All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg - E38: Bestie brawl, Robinhood's $70M fine & S-1, Delta variant, future of the political parties, FTC takes losses against big tech & more

Episode Date: July 3, 2021

Show Notes: 0:00 Jason & Sacks hash out their Twitter beef 20:58 Robinhood $70M FINRA fine signals & S-1 news, plus how GPs think about IPO distributions 35:29 Delta variant: reason for concern or fea...r porn? 57:25 Trump not taking credit for Project Lightspeed, Trump CFO indicted, will Dems prosecuting Trump backfire & help him gain steam for 2024? 1:06:11 Future of Republican & Democratic parties 1:11:17 FTC takes a hit in Facebook case dismissal & Amazon requesting Lina Khan's recusal, does Facebook have the best case against being a monopoly? 1:19:42 Sha'Carri Richardson Olympic suspension Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Referenced in the show: All-In Stats - E37 https://newsletter.allinstats.com/issues/all-in-stats-episode-37-662814 FINRA fines Robinhood $70M https://www.finra.org/media-center/newsreleases/2021/finra-orders-record-financial-penalties-against-robinhood-financial Robinhood S-1 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1783879/000162828021013318/robinhoods-1.htm CNN - The Delta variant will cause 'very dense outbreaks' in these five states, expert says https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/28/health/us-coronavirus-monday/index.html Google - US vaccine rates by state https://www.google.com/search?q=vaccination+rates+by+state&oq=vaccination+rates+by&aqs=chrome.0.0i131i433j0i433j69i57j0i131i433j0i433j0i395i433j0i395i457j69i61.3260j1j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 Experimental Assessment of Carbon Dioxide Content in Inhaled Air With or Without Face Masks in Healthy Children https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapediatrics/fullarticle/2781743 Politico - ‘Not a healthy environment’: Kamala Harris’ office rife with dissent https://www.politico.com/news/2021/06/30/kamala-harris-office-dissent-497290 Politico - DeSantis ‘very wary’ of upsetting Trump https://www.politico.com/news/2021/06/28/desantis-trump-gop-election-496367 CNBC - Judge dismisses FTC and state antitrust complaints against Facebook https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/28/judge-dismisses-ftc-antitrust-complaint-against-facebook.html Amazon's petition for Lina Khan recusal https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/AMZN%20petition%20re%20Khan.pdf NYT - Sha’Carri Richardson, a Track Sensation, Tests Positive for Marijuana https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/01/sports/olympics/shacarri-richardson-suspended-marijuana.html Tweets: https://twitter.com/ALLIN_STATS/status/1409269704573820939 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1409282278270849028 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1409282966354857986 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1409287404628938753 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1409554101713702917 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1409289443161382912 https://twitter.com/trvrb https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1410432407816212481 https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/1410682821358858242 https://twitter.com/SenWarren/status/1409649814308986888 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1409723626476216321

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Is is Jake out here. I can't see him Maybe I've been blocked. I don't know Why do the two fat guys have to ruin everything. I mean get your shit together you two The so started free burger You guys ready? I'm not dead anymore. In three, two. What? You're like your winner's ride. Brain man, David's act. And it said we open sources to the fans and they just go crazy with me. WS Ice Queen of Canwam. If you'd like to skip the Bestie Twitter drama and get right into the episode, jump to 20
Starting point is 00:00:47 minutes and 48 seconds. Hey everybody, hey everybody, we've got a great show for you today. What a treat this is going to be here at the All-In Podcast. We cover everything technology, business, market, politics, science, and of course, the Besties emotions in their feelings. I'm Dave Friedberg, the King of Canones. Joining me today are the guys that used to be besties. First joining us from Burle Skoney's The Pie Pie Burp spacks himself, Jamal Polly Hoppebouliou. Jamal, welcome. You look great today.
Starting point is 00:01:21 Thank you. And from one of his many houses, the Sass bully himself David Sacks and of course our former moderator and host the one and only the internet famous The Bronx bully Jason Callacana's everybody. J. Cal, welcome. You're looking great. You look like you're ready to do a little jab in a hook.
Starting point is 00:01:49 So for those of you joining us today that haven't been following on Twitter. I'm sorry, Chamath did, did you get Kermit the Frog to host the show? I mean, Jesus Christ, that opening was the worst, most painful thing I've ever heard. It really was not very good. Okay, well, welcome.
Starting point is 00:02:03 Saxon, J. Cal, not really feeling great about it. Fuck this. So you can't, it's a not very good. Okay, well, welcome. Zach and Jake help, not really feeling great about it. So you can't, it's a failed experiment already. I thought the opening was good. Good job, Freeberg. I think you're doing well. So fucking four of 10. Stop pre-judging his performance. Just again.
Starting point is 00:02:18 And by the way, stop interrupting. Stop interrupting, Calcannus. So the moderator is moderating and Jake help have to take the mic love. Jake help to mute. To dreamers andcannus. So the moderator is moderating, and Jay Cal has to take the mic. Jay Cal is going to mute. The dreamers and mute him. You're the blocker. I'm going to mute him.
Starting point is 00:02:30 Thank you. So gentlemen, welcome. As we know, over the past week, there has been a Twitter feud between Jason and David Sachs. And I'm going to give you guys a little bit of this background for those of you who haven't followed online, which I'm assuming is the vast majority of you. But there's a Twitter account called All-inStats, and they publish an analysis showing that
Starting point is 00:02:51 J. Cal has been talking a lot on our podcast. And SACs, you know, kind of quote tweeted and said, you know, here is statistical proof of Jason's piss poor moderation of the All-in Pod. J. Cal, if you were moderating correctly, you would be fourth place in Airstime, and third time instead of tied for first. Your job is to facilitate discussion, not dominate it. Stop interrupting and let the grownups talk.
Starting point is 00:03:14 J. Cal immediately jumps up with a response. Maybe you could start your own pod with Peter Teele and Keith or Boys and have Tucker Carlson moderate. Sack says, I know it's rough doing 10 years of this week in startups and never getting to number one, then Shema Freibring and I do it effectively on the first date. On the first take, but this is why you need to stick to your lane and stop talking over us. Oh my God, so brutal, Saks.
Starting point is 00:03:39 J. Cal then responds with, though, at niche podcasts about just startups, it's never going to be number one. It's not for general audience like all in by design. Number two, sure, trash the guy who is relentlessly supporting you for decades because you're obsessed with your stats and forget about the quality of the conversation. Then J-Cal blocks David Sacks on Twitter publicly. Sacks tells everyone J-Cal blocked him. And this whole thing escalates and snowball. So the besties have they broken
Starting point is 00:04:07 up. Are they going to get back together? Is this podcast going to continue? My mom sent me a text this morning. Has the pod disintegrated? Jason pulled out question mark, question mark, question mark. The drama ensues. So gentlemen, I leave it to you. Sacks of your opening remarks and then J. Cal, you may respond. I'm here to moderate this opening of today's all-in pod so we can kind of get past this and hopefully get the best these back together and continue our conversations that I think many people find valuable and are super helpful and useful for us and for our listeners. SACS, please. Well, I mean, I can see on Jason's face that he's hurt by my tweets.
Starting point is 00:04:46 Maybe he should go first and explain what's so hurtful. I mean, look, the reality is about this show that breaking balls is part of it. We've been doing it for a year and a half, and nobody does it more than Jason. Then all of a sudden, he's on the receiving end of a couple of mean tweets and he's like the school yard bully who finally gets popped in the nose and goes running to the teacher
Starting point is 00:05:12 and he can't stop bawling. So, you know, where is it that somehow the word piss poor crossed a red line for you after all of the, you know, ball busing you've been doing for the last year, that's somehow that's out of bounds. And now you're going to block me and potentially end the show in our friendship. So explain that to me. Big baby. All right. Number one, I want to talk about the statistics in my role.
Starting point is 00:05:45 On my perception of you, David, is that you got a taste of fame and celebrity and it's gone to your fucking head. And your out of your ego is out of control. You now have stopped doing your job every day and you are obsessed with your statistics and how you're perceived on the pod. As seen by your obsession and your bromance with Henry or Harvey Bellcaster whatever you're sitting there obsessing over what percentage each of us talk none of the other besties are reading all in stats or getting obsessed with Henry Belkaster and how they're perceived on the pod. You have taken a championship show, which I pull together with my decades of experience in team as the point God.
Starting point is 00:06:39 I am the crisp Paul of moderating. The reason this show is number one, is because I created a super team. There are four people on this podcast who bring a lot to the table, and you have asked for decades for ARCAL. I will not pull out a list, but the time that you were gonna get canceled because of beep and the other time
Starting point is 00:07:07 that your company was in the beep because the beep was investigating it, you called air count, you called an air count. You can't deny it. And nobody has benefited more from my skills in media than you. Are you speaking in an accent? Not speaking in an accent.
Starting point is 00:07:31 I'm getting, this is when I get upset. What is this? He's getting for climps. He's getting for climps. He's controlling it. I'm pointing the ball up court and I fucking pass the ball to everybody. I am white chocolate on this team.
Starting point is 00:07:43 I am the professor. I am Chris Paul, okay? And I pass the ball to everybody. I am white chocolate on this team. I am the professor. I am Chris Paul. Okay. And I passed the ball. Now, if you want to be a point guard like me and throw crisp passes that make the audience laugh and make them cheer and bring down the whole goddamn stadium, well, sometimes I'm going to do a no look pass is going to hitch in the back of the head or it's going to bounce off. You can't fucking cry about it, constantly, David. And if you're looking at the minutes, I have to read the story and prep the story so I can put it in your lap, which I love to do. I love my role here. And you're taking my miniscount, which is
Starting point is 00:08:21 at least two-thirds moderation. And you're saying that's indicative of me being pissed poor. Now, if it's all a goddamn joke, that's fine, but you're messing with my business. My business is podcasting and performing. If you got a problem with me as the moderator, you have my fucking phone number, you can call me. But don't go out and start some fight with me, and then go start hanging out with Henry
Starting point is 00:08:45 Bellcaster when I'm your boy. Okay. And then everything with you is about your call in clubhouse killer. And we've got to move the pond to that. You're getting at a control, David. You need to realize we started a podcast that went to number one instantly and be grateful about that and stay the course. The end, I'm done. Well, all right, good. All right, so can I respond? So first of all, J.Kell, I agree. You put the super team together for this pod.
