Andy & Ari On3 - College Football Week 10 PICKS | Oklahoma-Tennessee, USC-Nebraska, Penn St-Ohio St, Vanderbilt-Texas

Episode Date: October 27, 2025

As the dust settles on a wild weekend, it's time to turn the focus to the slate ahead in College Football week 10. As Andy & Ari extensively covered the Brian Kelly news on Sunday evening (https://youtube.com/live/x0qV9NLebd4), it's time for this week's picks. Watch here as Andy & Ari pick the most intriguing games of the week here: (0:00) On Today's Episode(0:34) BetMGM(2:15) Intro: Wrapping up Sunday's news(3:44) Picks Record(5:35) Penn State at #1 Ohio State (-20.5)(17:27) #9 Vanderbilt at #20 Texas (-3)(27:13) Gametime(28:12) #10 Miami at SMU (+10.5)(35:03) Academy Sports + Outdoors  (36:14) #2 Indiana at Maryland (+21.5)(41:40) Huel(42:40) #5 Georgia vs Florida (+7.5)(49:41) Zombie Weekend?(51:18) South Carolina at #7 Ole Miss (-13.5)(57:30) #18 Oklahoma at #14 Tennessee (-3.5)(1:04:00) #23 USC at Nebraska (+6.5)  (1:10:35) #17 Cincinnati at #24 Utah (-7) It's a jam packed weekend ahead of college football and Andy & Ari have you covered with this week's picks! Our show is presented by BetMGM! If you haven’t signed up for BetMGM yet, use bonus code CFB and you will get up to a $1500 First Bet Offer on your first wager with BetMGM! Here’s how it works: 1. Download the BetMGM app and sign-up using bonus code CFB.2. Deposit at least $10 and place your first wager on any game.3. You will receive up to $1500 in bonus bets if your bet loses! Just make sureyou use bonus code CFB when you sign up! Make this college football season one for the history books. Make it legendary. See BetMGM.com for Terms. 21+ only. US promotional offers not available in New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US). Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). First Bet Offer for new customers only. Subject to eligibility requirements. Rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 days. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This show is also brought to you by Gametime! Take the guesswork out of buying college football tickets with Gametime.Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code STAPLES for $20 off your first purchase. Terms apply. Swipe. Tap. Ticket. Go. Download the Gametime app today! Visit Gametime.co. Our show is sponsored by Academy Sports + Outdoors! https://www.academy.com/discount Get Huel today with this exclusive offer for New Customers of 15% OFF with code STAPLES15 at https://huel.com/STAPLES15 (Minimum $75 purchase) Join On3 today and get one full year of access to The Athletic included! https://www.on3.com/subscribe/C Watch our show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/QAg7iGFJysQ Hosts: Andy Staples, Ari WassermanProducer: River Bailey Interested in partnering with the show? Email [e-mail] Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

On today's Andy and Ari on three presented by Bed-MGM. It is a pick show. We got some huge games to pick Ohio State and Penn State and what we thought was going to be the biggest game of the Big Ten, but maybe not. But we've also got Vandy at Texas, Miami at SMU, Florida and Georgia and Jacksonville, and let's not forget USC headed to Lincoln to play Nebraska.

We'll pick those and more on today's Andy and Arion 3 presented by Bed MGM. We are presented by Bed-MGM. We use Bed-M-GM-G-Lines and totals, and you can join us by joining Bed-M-GM- if you have not signed up for Bed-MGM yet. Use the bonus code CFB as in college football, CFB, and you'll get up to a $1,500 first-bet offer on your first wager with Bed-MGM. Here's how that works. Download the Bed-MGM app and sign on using the bonus code, CFB.

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Don't forget, if you haven't signed up for BetMGM yet, use the bonus code CFB and get your $1,500 first bet offer today. Welcome to Annie and Ari on 3 presented by BetMGM. It is a Picks show. We have games to pick. If you are coming in here going, wait, you're not talking about Brian Kelly. Don't worry. We had an entire show on Brian Kelly getting fired about potential candidates at LSU. You can find that show at the On Three Sports YouTube channel.

You can also find it on all of your podcast feeds. So if you have not caught up on that, if you're like, wait a second, you're ignoring the biggest story. No, we're not. We got it. But you can watch that one. A little bit of news on Monday. Joe Sloan, the offensive coordinator, was fired. And Alex Atkins, late of Florida State, is going to be the play caller for the rest of the way.

Yeah. Happy that you got that little piece of news into the show. I feel like we've been recording nonstop for the past week, and I'm happy to be back here today. So, yeah, it was a good conversation about Brian Kelly. I thought we did a pretty good job on Saturday night in the instant reaction show, you know, talking about the possibility that it was no longer a tenable situation. things happen quickly and slowly depending on how you define it on Sunday and you know here we are but yeah go check out that video um in your feeds both i think it's in the podcast feed too right and and it is yep so yeah go check it out now let's get to the picks uh records uh well ari you did better this week yeah you still didn't do better than me but you did better and i think that we should all take a moment and just give Andy Staples a round of applause

for just nailing that Texas game. Congratulations. Hey, good picking. Listen, the Texas Mississippi State game with Texas covering in overtime was just erased from the board, though, by the Michigan State backdoor cover. So it all came out in the wash. But I was also on Michigan.

Yeah, well, I bet I'm more right than you. My overall record is 46, 37, and one, and yours is 32, 51 in one. listen we've gotten to ari's bitter portion of the season okay so can you get you a little bit like i'm like pissed oh i'm i'm due for a one and eight yeah it's it's coming it's just a matter of time i felt like that was a six and four week for me and two terrible terrible back door i don't know if texas is a back door i guess if you're down by 17 with 10 minutes to go and you're taking plus six and a half you think you're pretty good about it but like uh you know that's gambling that's the fun of it that's why we're here and we're

doing our best my record is awful i'm embarrassed and i'm doing i'm going to do my best to eat back to 500 by the end of the year i'm going to try that's what i i am due for a one and eight and i understand this so you know last year i had a few seven in one weeks i need a seven in one week maybe it's this week well we pick nine games so it's eight and one or seven and two would be better yeah do we always pick nine games we usually pick nine games i don't know how we settled on nine i think we don't put nine in the graphic. But nine usually seems like a good number for this show. So want to start with the game we're going to? Yeah, sure. Let's start with the Confusion Bowl. I'm very confused. That's right. Penn State at Ohio State. We are going there. We're going to be there with

Medello. You can find us. They call it the Panera lot. And that is where the Modelo activation will be. We're going to be doing a show on Saturday morning. We're going to be yucking it up with the folks so come on by and say hello we will be there in the morning before the game obviously everybody's going to be there bright and early because it's a noon kickoff big noon baby who how early do you think panera serves broccoli and she soup uh the the the soups i believe go on sale at about 1030 in the morning so you could you could grab a soup yeah i think and then get get into the stadium it's a great location right on the other side of lane avenue uh i've done a lot to work at that panera in my lifetime because back in the day before macdonalds had reliable

wifi that was the closest place to go to write from the woody hay center uh so and that that panera and that size state university like that is the largest panera bread in the world i'm pretty sure yeah i used to write there even on days that i didn't have news conferences it's like a relaxing place and then like as i kept going i felt like it became more and more expensive hospital food and then i stopped going do you know how many bangers i wrote like big time stories, columns, even breaking news from that McDonald's on Olen-Tangy River Road, like right around the corner. Oh, I'm sure.

