Anything Better? - NFL Picks & Preview | Week 10
Episode Date: November 7, 2024Ole Billy SNL calls in with his picks while Paul and Jake the Snake hold down the fort. If you haven’t signed up for BetMGM yet, use bonus code BURR and you will get up to a $1500 FirstBet Offer on... your first wager with BetMGM! Here’s how it works: 1. Download the BetMGM app and sign-up using bonus code BURR. 2. Deposit at least $10 and place your first wager on any game.3. You will receive up to $1500 in bonus bets if your bet loses! Just make sure you use bonus code BURR when you sign up! First Touchdown Offer Simply place a prop bet on the player to score the first touchdown in any NFL game. If your player doesn't score first but instead scores second, you'll get your stake back in cash. Disclaimer: See BetMGM.com for Terms. 21+ only. US promotional offers not available in New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US). Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). First Bet Offer for new customers only. Subject to eligibility requirements. Rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 days. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
What's up everybody.
Welcome back to the anything better podcast NFL edition for week number
eight with your hosts, me, Paul Verzi over here, Bill Burr over there.
He's actually, uh, gonna have his, um, picks recorded this week.
Uh, he talked about him. He made his picks recorded this week.
He talked about him, he made his picks and you will see that, but Bill is hosting SNL this week.
So he will not be on the whole show,
but don't you people worry because we have the picks,
we have the records, we got Jake the Snake
with the injury reports.
We got Andrew Themless, the Beverly Hills kid,
the Greek freak out there doing what he does running this show beautifully.
You guys know BetMGM is the best sports gambling app out there and we love working with those guys so we have to shout them out.
Okay, BetMGM is offering $1,500 in free bets to get your season going.
How does it work? You download the BetMGM
sportsbook app and you use our code. It's a very easy code. It is BURR. B-U-R-R. That's it. It's
as simple as that. You sign up and you deposit at least $10 into your BetMGM sportsbook account,
place your first wager and receive up to $1,500 in bonus bets. If the bet loses,
if the bet does lose, your bonus bets will be available
once your initial wager is settled.
Guys, that's great.
If the bet does lose, okay,
your bonus bets will be available
once your initial wager is settled.
And don't forget the first touchdown offer
we have for you guys, which is a fun thing.
You simply place a prop bet on a player
to score the first touchdown in any NFL game.
If that said player does not score the first touchdown
in that NFL game, but they scored the second touchdown,
okay, you'll get your stack back in cash.
There you go.
Guys, what can I say?
I don't wanna boast, I don't want to boast.
I don't want to brag.
But the kid came, the kid crawled out of a big hole.
Now I'm not saying anything because there's a lot of season to be played.
Is there a chance I don't beat the book for the fourth straight year?
There is a chance.
But the kid was down eight early.
We had to have a players meeting and do all that stuff.
And right now I went three and one again.
I think my record in October, obviously there were no losses
in October as far as going under 500 or under a week.
But I think I am now sitting at 19 and 17,
going into this week's picks.
This week there's a lot of interesting games, but of course,
before we get into that we have to bring in the Anything Better Injury Report
Analyst Jake the Snake from a disclosed area in, nobody knows actually,
we don't know where, I guess I'm thinking it might be middle of the country or
West Coast, nobody really knows where Jake is because he's working on this all week.
Jake, what do we got?
What injuries are we looking at this week, bud?
Jake the Cowboys could be done. And I was just looking at CD Lamb. He, let's see if he practiced.
He practiced yesterday, so he may be back out there.
And then for the Eagles, since they play the Cowboys,
AJ Brown got injured against the Jaguars last week,
but he's back at practice, so he might be back out there.
For tonight, the Bengals, looks like T Higgins is out again.
So that's another big injury for the Bengals.
And then just figured out this morning that Trevor Lawrence will unlikely be playing against the Vikings this week.
So that number has shifted substantially. So those are kind of the big ones.
We can get to some others as this goes on.
So Trevor Lawrence is out for how long?
Unclear. The reports says that he's unlikely to play this week.
It looks like it must be a new injury he got against the Eagles last week.
Jake, that's why you're the best in the business, buddy.
That's why you're the best in the business. ESPN ESPN is foaming at the mouth to
get you, but we're not letting you go. Um, all right. right. Andrew, can I bring you in here for
a second? I want to talk to you, the Greek freak. You guys are going to be hearing from
Bill Burr and his picks today. He put in his picks and these are the up-to-date lines.