Starting point is 00:09:16 You're an indispensable part of it. I'm not questioning that, you know, I don't think you should. I don't think, well, let me come to that. Let the adults talk. Let me first, let me, I'm actually saying some positive things about you before I get into my critique. Okay. So look, you deserve credit for putting this thing together along with with Jamoth. It wouldn't be the same without you.
Starting point is 00:09:37 You do bring an element of entertainment to it. Lord knows if it was just freeberg moderating all the time, it'd probably be extremely boring. So, um, look, although we're going to give him a chance today, so who knows? Um, but rough start. And it's not that I was angry or upset or concerned about my airtime or any of that stuff. I was frustrated, okay, because your moderation, I have a couple of concerns about or I guess complaints. Okay. One is that you do tend to interrupt and I'd say you interrupt me more than the others.
Starting point is 00:10:11 Okay. And specifically, let's talk about the issue, the issue where this came up was the Eric Adams issue last pod. Okay. So you didn't even go to me. This issue, the Eric Adamsoms issues all about the corner issue What the audience doesn't know is that you went to Jamal like three times then you moved on and we had to come back Said no listen, I raised my hand to get back into the conversation. We edited that part out you skipped over me completely
Starting point is 00:10:38 I don't know how that was good Passing where was the dish? Okay, let me explain to you. Can I respond to that? Sure You've got three people on the team who can score I come down the court. I pass it sometimes there's two open guys You're the guy who was open who didn't get the pass and now you're walking down the court complaining No, this would be like not going to free bird on a science issue. All right, sorry, I understand. This would be like,
Starting point is 00:11:09 it's a bit like nothing. To defend the cops, beating up criminals, I understand that your wheelhouse next time, when it comes to that, I'll make sure I do it. It would be a consequence to it. I agree with you. I agree with you. It's an oversight.
Starting point is 00:11:21 I can't hit every perfect pass. You're expecting perfection. So then, it's a mispass and can't hit every perfect pass. You're expecting perfection. So then, it's a mispass and now you're upset about it. Okay, so then, so then I basically say, listen, I want to talk to this issue. I have three points to make. I'm not three point number two before you're interrupting me and taking the ball away.
Starting point is 00:11:37 The specific reason why I said I have three points is to telegraph to you. Don't interrupt me, bitch. I got three points to make. Okay, what do you do? You cut me off bitch. I got three points to make, okay? What do you do? You cut me off the middle of point two. How is that good moderation?
Starting point is 00:11:49 I don't think you do that to Chimoff. Or even Freepurg. This really is about, this really is about Chimoff versus you and my relationship to with each other. I love you both. No, I love you both. And the reason why I brought up the all-in stats, okay,
Starting point is 00:12:02 is not because I'm concerned about my airtime, but to show you some. So, I'm a little concerned. No, because I, they broke down that I was like fourth in the airtime, and so the only point about that is why. Why are you giving me the hook when I'm not talking too much? If I were talking too much, if I were monologuing, it'd be a whole different story.
Starting point is 00:12:19 But you're yanking the microwave for me in the mid-sentence before I even had a chance to finish. And there's one more thing, okay? Which is as soon as I bring up any concern with the moderation, where do you go? You start calling me Tucker. You start labeling me in this way. Okay, just like...
Starting point is 00:12:35 You had dinner with Tucker in the last year. Just like a year ago. How do you had dinner with Tucker in the last year? You're proving my point. Where do you go? Where do you go? It's called the joke. Yes, but why?
Starting point is 00:12:43 I'm trying to keep the show entertaining, keep it moving. Part of keeping the show entertaining, moving is keeping you guys from monologuing. I have to cut you off and make jokes. A year and a half ago, at the beginning of the pod, we had to have the last time we had a sort of session like this, it was because you kept trying to paint me as the Trump supporter, which is not my agenda.
Starting point is 00:13:03 Okay, now you're trying to... Did you vote for Trump? Now you're trying to hang the Tucker label on me. Why aren't you saying, hey, let's hear it from George Will, let's hear it from William Buckley. The reason why you're choosing those labels is because you know they are anathema to most people in Silicon Valley and you're trying to stigmatize me with them.
Starting point is 00:13:20 No. That is, you're trying to hang. Are you reading from your notes? Are you reading from your notes? You're trying to hang that al you reading from your notes? Are you reading from your notes? You're trying to hang that album. You're talking points over my neck. Okay. And that is you're trying to enathomatize me in the in the view of most people's Silicon Valley. You're causing you are causing the audience to pre-judge my message at my points before I even had the chance to say that I'm trying to do by by a Tatchin make a joke. The bookie man of the left to me. Okay. The result of that is the audience is gonna
Starting point is 00:13:48 Prejudge what I have to say and probably a third of the audience will never Want to hear what I have to say because you've pre labeled and prejudge me that is a serious problem And that is fucking with my business. That is fucking with my business. Is it really a lot more a lot more than me Calling out your shitty moderation on one show. Oh, so now it is shitty moderation. Oh, okay. I thought it was great. I'm sorry. Now we're back to it being shitty moderation. Let me ask you. You know what you're doing. Did you have to do it? Did you have to do it? We talked with you. You know what you're doing.
Starting point is 00:14:16 Have you had your talk or answer the question? I'm going to mute both of you now. Okay. I'm in the moderator. Timoth, do you want to weigh in on these two idiots and talk a little bit about how we can do this show forward? And at this point, I'm thinking about vetoing the publication of the show so we can just have this conversation on the plot. This was so fucking boggled. This was paint. This was so stupid. Nick edited all this nonsense. I'm making 30 seconds and move on. Hey guys, this is a really important powerful thing that we accidentally stumbled into. I'll make two points.
Starting point is 00:14:48 David does get labeled, and I don't think it's fair. And Jason does an excellent job of moderating. And sometimes I think that Jason does get excited. And in getting excited, you know, he's also not just there to moderate, he's there to contribute as well. And so I think that if you look at the number of minutes as a guide, it's not going to be accurate because he does have two jobs to do, whereas the rest of us only have one. And David does bring an enormous amount of clarity to what he says in a very fair way.
Starting point is 00:15:20 And it is unfair to him that he gets basically slathered with, yeah, here's the crazy guy on the right. So I think what I would just say is, just let's just tone it the fuck down and calm down. Okay, we're at a million fucking people a week. We could be a 10 million people a fucking week and we could fucking own the distribution of our ideas to millions and millions of people. Let's just stay the course and calm the fuck down.
Starting point is 00:15:44 Well, I agree with all of that actually. I agree with all of that. I agree with all of that. I agree with all of that. Millions and millions of people, let's just stay the course and calm the fuck down. Well, I agree with all of that actually. I agree with all that. I mean, 100% in agreement. I wanna address the labeling issue. I wanna address the labeling issue. I am joking nine out of 10 times when I talk about Trump because it's hilarious and your relationship with Tucker.
Starting point is 00:15:58 I think it's hilarious that you're part of the Keith Roboi and Tiel thing. And I don't think it's damaging for your business at all. And I, people have telling me I'm purple-viewed. We're moving to the center here. So I believe that we're doing something noble by bringing all these voices together. It's all a big joke.
Starting point is 00:16:14 And you know what, I don't care what you say about me on Twitter. I know I'm good at what I do. There's nothing you could say that can change that. Why's your accent changed? Why's your accent changed? I think in general, you are good at what you do. And I, and I, and the reason why I, I have to have the top 10 tech podcasts.
Starting point is 00:16:31 Go open your fucking podcast player. Don't tell me to get my fucking shoot. Okay, no, no, no, no, no, no, nobody's saying that. So I think I think what, what David literally said, that's literally what he's doing. What are you, what are you doing right now is showing why I had to tweet, which is you won't take a note.
Starting point is 00:16:47 I can't tell the guy, hey, listen. You gotta know for me, it's not gonna happen on Twitter. You got my fucking phone number. Well, it doesn't happen in private either. We know that. You could fucking call me. Oh, really, you're gonna take a note in private but you're like, I've tried.
Starting point is 00:17:01 I've tried. We've had this conversation before. We had this specific conversation about the Trump thing a year ago. We haven't talked about Trump in six months. You're back to all your bad habits. Can we just hear an apology from one to the other and tell the other?
Starting point is 00:17:15 Yeah, yeah, yeah. Absolutely willing to hear a saxist apology. Tell him what you appreciate about him and what you like about him. Go ahead. Go fucking Christ. Is this therapy? All right, I unblocked fucking sax and I'm following him enough. Thank you. We move on. We move forward. Apologize to
Starting point is 00:17:28 each other. All right. Sorry. You tweeted that shit, sacks. I'm sorry. I'm sorry. You're too much. I'm so sick. David, apologize to him. Let's just move on. Jason, tell sacks. You're sorry for labeling him and you know, you'll be more conscientious in the future, please. I'm sorry that I brought up your relationship with Tucker and that I labeled you a Trump disciple. I don't even need an apology. I just want him to recognize. It just makes me so I'm trying to be the bigger man. Fuck it. I take it back.
