Bankless - The Next Bull Market is Here, and Obvious | Spencer and Aleks, Blockchain Capital

Episode Date: August 3, 2026

Crypto prices are weak, OG sentiment is exhausted, and institutions are leaning in. Blockchain Capital GPs Aleks Larsen and Spencer Bogart join David Hoffman to explain why this disconnect may be the ...opportunity. They unpack crypto’s shift toward application-layer value, stablecoins as onchain working capital, tokenized equities, Aave V4, public blockchains, and BCAP. Is the cypherpunk dream fading, or becoming the foundation of global finance? --- 📣SPOTIFY PREMIUM RSS FEED | USE CODE: SPOTIFY24 https://bankless.cc/spotify-premium --- BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🔓NEAR | TRADE CONFIDENTIALLY, GET 20% BACK https://bankless.cc/near-pod 🔑BITKEY | GET 10% OFF USE CODE: BANKLESS | #bitkeypartner https://bankless.cc/bitkey ✈️COINBASE ONE CARD | EARN 5% BACK IN BITCOIN https://bankless.cc/coinbase-one-card 📊BITGET | TOKENIZED STOCKS 2.0 https://bankless.cc/bitget-stocks 🎯THE DEFI REPORT | ONCHAIN INSIGHTS https://thedefireport.io/bankless --- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Buybacks, Burns and Tokenholder Trust 5:47 Why Blockchain Capital Is Doubling Down 14:38 Institutions Arrive as Crypto OGs Lose Faith 21:03 From Infrastructure Scarcity to Abundant Blockspace 30:24 What AI Can Learn From Crypto 38:43 Stablecoins Become Onchain Working Capital 44:41 The Stablecoin Revenue Multiplier 47:40 Aave and Open Financial Infrastructure 55:08 The Roadmap for Tokenized Equities 59:41 Public Chains, Ownership and Compliance 1:04:24 Blockchain Capital’s Tokenized Fund 1:09:03 Bringing BCAP Fully Onchain --- RESOURCES Spencer Bogart https://x.com/CremeDeLaCrypto Aleks Larsen https://x.com/alekslarsen --- Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:02 Bankless Nation, we got blockchain capital on the podcast today. We got Spencer and Alex, two GPs over at blockchain capital. Spencer, Alex, welcome to the show. Fired up. Thanks for having us, David. Spencer, you and I have interacted in crypto as long as I can remember. Have we ever had you on the podcast before? I think a couple years ago.
Starting point is 00:00:22 Yeah. I think it's been a while, though. But yes, as long as I can remember two. I was going to say, in a way, I feel like we've grown up together in the industry, you know, like especially for me following along with the show. Yeah. My first memory of interaction with you was talking about MKR value capture
Starting point is 00:00:37 back in like 2019, 2018 or something because like BKKKR was considering buying MKR and I think that was our first our first like interaction before. Wow, that's actually very funny. Alex was actually very involved
Starting point is 00:00:49 behind the scenes on that discussion too. Like I remember that one well and was going back and forth with Alex Evans who was that placeholder at the time now over at Bain. And you know what? I think he,
Starting point is 00:00:59 I saw him about a year ago and he still loves that MKR. And I get it. I still love MKR. And I treated this out not terribly long ago, but just even the most modern projects. So hyperliquid, lighter, Venice are all doing the buy and burn model. And MKR was the first one to pioneer that. And there's been so much like gnashing of teeth about the inefficiency of the buy and burn model. But it's like, it's undefeated, dude. Like here we are in 2026 and the best projects are still doing the buy and burn model. 100% works.
Starting point is 00:01:33 And it's funny because back in the day, I was overly critical of it of like at the end of the tunnel, like you can do a buyback, a buy and burn, right? At the end of the day, people need to think about like cash flows. And so like the only thing I struggled with was like at the end of the day, there needs to be like when there's one share left,
Starting point is 00:01:48 you need to have some cash flow to direct to it. Otherwise, like you're buying back and you can never really build a model around what the realistic value is. All of that was overthinking it. Buy and burn works well. I understand the like pushback from people of like why it could be capital and efficient to do so. But I think it's the most logical model today because token holders, like, unless we get Clarity Act passed, like the rights of token holders are not very clear.
Starting point is 00:02:13 Right. So like in theory, it would be better if I was a token holder. You're a startup. I want you to continue reinvesting those cash flows into identifying more growth opportunities. But today, like two things have happened. One, not very many protocols have demonstrated an ability to find an adjacent opportunity to expand into and then actually been effective in doing it. So a lot of token holders are saying, wait a minute, when you take the cash flows and go and pursue that path, it doesn't lead to anything. At least not anything good for me. For me as a token holder, yeah. Yes, exactly.
Starting point is 00:02:42 And so they'd say, listen, I'd prefer that you just, you stake a flag in the sand and you say that this is what we're going to do forever. We're going to buy back and burn. And that at least provides some level of certainty. Right. If markets hate uncertainty, that's like, that's a, you know, token network providing some degree of certainty for it. I don't mean to like launch straight into some of the topics, but you happen to open it up with something that's like super interesting to me. I also think this is super interesting.
Starting point is 00:03:07 I wonder to what degree does the need to buy back the token on day one, which again, inefficient, not what startups do, poor use of capital to do buybacks on day one. But part of that has to be downstream of the fact that tokens in crypto have been so dog shit that quality tokens need to like show, put their money where their mouth is and show the market that they're serious, and the best way to do that is buy and burn. Maybe in a different equilibrium
Starting point is 00:03:35 when a higher percentage of our tokens or quality, can we start to trust as the investing community that just because they're not buying back their token today doesn't mean that the cash flows that they're making aren't actually going to the enterprise value. So maybe it's a little bit of just like, we need to kind of grow up and we need clarity to allow us to do these sorts of things.
Starting point is 00:03:56 And then maybe the investor base, can have more confidence and trust in these crypto assets, but it's been a bit of a lemon market. And so the people that are serious about their token have to buy back and burn their token just to show that they're better than the rest. Feels like definitely like a sign of the times and we'll look back on it as a rather inefficient use of capital
Starting point is 00:04:16 and a protocol treasury. I mean, if you think about it, we've got like what, around 75 billion of aggregate deposit base in defy today. And like the focus should be entirely on how do we make this trillions of dollars over the next couple of years? or the next 10 years, whatever the time horizon is.
Starting point is 00:04:32 But to the points you guys have made, I mean, this has been the only way to, like, make a credible commitment that you are high quality, that you are aligned with token holders. You do it now because it makes sense and because token holders really want to see that, you know, but in five years from now, I'd be surprised if that's still the dominant operating model.
