All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg - Fixing the American Dream with Andrew Schulz

Episode Date: March 15, 2025

(0:00) The Besties intro Andrew Schulz! (3:29) Friedberg hits a quick Science Corner on the future of fertility (9:35) Reacting to Gavin Newsom's new podcast: genius or pandering? (19:36) Tariff exper...iment so far: risks, communication issues, and more (30:44) Why the American Dream is broken and how to fix it: cracking the housing market, social security reform (55:45) Aligning upside via increased stock market participation (1:11:23) How Andrew blew up in comedy, going direct via YouTube, building a cancel-proof following (1:22:25) State of America, conspiracy obsession, thoughts on Trump and DOGE GET TICKETS for All-In Live: Miami https://allin.com/events Follow Andrew: https://x.com/andrewschulz Check out Andrew's new special LIFE: https://www.netflix.com/title/81741999 Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/chamath/status/1895948351516131515 https://x.com/ChineseEmbinUS/status/1897132043362034153 https://electrek.co/2025/02/07/renewables-90-percent-new-us-capacity-2024-ferc https://www.wsj.com/opinion/bidens-mortgage-relief-fuels-higher-housing-prices-policy-loans-risk-cb0a1974

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 All right, everybody, welcome back to the number one podcast in the world, the All In Podcast. And you can subscribe to us on YouTube, Apple Podcast, yada yada, you know the drill, we're going to go to Miami for an epic F1 weekend. All In Podcast live on stage Saturday, May 3, a couple special guests, go to all in comm slash events to buy a ticket. And we're really excited today, because for first time in all in history, we have a comedian we have somebody talented on the program. And that the truth, real comedian, someone that knows how to make good jokes. All right, true. Andrew, I think like that was a dick to me. But okay, Andrew Schultz is here. We've joined boys. Thank you for having me Schultz pleasure you just you got a you're on a heater right now you took time to come on the all in pod. Thank you for having me. Shultz pleasure. You just you got a you're on heater right now. You took time to come on the all in pond. Thank you for doing that. Of course, your Netflix special is crushing it top 10 around the world. It's called life. Yeah,
Starting point is 00:00:56 Li FE. Pretty cool. It's about your low sperm count. I am the face of sperm. Which that's kind of like crazy because you've got a mustache of a 70s porn star. How is it overcompensating? You know, I think I got to trick people with the stash. What a reality. Yeah, yeah, the balls you're firing blanks. This special is so good. I appreciate it. We all watched it.
Starting point is 00:01:25 We are. It's hilarious. And you got three old guys here who also have had to deal with some of these issues. We've all had to have IVF. You guys do IVF for the babies. Chamath, you want to be honest here or are you are you all natural? Did you hit the three from half court logo shot?
Starting point is 00:01:41 What happened? My first four kids were natural. My fifth was IVF. OK, yeah, I don't think we're're surprised there's like two billion of you guys you know it's easy to get the job done there's a there's a period there's a period after the Facebook IPO I swear to God I would look at chicks on Instagram and get him pregnant it was really it was brutal are they coming to collect? Hope not. How many supplements you got? How many ideas? Yeah, we're off to a hot start here. Freeberg, you look like you have a low sperm count your 3.5 babies. 100% 100% Wow. A vegan who's shooting with a sniper rifle. I don't believe it. I don't
Starting point is 00:02:33 believe it. I'll find you guys a great study about veganism and libido. Is that right? Yeah, very impressive. What does it do? Reduce the woman's? Exactly. Exactly. Oh my god. I know a place with the best roast cauliflower. I've never said to the fans and they've just gone crazy with it. Love you, West Side Eats. Queen of Ken Wanda. I'm going all in.
Starting point is 00:03:07 By the way, can I just tell you how much I hate cauliflower everywhere I go. That is the dish. I had it for dinner last night. Oh, it's the main course. Yeah, it's the main course in restaurants. Just like having a rib eye. For lazy chefs.
Starting point is 00:03:15 Except it's disgusting. There's two things they offer you, portobello mushroom and roasted cauliflower. That's what Sean does every time he's show up at the house. Are you a impossible meat guy? No, I don't like that stuff. It's gross. Okay. Okay. Yeah. By the way, you guys want to hear a quick science corner? So you know how we talked about Yamanaka factor is a boring yes. He's like, Yeah, I don't care. Anyway, let me let me hit this real quick, because
Starting point is 00:03:44 I know we're never gonna get to it because you guys just bullshitting around Talking about politics and our science talk, Shelty. Hit us, hit us. You know how you can use Yamanaka factors? We talked about these to basically turn a cell into a stem cell, right? Of course. And that's what goes on in the lab. Andrew, you're familiar with the Yamanaka factor research.
Starting point is 00:04:02 Everybody knows about the Yamanaka factors. You've been all over a solo while dude game I don't know what the yamanaka factor This is the yamanaka factory Factor I swear to God I got showed up 15 minutes late and he stabbed himself in the stomach right there. Right there?
Starting point is 00:04:28 He killed himself right there. Yeah, it's called Sudoku. Exactly. It's Sudoku. Sudoku. He said Sudoku in under a minute. Sudoku. Okay, nevermind.
Starting point is 00:04:37 We'll come back to the science world. No, no, no, no, no, no, no. Give us more material. So the interesting work going on right now is you basically can take any cell from a person's body, turn it into a stem cell, and then turn that stem cell ultimately into an egg cell. So you no longer need to go harvest eggs.
Starting point is 00:04:55 And so you don't need to actually go get the eggs from the woman. You can make eggs from skin cells, for example. So in the next couple of years, there's a few little technical breakthroughs that are happening right now that will enable this, where fertility clinics may end up just taking a little bit of your skin cell,
Starting point is 00:05:12 creating stem cells, creating egg cells, and that's how we're gonna end up doing IVF in the future. At any age. Holy. So you can make eggs at any age, and you can ultimately produce offspring at any age. You don't need to actually have active healthy eggs. And this... You like that one, right?
Starting point is 00:05:28 This is fantastic because this is a nice work around for the people that are trying to ban IVF because of the abortion protocol. They're basically, because it basically light begins a conception as part of their belief, right? But, and the idea... You could take one egg cell, you could take one sperm. Exactly.
Starting point is 00:05:44 Make a fertilized egg. What you do, for those you can take one. Exactly. Make what you do. Yeah, those people don't know. But like we do with IVF is you try to harvest as many as you possibly can, because not all of them are viable. And it's a pretty brutal process for the woman to go through. But if you could just grab something from the skin, you'd have almost unlimited. When a woman is born, she has all her eggs in her body. And as she ages, those eggs get depleted. And eventually she doesn't have very good viable eggs left over.
Starting point is 00:06:06 So this gets around that problem of not having viable eggs. We can be very selective about the eggs. And so there's a future here in the next couple of years where fertility becomes a simpler, hopefully easier and more widely available service than it is today where it's really challenging technically and you've got to go do something that's invasive and You know, you've got to hope that there's good healthy eggs and there's a good number of eggs and so on and so forth
Starting point is 00:06:30 So really interesting. Yeah Shultz did they sit you down and give you like the embryos that That were viable and the grades and the gender and you pick one and what did you pick? We just pick the best. So this is a lot of pressure on that first one. Like all the other kids afterwards, I feel like don't have as much Yeah, come out of the gate strong, have a good first quarter. Whatever. That's all good. So I gotta ask you, wait, you didn't say if you had to, I'm about to put it out there. I
Starting point is 00:06:58 didn't have IVF. Okay. But the first time we had the first kid, wife says, Hey, we're ovul, I'm ovulating, I said, put me in the game, boom, first shot, half court logo pregnant. Wow. Then she says, I want to wait before I have the next one. It's a little traumatic to have a kid. And she waits six years. Then we try for a year, nothing for one year. So now I'm like, man, we waited too long. It's a lot of pressure. You talk about
Starting point is 00:07:25 this in the special. It's like for women, this is anxiety producing. So she's like, you got to go get checked out. And this is when the most humiliating day of my life occurred. I don't know Andy, what it was like when you went, but they found all these grifters. Can they, can they identify grifters through the microscope? No, no, no, I walk in and the thing opens and there's three women at the counter at the reception and they're like, hey, Jason Kalakanish, you're here to give up, you know, I'm like, yeah, I am. And then they walk you to a room. Oh, that's the spookiest thing. They walk you to a room and then they open it up and it's like some nightmare scenario where there's a motel eight room and there's a couch that's about three feet, three feet wide and there's a towel on it.
Starting point is 00:08:10 And there's a towel on it. And that sofa is not clocked for a reason. It needs to be cleanable. It's very much like the hotel you're in. She'll see. I don't know what's going on with the Netflix budget. Why do you think they could put you in the four seasons or the peninsula? It's so brutal. So you did this, Chelsea. I don't know what's going on with the Netflix budget. Maybe they could put you in the four seasons or the peninsula. It's so brutal. So you did this, right? You had to go.
Starting point is 00:08:30 The grainy television with the porn. It's like, you're lucky you got the TV. I had no porn. I went to the phone. I went to the phone. I had no porn. I had nothing. I didn't even have any service in there, which was like another thing that was, it was annoying. So what did you do? You Rolodexed it? No, Spank Bank. You have to go to Spank Bank. That's what I'm talking about. The Rolodex, you roll through all the memories. Yeah. Think about the memories, man, of my wife and only my wife. Only.
Starting point is 00:08:52 Nobody else. That's what I was thinking about. All those great moments with your wife. All those great moments. Maybe there was accidentally one or two that got left in from when you were on the road. It's possible some like absolute whores would jump into the dreams that I had with my wife you were on the road. It's possible some like absolute would jump into the dreams that I had with my wife. That might be possible.
Starting point is 00:09:08 I would never want them to be there. No, that was the director's cut. There's nothing I could do. But yeah, it is also funny how like we dramatize our experience. We got the easiest thing to do in the whole thing. We just got to go into a room and jerk off as if that's hard for us.
Starting point is 00:09:21 But we're like, the room is destitute and brutalist and the furniture was speaking of a jerk offs. Yeah. Speaking of jerk offs, Gavin Newsom's got a podcast. This is a, so I think that this is like, this is a great idea. Despite what you think about his politics, is he a plastic bag in the wind? Yes. But it is a great demonstration of like how Americans admire bravery or courage. And we don't like put is I think that's what the Democrats kind of displayed in the last election. I want to get too political about this. Like, but like your opinion, one man. It more just like, I responded culturally, I don't give a fuck about the tribalism and politics, but I'll just be honest with you. So having him have like, Charlie Kirk right there, who's like a professional arguer, that he is, whatever,
Starting point is 00:10:15 you know, how like, did some people are autistic for dinosaurs, he's that for arguing, right? And like sit across from him, to even address the French laundry. I was like, okay, this is actually the right thing to do. So as, as, as easy as is for us to sit here and go, okay, this guy wants, just wants to be president. Like, this is a dumb thing. Like blah, blah, blah. It's actually what the Democrats should be doing. So I think we need to reward. I think we need to reward this behavior. We want more conversation. We want conversation with people, especially that like you may disagree with. And like the second
Starting point is 00:10:52 podcast he put out, I thought was the most impactful. There was one piece that was incredibly impactful. He's talking to some guy. I don't know who he was. Somebody I grew up in like San Francisco. He's like, you know, he was talking about the taxes and like, he's paying all this money in taxes in California. And what does he get from it? And then Newsom said that like, yeah, rich people are going to pay more, but your actual like functional tax rate, if you're middle class would be more if you lived in Florida, because of the other stuff you get taxed on. This is
Starting point is 00:11:23 the type of information that like you guys might be privy to, but the average person doesn get taxed on. This is the type of information that like you guys might be privy to but the average person doesn't they hop on. So you're saying he's like being human and addressing real issues instead of like culture war issues and just talking like I think he's going culture war like that's culture war but he's actually putting out valuable information that defends the positions he may have taken in government that the average person doesn't really know. If the average person like me just goes, all right, I'm in New York, I'm getting clipped at 50% and 5% city tax, like I'm getting crushed.
