Astrum Space - What Will Humanity Do If We Ever Discover Aliens?
Episode Date: June 16, 2025Enjoy this extra long supercut episode about detecting alien life in the universe.Discover our full back catalogue of hundreds of videos on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@astrumspaceFor early... access videos, bonus content, and to support the channel, join us on Patreon: https://astrumspace.info/4ayJJuZ
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There are around 10 to the power 22 stars in the universe, and life came into existence here once and only once.
Upon reflection, this statement seems a little unlikely.
It's no wonder then that through the ages, humanity has wondered at the idea of alien life beyond planet Earth.
Do aliens exist?
Where are they?
Are they like us?
Would we be able to find any common ground with them?
Or would they be completely alien to us?
What if I could tell you that I knew the answer?
Before you ask, no, I've not been read into any cold.
men in black government programs that have been hiding the truth from the general population.
But neither are we simply reliant on our imaginations when it comes to alien life.
There is much that science can tell us, through discoveries and deductive reasoning, even
though I assume most of us have never met an alien in the flesh.
So are we alone in the universe?
It's time to find out.
I'm Alex McColgan and you're watching Astrum, and in today's Supercut, I'm going to share
with you everything I know about alien life.
Everything.
Men in black be damned.
When it comes to searching for alien life out there, it pays to start with a very relevant
question.
What do we mean by life?
Life on planet Earth comes in many shapes and sizes.
From the tallest trees to the smallest microbes.
From spindly insects to birds, or fish, or humans.
Our planet is teeming with life.
We generally understand what we mean when we say a living thing, we might define it by it moving
around, or by it growing.
Generally speaking, scientists define life as any system that is capable of eating, metabolizing,
excreting, breathing, moving, growing, reproducing, and responding to a system.
external stimuli. Essentially, they are aware of their surroundings in some way. They seek resources.
They take those resources into themselves, and they use them to grow or create more of themselves.
And then they get rid of any waste that's left over. Ew. Some forms of life are much more active
than others, but even things like plants can move to face the sun, open their buds,
or spread out their roots over time.
So we look at these things and consider them living.
Even on Earth though, there are some systems like viruses that push the boundary of what
it means to be a living thing.
Viruses are so simple that they lack the ability to reproduce by themselves, or to metabolize.
Instead, they get cells they infect to do that work for them.
Are viruses alive?
They certainly have proved devastating to other points.
populations of living things, and we can definitely think of them that way, but it's a debate
that still rages on in the scientific community.
So, although there are certain qualities that are fairly universal for living things here
on Earth, we must be careful about how we go about defining life.
For instance, most living things on Earth make use of water to function.
It carries important nutrients around our bodies, and is so vital for all life on Earth that
we consider the absence of water to be a serious red flag if another planet doesn't have it.
But if an alien was somehow able to exist by pumping liquid methane through its body instead
of water, would that stop it from being a living thing?
Probably not.
So let's keep an open mind, but roughly let's define life as those things that seek out resources
grow and reproduce.
Still, although it's good to keep our starting definition general, just in case, we can
actually predict with some certainty what we expect to see when it comes to alien life.
Scientists and science fiction writers throughout the ages may have imagined all manner of living
things, from little grey men to sentient rock monsters, and even aliens made of pure
energy.
All of these are possible, even that last one, which may sound speculative, but renowned
astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson did say he wasn't opposed to the idea. But not all of these
are equally likely. How do we know? It's all thanks to one simple principle. Form follows function.
As you look down at your own body, even if you do not know what all of it does, you are an
incredible example of optimization. You likely have two hands complete with fingers and opposable
thumbs, ideal for grasping tools and performing fiddly, delicate operations.
You have a digestive system that is capable of taking in matter, extracting nutrients,
and using them to build up or repair yourself.
You have legs for locomotion, a brain for thinking, a heart that will, on average, pump
2.5 billion times across your lifetime without breaking.
All of these parts of your body perform specific functions and have been honed over millennia
to be really good at what they do, even if you don't feel it sometimes.
You are an example of form-following function.
Thanks to natural selection and random mutation, nature is really good at figuring out what works.
When Charles Darwin was voyaging through the Galapagos Islands, he noticed that different finches
had different-shaped beaks. After observing them for a time, Darwin noticed that the finches
with larger, more heavy-set beaks, ate different types of food than finches with smaller,
daintier beaks. In fact, a large beak was ideally suited to breaking open tough seeds or nuts,
while the smaller beaks were more suited to getting in nooks and crannies for grabbing
insects. This observation was the basis for his well-known theory of evolution.
In this theory, thanks to genetic variation and competition, nature is constantly trying out
new things to see what works, and there are certain things that give you an edge.
Thanks to all the light that was bouncing around from our sun, organisms that evolved to
take advantage of this by developing sight had a bigger advantage over organisms that did not.
They could find food better, or avoid predators, or generally navigate their environment.
So useful is sight that nature did not just come up with it once.
We believe the eye evolved independently about 40 times over the course of life on Earth.
Forty different species that previously could not see evolved eyes.
This is called convergent evolution, and eyes are not the only example of it happening.
Bats are not related to birds, and yet both developed wings to fly.
And speaking of bats, both birds.
bats and dolphins independently evolved echolocation to help them see in environments where light
was not so plentiful.
Photosynthesis has arisen dozens of times.
Koalas have almost identical fingerprints to humans.
This happens because there are some selective pressures that are simply universal.
Everything that lives needs to gain nutrients, grow, and reproduce, and as a result, like a plant
bending its roots around rocks to find softer soil, nature is good at figuring out the best way
of getting what it needs. Because of the prevalence of light, eyes are just a good idea. And when
something works, nature sometimes comes up with it more than once. This means that on planets
that are similar to our own, it's entirely possible that evolution would end up going a similar
way. Although hypothetical aliens on other planets might not look exactly like us, they might
look surprisingly similar. I always thought that it looked silly that so many aliens in sci-fi films
were humanoid, but perhaps this is more than just a way of easing pressure on the film's
costume department. Convergent evolution says this might actually happen. If it worked for us,
maybe it just works generally. Any alien that made it to the stars,
would need to have the ability to work tools. So, fingers, or something similar, would be a
likely addition to an alien race. Large heads filled with complex brains for analysis
and problem solving would also be a benefit.
The human brain is the most complex of any animals on Earth, with 86 billion neurons. It's
not so unreasonable that aliens would be the same. Thanks to our brains, it became less important
to keep ourselves warm with fur, as we could craft clothes for ourselves, so aliens may not
be hairy or thick-skinned if they are intelligent.
Of course, this kind of logic might not carry all the way, because life might not arise
on a planet that's exactly the same as ours.
If there are different selective pressures, different adaptations might occur.
For instance, on a planet with low gravity, plants and animals would be able to grow much taller
than on Earth. There would be less energy costs to lifting nutrients up through their bodies,
or pumping blood around, if aliens use those kind of systems.
While, conversely, on a planet with very high gravity, you'd likely see stockier, shorter,
heavier-built aliens. Their bones would need to be denser to support them in heavier gravity,
or possibly they would be aquatic, as gravity is less of a problem in water. On a planet that is further
out from its star than hours, there would be less light, so an alien's eyes might be bigger,
or maybe aliens on such planets would rely on things like echolocation to see what is around them.
On planets with elliptical orbits, seasonal temperatures would vary much more wildly.
Perhaps on such planets you'd see an increase in the ability to hibernate,
or even come back from near death, such as tartagrades, and their incredible ability to return to
animation after being in the harshest of environments like the depths of space.
Temperature can also affect size, such as, in the depths of our oceans, there occurs deep
sea gigantism, as large bodies can more efficiently be kept warm, while in deserts, small
animals have a larger mass to surface area ratio, allowing them to disperse heat more
effectively. On a planet with fewer magnetic fields, more bombarded by cosmic radiation, perhaps
life would have shorter lifespans in much the same way as around the heavily irradiated
Chernobyl nuclear power plant. Dogs and other short-lived organisms thrive, while longer-lived humans
suffer. In each case, form follows function. Life will adapt to suit the conditions it finds itself in.
Extremophiles are life forms that are able to live in very hostile environments.
There are lots of different kinds of extremophiles that are well adapted to different kinds
of extreme conditions, like very high or very low temperatures, pressures, dryness, radiation,
salinity, acidity and heavy metals, or any combination of those extreme conditions.
These organisms span the globe, inhabiting the harshest parts of our world,
from sulfuric hot springs in Japan to the Atacama Desert in Chile to sewage treatment plants
in Germany, and even a hyper-salin deep lake in Antarctica.
What makes extremophiles so interesting is their unique biology.
As you can imagine, living in such extreme conditions forces you to get creative.
Extremophiles' biochemistry and physiology are often modified in very clever ways to help them
adapt to their harsh environments, and this makes them an astrobiological gold mine.
Many extremophile habitats on Earth are surprisingly similar to conditions on other planetary bodies.
These regions on Earth are called analogs, and they can teach us a lot about where we might
find life beyond our home planet. For example, the Atacama Desert in South America is a very
arid environment, with high salinity, high UV radiation levels, and oxidizing soil, making
it quite similar to Mars.
In fact, we've been studying it as an analog to Mars for years.
Life has been found across the Atacama Desert, but its presence is highly patchy.
In a way, this is good news.