Starting point is 00:04:51 I think it's a great point, Alex. I mean, because, like, we invest in both tokens and equity, right, oftentimes side by side. If we have a series A stage company whose business is taking off, right, product is flying off the shelf and they said, hey, Spencer, we want to send you a dividend and say, what are you talking about? We need to grow into this opportunity. Like, there's no way that any venture investor would be sitting there saying, like, yes, a dividend would be a great thing for you to do or a buyback, whatever it is. Like, I mean, fundamentally like, approximately the same thing, right? And so I think the Alex is right that we'll look back on this as like this brief
Starting point is 00:05:24 moment in time where really what those teams are trying to do is acknowledge that there's a lot of ambiguity of whether or not some of the folks around the network are aligned with token holders. And what they're trying to do is put that flag in the sand and say, like, we are. We're aligned. This is what we're going to do. I think that's the optimistic case. Like, we want that to be, in five years, we want that to be the case where our teams can use their capital more efficiently. And if, you know, things going according to plan, that's better. And maybe that's because we have a growing proliferation of like native crypto assets that people can trust and like we're kind of out of this lemon market i would say that's like the the the happy case not ever not always
Starting point is 00:06:02 the happy cases happens in the crypto industry a little bit of pain is healthy you know sure one conversation i want to have with you guys is a there has been a growing conversation in the vc sector of crypto about how there's no such thing as a vc crypto vc anymore and all the mega funds have expanded their mandate to include AI, robotics, other frontier industries, simply because, you know, the bare case is like VC and crypto is dead or just that crypto is growing up and like a lot of the meta has shifted. And so there's no there's no crypto VCs anymore. That's like kind of the critique of the crypto VC industry.
Starting point is 00:06:42 That's not what you guys are doing. You guys are staring this perceived malaise in the crypto industry and the crypto VC industry and you're not blinking and you're doubling down on crypto. And so I want to learn a little bit about, like, what you guys are excited about. Because everywhere I look, I see two things. I see, like, institutions licking their traps about blockchains and crypto and what can, crypto can do for their businesses. And then I also see sad crypto-ogs. And like, why do I see so much of both? And how do we square these things? And I want to get into, like, how that kind of leads your guys as investment thesis,
Starting point is 00:07:16 blockchain capital. But maybe Alex, I'll just start with you. Like, how do you square the two things of just like pessimistic crypto-o-Gs and then institutions that are just like licking their chops. I mean, there's a lot of things going on here, right? Like, I think for us, what we try and do is zoom out and not pay attention to the ups and downs in, you know, bear and bull market cycles. And I think it's very easy when you're in a bear market, a token bear market, especially, to get very pessimistic about the opportunity space. And especially when there's other sectors that are doing really well. That's what's different about this bear market. I mean, there's actually a lot of things that are different about this bear market and some of them are really bullish. Like,
Starting point is 00:07:51 we've never had a bear market with this many positive capitalists, right? We're getting regulatory clarity. We got the Genius Act, you know, fingers crossed on clarity, but it's a matter of time, right? We're going to get it. If it's not right now, it's going to be, you know, in the next couple of years. And so the rules of the road are being laid. Institutions have clearly seen the writing on the wall and have, you know, gotten into the space in a serious way over the last couple of years. And we have use cases now that have sort of broken out of the crypto zeitgeist into the mainstream. Got things like prediction markets where people don't even know or care that it's on crypto, right? But it is in polymercates case and a bunch of other ones.
Starting point is 00:08:28 And we have stable coins where what people get there is they get dollars, they get payments, they get cross-border payments that are cheap, they get remittances that are cheap, these types of applications. And so these are the kind of early examples where they've been growing through a bear market. And that's really really notable to us. So like that's something actually in past bear markets we didn't typically see. We didn't see like concentrated like secular growth in a couple of different verticals. But now we have this dynamic of like AI has sucked the air out of the room. It's been moving much faster.
Starting point is 00:08:58 Like it had its sort of like really big moment in 2023. And then maybe, you know, another one about like seven, eight months ago when people started using coding agents like the open claw revolution and that kind of stuff. So I think there's just been so much attention dream. that is being kind of coupled with the bare market dynamic, where people are getting a bit distracted from, you know, the broader, I think, you know, dynamic that's playing out in crypto. And when, you know, for us, like, we were started in 2012.
Starting point is 00:09:27 Like, we've weathered a lot of these crypto ups and downs at this point. I think we've gotten pretty good at zooming out and, like, staying focused on the long-term picture. And from that perspective, what we see is, like, we've crossed the threshold in crypto where, like, this is inevitable. There's a network effect that has taken hold. It's growing, but people don't appreciate how early it still is. And I think probably the best analogy for it is the internet.
Starting point is 00:09:54 And like the internet, like if you think about the timeline here and at what point the S-curb inflected, like we're not there yet in crypto. Like the internet became publicly usable in 1989, right? It takes a long time for network effects to take hold. And so the first like 10, 11 years of that are like you're trying things out. You got a couple applications. A few of them are really working. By the time, you know, you're in 1999, 2000,
Starting point is 00:10:17 you have a couple hundred million users of the Internet, but it's still clunky. It's bandwidth constrained. You know, then you have 2000 through 2005, and you have the broadband shift. And so, you know, I would argue that's kind of what we basically just went through. And maybe we're at like the tail end of that. Like block space has just become cheap and abundant.
Starting point is 00:10:36 Blockchains have like in the last few years become very scalable. I mean, obviously we had Solana. in 2020, but that was like the first of its kind, right, that like gained traction and which and showed the path forward. L2s didn't get fast until, you know, 2024. And today, like, that's the status quo. Even Ethereum is like scaling progressively now. And so like that that's the state of play.
Starting point is 00:10:57 Blockchains are cheap. You can build mass market applications on them. And then, you know, really for the internet, it wasn't immediately when broadband shifted, right, that that, that, that, that, that, that curve inflected. It was because the mobile explosion in 2006, 2010. So like this is a good like 15, 16 years since the internet first became publicly usable. So to me, there's this question of when does the clock start. And like it's convenient to say it starts when Bitcoin was created. I think you could make an argument that it starts when Ethereum launched in
Starting point is 00:11:27 2015. And we're like, you know, 10, 11 years into that like internet of finance or internet of assets gaining steam. And, you know, when you look at it from that perspective, we've made a tremendous amount of progress. There's 700 million, you know, some odd crypto holders out there. That's like your, you know, most immediate top of funnel. Then you have maybe about 10% of those are like on-chain active users that have like basically for the last couple of years, like chewed glass to be able to use crypto applications. And, you know, a big, big dynamic here that like people don't talk about enough is the fact that like good crypto applications, like usable crypto applications that, you know, a retail person didn't need to be like a part-time cryptographer to take advantage of,
Starting point is 00:12:11 have been around for like two, three years. Like the consumer stack in crypto is three years old. It takes a while for people to like learn the new lay of the land and then start using those tools and being able to like build the type of applications that really are going to bring the next, you know, cohort of users in where crypto is totally abstracted away. So that's things like, you know, obviously cheap execution, but like embedded wallets, you know, policies around recovery and, you know, social recovery, this kind of thing, spending limits, these types of things, familiar authentication.
Starting point is 00:12:44 Like, these are important primitives that really didn't mature or, like, become widely used in crypto until the last few years. Like today, this is how you build a consumer crypto application. But like three, four years ago, this was a new concept. Like, Ethereum didn't even, like, have, you know, account abstraction at the protocol level at that point. So you're kind of doing like extra protocol ways to get it done. And so like my perspective is we're in like 2003, 2004.