Andrew, these lines, these lines are all over the place this week.
But let's talk about everybody's record.
Can we talk about everybody's record?
Guys, what you guys don't know is even though me and Bill, even though it's mine and Bill's pick show, so to speak,
Andrew Themless and Jake The Snake do their picks.
And I believe I went three and one making my record in 19 and 17 for the year.
Then we have bills at 14 and 22 bills at 14 and 22.
So he's six games back.
I'm at you're at 19 and 17. Okay. Don't look at Andrew going 4-0 last week down there.
I gotta talk about that. Look, dude, look at you guys. Andrew 4-0, giving him a 20,
giving him 20 wins for the year so far. then look at Jake the Snake 16 and 20.
Yeah I started off really bad in the beginning of the year but I'm coming back I'm coming back.
Well I think what it is is we kind of know. Jake had a couple 0-4s and 1-3s.
Yeah listen I opened one 0-4. Yeah, my first three weeks my first three weeks of this season
Was oh and four one and three one and three. That's how I went into week number four
But you know what everybody you keep your head down and you fuck it you get back in the game
You you pick yourself up off the ground. I am gonna go Thursday night. That's right. I'm gonna go Thursday night
in in a few hours, actually, I am going to take
the Cincinnati Bengals getting six points in Baltimore. I think Cincinnati kind of hit a
stride. I think if their season is going to stay alive, I don't necessarily know if they win this game, but I think this game is going to be a fight.
I think a lot of people think the Ravens are going to just take it by a touchdown or more. I don't. I think Joe Burrow and them are going down for business.
And I think that they are going to definitely have those six points. I definitely think that the six points will cover. So I will take Joe Burrow and the semi-surging Cincinnati Bengals getting six points.
Hey what's up everybody? Bill Barr busy this week so I got to do them quick. I'm
gonna take the Ravens lay in I think six against the Bengals. I like the...
Who else did I like?
The Buccaneers getting six against the 49ers at home.
And I like the Vikings, whoever the hell they're playing.
And I like the Lions.
Those are my picks. I'm swinging in the dark here.
I've been traveling and then I've
been rehearsing so I don't even know what's going on. This is my housewife picks of the week.
All right, this is it. We're about to go underground and I'm going to lose you. All right,
those are my picks. Paul, if we have any overlap but there was something you really wanted, I stay
away, I try to stay away from the teams that you like. Although I did take the Lions,
I know you like them every week.
So if we got to do a little trade here,
I'm okay with that, all right?
Next week, it'll be back to normal, okay.
All right, oh, we got a little head to head.
And we got a little head to head
on the first game of the week,
which is tonight, which is awesome.
Six points, that should be fun.
All right, now for my second pick, this is another game that I think is going to be close. I think this is going to be a fight. I know the Detroit Lions are probably, I would say, either the first or second best team in the league. I think you'd have to say that the Lions and the Kansas City Chiefs are pretty much, by the way, the Kansas City Chiefs,
it's, if you don't blow them out, you're just not going to beat them. If you're in a tight game with them in the fourth quarter, it's, they're just some way, somehow, and as much as I hate to say
this, that's what championship teams do. And the DeAndre Hopkins edition is like, if fit like a glove already,
two touchdowns do the, in order to beat the Kansas City Chiefs,
you have to beat the shit out of the Kansas City Chiefs to have a shot.
So I really do think it's them and the Lions in a collision course right now.
But another team that I thought could go to the Super Bowl, and
they were my Super Bowl pick, I believe, is the Texans.
And it's a three and a half point line.
I can see the Lions winning this game on the road by a field goal, but I like the
half a point and I could see the Texans fighting this.
So I'm going to take, I'm going to take the Texans.
Wait, is CJ Stroud healthy?
He's okay?
So CJ Stroud's healthy, but the big news is Will Nico Collins,
his number one, excuse me, his number one receiver return.
He's been on IR the last four weeks,
but they're saying that he could return this week,
but they're not sure yet.
And then their top defensive guy, Will Anderson,
those are the two kind of injuries to look out for.
