All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg - Senator Ted Cruz | The All-In Inauguration Series
Episode Date: January 19, 2025(0:00) Besties intro Senator Ted Cruz; history of the "Come and take it" flag (2:21) Texas vs. California: how to approach building and entrepreneurship (10:25) Thoughts on immigration, serving in the... Senate, over-politicization (16:55) How to create a bipartisan consensus on immigration, increasing prosperity through opportunity (23:54) How Sen. Cruz would approach Trump's first two weeks of his second term (29:02) DOGE's two major challenges, unlimited Congressional terms, ideology over party, the great political flip (35:22) Trump's strategy on Greenland/Denmark, Panama Canal, and Canada (42:45) Thoughts on Senate confirmation hearings Follow the Besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Senator Cruz: https://x.com/tedcruz Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hey, everybody.
Welcome back to the All In Podcast.
We're here at the inauguration of our 47th president, Donald J. Trump, and we have a
very special guest joining us on our coverage.
Senator Ted Cruz from the great state, now my great state, of Texas.
Welcome to the All In Podcast.
And welcome to Texas.
It's pretty great.
Where'd you get the boots?
Any chance I can get a recommendation here?
A referral?
That's easy. These are Lucchese.
Lucchese, the factory is in El Paso.
They're handmade there. They're beautiful.
Okay.
And these particular boots,
the front of them have the Senate seal on them.
Oh, that's cool.
That's strong.
And the back of them...
That's really great.
...have the Come and Take It flag. Whoa. Which, I don't know, do you know of them have the Come and Take It flag.
Whoa.
Which, I don't know, do you know the history
of the Come and Take It flag?
I was about to ask you.
OK, since you're a new Texan, this is important.
And he started saying y'all, so he's adapting,
but he needs to learn.
Y'all gotta stop giving me a hard time about that.
All right, so Texas in the 1820s and 1830s,
we were part of Mexico.
And the dictator of Mexico was General Santa Ana.
And there's a little town in South Texas called the town of Gonzales.
And General Ana sent an order to the Texians, which is what we were called back then, Texians,
to hand over their guns.
And there was a cannon that guarded the city.
And General Santa Ana said said hand over the cannon and the
Texians responded by making a flag with an image of the cannon and underneath
it the legend come and take it. Wow. And and they flew it over the town and that
was the beginning of the Texas Revolution. Now the epilogue is Santa Ana
came in with about 6,000 soldiers and he did in fact take the cannon. I mean
Gonzales was a tiny little town.
And the Texas Revolution was very much like the American Revolution.
We lost every damn battle.
The Alamo was a slaughter.
Goliad was a slaughter, much like Washington, where every battle he lost and lost and lost.
And then at San Jacinto, we won, defeated Santa Ana, General Sam Houston, and we became
our own nation, the Republic of Texas,
from 1836 to 1845.
Says something about resiliency, doesn't it?
It does.
Let me ask you a question.
Having lived in New York and grown up there,
and then done 20 years in California now,
my second year in Texas, or starting my second year,
it's amazing to me that you're allowed to build things
in Texas, like homes or factories,
and the price of homes has gone down two years in a row.
And then the other two places I live, the price of homes go up every year, 10%, 20%.
And then you don't have state taxes.
How is all this possible when you look at it just from first principles?
How are you able to accomplish so much development in Texas?
When in California the NIMBY ism like literally if you want to build a cancer ward for children
They'll stop you because it throws shade on a protected species of flower
so California used to know the answer to this 50 years ago, California was the economic engine of the country.
And unfortunately, you're cursed by idiot politicians who were destroying this mighty
economic engine.
You know, none of this is rocket science.
In Texas, we believe in freedom.
We believe in low taxes and low regulations.
And to understand the state, Texas was basically founded by a bunch
of wildcatters who were guys with fourth grade educations that began drilling holes in the
ground and one after the other became the richest man on earth.
And the ethos of Texas, you know, it was interesting.
Number of years ago, I was visiting with a CEO and an executive team of a company
that had moved from California to Texas.
And they didn't have any Texas ties, but they were just fed up with California.
They moved to Texas.
So I was asking them, they'd only been in Texas for a couple of months.
I said, all right, what's the biggest difference?
And I thought maybe they'd say taxes or maybe regulations or maybe lawsuits.
Those were the three things I was going to guess.
Their answer blew me away. They said the biggest difference is the culture. And what they said is in California,
if you're in business, you're a pariah. They said, look, there's an exception for tech
and an exception for Hollywood. Well, that was their view, but they were not in tech
or Hollywood. They were in sanitation, which was not a sexy business.
And the way they described it, they said, if you're at a party and someone asks, what
do you do?
And you say, I'm a businessman.
They said, people that turn around and walk away.
And I got to say, as a Texan, that is weird.
I mean, we'd lionize entrepreneurs.
But California was a pioneering state, the gold rush.
What happened?
Because it's always easy to blame
idiot politicians, but in a democracy, those politicians are elected by the voters. So,
something, where did the voters go that caused this change in that state compared to where the
voters went in Texas when they both came from, and all of America, all the United States, all the
states of the republic came from a pioneering origin.
Well, there is a cause and effect.
And you go back to 1987, and 1987 is when Ronald Reagan signed amnesty into place.
And at the time, there were three million illegal immigrants living in the United States.
And Congress went to the American people and said, all right, we got a deal for you.