Starting point is 00:13:13 We've just had that like shift to broadband. And we're maybe like pre the mobile boom. And so like we're in the flat part of the S curve. At some point it's going to inflect upwards. You're seeing signs of that starting to happen maybe on the edge of things. So like in, you know, new application areas like prediction markets where like you simply didn't have these types of products before or in. stable coins where payments networks just didn't reach into where stable coins are now showing a lot of transactional activity. And so that edge around the use cases, eventually that's going to come
Starting point is 00:13:47 into the center. And when it starts permeating the center, that's when we inflect upwards. And so I think this is right that moment when like it's best to double down on crypto actually. Like all like we've, the hardest parts of crypto's path into the world, I think we've, we've already, you know, crossed that, that that chasm. And now we're just waiting. Like, it's a bunch of kindling, waiting for, you know, waiting for that fire to really start roaring. And when it does, it's going to look obvious in hindsight. But we're just in that period of uncertainty where attention has shifted away and asset prices are down. But this is a distraction. It's an absolute trap. And like, we're headed for that inflection point. I am coming around and starting to accept this idea
Starting point is 00:14:27 that my prior, my earlier perception of crypto was too, ambitious too soon. I was talking to Mike Dutus on the podcast recently and I was talking about when I got into crypto I was 26, 27 years old like borderline a child
Starting point is 00:14:43 and I thought we were going to change the world like tomorrow and 2021 was everyone was realizing that and maybe I was just a little bit too accelerated in my timelines and so Alex it's nice to hear kind of like the pretty traditional
Starting point is 00:14:59 just like our rails needed maturing the tech needed maturing and actually the science of the times is that they're quite mature now and that bullish inflection point is ahead of us. But I don't completely think that that accounts for my question about why institutions are bullish but the OGs are jaded.
Starting point is 00:15:18 Because there's something else about the path that crypto was on, that it's seemingly according to the people who came before 2024 or 2025, don't feel like crypto is on that path anymore. Like it's like a way of life style question that our way of life is no longer exists. And so I accept your answer that like things take a little bit longer than my expectations. But I don't know if that accounts for everything.
Starting point is 00:15:45 Spencer, I want to know if you have anything to add to this conversation. There's, you know, it's that psychological dynamic, you see it in all sorts of places, right? Like when a startup has its IPO moment, all of the early employees will talk about like how magical it was in the early days and how like, you know, it became a large corporate entity because that's what it had to do. It had to grow up. And like, I feel that. I've been along for that entire path as well, right? Like I love the the crypto punk version of it, right? Like the rebel pirates that are creating something better, a better alternative. It's not being infused with the traditional financial system. It is distinct. It is parallel. It is already better in some ways,
Starting point is 00:16:27 you know, this is, I'm thinking from a perspective of years ago. It was already better in some ways and it's going to continue to get better. I love that about it, right? And there is something that's a little bit hard to see, like, to see it kind of grow up and see it starting to get fused with the traditional financial system, but we have to acknowledge that, like, that's what success looks like, right? And that dynamic, it could be the same thing for like when, you know, we've all had that friend that finds that really niche band that eventually blows up. And they love it until they blow up. And then they talk about how I actually only love their original albums, even though those are never the albums that got them big, right?
Starting point is 00:17:02 And they almost regret the fact that they've become wildly successful. So I think that there's a lot of that. I think that some of that sentiment would dissipate if some of the success that the industry is seen on a fundamentals basis was reflected in prices. But it's not today, or at least not relative to where prices were a couple years ago. And the path dependency here matters. If we had gone from David, when we started working in this industry,
Starting point is 00:17:28 we started following all this stuff. If that line was like a nice, steady, linear path to where we are today, sentiment would be completely different. But there is some path dependency there. Because we were once higher than we are today, it doesn't feel as exciting to a lot of market participants. The only thing I'd maybe add here is like, and David, I think what you're getting at here is like it's not cypherpunk anymore.
Starting point is 00:17:52 Like that is not the meta and crypto. The conferences are full of suits. Like the conversation is about permission. and rails, you know, compliance and these types of things. And like, that is not what the conversation was like 10 years ago when you, when we were first like getting involved in this industry. And like you, you know, I was excited about that. I was excited about freedom tech and like self-sovereignty and like the cypherpunk version of what finance could be. And I think to Spencer's point, like success in this case means accommodating so many different use cases, a huge amount of the pie,
Starting point is 00:18:27 especially in finance, is just like, this is a very regulated category. And like, there's no way around that. You just can't succeed without accommodating these types of users.
Starting point is 00:18:36 But what I'd say is that, like, some of the elements that made this interesting to, like, the cypherpunk audience, you know, the fact that, like,
Starting point is 00:18:43 Ethereum and Bitcoin are decentralized networks. They're neutral. They're not controlled by a company or a government, right? Like, these are also attractive
Starting point is 00:18:51 properties to institutions that value, you know, like a substrate with better trust assumptions and better trust requirements that allow them to do business more broadly. And so I don't know that they're necessarily mutually exclusive. Obviously, the areas of the space that are getting a lot of traction right at this moment are
Starting point is 00:19:10 taking a more kind of like buttoned up regulated form. But a lot of them are doing that on top of a permissionless substrate. And so I think that cypherpunk dream is alive. It's just not loud. And I don't think they're mutually exclusive either. right? Like Bitcoin's not going anywhere. East isn't going anywhere. Like they're going to be around. Those are going to be important assets to me, I think so, important assets that'll be an escape valve in some ways, right? I mean, if you think about Bitcoin, are, you know, government's going to stop debasing their fiat money?
Starting point is 00:19:42 No. Right. So I think that it's at least an interesting asset. Whether or not people should own it is up to them. I don't know. I'm not going to make that decision. But like, it's at least an interesting asset in that world. ETH as well. These are interesting, unique assets. So I don't think that like the cypherpunk view totally dissipates. It's just that there's, we're upgrading the financial system and it's actually happening. Like we've talked about this for years. It's really materializing. And I think people should be excited about that. It's this like, it's not the sexiest thing to talk about, honestly, when you're talking about upgrading the financial system. Because like most of our financial products that we use are invisible to us day to day. But if you can create more efficiency,
Starting point is 00:20:19 more utility from them, it genuinely benefits everybody in the world. And so, like, that's what motivates me. It's super exciting. Small improvements and efficiency have these huge reverberating effects across the economy. Like, everything that happens in the world, like, flows through some sort of a financial system. If you can make that piping better, it makes everybody better off, and you should feel motivated and excited about that.
