Bankless - The Battle Between Crypto VCs & Retail Investors | Regan Bozman
Episode Date: May 6, 2024✨ DEBRIEF | Ryan & David unpacking the episode: https://www.bankless.com/debrief-the-regan-bozman-interview ------ Today we explore the frontier of Venture Capitalists vs Retail Investors, are the...y at war? That’s exactly what we debate on the show with crypto writer and VC Regan Bozman. Lots of questions to be asked on this episode: - Is crypto experiencing an identity crisis? - Are memecoins a reaction to VCs - Why is the current wave of Airdrops broken?. - Is attention more important than fundamentals? - Where do we go from here? It’s about time to gain some clarity into what’s really happening in the crypto space. ------ 📣 SPOTIFY PREMIUM RSS FEED | USE CODE: SPOTIFY24 https://bankless.cc/spotify-premium ------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🐙KRAKEN | MOST-TRUSTED CRYPTO EXCHANGE https://k.xyz/bankless-pod-q2 🔗CELO | CEL2 COMING SOON https://bankless.cc/Celo ⚖️ARBITRUM | SCALING ETHEREUM https://bankless.cc/Arbitrum 🛞MANTLE | MODULAR LAYER 2 NETWORK https://bankless.cc/Mantle 🏠 CASA | SECURE YOUR GENERATIONAL WEALTH https://bankless.cc/Casa 🗣️TOKU | CRYPTO EMPLOYMENT SOLUTION https://bankless.cc/toku 🌐 CARTESI | APPLY FOR A GRANT https://bankless.cc/CartesiGovernance ------ TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 6:10 Crypto Identity Crisis 17:15 Stories 25:18 Terminal Liquidity 20:14 VCs vs Retail 38:33 Token Sales 46:22 Airdrops 52:27 The Attention Economy 1:02:03 Solutions 1:09:31 Regulatory Hurdle 1:12:28 The Weirdness of It All 1:14:41 Memecoins 1:16:17 Where do we go from here? ------ RESOURCES Regan on X https://twitter.com/reganbozman Regan on Farcaster https://warpcast.com/regan Regan Thread https://twitter.com/reganbozman/status/1776293611036197059 ------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
Transcript
Discussion (0)
I was talking to someone last week and he's like, every VC I talked to is utterly miserable.
Like, you would not be able to tell that prices are like...
Because retail's miserable too. Everybody, all, everybody's miserable.
You know, yeah, we all, um, maybe we all need to go to like a Mexican beach vacation.
We can claim our eigener drop, you know, while we're south in the border and just like, chill out for a bit.
Welcome to Bankless, where today we explore the frontier of VCs versus retail.
That's the conversation today.
As always, I'm Ryan Sean Adams, and we've got David Hoffman, and we're here to help you become
more bankless. VCs versus retail. Are they at war this cycle in crypto? Have they always been at war?
That's the throughline of the conversation we have today with Crypto Ryder and VC Regan Bozeman.
A few things we talk about to get to the subject matter. Number one, why this cycle in
crypto feels weird? Number two, why retail attention is actually the tail that's wagging the dog right now.
Number three, why airdrops are broken and how to fix them.
Number four, the toxic combination of high FDV and low float and how we got there.
And number five, is a casino our primary use case?
Should we give up on this whole fundamentals thing?
Understanding the crypto markets and why they are what they are has been one of the
more interesting things to investigate, I think, since I've ever gotten into crypto.
There's so many different things about the way that these markets are built that are
fundamentally different and peak people in different ways.
One of the ways that they're different is that they're all of the middlemen between end market liquidity and retail buyers and early stage venture capitalists are gone in crypto.
There are no middlemen.
One thing that we do in crypto is we do disrupt the intermediaries, but now it's really smushed VCs, early stage VCs and late stage retail liquidity into the same room, into the same very small market.
$3 trillion is a lot, but it's still a very, very small market in the grand scheme of things.
And so how retail attention and what retail wants to invest in has changed over the years has
really dictated the way that VCs invest in the space. And so there's been this like tenuous
relationship between retail, which this entire industry is built on, like the early people
that bought Bitcoin, these are retail people. This entire crypto movement is spawned out of retail.
But nonetheless, there are early stage VCs. How do these two parties come to terms with each other?
How do these markets develop? And I think,
lately one of the reasons why this crypto cycle feels so weird is we're kind of coming to some sort
of conclusion about people's education and understanding about these market structures. And this is
the conversation that we unpack here with Regan Bozeman. But first, before we get to that
conversation with Regan, a moment to talk about some of these fantastic sponsors that make this
show possible. If you want a crypto trading experience backed by world-class security and award-winning
support teams, then head over to Cracken, one of the longest standing and most secure
crypto platforms in the world. Cracken is on a journey to build a more
accessible, inclusive, and fair financial system, making it simple and secure for everyone,
everywhere to trade crypto.
Cracken's intuitive trading tools are designed to grow with you, empowering you to make your
first or your hundredth trade in just a few clicks.
And there's an award-winning client support team available 24-7 to help you along the way,
along with a whole range of educational guides, articles, and videos.
With products and features like Cracken Pro and Cracken NFT marketplace and a seamless app to
bring it all together, it's really the perfect place to get your complete crypto experience.
So check out the simple, secure, and powerful way for everyone to trade crypto, whether you're a complete beginner or a season pro.
Go to crackin.com slash bank lists to see what crypto can be.
Not investment advice, crypto trading involves risk of loss.
Mantle, formerly known as BitDAO, is the first Dow-led web3 ecosystem, all built on top of Mantle's first core product, the Mantle network, a brand-new high-performance Ethereum Layer 2, built using the OPT stack, but uses Eigenlayer's data availability solution instead of the expensive Ethereum Layer 1.
Not only does this reduce Mantle network's gas fees by 80%, but it also reduces gas fee volatility,
providing a more stable foundation for Mantle's applications.
The Mantle treasury is one of the biggest Dow-owned treasuries,
which is seeding an ecosystem of projects from all around the Web3 space for Mantle.
Mantle already has sub-communities from around Web3 onboarded, like Game 7 for Web3 Gaming
and Buy Bit for TVL and liquidity and on-ramps.
So if you want to build on the Mantle network, Mantle is offering a grants program that provides
milestones-based funding to promising projects that help expand, secure, and decentralize Mantle.
If you want to get started working with the first Dow-led layer 2 ecosystem, check out Mantle at
mantle.xy-Z and follow them on Twitter at ZeroX Mantle.
Taking self-cust of your crypto is one of the most important things you can do on your bankless
journey. It's also one of the hardest things to get right, with huge consequences if you don't.
If you want help going bankless, talk to Casa. Casa helps you take custody of your crypto assets,
so you don't have to wonder whether you're doing it right. Kasa is a one-stop shop
for doing self-custody the right way.
With CASA vaults, you can hold Ether, Bitcoin,
stable coins, all with one simple app
and multiple keys for the ultimate peace of mind
with a support team to help you every step of the way.
But it doesn't stop at self-custody
because even though crypto is forever, you are not.
We all plan on making life-changing wealth in crypto,
but with CASA's inheritance product,
life-changing wealth can elevate to generational wealth.
For your kids and your loved ones,
who don't know anything about crypto.
With CASA, you won't lose your private keys
and you won't accidentally take them to the grave either.
Click the link in the description to get started securing your generational wealth.
Launching a token, worried about the IRS.
Talk to Toku for five minutes to learn how to save hundreds of thousands of dollars for you,
your team, and your investors.
Now, if you do an initial consultation,
Toku will cover the cost of your token valuation,
which is what you need for your launch.
So, don't wait.
Reach out to the team right now at team at at Toku.com.
That's team at t-O-K-U.com.
Bankless Nation, Regan Bozeman is an investor at Ladis, which is a VC fund. He's come on our
radar a lot recently, and particularly he writes these powerful threads on crypto, which I think
just synthesize various investing topics around crypto markets, private markets, air drops,
like whatever's going on. One of the themes today that we're going to explore is vCs and retail
is like a defining marker of this era that we're in, maybe versus retail or maybe how they
collaborate and work together. Regan, welcome to bankless. Yeah, thanks for having me on.