We're going to secure the border.
We're going to fix the problem of illegal immigration forever. And in exchange, we're going to give amnesty to
the 3 million people who are here illegally now. And in 87, the American people said,
okay, that sounds like a reasonable deal. They took the deal. Now we now know what happened,
which is the amnesty happened, but the border never got secured. What did that mean for California? The highest concentration of illegal immigrants was in California.
In 1988, California voted Republican in the presidential race as it had for six consecutive
cycles previously.
1988 was the last year California ever went Republican.
Schwarzenegger.
For president. Oh, forzenegger. For president.
Oh, for president.
In the presidential race.
And so I think the amnesty law played a significant part,
the federal law changing the voting composition
of the state.
Yeah.
And then, and look,
you guys would know the state politics more,
but it also seemed to me that you have
the public employee unions in California
that realized that they could vote
themselves more and more of the large yes and fund the politicians.
The ultimate failure of democracy, right?
So Jason brought up a really important question to kick this off.
I just want to give you a chance to maybe expand on it, which is there are so many examples.
Texas is one.
You can look abroad, the UAE as an example is another,
where there's a high degree of quality of infrastructure
and civility, social services, education, security,
but you don't have the traditional taxation. And so how is Texas able to actually keep the wheels on?
And states like California, which has a $322 billion budget, is just completely falling
apart.
What happens?
Because you then see everything at the federal level, but when you go back to your state,
you see, hey, we don't have
And your real estate taxes aren't that much higher are they're in California
The real estate taxes are a little bit higher, but we have no income tax so it more than makes up for it Yeah, yeah, that's that's an one-and-a-half. That's the principal Avenue taxation
You got real estate taxes and sales taxes are where the state and local governments get their taxes
But no income tax.
Look, some of it is government does less.
I mean, there's a philosophy that government doesn't have to spend and provide everything.
Government does police and firefighters and roads and does the basic responsibilities
of government.
But it's not engaged in funding every pet project of every politician.
That's part of it.
You look at across the country, I mean, it is not a complicated migration pattern.
People are fleeing bright blue states with high taxes and high regulations.
And they're coming to red states with low taxes and low regulations.
And safety.
So we've had, it has now been more than a decade that we have had over a thousand people
a day moving to Texas.
So when I was first elected 13 years ago, we had 26 million Texans.
Today we have over 31 million Texans.
So we've added 5 million Texans in 13 years.
And the biggest state folks come from is California. It's interesting, the migration pattern,
you get a lot of California to Texas.
New Yorkers tend to go to Florida more.
We get some New Yorkers, but for whatever reason,
west coast folks seem to prefer Texas
and east coast folks seem to prefer Florida.
But I actually think the competition,
in terms of where we lose people to, we lose
people either to Florida or Tennessee. Those are about the only two places if someone's
thinking of leaving. And I love that competition. I want Florida and Tennessee to be out fighting
and saying, we can create an even better environment for small businesses and jobs. And part of
it is the number one reason people come to Texas
is Texas is where the jobs are.
And you want an environment where you have small businesses
that are doing great, but people also want to be safe.
And so, you know, you look at things like defunding
the police or Soros prosecutors that let murderers go.
Yep.
And that gives people a pretty acute incentive
to get the heck out.
We were involved in the recall of Chesa Boudin, our podcast, and David Sachs, our compatriot
who couldn't make it.
He's busy working with you guys here.
But yeah, this crime issue seems, people have seemed to have lost the script on who the
state is working for, the taxpayers or the criminals.
And in Texas, it's just extraordinary
that you've figured out that you could prioritize
the people not committing crime
and not cater to the people committing crime.
I mean, I'm saying this in the most facetious way possible,
but it's just common sense.
And I think it feels to me like Californians have had enough
and it's just gonna take a decade or two to unwind it.
But let's double-click on immigration,
since the great state of Texas has to deal with this
more than anybody.
But this is a land of immigrants.
We are all immigrants on this land.
And so that's our tradition.
In fact, you're sitting next to two extraordinary immigrants,
my besties, Chamath and Freberg.
What do you believe at this point in time?
Is America for the Americans who are here, What do you believe at this point in time? Is America for the Americans or here?
Or do you believe we should be getting the best
and brightest to come to this country?
Look, absolutely both.
I have for a long time described my immigration views
in four words, legal, good, illegal, bad.
Okay.
I think most Americans, most Texans agree with that.
And most immigrants. Look, there's a right way to come to this country. There's the way you came to this country. bad. I think most Americans, most Texans agree with that.
And most immigrants.
Look, there's a right way to come to this country. There's the way you came to this
country. There's the way my dad came to this country. My dad was born in Cuba. He grew
up in Cuba. He fought in the Cuban Revolution. When he was a teenager, he fought, was thrown
in prison. He was tortured when he was 17 years old. And he came to Texas in 1957. He
was 18, couldn't speak English.
Had $100 in his underwear and he washed dishes making 50 cents an hour.
But he came legally because he had applied to the University of Texas.
He'd gotten in, he came on a student visa.
And he was an 18-year-old freshman and he started going to school here.
And he came legally and he worked and got a job and went on in time to start a small business.
Was he able to see your success? Is he still with us? He is. My dad is 85. and he worked and got a job and went on in time to start a small business and
was he able to see your success is he still with us he is my dad is 85 oh my
god what a dream for him he is my hero it is he's an incredible he I will say
when you have lost freedom it's personal to you yeah you know people ask
sometimes you know why why do you do politics?