Starting point is 00:20:41 Yeah, that's definitely the optimistic perspective that I think has been missing from the crypto industry for a while where, like, in crypto 2021 to 20, we were so incredibly optimistic about doing exactly that. Like how do we spread the wealth? How do we get everyone on board? There was another inflection point. One last inflection point perspective that I want to bring into the conversation,
Starting point is 00:21:04 at the same time that the institutions came in in a very big way. And Alex, you haven't mentioned this yet, but a line that you said to me that I think stood out when we were prepping for this was that for the first time ever institutions are leaning in while prices are down. So they're leaning in under their own merit
Starting point is 00:21:22 rather than kind of being compelled by narrative to lean in when prices are up. And so that's validating, that's great, that's signal. And at the same time, at the same time that that is happening, for almost all of crypto's history, it's been in this infrastructure investment cycle, like infra investment, spawning, infra investment, spawning infra investment,
Starting point is 00:21:41 spawning infra investment. And like now in 2025, 2026, it seems that like alongside the vibe shift, alongside institutions stepping in, it seems that we have permanently departed from that infrastructure investment just for the sake of infrastructure investment. And that used to dominate the entire crypto industry
Starting point is 00:22:00 and now we don't do that anymore. We don't do like the next L1 and we don't do like the 13th L2. How would you account for what happened here? Like what does this represent for like where we are in the maturity of the industry? Clearly, if you go back to 2019, and you're, you know, let's say you're using uniswap, you're paying $5, $10 to make an exchange.
Starting point is 00:22:25 You know, obviously there was an infrastructure upgrade that was needed. And that was the number one problem in the industry. It was like people want to use these applications, but there's so little block space that, that is just way too expensive. And so people, people can't do it. And like, what we needed was way more block space. So like, as markets do, especially when you have. have a dynamic where you basically put a public price on like a series A, maybe series B
Starting point is 00:22:53 startup. Markets, the pendulum swung too far. We overinvested in infrastructure. We got that, you know, that block space expansion that we were looking for. We got the scalability we were looking for. And now the pendulum has kind of swung back. And we're probably a little bit too negative on the infrastructure at the moment because a lot of the blocks are empty.
Starting point is 00:23:14 And that's because we overinvested in them. so we built so much block space that like we got ahead of where the demand was at this moment in time. We have an abundance of block space. But like that is the prerequisite, I think, for for application developers to come in, take advantage of that cheap block space and build some of those applications that, you know, five, six years ago were just too expensive to deploy on a blockchain. And David, to put some numbers to this because you're exactly right. Like it's been a huge shift.
Starting point is 00:23:41 Like the data really bears this out. In 2021, over 70% of the fees. that users were paying, were going to infrastructure. That was because we had elevated transaction costs, we had limited block space. The industry went on this big effort to say, hey, listen, we can do better than that, right?
Starting point is 00:23:57 Transaction fees shouldn't be a couple hundred dollars. Let's improve block space. Let's improve the infrastructure. And I think it was 2025 was the first time that application layer fees surpassed infrastructure fees. So what happened here is that as we reduce transaction cost value moved up the stack to the applications themselves. So users are paying less for the
Starting point is 00:24:22 infrastructure, more for the financial services that are built on top of them. And if you think about a maturing, healthy ecosystem, that's exactly what you want to see. People shouldn't be, the infrastructure itself shouldn't be extracting enormous amounts of rent. This is the whole thing that we set out with crypto to avoid, right? We said, listen, the banking system is sitting here and extracting a massive amount of rent. We can do better than that. So like what we're seeing is actually success, even if there's moments of pain associated with that kind of transition and that structural shift. Does that mean we've kind of just like migrated? We're done with a fat protocol thesis, not to say that the fat protocol thesis was wrong. It was just apt up until maybe 2022,
Starting point is 00:25:02 2023. And Solana really came and changed the game and was like, oh, sweet, constrained block space you have over there theory. And what if I made it abundant? And then all of a sudden the abundant block space meta took over, and all of a sudden, that was the end of the FAT protocol thesis. You know, like, ETH's money was the ultimate expression of that. And then now we're just moving higher up the stack. So now we're at the FAT app thesis, which is just, you know, applications are businesses, applications capture value. That's just kind of like the natural trend that we would expect to see over and over and over
Starting point is 00:25:34 again, had we reran the crypto simulation. You would just expect to see value captures slowly move up the stack. I mean, my take here is like this is sort of an inevitable consequence of blockchains. Like the protocols were never going to capture a huge amount of value, like Spencer said. Like this is about disintermediating finance and making the system fundamentally more efficient. That implies, you know, a small rake. What I think, though, is maybe like the nuance, or at least like the way I think about this longer term, like it's thin protocols but massive markets.
Starting point is 00:26:07 So like if you have a small take but you expand the size. size of, you know, global finance by an order of magnitude, you could still be fat by today's standards. In the context of that larger system, you're thin. And that's good for everybody involved. I think this goes back to what I was saying about. Maybe I was just a little bit impatient and overly ambitious in 2021, 2022. It feels now crypto is just like a pretty small industry, at least from the OG perspective. But we're doing a lot of the things that we've set out to do. And like, to your point, like institutions coming on chain, finance is coming on chain.
Starting point is 00:26:42 And in the grand scheme of things, that is what it is actually going to take in order to actually become, like, the global market, like literally put the world on chain. And maybe just in the fullness of time, we'll get there. We just need real finance to happen on chain.
Starting point is 00:26:57 And like maybe ETH is money in the big sense of the word, not like the moderate sense of the word, but like the grandiose version of ETH is money, but first we have to get all finance on chain. and that's how we do that. That's certainly my perspective. And I mean, empirically, like, Ethan, ETH is money.
Starting point is 00:27:14 Like, ETH is used on many, you know, non-Etherium L1 networks. Like, it is, it's a popular currency in the crypto economy. I think that no way you can argue it's not, you know, despite, despite people, you know, maybe wanting that to be true or, like, telling a narrative
Starting point is 00:27:28 that, like, no one's going to use it as money or collateral. Like, it continues to be used for, for these purposes out there. So you can see it on Robin Hood chain, right? Self-custy, one, but it still has a usability problem. A seed phrase on paper is still a single point of failure. Phones get lost,
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Starting point is 00:29:57 There's been something that's going on in the AI world, especially with the release of Kimmy K-3 from China, which is compressing the margins of some of the... the fat protocols on the AI side of things, the Open AI and Anthropics, which are taking in huge rakes because they have the world's best models and people are willing to pay for them. Is the same economic dynamics
Starting point is 00:30:16 kind of playing out with like the AI industry and the AI labs? Like do these two industries rhyme together? So like to some extent, I mean, there are similarities in how they're financed. I think a lot of the similarities end up breaking down. But like, I mean, it's when you're staring it up in the face,
Starting point is 00:30:33 like there are some things. things that are, you know, too obvious not to notice, right? Like in crypto, we had, you know, L1's launching on a white paper and founding teams at multi-billion dollar valuations. Like, that's like the alt labs right now, right? Like, you know, with a research thesis and elite talent, maybe coming out of open AI and anthropic, like, you can do something similar here. You know, we were raising money on like having really good, maybe test net benchmarks or TPS. So like model benchmarks are the equivalent there, right? Like exchange listings were like hyperscalor distribution. So, you know, and then obviously validator is market maker support, this kind of thing. Like,
Starting point is 00:31:10 you could make an analogy to like cloud chip infrastructure partners. And maybe, maybe token prices, like private financing valuation. And so that, you know, that's obviously one of the big differences that the tokens were public. You had a price on it, like sort of a, you know, real time sentiment gauge in, in AI that that's obfuscated. It's hidden by by private markets. And so like an unwind of that like alt labs thesis, you know, probably looks, you know, much more like, you know, down round, structured financings, aquilers, like talent migrating to other opportunities, maybe consolidation, like some of the hyperscalers might like pick up some of the alt labs that like much cheaper than where they were financed, you know, strategic control, basically,
Starting point is 00:31:55 and talent acquisition versus in crypto, you know, that decline was like, your token's down 90% in a month because the narrative just fell out totally. And it became clear that demand wasn't there for that. And so, like, I think in that sense, like, these parallels hold quite a bit. But, like, in other ways, like, you know, crypto is just, I think it's been more difficult for crypto to put the pieces together, like, to really make it, make it usable around the world. It's not as simple as just deploying through existing channels with a product as obvious as intelligence. Like, this is a network effect that gets built by stitch. together the hundreds of financial systems around the world and then eventually absorbing them.
