Bankless - $ANSEM, Robinhood Chain, & Why SOL Still Beats ETH in 2026 | Mike Dudas

Episode Date: August 5, 2026

Memecoins were supposed to be a dead end, but Mike Dudas believes their deeper idea is only beginning to spread. The 6MV investor joins David to unpack Bonk’s role in reviving Solana, Ansem’s late...st experiment, Robinhood’s push into the trenches, and how games, collectibles, prediction markets, and compute could power consumer crypto’s next chapter. Mike also answers the $1 million ETH versus SOL question, lays out Ethereum’s best strategic response, and explains why crypto’s slower progress may be setting up a more durable cycle. Subscribe for more conversations from the frontier of crypto. --- 📣SPOTIFY PREMIUM RSS FEED | USE CODE: SPOTIFY24 https://bankless.cc/spotify-premium --- BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🔓NEAR | TRADE CONFIDENTIALLY, GET 20% BACK https://bankless.cc/near-pod 🔑BITKEY | GET 10% OFF USE CODE: BANKLESS | #bitkeypartner https://bankless.cc/bitkey ✈️COINBASE ONE CARD | EARN 5% BACK IN BITCOIN https://bankless.cc/coinbase-one-card 📊BITGET | TOKENIZED STOCKS 2.0 https://bankless.cc/bitget-stocks 🎯THE DEFI REPORT | ONCHAIN INSIGHTS https://thedefireport.io/bankless --- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Bonk at Solana’s Bottom 7:07 What Gives Memecoins Value? 13:45 The Ansem Experiment 20:53 Are Memecoins Built to Die? 26:19 Culture Goes Onchain 29:45 Robinhood, Base, and the Trenches 32:59 Better Assets, Better Cycles 36:20 What 6MV Is Betting On 38:21 The Consumer Crypto Comeback 43:37 Compute Becomes a Market 47:57 Crypto’s AI Diaspora 50:53 SOL Versus ETH 57:02 Cycles, Equity, and Tokens 1:01:34 Why Crypto Takes Longer --- RESOURCES Mike Dudas https://x.com/mdudas --- Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:02 Bankless Nation, I'm joined by Mike Dutis from Six Man Ventures. Mike, welcome to the podcast. Thank you. Great to be here. I appreciate it. Mike, we've never had you on the podcast before, but we have been around each other since the very beginning of crypto. It's good to have you on.
Starting point is 00:00:17 Yeah, no, I'm delighted. I've read tons of what you've written. We interact on Twitter and real life and obviously listen to a ton of your podcast, so I really appreciate it. So I want to, the current event of the day is once again, meme coins. and the trenches. And that's just been seemingly an inevitable component
Starting point is 00:00:37 of the crypto industry. And it never seems to be like resolved as a topic of conversation. And you have a particular perspective, I think that I want to get it here on the episode today. Maybe we can kind of go back to the era of Bonk, because that is what I remember,
Starting point is 00:00:53 like your first actual involvement in like the meme coin trench era. And then I, and then we can talk about like what's going on with like Robin Hood chain and like the Anson meme coin and like what that industry and like the debate around base and everything. But I want to kind of get your perspective around like the role that bonk, the meme coin on Solana, played for Solana back when it was launched and kind of like what your thoughts or like strategy
Starting point is 00:01:18 or just overall like perspective was around like meme coins on Solana back before meme coins were really as big as the thing as they are today. Yeah, absolutely. So meme coins today, I think people look at them and think of them as this like big, you know, professional industrial complex. And to some extent, you know, that's quite true. At the same time, you know, the meme coins that have the most significant amount of value tend to be outliers and don't really fit that mold of kind of like the cynical short-term, you know, pump and eventually, you know, go down rapidly type thing. So, you know, there's different types of meme coins, just like there's different types of, you know, VC-backed tokens. But anyway,
Starting point is 00:01:59 The history of meme coins is either one of the earliest primitives in crypto. And, you know, Dogecoin is like, I believe more than a decade old and, you know, Shiba Inu. And so you've had, you know, Dogecoin is its own chain. You know, Shib Inu's an Ethereum meme coin. And these are still, you know, today worth billions of dollars. So meme coins and this idea of, you know, call it IP, community, you know, however you want to describe these people sort of having fun around something that doesn't have really, really, tangible value is something that has lasting interest to humans and clearly lasting value.
Starting point is 00:02:38 So then fast forwarding to your question on Bonk, you know, at the sort of depths of the Salana bear market. So post-FTX, you know, post all the other things that went wrong in all of crypto. End of 2022, you know, the mood, the market participants, you know, in the Salana ecosystem, So the mood was low. The number of market participants had dropped dramatically. And frankly, the number of creators. So developers, I mean, there was a meme at the time, a joke that there were something like 75 developers left in Solana. And, you know, a group of folks who cared a lot about a Salana who had participated, who had built things, you know, not just, you know, finance people or VCs or, you know, enthusiasts or collectors, but developers and, you know, other people who were pretty deep in the Salana ecosystem said, hey, what's a really good way?
Starting point is 00:03:27 at a time of like low morale and activity to get people, get the chain reinvigorated, get activity back on the chain. Hey, why don't we reward, you know, the folks who have been using the chain, building on it, and doing things, you know, for the past four or five years. Again, this was late 2020. I guess not four or five years, but who had been doing things for the past three years. So, you know, a group of 20 folks launched meme coin called Bunk, you know, a dog coin. again, this is before the meme industrial complex erupted.
Starting point is 00:03:59 And the idea was if we airdrop half of the supply to folks who have built on the chain, use the chain, collected NFTs and other things on the chain, one, we're going to have a bit of a stimulus activity. Hopefully, you get some excitement, attention, and, you know, get people interested and, you know, building again. Again, this is the stone cold bottom. I think Seoul was, you know, at that point, like close to 10 bucks. And, you know, lo and behold, it works.
Starting point is 00:04:27 So basically airdrop, you know, 50% of supply within, I think, like a month or six weeks, the token was trading over 400 million. And so, you know, a couple hundred million in value had been airdropped at a time when that just wasn't a thing for meme coins out to the Salon community. And developers, you know, some of them got like, I think, $10,000 plus at a time when, you know, their products were struggling. And, you know, many people were grateful and it just led to a lot of goodwill. Over the next six months, banks sort of trended down.
Starting point is 00:04:55 into the summer. But at a time when, you know, it was really low, it was something really exciting for the community. And then, you know, it was authentic. So we, you know, a group of folks continued to work on it. And it turned into not a pure meme coin.
