Andy & Ari On3 - How many different college football programs will win a national title between now and 2035?
Episode Date: June 25, 2025We’re sponsored by Rhoback, the makers of the most comfortable and stylish hoodies, polos, q-zips, shorts and joggers. Use the code ANDY on Rhoback.com for 20 percent off for all new customers. That...’s spelled RHOBACK.com. That’s 20 percent off all performance hoodies, polos and shorts with code ANDY.(0:00-4:35) Intro: CFP Champs in the next decade?(4:36-17:58) 5-Star QB Ryder Lyons commits to BYU(17:59-18:49) Rhoback Ad. Code: ANDY(18:50-21:38) Join the chat on YouTube, it's FREE(21:39-26:54) Who wins a title in the next 10 years?(26:55-37:11) Where do Michigan, Penn State fall?(37:12-43:33) How will Clemson, Georgia fare?(43:34-50:35) Outside Looking In?(50:36-1:01:40) Who did we leave out?(1:01:41-1:11:33) EA Sports Toughest places to play(1:11:34-1:13:25) Conclusion: See you tomorrow! How many programs will win a national title in the next 10 years, and which teams will pull it off? The NBA just crowned its seventh different champion in seven years. Is college football headed for a similar level of competitiveness, or will a few teams still dominate the landscape. In the 11 seasons of the College Football Playoff, there have been six different champions (Ohio State, Alabama, Clemson, LSU, Georgia, Michigan). Is it possible the curve is flattening enough to have eight or nine different champs in 10 years? Watch our show LIVE, Monday-Friday at 9:30 am et! https://youtube.com/live/EL3eX3GoLIc Hosts: Andy Staples, Ari WassermanProducer: River Bailey Want to partner with the show? E-mail advertise@on3.com
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Welcome to Andy and Ariane. Wednesday. Happy hump day.
We have a very interesting conversation that it sparked by.
I guess the NBA sparked it and then are you had the idea?
How many teams are going to win the national title over the next 10 years?
Because the NBA has had seven unique champions in seven years.
And you and I have been hammering everybody over the head with.
We think that the NIL transfer portal era is going to make things a little more
even in terms of being able to win a national title in football.
So we are going to talk about all of this.
Yeah, I've gotten two good podcasting ideas this week and neither of them came in the
shower.
So that's the upside of the week.
Yeah.
Yeah.
I'm excited about this because there's two parts of the discussion, Andy.
It's how many teams in totality will win in the next 10 years and who do we think will
or can?
And we were discussing it over text the three of us yesterday and I think
the difference between who will and who can is pretty pretty stark.
And I think that you and I probably have some disagreements about that.
So I want to go through all the see I don't think it's that stark.
Like I don't I don't think there's a big difference at all.
I think there was a huge difference before between who can and will see.
See I think that if you can there's a good chance you will now like I mean,
there's been a lot of four where can in the
past that didn't even come close like this.
Texas A&M can win a national title.
Will they? Those are two very different,
but I don't think you could have said they
can win one in the old era. I mean,
maybe you could have, but oh,
I think that there were probably 15 programs
that in the old era that had a national championship ceiling
like for instance, you live in Gainesville, you're familiar
with Florida. What's Florida's program ceiling? Can they win
one in the next 10 years? Absolutely. Will they very
different proposition to me? Yeah, but it's a lot different
proposition than when Alabama and Ohio State were dominating
the everything and getting all the best recruits.
The can they is a lot easier now to translate to will they than it was before.
I mean, I guess so. I mean,
That's the whole point of the conversation, Ari.
No, no, I mean, I don't know. I still, I'm not on the same team as you here.
So you still think it's going to be the same four or five teams. Nothing's going to change. No, I think
something will change. I think there are teams that have a
national championship ceiling who are closer to being there
than other teams that have national championships. For
instance, Oregon has never won one right Oregon in my opinion
will win one in the next 10 years.
I don't know if I would sit back and say Texas A&M will win
one, even though I think both programs have the same ceiling.
That's fair.
I see that distinction.
That's all I'm trying to say.
I do think that there are new teams that have a ch-
Like, Penn State's national championship ceiling exists,
and I still think that it did exist in the 2014 to 22 era.
Do I think they're actually going to go out and win it all?
I'm hesitant to say that, but that doesn't mean I don't think they're closer to it than they were before.
They are closer to it.
And let's, this is the whole podcast.
So if we're going to get into this because we've got a couple couple little news nuggets to talk about before we get into this
and one that sort of segues into it too.
But so let's table that for a second
because it is very interesting.
And I think there's a lot of fans that are looking at this
and going, okay, this is my program's chance.
I think the barrier to entry is lower into getting in the you know,
from can they to will they?
We'll find out how many teams actually can.
But but it's going to be interesting.
And for comparison's sake, we just mentioned, you know,
the NBA had seven unique champions in seven years was very, very unusual.
Like even the NFL, which has all these rules in place to enforce
parity, hasn't been close to that recently.
You've had the Chiefs win multiples.
You've had the Eagles win multiples.
So 11 seasons of the CFP, six different programs have won the
national title. Alabama, Georgia, Clemson, Ohio State,
LSU, Michigan. LSU and Michigan are the only one time in there. So we'll see. But that is going
to be a fun discussion. Before we get to that though, very interesting piece of news on Tuesday,
Ari. Ryder Lyons from Folsom, California, five five star quarterback in the class of 2026, though not.
Technically a class of 2026 guy, even though he's officially one. Ryder Lyons is going to BYU,
chose BYU over Oregon, announced it on the Pat McAfee show on Tuesday. Now,
you've said this, we had this discussion with our friend, Matt Brown, a few weeks ago.
You've said, how does BYU not just turn on the NIL faucet to promote the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints
and have the best football team in America? Well, they just got a quarterback everybody wants.
Yeah, I mean, this is the perfect,
they've threaded the needle perfectly here
because they got a five star quarterback who's also Mormon.
Yes, this is different than AJ DeBance
at the basketball recruit,
the number one basketball recruit, not LDS going
to BYU.
Ryder Lyons is LDS.
So like this is, they offered him when he was 14 years old.
They have been trying to get him for a long time.
Yeah.
And I think that at the very least, because the BYU discussion has really gone off the
rails on the show.
And if you've been a part of it, you know, you know what we're talking about.
But my theory has always been that since the LDS church
is worth billions of dollars that they could just turn on the money spigot and pay everybody.
But I think that the baseline expectation if I'm a BYU fan is that at least go get the
best Mormon players. So like, you know, we talk about lifestyle and, you know, religious
restrictions and, you know, religious restrictions and, you know,
frankly speaking, I don't know Ryder Lyons personally or how he carries out his life, but
the expectations and the student conduct code at BYU might be too stringent for even LDS people.
Like, not everybody. Dad and both sisters went there, so I think they're pretty familiar with
how it works. I'm not even saying with just him, I'm just saying in general, not everybody, even
people of the faith, want to live that closely to the guidelines.
I don't know how it is in Mormonism, but Judaism, there's definitely an arc of how go get the five-star quarterback who is observant of your faith and is very familiar with your university and culture,
because that's kind of the entire, that's the entire point.
Now, I don't know how many Ryder Lions exist.
I mean, their current quarterback is of the Jewish faith.