So there's maybe going to be a common through line through this episode. We're going to set up
a problem, let's say, and even discuss whether it's a problem of kind of the current meta in
crypto and the relationship between VCs and retail. And then we're going to discuss the reason
why that problem exists. And then finally, like what that means and where it's going to evolve
moving forward. So I actually want to throw this to David because I know David's been exploring
this thread recently. It's a Travis Kling thread that I think took off in February early of this year
and it's come to almost define the market moment. I feel like crypto is in. And Reagan, I actually
found this thread through one of your threads. So threadception right now. The Travis Kling thread
started off more or less titled, A Lack of Pretense that any of this shit does anything or will
ever do anything. That's kind of what I'd call like the crypto identity crisis in 2023 and 24,
especially after coming off of the terror that was 2022,
and then now looking around and reflecting about, like,
what have we built as an industry?
And it's resulted in some kind of like bull market despair
that I think the crypto industry has felt.
Like Bitcoin is at all-time highs because of the Bitcoin ETF.
Ether people perceive will be at all-time highs once it gets its ETF.
And then some quotes from Travis Kling's article
that people want to gamble on vaporware
and next year looks like a good year to be at the casino.
And the ratio of expectations to market cap feels like the lowest it's ever been.
And lastly, financial nihilism is growing like microchips.
So Reagan, when you read this Travis Kling article, you, like I said, wrote your thread about it and have processed it.
How do you think that this kind of just like defines the market cycle that you in it?
Elaborate on your thoughts and your interpretation of this.
Yeah.
So I mean, I think, you know, it's a common thread that people talk about how the past two cycles were sort of like kicked off by some new form of speculation.
You had ICOs in 2017, and then you had DFI Summer and yield farming and then NFTs in 2020 and 21.
And those were both new forms of speculation, but there were also companies that came out of both of those, right?
ICOs, you had AVE and MakerDAO was maybe a little bit earlier, but you had, you know, a lot of companies come out of that cycle.
And then DFI summer and NFTs, and you had compound and open C, and you had a lot of large companies, right?
There were things for people to do.
And so I think this cycle, it's different in that you kind of just have this external water hose of capital with the Bitcoin ETF coming in.
That's been the cycle rather than something internal.
So it's been the catalyst for this cycle rather than something internal.
And then you actually don't really have like a new thing for people to do.
It's just been mean coins, which are not new, right?
Doge came out maybe in 2013, 2014.
But it's like the most kind of pure form of gambling and just like,
if all you wanted to do is make money on crypto tokens, like punting on meme coins is the purest form to express that investment view.
And so I think what we're seeing is, you know, people on crypto Twitter are arguing about whether meme coins are good or bad or whatever.
But it's clearly what people want to do in this moment is just gamble on whether these things go up or down without any care in the world about whether this stuff will actually do anything.
I think part of this sentiment also comes from the fact that there doesn't really seem to be any new people coming into the crypto industry.
Like the Bitcoin ETF is bringing in new capital, but there's actually no new players.
Bitcoin capital is like the most vanilla type of capital that exists in the crypto market.
There's no inventing anything new here. It's just Bitcoin.
And so like while we are getting new capital and Bitcoin has, you know, punched through all-time highs, there's no new crypto people, right?
We're actually not really scaling this revolution.
we're actually kind of just like scaling the market cap of Bitcoin and then people are kind of
like recycling that capital like down into the long tail. And so I think maybe that also kind of
helps define about like why this market has been so weird lately. I think that's right. And I think
look, look, people have gambled on things for thousands of years. If you look at sports betting or
the lottery, clearly gambling is like ingrained in our society. And I think being able to spin up
permissionless betting markets on Solana, people can like, it's cheap, it's fast. It's
It works. It clearly is, like, innovative in that regard. But if we don't get anything
beyond that, this cycle, I think it is a little bit boring. And I think part of why maybe
you don't have new people coming in is, like, gambling on the meme coins, you're doing it
on dexes. You need to use something like deck screener or bird's eye. You're like looking at new
token contracts getting deployed. Like, it's a very crypto-native thing to do. And it's not that
easy to navigate. I think another interesting thing to think about is, like, you look back at last
cycle. And like, you had all these stories that were really powerful. And this is like what every
LP was told. It's like, oh, art is a $10 trillion asset class. And NFTs are going to revolutionize
every aspect of art. Oh, finance, you know, banks make hundreds of billions of dollars of fees a year.
You guys are, you know, being bankless. You're probably more familiar with this than I am. And
defy is going to like cut out all these middlemen and just whatever. Anyone can send money to anyone
in the world. And you don't have any stories like that this cycle. Now, I think that both of those
things are actually true, like defy, NFTs, all of this stuff, kind of slowly eating away
these industries. I think we're further along than we were three years ago, but that's not what
people are talking about. And so I think there's just not really a new meta for people.
It could be retail. It could be LPs. But there's not like a story to latch onto of like,
this is why crypto is cool. And this is why I should be involved.
Let me ask you, Regan. So is all of this a problem? So, I mean, we
couch this section and said, like, maybe there's a problem or, like, that, you know,
something weird about crypto, this cycle. And then Travis Kling talked about this and framed it
as a form of financial nihilism. And then you said that there have been arguments back and
forth on whether this is good or bad. Is it like a existential problem? Or do you think that this
is just like what crypto is here to do? Maybe it's good in some way. Like, is there really a problem here?
I think it's a problem. If this is all that occurs this cycle, yes. I mean, I think people have talked a lot about kind of trying to wrap like speculation and sort of like an academic lens. People point to Carlotta Perez's book, which I think is called something like speculation and financial innovation, how like speculative booms have led to a lot of investment, which has kind of lowered the cost of infrastructure. And that's then allowed like real technological innovation to happen. So people use this like the example of the dot-com boom,
subsidized a lot of like, you know, bandwidth getting late in the U.S.
And now 20 years later, you have a lot of very, very large companies that came out of this.
So I think it's speculation in and of itself is not bad, as I said before, right?
People, you know, were gambling on like what Gladiator was going to win in, like, Roman times.
But clearly it's not enough of a thing to draw new audience in because we're not seeing that happen now.
And this cycle has been very PVP, which is, you know, crypto is big.
It's not that big, right?
If the industry doesn't get any bigger from here, it's not that interesting.
So I think it can be like a step in the journey.
But if this is the end of the road, then I think we all have kind of a bigger thing to worry about,
which is like, where do we go from here?
Are we just going to be sitting around arguing on Twitter about whether meme coins are good or bad
for the next five years?
Like, that doesn't sound very fun to me.
Well, hopefully you can answer some of that in the process of going through this episode.
But another question I have on this thread is, is it really that different?
So, like, we're saying that this time there's financial nihilism in crypto. Oh, my God, like, wake up. Hasn't it been here every cycle would be a retort to that? So, I mean, 2017, we had ICOs, didn't we? And that was, like, a form of speculation and gambling, certainly. Like, what else would you call some of these ICOs? The previous cycle, we had all sorts of mechanisms for the animal spirits, right? Not least of which was monkey JPEGs and all sorts of things. Sorry, I didn't mean to single out a community, but all of the JPEGs we were speculating on, that Moon went to.
down. Now, this cycle, it's just the same sort of animal spirits, not expressed in ICOs, not
expressed in NFTs and other things like this, just expressed in meme coins. And, hey, isn't it,
by the way, instantly, isn't that the purest form of speculation anyway? We get it distilled. And it's not
like VC, you know, like bag shelling like the previous cycle. So, you know, is it really that
different, I guess, is the core question here. So I think the ethos of it is not necessarily that
different, right? People want to get rich.
And to me, I think if you distill down, like, people love to talk about crypto communities.
In my view, like, community is basically making money with your internet friends.
That is really how these, like, communities form is, like, positive financial upward mobility.
But I think the retort to, like, oh, all of that was just speculation is like, well, yeah, Solana did an ICO in 2020.
And, like, now it's 2024 and Stripe is using that thing.
So clearly, like, real things have emerged out of this.
you had like DeFi Summer and now Lido has like what, $25 billion in TVL and Ave and Compound or these very real things where like you have these global permissionless lending markets, which is like an incredibly powerful primitive.
So yes, I think like most things in life and venture like 95% of it is kind of useless and will fade away.
But from both of those prior speculative cycles, you clearly did have like generational companies or protocols or primitives come out of it.
Now, the question is, like, what comes out of this and what comes out of meme coins?
And I wish I had the answer to that.
One interesting data point is, you know, we have built basically software that, like,
tracks Twitter activity to try to source companies, right?
It looks, we have a few hundred accounts we think are, like, alpha generating to some extent.
