Bankless - AI ROLLUP #13: Crypto AI vs Silicon Valley | Live From ETH Denver

Episode Date: February 27, 2025

📣RESERVE | INVEST IN CRYPTO NARRATIVES  https://bankless.cc/reserve   ------ Tom Shaughnessy from Delphi joins us to break down the AI x crypto space—where the value is, how to spot winning ...models, and why Silicon Valley AI and crypto AI are taking very different approaches. We also get into agent-based research, the fracturing of frontier models, and… a birthday surprise at the end. ------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🪙FRAX | SELF SUFFICIENT DeFi https://bankless.cc/Frax  🦄UNISWAP | SWAP ON UNICHAIN https://bankless.cc/unichain  ⚖️ARBITRUM | SCALING ETHEREUM ⁠https://bankless.cc/Arbitrum  🛞MANTLE | MODULAR LAYER 2 NETWORK https://bankless.cc/Mantle  🌐CELO | BUILD TOGETHER AND PROSPER https://bankless.cc/Celo  🦋MORPHO | CRYPTO-BACKED LOANS  https://bankless.cc/Morpho  🏦ONDO | INSTITUTIONAL GRADE FINANCE https://bankless.cc/Ondo   ----- ✨ Mint the episode on Zora ✨ https://zora.co/coin/base:0x683b869d53e77e7cc03a6fec7fec6934edcf29a7?referrer=0x077Fe9e96Aa9b20Bd36F1C6290f54F8717C5674E  ------ TIMESTAMPS 00:00 Start 04:42 Delphi's Interest In The Space 08:20 Initial AI Crypto Use Cases 09:18 The Era's Of AI 13:41 Where Does Value Accrual Come From 20:38 How Do You Choose The Winning Model? 27:08 Silicon Valley AI Vs Crypto AI 37:12 Fracturing Of Frontier Models 41:43 What's Exciting? 46:27 Due Diligence Via Agent 49:02 When To Use What Agent 53:10 A Birthday Surprise ------ RESOURCES Tom Shaughnessy https://x.com/Shaughnessy119  ------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures⁠ 

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Starting point is 00:00:03 Welcome Bankless Nation to the AI roll-up where we stay up to speed with the emerging trends, developments in the AI crypto space. I'm David Hoffman here on the ground floor of Eith, Denver. We did this episode, this AI roll-up with EJaws in person. But we also did it with Tom Shaughnessy. So this is going to be a little bit different than our usual weekly recap episode. It's more of us a discussion around the current AI crypto sector, joined by Tom, a new face from Delphi Digital. Before we get into the episode, we're going to talk to our friends and sponsors over at Reserve protocol who just introduced decentralized token folios at DTFs, which are like ETFs, but for crypto, there are indices across all different sectors that you can find inside of the
Starting point is 00:00:43 crypto space, real world assets, defy, even AI agents, virtuals. Check them out. There is a link in the show notes. Tom Shaughnessy from Delvey Digital, they've been investing in AI for a very long time since well before the AI agent meta really took root in last November. They have been investing in the crypto AI intersection for over two years now. So they've actually already seen a number of waves of investing cycles. And so as young as this space is, Tom is one of the few veterans out there. So Ijaz and I had a fun time just chatting with Tom, just about everything that he's seen so far in the AI space, what he thinks about it, how he thinks about investing in this space, and what he thinks is on the horizon. So let's go ahead and get into that conversation with Tom and Ijaz.
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Starting point is 00:05:16 Denver this week. I'm here with EJaws, our regular AI weekly roll of co-host. This has taken the the AI roll-up show slot of the week this week. And we're also joined by Tommy, who has been investing in the AI crypto space for a very long time. And we've wanted to do this up for a while. Now we're doing it in person. Tommy, welcome to the AI roll-up.
Starting point is 00:05:34 Yeah, thanks for having me. I listen every week, and it's my favorite AI roll-up show. So proud of beer. Yeah, I think doing this episode with you has been a long time coming. Maybe I want to start off the conversation here. Delphi has been investing in the AI crypto space
Starting point is 00:05:48 since I think even people really realized it was a space. And so I kind of want to just go and roll back the years to whenever you guys started. What gave you conviction and belief in investing in the space in the first place? What was the thesis then? And when was that? Yeah, we started over two years ago at a time when we got significant pushback even internally because we didn't, you know, some people just didn't view it as a viable space, right?
Starting point is 00:06:12 And that's how you know you're early. I got really interested through an existential crisis using mid-jury and early chat GBT, right? Like, this is going to take over the world. Are we in the matrix? How do I get exposure to this? And that just drove me down a full rabbit hole learning curve of, I'm going to figure this out, I need to invest here, I got to be aligned. The best resource I had at the time was Stephen Wolfram's chat GBT explainer. It was incredible. You weren't one of the best threats. It was so, I appreciate it. Yeah, I did a thread on it. It oddly got like three million views. or something. I pinned it and the rest is history. We kept going. Did you have any sort of general
Starting point is 00:06:55 idea about why it made sense to invest in that sector or was it just more of a sentiment, a vibe? Or did you actually have a clear thesis about like what you were looking to see come out of this sector of crypto? Yeah. Initially it was just this is the new tech wave. This is the explosion. This is where it's going to happen. And I wanted the exposure to that. Over time, the thesis grew and cemented my view that I do not want to live in a world where Sam Altman controls a single model that controls our life, right? And that is my north star on what I want to not empower and what are the things I want to invest in. And it's pretty hard for people to understand what that means because people love using O-1 Pro. They like using ChatchipT. They like getting
Starting point is 00:07:36 their summaries. But when you have dating apps and insurance and banks and all the apps that you use today built on a model and it knows you better than you know yourself and it's able to convince you of things, you don't even want to like a political belief. a girl, a guy, whatever, that is scary. So the open source crypto AI movement across the stack in AI is what I'm extremely interested in. How did you see crypto actually becoming relevant in that stack? Because you could have just pivoted in, around the time you guys started investing in crypto AI was right around that time of the Jason Calcanus, if you're in crypto, pivot to AI tweet. So you could have just done AI and not done crypto. How did you see the crypto part
Starting point is 00:08:18 of that ingredient mix in there. Yeah, I mean, two years ago, it was super contrarian, right? I mean, you looked at the big AI labs and you said they have all the GPUs, they have all the talent, they have all the funding, there's no way we'll be able to compete with this. But the core metrics and tenants of crypto that we all know and love, like rang true, right? Like instead of being in a small lab with a limited number of people with top down, this is how we want to build things, this is the alignment, the safety we want, you can have millions of developers around the world, raise overnight for their startup, create a new AI application,
Starting point is 00:08:53 and change the world, right? We saw it with Uniswap. We saw it with Defi. But the difference was we needed to know how to code with Defi, right? In this world, you don't have to know how to code. You can launch your token and build your startup with Claude or Open AI or whatever. So the barrier to entry is literally on the ground. So I expect we'll see literally millions of agents and hopefully some product. I actually have a quick follow-on question. When you, like, discovered this match between crypto and AI. Were there any burning, like, uses that immediately kind of hops on? Like, I'm curious.
