There will be, there will be, there's marketing advantages to being licensed. There are quality control advantages to being licensed. All of that, that yeah, in that circumstance, you raise a good point. If you invalidate the law, what are you doing to the private scheme? Well, that's one of the reasons why the law should be very careful, that the legislature should be very careful about legalizing that private scheme. I think there are absolutely areas where, for example, criminal background checks as an element of licensing that are not speech prohibitions or other kinds of educational qualifications.
Starting point is 00:14:15 and requirements. All of those things, I think, are appropriate and could be legislated, but walking in to the room and saying on this incredibly crucial, incredibly sensitive issue of morality and religion, et cetera, and how behavior and conduct meshes with all of those things to walk in and prohibit or ban particular viewpoints, I think, becomes very troublesome to me. I don't know. I've got some questions. If you've got to sit in a classroom that says X, Y, and Z is the standard of care. And in order to pass a test, you have to agree that X, Y, Z is the standard of care in a talk-only profession that requires a license. I think this is more problematic than anyone is sort of let on at this point. Okay, but there's
Starting point is 00:15:02 two more things, David, because there's two pieces of this case that we didn't talk about in our last conversation at all. We were trying to pull a fast one on you guys and make the case less complicated or less fulsome than it was. So you guys asked us lots of smart questions that made us then answer you with these two things we left out. One is precedent. You'll notice we didn't talk about precedent in our last conversation. And the other one is the what is the standard of care based on? Like there's all these studies, right, that show conversion therapy is harmful. Let's start with the studies. Here again is from one of our doctor listeners. conversion therapy has been shown in multiple studies to not only be ineffective, but also
Starting point is 00:15:41 harmful to patients. The opposite, gender or sexual identity affirming care has been shown to be effective and largely beneficial. Here's the problem with that statement. Colorado didn't introduce any evidence to that effect. They did not have any study showing that talk-only conversion therapy was harmful at all. Now, there are studies showing that conversion therapy, again, to David's point, if you use a different definition that includes abversion therapy, electroshock therapy, et cetera, there's studies that show that that is harmful. But conversion therapy as defined by the state of Colorado, Colorado didn't have any studies for that showing that it was harmful. Now, Colorado in the oral argument said basically like race IPSA,
Starting point is 00:16:27 the thing speaks for itself. We don't need studies showing something to be obviously harmful. And in fact, this is where I kind of pulled a fast one on you guys, not intentionally. but when I was using that anorexia example from Justice Sotomayor, she wasn't using it in the same way that I was using it for our conversation. She was using it about this study question. Would you need a study showing that encouraging someone not to eat if they had anorexia was harmful? No, race Ipsa. We know that that would be harmful. So you don't need a study all the time, right? Therefore, it can't be one of the factors to consider that Colorado didn't have any studies. Let me then continue reading when I then had this colloquy with our doctor listener.
Starting point is 00:17:08 Regarding the lack of studies, even if there were no relevant studies that showed verbal conversion therapy to be harmful, we do know that psychotherapy, a treatment, can be harmful. And therefore, it is speech that may be regulated, right? It could be debated whether Colorado had enough empirical evidence to support its law, but the right to regulate what kinds of treatment are permissible seems obviously unquestionable to me. So what am I missing? Otherwise, what's the point of having regulatory bodies overseeing the work I do? So, David, let me put this in different terms. What's the level of generality? Do you need to show that conversion therapy specifically is harmful? Or can you simply show that bad psychotherapy can be
Starting point is 00:17:51 harmful and therefore it will be up to the state or the licensing body to determine what that standard of care is and then be able to enforce that standard of care because we know that's why it's regulated in the first place. Like basically, once you get into the regulatory scheme, again, why is this considered speech? Yeah, it's very interesting to me because a lot of the questions were along the lines of, okay, you have licensing. There's an enormous amount of trust, at least in some quarters of America, in these licensing entities that what they're doing is they're not making value judgments.