And every time, like, we follow a new account, we basically try to sort of suss out,
like, okay, is this a new company or not?
And then, like, we basically source some of our deals via that mechanism.
And interestingly, in prior cycles, you know, more companies were started, right?
Crypto prices went up.
More attention went on the space.
People were talking about crypto.
And so people started companies.
And we actually haven't really seen that happen this cycle, which maybe isn't that
surprising, right?
It's, okay, this meme coin thing is interesting.
It's kind of a long leap to be like, okay, now I want to start a company in crypto, right?
There's just not that much meta about productive things yet.
And so that is kind of a leading indicator that, hey, like, maybe not that.
that much useful is kind of coming out of the current paradigm.
Just to be clear, Regan, you're seeing more meme entrepreneurs and fewer, like, sort of app
entrepreneurs?
I think just, like, less entrepreneurs generally.
One thing I want to open up is that conversation of the stories that always seem to come
with every single crypto market cycle.
I remember coming into 2017 crypto and just fell in love with the massive amount of stories
that were told.
Like, every single ICO would tell a story of, like, a future internet that, like, you know,
just got me going.
I loved it.
I just ate it up. And it really wasn't like into deep into 2018 where I realized kind of the
reality of what was going on here. And I was actually like the retail individual that was
learning his first lessons in the financial markets. But like as the next cycle came around,
the defy story and like you said, the NFT story came about, which seemed to be just so much
more coherent, right? And actually meaningfully did onboard people into the crypto world, right?
like defy is going to disintermediate trillions of dollars of intermediaries and put that hands
back into the margins right like we're going to tokenize the entire art market and put it on chain
and there's going to be a revolution digital art culture like i believe those stories i still believe
these stories i think these are good stories but telling these stories i think in 2024
people like just don't want to hear it the stories don't land as well both i would say for
crypto natives and for external non-crypto people and i think external non-crypto people and i think
external non-crypto people in 2024 actually understand kind of the crypto story, even if they're not
crypto people. Like, crypto is a household name now. Like, people know what Bitcoin is. At least they get the vibe.
They get the gist of, you know, democratizing access to finance. They kind of get that.
And so I think we've hit some level. And I want to get your sentiments on this for you again is,
I think we've hit some level of like story saturation or even with the stories of like NFTs coming to
disrupt the art market, still had like nefarious NFT drops, milk and
retail users and milking people who would like, you know, buy the top of their NFT, right?
Like, there's plenty of these examples. And nonetheless, like, we had the Defi story,
and then there were still plenty of just like startups that would play the get rich game
for ourselves and not for anyone else. And so, like, nevertheless, there's always some sort
of nefarious, or at least there is perceived to be some sort of nefarious motivations
in much of the makeup of the crypto industry. Like, at least when it comes to the private
markets as they go. I mean, defy is a perfect example.
It's like we had two years of like incredible financial innovation.
And then UST and Mirror destroys like $15 billion of value overnight, right?
Totally.
Totally.
Yeah.
And so like telling stories these days, I just don't think people want to hear it, both outsiders and insiders.
And so maybe I think that's kind of also contributing to the nihilism, whereas people
have heard these stories before and they like kind of just shout like, well, these are the VC podcaster stories that are here to like kind of work the narrative.
How would you react to that?
David, though, is it like that they don't want to tell stories or hear stories or they just don't want to hear those stories?
Because there are all sorts of new stories that are brewing, but they're more like casino, like meme type of story.
It's a different type of story.
Maybe. I mean, there's always an appetite for some sort of story somewhere, but the stories that I'm hearing are not like being broadcasted to the point where they're actually bringing in new people, right?
Like if they're not bringing in new people into the crypto industry, are they like useful stories?
Regan, what are your thoughts on this?
Well, I think it ties back to what you were talking about before, right?
It's like the prior two cycles, you did have this form of speculation, but it was like,
hey, this is funding, this like a new wave of companies that pretty clearly do something, right?
A permissionless lending market has a function.
Whether or not you think that's a big opportunity, that's like a different question.
Clearly these companies did something.
And this cycle, you kind of have meme coins, this new form of speculation, but it's not really
clear, like, what it's funding.
So I think there's like different audiences for stories, right?
I think if you look at retail investors coming into crypto, like what has been the main goal of most of them?
My assumption is like it's to make money, right?
Like maybe you're interested in this stuff.
Maybe if you just buy Bitcoin, you know, you kind of believe in this like hard money thesis.
But if you're like punting on tokens, like you probably pretty clearly want to get ahead financially.
And so maybe now with like just cheap meme coins on Solana that we're like you can make 100x in a day.
hey, you can also lose your money in a day, that is just like, it's what you wanted to do,
but you don't need the story, right? You don't need the icing on the cake, just like, that's
the purest form of gambling you could find. And so it's like that segment of the market,
maybe doesn't even need stories anymore, or they don't believe the stories that they were
told. I think for institutional allocators who've funded a lot of, you know, what's happened
in crypto, they don't want to hear that story, right? If you're like,
foundation or an endowment and you're trying to compound money over a 20-year time frame,
a new form of like, oh, this is like a casino, but better.
That's just like not a story you want to hear, right?
You want to hear big dreams because historically, like, that is what has produced big
financial outcomes in the past is like industry changing companies.
And you don't have that right now, which is why I think, yes, like price has gone up.
Bitcoin has hit all-time highs.
the floodgates of institutional money coming into the space, it has not happened yet. And I think a lack of like a coherent story is a big reason why.
So Regan, I think this brings up the question of like, were we fools to believe like the D5 story to begin with or the crypto money story? Right. So like at some level, I totally acknowledge that crypto has always been about, as you say, the main story here, the three line is making money with your friends. But it used to be like that. Plus if we do that and when we do that, we get to economic.
secure this permissionless open internet property rights system for the world. Even the original
Bitcoin story was like, if we do that, as we make money with friends, right, we create this
sound money standard that protects us against fiat debasement. The Ethereum story is like as we make
money with friends, as we get ultrasound money, right, we start to create this defy system that
anyone can use, free us from the bankers. I mean, this is part of the bankless origin story as
well. And now it's just, as you say, like, a more distilled version of, like, we make money with friends.
And, like, maybe there's some element. And creators and influencers get to kind of, like,
democratize access to their fans. Maybe there's vestiges of that. But, like, I guess my question is,
were we fools to believe all of the original crypto origin stories? It was like, was it only
about making money with friends to begin with? No, I think that incredible things have come out of
all of those. Like, you look at Solana, right? Like,
It is now this incredibly fast blockchain, stripe announced last week, that they're going to use it.
And if you kind of think about like this, you know, shared upside amongst an early community and early adopters, like,
Solana was live and liquid under a dollar for like months in 2020, right?
Early adopters of that community have seen huge financial upside.
I think you look at stable coins.
Like I talked to a company yesterday that is working with like merchants in South America that import and export.
goods and they need to deal with a bunch of different currencies, like they are using stable
coins and it is much cheaper and faster for them than like using the SWIF system that exists
today. So I think there are real success stories coming out of crypto, but, you know, using the
stable coin company as an example that's not necessarily something that's like investable
or you could trade day to day. And so I think the attention of the market is clearly focused on
like the fastest part of it. But there are a lot of really successful, cool things happening in
crypto, it's just like, that's not the current meta.
I want to turn to why all of this story talk is so important.
Like, why do stories matter so much?
And one of your threads, Reagan, you said a line that's now stuck with me, which is
terminal liquidity and crypto comes from retail.
And so this has been just true about crypto from the get-go.
Retail interests has always had an outsized impact on the crypto markets.
Like, Bitcoin itself was molded out of, like, casual retail investors.
The first people that bought Bitcoin were not the VCs, were not the fund managers.
They were just the internet casual people who stumbled upon the Bitcoin white paper and were
crazy enough to buy Bitcoin before it actually had a market price.
And this is reverberated throughout the halls of crypto cycles throughout time, right?
Retail predominantly owns like the long tail of assets in crypto.
And so like what retail cares about with the average Joe with an internet connection and
a couple hundred dollars, what they care about actually matters like quite a bit in the
crypto markets.
And so your line here is that terminal liquidity for VCs comes from retail.
And I think this kind of opens up the conversation of the relationship between venture capital
firms and retail.
But just let's hang on that line for a second.
Just like terminal liquidity comes from retail.
