American Thought Leaders - Behind the Curtain of the New CDC Panel on Vaccines: Dr. Robert Malone and Retsef Levi
Episode Date: July 6, 2025Recently, the CDC’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) met for the first time after Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. replaced its entire membership with new picks.In this epis...ode, I’m sitting down with two new ACIP members, Dr. Robert Malone and MIT professor Retsef Levi, for a deep dive into all things ACIP.“They basically impact billions of dollars of revenue for the pharmaceutical industry. So there’s big money at stake here. There’s big policy at stake,” says Malone.“One of the problems that we had in the context of vaccines, and more broadly maybe pharmaceutical products, is that debate was considered confusing to patients and something that we should avoid,” says Levi.We take a look at some key discussions during the recent meeting, from thimerosal in certain flu vaccines to RSV shots for children, and what may happen with this committee moving forward.“What you’re seeing here is a firm commitment on the part of these two volunteers, and I think the committee as a whole, in trying to be open and transparent to the general public,” Malone says.Views expressed in this video are opinions of the host and the guest and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.
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They basically impact on billions of dollars of revenue for the pharmaceutical industry.
So there's big money at stake here. There's big policy at stake.
Recently, the CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, ACIP,
met for the first time after HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. replaced its entire
membership with new picks. In this episode, I'm sitting down with two new ACIP members,
Dr. Robert Malone and MIT professor Ratzaf Levy,
for a deep dive into all things ACIP.
One of the problems that we had in the context of vaccines
is that debate was considered as confusing to patients,
as something that we should avoid.
We take a look at some key discussions during the recent meeting, from Mercury and the flu vaccine
to RSV shots for children, and what may happen with this committee moving forward.
This is American Thought Leaders, and I'm Jan Jekielek.
Dr. Robert Malone, Professor Ratsef Levy, such a pleasure to have you on American Thought Leaders.
Thank you, Jan. It's a pleasure to be here.
Thanks, Jan. It's a pleasure to be here again. And I'm so pleased with how American Thought
Leaders has been growing and to be part of this yet again.
Well, it's wonderful. Of course, you have both been on the show before. This is the first time
that you're together and huge congratulations on completing the first meeting of this new
ACIP panel that's been put together, two of eight. Why don't we actually start with this? This is a
committee that actually has quite a bit of influence in decision making, but most people
quite a bit of influence in decision making, but most people haven't actually heard of it until very recently. So bottom line, what is ACIP in the end?
So ACIP is an acronym. It stands for the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices.
This is a federal advisory committee. It's the product of the Federal Advisory Committee Act and
so the acronym for that is it's a FACA committee. Another FACA committee that
matters in this space is the VRBAC. That's another acronym and that's the
one that advises the FDA, the Vaccines and Related Biologics Advisory Committee. So there's these two key federal advisory committees.
Both of them are voluntary, by the way.
So we're not getting paid big money to advise the CDC
and the director of the CDC specifically
through the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices.
We're basically volunteering and getting a very minimal stipend of $250 a day.
So we're not in this for the money. And what is this thing, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices?
It's set up historically, and it goes back decades, to provide advice to the director of the CDC and by extension the director or the secretary of Health and Human Services,
currently Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
So the way that ACIP is supposed to work as just another federal advisory committee it through its subcommittees investigates issues relating to basically infectious disease
countermeasures. So it's not just vaccines, it's antibodies and technically it could also cover
early treatment for example for infectious disease although that's rarely if ever considered.
infectious disease, although that's rarely if ever considered. So what it's supposed to do is convene these subcommittees, and by the way the rules
are that the subcommittees have to be chaired by one of the formally appointed
ACIP members, but the subcommittees can include people from all kinds of places
including comments from industry. So that's where the real work gets done. They analyze issues particularly relating
to newly licensed products from the FDA. The charter is that the ACIP is supposed
to take up the issue of whether or not the CDC will recommend the use of recently authorized FDA
interventions for infectious disease, particularly biologics and vaccines. So
the flow of work is that the VRBAC advises the FDA, the FDA makes decisions
on whether or not to authorize marketing of a new product,
and then at the next following meeting the AACF is supposed to take that up and make
it a advice to the director of the CDC about whether or not the CDC would recommend and
under what conditions it would recommend the use of that product. Now the wrinkle in this comes in in that the Congress has
authorized a program called the Vaccines for Children program. The acronym for
that one is VFC. And the VFC has basically appropriations authority granted to the ACIP.
So if ACIP votes and the CDC director agrees that a product should be made available through
the Vaccines for Children program, which is basically a subsidy to ensure availability of the products
to underserved populations.
So if the ACIP votes and the CDC director approves,
then those products are automatically purchased by the CDC and the federal government and
distributed to the tribal nations, to
underserved communities all across the United States. That gives the ACIP
unusual responsibility and authority relative to other FACA committees. But
what's happened over time is that the various professional societies, the medical professional societies, have aligned themselves with the ACIP.
They actually serve as an unofficial advisory component.
And they typically align their recommendations to the CDC slash ACIP recommendations. The consequence of
that is that functionally over time the ACIP has developed into the body that
establishes standard of care for medical practice as it relates to vaccines,
antibody preparations, and other biologics in particular, for the
whole of the United States.
Now the wrinkle in this is that the federal government doesn't actually have the authority
to regulate the practice of medicine in the Constitution.
And so what you end up with is this kind of strange soft power, whereas we're in ACIP and the CDC
functionally established standard of care. That triggers the insurance
industry to decide whether or not these products are going to be covered.
Basically they follow the ACIP recommendations. And once a product is
established as standard of care and the use of it in the way that the
ACIP with its partner professional societies agree upon, then that becomes basically legally
the situation in which physicians can't go functionally go against that or if they do they they put themselves at risk
for liability basically for medical malpractice lawsuits. You know by the way the recommendations
that the ACIP make and by extension the director of the CDC who's the one that actually makes the recommendations. We just advise the director. But they
basically impact on billions of dollars of revenue for the pharmaceutical
industry. So there's big money at stake here, there's big policy at stake, and as
many people have come to recognize, particularly during the COVID crisis, all of this feeds into
kind of a strange functional mandate that flows from the federal government all the way down to
local school boards. And that is at the heart of a lot of the controversy that is happening right now
with the changes that have happened in the composition of the ACIP.
Well, and I'm absolutely going to dive into some of that controversy. I'd love to talk about that.
But before we go there, Ratzaf, you were very, very important for me in terms of my understanding
of all sorts of policy around the pandemic.
Through speaking with you quite a bit, I understood that I should look at everything from the concept
of risk-benefit analysis, whether that's specific policies, whether that's products that are being
used as interventions because of disease. And frankly, I've actually expanded it quite a bit
further than that now.
But tell me, why do you think that you were invited to join ASIP, of all things?
And how does your particular acumen fit into working on this committee?
So thank you, Jan.
So just to build on what Robert said, I think that in my mind, the ACIP role is to translate
a generic approval by the FDA to a set of more detailed recommendations that take into
consideration risk benefits aspects that could be different to different subgroups of patients and recommend both public policy as well as standard of care.
It's a great honor and very humbling to be part of the AC,
but I cannot speak to why people selected me.
That's something you have to ask those who selected me.
But I can speak about my background.