So, like, we know that building a 85-man roster of just only LDS players probably isn't a reasonable
proposition. But when there are no doubt about it guys at the most important position, you
have to go grab them. And I think the thing that's so funny about the discourse that we're
going to be having later on the show is that the teams that have an opportunity both in
the NFL and college to actually win the whole thing are typically the teams that have the
best quarterbacks. Right? I mean, even if you look at like what the NFL spread in comparison to the college spread,
the reason why it's not that much different is because the greatest pack, you know,
quarterback on earth exists and they won three in Kansas City, right?
So it's very quarterback reliant.
And this is a huge monumental get.
And I think that maybe it's a shame we have to wait a few years because he's taking his mission and he's not actually gonna enroll until
two years from now but that this is how you build that program. He explained the
process on the McAfee show by the way so he puts in his paperwork in August and
then a few weeks later they're like okay you're going to and it could be anywhere
in the world like it could be Australia it could be Brazil it could be anywhere in the world. Like it could be Australia, it could be Brazil,
it could be just anywhere. So that is exciting and scary at the same time, I would think.
Yeah. It's like the NFL draft, but for missions, you know, it's like, you don't know where your
job's going to be for the next few years. Yeah. For a year. Yeah. No, it would be an interesting
thing. And, you know, kudos to him for, you know,
putting his faith first and you know, prioritizing that I've don't understand, you know, why
they can't delay it.
Some people do some people don't but the people who go right away come back and are typically
successful and I think part of the reason why BYU has been so successful in the recent past is because a lot of their rosters tends to be older, more physically advanced people too, right?
So maybe that can be an advantage.
Well, they also just got Bera Bachmeier as a transfer from Stanford.
So and we'll see what happens with Retzloff because obviously there are other issues right
now with Jake Rdself. So we'll see what happens
going forward there. But they did just bring in Bear Bachmeier just right recently because I
believe he did spring practice at Stanford and then transfer to BYU. So they've got a bridge
there to Ryder Lyons. And the way BYU structured a lot with the missions over the years is,
now sometimes they would have a guy come in and redshirt at BYU for a year,
then take a mission, then come back.
And he comes in as a redshirt freshman,
but is three years out of high school.
And that allowed, especially with the linemen, allowed to be much more
physically mature and older, wiser, all that good stuff.
It's a little bit different in this day and age, I think.
He's going to go on the mission, he's going to serve the mission and then come to school.
And this is a person who I would assume Ryder Lyons feels like he's got an NFL future.
So he would have to ball out, make that decision pretty quickly.
Yeah. to ball out, make that decision, you know, pretty quickly. Yeah, and the thing that I like about him, and I don't know, you
know, what his actual ceiling is in college. But the fun thing
about him is, is that he plays like a psychopath. And I mean
that in a complimentary way. Yeah, in the nicest possible
way walls and, you know, really exciting. And I feel like
that's like the exact type of offense that could or player
that could lead an offense that could or player that could
Lead an offense in the big 12 that could do some stuff. So
You know, I don't know about accuracy and timing and holding on to the ball too long. I think that every
You know
analyst or recruiting
Expert has different opinions on how far along he is in his game
But at the very least in the big 12, somebody who can, you know,
escape pressure. You're watching these highlights here and step into the pocket,
make people miss run throw. I mean, it's,
it's a really exciting proposition for BYU and I'm excited to see if this,
you know, turns on a, uh,
an enthusiasm to try to build a real roster around him for 27, uh, 28,
and see what can happen there in Provo.
So you talked to Ryder Lyons at OT7 in Dallas,
and you actually asked him then about BYU,
because obviously BYU was coming after him hard.
Here's what he said.
You know, being of the LDS faith,
having a tie with BYU, a program that's coming after you hard,
you could be somebody that changes the trajectory of that program in a massive way.
Because BYU, though a very good program that pushed for a playoff spot last year, hasn't
had a player like this come through.
Yeah.
Like how much of a pool is your faith and how much of a connection do you feel as somebody
of that faith to lift up a program that, you know, embodies it?
It's hard for sure.
I mean, I have a lot of, I you know embodies it. It's hard for sure.
I mean I have a lot of, I'm super familiar with it.
My whole, both my parents went there.
My sisters went there.
So I definitely understand it all and yeah it is.
I could, it's hard.
I could do that and change the program.
I mean start a new wave of sort.
But I also have to do what's best for me.
I have to look at everything. I'm not gonna make a decision I don't know to be LDS to go there. So he took this one over Oregon now the Deseret News reported that the
Oregon offer was higher it's it's it's interesting I we've entered a period of
recruiting Ari or we don't actually get to see what these financial offers are. But according to everybody, pretty much nobody ever takes the highest offer.
So it's always funny to me.
Have you noticed that?
Yeah, so and so offered more.
It wasn't his highest offer in every June.
It's okay if it is lives.
We're going to have to hear about good players who didn't transfer and how they
could have like, yeah, you know, that's that's the other thing
I've noticed too. It's like, oh, yeah
Look players returns to school
Even though we had a nine million dollar offer from somewhere else because he has pride in what he's building there
Like that's the June story arc, right? Yeah. Oh like it's then I'm not saying it's not true
But it's gonna be true for everybody who says it's true with no verification whatsoever. Right. So like it's you know how I feel about it.
We've talked about this. I don't really care if you are you offered more money than Oregon.
Yeah, I wish that they were doesn't really bother me one bit.
If you were a BYU fan, wouldn't you almost rather them have offered more?
I guess I mean, I don't know.
It doesn't matter. Like make a competitive offer and then let the person weigh the options. And that's what happened here. I would imagine that BYU. We don't know what the numbers are. But BYU offer and Oregon's offer. I'd imagine we're both very competitive. So, I'm a BYU fan. I'm pretty excited about the fact that my program
ponied up the money to be competitive with Oregon,
competitive enough to win.
Because I think that the NIL compensation
and the way that he put it in that interview,
we don't have that clip, but if you wanna go watch it,
you just type in, you know, RiderLions into YouTube
with my name and it'll come up.
Was that like he was very forthcoming about
importance of NIL and financial stability and
how much it matters to people like him and why people shy away from acknowledging and talking about it is because they
don't want to be perceived as soft or perceived as, you know, a bad person who only, you know, prioritizes money. It's
good that BYU is paying him enough to get him to go there. And, you know, I understand too that like, you know, loyalty to a faith or loyalty to a family lineage, you know, having, you know, parents and siblings who went there is all really important. And maybe that gives them a discount. But I promise you one thing, BYU ponied up money to get him there because if they didn't, he wouldn't be going. He's got a huge social media following. I think he's got a massive tick tock following, all of which is designed to,
you know, build brand and encourage, you know, compensation and good for him.
That's what I would be doing if I were him.
So, uh, you know, I guess it's a badge of honor that you got somebody who loves
your school so much that they don't want to take the most possible money.
But like, I personally don't want to be a fan of a program that has to go bargain
hunting and hoping that people will take this counts.
I want my program to pony up and do what it takes financially to put me in a position to do it.
Is that a fair thought?
Hey, I just had a great sponsorship idea.
Ari, can we can we sponsor?
Can we have we'll put the word out and we'll give multiple companies a chance to bid on it.
But here's what I'm envisioning.
word out and we'll give multiple companies a chance to bid on it. But here's what I'm envisioning.
The TJ Maxx trophy for the team that did the best bargain hunting.
Yeah.
But she probably didn't win the national title.
Yeah.
Uh, I want JG Wentworth 877 cash now.
It's my money and I want it now.
That's, that's, that's my kind of sponsorship.
