Bankless - Bullish on Automation and Robotics, but not Humanoid Robots | Shahin Farshchi

Episode Date: August 31, 2026

Robotics hype is everywhere, but are humanoids actually the main event? Lux Capital partner Shahin Farshchi joins David to explain why the bigger opportunity may be AI-powered automation hiding inside... factories, warehouses, and other industrial settings. --- 📣SPOTIFY PREMIUM RSS FEED | USE CODE: SPOTIFY24 https://bankless.cc/spotify-premium --- BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🔓NEAR | TRADE CONFIDENTIALLY, GET 20% BACK https://bankless.cc/near-pod 🔑BITKEY | GET 10% OFF USE CODE: BANKLESS | #bitkeypartner https://bankless.cc/bitkey 📊BITGET | TOKENIZED STOCKS 2.0 https://bankless.cc/bitget-stocks 🎯THE DEFI REPORT | ONCHAIN INSIGHTS https://thedefireport.io/bankless 👑BANKLESS CONTENT MCP https://www.bankless.com/premium --- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Is the Robotics Hype Justified? 2:02 Why Humanoids Aren’t the Main Story 8:14 Robotics vs. Automation 12:20 Specialized Robots vs. Generalists 19:24 Making Robotics Accessible 22:25 AI Unlocks New Robotic Tasks 24:52 Robotics’ Internet Moment 27:52 Robots, Jobs, and Cheap Labor 31:28 What Automation Does to the Economy 39:07 What Still Holds Robotics Back 42:30 How AI Actually Powers Robots 50:49 The Robotics Data Bottleneck 53:34 Robotics Companies to Watch --- RESOURCES Shahin Farshchi https://x.com/Farshchi --- Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:03 Hey, Bankless Nation, in this episode, I talked to Shaheen Farshi. He is a general partner at Lux Capital, which is a hard tech venture firm. They invest in frontier technologies, AI, automation, biotech, robotics, just to name a few. Not in crypto. This is not a crypto episode. I wanted to go learn a little bit more about robotics. And Shaheen is a veteran of automation and robotics. Automation is a very important word. There's a lot of hype and excitement. about humanoid robotics, you know, the Tesla Optimus Prime, the figure robot. Now, Andrew King really came into the crypto industry, really talking about like robotics and humanoid robotics. And I wanted to learn, I want to learn about that. I want to learn about robotics in the investing space around there. Jahan has been investing in robotics for a decade plus. And so he's seen a thing or two. And he's been around a few hype cycles in robotics. And so he's just probably the foremost expert on this industry. And so I'm pretty honored to be able to host him on this conversation
Starting point is 00:01:09 and just learn about a sector outside of crypto that's in frontier technology that I think is going to be very, very impactful from somebody who just knows all the ins are out. And so with that preamble out of the way, Shaheen, welcome to bankless. Thank you for having me, David. Shaheen, there has been a ton of hype around robotics. And I think a lot of people are learning about the robotics sector for the very first time.
Starting point is 00:01:34 And so this is why I reached out to you and Lux, because I want to get a veteran on the show to ask a veteran what they think about the robotics industry. There's just been a crescendoing of hype. And while hype is exciting and it's fun and it's an opportunity to learn, and it can also be dangerous. And so I think the first question I want to throw at you
Starting point is 00:01:55 is, is the hype around robotics justified? What do you think? Yes, it's absolutely justified. Okay. Okay. That's a pretty simple answer. So the hyper-run robotics, I think, comes downstream of, like, a lot of products or companies coming live with humanoid robots. Is that what kids you excited about robotics? The humanoid element, the figure and Tesla Optimus Prime robots. Is that the same? Because that's my sector. That's what are getting people excited in my neck of the woods. Is that the same for you? No, so I'm not particularly excited about the humanoids. I'm excited about the most recent wave of innovations in AI and cheap manufacturing and the ability to make things that are extremely complicated, systems that are very all complicated at a very low price.
Starting point is 00:02:46 So you combine the intelligence with the cheap manufacturing together and you have products otherwise wouldn't have been possible for certain use cases. robotics is not new. Automation isn't new. We've had automation for decades, if not a century, with the advent of the assembly line, you know, with the creation of Ford. And so my view is that over the past,
Starting point is 00:03:12 I would say 15 years with AI in the form of convolutional neural nets in the early 2010s and the continued slope of cost reduction with robotic arms, we've seen a whole new wave of new robotics applications. And I think the humanoid robotics are a manifestation of that. But my personal excitement in robotics and automation isn't rooted in the humanoids. It's rooted in this more macro tailwind around the software that drives the robots and the commoditization of the hardware that's, that
Starting point is 00:03:54 the software runs on. If you rewind back to say the 1970s, there was a similar opportunity, a similar moment around the integration of microprocessors, which were the equivalent of AI of our time, into robotics. And that's how you saw robotics enter into, for example, automotive manufacturing.
