Andy & Ari On3 - Week 6 Picks: Red River Rivalry: Texas-Oklahoma | Alabama-Texas A&M for SEC West | Kentucky-Georgia

Episode Date: October 5, 2023

Week 6 Picks: Red River Rivalry: Texas-Oklahoma | Alabama-Texas A&M for SEC West | Kentucky-GeorgiaToday’s show is sponsored by Fanduel! Visit Fanduel.com/Staples and use the promo code Staples. New... customers can bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets guaranteed. Thank you to FanDuel* for delivering the lines for this week's slate of games!Today's show is also sponsored by Rhoback, maker of the most comfortable hoodies, polos and quarter-zips known to man. Visit https://rhoback.com and use the promo code STAPLES to get 20 percent off your first order.Want to watch the show instead? Head on over to YouTube and don't forget to subscribe!https://youtu.be/qXNr2dpa9ucTo open up the show, some news comes out of the NCAA that is bad for fans but probably a sigh of relief for creatives working in college athletics: The new proposal of NCAA rules is considering banning photoshoots for recruits (0:00-4:08)Now, on to our picks with Geoff Schwartz:LSU @ Missouri (4:09-13:23)Maryland @ Ohio State (13:24-17:05)Washington State @ UCLA (17:06-22:36)Purdue @ Iowa (22:37-26:19)Alabama @ Texas A&M (26:20-34:27)Colorado @ Arizona State (34:28-40:30)Kentucky @ Georgia (40:31-45:35)Notre Dame @ Louisville (45:36-50:34)Arizona @ USC (50:35-53:16)Oklahoma vs Texas (53:17-1:00:17)To conclude, Geoff gives us his future prediction for the Oregon-Washington game that is sure to be a battle (1:00:18-1:02:41)For the extra point, some sad news comes out of Baton Rouge: DB Greg Brooks Jr has been diagnosed with a rare form of brain cancer. To help support Greg Brooks and his foundation, visit: http://lsul.su/GregBrooks (1:02:42-1:04:59)* Must be 21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bets that expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visitFanDuel.com/RG in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee, and Virginia. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 in Arizona, 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat in Connecticut, 1-800-9-WITH-IT in Indiana, 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com in Kansas, 1-877-770-STOP in Louisiana, visit mdgamblinghelp.org in Maryland, visit 1800gambler.net in West Virginia, or call 1-800-522-4700 in Wyoming. Hope is here. Visit GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support in Massachusetts or call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY in New York.

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to Andy Staples on three. It is a pick show. We have a packed, packed show for you. Jeff Schwartz, former Oregon offensive lineman, longtime NFL offensive lineman, is our special guest picker today. We're going to have a lot of fun with him. But first, we got to talk about a happy day if you are a football staffer at an FBS school. A sad day if you were someone who enjoys following recruiting on the internet. The Football Bowl Subdivision Oversight Committee has introduced legislation to potentially ban recruiting photo shoots. You know what we're talking about. When the player, maybe mom, maybe dad to get into uniform and they take a big photo, they do a big photo shoot, take all these photos. Sometimes, well, they don't necessarily have
Starting point is 00:00:57 animals anymore. They did have animals. Remember Keely Ringo's mom had the snake that belonged to one of the Georgia staffers. And Keely didn't really want to hold the snake, but his mom didn't care. Stephon Johnson, who signed with Oklahoma State, now plays for Houston. They had a horse for him at his recruiting photo shoot. I believe the NCAA has already banned the live animals there. But the shoots themselves were a lot of fun, but apparently a lot of work for the recruiting staffers and the creatives and the folks in the
Starting point is 00:01:30 football offices, because basically anybody who shows up for an unofficial visit, you have to do a photo shoot because everybody else does a photo shoot. So they, instead of just saying, you know what, this thing we don't want to do, we won't do it. They want to make a rule because that's how college sports operates. It can't be this thing that we don't like, that we don't want to do, we're just not going to do. It's we're going to make sure you can't do it either. So it's just a shame because I do enjoy watching 50-something dads try to squeeze into the spandex that is today's college football uniform.
Starting point is 00:02:06 It's very sad. Sad day. Although it may never pass. Who knows? The legislative process has been bogged down before. But this means we're not going to get any more Brian Kelly dancing. And frankly, I'm not sure how I feel about that. I'm going to miss it, I think. Oh, well. C'est la vie. Somebody else will come up with something else. It will catch on like wildfire, and they'll make a rule banning that too. Welcome to college football.
Starting point is 00:02:33 All right. On to the picks, and of course, the lines and the totals brought to you by FanDuel, our official sportsbook sponsor. FanDuel is the number one sportsbook in America. Go to FanDuel.com slash Staples and your first $5 bet guaranteed $200 in bonus bets at FanDuel. You download that app. They got all the sports, everything you could want in game, player props, you name it. They're there at FanDuel. And the college football lines, well, they're pretty enticing this week. And as you will see, it feels like the FanDuel folks have got it down now because these teams have finally given us a lot of data.
Starting point is 00:03:19 We've got almost half a season worth. And these lines, you will see I am struggling with a lot of them. And I know you've seen my picks. I struggle with a lot of them anyway. But it feels like as they get more information, it feels tougher and tougher as we go. So FanDuel.com slash Staples. Download that app. $200 in bonus bets with your first $5 bet.
Starting point is 00:03:46 Do it now. Follow along. You can fade me if you want. It will not hurt my feelings. I've seen my record of late. So you can fade me if you want. But you'll see as we go through the picks with Jeff Schwartz, there's some struggling going on here.
Starting point is 00:04:02 They're setting those lines really, really well. FanDuel.com slash Staples. On to the picks. Joined now by former Big Ten legend Jeff Schwartz. That's right, he played at Oregon. Is it ever going to not sound weird? I was just talking about this on Pacto Radio earlier today about the Big Ten and we were talking about Utah's future and the Big 12.
Starting point is 00:04:26 And it just sucks. All of it sucks. None of it excites me for college football. It's not why we like college football. And, you know, I was texting with a buddy. I know you know Dan Rubenstein on Saturday when Oregon was playing Stanford and was saying, like, who's going to be our Stanford, right? Who's going to be the team in the Big Ten
Starting point is 00:04:46 that no matter what the circumstances are, we struggle with on the road? It doesn't matter. Stanford could be Jim Harbaugh good, David Shaw good, and we're going to struggle, or they could be what they are now and we're going to struggle. We ended up winning that game pretty handily, but the first half was a struggle.
Starting point is 00:04:59 Who's going to be our – my guess is going to be – I think it's Northwestern. Well, Northwestern is too much of a parallel with Stanford. To me, it's like Purdue because Purdue wins these big games at home, right? Like they're the team that – like Stanford wins these games. Like they beat Oregon way too much on their home turf. So, to me, it's like Purdue. I thought maybe Northwestern – someone suggested Iowa,
Starting point is 00:05:18 but they're too good on defense to sort of be like a Stanford. Yeah, Iowa is too good in general. And if they ever do get offense figured out, they're just going to be a good team. So. I was too good in general. Like, and if they ever do get offense figured out, they're just going to be a good team. So that doesn't count. I think Purdue, Purdue, Illinois, maybe a Northwestern is like too bad. If that makes sense. Like Stanford is had years where they've been really, really good. Yeah. Well, we'll, we'll see. I mean, I do, I am interested in how all of that shakes out and how Oregon and Washington and USC force some changes for like Iowa. Like Iowa can't play the way they play because they don't have guaranteed games against Illinois and Nebraska and like those guys every year.