Starting point is 00:11:56 But if I lived in Florida or Texas, I'd say 13%. And it'd be a complete wash when there might be someone making 50 grand a year and they move from California to Texas and they lose money and they don't know that because they're just listening to rich guys on podcasts talk about how much money they save when they move to Texas. You don't have to get shot on this. But yeah, okay. I think it was more I moved to Texas this year. More of a shot at me and freebird but go. Okay.
Starting point is 00:12:19 Chamath, your thoughts on Gavin's new podcast? What do you think you you know you were there was famously a little dip of the toe where somebody made a podcast, I'm sorry, a landing page that you were going to run for governor. We had a little fun with that. What do you think of Gavin? What do you think of his podcast? I think he's an excellent politician. It's clear he's starting the 2028 campaign. Okay. I think he's done a really
Starting point is 00:12:42 good job so far. I think Schultz is right. He is unwinding all of the kind of like landmines that the Democrats have stepped on. I think he's learned what Kamala did wrong. And now he's taking this very narrow path which is like, I'm going to basically disavow all the stuff that people don't care about. So all the gender woke ideology stuff, I don't think you're going to hear him talk about. He'll try to drive a narrow wedge on these economic issues. So I don't know. I mean, I think it's going to create a really dynamic 2028 campaign if he gets momentum. By the way, his popularity has gone up, which is insane. Which after the fires and all of the ineptitude in California, all of the corporations that have run away,
Starting point is 00:13:31 all of the people that have left, the chaos in San Francisco, after all of that, he started a podcast and his popularity's gone up. It's really incredible. Coming around the horn, Friedberg, what do you think of Gavin Newsom? Look, I think the podcast was brilliant. I think when I watched it, I was hooked
Starting point is 00:13:50 because there are two things that I think were critical in how he runs it. Firstly is he is showing for the first time, I think that I have ever seen a Democrat do or a Republican in modern politics, active listening to the other side. It seems so crazy that this is some sort of special event and special concept, but this active listening moment where you see a politician, it totally breaks down the walls where you immediately feel on guard or on offense against that person.
Starting point is 00:14:25 Because if someone's actively listening to you, you actually feel like you're on the same side somehow and you're trying to come to a conclusion together. And so what that does is it invites the person on the other side, in this case, the audience, the listener to be with Gavin, part of the kind of coming together. The second thing I think he did that's really brilliant
Starting point is 00:14:42 is so much of the modern political bimodalism where you're in one camp or the other means that everything is a one or a zero. Andrew talked about this. We're all generally, I think, none of us would consider ourselves political party affiliates. We are all generally people that like to think for ourselves on a topic or an issue, and we don't care about what party is associated. But the way modern politics has evolved is you don't debate the topics, you debate the one or the zero because of what the party says.
Starting point is 00:15:11 My party says this is the position, therefore I'm a one and you're a zero. And the other side says I'm the one, you're the zero, meaning everything has to be binary. I'm completely right, you're completely wrong. And I think what Gavin has done is he's shown that these are not ones and zeros, they're 80-20, or 60-40, or 55-45. And he's willing to acknowledge that. He's showing that, you know what, we might be only 45% right. And on so many topics, the Democratic Party has ended up slightly wrong. They're 45-55. It's not that they're a zero or a one. They're slightly off on taxes. They're slightly off on social issues and they're off just enough that they
Starting point is 00:15:50 lost the election. All right. Just enough that they lost tax, press tax, Andrew 2028. Trump's running for his third term versus Gavin Newsom. Who do you vote for? I mean, we got to run it back for a third term for Trump. No, of course. No, obviously, I believe it wasn't a third term, Gavin versus Trump, who would you go? I it's it's, I mean, I gotta see what his like policies are. And I gotta see where America is. I think they're like the big
Starting point is 00:16:14 misunderstanding with this last election is that at least the Democrats who are still trying to like vilify these figures on the right, what they don't understand is they think that this was like some populist election where like people just fell in love with Trump and they just loved it so much they would just do whatever he says. What I think is harder for them to grapple with is the self reflection of a rejectionist vote. So I think people rejected the democratic proposal.
Starting point is 00:16:43 And they went with what the other alternative was, which was Trump. And that's a way tougher pill to swallow. You have to look back at everything you've done and go, wow, we're off. We're not listening to the people. This guy listens to the people. I mean, it seems like I'm fluffing Trump here, but like, I would say that his greatest skill is listening to what people say. And I think a lot of times there's this. Ivy league pretentiousness in the democratic party where it's like, his greatest skill is listening to what people say. And I think a lot of times, there's this
Starting point is 00:17:06 Ivy League pretentiousness in the Democratic Party where it's like, we know it's better for you. And I know you say you want these things you don't really want that. Let us we've studied and we've talked about it in our little thought experiments in class. So we know what you need. You just shut up. It's condescendent. And exactly So I think that like, when people go, the food is giving me cancer, and then he appoints the guy who says the food is bad to run the food. The American people go, well, that kind of seems like a good thing. I like that. You know, it is like an acute understanding and listening to what people are
Starting point is 00:17:43 saying. And sometimes to his disadvantage, like he came out against that. They were putting some like tax on people who drive into Manhattan or whatever, like congestion pricing and initially people really rejected it. And then, so he was like, we're getting rid of congestion pricing. And like two weeks after they put that congestion pricing thing, everybody I knew with a car was like, this is the greatest thing the city's you can actually move, right? You can take a taxi and it's faster than the subway is good.
Starting point is 00:18:18 bureaucracy. Lock it down. Nice. Like, you want a car stay in the boroughs. Exactly. So you don't get a car in Manhattan. Explain this to people. It's a little bit egregious. I mean, you and I do Jason, but everybody else shouldn't have it exactly correct. Our lives should be different. You know what I mean? Absolutely. Absolutely. But what's the point of us having nice cars? If we can't drive them whenever we want?
Starting point is 00:18:39 Yes, yes. And you know, we grew up at a time we're on the Lower East Side, you know, you could go to Tribeca, we could go to a club limelight, you could park outside the limelight at night. You could go to palladium, you could park on 14th Street. I parked right on 14th Street. Okay, I go to what used to be a church, right? And then, you know, I sniff, can you say something? ecstasy, you do a little whatever. But the full moon, you're, you're, it's four in the morning.
Starting point is 00:18:59 Listen, you two goofballs between your stupid mustache and your ozempic turkey neck. I am totally for it. Go to something useful. Are we gonna let Chamath sit there in MacGyver's funeral outfit, tell us that we're goofballs? I don't know. This guy's wearing a vest with a collar.
Starting point is 00:19:18 He looks like he's going to a Punjabi wake. I can't believe that he would even talk about the way that you're dressed and how you look This is custom Lora Piano boys More importantly, let's stay on track. Yes. Yes. We gotta say can I tell you guys something about tariffs from a layman? Yeah, you guys are acutely aware of maybe how these things affect markets and yada, yada, yada. And most people don't have any fucking clue. So the average person, right? I look at this and I'm like, man, it kind of sucks that you got to like negotiate your like your bid for a car that you're going to buy publicly. Right? So this is my assumption. And maybe I'm like a little bit more optimistic than most about the administration. But if I go to buy a car and the car is listed at a hundred K and I go off of the guy 80, right.
Starting point is 00:20:13 I don't want everybody around me yelling out that how can you insult him by offering him 80? This is an insult. And then I, I can't go to them and I go, I'm actually trying to settle at 90. I'm just saying 80. So he comes down a little bit. But the unfortunate thing when you litigate these things in front of the entire world is that they look at that first measure. There's 200% tax and Trump can't balk at it. He can't go, yo, I'm just fucking, I'm just playing around with that number. I actually just getting them to come
Starting point is 00:20:38 down 20% or 10% getting them to come down. Anything is a win. He can't say that because he loses all his leverage. So he's got to sit here and then get criticized by, I don't know if it's half the country. I don't know if you know who really ends up caring about what these tariffs do. Obviously, there are repercussions in the market. I got a buddy of mine building a hotel out in Joshua Tree, and he's like, I don't even know if I can get brought into the country from Canada. So it does affect people in real time. But it's impossible to do these negotiations with any leverage if you have the people within your own country questioning your ability to negotiate in real time. But it's impossible to do these negotiations with any leverage if you have the people within your own country questioning your ability to negotiate in real time. That is what the layman would think.
Starting point is 00:21:11 Well, I do think you're right in the sense that in the early days, when Trump was talking about tariffs, initially everyone was like, oh my God, he's going to use tariffs, he's unpredictable. And then the narrative became he's using it as a negotiating tactic. The problem is, just like in poker, once everyone knows that there is this kind of action, it's exploitable. And so this is now kind of an exploitable mode of negotiation where everyone now assumes he's just trying to negotiate so no one actually takes him seriously. The question now is the response going to be that he's going to be serious about it, or is he actually exploitable? And you saw what China's response was. I kind of view China as like AI.
Starting point is 00:21:50 Like stuff goes into China, the AI processes it and it comes back out. China is like obviously the way they're kind of structured. You have very little psychosocial bias like you do with other democratic governments. It's very systematic. It's systematically processed. Every piece of data is systematically processed. Every action is systematically processed. And so I think when you look at how the Chinese ambassador
Starting point is 00:22:10 responded to Trump on Twitter a few weeks ago, where they're like, you want war? We'll give you war. This is a hot war or a cold war, whatever you want. We've never seen that from an ambassador to the United States president before done on Twitter like this, let alone the Chinese ambassador.
Starting point is 00:22:24 So I think it says a lot about how the Chinese AI is processing the Trump negotiating tactic or the Trump positioning statements on tariffs, which indicates that there may be now, I mean, we can talk about what game theory optimal play might be in this kind of poker game, what's going to come next. But there's a real assessment that they've made on how far he is willing to take it. They've got a conclusive statement and they believe that this is the fastest way to kind of win their negotiating position. But it says a lot about where this is all going. Everyone now understands or views this as an exploitable moment, which unfortunately means that tariffs may not work or they're actually
Starting point is 00:22:56 going to have to stick, which can be really ugly. Yeah, it could be painful. Could be painful. For every. Jamath, your thoughts on the tariffs in Andrew's position? What is the, I think it's like 120 some odd years, Nick, maybe you can find this tweet that I had, but almost the majority of years as a nation or close to a majority of the years as a nation, we had no income tax. And the way that we would fund the programs that we needed was not from insiders, but from outsiders. And that's where the tariff was born, right? It's people domestically in America don't pay any taxes on the things that they do. And instead, if you'd like to sell into
Starting point is 00:23:38 the United States, you pay a reasonable tax. So this is the so many years. So it's 126 years from 1776 to 1861. Then we paused it for a few years because of the Civil War. We restarted again in 1872. And you notice when it stopped. When it stopped was right around World War I where this entire war machine broke out and we've never looked back. So I don't know. I think that one way to think about this is we're probably going to go back and explore isn't it better if we have this incredibly vibrant and rich country of 330 million people with a ton of purchasing power? What happens if we put the burden not on them to fund the American infrastructure and social programs and safety net. But if we put the burden on all the companies in the other 7.7 billion people in the world and the 185 plus countries
Starting point is 00:24:33 that want access to these folks, should there be exceptions? Probably. Should there be waivers in very specific and narrow cases? Absolutely. But I think that that's where these guys are going. And I think that you heard this, by the way, yesterday from Howard Lutnick. I don't know if you guys saw this, but he said the Trump tax plan is going to cut federal income taxes to zero for anybody making 150k or less. It's crazy. What would the vulnerability in that be? Like putting the burden on all of these expenses that we would incur on other countries. What would that vulnerability for us be? There are two.