Starting point is 00:18:26 They're making peer-reviewed-based scientific judgments. and so talk therapy is bad in this we know that talk therapy is bad in the same way that we know that taking too much Tylenol is bad and can harm your liver and then you scratch below the surface and you realize oh they don't actually have that information that's not actually there and so now we're gone for we've gone from well this was a product of sort of a dispassionate scientific process that is yielding a sort of just the facts ma'am kind of analysis that why would you dispute or question, and it turns into, well, this is essentially our informed instinct. And again, if this was slam dunk, if this was cut and dry, why is Colorado
Starting point is 00:19:13 not introducing the evidence into the Supreme Court that demonstrates sort of as this slam dunk empirical matter that conversion therapy, again, as defined in this statute, is going to be harmful to such an extent that it's subject to a, overriding the speech rights of the therapist and subject to a ban. That to me, when you talk about the absence of studies and that also this is filtered through a political process, it's really demonstrating to me and reaffirming to me some of the difficulty of delegating the First Amendment essentially to legislatures influenced by licensing authorities. All right. And then the precedent question, David, we didn't talk about the NIFLA case
Starting point is 00:19:59 much. I think we mentioned it once or twice in talking about Child's writ large. But let's do a little bit of a deeper dive into NIFLA. This was a 2018 case decided by the Supreme Court. It was five, four along ideological lines. It involved California's reproductive freedom, accountability, comprehensive care, and transparency act. The Fact Act. It only applied to crisis pregnancy centers, pro-life centers that offered pregnancy-related services. And, and And it required those clinics to provide two notices. One, it had to notify women that California provides free or low-cost abortion services and give them a phone number to call.
Starting point is 00:20:44 And two, for unlicensed clinics, they had to notify women that California has not licensed the clinics to provide medical services. So the Supreme Court, David, for our purposes to make this a somewhat shorter conversation, 5-4 struck down the Fact Act. Again, like if we're doing the footnote here, what it said was it was unlikely to pass muster and sent the case back down. But, yeah, the Fact Act was no more,
Starting point is 00:21:11 in part because Justice Thomas, who wrote the majority opinion, said, this thing isn't narrowly tailored. Even if there is a compelling interest, it only applies to these clinics that look viewpoint-based, content-based, discrimination, et cetera. And the other case that I think is worth mentioning Also California. This one didn't go to the Supreme Court, but we did talk about it on the podcast, David, where California passed a law saying doctors were not allowed to discuss information about COVID with patients that was not part of the quote unquote scientific consensus. So if they had a minority opinion about COVID, they could have their license revoked. If they shared that opinion with a patient, that didn't make it to the Supreme Court because it got struck down so benched slapily.
Starting point is 00:21:57 That was an obvious no-go. I think these precedents are important because it shows sort of on the outer ends, if you will, basically like California ruined the party for everyone by pooping in the punch bowl, that if you abuse your sort of role as a state in a licensed profession specifically to target disfavored viewpoints in that state, then, yeah, when you come to these closer calls, it's going to be seen through the lens of those previous cases. And NIFLA, of course, got brought up many, many times during the argument. But David, it was only a 5-4 decision. And to me, looks far more like sort of pure viewpoint
Starting point is 00:22:41 discrimination in the NIFLA case, right? Only targeting pregnancy centers, only requiring them to provide information about abortion services, really. So the state's compelling interest doesn't make a lot of sense there, right? If it's about, you know, making sure low-income women and know that the state has free services, like, great, they should get a whole packet of all the free services, and that should probably be at every clinic that they're going to where they would have to pay money, not just this specific type of clinic with this specific type of viewpoint about these specific type of services. The Colorado case, I think, is a much closer, broader call, if you will, but NIFLA is sitting there hanging over this child's case. It's very interesting.
Starting point is 00:23:23 We keep getting, when you raise these two California situations, you, are reaffirming in many ways what I was talking about, about the licensing schemes and licensing structures. It is a very sad reality of our current life that licensing schemes, licensing structures, dispassionate, allegedly dispassionate professional societies are constantly being lobbied by activists, constantly being lobbied by activists and often changed and transformed by activist through political pressure, not so much scientific argument, but through political pressure. And then once political pressure yields the desired results, you then retreat behind the alleged dispassionate reputation of the licensing authority and say, how dare you
Starting point is 00:24:10 question this judgment? When everybody has been watching in real time, a political argument play out, an ideological argument play out, resulting in very ideologically oriented licensing schemes and structures that don't survive very well in court for a lot of good reasons. And so I almost feel like saying to the activist community, you either have trusted licensing institutions that apply a genuine scientific consensus reached cautiously over time, or you have aggressive licensing entities that are pushing at the edges of, you know, various, whether it's progressive or political cultural agendas, and one of them is going to be more legally relevant than the other. One of them is going to be more legally important if you're talking about standards of
Starting point is 00:25:04 care. One of them is going to be more persuasive to juries if you're talking about whether there's been negligence and their weather hasn't. And the other one isn't. It's just not going to be. It's just going to become subsumed into the kind of the activist. industrial complex. Footnote about Nifla, by the way, there was a concurrence, as I said. Nifla was a 5-4 with Justice Thomas writing the majority. There was a concurrence written by Justice Kennedy joined by the chief, Alito, and Gorsuch. So that's four, right?