Starting point is 00:32:39 And that's just a longer transition. It involves regulation, I think, in a much more direct way. You know, obviously, like AI has regulatory implications, but the financial system has sort of established rules that, you know, crypto had to find their place in and then maybe to some extent, like, rewrite them for the crypto markets, which is happening now. And so that's where I think it kind of breaks down. but like, yeah, the parallels are very interesting, especially on the financing side. If we are trying to extend this, and I don't want to extend metaphors too much
Starting point is 00:33:09 because they can only take it so far, but just like, you know, if the FAP protocol thesis, which is like, to me, open AI and anthropic are the protocols, does if the trend follows crypto. And it does kind of feel like crypto is just five years ahead of like the AI industry, especially when it also comes to like regulation,
Starting point is 00:33:24 like I think AI is going to have to fight the regulatory fight that crypto has kind of already or is working its way through. But if the trend does go from fat, protocol to fat app. Doesn't that imply that there's going to be like a layer above the LLMs around applications that also provide all the value and are kind of like the consumer front end? Maybe I'm taking this too far, but Spencer, I don't know if you have any thoughts here. I think that's right. I think that that parallel works as well. And the reality is like, I mean, this is what Alex Carp and Palantir out talking about, right? It's like somebody needs to actually
Starting point is 00:33:55 take this into the enterprise and make them successful in it. Right. And so like it's one thing to have the model and have the intelligence, that doesn't produce the outcomes that people are looking for. And so we see this even with some of our portfolio companies where like, you know, that whole model of forward deployed engineers is becoming very real. Like you have to produce outcomes, not just the raw intelligence. So it's moving away from just analysis and intelligence and more into like workflows and actual outputs. So again, there's like, there's definitely a lot of rhyming there, especially amongst investor sentiment is the one where like I see the strongest parallels, right? where for the past year, it has been like,
Starting point is 00:34:29 I don't know if I want to invest in any AI applications. I should probably just put another, every marginal dollar should just go to one of the frontier laps. That's it. And then all of a sudden we had this big reckoning of like, oh no, software modes are no longer a thing. What are we going to do? And that was kind of funny, right?
Starting point is 00:34:44 Because for all of us, we're sitting there going like, wait a minute, you guys had software modes? We've never had software modes. Like we've been navigating the world without any software modes the entire time. Right? Like our entire industry is built on open source software that anyone can fork. So like this entire notion, like all the questions of like, where is value going to accrue in the stack? How do you build any defensibility without soft remotes? Like, it's funny to
Starting point is 00:35:05 watch like an entirely new industry, an entire new group of investors wrestle with the same questions that we've been tackling for, you know, 10 years now. I do think the point is really good because like, you know, alt L1s, you know, from my perspective are, you know, they're asking that question of like, which part of the application layer do we have to play in? And like, to an extent, Open AI, Anthropic, any other Frontier Lab that joins them is going to have to ask the same question at a certain point because it's clear, I think, today that, like, you know, like your, like weights are, you know, are largely going to be a commodity, but the harness is certainly not. And so what do you specialize in? You know, obviously, like, there are some use cases where you can't
Starting point is 00:35:48 hallucinate. You can't get something wrong. Like manufacturing for semis is a good example of this, where like the AI tools that probably speed up manufacturing a lot are like not the frontier models today, right? It's the frontier models plus fine-tuned models plus data sets that like the companies that are supporting this build-out have accumulated. And there's very clearly a moat, I think, at the application layer there,
Starting point is 00:36:12 if you can improve outcomes significantly versus a frontier model. So are they going to chase that opportunity? You know, probably not. Like my guess is depending on how difficult it is to move into that part of the application space, they may not, but for certain other applications, they will. Like, I could, you know, something like accounting, right? Like, they're probably going to figure out how to do that,
Starting point is 00:36:32 would be my guess. But, like, something more complex where, like, it's a lot harder to specialize where there's a feedback loop. The more problems you solve for customers, the more you know about how to solve that problem. Like, those areas are probably going to create a lot of value at the application layer where that's not going to generalize to the model. So a bit of a mixed bag.
Starting point is 00:36:49 And, like, maybe you see a similar kind of thinking going on, in L1s right now, where you're realizing, look, the protocol fees just aren't going to sustain the business long term, or at least there's no story if you're at like $5 billion FDV now. Like you might already be at the market cap implied by like huge future adoption. So you need to figure out something else, some other way to create value. I do appreciate after being like an investor in crypto for a decade, how sharp teeth are cut in the crypto industry from being an investor. And maybe this is just what all investment is like.
Starting point is 00:37:21 like you started seeing patterns everywhere, but this one feels particularly salient. And I feel much better prepared to invest in the AI industry simply just because I've seen some shenanigans that you would have never seen in the equities markets in the crypto world. You've seen the shenanigans so you know how to be careful of the three-layer SPVs.
Starting point is 00:37:41 You've seen the wild sentiment shifts. You've seen the fast money grifters that storm into any industry that's hot. That's not something that's unique to crypto. That's any industry that's hot. Yeah, that's the human condition. 100%. And that's the nice thing about the market environment that we're in
Starting point is 00:37:56 is those people are all distracted. They're all gone. And it's so nice. Like honestly, I can sit there and I can analyze these businesses on a fundamental basis without all the hype attached to them and without all the noise. It's beautiful.
Starting point is 00:38:06 Yeah. Yeah. Let's get back into the crypto world. tokenization of real world assets, tokenization of equity seems to be like we're on the frontier of that meta. And it seems to also be a kind of a logical next step after we have just a massive explosion
Starting point is 00:38:20 of tokenization of dollars, like the first real world asset, the first real world asset. What lessons, now that we've had the tokenization of dollars, more or less in the rear view mirror, plenty of dollars still left to tokenize, but like we're doing it?