It helps scientists identify the exact factors that cause life to appear where it does, and therefore,
where we might have the best chance to find it on Mars.
Certain species of Hallowarchia are also being studied as exciting astrobiological models.
Specifically, Hallobacterium NRC1 and Hallobacterium Lackus Profundi.
They are both extremophiles that thrive in high salinity and are great candidates for understanding
potential life on Mars and Jupiter's Moon Europa.
Through the study of extremophiles, we learn what is plausible for life out in the wider universe.
If life can exist in certain environmental analogues here on Earth, those same sorts of
environments plausibly contain life elsewhere.
We also learn what's less plausible.
Life here on Earth is diverse and has adapted to all sorts of niches, but there are
some places even it cannot go.
such as methanopyrus candelary, one of our hardest extremophiles, can survive at temperatures
of 122 degrees Celsius.
But putting one into thousands of degrees lava would quickly annihilate it, as the bonds
that hold its chemical structures together would be torn apart by the excessive energy.
While tardigrades can survive the freezing cold of space, they're not exactly mobile
there. They dry out and cease all activity and only revive when brought back into more
suitable, energy-rich environments. So, if not all environments are equally likely to foster life,
what sorts of conditions are the most likely for enabling a fledgling alien race to begin and thrive?
And what conditions might put an end to an alien evolutionary tree before it even had a chance to start?
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When choosing a nursery world for alien life, just like with building a house, it's a good idea to start by establishing your non-negotiables.
Some of this is fairly simple to consider.
For instance, temperature.
You want a nice, temperate climate, somewhere that's not too warm and not too cold.
Given that temperature drops the further you are from the sun,
every planetary system has a sweet spot where the temperature of a planet is likely just right,
not too hot and not too cold, similar to Goldilocks and her bowls of stolen porridge.
As a rough rule of thumb, if a planet is set at the right distance from a star, it may well
have a suitable temperature for aliens to set up shop.
Of course, this is in no way a guarantee.
After all, Venus, a planet residing in this zone, in theory, should be perfect.
But its choking atmosphere makes it the hottest planet in our solar system in spite of
its relative distance from the sun compared with Mercury.
So, it's clear, atmosphere also plays a part in all this.
Essential for life on Earth, and likely useful for aliens too, is the presence of water
on your prospective planet.
Water comes with some surprisingly handy chemical properties.
It's solvent, allowing a wide array of molecules to dissolve inside it and then be transported
around an organism's body.
It's important for key chemical reactions.
While it's conceivably possible that alien organisms have learned to make do with less optimal liquid to form the basis of their own lifeblood,
so important is water to life on Earth that we don't have a single example of an organism that's learned to make do without it.
Remember, not all living things need oxygen or sunlight or particular kinds of foods, but everything needs water.
And in all of evolutionary history, when organisms adapted themselves into every niche imaginable,
not a single one figured out how to do without it.
Water could well be a non-negotiable.
However, sometimes a non-negotiable is simply the neighbours that live close by.
So let's consider another major reason why many of the galaxy's exoplanets fall short,
their neighbouring stars.
Our own star is known as a G-type yellow dwarf, a relatively fast-burning, short-lived sort
of star, at least compared to some of the other options out there.
Stars like our sun tend to live for 10 billion years before their cause collapse and
they transform into a red giant.
It is stable, and that stability has been useful for the life that eventually flourished
here.
However, yellow dwarfs are far from common in the Milky Way.
They represent only 10% of the total stars.
Far more common in occurrence are the long-lived red dwarfs, which make up 75% of the stars in our galaxy and can live for around 14 trillion years, longer than our universe has existed, which means we've never seen one die, so to speak.
And unfortunately for the planets orbiting them, red dwarfs come with numerous drawbacks.
For starters, red dwarfs have a much closer Goldilocks zone compared to their yellow cousins.
They burn less brightly, with luminosities between 10% and a measly 0.0125% that of our sons.
So unless aliens live on a world shrouded in perpetual night, which sounds cold and depressing
to me, and will make getting energy from sunlight a bit of a challenge, an alien world would
probably need to be a lot nearer to its red dwarf to compensate.
This wouldn't be in and of itself a problem if it weren't for the second characteristic
of red dwarfs that make them very unpleasant neighbours, their instability.
Our Sun is the main source of our space weather.
It shoots out a frequent stream of solar winds, flares and coronal mass ejections.
However, this doesn't compare to the amount of space weather
created by red dwarfs. Flares from red dwarfs can be 100 to 1,000 times more powerful than
those emitted by our sun. The frequent bursts of plasma and radiation coming from red dwarfs
are powerful and dangerous enough to strip away the atmosphere and even boil liquid water
on planets in the habitable zone. And given how much closer planets are to their star in a red dwarf
system, the odds of life getting enough time to arise before being hit with a life-sanitizing
dose of x-rays is pretty slim. If you want to live on a planet around a red dwarf, you'll
likely need some serious sun cream. This rules out many known exoplanets, such as astronomer-favor
Kepler 186F, which some scientists hoped might be habitable.
But even during periods between harsh solar weather events, there's another problem with planets
around red dwarfs, their tendency to be tidily locked.
Being tidily locked means that the same side of the planet always faces the star as it orbits.
There is no rotation between day and night.
Some side of the planet is in perpetual heat, and the other side in permanent shadow.
Due to gravitational constraints, planets near their sun have a tendency towards being tidily
locked.
Just take a look at Mercury, with its day that lasts 176 Earth days, or two Mercurian years.
This lack of rotation could render most of the planet uninhabitable.
You'd either face scorching, desert creating heat on the dayside, or freezing ice on the
nightside.
Even if aliens tried to live in the narrow band of twilight that would ring a tidily locked
planet, liquid water might prove difficult to find.
Any moisture in the air that found its way to the night side of the planet would get locked
there, solidified as ice.
Overall, the planet would be very dry, and even in the twilight zone, there would be no rain.
But the real clincher is the low power of a magnetic field.
field that would likely be found on a tidily locked planet.
The dynamo effect that powers the magnetic field on Earth is thought to be influenced by the
Coriolis effect, the rotation of the Earth imparting momentum to rising and falling liquid
metal in its core.
Without this rotation, such a magnetic field would be inevitably weaker, once again subjecting
you to that lethal space radiation.
So we can conclude that if alien life exists, it probably
is going to come into being around stars much like our own due to their stability and brightness.
It'll be on a world that's not too hot or too cold, probably has some liquid water, and likely
is surrounded by a protective magnetic field to shield that life from deadly space radiation.
We don't have to look out across the stars to find such an environment, but can actually
begin our search for alien life much closer to home.
here in our solar system.
It may seem a little obvious, but life has birthed here once already.
Could it have done so again?
Well, not everywhere here is hospitable.
Mercury does not take many boxes in regards to what would be needed for life to form.
It has a very tenuous atmosphere, and is far too close to the sun.
This combination means that temperatures on the day side rise to over 400 degrees Celsius,
the night side can drop as low as minus 170 degrees Celsius.
It has been discovered that Mercury was geologically active in the past, but the last eruption
was thought to be 1 billion years ago.
Many extinction events would have happened during Mercury's history that would most likely
have prevented life from getting anywhere.
There is water ice to be found in the permanently dark craters around the planet's poles,
but we theorise that only liquid water can support life.
Mercury seems to be a dead, inactive, and sterile planet.
The next place to visit is Venus.
Venus does have a rather substantial atmosphere,
but the problem is that it still isn't quite far enough away from the sun to be in the Galdi-lock zone,
although it's kind of right on the border of it.
On Venus's surface, it is even hotter the Mercury,
well over 400 degrees Celsius all over the planet.
This is due to the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, carbon dioxide making up 96% of it.
This heat means that water could not stay in liquid form on the surface.
There is a slight possibility, however, that there could be some form of microorganisms
high in the clouds of Venus that would use UV light from the sun as an energy source.
The temperature and pressure high in the atmosphere is much more hospitable than on the surface.
so this possibility exists.
Indeed, scientists have even detected phosphine in Venus's atmosphere.
Phosphine is a gas that's only produced on Earth by microorganisms in a very low oxygen environment.
Either there's an unknown process on Venus that's doing a similar thing,
or it's an indicator that similar microorganisms could be found there.
Intriguing.
We're skipping Earth for obvious reasons.
Yes, life is here, but let's for now not get into the debate about whether any of it
is alien, although perhaps we'll return to that idea later.
Moving on, one of the best bets in the solar system is Mars.
It is situated nicely in the Goldilocks zone, and has an atmosphere.
The big problem with Mars, though, is its lack of a magnetic field.
The magnetic field on Earth prevents the solar wind from the sun stripping away the particles
in the upper atmosphere. Because Mars doesn't have this, its atmosphere has been stripped of
all but the heaviest molecules, meaning it now consists of 96% carbon dioxide. At one point in its
history, it did have surface water, as can be evidenced by dried up rivers and lake beds. However,
today that water has gone, and if there was any life on the surface, this has most likely gone too.
Scientists have been keen to find evidence of life in the rocks with the Viking missions,
and looking for methane in the atmosphere with the rovers currently on the planet,
but they have so far found only traces of evidence.
But NASA are not deterred.
Finding solid evidence of life on Mars is now one of their primary objectives,
so they clearly think there is still a good chance of finding something.
There are a few telltale signs that life could have existed or still does on Mars,
There are possible biosignatures, like methane in the atmosphere, often the byproduct
of life.