I'm sure. That McDonald's is probably responsible for at least 20 pounds of my weight to this day. But yes, all right. Let's get into this game, Andy. So let me tell you why I'm confused, okay? Okay. And like what I don't know. Well, let's tell the folks in the podcast form what the spread is.

Ohio State is favored by 20 and a half against Penn State. And I actually think that if Penn State were good, or like the Penn State that we thought they were going to be, the spread would probably still be somewhere in the seven range. But, yeah, did not see this coming before the season started. Now, one thing that you can't take away from James Franklin, you can make fun of his big game record, you can revel in the fact that he's no longer the coach if you don't like Penn State. But James Franklin always did an incredible job of mucking this game up. Penn State kept games closed and they had an uncanny ability to cover the spread even in the years they lost. That said, James Franklin is no longer there. Drew Aller is no longer playing because he is injured.

This is a massive spread against a team that even without its quarterback should still be the most talented team left on Ohio State's schedule. Ohio State is, in my opinion, the best team in college football. And this kind of resembles their final test of the year, if you want to call it. that so like do we think that there is a universe out there and by the way iowa's just dropping dimes on people right now they played iowa very closely um i don't know which way to go on this andy like is this going to be a close like penn state's athletic does something to muck this up and makes it closer is ohio state is going to win 47 to nothing like i have no idea here here's my question with this game and then this is i'm i'm in the same boat as you because i don't think

Penn State has quit, I don't think that they're going to lay down in this game. I think Penn State's going to come out, play as hard as possible, and they have lots of guys who are going to play in the NFL, just like Ohio State does. That said, even if they don't quit, even if they play hard, it is possible Ohio State wins this game by three touchdowns. Right, right. Yeah. Yeah. So I'm just like trying to figure out.

Because normally I'd say a team of this level of talent can't lose by more than three touchdowns. It just won't happen. But in this case, Ohio State's may be that good. Yeah. I'm going to take the points. And it's not because I don't think that Ohio State is clear and above better. I think coming off of an open week, being able to regroup, having good players, like Penn State is going to do something to at least keep this game marginally close. Now, marginally close. Ohio State could win 20, 31 to, you know, 13 and that be a blowout. It's a cover. Yeah. Right. So, like, I don't know that I believe that Ohio State will ever feel like it's going to lose. Hell, Ohio State never felt like it was going to lose last year.

and I think it was a one possession game. I don't think they're going to be in, like, scared mode. But my hope is at least maybe it's just because we're going, but my hope is that it's not like laughably bad. Yeah, I'd love to see a good game. I want to see Andy Coddlenicki get in his bag. Like, let's find everything crazy that you always wanted to run with Jason Bean back at Kansas. Like, hand those plays to Ethan Grunkmeyer and let's go.

Like, the shackles are off. like is there a world though where you really do open it up offensively use the open week to scheme up ohio state specifically uh you know grunkmire gets more reps with the ones than he's had all year probably and like they come out and look semi-competent the the problem there is not with pen state the problem there is ohio state's defense is so freaking good and arval rice is i think we We don't talk enough about Arvel Reese, which is, it's understandable because obviously Jeremiah Smith's on that team. Cornell Tate looks awesome.

Julian Sains is doing great a quarterback. Caleb Downs is the biggest known commodity on the defensive side of the ball in the whole country. But Arvel Reese is an absolute freak show. And the things they do with him, and to a lesser extent, the stuff they do with Sonny Stiles, nobody else has those players. Nobody else has that. Matt, Patricia, has so many things he can do

because Arvell Reese is a 6-4-230-pound missile. I'm going to ask this question humbly and you can yell at me and you can call me stupid if you want. But I think that this is a question that. I don't know. You do it sometimes without saying stupid. And that's okay. It's your lovable feature.

I'm actually scared to ask, but I'm going to do it. Does Ohio State have an argument for having the four best players in the entire sport? Oh, Ari, that's not a stupid question at all. It's not a stupid question. I don't think they do, but I think four of the top ten, I'm just trying to figure. Like, if Arvel, like, and maybe Arvel Reese hasn't done it enough yet to earn that mantle. You know, and like, you look around the country, there are a lot of really good players. I have him on my, like, those, the Heisman, you know.

know, top 10 that we send in every week. He's been on my Hysman top 10 for the last three or four weeks. Who are you taking over Caleb Downs on another team? Not many people. Maybe Bill Reese. Ruben Bain, I guess, is one that you might consider. And I guess like if you're just doing it from Ohio. Different positions, obviously.

You might actually like sacrifice Carnell Tate for a trade for Ruben Bain because you don't need Carnell. Yeah. Like how many players are you taking over Carnell Tate and like honestly who's, I mean, Arvel Reese has been more productive than Rubin Bain this year. Like if you go look at the stats. Right. And that's the scary part.

I think you may be right. I think between Reese and Downs, Ohio State probably has the two best defensive players in the country this year. I'm changing my pick, dude. I'm not doing this shit. Like, Ohio. I was talking myself. to the Ohio State cover here.

No, no. I just like, the thing, too, is that, like, I think that the total was 43 and a half, and this game could very well be, like, 38 to 3. Yeah. Yeah, I think that's what Vegas is trying to tell us here. Yeah, I'm going to take Ohio State. Sorry. Like, like, how, what is it? Is it like Penn State voodoo that makes these games close?

Or is it? No, it's Penn State's defense, usually, that makes these games close. They got a pretty good six last year. They've got a pretty good. defense, don't they? They do. What happened? And that, even if Penn State's

offense can't do anything against Ohio State's defense, it will be instructive for us as we try to figure out how the rest of the season is going to play out, it will be instructive to see Ohio State's offense against a really talented defense. It is so funny to me because even in the super era time, you wouldn't really have a lot of cases of, do you have,

like you wouldn't even be able to ask that question do you have the four best players like the fact that you could ask that question during a time in which there aren't other teams that are similarly built as them athletically it's becoming more and more clear that Ohio state's up and above the best team now I don't know if they're going to go win the national title what I saw out of A&M on Saturday night I thought you know hey this is a team that can do something Indiana obviously can do something I don't think we've seen the last of Oregon. We've seen Alabama beat some really good teams. Yeah,

it's not a shoe in that Ohio State wins the national title, but I don't think we're talking out of school if we say they're the most talented team in the country. They are. Yeah. And that MGM has them to win the national title at 2 to 1, which is insane for October 27th in a year where it seems pretty messy.

So, you know, this game is always typically close. I just don't know if Penn State has enough in the tank to pick itself off the mat. Now, From a psychological standpoint, do you think that Penn State could, like, get itself to a place of like, hey, if we went out, we still have a chance at the playoff? Can they at least lie to themselves about that? No.

No, I don't think they can do that. But I think this is more just personal pride. You're playing against the best in the country. You want to prove something. Like Penn State is going to give the best possible effort. I have no doubt about that. What I worry is they just aren't good enough on offense to do any. anything against this Ohio State defense.

So unless they could, you know, until they prove me wrong, I'm picking Ohio State's defense. This is, this is purely a pick for Ohio State's defense right here. I will take Ohio State to cover, even though they got to win my three touchdowns. Yeah. It's going to be in Columbus again, looking forward to it. Yeah. My hope for a good game. Do we need to, do you remember the last time Ohio State was favored by 20 and a half against

somebody at home? I do. Should we bring that up? Sure, if you want to. I don't think it applies, but yeah. I mean, we're going to see it from the press box and not a Texas roadhouse and college station, so I don't know that's the same situation. But, yeah, we can talk about that a lot the weekend of November or the week of November 29th, if you want.