Starting point is 00:38:36 What lessons from the growth of the stable coin sector can we apply to just the growth of tokenization of equities? Stable coins have gotten the flywheel already spinning. Okay, so that's going to, you know, before I even jump into the flywheel, let's step back like a little bit here. this whole, the emergence of RWA is something we've been falling from the very beginning. Okay, so we're, I don't have a hard time toot in our own horn sometimes, but we're the only
Starting point is 00:38:57 venture investor in all three of the major stable coin issuers, tether, circle, and Paxos. And all of those investments were made almost a decade ago, right? So, you know, the classic, like 10 years to make an overnight success, everyone's very excited about stable coins today. We were excited about them 10 years ago. It took a while for them to realize their full potential. Even today, we have not realized their full potential. Okay. So, you know, today we're at something like 300 billion. I have zero doubt in my mind that we're going to the trillions by 2030. Like zero doubt. To me, that is like, it's an almost outlandish prediction and yet I can put like a 90% plus certainty on that. That's my confidence level anyways. What about, what about two trillions? We're at 300 billion. What about two trillion by 2030? Do you think we'll get there? I do. Yeah. Like, I really do. I think the flywheel is spinning incredibly fast now.
Starting point is 00:39:48 We have to realize that as more dollars move on chain, it creates more liquidity for all the applications on chain. That creates an incentive for developers to build more applications to service this larger market, which creates more use case and more utility, which pulls more dollars on chain. And now historically, that flywheel, so this has been in place for now a few years. That's what's been driving the adoption is that same flywheel. Today, that flywheel, each turn of it is larger than the last because it's driven increasingly by institutional adoption, right? Historically, that's been, that flywheel was entirely retail drug. So today, as it spins, it's not just pulling in dollars, it's also pulling in tokenized
Starting point is 00:40:28 equities, money market funds, treasuries, basically all traditional assets are getting pulled on chain. And why? Because we have better financial infrastructure, right? Like having financial infrastructure that is global, always on, and programmable is simply better. If we think about like all of fintech, all of financial innovation, like fundamentally, what are you trying to do? You're trying to improve capital efficiency. Now, like, what are the hallmarks? What are the signs that we'd be looking for that we've actually built more efficient financial infrastructure? One of the things I'd be looking for is to see that the money that's in there is working harder for you. One way to measure that is velocity. If we look at the velocity of stable coins, it's something like 120x, meaning that
Starting point is 00:41:13 the average stable coin dollar turns over 120 times per year in the on-chain economy. That's actually extraordinary, right? Like, I'd have to pull up all the latest benchmarks comparing it to like what your favorite payment network or, you know, what M1 or anything else does. I have so many favorite payment networks. So it's much, much more efficient, right? And so this is what's pulling in a massive amount of capital on chain. and we actually ran the numbers
Starting point is 00:41:43 because we were curious of like, what is actually the impact of stable coins moving on chain? Because there's this big misconception. I hear this all the time from other investors, from casual market participants. They say stable coins are cool.
Starting point is 00:41:55 They're a payments product. Like, no, no, no. They're actually not a payments product. Right? Because when you have the mental model them as a payments product, they're used for payments. They're not a payments product.
Starting point is 00:42:04 There's a difference there. Because when you think of them as just a payments product, the mental model that you're thinking of is a dollar moves on chain, it transits from A to B, and it hops off chain. But that's not what's actually happening, right? What we see is that dollars that move on chain tend to stay on chain. Like, there's a very high attach rate. They tend to be very sticky, and they find their way into the applications that exist on chain. And so we actually went through when we mapped, like, what happens if you have a billion dollars of net new issuance of stable
Starting point is 00:42:33 coins? And like, the vast majority of that is actually not set aside for payments. Like a little over half of it is immediately deployed as working capital into the on-chain economy. That might be in lending protocols, exchanges, other things that exist on-chain, purpose protocols. And it generates, it doesn't just sit there idly, right? Like, this isn't working capital that just goes and sits there in Obay or sits there in uniswap. It produces an enormous amount of economic activity. So a billion dollars of stable coins in a year produces about $122 billion of economic activity. So what happens is these dollars are not just coming on chain and transiting and hopping off. They're coming on chain.
Starting point is 00:43:11 They're being deployed as working capital. They're producing an enormous amount of economic activity. And all of the applications, protocols, and networks downstream from that are capturing revenue from it. And so when we ran these numbers, what it came out to was roughly a billion dollars of net new stable coin issuance produces about $19 million dollars of downstream protocol revenue. So, David, connecting where we started with. 19 million. Is that like on a yearly basis? or in total?
Starting point is 00:43:38 How do you think about it? Over the course of a year? So it's just like, we went through this mental model like, let's just track a billion dollars as it courses through the on-chain economy over the course of a year. And that's what we landed. It produces about $19 million of downstream protocol revenue.
Starting point is 00:43:53 So just going back and I want to let you finish, but just to talk about some of the numbers, you think there's going to be $2 trillion of stable coins in four years. And one, and you're saying the math, you ran the numbers, you got the receipts, $1 billion of Sablecoin issuance creates $19 million of revenue a year, reoccurring revenue a year. And so with $2 trillion more dollars,
Starting point is 00:44:17 multiply that by 2000, so $19 million of yearly revenue by $2,000. And then that is the level of revenue that's going to be coming in the applications if these numbers hold. Exactly. That's exactly the point. It's going to connect the dots on. It's like exactly that. That's why we're so optimist. That's why I'm looking around the corner, and I'm like, I cannot believe that people are talking about bear market or they're feeling like maybe the industry isn't succeeding. I'm like, literally it's the fattest pitch of the game, and a lot of people are taking their eye off the ball right now. Right. So even if we, you know, David, let's assume that like fundamentally we should want all of this infrastructure, all these
Starting point is 00:44:52 applications to continue getting more efficient the way they have historically. Let's say that going forward to that instead of one billion of net new stable coins producing 19 million dollars of downstream protocol revenue, let's say it's only 10. It's still big. These numbers are extraordinary, and that's just the portion that's captured on-chain, right? These are just the on-chain protocols and applications. This doesn't include what's being captured by, you know, tether, circle, Coinbase, Cracken, TRM, like, all the great companies throughout there. Because you can measure that because that's closed.
Starting point is 00:45:22 You measure the data that you can measure, which is the on-chain. So, like, the $19 million is on-chain protocol revenue, which is, like, from the crypto-native, the OG people who are, like, sad and bummed lately, like, that's, their stuff. That's like the cyperf-the-cropunk stuff. Yeah. And it might not be all of the things, right? Like not every crypto token is going to benefit from this. But we are seeing a lot of the, you know, a lot of the same blue chips that you and I have
Starting point is 00:45:45 been following since the early days, right? Like Ave and Uniswap, right? They are participating in this downstream protocol revenue. Yeah, that was my next question. It's like, what types of applications are receiving some of these revenues? Are you able to kind of like categorize which are the most exposed types of applications to this 19 million per $1 billion dollar of issuance of revenue? a year? Yeah, I mean, certainly like the, the lending protocols, the exchange protocols, those are a
Starting point is 00:46:12 huge portion of it, derivatives venues. So like Aves, Uniswops, morphos, vaults, kind of like the defy stuff that we see having activity these days is probably probably the answer. Exactly. Yeah. And so, and I mean, you know, we touched on earlier of there's been the structural shift of the fees that users are paying are shifting away from the infrastructure and towards the application. So we should acknowledge that this will continue to change over the next four years. Maybe infrastructure fights back, right? Like maybe the network affects materialized stronger. They develop more pricing power.
