Bankless - CFTC vs. Uniswap, Prediction Markets, & Crypto | Commissioner Summer Mersinger

Episode Date: October 3, 2024

In this episode, we speak with CFTC Commissioner Summer Mersinger about the rapidly changing world of cryptocurrency regulation. Commissioner Mersinger provides a detailed look at the differences betw...een the CFTC and SEC, their roles in overseeing digital assets, and how the regulatory landscape is evolving with DeFi and crypto markets. She discusses the CFTC’s recent dissent in the Uniswap case, the challenges of classifying assets as commodities or securities, and the implications of U.S. regulations on the global crypto industry.  Whether you're a crypto enthusiast, a DeFi developer, or just curious about how the U.S. government is approaching these new technologies, this episode offers invaluable insights into the future of crypto regulation. ------ 📣0x v2 | NEXT GEN PRICING ENGINE https://bankless.cc/0x   ------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🐙KRAKEN | MOST-TRUSTED CRYPTO EXCHANGE https://k.xyz/bankless-pod-q2   🗣️TOKU | CRYPTO EMPLOYMENT  https://bankless.cc/toku   ⚡️CARTESI | LINUX-POWERED ROLLUPS https://bankless.cc/CartesiGovernance   ⁠ 🦄UNISWAP | BROWSER EXTENSION https://bankless.cc/uniswap  ⚖️ ARBITRUM | SCALING ETHEREUM ⁠https://bankless.cc/Arbitrum  🛞MANTLE | MODULAR LAYER 2 NETWORK https://bankless.cc/Mantle  ------ ✨ Mint the episode on Zora ✨ https://zora.co/collect/zora:0x0c294913a7596b427add7dcbd6d7bbfc7338d53f/72?referrer=0x077Fe9e96Aa9b20Bd36F1C6290f54F8717C5674E  ------ TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 5:20 Commissioner Mersinger 8:20 CFTC vs. SEC Regulation Differences 9:44 Assets: Commodities vs. Securities 21:59 Consensus on Digital Assets as Commodities 26:03 CFTC vs. SEC Rivalry Dynamics 28:25 Bureaucracy a Feature or Bug? 29:34 Overregulation in Crypto: CFTC vs. SEC 36:15 Uniswap Case: CFTC Enforcement Action 47:41 The Regulatory Paradox of Decentralized Finance 1:00:09 CFTC Enforcement Decision-Making Process 1:02:02 Addressing Crypto Prediction markets in crypto 1:15:08  Engagement for Productive Crypto Future 1:19:52 Continuing engagement and conversation is essential 1:20:55 Closing & Disclaimers ------ RESOURCES Commissioner Summer Mersinger https://x.com/cftcmersinger  Commissioner Mersinger’s Dissent https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/SpeechesTestimony/mersingerstatement090424   Uniswap Action  https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8961-24  ------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures ⁠  

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Even just three or four years ago, you had members of Congress saying this is all fake. It's all money laundering. It's all criminals. Maybe there's a few that still say that, but very few. And people are recognizing that this is legitimate market. These are important markets. And that we need to make sure we're not pushing all this activity offshore. Welcome to Bankless, where today we explore the frontier of commodities and the government agency, at least in the U.S.,
Starting point is 00:00:32 that regulates them. This is Ryan Sean Adams. I'm here with David Hoffman, and we're here to help you become more bankless. We have a CFTC commissioner on the podcast today, and the reason David and I booked this episode is because we're sort of wondering, what is the status of the CFTC?
Starting point is 00:00:47 Are they a friend or foe of crypto in the United States? There was this case that we saw, I think it was two weeks ago, David, which is a uniswap versus CFTC settlement case. And we get into the details in today's episode, but it kind of raised our eyebrows. And the question is, is the CFTC emerging as a crypto ally, or are they going the way of the SEC and Gary Gensler? So we had Commissioner Mercinger on the podcast today who actually dissented from the settlement action with the CFTC. And she gives the reason
Starting point is 00:01:16 for that dissent and the broader context. We talked about uniswap. We talked about leverage tokens. We talked about prediction markets, all of the things that are adjacent to this important regulatory agency in the U.S. and crypto. There's a lot of similarity between the CFTC and the SEC. I think our listeners are going to be more familiar with the SEC simply because it's been more of a player in our world with Gary Gensler. And then also the commissioner that we've had on the podcast before from the SEC has been Hester Purse. And I think Commissioner Mercinger, I think has a lot of similarities to Hester Purst. First principles driven, free markets, reduced government, very first principles or
Starting point is 00:01:59 and kind of just like true to the purpose of these organizations and also interested in coming on a crypto podcast and frequently dissents with some of the enforcement actions from the overall organization. And so we get into a little bit of the differences between the CFTC and the SECC, along with all the current events that Ryan just bit out just a second ago. ZeroX, the OG builders of DeFi Infra since 2017 are launching ZeroXV2, a full-stack upgrade of on-chain crypto-trading APIs. With V2, you get multi-hop and multiplex token routing, which splits trades across multiple routes and multiple tokens to find out of all possible permutations,
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Starting point is 00:06:16 Bank the station, we are very excited to introduce you to Commissioner Summer Mercinger. She is a commissioner for the U.S. Commodities, Futures, and Trading Commission. That is known. I'll give you the acronym. That is the CFTC, is probably what you've heard it now. She was nominated by President Biden and confirmed by the Senate in March 2022. And I would say regarding cryptocurrency, at least so far, Commissioner Mersinger has emerged as more on the advocate side. She's got a clear and balanced view on regulation and crypto and how these things intersect.
Starting point is 00:06:45 We'll talk about one of her most recent dissents in the course of this episode. But Commissioner Mersinger, welcome to Bankless for the first time. Yeah, thanks for having me on. Well, it's great to have you. So it's been a while since we've had somebody from the same. CFTC on. I believe David, like you might recall this. So I think we had Brian Quinn-Tens on. That's right. It had to be like two or three years ago. A while ago. And then we had a former chair, Chris John Carlo on the episode. He wrote a book actually about crypto, but we sort of like talk to him
Starting point is 00:07:14 post being at the CFTC. So it's great to hear from the CFTC again. And I think we should start here. Like just by way of recap, can you tell us what the CFTC regulates in the U.S.? That's always a good place to start. I do have to give my standard disclaimer, which is the views I share today are my own and not necessarily those of the CFTC or my fellow commissioners. So kind of the basics of the CFTC, it's a mouthful to say the full name. But we regulate markets. So those markets span just, you know, it's crazy how far when you think about it. Everything I would say from cattle to crypto, literally, we have markets that are, you know, determining the future. a price of live cattle, we have markets that are looking at, you know, what will be the potential price of Bitcoin. And we really are just overseeing the markets. So we're probably more product agnostic than maybe this SEC. So we are regulated or our markets are also, they have a lot of what we call self-regulatory functions as well. So the idea is let the
Starting point is 00:08:26 operates, we kind of there to make sure it's a level playing field, make sure the rules allow for, you know, fairness in the markets. But at the end of the day, we really just want these markets to show what the price of commodities will be in the future. And also where it's necessary, people can use our markets to hedge their costs. So that's the idea behind it. We really It's starting the agricultural sector. We, you know, corn, cattle, and we have come very far from there. But it's, you know, and we have, you know, markets now that are looking at everything from, you know, kind of the interest rates to prediction markets. So we cover a lot of ground.