I've been in academia from 2006 and I have a PhD in
operations research from Cornell University. This is a discipline that is focused on trying
to use data and models to inform complex decisions that involve risk-benefit trade-offs. And that's kind of the purpose of this, so it's using a lot of statistics, a lot of artificial
intelligence, a lot of machine learning, a lot of data, and a range of methodologies
to essentially develop decision support tools for, in different contexts, to inform complex decisions that involve nuanced trade-offs of risk and
benefits. Specifically, I've been working for thousands of hours with the clinicians on the
ground in healthcare systems on thinking about various issues related to design of care,
design of operational processes, design of
healthcare systems, and how to optimize those to provide the best care for patients.
I also did research on epidemiological models, on manufacturing of biologic drugs, and how you can
use data to improve their safety and quality.
I did work on post-marketing safety surveillance, but also on other areas related to human health
like food, water, agriculture, access to healthy food, food safety.
Beyond my academic experience, I start to say that I've been thinking on risk from the age of 18,
when I became part of the Israeli Defense Forces and spent almost 12 years as an intelligence
officer.
I have a strong belief that there is no one discipline that can capture the complexity
of these decisions.
So this is why it's very important that a committee like ACIP will have people from
different backgrounds, from different perspectives, from different experiences.
And I am a strong believer that the collective wisdom of a team is far stronger than the
wisdom of an individual.
And I also hope and I also believe that that's the plan, that this team will also expand
and have even more people and more members because I think that we really want to ensure a diverse set of opinions
and backgrounds. Looking at, I didn't watch the entirety of the many hours of the ACIP meetings
that happened just recently, but what I did see was some constructive discussion. Of course,
there was also people making quite different
decisions and some of those things I'd like to actually dive into a little bit later in
the episode. At this point, I'd just like to give Robert an opportunity to talk a little
bit about his particular background and how that fits into being part of ACIP and perhaps
why you were picked. Well, thanks, John.
And first I want to address the issue
of the modest Dr. Levy.
What he didn't mention is that he's bloody brilliant.
He is a full professor at Massachusetts Institute
of Technology in data science and data evaluation.
That's no small achievement.
And furthermore, he was quite brave and bold
throughout the corona crisis.
In speaking his truth, he's revealed himself
to be a independent thinker and not
swayed by approved narratives or conventional thought.
I think that the nation is really blessed by having such a mind with these capabilities
serving in this way.
I don't know that there has been this level of capability in data analysis before.
And it's complemented by the other members, but in particular, Dr. Martin Koldorf, former professor of epidemiology at Harvard and arguably one of the top epidemiologists in the world, Let go from Harvard because he refused to accept the COVID vaccine product, which is a major travesty.
So the narrative that's been promoted by corporate media that this is a committee composed of anti-vaxxers that are completely unqualified is clearly a gross misrepresentation. In my own case, of course, there's been a focus on this history of what I did when I was 28,
and the origins of the mRNA vaccine technology, the patents that are behind me, etc., etc.
But that was only early on in my career. I've been working in infectious disease,
virology, and immunology literally since I was an undergraduate working in the
laboratory at UC Davis that did a lot of the pioneering work having to do with
what we now call HIV and the related virus, simian deficiency virus. I have worked, there are few people that I know of
that have worked deeply in government positions, non-governmental organization positions, such as
the Heiress Global TV Vaccine Foundation funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation in industry
for Solvay vaccines, in the contract support
industry, both in a vaccine-focused clinical research
organization and in a regulatory submissions shop located
close to the FDA.
I've kind of done it all in terms
of working closely with the government on the HHS side and on the DOD side in relation
to infectious disease, biodefense pathogens, biodefense countermeasures, influenza.
I was the clinical director responsible for over $300 million in BARDA contract funding
for the building of a cell-based influenza vaccine under Solvay.
I've been doing this for 30 years, and for some reason the media only focuses on what happened in the last couple.
But I'm very facile with modern immunology, modern vaccinology, modern vaccine technology. And of course, I also am very familiar with the current secretary of
HHS. I consider him a friend and a colleague. I will never forget the day that he called me
in my home and asked me some questions and then asked me to assist in editing the book,
and then asked me to assist in editing the book, The Real Anthony Fauci. And it's been my privilege to build a working relationship with him since then.
I'm grateful for the selection. I didn't anticipate it.
I absolutely did not want to join the administration in a functional role of having significant responsibility for a sub agency, but I'm very
grateful for the opportunity to serve my country in this volunteer role at the ACIP.
So, Jan, if I may just equally important is the culture of the team
dynamics and more broadly, I think that one of the problems that we had in the context
of vaccines and more broadly maybe pharmaceutical products is that debate was considered as confusing to patients as something
that we should avoid, which in many ways goes counter to science.
And it goes counter to, I think, the complex nuances that exist when you consider risk benefits considerations with respect
to a patient and how a patient has to think about the trade-off of whether to take a pharmaceutical
intervention or not.
And I think beyond the expertise, my hope is, and I think that hopefully we already illustrate that as a team in the last meeting,
that we should not shy from debate.
We actually should.
I think that actually the debate is very important.
And the discussion is equally important beyond the decision
that was made.
And I think that if anything, I hope
that this committee will change that, not only
in the narrow context of the ACIP discussions,
but maybe more broadly, and how we think as a society,
as scientists, as public policy, public health policy people,
how do we think about the process and the
principles of the process that should guide us in making decisions? This
interview is basically another demonstration of our personal
commitment and remember that Retzeth and I are speaking in our personal capacity
right now. I just want to note that we are not
representing the U.S. government and we're not representing the ACIP. We're representing only
ourselves. But what you're seeing here is a firm commitment on the part of these two volunteers,
and I think the committee as a whole, in trying to be open and transparent to the
general public so that they can better understand why these decisions are being
made, what the debates are behind them, and hopefully that will help build
confidence back that has been lost by this kind of insular, one might almost say authoritarian approach that is in characteristic
of the federal public health enterprise during COVID crisis.
Well, and I think one of the things that this committee, at least so far from what I'm hearing,
is accomplishing is turning committee meetings into a kind of a spectator sport.
I think one of the themes, Ratz, that you mentioned here, I think you were suggesting
it, is that having the patients or having people playing a much more active role in their own
healthcare and also be given the correct information to be able to make these decisions
themselves because there seems
to have been this kind of strange culture that has developed that almost where that information
isn't presented very effectively, presumably, you know, kind of to protect the patient in a way
from having to deal with two difficult decisions. Yeah, so to me, the core interaction of health care should always be kept to be the intimate interaction
of a patient with their consulting physician
and or clinical professionals and medical professionals.
And my view is, I guess that's kind of my personal view
that being a member on the AC committee, the main role
that I will try to help with is to be able to communicate to patients and medical professionals
what is the best knowledge that we have.
What we know and what we don't know, the second principle that I would like to highlight is
personalization. The
one thing that I think is a staggering contrast, we in most areas of health care and head management,
we are emphasizing personalization. In fact, we are talking now about therapeutics that
are going to be tailored to the individual DNA of a person. However, when it comes to vaccines, we more often than not tend to think about it
as what one size fits all,
both on a single vaccine as well as, even worse, all vaccines.
So to me, the interplay between these personalized considerations and the intimate interaction between the patient and the medical professional
to allow them to be able to make the best personalized decisions for them, considering the risk benefits that they have to face,
is the single most important thing that we need to enable as a committee. A lot of the decision making at CDC and in American Public Health
as following to those with the degree of a master's in public health. Please understand that the MPH
degree is a two-year degree that is granted to individuals who have any undergraduate major.