Yeah, this is a very different situation. But for those who don't remember, Ohio State was favored by 20 and a half against Michigan last year. This is not that. Give me Ohio State to cover. And you know what the best part about that, Andy, is that even if Ohio State lost to Penn State on Saturday, it wouldn't even feel one-tenth as bad as that did. No, because it wouldn't matter and it's not your rival. Right. Because even like this year, it still wouldn't matter for Ohio State if they go into that game 11 and 0, but it'll matter if they lose it. This one wouldn't. Yeah. No, it'll matter. Yeah.

Let us move on to Austin, Texas, Vanderbilt at Texas. We played Guess the Line on Sunday, and Ari was right. I said Vandy should be favored by two and a half. Ari said, I understand how this actually works, Andy. Texas is probably going to be favored by something like two and a half, and that's what happened. And now it's Texas by three as of Monday morning. So you said, though, Ari, you think as the week goes on.

on, we'll see this line, get closer to pick them or actually flip, do you still think that's probably going to happen? Yeah, I do. Yeah, I do. A better team is getting points here. And now, now here's the thing. It's kind of like the Penn State discussion all over again, except Texas kind of controls its destiny probably to get to the CFP. You know, being only a one-loss team in the SEC, and their one other loss is a seven point loss on that was it seven it was seven right on the road at ohio state in the opener like there is still like a at least chance that texas could figure something out and go on a run and make it in the playoff my my question to you is do you think that texas is in a position to do that or do you think their personnel issues are just going to

keep popping up like there's two ways to look at the Mississippi State game. One is, holy crap, you're down by 17 in the fourth quarter. Everybody loses in that situation. You fought back. You fought your tail off on the road, went out and got a win. Now, it's not a hard fought. It's a hard fought win, but it's not an impressive win because of who you beat. But still doing that, it doesn't matter who you're playing. If you're down by 17, like that should be a loss in the fourth quarter. And maybe that is the game that maybe galvanizes something, spark something. Or maybe that was just Texas eking out a close win against team that was, you know, able to match up with him with them because of their personnel issues

and those matchup issues are going to continue to happen, you know, as they continue to play teams. So, I mean, it almost feels like with how bad Texas has been playing, Andy, almost a miracle that they only have two losses. They could have lost at Kentucky last week. In fact, they went to overtime with them and Kentucky was stuffed on a fourth and goal from the one yard line to help get him out of that. Of course, you saw what happened against Mississippi State. Punt returns, you know, advantageous playmaking, sure. Like, yeah, Vandy's not going to be dumb enough to kick to Ryan Niblett like Oklahoma and Mississippi State were, right? I wouldn't think so, no. Like, they're just not going to, they're not going to, they're going to say punt out of bounds. Like,

don't give that guy a chance to kill us. Let's make them drive the field. And again, we still don't know what's what's going to happen with Arch Manning. As we're recording this, Steve Sarkeesian has not spoken on Monday. He will speak later Monday. By the time this episode drops, he will have talked. So we'll see what they say about Arch Manning situation.

You know, given what we've seen from Matt Caldwell, I don't know that the offense is going to be all that different. It looks like Matt Caldwell can run that offense pretty effectively as well, the brief flashes we've seen of him. Yeah. We don't know who's going to play. It wouldn't it be funny. I brought this up on the video on Sunday,

but what would happen in the college football world if Caldwell played and then threw for like 400 yards and they won? Listen, Trinidad Chamblis did that at Ole Miss. I mean, Caldwell's got Wally Pipp's. That was a dime. Vanderbilt is a very good team. They don't seem to.

have gaping holes at position groups the way that Texas does on the offensive line. The only thing is with all the power rankings and the data that you're going to get with Texas, which, you know, I'm looking at a few power ratings right now and they have them as like a pickum in this game. Is there a second gear that Texas has yet to hit that you believe they can still hit or are you resigned to the notion that Texas is just what they are? They have told us what they are and we should believe them. So I'm interested in the Texas. defense because we saw Mississippi State beat them quite a bit through the air. Vandy, to beat you, needs to be able to get yards on the ground.

Now, there's a couple ways to do that. They can do it by handing off or they can do it by Diego Pavia, seeing an opening, scrambling, and gaining a bunch of yards. Can Diego Pavia scramble against these guys? Because that's the question. But also, you know, we've seen them against some more talented teams. Like, Florida average 4.3 yards of carry against Texas. Florida's offensive line has not gotten a huge push against most of the teams they've played,

but they got one against Texas. So I don't know that the Texas defense is as impenetrable as maybe we think. Yeah. No, I, we talked about this on Sunday. I'm going to follow through with it now. I'm going to take points in this scenario. I think it's going to be a good value bet by Friday. And by the way, we didn't mention this at the top of the show,

but I'm going to make an executive decision and say that you get. at one mulligan. Oh, yeah, okay. That's the one I wanted last week. I couldn't take it and I lucked into a win. But as soon as I found out Mississippi State was wearing the way in Madkin uniforms, I'm like, oh, Mississippi State's going to win by a million, which it kind of looked like they would for a while. Aren't you happy you didn't change it, buddy? Do you get the new spread at the end of the week if a line changes? Or do you just skip the switch sides? So, Producer River has officially, officially said the mulligan is not in effect so it's sort of like you know this is like bet mGM gives you the uh the profit boosts and i'm you know we we do the parley boosts and the profit

boosts on on fridays and saturdays for college football and they they have them for the NFL on on Sundays we're going to have our mulligan that's going to be our thing and i'm going to make an executive decision the mulligan can be one of two things you can either change your pick because something materially has changed about the game. Like a person's hurt that you didn't know was going to be hurt. Or if the line changes, you can take the new line because you feel like it's more advantageous to take the new line. Yeah, it's kind of like when you book a Southwest flight.

If you go back and check two weeks later in the fares lower, you can just update your flight and get that and travel credit. That's like I want to do if I can. I think that's fair. That's perfectly fair. We're both going to use them all again, I bet, because if we use the mulligan, that just means that at the very least, one of the lines that you chose will improve.

Like there are certain times, like, for instance, the line for the Mississippi State, Texas game on Friday last week was seven. So like if I would have used my mulligan, even if it was for a half a point, I would have one less loss. So, you know, we'll be using them. I wonder if we'll be switching sides at any point. I wonder, like, if Texas is catching three or there's a drastic shift, whether I would be willing to change my pick.

because I don't I think that like Texas still has like the ability and I'm not going to predict it but I think that there is ability that their hand can come out of the grave and do that thing like it doesn't a horror movie you know where it's like we're bad like I'm like Ryan Wingo if he catches every ball that gets thrown to him like how different is Texas season yeah I do think there there's something to that and Vanderbilt just won a game against Missouri where their offense like basically did nothing so So, like, if you go on the road and don't do anything offensively, you could lose a Texas. And I don't know if this is a logo mirage or if this is a respect for Steve Sarkesian and what he's built there or a little bit of both.

But, like, I'm not one, I think they're dead, but I don't know, like, I'm still waiting for the autopsy report. Wait, that's a bad thing because you only do autopsy on dead people. I'm waiting for the coordinator to pronounce them dead. So you got the priest giving him last rights. This analogy is very good. It's very tortured at this point, or I was dead for 14 minutes and here's what I saw. There was a light. Everybody sees the same thing.