Starting point is 00:46:45 And they're actually able to squeeze the applications a bit more. Possibly. Is AVE an application or is it infrastructure? We have this debate internally. I'd say it's somewhere it's both. But Alex, I'd like to hear your answer to this. Yeah, I think the answer is both, right? Like they operate applications on their protocol.
Starting point is 00:47:03 They also built the protocol and launched new versions of it and invest in R&D. So it's kind of both. But like the cool thing about AVE is obviously their back end is open, unlike, you know, a traditional fintech or like a financial institution where you might expose APIs to developers. But, you know, you're never sharing state. You're never just opening up your liquidity for folks to use. And so I think the really clever thing that ABE has done now is like they're very much anticipating the growth drivers for the next. 10 years, which is, you know, stable coins are step one. And that's been a huge driver of the business, right? Like, I think something like half the deposit base, maybe even more are stable
Starting point is 00:47:41 coins. And that's the thing that people want to, to borrow against their collateral. They're anticipating that growth drivers is going to start to be other tokenized securities. So, you know, tokenized commodities, tokenized stocks, tokenized private credit. You know, obviously the treasuries have been, have been driving that. And so moves like horizon, moves like Ave v4 set Ave up to continue to evolve in that world. And for us, like, as an issuer of a tokenized fund, like, we could create an AVEV4 spoke and we could add liquidity. And then all of a sudden, people who own the B cap token could go in and they could
Starting point is 00:48:20 borrow USDC against that. You know, that that's a capability that is now possible as like the V4 era, you know, sort of begins. And it's still early days for V4. So like that activity hasn't really shown up in a big. way yet, but you don't have to squint to see what's possible now with something like Ave, and you're seeing the same kind of dynamic with Uniswap. You're seeing the same dynamic with hyperliquit that's now platforming other trading venues. And so the answer is both. Crypto protocols
Starting point is 00:48:47 simultaneously are platforms. And then oftentimes they build that application layer out first. I think in a successful world, they're an awesome application, maybe the most important, unclear we'll see in the future, right? But they're one of many applications that share this, you know, this more like networked financial product that really has organized itself around the token as the kind of unit of value, which is the very different thing here. Like traditionally in finance, you are building a bespoke relationship with an institution. You're being given sort of a limited menu of things that they deem, you know, are appropriate for you. In the internet of assets that's reorganized where markets are reorganized around the token,
Starting point is 00:49:31 you have a balance sheet, you have assets on that balance sheet, those assets have capabilities. You can go look across the network. Where is this asset useful as collateral? Where could I pledge it? Like that's the shift that's happening here. It's a subtle shift, but it's super powerful. And like, I mean, maybe, you know, one of the ways I've kind of thought about this is like an analogy to shipping containers. Where, you know, before shipping containers, like pre-1950, crates, barrels, sacks, would be,
Starting point is 00:50:01 individually unloaded, counted, inspected, repacked, like, wherever cargo moved between a truck, a port, a ship, a railroad. And like, this effectively made it super costly, it meant that ships had to, you know, be docked for a while. Like, ships spent more time parked dealing with cargo than they did at sea moving it around the world. And so global supply chains were constrained by the cost of, you know, the equivalent of like a transaction cost in shipping. And as a result, we just did less business with other countries. We did like companies couldn't establish global supply chains. That just simply wasn't economical at the time for the vast majority of goods.
Starting point is 00:50:39 And then you introduced the container and you standardize it kind of in the 60s through the, you know, the early 80s. And like that doesn't change the goods that move. But what it does is it says, okay, here's the way that you can, you know, here's the way you can build ports and machinery that can handle these things. here, now you can build larger ships because you can ship way more things more cheaply. I think it was like a 97% reduction in like loading time that the standardized container produced. And so the container reorganized global supply chains. That's what the token is going to do. And it's very early innings now.
Starting point is 00:51:17 But like the token basically is that interface to it's the interface in the same way that the standardized shipping container was was the interface for shipping. Like this is the interface for economic rights. And so it does like all to, you know, all tokens are different. And it depends what types of economic rights and the strength of those rights that you build into the token. That's why we see this big spectrum of like quality of assets in the tokenized space. But the point is that with tokens, you can have things like Abe. You can have things like uniswap that pop up, that build like a network solution to that
Starting point is 00:51:50 problem rather than a new financial institution that's a, you know, centrally managed company that, you know, operates within one specific jurisdiction. Like now you have a global marketplace. You have a network of opportunities where tokens can petition for the best deal. And so I think that's what it ends up looking like. It's really like, you know, the type of financial engineering that is accessible only to the most sophisticated and well-capitalized institutions around the world, that becomes just like the state of play for anyone even down to like a thousand bucks in a savings account, right? Like you're going to have the ability to use sophisticated financial products and you're going to be able to be part of.
Starting point is 00:52:27 of the global market. Like there isn't going to be this, you know, like barrier to entry. And that's going to be transformative. That's why I think these markets are, you know, they're going to allow, like the global financial market coordinated on blockchains through protocols that, that are reorganized around the token. That's how we get 10x bigger. That's how we make sure that there's nobody with merit that actually has an opportunity that someone out there would be willing to underwrite. Like, this is the substrate through which you connect. opportunities with capital in the future. This is the whole thing, I think, like, generally of why RWA isn't getting exciting is,
Starting point is 00:53:04 like, and by the way, also the reason why the private permission chains, I don't think are going to work, right? Like, there could be some level of permissioning around these, but I think they must be public because, like, the entire value prop is, that Alex is just outlining is like, hey, let's take these assets out of these silos where, like, it's really hard for me to get a competitive bid when I exist within one of those silos, right? Like, yes, in theory, I could borrow against my equity portfolio with Charles Schwab. It requires me to get on the phone with somebody.
Starting point is 00:53:33 There's extreme limits around it. I have to get permission. It's a process that is fraught with friction. And I can't get a competitive offer for. When all of a sudden I can hold that same portfolio on chain, I now have an open marketplace to people that will want to bid for the right to service my assets. This is inherently very pro-consumer. It's pro a competitive marketplace.
Starting point is 00:53:56 and that's just good for everybody, right? But in order to do that, you must pull them out of these private silos, and you must put them on public infrastructure where other people can kind of compete to service those assets. I opened up this conversation asking about, like, what lessons did we learn from the stable coins so we can apply to public to tokenize equities? And I think, Spencer, you kind of just like rightly said,
Starting point is 00:54:18 like, whoa, whoa, hold on. There's so much left to talk about in the stable coin world. That's very bullish. And I think the, really the TLDR of that is that there's so much left to bootstrap and stable coins. But once you do, the bootstrapping for the rest of finance is primed. It's primed. And that also feeds back into like satisfy the crypto OGs with $19 million of revenue per
Starting point is 00:54:44 $1 billion. Fisciance. I'm going to remember that metric for every single podcast moving forward. It's such a good one. But then it also produces the liquid market. places to bring institutions on that they wouldn't have come if somebody wasn't there, but now that the stable coins are there and the liquidity is there and people are going to bid for rates, bid for lending opportunities.
