Afford Anything - Q&A: Can You Really Beat the Market by Copying Members of Congress?
Episode Date: November 4, 2025#657: This week, Paula and Joe dig into a listener’s question about ETFs that track the stock trades of U.S. politicians — including the Democratic “NANC” fund and its Republican counterpart �...��KRUZ.” They explore whether this strategy is smart investing or just expensive entertainment. Then, they shift gears to home ownership headaches. Another listener asks how to control ballooning maintenance costs, and Paula shares her best advice for finding trustworthy contractors, budgeting for repairs, and knowing when DIY doesn’t actually save money. Finally, an anonymous caller wonders if starting a small business just for tax breaks makes sense. Paula and Joe explain the IRS rules — and why energy and purpose matter more than deductions. From “fun money” investing to financial planning that actually works, this episode is all about balancing curiosity, caution, and common sense. Key Takeaways Congressional-trade ETFs aren’t a shortcut to wealth. They’re speculative, lag behind real trades, and carry high costs Home maintenance is predictable — plan for it. Create a repair timeline and build relationships with investor-friendly contractors DIY isn’t always cheaper. Factor in time, tools, and opportunity cost Never open a business just for taxes. If it doesn’t make a profit or bring joy, it’s an energy drain, not a strategy Separate fun money from freedom money. Keep speculation playful, and build wealth with focus and purpose Chapters Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising segments. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths. (00:00) Should You Follow Congress’s Trades? (06:00) The Lag Problem and Investor Bias (10:30) The “Fun Money” Rule (11:20) The Hidden Cost of Home Repairs (15:00) Finding Investor-Friendly Contractors (18:00) Planning Ahead for Repairs (22:00) DIY vs. Opportunity Cost (26:00) Starting a Small Business for Tax Breaks (29:00) The IRS “3-of-5 Rule” (32:00) Purpose Over Deductions (34:00) Final Thoughts https://affordanything.com/voicemail Share this episode with a friend, colleagues, and all the Nancys in your life: https://affordanything.com/episode657 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Joe, have you heard about the fund that tracks politicians' trades?
I have. There's several of them now.
Yeah. So we have a question today from someone who's wondering if that's where she should put her money.
She's actually one of the two Nansys who we're going to be hearing from today.
It's Nancy Day on the show.
Yeah, exactly. So we also have a deep financial planning question.
We're really going to go into the expenses of the other Nancy.
and we've got a question about whether or not to start a small business for the tax advantages
from somebody who is high income, but most of their income comes from W2.
Okay.
And we've got a question about the cost of home maintenance, which is, as any homeowner knows,
more than you expect.
Always.
All of that is coming up right now.
Welcome to the Afford Anything Podcast, the show that knows you can afford anything,
not everything.
The show covers five pillars.
financial psychology, increasing your income, investing, real estate and entrepreneurship.
It's double-eye fire.
I'm your host, Paula Pan.
I trained in economic reporting at Columbia.
Every other episode-ish, we answer questions that come from you.
And I do so with my buddy, the former financial planner, Joe Salci-high.
What's up, Joe?
I feel like today I need to change my name to Nancy Selcy High.
Nancy Salci-Huy.
Just to get along with everybody.
Right?
Yes.
Today is Nancy Day, and we're going to start with this first question, which comes from one of today's two Nancy's.
Hi, Paula and Joe. I recently learned about investment vehicles that track insider traders and
congresspeople who seem to typically outperform the market and also have a lot of reporting requirements
that allow these vehicles to copy some of their trades and follow along. The app that I first
heard about is called autopilot by the account politician trade tracker. But when I went on Morningstar,
I also found the unusual Wales subversive trading ETS, of which there is a Democratic and a Republican one.
I'm curious to hear your thoughts about these vehicles in general and whether this would be an interesting strategy,
especially for somebody who is many decades away from retirement and just starting out, building their portfolio,
looking for a higher risk, higher reward strategy.
Thank you so much for your time.
Nancy, that is a fun question.
It's a fun and fascinating topic in the world of finance.
However, I think you can guess where I am going with that.
However.
However, it is for a tiny, tiny, tiny portion of fun money, fine.
If this is the equivalent of entertainment on a Friday night, sure.
But for anything substantial, I would not recommend it as a core component of your portfolio.
And here's why.
You mentioned that there are these reporting requirements. That is true. But there is a lag time, a substantial lag time between when a trade is made and when that information becomes publicly available. And in the markets, timing is everything. That's one reason. Second reason is even people who have a certain degree of insider knowledge are still prone to biases. So there's going to be a level of,
of home team bias where people overweight the significance of companies and industries that they're
familiar with. And sometimes that works out, but sometimes it means that they're underestimating
the risks. People who are familiar with a given company or a given industry might put too much
faith in the management, for example, because they like those people personally. Or they might
underestimate the risks or overestimate the amount of opportunity that that company
has. The familiarity with a given domain can sometimes result in horse blinders. So for all of those
reasons, for lag time, for the fact that even insiders have biases, I do not see this as a
viable strategy for any significant amount of money. The fund going to Morningstar like Nancy did
It has outperformed its index, which they are comparing it to the U.S. large blend index,
which is generally going to be fairly close to the S&P 500.
It's outperformed it.
It has been around very long.