I don't know if that's like because everybody just says they see the same thing or is that what they're saying? Like, doesn't that keep you up at night? No. Because I'm going to die eventually and that'll be that. And then. I know, but do you see a light? I hope so. And then my old basset hound comes running toward me.

Is that what happens? Just all floppy, like, hey, it's pretty cool up here. You're going to like it. I hope that's what it is. Yeah, how come nobody would they guys? I don't know if the Texas season is going to see a light if Diego Pavia is just dancing in the end zone, though. Yeah, like, and if you're going to hell, then you see, like, darkness and then that, like, gives you another chance to turn your shit around when you wake back up. But isn't hell on fire?

Wouldn't you see lights there, too? I don't know. It's like the tunnel and then you get there. I don't know. I'm not. I have a bad feeling we may be asking these questions of Steve Sarkesian on Saturday afternoon. Are you seeing any kind of lights? Coach Sark.

Yeah. That's morbid, but kind of true. Texas has to win this game. Texas has to win this game to stay in the live in the playoff hunt. Vanderbilt can lose it and still be in the mix. Ari is taking Vandy plus three. I also will take the better team that is getting points. If you're going to give me points for the better team, I will take that.

So give me Vanderbilt plus three. Now, if you want to go to any of these games, if you would like to go to Vandy, Texas, and Austin, if you would like to go to Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Knoxville, if you'd like to go to Lincoln and watch USC play Nebraska. Go to Game Time right now because they got tickets to all of it. Download the GameTime app, redeem the code, Staples, to get $20 off your first purchase. Terms apply, of course. You can look and see exactly where you'd be sitting.

I've got the screen up where you can look and see where you'd be sitting in Neeland Stadium, where you'd be sitting in Memorial Stadium. If you decided to go to Nebraska and USC, it is going to be so much fun this weekend. Why not go to a game in person? Game Time has tickets to all the games. Check on the day of. Sometimes the price is dropped dramatically. The price you see on the GameTime app is the price you pay, no hidden fees.

None of that BS. Also, use the code Staples for $20 off your purse, purchase, terms apply. Game time, swipe, tap, ticket, go. All right, Ari. Let's go to a game that is happening. Well, you won't be home, but it's happening right down the road from your house. Miami at SMU, Miami is a 10.5 point favorite on the road. SMU coming off a crushing, heartbreaking, gut-wrenching loss.

at Wake Forest, where Wake Forest walked them off with the last second field goal. Miami coming off a slow start against Stanford that turned into just them, clobbering them in the second half. Yeah, so obviously an important game in the ACC, you know, Miami does not control its own destiny in the ACC race, but if more results come in like SMU's loss on Saturday, then they will walk right into Charlotte. Miami got off to a really, really slow start against Stanford over the weekend and then like 1.42 to 7.

It kind of like woke up there in the second half. By the way, we have to take a moment and discuss these hideous jerseys. They were hideous, I think. Yeah, listen, I appreciate them supporting the troops and all that good stuff. But no, don't make them more camouflage. Also, they got made fun of a lot because it was like Carson Beck can't see his receivers. Or just do it in a tasteful way. like do like your numbers in camo and like the you and and still have your uniforms i don't know if

people liked these i thought they were terrible i don't think anybody like them i think part of the reason why they got off of such a slow start is because the ref had a hard time spotting the ball you're running into people not seeing them because they were blending into the field just awful awful situation they had there um Miami to me was on the last list of teams that I still think can win the national title. Now, the one thing that stands out to me about Miami that I didn't think I'd have to say is when they lost to Louisville, they got pushed around a little bit more than I would have liked to see. The reason why I felt like Miami was different this year is because I thought their front seven and their offensive line would keep them in every

game. And that'll probably still be true. But I think it should win you games like that Louisville game and it didn't. Carson Beck had not been playing well. You know, Carson Beck started the season off with five consecutive games. It was like, wow, this guy's really feeling himself. It's good. And then he threw four interceptions against Louisville and, you know, wasn't his sharpest against Stanford.

So I think that Miami needs to get back to playing good Miami football. I think they can still do it. I have faith in Mario Cristobal on the team that he's assembled to get there. But now is SMU going to be pissed off? because of what happened and respond to that or is SMU going to flatline after like what could have been like the death blow to their season? Well, and SMU's defense didn't start off the season particularly well, but had really kind of rounded into form.

And obviously you can't really put the loss at Wake Forest on the defense when they only gave up 15 points. So this I think is Scott Simon is one of the better defensive coordinators in college football. If you look at SMU success, the previous two seasons, a lot of it was due to that defense and how well they played. So I do think there's a chance that they make life hard for Carson Beck. And this is one, if Carson Beck throws some picks, SMU can beat Miami. So it really comes down to, you know, how accurate is Carson Beck going to be, how careful what the ball is going to be. I do think Miami, you know, the one thing about the Louisville game

that troubled me a little bit was because I just assumed Miami was going to, if they got into trouble, just handoff, just dominate the run game, bulldoze up front. And I thought most of the teams in the ACC, they're going to be able to do that against. You know, there's a few you might not, Georgia Tech, you might not be able to. But I thought in the most, for the most part, they'd be able to do that within the ACC, if not even against some of the more elite teams from the other conferences. The fact that they couldn't do that against Louisville was a little bit troubling to me. And SMU's one that I'm not sure you can just bulldoze unless you're good enough to bulldoze everybody. And I'm not sure they're good enough to bulldoze everybody. So that's the part

I'm worried about is if they get in a little trouble and are struggling the past game, can they rely on the run game? That said, I also would just try to get the ball the Malachi Tony in any way possible. Yeah, baby Jesus, right? Yeah. Well, that's kind of what they did against Stanford. You know, Mark Fletcher Jr. had three touchdown on the ground

in the second half. Yeah. They ran. Against Stanford, you can do that. I'm not sure it's that easy to do that against SMU. Yeah, I still don't think that, like, Miami can't throw, though. That's the thing. Like, I think that they're defense. I think with Miami's defense, combined with what we saw from SMU's offense,

their front seven on defense, their offensive line, And these are all things that I like. I can't quit them yet. I'm going to take Miami, like the 10 and a half in this game in Dallas. I'm going to take SMU. And I'll opt over there for this one. This is a big game.

I'm going to take SMU because I think they can keep this close. I don't think they're going to win this game, but I think they can keep it close. So if you're going to give me 10. And I will take the 10.5. And I'll watch this line because maybe I use my mulligan if this thing jumps up to like 12.5 or 13 and a half. Well, it's just I struggle.

I think maybe with the reason why I'm having is a hard time with picks this year is that like does the Louisville game tell you who Miami is or was the Louisville game a weird Friday night game where Miami didn't play well? Like I just like I don't know at times like what to believe. Do you believe the body of work that's overarching about this team? You know, for the most part my like the Miami team we saw in Tallahassee like wins this game by you know, 17 plus probably. But is that because Florida State stinks or because Miami is right and and the thing is we watched miami tally i see that like florida state got back into that game miami had control the entire time i know it was a six point game at the end it was not

ever close right i was never worried about miami losing so i wonder if miami's going to get back into a place like i think this is what happens in college football and it doesn't happen to everybody but it certainly happens when you lose a game and you were receiving a ton of big time hype at the first half of the year and then you lose a game, then it like overcorrects to the other side of like they were a fraud the whole time. And like, I'm not there with Miami. I don't think they're a fraud. I just think SMU is pretty good. And I think we're going to give them a game. So I will take SMU to cover the 10 and a half. You've got Miami to cover the 10 and a half. Before we get to our next game, let's talk about Academy Sports and Outdoors.