Starting point is 00:09:15 So covering markets is a lot of ground. That's a very broad thing. How do you differentiate between what you? you guys regulate what you guys cover and what the SEC regulates because I think maybe somebody in the SEC is like, well, we also regulate markets. Where is that line? Where is the line between the CFTC and the SEC? So I'll probably answer this as the, you know, is it a commodity or is it a security? And that's a, it's a simple question with a complicated answer. What I try to simplify it to, you know, everything that's bought and sell, sold in commerce is a commodity. And it's a
Starting point is 00:09:52 commodity until somebody calls it a security, essentially. So, you know, we can deem something a commodity under our jurisdiction, except for onions and movie theater tickets, which is a long story. But everything that's got bought, sold, commodity. But if the SEC comes in and says, you know what, we think this fits our test and this is a security, then it becomes a security. So you can actually, securities are commodities. So I think this gets, this is a where it gets really complicated when people are saying, you know, what's in your jurisdiction, what's in the SEC's jurisdiction? Our jurisdiction is really everything bought and sold until the SEC comes in and says, you know what, this is somebody trying to raise funds. This is someone
Starting point is 00:10:37 raising capital. And now it's a security. Okay. So the default for assets in markets is that they are all commodities unless the SEC says that they're a security. And hopefully the standard is more than the SEC actually claiming something is a security, right? They actually have to prove that it's a security in court and they can't be, quote, unquote, arbitrary and capricious. But let's talk about like some real world assets then and run it through sort of the test of, is it a commodity or is it something else? And by the way, is there another category? Is like there are there commodities, securities and other things like currencies? Or are we just commodities and securities when the U.S. looks at regulation in asset markets.
Starting point is 00:11:19 You know, when you start to talk about currencies, you know, that is somewhat of another category. Okay. You know, when you talk about foreign currency exchanges, we call that Forex or, you know, foreign exchange. And that has been regulated, you know, more on the commodity side or a commodity future side because it looks a lot like a futures product. And, you know, we have other kind of categories like you know, baskets of swaps that become, you know, a type of security or under our jurisdiction as a swap. So it does get
Starting point is 00:11:58 much more complicated than that. And certainly there are some tests that the SEC will hopefully use before they declare something as security. And then there are times where we may have an asset class that goes back and forth between a commodity and security. And we have to do constant analysis. between the two agencies of whose oversight is it. You know, it can get pretty complicated. But when you look at it in the basics, and I often use cattle because I grew up on a cattle ranch, but, you know, cattle, they're not a security.
Starting point is 00:12:29 They're a physical commodity. You're buying it, you know, you're the buying it at the auction house, so you're selling it at the auction house. Presumably you're selling it for money and you're buying it for food. You're not, you know, trying to raise capital through some kind of, you know, common enterprise. So that's kind of the basic idea of, you know, where a commodity sits.
Starting point is 00:12:53 And then, you know, we have our markets that are looking at, okay, what will that price be? And the next time I go to the auction house. Yeah, this is interesting because this comes into play with like the Howie test, right, which was like an orange growth. By the way, I'm not like a legal expert. But it's like, forgive me if I, like, screw up the details here. But basically, if you did something. I do it all the time.
Starting point is 00:13:14 Yeah, okay. It's like if you did something, you took oranges or cattle, let's say, which are commodities, and you sort of grouped these together and you issued like, you know, cow token security, something like this as a stake inside of this, like, you know, fantastic cow opportunity that I, as a, your company, am going to create value for. Then you can transform commodities maybe into securities. That's what my understanding of the Howie test was all about. Anyway, enough about Orange Groves because, gosh, we've talked to so much about that.
Starting point is 00:13:42 We could run through a basic test. So in the real world, we have these things called like collectibles, like baseball cards are collectibles or like Pokemon cards, like maybe famously in front of Congress are collectibles in the real world. Are collectible, are baseball cards commodities? And why? I mean, they are. You know, but they're not something that requires regulation, right? Like they're not, there's not necessarily. a market where buyers and sellers are being linked up. I mean, yeah, you might say if you're going to a trade show with your baseball cards. But, you know, I think there are certain things in interstate commerce that don't really make sense. And the idea of, you know, would these fall under your jurisdiction, you know, CFTC? And part of it is we look at, you know, would these commodities be, you know, part of our markets? would somebody offer a futures product on a baseball card?
Starting point is 00:14:46 I guess they could. And in that case, that might change the narrative a little bit. In fact, before Dodd-Frank, the narrative really was, if we have products on our markets trading, futures products on a commodity, then if there's some sort of manipulation that's affecting that futures market, then, you know, we could possibly go in with enforcement. Dodd-Frank broadened our fraud.
Starting point is 00:15:12 enforcement to basically all commodities in interstate commerce. And so then it gets a little more tricky as to, okay, how do we make sure we're not doing something like, you know, going after some sort of fraud in a Pokemon card, you know, game or, you know, a school, a school ground dispute over, you know, who if you traded equal, you know, Pokemon's here, I think that's how it works. But, you know, And a lot of that just goes to this idea of, you know, is there a market with kind of broad buyers and sellers coming together to who want to be selling these in a way that, you know, can give you some price discovery that can kind of tell you like what's the price of this market look like.
Starting point is 00:15:58 So I guess there's an element of scale here. And it sounds like the CFTC's job is just like when there's like enough scale in any kind of like market, then your role here is to make sure that the market will. works and it's efficient and it's like like neutral and there's not players who are kind of like manipulating it in some way. What's really interesting about cryptocurrency, of course, is like we can achieve scale for things that look a lot like collectibles or baseball cards very quickly. And you can even think of a world of like gaming assets. You know, and if you have some sort of massive multiplayer RPG and there's like a flaming sword item drop in some sort of
Starting point is 00:16:35 game and that gets represented as a digital token as an NFT inside of some platform and suddenly there's this massive we can scale this to like hundreds of millions of dollars or even billions of dollars of market activity for virtual gaming items well that's kind of a weird market that the cfTC has not sort of played in because with baseball cards you might scale this to like you know trade shows or something like this like private markets garage sales and the cfTC it's not a big enough market to get involved but maybe when we have gaming items and they're in the tens of billions of dollars, maybe the CFTC does need to take note when there's sufficient scale? Like, what's your take on this? So this is one of my favorite kind of, you know,
Starting point is 00:17:14 slippery slope arguments that I make a lot internally, this idea that like if we keep going down this road of like, you know, we want to just start calling more and more things under our jurisdiction and bringing enforcement cases, there will come a day where I'm suddenly regulating my son's robox game and is like skin purchases. the weird purchases that he makes inside that game. Right. And I'm like, I don't think that's what we want to be doing here. That seems, that doesn't seem like where we should be spending our regulatory oversight and time.
Starting point is 00:17:49 So I think there is a little bit of that, like we've got to be smart about where we're going and where we want to focus. And honestly, sometimes it is this idea of there are other agencies able to look, you know, to prevent fraud in these places where we really don't have a business regulating. You know, sometimes I will say to our enforcement team, isn't this the FTC, the Federal Trade Commission? Maybe they've got statutes that apply, you know, if there's something fraudulent going on in a market. Maybe they're the right regulator. Maybe it's the state attorney general's office. We're not the only regulator in town, and we don't have to cover every market. And so I think
Starting point is 00:18:33 we do have to be careful because we could head in that direction. This was an argument I made a lot when we started talking about NFTs and whether or not, you know, that would be an area of regulation for us. And that was my thing. I'm like, we start down that path and we will definitely be regulating roadblocks. And I don't want to do that. So I think it is a, you know, it's kind of a slippery slope joke argument. But I don't think it's that far out of like where do you end this?