Just express a little bit more about what you mean by that and how that has impacted what
the crypto markets actually are.
Yes.
I think if you look at traditional venture markets, you know, a scene investor will back some
SaaS company at the seat round, right?
Maybe they have a few customers.
They're generating a few thousand dollars a month in revenue.
And then there's Series A investors and there's Series B investors.
And, you know, basically as a company produces more cash flows, like there are more investors
who are willing to put more money into a company as it grows.
And eventually, there's, like, a number of exit possibilities for that company.
It could be sold to a private equity firm, a strategic acquirer could buy it or could go
public.
But there are a lot of different avenues.
And generally, it's not like retail buying a SaaS company.
Maybe in an IPO, like some retail investors, buy those shares, but there's a lot of institutional
allocators that are focused on companies that produce free cash flows.
And there is this universal currency of free cash flows.
Most of those things don't exist in crypto, right?
There's not a lot of growth stage investors.
Generally, companies aren't raising more than a series A or a series B before they launch a token.
And if you look at who's trading these tokens, and let's just take Bitcoin and ETH out of the
equation, everything kind of below that in the coin get-go rankings, it's probably at least
80% retail. So I think there's always been this kind of uneasy truth that there is just a lot
more money allocated to crypto venture than there is to fund managers holding liquid tokens.
And so ultimately, the kind of assembly line we've built of like protocols getting funded and launching,
ultimately it's dependent on retail investors wanting to trade these assets when they go liquid.
And if that breaks down, then, you know, there are like things that need to be fixed.
Just to elaborate on the point that there's so few, like, funds that hold liquid tokens.
Because if you were a hedge fund that held, like, liquid tokens and you are buying the cream of the crop of tokens in 2017, you're probably down 97%.
Right?
Like, if we're not talking about Bitcoin and ETH, like, what was, like, one of the best tokens of 2017 that I can remember, like, basic attention token, like auger?
like these tokens don't make it through the cycles because like crypto's so heavily like evolving and so
research focused and we are developing new systems like we didn't have the word data availability
until 2022 I think and so holding tokens for the long term like crypto moves so fast it evolves so
fast and so like there's always like a new meta of like industry infrastructure that means that
like being a long term investor in the long tail of tokens is like kind of untenable in this space
Yeah, I think that's right. I mean, clearly there are assets that last through multiple cycles, Bitcoin, ETH, MKR, but generally they don't. Most don't. And I think just in an industry where there are 90% upswings and drawdowns, it's very hard to manage a liquid fund across cycles because at some point, if you have a liquid fund and your investors can redeem money, you will be down 75%. And so the way most investors have chosen to access the asset class is the
through venture funds, which I think has worked well. It's funded some incredible technology,
and it's helped drive a lot of, like, the industry's forward progression. But ultimately,
there still is a big delta where there's all this money going in on the private side.
And eventually, like, that money needs to turn into more money to go back to those LPs to
then fund, like, the next wave of crypto venture funds. Yeah, so we've cut out the middlemen,
right? We've cut out all of the steps between, like, early seed stage venture capital and
late stage public markets. We've cut out, you know, series C, D, EFG. We've cut out the investment
banks. We've cut out all these things. But like that capital actually just like kind of
re-pointed itself towards venture capital, making venture capital very like overweight in the
crypto world versus like retail. And so when we have like an overweight VC pendulum and then we
have no net new incomers into the crypto markets, all the retail individuals,
the long-tail buyers is actually the same people that have been here since 2021.
and this is kind of where this meta has like a merch,
where we have an overweight VC,
and then when we have like the same supply of retail people,
and that's kind of the current structure of the market.
Would you say that's right?
Yeah, I think that's right.
And I think, you know, people want to launch tokens in a bull market, right?
So you have a lot of teams that have been building,
maybe kind of getting ready for TGE during 2023.
The market starts ripping in December,
and it's like, oh, yeah, let's launch.
Let's get the token out the door.
And if you don't have any new retail inflows,
who's going to buy these things, right?
And I think that's maybe why you're starting to see the market kind of like get a little bit shakier than it was two months ago,
where some of these new token launches are not going well.
Now, for what it's worth, I think structurally the current paradigm we've set up of these high FTV, low float tokens, is terrible.
I think it's like the worst innovation in the industry in a long time.
And I can talk about that.
So I don't think it's like an, it's not an intractable problem.
But the current paradigm is just not working.
Let's come back to that issue of high FDV. But before we do, just to flesh out why we're in this state,
I want to ask you a question structurally, why do we even have this or need this division between retail and VCs, right?
I remember the original promise of 2017 with ICOs was like, VCs are dead. We don't need VCs any longer, right?
And I'm wondering if you think that that is, like, why? Why there is this division?
Is it a product primarily of like accredited investor laws, let's say, where like it's a product of the regulatory regime that we're in?
Or is there something deeper here?
Because it's not, I mean, permissionless access to kind of launch a token and like raised funds.
It's not clear that you need a whole separate class of investors and call them VCs.
So I think crypto VCs get a lot of flak and some of it is definitely deserved.
I think they generally do serve a purpose, which is taking very early bets.
and accepting a very different liquidity profile
than most people who are just punting tokens.
So maybe to like frame kind of the timeline of this,
generally when we make an investment,
tokens are locked for at least a year.
And that TGE event may be six to 24 months away.
And then our tokens vest over another two to four years.
So it can be three, four years
before we even have half the tokens,
you know, that we kind of purchased with like a token warrant
or something like that.
So I do think VCs take a liquidity timeline that is very different from how most retail participants want to trade tokens.
So I do think you need a different class of participants.
And I also think, you know, oftentimes when we're underwriting these investments, it is like two people in a room with a deck, right?
There's nothing live on main net.
There's nothing to use.
Like, it's just very different.
And it's kind of subjective investing, right?
You're really just trying to back awesome people who are going to stick with this.
Now, it's not to say like VCs are necessarily smarter than like the average retail participant.
I mean, most of us probably like to think we are, right?
But it's like it is more liquid than traditional venture.
But like almost always we are holding these positions for at least three to four years.
So it's just very different than trading tokens.
Part of it is definitely regulatory.
You know, I think there is a path to kind of sell tokens to the public in a compliant manner.
I mean, generally, you exclude the U.S., but a lot of teams have done this,
file coin Solana, near Avalanche.
Like, a lot of large blockchains today did do something like this.
But generally, I think that that happens at kind of a later date when there's more to show.
But for what it's worth, like, I think that it does not need to be a PVP game, right?
Solana, Avalanche, near, a lot of the most successful watches from last cycle,
yes, they sold tokens to VCs really early on, and then they sold them.
to retail, probably at a bit of a higher price, but all of those tokens launched below
billion-dollar FTVs.
Like both the retail participants in those public sales and just people who bought those
tokens at launch, everyone did well.
So I don't think this like paradigm of like, oh, it's like VCs versus retail.
It doesn't necessarily need to be like that.
It doesn't need to be like that.
And yet it is.
And I feel like in our current environment, like now maybe more than ever.
And I'm wondering if part of the reason you think that that.
the case is because you're very much right. Retail right now does not value tokens based on
like discounted cash flows or something like that, right? There's like almost like no investor
class in this space that actually does. Much to I think the chagrin of like, you know, people
who love fundamentals, like David and myself, I would say, we love fundamentals. Like look at the
cash flow that Ethereum and Maker are throwing off. Like no one cares about that. And so like
because we have the nature of the market structure and the buyers are predominantly retail,
and what they care most about is sort of like narrative, then you do get into almost like a PVP
scenario of VCs who have early access to these deals, right? And then retail on the other side
who are supposed to be sort of the exit liquidity, the buyers of these deals, they actually can start
giving what the market wants, which is rather than product market fit, narrative market fit.
And so it turns VCs into sort of these narrative spinners, let's say, who are just basically like,
here's a great narrative market. Do you accept it or not?
And retail goes, yes, we love this narrative and they buy, buy, buy.
And so I'm wondering why you think this dynamic exists.
And if you think that that's like sort of a bad trap to fall into where now we're sort
of feeding the market what it wants, which is like memes and narratives rather than actual
useful products.
Yeah.
I mean, I think it's, you're not wrong.
And I think a lot of it is VC's fund what has done well in the market.
And so if you believe that like retail, they speak their opinion through the market.
then I think VCs are funding what retail in the market want.
You know, I think it's a common refrain or like we hear this all the time from LPs.