They don't have to be biology majors.
They certainly don't have to be medical doctors
or medical practitioners or have any experience in that.
And the essence of the MPH degree
has to do with statistical analysis.
Based on the thesis of promoting,
it's a utilitarian argument,
promoting the greatest good for the greatest number.
That is at the core of the framework, not only of the MPH,
but of modern public health in the United States.
And this utilitarian, greatest good for the greatest number approach
is fundamentally socialist, in my opinion.
And I believe that we need to swing back the practice of medicine to what was a prior generation
in which the focus was on the patient and the physician-patient relationship. We are moving into a new era of personalized medicine increasingly driven by artificial intelligence.
And it's an open question, what is the role of the physician and the medical care provider in that environment?
And do we really want to have our medical care determined by algorithmic artificial intelligence,
utilitarian decision-making, implemented
through insurance agencies and very large health maintenance
organizations?
Or do we want to have a situation in which individuals
have the sovereignty over their own bodies
and those of their children to make informed decisions.
The challenge there is they're not medical professionals.
How do you communicate complex medical decisions
to a lay person, but it's achievable.
It can be done. It takes a little more effort.
And it is very threatening to many medical care providers, professionals, and public health officials,
including CDC staff, to have their opinions questioned.
Now, Retzeth and I have lived for most of my career in the academic world being subjected to peer review.
Retzeth, bless his heart, still does.
And it can be a challenging environment,
but it is very healthy to have outside independent oversight
to ensure that we're not missing something.
We're not generating an artifact at the best of our ability.
And this kind of large data analysis
is super duper susceptible to strange quirks in data,
oversight, overlooking, confounding variables.
The only way that I know of
to effectively immunize yourself from that is to subject
your work to peer review.
And the CDC, historically, I'm sorry to say, and those that are doing the analyses for
the ACIP have not had their work subjected to peer review. The MMWR, the monthly report putting out put out from the CDC,
their publication, is not a peer-reviewed journal. The Morbidity and Mortality
Weekly Report, it's not peer-reviewed. It represents the opinions of a group of
people often strongly biased by CDC personnel.
Why shouldn't that the work product of the federal
governments, epidemiologists and data analysis, also be
subjected to rigorous outside scrutiny?
I think it will improve public health.
I think it will improve public trust.
I think it'll make for better science and better medicine.
One of the exciting aspects of becoming a member of ACIP is the opportunity to work with the CDC staff and other academics
to really pursue together the truth based on the data.
And I think the CDC, my impression from the first meeting, the CDC
has very passionate staff members, very hardworking. So I personally look forward to building those
professional relationships and really engage with them and others to really pursue the
truth. And one of the things that I really liked about Martin Kordroff opening statement, he really
mentioned the analogy of airline safety,
especially when you are considering
giving medical intervention to healthy individuals,
and let alone healthy children and babies.
I think that your approach to both safety and efficacy
should be guided with the caution that you would have when you think about sending an
airplane to a flight carrying hundreds of passengers? So the analogy is like when you approve,
when you recommend something to be used broadly,
you are launching a flight with potentially billions
of children or millions of children, right?
I think that adopting the safety paradigm
or the safety approach of airline is gonna be very,
very important going forward.
And I thought that it was very inspiring to hear Martin speaking about this at the opening of the meetings.
Let's talk about one of the decisions that was made.
The vaccines related to influenza were mentioned, actually a very prominent decision,
one that's been given
a lot of play in the media is this removal of the thimerosal from these multiviral influenza
vaccine decisions. But let me ask a few questions right off the bat. Even when it comes to the basic
data, I've heard one that influenza vaccines just aren't effective at all or have negative efficacy.
I've seen some papers that suggest that or some years that they've been applied they have that.
I've seen people say, hey, thimerosal has been removed mostly from these vaccines in the first
place. Why is this such a big deal? And of course, thimerosal is mercury. And for some people,
it's even shocking to discover that
there was mercury in the first place. So why don't we just start off? Can you kind of unpack
influenza vaccines for us? Which by the way, ACIP approved the use of in general or recommended
the approval of. So a lot of different pieces here. We were presented with language without really an opportunity
to debate that language endorsing universal influenza
vaccination for the following year,
as well as the nuance of which specific influenza virus
sequences would be included in the recommended upcoming vaccine year for the vaccine.
And to provide a little bit of context for that, historically those decisions have been made at the level of the World Health Organization. and then propagate it down they tend to be one recommendation for the northern
hemisphere and one recommendation for the southern hemisphere because the flu
strains circulate in contrary seasons having to do with the fact that when it's
winter here it's summer there. So this is the first time to the best of my
knowledge since the United States government has withdrawn
under the direction of President Trump from the World Health Organization that the CDC has had to
act unilaterally in its recommendations for what's strange to be included in the following year's
influenza vaccines. And by the way, those influenza vaccine campaigns will kick
off August, depending on the vaccine platform, and continue through the winter. So we were basically
presented with a fait accompli in terms of the language recommended to us having to do with influenza
vaccination as the first resolution and then a series of second, third, and fourth
resolutions having to do with this really nuanced quirk of removing thimerosal from influenza vaccine multi-dose vials. Now
Jan, you have raised a key issue and you've used that forbidden term
negative efficacy. This is just just for context. I personally lost two jobs in the past working in the influenza
industry, influenza vaccine industry, for even raising the issue of negative effectiveness
of immune imprinting and of original antigenic sin.
The last two being really all three of those being very technical terms
that have to do with the issue of whether or not
taking this type of product year after year after year makes good sense even the logic or whether
doing this year after year after year is somehow imprinting one's immune system
in ways that are just to simplify it counterproductive or mounting a
effective immune response against a new strain your body may not have encountered
in the past. Basically it's as if we're training the army. You know you can build
a strategy based on the last
war and functionally what happens with influenza vaccines is it's teaching your immune system
to fight the last war largely. And there are data and it's been a hot subject of debate in the vaccine community now for decades. Whether or not
one this strategy of annual boosting or in the case of the COVID product a much
more frequent than annual is actually counterproductive. That it's driving the
immune system towards categories of responses that are counterproductive.
We'll just leave it at that and recommend that people go Google immune imprinting in
original antigenic sin if they want to get more information.
But this is a topic that has been anathema in the influenza community, including at the
ACIP and the CDC.
The subcommittees are where the business gets done at ACIP.
Subcommittees are where the hard discussions have to happen.
The public committee is basically a forum for presenting the data that has come out of the subcommittees
and then debating that data among ourselves, including people that weren come out of the subcommittees and then debating that data
among ourselves, including people that weren't part of those subcommittees, and making decisions
about whether or not to endorse those recommendations or consideration by the director of the CDC.
Now, RETCIF is going to chair the COVID subcommittee.
So this is super important because it
means he's going to be in charge of setting the agenda for what
gets discussed about COVID and the various COVID products
and how they've been evaluated going forward.
He hasn't had that opportunity in the past,
but now he does have that.
And I find myself having been positioned as
chair of the influenza vaccine committee. So I mentioned in the meeting that it's
my intention that these issues of immune imprinting, original antigenic sin, etc.
will be discussed and strongly considered in upcoming meetings.
But in terms of the decision that we were faced,
we were presented with essentially language
that was already approved and had
to make a decision about whether or not
to endorse both those specific virus strains that had
been vetted early and to endorse a universal influenza vaccine recommendation as has been
the case for decades.