Starting point is 00:09:27 I mean, the initial ones were the easy ones, like, the deep ends around compute and your unused hardware and clustering, like, that was an easy one. And that sort of started our investments, right? Yeah, that was like the first real thing that people were like. Exactly. So we started investing at the bottom of the stack, like the infra players. the compute providers, the decentralized or distributed training projects. And we started moving up the stack to like middleware and inference that eventually to like the app layer, like My shell and things like that.
Starting point is 00:10:00 But the interesting part is it's sort of playing out the opposite, right? We're seeing agents at the top having their virality, leveraging closed source models and infra and now backing into open source stuff. So it's working. It's just not the way I know. I think people who are in crypto, but not necessarily in the AI side of crypto, has probably absolutely noticed the Cambridge explosion of agents invading their Twitter replies. And that's kind of marked the AI crypto wave for them. Unless you've been like actually what you've been doing, which is investing deep into the stack,
Starting point is 00:10:37 crypto AI just means like the last three months of virtuals, AI 16Z, you know, Zero, some of these agents. And that has been crypto AI. But I think what most listeners who are, if that's been their experience, what they've been missing is like there's actually been multiple waves of crypto AI activity before the agent meta really blossomed at the top. And that's really the like cosmetic layer of crypto AI. Maybe you can kind of like run through the eras. I know it's only been since like 2022, 2023. But maybe you can kind of like run through the eras that we've seen in investing in the AI crypto fundamentals since you guys started investing. Yeah, yeah, for sure. I mean on the liquid side, BitTencer started the space, right? I have plenty of critiques, but they did start the space, and they should be known for that, right? And that's on the liquid side. On the venture private deal side, it was a lot of those compute networks, infarplays,
Starting point is 00:11:30 a centralized training, distributed training type investments. The likes of like a noose research or prime intellect, Ionet, Akash was liquid, that sort of realm. We spent a lot of time on the coordination networks for a while. There's a laura out there. There's Sentient, obviously. there was Morpheus launched publicly, like a lot of trying to coordinate the model creator with the use case.
Starting point is 00:11:52 And then we sort of went full-fledged into the agent side and the model side. The models obviously power the agents, but the agents are what people see and use and love. So that's what we're seeing now. I've always said that I think that the reply bot, infinite slot bots are going to zero. I've tweeted out many times over the last couple of months.
Starting point is 00:12:12 And I honestly feel kind of bad that they did, right? It sucks, but it's not where the space is going, right? The space wants utility-based functional agents that are doing things, things that are trading, managing a D5 protocol, managing risks, potentially creating bankless content. It doesn't matter, but agents that are doing things are valuable, and that's where I think we're going. And we're starting to see that, right? There's a couple of agents out there, like Billy Betts is an interesting one, has 100K in its
Starting point is 00:12:42 book, and it's betting its own on all NBA. games and it's powered by BitTencer Subnet. So I think the move to the utility functional agent side is where we have to go. Yeah. Is there any evolution or development in your own thesis about the crypto AI investment vertical as we've gotten more deep into this base? We're in 2025 now. We've seen agents come and then some of them, most of them go, but they're still here. And so when you were just kind of like, you know, yating some checks back in 2022, 2022, 2023, just kind of may be on a vibe
Starting point is 00:13:13 that AI is very cool and it's going to innovate with crypto somehow. Now we're in 2025. Has your thesis gotten more precise or developed or iterated over the years at all? Yeah, it's interesting. Even six months or a year ago, there was significant pushback
Starting point is 00:13:28 on the idea that we could compete and win against AI labs. Again, they have the GPUs and like the amount of GPUs that like meta has is like nuts. Like there's no way, like it's really hard to compete with that. and the talent and their outputs and things like that. But you saw a huge inflection recently with DeepSeek, right?
Starting point is 00:13:49 The idea that you have an open source model that's a reasoning model and that could search the internet before even Anthropic had a searching or reasoning model out there is nuts. Anybody around the world could use that to create an agent, but more so it just demonstrates that the closed source lab could be changed, right? Like there is real competition out there. And Deep Seek was expensive. There's hundreds of authors on that paper. It's a legitimate, huge innovation.
Starting point is 00:14:18 But there are well-funded entities out there just like Deep Seek that can do something similar. They can take Deep Seek and change it and edit it and grow it. There'll be totally new open source models out there. And I'm sure Open AI will get better and continue to lead. But I don't necessarily think CryptaI has to beat Open AI what they're doing. I think we just need open-AI at what they're doing. I think we just need open source models that people could mess around with and create projects with, and that's how we win.