Yeah, like, why is all this infrastructure getting funded?
Why do you need the 10th DA solution and like the 17th L1 and like all these L2s?
And VCs fund it to some extent because that is what the market is placed a premium on, right?
There are like every tier 2 L1, you know, it's like Al-Garan probably trades at like one and a half billion FTV.
the market has kind of put a floor on these things.
And so that's what people fund.
And, you know, David, you talked about the tail lagging the dog.
Like, that's exactly that.
And part of it goes back to, like, in traditional markets, you kind of have cash flows as this universal asset.
Narrative can help, right?
Like, investors will probably pay a higher multiple for those cash flows if companies in AI or whatever.
But there is this, like, universal currency of like, okay, this is an asset I want to buy.
In crypto, it's kind of just a tension.
And so, you know, people can criticize VCs for like just funding things that fall into the narrative.
But if the market doesn't value cash flows, then funding things that have cash flows is kind of irrational, right?
Like, you just need to front run the narrative and invest in what you think is going to be hot.
Exactly.
The idea that Solana, Avalanche, a lot of these networks that launched a very low token pricing, and they got retail in at a low token price.
and then they, you know, went through their price appreciation.
I don't know how much control anyone really has over that.
Like a number of teams that like I've hung out with and spend time with,
they're like,
how do we make our token launch go like Celestias?
Where Celestia launches at $2 and then it hangs there for a month and then it does a 10x.
Like, oh, that's what you guys want because everyone wants that.
That's what everyone wants.
Yes.
But like if too many people want that, you enter into the world of high FD,
V low float because it just skips to the part where it launches at a 20x and then there's no
price appreciation. No one can get on the bus. No one can get on the ship. So like Regan, is it that even a
possible thing to engineer? Because I think you're kind of like dictating what the market should do,
but like the market doesn't do what you think it should do. So you're right in that regard.
And I think Celestia, they did a good job with it. I also think they launched maybe in mid to early
November. So they kind of like were a little bit early. The market hadn't really heated up that
much yet. I think letting retail buy-in is kind of a pretty good solution and doing public token sales.
I'm biased. I worked for a long time at Coinless, like I worked on a lot of these. But I just fundamentally
believe that people value things that they buy more than things they get for free. And I think
with AirDrops, in this current paradigm, you kind of set it up where people expect tokens for free,
and then they go out at a high FTV and, okay, well, you got $5,000 in Igan for free. And, you got $5,000.
Are you really going to go buy 5,000 more at a $10 billion FDV? Probably not.
And if you think about, again, going back to what community is, it's making money with your
internet friends. If the amount of money you can make is capped at what the airdrop is,
which is a somewhat arbitrary amount that's dictated by the team, it's very hard to build
community if that's like people's only shared upside in a project.
So I think you're right.
Like, ultimately the market determines what the prices are, but how?
having a higher float at launch and more creative ways for your community to get bought into what
you're building, I think at least helps the problem. I agree. And I think most VCs would agree.
And I think most people in crypto would agree. And I think most people on founding teams would also agree.
Like basically, there's a chorus of people who are crypto natives who give you a resounding agreement on the idea that retail should participate far
earlier than they do. Let me tell you who doesn't agree, though, and that's like the SEC,
right? And it's like, I'm wondering if you think, given the constraints, that any of that is
possible, right? And like, we had an ICO with Ethereum, right, back in, what, 2015, that would
not have been possible in this regulatory climate. So, like, just revising David's question to you,
but, like, with the constraints that we have a regulatory, like, whackamol, who is, like,
like actively prosecuting this industry and preventing earlier token sales from happening.
Yes, it's definitely the regulatory issues are a large part of the problem.
To my knowledge, almost every token sale that coinless and most other platforms have done in the last
five years has excluded U.S. retail. And so you have kind of, you know, offshore foundations,
selling assets to non-U.S. people, which I think solves a lot of the problem. But you're right,
there definitely is more risk, or at least a perception of more risk.
in doing some kind of public token sale.
Now, I think you look at like the eigenerirdrop and like, do you see that like map of like what countries are excluded and it's like, you know, it's like half the world, right?
Clearly like these risks still exist with air drops.
So I don't think the air drops are a perfect solution.
But a lot of teams that are successful today did public token sales.
So clearly these things can work, although I acknowledge like they've gotten harder from the regulatory side.
Selo is the mobile first EVM compatible carbon and
negative blockchain built for the real world.
Driving real world use cases like mobile payments and mobile defy and with Opera
MiniPay as one of the fastest growing Web3 wallets, cello is seeing a meteoric rise with over 300
million transactions and 1.5 million monthly active addresses.
And now, Sello is looking to come home to Ethereum as a layer two.
Optimism, Polygon, Matter Labs, and Arbitrum have all thrown their hats in the ring for the
Sello Layer 2 to build upon their stacks.
Why the competition?
The Sello Layer 2 will bring huge advantages like a decentralized sequence.
or off-chain data availability, secured by Ethereum validators, and one-block finality.
What does that all mean for you?
With Sellow layer 2, gas fees will stay low, and you can even pay for gas natively using
ERC20 tokens, sending crypto to phone numbers across wallets using Social Connect.
But Sellow is a community-governed protocol.
This means that Cello needs you to weigh in and make your voice heard.
Join the conversation into Cello forums.
Follow Sellow on Twitter and visit cello.org to shape the future of Ethereum.
Have you ever felt that the tools for developing decentralized applications
are too restrictive and fail to leverage advancements from traditional software programming.
There's a wide range of expressive building blocks beyond conventional smart contracts and
solidity development. Don't waste your time building the basics from scratch and don't limit
the potential of your vision. Cartese provides powerful and scalable solutions for developers
that supercharge app development. With a Cartesian virtual machine, you can run a full Linux
OS and access decades of rich code libraries and open source tooling for building in Web3.
And with Cartesie's unique roll-up framework, you'll get real.
world scaling and computation. No more competing for block space. So, if you're a developer looking
to push the boundaries of what's possible in Web 3, Cartesey is now offering up to $50,000 in grants.
Head over to Cartesey's grant application page to apply today. And if you're not a developer,
those with staked CTSI can take part in the governance process and vote on whether or not
a proposal should be funded. Make sure your vote ready by staking your CTSI before the votes open.
Arbitrum is the leading Ethereum scaling solution that is home to hundreds of decentralized
Abertram's technology allows you to interact with Ethereum at scale with low fees and faster transactions.
Arbitrum has the leading defy ecosystem, strong infrastructure options, flourishing NFTs, and is quickly becoming the web-free gaming hub.
Explore the ecosystem at portal.arbitrum.com.
Are you looking to permissionlessly launch your own Arbitrum orbit chain?
Arbitrum allows anyone to utilize Arbitrum's secure scaling technology to build your own orbit chain, giving you access to interoperable, customizable permissions with dedicated throughput.
Whether you're a developer, an enterprise or a user, Arbitrum orbit lets you take your project to new heights.
All of these technologies leverage the security and decentralization of Ethereum.
Experience Web3 development the way it was always meant to be.
Secure, fast, cheap, and friction-free.
Visit arbitram.io and get your journey started in one of the largest Ethereum communities.
Regan, we're about at the time of recording a day or so into the recent eigen drop, air drop, stick drop.
That's kind of how they phrased things.
And there's been quite the reaction.
And I would phrase it as like a retail versus VC reaction to this.
David and I did a live stream on this.
You should have seen the chat box.
DDoS attack.
I saw, I would say I saw screenshots of the chat box.
What do you make of this?
So like what do you think in the context of the discussion we've had so far?
I think the current air drop paradigm is just really broken.
If people expect something for free, like they will inevitably be disappointed in what they get.
I think it's just human psychology.
And, you know, the current points.
paradigm where it's almost like you're like the prize you get. It's like you keep like extending
it out, right? Like, oh, I'm going to put my eth here and then I'm going to get like some points
in three months and some points in six months and some points in nine months. And then the token,
like to some extent it does align like people using the platform for its intended use with like
financial upside, which I like. The fact that early users of these protocols are rewarded
financially is beautiful. It's awesome, right? Like, that's a way better model than how software
works today. But if people just expect tokens for free and they're never going to buy any
and kind of like, again, going back to what I said earlier, the max amount of exposure to a project
they're ever going to have, because these things go out at really high FTV, because you need
to maximize the notion of the air drop, you're kind of just setting yourself up for disappointment
no matter what. So it's not to say like, Eigen did anything wrong or they did anything that
people haven't done in the past, but it's just a bad paradigm we're in, and I don't think it's
sustainable. There's been this like arms race around airdrops that started with like Uniswap, right?