Well, this is going to be, gonna be is gonna be fun to watch. Ryder Lyons, we're gonna
find out, I guess in August or September where he's gonna go.
And then he's gonna be off, off the grid per se for a while.
Because when you're serving a mission, that is your full time
job. So we'll you ever watch your back from him when he returns.
You ever watch beachfront bargain hunt? Yes. Where there are condos for
$120,000 in front of the ocean? Yes. I don't think anybody who's buying the
$120,000 beachfront condo is gonna get like the National
Championship that comes with living in like South Beach
Right. So if you are you yeah, but be what you seems to be willing to spend that South Beach money
Yeah, I've seen it in basketball now. We're seeing it in football. So
It'll be interesting by the way, the water is always a lot of that show by the way. I don't know if you noticed that
Rider Lions great quarterback name and his decision puts another great quarterback name
into play.
Bryson Beaver who had been committed to Boise State but has since reopened his recruitment.
Bryson Beaver is probably the next hard target of the Oregon Ducks now that Rider Lions is
off the board,
but he's got some SEC schools after him too.
So from Ryder Lyons to Bryson Beaver, here we go.
I mean, if a Beaver went to Oregon,
that would be quite hilarious, wouldn't it?
That would be hysterical.
Yeah.
All right, all right.
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Load up for the summer with Roeback. 20% off your first order with the code Andy. All right, Ari. So we just talked about BYU going after rider lions, not spending beach front bargain hunt money, spending. I don't even know what show. I think there's South Beach real estate show. You watch all those shows.
Yeah, I love those shows.
Why don't you just like watch like a million dollar listing
and then that's that's you know,
I know you get upset when I say the water is brown,
but there are different criteria of like what a real beach fund.
No, listen, you're not getting $120,000 beachfront condo
unless the water's clear blue, it's gonna cost more.
Yeah, there are levels to beachfront to me.
But yes, also too, like I would live in a $120,000 condo
with brown water, I'm sure it's nice, but like you're not, it's not a bargain.
You're getting what the thing is worth.
But all the programs we're about to start talking about our million dollar listing
type programs, they're the ones that can afford the prime properties because these
are programs that can win national titles, but will they win national titles? And it's an important distinction.
But all right, we talked about this yesterday briefly, and I've had a little more chance
to think about it. And you asked me this question, how many different programs in the next 10
years will win the national title? And then we kind of went back and forth. It was six
in the last 11. So six since the playoff has started, I think it's
going to be more than six. I do think there's probably a repeat champ in
there. I want to say, I'm going to say eight in the next 10 years.
Uh, I will say seven. I will say seven. Okay.
So we got to figure out what those programs are.
We got to figure out seven or eight programs.
We might not agree on all of them.
Maybe we'll get to 10 and then yours will be different than mine.
Well, that's, I think we will get to 10.
All right.
Why don't we, before, before we get to that, if you're watching on Twitter right now, go
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The chat is popping off as usual.
And we acknowledge the FSU Miami argument in the chat today.
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are on YouTube and hopefully you'll be joined by some new friends here
shortly. But yes, let's get into it, Andy.
All right. So the ones that I feel like we're gonna agree on
The ones that I feel like we're gonna agree on.
Ohio State, which just won and had one in 10 years. So maybe that's a mistake, but the way they recruit,
I feel like we should leave them there.
Georgia, I feel like we should leave there
because of the way they recruit.
Yep.
Alabama, does Alabama belong there. I believe they do. I
still think they're recruiting in that way. Texas we feel like
is close, right? I think Texas is the one that I feel second
best good about. Okay. Is that No, I don't think that's crazy.
I mean, look at the trajectory they are on.
They gave Ohio State the toughest challenge in the playoff last year. I think they're gonna do it
this year. So like I think that they're knocking, you know, your knocking thing. They've been
knocking for a while. Okay. So we've got four right now. Who else you got on here? Okay, so I have a few that I am iffy on, but
I think LSU should probably be on the list, no? I agree. LSU has won a national title
in each of the decades this century. They've won three national titles this century.
They strike me as the kind of programmer, even if Brian Kelly's not the guy,
like by 2035, they're going to have won another national title.
Yes, because the decade starts right now. And like a decade is a long time.
Like LSU always has a way of figuring it out.
Right, and it's one of those like,
there's all that talent in Louisiana,
they're still the biggest draw.
Like even in this era, you should be able to produce
a national champion quality roster every few years at LSU.
So yeah, I think that I'm fine with them being on the list. That's five. So what's next for you?
Okay, so I have six on, or like I wrote down six for sure.
Okay.
I think we have more than, so.
More of those on your six?
I don't know if we, I can't remember if we mentioned this. I'm sorry.
But Oregon is on my list.
Okay.
So I'm with, I'm good with Dory.
I am good with the word.
Now, interestingly enough about Oregon, Oregon does not have a national title in
its history if Oregon wins the national title will be the first first time
national champion since Florida in 1996.
That's how hard it is to join this club.
Yes. And they've been a game away once. They've been in the national title game twice.
So, and then obviously last season.
Yes, twice.
They were the number one seed. They had the best regular season.
Last time they were in the national title game was 14, right?
Right, but they were closer when they played against Auburn,
when it was Chip, right? Right. But they were closer when they played against Auburn, when it was
Chip Kelly, that's right.
It was Cam Newton.
Yeah.
So I said seven, my list of bona fide wills, like I feel like they will
is Ohio state, Georgia, Alabama, Texas, Oregon, LSU.
Everybody else is up for discussion to me.
Okay.
Is there anybody else on your list that you are are adamant
will be a will.
Notre Dame.
Notre Dame is my 7th and I think Notre Dame is going to.
Breakthrough here in the next 10 years. If they keep on the
trajectory they're on. I like that they've created this. We are
the place you go to become a badass offensive lineman. Like
if you're going to have a brand, that's the brand to have.
Because that gives you the highest possible floor. And then
do you get the right skill guys? Do you get the right quarterback
around them? But I think when you when you start there, it's a great place to start.
Also went on a recruiting terror in the last month of which.
Notre Dame is rarely if ever seen in the modern era, um, maybe the best
recruiting run that we've seen from them.
And like the whole thing, um, about them with Marcus Freeman is that they're
able to recruit at a higher level. Now it took a little bit of time to get there, right? Like I think people thought there would be an instant boost into the top six once Brian Kelly left. But now that you have testimony and proof of concept, a team that made it all the way to the National Title Game last year, I think Notre Dame is going to have an easier time selling their coach who's very likable and very handsome, which we've joked in the past matters.
And yes, so Notre Dame is seventh on my list. And when I said seven, there is a group of teams that I think are vying for that unexpected title. Cuz there will be one unexpected title, right?
Not in the next ten years.
What was the unexpected title of the last?
Of the last question?
Okay, it's not even close.
Yeah, Michigan won a national championship in a year in which I thought it was
impossible for them to win it in August.
To me, that's the most unexpected.
I think that Michigan changed and
showed that a new type of team could win in the playoff era. They were the first of their kind. To me, that's the most unexpected. I think that Michigan changed and showed
that a new type of team could win in the playoff era.
They were the first of their kind.
And if Michigan would have lost to Washington,
then Washington would have been the answer.
Both of those teams playing for the national championship
in the talent era was an absolute stunner to me.
And had made me had to rewire my brain
on what was even possible in the sport.
To me, it was who are the top six teams
and in terms of most talent,
those will be one of the six will be there.