But CJ
Serral will be out there and that's going to be one of my picks too. Yeah, I think Nico Collins is
going to come back. Is that a Monday night game or is that Sunday? Sunday night game is the prime
time. Sunday night game. It gives Nico Collins more time. Obviously I'm going to take this
assuming he's coming back, but they're saying it's likely. I'm going to take this assuming he's coming back, but they're saying
it's likely. I'm going to take the Houston Texans at home, three and a half against the On Fire
Lions team, but I like the half a point, so give me that in Houston. Oh, look at this. This might be
the first time in the history of the Anything Better podcast, NFL edition, that me and Bill have gone head to head on,
not one, but two games.
He's going Lions.
All right, I like that.
I like that fun.
We're gonna have a lot of fun with that.
Like I said, that one is, that one I really took,
if I'm being honest with people listening
and following my picks,
it's the half a point that I like in this pick.
Okay, for my third pick for week number 10, this is where things get tricky.
This is where I don't love.
This is where lines are kind of perfect.
I think the 8 1⁄2 with the Chiefs is perfect.
But I'm going to do something here I didn't think I was going to do
because this is against another team that's doing very well in the Washington commanders.
I'm gonna take the Pittsburgh Steelers getting points on the road.
I just think I just think that the Steelers are just having that you know they're the
Steelers man games they're supposed to lose they win they're always 500 or better around
this time they're supposed to lose, they win. They're always 500 or better around this time.
They're always in games.
The Steelers are used.
It's Russell Wilson, right?
It's still gonna be Russell Wilson again this week.
Russell Wilson, Russell Wilson is not playing bad.
He kinda got the, like he kinda solidified the job.
And the Steelers have a good defensive line.
They're well-coached.
I'm just gonna take the Steelers,
and look, anytime I see the Steelers getting points against I mean, I know he's a
great quarterback, Jaden Daniels, but he's a rookie quarterback and he's
going against a good defensive line in the NFL and that defensive line is
getting points. That's why I will take the Pittsburgh Steelers with my third
pick of the week.
I think it's a smart pick.
I think that's a smart pick. It goes through with my pick and
the Sealy's also straighted from
Mike Williams will see if he plays
this week but they what this
still is what I traded from
Mike Williams this week.
Yeah, there was that trade deadline
was Tuesday I believe so there was
there a couple of minor moves like
that you know Sunday or Monday
morning again you know something I
wanted to talk about on the show today was I didn't talk to Bill
about this yet because we didn't talk about the NFL trade deadline.
But something I want to talk about is not only, you know, did the Giants do nothing,
but it doesn't seem like they're really making any kind of roster.
The Giants aren't doing anything, which tells me something. And what it
tells me is, I think the New York football, and I'm not mad at this, but the New York football
Giants will not tank just based on their ownership and tradition. And it's something that like the
entire Giants organization is against. But I, so I don't think they're going to tank, but I don't
think that they're going to, I think they're just going to play with the personnel that they have and see where the,
you know, where the chips may fall or whatever they say, let the dust settle after that. But
I think the Giants and Cam Ward, I'm hoping Cam Ward from the Miami Hurricanes, again,
Daniel Jones, I don't think he's horrible.
I think Daniel Jones' time has just kind of come and gone in six years between injuries,
between having happy feet because of his neck and because of the offensive line ruined him,
I think.
I think that he's just, I think it might be time.
I think the Giants know it, and I think the Giants are just going to play with not great
personnel until the draft but
Make no mistake if cam ward is in this uniform
It's gonna be pretty I'm gonna be excited about it, but zero Giants moves during the during the trade deadline
Yeah, it sounds like it sounds like they're gonna do what the Broncos did with Russell Wilson last year, where they're just gonna cut bait and just eat the rest of the salary. And then there's not a lot
of teams that need quarterbacks at the top of the draft, so you guys could definitely get a Cam Ward
or Shador, whoever else is down there. Yeah. So I think that's the right move at the end of the day.
I think at the end of the day, I think Daniel Jones, I mean, nobody had his back more than me, the same way I had Eli's back.
But I do think that this year for for them to just not for them to do and granted the personnel around them, but for them to just not do anything with him, I think that Daniel Jones time, it's it's like one of those deals where you call him in the office and you're like, dude, we love you. You're a good kid. Didn't work out here. You know, you could still go on and do something else.
Look at Geno Smith. Geno Smith was dead in the water for years and years of his career.
And then now he's kind of settled in as a starting quarterback for years with Seattle.