Starting point is 00:04:21 You had these robotic arms that had a level of intelligence in them that allowed them to be programmed to very fine specifications to do various specific tasks like welding, riveting, blowing, ainting, various types of inspections. And that's what began
Starting point is 00:04:39 this racket proliferation of robotics into the broader manufacturing setting. Whereas today, when you walk into most automotive manufacturing facilities, a lot of the basic steps in automotive manufacturing are completely automated. You don't see any people involved at all until the later steps where various parts of the interior, the wiring harnesses, the glass are starting to be installed in the vehicle.
Starting point is 00:05:11 And what we're seeing today, to the point that you brought up, is a lot of the companies that sell into these larger companies also having the benefit of automation. So when you walk into a Ford factory, you see a ton of automation. But if you walk into the factory that sells the components that are sold into the Ford factory, you may not see as much automation because they don't have the budgets. They don't have the investment to be able to invest the way four can invest in its automation. And now what we're seeing with AI is just like how it is now easy for anybody to generate code, it's becoming as easy for anyone to program a robot.
Starting point is 00:06:00 And these robots are getting very cheap. And so now you're seeing a lot of these companies otherwise didn't have access to robots. These industries otherwise didn't have access to robots. now getting access to them in a way we hadn't seen before. So that's what catalyzes my excitement around robots, which may be slightly different than what's catalyzing yours or perhaps others' excitement around robotics. And I would just perhaps be in the minority of folks
Starting point is 00:06:30 that probably, you know, I'm optimistic, but I'm not as excited about what we're seeing right now in humanoid robots yet as perhaps others are. I do want to talk to you about humanoid robotics, but I think maybe it's worth putting a pin in that and just saving that for later and really diving into what you just discussed right now. Maybe I could just try and summarize your excitement
Starting point is 00:06:51 is really about the integration of intelligence into automation. And inside of automation, in addition to that, intelligence is allowing for cost reduction, deflation for what it means to automate things. And so it's about the collision of automation and intelligence and also the accessibility of automation to be applied to more and more industries. And that's what you really get excited about as an investor.
Starting point is 00:07:24 And as somebody who is excited about growing the GDP of the United States. This is a fair summary of your excitement. As an investor, David, many VCs are excited about, you know, giant markets and unfair advantages and monopolistic businesses in those markets, I'm particularly excited about opportunities to create markets where none exist. And what we're seeing with robotics is that markets for robotics are being created where markets for robots previously didn't exist for the reasons that you mentioned. The AI, the software, the commoditization of the hardware, which is now creating a market where one didn't exist.
Starting point is 00:08:09 and there's companies out there that are in a position to now dominate those nascent markets. Can we try and define some terms a little bit? We're using robotics and we're also using automation. Are those the same terms? Are they different? And how should we think about these things when we were talking about this industry? Good question. So I look at automation as a solution to a problem.
Starting point is 00:08:31 So there are many aspects associated with automation. There's a financing aspect associated to it. There's an engineering aspect associated with it, which has nothing to do with the robot. How do you engineer your factory floor and your workflows to be able to benefit from robotic participation? It is the physical robot itself. It's the software that runs on the robot. It's the systems that are put in place to maintain the robots and make sure that they're up 99.999% of the time. And so I view all of those resources culminating in the end goal of the automation of a task
Starting point is 00:09:18 to fall under that envelope of automation with the physical robots and the software that is running on that robot being a component of that. But that's a great question. Automation is the broad category and we need a bunch of robots. to create the process of automation, but automation and robots are not the same thing. Correct. Robots obviously automate, but automation is not limited to robots.
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Starting point is 00:12:42 of little robots running around moving packages and they're not fixed and maybe they're slightly more generalized than the car building arm. Is there a spectrum to discuss about the generalizability of robots? And are you particularly bullish on a region of generalizability?