Starting point is 00:05:10 So released, you know, products around it, a thing called bunk swap, a bonk NFT sets, eventually a bonk meme coin launch pad. And so, you know, the team still to this day, there's a core team of folks who are working on it, who give grants,
Starting point is 00:05:23 who invest in and support. support Solana Project. So like to me, it still to this day, many years later, almost four years later, represents the best of memes and community. And I think shows that these things can be good, regardless of the value, which has fluctuated quite a bit over the years. In addition, it caught the attention to Salana Foundation and Salana Mobile. They ended up, you know, air dropping or loading, you know, it ended up being more than $1,000 worth of bonk onto the phone. So, you know, you bought the phone. It was essentially free if you sold your bond. And so that was exciting. It was great marketing. I think it showed the promise of these things when done with, you know, great care. And frankly, it laid a, I think a template that others have done incredibly well, you know, not perfectly analogous, but you've seen rec have a brand coin. You've seen, you know, pudgy penguins, pengu have sort of a brand coin. And so folks have done that really well. So anyway, you know, these things done properly include many, many more people than, for example,
Starting point is 00:06:25 NFTs because millions of people, you can hold a tiniest, tiniest fraction, a dollar worth or less, or you can hold a tremendous amount. So, you know, like anything in crypto, the really, really, really positive ones, the bongs, you know, tend to be the outlier. And we have, you know, these permissionless blockchains where, you know, anyone can launch anything. And so, you know, over time, the meme coin landscape has changed over the last few years. The reason why I ask, and I appreciate this story. And the story is like a good one. And as you say, that's like kind of an outlier in the meme coin world. Like the, I think the default version of a meme coin like goes up to a very low market cap,
Starting point is 00:07:03 $50,000, $100,000 and then goes to zero because scalpers are just moving on. And there's like a million of those, but no one remembers those. And like at the end of the day, actually kind of people only remember the good ones because the good ones are the ones that last. I kind of have like a complicated position on meme coins. And I think that's true for the industry as a whole where like at the end of the of the day, it's 2026, and I'm like no longer interested in standing in front of the bulldozer of meme coins. Like, meme coins are powerful. They're big. They have had proven successes. And like,
Starting point is 00:07:37 despite all the negative things that people can associate with meme coins, like, they have lasted at the end of the day. So the evidence about the persistence of meme coins is like ample. At the end, but my one perspective that I want to bring with you is to talk to you about is, They're like building a business, a company, like a coinbase, an Apple, a NNVIDI, or any or even a private company, not even a public company. It's about like building, we're trying to build like a structure, a self-sustaining, stable structure of people and inputs and outputs that generate revenue. And that structure is like stable and can be handed on to other people to pass that along. And meme coins, it's a completely new thing. And it is somewhat of a structure, but the structure feels so unstable and difficult to transcend through time.
Starting point is 00:08:34 Because one of the reasons is they're memes. They are not profit generating. They're not revenue generating. Like Bonk made the transition from being a meme coin to like an actual project. But like the idea of like a social structure that we build scaffolding around and there's like stability. it doesn't that's just not what meme coins are and it's hard for people like me and others to like wrap their head around this new primitive that doesn't seem to be something that like you can build a foundation on i'm talking a very like loose conceptual words but i think i think you kind of get it what's
Starting point is 00:09:11 your response to like that yeah i mean they're i think as long as people understand them as that that's fine right i agree i mean i mean I mean, these bong or, you know, Dogecoin are different things than Coinbase. It's a valid point. But, you know, humans are complex and, you know, have multiple interests and like to do, you know, many different things with their time. Look, I can make a lot of money, you know, holding the AVE token or holding, you know, exchange token.
Starting point is 00:09:38 And that's great. But I'm not going to do a lot with it, you know, it's going to sit in my portfolio. And, you know, hopefully if it does really well and the product does well, I'm going to earn money over time and fees. And, you know, but there are things that I probably want to do with the rest of my time. And I mean, coins can be a fun thing, right? They're speculative. They're enjoyable.
Starting point is 00:09:58 Again, there's a community element. You know, people do things, the whole culture around it. You know, things like bagworking and actually getting together in person. Like Bonk sponsors a lot of in real life events. It's in that sense, they're very similar to NFTs, which I think, you know, I'm an NFT collector still. Most NFT projects, BFP projects, you know, decline massively. By the way, even the best ones like Cryptopunks,
Starting point is 00:10:23 which I still hold, have declined, I think 90% or something from the peak. But I think folks who enjoy crypto would say that the communities that have grown up around those things and the IP and the events they hold, you know, tend to be worth it for the folks who hold them, you know, even if, I mean, you probably wouldn't value the IP of most of these collections at where they trade. So there's something about community spirit and spending time.
Starting point is 00:10:49 Yeah, there's no like rational valuation framework, you know, that's going to fit into a model that I can put together to tell you what these things should be worth. So they are always going to be speculative and you better enjoy, you know, the thing that you hold than what you're doing if you're going to invest in them. Self-custody one, but it still has a usability problem. A seed phrase on paper is still a single point of failure. Phones get lost, devices break, backups disappear. BitKee is a self-custodial hardware wall built for that reality. It uses a two of three multi-sig with keys split across your phone, the BitKee hardware device, and Block. No single key can move your Bitcoin and Block can never move it alone. There's no seed phrase to lose or expose, and if you
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Starting point is 00:13:24 and his meme coin, and technically it's not his, somebody else made it and gave it to him, but he's kind of like adopted it. So I'm calling it his. What's your, just a reaction or response as you're, as you're watching Anson do his thing? Yeah. So full disclosure, I'm an investor in Bullpen, which is Anson's company that he's a co-founder of. He's a friend. So basically I'm positively biased towards what he does. Like any of us, Anson is right about many things and isn't right about many things. But what I love about him is he's like you.
Starting point is 00:14:01 He's courageous enough to be public about his beliefs and confident in his thought process. And by the way, willing to change his mind and share when his mind has changed. And there's very few folks like that. In addition, he's authentic. I know he gets a lot of, I mean, look, he's so public that you're going to have every opinion on earth about him. But whether you like his approach or not, he is authentic and he does believe in himself. And he does believe in the people who follow him.
Starting point is 00:14:30 And he does care about them. He thinks he's going to create. I've talked to him at length about this behind this handsome meme coin that he didn't start, but that somebody gifted him the supply. He was not a part of that at the start. And I think he saw it and he said, hey, this is a moment that's similar to that 2022 Bonk launch. He was one of the first bank supporters.
Starting point is 00:14:48 He wasn't involved in launching it. But he got excited about it and helped drive that thing really high and help. And you saw what it did to the price of Salon and the Solana ecosystem, the usage on the chain, the economics. And I think he believes we're going to point in the cycle where that can happen again. And I think where I and me and Ansel disagree with folks is that like, mean coins are done. They're just not. They've been around, like I said, since Dogecoin, I think 2014, every cycle. The class overall has staying power. And every cycle, every few years, one or a few of the highest quality assets and quality is, I guess, a funny term. But some assets do stand out.