Maybe that happens to Daniel Jones. I do think having a shitty line
fucking freaked you out, freaked him out a bit.
You saw that stat about what transpired in between Daniel Jones throwing touchdowns at home.
Yeah.
It was, Mahomes won two Super Bowls
between the last time, because Jones threw,
I think he threw his first touchdown last week.
And he threw, he threw a couple, he threw a couple at home last week. Yeah. Yeah.
And that was the first time he had thrown one since two Chiefs Super Bowls ago.
Is that right? No.
Yeah. They won. So they won.
First time in like two years he's thrown a touchdown pass at home.
Yeah. So it was like, they, two Super Bowls, yeah.
Yeah, it's just weird.
And he plays different on the road,
which is not a really good sign.
Like, I mean, it's okay,
but it's just like the fact that he's better on the road
and he's getting booed by his own fans at home
and they're waiting to heckle him.
It's just one of those deals
where it was like six years went by
and something needs to happen.
But listen, if that means we cut him loose and we have a great draft pick, we
have Malik neighbors, we have a good defense.
I think we're a piece or two away from being good.
But look, if that's wishful thinking, it is what it is.
Okay.
All right.
Bill, Bill picking the bucks and Baker.
Dude, the bucks are good though.
They're like, the bucks are in the Bucks are in every game
I mean I was in I was in Toronto
watching it at the hotel bar and
Like they just went head-to-head with the Chiefs
And then of course, you know what happens with the Chiefs happens with the Chiefs, but the the Bucks are are a good team
I like that pick. All right, I
Quickly, I forgot I should have mentioned this earlier but Christian McAfee is supposed to be
back for that game. Okay. All right. Christian McAfee back.
Minus Mike Evans is still out right. Sorry who'd you say? Mike Evans. He's still out right. Oh
yeah I believe so. That's a serious injury. Listen, I think the Bucs coming off a loss, the Bucs coming off a loss, they're a good
team and they're home getting six, even if the Niners win, I kind of like his pick.
Okay, now, fourth to final pick. I'm not gonna lie, I'm picking this one really on the fly.
I mean, a lot of times I pick games on the fly during the show, but this one is really like not a shot in the dark, but this one is look, oh man, where's like, is Paul just going to go with the Falcons?
I was thinking Falcons, but I'm going to take a team. I really don't like this, this, this half a point, but I'm going to take Jake to snakes team. I'm going to take the chargers to beat the shit
out of the Titans. Like I, I'm looking at a, I'm hoping it's hoping it's like I'm going to say 31 17.
I think it starts ugly for them.
Maybe the Titans get a late field goal or a late touchdown to make it look
respectable. But the Chargers at home, Jim Harbaugh, I mean, they should win
this game. They should win this game by 14 or more, I think.
But you never know. Every time you think that you could get screwed.
Maybe that half a point kills me seven and a half, but I'm going to take the chargers.
I've taken, look, I took a lot of dogs, right?
I took the Texans was a dog.
I took the Steelers are a dog.
I took the bangles are a dog.
So I got three dogs.
I got three dogs, which is rare for me.
And I'm going to, I'm going to go with a heavy favorite.
I'm going to go with an over touchdown favorite. I'm going to with an over touchdown favorite. I'm gonna go with the Chargers. I always
kind of like the Chargers. I like Jim Harbaugh. And let's be honest, the
Tennessee Titans haven't done anything this year to make you go, Oh, they're
good. So that'll be my fourth and final pick for week number 10.
It's one of my picks, too. you said to completely, I completely agree with you.
And yeah, the should, emphasis on should win by 14.
I feel that.
And then the seven and a half is a little scary.
You verbalized my thoughts exactly.
So I mean,
if I just don't even have a, they don't even have like,
and as Jake's favorite thing to point at garbage time points,
let's point out the garbage time points, no disrespect, but Jake likes to point out garbage time points
like anytime we're texting during the games.
And I feel like that's why the Chargers are gonna win.
I don't see the Titans putting up, you know, getting that out.
Like, oh, they were up by 10, but then they got that field goal.
Like, I don't even really see that.
The Chargers aren't that weak.
And they're coming on a big win on the road,
which they always do well on the road, but...
Yeah, so who did they beat?
Who did they beat?
Titans beat the Patriots last week, over time.
Yeah, I look at it like this.