Uniswap didn't invent air drops, but it really popularized it. It was like the retroactive
air drop. But it was also kind of like immaculate, right? Because the only people who could really do a true,
fair retroactive airdrop was uniswap. And then the game of airdrop farmers really began with the
introduction of like the uniswap airdrop. And there's been an arms race ever since. And it's gone back and
forth. Airdrops got more precise, right? Like optimism had a very precise air drop. There was like six
different categories that you would have to check box and you would get more every single time. And so like
there's been an arms race. The points is like the most recent meta in this arms race. But even the
points thing is like even like changing. And really there's never been any sort of.
sort of just like equilibrium, because as soon as any equilibrium gets set in about, like,
how you distribute a token, the lawyers come in and say, well, you have to change it now,
because, like, the SEC's on to us, basically. And so, like, I think the eigendrop is, like,
the most recent evolution of this whole, like, relationship between air drop recipients
and protocols who need to distribute their token in order to make their whole thing work. But, like,
the most recent, like, phenomenon that I've noticed is there's been a bunch of air drops where, like,
the team stumbled for some perceived reason. It could be a small reason. It could be a big reason.
But like the community starts to rabble so hard and yell scam, scam, scam, scam, scam, to
bully the team to dropping more tokens to compensate. I've seen this work like two or three times now.
And so like now you're getting like the DDoS attack of like the AirDrop attempted farmers who like are trying to raffle their way into more tokens.
and then it's causing, like, angst in the actual team.
And overall, the meta that's emerged is just like, everyone just feels shitty about it.
Like, the team feels shitty.
No one's happy about it.
VCs are happy.
Like, yeah, no one's happy.
Yeah, I definitely, like, don't have all of the answers.
But the current meta is broken.
I think teams, like, at some point just need to give up on theirdrop is, like, going to be the big thing that gets people involved.
Because clearly, like, everyone's going after the same pie, right?
Like, the market is not growing.
And so, like, kind of definitionally, you know, only so many assets can flow into, like, any given air shop or farm.
And they take away from everyone else.
So, you know, I always think back to, like, what's the most powerful community in crypto?
Probably, like, the Link Marines.
And, like, people could have bought Link.
There was probably a year and a half or it was under 50 cents.
And so, like, Link could be $2, it could be $5, it could be $15.
Like, they are going to go to bat for survey because they're in the black.
They've made money.
And they love Link.
And so now, again, you know, the market is very different than it was in 2019.
I'm not saying that that is, like, perfectly replicable.
But if you give community a chance to, like, put skin in the game and have upside in a
protocol or project and they can, you know, size it depending on what they can afford,
and, you know, I think giving some to people for free makes sense, but like just going back to even like people buying, you know, retail being the ultimate liquidity for most tokens.
If retail is not going to buy any more of your token because they got it for free, this whole system breaks, right?
It just literally does not work.
So the current paradigm is just bad and we need to get out of it.
And like, I don't think we can just blame the lawyers.
VCs are also to blame, right?
If you're funding these projects at insane valuations, like, you need them to go out
at a high FTV because otherwise it's like, well, why did you do this at $5 billion
of the four-year walk-up when like John the dentist from Florida could buy it at $4.5 billion
liquid, you know, next month.
Yeah, and I'm sure we'll talk more about meme coins, but an interesting retail reaction
to all of this is just like ignore the high FTV like low float tokens and like go buy a meme
coin. And that's at some level kind of a rational reaction to all of this. But I want to ground this
into another insight and bring us back to an earlier point in the conversation where we basically
said traditional cash flows don't matter in this market. Okay, when you go and you look at equities,
there's a whole industry analyzing like PE ratios and like how much cash is this thing,
you know, going to throw off now in the future and what is like the dividend profile look like
in crypto, none of that matters right now. As much as I wish, you might wish, listener, that it did,
it just like doesn't right now because there's no buyer that's evaluating assets based on that.
What they are evaluating assets based on is kind of attention, I would say.
You have a tweet thread where you ask the question, you pose the question, how do crypto markets value things?
It ain't cash flows.
Crypto markets value attention.
What does attention mean?
It means you're part of the current narrative.
It means crypto Twitter is talking about you.
It means a retail audience wants to own your token.
It means your community's meme game is firing.
It means other projects want to do, quote, unquote, partnerships.
Partnerships.
Tell us about this.
What is this attention economy and, like, why do you think retail is?
Like, how does this factor into your analysis?
I mean, I think it's not me casting any subjective opinion on the market, like, oh, the tokens that people value are right or wrong.
I think you just look at what people want to trade.
And pretty clearly, it's just like, it's attention.
It's narrative.
It's momentum.
Maybe an interesting example is like these GPU marketplaces that have kind of fern.
into like the AI trend, right? You look at things like NOSANA, which is like a GPU marketplace
and Solana, it's valuing every like GPU they have at like $5 million. Like something totally
insane, right? Or you look at WorldCoin and it pumps because of like, Sam Altman super
charismatic chat GPT releases a new version, right? It's just like. Didn't we get by the way,
the metrics around this for WorldCoyne from like if you look at true market cap, right,
fully diluted market cap, north of like a hundred billion or something?
something like this?
At its peak, yeah.
That sounds about right.
So, look, I think, again, it's, you don't have, like, hedge funds and mutual funds that, like,
value companies on PE ratios.
They are not the people training these assets.
It's retail investors.
And clearly, retail investors, at least in this market, value, attention and narrative
more than anything else.
And maybe even it's just, like, a game theoretical thing, right?
Where it's, like, maybe you actually care about cash flows, but if you know that the market
does it.
Yeah. People just want to punt on AI tokens. Rationally, you should go buy some AI tokens.
Yeah, and I think a lot of VCs are like thinking like this too. Let me ask you though, Regan,
maybe this gets to do a little bit of the solution, but like, is there a way to change that?
So one way of changing that is education. So, hey, retail users, do you know that your token is just basically like not producing any cash flows? It's, you know, I don't know. I'm paying money to see this conversation.
Here's the thing. I mean, we try to have it sometimes, right?
try to preach fundamentals. And I know a ton of great analysts that are doing this work now.
There's one from the DeFi report that's putting out fantastic fundamentals about particular
crypto assets and evaluating them like a smart equities trader and looking at the kind of
the cash flow prospects. And we have tokens that generate cash flows. I mean, Maker last quarter
did like 30 to 40 million, just in one quarter of cash flows. Ethereum, if you kind of like
evaluate that from a network perspective, something like 300 to 400 million in Q1 of 2024.
of like cash flows, right? So we can begin to educate the retail market, or we could begin to
bring in those net new trad-fi investors who are just like, as you said earlier in the conversation,
Regan, like, they're not going to be excited about the new casino, and they don't want to
deploy funds to that. They're excited about Bitcoin. Maybe the next thing they start to evaluate
is these tokens with cash flows. And so we get a new crop of buying pressure. And so maybe this is just
the symptom of a young, immature retail forward market, and maybe in the fullness of time,
call it like years, hopefully not decades, but call it years, fundamentals begin making a
comeback. And there's some smart set of investors who just go bet on that. And they're like,
you know what I'm buying? I'm buying tokens with strong fundamentals. And they carve out their
path, they make their name, and they bring that buying activity. Is that a too optimistic or
too hopeful take on how this plays out? I think maybe.
in the sense that, like, if you wanted to just go trade assets based on cash flows, like, Robinhood works pretty well.
Now, I'm not saying you're wrong forever because I think that directionally, like, the ETF leads to institutions coming in and wanting to trade these assets, and I think you're already starting to see that happen.
And yeah, like, if you're whatever at, like, one of these financial institutions and you want to trade crypto assets, like saying, oh, we're going to buy, like, this random L2 because, like, the memes,
are good, like, you're probably going to get laughed out of the boardroom. So I think, like,
directionally, over time, that is where the market will head. But in this game, if you're two years
too early, even if you're a year too early, like, you might as well be wrong. So I personally,
like, making venture bets on the assumption that, like, the current kind of capital market
structure is going to change, I am like, I don't want to do that. I think it's a good way. It's a good
way to get wrecked. But I would also argue that like maybe VC should be more creative.