And I grew up as a kid, I would sit on the floor,
along with my cousin Bibi, with my dad
and Bibi's mom, my Tia Sonja.
And she also, she was also imprisoned and tortured in Cuba.
And we would sit and listen to them tell stories.
And all I ever wanted to do from when I was three, four, five years old was be a freedom fighter.
I mean, it's inspiring because what they said and still say, and they're both still going strong,
is look, the only thing that prevents us from tyranny is having good people in office
who will fight for our freedoms.
And so I got to tell you today, I literally jump out of bed every day that prevents us from tyranny is having good people in office who will fight for our freedoms.
And so I got to tell you today, I literally jump out of bed
every day because I look at the U.S. Senate
and I think it is basically the Roman Coliseum.
And you strap on some armor and you grab a battle axe
and you go fight the barbarians.
And that's an amazing opportunity.
I feel blessed and fortunate every day.
You are in the arena.
Do you think it's become...we were talking with Ro Khanna, congressman from California
earlier today, and we talked about how there might be good policy put forth by one of the
two parties, but the other party's intention is always to get more seats, get more attention, get
more votes, and hurt the other party.
So we end up having conflict over policy.
Do you feel like there's too much of that in D.C.?
And a lot of people talk about everything has become too politicized as opposed to...
I always think about the show.
I love the show, The West Wing, and he always talks about the great debate.
We never have the great debate anymore.
We don't talk about the fundamental policy decisions.
We talk about the Republicans said this and so on and so that.
It gets personal and it gets political as opposed to like, let's all take our hats
off and talk about what's the right thing for the country.
Doge being a great example in my opinion, but I'd love to hear your point of view on
how things operate in DC today.
Listen, I agree with your point at the outset, which is that we need to talk to each
other.
I worry that we are too polarized and tribalized, that the left only listens to left-wing media,
the right listens to right-wing media.
Anyone who disagrees, you scream at them.
The sense of community that we used to have has been badly, badly unraveled.
On social media, if someone disagrees with you,
you unfriend them.
And we're all in this little echo chain.
But we're all patriots is the sad part.
All Americans.
All Americans.
But we're living in alternate realities.
And so look, what y'all are doing is really important.
I'm grateful for this podcast.
We gotta talk to each other.
I do a podcast every week called Verdict with Ted Cruz.
We've got about a million unique listeners
that listen to the Verdict Podcasts.
And we do it Monday, Wednesday, and Friday.
Every week, my podcast is beating CNN.
Yeah, it's incredible.
And I think the reason is the same reason
people listen to you guys.
Because you're actually talking about issues
and you're not just screaming at each other.
You know, it's not Jerry Springer,
go grab a chair and fling it at somebody.
But it's have a real and substantive conversation.
And I'll tell you, one of the things that I've done
and enjoyed is I've taken the podcast
on the road to college campuses.
Mm, mm.
And so,
What has that been like?
Well, for example, we did one at Yale a couple years ago and had about
700 students come out and I didn't know how the reaction would be and
interestingly enough about a third of the students were left of center and
And I know that because it was right after Kataji Brown Jackson was confirmed and I made a reference to that and
About a third of the room began cheering
And I stopped and I said, hey, look,
the fact that you're cheering at that
shows that obviously we're coming from different places
on the political spectrum.
I said, I wanna thank you especially for coming here.
Because you may not agree with me
on everything or even most things.
But thank you for coming and being part of a conversation.
And so we did about 90 minutes of all Q&A.
And we had a rule, we said, if you have a hostile question,
if you have an antagonistic question,
come to the front of the line.
And we spent 90 minutes having a real conversation.
Afterwards, I went out with an Orthodox rabbi on campus
and we got a drink and he said,
he said, Ted, you know, I've been working
on Yale's campus
for decades.
He said, this is the biggest group of students I've seen have a positive civil constructive
conversation on conservative ideas, he said in 20 years.
There's something about the podcast format where you're taking a little bit of time,
you're not rushed in six or seven minutes like you are on the weekly shows where I see
you all the time.
And that's sparring.
And you're just trying to get a message out in three minutes, five minutes.
But here, you can open it up, maybe listen to each other, invite guests in with different
opinions, learn something.
Specifically with the immigration issue, which seems to be the one that's tearing us
apart a whole bunch, there's so much consensus.
Hey, we want the border closed, we want it legal, but we also want to bring in a certain number of people and we want a system. And, you know,
I did my research on this and places that have consensus like Canada, Japan, Australia,
New Zealand, just they seem to understand that you need to match immigration to the
reality of unemployment and which jobs you need. But one criticism I have of politicians,
which I think you're one of.
Sadly guilty as charged.
Yeah, you all don't talk about it in numbers.
We need this many nurses, we need this many doctors,
we need this many construction people,
we have 4% unemployment record, great job
to our politicians in helping that out.
You know, we can bring in 2 million
people this year.
Hey, if it goes up to 5%, we're going to bring in 1.5.
I wish that the discussion could be more granular and with numbers, and you guys could actually
say, it's not 500, it's 450.
Because if we were in a business decision here and we do business together and we say,
hey, we have to deploy these resources to get this outcome, but it's so contentious
and polarized
and not fact and number based.