And the decision was that this was not the time to fight on that hill about the universal
influenza vaccine recommendation.
Now the other recommendations that were passed also had to do with, as you point out, this
nuance of multi-dose vials containing mercury of the standard influenza vaccine,
mercury in the form of a preservative called bimeridone.
And just to calibrate this, because this is something the press has latched onto,
and let's make it a big deal about it, what we're talking about is 97% of all influenza vaccines currently administered in the United States are administered either using single dose vials.
That means that it comes in a little vial and it's got the rubber nib at the top and the physician puts the syringe and the needle into that, draws out that one
dose, hopefully changes the needle, otherwise the needle's a little dull and
it hurts more, and then administers it to the child or the adult. What that does is
it minimizes the chance of introducing contamination by going through that
rubber stopper, that nib, again and again
and again, which is what you do with a multi-dose file. So multi-dose files are
a little bit cheaper, but they are considerably more risky in terms of
introducing contaminants into the jar, but then get drawn out and injected into another
patient. That could be a virus like hepatitis B, it could be a bacterial
contamination, etc., etc. It could be a fungal contamination. So that's why in a
multi-dose vial you have to put in some sort of preservative and there are other
approved preservatives other than thimerosal.
So in the interest of doing our best at this stage to take another move forward in eliminating
the added dose of mercury to patients that receive an influenza vaccine, remember that they're going
to get a vaccine every year.
And the people that get it from a multi-dose vial today
are likely to be the same ones
that get from a multi-dose vial next year.
So there's a cumulative,
the mercury doesn't get excreted very well.
It's a cumulative effect.
And so the committee, I think wisely,
voted to just say no to thimerosal-containing multi-dose
files.
Now, for some reason, the pharmaceutical industry and corporate media see this as some sort
of existential threat, that eliminating 3% of the influenza doses that contain thimerosal is a crisis for the entire vaccine industry and
their academic and media supporters.
I don't get it, but that seems to be the meme.
And the strange thing is that it's left media and pharma arguing in favor of injecting mercury
into Americans. It just is horrible optics. It's
not the right decision. And I think I applaud the committee for having the temerity to just say no
at this point in time. And by the way, unfortunately, influenza vaccines are not the only products that contain thimerosal.
There are other vaccine products that
are still on the schedule that contain thimerosal.
I suspect the industry sees the writing on the wall.
Since the committee just said no to thimerosal
containing flu vaccines, one might
speculate that in the future, there might be a
tendency to say no to other thimerosal containing
vaccines. But that's forward looking. And we don't know
that to be the case yet. So maybe that explains their
existential crisis over this, what I call a tempest in
teapot.
Retzach, I want to get you to comment here as well.
But just before, can you just explain why it's a problem
to be injecting even tiny, tiny amounts
of mercury into people?
Yeah, so first, I just want to acknowledge
that Robert and I are expressing our own opinions
about that.
There was actually a different opinion in the committee.
And I think if I want to kind of represent that I think that some
people were concerned more about other areas outside the US, more maybe
developing countries where the current state is not that 97% of the vaccines
are being administered are free of mercury. So this is nuanced.
I think that this is actually a great question
because it really kind of is a point where I think
we need, when we consider risks,
we need to really go beyond a single vaccine
or a single episode of administering a vaccine.
Because if you just think about one time vaccine,
you could argue that the amount of mercury
in a single dose of a single vaccine is probably small.
And you could argue potentially that it poses no significant
risks.
The problem is that you don't take one shot.
You take actually a shot every year.
And moreover, you're actually being exposed to mercury
from other sources in your life,
from food, from fish, from other sources.
So when you want to consider risk here,
you need to adopt a system level kind of thinking
and really think about not only this isolated episode but
rather than what is the what is the overall contribution to the overall risk
to the overall exposure and if you do that I think it's gonna be sensible that
given the fact that mercury is a highly toxic compound, nobody debates that, and it accumulates in the body.
I think it's gonna be sensible, at least in my mind,
to say that if we can control and eliminate
some controllable sources of mercury, we should do that.
Speaking more broadly, and because you also asked
about the efficacy of flu vaccines.
I think it's again an area where I think the current evidence that we have is rather low
quality.
And again, we are thinking about this question only a year by year, like every year we're
trying to assess the efficacy of the vaccine in that year, which is
important, but I don't think it's sufficient. And the issues that Robert alluded to, of what is the long term impact of using
multiple doses every year is super important, because at the end of the day, we're not managing one year, we are managing an horizon of years. And we really want to think about, um, essentially the immune profile of the
population and, uh, to some extent that immune profile is the shield for the
most vulnerable people in our population, right?
To some extent, the more, uh, resilience the immune profile of the population is,
the less chance there is for the virus to hit the most vulnerable people.
It might be tempting to think that vaccinating everybody with the same vaccine every year
is the best strategy, but I think there is actually quite a lot of evidence that suggests
that that might not be the case.
And I'm not sure that we have been thinking deeply enough about this to know or to figure out what the right answer is.
Now, the other thing that I would like to say, I think that in order to answer this question, like many other safety and efficacy questions. We cannot just look on observational data from the field.
We also need to look on research that is conducted
to understand the biological mechanisms that take place
once we vaccinate people.
I know that there are great concerns
about potential radical changes
that this committee would recommend to or would cause.
And on the other hand, there is maybe an impatience by others
that radical changes have to happen immediately.
I'm, my philosophy in life, and actually I teach that that when I teach in courses that I teach,
I usually tell people that if you want to change something, the first thing that you
need to do is to fully and very deeply understand why it's set up the way it is.
So you have to take the time to understand before you make changes. We are going to be very, very thoughtful and thorough in first understanding why people make decisions the way they are now,
before we are going to recommend changes. And what changes are we going to recommend?
I think it's a very important aspect that may not make us popular, but I think we are all determined to be thorough
and take the time to study and not to make rash decisions.
Can I pick at one of the threads that Red CIF just introduced?
We could call it immunotoxicity or immunotoxicology or fundamentals of immune responses to introduced
antigens.
So part of what happened during this recent ACIF meeting was we had an opportunity to gently query,
and we were very diplomatic about it across the board.
Even the Atlantic Monthly and their attacks on me
acknowledged that I was very polite
in my questions to the CDC staff
but we were able to
directly query in a way that really has not been done in the past the
staff of the senior staff of the CDC that were presenting these data and
One of the questions I happen to have put forth, but Ratz have could have, or aren't, or anybody,
was whether or not the CDC has metrics and processes in place
to track whether or not there are
toxicities of the immune response or system.
In other words, are they looking at the big
picture of how people's immune system is functioning and whether it's being
altered in a larger, broader way by these interventions. And what we learned was
no, they do not have that. That has not been part of their thinking. That is not part of their
assessment or their analyses. So these issues that are being raised in the context of COVID,
whether they're true or false, having to do with immunoglobulin class switching, which sounds like
a big mouthful of immunobabble, but it's pretty important in terms of how healthy you are
and how you're able to resist new pathogens
and whether or not you're more likely to develop allergic
responses, for example.
Those kinds of questions, and of course, there is the,
I'm going to introduce a controversial topic
that we didn't talk during the ACIP,
but there are some that suggest that the COVID products
are causing various types of damage to the immune response
that's leading to a susceptibility
to one of the most common immunologically controlled diseases
that we're all familiar with, which is cancer. And so the question came up, and I asked it very
gently, whether the ACIP is tracking these issues, whether they have the data to support or refute these hypotheses? And the answer is no, they don't.