Starting point is 00:15:30 And by the way, that's true of any subsector within crypto. There's very few good assets in crypto and actually meme coins have a pretty good share of the quote unquote good or highly valued assets relative to you know L1s L2s infra you name it so Ansem is bringing a model that he thought would exist last cycle and I think he's admitted that he was wrong in terms of how it would come to market and you know that would be these like celebrity or creator coins right and the the fault was that you know non-crypto-native people people who didn't really care about market participants and folks in the trenches came in. And effectively, you know, all the way up to the President of the United States dumped their tokens, you know, while, you know, Trump, it was
Starting point is 00:16:14 launched, you know, a single side liquidity pool and just meant to be pumped by people, you know, had a bunch of, like, to my understanding, you know, influencers and folks who would just talk about it nonstop, the price went up. And, you know, they were selling the Trump coin into that for cash and made a tremendous amount of money regardless of how the thing performed long term. It's very different than what Anson did, launch the thing, you know, it was launched at zero. He was gifted supply. I think he's bought as it's gone up. He hasn't sold anything. And he has stated, and we'll see, I mean, it's an emergent thing. It almost sounds silly to discuss it. But he's basically staking, and he's got a big reputation. Guys made a lot of money himself and for other people.
Starting point is 00:16:53 He's staking his entire reputation extremely publicly on this thing succeeding. And he, more than anybody else in the way that, I think, for example, Akobi understands crypto, pure crypto trading of things that people would say have definitive tangible value. I think Anselms that for memes and fun and community. And he's got a manifesto out. I don't know that I've like read it in extensive detail, but a lot of like pillars around which he's going to share in if the value of this token appreciates, share value from his other business initiatives and from, you know, the attention with the community and gift them tokens. And I think he said there will be other mechanisms to reward folks. but, you know, it's never going to be equity in, you know, Ansel Incorporated or to my understanding
Starting point is 00:17:37 in bullpen, you know, so you have to believe it's kind of similar to Pengu and even Bonk, that in the future, you know, how we value assets will look different than, you know, how we historically have and that there will be some mixture of memetic community and attention value to certain assets. Now, I believe that pretty strongly. I think crypto markets have shown that to be the case, but also other class, asset class. are increasingly showing that to be the case with meme stocks, with, you know, virtually everything in the AI economy now, you know, trading on sentiment and memetic value and being really hard to tie back to fundamentals. You know, you've got sort of the Elon meme industrial factory.
Starting point is 00:18:17 Obviously, he's creating incredible products for the world, very different than pure meme coins, but on any fundamental basis, it's hard to value those. So I think it's a decent bet that, you know, if you want to, not it's not for everybody and it shouldn't be, but if you want to allocate a portion of your portfolio to the attention economy and interest and community and what people are talking about. And, you know, it's reasonable to think that this might be one of the most successful, you know, one of the most successful assets and initiatives. And again, this is not financial advice. I do, I own some personally. It's not, for example, an asset that's suitable for our fund. You know, I run a fund. I'm a registered investment
Starting point is 00:18:57 advisor. So you just have to think about it in the right context. Where it gets dangerous is, you know, these are on-chain assets that anybody can hold with no K-by-C. There's no, you know, we say we don't want, you know, accredited investor rules to prevent people from accessing things. But then we yell and shout and scream when, you know, they invest in some of the wrong things. But I think in meme coins, like, it's like pretty clear which assets are going to have strength over what period of time. Like, there's only a few. that have real signals. So I think this is a noble effort in an area where both Ansel and me think, well, once again, the majority of on-chain activity is happening in the meme coin trenches.
Starting point is 00:19:44 You know, we've had three years to produce other things for consumers and other things of like social value that they could spend their time on, whether it be gaming, whether it be streaming coins. And, you know, none of that stuff's materialized. So I think it's like, let's try meme coins in a better form. But I understand that many, many, many people are tired of that narrative and honestly don't want to pay attention. I blame them, right? Like some people, if you don't like it, just mute the folks talking about it. Candidly, I don't try to talk about it too, too much, but it is something that people do want to interview me about because it's sort of consensus that these things are useless. And I don't agree with that. Yeah. And I think what I'm trying to
Starting point is 00:20:19 wrap my head around is like the meme coin sector evolves like any other sector. It's like there's tech and sentiment and all of that kind of like. has some sort of like a direction of travel. And like here we are in 2026. And like now the meta is unique to 2026. And so I'm trying to wrap my head around it now. The thing that I still can't like fully contend with is that like in the fullness of time, the difference between like meme coins and like just again using the Anson meme coin as an example
Starting point is 00:20:50 versus like an equity public company or even a private company is that like in the future, Like say we're old, dude, we're like 70, 80 years old. And Coinbase, the goal of Coinbase at that point in 2018 is to be passed along from Brian, probably before now, but passed along from Brian to like some other manager who will take the reins and carry it forward. And the whole point of like Bitcoin and Ethereum and Solana and these decentralized networks
Starting point is 00:21:19 is like we pass these decentralized networks to our children and they run the network. And I haven't. asked Anselm this, I haven't spoken to him about it, but I can't imagine Ansem is like, yes, and I'm going to pass the baton of Ansem to a new set of leadership where it will continue to perpetuate. And so, like, it's a short-term thing. And I think, like, most people see meme coins as like this pop-up shop of a casino. It's a pop-up casino game. And like, ooh, this one's a new game. Let's all play the game for a while. Maybe we can play the game for
Starting point is 00:21:54 years, but ultimately the game goes away and like we move on to the next one. And so that's, I think, what a lot of people like myself is like, why am I even playing the game in the first place if it's not about like trying to make it as like perpetual and like as have as high growth as possible. And so that's, I think when people like think about, well, this is just nihilism. This is financial nihilism. Like, what's the point? And like really at the end of the day, even with Bonk, for example, Bunk backed into being a project rather than being a meme coin. And so I think that's still the thing that I can't really get my head around is like, why do I even play the game at all if I know that ultimately this thing will conclude at zero in the fullness of time? Yeah, that's fair. So it's not,
Starting point is 00:22:40 I mean, meme coins are just not that type of, you know, life permanent assets. So like I hold a portfolio of assets and, you know, I plan to, you know, pass, you know, wealth to my kids. But, you know, I'm in my mid-40s and I plan to live a long time and I want to have some fun along the way. And so I do things. I play financial games of shorter duration. You know, I of the shortest duration at sometimes, right, prediction markets, you know, sports gambling. Like, I want to have some fun. These things, if they're not enjoyable, you know, you shouldn't be doing them. And I don't think, you know, anybody would claim, yes, that, you know, Bonk has the, you know,
Starting point is 00:23:22 life, the expected lifetime of Coinbase. That being said, it's actually interesting, it's noble to think that, like, you'll pass, like, that's the goal that you'll pass these things on your kids, but like most corporations die over, you know, a number of decades. Most, you know, governments and countries die over centuries. So, I mean, we're just talking in different time horizons and there's different time horizons for different things we do. Yeah. So I definitely think that point. I would just say, yeah, hold, there's some nuance and like, hold a portfolio of things that are for the long term and the short term. And, that you enjoy, some that you enjoy for the dopamine and the fun and the speculation
Starting point is 00:23:57 and living in the moment and some that you enjoy because, hey, in 10 years, I'm going to look at it and I'm being excited they compounded by 10% per year, 15% per year. In favor of meme coins, what I do appreciate about meme coins is that there is some sort of implied idea about rewriting the rules of money and finance and how we value things. And you kind of talked about it. It's like this is an attention game much more than it is like a a DCF analysis or an EBITA analysis. And like if you try and take your old old world model into meme coins, like you're going to have a bad time.