Starting point is 00:19:01 I want to open up the conversation around the idea of a digital commodity. Because as I was learning about the world of commodities, I understood commodities to be things like resources that are found growing somewhere or just like mine somewhere that are physical on the planet. Like gold, clearly commodity, coffee beans, wheat. These are kind of like the things that we use to describe what a commodity is, even energy. And then this like weird thing, Bitcoin comes around and blows everyone's minds about like what is. is possible here. And then like this idea of like, oh, it's a digital commodity starts to be like thrown around the industry.
Starting point is 00:19:39 And then, but there's a line that is crossed there because Bitcoin, even though it has very like a lot of commodity like properties, it being software and human created from inception is just weird. At least when you compare it to like the other commodities that I mentioned, you know, coffee, wheat, energy. So like is so like one example, one one possible conversation is like, oh, the CFTC has been set up in a way that is, like, ideologically pure in a way that, like, even though Bitcoin so new, it still fits into our regulatory framework because a commodity is a commodity
Starting point is 00:20:12 and things can fit and cannot fit. Or it's like, well, the CFTC is just looking to regulate things that it just wants to regulate and Bitcoin is close enough. So let's, like, let's lump it in there. Can you talk about that chasm of, like, hopping over a digital commodity and what, like, maybe the conversations in the CFTC are like when it comes to regulating, whatever the hell digital commodities are. Right. No, and I think this has been a struggle, you know, internally and certainly we do a lot of work with congressional offices and the committees on,
Starting point is 00:20:42 you know, as they try to create legislation. And how do you define a digital commodity has been difficult to kind of narrow that. And, you know, I think part of it is we have to remember that, you know, you can put a lot of things on, you know, blockchain or, or however, you know, distributed ledger or any kind of asset, you know, is that then a digital commodity? And are we suddenly taking that out of some other regulatory spear and saying, you know, in whether we're looking at legislation or whatever, are we putting it in the CFTC when that really doesn't make sense? So it's a conversation that's ongoing and something that we're trying to understand as far as like, you know, when you look at Bitcoin, you know, theoretically or in practice, and we do do
Starting point is 00:21:30 this, we do have enough authority through our broad enforcement authority to go after any kind of, you know, if there was fraud and manipulation in the underlying Bitcoin market, I think that is pretty impossible to do. But if there was, we could go after that with our enforcement authority. But as far as regulating and, you know, Bitcoin broadly, we really don't have any authority to do that. Where we do have authority is if somebody is trading Bitcoin or any kind of crypto or digital commodity, and they're not delivering it within a certain amount of time. I think we've got a 28-day kind of threshold.
Starting point is 00:22:10 And at that point, then we say, well, then that's a future. You know, now you've gone from, like, moving a commodity back and forth. You've now created a future because you haven't delivered it within a certain amount of time. And so that's kind of the standard that we're using right now as far as, you know, know, when somebody would have to come in and, and, you know, become some sort of market category at our agency to be regulated. But otherwise, you know, the idea is if there's some kind of, you know, manipulation, fraud going on that we see and we have some markets trading on that, then, you know, we'll probably go in with our enforcement team. As we talked about earlier,
Starting point is 00:22:55 like by default, everything kind of digitally would be a commodity unless the SEC somehow like declares jurisdiction over a set of digital assets, right? Which kind of implies there's this interplay between the CFTC and the SEC with respect to digital assets. I'm wondering if it's like there's been consensus clarity because to the CFTC, all the digital assets basically are commodities, right? Starts as a commodity unless told otherwise or, you know, some consensus outside of the CFTC determines otherwise, right? Okay, so what have been consensus items, tokens, assets that are commodities that, like, maybe all agencies agree upon? Certainly has to be Bitcoin because now we have ETFs, I think. And also Ethereum maybe also has crossed that threshold.
Starting point is 00:23:44 Can you talk about those assets? And are there any other assets that have crossed the threshold of like, from the U.S. government regulator, finance regulator perspective, these are clearly commodities. Bitcoin, I think, has not been in debate at all. You know, that is clearly false in commodity category. It doesn't have the characteristics of the security. And the SEC has never argued that. EIT was that way up until recently.
Starting point is 00:24:13 And then there seemed to be this question, especially after they changed going from, you know, to change kind of their underlying proof system. But I think we've finally got that back on. track where, you know, that is, that is not a security and that's not being treated as such. Then you get into a lot of additional coins where we're going kind of one by one. And where this comes up, unfortunately, is enforcement cases. So, you know, whether you're going after an FTX or somebody like that, we're literally trying to divide this up with the SEC enforcement team saying, okay, which one do you guys think is security? So you charge that and then we'll charge
Starting point is 00:24:52 the others. And sometimes we don't agree. And the problem becomes if they bring in their case and they'll say the judge says, yeah, this isn't a security. And we haven't brought that up as part of our case. You know, you're missing sometimes a big part of, you know, charging in a fraud case. So it is tough to kind of be in that position where you are constantly going back and forth with every single token out there. I can't think of another one where we have said definitively everybody agrees this isn't a security. You know, maybe we feel that way, but I certainly don't think I've heard, you know, the SEC say anything other than Bitcoin and either fall into that category. What's the solution to this?
Starting point is 00:25:44 Is it legislation that just has clear definitions? Is that what we're lacking? Or is it impossible to have clear definitions for what's a commodity versus what's a security and thresholds? No, I think we can do it. As much as I hate saying that we should have more laws, that's not my kind of philosophy and government. Here's one place where we do need, we need legislation. And it's not necessarily that they're going to give us this clarity up front in the written legislation. But giving us some kind of authority and almost a demand that the SEC and the CFTC work together to create a framework. So it's very clear when you. you're bringing something to market or anything that's already, you know, on the market, that there's a clear line that says, you know, here, here's what meets the security and becomes a security. Here's what does not. We kind of had to do that after Dodd-Frank and we were able to figure it out. It's not fun to do joint rulemaking, but we can do it. And I think that's what
Starting point is 00:26:47 needs to happen here is we need Congress to give us, you know, the authority and then also direct us to sit down and do joint rulemaking so that we have a clear framework for these tokens. Is this kind of just how it goes with the SEC and the CFTC? I'm getting like the vibe of like there's this like ancient rivalry between the CFTC and the SEC like like you know, the Army versus Navy, you know, Duke versus Yale. And like so first like there's this new thing that has to be like contended with and the CFTC and the SEC do their respective sometimes incompatible rulemaking. you guys just like jostle it out for a little bit.
Starting point is 00:27:25 And then finally, pretty late to the show, but eventually legislation passes and hopefully we get it right. And that's just kind of how this whole thing works. I think it depends on who's in leadership. I did work at the CFTC under Chairman Heath Tarbert, and he had a great relationship with Chairman Jay Clayton. And everything was very well-coordinated and a lot of communication back and forth between the leadership.
Starting point is 00:27:51 you know, the chairman level. So I think it depends on who is in charge. Certainly, the narrative, I think, kind of creeps in. And the reason for that is really unusual. It's because of our committees of jurisdiction in Congress. So we are actually under the Senate and House Agriculture Committees. And there's been a longstanding kind of feud between the Agriculture Committees and the Senate banking and the Senate Financial Services Committee over jurisdiction of the CFTC because we have moved so far from just agricultural, you know, markets to a much broader range of markets. And so there's been this thought of like, well, maybe the egg committees are not the right place for jurisdiction over the CFTC. And so I was, I worked in Congress for most of my career. And so I kind of grew up around that distinction or that kind of fight of who should have jurisdiction here.
Starting point is 00:28:54 And I think it's really just kind of played out, too, at the agencies a little bit. But I really do think, and sometimes, you know, in Congress, most people talk about Democrats versus Republicans. But sometimes committee jurisdictions can be just as big of a fight when you get down to it. And this is one that's been out there for a long time. And it's just kind of a perennial issue that we're always, you know, they're always debating who should have the jurisdiction here. You use the word a feud. All of this. Is this a feature or is this a bug?