Starting point is 00:25:31 A, I want to read you a piece of the concurrence because I think it is relevant to the child's case. But B, we've talked about this before. Why is there a concurrence that four people joined but not the majority author? Because if a fifth person joined, what is it? it's not really a concurrence anymore, what it's a second majority opinion. It just gets really messy. So you will see this from time to time. And I think it may be fair to think that perhaps the majority author would have joined this. Regardless, I think you can sub in Justice Kavanaugh for
Starting point is 00:26:03 Justice Kennedy on this one. So think of it this way of here we see the thoughts of probably Kavanaugh, the chief Alito and Gorsuch, who all currently sit on the court. This separate writing seeks to underscore that the apparent viewpoint discrimination here is a matter of serious constitutional concern. The court in my view is correct not to reach this question. It was not sufficiently developed and the rationale for the court's decision today suffices to resolve the case. It does appear that viewpoint discrimination is inherent in the design and structure of this act. This act is a paradigmatic example of the serious threat presented when government seeks to impose its own message in the place of individual speech, thought, and expression. I think that's the question for
Starting point is 00:26:45 Childs. Is it more like this? Does it fit into that sentence? Is it similar to a paradigmatic example of viewpoint discrimination by the state? Or is it something more like a licensing scheme where this is like obviously would be bad practice? And I think, David, what we saw through the course of the oral argument, and this is the punchline, it's more like NIFLA. And apologies listeners. because we probably should have gone into NIFLA in more detail the first time around. When we get back, David, the indictment of New York Attorney General Letitia James. Thumbs up, thumbs down. Is it the same as the case she brought against Donald Trump?
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Starting point is 00:29:00 At Desjardin, we speak business. We speak startup funding and comprehensive game plans. We've mastered made-to-measure growth and expansion advice, and we can talk your ear off about transferring your business when the time comes. Because at Desjardin business, we speak the same language you do, business. So join the more than 400,000 Canadian entrepreneurs who already count on us, and contact Desjardin today. We'd love to talk, business. All right, David, New York Attorney General Letitia James was charged with one count of bank fraud
Starting point is 00:29:35 and one count of making false statements to a financial. institution related to her purchase of a property in Norfolk, Virginia. David, a lot of people have made the case that there are many similarities between this case that Donald Trump has brought against Letitia James and the case that Letitia James brought against Donald Trump. Andy McCarthy over at National Review, I'll read a little piece of this. The minute details of the Letitia James indictment are going to make our heads hurt, and trust me, they are minute. Still, the overarching storyline is easy. New York's Attorney General has been charged with doing pretty much what she sued Donald Trump for doing.
Starting point is 00:30:17 She tried to bankrupt him and destroy his family business over making financial misrepresentations, and now she's accused of doing the same thing. If the allegations in the indictment are accurate, she will be forced to counter that. The misstatements are trivial. Her lenders knew exactly who she was. Prosecutions claim that they'd have charged her a higher interest rate if she'd been more accurate in the paperwork is complete. speculation, she paid her bills on time, and her bank made money off the transaction, i.e., this is a fraud case with no fraud victims. Where have we heard this before? Oh, right, in Trump's defense against the allegations in the fraud case with no fraud victims that James lodged against
Starting point is 00:30:53 him. Naturally, she'll also contend, this is totally political. She's being singled out because she's Trump's political enemy and ran for office promising retribution against James and his other tormentors. The video clips are all over social media. Sound familiar? Plus, the alleged offense is so minor it is beneath the Justice Department standard for fraud prosecutions, meaning that. Were it not for the fact that Trump has Tish derangement syndrome, she would never have been charged? What do you think, David? Does he have a point? And is it a legal point or just a political point? I don't interpret that argument as saying that this is a solid indictment of Tish shame. So I think he would say this is a punitive indictment of Tish James. And so I agree with that legal point as well that this is a punitive indictment. There's a lot about that that is suspect. But it's also absolutely true that the New York cases against Donald Trump, if you're talking about Alvin Bragg and Tish James, those are, in my view, of the Poe Parie out there from Jack Smith and documents, Jack Smith in January 6th, Georgia, January 6th.