Starting point is 00:14:43 Where do you think, I think this is the big question, the trillion dollar question, which is where does value accrue in the stack? And we're seeing this tug of war happen on the centralized AI lab side of things, where open AI maybe it has the most sophisticated model, maybe it is generating the most margins for its model, but it's being materially compressed by people like Facebook meta, which is very quickly open sourcing their, not, their inferior model, but if you just give it out for free and it's only 20%, 15% worse, then you're really compressing the value of open AI's lead. And, you know, meta is just giving this out to the open source world. And then the open source world,
Starting point is 00:15:22 well, I've always interpreted that as crypto. And so like, where do you see, like, maybe just like, how do you see the value accruing to either the centralized AI labs versus open source? And like, where do you see that equality? lie in terms of like total value creation. And like there's a tug, I see it as a tug of war between the open source side of the AI world and then the closed source AI world is always on the frontier. They're the best funded. They're going to make the most sophisticated models. But open source always seems to be so hot on the heels and is so seemingly able to monetize via crypto very well. So like very broad, loose questions. It's just a broad stroke vibe of a question. But like,
Starting point is 00:16:00 where do you see the tug of war between open source and close source and where do you see value accruing inside of those domains. Yeah, I'll get my answer to any jams. I'm curious your take afterward. But the close source labs are clearly winning and are clearly valued higher, right? They're worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Claude's worth, what, 60 to 80, open eyes near 200, perplexity is like at 15. Like, these are all extremely valuable, well-funded projects. I think that they will continue to lead on the foundational side in terms of metrics and what they produce. I don't think that's been changed yet. We have early signs of success. News research trained a 15 billion parameter model. Prime Intellects trained
Starting point is 00:16:39 a 10 billion parameter model. They might have done other things. You're starting to see the world inflect, right? Because the last 20 years, data centers have been optimized for co-located GPUs and redundant fiber and power and gas lines and cooling and to optimize for that situation. We've only just begun to research and optimize around training devices or training models with device that are not co-located. So the ability to do two to three thousand times less communication per node, which is like what NUS is doing, is extremely important and is only going to get better.
Starting point is 00:17:15 That being said, on the open source side, I think it's pretty clear that they're going to win on the app side because you just have the world's developers iterating on consumer-level applications and agents at a scale that I don't think apps can. And my counterpoint to Open AI is, have you ever used the chat GPT app store? And most people say no. I didn't actually know it exists. Exactly.
Starting point is 00:17:41 So it's, but like we've all heard of agents for crypto guys, but yeah. Yeah, yeah. Yeah, I actually largely agree with what you said, Tom. I think the slight amendments I would make is I don't know if open source will win on the app player. and the only reason why I say that is I think it'll come down to quality and curation of a bunch of these different things and I also don't think it'll be
Starting point is 00:18:09 an app store-like experience for a bunch of these agents, right? I think you'll just have one kind of agent interface and then people just kind of like interact with it and it'll leverage and pull whatever service or maybe even other agents that it can, right? Like that's the whole like swarm model, right? And what that orchestration layer looks like, I have no idea. Would it be like a Google Play Store
Starting point is 00:18:29 kind of situation? where it's like Android or would it be a more curated fashion where it's like Apple gets to like pick which apps or services are like blue chip and then discards everything else, right? There's pros and cons for both, right? On the Apple side, it's like safety, security. You're not going to get rugged on the Google, you know, Android side of things. It's like, oh, I don't know if this is as good. And it's kind of like a lagging indicator.
Starting point is 00:18:52 The other point I wanted to make is you said that the centralized closed companies have the advantage because they have co-location and stuff, right? I would say another reason why they've got this lead is it's just data, at the end of the day. I think a lot of these models will end up following similar techniques. I mean, look how quickly people replicated deepseeks learnings. And of course, they open source to everything, right? But then, you know, now reasoning models are popping up everywhere.
Starting point is 00:19:19 Claude Sonnet 3.7 released this week and GROC used a bunch of it in GROC3. Rock's awesome. Groc's really good, right? And sorry, side note, I really like Brock 3 because it like leverages all. the Twitter data as well, right? Yeah, it's real-time data. It's just like, wait, what? Like, David said this, and is that a fact?
Starting point is 00:19:36 But I don't know, you know what I mean? So I love that part. And I think, so let's assume these models get, you know, replicated in some way, right? And let's say that reasoning techniques. So this is what deep-seek pioneered for the people that are listening, where it doesn't use as much data and it doesn't use as much compute. So it's, to your earlier point,
Starting point is 00:19:57 are more accessible for other teams to compete with these top model creators. I think it's going to come down to that data point. And I don't really know how open source gets ahead on the data side of things. There's a few ways where it could be like aggregating open source data, but I'm wondering whether personalized data becomes really more important. I think that's going to be like a key focus going forwards. Yeah, I mean, you brought up a lot of, I mean, my concerns are pretty similar, right? Like in a world of millions of small narrow models, which maybe they're trying a proprietary data, like the bankless data and the community trains a bot, which would be pretty cool to see, right?
Starting point is 00:20:32 Or a Delphi bot or something like that. I think that's key, like narrow models. And my data point I always use is Google wanted to trade a medical model two years ago called MedPom. It's my favorite example. And it was like 60, 65 percent accuracy. They gave a lot of doctors, doctors gave written responses to train the model. and it got up to like 95% accuracy. It doesn't have to rationalize about the world,
Starting point is 00:20:56 just a narrow segment. But to your concern, deciding what model to use and when is a huge unsolved problem. Like, do I trust the bankless model or the Delphi model or the EJOS model? Or do I use all three and average them? Like, that is a really big unsolved problem.