Why is that on this issue that you guys can't just
put some numbers on paper?
So, well look, there are a lot of numbers
that matter intensely.
Let's start at one where you talked about low unemployment.
As you know, that number can be deceptive
because we also have among the lowest labor force
participation we've ever had.
62% right now.
And so there are millions that have just dropped out of the labor force altogether.
They're not measured in top line unemployment, but it's still a real challenge.
We have healthy young adults who should be working who are not working.
Why aren't they, in your mind?
Is it because they have the resources to not do that?
Look, I think it varies state by state, but I think when you have a welfare state
where you get paid for not working.
It's bad incentive.
People end up not working.
And the statistics are really crushing
that if anyone doesn't work for a year,
the odds of their going back to the workforce
drop precipitously.
That once someone gets the habit of dependency,
I've said a bunch of times, you know, I try
to think of every policy from the perspective of easing the means of ascent up the economic
ladder.
And I think about, you know, my dad, when he was a teenage kid in Austin washing dishes,
thank God some well-meaning liberal didn't come to him and say, Rafael, let me take care
of you.
Right, totally. Just stay home.
Let me send you a government check.
Don't work so hard.
And it's utterly destructive.
It breaks your self-respect, your individual responsibility.
But it comes from an empathetic place, Senator.
So I know this, like in kind of a liberal setting, you see people in need, you want
to help them, and you use
government as a tool to help people in need.
And the fundamental issue is that in many cases, that creates an incentive model that
makes it very difficult for that situation to find a solution on its own, a market solution.
And over time, it gets bigger and bigger and bigger, and you have cascading effects that
I believe we're now realizing in this country with what I estimate is somewhere between 40 to 50 percent of people that are
employed in this country employed by government or government service providers.
And you're right that much of it is not from ill will. But we do need to have a real conversation
about what works to lift people into prosperity. And by the way, all of us know this in our own life.
If your kid, let's say you have a kindergartner
who's struggling with math,
there's not a one of us
who would do our kid's math homework.
We know that's not helping them.
That if your daughter doesn't learn to do arithmetic,
it's gonna hurt her for the rest of her life.
So you've gotta work through that problem with her,
even if it'd be easier for you just to finish it for her.
We know that in our lives.
You know, the old adage of give a man a fish,
you feed him for a day.
Teach a man to fish, you feed him for a lifetime.
We know that with people we love,
but yet when it comes to public policy,
you have a lot of people
who don't think about it more broadly.
I'll say back in 2017,
I did three different CNN town hall debates with Bernie Sanders. And listen, I like Bernie because
he is an unapologetic socialist, and I'm an unapologetic capitalist. And we had 90 minute
town hall debates on which system was better for maximizing human prosperity and abundance.
And we didn't insult each other.
Neither of us called each other a son of a bitch.
We talked about the facts.
And I'll point out something.
Let's take socialized medicine.
It's interesting.
The advocates of socialized medicine, when I pointed out, all of the problems socialized
medicine produces in every country in which it's been implemented. United Kingdom, Canada.
Bernie's answer was, well, it wouldn't be that way here.
So the reality would not be here.
Every year about 50,000 Canadians come to America on what they call medical tourism
because they can't get the medical care they need in Canada.
And I will suggest to you a question, particularly for those of y'all that are Californians,
that I love asking advocates of socialized medicine. Why don't California adopt it? You've got a Democrat
governor. You've got a Democrat supermajority legislature. There's no constitutional impediment.
California could adopt socialized medicine today. It's not the mean old Republicans that
are stopping them. And as you know, the legislature looked at it and realized it would bankrupt them.
By the way, Vermont, Bernie's home state,
they could adopt it.
And the reason you don't see California,
New York, or Illinois, or Vermont,
or any blue state in America adopt socialized medicine.
That would work, doesn't work.
It wouldn't work and people would flee their state.
And so their answer is, we wanna do it to everyone
in the entire country
so you can't flee unless you're willing to leave America you're stuck.
I think what's challenging Senator is that then you have compromises that get you to
a point where the federal government has a big enough role in healthcare.
My opinion is much of the inflation in healthcare costs arises from the federal government's
role in the same way that the federal government has a role in student loans that has driven
up the cost of education and the federal government has a role in student loans that has driven up the cost of education and the federal government has a role in providing
loans for housing has also driven up the cost of housing.
Education.
Education across the board.
It stores the free market.
But the empathetic solution is we need to provide access to those who can't get it and
then at the end of the day it inflates the cost of all of those services.
And ultimately the quality of the services erodes and I'll give you the anecdote real
quick. Yeah. My brother lives in England.
They just had a child, he and his partner,
and they went to the delivery room
and they couldn't get a bed.
She was in labor.
They could not get a bed to have the baby.
I think it took them 36 to 72 hours
to actually get into a bed while she was in labor.
It was the most insane,
he's calling me, he can't get a bed.
I'm like, you're living in the frigging UK.
This is supposed to be one of the wealthiest nations on earth.
That's the outcome of socialized medicine.
And along the way, you get the inflationary effects that we're dealing with in the United
States today.
I'm with you on that.
I'm sorry.
Let's say you're the quarterback.
Okay.
The quarterback the next two weeks of the Trump administration.
Well, on Monday, we're going to see a flurry of executive orders.
I think it'll be in the neighborhood of 100 executive orders.
I'm not blessed about them.