Starting point is 00:17:56 Okay. I unblocked you and you're followed. I unblocked you and you're followed. That's enough. His feelings were heard by you telling him that his podcast sucks and Yeah, it's poor. Okay, look you as we have 10 of your founders on the podcast in the last two years I counted your team is in the fucking mix trying to get people You've benefited from this relationship as well, so thank you for the I never said I didn't
Starting point is 00:18:26 Thank you to you. All right. We good? Look, my frustration over your moderation boiled off into a couple of tweets last week. I did not mean to hurt your feelings. I was just trying to give you a note. Okay. If you would take the notes in private, I would give you them to you in private. I do think that overall, you're a great moderator. Your contribution to the show is absolutely necessary and essential.
Starting point is 00:18:50 Never disputed that. I think we should keep doing the show. I didn't expect you to block me. Honestly, I didn't expect your feelings to be so hurt by what I said. And so yeah, look, I apologize for that. All I wanted to do was give you a note, and I would appreciate if you could try and respect my note,
Starting point is 00:19:08 not mischaracterize it, I think you know what I'm saying, right? I just want the chance to be able to present my views without the audience pre-judging them, because you know that certain labels will not go over well with our audience, okay? It'd be like introducing Chimoff as the Michael Milken of SPACS. Okay, there is a- A lot of that out. No, I mean, I'm not saying he is.
Starting point is 00:19:31 I'm saying- I'm saying- No, I'm saying it would be as if you did that, right? You understand what you'd be doing. I understand. If you labeled him that way, I don't think that is a fair label. In fairness, I thought the labeling and the joking
Starting point is 00:19:44 about you being the token Republican was a meta joke about the fact that Silicon Valley doesn't have too many of you and teals and reboies, etc. There's a small quote. I think the whole point of what we were trying to say is Silicon Valley's heads up their ass. I agree. So maybe the problem,
Starting point is 00:19:59 maybe the problem we've identified is all these left-leaning people are just sniffing their own balls basically warning to a cliff. Shredding walls. Yeah, a lot of my views, like on free speech, are the old center left. Exactly. And now you're for universal healthcare. Look at you. I haven't moved. The whole world's gone crazy. I mean, everyone supported free speech until five minutes ago. Okay, that's what I went on Tucker to discuss. You were free market about education and you were free market about about health care. And now you're like, I mean, we should have health care.
Starting point is 00:20:29 No, I am, I am a lever in markets. All right, Jason, let's start. Go. Let's fucking start the show. Three, two, Hey, everybody. Hey, everybody. The all in podcast is back besties unblocked with us again. The rainman himself, David sacks and David Freiberg, the queen of King Waw and from his Italian hideaway, gallivanting in Italy, Chimoff, Pauli Haapatia, the dictator, big news for besties this week, Robin Hood has filed their S1 and paid a fin refine $70 million for outages and misleading customers multiple days of outages back in March 2020. We talked about here and poor communications around options trading risks.
Starting point is 00:21:18 Robinhoods S1 highlighted some extraordinary growth during that period as we discussed on the pod. 18 million funded accounts and they're on a $2 billion run rate, $522 million in revenue in the first quarter up for X. And monthly active users have more than doubled 8.6 million accounts to 17.7 million. 8.6 million accounts to 17.7 million just for in the last year revenue was up 300 percent. And he thoughts on Robin Hood's S1. Obviously, I'm an interested party. It's the largest fine ever, I think, of this type. But on the other side, it's the largest fine, yeah. Yeah, so it should be a black eye for the company. But the reality is that they're happy to pay the fine and just move on so they don't have this issue hanging over their heads anymore. And now they're going to be able to IPO at like a $50, $60, $70 billion valuation.
Starting point is 00:22:10 And so for them, it's a sort of cost of doing business. I think there's something a little bit off about that, but that's kind of how it works. Freeberg, anything? I mean, congrats to you, Jake. How it looks like you're going to do really well with this deal, huh? It will return roughly this one deal will do three or four times the value of the first fund,
Starting point is 00:22:29 the launch fund one, which was $11 million. Do you invest in the seed round or the A or what round did you invest in? I think it was the seed round. And so what's your multiple going to be on a $50 billion market cap, you know? It would be $500 X. Amazing. Amazing. Congrats Big Blue. Yeah, it's it. Congrats, Jake Allen. I'm happy to see that you're successful.
Starting point is 00:22:53 I'm really happy for you. You're successful finally catching up to your ego. And so I think... There we go. That's too soon. Too soon. I want to get the shoot so far. Too soon.
Starting point is 00:23:03 Too soon. You're not worth is catching up to your weight size. Congrats. Oh, God. Well, actually, between this and the composition, I'm, you know, listen, it's a long way to go before we distribute, obviously, but that first fund I did, which came after the Scouts fund, my Sequoia Scouts portfolio. My only advice to Jason is talk, talk to a few season GPs like Gurley, Fred Wilson, and figure
Starting point is 00:23:26 out the right distribution strategy. One of the biggest things that I see these folks do is early stage venture investors thinking that their public market investors trying to time the market, trying to figure out how to do distributions and it never works. Which means do you hold the shares for another year or two? I would distribute them immediately, book the win, move on. Yeah. It's interesting, a lot of the top firms that I'm in
Starting point is 00:23:50 are holding their shares, and I had a firm that had a square, and they held some number of them until it's 7x and then distributed. So I guess, technically, they get to book that win. What are your thoughts on that, Zach, so I've went to distribute, and how are you doing into your fund? Yeah, I mean, it's a good question. The reality is that, you know, let's say that you're in your four or five of a ten-year fund, you could hold the shares for another five years, and if the shares go up over that five-year period, you'll do better.
Starting point is 00:24:22 So, I think the question is... That are on IRR. your numbers will look better. Well, I mean, you're compensated on the absolute amount of return that you generate. And so it might be your... If you distribute the shares and then if you're in carry and you just hold the shares, you'll realize the same gains. Well, it depends on how much of the stock price. I guess what I would say is... No, but hold on a second. If the stock were to go 10X and you get 20% of those shares
Starting point is 00:24:44 if there were 100 shares, you had 20. If it's 10X, you're still getting 20%, right? So it nets out to the same if you hold the shares yourself personally. This is why I think that if you're in the business of running a multi-fund business, I think you're better off generally. And I think again, if you talk to the best firms out there, they typically will not try to guess what's going to happen in
Starting point is 00:25:05 the public markets. They distribute and they move on to their next fund. Because you have to remember, the IRRs, you go through these rough patches, it decays quickly. All of a sudden, something that looks great can start to look not so great. The example of that might be snowflake or something going down after it went public. If you had distributed it, you would have booked the win at that high multiple. Yeah, and then you're thinking to yourself, wow, I hope it goes back up, and then you're like, well, when do I distribute it? These are all not things that venture
Starting point is 00:25:33 capitalists should be engaged in. They should be there to help build the next David versus Galife. I think the count argument to that is, if you really believe in the company and think you understand it better than the public markets do, or because you've been on the board and you have information, you know, if you hold it for another, yes, there's going to be ups and downs, but let's say that you plan to hold it for another four or five years. Yeah, you'll still get the same 20, 25% carry, but the point at which that carry will crystallize would be at a much higher level. And so essentially you're preventing your LPs from selling is what you're doing. And so you may get an extra turn of your fund by doing that.
Starting point is 00:26:09 How do we feel as LPs, David, Freeberg? But there's also, isn't there like a, I'm just trying to pull up the Goldman Sachs report they did in 2019 where they analyzed 4,500 IPO's over a 25 year period. And I think that, and I could be wrong on this, but if I remember some summary of this, I'm trying to find it so I can't find it right now. But they basically highlighted that IPOs as an index generally outperform the market over
Starting point is 00:26:38 some period of time, whether it's one year or three years. If you have access to those IPOs, share it's a senior venture investor, you can beat the S&P by 10, 15 points, just generally without having any thought about the business itself or the company itself, and you know, participate in 20% carry on the upside from there, or 25% carry on the upside from there. And so generally the rule of thumb becomes, well, you shouldn't distribute right away,
Starting point is 00:27:03 you should hold, is that not kind of a common dogma amongst GPs nowadays? Look at Square. Look at Square. I mean Square, like most of the appreciation happened in the public markets. I think Sequoia held onto their Square shares did way, way, way better because nobody sold effectively for several years.
Starting point is 00:27:22 And I mean. The best firms do this, right? I mean, like you hear from Gurley and others that they hold onto these for several years. The best firms do this, right? You hear from Gurley and others that they hold onto these shares for years and a good business going public has a much better chance of performing well as a public company than just tracking the S&P after an IPO regardless of the valuation had exit set. How do we fill out LPs, your L? Your LPs in a lot of terrible. Terrible.
Starting point is 00:27:46 I mean, 15 times. Terrible. You want you to share. I don't know if I'm sending GP out there, but I don't think there is good of a public market investors I am. So give me the shares. I'll manage it myself and get out of the way. I give money to a lot of to your point, a lot of GPs, because I want private market exposure.
Starting point is 00:28:04 I don't want them speculating in the public markets for me. I do that for myself. And so I would rather just get the shares and make my own decision. You know, a lot of foundations, for example, are in the situation where they're there to fund programs. So if they have a, you know, multi-hundred million dollar position in a gray company, and they can't fund a program or the you know a hospital system can't do what they need to do because some GP is speculating in the public markets I think it's insane. So give me give me give me give the LPs the money and move on it's not your job otherwise you should run a generalized fund and both people don't because they can't
Starting point is 00:28:41 generally how do you guys when you are a large owner in a company that goes public, or just say the pool of venture investors or owners in a company that goes public? And the lockup is expiring, typically six months out for the IPO, and you can now distribute your shares to your LPs. Do those investors take note of or have concern about the impact it might have on the stock price when they're making those distribution decisions typically I think they think about that but a lot of these LPs particularly the nonprofits their forest day one sellers
Starting point is 00:29:15 The minute that they get the stock they just put it out like as soon as the stock gets distributed everyone selling and the stock takes a hit right and Yeah, you know what there's something happening. mean, this is speculation that I don't have. So just, you know, take it as that. But my understanding was some investment banks went to the, and Shemoth might know the background on this, went to some of the major LPs in the world. I'll leave it a fat and said, hey, you have a position in, I don't know, this cab company. It's going public. It's fully valued or it's very well valued. Would you like to collar your shares before that? And we will take them off your hands and lock you into a certain price for some percentage of it.