Starting point is 00:21:10 The other big unsolved problem that I think we're early on is the incentives and value around open source models. So if we are successful, in training a trillion parameter open source model and the weights are public, what does that mean for the token underlying it? Or is there no? You don't want a bunch of random people just voting via the 20 seconds. I love it down. Love it good down. Yeah. But I think we'll figure it out. Actually, on the first point that you made, right, what do you think will push people to consider,
Starting point is 00:21:45 you know, which model gets chosen, right? My guess is it's at the application where, right? Let's assume all these models do the same cool stuff. Surely the winning kind of moat will be whatever application gathers the most amount of humans that's leveraging its AI capability to point to A, B, or C models. Do you have a different view? I'm kind of curious. I mean, it's, I agree, it's early. But I mean, we're all, I'm already making mental decisions on models today, right? Like, when I want to do, when I want like real time data on user project, I'm using GROC. When I want something to think for 15 minutes I'm using O-1 Pro. When I don't want a
Starting point is 00:22:23 30-page system prompt telling me how I should view the world, I use Eric Forge's as Venice, right? So I'm already making decisions on what model we want to use. The idea that robots would be siloed to one model is just nuts. They're going to use way more models
Starting point is 00:22:39 to us because they've way more, way bigger preference stack than we do. I want to give a take your way and see how you like it or don't. We have all these models from the centralized AI labs. I kind of see them as different personalities. They have different skill sets. They have those different skill points that have been allocated differently. And then maybe some part of the crypto AI or the open source AI is going ahead to head with
Starting point is 00:23:02 these labs. And that's like the golden goose. That's the big, big valuable thing that's out there is generating the best model. But there's also just a lot more like long tail things that are out there. And we were talking before the show about some of these things that we even mentioned last week, the Billy Bet, um, uh, model who's just a lot. making bets on polymarket, sports betting on polymarket, narrow application of a model. And then there's the NBA announcer that I think is Tracy. I think that's really cool. And that is a narrow application of this model. And one of them is using polymarket, so it's using a crypto platform to do its job. One of them is tokenized. So there is a token. And so my attitude
Starting point is 00:23:42 is there's like the fat tail, which is you're trying to make the world's best frontier model. And that's the fat tail of AI. That is AI. And that's the fat tail of AI. That is AI. And then there's like crypto AI, which is more of the longer tail, applied, narrow focuses of these models to do certain things. And, you know, millions of people watch basketball, millions of people watch football. Maybe you want an AI commentator who's just the best commentator out there because they can do that. And you could make that not crypto. You could just totally make that not crypto. You could just make an AI commentator, stream that on Twitch, and that's the product.
Starting point is 00:24:15 Or you could issue a token and monetize that thing and have that VE. some one to $100 million token. And the internet markets of crypto allow for that to happen. And, you know, regulation dubious, but regulation aside, the monetization layer of the long tail of applied models seems to fit with crypto where, yeah, you have this sports commentator named Tracy and she's getting tens of thousands of views every single week. That's not true, but like theoretically that could happen. And then the monetization layer of crypto is where that, where crypto innovates into that, like,
Starting point is 00:24:49 many thousands and thousands of different possible use cases of more narrow applications of these models. That's kind of how I'm thinking of the future of this base. How do you think about that? Yeah, maybe just taking your example a step further, like, I don't know sports, so let me know where I messed this one up. I also don't know sports. Maybe hold our crew. All right, the audience could make fun of us after. If you love, my wife loves Duke basketball, right? And a specific commentator will come on that she will like or dislike. more, right? What if you can have your commentator tell you the game in the way that you specifically like? Maybe you're more said metrics, maybe you're more so in their life story, whatever. You can
Starting point is 00:25:28 fine-tune any type of announcer you want. I'm not saying that it's super valuable, but I'm saying that crypto is really efficient at figuring it out. Like the idea that all the reply bots are down 95% demonstrates that we are a efficient market, right? We went through a cycle where we thought something was really interesting. We found out quickly that, hey, maybe it's not, let's move on to the next thing. And in my view, that makes me really bullish on CryptoI, because we're able to go through the iterations of the capital markets, the innovation cycles, way faster than anybody else got. You know what do you think about that structure?
Starting point is 00:26:04 I might take the other side of that and say, so here's my view. I think that tokens are very efficient in terms of incentivizing things. certain behaviors. I don't know if we've nailed the design, and the design varies from different use case to different use case to make the right behaviors happen at the right particular time, right? And so when I think about, you know, just whether it's the example you just used or just tokens in general, I think, number one, it's giving people the funds necessary to build the thing in the first place. And I think it applies to AI way more than it applies to anything else because there is such a high cost barrier for anyone to play in this game,
Starting point is 00:26:49 right? You know, you spoke about what got you involved in crypto in the first place. It was at the resource stack. It was at the computational layer. And back then, that was pre-deep Seek, right? People didn't have the funds to be able to play with that. That was Bitens's first, like, main pitch. It was like, the stuff is expensive. But, you know, we have the incentives to be able to push different teams to build certain things. So I still think crypto's number one thing is, is on fundraising side. And then when it comes to incentivizing efficient behaviors or the market being efficient, I still think that there is a large weighting on narratives, especially when it comes to crypto AI. And that isn't a surprise, I think, to me at least, right? Because I don't think
Starting point is 00:27:32 there's any formal recognition right now. And I know this is the boring, unsexy answer, but until we actually see a framework that recognizes these instruments as some kind of like whatever, a pseudo-equity stake or governance, right, or whatever, people aren't going to take these things as seriously as I would hope them to right now. But we're seeing that evolution happen in real-time, which is just pretty cool. I think you're right. A lot of the tokens shouldn't exist. I think you're totally right on that. And I'm totally with you that the slot bots need to die, and they are dying.