Starting point is 00:13:00 or is this not really a subject that is discussed much when it comes to robotics and automation? I feel like the automation solutions are as broad as the problem set. So as you stated, the problem associated with order fulfillment in an Amazon warehouse is very different from the problem associated with assembling the components of a vehicle. There are two very different problems. problems and they demand very different automation solution.
Starting point is 00:13:36 Now, I can see from the perspective of a founder or from the perspective of an investor in a company to be motivated to champion their investments or their company as the singular solution to all problems. There is an economic motivation in presenting that picture that, hey, I'm building a widget that's going to solve every problem associated with automation, and it has a human form factor because humans do many tasks, if not most, tasks. I would argue that that is more of an economically driven argument
Starting point is 00:14:20 more so than a practical one. The way I view the world, and the way I view the opportunity, is that specific applications are best suited to certain types of robotics in automation solutions. And so my expectation is that there will be an opportunity for a humanoid form factor machine that does some subset of tasks that are performed by humans today, but they will be one of many automation solutions that will take on many shapes and form.
Starting point is 00:15:04 So if you look at the robot that is used in the Ford factory today, that is an arm that has, for example, a welder and defector, it probably has zero resemblance to the robotic, cart in an Amazon warehouse that shuttles boxes from one location of the warehouse to another for either stocking or order fulfillment. These robots have practically nothing to do with each other except perhaps both being made from metal and plastic. And I think that's what, having some computer chips in them and cameras on them, but perhaps that's where the resemblance ends. Yet both bring significant value to
Starting point is 00:15:50 to their end use cases. And so it's my expectation that those specific foreign factors will continue to proliferate alongside the humanoids, which will have their own place in the market. But I personally, as none of one, don't see a single solution dominating all problems because I just don't think a single solution will be able to be best served to, to most problems. So would you say that there is the humanoid end of the spectrum and maybe one of the reasons why that's fun and sexy to talk about
Starting point is 00:16:29 is that the form factor is going to be consistent across companies and, I mean, they look like us and so we can get excited about them. But I think what I just heard you say is that that's kind of going to be the only consistent form factor. And when we talk about the rest of robotics that it takes to create automation, the form factors are going to be highly heterogeneous and non-overlapping and specific and tailored to their needs. And one of the reasons why we need to make,
Starting point is 00:17:00 one of the inputs that we need to make that world work is the deflation and cost of creating this whole industry in the first place which we talked about earlier. Would you agree with that assessment? I would say yes, broadly. There are components that go into these robots that will be consistent across use cases, the cameras, the force sensors,
Starting point is 00:17:21 the reduction gear sets, the encoders, the power management systems, the actual arms. The building blocks, the building blocks will be consistent. For example, if you look at a smartphone, it may have little resemblance with, for example, a laptop, a small, inexpensive laptop.
Starting point is 00:17:49 The use case for the cell phone may be very different from the use case, let's say, for example, for an iPad, yet a lot of the technology that goes into the phone, the arm-based processor, the memory, the Wi-Fi interface, the video driver, even the LCD screen itself. There are different form factors. They have different specifications, but they share the same basic technological architecture,
Starting point is 00:18:17 their operating systems may share many, many thousands of lines of code, but they're used for very different use cases with a similar technology basis. So when you see a robotic arm that is doing welding, it may have the same motors, encoders, force sensors, cameras as the robot that's doing the riveting. But the robot that's doing the riveting may have a larger, for example, range of motion. It has a different end effector attached to it. And so it is engineered for that use case, yet that use case is very broad, but not as broad as doing everything for everybody. So I generally take issue with the notion of we're building a robot that's going to perform all tasks because I think it'll be very difficult for a robot that performs all tasks to be better than a
Starting point is 00:19:15 robot that's specialized to a certain task. And why would someone not use a robot that specialized to that certain tasks? And so on the specialization end of the spectrum, the specialization to generalization spectrum, I guess the bottleneck is if we indeed do have all of the raw ingredients that it takes to make a robot. We have the power, we have the actuators, the ball bearings. Really, the constraint is the ability to put them in the right package according to the actual task at hand. Is that the current constraint?
Starting point is 00:19:52 Great, we have the pieces, but we need to put them in the right shapes, and that part can be more difficult because there's more possible shapes to order all the pieces in than could, you know, There's so many possible shapes to order all the pieces that it's a little bit hard to bear. Is that a fair assessment? And that's why you've only seen robotics proliferate in these larger industrial settings.