Starting point is 00:29:57 Basically, end running the GP's decision making process. Of course, I'm sorry. There's a lot about that up. And this is why why I'm saying I think the GP is better off. If you're in the venture fund business, be in the venture fund business, do a great job at that. Raise funds, distribute cash, do what you're supposed to do, but please don't try to do some.
Starting point is 00:30:14 It's kind of like asking the fireman to also operate on you. Now, I don't want that. Take me to the hospital and let the doctor do the job. I think it's a very valid perspective. I think it's probably the baseline that VCs should operate from, but I do think there are exceptions where if the VCs have been on a company board for a while, it feels like they
Starting point is 00:30:30 have, they understand the company better than the public markets, especially during the first two years as a public company when the markets can be really choppy and the companies trying to find its level and people don't really understand it. I think there is an argument for the VC having expertise in that initial public run, then they might be doing their LPs of favor by holding, but look, I think Tramoss point is well taken. Also, companies are going public earlier,
Starting point is 00:30:57 so this is gonna become a bigger issue because it's an easy decision in year 11, if you were an Uber investor and Airbnb investor to say, okay, it's been 11 years, we're going to give you your shares. But if you're in year five and the company goes out so early, you could make an argument, hey, maybe we hold it for two or three years. Just going back on the previous topic, Jake Hell, the finra news on Robinhood, right? So finra just so everyone understands it's not a government regulator.
Starting point is 00:31:24 It's a private entity. Yeah, it's everyone understands, is not a government regulator. It's private entity. Yeah, it's called a self-regulatory organization. And these SROs are basically, they have a board and a bunch of people that run them, but they're pooled and managed by all the participants, the private participants in the market. So Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan,
Starting point is 00:31:40 and all the banks, they are all part of the Fenderer SRO. And so the way that these SROs are set up is to avoid government regulation, to avoid government intervention in markets and allows the markets to effectively self-regulate themselves in a way that everyone in the market is kind of keeping an eye on each other and making sure that this is being taken care of. And I think one thing to take note of from this fine is that it telegraphs that FIMRA and the markets in general, the market participants in general, may be rather concerned and rather worried
Starting point is 00:32:12 about government intervention in some of these new markets and emerging Fintech practices. Because they wanted to say, look, we put the gauntlet down on Robinhood. We may have been paid the biggest fine ever. We may have been paid $70 million. Stay away. We're taking care of it. Because the concern everyone's had is that AOC and Elizabeth Warren and a bunch of people on Capitol Hill are waving flags and we need to step in. We need to
Starting point is 00:32:33 regulate these companies. We need to regulate these practices. We need to protect consumers. And so this fine really signals that the market is a bit concerned that the government is going to come in and start trying to tell FinTech companies how to practice and how to operate and generally tell all market participants how to operate, which is a very scary prospect for them. So to me, this was really big news about what it telegraphs, the backdoor conversations that are going on with market participants right now. You're almost saying is that this is a benefit
Starting point is 00:33:05 to Robinhood to pay the largest fine because it says to the politicians, look, we've already been punished in this, maximum way, you don't need to layer it on top. So in a way, it's better for Robinhood that they paid 70 million instead of 10 million. Yeah, and it's not, by the way, it's not even for Robinhood.
Starting point is 00:33:22 I think all the market participants, JP Morgan Goldman Sachs, they all have huge tech teams and they all have acquired FinTech companies and they are all trying to go digital and everyone is worried about the government intervening and changing how this business is transforming because as soon as the government gets involved, it's going to slow down the transformation, it's going to make things much more challenging. I think that everyone's trying to keep the government at bay while the great digital transformation of markets is underway.
Starting point is 00:33:50 I think that's the biggest signal from this fin refining. There's some interesting nuances there that they brought up something like the confetti. When you buy something on Robinhood, it used to explode confetti gamification. They're like, oh, we're gonna take that out. And, you know, if you go to Vegas, they've got bells and whistles going off everywhere when you place a bet. And so it is a little bit of window dressing.
Starting point is 00:34:14 I think it's also interesting that you bring up the self-regulatory organizations, there's two other equivalents for people who are thinking about this, the MPA, motion picture association, which was formed back in 1922, because people had the same fear about movies. And Valentini, I think, was the guy who really changed how movies were perceived in the PG-13 era,
Starting point is 00:34:36 allowing a lot more violence, terminator, those kind of movies. And then you had a similar thing happen in the video game industry in 90s. Does Robinhood still have like the lawsuits with like Massachusetts? There's like 10 other lawsuits class actions, etc. about No, no, but these are more like with with government entities, right? Like like they didn't Massachusetts try to State attorney general. Yeah, something like that, I think, right? Yeah. I don't know. But the other one that was very interesting was the ESRB,
Starting point is 00:35:10 which is the entertainment software ratings board, because video games like Mortal Kombat and those in Doom were, you know, had to self-regulate, right? So either you regulate yourself. Jason, Tomatta's asking a question about Lossys that Robinhood. I know, I was trying to deflect him. I don't know, I'm not sure. Iys that Robin Hood. I know, I was trying to deflect him. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:35:25 I'm not sure. I know. I know. I know. I know. I know. I know. I know.
Starting point is 00:35:32 I know. I know. I know. I know. I know. I know. I know. I know. I know. I know.
Starting point is 00:35:40 I know. I know. I know. I know. I know. I know. I know. I know. I know. and that I'm hearing one set of information, which is if you're vaccinated, it's not an issue. And then other folks are going on TV saying, this is going to be like, we're going to have to put masks back on in California. I can't find any data about how many actual cases there are, but according to the US CDC, 46% of the total US population has been vaccinated now.
Starting point is 00:36:04 And New York, New Jersey, California, oh, well, about 50% some people are in the 60% of adults, 70% of adults, Florida is still trailing, but I can't, and people are saying this is gonna become the dominant variant. Free break, how should we look at the Delta variant if you're vaccinated, and then how should we look at it in terms of, are we gonna go through mandatory masks again,
Starting point is 00:36:24 which people are starting to signal already in certain coastal cities? Yeah, so Trevor Bedford's a great guy to follow on this. He's a epidemiologist, birologist, who on Twitter, yeah, a TRV RB is his Twitter handle. And so he's aggregated a bunch of good data. So there was a paper published two days ago out of the UK where they are trying to estimate the you know the reproduction rate of the Delta variant and it looks like it's about 1.3 that means for every person that gets infected with the Delta variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus 1.3. That's the R0 you're talking about? That's yeah, some people call R-Not, yeah.
Starting point is 00:37:05 So, it turns out that that number is higher than what we saw with the original SARS-CoV-2, which I think is probably closer to 1.1 or so. So, what that means is this variant is much more infectious. It could spread through the air, the proteins could last in oxygen much longer and not degrade. All these different reasons why it might be more infectious. And there are some cases of people that have been vaccinated, but this is not the predominance of what we're seeing,
Starting point is 00:37:33 that have tested positive for having this delta variant, but are having mild to moderate symptoms. There aren't, at this point, a lot of people, there's not a lot of data to indicate that this is actually kind of like a lethal risk or fatal risk to people that have been vaccinated in case. In fact, that seems to be not true. And one way that that data is kind of demonstrated right now is there was another analysis that was done
Starting point is 00:37:53 where they showed what is the reproduction rate of this variant based on what percentage of the population has been vaccinated by state. And they showed that, you know, for a state that's had maybe 30% of its population vaccinated the R0 is closer to 1.35 when 60% of the state is vaccinated the R0 is just at one and so there's this you know uncor, you know negatively correlated kind of relationship between how many people have been vaccinated and how much this variant is Transmitting and that makes intuitive sense, right? Like if people are vaccinated, they're not gonna get infected. The virus isn't gonna hop from person to person to person.
Starting point is 00:38:29 Now, when you do the analysis of what percentage of the US population is unvaccinated and how reproductive this virus is, a lot of epidemiologists are saying that the models indicate that we could see up to 10% of the US population now get hit with this variant. And what we don't know is what percentage of people actually had, you know, SARS-CoV-2
Starting point is 00:38:49 in the first run around last year. But we are seeing this variant pop up. Now, the fatality rate doesn't appear to be much higher than what we saw with SARS-CoV-2 the first time around. And so there's no indication to say, like, hey, this is going to be much more lethal. So when you combine those factors, it seems like at this point,
Starting point is 00:39:06 the death rates in the US are remaining flat and stable. While we are gonna see a May expectancy, a continuing upsurge in terms of the number of casers. Are we gonna require masks? This goes back to kind of my previous point about, I think we've kind of normalized ourselves to masks and shutdowns and lockdowns and all the stuff that we did last year.
Starting point is 00:39:25 Thinking that it had an effect, a recent paper show that lockdowns had no effect on the reproduction rate in the United States, because at the end of the day, if a government says lockdown or a government says put masks on, people still have a tendency to do whatever the hell they want to do. And at least in the United States, that is the case, that is not the case, likely in Asian countries where we did see an effect of lockdowns and masks. But in the United States, these restrictions, obviously had adverse economic effects, but didn't seem to have a strong epidemiological effect based on a recent paper that I will share in this thing.