The cost are fairly high, as you would expect, with an active strategy like this,
three quarters of a percent, which if you look at for people that are new to the expense ratio game,
generally, you know, point one, maybe point two for an international fund. So 0.74 is going to be
fairly high for this. But it isn't unwarranted because, Paula, they have to track all of the
trades these people are making and they have to put money in the trades that these people are making.
And by the way, this is specifically, I'm talking about the unusual Wales subversive
Democrat trading. Ticker symbol, by the way, Nancy is NANC.
Maybe Nancy runs this fun. I don't know. Maybe Nancy's like, hey, I'm going to call in to talk to
Paul and Joe about my fund. So if this is you, Nancy, running the Nancy fun, it is actually doing
very well. Maybe she should buy it just for that. Yeah, because you share a name with your fun.
the GOP version, ticker symbol, GOP, tracking Republican trades, also has eye expense ratio 0.75.
So, you know, for most purposes, the same.
Performance wise, interestingly, Paula, this one is getting smoked by its index.
So if you follow the Democrats, you'd be way ahead.
If you followed the Republicans, you'd be way behind on following their trades when compared to this arbitrary index of large cap blend.
So there's a guessing game going on here.
And I think for me, Paula, this is the point.
Do I like this with fun money?
100% I like it with fun money.
I think it's fun.
I think it's playful.
I think it gets you interested in investing.
Why wouldn't I do all of those things?
But when I'm building an investment policy statement, I'm not going to build my investment
policy statement. The line on my investment policy statement isn't going to be, I'm going to invest in whatever
Democrat Congress people invested or Republican Congress people invest in or both. I'm not going to,
you know, that doesn't make sense to me. And not only is it what they invest in, but it also is going to be
which investments of those pick based on a methodology that this fund has that is unclear to me,
what their true methodology is, is where I'm going to back my faith in my investment policy.
I want to know a little more about why things happen.
Because I think for me, the key to my success is that when bad things happen to my investments,
which is going to happen, Paula, bad things are going to happen to your investments.
When that happens, I have to have the fortitude to know that I can stick with it.
And if I'm not sure exactly why I'm down, now I'm just doubting my strategy.
Does it really make sense to follow what Democratic Congress people or Republican Congress
people are doing?
And then I'm going to sell it the wrong time.
So I love how playful it is.
I think it's really fun.
There have been other funds like this that I've liked before.
You know, there's funds that back the sin companies, lots of Vegas stocks, tobacco stocks,
alcohol stocks.
gambling stocks, things like that.
All of those, I think that's fun.
I remember at one point there was a NASCAR
fund that did really well.
Ah, fun. Companies that advertise
on NASCAR cars
and the fund invested
in that, and that fund did really
well until it didn't.
And again, you're like,
why isn't it doing well?
And the answer is, I don't know, it just isn't.
Like, why all of a sudden
are companies that invest in NASCAR,
not doing as well as they used to do. I don't know why that is. But have I done stuff like this,
like the cool funds that invest in art? Yes, I have. Or invest in rare books. I've done that one,
too, with my own money, but always with the playful part of my portfolio. Right. I think when the
subject is Congresspeople, part of the appeal of that one, as opposed to, let's say, the NASCAR one,
is the notion of insider information.
Sure.
You know, the notion that these people are in closed-door meetings
where they learn things that the general public does not know.
And so it feels like a way to get some access to insider information.
And different than people who are the principles of a corporation,
where there are strict laws against them being able to really profit from the information
they're learning.
Congresspeople don't have those rules.
Right.
So that makes it even more enticing.
Exactly.
And so I think there's a sense of being able to mimic the advantage that they have.
I think that's part of why these funds are really appealing.
But the reality is a lot of Congresspeople don't know how to harness their own advantages.
And again, that goes back to they are clouded by their own biases.
Their judgment is clouded by their own biases.
So it might outperform for a time, but I wouldn't bank on it consistently outperforming for the next 40 years.
But that said, when we talk about fund money, we're talking about definitely less than 10% of your portfolio, ideally less than 5% of your portfolio.
I think as long as your fund bucket is contained to that, then I do think it's perfectly fine for anyone to have a fun.
bucket. What I like doing is starting with my goal and work out how much money I need to reach my
goal. And then money that's excess of that, for me, any of that money can be the fund bucket.
Right. So for me, it's not as based on the percentage of the portfolio, even though I like that
metric, as I don't want to bet my financial independence goal on Republicans investing wisely.
and I'm tracking them.
Or Democrats, either party.
Or Democrats, right.
Yeah, on one party or another investing well.
Yeah, I think that's a very valid approach as well.
One easy way to think about it is to have a particular brokerage account that is purely
dedicated to fun that is separate from all of your other brokerage accounts.
So maybe you've got like Vanguard and Schwab and those are your serious accounts.
and then you've got maybe a fidelity or an e-trade or a Robin Hood,
and that's just purely for fun.
So thank you, Nancy, for the question.
For that fun portion of your portfolio, have at it.
Happy investing.
Now on the opposite side of investing, there is spending,
particularly home repair costs that creep up on you.
And so we're going to address that in this next question,
which comes from Leslie.
Hi, Paula. One of our largest expenses in the last few years has been home repairs and maintenance.
I was wondering if you as a rental investor could help answer or could bring on a guest to help answer how to keep this expense minimal and reasonable.