Starting point is 00:32:03 the New York cases strike me as far more problematic, the criminal prosecution in particular, far more problematic. But the actual case against Tish James is a, I don't know, Sarah, it's really hard to look at these facts and say, this is the kind of case that just is regularly brought. This strikes me as a very unusual case. And essentially the argument in the case is that She lied when she saw it a mortgage saying that she was going to be using the mortgage or she was going to be using the property as a secondary residence, but instead used it as a rental investment property. But at the same time, there's reporting that her grandniece who lived there lived there and did not pay rent. In other words, there was a property that was used for the family and that Tish James stayed in on occasion. So she was there sometimes.
Starting point is 00:32:59 She did not rent it out. So if those are the facts of the case, it's very hard to see how this prosecution could go anywhere. And if it's that easy to find out these competing facts so immediately after the filing of the indictment, it does demonstrate why perhaps the prosecutors did not bring this indictment prior to the firing of the old U.S. attorney, the hiring of the interim U.S. attorney. And, oh, by the way, in the Comey case, Comey's. already filing a motion trying to get her disqualified that her appointment is improper.
Starting point is 00:33:33 So there's a lot of messiness around this. A couple of things here, though, David. One, if you talk to people who support this indictment and who support kind of the retribution theory, they're making a game theory argument at the end of the day, that when one side in a cooperative game violates the rules by bringing criminal cases, sort of lawfare, if you will. And again, I think that the Tish James civil lawsuit in the Alvin Brag criminal case against Donald Trump can't really be defined as anything except lawfare against a political enemy. They're cases that would not have been brought against anyone else, and
Starting point is 00:34:10 they basically investigated Donald Trump for years until they found something. It's not like they were investigating those crimes and stumbled across Donald Trump. No, they were investigating Donald Trump. So, game theory. One side violates the norm. Deterrence theory would tell you, you that what you do is basically hit them harder, disproportionately punish them for that behavior, and that will bring them back in line. And I have to say, Damon, I don't like this, but it is true in game theory that that is usually the most successful option available to the one who's on the losing side of that first norm break. It's not great for democracy, though, or the American public. Well, I would also say from a game thing,
Starting point is 00:34:55 perspective, if we're moving into the real world, punch back twice as hard, also known like in military terms, escalate to de-escalate is, let me just say the examples of that working are fewer than the examples of escalate to de-escalate really generally tends to mean escalate. And that's especially true if you're in a world where, you know, and I said this in our podcast that we recorded the free speech summit, this fight, fire with fire, hit the back twice as hard until they learned their lesson. How does this play itself out in the real world? Where is the summit meeting that occurs? Who signs the peace treaty? You know, we're talking about a huge country full of millions of people, including millions of political activists,
Starting point is 00:35:42 very ambitious, very full of anger, rage against their political opponents. I do not see any indication that escalation is leading to anything other than more escalation. I do think there is a window. There will be a lane for somebody at some point in the future to sort of say, I am the voice of de-escalation. I'm the voice of calm. I'm the voice of return to normalcy to use the phrase after the dreadful Wilson administrations. I do think there is room for that. I do think there's room for that. And there's a political opportunity for that. But in the short term, term, this escalate to deescalate is just resulting in incredible additional division, incredible additional bitterness. And I think it's making it only more likely that tip for tad is
Starting point is 00:36:34 going to be the pattern until the damage is just so great. Two pushbacks on this. One, set aside the lawfare. Let's focus on a different area where deterrence theory, I think, has been used. and that is in the area of speech censorship on college campuses, corporate boardrooms, etc. I don't know, David. It kind of seems like it's working. A lot of those things do feel like the temperature has been going down and that colleges are actually reevaluating some of their policies that were in the heat of 2020 to 2022 that were clearly race-based, clearly viewpoint-based, and that now they're like, oh, intellectual diversity is important. Free speech is a value that we care about and that we want to inculcate in our students.