Scientists can't quite agree on where the quantity of methane gas comes from, and life is a definite
possibility.
We also have 34 meteorites which originated from Mars.
These are highly valuable, as they are the only samples from Mars that we possess.
A few of these meteorites even contain what looks to be fossilized bacteria.
Although they are much smaller formations than any terrestrial bacteria on Earth.
This is not conclusive evidence, however, as even these formations can be explained by natural
processes.
At this point in time, there are a couple of possible places to find life on Mars.
One would be about 10 meters under the surface.
Water can be in liquid form this far down, and any life would be much more protected from
cosmic and UV radiation.
Another theory is that microorganisms could exist under the polar ice caps.
Potential evidence of this could be the darkening of the spider patterns next to geeseers on the poles.
The darkening could be these microorganisms as they photosynthesize the sun's UV light from under the surface.
With all the attention Mars is getting from the global scientific community,
I would guess we will know conclusively whether or not there is a very important.
life on Mars within the next 30 years.
The first planet after Mars is Jupiter.
Jupiter itself is not at all hospitable to life as we know it.
It barely has any form of water, it doesn't have a solid surface, and the winds and convection
forces on the planet would drag down any microorganisms that try to form in the tops of
the cloud layer.
The deeper you go into Jupiter, the more pressure and heat increases.
The chances are very slim that life could exist here in these extremes.
However, Jupiter has some moons, where the conditions are much better.
The biggest of Jupiter's moons, called the Galilean moons, are big enough to have differentiated
interiors.
Smaller moons and asteroids tend to just be the same throughout, like a rock.
However, bigger moons will often have layers and cores.
The second of Jupiter's Galilean moons, Europa, is actually one of the most likely places
to find life in the whole solar system, but not on its surface.
The crust of Europa looks extremely unusual with all these fault lines running all over.
The crust is actually made of water ice, and beneath this ice sheet is believed to be
a liquid water ocean that spans the entire moon.
Evidence of this can be seen through the rotation of the crust, which is the very large,
thought to have moved by up to 80 degrees, very unlikely to have happened if the crust and
core were solidly attached.
Another piece of evidence is something that's only just been confirmed in the old Galileo
spacecraft data.
Galileo actually detected water plumes or geeseers shooting water far into space when it
passed by the moon very closely.
In 2016, the Hubble team suspected they might have imaged water plumes shooting too high
hundred kilometers into space, and this rediscovered Galileo data has confirmed it.
NASA considers the prospect of life here so intriguing there will be a dedicated Europa
Clipper mission to be launched in October 2024.
Europa Clipper will orbit Europa, passing through the water plumes, sampling the water
that is ejected.
We are not expecting to find fish blasted into space by these geysers, but the water samples
will tell us what the conditions are like under the crust, and if there really is a possibility
of life down there. Future robotic missions that aim to reach and traverse this ocean are still
in the planning stages. Interestingly, while Europa is the most likely place to harbor life
around Jupiter, it is not the only moon that probably has an underground liquid ocean layer.
Three out of the four biggest moons of Jupiter, Europa, Callisto, and Ganymede, all could have life under
their surfaces. Calisto may have a water ice layer of up to 300 kilometers thick.
Ganymede has at least one water ocean layer, but could also have several, all separated by sheets
of ice. Ganymede is probably the second most promising moon of Jupiter, as the bottom-most water layer
could be touching rock. Water rock contact could be an important factor for life to exist, as the rock
provides minerals. Just consider the deep sea ecosystems that are formed around the oceanic hydrothermal
vents right here on Earth. Ganymede is already the biggest moon in the solar system,
but data also suggests that its underground ocean could also be the largest. There is a European
space agency mission underway to Ganymede right now, known as Juice.
or the Jupiter-Icemoons explorer, which will be arriving at Jupiter in July 20131.
Beyond Jupiter, there are three more planets and their moons. Like Jupiter, the planets are
unlikely to contain life. However, some of their moons also share the same characteristics with
the moons of Jupiter. Particular moons of note are Rhea, the second largest moon of Saturn,
Titan, Titania, the largest moon of Uranus, Oberon, the second largest moon of Uranus, and Triton,
the largest moon of Neptune.
The most exciting moon with these characteristics, though, is Enceladus, a moon of Saturn.
It has extremely active geyses, which spew 250 kilograms of minerals and water into space
per second at over 2,000 kilometers per hour.
eject so much material that it has formed a ring around Saturn called the E-ring.
Cassini, a spacecraft that used to orbit Saturn, was able to pass through these water plumes
and detected carbon, hydrogen, nitrogen and oxygen, all key components of life.
There is definitely heat being generated under the ice crust, as can be seen in this heat map.
These are the tiger stripes of Enceladus, evidence of hydrothermal activity,
water, and essential chemicals, means that this tiny moon could be the most likely place in the
whole solar system to find life. Sadly, we are far from proving any of this. While there are some
plans to return to Enceladus, these are a long way from launch, and the orbiter's set to explore
Jupiter's icy moons from above have not yet arrived. Actually exploring the oceans is still a very
long way off.
I can understand the problem though of getting a robot that deep into a moon, but it's
a little disheartening to think we don't even have a timeline for such a mission.
Beyond the planets in their moons, we have dwarf planets like Pluto, Eris and Sedna.
If they follow the patterns we see in the larger moons, they too could have liquid water oceans
under their surface, but we are very far from being able to prove that too.
There are just two more curious places to look for life in the solar system.
The first is Titan, the largest moon of Saturn.
It is extremely cold and so is dismissed by some as uninhabitable.
However, it is unusual from any other moon in the solar system in that it has a thick
atmosphere with methane in it.
In fact, the temperature is just right that liquid methane can form on the surface.
The moon actually has a methane cycle similar to Earth's water cycle.
There is evidence of seas, lakes, and rivers of methane and ethane on the surface of Titan.
Other factors essential to life also exist there, including chemicals and minerals on the surface,
plus the moon orbits mostly within Saturn's magnetic field, which means it is protected from
solar and cosmic radiation.
Theoretically, life forms could exist that replace water with liquid hydrocarbon.
Such hypothetical creatures were taken H2 in place of O2, reacted with acetylene instead of glucose,
and produce methane instead of carbon dioxide.
Titan has been compared to primordial Earth.
Excitingly, NASA is launching a robotic rotorcraft to Titan set to blast off in 2028.
If it flies above the methane lakes and spots something splashing around there,
perhaps we'll have a definitive answer to the question of life sooner than we thought.
The last place to look in the solar system for life is on comets.
A long-standing theory is that life has propagated through the galaxy on the backs of comets,
although it is quite an outside possibility.
Numerous missions have been conducted to comets, which have studied them closely.
Some of these missions, like Issa's Rosetta mission, rather surprisingly, found complex
organic compounds on the comet's surface.
Compounds like nucleic and amino acids, which are the building blocks of DNA and life.
However, none of these missions had dedicated instruments which were able to detect life,
meaning we still don't know definitively if there are alien microbes to be found on
comets.
I should note though that while complex organic compounds are a fascinating find, there is still
a massive gulf between organic compounds and even the simple,
simplest of life forms.
Scientists just don't think that a comet or an asteroid can provide the environment needed
for life as we know it to develop.
For instance, there's no atmosphere, no liquid water, no protection from the sun.
Perhaps comets could be the universe's taxi service for alien life, but it seems unlikely
that there are a place life could start.
Inhospitable locations aside, there are places in the solar system where life could
have formed beyond Earth, but at this stage we have no proof that life did form in any of them.
Does beyond the solar system give us any more room to hope?
To answer that, it's time we talked about Kepler.
You may have heard many news stories about all the thousands of exoplanets that have been
discovered using the Kepler telescope.
As of June 2023, Kepler has confirmed the existence of 2,7707.
Now, we have not been able to actually image exoplanets in any kind of detail.
In fact, this is the clearest real image we have of an exoplanet, taken by ESO's very large
telescope, which may make you question, if this is the best image of an exoplanet we have, how
can we discover exoplanets and how do we know a life could be on one?
To answer the first question, we have to look at how Kepler worked.
Kepler was a space probe which constantly monitored about 150,000 stars in a fixed field
of view using its camera.
The field of view focused on a patch of sky near the constellation Cygnus.
This is what Kepler could see.
The data it collected was sent to Earth and analyzed to see if any stars dimmed periodically.
You see, the concept is that if a star's planet passed in front of Kepler's view, the star
would dim.
If it dimmed, for instance, once every 100 days, we could confirm that it was a planet
and it takes 100 days to orbit.
Kepler was really good at finding exoplanets.
Before Kepler came into operation, these were the exoplanets we knew about.
As you can see, most of them are many times the size of Jupiter.
Since Kepler came into operation, we have discovered and confirmed the existence of thousands
of exoplanets, with thousands more still unconfirmed.
Remember, these are planets which have been discovered in only this patch of sky.
There is still a lot more out there.
Kepler's mission ended in October 2018.
However, the good news is that there is a new exoplanet finding spacecraft called Tess,
which came into operation a few months earlier.
which covers an area in the sky 400 times larger than the Kepler mission.
It is expected that during its mission, it will be able to find more than 20,000 exoplanets.
In fact, based on what we've seen, scientists can hypothesize that there are more than 100 billion exoplanets in the Milky Way alone.