So are there any tips you have on choosing good contractors negotiating a fair price, maintaining your home to minimize.
the chance of needing expensive repairs, easy DIY items to learn, or identifying a home that will need
minimal repairs in the first place through shopping around for your home. Home repairs and
maintenance, as well as optional upgrades to our home, have been one of the top three expenses for
us in most recent years, definitely far more than any amount that we spend on auto and
transport given we have one electric car and use public transit a lot. So for us, when we talk about
the top three expenses, our mortgage, our home repairs, and food as well as travel are the items
that we're spending the most on. So thinking about where we could make the biggest dent without
impacting our lifestyle, I'd really like to hone in on how to reduce home repairs and
maintenance. Thanks for all you do.
Leslie, thank you for the question. I absolutely relate. Home repairs, particularly if you have an
older home, occupy a massive chunk of the budget. What can you do to reduce those costs? First,
you mentioned contractors. Broadly speaking, there are contractors that tend to work for owner
occupants and service owner occupants and service retail homebuyers, and there are contractors
that tend to work with investors. There are some people who do both, but the differences that
you see are that contractors that tend to serve retail homebuyers, they are the companies that have
a logo and stationary and everyone's got the matching shirts with the logo on it. When you see that,
you know that that is a contracting company that serves retail and they price accordingly.
There are also contractors who typically just work with investors and you'll find them through word of mouth.
You find them by talking to other investors.
So you go to local investor meetups or if you're investing out of state, you join local investor
forums, email listservs, Facebook groups, all of the online spaces where people tend to meet.
Or you have Zoom calls with other investors and word of mouth you, you know, ask them, hey, who's your
electrician? Who do you use for HVAC? Who's your plumber? Or you talk to property managers and
ask, you know, who's on your approved list? Because property managers typically have a very short list
of pre-screened and pre-approved vendors.
So you ask them, hey, who are some of your pre-screened, pre-approved vendors?
And some of them will share that information with you.
Some of them won't.
Sometimes you just have a house that's managed by a property manager, and after a few
years of having it, you see who the vendors are.
Get to know.
Yeah, yeah, exactly.
Like, you know who the vendors are because, like, you see the invoices.
And so then if you have other properties in the area and, you know,
You can either pass that information along to other investors or if you have other houses in the
area that you are self-managing, you can just reach out to those same vendors.
Real estate is all about relationships. Real estate is about people, not properties.
And so much of it really is when it comes to finding the contractors that tend to work with
investors and tend to price accordingly, much of it is really word of mouth.
part of Dr. Thomas Stanley's research, Stanley was the author of The Millionaire Next Door.
And part of his research involved looking at, of course, the habits of wealthy people.
And one thing that he found, Paula, was that people who are very wealthy tend to all work from word of mouth.
So the best way to find the best people, if you know anyone who's affluent in your area and ask who they are.
Now, what a lot of people think, and this comes from two books that he had that went along with the millionaire next door, he wrote a book called Marketing to the Affluent, and he wrote another book about selling to the affluent.
People, when they first work with affluent people think that, well, you know, people that are wealthy have tons of money, so they pay a bunch of money.
No, that's not how they got wealthy.
They became wealthy because they know great value.
And in fact, in his book about selling to affluent people, he said, if you're going to sell to someone who's affluent, do not try to charge them more, charge them a very fair price and work your butt off for them. And you know what they'll do? They will refer you to everybody they know. They'll refer to everybody they know. Because rich people don't have time to go do a ton of due diligence on every little single things. They need to do due diligence where it makes sense. And if it's HVAC repair,
I'm just going to ask my buddy Paula, who has this done on her properties and try out her person.
And the degree to which I'm successful is going to be much higher because I know that Paula has done a lot of research already.
So I'm going to pick winners that I work with more often.
So the numbers really back up what you're saying, which is it is a people game and find the people who know the people.
and you'll end up with much better relationships and people that are not going to take advantage of you
and they're going to charge you the right amount for the work you're getting done.
Right.
First of all, Joe, and I know we've had this conversation before, every time you say affluent,
I pronounce it affluent.
So it's like every time I hear you say affluent, I'm like, oh, yeah, that's how Joe pronounces that word.
Affluent.
Affluent.
This is tomato tomato.
I think it's the way you're using the word, actually.
I think both are correct.
But I think people are...
Agree to disagree.
Well, if you're happy being wrong, that's fine.
But beyond that, the thing about word of mouth is that if somebody makes a recommendation,
if someone refers out somebody who sucks, it reflects badly on the referer, right?
Like, I've had a couple of friends in the online space who have recommended vendors and that vendor has ended up sucking and that reflects badly on them.
And vice versa.
I've had a couple of friends who've recommended vendors and that vendor's been great.
And now I think more highly of the original referer.
So because there is that transfer of reputation, what often happens is that if somebody gives you a recommender,
they give you a detailed and complete and nuanced one. So for example, there are people that
I've recommended where I say, all right, here are the pros of working with this person, here are the
cons of working with this person. Like here are all of the details of what the experience is going to
be like, the good, the bad, and the ugly, so that you can make an informed decision as to whether
or not you're okay with that. Because I know that if I'm going to be issuing a recommendation,
I need to issue that complete picture. Or sometimes I'll say, hey,
Here's a person, I sort of know them but not very well, so I can pass their information along,
but I can't specifically vouch for them. I might say something like that as well.