Starting point is 00:37:22 Don't you agree that that appears to be what's happening in a lot of these places now? Can I just say I'm skeptical that what we're dealing with is anything other than negative polarization against the censorship of the Trump administration? In other words, that what you're seeing is we're not having an escalate to de-escalate. You're having a continually escalating anti-free speech campaign on the part of the Trump administration, that one of the political responses to it is a free speech campaign in response to a censorship campaign, which is exactly what the right did in the Biden era when they were the anti-woke movement was centering around free speech, free speech, free speech, and then they got
Starting point is 00:38:03 into power, and it turned into repression, repression, repression. And so I'm just not sold that what we're looking at is escalate to deescalate. I will say, I think that the best argument in the moment against censorship is the free speech argument. That's how you win people over is to make the free speech argument, as the anti-woke, MAGA, right articulated for years. And then the question, though, is if the real question on free speech is all is not, do I support free speech when I'm in dissent? Of course you do. The question is, do I support free speech when I have power again. Yes. Your point is let's see what these colleges, universities, and corporations do when, you know, AOC's in the White House. Well, back to the Jim Comey, well, James Comey and Letitia James.
Starting point is 00:38:57 We can really just call them the James' indictments. Looking at the Comey one in particular, here's some motions that you're going to see. We've already seen the motion trying to disqualify Lindsay Halligan as a U.S. attorney. Mind you, those motions worked up in New Jersey against Alina Haba and in D.C. against Ed Martin, right? And we've talked about this a lot about how the U.S. Constitution says principal officers have to be confirmed by the Senate. And then, of course, Congress passes the Vacancies Reform Act that's basically like, hey, but like if we haven't gotten to it, you can put someone in for a little while. It was actually meant to cabin the president's powers to some extent. And instead, it's like this loophole
Starting point is 00:39:39 that you can drive a Mack truck through. Here in the Lindsay Halligan case for the Eastern District of Virginia, she was basically hired as an assistant to the president and then sent out as an acting U.S. attorney. No, that does not even meet the Vacancies Reform Act. I think it will probably suffer a very similar fate to what we saw in New Jersey and in D.C. Other motions that you're likely to see, selective prosecution, meaning lots of other people, you know, lots of other people, did this, but only I got picked. Vindictive prosecution. You did this to me because you don't like me. And just insufficient evidence to go to trial. Like, yeah, the grand jury said it was, but like there's no evidence here. All of those motions will go before this judge. David, I have to
Starting point is 00:40:26 tell you, I am torn on what should happen here. Because legally, I think some of these motions are valid, but again, they didn't work for Donald Trump, even though I think those cases were just as weak and weaker at some points of them. Also, it would be actually, I think, helpful to the overall experiment of this country if this would go to a jury, and a jury found the evidence insufficient for a conviction or even for an acquittal. If this case gets sort of thrown out on what people will see as a technicality, or that Jim Comey gets a motion for vindictive prosecution, but Donald Trump didn't. It's a judge who was appointed by Biden. It pulls the judiciary once again further into the morass. And that makes me nervous. I thought about this almost immediately as I
Starting point is 00:41:15 saw that it was a Biden appointed judge who just, by the luck of the draw, got the Comey case. And I would say this is a case that should be dismissed, but having it dismissed by a Biden appointee strikes me as a really, really unfortunate thing. But at the same time, if you're a judge and you have a meritorious motion in front of you. He can't say, well, I'm a Biden appointee, so this guy's going to have to stand trial when he shouldn't have to stand trial. So, I mean, the bottom line is you got to do your job, evaluate the motions on the merits. You can't evaluate them and say, I'm going to deny this because a state trial court judge in New York denied the Trump's similar motion. You just, you can't do that. You have to, you have to try the case in front of you.
Starting point is 00:41:58 You have to adjudicate the case in front of you. And in that case, it's one of the strongest cases I've ever seen for vindictive prosecution. All right. We're going to be right back and talk about some more orders from the court that are worth at least a moment of our time. What a run. This champ is picking up speed. But they found a lane. Phenomenal launch into the air.