Michigan, I think was closer to being in that
from a experience in production standpoint,
but on paper they weren't in that club.
So, Michigan is-
Okay, I'm putting Michigan on my list
of can and possibly will. They're firing the money cannon at Michigan. OK, I'm putting Michigan on my list of can and possibly will.
They're firing the money cannon at Michigan. If you the folks at
M go blog came up with the money cannon years ago and it was a
it was a joke.
Amongst all them about hey, all these other programs, you know
by players, we've got really rich alums. How come we don't do
that? And it was very tongue in cheek. But now that you can actually do that, they are actually doing that. And they seem to seem to figure that part out.
the foundation of the show set. Like I am 100% adamant that Ohio State, Georgia,
Bama, Texas, Oregon and LSU will win one in the next,
like will, will, will, will win one in the next 10 years.
Are you in agreement with that
in terms of being adamant about those six?
Yes, those are the ones for me that are the most obvious,
the most advantages, the most advantages.
But here's why I put Michigan on the list.
But the thing I wanna do is I wanna draw a line
to brand new. I think Michigan may be recruiting
at their level or higher as this tenure period goes on.
But I wanna draw a line in the sand with you
because those are my six.
I don't have any other that I'm adamant about,
not even Notre Dame.
Do you have a seventh that you're adamant about?
Or are we just talking?
I'm not adamant because the whole point of this
is there's gonna be ones that we are not really sure about.
I know, but your number was higher than mine
in terms of how many you thought would win it.
So I didn't know.
I've named eight already that I think can win it.
And I have more that I think can win it.
Right, but I have a list of 15 that can. I have a list. What I'm saying is
the the world has changed to the point that and look Michigan
just won it. So don't act like that's a crazy thought. I'm not
Michigan is now recruiting at a higher level than it did when
it was on my list. What all I'm trying to do is establish what
the difference between Will and Can.
I got my six of Will.
We don't know who Will and that's the point.
No, you have, we're doing a podcast. You have to come up with your teams that Will.
I'm going to, but what I'm saying is I'm more sure about these than you are apparently because I think a bunch of teams, a bunch more teams enter
the will category or can get from can to will then in the past.
Okay.
It's like, I'm just going to be more stern about it though.
I'm just going to say I have six and here are the 10 others that may national champs
for everybody for me.
Because I don't know, because now, as we've said,
over and over again, the curve is flatter.
Yeah, I feel very confident about Michigan.
Years, but I'm saying as I sit here in the seat
on June 25th, 2025, here are the six teams
that I'm adamant will eventually win.
Cool, we're done with that. We're continuing to podcast. There is a longer show and we
need to talk about more teams.
No, I know, but I don't even feel like I know what your stance is. If your list is here's
15 that can, because that's not what we're doing.
It is what we're doing. Because it's more. So if you don't think it's more, if you say
it's going to be six again, then the's more if you say it's gonna be six again
Then the world hasn't changed at all and that's your stance. I
Think that these six will and there will be two other surprises, which is the second tier that we're talking about. Okay
That's all I'm trying to identify. Okay
We agreed on the six, okay, so you agree with me on the six.
It was a long way of getting there, but we got there.
That's all I wanted to know is if you had a seventh that would be in your top tier.
No, your name in Michigan, seven and eight.
Okay, those are your tier.
You're a lady.
Okay, that's all I wanted to know.
All right, next group.
So your group is six, my group is eight.
Okay.
Okay. Okay.
There's the line.
Next group, Penn State.
Okay.
I think they have to do some stuff.
Like here's why I put Michigan in that one group
and Penn State in this other group.
Not just because Michigan won two years ago.
Michigan has adjusted its recruiting
so that I think in the next two, three years, we're
going to view Michigan's recruiting on the same plane that we do Ohio State's and Georgia's
and Alabama's and LSU's.
So I think that's why.
Penn State to this point has not done that.
They recruit at a very high level, but not quite, not quite where those other ones are.
I think I can buy that.
So here's the thing with Michigan for me.
Michigan won a national title two years ago, doing it in a way that was different from everybody else.
Right. They, they, they did a really, really good job of talent evaluation. They also sprinkled in enough
five-star prospects to be difference makers, JJ McCarthy, Will Johnson, and
there are a few other five stars. You can't even name the running back because he had such a bad
year last year after being on the cover. Donovan Edwards. Edwards, yeah, my bad.
He was on the cover of the video game.
I just, his name was escaping me for a minute, but they had, they had five star players at
crucial spots who were making it were difference makers.
So they had a great blend of production and they did a great job in the transfer portal.
That to me is the perfect equation for competing in the new era, right?
So the question for me with Michigan has always been,
do you think that Michigan has to change how they did it two years ago in order to?
And I don't think they answered.
I think they've already changed it.
I think they're adding more of the high end guys.
They did change it, but they didn't have to, which makes them more likely to win it to me.
So like if they would have still done it the hardball way, that would have been good. Now, the interesting
thing to me is that Michigan signed the number six overall
class in the on three industry rankings last year, which is a
error that you're discussing that they weren't really at. So
if Michigan is going to sign the top six class year over year,
then they 100% belong in.
I think I think that's where we're headed. I do think that's where it's headed and
it just seems like that's become.
A priority there and they need to have a
really good finish in 2026 because they
only have one top 100 player right now in
their class ranks 12 their next couple
weeks are about to get a pop in if you're
following Steve Wilpong. Yeah, no,
it's about to go, But if you think that,
if you think that they're going to be in the,
the three to eight range and the recruiting rankings every year,
then they belong on this tier.
And that's the distinction that you're making with that Penn State hasn't hit
yet. Right. And I think, I think Michigan is, is headed that direction.
Penn State we don't know yet, but it's possible. And did the Penn, I think this year's
a great example of that. Did the Penn State portal acquisitions this year, because Penn State had a
lot that it recruited out of high school and developed, but there were some, there were one
position group, wide receiver specifically, glaring holes. Did Penn State fill those holes adequately? Is Penn State willing to spend the money to
fill holes adequately when it has them? Maybe they are. And maybe that puts them on that
plane too.
Yeah. Well, the thing that's so funny to me is that Penn State's closer this year. Like
I put out my projected playoff bracket with the straight seating on Monday.
And I got a lot of comments from people saying, where's Michigan?
And it's like, that's not where I'm at with Michigan coming into this year.
I don't know if that's where you are, but that's not where I am.
Michigan's got to prove something.
We don't know what their office is going to look like.
No, Penn State is a much more finished product right now.
Penn State could theoretically win the national title like this year.
This year, yes. I have another one in this win the national title like this year. This year.
Yes.
So I have another one in this group that could win it this year too.
Yeah.
So like for me, it's funny.
You have champions that weren't in that list of six from the previous decade.
There are teams that weren't on that list that could be one of the top five
favorites to win it this year, which would be Texas and Penn State would be the two.
Um, Michigan I think is probably a year away from being great again, but who knows?
You know how important it is to get a quarterback and if their quarterback, if
Underwood comes out throwing darts and they look completely different, you know,
it's not out of the question to think that Michigan can make the playoff. I
just don't know that in June that the rational thought for us should be that
Michigan will make the playoff this year. Oh no, I mean they're coming off a seven and five season.
They're probably starting a true freshman quarterback.
Like improvement is all you're literally looking for this year.
If they make the playoff, that's great.
And Rue's just saying too, the interesting part of this conversation,
I think this is the major part of your point too, is that like the next Jordan Addison
could transfer to Michigan in two years and there's no way to see that coming, right?