Using other telescopes like Hubble, ESOS telescopes, the web, and the Nancy Grace Roman space telescopes,
These exoplanets can be studied to find out their composition, particularly of their atmospheres.
The way that this is done is again from the spectra of exoplanets light.
To give you an example of how this is done, imagine white light shooting through a prism,
producing what is actually a blend of colours spanning from violet to red.
Light from a star shooting through an atmosphere produces a similar effect,
except certain bands of light are not present.
This indicates there is a certain gas in the atmosphere that is absorbing the light in that
wavelength, not allowing it to pass through.
The dips in this image shows what Earth's spectrum looks like as sunlight passes through
the atmosphere.
The dips show that oxygen is present, as well as water vapor, carbon dioxide, and methane.
These gases all absorb the sun's light at these wavelengths.
At a section of wavelengths and comparing them with other planets in the solar system, sulfur
compounds can clearly be seen on Venus, and methane on Neptune is apparent.
This means that as we study exoplanets in detail and determine their spectra, we can search
for atmospheres that resemble our own.
If it does, then the chances are that it could be a habitable world, and also that it may
already harbor life.
Inhabited planets, particularly those.
home to intelligent life, could have telltale signs of life like smog and pollution, which
would be seen in a planet spectrum.
So have any exoplanets like these been found?
Well, out of the thousands of exoplanets that have been discovered, 59 of them are thought
to be rocky planets that sit in the Goldilocks zone, or the habitable zone of their respective
stars.
Of course, this doesn't mean that they are necessarily inhabited.
We'd need a lot more evidence to be able to confirm that an alien organism actually lived on one of these exoplanets for certain.
But fascinatingly, there is some evidence of that starting to come in.
Let's talk more about biosignatures.
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Biosignatures are substances, signals or patterns
that could be a sign of biological activity.
This could be as obvious and direct as a fossil,
or something more subtle like the composition of a planet's atmosphere.
They are important because they indicate not only the potential presence of life,
but also the level of its sophistication. There's no official classification system for biosignatures,
but it's useful to think about them falling into three categories, gaseous, temporal, and surface
signatures. Gaseous biosignatures are direct or indirect products of metabolic activity.
The most common manifestation of this is the composition of the atmosphere. For example,
the presence of haze could be an indirect
byproduct of a methane-rich world.
This could tell us that a particular planet hosts microbial life similar to what we had
on Earth over 2.5 billion years ago before the Great Oxidation Event.
It's similar to the example we explored earlier of how having free oxygen in the atmosphere
could be a biosignature for photosynthesizing life.
Temporal biosignatures are time-bound changes that can correlate with biosphere activity.
Earth, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere rises and falls with the seasons.
Vegetation grows in the spring and decays in the autumn.
This oscillation is way stronger in the northern hemisphere than the southern hemisphere,
because it has more landmass.
In theory, we can use this kind of information to see where on an exoplanet life is most likely
to be.
However, nothing is so black and white.
biosignatures can be caused by abiotic factors too.
The concentration of methane in Earth's atmosphere, for example, changes mainly due to its
interaction with water vapor in the troposphere.
So even though the methane itself is from a biological origin, the temporal oscillations
are dictated by abiotic factors.
I personally find surface biosignatures the most interesting.
Basically, every planet reflects some light from its star.
Different materials on the surface of the planet will reflect different combinations of
wavelengths of that light.
This results in a unique reflectance spectrum for every material.
Surface features like rocks, snow, water, and soil can all be deduced from a reflectance
spectra.
Life can also influence the reflectance spectra of a planet.
This is an example of a surface biosignature.
In September of 2023, just a few months ago at the time of this recording, the James Webb
Space Telescope provided a tantalizing result, the detection of a gaseous biosignature in an
exoplanet's atmosphere. Dymethyl sulfide is a molecule that, on Earth, is only produced by life,
mostly by phytoplankton in marine environments. It was discovered by the web in the atmosphere of K-218B,
an exoplanet with a hydrogen-rich atmosphere that data suggests might be covered in an ocean.
K218B is 124 light years away from us.
Scientists are not saying that this is aiding in life for certain.
It's still possible that the dimethyl sulfide was produced by some natural process we're not familiar with.
But while that's true, to me this makes the whole subject a lot more worth investigating.
It's one thing to say aliens probably exist out there somewhere, it's another to say aliens exist,
and it's possible we might have seen them.
Perhaps we should take a step back.
One of the objections I've heard to the idea of discovering alien life is just how unlikely it sounds.
Is there any way of exploring how often scientists expect alien life to have arisen in our galaxy?
Yes. As it happens, there's maths for that. And although so far we focused on just the most
basic level of life, microbes and simple organisms, some scientists have also tried to tackle
the question after that. How likely is it that we'll find life that is intelligent?
Once an alien race has evolved to the point where it has become intelligent, unless it came
into being through some weird mechanism we don't understand, it probably did so throughout competing
its rivals and collecting resources for itself and its offspring. Civilizations made up of such
creatures will most likely also have a hunger for space and resources. Whether they gain these
things through clever diplomacy or aggression, it is most likely that they will want them.
As we mentioned earlier, form follows function, and this applies to cultures and civilizations
too. This quest for expansion and seeking more and more energy and resources led Soviet astrophysicist
Nikolai Kardshev in 1964 to propose the Kardashev scale for classifying the different kinds
of alien civilizations that might exist out there. He grouped civilizations into three kinds.
Type 1 civilizations can completely utilize the energy available on their planet. We have not quite
reach this point as a species, so we are roughly a 0.7 on Kardashev's scale.
Type 2 completely utilised the energy available from their star, possibly by building a giant
megastructure such as a Dyson sphere to capture and utilize all of its energy output.
Type 3 civilizations would be able to utilize the entire energy output of its galaxy.
We have seen no evidence of an alien civilization such as this one, which is for the best,
as they would likely see us in the same way we see bacteria.
Mildly interesting, but otherwise completely beneath their notice.
Other scientists since Kardashev have proposed further additions to this scale.
Type 4s that use all the energy in the universe.
Type 5s that use all the energy in multiple universes,
or even the enigmatic type Omega,
capable of utilizing energy sources beyond even that,
perhaps existing outside of time entirely. Such a civilization would essentially be gods. We would
have no way of detecting them, because nothing in the universe would exist except in the way they wanted
it to, and we would have nothing to compare their existence against. While this may seem like
a bleak outlook for humanity, if we ever came across another alien race, under this theory,
we would almost certainly end up competing for resources in one way or another, or just
getting steamrolled by a vastly higher power.
There are actually other possibilities for alien development too.
After all, not all humans are interested in expanding ever outwards.
In fact, with the advent of internet and online cyberspace, more and more human interaction
is taking place in virtual spaces.
Carl Sagan proposed the model that classifies alien races based on how many unique pieces of
information they collectively know. Although much harder for us to detect at a distance,
and admittedly hard to measure, this way of gauging advancement does not require an alien race
to infinitely expand. An intelligent race that started looking internally, or even one that
spent its entire conscious time in some kind of cyberspace, could still learn more and more
about itself and the universe as a whole, while taking less and less space within that universe.
For the record, Carl Sagan's scale is alphabetic, where we were at about a Type J civilization,
as apparently we knew 10 to the power 13 bits of unique information in 1973.
While I haven't been able to find out exactly how he worked out that figure, and mention
in the comments if you know, we are probably further along this scale now, 50 years on.
But, as a comparison, a Type Z civilization would need to know 10 to the power 31 bits.
More information than exists in the whole universe, so it's unlikely that such a race exists,
at least not yet.
And while it's true that we have not met an alien civilization, it is comforting to know
that it is entirely plausible there would be something about them that we could understand
or even find relatable.
follows function.
We as humans are the beings that think and gain mastery of our world.
Perhaps one day we will meet another race that does the same things we do.
Rather than seeing something truly alien, it perhaps will be like looking into a mirror.
I'll leave it to you to decide whether that is a comforting thought or not.
To get to that level of intelligence, there are still a number of things that need to go
right.
And if we are to also discover them in the night sky, the oddest,
odds get even less favourable.
To recap, for them to even get started, they would most likely need a star to orbit.
As near as we can tell, life cannot exist without energy.
They would need a planet that suited them.
They would likely have competed with other organisms for limited resources, thus encouraging
them to adapt and progress.
In time, they would need to develop problem-solving skills and intelligence as a way of
gaining those resources and out-competing their rivals. Their civilization would then have to survive
without accidentally becoming extinct due to a freak meteor strike or earthquake or global freezing.
They would also have to not destroy themselves. They would have to invest in technology,
and would have to develop a level of technology that allowed them to reach out across the universe.
They'd also have to have a desire to talk to any potential neighbours, as opposed to being
intensely isolationist.
And finally, would have to broadcast a signal out to us for long enough that we would be able
to spot them.
All of this is by no means certain.
However, as was pointed out by astronomer and astrophysicist Frank Drake in the first settee,
or search for extraterrestrial intelligence meetings in 1961, all of this could be
could be used to calculate the probability of us finding alien life.
He laid all this out in his famous Drake equation.
This may look a little complicated, but it's based on a very clever and logical idea.
Using the same logic that says you can figure out how many students are in a school
by calculating how many students were inducted into the school at the start of each year,
and they're multiplying that by the number of years students studied for,
Drake reasoned that the way of calculating the number of civilizations in our galaxy,
whose electromagnetic emissions are detectable, could be calculated,
provided you knew the rates at which those other steps happened.