Starting point is 00:24:28 And that was kind of like all the premise of crypto in the first place. Like Bitcoin is like, no, no, no, we're rewriting the rules about money. Money doesn't come from the government. Money comes from the people. And that's a little bit of like rewriting the rules. And it's like what we tried to do and to some degree had success in and rewriting the rules around the ETH. Like, no, don't value ETH on fees. ETH is money.
Starting point is 00:24:47 Like, fuck your rules. Yeah, and Bitcoin, we are making this new rules. And, you know, so most of the, like, most of the big ideas of crypto, you know, don't stay confined to crypto and then bleed out, like, into broader society. And, and ultimately, you know, then have the potential to help create, for example, businesses, you know, far, far larger than anything, you know, that was created before. And I think you see that, for example, and some things like stable coins, like things that go, like, ride on public permissionless rail. I think are now enabling, you know, potentially in the next five to 10 years, we'll have the first trillion-dollar plus financial services company. We just haven't had those.
Starting point is 00:25:27 But, yeah, it won't always be in the initial form of crypto with these, like, tokens that don't necessarily have intrinsic value. Yeah. I think this is kind of like the thread guy thesis. If you are a believer in, like, the meme coin industry sector, growing bigger in the future because, you know, Gen Z comes into wealth, Gen Alpha comes into wealth. They're chronically online.
Starting point is 00:25:53 They don't care about Wall Street rules. And so they value things differently. And so, like, the whole idea of valuing something on attention becomes bigger. I don't know if you have a directional opinion on the growth of meme coins as a category or if you're just more laissez-faire about, like, how big or small the meme-coin industry grows.
Starting point is 00:26:11 Yeah, so it's going to continue to grow as a category, almost unequivocally. It's also going to grow in terms of the number of absolutely zero value, you know, extractive things as well, unfortunately. But I just think we'll continue. I mean, meme coins are not going away. The ethos of like, again,
Starting point is 00:26:29 everybody being able to participate them, attention, community will bleed into things of other value. I think companies with real IP will eventually, at some point, you know, launch meme-like tokens. And you see, you know, companies like Robin Hood, you know, embracing meme coins being traded on their chain because they realize that that,
Starting point is 00:26:47 attention then leads people to discover other assets that they can direct them to of potentially more lasting value that should represent a larger part of their portfolio. What would you say are just the inputs into the reason why the meme coin sector will grow? So I think it's good. I think the term will evolve and they'll, you know, I don't, maybe it'll always be called meme coins, but the, I think you'll have things like game coins. Like I see my kids, uh, eight and 12, you're spending considerable amounts of money on your digital goods, whether it be in Roblox, whether it be in Fortnite, doing things, their digital skins,
Starting point is 00:27:22 the amount of money he spends on skins and just those have effectively no tangible value, but the joy that he and his buddies have, you know, when they're playing and talking and, you know, showing the latest thing they're wearing, hey, it could be a World Cup soccer player, it could be something else, that brings human joy. Those today are in your closed environments, but, But I think as those businesses struggle or sort of like top out in their addressable market, I do think you'll start to see some of those things be traded. You're seeing it, by the way, in the collectibles industry, which has some IP, a lot like has IP, but increasingly now I think there's like memetic value in cards, you know, to what the,
Starting point is 00:28:05 the prices are at all time highs. Some people are saying we're in a bubble. But my sort of thesis is similar to when we had NFTs or we were sort of creating new fake IP that hadn't existed before. I think all the world's IP and fun is eventually going to be tokenized, move on to public blockchains, be available to anyone everywhere. And we're basically going to be importing and exporting all of these different cultures and mixing and meshing them together. So like I don't know that it will be, again, we'll call them meme coins.
Starting point is 00:28:35 We're going to have all these amazing tokenized cultural assets of all different types available to everybody. I think blockchain is going to play a huge role in that. So maybe what I'm really saying isn't that I think the. meme coin economy is going to be 10 or 20 times larger, but it's the, the ethos of it is going to subsume so many other things, just like tokenized dollars is starting to in the financial world. I see. You talked about Robin Hood chain leaning into meme coins, and that's kind of happened at the same time as there's been some blowback against Bass and Jesse and Brian Armstrong and Kobe, like,
Starting point is 00:29:06 maybe a month ago or something was given the reins of the base app because I think Bass is now formally taking a step back from like creator coins and like Web3 social. My more skeptical, cynical read on the situation is that like the meme coin trenchers are always kind of looking for the next arena of activity. And they got tired of base. And so they moved on to the shiny new thing, Robin Hood. And so like now base is evil and Robin Hood is good because Flad tweeted about a few meme coins. I said meme coins a few times. And now Robin Hood is like the good guy and base is the bad guy.
Starting point is 00:29:40 But I kind of think it's all not fair. it's like the meme coin trenchers are just like moving on to the next thing and the narrative is that base is evil and the narrative is that Robin Hood is good but it's really just like chasing the shiny new object but I'm also not in the trenches and so I don't know to what degree the trench people feel actually slighted by base and actually supported by Robin Hood to me it feels like a bunch of hot air I don't know if you have a It's just a timing thing. Like, yeah, base leaned into, I think, what meme coins, AI coins and creator coins, like
Starting point is 00:30:15 right at the market top, right? Remember, AI coins are hot late 2024, early 25. Trump basically topped the meme coin market. Things in retrospect were down only for most of 2025, and then you had 1010. The creator coins were a very, were a narrow part of this trend, but those were never going to work. That was just a really bad tone-deaf idea with bad. timing, but bad timing compounded by a really terrible market, right? So everything is down.
Starting point is 00:30:45 All the majors are down. So base timing was bad. Robin Hood timing was great, right? Do I think that Robin Hood chain as a meme coin chain is like what's going to happen long term? Probably not. Like there definitely will be some memes because on any chain that has users in a front door into what is a mix of an investment in a speculative asset, Robin Hood's about a speculative a mainstream, you know, financial app as anyone uses. There's definitely going to be, your native meme coins there. But we've already had within just a couple of weeks, you know, Vlad got hacked yesterday and, you know, a meme coin his name was launched and people lost a bunch of money on it. He had to apologize. This stuff that moves like really fast.