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10% off. Ari, let us travel around the country. We're going back into the Big Ten. Indiana at Maryland. The Hoosiers are a 21 and a half point favorite. The Terps so close so many times. I feel terrible for Mike Locksley because this happened against Washington. It happened against Nebraska.

It happening against UCLA. They just could not close the deal, and now they have to play the chipper shredder that is the Indiana Hoosiers. Andy, fun trivia question. I looked this up last night as I was doing my unfiltered thoughts, which are now live on On3, shameless plug. What do you think the combined record of Indiana's remaining big ten ponents are in conference play? Oh, God. Have they won a game? Can you give me a hint?

They won a game. It won a game. One and something. One in 17. Oh, God. Oh, my God. Wow. So get ready for regular season,

undefeated Indiana, ladies and gentlemen. I don't know if you're ready for it, but they're here. Do you think everybody, like the Indiana traveling party has already made at St. Elmo Reservations for the Big Ten championship game week? Yeah, they just popping up,

up the street right like um i don't know i don't know if there's a dead cat pen state bounce in there somewhere like penn state still has good players and anytime you have good players like there's a chance for something crazy or wonky to happen i don't know oh i fell into this trap last week rie when i took ucLA to cover against indian i'm not doing it again yeah i'm done like i'm gonna buy a billion for the rest of the year till they play ohio state in indianapolis yeah i mean it had a cover every single time they thump people Now, Maryland's, like, not bad. That's the thing.

Like, Maryland gets lumped in with, like, some of their old teams. You know, I don't know how you could not pick Indiana to cover because Indiana, like, plays with hate in their heart. Like, Kurtz and Eddie, Tarf Vader, they want to embarrass you. Like, that's, I did it all last year, too. Now, they won't be able to do that or play like that when they play in the playoff. but when they play a team they're better than like they have no mercy like it turns into a blowout and like did you see the UCLA game did you watch the first the first unfortunately yes I watched

it yes first play of the game was a pick six and that was it they won by 50 50 and they could have and they could have won by 70 and like it's on the road it's far away at least it's a traditional big 10 opponent at least in the recent past they don't have to go to the west coast but man Give me a reason. Give me a reason why Indiana doesn't win this game by 22. Listen, there's no line you can make that is high enough for the rest of the regular season for me not to pick Indiana to cover. If UCLA was plus 49, would you have like bet anything in your, in your entire, like, but I may, that would have forced you to bet. Yeah.

I mean, I took UCLA plus 24 and a half. I know, but if it was double, you would have been like, what is this line? yes and you want a lot anymore if if they had made this week's line 47 points i would have picked indiana cover yeah um maryland's had a rough go of it and the thing that's really difficult about maryland is is that this seems to be kind of a trend under mike locksley like if you go back and you look at most of the years they start four and five and oh you're feeling really good about it and then like they were up by what were they up by

Washington in the fourth quarter. They were up by 16. Is it 20 to 3? No, they were up by 17 points. It was 20 to 3 in the fourth quarter. They lost to Washington in regulation. So, like, and ever since then, it's just kind of fallen apart. But Maryland has an exciting quarterback.

You know, I think that you have to at least give them a shout-out from Leake Washington in the freshman's play. He's been really good. The game's on the road, like, is there anything that Maryland can do to keep this game at least respectable. Like we're not even saying when, but like not get blown off their own field

or is this Indiana going to blow everybody out for the rest of the year? Well, because I'm now picking Indiana to blow everybody out for the rest of the year, they're going to have a game where they don't. But I feel like Indiana feels like it has to do that to people. I feel like they are still in their like legitimizing themselves mode. Yeah, I mean, they don't, but I think it's part of their vibe.

I just think that's part of their team culture. or like just step on people's throats. I don't think that people realize or appreciate how hard it is to blow everybody out the way that they do. I guarantee they don't. We played one close game this year, or two, and one was on the road at Oregon, but against overmatched opponents.

They beat Illinois 63 to 10. Illinois obviously has been disappointing, but they're not an awful team. They're not bad? Yeah. I'm going to lay the points here. Andy they're in uh yeah they're in crush no line high enough from this point forward not not till they get to indie arie let me tell you about huel the huell black edition the best complete meal

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complete nutrition, to the world's largest outdoor cocktail party. So drink a Hewle Black Edition. And you're going to drink, which you're going to drink, which you're going to drink in Jacksonville. Georgia playing Florida in Jacksonville. Georgia's a seven and a half point favorite.

This is such a weird situation because this is Florida's first game since Billy Napier's firing. New play caller for the Gators, that would be Ryan O'Hara, the quarterback's coach. Florida's roster can beat anybody in the SEC already. Anybody. Can they coach Florida's roster? new group, Billy Gonzalez is the interim coach,

Ryan O'Hara calling the offensive play, same group calling defense. Can these people coach this roster better than Billy Napier did? Because that's really the question. Because if they can, Florida not only has a chance to cover here, Florida would have a chance to win.

I always yeah, it's like if Florida can coach this roster better than Billy Napier can if they fired him a month ago, rather than two weeks ago, would they be in the playoff conversation right now? Like, I love, like, those, like, second. Don't you just wish there was, like, A and I was advanced enough to, like, create scenarios of, like, what would happen if Tom Brady got drafted by the Browns, play this out for me?

Like, if you could, like, say, right? Well, what happened if Justin Fields played on one good team during his time in the NFL? Like, what would have happened if Billy Napier didn't start the season with Florida? and they had all the same players and the people who were coaching them this week. Would they have a better season or would they be way worse off? I don't know. And that's the question. We don't know.

We haven't seen any of that. So you could have a situation like UCLA where things got better because of the changes they made. Or it could be even worse. Like that's, we have no idea what it's going to look like. No. I've been picking Florida because of the sum of their parts all year. and I've been picking against Georgia all year because I don't think they're as good as people think they are

and I've been wrong on both turns a lot of the time like I'm sorry Georgia fans I'm going to correct that this week I think I'm going to lay the points here I think Georgia is not I don't think they're going to win the national title this year but like I don't know if there's some like coaching voodoo magic that like is going to get sprinkled on Florida and make them really good all of a sudden like I just I think George's offense is very good it's been really good this is not like this is not a

great Georgia defense so far. Yeah. So I don't know, seven and a half in a rivalry game on a neutral site is always, you know, two possessions is probably enticing. I found whenever Florida has been getting seven or seven and a half points all year to be a really hard thing. They disappoint you in Florida. It's, yeah, as someone who picked against Florida in all those games, I guess Texas was the only one that I didn't come out on the winning side of and Florida won that game. uh so here's what i think happens it's it's one or two directions either georgia's going to win this game by three touchdowns or florida's going to win outright yeah because if if these guys aren't any better and in fact are worse then george is just going to bow race him yeah but

what if they're better what what if they're slightly better what if ryan o'herer who is the quarterback's coach who is in constant communication with DJ Lagway, maybe has a better feel for what Lagway is comfortable running. Because that's an interesting thing about Billy Napier is up until, you know, kind of right before he got fired, he wasn't even really polling the assistance about what their players wanted to run. like most good offensive coordinators ask the quarterback

what do you like this week? What works for you against this? And that wasn't something they started doing until kind of late in the process. You got Dallas Wilson a little bit healthier this week. Ari, I'm going to take Florida to cover. I know what I just said.