Starting point is 00:29:26 Like, are we wasting time in government with too much bureaucracy, like fighting with a lot of energy over just like things that could just be fixed better more easily with a better mechanism? Or is this just how our country works and this is part of just the process? Like, is this a feature or a bug? How do you think about this? I think it's a feature. Because I think if it was too easy, then we would just have too much regulation. You know, I think if there weren't these kind of natural, the natural friction, you know, between the various branches of government, but also the different agencies, you know,
Starting point is 00:30:00 you could see one agency kind of just run and take all the jurisdiction and pass way too many regulations. And so I think it's good to have that friction because it's, you know, it's. it does slow down those people who want to go too far, who want to overregulate. And so I always think it's good. It's healthy to have that debate. It's healthy to have that disagreement. And I think it's actually a feature of our system.
Starting point is 00:30:29 This term overregulate. I want to get to that because that has been kind of the criticism coming out of like the crypto industry to some of our regulatory bodies in particular. I'm sure you've witnessed it like the crypto industry, the bankless podcast. We welcome Chair Gary Gensler on the podcast, of course, but we've been very critical, let's say, of some of his activities with respect to crypto. And the worry here and the concern is over-regulation. I want to make a distinction between the SEC and the CFDC because I think, like, you guys, your different regulatory agencies sort of have different views of the world, right? So the SEC in its purest form is certainly about markets, but it's mostly about providing disclosure to, like, inventing.
Starting point is 00:31:13 investors in markets, right? And that's fair because for securities, there's all sorts of information that investors can't see in the open market, right? And so you get good disclosure programs with like quarterly earnings reports and annual earnings reports. You could see kind of executive compensation. All of these things are very important for centrally managed assets where that information just isn't available to investors. And so transparency and disclosure is like pretty critical. Whereas the commodities exchange, the CFTC, is much more used to asset classes that are already fully disclosed, right? I mean, like, what more information do you need about a barrel of oil? It's a barrel of oil, right?
Starting point is 00:31:57 Or like one cow versus another cow, I mean, like they're both cows, right? They're very, I guess, you know, like fungible types of objects. And in addition, all of the information is kind of already disclosed. I mean, like, you can view some of the elements on the periodic table of elements, right? I mean, these are what commodities like iron are there for. And so I think that's why the CFTC has sort of approached crypto thus far with kind of a lighter touch is because it recognizes in these assets that all of the information is kind of like publicly available. Like, it's all on chain. You want to go audit the supply of Bitcoin or ether the asset.
Starting point is 00:32:35 You can just run a node and you could see it. or if you want to look at the properties of a decentralized finance protocol, like you can open source the code and you can like view what's in it, which has made the CFTC have kind of like a lighter touch thus far to crypto. I'm wondering if you can kind of comment on that like just general view of the world and if you think that sort of impacts the way you look at digital assets. Because from the SEC, they're like, you know, there's something that we need more disclosures, we need to kind of look at it, we need to control it, we need to enforce,
Starting point is 00:33:07 certain regulatory properties, rest of the CFTC, everything is kind of like already disclosed in crypto because Bitcoin is similar to cattle in that way. Yeah. And, you know, one thing I always emphasize with people because the lighter touch, that doesn't mean hands off. You know, we do know what's going on in our markets. We do make sure that the people who are in our markets know where their money's going. you know, they know that, especially with a lot of these products, you could lose a lot of money.
Starting point is 00:33:38 I'm not saying in crypto, but these are in some of the other markets that we regulate. You know, you put a lot of money at risk. And so making sure people know that. But, yeah, to your point, you know, there's what's interesting about a lot of our futures products, futures options and even swaps is there's a regulator regulating the underlying market. So, again, I go back to cattle all the time because it's so easy. it's so easy to visualize. USDA is regulating these auction houses where the cattle are bought and sold. They're deciding, you know, is this, is this, you know, calf, does it meet these standards that it's saying it meets to sell into this market? So we have that kind of assurance when we are looking at our markets that there's somebody already looking at this underlying market.
Starting point is 00:34:26 And for the most part, you know, there's not too many things where that doesn't take place. I mean, you get into some of the metals, there's some question around, you know, who's really kind of looking at, you know, the buying and selling of some of these metals. But, you know, same thing with oil. You know, you know exactly what kind of oil is you're buying and selling in these contracts. And there's someone else that is verifying that. And so I think that's because of that, we've been able to be a little bit more, like you said, lighter touch, not as heavy-handed, not as demanding. and, you know, letting the markets, you know, offer the products that their investors want and just making sure that the rules of the road are clear and that people are abiding by them.
Starting point is 00:35:13 And I think that's why, you know, people tend to think we would be the better regulator of crypto because we're not going to be heavy-handed in that, you know, underlying what is this asset, you know, It's more, listen, if you buying and selling in this market, you know, just making sure the rules are bided by and that people know what they're buying and selling and that it's clear, you know, whether it's, you know, all that's disclosed, you know, making sure that people have access to that information. And then we can really let the markets do their thing without coming in and stepping on top of them and, you know, slowing things down. I think the other piece we have, because I mentioned the self-regulatory function, we have something that's called, you know, self-certification. And so if you are in exchange, you can say, I'm going to bring this product to market. I think it meets all the regulatory requirements.
Starting point is 00:36:09 I'm telling you right now, CFTC, that tomorrow I'm going to list this product. And they can list it. Very rarely do we put a stay on that. So the idea that you can move that quickly and offer a new product is really, unique to the CFTC. And I think it's something that would, you know, really help or it would be a feature that would work well with, with digital assets because you could quickly, you know, innovate and bring new products to market without having to wait for however long, you know, for someone to approve it. I mean, just ask those who are waiting for their EFTs to be approved
Starting point is 00:36:48 by the SEC. 10 years. It was a decade. Yeah. So it's kind of a unique feature on how we, our markets operate. But that's because we really want our markets to be able to bring the products that their investors want. And not those products that government says, okay, we're okay with this now. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:37:10 And there's certainly room for improvement. I mean, we felt that, I mean, the SEC currently has like some sort of Wells notice or enforcement action against six U.S. crypto companies that are just like fantastic companies with fantastic projects. And it's hard to find a way forward for that under the current regulatory regime. And so you mentioned the CFTC may be a better home for some of these assets. You said better, but that doesn't necessarily mean perfect. So let's talk about this recent Uniswop case, which I think like raised my eyebrows a little bit. This happened last week, I believe. So I'll just, you give some context for what this case is, for those who are not familiar with
Starting point is 00:37:48 So on September 4th, Uniswap actually settled with the CFTC. And there was a press release on the CFTC website under the title of offering a legal digital asset derivatives trading. And forgive me if I mess up some of the details. But I think the gist of it was, and maybe I'll read some of the sentences here, in order to facilitate access to the protocol, Uniswap Lab, so distinction from Uniswop the protocol and the company that is associated with building tooling for the Uniswap protocol that's called Uniswap Labs. They developed and maintained a web interface that made it available to users.