Starting point is 00:39:57 So what are we gonna do? I don't know, I feel like we've normalized masks, we've normalized lockdown, we've normalized these responses, but SARS-CoV-2 is gonna be here forever, and is going to cycle through variants, and that's the concern right there. Let me make a prediction. I think that what at the end of this thing, what I think I have come to the conclusion of is there was a lot of unknowns that got perverted into hysteria and mania by a handful of organizations to basically sequester power. And what we realized is that these people were incompetent and they didn't know what they were doing because you
Starting point is 00:40:40 ended up in the same place with all of these different distributions of actions. And so now I think when you have this other variant, I think there's a growing sensation by a lot of people, not just Americans, that the CDC, the WHO, whoever it is, is probably at best guessing and at worst making it up. And the ultimate result is there, it's almost as if they like being drunk with power. And so I think the last part of what you said, freeberg is what I really agree with, which is that this is not going to be tolerated anymore. And the reason is because they are also politicizing science.
Starting point is 00:41:18 And what they're doing is when they don't know, they're making poor guesses in the name of science, which is just as bad. So you know, I don't know what's going poor guesses in the name of science, which is just as bad. So I don't know what's going to happen with the Delta variant, maybe a lot, maybe a little, but as far as I can tell, I think people are tired of uninformed impacts to their lives, and they're not going to put up with it anymore. Sacs, chances California goes back to lockdowns or some sort of mask mandates? Well, they are.
Starting point is 00:41:48 They're imposing mask mandates indoors in places like LA. And you have the teachers unions, the National Education Union, is now putting down all these conditions of going back to school in the fall. So I think you could be in a situation where we do not have, they will call it school reopening, but we will not have five day a week in-person learning. And the schools, the public schools that have it are going to
Starting point is 00:42:13 have all sorts of insane restrictions and conditions like making kids who really aren't at risk for COVID, even the Delta variant, they're going to force them to wear masks, they're going to enforce this ridiculous social distancing. They're talking about making the kids who aren't vaccinated, sit at a separate table like the outcasts. I mean, it's insane what they're talking about doing. So, why is that insane, David? Not to interrupt you, but I'm just curious
Starting point is 00:42:38 for how much it'll impact that. Because, so look, I'm pro-vaccine. I think adults should get vaccinated. I don't think my kids need to get vaccinated. I don't think that is a wise policy to force kids to get vaccinated. They're at very low risk for getting the virus. They're very low risk for transmitting the virus.
Starting point is 00:42:57 If they get it, and even if they get it, they're at almost no risk for it being harmful, or to cause serious illness or death. And so to impose all these restrictions on kids, it's like we're living in a time warp, back to last summer when we didn't know as much about the virus, I mean to Chemos Point, they're imposing all these restrictions,
Starting point is 00:43:17 which are designed unscientific. And it really seems like the real point is to create excuses for the teachers not to have to go back to work. And you know, you know a school system is borced when the truancy is on the part of the teachers not the students. The students want to go back, the teachers want to be truant. It's like they want to be on permanent vacation forever.
Starting point is 00:43:39 It is a really broken system. By the way, let me just highlight, to support the concern that I think people like, people that sex is kind of speaking to might be having. A research letter was published in the journal of the American Medical Association two days ago, lead researcher with a guy named Harold Walsh, and this paper is going viral amongst the scientific and medical community right now. What these guys did is they measured the carbon dioxide content
Starting point is 00:44:13 of children's lungs from wearing masks. And so they were trying to identify, like, is this a risk to children to actually be wearing masks health-wise? And the results are pretty scary. It turns out that, you know, in air, in ambient air, 0.07% by volume is carbon dioxide. When a normal, and then they measured kids, you know, randomized control, double blind,
Starting point is 00:44:39 you know, here's an up double blind, but randomized control is kids that have masks and kids that don't. The kids that don't have masks, their carbon dioxide when they exhale is about 0.28%. When you have to wear a surgical mask, your carbon dioxide increases to 1.3%. And when they looked at this in a more detailed way, it turns out that it could be as high as 3.8%. And so this starts to reach a medical level
Starting point is 00:45:05 that is concerning for doctors that having these kids wear masks for hours a day could actually be having an adverse health effect because it is increasing the carbon dioxide content of their blood because their lungs aren't strong enough to breathe all this carbon dioxide out, it builds up in their body. And so there is now a counterpoint
Starting point is 00:45:23 that is being made by scientists and doctors that maybe the benefit of the safety we might get from kids wearing masks and spreading the virus is outweighed by the cost to their health as a result of wearing these masks. And to ask kids to wear masks for eight hours a day or five hours a day for nine months a year, we're just now waking up to the fact that there may actually be consequences to this. And I'm not making a strong, strong, clear idea. It's like, it's like, it's like child abuse.
Starting point is 00:45:49 So we sent our five year old to a summer camp in LA, okay? And the camp is outside and all the adults are vaccinated, okay? But they're making the kids wear masks and it's no fun, you know, and they can't play sports the way they need to. And we just set the hell with this and we took them out. Now what I don't understand is why people aren't laying this at the feet of Gavin Newsom. This is 100% his order. You know, all he has to do is say, listen, we don't need these rules anymore. It's kids, it's outside, and all the adults are vaccinated. What is the point of this? And, you know, and I think we have this recall election now that's been scheduled for mid September, you know, right now it looks like
Starting point is 00:46:29 Newson's going to cruise to to to to winning. But if we had a candidate in California who could say, listen, we need five day a week in, you know, in person schooling in the fall, no exceptions, all the teachers need to go back to work or they're gonna need to be looking for new jobs, we're not gonna coutown and give in to all these unnecessary, unscientific restrictions, okay, because Newson will not make that guarantee. I think they could basically steal this thing. We don't have anyone standing up saying that.
Starting point is 00:46:59 And I think the closer we get to the start of school, if we don't have that kind of five day week instruction, I think parents are gonna be up and arms about this. I think they will be. And I think what we're gonna prove is none of these folks really know what they're talking about and so they will make it up. And someone will have some shred of evidence about something
Starting point is 00:47:20 on either side of any topic. And all it'll do is obfuscating confuse and the end of it will be somebody imposing something onto you that will have a negative impact on your life. But for their benefit, in the teachers' case, for their benefit, like I don't want to go back, listen, I want to say all teachers don't want to go back to school, I know a lot of teachers want to go back to school and teach kids and take the masks off because it's inseparable. I think you can say the union and separated from teachers. Exactly.
Starting point is 00:47:50 Yeah, I don't think it's all teachers. It's some percentage of teachers, but I think we're going to move David, free bird quick, maybe I'm wrong here. We're going to move to a two-class system here. If you're vaccinated, you get one set of rules, and if you're not vaccinated, you get another. And this is where David, I think, kids who are over the age of 11 or 12 who do get vaccinated, they shouldn't have to wear a mask at school.
Starting point is 00:48:10 But then- Well, sorry, can I just say something? This is what the insanity of this thing is. It's like, okay, we're going to throw around again. We're probably going to use the word equity when we make these new rules, but then fine. Why don't you just create a school that has everybody in it who is vaccinated? Well, I don't understand this because all of us are vaccinated. So we don't need to worry about it. So in other words, we're going to impose restrictions on people and force kids or whoever to get
Starting point is 00:48:38 vaccinated to protect whom. If all the adults are vaccinated, we're not protecting anybody. All we're doing is protecting, I guess, un unvaccinated adults that makes no sense to me. Well they're taking the risk right I mean if you're choosing to not get the vaccine at this point Friedberg you're taking some significant level of risk or some moderate levels. Well does the government have a responsibility to protect that person? I don't think it matters. What I think matters is, remember, like the societal responsibility is not and cannot be to protect every individual. The societal responsibility is to make sure
Starting point is 00:49:14 that society functions. And if we take a zoom back, and I just want everyone to reset your brains, go back to March of last year. And we were talking about the surge of deaths in hospitals and hospitals were gonna be overwhelmed. And that was the reason we needed to go into lockdowns and the reason we needed to stop the surge.
Starting point is 00:49:32 Even if the Delta variant is highly infectious, there are enough people vaccinated in the United States at this point, that this Delta variant is not gonna crush our hospital system, it's not gonna cause massive amount of fecalities, which is the reason we wanted to lock down in the first place. All of the concerns that we had last year that rationalized a lot of the extreme behavior
Starting point is 00:49:52 that we undertook no longer exist. And we are now talking about continuing those behaviors under a different set of standards. And the set of standards is now, I can't put a teacher at risk. I can't put an individual at risk. And even if that individual got infected, if the fatality rate is so low, I can still say, well, they could die. Therefore, I can't have them exposed. Right? And that has become the new standards, what I think, Sachsen, that article kind of talked about is zeroism. You know, you get to a point, if you're, if you're fighting a war on a battlefield, and you're like, well, I can't let any of my soldiers die.
Starting point is 00:50:25 We can't move down the field. You're not gonna move down the field. You're not gonna win the war. And I'm not saying that this is a war. The point is society has to progress. The economy has to progress. People's lives have to progress. People have to be educated.
Starting point is 00:50:37 Life is about progress. And if we halt progress because of the concern that any individual might get harmed, because of the progress of the group as a whole, we will not go anywhere. And we've created a new set of standards that I think creates that very reality. And it is frightening. Let me put a finer point on this, which is just this Delta variant is just more COVID fear porn.
Starting point is 00:51:00 Okay. This is the third variant of concern where they've been, you know, running around alarm saying that, you know, we have to worry, the truth is, is it more transmissible? Yes, it is going to, I think, sweep through areas of the country in the fall that aren't vaccinated. But the question is, how does it perform against the vaccines? And so far, the vaccines are holding up the variants, none of the variants have really punched through the vaccines in a meaningful way. I think the stats on Pfizer were, it's, you know, was, it maybe reduced the effectiveness
Starting point is 00:51:32 from 95% to 88% or something like that, but it wasn't a material difference. If you were double-vax with Pfizer, you are protected against the Delta variant. And so this is just more fear porn that they keep popping. I'm agree, I'm agree with you. And I think this reminds me of when we were growing up in the 80s, they tried to scare us
Starting point is 00:51:51 about sex and HIV. And were you not going to have sex if you were in your 20s in the 90s and into the 80s? No, you learned about HIV, you learn to use condoms, you learn that you probably couldn't do, you know what people did in the 60s and 70s, which had many, many partners, you maybe had to have fewer partners, maybe longer term partners, but you could take your own risk by putting on a condom, you could make that decision for yourself. Here, I think there's a group of people who don't want anybody to make any decisions for themselves. And in this case, the vaccine is wearing a condom.