Starting point is 00:25:12 The first is that- If we keep the expenses. That's- That's the key. If we keep the tariffs. If we charge them to come into the market, we charge them an extra 25%. We talked about this last week. If you cut the budget, then it can be net neutral. That's part
Starting point is 00:25:25 of what they said. Got it. Got it. But he's saying, what is the strategic vulnerability? I think the strategic vulnerability is two. The thing with tariffs is, and you're pointing out this, let's just say today you say there's a tariff and then tomorrow you say, oh, we found an agreement and we're going to take it off the table. One piece of logic would say, wow, that's great, we're able to change our mind on a dime. The problem for countries and companies is that they can't think in 24-hour blocks of time, right? They're making decisions in five and 10-year blocks of time. It's like, I'm going to go and borrow a billion dollars, I'm going to go and build a data center. I'm going to borrow $10 billion, I'm going to build tanks. Once you start that,
Starting point is 00:26:05 you can't just stop it and then restart it. So that's one strategic problem, which is that if you are not careful, some of these markets that are really crucial, I'll give you one which we talked about last week. Right now, 95% of all of the energy we generate in America is from renewables. Whether you like it or not, that's just what it is. The reason why that's possible is because America has a very sophisticated market where all these people come from all corners of the world, insurance companies, life insurance companies, banks, and they fund all of it. And the reason is they can take a tax credit, they can lower their effective tax rate, they get a higher rate of return. It's all super complicated. But the point is these incentives exist. If all of a sudden, you play around with that market, half that energy would go away, electricity prices would rise, inflation goes up. And then if we have to go and compete against China for AI and a bunch of other stuff, where is the energy going to come from? You're going to brown out people, you're going to just turn their energy off so that you can fund a data center so that the TikTok algorithm is better.
Starting point is 00:27:12 That's literally what we would have to decide. So that's one way. And then the second way is, if you're providing a critical service or a good to American people for which there is no alternative, that becomes really problematic because that person can then pull that product and say, I can't afford to make it. The obvious example is if you make pharmaceutical drugs for rare diseases, what do you do? And again, those are all things that are like multi-decade long decisions. Yeah. You'd love to make them and unchange them at every 24 hours, but it's just not possible because like you just make these decisions and
Starting point is 00:27:50 you're stuck with them for a long time. That's where the tariff thing becomes problematic. If you change them often enough, if you implement them and you're like, this is what it's going to be, the world can adapt and people can figure it out. I mean, the other problem is just the communication of this has been terrible. We were on the program last week or two weeks ago, Joe Lonsdale's like, this is about fentanyl. So is it about fentanyl? Is it about getting rid of income tax at the federal level?
Starting point is 00:28:13 Is it about supply chain resiliency? These guys get like a D in my grade book for communication. It's terrible communication. And this idea that you can't take Trump too seriously about his claims, like, well, he said he was going to overturn Roe v. Wade, he did it. He said he was gonna close the border and send people home. He did that, you know, he said he do a Muslim ban, he actually did that. So for every time he says something, and you're like, that's cap, no way he's gonna do that. I actually think people are starting to realize he's gonna
Starting point is 00:28:45 do something here with these tariffs. They're not just a negotiating position. And the other problem I think a lot of people have with this is it centralizes power. Anybody can go to Trump now and say, I want an exception. I'm, you know, a car company, I want an exception. I'm a solar company, you know, I need an exemption. And then now you've got everybody going to Mar-a-Lago to kiss the ring, to give him a donation, to bow down, and it centralizes more power with them as opposed to having rules. Yes. And we need to have rules in this country that apply to everybody, not just people who give a million dollars like Bezos and Tim Cook and everybody and Zuck the weathervane
Starting point is 00:29:19 gave him. We don't want to live in that world where you're just bribing Trump to get your tariff and that's how people feel. That's how the business community feels. That's the reality right now. People are bribing Trump, giving him a million dollars to the inauguration to get close to him to go to Mar-a-Lago and it looks really bad. You need to have a clear strategy here for what the rules of the game are. And he's changing the rules. So you have to go to him and he's he
Starting point is 00:29:44 loves that. That's actually I think what he's trying to do So you have to go to him and he's, he loves that. That's actually, I think what he's trying to do is get everybody to go through him. It's a really clever hack, I think. Yeah. And perception is reality. So you have to react to people's perception, like we can throw data points, all we want at people and we can throw research and all this other shit. But if people aren't meeting you there, then you're not going to be communicating with them effectively. And I
Starting point is 00:30:03 think that that's something that like, you know, especially you guys need to know, you guys have privity information that the average American probably is not. And we can bitch and complain about how they don't read or how they're not looking up, you know, what happened in 1913 to change the course of American history and how we started to, or we can go, okay, we need to find a way to disseminate this information so that they can make these decisions. And I guess, or feel comfortable with the results of these decisions. Do you think America would be okay with this idea of taxing outsiders and then relying on it versus income tax paid by its own citizens? I think that the second half is really
Starting point is 00:30:42 all that would matter. I think that people are thinking, I think the majority of people are thinking about the next week. So if you say that I don't have to pay taxes, like, and I think this is what Republicans are doing way better than Democrats right now is like, Democrats don't have build the wall. They don't have slogans. They don't have things that immediately tap into like core emotional feeling, regardless if you're going to do it or not. We want Greenland.
Starting point is 00:31:02 Okay, that's cool. Democrats need eggs or a dollar Democrats need things that like echo their sentiments and how they want to like take care of people and provide for the disenfranchised But it has to be done in a way where it's digestible you can chew on it If you want to make housing more affordable, then you say yeah, we're seizing public land We're building 10,000 units like you have to tap into what Americans need, which is a feeling of not just comfort. Every American thinks they're going to be a millionaire. That's what this country drives off of, right?
Starting point is 00:31:32 It's every poor American. That hope, that hope. Yeah. And the second they stop thinking they will be, they can be, or they can be, it falls apart. And then some healthcare CEO gets shot and people celebrate. They're celebrating because they no longer feel the hope that they could be in that position. Yeah. They feel so disenfranchised. And this is what like, I'm telling you, like the you guys of the world need to pay close attention to because there's going to be no empathy if anything bad
Starting point is 00:32:01 happens. Oh, the stock market is down. No Americans are invested in the stock market. That's all you guys. I've been saying it. No, no, no. I've been saying this for months. Half the country. I've been saying it for months. Nobody cares about the stock market, nor should we. And the reason is because we, people who own these assets, have overly benefited more than we deserve for the last 15 years. Ever since the great financial crisis in the United States, people who, as Jason said, could cozy up. And by the way, Jason, I think the claim that you made, which is severely true for how from 2007 up until now has played out. Because if you look under all the programs, if you could have lobbied
Starting point is 00:32:46 Obama in those critical years of the GFC, oh my God, the amount of money that was, no, because we took interest rates literally to zero. Anybody like us who could have gone and gotten levered up and gone into the stock market was richly rewarded. And the problem is we left everybody else behind. And I think the great thing about Trump is he is going to reset that. He is going to take a lot of wealth away from asset holders. You're seeing it every day, 500 billion, 500 billion. There is no sympathy. I think it's fantastic. That's great. It's great to hear you even saying that, because I feel like a lot of people that are in maybe your guys position don't understand that disconnect. And that is important to understand there. Like, even what happened in the palisades like in LA with like the fire, the second people heard it was like rich people's houses. There was no empathy for it. They didn't they don't have a million dollar house. Yeah, it was like, and it is I don't even have a house. I can't find a house. You burned
Starting point is 00:33:50 your house down and you move you went back went to your vacation house now. Oh, I'm sorry, you're living at your ski house. That's a tragedy. Like literally, you're right. It probably explains why we don't hear anything in the news anymore. But anything that's happening with respect to reconstruction or any of the disruptions happen. It's a rich person problem. It's a rich person problem. And you know, I think putting together what you just said, Schultz and
Starting point is 00:34:10 Utremoth, Trump is a master at connecting with people and listening to them. I thought one of the greatest things he did during this last election is when he said no tax on tips. When he said no tax on tips, he was going right for Nevada, he was going right for that swing state, you know, to get those folks who live off tips. But what he was also doing is saying, I know that there's a bunch y'all that sometimes get cash tips, you put it in your pocket, it's the gray market, I get it. You know, I run a whole, you know, I got caddies who get a Hyundai from, you know, whatever, taking somebody out on the course. We're just going to make it official. You don't get tax on tips, because we know that you a Hyundai from you know, whatever, taking somebody out on the course, we're just going to make it
Starting point is 00:34:45 official. You don't get tax on tips, because we know that you're out, you know, you're the bottom third of the country. In terms of your economic power, those kind of statements really do connect with people. Trump has just mastered this, this party is Trump is the Democratic Party that we grew up with. It's kind of crazy. It's kind of crazy, right? And then the Democrats became this elitist group that seemed to be in the pocket of business interest.
Starting point is 00:35:07 I don't know what bizarre world we're living in. I think you tapped into it right there. It's like, I think that they could easily win the next election if they made it a class war, but they don't because it feels like they're in the pockets of these billion dollar corporations. So they can't really, I mean, Bernie did it really effectively, right?
Starting point is 00:35:25 Like this random Jew that lives in Maine or something like that is like, yo, we gotta get some money from these rich people, give it back to the poor. And all of a sudden, all of America turned him into like our surrogate grandfather. So you can- And then he got shipped by Hillary and the machine.
Starting point is 00:35:41 And I mean, what did they say about his fans? Like they went very specifically. They like he has a his the bernie bros have a sexism. And bigotry problem right they made a radioactive right so now you killed the working class no more classes no longer support the democratic party so who do they have left. They have the identity politics groups so they can't piss off the identity politics groups because they're like, that's all we got left. They did the same with us during the election, right? They're like the podcast bros have a sexism and bigotry problem. They try to make people radioactive. And it's like that card's been played so many times that people are desensitized. I think there's one big shoe left to drop. I think we've started the process of
Starting point is 00:36:22 really, really taking a bunch of heat out of the asset markets like equities. So we've taken trillions and trillions of dollars of wealth away. I think we're going to take trillions more. But the next big market and this is actually where, Andrew, to your point, we reestablish some hope, I think for a lot of people is we are going to whack the housing market, it's just gonna happen. And let me just say something about that.
Starting point is 00:36:44 How is that gonna happen, You might have explained it because there are 7 million homes that we still need to build to service just current demand. How does that actually happen with the supply demand problem in your mind? There are a bunch of mechanisms that have to get cleaned up right now. So one mechanism is that there are a whole host of mortgages that are basically being propped up. It was a program that really got out of control under the Biden administration. Nick,
Starting point is 00:37:12 you can find this article in the Wall Street Journal. We are going to figure out how to get these two government-related agencies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, out of what's called conservatorship. And these are the folks that are responsible for essentially wrapping guarantees around mortgages so that the mortgage market can function. The details don't particularly matter that much, but the point is that what we are doing is we are unwittingly propping up with American taxpayer dollars the US housing market. Why is that bad? It is locking an inordinate number of people from that first critical step that actually makes them feel like they are winning and they're on their way to achieving their dreams, which is, can I make a deposit on a home and then can I live this out? And you have these artificially inflated prices all around the country as a result of this.
Starting point is 00:38:06 So I think this next wave is deeply beneficial to the middle class, which is there is no reason, like you guys see it, when you read the Wall Street Journal, I think it is the dumbest in the world when I see an article, which is like, this house just is $65 million on 0.4 acres in some rando place in Miami. Malibu. Yeah. I was thinking Malibu, but yeah.