This is one of those games where I won't watch it,
but I hope to look at my phone when I look at scores.
And what comes to mind is just like 31-17 final,
and that's it.
That's what I, when I see that, that's what I think. The Chargers beat the Browns last week, if that's what you're's what I when I see that that's what I think.
The Chargers beat the Browns last week if that's what you're asking.
Oh, I'm sorry.
I was asking yeah the Chargers beat the Patriots. Yeah.
Yeah, yeah. No, I'm not. I'm not really worried and who's starting quarterback for the Titans right now.
It was Mason Rudolph last week. I imagine that's going to continue.
He's not. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I didn't see them announce anybody else. Yeah. Chargers
defense isn't that bad, right, Jake? Well, technically,
they're number one in in scoring defense. I'm not gonna
say that the best defensive football but um they played
really well this year for sure. Dude, Bill loves the bill has
loved Sam Darnold and the Vikings this whole season. But you know what? No
Trevor Lawrence. We gotta point out that the line has moved but we do all our picks. We keep the
lines as of a particular time. Bill made his picks with the vikings at minus four and a half.
Since Trevor Lawrence is out, as Jake pointed out before the show. That line moved to seven so
we have to honor the four and a half that Bill picked it up.
I like hey look it is what it is.
It is what it is.
Yeah.
The when it gets recorded it gets recorded so if that benefits great sometimes it'll
hurt us and sometimes it won't.
I hope it helps Bill but he's like the Vikings and Sam Donald the whole year.
So there you guys go. Those are
Bill's picks, which are the, let's just reiterate, can you put those up again? Bill has the Ravens,
Bill has the Lions, Bill has the Buccaneers, Bill has the Vikings, and I am taking the,
I am taking the Chargers, I am taking the Bengals, I am taking the Texans, and I am taking the chargers. I am taking the bangles.
I am taking the Texans and I am taking the Steelers.
So there you go.
Those are our picks for week number 10, everybody.
But of course, on the podcast,
we have to do the Monday night special.
Did we hit the Monday night special or did we not?
We hit it. We hit the Monday Night Special. Did we hit the Monday Night Special or did we not? We hit it. We hit
the Monday Night Special. I hear Bill singing Monday Night Special. I won't do that.
Yeah, it was Bucks. It was Bucks plus nine and then TDs from both QVs.
I wish Bill was here to sing it now because, but you know what? Ever since Bill stopped
singing the song, because I hear his voice in my head singing it. That's why I won't sing it now because but you know what ever since Bill stopped singing the song because I hear I hear his voice in my head singing it that's
why I won't sing it but ever since Bill stopped it and said look maybe it's the
song we've hit I think three or four out of the ten weeks this year since he
hasn't sang it so I hope I didn't just jinx anything but there you guys go man
ride with us on it we we hit We hit another special this week for Monday Night Football.
It is the Miami Dolphins, the reeling,
the reeling Miami Dolphins versus the Los Angeles Rams.
It's basically, you know what I always say,
is basically a pick them, is basically a pick them.
It's one point, it's a flip of a coin. Whose uniforms do you like better?
Whose colors? Um, I don't know, dude. I don't know. The nice thing about this is
you got a 50 50 shot with this line because it is like a pick them because
somebody has to win by one. Can we talk about the over under on this game?
What is the under over on this game?
Cause I always say it the opposite way.
50.
Ooh, that's a big number.
50.
But can I, can I just say something?
Yeah.
The dolphins did, did look pretty good last week.
Like in the sense that they moved the ball, right?
I'm not saying that they're going to play a, you know,
and the Bills, maybe it was a look ahead.
I don't know.
I mean, it's a vision they should have played maybe better. But the Dolphins didn't look
terrible. The Rams have been looking pretty good. But do you see anybody putting up 25 points? Do
you see both teams putting up 25 points or somebody putting up, you know, 35 and the other team
putting up, I just, I don't know. I don't know. I think that's a, I think that's what here's the deal.
The reason why the reason why the reason why I think this is my opinion why the line,
I mean why the under over is so high is because both of these teams playing good
weather.
This is in Los Angeles.
I don't think weather is a factor.
I think like you said, Miami finding a way to and listen, good weather. This is in Los Angeles. I don't think weather is a factor. Um,
I think like you said, Miami finding a way to, and listen,
this is a kind of a big game for Miami. Cause if Miami loses this game, it's,
it's kind of bad. Like they're, they're really like, I mean,
what's their record right now? What's Miami's record?