Like we don't know who they're going to have.
But if Bryce Underwood shows great promise this year, they sign another top 10 class.
The top six class they signed a year ago matures another year,
and they bring in two or three really good transfers that could win the national title in 2027.
Like that, like, and that's why maybe I'm wrong about my six.
Can I add another one to Penn State?
Cause I think these two are kind of in the same boat where they feel like very
finished products right now and both have very veteran quarterbacks, both have
loaded defenses and one has the, the other team's defensive coordinator from last
year.
Yes.
Clemson's the, the one I'm talking about.
Clemson and Penn State feel'm talking about. Clemson
and Penn State feel like they are both potential national title winners this year. Whether that can be sustained over the next few years, we'll see. But if Dabo is pleased with how this worked
this offseason with a very limited dip the toe in the transfer portal.
Perhaps he looks at it and goes, well, now I have a few more holes because I had a lot of good veterans leave. Now maybe I'm going to add a little bit more out of the portal, but in the same way.
I, I am fascinated to see what happens with Clemson. You know, when you become addicted
to something or you try something for the first time and it feels really good.
And me as a human being, I always want more of that thing.
That's my number one issue in life, I think, Andy.
Like I'm a more person.
Everything is crystal meth to you?
Yeah, like gambling amounts, more.
Pizza, more.
Drinks when I'm out, more.
Possessions, more. Everything is more. I've
never enough. Like I'm not one of these, I marvel at people who have two slices of pizza
and go, I'm good. Like, I don't know how those people exist. But the thing that I think will
be interesting is whether or not, like, let's say Will Helt, like, is the All-American.
Yeah. This is defensive in they got from Purdue.
Yeah.
You know, he popped the three milligrams in and he might be
smoking cigarettes a year from now.
Like, I don't know what's going to happen.
But that's the thing that I think is the most important distinction that I've just
repeatedly tried to make about Clemson the last three years, and we're going to
have a whole Clemson preview next week.
in the last three years and we're going to have a whole Clemson preview next week.
But the fact that Clemson isn't in the top six for us is a actual.
Proof that their program has declined to a certain degree, right? Because five years ago, Clemson would have been unequivocally on our list.
Remember, Clemson didn't really do it the way Ohio State and Alabama did it.
Clemson did get some elite level recruits, but a lot of those two national titles were built around two generational
quarterbacks that hit immediately.
Why is Clemson not on your initial top six if you're not still
in question of whether or not they're a talent accumulation plan is
right? Like why wouldn't you have them in the top?
Because they don't consistently, they don't have top five recruiting classes consistently, but they didn't have top five recruiting classes consistently when they were at the top of the sport.
And if that's what I mean, it's very quarterback dependent at that point.
No, I know. But if we were doing this exercise in 19 or 20, Clemson would absolutely be in the top six.
So what changed is what I'm trying to get to to you.
We would just we would have been going on recency bias, but not on,
Clemson didn't do it the way the other ones did it.
Right.
I love this stat.
I want to get a tattooed on my back, but in the 20 year period between the 2000s
and 2020, there were only three teams that won a national championship, having
not signed one top five class in the previous four years.
And you know this because I've asked you 19 times on the show, but two of them
were Clemson and one was Auburn with CAM.
All of them had transcendent quarterbacks and I know, but Clemson also too, in the
2017-18-19 classes saw a major uptick in recruiting results in high school to help
them get to that next level.
So that's what I would have been going off of.
I wouldn't be going off of recency bias, I'd
be like, well, they just did it twice. And now they're
recruiting at a higher level to make this more sustainable.
But now they're not. So we're dealing with a downgraded in my
mind, because they're not doing the they're not doing the
recruiting part. And they weren't for the most part
predominantly engaged in the portal.
But but they may have put together a roster this year that can do it.
And I think that's we may be getting back into Windows as opposed to you're just you
are Alabama.
You have Nick Saban.
You are dominant.
You are Georgia.
You have Kirby Smart.
You are dominant.
Maybe that there are there are windows now.
Windows is a good way.
Yeah.
Like the windows.
And the thing is, is that do you think there will be a point
in time where Georgia and Ohio State go to the windows?
Or do you still think that there are certain programs
that are immune to that?
I don't think anybody's immune to it anymore.
Ohio State's going to be interesting this year because
they should still be very good. And obviously,
we've said a million times, they have the best
returning offensive player and the best returning
defensive player in the country. But they have so many
new starters that we don't know what they're going to be.
We assume they're going to be good because they recruited a high level, but we don't
know if they're going to take a how big of a step back they might take from what the
what they were last year or if at all huge step back from what they were last year.
That's a guarantee.
The question is whether or not they're taking a big enough step back where they're still
not one of the two best teams in the country.
Because if the super team era is dead and Ohio State isn't a super team anymore, then maybe the new version of
Ohio State is still good enough to win when there's no other super teams to beat them.
That's, that's the question. I think George is a very, an interesting one this year on that front, too, because we're
gonna have Jake Rowe on next week. We're doing another deep dive week where we do one team per day.
And so we're going to talk to Jake Rowe from Dogs HQ about Georgia.
And we have not said hardly a word about Georgia this offseason.
We've just assumed they're going to still be good.
We just assumed that that Kirby Smart's got some guys that we know
were big-time recruits and they've just been kind of baking in the oven
there and they're going to you know come out fully formed now and they are going to be really good
and george is going to compete for the sec title and compete for national title it's not a guarantee
no uh what if georgia is just the same team they were last year. Right. Which would be a good team.
They did win the SEC championship.
Really good team that wins the SEC, but doesn't scare anybody like they used to.
Yeah.
Um, or they might be awesome, but I still think that it's very within
certainty that they'll probably make the playoff this year.
We'll see.
We'll see.
All right.
Let's, let's see.
Who else do we have on this list?
We have several SEC teams, but I'll throw a couple more in the capable of it category
ceiling category, but they've got the stars have to align. Okay. Florida.
Absolutely.
Stars have to align.
But if DJ Lag was as good as we think he is,
maybe the stars can align his junior year
if things go well, we'll see.
Or,
Is interesting about Florida, sorry Andy,
I know you're in the middle of it.
Go ahead.
I interrupted you a lot today, I'm sorry.
The Windows thing is interesting because if we go
under the assumption that there are no more super teams and
that you don't have to be loaded at nine different positions to
win a national title now, then inversely having the best
quarterback in the country will carry more weight than it used
to. Right, and so if he's as good as, as we think he might be, there's a very good chance
that their window opens up briefly.
And then they've got to, you have to do everything else.
Right.
And I mean, well, okay, let me ask this question.
Does South Carolina qualify for that with Lenora Sellers, who
we think is a great quarterback?
In terms of this coming year? Or do they not have the pieces around him?
Do you think that South Carolina has a national championship ceiling is the question?
I don't right now. I don't either.
But I feel like they kind of need the same things to go
right that Florida would need like Florida is not.
Florida is not like a guaranteed.
Even if DJ Laguiz is good as we think.
A lot of other things would have to happen for Florida
be able to win a national title. Yeah, Florida also has
like two five star receivers coming up and I don't know if
South Carolina is in that category yet, right? Right, that that's the other piece of it. Yeah, it also has like two five star receivers coming up and I don't know if South Carolina is in that category yet. Right, right. That's the other piece of it. Yeah,
you could be one of the stars of the sport by August. But the thing about Florida that's
interesting is their offensive and defensive lines are very old. Like, yeah, this may be the
year for them. And they don't even realize it yet. Yeah, South Carolina has this maybe the best or second best
defensive player in the country on their team and for those
who have that.