So I hope that we as the ACIP going forward, frankly, my impression is that a lot of the
thinking at the CDC in terms of these monitoring and analyses routines that they get into are a bit antiquated.
They're kind of old school to use common slang.
And I think personally that the CDC will be well served and so will the public to start incorporating in their analyses newer
frontline concepts about immune response. Now this leads to another core topic
that I think we encountered in our patient questioning and our discussions with the staff is that I personally
think we've got a little bit of it's not my job it's their job as it relates to
issues concerning the CDC, public health, FDA, and the NIH. Important topics get lost in that chasm.
If I had a general recommendation to give at this point to the Secretary of HHS, it's
that it would be, and his team, that it would be in the interest of the American public to find ways to bridge these gaps between
these different HHS agencies so that key issues don't fall into the cracks in between agencies
because I suspect that's happening from time to time.
I think we need to generate better data. And in many cases, that better data
should be the output of well-designed
and appropriately designed clinical trials
that we have avoided.
And we basically left them only for the,
or almost only for the pharmaceutical companies to conduct.
But I think, if I think,
let's just think about the influenza vaccines, right?
There are many types of influenza vaccines
and currently our way to measure efficacy or benefits
is based on some serology kind of proxies
that the connection between them and actual efficacy
is not established to the best of my knowledge.
And there are many other examples where I think more often than not critical decisions
have to be made in the absence of reliable data.
And what I also teach my students is like,
at the end of the day, the quality of your decisions
is gonna be much more affected by the quality
of the data available to you than the sophisticated models
that you're gonna use.
You can use the most sophisticated models, bring AI,
bring whatever you want, bring the
state of the art technology.
If the data that you're using as an input is not very good, your decisions are not going
to be optimal in all likelihood.
So thinking about how do we generate the best data, and that has to do with clinical trials,
but also designing data collection systems that are better.
And I think today with digital technologies, we have a lot of promise to be able to do that,
because one of the most significant enablers of what people call the AI revolution
is actually the ability to sense systems better than ever.
If you think about this in the context of human health,
I carry currently a Whoop watch,
and I'm not trying to advertise Whoop now,
but these devices, and there are many types of devices,
are allowing us to now know the vitals of a human 24-7.
Yeah, here's another product.
So there are many vendors.
So my point is we need to advance our monitoring systems
and data collection systems,
both in the context of these acting clinical trials,
but also in leveraging other data sources
that perhaps we didn't leverage so far
to create better data
that will allow us to make better decisions.
And yes, we can evolve the models that we are using,
we can use more sophisticated models,
but to me, the first order enabler is being able to collect good data.
And one of the concerns that I have is that more often than not,
we end up in a situation when we have to make critical decisions
in the absence of
good enough or appropriately good data. Just to spin off of this a little bit,
I had a conversation some months ago with Kim Witzak, who served on a committee more in the
context of psychiatric drugs, a similar committee. One of the things that she noted, I think,
was very, very thoughtful, that there seems to be
an inordinate emphasis on developing data around efficacy relative to the amount of
data that's being developed around the harms of particular products.
So this is one of the core critiques of the CDC as it relates to the vaccine enterprise.
Is the CDC, like the FDA, the USDA, the FAA, etc.
Is tasked with what's essentially dual agency. That's a fancy word for saying they both regulate the industry and they promote the industry. And in the case of the CDC, the budget for promoting vaccines greatly exceeds
the budget for regulating or assessing risks of vaccines. Another related topic
or thread or metaphor has to do with a fundamental aspect of science. We tend to focus on the data that our technology
will enable us to capture, which is not necessarily the data that we need. So the
metaphor is the old joke about the cop that comes up to a drunk who is
searching for his car keys underneath the streetlight. And the cop
asks the drunk, why are you searching here? The drunk says, well I lost my keys
on the other side of the street but this is where the light is. That's functionally
modern science, is we look where the light is, we don't necessarily look where
the problems are, the car keys in this case, and that leads
us to a whole range of biases. So Retzoff was talking a moment ago, just to
illustrate this and bring it back to home, he was talking about the bias of
assessing outcomes based on certain immunologic endpoints that are easy to
analyze.
The tech for looking at antibodies, and by the way, antibodies are not one thing.
They are a swarm of different things that all have their own regulation.
They have their own modification.
They have their own kinetics, and they're all in a great big mishmash. So we tend to look at that thing that we have tech for
and that's easy to analyze and not look at the things that we don't have tech
for and it's hard to analyze and there's a lot of indications that frankly are we
know so much about the immune response and we are still diaper in diapers. We are still
grossly naive about the complexity of adaptive and innate immunity in not only humans but animals
in general. And another key aspect, I heard this mentioned by the CDC when they were talking about not to pick
at them, but when we were talking about the window of time that they are using
for analyzing the adverse events after administration of the mRNA products for
COVID. And what they said was, well, the animal studies show that it's cleared
within the limits of what they were trying to detect in
animal models within a short time frame and that the distribution is relatively
modest. But I'm somebody who spent years and years and years doing mouse model
research, pigs, and non-human primates as well as being
a physician.
And in my world, wisdom is mice lie, monkeys mislead, and the only thing that predicts
immune response in humans and protection is immune response and protection in humans.
There's another saw that was actually mentioned during the ACIP meeting about influenza.
If you've seen one influenza season, you've seen one influenza season.
These things are super complex, highly variable, geographically distributed.
This is complicated data.
It's complicated stuff. And any time you try to oversimplify it, you risk the bias that comes from oversimplification.
And frankly, from what I've seen,
that bias pervades not just the CDC analyses,
but the entire vaccine industry.
And that's kind of what we're up against.
We'll probably break some teeth.
But the ACIP now under Secretary Kennedy
is composed of free thinkers that
are willing to challenge those existing paradigms
and ask hard questions.
And I think that is what the American public deserves.
And that I think is the essence
of the Make America Healthy Again movement
is to go beyond accepted wisdom
and ask those hard questions and rethink prior assumptions.
So just to add to a few thoughts to that, but before I just want to make sure because
I mentioned the the whoop and other devices and I think Secretary Kennedy also mentioned
that and kind of generate a lot of concerns.
I just want to clarify in my mind that data is personally owned by the patient and should
be used only in under consent of the patient,
just to make sure that I'm a strong believer
that a patient should own their own data
and have full control of their data.
That said, I do wanna highlight some of the inherent
challenges of vaccine safety,
as well as more broadly, drug safety.
So, and let's just take RSV as an example,
because it has been discussed during the meeting.
So, when you actually think about the benefit,
and I think about it now from the perspective
of a medical professional,
they have true real experiences with a well-defined
diagnosis of RSV and real patients, some of them are actually really sick and need really kind of
intensive care. So that's very well-defined and clear in their minds. So when you talk about
the benefits, the potential benefits, So when you talk about the benefits,
the potential benefits,
especially when you narrowly define on reducing
the rates of RSV hospitalization,
that's very clear, relatively easy to measure
and well documented.
In contrast to that,
when you consider different potential adverse event of a product, including
the RSV products that are currently in the market, you are actually talking about something
that has potentially variable timing, very nonspecific appearance, and more often than
not, not very well documented. And very rare, very small numbers.
And it's really hard to do good.