Let's break it down.
N is the number we're looking for.
How many alien races are out there for us to see or hear?
This will give us an idea of the odds of finding them.
Our star is the rate of formation of stars suitable for the development of
intelligent life in number per year. Not all stars are very suitable for life to develop, as some
are too cold or too hot, or generally too unstable. We need to know how many are being born that
could support life. FP is the fraction of those stars with planets, NE is the number of those planets
per solar system with atmospheres and material compositions suitable for life. If they're covered with
lava, or are completely devoid of atmosphere or water, it's unlikely that life could form
there, based on our own planet's example.
FL is the fraction of how many of those planets that could support life actually do support
life.
FI is the fraction of planets for which that life becomes intelligent.
F.C. is the fraction of times that life advances enough technologically to start sending
out signals of their existence, and finally, L is the length of time a civilization exists
on average.
If you combine all of these elements, you could accurately predict how many alien civilizations
we would be able to see up in our sky right now.
Of course, you might have noticed a drawback with this equation.
Some of these numbers are simply not known by us.
But where's the fun in not giving it a go anyway?
By inputting the numbers that scientists currently believe to be most likely, and by making
a few assumptions of my own along the way, we will attempt to solve the Drake equation.
If you think that any of my numbers seem unreasonable, let me know in the comments below.
So with that, let's see how many alien civilizations we might reasonably expect to see
out in the night sky.
To begin with, we can input our values with reasonable certainty.
Looking at the Milky Way galaxy can accurately predict how many stars form every year, as we
have many examples to draw from.
Depending on who you ask, the number ranges from between 3 and 7.
Let's say 5 at a conservative estimate.
FP is easy to solve too.
Through recent astronomical observations by the Kepler Space Telescope, it's become
apparent that planets are very common in the galaxy, with each star on average having one.
So let's set this number high as well.
Let's say 90%.
However, the number that we currently predict is at a suitable distance from their stars,
as well as having the ideal mix of elements that would produce life similar to ours is much lower.
Of the 100 billion planets in the Milky Way galaxy,
perhaps as few as 300 million fit into this category.
Obviously, this does not account for alien life that's significantly different from us,
But let's discount them for the moment, as then this would be even harder to predict.
This gives us a percentage chance of 0.3%.
Quite a small chance that one of the planet's inner solar system is suitable for life.
So 0.003 for NE.
So far, so substantiated by evidence.
Here is where things get a little tricky.
For the number of times that life has arisen, we only have one example to draw from,
life on Earth. To date, we have not proved that life arose on Mars, or Ganymede, for all the
conjecture on that front. So we can take this estimate one of two ways. As near as we can tell
from the fossil record, as soon as the planet cooled down enough, life came into being,
which might indicate a high value for F, perhaps as high as a certainty one. But on the other
hand, from what we know, all life originated from a common ancestor, which is to say, life
formed on this planet from non-biological matter exactly once, and has never risen up again since.
Scientists have looked for evidence of bacteria that might have independently come into being,
but so far haven't found any. This may be a coincidence. Perhaps life did arise multiple times,
but the life that arose first was more advanced and so out-competed the newly formed simple bacteria
into extinction. Still, it means that life is either incredibly certain or a million to one.
Let's go with the more pessimistic number and see where that takes us.
FL equals 0.0001%.
We encountered the same problem for the arising of intelligence.
There are numerous examples of animals displaying forms of intelligence.
Octopi can open jars and solve puzzles, and some birds and apes can use tools or even use sign language.
Perhaps this proves that, given enough time, life always evolves into becoming more intelligent.
However, if we want to be strict about it, we could also accurately say that all the millions of species that have existed on the earth, only one was intelligent enough for our purposes.
Us, which makes the odds seem very low for it happening.
Let's once again input our 1 million to 1 value for FI again just to be pessimistic.
In terms of how many become technologically advanced enough to start communicating,
I think this number is likely much higher.
Although we only have one species to compare to again,
it's worth noting that humans are unintentionally chatty with the universe, quite by accident.
Thanks to industry and transport, we are altering the chemical composition of our atmosphere,
which is something an alien race could detect.
Certain molecules in our atmosphere are only there because they are man-made.
We also send signals out into space thanks to our radio signals and satellites.
Sometimes we even send signals out into the stars deliberately,
such as the Arisebo message, which was broadcast from Earth in 1974,
and contained information about huge.
Human civilization and history, expressly so, any aliens that heard it, could learn about us.
Although these signals would not travel far on the grand cosmological scale of things before
becoming dispersed and indistinguishable from background radiation, we would count as a communicating
race.
So I'm going to predict this number as high.
Let's say 70% of intelligent races reach this level.
Finally, how long do civilization survive?
For this number, sadly we do not even have a single example.
We do not know how long our race will survive until we die out,
by which point there will be no one left to write down the final figure.
However, although there are numerous dangers that could end us as a species,
ranging from meteor strikes, nuclear war, or even solar flares,
the longer we are able to survive, the more likely it is that we will go on surviving.
This is because, once humanity spreads out, we become more and more resilient to a species-threatening catastrophe.
If we are on multiple planets, a comet hitting Earth would no longer threaten the survival of our species.
If we are in multiple solar systems, a solar flare would no longer be able to get all of us.
Species could, in theory, reach a sort of immortality level in this way,
lasting for potentially billions of years, as long as they could get out of the danger,
range.
Let's be optimistic and use this figure.
What does that give us for the Drake equation?
Based on these assumptions, our answer is zero in our galaxy.
If civilizations live for trillions of years, which is longer than the universe has existed
for, we'd still be at zero for these values.
Given these odds, our chances of ever hearing from another civilization is next to non-existent.
But that's just the thing with this kind of estimate.
If we instead assumed that life arising was certain, and that intelligence arising was certain
too, our final answer for even a 1,000-year civilization would no longer be zero.
Instead, that comes to an answer of 9 in our galaxy.
Nine intelligent races who might be up in the stars right now trying to communicate with
us.
If races routinely do make it to functional immortality to the point where their civilizations
last for billions of years, then we would see as many as 9,450,000 in our galaxy, or more.
I know these are hypotheticals, but I find this very interesting.
Putting the numbers through the equation makes it a bit more tangible, a bit more magical and
exciting even.
According to the Drake equation, the sky could be completely silent or absolutely teeming
with alien life.
If it is the former, then we should probably prepare ourselves for a long, lonely existence.
We should learn to get along with each other because we are all the life we are ever going
to see.
There will be no aliens stopping by to say hello.
We also have an even greater responsibility to preserve life here on Earth, as there likely won't
be any more to replace it. But if it's the latter, then space should be filled to bursting
with alien races, getting discovered all the time. So where are they all? This was the question
first asked by Nobel Prize winning physicist Enrico Fermi in his famous Fermi paradox. But as I'm
about to show you, there are actually numerous answers to this question, ranging from the plausible
to the fanciful, to the worrying, that all might account for why we might not have discovered
aliens yet.
Let's start by addressing the elephant in the room.
Maybe there's no one to see.
If it was true that it's quite difficult for life to arise from non-living materials, or
if it's unlikely that life would go on to become intelligent as we have done, then it's
entirely possible that there would be no ships or signals in the sky, since then it's unlikely
simply because there are no aliens. We would be the first ones to ever make it this far.
All other planets could be empty and desolate. It would then be our opportunity to spread out
across the universe and discover all these empty rocks, and the only life we'd ever encounter
is whatever we brought with us from Earth. While this is a perfectly reasonable possibility,
there is no conclusive evidence to prove it wrong.
This is not the only explanation that exists for why the sky isn't full of signals.
We should also be aware that we are constrained by a surprising natural limitation.
For us to discover or make contact with an alien civilization,
one of two things needs to happen.
Either we need to send out a message to an alien civilization
and then have them send a message back to us.
Or, the alien civilization needs to have made the first overture, messaging us directly.
There are different ways of doing this.
For instance, we might be sending spaceships to each other, or we may be using unmanned
probes, but there are significant issues with doing anything other than sending messages.
Sending a spaceship is a tricky business.
At the current speeds our spaces are capable of, it will take potentially millions of years
for an astronaut to reach their destination.
The Voyager 2 probe took about 49 years to even leave our heliosphere.
The nearest star is four light years away.
In other words, it would take over 81,000 years to get even there,
or about 2,700 human generations.
And that's assuming that we have aliens as our closest next-door neighbors.
Even if we make allowances for technology to
improve, it takes colossal energy to accelerate an object up to light speeds. Actually, it would take
more energy than exists in the universe for reasons we won't get into here. Mass just does not
like to travel at those speeds. So, unless we or our alien friends are able to come up with some
kind of workaround, most likely the easiest way to communicate with other civilizations is to send
them radio signals. In fairness, it's not implausible that this speed cap will one day be broken.
Scientists have hypothesized some intriguing things involving moving the space around you in
warp bubbles rather than by moving yourself directly. The speed of light limit only applies
to movement within a local area, so if it's your local area that's moving, you're fine. We actually
have examples of this in nature around black holes, which I explore in one of my other videos.
But until that becomes a scientific reality, let's just go with the fact that it's much easier
to call than to visit in person. It's significantly easier and cheaper to send out light
or radio waves, as simple as turning on a sufficiently large light bulb. So, let's assume
that this is how our first contact with aliens will occur.