That's the number they're talking about.
Wow.
It's going to be in that neighborhood.
Shocking, huh?
And I actually, I'm pretty happy about that.
Now, look, will I agree with all 100?
I don't know.
My guess is I'll agree with the vast majority of them,
but I don't know everything that's in there, so we'll see.
And in some ways so we'll see.
And in some ways, it'll just make it almost impossible
for the Democrats to react, because where do you focus?
Yes, and Chamath, that's actually a point.
I think back to, so my wife Heidi and I
met on the 2000 George W. Bush campaign,
and so we both served as young people
in the Bush administration.
And I think there is a quantum of outrage,
and I call it the arsenic quantum of outrage.
If you remember the beginning of Bush 43,
one of the first things he did is his EPA
revoked a rule on arsenic.
And for like six weeks, the media saturated the airwaves
with the evil Republicans wanna poison
our children with arsenic.
And I mean, it was, it dominated forever and they beat the living daylights out of it for
it. Now look, Monday, when you get a hundred executive orders, I think that's how much
outrage there is. And that arsenic quantum of outrage will be directed at everything.
Smeared.
Which makes it very hard for them to oppose anything coherently and directly
and gives an opportunity I hope for this administration what I'd like to see is really
delivering on the mandate of this election the outcomes in November let's ask that what were
you know what were the if you had to distill what are your specific takeaways as the mandate
in priority so number, secure the border.
And I believe that'll start on January 20th, and it will start by ending catch and release
so that when people are apprehended, they are detained and they're sent back to where they came from.
I think that will be followed up by going and arresting criminal illegal aliens,
going and arresting murderers and rapists and child
molesters and gang bangers, I think all of that will roll out very, very fast.
I think there is also a mandate to end the federal government's war on energy, on Texas
oil and gas, and that will lower prices at the gas pump, at the grocery store, every
bill people are paying. And I think if you look at the top two issues in this election, it was illegal immigration
and safety, and it was inflation and the economy.
I think we will also see a lessening of the job-killing regulations on small businesses,
a return to thriving, booming economic growth.
What would those be?
Look, there are a host of them.
Energy is the easy example where the Biden administration's put in over 90 different
regulations and executive orders all designed to drive up the cost of energy.
Right.
So the input gets higher and everybody suffers.
And so I expect pretty much all of those to be reversed hydrocarbon and then subsidies for
quote green energy
Look, I think on energy we ought to pursue all of the above
Beyond that I think I think there is also a mandate on the economic side
The 2017 Trump tax cuts are expiring this year. We're going to extend them. My hope is we make them bigger and bolder.
That's going to take some time.
We'll do that through what's called the reconciliation process.
And then on foreign policy, I think under Biden, we have abandoned and alienated our friends,
and we've shown weakness and appeasement to our enemies.
I think that will stop on Monday as well. Senator, you just said five things, but what
you didn't say was Doge. So cutting taxes, there's an inflation problem. There's no way
you're cutting taxes and not cutting government spending and not tampering inflation down.
Don't we have to cut federal spending? How important is Doge? How real is it? Is it a
marketing gimmick from your point of view? How much can actually be done?
Is it a real, you know, is this kind of require legislative authority and it's going to be
a longer form process or is there going to be a lot of very quick action?
So, and I'm happy to answer that directly.
Let me just say one thing you just said there with respect is incorrect.
Yes.
You said there's no way we're cutting taxes and not cutting spending and having inflation
stay down.
And I just say that's objectively false because that's exactly what happened in the first
Trump term, which is the 2017 tax cuts.
CBO had these apocalyptic projections about-
Forecast, yep.
You're saying tax revenue went up as the economy grew.
Tax revenue went up every single year.
After we cut the taxes, the revenue from the federal government went up.
So we cut taxes.
Sadly, we did not cut spending.
I tried mightily to cut spending,
but we did not have the votes to do it,
and inflation still stayed down.
So if the economy is booming, you can turn things around.
Look, Doge-
But is there a deficit mandate?
So I am excited about doge
Elon is a good friend. I admire the hell out of him. I'm thrilled that he's a texan
um
You know, I've joked with elon that that he doesn't just think outside the box. He doesn't know there is a damn box
That's a great thing
um
Now elon calls me periodically going what all right, what the hell is this government
thing? How does this work this way? And I'm trying to give whatever guidance I can on
that, but I think how you deal with a disruptor in government is going to be an interesting
challenge. Vivek is very smart, very creative.
I will say a couple of challenges. Right now, look, I'm excited about Doja.
I wanna see some big, bold, creative ideas.
I'm gonna give you two warning signs.
Number one, the phrase waste, fraud, and abuse.
Anytime someone talks about waste, fraud, and abuse,
they don't really wanna cut government spending. You know why? Because there is no waste, fraud, and abuse, they don't really want to cut government spending.
You know why?
Because there is no waste, fraud, and abuse caucus.
There's no one that says, I'm for the waste.
So it's the easy place to go.
We'll cut the waste.
If you actually cut real government spending,
there is always, always, always a constituency
who's pissed off, who likes the thing they're getting.
And so you have lots of politicians who say that.
They're going to lose their votes.
Right.
Somebody will be mad.
That's right.
And so that is a challenge.
I will say secondly, at least in the first term, Donald Trump did not campaign as a small
government conservative, and he did not govern as a small government conservative.