Either Georgia wins by three touchdowns or Florida wins outright. I'm going to give myself some wiggle room there in case something disastrous happens. But I think Florida's going to keep this close. So you call for the Bizarro weekend, right? Like Arch Manning's not going to play and the backup quarterback's going to throw up for 731 yards

and Florida's going to win this game outright. I picked Vandy in the Vandy Texas game. It could be a bizarro weekend. Like Penn State without Yes. Alar like Andy Kodlnicki. Well, it's Halloween weekend and the zombies are out. You got Zombie Penn State playing Ohio State

and Zombie Florida playing Georgia? Yeah. Zombie LSU will be playing Aller. Alabama next week, but they're off this week. That is such a funny column idea. I might, one of us should do with that. Like, zombie football weekend. Like the, the, the teams that we thought were dead rise from the grave.

We saw zombie UCLA? Yeah. Zombie UCLA created zombie Penn State, which is sort of how zombies work, right? They bit Penn State on the neck and created Zombie Penn State. Yeah. Zombie Florida. See, zombie Florida, like, zombie DJ Lagway and zombie Dallas Wilson and zombie Jaden Baugh, probably the scariest group of zombies out there.

Yeah. All right. Zombie Weekendators. Oh, I'm sorry. Ari's already writing the column. I like, I, did you hear me typing? I'm sorry, I typed the premise into a notepad, so I don't forget. Like, I think one of us should do it.

If you want to do it, it's... No, it's all yours. I have to rank the quality of the job openings, which I'm sure will enrage fans of my alma mater. It's pretty easy. Pretty easy. And the only people who will disagree with your premise are the people who have something that have skin in the game.

That's like not even a debate. Oh, Producer Rivers, speaking of zombies, has a question. Okay, real quick, though, do people in Florida think that Florida's a better job than LSU? Some people. Okay. Not everybody. All right. What's Rivers question?

Have you heard zombie by the cranberries yet? I listened to it last year. I honestly don't know if I heard it like right now. That is amazing to me that that song, which played everywhere for like two years straight, did not penetrate your bubble of obliviousness as a child. Yep. I don't know.

Well, here's my, it's like if the song played, I'm sure, yeah, I heard that in the mall 9,000 times. The thing that I've always struggled with, Andy, my entire life is, like, name recognition. Like, I don't know, actors' names and actresses' name. I know who Sidney is. But if you ask me, like, what do you think of this, of this actor that's in this Netflix series that I've seen in 19 different movies in, like, the last 20 years? You just don't know who that is. Yeah.

Yeah. And maybe it's because I know who the left tackle of, you know, Auburn is. And, like, I don't have enough room for all of it. Like, you are a beautiful mind because you have room for all of it. Xavier Chaplin. Yeah. See what I'm saying? like you just uh the fact that i know who like isaiah world is means that i can't know who

like sydney's like co-star is like that's okay yeah yes i know who zidaya is it's funny there's like this weird cool has that active actresses and me knowing who they are and like like you know that like dude who's like the mot like the the head of the cartel and like 19 different like movies about the the mexican cartel yes people know who that guy's name is like i know who that guy is um No idea what that human's name is. If you look like Sidney, maybe I would. I don't know.

But how do we get off on this tangent? Oh, zombie. Yeah, zombie. Cut that sound. Just, just, we need to, how did we get off on this tangent? All right. Give me zombie Florida. Ari's going to take Georgia to cover.

I'll take zombie Florida to cover. Potential zombie situation here. even though nobody's been fired. But did South Carolina, did their season expire when they lost to Alabama when they were winning in the fourth quarter, basically gave the game away?

South Carolina now going to Ole Miss. Ole Miss is a 13.5 point favorite. Ole Miss is in a great situation. Ole Miss has four games left. They have the probably easiest four-game remaining schedule of anybody that's a playoff contender other than Indiana. So what do we think happens here?

What version of the Gamecocks do the Rebels get? The one that laid down against Oklahoma two weeks ago or the one that gave Alabama complete hell for four quarters? As we're recording the show, one of our colleagues is texting me, taking exception to a point that I made. And it kind of... mirrors what we're going to be talking about here okay um and as you know my opinion is that at

times the SEC insists upon itself a little bit that like and i think that my actual premise of the SEC in general is that Alabama and Georgia aren't as good as Ohio state in Indiana and as a result when teams like Missouri and South Carolina and Vanderbilt and like the middle tier teams that are very good, but not elite of elite. So South Carolina does not belong in that group. South Carolina played Alabama close. So there's this illusion that South Carolina is a tough out because they played with Alabama.

And it's like, you know, it's just, it's not, South Carolina is not any good this year. Now, I don't know, like, Ole Miss is going to walk into the playoff. There's no way they're going to be, they're going to be a two-and-two against this. Like, if that happens, then my God. But, like, I don't think that's going to happen.

But, like, I still think there's some question about how good Ole Miss is. It's like, what is Ole Miss? Help Lane move if he went two and two these next four games. I know. You want to go to Gainesville or Baton Rouge. You're welcome to go. Like, when you think about it, River, can you put their schedule back up for a second just so I can visualize it?

Like, what is their most important, like, season defining win. It's Oklahoma, right? Over this past week. Tulane, what if Tulane wins the American goes to the playoff? When you look at this, it's like, well, Ole Miss just made it through the big, bad SEC. And it's like, show me the teams on here that are like any good.

Right. All SEC schedules are not created equal. And Ole Miss kind of maybe needs to go 11 and one just to be sure. I think they're making the playoff at 10. to anyway but they're going to because it insists upon itself but like i still have questions about whether or not old misses like actually really really good or if they've like walked through a schedule that's more advantageous than the logos on the helmet indicate and like like that's why i faded him last week and i was wrong um so maybe i am wrong about old miss lane kiffin is this might

just be his year it seems like things i think they had their stinker against washington state and they won yeah and i don't know that they're going to have another stinker. Like they had two stinkers last year. They had the Kentucky game and they had the Florida game. And maybe the Florida game's different. Let's see what happens in Florida, Georgia, and then we'll revisit because Florida Ole Miss is going to have

all manner of psychic freight on it when those two teams play. But I'm not worried about Ole Miss against South Carolina this week because I think South Carolina, that was the last dying gasp was them

fighting against Alabama, giving Alabama hell. I'm going to agree with you on the SEC insisting upon itself situation. I don't think South Carolina because they played Alabama tough is good. I think Alabama does not play well unless they're playing a good team. I think Kalin DeBoer needs to work on Alabama showing up against teams that they're supposed to beat. That's the difference. Yeah. So I think South Carolina is not going to run into that with Ole Miss. I don't think Ole Miss is going to underestimate South Carolina. I think they know that South Carolina has some freaks,

but South Carolina also has some major weaknesses that Ole Miss can exploit. For sure. I'm taking the points after my diatribe because it is a lot of points. It's a lot of points. I don't know that, like, I think South Carolina is not very good. and like I don't know if there's like a discernible difference between the team like USC and a team like Tennessee for instance although Tennessee would probably be viewed by the general public

as better just because they're in the SEC I still feel like I'm not you're talking about the USC in California not not South Carolina yeah yeah just saying South Carolina fans call them USC also but South Carolina is not a very good team obviously I'm going to take the points because they are getting 13 and a half as if they're playing like a national title contender

and I'm not sure it will miss is that yet. I might be wrong, but I'm going to take the points and see what happens. I'm going to go the opposite of what I did last year because last year, South Carolina was coming off the LSU loss, which South Carolina fans will tell you, they got stiffed in that game by the refs. And I was like, oh, well, there's no way

they don't bounce back here against Ole Miss. And Ole Miss just demolished them. and there may be a styles-make fights situation going on here too. So I'll take Ole Miss to cover this one. Yeah, with you. Wait, I thought you were taking South Carolina. No, no, I'm taking South Carolina. I'm taking South Carolina, but I'm with me.