Starting point is 00:38:29 But what is this? This makes no sense. And so when you re-rationalize a bunch of equity values and you re-rationalize the cost of a home, I think what you're going to do is you're going to allow a lot more people to find a more reasonable way to enter the housing market. And I do think that that's a really big step in allowing them to feel like they're part of the dream. So you lower asset prices, you can own some stocks, maybe you own a 401k, or if you've never had a 401k, but your employer offers it for the first time, it may actually make financial sense to put a small amount of it in there. You've never been able to own a home, all of a sudden home prices are whacked 30 or 40%. You're able to do that. Because of how Trump goes after the budget. When his rate of borrowing for the US government goes down, your mortgage rate goes down. Now all of a sudden you can enter in because home prices are less,
Starting point is 00:39:21 and you can actually get a mortgage. They may all seem very random, but they can come together in giving 50, 60 million people a shot that they have been screaming since the great financial crisis they don't have. This is so huge because on like a core emotional level, you want as many Americans as possible invested in American success and excellence. Totally. And the greater the delta between like them and their first home or their first investment in stock, the greater that distance, the more disillusioned they become in America in general. When they feel like, like you said earlier, like the way that you guys got into the market,
Starting point is 00:39:58 when you could basically take out loans for nothing, and then you saw these incredible gains, they feel left behind. The second they feel like they're in on it. They own apartment. They own shares of Tesla. That's why crypto is so popular because they're like, only access. Yeah, it's like, yeah, it's like comedy in some ways. Like all I need is a microphone or music. Like there's a path for me. And crypto obviously is a giant scam. It's a scam. Sure. But I can get a piece of this. I can get a piece of this, this American dream. And I would rather that they were invested in the in the you know, a Vanguard account or something like that. I would rather they're invested in the entire market. I mean, there's this this idea and I'm sure you poke holes and tons of holes
Starting point is 00:40:37 into it. And but this idea like every American born gets 1000 bucks put into a friend of ours, Brad Gerson with this invest America is the concept. And regardless if the concept is good or not, the emotional connectivity to the success of American industry is really important. When you know at 22 that you could get this thing that's been compounded for 22 years, you could pay off college loans, you could put something down on a house, you could pay for trade school, whatever it is. I think you have a different energy towards America and its success.
Starting point is 00:41:07 And then you have a lot less of these kids who are just like, America's this horrible place and capitalism is bad. Yeah, capitalism is bad when you're left behind. When you're invested in capitalism, it's great. Baby, absolutely. We're on the express train. Let me give you guys. I did an analysis. I was I wasn't sure if I should put it out, but I'll tell you guys the numbers.
Starting point is 00:41:27 The US Social Security program is meant to be kind of the retirement program for folks that don't have access to private retirement accounts. And this program was set up in the 1930s after the Great Depression. And there's a trust fund, the OASDI, which is the the fund that they invest the capital. So every year we all put money in with our social security taxes out of our paychecks goes in there. And it gets invested, you know what it gets invested in? It gets invested in one thing, US Treasuries, which have averaged about 4.8% return since the beginning of the program per year. Meanwhile-
Starting point is 00:42:05 What if you put it into the market? Meanwhile, the S&P has been averaging 11%. So here's the math. If in 1971, which was the year that we went off the gold standard in the United States, if we invested the Social Security Trust Fund in the S&P, the balance of the Social Security Trust Fund today would be $15 trillion. That would be roughly one third of the value of the total S&P 500, which would be jointly owned by all Americans who took their capital.
Starting point is 00:42:32 Now here's what's up. What's up is that the middle class people who had access to private retirement accounts benefited by buying the S&P 500 and the wealthy were able to access it. So all of the equity value that accrued from American enterprise and the prosperity of the American system accrued to the people that had access to the private accounts. Meanwhile, the people that only had access to the public accounts got stuck owning treasuries.
Starting point is 00:42:55 Today, the social security trust fund has $2.7 trillion balance. And based on the outflows and inflows, it's going to go bankrupt in 2032. That means social security is either going to get cut, or the Fed is going to print a ton of money to keep Social Security benefits retirement age goes up a little bit. Yes, a lot of leavers. Yeah. Wow. So I did the math, if you assume that the S&P 500 continues to grow at 10.5% a year, on average, there's ups and downs and sure there could be basically drawdowns and all
Starting point is 00:43:21 these other sorts of things. But here's important point, we could put about $500 billion in the trust fund today, and it will not go bankrupt again. And it will continue to grow every year. And then all Americans have participation in American enterprise. And importantly, this becomes the world's largest sovereign wealth fund ever. You don't need a separate sovereign wealth fund. We already have one. We have it. It's called the Social Security Trust Fund. And what we've done is we've totally mismanaged it. And I went back to try and understand why this is the case. Why have we only ever bought treasuries?
Starting point is 00:43:51 Early on, the US needed someone to loan money. So they basically forced the citizens to loan the government money in the form of treasuries. But today, the Social Security Trust Fund owns only less than 10%, about 8% of the total treasury bonds outstanding. The rest are owned by the Fed and foreign investors and private investors and others that want to own it. So why are we forcing all the American citizens to participate? Yeah, we're propping it up for no reason. And we're discouraging access. So basically we've created, through the social security system,
Starting point is 00:44:18 we've created the deep inequity we see in this country. If instead we had allowed the social security system to invest in the S&P 500 to buy American enterprises, to fund American businesses, then every American would be wealthy and that middle class that uniquely participated by basically arbitraging the market where they forced the treasury bond yields on the poor and they got to take access to the equity yields would have not happened. Yeah they they had 401Ks, right? They had built a device for them. They had brought IRAs and they were able to participate
Starting point is 00:44:48 with brokerage accounts and buying in the market. But what we can do right now is we can fix it. And here's the important point. People will then argue, oh, well, what if there's a down year, two down years in a row? You know what? We're already going to be printing money
Starting point is 00:45:00 to make up the hole in social security. We're not gonna let social security go bankrupt. We're not gonna let it dry out. So we're already gonna print money to make the social security hole. security. We're not going to let social security go bankrupt. We're not going to let it dry out. So we're already going to print money to make the social security hole. So if that's the case, we can create a backstop for social security. We're going to have to do it either way, but we might as well take on the ban. Chelsea, go. Yeah. No, no, no. Chometh, you were going to say something.
Starting point is 00:45:19 The reason why we didn't do it goes back to what you said before, which is we have a bunch of, we had a bunch of very quote unquote, well-educated Ivy league trained people running these institutions and the feedback, I don't even know what it said, but I can tell you what the memo said. There's too much risk. We've sensitized this model. It doesn't make sense. This is the safest thing to do. So it goes back to just like we need a little
Starting point is 00:45:45 bit more practical thinking. Like at the end of the day, why the S&P 500 exists is of all the thousands and thousands and thousands of companies in the world. You know how many companies in the world make more than a billion dollars a year, more than 20,000. And of that 20,000, the S&P 500 is just the 500 best. It's the best of the best of the best. So to your point, Freberg, it didn't take a PhD from Harvard to figure out that if you just owned an index of the absolute 500 best things happening
Starting point is 00:46:17 at any given point in time, it would have gone up. Also, since when do Americans, since when are Americans risk intolerant? Like there's something baked into the DNA of the people that decide to leave their families and move here. Totally. Immigrant country. And to your point, imagine logging in like, like we've all had, I'm assuming a 401k account
Starting point is 00:46:37 and I remember how exciting it is to log in and see the account. And Shultz, I want to say something that's really important. Like you talk about us people, like, you know, early on the commentary, which is something I hear a lot. My first job was making $4.25 an hour cleaning toilets in a pool hall in upstate New York. Chamath has similar stories. J Cal has similar stories. Like any of us that participated-
Starting point is 00:46:57 I made 455 Canadian working at Burger King. Yeah. And I had like, and then the worst part about my job in the pool hall was that then the manager made me Go play poker at his house, and he took all the money back. I stole the chicken fingers at night But it was so exciting in my career in my life to be able to like go from that moment To the moment where I had a 401k and I could log in and I could see the businesses that I owned and I understood That and I saw the value go up and I got to participate that imagine if every American when you get your social security statement today
Starting point is 00:47:29 All it tells you is a dollar amount and how much you're gonna get in the future Imagine if you logged in and you got to see all the businesses you own a piece of Every single day lighting a test we can fix this and by the way We can solve both the sovereign wealth fund question and the social security trust fund question. Every dollar that's going into these sovereign wealth fund ideas or if they come to fruition or in my opinion, and obviously I haven't spoken to stocks about this, but the crypto fund and all this other sort of stuff, every dollar that should go into the social security trust fund. And that social security trust fund should be for the benefit of all Americans and it should be equities. It should be ownership.
Starting point is 00:48:04 It should be participation in what the American dream enabled us all to succeed. And it should enable everyone else to participate in shares and equity in American enterprise that can come to market. So it's not about a thousand bucks when you're born. It's about an ongoing participation, putting your money in and having that money allocated in a way that's smart
Starting point is 00:48:23 and wealthy Americans get to allocate it Which is into owning shares and businesses. That's it. Chelsea. Yeah. No, I think it's great I hopefully you guys don't feel like I'm like discrediting you by saying you guys but I'm just trying to It's an important framing because it's like it you're 100% right but like I you know, we see comments on YouTube like oh you guys and I'm like dude, I remember like right but like I you know we see comments on YouTube like oh you guys and I'm like dude I remember like It feels like yesterday when I was in friggin dead I graduated college with a bunch of dead and I went and like found a job and worked my ass off and I was working 20 hour days and never slept and like you know it wasn't easy. I mean I feel like very emotional about this right now
Starting point is 00:48:59 Sorry hang on It was hard Listen it was hard. It, it was hard. It wasn't easy, bro. It wasn't given to you. None of us inherited. None of us inherited. We came to American and to see the joy, to see what we all benefited from.
Starting point is 00:49:15 I'm getting emotional about this, but it's like, well, the American dream's broken. We got to fix it. Fix it for us right now. People talk about it as if being successful and getting there is a crime. It's a bad person. No, it's a dream. It's a dream.
Starting point is 00:49:32 Schultz, go. I think the framing of this is very important. Like my mom is also an immigrant, right? She came here from Scotland. She has no education. They stopped going to school like 14 or something like that. Comes to America and she's this massive success here in terms of like where she came from, where she got to, right. And what she was
Starting point is 00:49:48 able to buy, she was able to buy a home in the East village of New York city. She was able to buy a beach house, like just off of like grind and hard work. And what she saw here, which I'm sure a lot of you guys also saw is opportunity. She had ambition and opportunity. And I think that that's what I think a lot of times that's what immigrants see when they come here, because they probably come from places where they feel absolutely no opportunity. So the second they feel like there's a little of it, if they work those 20 hours a week, I mean, I saw my parents grind. Totally. Like my work ethic just comes from watching them.
Starting point is 00:50:20 You know what I mean? Just watching them just kill it every single day. So what I think that you guys are speaking to, which is really important, and I think it's important that people know your story as well because it becomes more accessible when they see you guys and they know what you came from. They know you're working at Burger King and now you guys are worth billions of dollars. It's very important that Americans know that that's possible for them. Maybe not to hit a billion, but maybe hit a million, maybe hit 300,000, maybe to buy a house that's $100,000
Starting point is 00:50:46 that they're really proud of. And own it outright. And own it outright. And the fact that this is accessible, like what you just said to me is just hope and abundance. Like that's the messaging of what you just said. You said something that made it seem very simple to me. We put this money here,
Starting point is 00:51:00 everybody's now invested in the success of the American economy. And now when we see the stock market ticker look green, which is all the average person sees green or red, we don't really know anything, but when we see green, we get excited. We go, wait, wait. Yeah. And now we start goes up and we start rooting.