That was the challenge right now. I would argue that we currently have very good safety
good safety methodologies to detect signals that appear shortly after vaccination in the form of a very well-defined and repeated event.
If that happens, I think that the civilian systems that we have should detect it.
However, we need to recognize that this is actually quite limited because there is some implicit assumption
that the harm from vaccines is mostly come
or only come shortly after vaccination.
But to some extent, that's a paradox, right?
Because the whole notion of vaccines is that most of them,
that they make a lasting, long lasting impact
on your immune system.
That's kind of the point, right?
So it's kind of striking that we are making that assumption
and take it for granted from the benefit side,
but for some reason, when it comes to the harm side,
we are only limiting ourselves to looking
on a short period of time after vaccination.
That's to me, something we should go away from
and really start to think about safety in a much more
holistic way.
I want to acknowledge the challenge.
This is not a trivial thing to do because the data that we have is currently, at least,
is not very amenable or makes it easy.
In fact, it makes it very hard more often than not to detect those kind of signals.
And that makes, again, going back, that we need to purposely be able to collect data,
both in the form of long-term clinical trials,
as well as other measures that new technologies are allowing us
to be able to collect long-term data that will give us a chance
to expose those type of signals if indeed they exist.
So to me there is a fundamental transformation that I think we need to do in the way we think
about it. And to some extent, and I think I also alluded to that in the meeting, so I'm just going
to repeat what I said about the COVID vaccines, that it's kind of, well, it's important to look
on what happens 21 days after each dose, 42 days after each dose. But if you have strong
evidence that at least in some patients, the mRNA, the spike, the nanolipids stay in the
body for months or if not years, then, and they distribute potentially
randomly to different organ systems in your body and cause a range of potentially a range
of toxic and in unitoxic and autoimmune reactions, then that's clearly not going to be detected
with approaches that look only 42 days after vaccination.
Redspeth is specifically talking about a recently published peer-reviewed Yale study that, as I recall,
the study indicated that at least one patient continued to produce spike protein for up to 700 days after administration.
So that's not consistent with traditional vaccines. That's very different. And that when when confronted
with that at the ACIP, the CDC specialist appeared to not be
even familiar with that study, and denied that there was any
issue about long termterm production and stability
of either the pseudo mRNA product or the engineered spike protein.
So that did not inspire confidence.
So, okay, I had a slightly different impression of the reaction from the CDC folks.
If so, I think that I did not get the sense that there is a disagreement that this is
very important to consider those long-term effects.
I think I got the sense that there is a real sense of that that's challenging, and I fully
understand that that's a real sense of that that's challenging. And I fully understand that that's a real challenge.
I think though that again,
some of the issues we are discussing
are not isolated to what ACIP is going to do
or not to do or what the CDC is going to do or not to do,
but rather than to the, all the agencies
that includes FDA, CDC, NIH and others,
that I think we'll have, I think we
have to develop better strategies to collect the right data and do the right research.
And that research is not going to just be about analyzing traditional healthcare data.
It will have to do also with more research about the biology that's called, including
autopsies, looking on biobanks,
really going to other data sources that will allow us to hopefully get better understanding of what is happening. Because again, one of the things I think breaks trust is if the narrative that
public health agencies are telling to the public stand in complete
contrast to the experience of patients and medical professionals.
So when you say, oh, this is really safe and effective, nothing to be worried about, and
all of us, and this also came in many servers in the public, patients feel, and they are convinced, many of them are convinced,
that them themselves or close ones to them experience serious, sometimes serious adverse
events by the, in this context, the mRNA vaccines or COVID vaccines, that continue to double down on
that continue to double down on that narrative,
I don't think it's going to help us build trust. So I think we need to listen carefully
to what patients and medical professionals are telling us.
That should be a major input in driving our hypotheses
and what kind of research questions we are exploring
and what kind of safety questions we are exploring and what kind of safety questions
and hypotheses we are exploring. And you cannot just stick to one size fit them all or kind
of repeated kind of analysis that you do again and again and again that gives you answers
that seem to stand in contrast to the experience that people are expressing. But what you're pointing to, Retzeth, is that
underneath that is that same theme that we need to recognize the individual and
the sovereignty of the individual, sovereignty of the physician-patient
relationship, of the sovereignty of parents in relationship to their children.
And we need to stop this kind of paternalistic, we know best, and you're not allowed to question
what we believe to be true.
And maybe even more from the mental level, I've been talking to many, many physicians
and medical professionals over the last 19
years.
And I think that the best physicians will tell you, you always have to listen to the
patient.
That is your starting point.
Now, the patient might not be always right, let me just, but the patient is reflecting
a reality and ignoring those realities and let alone patronizing and gaslighting those realities
is the single most devastating thing you can do to destroy...
When I was trained, medically trained at Northwestern, which is an excellent clinical training program,
not so big on basic science but excellent on clinical. One of
the things that was drummed into our heads was you must listen to the
patient's chief complaint no matter what it is and you must address that chief
complaint. Whether or not you think it's right or wrong or crazy or anything else,
the patient's chief complaint has to be at the center of your treatment strategy.
So this has been an absolutely fascinating conversation thus far. I want to touch on
one of the votes that happened where there was, I know, Retz, if you had a divergent view. So I wanted to explore this a little bit. You mentioned RSV. This was
around the RSV question. In the end, both of you had different
opinions on this topic. So I wanted to explore why that
might be. And maybe Retzeth, if you could kind of explain
your thinking and just kind of remind us what the question
is.
Yeah.
So just to acknowledge, I think that the, again, as a result of the transition that
we had, this was a situation where essentially the last ACIP meeting had to vote on a new product by Merck of monoclonal antibodies for RSV, which is a similar product to a product
that was already approved by the previous committee by Sanufi that basically is immunizing
babies.
Or can you say something other than immunizing because
people get confused. Sure, go ahead. Why don't you explain that there? I just
want to underscore that we're talking about a monoclonal antibody that does
provide some quite a bit apparently of immune protection but it is not
immunization in the sense of a vaccine product.
It's a very different approach.
Over.
So I think that that's a technology that
has been used in various settings,
in fact also to treat COVID,
that was one of the,
extremely well actually quite successful,
but so far it was mostly kind of administered
to someone that is already sick,
or in many cases it was administered
to someone who's already sick
and help their immune system to boost,
to boost their immune system and fight a disease.
There is a product currently in the market
that is being used on high-risk babies against RSV
that needs to, that you need to, that you basically administer it with a shot every month throughout the...
And that was first licensed in 1988, so it's been around for a long time.
But this is the first time that we have products that are trying to prevent it and are given in advance.
And I think if we could have controlled everything, I think it would be good to discuss all of
these two products that are already in the market together.
I think that the committee was kind of put in an awkward situation when essentially I
have to discuss a new
sort of new product where there's already an approved product that is
essentially identical right so I fully acknowledge that however I think that
when I read the material I felt that we have two sources of issues that made me very concerned.
It's concerned enough to vote against the recommendation to give it to all babies.
And again, I want to emphasize this because I would have been okay with recommending it to high-risk babies.
And we can talk about this in a bit.
But the two things that concerned me were process issues
and substance issues.
But let me start actually first talking
about the process issues.
Because I actually am a process person,
so I believe that when your process is not good,
then I think that your chances of making
the wrong decision are much higher.
So I just want to highlight multiple flaws that I think I wish we can correct going forward
and hopefully we can also go and revisit in the context of the RSV product.
And we're also relying on this by the way.