Starting point is 00:06:00 Now they're going to play Nebraska every year, but they are going to have to play a lot more dynamic offenses than they're used to playing. It's going to require a philosophical change. Well, nothing's changed now. I mean, are they going to really decide, like, all of a sudden? I mean, there's a chance that they make it back to the conference championship game this year, right? Like, what are they going to change when they're playing in Indianapolis? They're going to lose. I was at the game. They lost, what, 42-3 to Michigan or 45-3.
Starting point is 00:06:28 I mean, they're going to tell themselves that they're right there. They're right there. A few breaks go our way, and now their quarterbacks hurt, so maybe things are a little different. But there's a chance that they end up winning the West and playing in the Big Ten Championship game again. And their goal is averaging 25 points a game on offense andy that's it 25 right all these they're not hitting it either they're 14 points behind the pace right
Starting point is 00:06:50 now in the drive for 325 oh my god it's so bad it's so bad so um it's so embarrassing i they're never going to change unless unless they get new coaching staff all right let's let's get into these picks we will do the iowa total because we always pick the Iowa total. I usually pick under, but they went over last week, so we'll see what happens. But let's start in that noon Eastern window, a game that you and I, before we started recording, had both mentioned as this is very intriguing. LSU going to Missouri.
Starting point is 00:07:23 Missouri's getting six and a half points and the total is 63 and a half. Now I will issue a disclaimer to those of you watching and listening. We are recording this a little bit earlier than usual because I've got to go to my kid's football game on Wednesday afternoon. So these lines may have changed slightly since we did the show. But if I'm looking at this right now, Jeff, I'm taking the over for sure because I've watched LSU play pass defense and I've seen Brady Cook and Luther Burden and I'm feeling pretty good about Missouri.
Starting point is 00:08:00 Yeah. And another reminder, because I do dabble in the wagering community very often for some of my jobs. You don't have to bet on every game. We're picking the big games every week. I might not have an opinion on all of these, but I do have I get a home team getting six and a half points. I'm going to pull this up right now. LSU's defense right now is 121st in points per drive on defense. 121st. Their explosive play rate is 127th on defense. And I get an offense in Missouri that can score with wide receivers. The total might hit.
Starting point is 00:08:40 I'm with you on the over, but I mean, a home team in a conference game where everyone looks at LSU, I think team in a conference game where, you know, everyone looks at LSU, I think still is a big dog program, right? And so they're going to be fired up. They're going to be ready. They're going to want to win the game, which is important. I think, you know, the way you come out and start the game, but also LSU cannot stop a nosebleed.
Starting point is 00:08:59 They can't do that. And so I just don't really think that we're going to have a situation where this game falls with LSU winning by seven points or more yeah and i did the over i say because i don't know that missouri is going to be able to stop lsu very consistently either because jake daniels and and malik neighbors and and you know brian thomas like those guys are awesome we saw them against old miss last week so i just i think there's gonna be a very high scoring game and that's a lot of points to be given Missouri. And I think you're right.
Starting point is 00:09:31 LSU is still one of those programs when they stroll into your stadium, everybody gets up for them. Yes, absolutely. And I think that that plays a role in some of these games. We've also seen this year that, you know, ranked opponents have just not played as well on the road, outside of really Nebraska just – I mean, Michigan murdering Nebraska.
Starting point is 00:09:54 You know, they've started slower. They haven't played as well. It's just hard to play road games, man. I'm not saying that – you know, obviously we've seen road teams win, but it's just hard. It's hard to be on the road. It's hard to play these road games. And I think that's also a factor in how you look at some of these games
Starting point is 00:10:12 is like being on the road. I think this is, you know, they lost to Ole Miss last week, I should say, on the road. It's just playing on the road is hard, man. It just is. And I think that plays a role in wanting me to take the points here. Well, yeah. And people, you can say, oh, Missouri doesn't have the same atmosphere as say a tennessee or a
Starting point is 00:10:29 florida but i've been to missouri when they've been really good when they had chase daniel when they could beat teams that were ranked in the top 10 like that place gets loud that place gets exciting it's not like it's's going to be sleepy the whole time. They will get loud. And Ole Miss is not a place that's an especially terrifying road environment. But as you just mentioned, LSU went up there and lost last week. So it's, you're exactly right. The home road thing matters.
Starting point is 00:11:00 I mean, you tell me, you played in the NFL for a long time. It feels like it matters a lot more in college. Absolutely. Yeah. Well, let's cover this for that. One is that college football is played with 18 to 22-year-olds, right? They're highly emotional. There's a lot of look-ahead factor in college football where you look at the schedule and you say,
Starting point is 00:11:19 okay, look, I'm circling these wins. I mean, I'm sure you remember that, right? You get the schedule and you're like, okay, I'm winning these eight games, right? And the game in between is two big opponents, the one we're kind of down for. That's why. It's emotions. And plus, college football fans are louder. The stadiums are louder.
Starting point is 00:11:36 There's more people in the stadiums. The biggest NFL stadium, I think, is – I think Dallas can do that with 100,000. Yeah, with standing room, yeah. And then I think, weirdly enough, FedEx Field in D.C. seats like 92,000. It's a huge stadium. Wow. Yeah, it's huge. I don't think people realize that, at least the way it used to be configured.
Starting point is 00:11:56 But you're getting 70,000, 65,000. You're not getting as many, and the fans are not as passionate the stadiums aren't really built at times for uh you know for like um you know for noise and for loudness and so it's a different crowd and you know the more you play in the noise the more you get used to playing in the noise and so as you the older you know the more snaps you get the less you're concerned and look this sounds silly but you have more time andy to work on things like the cadence like snap counts like like like hand signaling um all these things that you just don't have enough time to do in college football i also think it really helps the nfl the radio communications between the quarterback and coach so you're not really worried about looking over for hand signals and then you're screaming things out to your office you just
Starting point is 00:12:42 you're in the huddle. You hear the play. There's more things that help in NFL to make that transition a little bit easier playing on the road. Yeah. You heard that, college people. Let's get the radio in the helmet. I think we should do that. It absolutely should be done. It's kind of silly it hasn't been done yet.
Starting point is 00:13:02 I don't get why not. Everyone has the money to do that now. I think that was the holdup, right, is that there wasn't enough money for that to happen. It's time, Andy. Yeah, I'm tired of seeing the three big sheet panels behind the three guys to give them a background to signal against. And we don't need to see that anymore. No, I'm with you. It's over.
Starting point is 00:13:20 All right, let us move to another game in that noon Eastern window. Maryland at Ohio State. Ohio State is a 19.5-point favorite at home. This is a tough one for me, Jeff, because that Maryland offense has been very good this year, but you look at who it's been against. And that is where I run into a problem. Look, I love what Talia Tung and Milo have been able to do.