So that, but like for me, like if I'm going to buy stock
and a team's ability to reach the highest of highs,
like I think Florida and South Carolina are,
are ultimately pretty similar coming into this year in terms
of like things go right.
They can be very good. If things go bad, they could be bad.
But like in terms of like buying stock for the next decade, like my money would go to Florida.
Here's another one in the SEC that I find very interesting.
Tennessee made the playoff last year.
They've done very well under Josh Heiple.
We're expecting a step back this year. They've done very well under Josh Hypple. We're expecting a step back this year, but could Tennessee, given the way it's
approached the NIL era, given the way Hypple's coached since he's gotten there, could Tennessee be one of those teams over the
next 10 years?
I think in theory, yes. So Texas A&M, Tennessee kind of the same, that same?
Yeah, I think I would probably put A&M slightly ahead, but I think I have A&M brain.
Like, you know how high I put A&M in my like jobs list.
Like maybe it's better.
Yeah, well you know, and you know, I feel like the A&M in my like jobs list. Like maybe it's- Yeah, well, you know, and you know,
I feel like the A&M thing is like super natural
at this point.
Like there is some sort of,
somebody put like a voodoo hex on Texas A&M
70 years ago and it's still going.
I really struggle with A&M
because of my cult eggy wife.
Just kidding.
I don't even know if she can name the head coach of the team.
But what I do know is that I am infatuated with their 2022 class and the fact that they were able
to assemble it. Now the part is we know how that went, right? And I wonder if that class was a
complete fugazi in that they actually weren't the best class in the country and that they
start. I mean, you were part of that.
Well, they weren't because there was no balance to it.
Like it was also the players didn't even if there were no balance,
like most of the players in that class turned out to not be productive in
college. Like they're one of the best players is Denver Harris.
And he just wasn't the type of player that you want to bring into your program.
But like, should I look back at the 22 class and go as evidence of
look what A&M can do or am I being fooled by that?
That's the thing that I don't.
Oh, I don't think you should look at the 2022 class at A&M as
an indicator of anything good.
Okay.
So you don't think you should look back at the 2022 class and go
A&M can go sign 18 top 100 players in a given cycle at any given time.
And we just don't know it or like, or like, do they,
they don't get credit for signing 18 top 100 players in one cycle?
No, because it was a bad mix of players.
It was a bad mix of players.
I give you credit if you sign a bunch of good players that play well in college.
I know I mean, we got into this discussion with Ralph Russo in text, but it's like if you could, I would try again if you could get 18 top 100 players like that's a that's a dice roll that I think I would take more than once.
Well, it just depends. Is are you taking them just because of where they ranked? Because there were guys in that class who I'm sure if you were recruiting them and had multiple contacts with them their families their
High school coaches every all the stuff you do during the recruiting process that you knew there were some red flags
Yeah, yeah, so then you don't need to take that like
Some of those players who raised the the rating of the class if you didn't take them
You might have had a better class and who raised the rating of the class, if you didn't take them,
you might've had a better class.
And there was reporting at the Athletic before we left.
I can't remember if you helped the reporting.
Me and Sam Kahn.
You did it too, right?
Andy has done so many good stories,
I can't even just keep track anymore.
But in the story, there were quotes in reporting
that they were taking players because of their ranking, which is awful.
And A&M is not the only one guilty of that. There have been other schools.
Florida during the Jim McEwen era would throw a couple on at the end that were highly ranked, that had whatever issues and weren't going to a school that you think they'd be going to based on their ranking.
And they suddenly show up in the class and it's like, Oh, you're right.
Class taking players with issues.
Like I'm okay with that.
Cause I think there's two ways of looking at it.
It's like, Oh, this kid's an asshole.
He's never going to be good.
Or I'm a coach of a college program.
I want to be good at football.
And also I can help this young.
It's the new different.
The fine line is, and your culture turned that red flag
into a productive player, or do you take so many red flags
that that becomes your culture?
Right, or do you have to have a culture
to speak of to begin with?
Because I think A&M didn't have a culture at all.
Yeah, they didn't really have it.
Yeah.
Exactly.
So maybe Georgia would be a better place
to take somebody with a red flag.
You don't build with red flags.
You plant them.
This is one I don't think Kirby Smart would ever
say all this publicly, but I would love to hear Kirby Smart.
Maybe Nick Saban would now that he's out of it.
Because I imagine they had kind of a governor in their in their mind of
I'm willing to risk take a risk on this player because they're that talented,
but I'm not going to take three of these. I'm only going to take one of these or two of the
other. What is the number or the limit or you know how do you how do you keep that chemistry
right? Because yes there are players you can take who are potential red flags, who
put in the right situation will become very productive and are
not going to give you problems.
And might be just become a better
decide. Yeah, I think what you do is you have a beautiful house.
And you get flowers for the front of your house that might
be semi poisonous as like an accent mark,
but it's not going to ruin your house. You don't build your entire garden out of it, right? Like,
I don't know. Maybe that's a terrible... I think that's a good example. I think that's a good
analogy. What was the flower from Breaking Bad Lily of the Valley? You know, you might want one
of those in your yard, but you don't just plant them everywhere. You know, like I think that that's...
Yeah, maybe that's it. I don't know. But like the fact that it's just like, I get confused with
A and M because I know in theory they could sign a class with 12 top 100
players in it. And then, and even if you got rid of six red flags out of that
class, that would still be the number one class in the country. And like, I
don't know that we've seen Tennessee do that, though we have seen Tennessee
weaponized NIL better than anyone else and they have gotten good players. So like I'm kind of torn with this discussion.
I think they're both in the same bucket. I don't know which if it's even important to
make a distinction on who's ahead.
The possibility of a random Auburn one.
That always feels like there's always a random Auburn one in there somewhere. You know, there's
a few teams not in the SEC though that we have to, I think.
Yeah, I was gonna say, are there any other big 10 teams?
Yeah, I mean, I think we have to, one of those two teams that I thought we had to discuss
would be USC. Like, what do you think of that?
Well, we're looking at the class they're putting together now. Currently number one in the
on three industry team rankings. Now, as everybody has pointed out, they have 30 commits.
It's a much bigger class than everybody else right now.
And that's why they're number one, but they're probably going to be in the
top five if all, if all these guys stick.
So if this is what it's going to be like from now on, then I would
feel more comfortable with that.
I'm not comfortable putting them in there right now,
just based on the first three years of Lincoln Riley.
A decade is a long time and a short time.
Yeah.
They are definitely in the, they could category for me,
not the will category.
Right.
And there's another program.
The pieces are there.
The resources seem to be there, but they've got to figure out how to put it together.
Now let's take a quick flight to the, to the East coast program that I think might be similar.
And that's Miami.
We didn't talk about Miami.
That's a good one.
Um, Miami is a place that has shown that it can require a lot of talent.
Mm hmm.
In both ways, not just through the portal and not just through high school
recruiting, but both.
And what did I say about Notre Dame?
I'm going to Miami is a similar version to what I said about Notre Dame.
If you are going to have a calling card, having a really good offensive line as
your calling card is a great
place to start.
So Miami also too, and sorry Keynes fans, it sucks, but I legitimately think that their
offense was generationally good last year.