Starting point is 00:20:18 Ford has tens of millions of dollars that it can deploy to companies who specialize in this. Companies like Honeywell, Dramatic, symbotic, Wynwright, these companies who specialize in engineering robotic solutions for a particular use case. In Ford's case, it would be an assembly. line. So the robots that, for example, put a sheet of aluminum into a staff, the robots that take those sheets of aluminum, the stamped aluminum out of the stamp put into another stamp, and then the robot
Starting point is 00:20:47 that has a camera at the end that expects the stamped part to make sure there's no defects. And then the robot that puts two pieces of stamp metal together and the other robot, a third robot, doing the weld between those pieces of sheet metal, those stamped pieces of sheet metal. and then robots doing the riveting and the gluing and then lowering it into a bath of acid and the robots that are doing the painting. So there are many tasks that need to be automated, that need to be engineered by the integrator,
Starting point is 00:21:20 which is extremely expensive. And there are few companies today that can afford to do that with the legacy technology that was available to us until today. And my enthusiasm is rooted to the earlier part of the conversation, and these robots becoming less expensive, and the engineering that goes into making them useful
Starting point is 00:21:44 becoming far more accessible, just like how anybody can now speak to a computer and generate code, I see a future where someone can speak to an interface powered by AI that will then program the robot to do a specific task rather than you having to hire an engineer to do that for you. and we'll see the more rapid adoption of automation and more and more settings that until now didn't have that access. So you're right.
Starting point is 00:22:15 It is taking the individual components and building all the software and the tools that you need to actually make that system that you build for your use case useful. It feels like kind of building a developer platform of sorts in that we have all the basic ingredients and we need to be able to allow, people to tinker with, play with, you know, combine all of the pieces in order to suit their needs. And making this more and more accessible is going to find, allow the market to place automation
Starting point is 00:22:48 in deeper, more niche, more specific parts of the market so long as we can just figure out how to open up robotics to, and be more accessible. That's kind of what it feels like. And that's what companies are doing today, which fuels my enthusiasm. I'll give you an example. Okay. So. Yeah, tell me about them.
Starting point is 00:23:05 So if you wanted to develop a robot that does some kind of unstructured task. So when you're talking about welding two pieces of sheet metal together, it is a very structured task. You are within the thousands of a millimeter, you know, where this robotic end effector is going, and you know exactly what it's doing. When you're talking about the less structured task, it becomes extremely challenging to develop automation for it. If you fast forward to today, you have companies like physical intelligence that we invested in that are building models that specialize in various unstructured tasks, and they're putting many of those models on open source repositories,
Starting point is 00:23:51 it's for roboticists to use and fine-tune for their individual use cases. This is extremely powerful and a huge enabler for the community that didn't exist until, very recently. So what would have required many PhDs and millions of dollars of funding and many years
Starting point is 00:24:13 now can be achieved by an undergraduate student, maybe even a high school student, downloading and installing one of these models and fine-tuning the robot to perform a specific task. Now, your question,
Starting point is 00:24:28 follow-on question could be, well, why don't we have robots everywhere today? It's that we, We still have some work to do to make these robots more reliable and to make them faster and to make them competitive with labor. And we can get into that if you'd like on the role that labor has in the proliferation of robotics. I do want to get into that.
Starting point is 00:24:53 Let me ask you this one last question. It seems, I was going to ask you, are we on the cusp of something big in robotics? But it sounds like, and what I mean by that is that, you know, we have AI, we have, you know, decreasing cost of automation. It feels like we have the raw ingredients. And so we're close. You know, we're close to a cusp. It kind of sounds like we're actually, the cusp is behind us. And actually, the ball is materially rolling towards this direction. To your point, we don't, as me as a consumer, you know, somebody who walks around the streets of New York, is not impacting my life yet. but in the factories, the frontier of this intelligence is progressing and progress is being made. We don't quite yet have the very high reliability that we need.
Starting point is 00:25:42 But in terms of, you know, a step function change in progress in the world of automation and robotics, it sounds like that ball is already rolling and it's not a, it's no longer an if. It's already like happening now. Is that correct? That's right. And the analogy that I like to use and the evidence that I have, that points to the theme that you're sharing is compute. If you look at the 70s and 80s, people regarded computers as pieces of hardware. When you thought about a computer,
Starting point is 00:26:15 you thought about what the processor speed was, how much RAM did it have, what was the graphics interface. That was what defined personal computing in the 80s and into the early 90s, into the early 90s. the rapid proliferation occurred, that, I guess, that tipping point occurred with the internet.