Starting point is 00:13:51 I love that they spread the ball around but against this Ohio State defense I don't know that that matters this feels like a game that gets out of hand by the final score right where you have a as you mentioned a Maryland team that's played Charlotte, Virginia, Michigan State, and Indiana. I think combined, looking right now, combined they have five wins. Five wins. And they played an FCS team at the start of the season. Ohio State's not that team. And while Ohio State did struggle in offense against Notre Dame,
Starting point is 00:14:21 Notre Dame's obviously a legit defense, but they had a week to sort of get right, right? To kind of refocus, to use that bye week to, I would imagine, put some new things in, get guys healthy. And it just feels like over 60 minutes, Ohio State is better nearly everywhere, Andy. And I'm not sure I'd lay the, was it 19 and a half you said? 19 and a half. 19 and a half. But I could certainly see this game being in the 48-28 type of range
Starting point is 00:14:49 by the time it's over, which I know is 20 points, so you would take Ohio State would barely cover there. But it does feel like as the game gets longer, the talent level Ohio State takes over. Yeah. People keep bringing up that 2018 game. That was at Maryland. There was a lot going on with Ohio State that was
Starting point is 00:15:06 the week before the Michigan game like all of those things matter too this is not that situation now this is the week before the Penn State game actually no it's not I'm sorry it's two weeks before the Penn State game so it's not you don't even have a look ahead factor there for Ohio State so it is it is really i mean i i just think you're right coming off a bye week the talent level and it may be close at first it may be a close first half i think that's fair to say i'm gonna take ohio state though to cover and it's one of those this was last week week I took USC to cover and was sure. Like once they got out to that big lead, I was like, all right, they're rolling here.
Starting point is 00:15:52 This is going to be great. And then Colorado starts to come back. Because the part you don't really account for is when a team gets comfortable with a big lead. Can they keep the hammer down? I think Ohio state probably can it's not usc's defense which we will talk about a little bit later correct um i uh so i put out every friday my patch of wagers and i'm very good at them and i'm 12 and 10 so far this year so i've had a good start um i'm oh and three betting on usc games in any direction. And I'm just not going to do it anymore.
Starting point is 00:16:26 Like I'm just – I had over 48.5 for the Colorado game. They scored seven touchdowns, missed extra point. Don't make that. I had – they played Stanford Ur in the season, right? And I had them in total with 69 points. I had the over, and it was 49-3 at halftime. I'm pretty much well home. Nope.
Starting point is 00:16:48 56-10, final score. So I lost one other one. I'm just done. I took them off the bye to Arizona State first half. No, that didn't happen. So I'm done with USC. We'll get to them later. Let me give you another Pac-12 one that you might feel better about then.
Starting point is 00:17:05 Let's go to Washington State at UCLA. Two teams coming off a bye week. Washington State got to watch Oregon State beat Utah, the team that they had just beaten. Goes and beats Utah. UCLA coming off their loss to Utah where they could not do anything offensively. UCLA is a three-and-a and a half point favorite in this game. Oh yeah.
Starting point is 00:17:27 And you sound very confident about that. I'm, I'm wondering why. Uh, well, I, my, my actual, my best bet for this week that I'll put out on one of my other podcasts I do is going to be UCLA first half in this game. Um, and let me, let me tell you why I mentioned the road stuff, right? And I looked this up today. So there's been six times so far this season, a ranked team ranked at the time. So I'm using Colorado.
Starting point is 00:17:53 I'm using, you know, I think the only team and the Bruins, by the way, who went to Utah ranked team on the road in their first conference game. Okay. Zero of the six of them have covered the first half. Zero of six. It's hard to play on the road Washington State has played Wisconsin at home in the biggest non-conference game they've had in 25 years they have not had a a power five non-conference game at home since 1998 to 1998 then they follow that up they play northern Colorado they blow them out and then Oregon
Starting point is 00:18:24 State comes to town. They blow out the Beavers. Everyone's talking about them. Everyone's loving them. They're in this weird fight with College Game Day. It's not really weird. I think College Game Day is being super immature about it. But nonetheless, and now they get to go on the road and play in the Rose Bowl.
Starting point is 00:18:40 Talk about a letdown, an emotional letdown. This is like the exact opposite of all the games they've played so far at home um you're going to the rose bowl it's going to be quiet you got to bring your own energy you're playing on pac-12 network it's a middle of the day game it's 12 pacific i believe um it's just kind of like a blah spot bruins off a terrible loss to utah where they didn't play well offensively usually his's front seven, though, Andy, is really freaking good. I think people are not talking about that enough because so much focus is on the other Pac-12 schools.
Starting point is 00:19:11 The Bruins have a really, really good defense. They kind of solidified themselves with a bunch of returning guys there. They obviously had to change their defensive coordinator, unfortunately. They're really good on defense. And so I think this is a spot where kind of a classic spot where a team is so soaring so high right now in Washington state. And now they're playing in a completely different environment against a team that just had a terrible football game. And so I think the Bruins, I like the
Starting point is 00:19:34 Bruins first half. I think they win the game as well. That's just sort of the way the conference goes. And we've seen so far that again, the first road game for a lot of these ranked teams again i'll go back it's you know usc didn't cover against arizona state washington cover last weekend oregon didn't cover stanford in the first half utah didn't cover oregon state the bruins didn't cover utah and uh colorado didn't cover oregon like it's it's hard to play that first road game i keep bringing this up so that's why I leaned into the Bruins here a tiny bit. I will say, though, that there is a quarterback advantage here with Cam Ward, the way he's playing, and Dante Moore.
Starting point is 00:20:11 But I think Moore can't play any worse than he did against Utah. That's a tough environment to be a freshman quarterback at Rice-Eccles. So I think the Bruins bounce back in a big way here. You know, I have a hard time at this point betting against washington state just because i look at the way jake dickert has has kind of galvanized that great job it the emotion that you because you're right this is a bring your own emotion bring your own energy kind of game because the rose bowl is kind of sleepy for ucla. It's a huge, sprawling stadium. They just don't get that many people in there. It can't get that loud from an acoustic standpoint.
Starting point is 00:20:52 But somehow I think the Cougars will be ready for this. I think they're in a situation where if the teams are equal talent, I'm probably taking Washington State every time. Well, when they have to go play Oregon or they have to play a team that is superior talent, that's a different story. But I feel like these two teams are pretty close. You are right about UCLA's defensive front. And we saw that against Utah because they wouldn't let Utah do anything.
Starting point is 00:21:22 Remember, half of Utah's points were a pick six. So this is going to be a good game. I will happily take three and a half points, though. So give me Washington State here. And excited to see what they keep doing because they're on a mission, clearly. Jake Dickard has done a good job using what has happened to them, which is horrible, to light a fire under them. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:21:49 And they get no Utah and no USC. So they're in a spot where if they pick up this win, they're looking at only two games the rest of the way. They're probably going to be underdogs then. And they're both on the road. They're at Oregon and at Washington. And they get Oregon between Washington and Utah, which is a good spot to get a team um so i'm curious how this one goes i think your point about talent like the cougars story is great but they're not as talented as like nine other teams in the conference like that's sort
Starting point is 00:22:21 of i think a problem when you when you go over a 12 game schedule so i'm curious to find out it'd be fun to watch. I mean, I'll be tuning into Pac-12 Network, buddy. I'll be the only one on the East Coast watching this game. I still have it. I still have it on my phone and on my iPad, so I can pull it up when I need to. All right. We go to our total.