Starting point is 00:51:17 Come on feels that way too. Yeah. Well, but think about getting excited right now. If you're saying it, he's going to start crying. Oh wait, it's green today. Yeah. It's been right for a week. But think about like CEOs, right?
Starting point is 00:51:27 Like these people have become villainized, right? And it's because we are not attached to the success of their companies. That's right. If your biggest holding is Tesla, please believe you're not upset. I think people think that their success now works against your best interests.
Starting point is 00:51:44 Yes, and instead of working for you. And the system's rigged,ged and the system's rigged and you can't be part of it and you're being ground down. This is a I think really good proposal. Freeburg and if you look at housing, that's the other one. When I if I run for president, you know what my position is going to be, Chelsea? What's that? I'm going to build five cities with three million homes in each and you can only buy them if you make under X amount per year. It's not going to be like the projects or like, you know, subsidized housing in New York, talking about, it's not going to be stuyvesant. Okay, it's gonna be like nice house. It's pretty
Starting point is 00:52:15 good if you can get it. Yeah. Stuyvesant is not bad, but not like projects. I'm talking about like proper homes like we are the most innovative country society ever created. I mean, since the Greeks, they were pretty great, like bill, we are the most innovative country society ever created. I mean, since the Greeks, they were pretty great, too. But we could build five new cities, why can't we build five new cities with 3 million homes in it? Let's do with some like Manhattan project for housing, and then healthcare, how the hell do we not have like good healthcare for everybody in this country with the richest country in the world, greatest
Starting point is 00:52:40 economy, whatever, we should be able to solve those problems. And that's why people don't feel like they're part of this is because basic housing, basic health care and your retirement, it's not like it's rigged against you. This sounds crazy. But for young people, I think they would forgive health care if they were invested in the market. And I think it's interesting, investing in the market is just so daunting. But the feeling that everybody else is getting rich when you're not is the reason why I bought crypto, not knowing anything about it.
Starting point is 00:53:11 It's the reason why everybody else bought it. It's this feeling that the train is running away and you're not going to be part of it. So how do we get them to feel part of that success? I think really importantly, you know, today, just to give you guys some other statistics, 60% of a middle-class household's net worth is in their home. Only 10% of their net worth is in owning the S&P 500 in index funds or whatever in their retirement accounts. And so by creating this American dream around housing and allowing the federal government
Starting point is 00:53:40 to provide loans on housing, we've increased the cost of housing. We've created a very destructive housing bubble in the sense that it has reduced people's exposure to participation in productive value creation. And that's through the ownership of businesses. Instead, we've stored our net worth in a house. And in order to keep the economy and the social structure stable, we've created policies that allow the continuation of the growth in the value of houses so people feel like their net worth is incrementing.
Starting point is 00:54:09 You're 100% right. And that's unfortunately very unnatural. They restricted making new housing, which makes it worse with the restrictions. Have you guys heard of Warren Buffett's most public failure? No. Warren Buffett's most public failure was when he was brought on as an advisor to Arnold Schwarzenegger when Schwarzenegger, when Schwarzenegger was running for governor. And Buffett kind of looked at the laws in
Starting point is 00:54:32 California and there's a law in California when you own a home, that when you pass on, you can pass it off to your kids and you can basically keep the cost that you paid in terms of setting the real estate taxes. And it's had an enormously negative effect in unlocking turnover of homes. And that's a large driver of why homes are so expensive in California. So Buffett looked at this and there was a lot of fanfare. Schwarzenegger's like, here's my economic genius. And first thing he said was, guys, I think we should repeal this law. He was gone two days later. Wow. He's not popular.
Starting point is 00:55:07 And by the way, there's a lot of other policies like this. Two days later, he had to resign. If you do the true kind of like macro analysis as an investor, you should probably have about 20% of your net worth in the US in real estate, not 60%. And so we need to give people the ability, and we need to think about all the follow on and trickle effects of creating a set of laws,
Starting point is 00:55:29 a set of policies that basically incentivize almost all of your net worth to go into a single asset, your home, and what that then means in the fact that we have to keep pumping up the value of that home and we have to have a system in order for people to feel like they're getting ahead, keep inflating, and eventually people can't afford homes. And that's where we are today.
Starting point is 00:55:45 When did you guys first start your education in the markets? Like at what age did you feel like you sought out? I bought my first stock in the company I was working for or the parent company, the company I was working for in 1989 when I was 18 years old. So 18, what about you Dave? I bought $ for in 1989 when I was 18 years old. So 18, what about you Dave? I bought $300 in stock.
Starting point is 00:56:06 I signed up for an E-Trade account in college because I saw that TV show called Bull. Do you remember that TV show it's about investment banking during the dot-com bubble? It was such a, no one knows that show. And I was like, man, Wall Street is so cool. I wanna learn about stocks. Cause I was an astrophysics major.
Starting point is 00:56:22 I didn't like, I didn't know what I was gonna do after I was gonna go to graduate school or whatever. And like I didn't know what I was going to do after I was going to go to graduate school or whatever. And then I got caught up in the dot-com bubble and I started reading the Wall Street Journal every day. I would take it down to the frigging Plaza and I would read the journal at school during lunch. And I tried to learn about tech and business and markets because I've always
Starting point is 00:56:38 been a tech guy and I'm like, man, there's all these startups and this is how the markets work. So I set up an E-Trade account. I put some money in it and I started and I bought some stocks and I read the investor business business daily on what stocks to buy, they had a rating. And I bought those stocks and they went up and I'm like, man, this is awesome. Like I love owning stocks. And that kind of kicked me off. And then I got an investment banking job after
Starting point is 00:56:57 college and it totally changed my career trajectory. I was like, I want to go work in the tech industry and work in business. What about you, Chamath? And it shifted it up. When did you buy your first equity? But by the way, that I'm sorry, let me to go work in the tech industry and work in business. What about you, Chamath? And it shifted it up for me. When did you buy your first tech one? But by the way, that, I'm sorry, let me just say one thing. What you asked is a really important question.
Starting point is 00:57:09 I just realized this, Andrew, because my, my interest in that stock market thing at that time actually changed my career trajectory and it really reset what I was going to do with my life to get involved in business and go work in the tech industry as opposed to work in science as a researcher. And that was a really big shift for me. So it gave me that kind of feeling of like, oh, I got to learn more. And then that kind of changed my career. Sorry, go ahead, Shama. I was 14 or 15 years old. And there was a, this is when Rodney King had the kicked out of him and almost died. Well, these race riots in LA, and nothing had changed actually in America but where I was
Starting point is 00:57:47 growing up in Canada, the provincial government created a program that said if you're a minority and you're on welfare, we'll pay for you to get a job. I was a minority on welfare. So I got a job and it was at a startup that was just going parabolic, and their stock was going nuclear. And I lived in this shitty part of town. And I would see the controller of that company drive past me every day while I was waiting for the bus. And one day he stopped. And I went with this guy, Sam Legge, he drove me that whole summer. And he taught me what does the company do? Why is the founder a billionaire? What the hell does this even mean?
Starting point is 00:58:31 He unpacked. And so I saw firsthand what it meant to work not for a salary, but to get a stake in the thing that you're working for. I bought a couple of shares. It went up and it was great. But then I really fell in love with this idea that I could understand something and own a piece of it. And then it really accelerated when I graduated from college because I was like, Freeberg, I was in debt and I was like, how the f**k do I get out of debt? And I traded stocks on behalf of my boss, this guy, Mike Fisher, who I thank to this day. And I made so much money right before the dot com crash.
Starting point is 00:59:07 He gave me the money to pay off my student loans. Wow. Wow. And then ever since then, I was hooked. I was like, OK, I can learn this, and I can deal with the vicissitudes of this. Look, the markets are brutal. There are moments where you just wake up,
Starting point is 00:59:21 and it looks like everything's working. And then there are moments, and this is what everybody needs to understand, though, if some of these programs work, where it literally looks like the bottom is falling out. And I cannot describe to people the pressure you will feel on behalf of you and your family when it looks like you're taking a 30 or 40 or 50% negative downturn to your net worth. It inflicts a level of psychological damage that I cannot describe to you. And the bigger the numbers get, by the way, I told this story on Tucker, there was a period where I would wake up and I could just tweet and the markets would go
Starting point is 00:59:58 up. They were like, what's he going to say next? And then it all stopped. And then there was a two and a half year period where I gave it all back and then some. That's frustrating. The Midas touch goes away. It's beyond frustrating. It shakes you to your core. So if we do these programs, I think the Friedberg ideas is just beautiful.
Starting point is 01:00:17 It's lovely. What about you Shultz? When did you make it? But just to finish, if we do it, we have to try to teach people how to deal with the drawdowns because that's where if you don't teach them how to deal with the vol, the volatility of losing money, it's great when everything's green. But those red days, man, how you comport yourself,
Starting point is 01:00:37 how you act, how you treat other people in the red days are the only days that matter. Yeah, it's a growing experience. What about you, Shultz? When did you buy your first equity? I was probably 35. Oh. Think about it. 15 years behind. So my, I mean, my- How old are you?
Starting point is 01:00:55 I'm 41. So maybe even a little bit later. Now I might've owned stock without even realizing it type of thing where I had a business manager who set up some retirement fund or something like that, but not me actively choosing a stock and buying it. My wife's father-in-law is a very successful businessman and he's, I don't want to say like predicted the markets really well, but he has. I mean. He was in Nvidia like super early, early, early, early, early, and a bunch of others. And we were like sitting down and like Aspen somewhere and he like said, hey, listen, what do you mean? You don't own anything? He goes, hey, can you take a, you know, I don't know if he said 10 grand or 100 grand
Starting point is 01:01:36 or something like that. He goes, can you just put it in these different stocks? I go, okay, sure. I open up this like E-Trade account or whatever the fuck it was. But an interesting thing right there is like you guys were so young, I was 18, 22, 14. And to me, I think like the education of this is really important. Like my parents did really well, but they're financially illiterate.
Starting point is 01:01:56 Like there was no passing on this like knowledge of like investing when, yeah, what it means to invest. Like they made their money by like working every single day for it. Not like you guys don't, but like they were teaching dance lessons So it's like this is how much the dance lesson costs and you pay me and maybe I'll have 40 people in the class Okay, more people are paying and now other teachers can also teach but it was intimidating to them It was intended intimidating to me. It still is intimidating to me Well, this is the I think the upside of crypto in some ways, also the upside of prize picks
Starting point is 01:02:25 or the you know, gambling poker. It's the upside of Robin Hood and Coinbase and all these things being available this generation generation bet like they love to gamble these young kids. This is my concern. No, but they're learning. They're learning how to take the the downdrafts. I think they are learning. I think they are learning.