And in fact, I will relay a story. At the end
of the first term, you remember we're in COVID and the
government is in the business of sending out checks and more
checks and more checks to people all over the country. And Trump
wanted the checks to be even bigger. And a lot of the folks
in the White House, they asked me, they said, Ted, can you go
try to talk him, talk him down from this ledge?
Yeah.
That's a tough job.
So I went on Air Force One, and I'm sitting there with the president, I'm trying to make
the case that we don't need these gigantic stimulus checks.
And he goes, Ted, let me get the back of the hand, he goes, Ted, no one ever lost an election
by spending too much money.
I said, yeah, but they did bankrupt the country.
So I did not succeed then.
Well, you know what you should have done?
You should have asked him to keep the same number,
but just make the check larger and the signature bigger.
That's a good idea.
Look, I'll go with it.
He likes big.
Are you a small government conservative?
Very much so.
And is what percent, if no one was going
to be able to run for reelection, what percent
of Congress do you think would support a massive reduction in government agencies?
How much of this really is driven by this kind of, I got to get reelected?
So look, it's a good question.
Versus what my principals tell me.
Yeah, listen, I am also a passionate advocate of turbulence.
So I have introduced in every Congress a constitutional
amendment that would limit senators to two terms, limit House members to three terms.
I think term limits would change that dynamic in a very significant way,
and the career politicians in both parties oppose it. Look, on any big spending bill,
you unfortunately have a bipartisan coalition in favor of spending. You have essentially all the Democrats
and about half the Republicans.
There are about 20 of us who will vote
against a trillion dollar spending bill.
And we are frequently begging our colleagues.
And to be honest, I don't think we will ever see
real spending restraint
without strong presidential leadership,
which means it will never come from a Joe Biden or Kamala Harris. And look, if Elon and
Vivek convinced President Trump that he's gonna lean in aggressively on
cutting spending, great, but that hadn't happened so well. What would it take for
the voters to eventually get there? Because it would require the voters
backing a candidate with that message and it seems like no one sees that
because what everyone sees is I want to get X and the only way I get X is if I get the government to do X for me.
Yeah look it varies it takes electing strong leaders so I engage elections matter and I engage
so I think I've probably campaigned for more candidates for Senate,
House and and governorship than any Republican in the country. I mean, I travel all over the country.
I endorse candidates, and I follow the old Bill Buckley
rule, which is I support the most conservative candidate
who can win.
And that varies.
Look, a candidate who can win in Texas
is different than a candidate who can win in Maine.
And so, but I can say the problem is you get,
I can tell you in Texas, I mean, when I ran,
2012 I ran for Senate, I'd never been elected before.
Never been elected to nothing.
Literally the last thing I was elected to
was student council.
By the way, Chamath, you may not remember this,
you actually wrote me a check in that race.
I was gonna tell you that story.
We looked it up.
We were together in Utah. Peter Thiel had an event or he does this thing and
we had a breakfast and
Ted was surrounded by sort of a
Handful of us who were speaking to him and then what I would say is like every traditional
Democrat from Central Castles and
He went through the firing squad
and he came out the other side and I thought,
wow, this is really great.
And so then I was very happy to donate.
Well, I was-
You were a Dem donor back then.
I was a Dem donor, but see, here's the thing.
And I think what you're getting,
I think what the Senator speaks to,
which is what I agree with, is ideology matters.
And so when you make decisions about how you think the country should run, you should stay
loyal to that.
And I think what happens instead is people stay loyal to a party.
And it's the minute you do that, that the whole thing breaks.
And this is what's broken.
And I think what the great thing that Donald Trump did was he basically conducted a hostile
takeover of the Republican Party.
Undoubtedly.
Yeah, and then the Democrats committed seppuku.
And that's the most important thing that happens.
I mean, all parties are reset.
You don't have to go and kick the Coke's ring.
What will they say?
What will all this infrastructure say?
What does Soros say?
All of that is done.
The whole thing's flipped over.
Hey, Senator, that's very powerful.
You had an anecdote from me two nights ago.
I don't know if you're willing to share it about a conversation regarding Denmark and
Greenland.
Do you want to tell us what you think happens here?
Look, my view on Denmark and Greenland, so I did a podcast two weeks ago on Denmark,
Greenland, and Canada.
And I did all three of them on my verdict podcast.
And I put them in a spectrum.
Let's start with Canada.
I think the president's Canada remarks were just trolling.
I think he was just screwing with Trudeau.
I think he was sitting at the table and deciding.
It's just a-
Why are you even a country?
You ought to be a state.
You should be a governor.
It's not that I send J-Cal texts like that all the time.
I love it.
I would have paid, frankly, to be sitting at that table
just to see Trudeau's face.
In fact.
Look, it was reminiscent, if you remember the 2016 campaign
on the debate stage, where Trump turned,
Rand Paul was at the end, and he's like,
why are you even on this stage?
And what is it with your hair?
I mean, it was the same sort of comment
that was just messing with.
I put that in one, and by the way, that may be the most epic troll of all time because
I think that literally pushed Trudeau into resigning.
Crazy, huh?
I mean, it's a fairly...
Why would he do that?
Go to Mar-a-Lago?
I mean, such a stupid thing to do.
He just should have been like, yeah, we're our own sovereign country banks.
Well, he was already, I think, weak.