Starting point is 00:22:38 We talked about Iowa earlier in the show. Iowa's a one-and-a-half point favorite at Purdue. We don't have to worry about the spread in this one. We picked the total with Iowa. It's 39 and a half. Iowa did go over last. Well, the Iowa game, the Iowa Michigan state game, Iowa now with a different quarterback,
Starting point is 00:22:56 a K McNamara tours ACL is out for the season. Jeff Deacon Hill, six, three, two 60. This is a big dude playing QB. Yeah, so I think it's 38 and a half now. I'll check. Let's make sure it hasn't moved since we started talking. I see right here it says 38 and a half. Yeah, I just bet the under.
Starting point is 00:23:22 I just don't want to time in life I root for bad football I just, this is the one time in life I kind of root for bad football. Like I want to see the funniest thing happen on offense in these games. Um, and the funniest thing to happen again is to score zero points. Like they continued, um, ineptitude on offense. Uh, I, I kind of cheer for it now. Yeah. Right. Like you have to cheer for it.
Starting point is 00:23:42 Yeah. It's, it's a, it's 39, 39, 38. Um, have to cheer for it yeah it's it's a it's 39 39 38 um you got to cheer for it like you just have to because it's the idea that their coach just needs to get to 25 points a game to get a bonus is ridiculous i'm not to get a bonus is to keep his contract from terminating like his contract i thought it was if they don't, there's no way they're going to fire him, right? He's the coach's son. Well, that's the thing. And we talked to Tom Kakert about this on yesterday's show. He's the publisher of Hawkeye Report.
Starting point is 00:24:13 And basically he's like, yes, the contract terminates. That doesn't mean they can't just give him another contract with a lower pay or some other situation, a shorter deal, deal like a one year less pay kind of situation so it's not lose or leaves town necessarily it doesn't mean you get fired but it does mean you probably get a shorter term deal for less pay but incredible if they keep winning and like you said earlier if they make it in Indianapolis which by the way highly possible if they win this game which they should I still I can't believe they're only a one and a half point favorite in this game because Purdue's not good Purdue beat Illinois which is also not good
Starting point is 00:24:57 yeah I think what people are looking at is when Ryan Walters was the Illinois defensive coordinator last year he's now Purdue's head coach. He just destroyed Iowa's offense. Yeah. So he may do that again. He doesn't have Johnny Newton and Keith Randolph like he did last year. So maybe you don't have the horses do that. And then maybe you get Cooper to Gene doing a little Travis Hunter playing a little offense too.
Starting point is 00:25:24 In targeted spots, I think players can do that. Just the Travis Hunter thing is so unique because there's no player that I can recall, even guys like Chant Bailey who played a lot on offense, never played the usage that Travis Hunter has. Didn't play fully on offense. Yeah, and that's the difference. And remember, Travis Hunter did get hurt playing offense. So I do wonder if they scale that back when he comes back from the lacerated liver.
Starting point is 00:25:49 But I so I just checked our sponsor FanDuel here. As we speak, it is still thirty nine and a half. OK, good. All right. So I will take it. I will take the half point. It's important. Let's do it.
Starting point is 00:26:04 Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, no, I just, it's one of those things where I don't know if Purdue can score at all on Iowa. Michigan State did score a little bit on them, which I was not expecting, but I don't know that Purdue's going to score at all. Let's go to another game that's got a pretty low total. And actually, this is one the total has dropped,
Starting point is 00:26:24 I believe, three points since it came out on Sunday. It'll probably have dropped more by the time you listen to this episode. Alabama at Texas A&M. Alabama is a two and a half point favorite on the road. The total at the moment is 47 and a half. I tend to agree with the people hammering the under on this thing, that this is going to be a fairly low scoring affair. Yeah. I tend to agree that, that, uh, with that as well, but also when that happens, I tend to take the points, right? If I'm, if I'm picking a side here, if it's a low
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Starting point is 00:28:09 Andy, Alabama in the offensive and defensive lines is not what they used to be, right? And that's one place where A&M is excelling right now, right? Especially in the defensive line. And so we've seen Alabama struggle this season when playing a defensive line, really Texas, that was really able to get their quarterbacks off their spot, get the offensive linemen to make some mistakes in the run game. And you have an A&M offensive line, I mean, defensive line, they can do that in this game, right? Like they're able to make this, to be the difference makers in this game. I think that really tips the scales to me for A&M to cover and win this game.
Starting point is 00:28:49 And again, I mean, betting against Nick Saban is typically bad money. But I think A&M has the important pieces in place to beat a team like Alabama. Well, this is amazing to me because two weeks ago, we were talking about how Alabama's dead. We still weren't sure about A&M because they were coming off that loss to Miami. Yeah. The winner of this game is in the driver's seat in the SEC West. I would not be shocked if whoever wins this game wins the SEC West. Yeah. And I don't have a strong feeling about who's going to win this game. I agree with everything you said about A&M's
Starting point is 00:29:25 defensive line against Alabama's offensive line, potentially causing Mill Road to make some mistakes, which is what he did in the Texas game. There were two critical mistakes that if he doesn't make those, that game is pretty much a deadlock. So the part I want to see is can Alabama disrupt Max Johnson? Can they cause him to make some mistakes? Because that will make a difference. With A&M's defense, the big questions out of the Miami game were can they get pressure? Can they tackle?
Starting point is 00:30:00 It may be that Miami's offensive line was just good, and that's why they couldn't get pressure. Because they certainly seemed to be able to get pressure against Auburn, and they certainly seemed to be able to do it against Arkansas. That brings up something fun that I've been talking about the last couple of weeks. So we have three second-year coaches, Mario Cristobal, Dan Lanning, and Brent Venables.
Starting point is 00:30:19 And they have proven track records. Now, of course, Dan Lanning has not done it as long as the other coaches have. But Dan Lanning was at Georgia with a really good defense that he controlled i know kirby had say in that but it was his defense dan landing called the plays yeah brett venables obviously for so many years at clemson and then mario with offensive line sort of building up in the trenches what he did at oregon and after one year when it didn't go so well in defense for for oregon oklahoma and in miami on offense and on defense as well, like on the lines, everyone's like, no, those guys can't do it anymore.
Starting point is 00:30:49 I don't trust – it's like give them a year. Give them a year. And look what Miami's done. They brought in a bunch of good football players in the offensive and defensive lines, and they're much better. Look at Oregon defensively. Dan Lanning brought his whole new secondary in. Guess what?
Starting point is 00:31:03 They're so much better. Their best linebacker hasn't even played yet this season. Look at Brent Venables, Oklahoma. Give them one. Andy, people wouldn't give them one season. And I'm not surprised that Miami, it was one of my favorite win totals this year. It was seven and a half. I hammered the over.
Starting point is 00:31:16 I'm like, guys, I watch this at Oregon. I watch Mario year two win the Rose Bowl at Oregon. Like, just give them his own guys. And it's so funny to me how we just can't give patience anymore. One year and all of a sudden – and it wasn't like Oklahoma was – I know they had a year they didn't really want to have. But it wasn't like Oregon was terrible last year or Miami was – I know, again, it wasn't the best season.