Starting point is 00:52:25 If you're wearing a condom, like you're chants of getting HIV go down dramatically, it's just a known fact. And we're at 263 people on average dying a day. How many of those freedberg do you think are with COVID versus from COVID? I have always, I hate doing this because people think it's like an inhuman analysis, but the way that actuaries or economists would kind of take a look at this sort of decision tree and this sort of data is the number of life years lost. Okay, so imagine someone is going to die tomorrow. If someone's going to die tomorrow and they catch COVID today and they die day early, you have lost a life day. And everyone, yes, that is absolutely devastating and it is awful emotionally, but
Starting point is 00:53:09 like when we're making big decisions, we have to think with the data. And so if someone catches COVID and they lose five years and they die five years early, then they have statistically would have died. That's five life years lost. When a child dies, you are losing 68 life years, right? That is an incredible loss of life. It's one way to kind of think about this statistically. And so, you know, part of, I think, what's been missing in the equation, and it's easy to tell the narrative by speaking about people that have died, that have tested positive for COVID when they died, is it now speaks to the fact that this is a binary experience and there's a binary
Starting point is 00:53:45 number of lives lost. But the statistical, the data-driven exercise, which may sound inhuman and may sound awful, but again, we have to make these decisions using data if we're going to make large decisions that are going to impact every one of the meetings away, is to look at the number of life years lost. And I think if you were to do that, you would still find that the vast majority of deaths associated with COVID are very elderly people who are already very close to dying. And that's why we are seeing the fatality rates so low right now in the United States, even though COVID is still spreading with adult invariant, it is because almost 90% of people over 70 have been vaccinated. And as a result, the people that are most at risk of dying are well protected, and we are not seeing a significant loss of life associated with this terrible virus.
Starting point is 00:54:29 The terrible virus is still spreading, but the life loss is still not there. And that someone might raise their hand and say, well, we don't know the lung current implications, lung current implications. Long current COVID. I would raise my other hand and say, show me what the data is that says
Starting point is 00:54:42 that there are those lung current implications or ramifications, because I can say the what ifs about anything and then implement any policy decision I want by just saying what if and we don't know we have to say we do know here's the data in order to make a tough decision versus saying we need to be you know Protective and use the protective you know principle of Of precaution or the precautionary principle and be really careful in these circumstances of the precautionary principle and be really careful in these circumstances, because at this point, the impact and the damage associated with some of our practices to quote unquote guard against COVID and protect people, it's turning out their real consequences to those decisions.
Starting point is 00:55:16 All right, freeberg, final question on COVID. Should you wear two condoms, in other words, should you get maternal and Pfizer or J&J and Pfizer, there are studies coming out now to say 1 plus 1 equals 3. There is some super effective getting 2. I am looking into this. I'm thinking I'm going to get a second vaccine. I might get to get a Moderna or a Pfizer or J&J.
Starting point is 00:55:38 Don't wait a day, J. Don't wait for the vaccine shots. Let them go to other countries. You know, not needed. Not needed. Even though the studies are starting to show, it gives you increased. I mean, do you need your test? Do you need your test? Let it go from 180 to 185 miles an hour. I mean, like, you know, that's a good point. I mean, look, everything we learn about the vaccines, makes them look better and better. The protection lasts longer than we thought. The, they're more effective against variants than people were afraid of.
Starting point is 00:56:07 And now we learn that there is even more protection by sort of this mixed match idea. So the vaccines have worked. There are still, I think, a couple of groups in America that are very vaccine hesitant. Evangelicals and African-Americans are the two groups that have... I thought it was male Republicans. It's more like evangelicals. And so in a place like Mississippi, where you have large numbers of both, the vaccine rates only like 29, 30%, it's actually pretty low.
Starting point is 00:56:34 In a place like that, you could see the Delta variant sweep through in the fall, and you could see a lot of cases. I, you know, let me, let me buck your labeling categorization of me, Jacob. I was just reticent to say it. By saying that I don't think the leaders on the right are doing anyone, any favors, any other voters, any favors, by not coming out and saying, look, the vaccines work. I think Trump could do a lot of good by coming out and just saying, listen, I got the vaccine.
Starting point is 00:57:02 I'm pretty sure he did, right? He did. He did. And so, I think if you are in one of those groups, you know, and certainly you're over like 40, you should be getting the vaccine. I mean, they work. Not to harp on this, but what did Trump say when you suggested
Starting point is 00:57:16 he come out publicly about it? No one is listening to me. No one is listening to me. No, it's fine. Nobody's listening to me, obviously. I mean, it is very weird that Trump spent massive amounts of money on the vaccine and now doesn't want to take credit for Project White Speed by telling everybody to get it. I think he's got a lot of other issues. I think he's got a lot of other issues on the
Starting point is 00:57:41 plate to deal with, including a indictment that just landed yesterday. So maybe he just doesn't know what to focus on because he sees his budding empire unraveling before him. Did you see the report that said that Trump was extremely thrilled by the fact that his CFO was indicted? For two reasons. One, it kind of indicates that they didn't have enough to go after him. And two, it's going to make Joe Biden look bad and his administration look bad Because it looks like they're being kind of prosecuted and persecuted now
Starting point is 00:58:12 But that he views this as a positive and it and he's thinking about it as a way to kind of stage a 2024 run Well, I didn't I didn't see that particular story, but I do think that I didn't see that particular story, but I do think that- And for many hit Mac that. That would be tweeted. Okay, well, what the charges show, I think, is that they got nothing on Trump directly. This turned out to be a big nothing burger
Starting point is 00:58:34 after years of investigation, just like the whole Russia thing. And so it's- Oh, not 15 felony- 15 felony counts? Oh, no. It's not- Oh, no, it's not-
Starting point is 00:58:43 What's that finish at the point? Trump was not, let me finish. Trump was not named. They didn't get close to Trump. All they got was their China-Charpe, West Alheim, Uzuz, CFO, with basically receiving certain perks as compensation. T&E.
Starting point is 00:58:55 It was T&E violations. It was crazy. Yeah. This is penny-any stuff. It does look like persecution rather than prosecution. And what they're trying to do is they're going after this guy, Wesselheim, to squeeze him to try and roll over on Trump. Well, good luck with that. That's about as likely to happen as Putin releasing the p-tapes. Not going to
Starting point is 00:59:15 happen. Sorry, J.Kell. Trump is getting away. The one thing I would say, I think that I disagree with respectfully, is this is a 15 year tax avoidance scheme that included more than T and E included people getting their tuition paid for for free and free apartments. So the people would be and then hold on they then nominally did this and changed the books nominally so they caught them going into their accounting and changing to hide it and so the cover up worse than the crime, this is an explicit way to not pay their taxes. This would be if all of us took our personal resonances
Starting point is 00:59:50 and our kids, I know. I know. And didn't pay taxes on it. It's significant. Jason, so the total amount, for example, that this guy got in tuition reimbursements over this 15 year period was about $375,000. The total amount of some other rent perks that he got was for about $1.6 or $7 million.
Starting point is 01:00:11 The total amount of value that I think his son got was spending $1,000 a month in a Trump-owned apartment. When you added all up for a guy that was accused of being in cahoots with Russia, this and that and everything, you pinch the CFO for a few million dollars effectively. Again, T&E, let's just say that he did it. Some of these checks came directly from Trump. I think I agree with David. It's a bit of a nothing burger and it really does look like it's politically motivated.
Starting point is 01:00:43 The reason is because these kinds of chargers are typically not brought. These are things that typically result in a civil penalty or restatement and you just kind of move on. Nobody's trying to send somebody to jail for miscategorizing or... I have a very because we don't have full information. And they weren't investigating this stuff before Trump became a politician Why weren't what this if this been going off for 15 years? Why didn't this investigation happen five six seven years ago? I could tell you what his
Starting point is 01:01:14 the daughter in law of Weiselberg's was The received a lot of these perks and then she dropped a dime and gave all the documents to them My theory on this is because we don't have complete information yet. I think that they have other, I think they have this bigger tax case around making the assets look smaller when paying taxes and inflating the value of the assets when getting loans. And I think they want to get that. And the way to get that is to flip Waiselberg because Trump does not use email and communications.
Starting point is 01:01:48 I think that that's what's going on here. But. You're right. They're trying to flip him. Look, the KGB had a saying, show us the man. We'll tell you the crime. Okay. Very decided we're gonna go after Trump.
Starting point is 01:02:01 This is entirely political. They weren't interested in him five, seven years ago once he got into politics They became interested in him He became the man and now they are trying to roll up and flip all these people and try to get them to turn on Trump and give them something These Democratic pit bull prosecutors. They are going to make Trump look like the victim here This will rebound. I think in a negative way. It is a really stupid thing that they're doing I mean this this could have happened in so many different ways. The guy was finished and washed up, right?