He likes to go with the trend, so that was the trend. Yeah, that's what happens when you're a weather sovereign country banks. Well, he was already I think we go he likes he likes to go with the trend
So that was the trend. Yeah, that's what happens when our weather vanes
I will say I couldn't resist tweeting and said, you know Trudeau's lasted really long for a son of Fidel Castro
which
Close home. No, no, no keep telling us about alright
Yeah, Denmark Greenland
Greenland on the other hand I think is a very serious policy proposal.
And I think there are, you know,
Trump mentioned this in the first term
and a lot of people dismissed it,
oh, this is just Trump talking wacky.
But I think there are enormous national security
and economic reasons why acquiring Greenland
makes a ton of sense.
And you look at Greenland's location on the Arctic,
it has incredibly prime location on the Arctic. From a national security perspective,
God forbid we ever get in a shooting war with China or with Russia, ICBMs are coming right over
the Arctic. And Greenland is a prime location to deal with that. We're also seeing more shipping lanes coming in and around the Arctic, and China and Russia
are both competing for prized access there.
Greenland makes an enormous sense from that perspective.
It also makes an enormous perspective from critical minerals and rare earth minerals.
They have vast amounts.
And so what I said is, look, I think we should pursue this seriously. I'll
tell you, I had a conversation this week with the Danish ambassador to the United States.
And look, Denmark's a little freaked out by all this conversation. And I'll tell you what
I told the ambassador. I said, listen, Denmark is our friend. You're our ally. You will continue
to be our friend and ally. But friends and allies can have conversations. We can have, and the ambassador said,
well, Greenland's not for sale.
I said, that's fine.
Everything's for sale.
We're gonna have a conversation.
And by the way, if you maintain that,
one of the things this has produced
is a growing independence movement in Greenland.
Totally.
And if you do nothing,
you may end up getting nothing for Greenland
because they break off on the run.
Totally.
Now look, for it to happen, I think you would probably have to have a referendum on Greenland.
I find it quite plausible that the Greenlanders, about 50,000 of them, would say, wait a second,
I get to be an American.
Their poll just showed positive results.
They just did a survey there.
To become an American is in many ways the greatest gift we can give anyone on planet
Earth.
Totally.
And the billions in investment, if Greenland became an American territory, the difference
it would make for Greenlanders.
Well, Senator, we could pay $200 billion for the territory of Denmark.
Their federal debt or their national debt's about 150 billion.
They'd have a 50 billion surplus they could build a pension plan around.
That's why we have it.
You could spend another 10 billion to put everyone in a great situation
for the rest of their life that's a resident of Greenland
and that becomes an American territory
and an industry before it.
This could be like a whole new philosophy for us.
I think we just go right to 60 states.
How long?
Let's just make it open-off.
No, but so it's, and yeah, and sorry,
how does the president and the administration,
how are they gonna tackle this?
Or do you have any insights into what's gonna happen here?
So look, Ken Howry, you guys know,
I know, is a good friend who has been nominated to
be ambassador to Denmark.
I've talked with Ken.
Good friend of ours, yeah.
Talked with Ken just yesterday about this.
I think we need to lean in and try to negotiate both with Denmark and Greenland.
I'm certainly from the Senate going to push it.
But I wanted to contrast it.
Is Canada going to become a state?
No.
But Greenland, listen, we acquired-
Make it a protractor.
Louisiana Purchase. We purchased from France. listen, we acquire... Make it a protractor at like... Louisiana purchased, we purchased from France,
Alaska, we purchased from Russia.
I mean, there's a long history of this.
Totally.
Puerto Rico next, let's go.
If they want to come on board, why not?
Well, it's an American...
This is the...
It's already a protractor.
It's not a state.
And so Panama, I view as kind of in the middle of the two.
And Panama is a little more complicated.
Look, I think Jimmy Carter giving away the Panama Canal remains one of the most spectacularly
stupid decisions a president has ever done in all of this.
I think it was profoundly harmful to U.S. national security interest, to our economic
interests.
That being said, it's been long enough that unwinding it is really tough.
However, President Trump, if you listen to what he's saying on Panama, he's got actually
some very sophisticated legal arguments that he's making.
Number one, when we gave the Panama Canal to Panama, technically sold it for a dollar,
we had a binding agreement that laid out the terms of that transfer.
And one argument that President Trump has put forth is that Panama is in violation of
that agreement because they have allowed China to effectively seize control of the canal.
How is that?
Because a Chinese state-owned enterprise owns a building on one end of the canal and on
the other end of the canal.
And should we be at a point of conflict, military
or other with China, it's not difficult to imagine those Chinese state enterprises using
that location to try to shut down anyone traversing the canal.
Sounds like they voided the contract.
That's a pretty powerful argument. The second argument, and I had breakfast this morning
with President Trump. He had breakfast with all the Republican senators, two and a half
hours. He gets sworn in tomorrow and senators, two and a half hours.
He gets sworn in tomorrow and he spent two and a half hours.
He's got stamina.
Stream of consciousness talking.
We talked about Panama.
He's pointing out, the president said this morning,
said US Navy ships pay double
what any other country's Navy ships pay.
He said that American commercial ships pay 58 percent more than other nations pay.
Look, we need to drill down into those facts, but on the face of it, I think there's a powerful
argument that that's inconsistent with the terms of the agreement.
And is the final outcome of this that we get total control of the Panama Canal back?