Starting point is 00:38:20 Through the interface, users could trade in hundreds of liquidity pools on the protocol. Among the digital assets traded on the protocol and through the interface were a limited number of leverage tokens. So there were leveraged tokens on the Uniswap interface, which provided users leverage exposure to digital assets such as Ether and Bitcoin. So bankless listeners can imagine some sort of asset that's listed on the Uniswap interface that provides you to leverage, like upside downside for something like Bitcoin or something like ether like a you know a 2x ether pair so like you know there's DGens among the audience and like you want some additional leverage volatility you could like buy a token into that on the uniswap interface and so the order finds that these leverage tokens are uh are leverage or margin commodity transactions that did not result
Starting point is 00:39:09 in actual delivery of the 28 days so this is a thing 28 day delivery something that the CFTC enforces on the future side of things. And the net of it was basically Uniswap Labs stop listing these tokens. I think Uniswap Labs settled. And so took these tokens from their interface, paid a fee, modest in comparison to SEC fees. So 175K, I believe. Modest but annoying. Modest but annoying, I would say. And this was, of course, enforcement action, right? So it was, you know, it was not rulemaking. It was not legislation. Anyway, did I get any of the details wrong? And what was kind of like your understanding of, let's say, the CFTC's reasons, full context, Commissioner Mercerning-Hare dissented on this. But before we get to the dissent, let's talk about what were the CFTC's reasons for this
Starting point is 00:40:01 enforcement action? Yeah, the idea is if you're going to offer these leverage tokens that are now margined futures products, you need to be registered. And if you're not registered, then you were illegally offering these products. And that was their take. Now, what's interesting is, you know, as you mentioned, they pulled these tokens from their platform. That was actually done before we came in the door. So we had another, we call them DFI sweeps,
Starting point is 00:40:31 because I think that gives our enforcement team an easy title for their press release, even if some of these cases are not exactly the same. but we had another, we charged these particular tokens with another DeFi protocol. And once Uniswap saw that, they actually pulled these tokens from their platform. So they, I think that was probably my biggest problem here is they did the right thing. And it was almost like we saw that, you know, we're like, oh, hey, they were offering it too. Let's go get them. And that's what it felt like to me in reading this.
Starting point is 00:41:09 And so while I don't disagree that if people are offering leveraged margin the futures products, you know, there's a question of, you know, do you register with the CFTC? But to do this through enforcement and for settlement, that's not how we would do that. If that is our position and we want to put that out there and tell people you're going to have to come in and register if you're going to offer these. leverage tokens, we need to do rolemaking to make that clear and explain how a decentralized platform could even be a registered exchange. So it's unfortunate on so many levels. You know, we're punishing someone from doing the right thing. We are telling everyone they can't do this, but we're not giving them any kind of guidance or ways to do things that we would view as, you know, appropriate. And then we just settle these cases and put this information out there. And that's supposed to be the
Starting point is 00:42:11 clarity that others, you know, can use to do the right thing. Well, we haven't provided anything. And yeah, to your point about the $175,000 settlement, annoying for sure, that is, it's an unheard of amount. To see that, anytime we see a case where there's a civil monetary penalty that it's that low, I immediately think, did these guys even do anything wrong? Because that is, that is just, you know, even anything under like 500,000 is always a little bit surprising. But $175,000 was a shockingly low penalty. And to me, it kind of said, well, maybe they didn't do much wrong. But, you know, we got them to settle.
Starting point is 00:42:58 We got them to give us $175,000. So, hey, let's do this. Call it a dub. And that, yeah, just that's not right either. So it's kind of like, you know, you write a chat. Like, here's your chat, go away. So that's not how we should operate either. New projects are coming online to the Mantle Layer 2 every single week.
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Starting point is 00:45:23 offering and I think maybe this is also where the differences between like a Web3 crypto protocol context is kind of clashing with any sort of traditional commodity structure. Uniswap the protocol offers any token that's on Ethereum that has a pool inside of Uniswap by default. So any token that has a contract address, you can just plop into Uniswap and it will spit you back out a pool if it has one. And so the Uniswap frontend, www.uniswop.com or whatever it is, it actually you have to opt out of having tokens. They never actually add tokens. They only remove tokens because of the nature of like a protocol.
Starting point is 00:46:08 And so like is Uniswap Labs actually offering this to customers? Is that kind of a more of an open question because they're not actually doing anything? They actually have to do something to not offer it. Like actually it's an action to not offer something more than it is an action to offer something. And I don't think that's ever been, that like standard has never been really seen before because, you know, typical product, like offerings from any other and their sort of financial institution has to be like offered. But it's that, but things are inverted here. How does this like change some of the calculus here? No, that is.
Starting point is 00:46:44 It's tough because then what you see is, you know, our enforcement team coming, going after the easy target, right? So that idea of just saying, well, Uniswap offer these tokens, you know, that's not fundamental. mentally correct, but, you know, who else could they bring in, said they brought in the easiest kind of target here. But I think that's part of the reason why we need to go through a process of rulemaking. And in rulemaking has to start with discussion and talking among staff and commissioners about how would this even work. Could we, you can't regulate a protocol. You can't regulate code. So what are we, what are we doing here? And, you know, are we saying to the market like, hey, you just need to change and become centralized so that you can regulate with us and we can, you know, oversee these offerings?
Starting point is 00:47:41 And that doesn't feel like the right answer either. But right now we're not even having those discussions. And I think we have to start somewhere and, you know, and bring people in who can explain it to us because we, you know, we're not the smart. people when it comes to these protocols, to the way this is set up, to, you know, how these tokens come to market through a protocol. You know, we don't, we're not the experts here. So we need to bring in the experts to educate us. And then we need to have a discussion about what should happen in these, in these markets. And we just, we're not doing that. And unfortunately, because we're not doing that, the only thing we have are enforcement cases,
Starting point is 00:48:27 which are really sending the wrong message. Can I just say, Commissioner, thank you for saying that. Like, we appreciate hearing you say that, hearing a commissioner saying it, because, like, the thing that you're saying is the thing that we keep echoing in crypto as, like, users of these protocols is just like, you can't take the existing paradigm of there being an intermediary into decentralized finance. It's just different. And so to your point of, like, we can't regulate a protocol, right?
Starting point is 00:48:55 the question is what is the CFTC or any regulator in the US actually trying to accomplish with its level of regulation? If you go back to kind of like the founding principles, which is like, you know, for the SEC is like orderly and efficient markets, that kind of thing. For the CFTC, it's probably something similar. It's like you're trying to prevent, you know, like fraud and abuse of different market activity. And these, you know, decentralized protocols kind of exist. And so like what is the purpose of the regulation that? like asking that question. I know you dissented with the uniswap case, and we'll get into some more details there,
Starting point is 00:49:31 but I want to ask kind of the fundamental question because like the rule on the books is basically like if you have some sort of a leveraged asset, like sort of a futures type of asset. So there's a token out there and it's doing a 2x leverage on Bitcoin or Ether or 5X leverage on Bitcoin or Ether. Well, there has to be a process for registration with the CFTC for this, right? And to your point, it's unclear what that process actually is, how it works. Like, there's, like, no way to do it.
Starting point is 00:50:00 So there's no, no solid path for that. And so in the absence of that, what it feels like the CFDC is doing, even in this case, is basically saying, well, if you're in the U.S., you just can't, you don't have access to these products. And so what's actually happening is the founders of decentralized derivatives futures protocols. They just can't operate in the United States. They can either do this in a centralized way or they can like go to Europe or go to a different place and like spin up their their interfaces there. And so what happens is basically, I mean, David and I have joked before that like sometimes it feels like in the U.S., at least with respect to crypto. We live in a financial prison because I go and I see a different set of assets.
Starting point is 00:50:43 My European friends laugh at me. Yeah. I was in Argentina. They laugh at us for like how restrictive like our own products are. Right, because, like, we can't, they have access to these, you know, to X, 5X leverage ether tokens. And like, our interfaces don't. Like, we can't access it unless what? Unless we turn on a VPN and like pretend we're from another country.