Starting point is 00:31:35 But, like, I get some frustration being there. But, like, they figured it out. What a surprise. Mario knows how to recruit off of the defensive linemen. I'm shocked, right? Brett Venables knows how to call defense. What a surprise, right? I Venables knows how to call defense. What a surprise, right?
Starting point is 00:31:49 I mean, and Dan Lane knows what he's doing. It's interesting because this feeds into Texas A&M a little bit here too because remember they signed that great recruiting class in 2022. They go five and seven, and it was like, oh, it's over. That recruiting class was a bust, blah, blah. No, they're actually still incredibly talented, and now those guys aren't freshmen anymore. Yes. But A&M is different.
Starting point is 00:32:10 I think there were so many years we kept hearing about them being back. And we'll talk about Texas, Oklahoma, I would imagine. Same thing, right? Like, we're back, we're back, we're back. And then when you're not, then, of course, you get hammered for it. But I think A&M this weekend, I hate picking against Bama, but I think A&M takes this one and then we get kind of a are they back sort of discussion.
Starting point is 00:32:33 Or are they really ever where they want to be? A&M is interesting, man. They have, you know, you would think that they have won 10 games over multiple seasons, like in the last 15 20 years it's just not true i i i'm kind of shocked that i guess texas is sort of texas had better seasons we talk about texas and a m like you're like like guys like the winning is not backed up by the hype each year well it's because with texas a m especially all of the pieces are there they have the location the resources the fan passion the you name it the the talent and they never put it together but it feels like
Starting point is 00:33:13 they might be able to now the problem is you have to do something like beat Alabama to get there that's college football you got to be good teams to be good teams and so i i it feels like a&m is might be on the precipice of that happening on saturday i am still going to take alabama i'm going to go down with this ship if it's going down because here's what's going to happen either alabama is going to win this game go in the west potentially win the sec and make the playoff or they're going to lose it and somebody else takes the mantle. Yeah. And maybe that's A&M because A&M at that point would be the favorite,
Starting point is 00:33:53 I think, in the SEC West because, remember, their only loss is to an ACC team. And watching LSU doesn't give you a ton of confidence. They've already beaten Auburn and Arkansas. They're going to beat Mississippi State. They've got to go to Tennessee. That's going to be tough. But I just, if they can win this one and have this in their back pocket, they got a good shot of winning the West.
Starting point is 00:34:18 But I still, I'm not ready to see Nick Saban handed over quite yet. I don't know that that's ready to happen yet. So I'm going to take Alabama. I could be hilariously wrong, but I'm going to take the Crimson Tide in this one. Let's go back to the conference that you talk about on Pac-12 radio on Sirius XM very, very frequently. Colorado at Arizona State. We move into an interesting point in the Buffalo schedule. So the first three games were holy crap. Deion Sanders is a
Starting point is 00:34:46 power five college football coach. Let's see what he does. The next two were, this is Colorado playing established powers that are much better than them. Now they move into the portion of the schedule where they're playing conference games against teams that they should be competitive against. Arizona State is a four and a-a-half point underdog at home. Buffalo is supposed to go in there and beat them. How do we feel about this after Colorado USC? Yeah, so pretty interesting game here, mostly from the Arizona State side, not really from the Colorado side, in my opinion.
Starting point is 00:35:21 Arizona State's one and four, right? They won their first game against Southern Utah barely, and they've lost just some low-scoring games. The Oklahoma State loss looks worse and worse than the Oklahoma State plays. But they've had such turnover quarterback with all the injuries they've had. They started Jaden Rashada, and then Drew Pine played, and then Trent Bourget started last weekend. But Kenny Dillingham has taken over the offense the last two weeks,
Starting point is 00:35:44 and it's been much better.'s been much much better um you know 20 against usc 21 and a loss to cal last weekend um you know colorado's defense is just not good like i i i don't know if but i but i don't trust arizona state to to just play well in offense i kind of just don't yet andy like i have to sort of see is it's Borgia. I think it's Borgia again, I think, this weekend. They just don't have a lot of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. But low key, they've been pretty good on defense for kind of what we thought they were going to be this year.
Starting point is 00:36:19 They're not a great defense, but they're okay. They're better than we thought. And my only – I guess my last thought, my only thought, my last thought is this is a big comedown for Colorado, right? Right. You go from playing basically five straight weeks in prime time with I think four of the five weeks you had – or every week you had some sort of pregame show there, right?
Starting point is 00:36:44 You had game day or a big new kickoff. Yeah. weeks you had or every week you had some sort of pregame show there right you had uh you had game day or a big new kickoff yeah how are you going on the road you're playing a 330 kickoff in arizona are they pacific time i don't who knows um pac-12 network it's 330 kickoff because the time change hasn't happened yet so it's 330 local time it's going to be a little bit warm it's going to be again a bring your own energy type yet, so it's 3.30 local time. It's going to be a little bit warm. It's going to be, again, a bring-your-own-energy type of game. I'm not wagering on this game. I'm just kind of staying away from this game. But there's a lot of things that I'm kind of very curious to see
Starting point is 00:37:17 about both these teams when they play each other on Saturday. Yeah, I feel like if you were defending Arizona State, just have somebody tackle Cam Scadabo every play. You might limit what they can do. By the way, I looked up. It's supposed to be 98 on Saturday. So you're playing 98 degrees in Phoenix on Saturday. I played a 12-30 kickoff there before in September.
Starting point is 00:37:45 We won like 49-7 or something. I mean, we kicked their butt, but it's very toasty. They have metal bleachers there. The sun reflects quite furiously. They've redone their stadium since then. But, yeah, I don't have a feel for this game. I really – the total is 60-and-a-half. I mean, I guess over would be my – if I had to take a wager on this game,
Starting point is 00:38:05 that's where I would go, but I don't feel great about anything in this one. I think Colorado is going to go in there and cover. And what I'm interested in is seeing these next few weeks for Colorado because if they just handle business and they come out of this stretch with five wins, I mean, if you had told me before the season started they would have five wins on the season started they would have five wins on the season i would say that's a great year for them absolutely five and two that's a really great so it's arizona state stanford and then the bulk of their schedule gets tougher right at ucla off
Starting point is 00:38:39 a buy um the host of beavers they go to they host arizona and it's at washington state at utah i mean they might lose all of those games they're gonna arizona you got a quarterback is you know we'll see what they do there but yeah i mean there's a chance that they go bowling this year which i think no one thought would be possible yeah yeah i if deon takes them to a bowl game this year i'm looking at them as potentially a contender in the Big 12 next year because I know he's going to upgrade the roster again. The only thing I'll push back on is that he has got to recruit high school offensive defense alignment. Yes, which he's doing. He's trying to flip guys from Alabama.
Starting point is 00:39:16 He's trying to flip guys from USC. Sure. I mean, 10% of players flip. That's one guy, right? Who's trying to get me. Oregon's trying to flip guys too. One flip and you're excited, right? I mean, you got to really go in.
Starting point is 00:39:32 This year has players on the West Coast, in Arizona and Southern California and Washington that are high level off defense alignment. And you got to get those guys. And unfortunately, Georgia and Texas take all of them away from us. They do. And that is the and Texas take all of them away from us. They do. And that is the problem is they're a limited resource.