Starting point is 00:31:25 So my guess is the activity there sort of plateaus and peters out. And that's probably a good thing. Let's be honest. So they've got a lot of attention. And to my understanding, you know, tokenized RWA ownership on Robin & Chain is increasing pretty rapidly. and like I'm that's what we need to happen like we need better assets on chain that's been a lot of issue for the last few years is that we just don't have enough quality assets on the chain and that's what they the foundation there has been focused on how do we get RWA's and it's starting to pay dividends for them but we need more great assets on chain otherwise people are just going to keep churning through these things where you know bundlers are launching thousands
Starting point is 00:32:04 of them per day right what would you say to the idea that like this was a special true in late 2023, early 2024, we're like the whole entire crypto industry is just meme coins because it's kind of all we had. And I think a lot of people would say, if we had more successful viral, real use cases, you know, real apps, real value accrual, then like people wouldn't have been pushed into meme coins because the industry would be more serious, more legitimate, more real. But because it's taken far longer than people considered, then like meme coins happened kind of as a reaction to that. And so, So meme coins are here because crypto hasn't succeeded as much as it was meant to. What would you react? How would you react to that? I would just say this stuff takes time. Like, yeah, the lowest friction thing was the first thing to launch. You know, you can launch a coin for a dollar.
Starting point is 00:32:53 I mean, you don't have to do much around. Of course, there's going to be a flourishing of those. It's not surprising to me that it's taking a longer time to get tokenized securities on chain, particularly given the regulatory environment in Washington, where because of the Trump family's ethic conflicts largely, and banks, you know, pushing back against dollars with yield on chain, you know, the Clarity Act hasn't passed and is now looking unlikely to. So it's given folks uncertainty around launching tokens of, you know, real legal and, you know, fee generating value on chain. But that is starting to happen anyway in permissionless manners with no KYC, you know, maybe not available
Starting point is 00:33:33 geo-blocked from U.S. folks and other countries. And we're now, I think, in a place. where I wish we had been two to three years ago, but we weren't, and we had a very different administration in the U.S. that was very hostile to crypto today. If consumers started coming back, even if they start by trading some memes and, you know, funny other, you know, tokens,
Starting point is 00:33:54 there are real assets on chain that they can discover, particularly for ex-US folks, folks outside the U.S., who can trade, you know, for example, NASBaseX and Tesla and, you know, some of the, you know, AI supercycle tokens. and I think that's exciting. And what it does is, again, I think there's going to continue to be people trading the
Starting point is 00:34:13 crypto-native assets, including memes. But I think we have a better chance of stickiness. And over time, like less volatility in portfolios, if we have these other higher quality assets, the investment behavior should trend, you know, more towards the, call it the median investment behavior, you know, in the broader markets for non-cryptop participants. and that would probably lead to fewer people getting wrecked by our crypto-native cycles and hopefully smooth things out, which would lead to greater retention, which then gives you a base of users to continue to build and test products,
Starting point is 00:34:48 and it becomes sort of this self-reinforcing thing. Because it's really, really difficult to build out new financial infrastructure when you're operating on these like four-year boom and bus cycles. It just burns out your users, your investors, the builders, etc. I think we all hoped this past cycle wasn't going to quite be like that. It wasn't quite. I think we're nearing the end of it and getting ready for the next one. I do think because we have many better assets on chain now,
Starting point is 00:35:16 we have a really good shot here for a smoother next cycle. All right. Let's get out of the trenches and talk about next cycle. Six-man Ventures. What are you guys investing in for like the rest of the decade? Like what categories are you guys uniquely excited about? Yeah. So the good thing is like most of the big ideas that crypto market participants, you
Starting point is 00:35:34 the earliest participants, including us, believed would come to fruition, either have or are coming to fruition, right? So, like, Bitcoin is money. You know, maybe, you know, ETH is sort of on-chain money in the Ethereum economy. You know, stable coins as vehicles for better financial services. Blockchain's smart contracts, just better financial rails and better, you know, market structure. So more accessible and more people, faster settlement, cheaper settlement, you know, all those things are coming into fruition.
Starting point is 00:36:03 there's been a lot of activity, a lot of building happening. It's not as talked about publicly because a lot of the values accruing to call it equity holders or accruing to existing institutions like Stripe and PayPal and others. But what we're excited about is that many or most of the big ideas that we thought would exist are starting to exist. So yeah, we're investing into those. So things like stable coin finance, things like defy, But defy, I saw you tweet about vaults the other day, but defy with, you know, better not only,
Starting point is 00:36:40 you know, native crypto assets, but other assets. So, you know, real world assets, equities, you know, bonds tied to, you know, could be real estate or other, other like asset classes that have existed. Bringing those things on chain, you know, we're looking. So we're continuing to invest in consumer. We think like trading and speculation and these markets, making them available, whether it's no KYC or available to anyone anywhere, giving dollar access. You know, folks who are XUS is really exciting. So those are like the primary areas.
Starting point is 00:37:13 And then, you know, I feel like out of all of those, the consumer category is probably the most contrarian because everyone is doing like the institutional, trad five, real world assets, tokenized compliance securities. And like no one is talking about consumer crypto these days. Exactly.
Starting point is 00:37:30 So we think that that. is the class that takes the longest to develop, okay? The consumer side? Yeah, it's the least. So it's institutions, you know, have been building for 10 years. Like they have deep, deep business models. They know this is better infrastructure for how they want to build towards the future. They can commit to it.
Starting point is 00:37:51 You know, consumers sort of wait until you show them, like a lot of stuff has to build up in the background before you can get to like true consumer products of value. I think prediction markets is one. of the first where you've moved, like, beyond. Well, I mean, obviously we had NFTs. We had your Defi summer. But like the, on the consumer side, we just haven't had the fun speculative products on chain that had long duration with. And I think that's finally starting to happen. So basically, that's happened because crypto has started to embed itself into other industries. So the biggest one that you're hearing about right now is, is obviously the collectibles, right? So you have
Starting point is 00:38:32 companies like collector and courtyard and even OpenC is now turning into sort of the eBay of collectibles versus just NFTs. And I think so those fun, community driven, IP driven asset classes, taste driven, things that maybe you can't find everywhere else because market structure on eBay and in the real world isn't very good. Those are the things that are going to start to migrate on chain first. So that's like the first area. We made an investment there in a company called Trove in Q4 of last year. That company is doing incredibly. well. I mentioned collector and courtyard, which are the ones that people hear about. And this is just the whole like gacha universe, right? Which has...
Starting point is 00:39:09 So it's not. There's marketplaces behind these. And... But yes, I would say, actually, you're correct. The largest expression of it today, like, is often the case in crypto is, wow, friction-free, you know, instant trading. Boom, boom, boom, boom. You know, no KYC. That is absolutely the first application. Now, each of those companies has a plan to grow into you know, something much, much bigger than that. You know, borrowing and lending against the assets, turning them into an asset class. I'm sure there's, yeah, I haven't seen all their decks
Starting point is 00:39:38 for things like private wealth management, you name it. But I would argue that's a step change, probably a 10x better expression of what we were doing with like PFP NFTs in 21, 22. It just takes a long time. So we're confident. Why is it better? Because it's actually like real higher Lindy IP that's been around for forever.