Like we funded all this random infrastructure for years under the assumption that like retail
wants to trade it. Like I don't know. I think there's some burden on the industry because like,
you know, people have asked this question like, oh, how many L1s can there be? How many L2s can there
be? And I feel like a lot of VC has been like, oh, well, there can be infinite number.
Yeah. Because retail has wanted to trade that.
in the past.
And so I think maybe actually, like, the burden is on the industry to create more
interesting assets.
Maybe.
And for what it's worth, I actually think we're starting to see a little bit of a shift
towards applications that have kind of built some proprietary brand or distribution,
starting to capture more value.
And I think the way we're starting to see this is basically, like, flagship apps start
to roll their own infrastructure and basically commoditize down the stack.
Now, Blur launching their own L2, I think, is a really interesting example, right?
We're like, they could have deployed on optimism or arbitram if they needed, like, a high-throughput chain.
And they're just going to rule their own thing.
And it's basically, like, they've built, you know, by some metrics, like the leading NFT marketplace.
They want to capture all that value.
And we'll see how Blass does.
But I think that's interesting in that attention users, like, those are kind of more fundamentals driven than, like,
the random next, like, high throughput L2. So I think maybe the market is going to start valuing
that more than it just does, like, oh, this ZK co-processor, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
So you are definitely long on attention markets being a driving force and like not fundamentals.
And you don't think that structurally changes anytime soon. However, what you're saying is
the nature of that attention might shift. And VCs should be careful.
be mindful of that shift. It might shift out of, I know people have said to me, the Alt L1 trade is
never dead, right? And they're talking about just previous cycles, how, like, alt L1s have always
been a thing. And so you could always, like, generate a new Alt L1. It's going to, like, be unicorn
status and, like, you're done. But maybe that changes in a world where we are beyond infrastructure,
and we actually have apps that retail is using. And maybe that's kind of the missing piece here.
And then, like, what the VCs have done is, like, over-allocated towards infrastructure, because
they've been under an old retail attention paradigm. What they should really be doing is focusing on
like these full stack app integrated infrastructure plus app type of experiences. Is this what you're saying?
Yeah. And I think there's like a subjective way to look at like what attention is. And then there's like a
somewhat of a fundamental way, right? Like a lot of social networks when they IPOed, you know,
they were not profitable, right? From like a P&L perspective, it's hard to say like, oh, that like fundamentally
is worth $100 billion. But they had a lot of eyeballs. They had a lot of users. And I think
what you're going to see is companies that have built some proprietary attention, distribution
audience. We've started to see this with some portfolio companies like Galaxy and Layer 3.
They're in a poll position to just kind of commoditize the more boring parts of this stack,
like all of the middleware, and basically monetize the attention they have by vertically
integrating and owning their own infrastructure. And so I think we'll see more of that this cycle.
Like, Blast is not going to be the last team to do this.
A lot of this podcast has been just kind of presenting VCs and retail as like opposing forces,
like opposite ends of the spectrum, right? Two different groups of people who want different things,
but they're smushed together by the properties of crypto to be in the same room and have to like contend with each other.
I want to get your perspective on just like how to kind of, not that it necessarily needs fixing,
but just like what can we add or what can we change to how companies raise capital,
how they progress in their product, how they onboard.
users, and then how they also do the thing that crypto promises to do, which is push ownership
to the margins and by bypassing all the intermediaries. Because right now, this whole, like,
high-fdv, low-flow air-drop meta is untenable, and, like, maybe we're starting to see
signs of that, like, being, becoming in the rearview mirror. So if you had your way, if you were
God's hand kind of dictating how this could be, how could this be. Yeah, I mean, I think there's some
smaller structural changes. Like, the team.
at Sixth Mad Ventures did pretty good research on like token unlocks and how it impacts price.
Avoiding like large chunky cliffs is just an example of something we could do where, you know,
retail investors expect, they see this big cliff coming.
They expect that like people are going to sell tokens.
They dump.
It just leads to a lot of price volatility.
Moving towards linear unlocks is just like a better paradigm that we should all do.
But that's like a small thing.
I think really at a high level, allowing retail to buy into your project.
is the direction we need to go back to.
And I don't think it's going to work for every team.
And some teams, whatever the risks entail,
they may not be comfortable with, which I get.
But to the extent you can structure some sort of public token sale
where your community can really get bought into your project,
like clearly that has worked well for a lot of the largest protocols that exist today.
And I think there's a reason for that.
People have skin in the game.
They've made money.
and it's just a much better paradigm than, okay, you can kind of get your handout, but like you're not going to be able to get any more.
And we have to like maximize the FTV of the network to maximize the value of your handout.
And so this thing is probably just going to go down and bleed out.
Like that's not good for anyone.
So I think having higher floats at launch, maybe it's like linear unlocks from day one and really allowing
people besides VCs to buy into projects, like that is the direction the industry should go back to.
We've seen a couple projects in recent years to actually do the, maybe it was coinless,
maybe it was a different distribution platform. I think immutable was the most recent organization
that I know did a private sale, a private sale to public markets. And of course,
like US investors were totally banned from this. I think you had to do some sort of K. Y.C.
So, you know, it's not perfect, but it is what it is. For people that aren't familiar with this process,
Can you just illuminate it for them?
Like, educate on what this process actually looks like.
Yeah.
So I may get some of the specifics wrong because I'm not intimately familiar with all of these sales.
But at a high level, like the way I've seen it work is you basically do what's called like a reg S sale, like a non-U.S company sells tokens to non-U.S.
And, you know, I think most of these teams do KYC because ultimately whether you agree that that's right or wrong, it's kind of the way the financial system works today.
And these tokens are generally sold either at like a fixed price below.
you think the token will go out or there's some sort of Dutch auction to establish a market
clearing price.
And then, you know, the tokens launch and generally some are liquid at launch.
And then there's some vesting over maybe a year.
Because I think there's not an expectation that retail investors are willing to accept the same
liquidity tradeoffs that VCs are.
And generally, at least the way I've seen most coinless sales structured, there's like a cap
on what you can buy.
Maybe it's $5,000, maybe it's $10,000.
But it really, you know, again, it allows retail purchases.
to buy into these sales. And from the numbers I've seen coming out of coinless, you know, you have
10, 20, 50,000 people participating in these, right? Like, clearly you can get a base of token
holders that's quite large. To me, it's just like a good way to cede a community because you can
kind of get people again with like skin in the game and with shared financial upside.
That's how a lot of the most successful networks today have existed, right? Like, go back to
Ethereum and the ETH ICO. There's plenty of people who've held.
their ETH from, when was it, 2014? Yeah. Yeah. 33 cents, yeah, all the way to, yeah,
sometimes every now and then you still kind of see like an ICA wallet move their ETH for the very
first time. Okay, so I get this point, and just to really elaborate on this, like, it is a private
sale that is like caps, like $5,000 max, $10,000 max. You're probably in like a Latin American
country, a European country, Africa, like anywhere that's not like with like any of the sanctions
that you would typically find. But you're not from the.
the United States. And so then you can invest your $10,000. But I think it's much less of a
capital formation event for the team. And it's much more of a, hey, let's find our most
proximate 10,000 to 50,000 holders of our tokens who are ready to put some of their capital
at risk because they are taking a one-year-long liquidity lockup as part of this private market
sale. But they are our closest, most proximate people. And we're going to give them tokens
at like a relatively low valuation because they are.
taking that risk as an investor. And so it's kind of like a VC light play. So like there's the seed
round and then maybe there's like a series A and then there's maybe this private market sale.
And so like first it's the early VCs who are taking the longest term time horizons and then
maybe perhaps the last sale is this private market sale. And these retail investors have the most
lenient lockup terms. So like one year to Vest is like pretty short and they get their liquidity first.
but there's also the network launch and then the actual token, like maybe there's still an
irdrop or something, but the network goes live, the token is now functional, the network's
functional, and then the private market retail investors who just invested $10,000 or something,
they get their tokens first. That's like this alternative model that we have seen actually play
out, right? Yeah, 100%. And look, I think the exact mechanics are less important. It's really like
moving away from like the air draw. It's almost like a handout state, right? It's like, okay, you get
this number of tokens, and then these things all go out at high FTVs so people don't buy more.