Sorry, I don't want to confuse anyone. Yep. I get very easily confused. Let us head to Knoxville, Tennessee. Dark mode engaged. It's the Tennessee Black Uniform game. And I remember a million years ago when I covered Tennessee as a beat writer, people call into John Wilkerson and Jimmy Hymn's show complaining about even the slightest little tweak

to the uniforms, but they have embraced dark mode. Producer River even has the black background for the Power T for this game. He's ready to go. Oh, yeah. He knows it's a special occasion. I covered one of these dark mode games three years ago. They had Kentucky coming in about this time in the season. And it is an electric atmosphere at Neeland on these nights.

Oklahoma will get the full breadth of the experience here. And that's going to be tough because Tennessee is playing really well. Oklahoma's back against the wall. So is Tennessee. This is an elimination game. This is a playoff elimination game. Losers out. Winner keeps going.

Who got, Ari? I don't know. I don't know. I don't know. The top of the Big Ten gets to play the bottom of the Big Ten a lot because there are more teams in the Big Ten and the bottom of the Big Ten like exists. Like the Purdue's don't exist in the SEC, maybe outside of Mississippi State.

The Maryland's don't exist. The Minnesota's don't exist. I feel like the entire SEC is like the middle. And like all these games have like come into like coin flip scenario. and now like I feel like I'm left with vibes like Oklahoma's vibes are down Tennessee's vibes are high Tennessee's going to have an electric environment Tennessee's receivers are all eating everybody's in love with Joey Aguilar and it's like all kind of happening and Oklahoma is just down right now and like I don't know if I think that like from top

to bottom Tennessee is immeasurably better than Oklahoma but like it's very hard to cap these games because what John Mateer are we going to get? Are they going to play really good defense? How good is Oklahoma's defense? Actually, they played a really good offense for the first time this year and they gave a bunch of touchdowns in the first half. Like, I don't know. I'm going to lay the points here

with Tennessee because it's on the road and I'm just going to go with vibes here. But like, this is just another like muck it up in the middle of the SEC type game and like whoever wins is going to be great and whoever loses is going to be pretty good still. And like, I don't know. Like, help me. I'm, I'm, I'm

just putting it on record, but I'm going to pick Tennessee first because I don't want you to think I'm cheating. But, like, I really don't feel good about either side of this game. So Tennessee is a three and a half point favorite in this game. It's really hard. I mean, what you're looking at, especially with an environment like this, a home field advantage like this is this is the book saying this is essentially a pick up at a neutral site. So what you're saying about which Oklahoma you get is a legitimate question because we saw them play as poorly as they played this season against Texas. And then they turn around and just go on the road

and crush South Carolina. Like the same place that Alabama struggled this past weekend, Oklahoma annihilated the home team the weekend before. And so I have no idea what we're going to get. I think it's going to be really that day how everybody feels. you talk about it being vibes, it's kind of the vibes when you wake up that morning,

what team you're going to get for either one of these. You know, Tennessee, we've seen them give up quite a few points now. Their only two losses are to Alabama and Georgia. Teams that we all agree are good and probably going to the playoff. I think Tennessee's better. I think Oklahoma's going to struggle to stop Tennessee's offense. But I also think there's a chance if Oklahoma gets pressure on Joey Aguilar, Maybe they can force some turnovers that change this.

Here's the reason why I'm picking Tennessee. It's because I thought Oklahoma would have a better opportunity or a more likely opportunity to put up a bunch of points against an Ole Miss defense that has been leaky at times this year, and they did not do that. So now they're going to go on the road and, like, I think that Tennessee is going to score. I don't know if Oklahoma's offense is going to be able to keep up.

Like, what is it about Oklahoma's offense that you're like, they can really, like John Mateer is good. There's no question. I think Dionne Burks is good as they had to say. Satangia is awesome. Like, they've got pieces. But, like, what are you going to be able to rely on and know that's there on the road? I'm with you.

I think that's the biggest question. And Oklahoma's not had a consistent run game all year. You know, it seems like when they really need yards on the ground, it's material that they rely on. So that is the biggest issue I have. Like, I know how Tennessee scores. I know how Tennessee, like, it, The path to winning for Tennessee just feels clearer and easier to define than the path to winning for Oklahoma. The path to winning for Oklahoma is going to require some stuff that really hasn't happened all year.

And it's their defense forcing Aguilar into a disaster game where he has a bunch of negative plays or a bunch of turnovers. Like that's the path to win. Tennessee's path to win is much more clear. Yeah. I think somebody's breaking into your house. Sorry about that. Smokey, the Tennessee mascot actually broke into my house. And it was barking to get me to stop thinking about how Tennessee can lose

and just start thinking about how Tennessee's played all season. And if they play that way, they probably win this game. Yeah. So you're joining me? Oh, I'm joining you. Yes. I'm going to take Tennessee to cover here. This one I might use my Mulligan on later.

I want to see where this line goes. But I kind of think it's probably going to go the other direction. I think it may go away from Oklahoma. We may see Tennessee five and a half come kickoff. So I think if basically, if what we have decided is the representative game for these two teams, if each one plays their representative game, Tennessee is winning this game. Yeah. I'm with you.

So we'll see. All right. Let us move to Lincoln, Nebraska. USC at Nebraska, USC is a six and a half point favorite against the Cornhuskers. This actually is a playoff elimination game. Both of these teams sitting with two losses. Winner is still in. Loser is out.

Now, I don't know that either of these teams are serious playoff contenders. Both of them have very hard games down the stretch. USC still has to play against Iowa and against Oregon. Nebraska still has to play Iowa. But that said, hope is hope. And for USC, you know, if they win this game and then they're in contention to make the playoff in November, even if they wind up 9 and 3 or 8 and 4, it's still an improvement over last season.

That's still what you wanted is for them to get better. I wish we could do like an ocean side effect because the tide is pulling me in. The USC tide is pulling me in. And I don't know what it is about that place, but I can't quit them, even when I get angry and I want to. I can't. I don't think they're dead at all in the playoff race. No, they're not dead.

I don't think, they're not technically dead. There's a lot of teams that aren't technically dead. I actually think they have a pretty good shot to do it. I'm very curious. I don't think they have a good shot, but it is, It is plausible. Like, USC making the playoff at 10-and-2 is entirely plausible. They will make the playoff at 10-and-2.

That's not even a debate. It's about whether or not you think they can- It's a debate about whether they're going to go 10-and-2, and I don't think they will. You know, but like the only bona fide game that you feel like is like you go into that game, like they're going to lose if you're a USC doubter would be the Oregon game. That's correct.

They're playing on. And also don't doubt them as much in that game as I would have at the beginning of the season. like i think u sc can win every game left on its schedule yeah and i know that they they lost their last time out on the road at notre dame i thought they existed pretty well in that game and they had some turnovers that really hurt them i think in a in another world they could play that game again and win um nope you don't no not when you're giving up that many yards of carry you're you're going to lose every time you do that yeah you're going to be six point nine five yards per

carry you will lose every game where you you give up seven yards of carry yeah i mean but on the other side too though it's just like they only scored 24 and they could have scored like 38 no Notre Dame also had bad turnovers too so maybe they just cancel each other out like yeah but the thing is this USC team is not going to allow seven yards of carry against Nebraska Nebraska is not shown the capability to do that to anybody yeah and I just I wonder too Like if Jaden Maiava has gotten enough due as one of the most productive quarterbacks in the country, your favorite stat, Andy, number one, yards per completion, and the only quarterback in the country.