Starting point is 00:51:05 Okay. So it's like, what are we actually trying to accomplish? Because the net of it feels like we are just excluding U.S. citizens and U.S. entrepreneurs and builders from actually building these products here. And like, why do we, this is the United States of America. Like, why are we doing that sort of activity? So I'm glad you're asking the question of why. But like, even this, is it the case that American citizens shouldn't have access to these leverage tokens? Or like, what is the purpose of the CFTC sort of registration of these things in the first place?
Starting point is 00:51:36 Yeah, I mean, I think the idea is, you know, playing kind of devil's advocate here. It's this idea of, you know, if you're going to, if you're, if you're, if you're handling other people's money, you know, that comes with some responsibility. and that's always been how we've looked at it, at least in financial services broadly. But, you know, I think this is a little bit different here, and we maybe need to take a little bit different view of, you know, why are people in these markets? What are they trying to accomplish? And, you know, why does traditional regulation maybe not fit here? And, you know, I think part of the discussion should be, do we want?
Starting point is 00:52:18 to regulate this space. You know, is there something where we could say, okay, if you are clearly decentralized and you meet all this criteria for you to say completely decentralized, nobody's controlling this, everybody who's, you know, on these platforms trading in these assets, you know, they are 100% in a decentralized, you know, kind of environment, you know, maybe that is an area where we don't need regulation. I don't know, but we've never had that conversation to know. And so it tends to be that we just jump to a conclusion and say, we're going to do this, we're going to regulate without understanding,
Starting point is 00:52:59 you know, what we are regulating or why. To your point, you know, we should be focusing on what the outcome is. What do we want to accomplish here? And all we're doing right now is running, driving this offshore. I think it's naive if we believe that people aren't accessing these markets. American citizens aren't accessing it. I think people know how to get to them if they really want to. And to me, you know, there's danger in U.S. dollars going offshore constantly. And I think that's another thing we have to be mindful of is if we run everything out of the country and regulation says you can't operate here and it goes offshore. But people want to be in these markets, you know, that creates a whole new set of problems for us. So I think it's just,
Starting point is 00:53:48 it's a matter of like sitting down and understanding what we want to accomplish, what we want to see, and understanding the underlying technology and kind of the motivations of defy and, you know, the protocols that they put in place in the markets that, that are, you know, operating on decentralized finance. And we just haven't done that.
Starting point is 00:54:12 Yeah. And I think that the conversation on the crypto side can sound like to regulators in the U.S., like crypto doesn't want any regulation, like stay out of our, like stay out of our zone and stay out of our business. And I don't think that's the case. Like what we want is a regulation that makes sense. And we actually think that decentralized protocols can be like a regulator's best friend. Like if we figure this out, you guys might start to prefer defy assets versus traditional assets.
Starting point is 00:54:43 Why? Because you can audit it all on chain. So think of the CFTC sort of regulating a crypto market and these leveraged tokens by like, analyzing the code and creating a dashboard of which assets are actually backed by what collateral sources and how they're backed and provide a sort of like an index of a safety for these various assets. And if it meets the threshold, then it's, you know, CFTC approved and you can audit it on chain. And there's a CFTC slash, you know, dot gov slash, you know, defy dash. And you could like these assets give you unprecedented access to transparency as regulators.
Starting point is 00:55:24 And I think there are ways to marshal that and move that forward. Let's get back to the to the uniswap case really quick because I'm getting into futures there and you'd have to hire some of smart programmers in order to set that up. And that might be a few years down the road. Okay. So what do you think should have been done in the uniswap case like specifically and, you know, versus what was actually? done with this enforcement action. We should have recognized that, you know, they did what we wanted
Starting point is 00:55:52 them to do, which whether or not that was, you know, what they had to do by removing those tokens, but they did proactively. So when we went in, you know, when our enforcement team went in to talk to them and they said, hey, we've removed those tokens. They're no longer, you know, on the protocol. We should have said, okay, thank you. Thank you for doing that. And locked out the door. We had no business continuing down this line and getting it to a point where we had to settle with them. I say that sometimes to our enforcement team. It's okay to say, you know what, you did follow the law. Thank you. You know, sometimes I feel like we go in there and it's like, well, we've already started something so we can't back out. And it's also okay if you look at something
Starting point is 00:56:40 and you say, well, you were doing something wrong, but you corrected it. And you did, you know, you mitigated the problem. It's okay to say that is the right outcome and we're not going to charge penalties because you did the right thing. That is never the way this works. So I honestly think, you know, one, I don't think this should have even spent their time doing this. We have so much other fraud and it is fraud. It's not, you know, people like to call it crypto fraud. It's just fraud. People are just taking people's money and said they're just the, because they say they're buying crypto, we call it crypto fraud. I'm like, that's just the same old fraud we've seen. It was always illegal. Yeah, exactly. And so let's concentrate on that where people are literally like losing their retirement and some of these pig birchering schemes and stuff. Let's focus on that. Not Uniswap and getting $175,000 penalty, you know, from Uniswap for essentially doing the right thing. So I just think sometimes we, We get caught up in these, you know, what's going to get us headlines.
Starting point is 00:57:51 And that doesn't seem to be, it's just a waste of our resources when we have plenty of other fraud to go after. So thank you for writing that dissent. And for bankless listeners, we will include a link to the full dissent. I encourage you guys to go listen to it. And I think this makes a meta point of how different regulatory bodies in the U.S. are like actually work, right, which is at the CFTC. Are there five commissioners at the CFTC in the same way there are with the SEC? Yeah, five commissioners.
Starting point is 00:58:23 Yeah. And there is the ability to dissent. So it's not a monolithic organization. So you obviously feel the freedom to dissent with some sort of action the CFTC is taking. What gives you that ability? I mean, people are, you know, used to working in corporations where if like you disson, with your boss, I mean, that's a good track to kind of like get fired. That is not how the CFTC or even the SEC is structured, right? Commissioners can dissent all of the time and you feel the freedom to do this?
Starting point is 00:58:55 Can you give us some insight to how this governing body actually works? It's interesting because we are a five-person commissioner with the chairman who is a member of the president's party and then the majority. So there's always three commissioners that are members of the president's party. and then two minority commissioner. So in this case, Commissioner Fam, Carolyn Pham and myself with the two Republican commissioners. She also wrote an excellent dissent on Uniswap as well. But so naturally there was a little bit of that kind of, you know, democratic approach to our decisions and our votes, you know, where the majority rules.
Starting point is 00:59:37 So, you know, we can dissent. We can do it very publicly. And sometimes you can convince fellow commissioners who may not be in your same party that, you know, what our actions are, you know, headed in the wrong direction. And so that's part of our discussion. You know, we do have rules where we can't all talk at once unless we're in either a public meeting or we have deemed it to be such that we need to keep it closed. So a lot of times our enforcement cases are discussed in closed meetings. But when we deliver, we have to have some kind of former procedure with the record. But individually, we can have discussions and talk about, you know, here's my problem with this case or if it's rulemaking, here's where I need to see changes. So it is a pretty democratic process. Now, I will say with enforcement, it's tough because by the time it comes to us for a vote, it is far down the line. So, you know, Uniswap's a great example. That came to us with every, the papers all signed. Uniswap signed
Starting point is 01:00:39 the papers. We've signed the papers. We're just voting on whether or not to file those papers at that point. So we don't have as much kind of control when it comes to enforcement. And that's where you'll see more dissents is on the enforcement side because we really can't change the course once it gets to us, which is unfortunate. How does the machine decide what to, the CFDC machine, decide what to enforce, like if it's not kind of like the commissioners via vote? A lot of times that is set kind of of the agenda. I don't want to say agenda because enforcement is not an agenda, but, you know, it's an outcome of who's in control, the kind of position of the chair. And usually each chairman will bring in their own head of the enforcement division. And that really, you see the types of cases
Starting point is 01:01:25 and kind of the approach a lot of times based on, you know, that interaction and that individual. So, you know, a few years back, we had a lot of cases around the spoofing activity, putting in false orders and pulling them once the markets reacted. And that was really an initiative of the current chairman at the time and as enforcement director. So it is a bit of a, you know, comes from the top as far as here's what we want to do. And Chairman Benham has been very focused on what he calls crypto fraud. Again, I'll go back to the fact that it is rarely crypto fraud. Those are his words? He calls it crypto fraud. He calls it crypto fraud. And you'll see in my dissent, I actually quoted him back from his hearings before Congress about, you know, how we need more resources because we have to go after all this crypto fraud.