So just depending on your level of relationship with that person, you're going to get a very complete description because that transfer of reputation depends on it.
This is why one of my favorite lessons from this coaching group that I've used for a while called Strategic Coach, a lesson from them that I've told you.
a few times on the show for people that are new, this is a key lesson that I wish I'd learned
earlier in life, Paula, which is ask who, not how. And asking who is exactly what you talked about.
The person not only will make the recommendation, but they will tell you a little bit in many cases
about how they will fit with me in particular. You will like them because of this. You won't like
them because of this. Like, I can get so much more information than I can just Googling something or
ending up in YouTube hell. Yeah. Yeah, I love that when it comes to contractors. You know,
there's a whole other piece of this that I think we need to talk about too, which is,
I think an important part of a financial plan is to have a spreadsheet or a calendar
where you think about the things that are inevitably going to happen to your house. Because
some of these surprises that people have truly are not surprises if we do some critical thinking
around the fact that there will come a time when I will need a new roof on this house.
And maybe that's not 2025, but that's 2032.
And then every year, if it lasts past 2032, that's great.
But if I plan my sinking fund based on the fact that I'm going to need this big sum of money
for this big expense then, then it's not going to be the kick in the pants that it is
when all of a sudden I need a new hot water heater and it's several thousand dollars that I wasn't
expecting. But if I know the life expectancy of my hot water heater and I put it on my calendar
ahead of time and it becomes then a piece of my budget today for a 2032 expense, it's going to be
much, much easier. So things like the HVAC unit, the hot water heater, the roofing. The windows,
the siding, the flooring, all of it. Yes. Yeah. Yeah. Those major expenses build a timeline out of
those continuous maintenance projects.
And that I think will lower,
Leslie, the burden on you significant.
There's still going to be crap that comes up, right?
But still, it's going to lower the burden a lot.
Right, exactly.
Yeah.
We have a spreadsheet, you know, just a spreadsheet of life expectancy of every major
component.
Yeah.
This rental house that I had,
I thought the furnace was going to go out in year X.
I don't even remember the years.
This is like 2006.
when that baby was still going, Paula, in 2009, I was high-fiving myself because I had the money to replace it.
And I just, I felt like I'm living on borrowed time.
It was so, it was so awesome.
Versus had I not planned at all in 2009 or 2010, when it finally gave out, I would have gone, oh, are you kidding me?
I got to replace this.
Right.
But instead, when I replaced it, I was like, I got five extra years out of this thing.
Yeah.
It felt like a gift.
Leslie, you also asked about the possibility of doing some work yourself.
The issue is twofold.
Number one, if you don't already have all of the proper tools, the upfront cost of buying
those tools is going to be significant and at least in the short term is not going to help
you save any money at all.
And don't use some of my friends that just love buying power tools.
We've all seen the videos about, quote, girl math.
you know, about I do the thing and it ends up being free.
Right?
And I think there's also power tool math.
Yeah.
With my power tool friends.
I buy the power tool.
I use it three times.
It's like it's free, Paul up, because I didn't have to pay somebody else to do it.
Yeah.
And then you upgrade to a bigger house so that you have the garage that can store it, right?
All the power tools.
Yeah, right?
If you don't have a garage or maybe you have like a one car garage, okay, now we need a bigger garage.
Yeah.
I will say this, though.
I do like when there is repair, if it's something I think I might be able to handle myself,
I have liked over the years trying to do it the first time by myself or at least following the
person around and see how they do it. Because the thing I've also learned over time is that
if I can more accurately diagnose the problem, number one, because I've seen it firsthand,
or number two, I can talk to the repair people a little bit more in their language.
I tend to also get the job handled better and I can supervise it better.
So I do like the fact that I've repaired a toilet before.
I like the fact that I've worked on not heavy duty electrical stuff, but I've worked on some light
electrical things.
I think knowing just a little bit about those can also go a long way.
I think if nothing else, having the vocabulary to be able to talk about it, you know, to be able to talk about the flashing when you're discussing a siding project, right?
That type of vocabulary knowledge, that's actually a big component in our course, your first rental property, in the section on renovation, the module on renovation, we dedicate a lot of time to learning the vocabulary so that you can have an informed conversation with a contract.
tractor because when you are using the right words, that conversation is going to be a lot easier.
It's going to go a lot further. They're not going to be trying to interpret what you're saying as
you're incorrectly describing it. You know, you'll be able to describe the issue accurately.
And then you can go straight to discussing the solution rather than them trying to figure out the
problem. Can I make a note here and say for all the people who are like renting is throwing money
away. Let's highlight everything that we have just talked about.
Particularly in high cost of living areas, where the price to rent ratio is over 25, there is a
strong, strong case for being a renter. The exception is if you're house hacking.
I had one more note as I was listening to Leslie's question that also has struck me speaking with
home inspectors. When people hire home inspectors, they often see it as a checkbox. And the home inspector
goes out to the house and they do the home inspection. They give you this binder. You take the binder.
You put it someplace and you never look at it. When you're purchasing a property, which Leslie asked about
identifying a home that might need less maintenance, every home inspector I've talked about this has said the
same thing. They are not even open to you following them around when they do the home inspection.
Many of them like it, Paula. They like the fact that they get to show you how they're evaluating the
house for potential maintenance issues. And a lot of the time when you follow them around,
they will point out things that don't even make it to the report. So number one, reading their
report is great. But number two, if you can show up.
during the inspection and actually talk to the person who's doing the inspection of the property
you're considering buying, hugely rewarding in many cases.