Starting point is 01:02:31 He was in his little hovel in Florida, you know, in the one no Twitter account, no access to his base. The one time he actually showed up in New York two or three weeks ago, I don't know if you guys saw the photos, he looked so disheveled, so old, so broken, let the guy wither into obscurity. But instead, you pin these charges, you create an entire press cycle. You're going to rally so many people on the right and actually a lot of people in general who feel like, wait, what are we doing as a country? Why don't we just let it just be done with this guy? I don't ever want to hear about him ever again. Instead, we're bringing it all back to front center. I just think it's a bad look. What do you think about the insurrection commission? Do you think that that should be disbanded as well,
Starting point is 01:03:16 Jama'at? Because you think that should be pursued? Yeah, because that's not necessarily about Trump. It is about a whole totality of things that really will lead into the fact that we have a lot of far-right organizations that need to be understood. We have one far-left organization that needs to be understood all in the same light, which is that these folks are destabilizing force to democracy. And so, yeah, you got to get to the bottom of what the hell happened. So, do you think the Insurrection Commission is going to be equally kind of politically motivating for Trump's face and for folks like that?
Starting point is 01:03:55 Well, I just think that you have to decide as a country whether you're going to keep relitigating, you know, what happened in the previous administration. I mean, if we're going to go back and keep this going, we're going to go back and look at why did the FBI use the steel dossier to go to a Pfizer court to spy on members of the Trump campaign? Had there are 17 misrepresentations in their petition to the Pfizer court?
Starting point is 01:04:22 I mean, there was clear misconduct there. We're going to go back re-litigate that and go after people and punish them. Look, maybe we should, okay. But I think that this is the thing about politics. Everyone just wants to move forward. We're in a new administration now. Whatever misconduct occurred,
Starting point is 01:04:37 I think the punishment was paid at the ballot box. I think it's just time to move on. And I agree with that. And look, I know there's gonna be a lot of partisans on both sides who just want to go relitigate and punish their enemies forever. But, you know, I think the American people just want to move forward. Yeah. I mean, you and the far left want to do. Well, I'm not on the far left. I mean, I think that there is a, I do think that there is a bunch of gamesmanship here. I think this is a chessboard that on the left, they're saying, if we have a chance to take Trump out of political life, we need to do that because the cost of him getting reelected
Starting point is 01:05:18 in 2024 is too great. And so what we're talking about here is, what know, what is the best path to doing that? And, you know, Chimatz, right? Like just letting him fade into obscurity. He may not want to run again because he's so old and it's so painful to be president for him. He's 75. I mean, he's going to be 78. Or no, seven. Yeah. He'd be the same age as Biden going. I mean, this is ridiculous. Both of these two guys are one term presidents. I think that is abundantly clear. I think the question is, what is Biden's transition plan? Does he actually only stay two years in transitions to Tacamala? I don't know. But there's no way that he's running for
Starting point is 01:05:55 a second term either. He does not look healthy. I think that much is, at least, and I'm saying this as a centrist Democrat. He doesn't look completely fit. And it's only going to get worse. And this is the most incredibly stressful job in the world. Neither of these two guys are our long-term solution. It's time to let it all go. It's like we had four years of just chaos. We now get to have four years to catch our breath.
Starting point is 01:06:26 It's time to find the late 40s to mid-50s centrist normal people again. And we have three years to do it. Who do you think that is on the Republican side? And Tomap, who do you think it is on the Democrat side? He's going to run for the next election cycle. Because just this morning, by the way, an article came out that highlighted that several insiders in the White House are completely like up in arms about how chaotic Kamala Harris'
Starting point is 01:06:55 office is, which is basically a way of starting to shoot her down. So if you think about the motivation here, someone in the White House is starting to shoot Kamala Harris down, which means they're starting to weaken her a little bit in terms of whether she could actually be a good replacement for the next term. I don't know if that's truly the motivation, but that's typically what these sorts of stories indicate. So if not her, if not her who on the Democrat side and if not Trump, who on the Republican side in the next election cycle, because those folks are going to start to pop their
Starting point is 01:07:22 head up, right? Well, I think the person who has enough credibility to take a shot, it's not clear that she will, but if she did, she would be really serious, and she could actually get people to be relatively normal as Nikki Haley on the right. But Rhonda Santis is going to be the right candidate, correct? And she's kind of normal The Sanctis is definitely the early front runner Either there was a straw poll in which he was the first Republican to actually run ahead of Trump in a straw poll for what four or five years and So yeah, I looks like he now he's running for re-election in Florida in
Starting point is 01:08:04 2022 Now, he's running for re-election in Florida in 2022. So that's on his plate. But I think it looks like he's going to sweep to victory. He made the right decisions on lockdowns. This is the central feather in his cap that before any other governor really, he looked at the data, saw that to Freeberg's point, lockdowns don't make a difference. He went back to normal, the state benefited. You look at per capita, COVID deaths in Florida. It's middle of the pack, which is actually a
Starting point is 01:08:30 really good result given how many old people they have. So he did a phenomenal job, I think, setting COVID policy in Florida and he did it in the face of a hostile media that was just tearing him limb from limb. and so he stowed that he only can find the right policy but that he's got the spine to stand up for it. And I think as a result of that, yeah, he has galvanized early the Republican base. If he wins re-election in 2022 by a strong margin, I think he does become the puter of front runner for 2024. Very similar in a way, I think to the way that George W. Bush, he basically won reelection
Starting point is 01:09:12 in Texas two years before he ran for president and on the heels of that victory, he was able to make the case. Look, I just got reelected, very popular in a huge state of the country. I should be the front runner. I think DeSantis is in a similar position. What do you think about Nikki Haley's ex?
Starting point is 01:09:27 I think Nikki Haley is popular with the establishment wing of the Republican Party, but she does not bring together both the establishment wing with the populist wing. And what DeSantis has been able to do is get the business Republicans and the establishment Republicans to get behind them as well as the populist Trump base loves him.
Starting point is 01:09:50 And that's the combo you got to have, I think, to win the Republican nomination. And so, Nikki Haley, I think everybody who sort of reads elite media is going to over index on her. But if you go to the straw polls and the rallies, she's not just not going to perform in those polls. There was a very interesting article in Politico, though over the past week, about how DeSantis is being very careful not to do anything to upset Trump. And I think he understands that with Trump, you think?
Starting point is 01:10:23 Well, that pre-assumes a lot of things happening. I mean, look, we don't know what's going to happen. I think that, you know, the number one way to resurrect Trump is what Jermoth said, is to keep poking that bear, to fill him with the rage, to sort of counterpunch and come back. I think it would be better, however, for a new generation of leaders to look, we have, we're being run by a gerontocracy right now. So, I mean, just Biden is 78, Pelosi is 80, Schumer is 77, McConnell is 80 and Trump is 75, and that's today, okay. It's 2024,
Starting point is 01:11:00 all those people are going to be in their 80s or just about 30. Who will even be alive? I mean, finestein will be 91 or 92. It's time to have a new generation in both parties. Why are we being run by this gerontocracy? What a joke. Do we want to move on to the drought and impending death and or the Facebook FTC dismissal? Oh, that was incredible. And also at the FTC got two gut punches in a row,
Starting point is 01:11:26 and then Amazon writes this petition to Rekew's Lena Khan. It's like, that's why she was hired. Incredible. He was hired because she's an expert on Amazon. The Amazon letter was actually extremely well written and basically said, I know that she's in charge of basically finding fairness and fairness seems to be that we will get legislated, but we believe that it's unfair to us.
Starting point is 01:11:49 So please take her out of a mix. I just think it was fantastic. I mean, it's incredible. It's like, isn't this the point of having her in the job? It's like, we've hired a new prosecutor who specializes in organized crime, and the Gambino crime family has petitioned to have them exactly recuse. Yeah, recuse, recuse from doing anywhere that it's crime. Right. There, there argument is that she should
Starting point is 01:12:09 be recused because she published articles on how I am. Yeah, that Amazon should be broken up and they're saying she's ready pre-judge the situation. There's no way this is going to fly. There's no way she's going to get recused. But I think what they're trying to do is put an argument on appeal so that if Lena Khan does break them up somehow, they can then go appeal to the Supreme Court or whatever. And this is basically reserving an argument they can make later.
Starting point is 01:12:35 So just to highlight, the FTC brought this case against Facebook saying that they're a monopoly and they're monopolistic practices are damaging the market. The DC Federal court threw out the case and they basically said that the FTC failed to demonstrate in any way that Facebook has a monopoly over anything because they kept using the 60% market share term and they're like 60% what and the FTC was never able to give them data or facts to indicate what Facebook has a 60% share of. There are other social media services, there are other advertising platforms,
Starting point is 01:13:10 there are other content sites that are all in aggregate, much larger than Facebook. And so the case was dismissed because there was no demonstration at all. Which is why it leaned on the traditional definition of monopoly, and then Elizabeth Warren comes out two days ago and says, we need to rewrite the laws. The anti-trust laws entirely redefine
Starting point is 01:13:29 what it means to be a monopoly, redefine what this impacts. And so I think the big question is, how much of a priority is it gonna be for this administration and for this Congress before they're out of session? And we end up with a split Congress again, to step up and rewrite anti-trust laws at this point. Is this really a high priority question?
Starting point is 01:13:46 Or is it going to get over with that answer? That's why Lena Khan is being brought in is to take another approach like we talked about on the last episode, which is, you know, the harm is competition and not the monopolistic power but downstream competition as Jamoth eloquently explained on the last pod. The irony of the Elizabeth Warren statements was that she released them on Twitter, not
Starting point is 01:14:10 her Facebook. Somebody dug that or like, she's talking about the monopolistic powers of Facebook on Twitter. Right. Right. You have an alternative, it was the point. I'd say, I mean, how big of a legislative priority is this gonna be for Democrats? Because it could be rewrites the laws, it could be impactful to Amazon, Apple, Facebook,
Starting point is 01:14:31 whoever you move. It's a huge priority. There's six bills that just got passed in the house and it's going to the Senate. And I do think- You move it fast. This is one of the areas where you could actually get some bipartisan agreement in the Senate.