Yeah, I know.
I think that the first thing is that we tend to have
clinical trials that are not powered
to really detect significant safety signals.
So it's almost by design,
you are not gonna detect any safety signals
in statistically significant
level unless it's a gigantic signal, you're not going to detect it.
But worse than that, I think that even the quantification of the benefits should have
been more nuanced.
And let me explain.
So the main purpose of these RSD products is to reduce the risk of hospitalization.
In fact, in the US and developed countries, the risk of really dying from RSV is, it happens,
but it's very rare.
It's very rare, right?
In fact, I think that 97% of the deaths of babies from RSV
are in developing countries and not in developed countries.
So it's really about reducing the risk of hospitalization.
Now, when you think about hospitalization, again,
as someone that worked quite some time in hospitals,
not all hospitalizations are the same.
Every hospitalization is bad bad and it's a horrible
experience for parents. I have six kids and one of them had to be in the hospital in the NICU twice
in his early stages of life and that was a horrible experience as a parent, like very, very,
you know, very, very stressful. But not all hospitalizations are the same.
Sometimes you hospitalize a baby to monitor them
just to make sure that they don't deteriorate.
But sometimes you hospitalize them
and you really need to provide them intensive care
and you need to hospitalize them in the intensive care unit
and to give them breathing support and oxygen support.
So I felt that we need to be far more refined
in defining exactly what we are averting and to what extent.
And moreover, also not only to look on how many people,
how many babies were hospitalized,
but also what was the time they spend in the hospital
and what intensity of care that was provided.
And in fact, the trials, the trials protocols
actually prescribed that the vendor
should report on those metrics.
And strangely enough, there were some initial reports
on the very first part of one of the trials
that actually did not look that good.
And after that, there is no more reporting on that.
So to me, that was already a red flag
that we don't have even all the information
about the benefits or in a nuanced enough,
personalized enough way.
Now, the other thing is there are two doses
in one of the products, there are two doses
in the Sanofi products, there are two doses,
50 milligram and 100 milligram.
In the Merck product, there is only 100 milligram.
So that's another nuance that we need to understand the benefits and the risks, right?
So a lot of missing information there, right? Now, the other thing that made me very concerned that
you actually look on the basically five clinical trials that were conducted on
five clinical trials that were conducted on these two products. And essentially in four of them in which death occurs among the babies
and not from RSV, from other causes,
there is an imbalance of the deaths that goes in the wrong direction.
For example, in one trial there were five deaths in the immunized babies versus the placebo.
In another trial there were five in the immunized and one in the standard care.
In another one there were seven to three and another one eight to four.
Now, these ratios should be adapted by the ratios of the participants because in some of these trials, the ratios are not one to one, but two to one.
But even after you adapt for that, you see higher rates of mortality
in all of these trials among the immunized babies.
And you also see some serious adverse events
that are involved in all,
in morphine, they involve hospitalizations
or really very intensive care and life-threatening conditions.
You see imbalance of nervous system, serious adverse events of gastroenteritis.
So when you look on all of this, I think you must be concerned that there are some unknowns
here or some concerns that are not cleared.
And to be honest, the fact that the presentation that was given to us did not include any thorough
discussion of this did not make me, to say the least, more comfortable with that.
Because if you just listen to the,
if you just read this presentation,
it would come across as safe and effective, right?
Great efficacy, nothing to be worried about.
And that's not something I think is reflective
of the current knowledge that we have now.
And that's my last comment before I let Robert
to react to this. I also think that we need now. And that's my last comment before I let Robert
to react to this.
I also think that we need to be cognizant to the fact
that RSV is a very tricky virus that has fooled us
multiple times in the past
with very unexpected unintended consequences.
Coupled with a new therapy in the sense that it's first time
that is given at scale to healthy babies and really create immune responses in the sense that it can
really elevate the antibody levels that you have in the in the baby's body in a potentially personalized way,
I felt that going ahead and giving it to all healthy babies
will be something that if I would put myself as a scientist
and also as a father of a newly born baby,
if I have a healthy baby,
if I have a baby that was born on time,
if I have a baby that is breastfed, right,
we also know that that actually provides protection
against RSD.
I'm not, I'm actually, I actually don't think as a parent
and as a scientist, I would recommend that that would,
that we will use a new product that we actually don't know
yet well the safety profile.
I would think about it very differently
if the baby was born early,
had some underlying health conditions
that can make them very vulnerable,
not only to exposure to RSV,
but also to get serious, severe RSV,
particularly being in the ICU and getting breathing support. I would
think about it differently. And I didn't feel that the recommended or the version of the
recommendation that was put in front of us captured these nuances and the lack of knowledge
that we have on the safety. So that's why I voted no.
So Robert, and of course, you voted yes on this issue. So can you kind of provide us a bit with
your rationale as a juxtaposition here to what RETCEF has discussed? I mean, I'm trying to kind
of model a little bit of some of the considerations that people coming from very different backgrounds
might have when assessing all these products. And I also might also add that, frankly, the committee actually accepted most of the CDC recommendations as well, which is kind of in stark
juxtaposition to the kind of fears that are appearing in the legacy media and so forth.
But please continue. So the truth is that we concurred with every single one of the recommended language points that had been
submitted by the subcommittees.
Now we did not have any vote or any opportunity to vote on anything having to do with the COVID mRNA products.
Just to be clear, there are some on social media that are asserting that we voted in
some way to endorse the COVID vaccine products, and that is a lie.
We did not do that. The RSV recommendation was debated extensively within the
community of the ACIP members. And let me just give you a little window into that.
First off, there is a system for assessing the potential cost benefit. There's not just risk
benefit but there's also cost benefit analysis performed. Remembering that if
the committee endorses and the CDC director concurs then the taxpayer will
immediately begin paying for these products and their
distribution and functionally their marketing. So is this cost effective? To
put a pin on that, the metric that's used that's been developed over decades for
asking that question is quality adjusted life years and the cost for quality
adjusted life year or death for instance.
And in the case of the RSV antibody product, which is as Retsv identifies correctly, is
functionally almost identical to an existing product that's already on the market.
It hits a slightly different place on the fusion protein, which is kind of akin to the
spike protein for RSV.
And by the way, the fusion protein has been the problematic part of respiratory syncytial
virus since the 60s. just to reel back, RSV vaccines have been one of the major failures in
vaccinology since the early 60s. There was a RSV vaccine product that was
moved into clinical trials in children. It resulted in clearly more children
dying. They'd receive the product than
those that didn't receive the product. So it has been a kind of the example of
what can go wrong in kind of a worst-case scenario in the vaccine
industry. Only recently there's been some progress in identifying what happened back then.
It's not completely understood. It has to do with changes in the structure of the
fusion protein when it was denatured historically for those vaccines. So it's been learned that one can engineer spike protein so that it stays in an open
conformation, and that if you do that, you can raise antibodies against that open conformation
as opposed to the...
You meant fusion.
You fusioned with it, not...
You said spike.
Did I misspoke?
So the reason for the confusion is because the same logic was applied to the spike protein
in the case of COVID, strangely enough.
Okay, so the spike protein for the COVID vaccines is also engineered to maintain it in the open
conformation, which was the strategy that was used with the fusion protein RSV.
And it's based on that that these new monoclonal antibodies
were repaired.
And the two different products attack slightly.
They bind to slightly different places on the open conformation
fusion protein.
That's a lot of science.