And I actually take it a step further.
So in addition to hiring a home inspector, I also will pay on an hourly basis, I will pay
a contractor to walk through the property and issue recommendations on what they
think should be done. And it's not a formal inspection. It is something that's additive and
supplementary to the formal inspection. But the reason that I do that is because an inspector
has a certain degree of formality. The inspector's job is to compile a report that complies with
the guidelines around what is supposed to be in that report. And that is sometimes different from
the day-to-day lived experience of what do you actually want repaired.
I still get the inspection done, of course.
That's a non-negotiable.
I would never waive inspection on a property.
But in addition to that, I also get a general contractor paid on an hourly basis
because you got to compensate them for their time, right?
They know that this is not going to be some free evaluation.
This is not going to be like them coming up with a quote for work, right?
So pay them for their time, but have them walk through the property and just offhand informally
tell you what they think.
Oh, Leslie, the other thing I was going to say on the topic of doing the work yourself
is think about the opportunity cost.
That's the other element of it.
Because if doing some of that work yourself comes at the cost of not building a business,
not writing a novel, not pursuing some other money-making activity.
then it might not be cost savings.
It might actually cost you far more in missed opportunity.
So if you're dedicating a weekend day, then the question is, what else would you do on that day?
But then, again, if you're dedicating like a weekend day to it, there's not a whole lot you can actually get done in a day when it comes to home repairs or even in a weekend.
So necessarily, if this is a weekend warrior type of a thing, the scope is going to be limited.
but I think for most people, economically speaking, that time would be much better spent doing
something else because somebody who specializes in a task is going to be more efficient at it.
They're going to be able to do it faster and likely better.
And then you can spend your time doing whatever it is that you specialize in or deepening your area of expertise.
Thank you, Leslie, for the question.
That was a fun one.
That was a fun one.
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On the topic of spending your weekends starting a small business, that is the next question that we're going to answer,
and that question comes from Anonymous.
Hi, Paula and Joe. I'm calling with a question of
starting a small business primarily for tax purposes. Last year, our household earned around $440,000
in W2 income, which is our only current income stream. I listened to your tax strategies episode
from April, and it helped me understand why our tax burden seemed so much higher than other
high earners I hear about, the lack of flexibility in W2 income tax strategies. I've had thoughts
in the past about turning my hobbies into side hustles, like selling my crafts or custom
birthday cards on Etsy. I'm currently in a seasonal life where I would have minimal time to devote to
something like that with toddlers and grad school and a career. But I did think about starting an
LLM or other business structure for the tax flexibility. For example, my understanding is that we can
pay our kids as W-2 employees and contribute to their post-tax retirement accounts if they participate
in my craft selling business, even if the money we use to pay them comes from our W-2 income
rather than proceeds from the actual business.
I would love to hear your thoughts about the strategy.
Is it silly to create a small business when my primary thoughts are about tax and investment strategy
rather than the business itself?
Is the juice worth the squeeze, as Joe would say?
What professionals would I need on my team to do is properly?
Are there any other pitfalls or considerations I should be focused on?
Thank you both very much for your time and for all of the great advice that you give to the community
in a very accessible way.
Anonymous. Thank you for the question. There's something that I want you to be aware of, and it's called the three of five rule. The IRS basically wants to make sure that you are not trying to write off a hobby as some type of a money losing business for the purposes of getting a tax benefit. And so there's a safe harbor rule, an IRS safe harbor rule that states that if a business shows a profit in at least three out of five consecutive years,
then the IRS generally is going to assume that that's a legitimate business.
But if you are not showing a profit in three out of five years,
in other words,
if you're consistently showing losses year after year,
that's going to trigger a big red flag and possibly an audit
and then possibly back taxes and penalties.
I don't even think about this monetarily, though.
I actually think about this a different way,
which is I have a great coach,
who I've been working with for a long time.
And she told me long, long ago to stay away from what she calls energy drainers.
And this will take all of those hobbies that you love and turn them into energy
drainers.
Because if you are somebody who loves to bake cupcakes as an example and you turn it into a
business, you will no longer be worried about making beautiful cakes as much as you're
worried about profit margin, hiring the right people, getting the supplies for the cakes,
delivery times, throwing away stock that wasn't good. It becomes this abstract business thing
that has very little to do with cupcakes and a bunch to do with running a business.
With operations, yeah. Yeah. And so the joy of cupcakeery goes out the window.
Yeah. Unless you love running a business. And,
what I heard specifically from you was in this season of my life, no, no, no, no, no, no.
And so I would definitely say the juice is not worth the squeeze. I wouldn't go near this.
And opening a business is so hard and to do it for a tax break is 100 percent, I think, the wrong
reason.
Yeah.
The moment you open a business, it's inventory, it's procurement.
It's, you know, for the people you hire, it's processes.
onboarding,
SOPs,
KPIs,
it's project management software.
Yeah, sure.
Maybe you can,
when your kids are old enough
to be doing bona fide legitimate work,
you might be able to hire them,
but like any cost savings associated with that
is going to be offset by all of the software
that you need just to operate the most basic of businesses.
For example,
if you're selling physical products,
inventory management, a subscription to air table.
That's so important.