Starting point is 00:40:00 Correct. I mean, it would be like a Charzard, it just has more brand. Yeah, it has many, many decades of, you know, sort of proof point. It's why, you know, I think there's still a far, there's a larger number of folks, you know, who invest in gold than in Bitcoin. It just takes time to get the credibility. So you might as well start. And it wasn't until recently that you could convince people to tokenize to sell and put
Starting point is 00:40:24 unchain these higher quality assets. And we're finally at that point. Are Pokemon cards and meme coins the same thing? No, no. And it's because of what we were just talking about. Like society has, like, society has valued these. There's also, you know, TCG, there's games to be played, there's communities. I think the ethos is the same. The ethos is the same. Yeah. And the valuation, the reasons why people value Pokemon cards in one way and then meme coins another way, I feel like that's highly overlapping. It is, it is. And it's just, it's very like pop culture and fun and status oriented. And then you get into other asset classes like watches. Like, you know, why does an AP or Potech like do they really, you know, why are they sold for $100,000? A lot of it, again, is status and scarcity. By the way, that's one way that they're different than mean coins, which don't, you know, they're in, you know, divisible infinitely.
Starting point is 00:41:20 Right. Yeah. So, so that's one area that we're looking for on consumer. You know, another is obviously online gaming things of chance. You can see Polymarket is mostly like sports betting. It's a for many people get a better form, a better form because I can do it. You know, you can do it no KYC. You know, you have more markets.
Starting point is 00:41:38 Anybody can participate providing liquidity. I consider that consumer. And I think you're going to start to see much, much more experimentation there. You're also going to see like hyperliquid and hyperliquid like platforms will, I think, become interesting to consumers as, again, better assets come on chain there as we're not just trading perps on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and VC coins. But, you know, as we're trading oil and, you know, compute, right, these compute markets that are tiny, tiny relative to all of the CAPEX going into the, you know, AI buildout. But over time, you know, I think, for example, crypto folks have
Starting point is 00:42:16 a unique, like, it's, it's a new asset class that's worth, you know, trillions of dollars that didn't exist. Crypto. Crypto. So like, yeah, pre-Bitco. Like, like, you know, pre-Bitco. Like, We created a new asset class and brought, we can argue about what level of quality market structure, but brought market structure over the course of 15 plus years. So I would make a bet that crypto market participants will have a large part to play in how compute markets develop. Yeah, I think a lot of people have attention on compute markets.
Starting point is 00:42:47 And I think this is going to be the first time where we see a brand new commodity be born. That isn't like crypto is a brand new commodity, but it's not what I'm talking about. like a commodity that you can kind of see like homogenize and codified into like a CME market. You can see compute.
Starting point is 00:43:03 Like you compute traded. I don't know how, but like that's their job to figure out. But this is going to be the first time where a new commodity like that is born. And we have crypto rails. Like we have perp Dexiv. We got hyper liquid.
Starting point is 00:43:13 We got lighter. Do you think like that's crypto as an industry. It's like our fight to fight to get as much of the compute market built on our rails as opposed to like CME or the Tadify rails? It will be complimentary as, is my guess, right? And the way, like, and you could do a whole podcast on this, but so compute markets will exist
Starting point is 00:43:34 outside of crypto, you know, largely, right? But, you know, there will be, there will be sort of crypto primitives that have the potential, you know, to participate, like, in that build out. One is credit markets, right? You see with things like USDAI, there are, you know, pools of folks who are willing to lend, you know, in different models for how those pools develop and how these loans are underwritten. So on the credit side, you know, you're going to have, I think, very novel models of capital formation. I think as things are transacted, things often will start in.
Starting point is 00:44:11 So like the AI markets are like extremely bespoke, sorry, compute markets, right? Like a data center over here selling something very different than a data center, you know, across the country or in India or somewhere else, different machines, different capabilities. like it's so bespoke. It's not necessarily clear to me how crypto rails will play into that. But what I know is a crypto market participants know how to take these very
Starting point is 00:44:34 wonky, you know, assets. Like, that's not going to be the only... It's not going to be the only... It's not the first time we've seen a commodity that's bespoke. Like there's 17,000 different types of oil.
Starting point is 00:44:43 There's like sweet crude, sour crude. We figured out how to like homogenize that. Yeah, it took an incredibly long time, much longer than people expected. I think most... most intelligent people believe that or, and again, I'm not one of these like deep, deep, deep compute market participants. Like I don't run a data center. There is a VC Meltem does. So she's a great person to talk to about this. But the point, this will take longer than people
Starting point is 00:45:10 expect. I think the majority of this is going to happen off chain, happen, you know, in sort of these OTC transactions. But again, you already have these markets starting to emerge. So in other words, like the hyperscalers are already doing things around allowing folks to hedge and offload. And what you'll find is a lot of the cap tables for a lot of these businesses come from, you know, have crypto-native folks on them or, you know, folks who are mining Bitcoin and understand the inputs and that a lot of this has to do with energy and electricity and all of those things. So again, most of the value in AI crypto, so in compute markets and in other areas, most of the
Starting point is 00:45:49 things are happening don't involve tokens today. Like, for example, that was a noose or now's research. You know, most of the folks, open router, like the crypto founders who started in AI companies, they don't have tokens. Many of them have sort of tried to stay away from the fact that they were crypto-native founders. And if you go pitch many, I mean, you saw the open-cloth founder, like, you doesn't like crypto at all. I think somebody launched a token in his name.
Starting point is 00:46:14 So, you know, when you're talking to folks in the AI industry, you know, you don't lead with the fact that you've come from crypto markets. even though, like I said, you know, crypto market participants do understand a lot about emerging asset classes and novel market structure and then all the financial instruments around that. This wasn't in my agenda, but I do want to talk about this. There was the crypto founder, like Alex Atala, who founded OpenC and then left to go found OpenRouter. But he left OpenC in like 20, 23, like right after the Chachipa era. There are plenty of people in my circles who have departed from the crypto industry to go into
Starting point is 00:46:50 adjacent industries, AI, robotics. But they were, but they did it kind of like maybe because they were forced because the crypto industry has kind of contracted, at least the middle of the market, where the jobs are created, has contracted pretty meaningfully over the last four years. Absolutely. But they are still crypto people and they're loyal to crypto. And so like my, my bullish angle on this is like actually crypto has a bunch of moles everywhere. We have moles in AI.
Starting point is 00:47:16 We got moles in robotics. And, you know, one day when it's. it's time to come home to Roos, like these crypto market participants who like grew up had their first, you know, adult job and their first adult paycheck in crypto who are now in like robotics or any adjacent industry. When it comes time, like now the knowledge of crypto and the like loyalty towards the crypto industry is like being spread out in these adjacent industries. So I'm actually kind of like marginally bullish on that actually being good for the industry because that is just like going to be a way to legitimize.
Starting point is 00:47:50 the crypto industry when these people actually have like influencing control over their respective industries. Likewise. And I don't necessarily know, for example, though, that that means that we'll have crypto-native tokens launched. And I don't necessarily know that that's, by the way, that that's important. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:48:06 But what I do think is, you know, when the, you know, robots are paying one another or, you know, when my agent wants to access, you know, the website on a usage basis that you're, agent spun up, I think the folks who create those businesses will be sympathetic to using blockchain rails that settle faster, that allow for micro transactions, et cetera. But it'll be interesting in that much of that value may just accrue to equity in companies. And then hopefully in the future, those are tokenized equities that are issued and transferred and settled and registered on blockchains.