Four. I think they have four wins. Uh, no, if it wouldn't be four and four,
it'd be a four to five. Uh think they have four wins? No, if it wouldn't be four and four, it would be four and five.
I think they only have three, closer to three wins.
Yeah, what are they, three and six?
Two and six, very similar.
Yeah, they're two and six.
Okay, yeah, thanks, Mark.
Yeah, two and six.
Oh, I said four and four.
Two and six means, you know, two and six means they're gonna play so desperate,
they're gonna call all the stops. This is flea flicker time. This is like, you know, two needs to look, I just, the Rams are foreign for two.
I mean, it's a big game for both teams. That's what's getting healthy. Um, you know, you
got to keep up with them in the division. That's what I'm saying. But like, this is
basically, you know, this could be jobs could be on the line with this game.
This could be, you know, this is a season if Miami ends up going there and really having
a spark and then all of a sudden they're three and six and go on a run.
You never know.
I don't know.
But, um, I think the Rams at home, the Rams at home, I don't know.
I mean, look, I'd go under.
I would go under just to test it if you wanted to do that.
We can go under.
We could do a tease, whatever you guys think.
I was thinking, you know, your record is-
Matt Stafford, two touchdown passes, Rams under.
That's where I'd put my money.
Yeah.
And look, Bill Parcell's always said something.
You know what he said? Bill Parcell's always said,
you really are what your record is.
People always go, well, if this one thing wouldn't have happened,
but it did happen, that's when you're like, you know,
I did that with the, you know, I did that with the Yankees and Dodgers.
Well, if they would have done, but they did do it. They did do it.
So just because you drop a ball and you're like, yeah, if you caught it,
but if that's what you were doing all year, God, I'm still so fucking pissed
about that. Anyway. Um, yeah, let's take the Rams. The Rams are a better team.
Yeah, I think the Rams are a better team. They're at home. It's basically a
pick them with one point. So let's do Rams Stafford to throw to and under 50 points.
Let's hope it's like, you know, a third, I don't know what,
what would you say a 28 to 20 game and we win like that,
you know, there you go.
So yeah, let's do that.
So we'll do, we'll do Rams, we'll do Rams,
we'll do Stafford to throw to and we'll do under 50 for the over under.
Did the Rams get rid of anybody? Did the Rams make any moves at the deadline?
No. Well, they did trade one of their corners, but yeah, not really any major moves.
I think them getting Puka back and he got ejected early in that Seattle game.
I think that's like in their mind like their move.
They're like, now we get we're getting one of our best receivers back for
the stretch run here and the office at Coupa Cup.
And look, four and four is not that bad.
If you end up winning the next two, if you end up winning the next two and
you're six and four, all of a sudden, you're the talk of the second half of
the season.
So and I've seen that happen before.
All right, well, there you guys have it.
It's about four to one.
It's about on the money on that two touchdowns under Rams.
It's maybe just like a little over four to one.
Yeah, yeah.
I mean, that's-
Depends on where you get it.
What were the odds from last week when we hit?
Do you remember that or is that too far back?
I always say because of the state that I'm in, it doesn't allow me to
properly have the exactly but I think I think we're around three to one two and
a half three to one on that one. It was kind of low, a little lower because of
you know,
three to one still getting money for the listeners, you know? Yeah, yeah,
it's all good. Listen, guys, you, I'm not telling you what to do.
Obviously, the Anything Better podcast
tells you guys to really honestly
bet responsibly and don't go nuts.
That's why we have fun with this.
Nobody's putting mortgage money down on this shit.
Have a great time and be,
but that being said,
I mean, you gotta ride the hot hand.
I mean, we've been hitting these Monday night specials.
I think we are one Monday night special away from our record
and it's only week 10.
So I think if we hit one more Monday night special,
we have the anything better record.
And yeah, and we're kind of rolling.
So, and listen, even though you guys go on me and Bill's picks, check out these guys.
These guys are, these guys are doing well too. All right, there you have it guys. Make sure you
guys download the BetMGM app to get $1,500 in bonus bets. You just place your first bet. You got to
put as much as $10 in the account to get $1,500 if your bet does lose.