Starting point is 01:02:42 So maybe like the barrier to entry is less. But my concern is that they're treating it more like gambling than investing. And I think that we've almost like tricked the American public into thinking that investing is gambling. That's when the way that you guys are describing is it's not it's like investing in the SMP and then leaving it there and taking those downturns. And you have to learn. Yeah, but here's the thing. You have to learn these lessons at the poker table, you cannot play poker without real money, or else you're not going to get the burn, you're not going to stay up at night. How do we how do we so that's what these kids are doing there? How do we educate them? It's not every kid, right? It's the education comes from doing. And if you let these kids trade, they will figure it out over time. And then what happens is like you, they get married, they get a baby, they want to get a house. And then they say, you know what, I'm going to, I'm going to stop buying meme
Starting point is 01:03:27 coins. I'm going to start buying Bitcoin. I'm going to stop buying Bitcoin. I'm going to buy Nvidia and things. I just get addicted to gambling. Exactly. I agree with you. I agree with Schultz. I don't think that I think you're being super reductive, like, oh, they'll get on the, all of a sudden understand Dave Swenson's Yale endowment asset allocation model. Bullshit. I've seen they won't. I have seen 1000s and 1000s and 1000s of guys over time, who deeply steeped in this business, wash out. Yeah. And each to a one, the more sophisticated they get, they all fall to the same pressures, which is they don't know how to
Starting point is 01:04:07 simplify. And they don't know how to be patient. These are things that every human being needs to learn. And I don't think time in the market actually solves those two traits. Those are psychological traits that you have to go and figure out in a different way. You look inside yourself. And you have to figure those out. Okay, yeah, fair enough. But between the choice of, Hey, we're going to grow up blue collar. We have no access to these markets. We have no way to trade in them. We have no way to learn. And then today, I think the system we have today is better. Can people go off
Starting point is 01:04:38 the, you know, jump the fence and lose all their money? Of course they can, but they could go to Vegas and do that. Prior to that, they could work with a bookie. They could do football sheets. I think they're learning. And when you use some of these modern apps and you look at the strategies and you see people on Reddit working on these stocks and their thesis, I think it's trending in the right way. They can always be more education, but this is, let's hope, I think don't bet on the jets, right? I said it before. I think the average American doesn't even know what compound interest is. I agree with you. In fact, I'll tell you, I'll tell you a great story. Work to do.
Starting point is 01:05:07 I, one of the best things that happened when I invested in the goals of state warriors, I bought 10% of the team in 2011 or something. I got to meet all of them and I got to meet a lot of my heroes. And I remember one meeting where I sat with a goatee like player. Let's just put it that way. We'll bleep it out. We'll bleep it out. No, I don't want to say his name, but you. Okay. Fair enough.
Starting point is 01:05:32 And he asked me the most incredible question. He's like, Jamath, can you explain compound interest? And Shultz, I can tell you, I still have this spreadsheet. I just showed him a compound interest table. And he had no idea how 8% versus 10% is like gargantuan. Over 50 years, over 20 years. Yeah. And to your point, it was illuminating that you're right, unless you unless you go and you jump into it and you live it. And Jason, I agree with you. Like there's nothing like, look, Stan Druckenmiller says the same thing,
Starting point is 01:06:10 invest then investigate. Like there's nothing like putting the risk on. Okay. There's nothing like playing a hand in poker. There's nothing like taking a shot at a different strategy in blackjack. Win or lose, you get feedback. But my point is most people don't get better. And so that's what you have to solve is like, how can you make it interesting, fun? How can you talk about the losses? Like this is a thing that I had immense trouble with, I still do today. I think I've gotten better with it, is to be able to talk about the losses. How do you talk about getting whack for $4 billion? I can do it now, but it's brutal. Yeah, it stung for a while. I can do it now, but it's brutal. Yeah, it stung for a while.
Starting point is 01:06:43 And how ashamed, you saw me. You're a better person since then. You saw me go through it. How ashamed was I for the two years that I had to unwind that? How bad. It was hard for you, yeah, yeah, yeah. I mean, imagine your whole identity is built into
Starting point is 01:06:57 you being successful in these markets. And you measure it the wrong way. Like you point to the number in the bank account, not the way your wife treats you, not the way your the bank account, not the way your wife treats you, not the way your kids treat you, not the way your friends treat you. And then you're like, okay, well, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80% poor.
Starting point is 01:07:12 So I'm just that much less of a human being. Yeah. But that's a good reality check to lean into family and those things that matter. So my point is like, if we can get people more into the market, I think it's an incredible thing, but you have to wrap it in these guardrails that have nothing to do with the market. Everything to do with who you are as a person. And I think like the first step is showing like what is the most simplistic version of the benefit of the market. I think it's compound
Starting point is 01:07:40 interests. I really think that that is if we start there, like remove the stock market, don't even talk about it. Just like what happens if I left it in a savings account that's getting 4% And I don't touch it right now. You know, the rule of 72, that was the one that opened my brain up. So the rule of 72 is whatever the percentage you grow per month divided into 72. So let's say you were growing 7.2% in the market per year, divide that. It takes 10 years to double your money. So it's a time to double your money. If you were growing 7% a month, you know, on whatever your investments are, let's say you got a great business that's growing like
Starting point is 01:08:16 Facebook or something like that. That means you double the number of users or revenue every 7.2 months. Once you understand that you can do it quickly. Just like in poker, you know, the number of outs each card represents roughly 2% chance because it's 50 of them, right? So they each count for about 2%. Then you can start doing this stuff in the back of your head. I had this idea. I think I talked about it here on the program of doing the kids investment club, and I bought the domain kids investment club. I actually need to do this. I kind of prioritize this and find a CEO for it or do it as a nonprofit or something. Just kids need to do this. I kind of prioritize this and find a CEO for it, or do it as a nonprofit or something. Just kids need to learn this early. Robinhood or somebody should make an app where they can invest like a shadow, but it's, you know, like with their parents, maybe they can make the
Starting point is 01:08:54 trade, the parent approves it, something like that. There's something where we should be learning all this in high school. They should be like, what's more important than this? Remove the fear, remove the fear. And the reason it's important than this? Remove the fear, remove the fear. And the reason it's important is to what we were saying earlier, get the American people invested in American success. And you will find so much more patriotism. You will not find us picking on all these little things that a lot of us maybe go, why is this such a big deal?
Starting point is 01:09:20 Like the bathroom, like most of us are unaffected. I cannot begin to explain how quickly we'll forget about the bathrooms when the SMP is up 15% and you're looking at your portfolio and you're like, I, you could take a wherever you want. Okay. Absolutely. Yes. I have something else to focus on. Absolutely. Look at this. Hey, Friedberg, here's your time machine. Check it out. There's your favorite show. I don't want to make you more emotional, but there it is, your guy, Stanley Tucci from Bull. I think it's on TNT.
Starting point is 01:09:50 I think it only made it one season, right? One season, but Tucci gang in full effect. I was such a tech nerd growing up, but I never thought about the business of technology. And then the startup boom happened and you got this Bull show on TV. And I'm like, man, this is so much more exciting than sitting in a frigging lab doing mathematical modeling where I was like pulling my frigging hair out. I'm like,
Starting point is 01:10:08 I want to get after that. And the rest is history, you know? Have you guys watched Stanley Tucci on HBO where he tours Italy and he does these little- So great. And on TikTok, I've seen it. And I've seen him cook on TikTok. He's like, today, is it rolling? It's rolling? Today, I'm going to make you a frutta de mer. It's a, today, is it rolling? It's rolling today. I'm going to make your effort that the man it's a got the but I'm doing it in the Apache a base and we're going to put and I'm like, I just can this guy do ASMR or put me to bed at night to just to choose. I'm gonna man crush on to choose to choose the best. I mean, he's I would like to roll with to cheat. Can you
Starting point is 01:10:43 imagine if we went to Italy and just had like a, just roll with Tucci through Italy? Oh, I love that guy. Any dream is possible, J. Cal. You could pull it off. I know, where we're all dreaming here. We're all dreaming here. All right.
Starting point is 01:10:56 We're still dreamers by the way. Really important. Everyone should know that. I think like there's no, the thing that a lot of people assume, this is the true about humans in general, is there's an end to the rainbow, but there isn't. You ride the rainbow till you die. That's it. And there's always hope.
Starting point is 01:11:11 There's always dreams. There's always more. And it doesn't stop. So it makes it fun. Are you taking the ketamine in Austin or something? What happened? You just got all full of something. I'm a little hungover today. I started drinking at 10 a.m. yesterday. We went to the mothership last night. And we, well, we hung out with a couple of your boys I think we hang out Tony well Tony Tony Tony Tony was very nice and
Starting point is 01:11:35 Shane Gillis was there saying Shane Gillis was there but he was big time he was big time there was a mob around and we didn't get to meet him. The guy Bert who take I didn't recognize Yeah, he had a shirt on so I didn't get to meet him. The guy Bert who take I didn't recognize. Yeah, he had a shirt on so I didn't recognize it. Yeah, I was like but then I saw the body shape and I was like, yeah, that's that's probably probably him. When did you start in comedy? I was I think it's almost been like 18 years or something like that. She started in your early 20s in New York going to the funny bum or what? I have a question. How did you get into it? How do you keep your,
Starting point is 01:12:05 like how do you pay for your life before you make it? Like what? Like is it that you have a normal day job? I lived with my parents for like a very long time. Like my parents lived in East Village. So I was walking distance from like multiple comedy clubs. It was, you know, incredibly, I mean, I worked like with my parents for a little bit.
Starting point is 01:12:23 Then I managed restaurants and I like just managed them into the ground. You managed restaurants in Manhattan? Yeah, I worked with my parents for a little bit. Then I managed restaurants and I just managed them into the ground. You managed restaurants in Manhattan? Yeah, I did. I started in Santa Barbara when I was going to college. That's where I did my first comedy gig. And then I managed a restaurant out in Brooklyn. And not very good at that.
Starting point is 01:12:35 Oh really? Like which one, would I know it? It was called Biscuit Barbecue. It was in Park Slope, Brooklyn. And then I started to make a little money in standup. It was enough to buy a moon's falafel. I was like enough to like buy a moon's falafel. I like had like a five to 10. You had falafel money.
Starting point is 01:12:49 I had, I had a five to $10 a day budget and like, like I could eat cereal for breakfast and then I just, and I saved some money cause I was going to school. Well, when I was going to school, I was working at that restaurant and I like saved some money and like, I had a little pipe dream of opening up a bar with a friend of mine in New York. And then I was like, you know what? I'm just gonna spend this money Trying to be a comedian and I hope by the time I get Rid of the money. I'm making money a comedy and it came down to like $700 my bank account I was like renting out the room where I slept in and I would sleep in a closet in my apartment and
Starting point is 01:13:22 It just and it worked out. It just worked out I started making a couple money, do a couple gigs, start touring, got on a TV show. And then it kind of worked out. Was there a moment that where, because when you, when, you know, when the cancel culture was alive and well, that's when I first encountered you, it was initially on TikTok actually. And you were on fire because you were saying stuff nobody else was saying. And I thought, how does he even dare to pull this off? And was there a moment where you broke or you tipped or no? So it's interesting. You kind of break and then you go away.
Starting point is 01:13:55 So I broke on some MTV shows and I was doing all these things on MTV, had my own shows and all that kind of stuff. And then the MTV thing kind of dried up. And then I kind of went away. But I was luckily doing this podcast with Charlemagne and the podcast was very popular and that was like providing for me. And then I was doing some shows on the road and you know, people would come out from the podcast. But um, and then I really couldn't get any traction in standup world. So when I was doing like comedy stuff with MTV, it wasn't really in the stamp world in this in this because my stand-up maybe wasn't of the ilk
Starting point is 01:14:27 of what was like popular at the time. And I have a lot of empathy, by the way, for like the people who are just working at a network, they're producing these shows, like they're kids in private school. I want to tell a crazy joke about women or gays or whatever the fuck it is. And they're like, I'm not trying to get fired.