Starting point is 01:14:43 You remember, it's a 50-50 Senate, all it would take would be a few Democrats to defect and they wouldn't be able to pass anything. But you got 21 Republicans who supported Lena Khan. So that says to me that legislation is likely, I think it's going to go through. I think we are going to see some big changes. And in fairness to Lena Khan, this FTC lawsuit that got thrown out was brought before she got there. She didn't have a chance to shape those arguments.
Starting point is 01:15:10 They have 30 days to refile. It'll be really interesting to see how she handles this hot potato now, whether she brings the lawsuit in a different way in the next 30 days or whether she lets it drop. But I do think that of all the big tech companies, the argument for breaking up Facebook is the weakest because it's true, like it's harder to say definitively, they have a monopoly in social networking when you've got Twitter, you've got Snapchat, you've got Reddit, you've got LinkedIn,
Starting point is 01:15:40 you've got so many other companies in social media, but that does not mean that the argument against Amazon Google and Apple is in strong. Those companies are clearly monopolies or do-oplias in their spaces. Nobody can effectively compete with them. There are network effects or monopoly scale effects. I think that Facebook's monopolistic impact probably tends towards some form of information distribution, But it's a very technical argument that has to be framed accurately on the one side or it's how they've aggregated long
Starting point is 01:16:10 till advertisers on the other. But to your point, David, on the idea of social networking, I don't think they're monopoly at least. Well, also, they're relitigating the approved acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp. I kind of feel like if you bought these things and you approved it, what is it nine years ago and seven years ago?
Starting point is 01:16:26 That's a reason. Yeah, they said if you guys had an issue, the state's attorney general that filed the suit against the Instagram acquisition and what's up, they're like, if you had an issue with it, you should have filed the suit years ago, what you waited too long. And clearly, there's other motivations. Just because Google was successful buying YouTube doesn't mean you can go back in and unwind YouTube because they did a great job building YouTube, 99.99% of YouTube success is because of Google,
Starting point is 01:16:51 not because of you here. Don't go right. They took a small team and they rebuilt that whole thing and they scaled that out of it. Let me ask you a question to Saks. If these companies paid more taxes and got out of the censorship business, do you think they could maybe take a little
Starting point is 01:17:07 wind out of the sales of this? Yes. Of course. The only reason those 21 Republicans have now gotten on board with regulating the power of these big tech companies is they see those big tech companies using their gatekeeper power to restrict free speech. It's all one side in as part is against their side of the aisle because these companies are populated, generally speaking, by people on the other side of the aisle.
Starting point is 01:17:31 And so, big tech, if they had just rained in their own impulses to want to censor the other side, they would not be in the hot water they're in right now. They're on the ground all that now because it seems like Facebook is starting to backtrack on the Trump ban. Well, they haven't. Twitter isn't. think I think they got a big problem now. No, look, I think they should have been doing this over the last couple of years. The cats out of the bag. What they thought could never happen, all of a sudden became arbitrary. And the thing that they did was they started to legislate a private company started to legislate
Starting point is 01:18:02 power. And that's just a third rail issue. The minute you do that, you have every government in the world saying to yourselves, wait a minute, I am only focused on this one thing, right? I don't take a huge salary. I've been grinding at the low levels of politics for 40, 50 years to get to this exact place.
Starting point is 01:18:20 And now I have a bunch of hipsters in Menlo Park telling me what I can and can't say to the people that I work the lifetime to basically be able to govern over. I mean, you know, you can't stand. Yeah, so I think a big mistake that Zuckerberg made goes all the way back to 2016. Facebook basically bought into the disinformation argument. They apologized for it. That was the time for Zuckerberg to fight. He should have said, no, listen, was the FSB, were these bad actors on Facebook? Yes, but when you look at the total number of impressions and page views, it was like a drop of water in the ocean. We're not the ones
Starting point is 01:18:57 who caused a selection to go the way it did. Obama used Facebook very effectively in 2008, and nobody had bought it with us then. And that was the time to fight. That was a time to fight. And to your point, David, he actually should have been even more, he said, the reason Trump got elected was not me, but it was Obama. You know, he could have really gone on the attack and he would have done himself. Hillary, Hillary just ran a bad campaign. If Hillary had just campaigned in Wisconsin, it would have gone a different way in 2016. So what Zuck should have been up on?
Starting point is 01:19:27 She had an idiot team. She had an idiot team. She had a terrible team and they were bad at everything, including Facebook. Including everything. They were bad at social media. So Zuck should have said, listen, don't blame us for the fact the campaign
Starting point is 01:19:38 was bad at social media. They put victory into the jaws of defeat. Let's end on this US sprinter case, I think it's super interesting. US sprinter case. I think it's super interesting. US sprinter shock, it's unbelievable. It's unbelievable. It's an test positive from marijuana and it's suspended a month putting her Tokyo
Starting point is 01:19:52 on its end out. She is the goal metal favorite in the women's 100 meter and she could miss the games after testing positive. She said she smoked pot when she found out in Oregon legally when she found out in Oregon legally when she found out her mom had died. And it's on the United States terrible. And I don't being agency announced this result on Friday. Her explanation is so fucking heartbreaking. I mean, what are we doing here?
Starting point is 01:20:21 What are we doing? I mean, change this decision. Well, there was there was this is similar to the there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there was, there mean, for healing great, but it's I mean, you're going to like run the hundred years. Yeah, it's not for a cheeseburger. You're going to take it up. It's not a performance, it's not a performance enhancing drug. What this is is this legalism. These bureaucratic legalistic technicalities gone wild. In this case, or this runner, in the case of the golfer, I mean, it's like it's like
Starting point is 01:20:59 the bureaucrats enforcing the rules have completely lost sight of what the purpose of these rules are. The spirit of the rule is super important. And there was a professional snowboarder, and his name was Ross Baglotti from Canada, and he wanted a medal. And they took his medal away because he had THC in his system and qualified him and then they went back and gave him his metal back, I believe. And so this is heartbreaking and ridiculous and I'm not going to watch the I love watching the Olympics. I watch a lot of the Olympics. I really
Starting point is 01:21:41 enjoy it. I think it's awesome. And I'm just not going to watch this this year. Fuck it. I just I'm so offended by this. Like you want these people to take like opioids for their pain and suffering. Well, you want to take some anti-depressant. I mean, Jesus Christ. Jason, look at all. So I'll say like in in our friend group, we have a handful of NBA players. And I don't think you remember this conversation, or maybe you do, I think we were all together. When they talked about the up until marijuana was more widely used in the NBA, the pills that these players were given. It was literally borderline opioids, crazy.
Starting point is 01:22:21 Ripped their stomach apart, ripped everything apart, you know, created dependencies, and all of a sudden you had a natural alternative and people are going to judge folks for taking mer... I mean, these guys are brutalizing their bodies for effectively our entertainment. And then we don't give them a reasonable way to manage their pain. It's outrageous. And everybody else is smoking a doobie during time. We're taking a gummy on the way home to sleep. I mean, it's so hypocritical and ridiculous. It feels like, I mean, this country just feels like
Starting point is 01:22:52 it's being run by a bunch of bureaucratic, technocratic, weenies. Weenies. And whether it's... Whole monitors. Whole monitors, whether it's... We should give him a wedging enthrome in the locker. That's what we should do with this.
Starting point is 01:23:03 I whoever put this person, they get a wedging and throw him in the locker. That's what we should do with this eye, whoever put this person, they got a wedging and get thrown in a locker. I knew you had, I knew you were a school year bully, J. Cal. I'm not a school year bully, but I do think the whole monitors, you know those Pete and you were a home monitor, weren't there? So did you volunteer to be a home monitor? Be honest. No, no, no.
Starting point is 01:23:20 You were in the chess club. I liked our chess game, Sacks. Yeah. Okay, this is how I knew, this is how I knew that Jake out wasn't real. I knew I had heard him, okay, I knew he was genuinely hurt, but I knew he would get over it. When I got, I saw my push notifications
Starting point is 01:23:36 or requests from chess.com, he started a chess game with me. So I'm like, how did I play? Because I'm a Neophyte. He couldn't be away for a while. How easy was it to beat me? You as a 1200 player to my 600? Yeah, well the chess.com analysis said that I was never, I was never in any danger, but I thought you played pretty well.
Starting point is 01:23:56 And yeah, what's my tip? Well, you didn't castle fast enough. You let me, you let me, you let me, I was trying to get that bitch about. Yeah, you let me trap your king in the center and then, you know, it was a, but, but you did good. You did good. All right. I knew I was okay with you when I got the chest up. I think we need a Vegas trip. Maybe we're all just a little cooped up.
Starting point is 01:24:16 Maybe we need to go to Vegas, do a quick 48 hour run this weekend. Should we do a little 48 hour Vegas run? All right, everybody. This has been an amazing episode. So I'm officially unblocking Sacks. I love you guys. I even followed him. Love you, Chimath. Love you, Sacks. Love you, Freiburg.
Starting point is 01:24:36 Jake, I have something to say to you as well, which is I appreciate you. I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, I, And it said we open source it to the fans and they've just gone crazy with it. I'm the US queen of Kim Wai! I'm going on a huge fly! What, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what, what Oh man, my hamlety ass are immediately as well. We should all just get a room and just have one big huger because they're all just like this like sexual tension but we just need to release that album. What your, that beat, what your, your beat. Beat, what? We need to get merch. I'm going on leave. What?
Starting point is 01:25:40 I'm going on leave. Are you wearing your boxers? What are you wearing? Tumachur out. What is this pants, dude? These are my shirt trucks. Wow, it's from trucks. There they are.
Starting point is 01:25:56 The internet famous legs. I mean, these legs are actually much, much bigger. Look, look at that thing there. Please tell me you're recording, Nick. Look at the figures. The internet famous legs. I mean, these legs are actually don't much, much bigger. Look.
Starting point is 01:26:08 Look at that thing there. Oh, please tell me a recording make it. Look at a big bizarre.

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