So if that bet loses, you'll get 1,500 in bonus bets.
And that will be done after your first wager is settled.
And don't forget the first touchdown contest,
which is really cool.
You bet on an NFL player, a prop bet on an NFL player
in any NFL game to score the first touchdown of the game
And if that person does you win if that person doesn't?
But they score the second touchdown you win which is a great which is a great thing bet responsibly those are our picks
and
That's it you guys have anything else you guys want to add anything. What are we doing here?
anything else you guys want to add anything what are we
doing here. Favorites went 13
and one last week so we'll see
if that trend continues but-
well look I'm kind of yeah
favorites won a lot last week I
was I kind of went with the
favorites this week Paulie is
opposite I'm going three dogs
and one favorite which is not
something I usually do so we
got to see what happens with the
Steelers- there's three there's
three stay away games this week, I think, personally.
Falcons and Saints, I mean the Saints, what, they lost six in a row?
And the Falcons somehow cover games, but the Saints need to win,
so why would you touch that game?
Cowboys, Eagles, I mean the Cowboys absolutely are dog shit,
but the Eagles have not been great ATS this year
and then the other one is you know, I
Don't know I was gonna say Chiefs Broncos like why would you touch that but I agree with that
Damn, but I think I'm gonna like I think I'm gonna bite the cheese and probably take the equals so I can see it
What you just wanna see it Jake wants to see it. But I'm with you. You just want to see it. Jake wants to see it.
Love it.
Who did I pick for the Super Bowl?
I think I picked the Texans and Lions, if I remember correctly.
I think I picked the Texans and Lions.
And I'll be honest with you, man.
I went with the Lions.
I know that, and that's a great possibility too, I know that it's a tall order to take out the Chiefs to Deandre Hopkins to the Chiefs
Make no mistake. I watched that the fact that that guy is now a threat for them. It's really bad for the league. They're undefeated, correct?
The Chiefs are
So
I mean... Their schedule is not very hard either.
I mean, you look at their teams they have left, they have the Bills and they have us
and I think they play Houston and Pittsburgh right at the end, but that's kind of it.
I mean, it's a lot of bad teams the rest of the way, so they could easily be undefeated
here by the end of this, which is terribly...
No, I think what it's going to take is it's going to take a Texans or a Ravens or a Bengals.
I'm not counting the Bengals out just yet.
I could see the Bengals getting in a wild card and all Joe Burrow needs to do,
cuz they kept T Higgins, they have everybody.
All Joe Burrow needs to do is to get into the dance.
And then I think if he gets into the dance, he could do it.
But it's just gonna take,
remember me saying this on week 10.
It's just going to have to take,
and this is not a crazy prediction
because obviously it's an obvious thing,
but it's gonna be one of those performances
that are like, even a favor ref,
even a ref like giving the chance the benefit the champs the benefit, it's gonna take
something so much. It's like it was it's like I don't even know how to say it. It's just like
it's gonna be so overwhelming that that that's the way that you're gonna have to take out the team.
And I think the teams that can do it are the the the Texans, Ravens and Bengals. But here's another team that could do it. There's one other
team and it's Josh Allen and the Bills. Yeah. So I, oh, shit, sorry. I got it. Okay. Yeah. So that's
it, man. I just think it's, I think it's fun. I do like now that we finally know kind of who teams are.
Yeah. If you look at the AFC playoff picture too, it's like, there's kind of
like one spot left because we assume that the Ravens, the Chiefs and the Bills are and the
Texans are all going to win the divisions. That's four spots. And there's two wild card spots,
which are going to probably be Steelers and Chargers. So now that you look, there's one spot left.
And who would it even be? It's probably the Bengals and maybe the Jets. And that's kind of
the only two realistic teams I see fighting for that last spot. So I think to your point, Paul,
the Bengals are alive to make a push here down the stretch. Yeah, I think I agree with you. I think
the Bengals and the Jets are two teams right now that you don't want to play just because it's kind of like one or two more losses for those teams
is basically a kill shot.
And Miami is, I think, too far behind right now.
Even if Miami won two in a row,
they're still like, they can't, they have to-
Oh, they're not even gonna make the wild card.
The wild card race in the AFC is tight.
You've got the Broncos who are-
They're due to fall off off in my opinion. Yeah,
I think they're like, I think they're a little better than 50-50 against the spread this year.