Like I would put Miami's offense in the same bucket as the Jaden Daniels LSU offense of
teams that were just torpedoed by Bad D.
But like I think if Miami would have beaten QS or they would have had just slightly better defense,
they would have gotten over the hump a year ago and we would be viewing them as a program
very differently. Now it's up to Maradona. If they beat Syracuse, they play for the ACC title,
they probably end up going to the playoff whether they win the ACC title or not. They probably both them and SMU would have gone. And I don't know that Miami's defense
was good enough for them to make a run in the playoff last year. But the offense certainly
was good enough to beat anybody.
We're watching Miami and the other team was just up and down the field. The entire, like they had no chance to stop them.
Yeah.
So like, I'm not trying to put salt in the womb, but what I do want to do is
make an illustration that Miami was a much closer team to being elite last year
than people are giving them credit for.
Um, and maybe that's, uh, maybe you'll disagree with that and say, well, their
defense was so bad, they, they weren't close at all.
And I, I'm not going to push back at that,
but they put together an offense last year that was one of the top 10 units of
the last decade, right? In terms of just pure offense. Um, and hell,
they were a signature away from getting Jeremiah Smith into that mix. Again,
I'm not trying to be the merchant of, of, uh, you know,
death for you Miami fans listening, but I
think that they deserve to be in the good category.
They definitely do.
And if the defense is improved, I don't think they take a huge step back in terms of how
good they are and how close they can get to making the playoff or making the playoff.
I think they could contend for a playoffoff birth or make a playoff this year.
Yeah, even if the offense isn't as good, but because the defense.
Is so much better.
We have Vance in the Vance in the chat says would be why you be considered out of nowhere in 10 years,
and I think we can expand this to any non Big 10 SEC team.
Do we think any non Big 10 SEC team has a chance?
I don't.
I got one.
Okay.
What about Colorado in the could?
I don't think they can put the roster together. Maybe.
They are the team that I think has the highest likelihood of assembling a roster that's good enough. Whether or not I believe that, I think that Deion, if he turns
it on, has the goods to put together a good enough team to
run that conference and to make a run in the playoff.
That's the thing.
Putting together a team good enough to run that conference
is a different level of team than you need to get through
the playoff.
But if they could make the playoff five years out of 10, all
it takes is one. What about Arizona State? Could they do that?
I'm closer on Colorado than Arizona State. I think the Deion factor allows you to get,
if he really, if he just decides I'm going to go ham on high school recruiting,
still, I don't know. I don't know that they have the NIL capabilities or the, we'll see.
I mean, the rev sheer era, we don't know how that's going to look yet. We really don't.
Everybody has some money now. And I think that does change the math.
Have a conversation on the show like a few weeks ago
about how many elite players do you have to have on your team
to win a national title?
And we were like somewhere between seven and 11
when it used to be like 15 to 20.
Yeah.
I think that Colorado has the like the highest likelihood
of having seven to 11 in the big 12.
Is that fair?
Yeah.
And they had the best player in the country last year.
Yeah.
So it's the same thing that we saw in the chat when we were talking about Miami people like
how much of that was cam ward it doesn't matter they got him that's the point like getting the
player that's good is the point so uh but yeah so we're in the we're on the fringes here and I
don't know if we're forgetting anybody maybe like Florida state fans will be upset I don't know if
that's another team that we have to Florida state could certainly if they get back to where they
should be they can certainly be in the CAN
group and then you got to put it all together.
Yeah.
But it's been a while since they were really elite recruiters at high school.
Yeah.
Which I think you have to be.
I'm looking at, um, just a whole list of the power five to make sure I'm not
forgetting anybody obvious or somebody who deserves to be in this.
I mean, you've got, you've got.
Programs in the big 10 that have
been, that have had good years or been good or could be good.
But like Iowa, Indiana, Illinois, like, but I just don't know that they
could put together a, a stock, a stacked enough roster to get through
what the playoff is now.
You know, one team that we haven't mentioned at all.
Okay.
Oklahoma.
I think Oklahoma can.
Oklahoma can. Oklahoma can. They absolutely can build a deep enough team. That's just a matter of
do they have the right people in place to do that? We're going to find out. Like this year's going to be a really, really interesting one at Oklahoma. Yeah. But I think we covered everybody.
I just, if we would have gotten through the show without even saying
Oklahoma, then they would have gone.
Yeah.
That would have been, that would have been a mistake on our part.
Yes.
Oklahoma absolutely can do that.
So yeah, that's a lot of teams we've mentioned and I really hope, oh, Washington.
Yeah.
I said Washington.
We mentioned Washington as in they played
for the national title, but Washington's a team
that in this new era, who knows?
If Oregon can do this, Washington can do this too.
Yeah, and if you take the Michigan did it two years ago
as like a reason to put them pretty high, then you can't ignore the fact that
Washington played them.
What about tech?
Texas Texas Tech.
They're spending money for sure.
I think we need to see what they do this year with the money
they spent.
Like if if they take this investment and they suddenly become
the best program in the big 12, well,
they do have donors that could keep them invested similarly.
So the thing that's hard about this conversation is, is that just because somebody spent some,
a bunch of money one year doesn't mean that they're going to be doing it on an ongoing basis.
Like what if, what if Texas tech decides they want to do what they just did this year every year?
That eventually they probably would, you know,
have a team that can make a run.
Well, isn't that, I mean, isn't that Oregon?
Yeah, and Oregon's on my will list.
Yeah, so I think that,
I think this is sort of an experimental year
for Texas Tech.
Like they did it, they're gonna see how it goes,
and then if it goes well, then maybe they do it again.
So, we'll find out.
It was a good show.
Little argument in there.
Oh, we got one more thing.
Something to fire you up.
I'm gonna get fired up.
EA Sports ranked the 25 toughest stadiums to play in the new video game
that is coming out next month.
So EA Sports College football 26, they reveal the 25 toughest places to play.
Last year, Kyle Field topped the list.
It's way down this year.
I, I, I, I'm kind of curious.
Have they been, have they been studying you and I and all of our various rankings in terms of like RageBait?
Because I feel like this is RageBait.
How much could possibly-
Beaver Stadium at number one, LSU, I have no problem with.
It is an incredibly intimidating environment.
Beaver Stadium at number two, also no problem with.
But the fact that the place you had at number one last year is now number 11 when
nothing appreciably changed like that's
That's big I think they maybe took my first trip to Kyle Field as
You know reason for this I was disappointed by it because I know we didn't get their best showing
And maybe part of the reason why is because the game was just like they
weren't in it for most of it.
And that's like, you didn't get the highest, but for the magnitude of the
Texas A and M Texas return at night with a trip to the SEC championship on the
line, like I was disappointed by, like I wasn't, I was in awe of the size of it
and the way people showed up and, but like, it wasn't as loud as I thought it would be.
Yeah, if they hadn't lost to Auburn right before that,
I think that would have been a different vibe.
But I think that was like, oh no, now we're never going to be Texas.
If A&M scored first or something, like if the game would have gone differently.
Like the game was in question, but the game was not really in question for most of it.
Yeah, A&M kept making good defensive plays, but you just knew that their
offense wasn't going to cash them in.
And the thing that is just so funny to me about this entire discussion, as
somebody who went to every single home game on the number three teams list for
a decade is, it's ebbs and flows.
Like there are a lot, I think you could make the case
that Ohio Stadium is very quiet at times
for the size and magnitude of it.