Starting point is 01:02:19 Again, I still quote. I don't think those numbers are real. But my point was, then why are we going after Uniswap? If we had such, you know, limited resources, why are we spending our time here when we have all this other fraud to go after? So he has been very focused on trying to be tough in, you know, crypto broadly and kind of all that comes with it. So I think that's why, you know, you've seen these defy cases lately. Commissioner Messinger, there's a growing elephant in the room, I think, between our crypto industry and the CFTC, which is the growing significance of prediction markets. Or what I don't know if you guys call them prediction markets or if there's a different.
Starting point is 01:03:03 and technical term that you guys have. Binary options, but prediction markets is so much more like just user-friendly, you know, self-explanatory, right? Binary options. What does that mean? Excuse me, binary options markets. I'll hold my pinky up as I say that. We think that prediction markets are one of the coolest things to come out of the crypto industry.
Starting point is 01:03:24 And I think I can speak on behalf of the industry here, probably like a top 10 use case that I think we've ever created. I think generally the industry, by and large, is whole. excited about the potential here. And there's a lot of people like going back and forth on like how this can impact culture, impacts society that uses a robust set of prediction markets. I'm wondering, maybe you can speak from the perspective of the CFTC. When the CFTC looks at prediction markets, what does the CFTC see? So and cut me off if I get too long-winded here. Sure. This is an area that I get excited about because it's a, it's where Lodd
Starting point is 01:04:03 legislation really hits regulation. And so because I had the career in legislation, you know, and interpreting what Congress wrote is, I'm like, I'm not good at everything, but I'm pretty good at looking at a statute and saying, I think I know what Congress meant here. And this is a, this is the struggle we're having where, you know, Congress put a provision in Dodd-Frank. We've always had binary options and we've always had kind of these forecasting contracts, mostly around weather and stuff. But Congress put, in a provision in Dodd-Frank that gave us a little more jurisdiction on limiting the types of these contracts that may come to market. And they listed out, you know, it's like assassination, war, terrorism, anything against state law and federal law, gaming. These are, and anything that we decide is contrary to the public interest. And so we were given a pretty clear, actually, I think pretty clear statutory authority of how to handle this. The agency historically has not liked election prediction markets. Some of that comes from Congress, actually. Congress hasn't historically liked it. In fact, you know, it's, that's part of the reason we had kind of were given more
Starting point is 01:05:23 jurisdiction over this area. But I also think Congress didn't say to us, you should ban election markets. They could have put that in the statute. They did not. So what we have done is we have decided that they're somehow gaming and they fall into this gaming category that's in the statute. It gives us a lot of flexibility to say, you know, this could be gaming. You're playing a game. And by the way, when you say gaming, you're talking more like gambling, casinos, that sort of thing. That's what you mean by gaming. We're not talking about like, you know, video games here. Right. Exactly. Exactly. The tradition of gambling, you know, things that, And I think the reason Congress did that is because they didn't want, you know, kind of futures markets on, you know, what would be sports, you know, gaming, you know, gambling, you know, sports betting.
Starting point is 01:06:16 At that time, it was, it was against federal law to, you know, that's part of the reason why. But we've used that and tried to wrap in election contracts. and it has created this, what I have called many times, kind of this of, of chaos within the agency where we are in these court cases now. We have a rulemaking that we literally just are approaching the rulemaking. A federal judge just said that we can't use that approach. And we have made it very difficult for these markets, even somebody who is a registered market to offer these products in the United States. And again,
Starting point is 01:07:01 we are pushing things offshore and saying that, hey, you know, U.S. people can't, you know, be on these platforms. So we've just created the situation where I don't know how we get out of it. I don't know how we, I don't know how we get back to a place where we recognize, like, you know, if you're a registered market under the CFTC and you are offering these products, we've got the right regulatory regime in place, we can make sure that those markets are operating as they should and that, you know, they're not subject to fraud and manipulation. There's no insider trading, those sorts of things. Then let's do that. Let's not kind of try to make the statute say something it doesn't or use it in a way that's most convenient for us just to say no.
Starting point is 01:07:49 And that's where we are with these markets right now. And it's messy. And I think we have not recognized their use case that I think a lot of people are now understanding why, especially around elections, why these markets are so popular because they do actually provide a pretty good prediction model. that traditional polling has maybe not been able to do within the last 10 years. So just at the end of the day, the agency has not loved election contracts, and that has created a real problem for prediction markets broadly.
Starting point is 01:08:30 One of the reasons why I called this the elephant in the room is because I actually think this issue around prediction markets is going to only get larger. And it's actually not just because I think prediction markets, markets are going to grow in popularity, which I think that they do, just to put some numbers on it, the top two prediction markets on polymarket, number one, the presidential election winner of 2024 is at $923 million volume, just that one election, almost a billion dollars, and then the second one has $206 million. So the top two come into $1.1 billion, and those are just the top two.
Starting point is 01:09:06 But if you live in the U.S., you can't use them. But if you're in the other way, yeah. You should specify. But these are like kind of the blue chips of like prediction markets. These are just the big ones. And one thing that we recently saw with the most recent presidential debate is like these long-tail markets of people gambling on whether or not like Donald Trump is going to say a specific word or a specific phrase. And this turned into like this kind of viral, even though there wasn't that much volume on them,
Starting point is 01:09:35 there was still like pretty good. There's over a million dollars. And people were like, you know, this was a phenomenon. on people were making content about this. And that also just happens to be about politics because that's where a lot of the volume is on polymarket. But also just we're seeing some deals in the venture
Starting point is 01:09:50 space on what I kind of would call like long tail prediction market like things that's not about politics. It's actually more about events happening in like video game streamers streams. Like will this streamer win or lose on this one thing?