Starting point is 00:28:01 So thank God. They aren't dying fast enough because I still have to block like 14 of them a day. Yeah, you have a huge follower. You have every bot. Yeah. I was about to say, yeah. Yeah. Okay.
Starting point is 00:28:12 So I want to talk about the line that separates Silicon Valley AI from Crypto AI. Because their crypto, crypto brand might actually never have been worse, actually. Maybe after FTX, our brand was pretty bad. But right now, our brand publicly facing is not great. Mainly me, just maybe that's effective, the meme coin media. But I don't think we're necessarily totally taken seriously as an industry. And then there's the Silicon Valley AI side of the world, which is just in this absolute massive arms race where people are just heads down
Starting point is 00:28:42 focused on building the best day. It's day and night. It's day and night. It's day and night. So how do we, how do we close that gap? Why is that gap important to close? How do we close that gap? And maybe we can even just maybe try to add a little bit more color. I said like how big or small that gap actually is. Do you have any indications on this on me? Yeah. Did I mention the Wall Street thing yet or no? No. Okay, so it's up this alley. So we all, me and my partner's all worked on Wall Street seven, eight years ago before Delphi. We left for crypto and we were laughed at. There's no DCFs for this. There's no cash flows.
Starting point is 00:29:13 And now today you have BlackRock buying crypto fast than anybody could have possibly ever imagined. Exactly. Hopefully more with price action today. The same thing will have to happen with San Fran and the open source world, right? We need the biggest, one of the biggest rest to crypto AI, in my opinion, is not pulling in traditional AI developers from San Francisco, right? Just and it's hard, right? but I think that there's a couple of reasons why they will come over, right? And this is an exhaustive list.
Starting point is 00:29:44 I'm curious what your guys' list would be, but one of them is just the freedom, right? Getting, being able to run that model simulation or to try that experiment instead of this top-down directive on what you can and can't do. Breaking out of alignment, right, about what we want the models to do or to not do. The ability to fundraise overnight, to network with developers around the world without having to only work within your core group. It's all the core tenants of closed versus open source all over again. And I think eventually that they'll like it,
Starting point is 00:30:15 but I don't think that they like it right now. They'll like it because they're getting paid, though. That's one of the main differences, I think. They're getting paid for the Trad AI stuff? No, well, they're getting paid to bring that Trite AI skills to the open source movement, right? Because typically, I mean, I don't know if you read, right, I think it was Andre Capathis, like, Walk Post,
Starting point is 00:30:36 or it was someone else. But he kind of went into the depths of why deep seek is so important. And then, like, the whole point of, like, why he's a massive open source proponent, whoever this author was specifically, and I wish I was remembering his name right now. But he said the main kind of challenge that it faced was that there was just no money in it. And so, you know, to raise the funds to be able, like, everyone wants to do the good thing. But it's kind of like, if I'm not getting paid for it, I'm just going to stay with my, you know, open AI job. Super comfy, no total comp and work five hours of that.
Starting point is 00:31:07 Exactly. But, you know, it's funny. Like, as soon as people started seeing, you know, Eliza go to a crazy evaluation or whatever, there were, I saw a lot of people from, like, Silicon Valley kind of like poke their heads over the fence and be like, hey, what is this? Oh, it's a GPT rapper. I could do way more than this if I do A, B&C. And you start seeing them getting involved in the discords and stuff. So I feel like that inertia might push them over, maybe. There's also just some really cool stories of like what open source enables, right? And like we've hit on DeepSeek a lot, but it's a good example for, I guess, one good and one bad reason, right? The good reason is when you ping a model like a giant billion parameter or 100 billion parameter model, you're paying the entire model, right? But with Deepseek, since they don't have access to all these Nvidia GPUs, they had to get super creative, right?
Starting point is 00:31:56 And so when you ping Deepseek, you're only turning on a small portion of the model, 10, 20 billion parameters of the 671. And that's like necessity is the mother of invention, right? And that's the sort of stuff you get with open source. The flip side is, I think they monetize it through their hedge fund. Right? So that's the counter is, hey, we're going to release this. We know Nvidia's going to go down $600 billion.
Starting point is 00:32:19 Maybe we should take a short out. I don't know if they did or didn't do that, but I would be surprised if they didn't. Right, right, right, right. Yeah. Going back to the conversation on, like, the Silicon Valley AI devs, because we want them in crypto. We want them to join the open source army, which I think is equivalent to crypto AI, more or less. Right now, I'm assuming, paychecks in Silicon Valley for AI developers are as high as they've ever been. And the race, the AI arms race is maybe accelerating.
Starting point is 00:32:46 Maybe it's just, it is hot. Currently, it's been hot. It's going to stay hot. Right now, the returns on AI skills is very heavily, I think, on the AI side of things. And then you match that with the negative sentiment in Crypto land at the moment. Like, right now is probably pretty cushy to be working for Open AI, GROC, meta, any of the AI, Google, Gemini. As soon as that S-curve of the AI arms race
Starting point is 00:33:10 maybe starts to teeter out and becomes a little bit more flat, then maybe devs can start to look elsewhere. It's like, okay, where are the returns? Where can I get returns? And maybe that's where open-source AI starts to catch up a little bit when the AI arms race cools down. Just a quick hot take. How do you guys feel about that?
Starting point is 00:33:27 Where are we on the S-code, dude? I have no clue. I have no clue. But I think we are accelerating. A specific point. Every time I think we're, at the top of the S-C curve. Like, oh, okay, the models are kind of getting commoditized. Oh, GPUs. JeepC drops. And I'm like, oh, no.