Starting point is 00:26:39 And compute was no longer regarded as a piece of, let's say, capital equipment, something physical or a machine. It was regarded as a capability. You went on the internet. You consumed content. You stored your files. And the physical hardware was completely abstracted away. I feel like right now we're in the equivalent of the early 90s of compute with robotics,
Starting point is 00:27:07 where when you and I have a conversation, we're still talking about the physical robots. We're talking about the machine. We're talking about the plastic and the bearings and the software. We're still not talking about the output of the machine. The emphasis is not on the output of the machine. The way the emphasis today is on the output of compute. which is evidence of this mass proliferation. So I feel like we are on that trend
Starting point is 00:27:36 towards abstracting away the plastic and the metal and the cool demos and focusing on what these robots are going to do for us. And I feel like that is a direction that we're headed towards and that's what makes me very excited. Let's go into what you were talking about a second ago with a labor input into robotics. I'm actually not sure where,
Starting point is 00:27:59 this conversation leads. So I think I need you to actually take the reins here. What is significant about this part of this conversation? Yeah. So there's always this ongoing debate about the question of how robots affects labor. And there's human labor, human jobs. Are we going to be automated out of a job like this question? There's this general concern, which is a warranted concern, it's justified, that if you
Starting point is 00:28:28 increase automation, then you are reducing opportunities for labor. And the enemy of labor, the enemy of work is automation. And if you observe historical trends, you'll see that economies who benefit from more automation, who adopt more automation, tend to also benefit from less unemployment. And economies who do not automate
Starting point is 00:29:04 tend to suffer from more unemployment. So that's been the general trend. And so I would say that the enemy here of both labor and jobs as well as automation is cheap labor. So cheap labor here is the common threat or the common, let's say, enemy here. When you have cheap labor somewhere else, then you are now threatening the jobs or the employment in your market. And by the same token, when you have cheap labor available, then you're increasing the hurdle rate that automation needs to cross in order to be able to,
Starting point is 00:29:53 proliferates. And the observation that I've had is that when you automate, yes, you may be displacing jobs, but you are disproportionately creating higher quality jobs, where you have less churn, where you have greater worker satisfaction. We're investors in a company called Formic, and what they're doing is offering robots as a service. What they sell is not a physical machine. What they sell is the output of a machine, the abstract away the machine, and they make it as easy for you as the owner or operator of a factory or a warehouse to automate as it is for you to hire labor.
Starting point is 00:30:39 And these customers are not deploying automation because they want to reduce their headcount or save money. They're trying to do this because they can't find workers. And these are jobs that have extremely high turn rates. And what they've actually experienced is creating more and more jobs that are higher quality that do not suffer from the worker dissatisfaction and the churn that they experienced prior to adopting automation. And again, the enemy of all of this is not, the enemy of jobs and automation, again,
Starting point is 00:31:21 is not the robots. It is the cheap labor, if that makes sense. Yeah, yeah, I think it does. I think that takes us to where I want to go next, which is just the impact on the economy of a successful automation industry. I think you talked about it just a little bit now. We get more higher quality jobs.
Starting point is 00:31:43 Yes, there may be some short-term dislocation of jobs, jobs from A to B. Perhaps there is short-term economic pain in some industries, but in the long term and the trends point towards more higher paying jobs. What about just like the rest of the economy, the cost of goods, the cost of food, the cost of building a physical like non-software, non-sass-based startup? Say the automation industry does everything that it hopes to do in the next decade. what would that mean for just the average consumer's life in terms of prices and just what the impact on the economy would be?
Starting point is 00:32:26 I mean, I'll give you the broad answer, and that would be more selection, more competition, and ultimately a benefit to consumers. So if a factory, so factories, for example, that our company Formate is selling automation into, they have more productivity, their workers get paid more. they generate from better unity economics, and they ultimately are able to sell better products at better prices, and the benefit trickles down to the end customer. So it's my expectation, my belief, that if you're able to make automation simple enough to adopt and make it reliable enough,
Starting point is 00:33:09 then everybody from the people that sell products to these automation customers, to the people that purchase the products from them, will ultimately benefit. And I think the key point here is educating our workforce. If we make sure that our workforce is educated and has the opportunity to grow their skill set, then they will be very well positioned for this future
Starting point is 00:33:37 of more higher paying and higher quality jobs. And so I think that's something that we as a society have to take upon ourselves to keep our workforce, to make sure our workforce is prepared for this new generation of work that's going to come about as a result of automation, as opposed to looking at it as, oh, no, jobs are being eliminated. So what do we do with our workforce? We should be more proactive about it. Is there a particular industry that you get really excited about when it comes to the potential of said industry with automation? Like agriculture, I could imagine, gets scaled.