But if they play a big game or they're having a huge season,
it changes.
So it's like, when you say who's got the most intimidating
thing, the people that go to the games change.
I just don't even know how it's a consistent thing.
Like a sample- Well, think it should it should vary.
Like if you're in dynasty mode, obviously in dynasty mode, you
get several years out like the results stop matching what what
we see in the current year, like it should change. So for
example, like
For example
like
Penn State if they are
Having a like a down year if they're four and four and you go play them in November in their four and four
Then the crowd should be more subdued
then if you played them in a whiteout when they're seven and one like
That I feel like they should program the game that way.
It should be dependent on how things are
in the team's season.
Yeah, I mean, there were times where I've been
in Ohio Stadium where it was like my ears are bleeding
and there were times where like, is there anybody here?
And I'm sure that's true for everybody, you know?
Obviously start time.
The Swamp's a great example last year.
You and I were there when it was deathly quiet like a funeral against Miami, you know, and then two months later
Ole Miss is there, noon game, crowd should have been completely asleep, but
by the, you know, by the fourth quarter when the game's in doubt, they're going
nuts. So it's very dependent on how things are
rolled into on truly where the student section is and how big it
is. Because that well and that that Penn State being number two
is a great example because that it's it fills an entire end zone.
It's massive. We mentioned Florida there, you know, they
cover one one side of the sid. Texas A&M covers a sideline essentially.
That gives you a higher floor in terms of atmosphere.
Yeah, and some places take care of their students
better than others.
Yeah, so, but LSU at number one,
I don't have a problem with.
I think LSU when it's rocking is awesome by the way
I'm writing my
My list of pivot point games for the year. Oh, yeah those that are on three very soon
No, actually they're not because they are the trap like I need to do a trap games column too and just have every Texas
A&M game, but trap game column and just every Texas A&M game. What if you did a trap game column and just presented Texas A&M's schedule?
I think it's not, it's not a bad thought, but like, you know,
we talk about Tiger Stadium, the first pivot point game I have,
cause it can't be like the season opener.
Yeah.
The first pivot point game I have over the season is Florida LSU.
It is the pivot point for both teams where things can come. You could take off or you could go start going
downhill that night in Baton Rouge is going to be spectacular because we're
guaranteed a meltdown by the losing fan base. Guaranteed. I've never seen a game
at LSU Andy and I want to change. I know we need to fix that. Yeah, we need to fix that.
I want to see.
I feel like I've been to Bryant Denny.
I've been to Beaver Stadium.
I've been to Ohio Stadium.
I've been to Michigan Stadium.
I've been to Oregon.
I feel like I've basically been to just about every place that I've been to Ben Hill.
This is the last stadium.
I think on my list of games where.
Like everybody says is number one and I have never.
I've never experienced Sanford Stadium either.
You need the tailgating experience at at.
Tiger Stadium as well.
Like that's a piece.
It's the best tailgating in America and I know everybody's
gonna be like no or token.
No, it's not your tailgating is not as good as Tiger Stadium's LSU tailgaters are America. And I know everybody's gonna be like, no, our tailgating. No, it's not. Your tailgating is not as good as Tiger Stadium's. LSU's tailgaters are better than
yours. It's not a debate. And if I take you to LSU, you would
be like, oh, yeah, ours really sucks compared to this.
Yeah, I want to see it. I've never seen it. But yeah, we
have a hopefully we have a new collection of teams. I was
actually my wife asked me this the other night, but they're
like, what games?
You know what started it?
We were watching the secret lives of Mormon wives.
And she goes, I've never been to Provo.
And I was like, yeah, I've never been to Provo either.
Full circle, I love when we bring the show full circle.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Never been to Provo before.
And I was like, neither have I.
And honestly, that's one of the places
I would love to see a game.
I have been to Provo, but not for a game. Big pizza buffet town. Huge fans of pizza
buffets have been Provo. Forget the game. Let's go just for the pizza buffet. But I want like
there's a difference too between like most intrigued stadiums to go to because
you want to know how loud it gets and just frankly beautiful stadiums like in BYU's stadium and a lot of
them out of the like are just pretty and like Washington's
another one I've never been to for Washington is gorgeous. I
love Sun Devil Stadium carved into the mountain and Tempe. I
think that's beautiful too and my brother-in-law lives in
South Lake in Salt Lake with his family,
and it's just such a beautiful place.
Obviously you're a Parks and Ecos.
Bicycles at Utah, great, great game day atmosphere,
especially night games.
Like it is a, it's a small stadium, but it is fantastic.
And Salt Lake is just a great town.
Like if you've got it, if your team plays at Utah,
and you're trying to find a road trip for the year, that's your road trip.
Like go to that game.
You'll love it.
Yeah, but I do want to put a button on this and saying that
like in my experience personally and again individual games don't
tell the whole story.
But the idea that SEC stadiums are unequivocally louder, I think it's probably
true from top to bottom, but the top of the Big Ten like rivals them. Like I think that like Penn
State- The difference is Arkansas can be deafening and Purdue's never going to be deafening.
Right. I agree with that. Yeah. and that's, the SEC just has some places
like when they're good, it's crazy.
And now the cowbells help at Mississippi State.
How's Clemson?
I've never been to Clemson either.
Clemson's great, it's loud.
Now the way Clemson is built,
it's not as loud as it could be, but those,
those grandstands are extremely steep and tall.
And so it does, it does hold some noise and it can get going really well.
Yeah.
But super excited for the game, Andy.
Can't wait.
Uh, played a round yesterday and somebody, I was Miami and I played Georgia and I
just got wrecked again.
I got to stop playing with Miami on the game.
I, I,
you stopped playing against people who are playing as Georgia.
No, I know what I mean. You have to, because everybody plays with,
you got to play with a top tier team, but you know,
I'm really going to focus on my record. I am like,
I've played so many games online and I'm like 365 and 130.
So I was like, I actually really, really good at it.
But this year I'm really focused on really, really good record and getting my ranking up.
Well, I cannot wait. July 10th is the release date. I don't know about the toughest stadiums.
That's for everyone else to decide. I think that the quality of the defense on the team you're playing has a lot to do with how tough stadium is so yeah We'll find out but big day tomorrow Ari
Our man Cody Belair national scout for on three and rivals. I guess we can say rivals now not official till next week, but
Cody's gonna join us to play a game of whose team is it anyway,
and you were not with us yet,
but last year when we played this game.
This is where Cody got on the stump
for Sam Levitt and said you people
do not understand how good Sam Levitt
is going to be at Arizona State
and Cody is absolutely right so. We'll see who he's got this year
because I said whoever your Sam Levitt is this year needs to be on the quiz. So
study up Ari. I'm gonna study. Hopefully we don't embarrass ourselves too much.
Also on Friday, dear Andy and dear Ari, you know how much we love when you guys drive the show. Smartest, best looking, most
talented listeners and viewers of any show on these
internets. Hit us up. Andy staples on three at gmail.com.
Ari dot Wasserman at on three.com. You can also find us
on social media. Andy underscore staples on
Twitter and Instagram at Ari Wasserman on Twitter and Instagram. It's going to be beautiful.
Get those questions in. We've already got a couple that I love already. So just keep
sending them folks in the chat. We Willie Nathan, you know,, you know, Steve in San Antonio, you guys always send
them Justin.
Keep sending them because that's what makes it fun.
And if you've never sent a question before, now's the time.
Now's the time.
We will see you tomorrow.