Starting point is 00:33:42 Right on here now. The last two months of model sophistication, I think I've been the fastest two months of sophistication gross I've ever seen. Yeah. And I was working with a, I always go to chat to BT4O. And I was asking questions about like Celestia as relates to like settlement versus DA and consensus. And I was asking it like crypto jargon terms about like, okay, If a roll-up is on Celestia using Celestia for a DA, but not consensus, what does that mean for property rights on Celestia? These are very deep crypto question.
Starting point is 00:34:12 Very specific. Very specific. It was giving me very sophisticated answers. You could only love a model for a month, right? Like, I love 01. Now I like rock. Now I like 3.7 on clot. Like you get a month, I think, maybe less.
Starting point is 00:34:26 And then you got to move on. So, like, I think my answer to the question of like, where are we on that S curve is, like, we are on the acceleration of the S curve. We are getting steeper, not shallowing out. It's interesting, though, because like, every founder, I think, other than Sam has left Open AI. Right? Like, they've all left Open AI. Yeah, like a big Ethereum co-founded. Exactly.
Starting point is 00:34:45 Like if you knew that this was the leading company and you co-founded it, like, why wouldn't you just stay there and milk that, right? So there are a lot of reasons why I think people leave. And the other thing is, like, I love O1Pro. I love O3 Mini High. I love that it could search. I love the deep research. But like, I still use GROC every day, right?
Starting point is 00:35:04 Like, and I still love, now love 3.7. So like, I don't think the moat, I think there was a significant moat in Open AI for a long time. And I think that they attempted to do a regulatory moat-type situation going to the government with that. And they did. But it's pretty clear that I don't know if the moat is as strong as people may think right now. You know Microsoft pulling out of the data centers now. But SoftBank covered the tab. Oh, wow.
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Starting point is 00:38:16 I think the story of all the opening AI co-founders leaving to create their own opening eye competitor is illustrative of how incredibly valuable the Silicon Valley AI labs are. That to me tells me we're still on the very early because like Mira just launched thinking machines. And then Ilya. Yeah. And those are just brand like we haven't even seen their models yet. And those are just brand new entrance. And so if you make this into an Ethereum parable,
Starting point is 00:38:44 Avalanche just got made using the EV. And so like now we're just going to have, like maybe haven't even seen the Salana to Ethereum. Like we're seeing the fracturing of the layer one. We're seeing the layer one trade, like kind of show up in, or the properties of it show up in the AI labs. Or now there's like seven pretty high quality frontier model lab teams
Starting point is 00:39:06 all making very strong models. Yeah. I don't think that we're, I don't think crypto AI is by any means far and away the winner, right? Yes. I'm here because I think it has outsized returns. It aligns with my worldview. And I think that the capital raise mixed with the creativity of AI leads to an explosion of applications and use cases. I think that's right.
Starting point is 00:39:27 And that in turn draws in more of your traditional AI engineers to. Exactly. Yeah. Yeah. I kind of see, kind of going back to the question I brought up earlier is I kind of see crypto AI as the, the long tail, the periphery of everything, where what did Uniswap do really, really well? It provided liquidity to things not Bitcoin, not ETH,
Starting point is 00:39:45 but the long tail of assets. And so the blue chip of AI is going to stay inside of Silicon Valley. It'll go public, opening eye, maybe it goes public one day, but these are the public companies. But then the crypto AI side of things is really this long tail kind of crazy expressivity
Starting point is 00:40:00 where you don't, you get out of your 9 to 5 trad job, and then you go into the wild west of crypto. And there's so many, more possibilities that you saw out there. And there's like one million, ten million dollar companies that you can tokenize in crypto. Whereas on the Silicon Valley side, there's 10, 1 billion, 10 billion dollar companies. That's kind of how I see it. I mean, I agree with you. What I would add is I think people tend to overlook the scale of what crypto can enable, particularly on the AI side of things, right? And I think a lot of
Starting point is 00:40:35 reason that people think that way is PTSD from scaling blockchains themselves. It's an absolute pain in the ass and no one's going to deny that. But when you put it in the kind of perspective of AI, it's like, okay, so let's create a bunch of these AI models. Let's create access to it via compute inference, et cetera. Okay, so we need chip cost, all that kind of stuff. Then it's like, okay, now let's allow a bunch of people to use it. What's the easiest way to use it? Oh, well, we have chat boxes. What's a better way to use it? Agents. Okay, the agents will allow me to do a very specific thing. Book travel, you know, arrangements and stuff. But then it's like, oh, but they could be so much better. They could hit A, B, and C perks. What if we brought in A, A. B, and C?
Starting point is 00:41:20 And then we could give it a wallet. We could give it a banking account, guys. And then suddenly you run into a million different errors, right? Aero 4-04. Chase Bank is like, oh, no, James, like, I don't know if I want to support this. Meanwhile, he's buying the bags behind the scenes. Do you what I mean? So I think crypto being open source, I know it's so quench and lame, is actually one of its moats that I think so it's not only the long tail. The long
Starting point is 00:41:44 tail itself is like one of the things, it's that the fact that you can just orchestrate on this open play, it's like a canvas basically. And I think every day we're getting closer and closer with every L2 that drops. Closer and closer to
Starting point is 00:42:00 scaling, you know, sorry, economies of scale for like transaction cross or a microtransaction or an API inference or whatever that might be. And that's what really excites me. Are you kind of alluding to the money Legos for agents for the AI side of things? Yes. Yes. Money Lagos for agents.
Starting point is 00:42:13 Money Lagos. I truly believe that one of the top app services layer for agents will exist in the crypto world. I'm not saying it'll be a separate now one. Maybe, well, I have no idea. It's too early, right? But I believe some kind of middleware layer will definitely exist within crypto. And it'll be the go-to method. I can't see how everyone just decides to kumbaya and work together for the greater good.