Even here, however, we hit a roadblock.
Radio signals and light are more than capable of travelling at relativistic speeds.
It's called the speed of light for a reason, after all.
However, that's its limit, light speed.
Just less than 300 million meters per second.
No signal can go faster than that, and this in turn limits how far we are able to see through
space. Any signal from us would need to travel out across space before reaching alien life,
and then, even if they decide to respond immediately, their response would need to travel all
the way back, if they decided to respond. Let's imagine that happens, though. We only invented
the radio in the mid-1890s, so we have not really been able to do this for very long.
As such, we would only be able to exchange a message with aliens who lived at most 60 light
years away from us.
60 years for a signal sent out in 1900 to reach the alien civilization and 60 years for it
to come back.
Our galaxy is roughly 100,000 light years across, so the 60-year light bubble we have we could
have communicated with is truly tiny.
So another answer to Fermi is that perhaps we've not existed long enough for aliens to message
us back.
In fairness, this limitation goes away if the aliens contact us first.
After all, we are now receiving light in the James Webb telescope that has been travelling
for 13 billion years from nearly the beginning of the universe.
If an alien civilization came into being around 2 billion years ago, and they've kept
existing since then, that means they now have a 2 billion light year bubble from which we could
technically see them. A 10 billion year old civilization now has a 10 billion light year bubble. But
if they were 10 billion light years away and only 9 billion years old, they would be completely
invisible to us. So why haven't we heard from these aliens by now? Well, this line of thought
may rest on a faulty assumption, that there haven't been any signals coming in from the
stars. There have been signals. Although, while it's a little speculative, perhaps we just
didn't recognize them for what they were. Obviously, when it comes to alien signals,
there is some ambiguity as to what exactly we are looking for. Aliens are, after all, alien. We are
not quite sure what to expect from them, as they will have likely evolved in conditions.
conditions different to our own, and may well have cultural outlooks that make perfect sense
to them, but are completely obscure to us.
Their definition of a good way to say hello to the universe might be very different from ours.
Researchers looking into possible signals from other planets have to remain very open-minded
about what an extraterrestrial signal might look like.
But that means such signals can get confused with signals from natural sources that we
simply do not understand yet. How can we tell the difference? Let's explore this with a fascinating
example. In 1961, in their pursuit of evidence for the existence of alien life, which is worth
noting because it opens up the possibility of confirmation bias, researchers at the Ohio State
University finished work on a specialized telescope called Big Ear. It was the size of three football pitches,
and worked on a similar basis to modern-day telescopes,
in that it captured signals using its large mirror on one end
and bounced them through smaller mirrors on the other
into two receivers in the centre, where the results were then processed.
You may notice that these captured dishes are just wireframes, though, not true mirrors.
This is because Big Ear was a radio telescope.
It wasn't trying to see with visible light.
The way Big Ear worked meant that it was more limited in its motion than a telescope
that could rotate in any direction.
Big Ear could only tilt its primary reflector up and down, which meant that it was somewhat
limited to only listening to a point in a narrow strip of space at any one time.
This was cheaper and easier to design, and the designers had an idea that would let them
get around Big Ear's limitations.
They built Big Ear at just the right orientation, so that the rotation of the planet would
be what turned it left and right.
With the Earth turning it one way, and with its tiltable reflector adjusting it along the
other axis, you could point Big Ear towards any point in the sky if you have enough patience.
Quite a clever solution.
Big Ear's direction of attention would sweep around the night sky in large circular arcs, listening
out to try to spot any unusual signals that we did not have a natural explanation for. And sure
enough, in 1977, Big Ear found something. On the 15th of August, a 72 second long pulse of radio
waves came in that were 30 times more powerful than anything Big Ear had heard before in the
background chatter of the universe. It was so out of the ordinary that the researcher who found it
wrote wow on the computer printout when they saw it, giving it the historical name of the
wow signal. It was incredibly uniform. It rose in intensity, peaked, and then dropped back down
in a smooth motion instead of the erratic fluctuations you might have expected from cosmic
radiation. This indicated that whatever had made the sound was broadcasting consistently,
kind of like the beam of a lighthouse sweeping out across the stars, with us turning to look at it
and then turning away again. Except it wasn't consistent. Due to Big Ear's design,
researchers had to wait a few minutes before the second ear of Big Ear moved to look at that
particular patch of space the wow signal had come from, and when they got there, the signal
had vanished. Ever since then, despite checking back in,
from time to time, we have never heard another wow signal come from that region of space to
this day.
So what was it?
A fault in the machinery of Big Ear?
A passing comet that threw out a momentary burst of signals, or an alien civilization
trying to communicate.
We currently don't know.
Let's take a look at another candidate, a somewhat mouthier, SHG B-02 plus one
When one of the first SETI experiments, Project Osmer, was started in 1960 by Frank Drake,
it began on the basis that if alien life were to communicate with the rest of the universe,
they would do so at frequency 1420 megahertz.
The logic behind this was that this was the frequency emitted commonly by hydrogen,
one of the most widespread elements in the universe.
aliens looking to establish communication with other civilizations might use such a frequency
as a sort of common ground, a wavelength that probably holds a special significance to any race.
This might have been a leap of logic, but it certainly made SHGB02 plus 14A of interest later.
Because this signal, let's just call it SHG for the rest of the video, for the lack of a punchier name,
did indeed broadcast at this exact wavelength.
SHG was spotted on three separate occasions in 2003, using the Aricebo telescope and the computational
power of 5.2 million home computers as part of the SETI at Home initiative, a rather cool
program that is sadly no longer running.
SHG had no obvious explanation for his origins in nature, and it didn't appear to be interference.
But it was also too weak to say for sure whether it was clearly technological or not.
On top of that, its location was peculiar.
It came from a spot devoid of stars up to 1,000 light years away from Earth,
and although it experienced drift, it did so in a manner that made scientists suspicious.
If a signal originates from a planet, then there are a few things we might reasonably infer.
A signal being broadcast from a planet, either on the surface or an orbit just above it,
would likely experience some Doppler shift as it alternated from moving away from us to coming
towards us through the circular path it was taking in space.
There would also be movements where it dropped out of view entirely as it moved behind
the planet.
While SHG did indeed experience fluctuation in its signal frequency, ranging from 8 to 37
1.5 per second, this would only come from a planet that was rotating 40 times faster than
Earth, which seemed high.
It was also strange that each time the signal was spotted again, no matter where it had
been when it had last been sighted, it always began at 1.420 megahertz.
The odds of you looking at an orbiting transmitter on three separate occasions and each
time spotting it starting off at the exact same location is incredibly slim, which is a
is what you'd need for this to make sense.
So, although this observation pointed to it being more likely, SHG was some kind of glitch
in the technology, examples like this one do leave a little room for ambiguity.
For an example that might be aliens or might just be a natural phenomenon, let's look
at fast radio bursts.
If an alien civilization were ever to be detected, it might not be intentional on their part.
engines activating, or beams firing, all might release bursts of energy that give away
a galactic civilization, which makes fast radio bursts, or FRBs, interesting.
They are, just as the name suggests, very fast bursts of radio waves.
We have detected hundreds of these strange millisecond long bursts across the sky.
Scientists theorized that there might be thousands of them occurring every single day.
They have mostly been detected outside our galaxy, but one was detected within the Milky Way
in 2020, so they're not completely foreign to us.
They seem to be coming from extremely powerful magnetic fields.
And as of yet, scientists have no clear idea about what their origin might be.
There are plenty of theories.
Perhaps they are emitted by neutron stars, or maybe black holes, but there is no proof
that puts any one theory over another, including that of the other.
alien technology.
So we might have already received alien signals, and simply didn't recognize them.
There is of course a claim that takes this idea even further.
Some individuals have claimed that aliens have not just sent our signals, but have visited
our planet directly, and we still haven't as a species recognized it.
Here, sadly, the evidence starts to get questionable.
There have been so many hoaxes, faked videos, films, and we still haven't as a species recognized it.
filmed on grainy, shaky cams, or even genuine mistakes where natural phenomena or satellites
are taken for UFOs, that many people are now a little wary of entertaining such theories.
There have even supposedly been times where the US government has deliberately, subtly
propagated UFO conspiracy stories to draw attention away from their real top-secret technological
projects, like the stealth bomber.
All in all, ascribing extraterrestrial origins to the
these phenomena is often factually incorrect, and poor science.
And because we do not understand something does not mean we should jump to the idea that
it must be aliens.
Still, it only has to be proven once for our entire world view to be forever shaken.
I also find it intriguing that so many governments have started seriously exploring the
topic of UFOs in the last few years.
In just the last year, countries like America, Japan and Mexico have held hearings on
UAPs or unidentified anomalous phenomena, with the intention of not cynically swatting away the
topic or having a good chuckle, but as a serious attempt to address an issue congressmen
are claiming to be a matter of national security.
Organizations like NASA are being tasked with coming up with explanations for UAPs and are seeking
to collect more data on them.
And so, if governments and scientists are evaluating whether there's actually some fire behind
all the smoke, let's take a moment to do the same.
Could it be that at least some UFOs are an alien civilization's efforts to visit us?
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The first UFO sighting in modern times was by an American businessman named Kenneth Arnold
in 1947. As he looked out across Mount Rainer, Arnold claims he saw nine, crescent-shaped silver objects
traveling at several thousand kilometers per hour through the air.