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Starting point is 00:42:58 apply. All right, David, let's hit some more Supreme Court highlights. As I said in the intro, Calais, the Voting Rights Act case is being argued as we record this podcast. We will no doubt have endless things to say about that argument on our next episode. A few other arguments that we're not going to talk about on this podcast, but we will talk about the opinions when they come out. And I really enjoyed the arguments. Villarreal, this was a case about whether a judge can prevent a defense attorney from conferring with his client about his client's testimony during an overnight recess. It's kind of technical, David, but kind of fun at the same time. And in this case, the district court said, yeah, the judge can ban that. The circuit court said, yeah, of course the judge
Starting point is 00:43:48 can ban that. And so when the Supreme Court granted cert on it, I think everyone was like, oh, well, obviously the judge can't ban that. Of course you can speak to your client. their testimony in a recess. That is, you know, the absolute obvious nature of representing your client and trial strategy and everything else. And I got to say, David, that was one of the most nine zeroy Supreme Court arguments I've ever heard where it's just going to, you know, potentially go all the way up. You know, as we said, when the Supreme Court takes a case, you've got a 70% chance or so that they're going to flip whatever the circuit court decision was. it gets even, you know, a little more fun when the district and the circuit court decide the same
Starting point is 00:44:31 way, but 30% right? They're just going to uphold what the lower court did. Then, David, there was also this postal service case. The actual legal question in this case was not interesting, but the facts are wild. Now, remember, we're taking the facts as alleged here. These are not facts that have been proven yet at trial. But in short, David, what happens when the postal service refuses to deliver your mail because you're black. They just don't like you. They don't like that you're black. They don't like that you own the building. And they refuse to deliver it. Then a court says, no, you have to deliver it. And they're just like, no, we're still not going to deliver it. And literally as of the day, at least of when the brief was filed, and I believe the oral argument,
Starting point is 00:45:12 the mail is still not being delivered. What is your recourse then? So that'll be a fun little opinion when we get it too. But David, we had three orders from the court denying cert on three cases that I thought, you know, we're worth a few minutes of our time. Then the first one, we had a dissent from the denial from justices Sotomayor, Kagan, and Jackson. Now, remember, it takes four votes to hear a case. So when you see a three vote dissent from denial, to me, David, like, not great, Bob. You know, really, there wasn't a courtesy fourth there, a joined three. And those are slightly different. Courtesy fourth means three of your colleagues want to hear the case. And so as a courtesy, you will throw in your,
Starting point is 00:45:53 vote because they want to hear the case. A joined three vote to me is slightly different, although people use these terms interchangeably. When you go around the room in seniority order, you basically say, I vote no on this case unless there are three votes, in which case I will be that fourth vote. I'm a joined three only vote. We've pretty much seen the death of the courtesy fourth vote. So here was a three justice dissent from denial. It's a death penalty case in which Humphreys was convicted of murdering two women inside a construction company's model home during which he forced both to undress and rob them at gunpoint. He was convicted. But then in the sentencing phase, David, one of the jurors basically goes bananas. She had been the victim of a similar
Starting point is 00:46:41 crime. She had said that during voir dire, but she had said, like, this won't affect my ability to be fair in this case at all. And when they went back for jury deliberations, it looks like it very much affected her ability in this case. Yeah, oh my goodness. There's like screaming. I think there was some throwing of things. Jurors repeatedly ask if they can please get out of this because one of the jurors is so unprofessional. She says she will stay until she dies to make sure this guy gets the death penalty. And what starts as, it appears, an 11 to one vote. for life without the possibility of parole turns into a unanimous decision to give him the death penalty. David, this one's a hard one for me because, in the one hand, pretty egregious and it evolves
Starting point is 00:47:29 the death penalty, which, my God, there's nothing more final. On the other hand, boy, this seems very, very fact-specific, and the Supreme Court isn't really in the business of correcting errors. I'm with you, Sarah, on, okay, do you want to, how much do you want to open up and impeach a verdict based on the conduct and jury deliberations. This is a really loaded question. But this is one of those cases where you think if you're ever going to do it, it has to be here. Because this is a woman who lied about her own experience and the impact that that experience with crime had on her. And then it got so bad. Let me just read a little bit of this, Sarah. The flavor here. It's Whoa. Okay. Jury deliberations almost completely broke down. Screaming could be overheard from the courtroom. One jury juror took a swing at Chancy and punched a hole in the wall. Jurs were seen crying on several occasions. Jure later recalled that it was as if an evil force took over Chancy. The four person wrote a note asking to be removed from the jury. The four person wants to be removed from the jury because of the hostile nature of one of the jurors. The court instead gave an alley.