Starting point is 00:34:18 But I'm sure there's a handful of industries that is possible to talk about. Does one stick out to you is particularly exciting? Yeah, I mean, if you look at agriculture historically, agriculture is one of the first industries to be automated. And as a result of that, we went from, you know, food shortages to food being completely abundance as a result. You know, you look at industries like automotive, consumer electronics, these are industries that are highly automated.
Starting point is 00:34:47 And as a result, you know, we have cars that are extremely safe, extremely efficient. And, you know, many of us have the benefit of either keeping our cars for 10 years like myself, you know, that are reliable and run for a long time. Or we can go out and buy the latest and greatest car and the newer the cars get, the cheaper they get and the more capable they get. And the more safe and efficient if they get. So these are all benefits that come to. to us. I feel like the zeitgeist today, David, going back to your earlier question about
Starting point is 00:35:19 excitement, is around robots and domestic settings. So we're talking about companion robots. We're talking about Butler robots, you know, robots and household settings. I am a little cautious about those kinds of use cases for two reasons. One, because I feel like there's still a huge opportunity
Starting point is 00:35:49 for automation in factory and warehousing settings. There is plenty of work to do there. There's plenty of opportunities to automate in those settings. And I feel like it may not be as sexy
Starting point is 00:36:06 as a companion robot or a made robot but I feel like those applications are still very, very real. We're seeing the proliferation of autonomous cars. I mean, they are a fantastic example
Starting point is 00:36:21 of a robot. There's a lot more room there. We still haven't, we were promised the big rigs and the trucks to become automated. They still haven't become fully automated. So we'll see hopefully in the near future more autonomous vehicles, autonomous trucks.
Starting point is 00:36:41 And I feel like the future of a humanoid robot tackling the challenges in a domestic setting, cleaning up after a child, helping an elderly person, doing basic tasks like emptying the dishwasher, I think we'll see that come, but I feel like that is further out. And I'm more excited about these near-term opportunities and more, I would say, industrial and commercial settings. Because those are the opportunities that scale to all of society in a very efficient way, right? It's getting a humanoid robot into everyone's home. That's like a huge last mile problem.
Starting point is 00:37:21 There's huge constraints with the actual design of the robot. But I think one of the reasons why I think you're excited is that there are a few places where you can put robots and automation into that have just massive benefits for society as a whole. That's right. And so it's a little bit of the scalability of the effect, I think, is something that gets you excited about the automation side. I don't want to say easier because all these problems are challenging, but I feel like
Starting point is 00:37:48 the problems are more constrained in these industrial and commercial settings and the value proposition or the economics that are more well-defined than robots going into a domestic setting. When you when you buy, for example, a piece of furniture, you know, my, you know, I may sleep on my couch, you know, every afternoon to take a nap. You may not even sit on that couch, you know, for months, depending on like, you know, how we look at couches. And so given the widely varying utility that consumers get from like these kinds of discretionary purchases, I think it would be challenging to introduce a piece of technology like that into the domestic setting. I think I wouldn't say that it's impossible.
Starting point is 00:38:42 I'm just saying that it'll take longer than a lot of people think. And listen, like, I'm a huge robotics nerd. I was a big Star Trek fan. I wish to be able to interact with a robot, like, you know, commander data from series from the next generation. But like I'm excited for that day, but I just feel like it's a little further out than what a lot of people hope.
Starting point is 00:39:08 What are the constraints that are trying to be solved right now? Of the robotics automation companies that you guys have invested in at Lux, is there a common denominator of problems trying to be tackled or what are the modern problems in the proliferation of automation and robotics? It really comes down. to the breadth of applications, the reliability, and being able to demonstrate the unit economics
Starting point is 00:39:35 to customers. Because you're talking about a relatively nascent product. Like when a customer buys, for example, a conveyor belt or a package sorting machine or a oven for their restaurants, there's very clear economics attached to that. When you buy, if you have a coffee shop, you buy a coffee brining machine for $5,000 or whatever it is, it's very clear. as to what the return on that investment is. When you're talking about a new product, a new technology with a sample set of, you know, 10 customers who've used this before, it's most more challenging to be able to justify that return on investment.