He likened them to sources skipping on water in the way that they moved.
He initially thought they might be secret military jets,
but later he and other witnesses of these Crescent craft
wondered if they might have been extraterrestrial in nature.
The media picked up his turn of phrase about the sources
and the idea of flying sources entered the national consciousness.
Before long, other people started.
started reporting alleged UFO encounters. The US became enraptured with the idea of UFOs.
However, the US military did not take this idea quite so seriously. While initially they were
understandably alarmed at the report of unknown aircraft moving around in their airspace,
particularly coming right after World War II, the programs they set up to investigate UFOs
were eventually shut down in 1969. Project Blue Book, the last of these programs,
collected 12,618 UFO reports, but ultimately concluded that they were almost all misidentifications
of natural phenomena, or just man-made aircraft.
With such a damning report to go on, the US government officially pulled funding from the project,
and investigation into UFO sightings officially ceased.
Partly as a result of Project Blue Book's findings, a certain degree of stigma became associated
with seeing a UFO. Anyone who claimed to have done so was often ridiculed or considered crazy.
It came down to a question of evidence. If aliens were real and were visiting our planet,
where was the proof of their evidence? Of course, to answer that, we need to define what we would
consider to be reliable proof. Let's imagine that a person came up to you and claimed that
they'd seen a silver disc shoot across the sky at a speed far faster than any
airplane was capable of. Would you consider a single person's account to be proved that he'd
seen an alien spacecraft? Well, not necessarily. Human memory is unreliable. Even if you
trust the character of the person in question enough to believe that they weren't lying to you,
they might be misremembering details, or maybe had misjudged how fast the spaceship they saw
was going due to some optical phenomenon. Ah, they cry, but I recorded it on film. You look,
Look, but unfortunately, the video they provide is grainy and only gives you a blurry glimpse
of the spacecraft.
Is that proof?
Again, you might well be skeptical.
Even if this video is not a deliberate hoax, and it's so easy to fake film these days,
it could be a digital artifact or some broken pixel in the camera, and it could just be some
natural or man-made phenomenon neither of you had seen before.
So, what would be a good proof of alien spacecraft?
Ideally, for me, I would like evidence that were seen by multiple trustworthy people, the more
the merrier.
It would need to be recorded by multiple pieces of hardware to eliminate the risk of it being
glitchy technology, and it would have to evidence characteristics that completely ruled out
it being any man-made phenomenon or natural event.
Best of all, it would be repeatable.
If it kept occurring, it would provide more opportunities for study to rule out other causes.
Which brings us to the event that started things all off again, in 2004 and the USS Nimitz.
The Navy aircraft carrier was traveling through the ocean near Southern Carolina in November
of that year on a routine training exercise. Another nearby vessel, called the USS Princeton,
had recently received upgrades to its radar, and had started noticing strange aircraft in the
area. These crafts descended from 80,000 feet to 20,000 in a blistering speed, before vanishing
out of sight entirely, or later shooting back up again. After a few days of this, the Princeton
called them to send someone to see what was going on. To F.A. 18F. Super Hornet Jets were scrambled.
Each jet had a weapons camera, but no weapons, as this was only meant to be a training exercise.
Each jet had two pilots on board.
Upon arriving at the scene, all four pilots quickly spotted what they were looking for.
A strange, tic-tac-shaped object was moving weirdly, zipping back and forth above a frothy, boiling
patch of water in the sea below them.
It had no visible means of propulsion, no wings, no rotors.
It was about the size of a jet and a whitish colour.
The objects suddenly stopped its zigzag.
It had seen them.
It whipped around and travelled up towards the jets, as if it were intending to meet them
in the air, but then rapidly accelerated away, faster than anything the pilots had ever seen
before.
Baffled by what they'd witnessed, the pilots returned to base, only for the radio operator
to inform them that they'd begun tracking the crew.
craft again, except it was now over 60 kilometers away.
It had got there in under a minute of leaving the pilot's view.
To be clear, we have no jet or technology that is even remotely capable of mimicking this.
There is no natural phenomenon that we know of that could do this.
Whatever this was, it did things human technology can't do.
This was an object seen by four trained professional pilots.
on the clock who have publicly spoken on what they saw under oath, seen by aircraft cameras,
and modern, advanced, ship-based radar from one of the most technologically advanced nations
in the world. This ticks many of the boxes for good, reliable sources of evidence.
This report was logged, and nothing else was initially done with it. You might just point
to this being a strange story if it wasn't for this authenticated footage that we had.
have of it, confirmed by the US government in a freedom of information request.
To me, that's what makes this story compelling.
When a lone individual sees a light in the sky, it's easy to come up with any number
of explanations for what they saw, including the fact that they might be lying.
But when a government unambiguously claims that the event did indeed happen and say they
want to know what it was, then the event probably did occur.
But the strangest thing about this was that it kept happening.
The phenomenon is currently repeating.
Navy and Air Force pilots were spotting strange objects in the sky so frequently,
some were claiming that it was almost a daily occurrence.
Many were embarrassed to mention what they'd seen, fearing ridicule.
That said, it became so common that the Navy started handing out cards
to be kept in Navy pilot kneeboards in their cockpit about what to do in the event
of such a sighting. Between 2004 and 2021, 144 reports came in from Navy personnel of seeing
unidentified objects in the sky, 80 of them being observed by multiple senses, 11 accounts of near
misses with jets, and only ever one being positively identified. Between 2021 and 2022,
sensing that there might be something to all this after all, the Navy began destigmatized
reporting, and started actively encouraging its pilots to record what they saw.
247 new reports came in, and an additional 119 incidents were reported to have happened in the past.
Sure enough, that's almost one every other day.
In total, the number of unidentified objects had risen to 510.
So, what were these objects?
Their natures and probably their origins varied.
Some behave like drones, with the Navy detecting radio signals coming to and from them.
Only they stayed up in the air far longer than any drone on the market was capable of doing.
Some were more like aircraft, travelling in formations, exhibiting unheard of acceleration.
Some could both fly and submerge underwater, seemingly at will.
Some acted like balloons, albeit with unknown means of remaining up in the air, sometimes defying
wind currents by remaining completely motionless, or even moving against it.
No doubt, of those 510, some will simply be glitches in technology.
This strange triangle in the sky is thought to not really be that shape.
Instead, the unique design of the night goggles is thought to be distorting the light in this
apparent drone, in a similar effect to lens glare, but uniquely tailored to this technology.
However, it's still concerning that the Navy does not know what these drones were doing,
circling a US Navy vessel while it did training exercises at night.
The Navy started calling these objects UAPs, or unidentified aerial phenomena, in the hopes
of removing the negative connotations associated with UFOs, and this has changed again recently
to unidentified anomalous phenomena.
And while they do not want to assume that this is alien in origin, they're also not ruling it out.
They reported their findings in a congressional hearing on the 17th of May 2021, and now are regularly,
and somewhat transparently, publishing reports for the general public about the ongoing investigation,
provided it doesn't give away too much about classified sources or technology they are working on.
Right now, they are attempting to collect as much data as possible, knowing that it will
lead to better science.
And that right there is the biggest shift of all.
When you see the US government reaching out to the wider community to ask, what are these
things we keep seeing, it certainly confirms that there is something to see.
Of course, as a reminder, although it seems likely from our evaluations earlier that alien
life could well exist, we have no evidence that it does and no proof that it's here.
It does raise perhaps the most important question though, a question that as we continue searching
for alien life out there, we really need to be asking, what do we do if we find it?
If alien life was ever proven to exist and could come here, what would we do?
If it was far away, it would be fascinating for humanity, an answer to the question of whether
we are alone.
But if alien life was found that was intelligent and indeed more advanced than us, and knew
about us and had the means to interact with us, what then?
Suddenly this all becomes a bit more real.
Suddenly we need to answer another vitally important question.
What will aliens do when they find us?
To begin with, though, let's hold up the mirror to ourselves.
We are the only instance of life arising in the universe that we know of.
The great human experiment of civilization has been going on for thousands of years
and has produced many different types of society.
Capitalist, socialist, hunter-gatherer, nomadic, and theocratic, to name just a few.
If we want to understand the behavior of alien civilizations, we need to consider societies.
We thus have quite a few ideas to compare when considering how aliens might behave.
As we've not seen them in spite of looking, we know for a fact that either aliens do not exist
or they are subtle about their existence. If they exist in our galaxy, they're not flashy.
Even if aliens are visiting Earth, which is a big if, they are not making a big deal about
it. They are not building massive structures that might tip us off to their
and they are not flying over our cities shooting death beams or waving flags to say a friendly hello.
This allows us to conclude things.
Broadly speaking, let's examine two great extremes and see how they might influence alien civilization.
These two extremes are altruism and aggression, love and violence.
Let's start with violence.
While this may be a pessimistic starting point, it is sadly
one we must consider, because as human civilization has developed throughout eras, different groups of
humans have almost always clashed violently. This ties into the evolutionary idea that competition
always occurs when there are more organisms than there are resources. Humans are organisms,
and we need resources to survive. And so, all too often, war throughout the ages has been fought
over resources. Agricultural land, people, and
or the labour power and industry they can produce.
Gold.
Oil.
Even when a civilization develops space travel and reaches for the stars,
this issue will still likely exist.