Starting point is 00:48:45 And I think like DTCC, the largest securities clearinghouse, is doing all sorts of pilots on Canton and other networks. And I think it's very likely that quote unquote crypto becomes defined much more as, you know, incredible financial infrastructure and ledgers versus the crypto native assets that trade on top of them. There will be a few, you know, very special ones like Bitcoin, you know, probably Ethereum and Solana and, you know, a handful of others. But the rest of the tokens will look much more, quote unquote, equity like, you know, and be, even if there are. even if they're sitting on top of protocols, but I think things like hype and pump, it will be much, much more tied to business performance and look equity-like.
Starting point is 00:49:23 So currently the market cap of Ethereum is $225 billion. The market cap of Seoul is $43 billion. Mike, if you had a million dollars and you had to hold it for the next five years, are you picking ETH or Seoul to allocate that million dollars to? So we've made that choice. I can't give financial advice to others. but were well known as a Solana, you know, more Salana bullish fund from an asset perspective.
Starting point is 00:49:53 That doesn't mean from a builder or an ecosystem perspective with many, many investments in the Ethereum and EVM ecosystem. But yeah, as an asset, I just believe that Seoul has better properties than Heath, particularly given the value differential. So one is, you know, Solana has significantly more activity than Ethereum on virtually every metric of regular usage that it doesn't. in terms of like TVL and total value issued, but I think a lot of that has to do with legacy, you know, massive value creation from many, many years ago and folks simply from inertia
Starting point is 00:50:25 and wealth creation just holding their assets, you know, in Ethereum out of loyalty. If we break out, you know, 10, 20, 100x to the real world, you know, you don't have those same Ethereum loyalties in the general population. And, you know, Salon is a global state machine, you know, it has high throughput, low fees,
Starting point is 00:50:43 but it also has a fee mechanism whereby, you know, priority fees, you know, people can pay for, you know, the price that they want for their transaction, and that allows Solana to capture more revenue. And, you know, you can sort of back into a situation at some really, really massive scale where Seoul is actually justified, you know, you could run a model that prices a high. I don't think that's happening. And this, yeah, but this is in, like, your Coinbase example of very, very, very long-term horizon. I think both of these, Sol and Ethereum trade memetically over the next five years based on, you know, how much is being built in the two ecosystems. And I just think Seoul is going to continue to grow at a much higher
Starting point is 00:51:25 growth rate. Is trading memetically the same thing as trading like money? It's trading on activity. It is. Money is, yeah, money can be memetic to your point, but different types of memes. Yeah, like they're different narratives. So I think Seoul once again, like Sol will trade on a momentum narrative over the next 24 months would be my guess based on more activity happening on the chain. You're going to see a much higher rate growth rate and stable coin volume. You are going to see, you know, perp start to finally succeed. Like they're at like zero right now virtually on the chain and that's going to change. You could just go through any use case and I'm very confident that Seoul's going to have a
Starting point is 00:52:02 much faster growth rate and it's coming from a lower base. So I just would expect it to, you know, be a better asset over, again, a couple years than If you were the CEO of Ethereum and you were in charge with the driving ETH value capture and accrual and price number go up, what would you do? So I would lean into, I would actually lean into ETH as money and all these L2s. I'd lead heavily into Robin Hood. I do things that Salana can't do. So give more companies like Robin Hood, persuade them not to launch like L1s like Tempo,
Starting point is 00:52:32 persuade them to launch your own chains and arbitram and really be a place where, you know, you can control your, call it, like, semi-decentralized chain, your base. I mean, they have the two largest ones right now. So it's just getting more of the financial world to make the non-stripe choice of launching tempo and more of the Robin Hood and Coinbase. And then, again, you're not going to trade based on the underlying flow-through economics. You're going to trade, like I said, more on narrative. Hey, all the world's largest financial institutions, like a Revolut built, an L2,
Starting point is 00:53:05 that would be incredible for Ethereum. and I think from a narrative perspective, you'd say, oh, look, that $100 billion, $1, $15 billion company, and they're building a big part of their future on Ethereum. That's the battle that I would lead into. More L2s, bigger L2s. I would. I just don't think the ETH-L-1 fee capture as fees have just dropped over the last few years. It's definitely a better L-1 than it ever has been, right?
Starting point is 00:53:27 And you continue to want as many assets issued on the chain. I think you want the BlackRock's the world and the issuers to put assets there. But I think you want the companies that are building out. you know, really robust ecosystems of products, you know, the ramps, the revolutes, the next set of companies, you really don't want them building on the tempos relative to building on L2s. Markets don't move one asset at a time. One day it's Bitcoin, the next Nvidia, then gold, and then the S&P. But most traders are still managing their portfolio across different platforms, different accounts, and different pools of capital. BitGet just changed that. Their new stocks 2.0
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Starting point is 00:54:36 news. We are launching a new podcast to help people figure out the crypto cycle, how to navigate it. The best crypto cycle investor I know, his name is Michael Nato. He runs the Defi report. This is the guy that sent me a sell alert before the 1010 price drop happened. His cycle analysis has been absolutely on point. I've been following him for years. And this year, we started recording weekly podcast episodes. Each one we get into his portfolio, what he's holding, the market structure, entry targets, fair market value of Bitcoin and Ether. and where we are in the cycle, there's new episodes that are released every Wednesday. They're 30 minutes. They're short. They're punchy. I think this crypto cycle is harder to navigate than most.
Starting point is 00:55:13 So let's do it together. Go subscribe to this podcast. Search the DeFi report wherever you get your podcast, YouTube, Apple, Spotify, or find a link in the show notes. There's a new episode waiting for you now. There's been a lot of speculation that the bottom's in or that the bottom is at least near, soon to be in. Do you have in a position on where we are in the cycle? Yeah. And also, what do you think about cycles?
Starting point is 00:55:34 So it just feels like they're inevitable. This one, so it's so weird that people said it felt so awful. I think it was because it didn't go as high as people expected, but I also, so far, it hasn't gone as low as people feel. So it is getting to that lower volatility type cycle environment. I don't have the data right in front of me, but it's been a lower vol sort of cycle if we have hip bottom. But even if we went a little bit lower than we did.
Starting point is 00:56:04 did it would still be, that would be the case. We didn't go as high, not as low. I think that's going to continue. And maybe what I'll be looking for though is we finally break out of the Bitcoin four year cycle. And maybe you do as we start to get so many halvings out and it may not have as big an impact. But what's happened this cycle, again, lower vol, and you've had the ability, like people have kept building.
Starting point is 00:56:26 And you've seen immense equity value get created in a couple of themes we were talking about, like stable coin finance, like real world asset issuance, So two massive, massive categories. So it would be great if that continues. I do think, you know, I couldn't tell you if we're going to go lower over the next couple months, but I think, you know, by early next year, it's going to feel clear that we have sort of the wind in our sales, regardless, by the way, of the regulatory environment, that's been a big uncertainty, but it just feels like clarity not passing is somewhat priced in.