Starting point is 00:39:54 And Texas is the one school that's actually been able to get into that game where they're getting kind of the ready-made offensive linemen, and they weren't before. But it was just really Georgia, Alabama, and Ohio State were getting those guys. So upsetting. Well, Oregon was getting them, and Mario was getting them at Miami. Yeah, but Calvin Banks was supposed to be a duck, and he's now anchoring the Texas Offensive Alliance. Upsetting.
Starting point is 00:40:13 Yes, and Calvin Banks is going to be a first-round draft pick in 2025. He will be the first offensive tackle taken in 2025. That is correct. Yeah, it's interesting just how much they've gotten better on both lines of scrimmage. We'll talk about Texas in a minute, but I'm going to take Colorado to cover there. Okay.
Starting point is 00:40:29 Speaking of good line play, speaking of teams that just want to line it up and run it down your throat, Athens, Georgia on Saturday night, Kentucky coming off, running for a billion yards against Florida. They'll be playing a Georgia team that barely escaped Auburn. Georgia is a 14.5 point favorite in this game. The total is 48.5.
Starting point is 00:40:52 Jeff, this feels like the best remaining team on Georgia's schedule unless Tennessee keeps clicking. And that game's tough because it's in Knoxville. But if Georgia gets past this one, I don't know who can stop them. But I do feel like we're due for Georgia just playing a complete game at some point. But haven't we said that for a couple weeks now? Yeah. Maybe that's not who they are this year.
Starting point is 00:41:21 Well, they're not as good as they were last year. And I think it's unfair of us to hold them to the standard of being as good as they were last year and i think it's unfair of us to hold them to the standard of being as good as they were last year when you think about all they lost and and it's what's what's compounding this is they lost so much in 2021 yet they still replenished it in 2022 and might have even been better like to do that three years in a row is impossible. Yes. It's just not going to happen. I mean,
Starting point is 00:41:47 and I was thinking about the 2021 defensive line that had Devante Wyatt and Jordan Davis and Trevon Walker and Jalen Carter all playing at the same time. I don't know if they ever played together at one time because of the way the rotation worked, but that's essentially like playing an above-average NFL defensive line with a regular college offensive line. You have no chance. Correct.
Starting point is 00:42:12 That's why I think we've seen a little bit of regression in Georgia. They've lost talent, but also the quarterback's just not as good either, right? And we keep waiting for this moment where they just become Georgia again. Andy, we've played five games now. This feels like this is what Georgia's going to be, right? They're going to still try to beat you up in the trenches, throw the ball to 19, hope he makes a bunch of plays for you. And so you have a Kentucky team that wants to match that style, right?
Starting point is 00:42:37 They want to run the football we saw last weekend. 14.5 points feels like way too many to me. But I will say if Kentucky comes out early and can't run the ball and Georgia scores pretty quickly on them and Kentucky gets out of their game plan, then I think Georgia can sort of have a lot of success if Kentucky sort of stops trying to run the football and tries to be something they're not an offense.
Starting point is 00:43:06 Yeah, and that I think is the key is make Devin Leary beat you with his arm. Make those receivers catch the ball. Devin Leary actually didn't have a bad game against Florida, even though the stats don't look that great. There were a bunch of drops that killed them, but it didn't matter because Ray Davis was unstoppable in that game. He was incredible, man. And the Kentucky line was just battering florida's d line but i do wonder if against a team that tries to be more like them georgia has a bigger advantage because what is georgia but a
Starting point is 00:43:38 better version of what kentucky wants to be oh no you're right i think that's the point about i was trying to make is like if georg Georgia's able to shut them down, are they going to hold Georgia to 24 points, 27 points? It has the possibility of getting a little bit out of hand. I would still take Kentucky in the points here. I don't have a great feel for this one.
Starting point is 00:44:00 But you're right about it. There is a chance that this does get to be a Georgia wins this game by 35, and we are like, no, Georgia's back. Here we go. Let's go. Although I could see Georgia dominating this game and winning by 13. That's the problem I have picking this game is it feels like it.
Starting point is 00:44:20 I don't have. That was Georgia-Tennessee last year, right? They won by 14, but just but just like kicked their ass. It didn't even – Yes, the entire game. Exactly. So that's the part I can't figure out is because if it – I don't have a good feeling about Kentucky winning the game,
Starting point is 00:44:36 but I don't really know where the final falls. So I'm going to – Okay, this will be the last time I do it. Unless it happens, then I'll do it again. I am going to say that Georgia finally has a fast start, comes out of the gate smoking, and plays four quarters the same way. So I'll take Georgia to cover, and I will never do it again if they don't. Last time. Yeah, I'm it again. If they don't last time I'm done. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:45:08 I'm done. Done with it. If they don't, because this is, this is too many times they have, they've caught me. Yeah. We didn't,
Starting point is 00:45:18 I don't think we know we picked Georgia Auburn last week and I, I picked them to cover and they, they didn't because they're just, that's maybe not who they are, but I keep thinking that they'll eventually round into form and then they're just going to blow somebody's doors off. This better be the week where I'm out. It's possible. It's really possible.
Starting point is 00:45:33 Yeah. All right. Now we go to Louisville. We had Jeff Brom on the show yesterday. He's, he's all excited. They're five and oh, I think he understands the challenge of Notre Dame coming in.
Starting point is 00:45:44 Notre Dame is a six and a half point favorite on the road at night again jeff i want to ask you about this because i think you know having played in the nfl you you can speak to this better than anybody after you've played two very physical games wire to wire where you're battered is it possible to be as good three weeks in a row after you've been beaten up like that in the nfl yes i think i mean that's our job right i mean it's that's you're just but in college football this feels like a a bad spot for no name to be in i mean you play two games now now to the final play of the game and they have just been, as you mentioned, just physical, knock them out, drag fights,
Starting point is 00:46:29 just brawls and now you go on the road again. You're on primetime again. Again, you're getting everyone's best shot. That's your Notre Dame. You get everyone's best shot and they host USC next weekend, the weekend after, I should say. Look ahead right there.
Starting point is 00:46:45 This feels like a Louisville plus six and a half or no wager spot, like a and they host USC next weekend, the weekend after, I should say. Look ahead right there, yep. So this feels like a Louisville plus six and a half or no wager spot, like 1,000%. This is what I would do here. Yeah, I think I'm going to take Louisville to cover here because I don't think Louisville is as good as Notre Dame by any stretch, but I think they may be able to get them, not even just cover, I think they may be able to win outright just because, like you just said, Notre Dame has been battered the past two weeks.
Starting point is 00:47:10 Those are emotionally draining games. I mean, that video that Notre Dame put out where they had the coordinator and assistant's headset audio on the last drive. That was so cool, dude. Oh, my God. It was awesome. It was so fun to hear. The best thing about what Notre Dame did was they gave fans an inside perspective without sharing any inside information.