Yeah, I mean, and look at what they charge per user, right?
And then you've got like seven or eight users on there.
And you're like, wait a minute, I'm paying them how much?
What?
Right?
And it's thing after thing after thing that's like that.
Death by a thousand paper cuts.
Yeah, exactly.
The costs, even for a purely online business, the costs, the operational costs are enormous.
Well, for me, it isn't even just the cost.
It's the little thing.
You brought up a hair table, which is perfect, by the way.
Yeah.
It's every month I get my recurring subscription cost.
And as I'm looking through my cost, you're managing 85 different little connectors
to make the end product that you would have never thought.
Just on this podcast, let's say that Steve and Dan did.
didn't exist. And you had to edit this yourself. Paul's like, oh, God, no. Yeah. But for those of you
watching this on YouTube, you could just see my expression. But the editing software,
ooh, yeah, called Descript. And there's other editing software tools, but your editing software
tool, then there is megaphone, the place that you upload it to. And there's different things there.
the software that you and I use Riverside to get there.
There's three solutions right there.
And I'm sure I'm forgetting three more.
And then anything to get the word out about your episode, right?
The marketing of the episode is a whole Canva, which is another subscription.
And this all assumes that you're doing it yourself.
Yeah.
And if you're not doing it yourself, then you have Steve.
And Steve is wonderful.
He ain't cheap.
And that's because Steve, you're worth every penny and more.
And we love you.
Yes.
And Dan is amazing.
And keep all of that in, please.
Yes.
But having the people to do the pieces in a beautiful way for you that you don't have time to get to.
Well, and then the HR software, right?
Gusto.
Right.
To pay people.
And then bill.com in order to track like accounts receivable.
licensing that you may need in individual states keeping your LLC current in the state that you're in.
Oh, well.
There's a lot going on.
Yeah.
And I know there are people online though, Paula, that peddle this.
And I'm just going to call it the way I see it, which is this nonsense of, hey, all you got to do is just hire your kids.
Or we go on a family vacation then.
This is the current one that cracks me up.
Yeah.
We go on a family vacation.
Let's say we go to Puerto Rico.
Mm-hmm.
And because my kids are on my board, this is a good one.
We turn my vacation into a board meeting.
Wow.
In Puerto Rico.
I saw this one last week.
I haven't heard of this.
That's all you got to do.
You just have your board of directors be your family.
And bam, you're having your board meeting at Disneyland.
Disney World. Are you kidding me? As if the IRS isn't going to see right through that.
Well, and again, you need to post a profit. Remember the three out of five rule. If you're posting
losses, if you're posting losses for too many years, the IRS is going to hunt you down.
And by the way, you don't have to make a profit three out of five. You have to show that you
tried your ass off in three out of five years to make a profit.
And it gets really rigorous.
And yeah, no, no, don't do it.
Please don't do it.
Well, now that we've dissuaded everybody from starting a business.
Well, I think for people in the right season of life.
Yeah.
And I'll point to one.
You know, my spouse, Cheryl, is thinking about in the next 10 years what her next thing is going to be.
So on the side, we've started stacking adventures, right?
Which is our travel blog, which we post.
two, not all the time. But we're starting at Paula, this thing that is a business that we want to
be a business as our next thing. But we're doing it on weekends. We're doing it a little bit at a time.
It isn't a serious, quote, business yet. It is much more bootstraps and getting the foundation laid
so that when Cheryl decides that she wants to do the next thing, that she can just step into it.
we have all of the foundation in place, right?
If you're at that point, then I would say go for it, but realize that, A, it's not going to go
very far and be, beware what you ask for because it does turn vacations into content creation
when you go visit someplace can also suck the joy out of going to see the place.
Right.
Yeah, I have friends who started a travel content creator business because they were traveling
a lot and they wanted to write it off on their taxes. And now every time I invite them to go out to
dinner, they're like, oh, sorry, Saturday night, we have to stay in and work on our business.
Yeah. It was meant originally to be a tax write off. And now it is the reason that we never see
them anymore. They're not hanging out with us on Friday, Saturday nights. They're staying in and
working on the business. That's a whole other episode.
Because a basic question I would always ask business owners when they came into my office was,
is the business working for you or are you working for your business?
And almost every entrepreneur would tell me, no, I started off because I wanted the business to work for me.
And now I work for the business.
The business has consumed me, which is something then I would try to help them change around.
Right. But it's hard. When you start out, it is so hard. I'm reading a book right now by the founder of a Midwest coffee chain that some of our afforders will know called Big Bee Coffee. The book is called Grind. And what I love about the book, I love the double entendre. Yeah, that's a great title. Wow. What a great title.
But he goes back, Paul, and you remember this, your first years of being in your business. Yeah. The first years are tall. You are your business. And the only thing.
that matters, and this guy hammers this home is sales. The only thing that matters is sales.
You need to tell your family that you don't exist. You need to be there on nights and on weekends and
really, and you know what, five years from now, you'll be so happy that you did it. But if you
don't start the business that way, A, the business won't succeed. And B, you'll end up
regretting that you kind of went halfway. Yeah, grind is a really good.
book. Anonymous, thank you for the question. Before we sign off, we have to give you a name. Oh,
we already know the name. Clearly, you're going to be Nancy. Nancy. Yeah, because I mean,
you're anonymous. We're anchoring the episode with Nancy is the first question and Nancy is the last
question. So Anonymous also has to be Nancy, Nancy, Nancy number three. Duh, yeah. Right. Well, actually,
you're Nancy number three, but technically you're in the Nancy number two spot. Yeah. Second Nancy.