Starting point is 00:56:56 For individual assets, it'll be interesting. You know, I don't know what hyperliquids regulatory status looks like in a world to where clarity does or does not pass. So I think on an individual asset basis, for a lot of questions, but for the market as a whole, I expect that, you know, we're going to see more activity moving forward. And we have just more themes to do that behind. You know, we have perps, prediction markets, defy with real world assets and stable coins moving at like every, you know, breakout stablecoin company we see. The chart is just wildly insane over the last six months. You said a lot of equity value has been created by these platforms.
Starting point is 00:57:32 and tools. And I think that kind of also taps on to, taps into a lot of the frustration that a lot of the industry has where we wanted to create value in the tokens. And it's great that we are creating value as an industry, but it's a bug that these, these native tokens or tokenized, not tokenized real world assets, but tokenized assets are the things where the value is expressed in.
Starting point is 00:57:58 Do you, where did you see that trend changing or how do you think about that? It will change. It's going to take a long time. You're trying to create basically, I think, so the things that Blockworks is doing with their transparency framework is a positive. I think, you know, browbeating everybody to adopt it right now and being, they're a little intense about it. But I think it's a very noble, long-term goal.
Starting point is 00:58:20 And it is unquestionably the direction that the industry needs to and will move in. So maybe it's good that they're browbeating people and say, hey, do this now. And everything that doesn't do this now is illegitably. legitimate, like, that's too much. That's not because the market isn't valuing tokens that way, right? Like, we're investors in Medadau and they have ownership coins and, you know, the market is giving, you know, certainly is giving downside protection to metadata tokens, but I don't think you've seen them sort of valued at a premium or any sort of breakout. And they're working on their model, right? It's futarchy dominated now. I think it's pretty complex and people are trying to, you know,
Starting point is 00:58:57 figure that model out. But there are a ton of experiments being run, even Pumns. which is known as a meme coin launchpad has their ACE platform where you can launch a token and then you can have that token confer equity like rights to the holders. So every company across the spectrum is experimenting with bringing better quality assets on chain. It's just time rises. It's to take a long time. It takes a long time for, you know, to get folks launching ETFs or indexing. Like you listen to histories of Vanguard and BlackRock. It takes many, many decades to change how people invest, especially when you're creating, you know, brand new types of assets that might have equity plus, you know, considerations to them. And especially in a world where many,
Starting point is 00:59:42 many people have been burned by very low quality assets like Aluna. I think that's the thing I'm really coming to terms with lately. When I got into crypto, I was 26 years old. And in 2021, I was 29 or something, 20 and 30. And I thought we were changing the world. tomorrow. And that's kind of how it feels like in a bull market, especially one as violent as that bull market. And, you know, and so we're three years, four years later from 20, 21, five years later from 2021. And so many people are disillusioned and myself included. And I, and to some I'm like, dude, maybe these things take 20 plus years, not like six years. And that's why everyone feels so bad. Yeah, I mean, obviously, right? So like, just AI as an analogy.
Starting point is 01:00:30 you know, basically people were writing about the things that are happening today, you know, in the middle of the last century, you know, even at the turn of the century. But under this, AI seems to have gone so much faster, at least from the consumer perspective when we were exposed to it in 2023. So, well, the thing is, people were exposed to it earlier than that. Like I read, you know, Ray Kurzweil's Age of Spiritual Machines and we laughed at it, you know, in 2000, 2001, and it took 25 years. But basically everything that he said would happen by 2030 is happening.
Starting point is 01:00:59 is on the path happening by 2030. There was a lot of disillusionment early last decade, but sort of under, you know, in the background, you had the demos of the world and so many incredible people doing things. And most of it was probably very dissatisfying to people who were deep, deep in the industry. Like, oh, we're, you know, beating people at these games.
Starting point is 01:01:19 Well, that's not what our mission is. Like we're trying to change the world and, you know, you basically create a new form of intelligence. And then boom, it just happens. Yeah. But the time horizons were longer. And on a much, much smaller scale, I'm not comparing stable coin innovation AI,
Starting point is 01:01:34 but like an intelligence innovation in the last two years. But you can see this explosion happening after not a lot seemed to happen for many, many years. To the point that like even five or six years ago, people were like, hey, Tether is like a scam company. And now it's one of the largest, you know, companies in the world.
Starting point is 01:01:51 I suppose crypto did have a very slow rate of progress up until, up until 2020, 2021. And then that's when a ton of the investment came in. And you can, maybe one of the reasons why AI seems to have gone so fast post-20203 is because there has been literally infinite amount of money to invest in that bubble. And that accelerates the rate of innovation.
Starting point is 01:02:13 Yeah. At least as a consumer, like I log into like Claude and open AI like every single month and the models are better and they think better and they think faster. And that doesn't seem true about crypto. That's fair. But maybe that's because like AI is just giving people, the right product now, right? Like just having raw intelligence that's better than, for example,
Starting point is 01:02:30 Google searching or, you know, giving me the ability to code, having never, you know, been a CS major or trained programmer. It's incredible. And crypto had a chance in the, from the 2017 era, 2021, 22 era. And I think we're both in agreement that we haven't given folks yet the right product that had long duration. And again, we've talked about a few of the areas, but like hyperliquid, giving folks a better way to, you know, hedge and speculate and get, you know, leverage on assets, like in a much better way than they can traditional financial markets. So just improving upon traditional financial markets, traditional financial infrastructure is a really big step, function change. Now, it doesn't have the wow factor of AI intelligence, but I do think we're
Starting point is 01:03:19 finally giving folks the right products that will scale and we'll lead to sustain usage. And I suppose in defense of crypto, changing finance is hard, way harder than AI because AI doesn't really have like an incumbent to compete against, but finance A has incumbents to compete against, but also your mistakes rebuilding finance are catastrophic by definition. And so progress is slower because people don't want to get hurt. And also regulation kind of also doesn't want to let you hurt people at the same time. Yeah, it's easier. It definitely is easier to regulate, to penalize, and we're just getting, by the way, to that cycle in AI, where it's like, hey, do we need to slow down? Can we release these frontier models without government or a non-government agency like FINRA reviewing them?
Starting point is 01:04:05 Demis just proposed something like that, and I think a lot of people got on board with it. So you're going to see that blowback is happening over the next year or two, which likely will, quote, unquote, slow progress. So it'll be interesting. And then to see what people's expectations are. right now AI is growing a lot due to non-economic activity, just to fundraising and the ability to continually fundraise and in many cases offer products below profitability. How long can that continue for?
Starting point is 01:04:34 We'll see. Right, right. Mike, it's been great. Thanks for coming on the show. Thanks for having me. Appreciate it. Bankless, thanks, Shane, you guys know the deal. Crypto is risky, but not crypto enough.
Starting point is 01:04:43 The institutions are here, so we are going even more westward. This is Frontier. It's not for everyone, but we're glad you're with us on the bankless journey. me. Thanks a lot.

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