So really, like, your upside in any given project in this current paradigm is what the team
says you should get, which is somewhat generally correlated with, like, how wealthy you already
are, right? Like, eigenlayer, it is linearly correlated to how much eth you have. Now, the token sales
are, to some extent, also that, because you need to put in money, but you give people a lot more
upside. And most importantly, like, you give them skin in the game. Now, I think people, giving the
ways to earn tokens by contributing to a project, that's awesome. And like, I am 100% for shared
financial upside. But the current, like, air drop only paradigm, you just look at the data,
like, is obviously not working. Regan, so I can't help but come to the end of this, like,
conversation as we're talking about, like, solutions for the current paradigm that we're in. And I can't
help but blame a specific individual or set of individuals in the U.S. government, which is
Gary Gensler and the SEC tribe
for basically constraining us in this way.
I mean, let's talk from a reality perspective
of why this has evolved in the way that it's evolved
and it's been regulatory hurdle.
Even the solution that you just kind of outlined
basically precludes all unaccredited U.S. investors, right?
And there's like the one regulation like that kind of barely works.
I can't think of it off the top of my head that you can file
and get like a crowd sale type of regulation.
To Blocksack did do like a reg A plus sale
Yeah, reg A plus.
Which allowed U.S. retail to participate.
There's a lot of legal and compliance hurdles to doing that.
I know.
It's too legal.
It's too complicated.
It's not...
There's a lot of drawbacks.
It doesn't, like, fit nicely with kind of, you know, crypto-native ERC-20 tokens and all of this.
And so one of the observations from the recent eigenlayer air drop was like a lot of people were
upset.
And I think rightly so, they had ETH deposited into EGNlayer.
And then when it came to kind of qualify for their air drop, was, like, a lot of people,
drop, it was the VPN ban. They were geo-locked out of it, basically, and they couldn't access it.
I go back to like, okay, yes, whose fault is that? And I keep going back to it's the current
US regulatory apparatus. And I do think that the VCs and investors and also projects have a
stake in this to like fight back and push regulators and allocate some of their capital to actually
push crypto-favorable legislation. But like, I'm
mean, if we didn't have that problem, I think all of the projects that we've been talking about
would launch with the widest distribution possible because you're actually just making an economic
argument, which is like, who has the strongest communities? It's people like the chain link
community and everybody wants to have the chain link community. So is it just not the fault of
the regulatory apparatus that we're in right now? It's definitely a large part of the problem.
Like, if you think about the SEC's job is to protect retail investors from like predatory
the institutions, clearly preventing people from participating in shared financial upside
is not that, right?
And people, there's like a graph of like how well, like, people would have done participating
in all the coinless sales.
And it's like, oh, yeah, thank you, SEC.
Like, I miss like the 10x and the 50x and the 1,000 X that was like Solana, right?
So, yeah, clearly it's hard to make an argument that the current paradigm is really protecting
retail investors.
So, yes, it is a large part of the problem.
Regan, as we maybe close this out, I think we've talked about a current paradigm of VCs and retail and how that exists in this market.
And I think some that we've talked to have described the current environment that we're in or this cycle as being like weird in general.
And I'm wondering if this is the main driver for why it's weird.
It's kind of like meme coin financial nihilism.
There's like a PVP game right now with like air drops between like the VC class and kind of like retail.
Is that the reason all of this is weird?
Would you even characterize the current cycle that we're in as weird as compared to previous cycles?
Oh, it's super weird.
I was talking to someone last week, and he's like, every VC I talked to is utterly miserable.
Like, you would not be able to tell that prices are like...
Because retail's miserable, too.
Everybody's miserable.
You know, yeah, maybe you all need to go to, like, a Mexican beach vacation.
You can claim our eigener drop, you know, while we're south of the border and just, like, chill out for a bit.
I think there's an existential angst amongst VCs, like, hey, has this, like, assembly line just broke it?
And, like, if all retail ever wanted to do is get rich, maybe now, like, the random infracoins, like, they don't care, right?
Like, meme coins are a more pure, simple way to express wanting to make money.
Now, I don't know that I believe that.
And I think, like, we're four to six months into this cycle.
I think it's way too early to tell how it's going to play out.
But it's definitely not like a rising tide lifts all boats cycle, like the last one, at least yet.
And so I think that has caused just a lot of angst amongst VCs.
And it's also like it's Bitcoin and it's meme coins that have done really well, right?
Maybe in Solana as well.
But like, those two things are not VC investments generally.
So it's like, you know, the people who've made the most money, this cycle, to some extent, at least, are not crypto-mentra capitalists.
I'm going to take about meme coins, Regan, that I want you to reflect on.
Mem coins, generally all things in crypto start off extremely fair, right?
Bitcoin, the most fair launch of all time, the Immaculate Conception, Ethereum, the Immaculate ICO, like, Dogecoin, the Immaculate Meme Coin chain.
But then things start to, like, go down that euthanasia roller coaster and they get,
more and more toxic as they go along. And I personally have just like no faith that meme coins will
be actually able to retain some of its like retail virtue that many people purport them to be.
They'll get games. Mem coins are just like, it's the reaction to VCs. It's a reaction to the high,
FDV low float. And I totally understand. But I also think the direction of meme coins is also going to
go to a very toxic, like extractive conclusion. I'm wondering if you agree with that.
I'm sure it already is to some extent. Like I'm not.
first-hand familiar with this, but, like, I would be very confident that there's kind of
like a cabal of KOLs launching meme coins and helping pump your meme coin and you help pump
mine. Like, I'm sure that happens today, right? I think you can make these things, like,
kind of maybe, like, technically fair with, like, pump. Dot fun. Like, you can make sure there's
no, like, prement. But, like, yes, pretty clearly at some point, I think these things will
become a category where, like, industry insiders. And again,
I don't think it's VCs. I think it's like KOLs and the kind of like meme coin insiders
try to make money off of like new retail coming in. I'm sure that that will happen if it hasn't
already. The conclusion I kind of come to at the end of this episode, Regan, is like the way to
solve all of this is to actually build apps and use cases that normal mainstream users
can actually use inside of crypto. And that is the solve.
and if and when we do that, then everything else, all of the other pieces will, in a messy way,
start to fall in line. I am still, maybe naive or not, a believer in the original idea of
crypto, which is this is a revolutionary, open property rights system, open money system for
the world. Like, I believe in, I believe in defy, I believe in Bitcoin and an alternative to
the fiat system, I believe in Ethereum, I believe in all of these things. And I think,
we just haven't delivered on that original promise yet. And yet, I think we're actually closer
than it seems to delivering. And I'm wondering if you can back me up here, or if you think that's
true. Like, how do we get out of this? What's the timeline? Will we actually build real crypto
apps that people will use this cycle anytime soon? I think these apps exist today, right? You know,
you can use MakerDAO, you can use Athena, you can go on karate combat and bet on David's
fight, you know, coming up next month. But the main thing people want to do today is speculation,
and so that's where the attention has shifted. I think the burden is on the industry to,
like, make things people can do besides that and call out more attention to those things. So
I agree with you. Like, I totally remain fully committed, and I believe, like, in all of the potential
of all of these different categories of crypto to change finance
and how a lot of these markets work for the better, 100%.
But I think, you know, the way a lot of this technical innovation has gotten funded
is through the financial innovation.
It was token sales and that it was like yield farming and now like maybe eardrops,
bootstrap some of it.
I mean, we didn't even talk about Deepin, right?
But like that's kind of a really interesting example of like air drops,
like bootstrapping real networks.
So I think this financial innovation,
beyond, like, it can have really cool, unique features and do good.
But like everything in this world, right?
Like, there's always going to kind of be like just like some speculative form of it.
And that's like where a lot of the attention is shifted to today.
So I remain really optimistic.
Yeah.
As we, Regan, and I have faith that we'll muddle our way through.
This is kind of like a different season.
But there's also on the flip side of this, more building than I've ever seen.
We actually have like scalability.
transactions per second. Like that's actually happening. So there's a lot of good that we can see on
the horizon in the market today. Regan, thank you so much for joining us. This has been a fantastic
conversation. Yeah, thanks for having me on. Bankless Nation, I think you should go follow Regan on
X, on Twitter. He's probably on Farcaster as well because he has some of the best threads on
crypto investing that I've seen in this weird crypto cycle that we're in. So we'll include a link in
the show notes so you can go do that. Also, got to let you know, of course, crypto is risky. You could
lose what you put in, but we are headed west. This is the frontier. It's not for everyone,
but we're glad you're with us on the bankless journey. Thanks a lot.