Starting point is 00:42:39 I don't see that working out. Okay, so as we are wrapping up this AI agent slot bot meta on Twitter, and as I want to really emphasize to the audience, we've seen AI crypto bubbles come and go before. Maybe bubbles is in the right word, but just waves of investment or themes of investment, maybe two or three of them in the last two or three years. So now, now we're, you know, half time or break. There's a break, and then there's a lull, and the excitement, there's a lull in the bubble. The idea is that it comes back again.
Starting point is 00:43:08 That's why we're investing in it. That's why we're making content in the space. So maybe we can kind of just talk about what we're excited about in the future, what themes that we're looking forward to. Maybe Tommy, you can share any exciting checks that you guys have wrote at Delphi about what excites you. Maybe actually, let's start there about, like, what excites you about the frontier of AI crypto. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:43:25 We've made 20 crypto-I investments the last two years. Okay. across the whole stack. So it would be hard to call them all out and apologies I can't. But I'm really excited about the distributed training side. The news researches of the world. I really like that.
Starting point is 00:43:40 I'm really excited to see agents that use reasoning models, things like that. From a personal account perspective, I'm really excited on the framework side. I think AI16Z and ARC are really interesting here. They're open source, hundreds of plugins, a lot of developers. I hope I don't get shot for saying.
Starting point is 00:44:00 I think Seoul's doing pretty well. I say it every week. Yeah, okay, cool. All right, I'm free there. But Bass is also doing really well too. But I think that the reason I like the frameworks on Soul a little bit is because they're open source, they're leaning into Max developers,
Starting point is 00:44:19 which is where the creativity comes from, I think. And I really like that side of it. On the base side, I think we've seen great new agents from Verbalt. virtuals, like the betting one we've been talking about a lot. And I think Venice is, sorry, we've seen Venice too, but I think virtual is also fully leaning into the tech side, which is nice. They launched like their agentic commerce protocol. I'm going to mess the name up with the lemonade demo, which is really cool with all the agents working together. And they also are fully leaning into game, which is nice to see too. So yeah, I think, well, my thesis for AI is to take from
Starting point is 00:44:51 Vishal from Mythos VC, who we invested in is you need a proprietary model data. or business integration. And now we can add on maybe specific proprietary tooling from the frameworks or changes to the reasoning model in the different side of compute. Those are the five sort of areas I'm looking for. Can you actually unpack those? The first three, because you gave me those in a call one time. I thought that was really useful.
Starting point is 00:45:16 The model, data, what was the other one, the business use case? Business integration. Can you talk about just those three ways of thinking about a crypto AI product? Yeah. So differentiated proprietary model would be, you know, a model trained on all of the bankless data or Citadel trains a specific model trained on all their data, right? That's a specific model. It could be a new architecture like Deepseek or a fine-tuned version of Lama, right? The specific data is what EJA alluded to as being so important, right? That data to train a use case that's not on the internet already could be very valuable for the end model, which would fine-tune or the business integration. So think like, You know, somebody, some chatbot gets a specific integration with Uniswap, they have full distribution. Or the agent that works with Google Sheets has full distribution. The two new ones, I think, are the framework side.
Starting point is 00:46:07 So the specific new, unique tooling that you allow agents to do. Maybe that's creating a wallet, posting social media, whatever they can offer. And then the last one is the inference time compute. You know, thinking for longer or thinking in different pathways, I think are going to get pretty interesting. Because when you get inference time compute, if I'm asking a math question, I want it to think in, you know, math terms and make the right directional choices and lefts and rights on the street. I don't want to thinking about philosophy and things like that. So when you're just looking at a deal at Delphi that's in the crypto AI sector or the open source
Starting point is 00:46:41 AI sector, this is kind of the framework for understanding your interest level. And if it doesn't have any of these things, then you're like passed. And if it has maybe one or two of these things and you get peaked. Yeah, we get a lot of deals. And I'm, I pass pretty quickly. the founders don't have real AI experience at this point. Because the space, even our crypto portfolio companies pivot a lot. And I think that's fine for AI projects, given how fast the space moves, but it becomes even more of a founder bet. Because you not only have to pivot, you have to pivot as a normal business, but now you have to pivot on the scale of the AI changes, which is nuts. So they really become founder bets. So real AI pedigree, maybe experience out of previous AI lab,
Starting point is 00:47:22 has built something differentiated that we can use and see, or just a first principle's approach to changing how we're looking at the world. And I think those are the biggest bets that we could find. The Self-I agent is like your guys as interns. You guys just agentified your intern. Do you ever process a deal that doesn't go through the agent, or do you just funnel everything through the agent? I funnel a lot through the agent.
Starting point is 00:47:44 I even funnel our investment committee docs sometimes to see what it thinks about the analyst pitches. But it picks up a lot of stuff that is really important. One of the biggest things it picks up is, so we have Claude 3.7 doing the analysis based on a really long prompt and scoring methodology that all Delphi worked on. But the most useful part is we added a step to send the founders to perplexity to do reference checks and finding red flags. So one issue we found was we would send it to perplexity, but it would give us the wrong David Hoffman or the wrong EJazz, right? So the perplexity search has to match two of the piece of information from the deck. So you went to Harvard and you worked at Morgan Stanley. If it matches that, it'll return the post. And it's returned red flags on founders. Fraud, prison, all types of things. You'd be shocked what you find when you just search.
Starting point is 00:48:37 Okay, name and shame your work. Going down the list. That's crazy. And do you have plans to enhance it in any way? Or are you just kind of keeping it as is right now? What's your plan? Sarah RGC would kill me if I started a venture funder on it for sure. But she's awesome.
Starting point is 00:48:57 But I want to make it a research model. I want a reasoning model to it. My partners, Jose and Jan, mentioned that it would be great if the founders can talk to it, add more information, you know, ask it questions. Like when Owen Pro asks you questions, like when your response, it could ask the founders and then give us more info. That would be cool if it was a two-way street. But I mean, I'm looking for somebody. somebody wants to take it to the next level. I'm always interested.