Starting point is 01:10:06 And these are micro markets. That are markets. And like you said at the introduction to this What does the CFTC do? The CFTC regulates markets. And so I remember talking to Ryan two, three years ago as Gary Gensler was stepping into his role as the SEC. And I wrote an article called DDoSing the SEC, which is how crypto is going to make so many tokens and so many NFTs that is inherently like unregulatable, ungovernable by the SEC because of just the sheer quantity of them. And then Ryan, Ryan like put on the the steel man argument. And he's like, well, what if, David, Gary Gensler doesn't blink? And he says, yes, we do want to regulate all of those. Every single one of those things is actually like under the domain of the SEC. And so one thing I think might happen in the world of like the prediction markets is that
Starting point is 01:10:58 we are actually on day one of a 10 year long growth story of prediction market like markets. And the number of these things is going to have some sort of Cambrian explosion. And all of a sudden, the CFTC is government. governing over this thing that is just absolutely massive and it's doing weird stuff. Like what is this weird niche event going to do on this like streaming like video game streaming platform or I don't know, weather in Argentina somewhere? Like is that what the CFTC wants to govern? Like how do you think about just the growth of this, the responsibility over this like emerging
Starting point is 01:11:31 market? Well, I think that's part of the reason that our kind of staff and there's this legacy, you know, kind of dislike of, you know, I say election markets, but I also think there's a bit of a dislike of these prediction markets because it is hard. It's hard to, you know, say how are these meeting all of our principles that we expect a product to meet? You know, when you start talking about insider trading, you know, we will, there's a lot of these where it's like, how would you ever prevent? How would you even know if somebody was had inside information into one of these events and as trading? on it. It's really difficult to do that. And so our rules are not necessarily fit for purpose here. And this
Starting point is 01:12:15 is another thing that we've been dealing with is this idea of, okay, you know, we have this statute. The markets are growing exponentially. And even if we brought everybody in and they were all able to register, and this is an area where we actually do have kind of the framework to register, how do we police these markets? How do we make sure that, you know, people aren't being manipulating them? And I think that that is not, there's not an easy answer. I think we could probably look at taking a step back and maybe considering do we need to create a new registration category and look at these products differently than we do our other markets. Commissioner Fam has made this point a number of times that maybe we do need to,
Starting point is 01:13:06 consider that there needs to be a new registration category where we, you know, for binary options or predictions. The other piece to this is the market structure tends to be different than our traditional markets, again, to point that we really like traditional markets. But here's another area where, you know, intermediation doesn't make sense. Why, if you're a retail participant, you know, putting a dollar down on a prediction market, why would you need an intermediary there? And so then it's that question of, okay, well, if you take the intermediary out, do you go directly to a clearinghouse then? Well, that's not quite right either,
Starting point is 01:13:47 because the clearing houses don't have the same rules where you'd have to check for, you know, KYC and AML. So it just doesn't, the market structure doesn't fit right. And a lot of these markets also have kind of affiliated market makers where they have their own, um, you know, kind of affiliate taking the other side of some of these markets or kind of propping up some of these markets. So that has been a challenge for us and it doesn't really fit into our current regulatory structure. So I do think at some point we're going to have to take a step back, look at these markets on their own, not try to fit them in with all the other markets that we have, and maybe come up with some new rules of the road. Also,
Starting point is 01:14:35 you know, how are we going to review all these products? I think that's the other piece to it is like, you know, they can self-certify. Normally our exchanges, they don't, they're self-certifying, you know, a few products, a quarter, if that. These are like daily new contracts coming online. And we're supposed to look at what they've certified and make sure that we don't have any concerns. It's nearly impossible. So I just think we're going to have to take a step back at some point and kind of come up with a, a new framework. The great thing is we can do that under our, under the Commodd Exchange Act. We did that with retail foreign exchange. We created a retail foreign exchange kind of category for registration. So we can do that under our current statute. And it's something I think we're going to have to do because to your point, like, we can't keep track of all of this. We can't regulate all of this the way we regulate everything else. And there's probably going to be some things that we don't need to regulate. We don't need to regulate prediction markets on, you know, a gamer streaming, you know,
Starting point is 01:15:45 whatever games are streaming. I could ask my son, he would tell me exactly what's being streamed right now. But, you know, that's not how we should be using our regulatory capacity either. Yeah. I mean, that makes sense from our perspective. I think that kind of like when we recognize that a lot of this activity is happening outside of the U.S. that definitely represents a failure mode in our legislation and a regulatory process. And the fact that it's so interesting to me is an example of a polymarket.
Starting point is 01:16:14 I know that the current case is like CFTC versus Kalashi, which is like not a crypto organization, but still prediction markets in general. But when you see a polymarket on CNN, you know, as an industry. information source. Like what's going to happen in the next presidential debate who's going to win and you see CNN anchors referring to Polymarket. You see a polymarket being integrated into Bloomberg right now as an information source for financial analysis. Analysts, you see the value of this information set. And then you go to the, you know, like, polymarket. And as a citizen of the United States, unless you change your VPN status, you can't like actually access any of these markets. That to me represents a failure mode. And like appreciate you kind of thinking about this and working through it. this brings maybe to the last question. You've been very generous with your time, Commissioner. And just like thank you for the engagement. This is what gives me personally hope in our regulatory agency that these are not, you know,
Starting point is 01:17:11 faceless people inside of like, you know, closed door meetings that we can't access, that there are regulators that are willing and able and happy to engage with the industry and their constituents and those that they represent in government. So we appreciate you doing this. So maybe as we close out, the last question for you, what do you think that we, the crypto industry, the crypto community can do, and together with the CFTC, to get like a better, more productive future going on for this? What type of engagement would you like to see? What do you want to see from our side? And then what do you think that, you know, regulators should be doing on the CFTC side? Yeah, I always say come in the door and have a conversation with us. You know, we are different in the fact that, like, we're not known for having a conversation and then turn around. And, you know, issuing you a subpoena. And that doesn't normally happen at the CFTC.
Starting point is 01:18:02 So it's still a safe place to kind of talk. The words come in the door are kind of like triggering. Right. Yeah. No, and I grew up in an area where it was very much, you know, fear of the federal government. So this idea of why would you ever go and ask the federal government for their, you know, don't engage with kind of always what I was taught growing up. But this is one where we need the education. and we can't get it internally.
Starting point is 01:18:30 We need people to come and help us understand. And, you know, so sometimes it's okay to come to us without a real ask just to come in and say, you know, we want to tell you what we're doing or what we're seeing in this space. You know, maybe it's maybe you have some kind of vested interest. Maybe you don't. But it's more just coming in and helping us understand what we're looking at and kind of, you know, consequences of, you know, what we're doing or what we're thinking about doing or what you're hearing. And that's always really helpful. And, you know, I think crypto has gotten, I don't want to
Starting point is 01:19:09 put crypto in, but kind of the digital asset space, they maybe started out at this very much like we don't want to interact with the federal government at all, stay out of our business. I think having that narrative change a little bit to, you know what, we're better off if we go in and educate them. And we're better off if we go in and explain what we're doing, why it's important. That's really changed a lot of the narrative. I've seen that over the years in Congress for sure. I think before everyone was afraid to talk to their elected officials. And now there's, you know, almost a united voice. And it is, it's changing the tide on the hill. I mean, even just three or four years ago, you had members of Congress saying this is all, this is all fake. It's all money laundering.
Starting point is 01:19:56 it's all criminals to you, maybe there's a few that still say that, but very few. And people are recognizing that this is legitimate market. These are important markets and that we need to make sure we're not, you know, pushing all this activity offshore. And that really came from, you know, whether there's interest groups or, you know, individuals coming up and talking to Congress, talking to the regulators and speaking out publicly, too. making your views known. That's, I mean, it's the best way to engage in our, in our government here is speaking out publicly and letting other people, you know, hear your thoughts and why what you're
Starting point is 01:20:39 doing is important. Yeah, I think that's absolutely right. And I'm reminded of that old quote, just because you're not interested in politics doesn't mean politics is not interested in you. And I think the crypto industry has learned that recently. And that is what we need to do, is continue the engagement, continue the conversation. So thank you for coming on bankless, Commissioner and continuing that conversation with us here today. It's been great. Yeah, thanks for having me. Bankless Nation, we will include a link to the Commissioner's dissent in the show notes. So go read this. Of course, none of this has been financial advice. Maybe it was a little bit of regulatory advice. But of course, crypto is risky. You could lose what you put in.
Starting point is 01:21:16 We are headed west. This is the frontier. It's not for everyone, but we're glad you're with us on the bankless journey. Thanks a lot.

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