Or would you be the third Nancy because the other two were previously named Nancy and you're the most recent to receive the name of Nancy?
I think the second Nancy is good.
Maybe two and a half?
And Leslie, by the way, whose question we answered last, your middle name is now Nancy.
Yes.
So thank you, Nancy, for the question.
So great to meet you, Nancy.
We're going to take a final break to hear from the sponsors who may.
make the show possible. And when we return, we're going to hear from Nancy number four.
Four? No, three. Oh, man. If Leslie's middle name is Nancy, then Nancy number four.
Oh, geez. I'm so confused. Anyway, we're going to hear from another Nancy. Welcome back.
Our final call today comes from Nancy. Huh.
Hi, Paula and Joe. I've been a long-time listener to both of your podcasts, first introduced to Paula
through stacking Benjamin. Both of your podcasts have provided great insights and meaningful guidance on our
financial journey and really help shape our retirement plans in a positive way. You both have my
gratitude and appreciation. I've really enjoyed the Wednesday format as you both always bring
great, thoughtful perspective to caller's questions, so I'm reaching out with a good problem and would
appreciate your input. I'm retiring in April and we'll receive an estimated 53,000 lead payout.
I'm weighing a few options, which are contribute to a 457 Roth with any remaining amount to my 403B
Roth, take the payout in cash and use it to convert some of my pre-tax savings to Roth,
or is there a smarter move that I haven't considered?
Here's a quick snapshot of our financial picture.
I'm 57 and we'll have 20 years vested in my state's retirement system pension plan at retirement.
My retirement accounts include a 403B with 351 and pre-tax and 206,000.
in Roth, a 457 with 178,000 pre-tax, and 38,000 in Roth.
And I also have a Roth IRA of 12,000, but I'm currently not contributing to that.
My husband's almost 58 and a federal employee, and thanks to a special military buyback
program, he was able to purchase retirement credit for his military academy and active duty
military service time.
Next summer, when he reaches his fifth work anniversary, his leave time will jump from five
years to over 19 years. I should also note he is a service-connected disabled vet receiving VA health care
and a monthly tax-free disability payment of $1,900. Our plan is for him to work until 60.
Additional financial details, we have over $162,000 a brokerage account. My husband has an IRA
around a million and over $200,000 in his TSP. And we also have a combined total of $46,000 between
CDs and cash. Our only debt is a 2.25%.
fixed mortgage and our monthly expenses are about 8,000. We'd love to hear your perspective on how to
best optimize this lead payout and whether Ross conversions or some other strategy might make
better sense in our situation. Thanks again for all that both of you do to educate and look out for
us. Your work truly makes a difference. Nancy, thank you for the question and congratulations on your
upcoming retirement in April. So my preference, and Joe, I'm curious to see if you and I are going to
agree on this because we have not discussed our answers beforehand. Okay, what I love about the $53,000 payout
is that it's going to happen in 2026, which means, you know, 2025 is going to be a high income tax year
because you're working for the full year. Twenty-26, you're working partial year, so it's going to be a
much lower tax year. So you get the payout in 2026 where you're in a lower tax year, and you can
start funding Roth conversions later in, in 2020, six.
when you've got lower taxable income and your tax bracket is going to be lower than than it is today.
So I say start making Roth conversions next year in 2026.
I am so agnostic on this.
I think that you're not going to be upset either way.
I think you already have enough money in a Roth position for tax diversification in retirement.
So I think you've done a good job of building that portion of your tax triangle.
So I can make an argument for going ahead and taking the bird in the hand pre-tax money now because of the fact that I don't know if having that much more money in a Roth is going to significantly affect your situation in the future.
I think I'd have to know a little more.
I'm also thinking, you know, we answered the question from Leslie about some of these big rocks.
And if you think that your financial independence goals are covered without this money,
the question that I would ask Paula is what other things, what other big expenses are coming up?
Because this could also be a sinking fund that is just separate.
So I'm not sure.
I can see the basis of her timeline and her financial plan, but I think I want to know.
what these other things are. So, yeah, I see where you're going with funding the Roth conversions
and because income streams are going to be less next year, which means the tax bracket situation
isn't going to be what it is in 2025. Okay. Yeah, I buy that. But I also buy pre-tax and I also
buy, I don't think there's a wrong answer here. Well, she said she's considering contributing to
a 457 Roth and then putting any remaining amount in a 403B.
That's one option.
But she's also considering taking the payout in cash and then using it to convert
pre-tax savings into Roth.
And I like the payout and cash followed by conversion.
I like that option better.
Why do you like that better than just going into the Roth 457?
Greater control, greater ability to make a multi-year conversion.
You know, she's 57.
Her husband is 58 and plans to work until he's 60.
So he's going to be working for another two years.
I think with the payout and cash followed by conversions,
they're going to have some tax value years where they can spread this out.
So I'm thinking 2027 as well.
So when you say control, you mean in control of the investments
because you have a wider range of investment choices.
in the IRA? That too. Well, I guess I don't know what choices she has in the 457, but generally
speaking, most people are going to have better investment choices outside of something that is
employer-sponsored, although she might be able to roll out of any employer-sponsored plan at the time
of retirement. Certainly, that's a possibility. But more of what I'm thinking is if this $53,000
payout goes into a 457 Roth, it's going to hit a contribution limit, the rest of it then goes
into a 403B Roth.