Starting point is 00:49:23 Have you ever... Okay, so maybe the most valuable thing about this bot that you've created, this agent that you've created, is that other VCs don't have it. And that's why you guys want to keep a proprietary. But just hypothetically, if you guys wanted to monetize this agent, how would you think about going about and doing that? That's a great question.
Starting point is 00:49:40 It's hard, right? The monetization for us is the VC upsides and the deals at sources, right? It saves you time. Exactly. The other issue is like, if we open source, it and everyone sees the prompt. You lose your own.
Starting point is 00:49:52 You lose your edge, but you could game the prompt. Like if it says, like, I'm looking for, you know, really good looking founders and you guys applies, like, I'm screwed. You know, it's going to get 50. So it's hard to maintain that mode. Interesting. All right, guys, I think this has been really great. Maybe I just have a few questions that are just completely selfish.
Starting point is 00:50:13 I use OpenAI 4-0 because I don't know why. And I know that there's other, like the bankless engineering team, loves Sonnet 3.5. Sometimes I use perplexity. I don't know why. In your own personal life, your own personal stack about how you use these agents, what agents do you like? Or what scenarios would you use a different agent? Or what's your personal toolkit for AI enhancing your life? Like how do you think about this?
Starting point is 00:50:40 Yeah. Deep strategic thinking questions. I love 01 pro on. or deep deep seed, either one. For like coding, which I obviously don't know how to code, but it codes for me, I would use Claude or for AIBot. For real-time information, crock all day long. It's the moat of having like real-time user data is nuts.
Starting point is 00:51:03 Like all the news happens there, all the top stuff, so it's great. And then I really did like perplexity for a while for the online search, but that has sort of eroded quite a bit. For me, I use so like you, I don't, I don't know how to code, but that's where Claude comes in. And I think it's like, we're developers now. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:51:24 Yeah. What's it, vibe coders? I'm a vibe coder right now. And that's your resume. Yeah, yeah. So Claude was already pretty good at this stuff. But now we're 3.7 and their new coding tool. Do you remember the name?
Starting point is 00:51:36 Fair sure? No, no. They have like, it's like the Claude agent coding tool. They released it synonymously with 3.7. I can't remember the name. It's on that list. Yeah. You know what I'm talking about.
Starting point is 00:51:46 It's, it's, really, really amazing. But then cursor also that you mentioned is like just super cool. It literally is vibe coding. It's like, hey, I want to build this app. And this is the reason why I like Claude in particular. And it just builds it kind of like life right in front of you next year. And you're like, oh, I don't like the color of the background of this game that I just created. Can you change it? Yeah. And can you make the size of the wall bigger and all this kind of stuff? And I'm a very visual learner. And I've spoken to my software engineer friends. And they're like, the number one thing is to have real-time feedback and translation as to what I'm writing,
Starting point is 00:52:18 but also to have contextual awareness of the code that I'm writing is just a complete game-changer. So I use Claude for that. I use GROC purely out of entertainment purposes because I spend an inaud amount of time on Twitter and to have like a real-time search analysis on Twitter, which I think honestly has one of the most valuable and also atrocious databases,
Starting point is 00:52:41 but also one of the most valuable databases. it's just like a complete unlock for me. And then chat GPT, I'll be honest with you guys, knows more about me than my entire family. Wow. And the number one reason for this, I think I mentioned this on a previous episode, David, is I use voice mode.
Starting point is 00:53:00 Oh, yeah, that's an unlock. And when I use voice mode, you walk around and talk to it. Guys, it sounds like a human. Yeah. And there's also no delay. It's really amazing. So I'm like, oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:53:11 And then you're giving really good advice. John? Yeah. You mean really good advice, John. It's also crazy because you say, like, please and thank you. We don't have to. Yeah. When they eventually take over the world, hopefully.
Starting point is 00:53:22 Yeah, you're saying. I'm actually a big fan of this thesis. My long-term idea about AI is it, at one point, it just becomes sentient. It becomes alive, very much equivalent to how humans are alive. There is no line that is crossed when we get there. So you might as well start being polite to AI. Yes. So you have your pleasing thank you.
Starting point is 00:53:39 Yeah, give you your pleas and thank you. We will give David a larger jail cell. He said thank you. More compute credits for you. But yeah, no, that's where I like, those are kind of like the buckets that I spend my time with these models. And I think like, I agree with you. The perplexity thing kind of, I don't want to say like fell off
Starting point is 00:54:00 because knowing the weight of change now, wait a month. Yeah. That's pretty amazing. And to your earlier point, Tom, like, literally there's a new model dropped every week. So I have no idea. Like what's going to change by the time we air this.
Starting point is 00:54:13 episode. Well, guys, this has been a fantastic episode. Before we go, we are still in the meat space, and it's somebody's birthday today. And so we are going to all celebrate EJAS's birthday with his... Happy birthday, man. You're about to, like, splot that on my face there. Yeah, that's right. Here you go, EJAS. Happy birthday. I think this is our 13th AI roll-up, so happy birthday, brother. Thank you so much. I pray that the aged market cap goes up on the name. next two years. Amen. Happy birthday, man. Thank you so. That was awesome.
Starting point is 00:54:48 Thank you. Thank you to the Social House for hosting us. It's been great. Tommy, thanks for coming on as a guest. I really appreciate it. Each of us, I hope you enjoy your carrot cake. How is it? Was there a run a 10? Agents can't enjoy it. All right. Bankless Nation, you guys know the deal. Crypto is risky. Crypto AI is even risky. You can lose what you put in.
Starting point is 00:55:07 But nonetheless, we are head to west. This is Frontier. It's not for everyone, but we're glad. You're with us in Bankless Journey. Thanks a lot.

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