Starting point is 00:48:47 charge and instructed the jury to deliberate further. It also rejected defense counsel's renewed motion for a mistrial. On the third morning of deliberations, the jury returned a unanimous verdict of death. My goodness, Sarah, my goodness. And if those are, this is one of those things where, you know, I have talked a lot about pardon and clemency powers and limiting pardon and clemency powers. This is one of those circumstances where clemency, say removing the death penalty and leaving life without parole, it's an interesting way to cut through the put the square peg into the round hole. Use the very, very unique facts of this case to prevent what seems to me to be an obvious injustice from happening, but you do it without
Starting point is 00:49:36 sort of disturbing and opening Pandora's box on the larger precedent. Right. And the point here is we don't want people opening up jury rooms. And this is the long. in fact, the precedent, that, you know, we don't look at jury deliberations because, my God, you would find all sorts of things. You're like, well, they said that and it wasn't true, and they shouldn't have gotten that from the evidence. And you also aren't in there. So you're basing it on what other jurors say that some other jurors said, and you're going to have a trial about the jury deliberations and credibility of, I mean, it's a mess. So we don't do that. But what if it reaches to this level? And should the trial court have declared a mistrial at that point,
Starting point is 00:50:16 etc. Here's the money line, David. Tragically, the court denies review allowing a death sentence tainted by a single juror's extraordinary misconduct to stand. By the way, Jordan Rubin over at MSNBC, noted this use of the word tragically, because we're going to see that again in one of the next orders. This was justices Alito, Thomas, and Gorsuch. Also, again, three justices. Now, this is respecting the denial of certiorari, as in they also don't want to grant cert. But this is a case about schools, policies related to what they do and don't tell parents about their students, transition, desire to use other pronouns, desire to hold themselves out as the opposite gender, etc. Now, in this case, pretty big screw up potentially in the cert petition, they basically don't challenge
Starting point is 00:51:10 the policy or that there even is a policy. this instead turns on one teacher. Here is the statement respecting the denial of certiorari. I concur in the denial because petitioners do not challenge the ground for the ruling below. Again, you have to find that there was a policy at the school related to this, and they never really argued that. But I remain concerned that some federal courts are tempted to avoid confronting a particularly contentious constitutional question, colon, whether a school district violates parents' fundamental rights when, without parental knowledge or consent, it encourages a student to transition to a new gender or a cis in that process. Petitioners tell us that
Starting point is 00:51:55 nearly 6,000 public schools have policies that purposefully interfere with parents' access to critical information about their children's gender identity choices and school personnel's involvement in and influence on those choices. The troubling and tragic allegations in this case underscore the great and growing national importance of the question that these parent petitioners present. So, first of all, that's never good when you get that as your statement on the denial because it just means, like, if you had argued the case differently, you would have had at least three votes to grant cert. But David, again, this is an example of some pretty egregious facts, again, as alleged at least. Let me read you just a piece of this. Like many 12-year-old
Starting point is 00:52:38 children who attend a new school, CL struggled. Her home room teacher, noticed and began talking one-on-one with C.L. These talks included discussions about C.L.'s gender identity and her freedom to use masculine pronouns if she preferred. Despite these conversations, C.L. never questioned her gender identity. Eventually, her homeroom teacher, who was also the school's art teacher, invited C.L. to attend an after-school art club meeting. When C.L. arrived at the meeting, however, it was really a gender and sexuality alliance meeting and featured a guest speaker, a substitute teacher in the district. That teacher,
Starting point is 00:53:12 the assembled students on gender identity for about 90 minutes. She said that students uncomfortable with their bodies were likely transgender and as such were prone to suicide. She gave prizes to students who came out as transgender during the meeting. She warned the students that it might not be safe to tell their parents about the meeting and she invited the students to communicate with her confidentially, providing them her personal contact information. Though CL had not previously questioned her gender identity, she announced herself as transgender at the meeting. Again, as she was leaving, the teacher told her that she didn't have to tell her parents about the meeting. But when she got home, she did.