Starting point is 00:47:33 Right. So all of us got to hear the coaches talk, and they didn't say anything. They're like, oh, should we go for two? Should we have a play? I was figuring they were going to say at some point, because they specifically talked about, okay, we have to go for two. What's our play going to be? Someone answered, they're going to be in zone. I figured they'd say okay let's run you know blah blah blah play and like we didn't get any of that but it was super cool
Starting point is 00:47:52 i actually have never been on the headset before i don't know if you've ever been on a headset before i've had the quarterback comms in before which is the you know the coach calling to the uh quarterback so i've never heard coaches talking i thing i i sort of talk like i thought they would i i didn't know like what to expect they're just like having open conversations they're just talking through situations talking through what what they're doing next and and i i'd always assume the head coach makes the final say and sort of a lot of these decisions like run pass in certain situations and it confirmed because confirmed because Marcus Freeman was the one deciding what they were doing, what the general plan was on offense.
Starting point is 00:48:27 Yeah, like when they go for it or if they're saying, should we run it here, should we? And it's usually like a one-word thing. You heard that? He just says one word, yes, I'm confirming this, no, don't do this. Yeah. But it was amazing to watch. watch and yeah they're kind of at midfield they're already talking about what what they might run as a two-point play which i
Starting point is 00:48:50 found very and then fourth down we don't know exactly what was said because they're selective about what they gave us but i'm guessing it got pretty quiet when they snapped the fourth down play like well we've done all we can oh yeah there was yeah it was just like oh here we go um you know god duke just you had you had brought pressure all night you got after sam hartman all night and in the final play of the game you run you drop a into coverage it's just dude it's it blows my mind man oh, and that's what I want. Ron English at Louisville, very experienced defensive coach. He's been around the block. I'm sure he watched that.
Starting point is 00:49:33 I imagine that they're going to try to heat up Sam Hartman pretty good and see what they can do. They're not as talented, obviously, as Duke on defense or as Ohio State on defense but they they do have some decent players and you know i jack plumber i thought did a really good job with nc state's pressure last week there's you know jeff brahm said he could have called a better game to help jack with that but notre dame is not going to do the show you this one look and we're either bringing three or bringing eight that's's not Notre Dame style.
Starting point is 00:50:06 So for Jack Plummer, it should be a little bit easier in terms of I'm not going to have five guys in my face potentially on this play. So we'll see. But I think what you said, the beaten-up factor plus the look-ahead factor, they didn't play USC next week. I might feel differently. This is a tough spot for Notre Dame. So I'm going to take Louisville to cover.
Starting point is 00:50:32 All right, let us move back into the Conference of Champions one more time. Arizona at USC. USC a 21.5 point favorite again. That's what they were against Colorado. That defense, that USC defense, I don't know. This is, you know, Arizona has talented receivers. USC should know they took one of them this offseason. Who really hasn't done very much at USC.
Starting point is 00:51:01 It's kind of surprising. But Arizona's still got a couple very good receivers. And then I thought Fafita did a pretty good job. Yeah. Yeah. He did a good job. I think he'll probably play again this weekend. The thing about what – I think if I'm right on this,
Starting point is 00:51:17 they did not turn the ball over, I want to say, in the game, which is Jay DeLores' problem. He turns the ball over too much. And if you just don't turn the ball over, you give yourself an opportunity to be in every game. And so I think Fafita with the connection with T-Mac and whatnot, his high school teammate. Arizona's offense is kind of fascinating
Starting point is 00:51:36 because they're 17th in yards per drive and 59th in points per drive. They're not converting into touchdowns. And now if they do that against USC, the over is going to hit. I mean, the over is hitting like 70% looking around the games anyways. But they're not going to stop USC either. It's just going to be, you know, USC is going to win this game. They'll win every game. It's going to be 45-31.
Starting point is 00:52:00 I think that's what the score was even last season or a couple seasons ago. It's just what's going to be in this game. I just struggle with this one because this is one of those. It feels like you should just take Arizona with the points. And then that'll be the one week USC's defense shows up and intercepts three passes and they win by 40. Like, I just. Yeah, that's not what USC's defense is right now. And I, you know, they don't have the turnover luck they had last season, which we talked about all heading into this season.
Starting point is 00:52:26 Arizona's offensive line, by the way, has some dudes. They can probably block this USC front better than Colorado can. It's just a matter to feed it. If he's good, he's his first road start. I know he played a little bit at Stanford a couple weeks ago. Dude, I'm 0-3 on betting USC games. I'm just not going to do it. I'm just staying away.
Starting point is 00:52:47 That's fine. I will take Arizona to cover here because I think you're right. The USC defense is what it is. And Arizona, you know, having played Washington as close as they did, they're not going to come in there scared. Yeah, and I don't know how many people will be the Coliseum for this game as well. At prime time. Is it like a Dodgers playoff game at night or something. Who knows?
Starting point is 00:53:10 So, yeah, I'm just not as certain in this game as I've been in other Pac-12 games. All right, let's go back to the noon window for the biggest game of the week. Red River, Oklahoma, Texas, in the Cotton Bowl, fried everything all around. All right, before we get to the game itself, deep-fried Snickers, deep-fried Twinkie, or deep-fried Oreo? Your choice. So I've only had a deep-fried Oreo before, and it's incredibly delicious.
Starting point is 00:53:38 Went to Minnesota State Fair when I played for the Vikings, and they just, everything's fried. Oh, God, it was so good. I'm not the biggest Twinkie guy, even though fried Twinkie could be interesting. What was the other option? Fried Snickers bar. Yeah, no.
Starting point is 00:53:56 The Oreo, I think the Oreo would be my choice. The Oreo is very good. The correct answer is deep fried Snickers, but it's close. I'm not a peanut butter person, so the Snickers is not like my favorite thing in the world i mean i'm not gonna i'll eat it if given to me but i'm not like i'm not going after that very often yeah you definitely you definitely like the oreo better the texture on the oreo is really good the but the texture on the snickers is good the twinkie gets ruined by the tech like i don't i don't really like twinkies very much either and the frying frying it doesn't really do much to it but
Starting point is 00:54:29 the question is who's getting fried in this game because these two teams are both better than the teams that played in this game last year now obviously oklahoma can't be any worse because they didn't have a quarterback ready to play. Dylan Gabriel was hurt with a concussion. This wasn't even a game last year. So it's almost like we should pretend that didn't happen. Yes. Dylan Gabriel is playing very well this year. Oklahoma's – you mentioned Brent Venables earlier and said,
Starting point is 00:54:58 give him a year and the defense will look better. And sure enough, it does. Yeah, I think Texas is really good really good though yeah that's the problem which is sort of the hard part of handicapping the game i mean i i think that i would sort of lean towards oklahoma and the points in this game i think if i were i'm not wagering on this game at all um but you know te Texas, if I were to put money on a team right now to win a championship, I can't believe I'm going to say Texas. I can't do that. There's no way, Andy.
Starting point is 00:55:34 I can't actually say that out loud. I just think they're really good. But, Jeff, they are. I mean, and they're good where it matters. They're good up front. They're good in the offensive and defensive lines. That's where it matters. And, you know,
Starting point is 00:55:46 Sark got that job and immediately went to getting better players in the trenches. It's worth noting this is the fifth time Texas has been a favorite in this rivalry
Starting point is 00:55:56 since 2005. They've won and covered all the three 0-1, but they've won all the games they've been a favorite in the last five times. I assume four times they've won all the games they've been a favorite in the last five times.