Probably not. I think that's a high lift.
But in many ways, I think Trump is negotiating on price.
And I could easily see an outcome where both Navy ships
and commercial ships that are American pay much, much lower
rates, number one.
And number two, critically, that we get China the hell out
of the canal.
And that, if we accomplish those two,
that would be a massive improvement from
U.S. interest.
Have you, I'm sure you've been paying attention beyond the things that you've been a part
of, the confirmation hearings. Can you give us the sort of blow-by-blow of where you think
things have gone well, where there is room for improvement, whether there's going to
be some spotty weather ahead?
Look, I've been really happy so far. I think the array of cabinet nominees
has been very, very strong.
Were there a couple that where you thought going in,
we have to, this one will be a little bit harder
than the other and?
Well, look, clearly the most bumpy was Matt Gaetz
and they withdrew Matt Gaetz.
He was not gonna get confirmed.
There were multiple Republican senators
who were gonna vote now.
But I will say, I mean, they withdrew that nomination pretty quickly.
I think that was strategic.
They sent him up the hill to take the first two rounds.
And Pam Bondi seems amazing.
Pam Bondi is going to be terrific.
She's going to get confirmed easily.
I think right now every Trump cabinet nominee gets confirmed.
That's great.
Pete Hegseth is clearly who they're shooting at the most.
I don't think they've scored real blood. I did a whole podcast on the Hegseth confirmation hearing where it spoke volumes that the Democrat,
virtually all of the Democrat attacks were personal attacks based on anonymous charges,
typically with no evidence and with no one coming forward and putting their name on it.
And they had virtually nothing to say about the job
to which he'd been nominated and what he intends to do
as the secretary of defense.
I think that fundamentally is a flawed strategy.
I think everyone gets through right now.
Do you think that you'll see any Democrats, senators
support any of the candidates?
Yes.
Rubio?
So Rubio will get 90 votes.
He could get north of 95 votes.
It'll be a huge bipartisan vote for Rubio.
John Ratcliffe for CIA, he'll get significant bipartisan votes.
Sean Duffy at Transportation, he'll get a bunch of bipartisan votes.
Howard Lutnick at Commerce, my guess is he'll get bipartisan votes,
although he hasn't had his hearing yet, so we'll see. So there will certainly be some. Pam Bondi, I think Pam is terrific.
Brooke Rowlands.
Brooke will get bipartisan votes. Part of it is, all right, let's take Sean Duffy. So
I chaired the confirmation hearing for Sean Duffy, Secretary of Transportation. It was
a love fest. Why was it a love fest? Because everyone wants a bridge or a road in their state.
So if you're a Democrat, you're like, wait, you're Santa Claus and you're giving out hundreds
of billions of dollars?
I want some.
And so everyone wants it.
And so Brooke Rollins at Department of Agriculture, again, everyone wants stuff for ag and farmers
in their state.
So in that sort of role, it's easy for it to be a love fest. Pam Bondi, even though she did very well,
I'd be surprised if Democrats vote for just the nature of attorney general in this politicized
environment. My guess is, I think of the committee, the D's are going to vote no,
but I think Pam will hold every Republican. And so I think she gets through easily.
Bobby? Senator?
I think he makes it through.
I spent an hour with him.
It'll be interesting.
I was talking with him about this.
Will any Democrats vote for him?
Obviously he's been a Democrat his whole life until like 12 minutes ago.
They hate him.
And they really, they do view him as a Judas for daring to change.
All of us across the...
It's still...
Look. J. Cal 2? You look at like red dye number three, you look at what
Bobby is doing. I am re- He needs more change before he's become HHA Secretary. The food system
is so screwed, like let him cook, let's see what he can do. And his willingness to take on corruption, corruption of big pharmaceutical companies
and get in bed with big government that they perpetuate their monopolies using government
power.
So I talked to Bobby, for example, about a bill that I've been fighting for a long time
that I call the Results Act.
The Results Act says that if any pharmaceutical, any medical device is approved in another
major developed country, so approved in Canada or Japan or the EU, that the FDA has 60 days to approve it here
or it's deemed automatically approved by Operation Law.
Love it.
Wow.
Brilliant.
I'm going to fight for it.
I have been fighting for that, but I think now I'll have an HHS secretary that agrees
with it.
And I do think if you look at these cabinet nominees, the most striking characteristic
of virtually all of them is that they're change agents, that they're going to fundamentally
disrupt us. And that's exciting. We need that. All right. Listen, your people have been trying
to get you to end for 20 minutes, but you know what? Let the man cook. I gotta tell you,
I gotta tell you, our bestie Phil Hellmuth, every time he sees you,
comes back to our poker game, says,
what a great poker player, what a gentleman,
he drops your name, I can get him on the phone right now,
I told him, call him right now.
He never does it.
He was 100% right.
You are amazing, great to have you on the phone.
You are tempting me with poker chips.
I mean, no, we're gonna get you in a game.
Senator, I know you don't make it to California much,
but when you do, come play.
Just so you know, the boots play.
And we need scotch and a cigar, and I am practically at happy.
Maybe we'll go play it often.
I can't stand all these hang balls where everyone's in tuxedos, but my happy place
is sitting around the poker table with good conversation and good scotch.
So great to have you, and congratulations on the big win, and thank you for your service.
Thank you very much. Thanks a lot. Thank you