Starting point is 00:40:13 So I think being able to demonstrate value, being able to create an opportunity for a customer to be able to properly underwrite is the challenge that a lot of these, this new wave of automation companies are facing right now, perhaps more so than just technology, as being able to quantify the value ad for their customers. Bankless Nation, we've built something for you. Introducing the Bankless MCP. Chat Chb-T and Claude are great at a lot of things, but ask them anything beyond the basics of crypto about protocol mechanics, tokenomics, or just what happened last week in crypto,
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Starting point is 00:42:35 We have, we have AI now. We are now having, like, people talk about robots coming into the home. And I think the naive, simple thing to you do to do in your imagination is like, oh, we've got LLMs, let's put them into the robot. And now we have smart, general realized robots. While preparing for this interview, I've learned that that's not quite, how it works. I wish it was that simple. Shaheen, can you explain VLMs and VLAs
Starting point is 00:43:00 and all the other details that we need to know about how AI actually becomes imbued in robots? So AI comes in many flavors. And if you look at the technology that's more commonplace today, when AI is being implemented in a robot on the field today, most of those robots,
Starting point is 00:43:24 use some combination of sensing with their cameras and radar and LiDAR or whatever it is. And then they have a processing chain that tries to perceive their environments, which is segmenting the sky versus the ground, what the objects are, what object is movable, what object is not movable, what is the target objects. They call that in general perception from what is being sensed from their sensors. And then there is planning, okay, so how do I, you know, reach for that object? If you're a car, what path should I take to get to the other side of the intersection, for example, if there is construction going on on the other side of the street?
Starting point is 00:44:10 And then there's the actual actuation, which is, okay, now I'm going to activate this motor, activate that motor to execute on that plan that I've generated from my perception of the environment that I have collected from my sensors. So that is the, I would say, common AI-based workflow that exists in robots in the fields today. I'm not intimate with the technology behind the Waymo vehicles,
Starting point is 00:44:40 but my guess is that the way they operate today is somewhere along these lines. Now, what we're seeing with VLAs and VLMs is some flavor of using language to interpret a scene and then generating language from that language should then take some kind of action. I am vastly grossly oversimplifying this, and there's many people out there
Starting point is 00:45:19 that can explain this better than I can. But the core of it is using language to interpret a scene and then using language to come up with some plan of action and then executing on that. And as you know, with us as individuals and animals, we don't necessarily talk through what we're seeing and we don't talk through what we're going to do. There's many other steps that come into play and many other sensations. that come to play and many other pre-planned reflexes and and and and heuristics that come into play and many companies are trying to bake that into our into their models the jury is
Starting point is 00:46:06 still out as to whether you can simply solve this problem with scale to just make these absolutely gigantic models that rely on language alone to perform these tasks versus is the more quote unquote traditional approach which is this sensing perception planning action process which was
Starting point is 00:46:32 popularized pre-LLMs I think the jury is still out as to what's going to come together but it's my expectation that it's going to be some kind of hybrid of the two if that makes sense but I can suggest many people that you can bring on to your show
Starting point is 00:46:48 that can give a pretty a thorough lesson on how these VLAs and VLMs actually work. That would definitely challenge myself as an interviewer to go that far down the robotics and automation rabbit hole. But I do find it very interesting. I probably should have defined VLM and VLA that's vision language model and vision language action model. Would you say, is it fair to say like we got LLMs on the Claude Anthropic opening
Starting point is 00:47:15 eye side and we have VLMs and VLAs on the automation robotic side? Or is it just not that clean? LOMs are basically, you know, chatbots. And then VLMs and VLAs are basically interpreting a scene with language and then taking action based on putting, you know, a set of observations and intentions through a model and generating a plan from that and then converting that plan into action. So, for example, okay, you know, taking a picture of a scene from a sensor, okay, like, here's all the objects in the scene by putting it through a vision language model and then using language, like basically a chatbot to come up with some kind of kind of action based on the robot's goals and then turning that language into like, you know, motor actuations to actually perform some kind of task. Okay, you know, you open your refrigerator.