Starting point is 00:56:07 I'm assuming four times. This is the fifth time they've been a favorite. I think they're really good. I mean, it doesn't come down to like if Quinn Ewers can just sort of not make a bunch of mistakes, right? Yes. If he's consistent,
Starting point is 00:56:22 they're going to win going away, in my opinion. One other thing, I was looking at kind of the numbers of this game and the stats of this game. So I'm a big believer in explosive plays because I think it's important to be able to just generate those type of explosive plays against good defenses. It's hard to drive the field 10, 12, 14 play drives in college football to score points.
Starting point is 00:56:47 It's just hard. They're college kids. They commit a penalty. They fumble the ball. They throw a bad pass. It's just hard to do. Oklahoma has not been terribly great at explosive rushing plays.
Starting point is 00:56:59 Right. That's been what's missing. Yeah. And if you get into a game against Texas where you can't run the ball, you become one-dimensional, that's a problem. Also, their defense doesn't really hit anybody either. They don't really generate a lot of pressure with the front four.
Starting point is 00:57:16 So there's a couple of things I think Texas has better than Oklahoma in this game. Yeah, the one interesting thing, Jatavian Sanders is day-to-day, the Texas tight end. I think he's the best skill position player on the field if he's playing. So you add him into the mix. I don't – I'm going to take Texas to cover in this game. I do for the same reasons we just talked about. It feels like they're better on both lines of scrimmage. And they've actually been tested on both lines of scrimmage. And they've actually been tested on both lines of scrimmage.
Starting point is 00:57:46 Like they played Alabama. We saw them against fellow five-star recruit, future NFL-type players, and they handled that very well. So I just – I look at Oklahoma. You go back to the Cincinnati game where they're playing Dante Corleone, who's an NFL defensive tackle for sure. But Texas will rotate three of those guys in there. So go back to something Dan Lanning told me this offseason.
Starting point is 00:58:13 It applies to Texas. It applies to other schools. He wants his defensive linemen playing 40 snaps. That's it in a game. Yeah. Like the most. And if you watch Oregon play, Georgia play, Texas play, it's not just the one deep.
Starting point is 00:58:28 It's the two deep, right? It's being able to take a starter out and put someone in who's not going to lose you the rep. They might not be as good, but they won't lose you the rep, right? They won't cause a massive gap in a rush against the run. They won't rush out their lane in you know in the in in the pass game and texas is able to roll those guys in oklahoma for the most part able to
Starting point is 00:58:52 roll like that when you look at your favorite team and think do we have a defense that can last a season it's not about your front four it's about your front eight and your front 12 and can you rotate those guys in throughout a game to remain fresh well in texas they can actually throw change-ups at you because you could be playing to vandre sweat one play who's 360 pounds who is incredibly powerful and then they bring in alfred collins who is super long and quick and a different kind of challenge both those guys are are probably you know maybe round two round three nfl draft picks so that's that's another problem but you're right they can't absolutely roll those guys in and out which is not something texas could really do before like texas did not have multiple nfl players that they could roll in and out on the D line since,
Starting point is 00:59:45 you know, since they were playing for national championships last. That's there's no surprise, right? Yeah. Yeah. We try to make it more complicated than it is sometimes, but that's,
Starting point is 00:59:55 that's really what it is. Yeah. It's not that hard sometimes. And we just talk about all these teams this week and what we highlight a lot of our picks off offensive defense a lot. It's not hard sometimes. That's almost like the team with the best big people wins. That's the way I handicap a lot of games.
Starting point is 01:00:15 It seems to go well for me. I love it. Well, Jeff, thank you so much. Yeah, thanks for having me. I love it. We got to talk again soon. Actually, I believe I'm doing your radio show very soon. So I will be joining you on SiriusXM Pac-12 Radio.
Starting point is 01:00:29 Just one last thing. Oregon's going to beat Washington in two weeks. I just want to make sure. Oh, yeah. Okay. I'm sorry. The floor is yours. I want to give you a chance to explain that.
Starting point is 01:00:39 Obviously, you're an Oregon grad. You're biased. But why do you think the Ducks will beat the Huskies? They're better on defense it's not very difficult go back to last year right people like to have this revisionist history organ was up seven points in the fourth quarter before the quarterback got hurt and our offense just shut down like we were winning the game we were we were andy do people realize that they watch the game we were winning that football game. We had more yards.
Starting point is 01:01:05 We were better. We were better. Quarterback gets hurt. Offense goes to shit. We lose the game. More importantly, Oregon is much better on defense. It's remarkable. They're going to play man coverage, man coverage on Washington,
Starting point is 01:01:18 and say, beat us, beat us. We're going to blitz Michael Penix. We're going to hit Michael Penix. We might lose. We might give up 48 points. The man coverage did not work. We're playing man coverage. Have you watched us this season? We played four
Starting point is 01:01:34 Power 5 teams. We played four FBS teams. We've allowed a negative passing EPA in all four of those games. We joked about this on Twitter. Oregon's good on defense. And the goal of your defense in the Pac-12 this year is not to beat Georgia. It's to get four stops.
Starting point is 01:01:56 I looked at last season. Oregon got two stops. They forced a punt and an interception. And Washington scored 37 points. They forced some field goals. It's getting three stops Andy maybe four that's it I'm not asking for us to hold up to zero points but if we give up 31 points I feel good we're going to win the game I know it sounds silly to say
Starting point is 01:02:15 such a thing like that but like I think our defense is better than theirs and that's a huge part of being able to win this conference this year. We roll deep on defense. We've got three true freshmen that rush the passer on a consistent basis for us. Good spot to be in. Look at that. We've got picks for this week and a bonus pick for next week. Jeff Schwartz, thank you so much. You're welcome, buddy.
Starting point is 01:02:39 Take care. Today's Extra Point, not a happy story news out of lsu greg brooks suffering from a rare form of brain cancer so greg brooks is a db at lsu he had to go in for emergency brain surgery a few weeks ago they found a tumor and the pathology has come back and it is found to be medulloblastoma, which is a rare form of brain cancer. And according to his doctors, it's going to be a long road to recovery. The part of the brain where they had to work in affects speech and motion. So he's going to have a lot of rehab to go through. They said, fortunately, they did not find any evidence that there was any other cancer in his brain,
Starting point is 01:03:25 but there's still going to be more treatment. And he has a lot of work to do, and his family is going to have to help him through that. And so the Tiger Athletic Fund has set up the Greg Brooks Victory Fund. So if you want to donate to help the family deal with this medical, it's going to be a journey, is the word they used. And so just keep Greg Brooks and his family in your thoughts. This is just incredibly tough news to get for a young man. And I can't even imagine what his parents are going through dealing with this. So be thinking about Greg Brooks and say a prayer for him and just hope,
Starting point is 01:04:00 hope it's going to turn out okay for him. And I know that LSU crowd, the LSU community is going to rally around him and do everything they can to help. So that's just tough news out of Baton Rouge. Thank you so much for joining us today. We'll be back on Thursday. We've got Texas offensive tackle Christian Jones. We had Tavondre Sweat a couple of weeks ago, defensive tackle. We moved to the offensive line for the Longhorns. Another big reason why they are favored in this Oklahoma game and why we think this particular Texas team might be different.
Starting point is 01:04:35 Christian is one of the big reasons why. We'll have him. We'll get you ready for all the big games. Talk to you tomorrow.

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