They've won some games they probably shouldn't have, but Bonix isn't as bad as, I think it's
probably better than people giving credit for it. But yeah, it's in the wild card, you've got the
Ravens and the Chargers. Ravens six and three,gers, five and three. I mean, you know, that's a tight wild card race.
So Cincinnati being at four and five, I don't know.
And by the way, Paul, I had like 50 bucks on the Bengals
to win the Super Bowl.
And I think like maybe like 100 on the Ravens.
So I thought, I was with you.
I thought that they could win.
I think that, you know, they got it like said T Higgins, Jamar Chase, even Zach Moss. Zach Moss
in the red zone is like almost automatic at this point if they give it to them. But I don't, I don't
think I just I don't know what's going on. Maybe it's the defense. Maybe it's just borrow not
hitting targets. Maybe it's coaching. It's there's something that's off on them that's not doing as
well as they should. And I actually think they might even look a little bit better, to be honest, overall,
or as good as Houston, who's somehow 6-3 and underperforming.
Yeah, I mean, look, I think that in the words of John Marra when Eli Manning got benched
for that one game, he said, I wouldn't write the obituary just yet.
I don't think the bangles are done just yet.
I really, I wouldn't write the obituary just yet. I don't think the bangles are done just yet. I
really, I agree with you. I think having Higgins and Chase and Burrow and like, you know what
happens sometimes in the NFL? I mean, it happened with the, with the, um, oh seven giants, uh, or
the, or the 11 giants where nine and seven, you know, nine and seven, just kind of barely getting in and then hitting a stride.
Sometimes a team finds out who they are and hits a stride. And you know what, if that happens in
week 13, then fucking watch out because all of a sudden, and that's going to happen. The thing
with the NFL is there's a pattern and that does happen. One or two teams gets their identity late
and has a playoff run and nobody wants to play him.
It happened that first year when Henry was
with the Titans member, they got in and they started getting,
all of a sudden you click.
So we shall see, you know, maybe.
To your point real quick, the book has,
or Ben MGM has the Bengals minus 105 to make the playoffs
and the Broncos plus 200. So I mean,
yeah, yeah. It's funny because I filmed a I can't really talk about it, but I filmed this thing
that's going to be premiering in March, and I would have had to come home and fly right to Germany.
Also, we had issues getting into the game in Germany, also had issues with my show, all this
stuff. So I will not be going to Germany.
And then I looked at the Giants and Panthers record
and I'm like, you know what guys?
I think somebody was kind of looking out for us there.
You know, I'm glad these things came up, but.
Dude, can you imagine like sitting next to some guy,
like it's in Germany, right?
It was in Germany.
You're sitting next to some guy in Berlin
and some German guys like, so who's the better team here?
And you're like, well, it's kind of a pick them. And then you all spend the whole quarter.
I pull out the phone and I'm like, it's essentially a pick them. You know,
what does it pick them? Yeah. It's like a touchdown favorite.
Yeah. I mean, yeah. I mean, losing thousands of dollars, sit with my family in Munich when
the giants are two and six. So we'll probably end up going back to London. But, but thousands of dollars, sitting with my family in Munich when the Giants are two and six.
So we'll probably end up going back to London.
But guys, yo, yeah, so real quick,
obviously check out the great Bill Burr
is hosting SNL this week, which is amazing.
Watch that, support that.
I wanna thank everybody who came out to see me
in Point Pleasant, New Jersey, sold out, amazing. And if you guys you guys want, I will be, if you want to come and see me,
check me out. I'll be at the Providence, Rhode Island comedy connection.
They redid the room. It's always been one of the best rooms.
They redid this place. It looks and sounds incredible.
I will be there November 22nd and 23rd.
That is the weekend before Thanksgiving. Tickets are going big. It looks like we're going to have, we,
we could sell out the weekend guys. So get those tickets. All right.
Then I'm doing the rocket mortgage or the rocket comedy tour with Mike Young and
Brett Ernst at the Addison improv in Addison,
Texas, basically the Dallas improv on December 12th
and more dates coming.
We're going to San Diego next year. Check out Paul Verzi.com for those dates.
Uh, thank you guys bet responsibly. Enjoy the NFL week. Uh,
I hope Bill wins. I hope I win. I hope these guys win and we will see you next
week for week 11. Take care everybody.