Starting point is 00:53:48 The parents pulled her from school, et cetera, et cetera. David, not good facts. Terrible facts. Yeah. Terrible facts in that case. You know, this is a case. I think we're going to see a version of it. I think the Supreme Court is going to take cert on a version of it.
Starting point is 00:54:03 I'm just going to go ahead and warn you, school districts, if you have a policy that is blocking parents or students, or teachers from telling parents that their child is transitioning socially at school, you're going to lose. You're going to lose. I would invite you to read Mahmood v. Taylor and see how incredibly expansive the court majority outlined the religious,
Starting point is 00:54:26 just on the free exercise basis, the free exercise rights of parents to reach into schools and shape the education of their child in schools. And so you need to be rethinking those policies, pronto, because I think it's a clear, signal that at least three justices have an eye on this would really surprise me if this continues to be an issue that they wouldn't take this case, take a similar case in the future. And,
Starting point is 00:54:56 you know, it's one of those again that it, you know, the outcome here is not going to be mysterious to determine. All right. And last order that was of interest, David, because we've talked about it so recently on the pod. Remember, I've made these jokes. about the only right in the Bill of Rights not held against the states, not incorporated against the states through the 14th Amendment, I was saying it was the grand jury. But as one savvy little listener pointed out, the Seventh Amendment civil jury right also has not been incorporated. And lo and behold, a case just got denied about this question, Justice Gorsuch, respecting the denial of certiorari. And there's like a whole little thing on incorporation. So again,
Starting point is 00:55:40 is interesting coming from Gorsuch. To be sure, debates exist around the edges. There are, for example, those who hold the 14th Amendment incorporates provisions of the Bill of Rights through its due process clause, while others believe that the privileges or immunities clause supplies the truer source of authority for the job. Similarly, some have argued that the 14th Amendment selectively incorporates only fundamental or deeply rooted aspects of the Bill of Rights, while others have suggested that under that test or any other, the 14th Amendment renders all of the first eight amendments enforceable against the states. But whatever one's position on matters like those, it is hard to imagine how the Seventh Amendment might not be among those rights.
Starting point is 00:56:21 The 14th Amendment secures against the states. David, I have a pet theory that basically incorporation doctrine got so messy because due process makes no sense as a way to incorporate rights against the states, but to reinvigorate the Privileges and Immunities Clause opens up a total Pandora's box of what else privileges and immunities clause actually means, and that maybe you need to revisit all of those other due process and substantive due process cases than through the privileges and immunities clause to decide whether they all fit that or some or none. that basically it's so messy that only your low institutionalists, your YOLO justices, cough, cough, Justice Gorsuch,
Starting point is 00:57:07 are really interested in visiting that. And so until they're willing to, you don't have enough justices to say that the due process clause incorporates the Seventh Amendment through that, but you also don't have enough justices who want to play with the privileges and immunities fire. I love the way he laid that out. It was sort of, here are lots of different strands of thinking
Starting point is 00:57:28 as to why we're incorporating the Bill of Rights to the States. But we don't have to get into that because this is clear. But you do. You will have to get into it. You will. You will. But not this day. Not this day. All right, David. Last thing, do you remember the case about Humphrey's executor and the CFPB that we talked about and how I had been calling it Celia Law? And then we got all this hate mail about how I wasn't pronouncing it correctly, and I explained to you guys that I know I'm not pronouncing it correctly, but I can't in my head figure out what the right pronunciation is while I'm about
Starting point is 00:58:05 to say it. And then I figured it out, right? I really practiced. Literally, I practiced. Cila law. Well, David, it turns out that was wrong too. We cannot do this. We can't do this. It's not possible. It turns out I can't read, which I already kind of knew. So this case is spelled C-E-I-L-A, not C-E-L-L-A, like I thought. C-E-I-L-A, and it's actually pronounced Sayla. Sela-L-L-A-L-A-L-A-L-A-L-A-L-A-L-K. Okay. Okay, David, that's it for us today. If you like what we're doing here, there are a few easy ways to support us.
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