Starting point is 01:14:43 And like, I'm just trying, my kids are private school. We just got them into Dalton. I don't want to rock the boat. Like, reasonable. You understand? Like, I don't think that they're self preservation. Exactly. So, but I didn't want to change my comedy. So I was like, okay, where can I put it out? And luckily, we're putting the podcast out on YouTube, it was successful. And I just started putting things out on YouTube. And I started doing these shows and these shows started selling out. It was like really weird. Like the first thing I put out, I sold out the next weekend and I was never going to
Starting point is 01:15:13 sell that. How many seats? We're like 300 seat clubs and you do maybe four or five shows a weekend. And you get 50 bucks a seat, 20 bucks a seat. No, not even you get a flat rate. You get two grand to do the weekend or something like that. And a lot of these times the comedy clubs would just like call people and say, hey, do you want to see this guy and give away the tickets for free? It was really
Starting point is 01:15:31 the old model was basically, it's like a bar. So you just get the people in and they sell the drinks. So the weekend would sell out and another one would sell out. And I was like, holy s**t, maybe there's something, there's a conversion rate that I didn't see. And I kept putting stuff out on YouTube. I would do a new clip every week for a year on YouTube. And then I put these, a special on YouTube instead. And then I learned very quickly that there was this huge like white space in the market, like the comedy on TV was corny and people didn't really like it. And nobody was putting out like the quote unquote, like real comedy.
Starting point is 01:16:01 There's different versions of comedy, but I'm being very simplistic. And the more edgy stuff I put out on YouTube and it just exploded. And yeah, my career kind of really took off from there. And then COVID came around and there was, I was able to be a little bit more honest because I wasn't tied to a network and worried about maybe losing my job at the network.
Starting point is 01:16:24 Yeah. And then it just, I think in America, we reward bravery. Yeah. You just signed a Netflix deal, right? I mean, you did this show. Yeah. We're actually doing the show in Austin tonight where we're going to talk with some folks about this general concept where you start out as kind of an independent, say whatever
Starting point is 01:16:40 you want. You're totally free. It's your own platform. It's your own voice. Yeah. And then you go sign a deal with another platform. Like, are you now, you know, do you find it hard to trade the money for whatever might come along with that? There's restrictions. There's two ways to look at it, right? It's like, there's one, like, I think that I don't want to give myself too much credit here. But like, I think that what we did is
Starting point is 01:17:03 created another marketplace for comedy that the streaming networks had to now compete with. So they were losing comics to YouTube because it was more advantageous to put your comedy up on YouTube and build a following and then go sell tickets on the road. Whereas before the only way you could like really make a big chunk of money on your comics if you've got one of these fancy specials. Now people are like, I don't even want to do the special because if I put it on YouTube, I can tour for years and really build a fan base. So they have this autonomy.
Starting point is 01:17:30 The Netflix thing is interesting because like Netflix is the second biggest, I guess, streaming service on the planet. It's like YouTube than Netflix. So if I already have this huge imprint on YouTube, it would only be smart for me to now tap into the second biggest and see if there's some people there that aren't consuming my content on YouTube. So then back to the guy who's got the kid at Dalton now.
Starting point is 01:17:51 When you go and negotiate a deal with Netflix, are they basically silent? Completely. Not a single note. Yeah. So you do whatever you want and it is what it is, let it rip. Now, my last special was supposed to be with Amazon. So it was with Amazon and they had some notes. And I bought it back from them and I put it out myself. Wow, let it rip. Now, my last special was supposed to be with Amazon. So it was with Amazon and they had some notes and I bought it back from them and I put it out myself. Wow, really? Wow.
Starting point is 01:18:10 Yeah, and I sold it myself and it was actually one of the coolest things ever because I think I'm maybe one of the only comics that actually knows what they're worth. Yeah. You don't really know what you're- Well, walk us through that. So you do it and what do the notes say that-
Starting point is 01:18:24 There were these- There were these, yeah, it was two jokes and like, I get it, they make money selling toilet paper. what your- Well, walk us through that. So you do it and what do the notes say that you're like- Yeah, it was two jokes and like, I get it. They make money selling toilet paper. Like why are they gonna have this huge, you know, kerfuffle- You made fun of the toilet paper industry. I got it. Yeah, big toilet paper, big TP, very powerful lobby.
Starting point is 01:18:39 You know what's funny is like culture has changed and I feel like a lot of times the streamers are like downriver from culture. So like, I bet now I would be able to put it out on Amazon and be totally fine. But at that time, it was maybe very edgy and a volatile time culturally. So I was able to put it out and, you know, but you had the choice, right? You could have taken the jokes out and kept it, but then instead you took the harder path, which is I'm just going to buy it back. Yeah. And I take the risk and I'll figure it out later.
Starting point is 01:19:03 Yeah. I have, I have, I'm not risk averse at all. I actually enjoy risk. It kind of excites me. But what excites me more is like putting out the piece exactly how I want to put it out. And I can't like scream about censorship and comedians should do the jokes we want to do. And then the second somebody gives me a big check, I go, whoa, we don't have to do the joke. I have to be at least consistent on that. And culture continue to to change and you got to give Netflix credit too. Like they took a lot of, they took a lot of hits for putting out comedy that some people thought was maybe a little bit too offensive. The Chappelle stuff was really, I put them in the crosshairs.
Starting point is 01:19:38 Exactly. They stood strong, right? Absolutely. They stood strong. And like seeing that gave me a lot of confidence. I was like, okay, like, and they did literally, we just made the whole thing and they just gave us money. So like they were not involved at all in like the creation, so to say, they, they're
Starting point is 01:19:55 involved in giving us money for it. And then they're involved in the marketing, obviously, and their algorithm and getting it. That's all Sarandos. He's he believes in comedy. Yeah, but he's like a huge comedy fan from back in the day i think people realize about him like you need somebody who actually loves the art and is not just looking at it as a thing that they can monetize. Like there's a term is guy use it you have to find somebody spiritually aligned with you and that's not mumbo jumbo it like they truly understand the intention of comedy. So things aren't as hurtful or painful to them. Because they understand what you intend to do. So and then I got interesting to they tried to cancel you. What was the joke? Who the mobs? Because they went after Tony Hinchcliffe twice.
Starting point is 01:20:37 Oh, yeah. And each time he went 10x they came after Chamath on this program. That was the first level up. We got three times the audience tried to cancel Chamath. Yeah. The White House released a statement. It doesn't really work when you have core fans that believe in you. And I feel like you guys have probably built that. The relationships you've built with your fans,
Starting point is 01:20:55 there's probably people very grateful of the information that you give them. And so when they try to paint you in a certain light, you actually have like 100 hours of time with those people. They know you'd be more than that one statement that you've said. So now they're not as concerned about that thing you said that maybe is taken out of context or people have been offended by. I think that the biggest thing that people miss about comedians is like, you're allowed
Starting point is 01:21:20 to be offended by the joke that I say. Like you're allowed to react however you fuck you want to react about it. You had your life, you went through some crazy shit. Maybe you're, maybe you were bullied as a kid and like you don't want other people to potentially have those feelings. So you see a joke that could elicit that. And you're like, I want to protect that from that.
Starting point is 01:21:37 Protect them from that. That's kind of noble. I'm like, I'm cool with that. If you yourself tell me you don't like me teasing you, I'm not going to tease you personally ever again. I want you to feel good. But it doesn't mean that I won't continue to make those jokes somewhere else.
Starting point is 01:21:50 I think my shows, like I got the most diverse audience in comedy history. Yeah, you know, it's like you come out to one of my shows, you can't tell me that people don't like these jokes. And I tried very hard to like, like, if I'm curious about your culture, you'll know it through the jokes. It's not some little bulls**t. Like I'll try to dive deep and even surprise you about something that I might know. And I think in that way, people start to feel seen and they don't feel bullied. They actually feel like represented and they're like excited about it.
Starting point is 01:22:20 Look, you said something at the beginning, which I thought was really interesting, which is you're like a, you have to great comedians are great observers of culture. So can you just tell us, just observe the cultural moment. We talked a lot about it, but I just want you to maybe put a point on it. Where are we? Where is America? What the hell is going on? Like what's happening? Or just like however you feel that question, like what the hell is going on? All time low confidence in institutions, low confidence in information. There's an obsession with conspiracy because there's, I mean, that's twofold. One like it's the easiest way for dumb people to feel smart.
Starting point is 01:23:00 Like when you know something no one else knows and you get to share it with people, like there's that like dopamine hit where like, I bet you didn't know this happened, you know? Yeah. Um, but those thrive in times where there's not real transparency. So I think everybody's looking for answers and nothing is exactly how it seems. And the only way to re-instill that confidence is I think like brutal transparency. Like you got to just be like really honest with the people. This is what it is. And we're Americans. We're proud people, you know, so we can get through whatever you say, but you got to tell it to us as it is.
Starting point is 01:23:31 And I think we're just assessing relationships right now. And I think like when the economy is rough, like you're seeing all the Jewish stuff right now, right? Like obviously it's a complex. Well, this is the thing you gotta understand. Like most people have never met a Jewish person. Like most Americans have no clue what a Jewish person is outside of Kirby, or enthusiasm or Seinfeld. They don't know what it is. They think Jews are Upper East Side New Yorkers.
Starting point is 01:23:55 Like, yeah, the like Seinfeld, or they think it's like Hasidim, like it's just like one or the Exactly. They don't even know what like a Sephardic Jews, they don't know what an African Jew is, or Moroccans, they have no clue what that is. And they shouldn't. we're like a Sephardic Jews. They don't know what an African Jew is or a Moroccan. They have no clue what that is. And they shouldn't. They're like, how many Jews are there? They're like more people from Laos than there are Jews, right? Like it's like a very small population. So I think there's like a little bit of a disconnect. And, you know, when you don't know a people, and I think this is probably true, and I could be off, but I think there's like an ambient feeling towards Jews from people who don't know of people. And I think this is probably true. And I could be off, but I think there's like an ambient feeling towards Jews
Starting point is 01:24:27 from people who don't know Jews. It's an ambient light and the stereotypes are probably not like the best. They're not exactly negative as long as the economy is good. Right. They're like, oh, they, they're successful. They kind of stick together. They, they own businesses. They whatever.
Starting point is 01:24:44 And as long as the economy is good, everybody's cool. And then eggs get expensive and you're buying on your rent and you don't feel hope and you don't. And then you start going, why do they got all that? What the f**k? What are they about? Why are they, why are they separatists? You know, like I'm here proselytizing.
Starting point is 01:25:00 I'm trying to get everybody to go to heaven and they just got their own thing. What? And it's very easy for them to become this like other group. And then you extrapolate that with what's happening like Palestine and Israel. And you get people to start like assessing like the relationship between America and another country. Like you saw America become very uninterested in Ukraine quickly. Like we, we, the second the economy goes down, we start going, well, what do they do for us? What? Why are we giving them? Like, and they're starting to ask similar questions about Israel. And there's a lot of
Starting point is 01:25:37 anti Semites that are jumping on on it. And they're muddying the whole thing. They're going, ah, this is what the day control the government, they do this, all the every conspiracy. We told you so. By the way, you're speaking a profound secret that many administrations in government have known for a long time. And I think this is where some of the mistrust comes from. I talked about this like maybe it was like a couple months ago, but the most incredible stock market was actually under Biden. The most amount of money printed was under Biden. The most cumulative total budget deficits was under Biden. The most amount of short-term refinancing of debt
Starting point is 01:26:15 was under Biden. And part of what you can explain is that if you keep the signals that everything is healthy or up, you're allowed to propagate all of these other things that would get very quickly recapitulated. And when you take the gas out of the market and you take the gas out of all these other markets and all of a sudden the price of energy is up
Starting point is 01:26:36 and the price of this is up and the price of that is up, then you start to question, hold on a second, why are all of these things as important? You know, the above the line, below the line conversation that we have tried to have several times on this podcast. Jason. Yeah. And we have to like meet people, you have to meet people where they feel in order to communicate with them, right? Like they could like when people right now like assessing like America's
Starting point is 01:26:57 relationship with Israel, like it's, it's, and they hear these like soundbites, like that's our closest ally. And then they go, well, what does that mean? It's like, well, let's explain to them what that means. Like, let's explain the importance of that relationship and how it's beneficial to Americans, because if you don't explain it and you just go, oh, just be quiet, whatever, then they start to look at these lunatics on Twitter and start to go, well, is that, is that true? Yeah. And then they're down the conspiracy hall.