So the key takeaway is they're slightly
different and that matters if there is viral evolution. It makes it so that one
of them is less effective than will still have the other one in the quiver,
that's the logic. So that's kind of the underlying nature of what's being done here in the
quality adjusted life year per death calculation came out to north of a
hundred thousand dollars per life say. Now that's right on the border of what
generally is considered to be acceptable expenditures in public health.
So for every one person's baby whose life is protected by these products which are not
completely effective, they are leaky, they do not completely protect against RSV disease
in all cases. There will still, even if you inject every single
child, appropriate with this product, you still will have some children dying
unfortunately of RSV disease. Now which children will those be? This is the next
key thing. Unfortunately, about 20% of children who die or hospitalized
from RSV disease fit into known high-risk categories. So they have other
forms of disease that makes them more susceptible. And it's an easy call, as
Retsif is pointing out, to say, well, those ones ought to get this product.
That we can all agree.
The difference is the other 80% of cases of RSV hospitalization and death.
And I completely agree with his point that the hospitalization endpoint should have been differentiated
into a more severe and a less severe hospitalization.
That would have been super informative, but we didn't have those data. in disease from RSV that happens are occur in completely healthy normal newborns. I wish
that we could do what RETCIF proposes of have a PCR test or something that we could apply a dipstick
apply a dipstick to the child's urine that would say, oh, you have risk factors for high probability for disease or death from RSV.
But we don't.
Now, another key thing to understand about RSV is that we all get it.
We get it again and again and again. There's no one and done
lifetime natural immunity associated with RSV. Kind of like flu. Doesn't happen.
And your child, if they manage to get through the first six or twelve months
of life without getting infected
will at some point in time get RSV infection and develop some level of RSV
disease. Okay, so are we just kicking the can down the road if we get you give
every child that a jab with this product. Here's the thing, is that in the newborn and particularly in
the premature child, the very end parts of our respiratory tube, remember it branches
like a tree, it's called arborization, and way down at the bottom there are little tiny
sacks where the air is in very close contact with the blood vessels and that's where all the business
happens for breathing. It's the truth. And with the tiny little babies, particularly the preemies,
but also in the first year after birth, those terminal bronchioles, that's the fancy medical
term for those very end parts of the tubes, are so small that if the child gets
respiratory syncytial virus infection they tend to swell and when they swell
they're so small they pinch closed and if they pinch closed it's functionally as
if you're strangling the child only you're doing it way down deep in their lungs. So the thing that
happens is when the child grows so does their lungs, so does their airways, so do
the size that the diameter of those terminal bronchioles and so after they
grown up a little bit they can get RSV and RSV disease,
but it doesn't cause that degree of severity in restriction
and they tend to survive in what's a rare outcome
of hospitalization or death,
becomes extremely rare, almost unheard of.
So that's the context of the disease.
It's important to understand that. That's the context of the disease. It's important to understand that.
That's the context of the product.
And the other product, by the way,
had a manufacturing partial failure
and there was a restriction in supply in the prior year.
And so having two producers, slightly different products, different manufacturing
processes gives redundancy in the system or so the logic goes to help parents and their
physicians prevent the development of respiratory cessation virus in premature infants and newborns. But my assessment and that of the majority was that we have to live with the data that we have,
imperfect as it is, and make a decision today about what the guidance that we suggest be done for today's babies.
These are good points. I just want to point out that I think that the statement about not having indicators
is probably more true for hospitalization, but I wonder to what extent it's true for
really intensive care.
And the other thing I think that this is, even if it's not a binary comprehensive statement,
I think that it's still valid that the risk, a prior risk of a healthy baby that was born
on time and maybe is also breastfed is probably different than a baby that was born preterm and has some underlying
conditions. And why is that important? Because I think that we need to be able to articulate
to ourselves the risk benefits. Risk means that everybody has some chance of having some
severe outcomes. That's kind of a risk. but it's also a risk that some babies can have some severe impacts
from the vaccine, either short term or long term.
And I think that one of the other things
that we need to check is in the trials,
we actually administered these products
on an average on age three months.
What is the impact of delivering it
on the first day of life?
We need to also look on what are the long-term effects of that.
So there are many open questions there, and I still believe that the fundamental risk
level of a healthy baby is different than a non-healthy baby.
And not disputing what, I don't think that what you said is contradictory to what I'm
saying now.
It's just different levels of risk.
And when you look on the risk, it's not looking retrospectively on the outcome,
it's looking prospectively,
what are the chances that you're gonna end up
with really severe RSV that will require you
to be in the intensive care unit
and get breathing support, right?
Oxygen support, invasive oxygen support.
Every hospitalization is bad,
but they are not the same.
I think that having all of these voices
is an input to an ultimate decision
because at the end you need to recommend
or not to recommend.
While I probably would make a different decision,
I believe that the wisdom of the group
is a very powerful thing that over the long run
will be beneficial to rely on.
And again, as I mentioned, I hope that in the future
we're gonna have more members that will also help
to do all the load of work that needs to be done
and bring more opinions and more perspectives.
Again, absolutely fascinating discussion here.
And just kind of being able to think through the nuance.
Another thing that strikes me here is this discussion that you've had about these RSV products,
which are not vaccines, actually, as you highlighted, I think in some detail.
It also presents a lot of information that will contribute to
further decision making around these products and studies to be done to actually evaluate
if the decisions made now were the correct decisions or not.
We're getting a kind of a window into what it's like to be a part of one of these committees,
or specifically ASIP. This has been an incredible discussion. I've wanted to cover 15 other things,
I think, but it's actually been quite a robust discussion already. So let's just get a final
thought from each of you as we finish, maybe starting with Robert.
Well, thank you, Don. And thank you for the opportunity to have this discussion. I think that the audience in the public
are being given, as you say, a little window into what actually goes on, at least in this version of the ACIP. I am honored for the opportunity to be here
and to participate in both this discussion and ACIP. I am particularly honored for the
opportunity to spend this quality time with Dr. Zivi who continues to stretch my boundaries both
bioethically and in terms of the data analysis and I I look forward to four
more years quite literally of these detailed discussions examining the science, the data,
the medicine, and the ethics of the decisions that we're going to have to make three to
four times a year.
It's not going to be an easy road, but it's a path that I welcome, and I really look forward
to walking together with my other ACI youth peers.
Thank you and Ratz, a final thought from you?
Yeah, so I've been working in teams from age of 18. I've been part of teams
and I'm a great believer that the great things in life are accomplished by
well-functioning teams and I'm honored and humbled to be part of this team.
And I also want to say that I already kind of got the very strong impression about the
level of dedication and passion of not only the committee members, but also the CDC staff. I think my impression is that these
are good people, qualified people, talented people, and I think that one of the exciting
things for me would be also to work with them very closely because I think we all have a
common goal in mind, which is the health of our children, our parents, our friends.
And my sense is that we are serving the patients
and the medical professionals in helping them
in their intimate interaction,
thinking about the health related decisions
about the health of babies, the health of patients,
and how to make those best and tuned and personalized to the specific individual. And every individual
is different. And to me, that's kind of who we serve. And there is a lot of
noise from the media and from other directions. I hope to ignore the noise and just stay focused on interacting with my colleagues
on the committee with the CDC professionals in serving the patients and the medical professionals.
Well, Professor Ratzaf-Lavi, Dr. Robert Malone, it's such a pleasure to have had you on.
Thanks, John. you