Starting point is 00:48:18 Okay, I want beer. Where is the beer? Oh, there is a beer. Okay, now you have to pick up the beer. You go grab the beer. So it's been shown that these work, but they're still relatively nascent, relative to the more traditional approach,
Starting point is 00:48:35 and they may not be as quick and they may not be as reliable. And so, again, the jury is still out as to how you can make them more reliable. Do you just continue to refine them and make them larger? or do you kind of hybridize them with these more traditional approaches and I'm not a roboticist myself,
Starting point is 00:48:52 but I think it would be a great idea for your next guest on the show to talk about that. It seems like it's an important ingredient nonetheless to add to the generalizability and just the practicality of automation and robotics to fit into more spots in the world. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:49:12 Because it seems like you can take this VLM or VLA and apply it to a robot in different settings, and it just kind of works. Is that right? So the whole, the thought process behind these types of language models is that, yes, they're more generalizable. You can teach them to do things by simply just, you know, showing them the task, the same way you would show a child to task.
Starting point is 00:49:39 That's the thesis behind them. And I'm really excited about them. I'm optimistic that over time we'll figure out how to make them faster, more reliable, easier to train. Because right now, again, you need a team of hundreds of engineers to teach a Waymo, for example,
Starting point is 00:49:59 how to go from A to B safely. Is there a future where you can do the same with a VLA? You know, perhaps. But the question becomes, how much does it need to be trained to get to what level of reliability? Like, for example, I'm trying to teach my four-year-old how to write numbers.
Starting point is 00:50:18 And, you know, some numbers she can write, like, after I show her twice. Other numbers, for whatever reason, but she has a hard time, like, stopping when she's doing a curve. Like, for example, write the number two. You have to curve and then stop and do a straight line. That's the challenge for her. So maybe that challenge is limited to human children. Or maybe it's a limitation associated with neural networks. Who knows?
Starting point is 00:50:46 So that will be figured out in the near future. I would also imagine the chatbots had this very incredible advantage in that they just had to train on all the data of the internet, which was accessible to them. Yeah. I would imagine that robots and automation don't nearly have the same qualitative and quantitative amount of data to train how to move your arm to grab the thing
Starting point is 00:51:08 with the right amount of force. So we are investors in X-Daf, which is specializing in general, generating this training data for robotics. Physical intelligence, obviously, also has a huge capability around amassing this data internally for training this robots. So, yes, you're hitting on a very good point, which is companies that are able to access and build these training sets for these particular applications will certainly be advantaged.
Starting point is 00:51:35 Shaheen, this has been very exciting and very educational. how are you hoping that automation and robotics impacts, positively impacts your actual personal life? So your day-to-day changes in your house gets an upgrade or your car gets an upgrade. Is there anything that you're like trying to get your hands on as soon as possible to have like a material improvement in just your day-to-day life? I'd like to have an autonomous car that is always available to me rather than having to call a ride share. But the reality is that you kind of have that today with Waymo, and you sort of have that today with Tesla's FSD. But I wouldn't mind taking it a step further
Starting point is 00:52:18 where the vehicle could figure out where to park and go off on its own and for me not to have to deal with it. I think that for me would, and I'm just a big car enthusiast. I'm a car nerd. So having a car like that would be to own is something that I personally find fascinating and exciting. What about how you think like automation actually enters the home? Not the humanoid robots.
Starting point is 00:52:42 Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. So if it was just me, David, I would totally nerd out on having even a modestly capable robot, you know, in my home that could do simple things like, you know, turn the stove off, you know, or pour me a glass of water and bring it over, you know, just for the purpose of, you know, just for the purpose of, you know, nerding out on something like this. I would find that just personally exciting, but being married and having two small kids, I just think it's extremely unlikely that my wife would allow something like that in the house until it's proven to be safe
Starting point is 00:53:23 and never trip over a child or anything like that. So just for myself, just having a robot around that I can physically interact with would be a huge novelty and interesting. Of the companies that you guys have invested in at Lux, if listeners wanted to just go a little bit deeper about what we've been talking about today, are there any good companies that are doing something exciting
Starting point is 00:53:44 that also provide an educational opportunity to just learn more. Any companies out there that are... They should learn more about physical intelligence. They should check out the company. They should check out the models that they have available out there. They should also learn about Formic, which is deploying robots in real manufacturing logistics settings.
Starting point is 00:54:03 They have hundreds of deployments across the country. Most of their customers had no automation before automating with Formic. And their goal is to be the largest employer of robots globally. We'd like to say the equivalent of U.S. robotics and will be by a robot, but not evil. And so, you know, those two companies, they should absolutely check out. Shaheen, thanks so much for coming on the show today. Loved it. Love it, David.
Starting point is 00:54:30 Thanks for having me.

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