I think that's a fine plan.
It's a perfectly fine plan, but I like the idea of her having the flexibility that comes
with taking the payment in cash and then having the remainder of 2026 to execute Roth
conversions on a portion of it or all of it.
you know, or perhaps waiting until 2027 and then executing Roth conversions.
Optionality is greater with the money coming as a cash payout.
You know, there's something to be said, though, too, on the other side of that argument, Paula, about the simplicity of just contributing.
You know, you got workplace, text, taken right out of your paycheck.
I don't have to freedom from worry.
don't have to show it on my tax return, just the ease of the 457. So again, I can see both sides of
this. And I don't think there's a bad answer. Yeah, I don't think there's a bad answer,
which by the way, these were always my favorite questions when I was a financial planner.
When all the answers are good, you know, you're not like, how are we going to make ends meet?
How are we going to make it through this crisis? Those were always difficult. And,
really sometimes frustrating, you know, but in this case, it just all seems like a win.
There is one more option, Paula, that we didn't discuss.
She mentioned that she has the mortgage and the mortgages at a very low interest rate.
So clearly she's thinking she would keep that.
Mathematically, it probably makes sense to keep that.
However, when people get close to retirement age, sometimes the cash,
flow, freeing up the cash flow of not having to make that monthly payment, not having that
loom over your head when you're creating your distribution strategy from your investments might also
be something to take a look at. I don't know. She didn't mention how much money there is left in the
mortgage. Right. But that's something I would explore. Also, you know, I've been doing a ton of research
lately on what the happiest retirees know. And happiest retirees are people that understand math,
but they still pay off the debt anyway.
The freedom from worry of having that debt hang over their head is something that pretty
smart people do, even though mathematically it might not at first make a lot of sense.
Right. She mentioned that their monthly expenses are $8,000.
My question would be, if that mortgage were paid off, what would the monthly expenses be?
Right.
Because that will have an impact in how much they need to draw down.
So I think I'd put that on the table as well, just to chat about.
Yeah.
If the $53,000 is a big enough lump sum that it could pay it off in one fell swoop,
I'd be far more inclined to do that than if it moved the clock forward but didn't completely eliminate it.
A hundred percent.
Yeah.
If she told me there's $35,000 left on the mortgage.
Right.
Yeah.
And it's $1,500 a month or $2,000 a month.
Exactly.
Yeah.
because that would have an immediate benefit when it comes to cash flow versus if there's
$200,000 remaining on the mortgage.
Forget about it.
You know, yeah, then there's no cash flow benefit.
Yeah.
You know, you move the clock forward and that's great.
It might still be worth running a spreadsheet to consider it.
Well, and especially against Paula, the piece that I brought up earlier, which is on the
timeline, there will be these big rocks, these big expenses.
And if we look at maybe you might convince me of five years from now, you might convince me,
five years from now, they're buying a $150,000 RV, let's say, and they want to use that to travel.
Then I might go, okay, $200,000 left on the mortgage.
Let's see if we can get that paid off first before we make this big expense.
But generally, I'm with you.
No, no.
But I love timelining first these big expenses that you see coming up.
And then maybe I can make a case for pull it forward.
but generally I'm 100% with you.
Yeah, have $200,000 left on it.
No, no.
Yeah.
Well, thank you, Nancy, for the question.
And thank you for being a longtime member of the community.
And thank you for being a Nancy.
Yes.
Thank you, Nancy for being Nancy.
Well, Joe, we have done it again.
Where can anyone named Nancy find you?
Oh, you can find us at the greatest money show on Earth,
the stacking Benjamin's show.
Monday, Wednesday, Friday.
Nancy mentioned that she learned.
a lot from us, Nancy, don't tell anybody that because you ruin our reputation that you
learn something. That's horrible. We want you to have a good time, feel like you can do it.
And that's every Monday, Wednesday, Friday. And the amazing Paula Pant is with us on many Fridays.
And what you may hear is something very exciting, which is that Paula, unfortunately,
had to miss a recording. And the lovely woman who filled in for Paula on our Friday roundtable,
talking about five regrets that retirees have if they don't do the right planning.
Jill Siriani from Frugal Friends joined us and actually won the trivia on Paula's behalf.
Yay!
For those of you that aren't stacking Benjamin's fans, you have no idea what we're talking about.
But that's a big deal when Paula wins trivia.
Yeah.
You know what scarce is valuable.
And Paula with the win at trivia,
time. So Paula, I think you owe Jill Siriani from Fugofrends 10 bucks.
Wow, that's incredible. Well, thank you so much, Joe, for being part of the show. And thanks to
all of you for being afforders. If you enjoyed today's episode, please share this with Nancy.
All the nancy's in your life. Share this with everyone you know named Nancy. That is the most
important thing you can do to help all the nancies of the world reach better financial health,
make better financial decisions, grow their net worth.
Nancy's of the world unite.
Yes.
Also, please leave us a review.
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We read every single one, and it helps us so much in booking better guests.
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Thank you so much for being part of this community.
I'm Paula Pant.
I'm Jossol-C-Hi.
And we'll meet you in the next episode.