Starting point is 01:27:22 Like you have to explain, like, I don't know what the mineral deal was about but I know for with with Ukraine By no for a second. There was some Americans who go. Oh, we're gonna get some minerals out of that All right minerals sound good. Like it's gonna pass back. It's that it's that simplistic, right? so it's like I think I think that kind of communication is important and It will actually help understand these relationships, which I imagine are very important. I'm not privy to all the geopolitical decisions that are going on there. Who knows, intelligence from Israel could have thwarted 20 more 9-11s. Yeah, maybe you can't say that because you expose the intelligence operatives you have in the field, but it would, I think,
Starting point is 01:27:59 be helpful to understand the value of that for the everyday American. So that when you see something crazy on Twitter, you can go, okay, you're just an anti semi and you're looking for a justification for your hate. This is your point about Trump. Sometimes he has these. Take care. We'll see you later, bro. Take care, dude. This is like, I think, the point is gonna be earlier about that right now. I just want to let you know, you
Starting point is 01:28:22 just talked about Israel and he's like, one Jewish guy Jewish guy left. I'm ready to go. Way to go. Chelsea. This is how it starts. David. David. Absolutely. This is how it starts. You drove him out. Thanks a lot. You drove him out. Right. Chelsea, when you said, you know, Trump's a masterful kind of communicator here. Biden gave all these weapons to Ukraine under the auspices of what's called a loan lease. They have to pay them back. But Biden never communicated that well. Tell us. And then Trump comes out and said,
Starting point is 01:28:50 you know what, we gave them 180 million, 180 billion, they're gonna give us 500 billion back. We're making a 40. He basically described a 42% compounded return. Sounds good to me. Yeah, better than anything that's ever happened. I mean, he's out there in terms of his ability to communicate at Chamath as we wrap here. Any final thoughts? What do you think about Trump and what he's doing and what he's doing so far? And what do you think about Elon and Doge? Okay. So Trump and what he's doing and how he's doing so far, like I, I don't know. Like in other words, like I don't, I don't know if I can like assess it right away. Maybe I'm giving him a little bit longer, uh, like landing strip or whatever than
Starting point is 01:29:33 other people, cause I have a little bit more hope or optimism. I get, if you don't like the guy, you're going to see how horrible this is immediately, but I'm going to give them a little bit more leeway to see if it doesn't work out and it's really horrible. I'll be the first person to call it out. Like I've, he's empowered. We should definitely check the people in power, but I'm hoping that these actions in the short term are beneficial in the long term. Is everyone going to work out? No. Doge is like, I'm so depressed about not depressed, it's stupid, but like I'm bummed about because I don't think there's any American that is pro waste inefficiency and bloat.
Starting point is 01:30:08 This should be a bipartisan issue. Like all Americans should be coming together going, Oh my God, the DMV is going to get better. This sounds awesome. And I think, you know, I have a lot of respect for Elon, but I think sometimes on Twitter, he's like twisting the knife a little bit. and it's like, you don't need to twist the knife. Like we all want this. This is something we can come together with as a country and support.
Starting point is 01:30:34 This sounds great. Don't twist it. Just kind of let it be, show your wins. When you do something wrong, we can acknowledge the things that we did are wrong and we'll respect that. It bums me that this has become so partisan. And I do understand there are a lot of people on the left that are making this partisan as well. They're weaponizing it. Absolutely. There was this crazy clip between Rogan and Elon where Rogan was like, how does all this go down actually? And he's like, well, I can't really
Starting point is 01:31:01 speak about the corruption because I'm afraid it would get me assassinated. He's like, actually, if I tell you what I know, it was the weirdest like two minute clip and then they just kind of left it and moved on. And my brain was like, what are they talking about? What, what must be going on? I mean, there's a lot of money going out the door. Yeah. But who's killing Eli? Like if we are going to have World War Three, don't you want the guy that has the rockets
Starting point is 01:31:23 to go to Mars on your side? Yeah, you kind of want the super genius on your side. Another thing that's really interesting to me is people keep going. People keep doing this things like, what is Elon's play? Like, what is he doing here? Like, is he actually going to take over? And it's like, Elon has been dealing with like local government for so long, trying to push through. Like, he is not an American citizen. He cannot be present.
Starting point is 01:31:47 He is at the highest position he will ever be in his lifetime in America. You can't get higher than being the right hand man of the president. Since you're not from America, you can never be president. So I think he's going to behave really well because now he's in the most powerful position he will ever be in. If you want to talk about like power plays You got to watch out for JD That guy's that guy's high emotional intelligence like that
Starting point is 01:32:13 That's somebody that I would be keeping my eyes on if I'm Trump, but Elon he's gonna be a good He's gonna be your best friend because it's only downhill if he pisses Trump off Interesting interesting little man Turing candidate for JD to your best friends because it's only downhill if he pisses Trump off. Interesting. Interesting. Who the man Turing candidate for JD. No, no, no. I'm not saying that he's going to do anything bad, but he is like, don't treat, don't treat him lightly.
Starting point is 01:32:34 We got this. Don't sleep on JD. New Yorkers. We do this all the time. We hear some with like a Southern accent. We think they're a goofball. And it's like, that guy went from like a broken home to Yale, Appalachia to Yale, and then the VP and 40 he's your age. He's like right that guy went from like a broken home to Yale Appalachia to Yale and then the VP and like 40
Starting point is 01:32:47 He's your age. He's like 40. He called Trump Hitler or something and he ended up as he said I'm a never Trump guy He's so to say that he's not emotionally intelligent. Does the city doesn't know how to Whatever that term is he's sappy. I will keep an eye on him keep an eye on him for sure All right, listen, Andrew Scheltz is playing at the Funny Bone on April 16th and 17th. He'll be at Chuckles on the 20th. Two drink minimum. Two drink minimum by the VL. You know where to find them. Incredible, incredible Netflix special. Who do you think, who do you, wait, last question, who do you think is the
Starting point is 01:33:22 funniest if you had to just take a wild stab at who the funniest person. No, me, me, Jason or Freeview. Oh, of us. Between the three of you? Okay, so. You can say me, it's me. Jason, so Jason is the most like naturally inclined to be funny.
Starting point is 01:33:39 He's probably just the most funny being around. Charmoth will probably get the biggest laughs when he says something funny, because he's like, he's not asking for much. Like, he'll just say something that's like a dart, and it will kind of like hit you. And you'll be like, Oh, and then I think David will like structure something really funny. And you'll be like, Oh, that was a clever I see how you did that right there. I am I was actually when I was an astrophysicist, Chelsea, I am so that would be my myself. I did summer stock.
Starting point is 01:34:08 Like I think if we're off the pod, I think Chamath says some like wild that everybody goes, what the fuck? I think you say that the most. That's what I would say. There you go. All right. Andy Schultz picks me. Do you have it mom? I would like to clip that. And yeah. All right right, continued success. Come back anytime. I like the way Schultz pronounces, but I may go to Chamath. I like that.
Starting point is 01:34:28 Chamath. Chamath. Yeah, Chamath is too, it's too used actually. We should go to a different pronunciation. I love Chamath. Chamath is just so incorrect. It's tough with the, it's tough with, I know you're Sri Lanka,
Starting point is 01:34:39 but it's tough with the names from over there. Like my podcast co-host Akash, right? Akash, yeah. Everybody calls him Akash. Now his name is spelled right? Akash. Everybody calls him Akash. Now his name is spelled with two A's. A's. Akash. So it's like, Akash, if it's got two A's next to each other,
Starting point is 01:34:52 after the K, you go there, but it's Akash. So it is tricky, but he said, like his parents specifically picked a name he thought that Americans would be able to pronounce. They calculated that. And like, I think that's like a I think that's a really beautiful thing for a kid like you. How much they could have named him John Steve. If they wanted to keep it real though.
Starting point is 01:35:17 They still had to keep it real. I was about eight when I could read and write English. Well eight. Okay, because it was my second language. And when I saw my name written out, I was like, what the fuck did they do to me here? What is this? My middle name is like 15 other letters. My middle name. A name that has math in it. Like they knew what they wanted. Yes. They were like, if you can, if you can pronounce this, you can solve the Pythagorean Theorem. It's so true. This is harder than the Pythagorean theorem. Yeah, this is harder than the Pythagorean theorem. My son is going to be an engineer.
Starting point is 01:35:48 This guy is going to be rich. Oh, he's so proud of himself. I mean, God damn. He's going to figure it out. You'll get us tomorrow. He's going to get us tomorrow. Am I? Let me ask you a question, Andrew.
Starting point is 01:35:57 Is it racist if I do an Indian impersonation? Because I know I can do Italian and Irish, but can I do Indian? No, it's funny, bro. You should do it. I don't think so. But I think it's like... is it the intent? I'm just I don't even think it's the intent. I think if you like, if you say certain
Starting point is 01:36:09 things, like, if you say bitter, right? Like, if you say that, like, that's like my love, like, you know, if you say little things that are more than just the sound, but if you got into the culture, like to let them know, Hey, I didn't learn this from the Simpsons and I learned it from my buddy's family. Then I think you'll see people who are like Indians for a long time.
Starting point is 01:36:33 Oh, he, oh, he got, he's got friends. He got, you know, I'm going to, I'm going to go ahead and until I make my move to comedian, I'm not going to do it. I'm going to save it to when I get my Tony kill Tony said, what's your Korean acts? Can you do that? Like, can we go through? I can Korean because my wife's Korean and her dad, I'll tell you what, I can, because my dad, my father-in-law, I went to China, he's an industrialist, he's there. And I said, Hey, listen, I'd like to marry your daughter. And he said, Okay, cool. Tool conditions. And I said, Okay. And he said, Do it fast and poke me Andrew,
Starting point is 01:37:14 so hard, like a reinforced poke with his finger on my shoulder, get a bruise. I'm like, Oh, yeah. And then he goes and I said, What's the second thing he says, no refunds. Yeah. And then he goes and I said, What's the second thing he says, no refunds. He says it just like that. No refunds. Do it fast. I literally had to marry within a year because he knew he was like, listen, I got he had four daughters. And he's like, I got to move inventory. I love it. And I was the first I married the oldest daughter, none of the other daughters can get married until I married married my wife Which was the greatest thing I ever did three beautiful kids, you know it is and listen good luck You can have a second in there. I hope so man. God do it. Three's the right number If you want to go if you want to do a half Elon, you can go with Chamath's plan. He's on six or seven Five I mean anything's possible and then freebergs on four on month three. I think three's the right number I'm gonna catch up boys. I'm on five. Five, I mean, anything's possible. And then Freeberg's on four, I'm on three. I think three's the right number.
Starting point is 01:38:06 I'm going to catch up, boys. I'm going to catch up. All right, listen, continuous success. Thanks for doing this. Thank you so much for having me, guys. Cheers. Thanks. And it said we open source it to the fans and they've just gone crazy with it Love you Westy, the queen of Ken Wives I'm going all in
Starting point is 01:38:29 What, what, your winner's right My winner's right Besties are gone That is my dog taking an audition for driveway sex Oh man My habitat sure will meet me at once We should all just get a room and just have one big huge orgy cause they're all just useless. It's like this sexual tension that they just need to release somehow.
Starting point is 01:38:52 What? Your? Be? What? Your? Be? That's gonna be like, we need to get merch. Besties are back. I'm doing all in. I'm doing all in I'm doing all in

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