Not yards per completion. I once had an editor ask me why we use yards per attempt and not yards per completion. And I said, because if you go one of 37 for 99 yards, then your average yards per completion is 99 yards. But you had a terrible game. So, yeah. Thanks for the correction. more than 10 yards per attempt is the only quarterback in the country who's doing that.

Only one. Which is, I think, something special. Obviously, the receivers are very good. I think they've got a very potent offense. And, like, I just doubt Nebraska's ability to keep up in this game. Yeah. And so Nebraska's got to protect Dylan and I a little better. But Nebraska's also got to be able to run the ball a little bit when it wants to.

And that has just been one of the major problems all season. I mean, you know, if you look at their. They're rushing totals. They ran for three, you know, four yards of carry against Northwestern, which is pretty good. In that disaster against Minnesota, there's 1.2 yards to carry. Now, these aren't sack adjusted, but still, 1.4 yards of carry against Michigan, only 2.2 yards of carry against Michigan State and a win. Like, they don't dominate up front.

They just don't. They don't. And USC is capable of running at will on teams. You saw them do it to Michigan. You know, they didn't do it at Illinois. And that's really kind of the difference. Like when USC is gaining yards on the ground at will, they win. Now, they didn't do it against Notre Dame,

but Notre Dame has a lot better defense than most of the defenses they're going to play. So I think against Nebraska, USC is going to be able to run the ball. Give me USC to cover in this game because I think this is a bad matchup for Nebraska. I think things USC does well are meant to take advantage of the things Nebraska does, I'm with you I'm pulled back in this is probably you're pulled all the way

I need convincing like I need USC to win this game and then go beat Iowa and then I'll probably feel a lot better about going to order it out Andy too I wanted to make this point I think that there's a perception that like Nebraska plays

Big Ten West football and they're actually not as tough as like an Iowa would be so like that they're very different than Iowa even Minnesota I mean you saw it Minnesota did them like Minnesota is still tries to play that old Big Ten West style.

Nebraska doesn't play that style. It's not, it's not, it's interesting because they don't want to play that style. It's Matt Rule correctly understanding that if you want to be competitive in the Big Ten at large, you can't just be a ground and pound, try to win every game, 17, 15 kind of team. But you still have to be good up front. Like, Ohio State is still dominant up front. Indiana is still dominant up front. but they also can beat you in a shootout.

And that's the difference. Nebraska is kind of built for shootouts, but they don't have that offensive line that you can just when you need them to move the ball for you, they can. They just don't do that. So that's what they want. That's ultimately what Matt Rule would like to create,

but they don't have that right now. So that's why I doubt very seriously they can win this game. Maybe they prove me wrong, but we'll see. yep all right next up one more we go to salt lake city rice echo stadium home the must

the mighty utah student section Cincinnati undefeated in big 12 play Brendan soresby one of the most exciting quarterbacks in the country guest on Tuesday's show Oh, Brennan Sorsby, at Utah, where Bird Ficklin took over at quarterback last week in a destruction of Colorado. Utah is a seven-point favorite.

What do we think happens? Just a quick aside before you get into this game, Colorado was losing 43 to nothing in the second quarter, and I think we have to have a conversation at some point about Dion Sanders this week. Like, I don't know why no one is talking about that, but like, is this the beginning? of the end there. Like I, I'm not overreacting. It was like one of the work beatings I've ever seen in my entire life. And you have to question, you know, and it's not, you know, I appreciate the hardship that Dion Sanders has gone through. I can't imagine what he's been through. And I give him a lot of credit for his commitment to the team and the program through what would have been a pretty

debilitating situation. My question is, what is Colorado going to do to get off the mat in this situation because it's like the sexiness is over with them losing by 50 doesn't really move the needle nationally anymore we're not talking about it like what do you do to get them off the mat i think we should talk about later um you talk we will did they ever leave or did they just lose to texas tech i don't know they got smacked in that game they did get smacked in that game but texas tech's really good and it might just be that they lost to a good team devon dam pier was available to play. He was probable for the game. They ended up holding him out, letting Bert Fickland start. So I would think Devin Dan Peer is going to be available for this game.

This is going to be a very big test for Cincinnati because Cincinnati, we saw them lose to Nebraska week one in a tight game. Soresby throws an interception right at the end. Sorsby's been light out since then. He's been unstoppable. And Cincinnati has legitimate Big 12 title aspirations. You've got to win this game to keep pace, though, because you've got an undefeated BYU. Now, Cincinnati and BYU were going to play, Texas Tech and BYU were going to play.

But Utah can't lose again. Utah cannot lose another Big 12 game. So this is critical for them. I am done betting against Cincinnati. I've picked against them, I think, a few times, and I think I've been wrong every time. So I am going to take Cincinnati, especially because you're giving me a touchdown.

Yeah. Halloween weekend in that environment could get pretty rowdy, though, huh? Oh, yeah. Yeah, Salt Lake City is a great town. Rice Eccles is a great place to see a game. The student section at Utah is incredible. I can't wait to see this.

I think it's going to be so much fun. This is, the quarterback matchup, you know, Dampier's not the best thrower. I think Sorsby's the more complete quarterback, but you could have these two dudes running all over the opposing defenses. Sorsby took a dude's ankles from Baylor last week. It was pretty impressive. Yeah, I put Sorsby in my top ten on our Hysman ballot for on three. Like, I think he's playing a really high level. You know, he is certainly an entertaining guy, and I can't wait to see if he's entertaining in person because we're going to have him on the show.

on Tuesday where we can break down this game further even, Andy, but I'm going to take the points here as well. Seven seems like a lot, and Cincinnati's just playing really good football right now. I might use my molligan on this. We'll see how it goes, but for now Cincinnati is the pick. Yeah, I am curious

how this line moves. I don't think it's going to move toward Utah. It might move back toward zero, but I don't think Utah is going to going to have to lay any more points. I think people are going to look at that and go, that's a lot of points given the way Cincinnati's playing. You know, also, this is the Big 12.

It's going to be a muck. It almost feels like in order for the Big 12 to be a complete mess, like Utah just has to win this game just to make things more complicated. And maybe that's just like, is Cincinnati going to be able to traverse the Big 12 schedule without getting tripped up? Like this seems like a classic trip-up spot too. So like I said, I might use my molligan here.

The spread seems a little bit too big, seems suspiciously big, which makes me think there's maybe something up, but let's get the vibes of Brendan Sorsby on the show first before we make a final decision on that. Yeah, yeah, we're going to talk,

we're going to have Brins and Sorsby on Tuesday's show. If his vibes are immaculate, Ari, then we just stick, we just ride this out, then we pick correct. Yeah. Yes. So you will get a chance to decide

because obviously, you know, you don't have to place any wagers on the game yet. You don't have to do it when we, it just because we picked on Monday. You can wait a little longer. And yeah, listen to Brendan Sorsby on Tuesday's show. See how you feel. See how the vibes come off. Thank you for watching. Be sure to subscribe to the On Three YouTube page. We will talk to you on Tuesday.