After all, we are nearly at the stars ourselves,
and there certainly seems to be no shortage of violent conflict amongst us today.
So, with the sample size of exactly one,
we have to at least consider the possibility that other alien races,
if they exist, are the same as us.
us, driven by a need for resources to support an ever-growing population.
Of course, when it comes to societies, there are even more reasons why clashes might occur.
For instance, religious or ideological differences.
The Cold War was largely fought between countries that espoused different political ideologies,
capitalism and communism, that threatened each other.
Alien civilization might equally differ from us ideologically.
In fact, it would be surprising if they didn't.
And so it's possible they might feel their ideology is threatened in some way by ours.
This could lead to conflict too.
This is not even to mention the fact that some cultures idolize violence itself, deeming
themselves of worth only when they are winning victories, such as Viking raiders or Spartan
Hoplites.
Others seek to build empires, recognizing it's much easier to take wealth from others than
is to build it yourself. All these reasons are perfectly plausible for an intelligent race that
has mastered its planet. Out-competed other life forms there, and likely feels good about doing so.
Survival feels good. We enjoy feeling strong. But if this leads to conflict, what might an alien
conflict look like? Technology raises the stakes. We currently lack the technology to move objects
to other solar systems. Given the vast distances throughout space, unless we intend to just
throw insulting messages at each other through the void, actual fighting cannot be achieved
until we manage to solve speed of light travel, and probably something faster than that.
It is possible that one day we might get around this problem, and this instantly opens a dangerous
possibility. It is theoretically impossible to move something up to the speed of light, because of the
link between mass and energy. The more energy something has, the more mass it has, because the two
are linked, and thus, the more energy you need to increase its speed further. This is only noticeable
at relativistic speeds, but it does mean you'd theoretically need infinite energy to move mass
up to the speed of light. But if you throw an asteroid-sized object at a planet at near light
speed, then all that energy gets released in one go. This kind of strike can easily wipe out
all life on a planet, and the people on it wouldn't even see it coming. Any intelligent race
would be very aware of the impact potential of objects such as this. For us, we only need to
look at the dinosaurs. You don't need nukes or soldiers on the ground to fight an alien war,
just rocks thrown really, really fast. This opens up one possible.
answer to the Fermi paradox. If alien civilizations exist and any of them proved to be willing to do
this, maybe the other aliens realized that it was simply safer not to communicate. Letting other
races know that you are there would simply place a target on your back. After all, if you could both do this
and they wouldn't see it coming, could they really trust you not to strike first? They could see us as a risk
that they are not willing to take.
Known as the dark forest theory, this possible answer to the Fermi paradox says that the only
aliens out there are silent simply because they don't wish to be on the possible receiving end
of these kind of planet-buster weapons. Like hunters traveling cautiously through a dark forest,
they are all either quiet or dead. They have been subject to this selective pressure.
However, this is not the only plausible model of behavior that might still prevent us from
seeing aliens. The second option is simply indifference. With billions of years of history at play,
it might not be the case that we are on technological parity with all the other forms of life
that might be out there. Alien life might simply be so far beyond us, they simply regard us
as dispassionately as we might an ant. They might not be talking to us because we have nothing
interesting to say. Why do not talk to insects in your garden? The gap is too good.
great. You understand what they want perfectly, and they have no hope of understanding you.
Communication would be frankly pointless. That said, life is probably rare in the universe.
If they desire resources, and are that far beyond us, they probably wouldn't need to mine our
planet specifically. We might have value as a curiosity, something to be left alone to flourish,
simply because they have decided that we have some value as a specimen in some kind of grand cosmic zoo.
And as any zookeeper would tell you, the closer you get an enclosure to look like an animal's natural habitat,
the happier that animal normally is. While they might not care about us,
perhaps they do not wish to alarm us by stepping into our natural habitat. In fairness, this is a valid
line of reasoning. Humanity would likely find it very distressing to learn that we are in fact
not at the top of the food chain, and that our very existence depends on the mild indifference
of a vastly superior alien race. Of course, if this was true, we would need to be careful.
In my home, I was perfectly willing to live and let live when I found ants in my garden.
When ants came into my kitchen, I quickly got out the ant killer. We would do well not to provoke
them. Both of these ideas about alien behavior are bleak, so you're not to be able to. So you
you'll be glad to know that there is one alternative to hatred and indifference.
And in fact, it may prove to be the most realistic for higher levels of society, cooperation.
Cooperation exists within nature. Not all life competes. Within species, packs of wolves can
cooperate to achieve their goals, protecting those within the group even as they attack those
outside it. There are giant supercolonies of ants that do this, working together and spanning entire
countries, with each hill all considering themselves as part of the same colony. Aggressive
to those outside of it, but supportive and even self-sacrificing towards those within.
There are advantages to this, as we humans are well aware. We would not have gotten anywhere
if we hadn't learned how to work together. Knowledge pooled allows the creation of all kinds
of technology. Ironically, no one really knows how to build a computer from scratch, but there
There are people who know how to build a motherboard, other people who know how to build a screen,
and other people that know how to mine the resources, and all these people know that the other
people exist, and so can work together.
Historically speaking, there is compelling evidence that as time has gone on, we humans
have become better at this kind of cooperative thinking too.
It used to be that groups of humans were localized into small tribes, fighting other
small tribes. However, that elevated to small kingdoms, then big ones, then whole countries
and alliances spanning across national borders. Following that to its natural conclusion,
at some point a nation may exist that all humans in the world feel a part of, a unified planet
Earth. But why is this a more likely outcome than violence? Simply put, technology forces
it. Not only do we remove barriers to communication the more advanced our communication gets,
but as our ability to destroy ourselves increases, there simply isn't an alternative except
learning how to get along. Other than total annihilation, of course, but that's a pretty
unappealing alternative, one would hope. And so, it's possible that aliens develop the same
way. If they did, how might they behave towards the universe at large? While they might still
aggressive to outsiders initially, ultimately, they may have attempted to take this to the
next level, embracing new alien races as brothers and sisters, part of a great galactic
hole.
It's just a continuation of the trend.
With potentially millions of years of history drilling the dangers of violence into them,
they may actually abhor fighting, and there may be millions of aliens of many different races
all cooperating peacefully under one banner.
then why don't we see them?
Well, perhaps they prefer to let us learn our own historical lessons about the value of cooperation
before speaking to us.
An aggressive race would not benefit the galactic community as a whole, so until we learn to
get along, advanced alien races might not want to share with us their ideas and technology,
particularly if such toys could then be used as weapons.
Perhaps they believe that we will either figure out how to get along, or else we'll wipe ourselves
out. Either way, in the meantime, it is better they stay hands off.
As any parent will tell you, sometimes telling a child something is not enough for a lesson
to sink in. Sometimes experience is the only effective teacher. There might be a galactic
community out there just waiting to welcome us.
So what is the point I've been trying to make with all this?
I hope that over the course of this exploration of alien life, you've seen that that
But while we've not found aliens definitively, there is a high chance that alien life is out
there somewhere.
As such, as long as humans continue to exist, it's not just possible that it'll find us or
we'll find it.
It's almost certain.
It could have already happened.
It could happen tomorrow or a million years from now.
But whenever it happens, we will be forced to make a choice about how we wish to proceed.
We hope that alien life will treat us well.
We hope that we can share knowledge and discoveries, and we will come to enter into an era
of peace, prosperity, and mutual respect to cooperation.
However, if this exploration on alien life has taught me anything, it's that much of the
hunt for alien life starts by taking a look in the mirror.
could be a lot like us. And the day may one day come when we are the ones flying our
spacecraft down into the atmosphere of an alien world, while indigenous life forms look up at
us in awe and fear. So what will we do then?
Perhaps we would do well to think carefully about that interaction, because if in that moment
we decide as humanity to exploit and control or even exterminate,
then more alien eyes could be watching us from the stars and judging us for our actions.
They may one day be assessing us, whether we are a species they feel they can work with, and
they could be much more powerful than us.
I believe that we will find living alien life one day, but if we hope for a good outcome
after first contact, perhaps we need to be the kind of aliens we wish to meet, rather
than choosing violence and war, perhaps we need to consider cooperation and altruism, no matter
how difficult it might be to do so, or how strange our neighbours might be to us. After all,
we hope that they will do the same. If you've enjoyed listening to the soothing tone of my voice
in this video, and thought it would be exactly the kind of relaxing sound you needed to fall asleep
to, you're not alone. I've seen many comments about this at the end of my videos, so I decided to
give you what you wanted in an even more relaxing format. So started the Astrum Sleepspace podcast.
These are previous Astrum episodes that have been reformatted for a slower-paced, chilled experience,
one that would be perfect to fall asleep to. Because why not learn and ponder about the universe
calmly as you drift off? I publish the episodes on these platforms. The links for each are in the
description and in comment. I'd be really grateful if you could give them a listen through and do
the equivalent of subscribing, as it will help with the algorithm on the respective platforms.
Thousands of you have enjoyed them already, so click on the link and listen to my latest episode.
I'll see you over there. Thanks for watching. Are you as convinced as me that alien life is out
there? Or are you almost as certain that it's not? Let me know in the comments below. A big thanks to
my patrons and members who help make videos like these possible.
If you want to support the future production of Astrum videos and have your name added to
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A big thanks for making it this far.
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If you did like it, please consider giving it a like and a share.
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All the best and see you next time.