Starting point is 00:55:05 All of a sudden, there's like room for institutions to come on chain. But let me get back to the original question because we're moving from stable coins into tokenized equities. So like, Spencer, what's your like your roadmap of sorts for expectations for how tokenized equities come on share? and then grow in liquidity, because we have tokenized equities. We've had them for a while. They're marginally starting to grow in liquidity, but they're still not there yet.
Starting point is 00:55:32 So what's your roadmap for how tokenized equities goes from like A to B by the end of the decade? Okay, so two things. The first one is just access, and this is kind of the first wave of adoption for stable coins as well. It turned out there was intense demand for dollars globally. There was a lot of friction in actually accessing dollars. It's not that they were, in most cases, they weren't explicitly prohibitive. there was just a lot of friction and actually getting your hands on them, right? All of a sudden, once they became internet native with global distribution,
Starting point is 00:56:00 stable coins proliferated around the world, especially US dollar-backed stable coins specifically. I think the same is true of the U.S. stock market. There is a lot of demand for it internationally. Yes, people can set up accounts to access the U.S. stock market from most countries. It is not the easiest process. Truthfully, in today's day and age, people want to click a button and get access to it.
Starting point is 00:56:21 And I think that that's what tokenized equities are going to do. it's not going to be super interesting for American investors, right? The same way that stable coins are not super interesting for a lot of U.S. participants that are generally reasonably well served by financial products in the states. The second wave, though, and the one that gets me much more exciting is when you can leverage the programmability and composeability of these, right? So it's not just that suddenly people can access them easier than they could before, but it's actually that they're better, right?
Starting point is 00:56:50 And this gets into the point that we were just talking about of like, once all of a sudden, I can have my equity portfolio on chain, and I have service providers competing to provide me the best offer to borrow against it or to generate securities lending revenue, whatever it might be, that's exciting. Right. And so I think that that's the world that we're going to. But there is some tension in here, right? Because to get the programmability and composability benefits, we should unpack the different
Starting point is 00:57:17 models that are kind of emerging here. We have like the X-stocks model that's produced by backed, which was acquired by Cracken. And the upside of this model is you get full composability in defy. You can use these things across all at defy. That's fantastic. That's actually what I love to see. KYC, fully permissionless, like offshore. Exactly.
Starting point is 00:57:37 Probably not clarity approved, but also indifferent to clarity approval. I think that's right. I think that's right. And that's the part that actually gets me most excited, but there is a serious downside to them, which is you do not own an actual share. Right. Like I own a debt instrument that is tough.
Starting point is 00:57:53 to a vehicle that owns the actual share. Now, for retail participants, that's close enough. But that's not what's going to get you to trillions of dollars of tokenized equities because the largest institutions that are holding these, like once you're holding, you know, a billion, 10 billion, 100 billion of them. No, no, no, I want to actually own the share. Right. Like not a debt instrument into an SPV in the Cayman Islands, right?
Starting point is 00:58:16 So I think that like there's a little bit of attention there. I think it can be reasonably resolved. I don't think going to full ownership is going to mean that you must sacrifice. sacrifice all programmability and composability. But it does mean that it's less likely to be in a pure fully permissionless environment because I don't think the SEC is about to say, yeah, we don't really care if you trade shares of Apple with Lazarus Group. Like that doesn't seem very likely. Right. Or we don't really care if Lazarus Group hacks your Apple shares. They just get their share of Apple. Congrats Lazarus Group, like sweet hack. I think that kind of like begs the
Starting point is 00:58:49 or like kind of illustrates the sign of the times where for as long as, long as I've been in crypto, the crypto industry and TradFi have been on two parallel tracks, not intertwining whatsoever. And like, especially in 2021, like, you know, Cryptopunks, NFTs, defy, you know, eth is money, all this is this crypto-native stuff. And we had this parallel financial system and we were building it in spite of TradFi. We didn't care about TradFi. They were kind of going to come begging on their knees to become relevant to us. And that was great. And like now in 26, it's like, oh, like, your guys' blockchains are really cool. We're learning how to use them. But we kind of need some KYC on the tokens. And we kind of need some like, you know,
Starting point is 00:59:32 inter-centralized intermediaries for you guys to do all this cool stuff. And that's not tenable to me as like somebody who believes in like public permissionless access. And so I don't, I don't necessarily know how to square these things because the financial system has been built in a particular way that is not aligned with the way that public permissionless blockchains are. But there is just so much momentum to trying to make tokenized equities work. But I don't know who gives.
Starting point is 01:00:03 Like, does the SEC give? Or does the values of our public protocols give? Like, who bends the need to who and how do these things get resolved? I don't know that anyone has to give, though, right? And like, it is the first time. It's a very unique moment. I've actually been relatively bearish
Starting point is 01:00:17 on the notion of tokenized equities for some years. but we do have, you know, an SEC that is pounding the table and saying like tokenized equities can and should and will happen, right? And I don't think that the two things are mutually exclusive because like, David, believe me, in my heart, like I love the whole parallel financial system. Let's go build this in isolation. Let's go prove to the world it's better. And let's let people opt into that system. Right. And we don't need to fuse them. I don't want to adopt the bad standards over here. But I still think that that can continue to exist and it will exist. The proposition that's on the table today is like, hey, would you guys like to have tens of trillions of equities that also exist in like little almost like sidecars to the main public permissionless chain, right? They're not going to be totally private. They're not going to be totally walled gardens, not going to be totally permissioned. But hey, guys, listen, if you want this, which is going to be riding right alongside. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:01:08 That like pure cypher punk version. A little sidecar. Yeah. Yeah, exactly. Like, I think that's a pretty good outcome for everybody. Right? I think that that will actually accelerate the pure public permissionless cypherpunk version as well because now the capital is sitting right alongside it.
Starting point is 01:01:26 It actually gives us an even better opportunity to prove why we can continue to build better systems. Now the capital can easily move into that. If it wants to go and say, hey, I'm actually done holding my Apple or Invita right now. I can go choose to hold Ethan's set. And it can use that in a purely permissionless context. Markets don't move one asset at a time. One day it's Bitcoin, the next Nvidia, then gold, and then the S&P. but most traders are still managing their portfolio across different platforms, different accounts,
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Starting point is 01:02:17 and stay aligned with the asset you actually want exposure to. One platform, one account, multiple markets, crypto equities, commodities, and more, all accessible with USDT. BitKet. Trade Smarter. Start trading today through the link in the show notes. This is not investment advice. Some exciting news. We are launching a new podcast to help people figure out the crypto cycle, how to navigate it. The best crypto cycle investor I know, his name is Michael Nato, he runs the DeFi report. This is the guy that sent me a sell alert before the 10-10 price drop happened. His cycle analysis has been absolutely on point.
Starting point is 01:02:47 been following him for years. And this year, we started recording weekly podcast episodes. Each one, we get into his portfolio, what he's holding, the market structure, entry targets, fair market value of Bitcoin and Ether, and where we are in the cycle, there's new episodes that are released every Wednesday. They're 30 minutes. They're short. They're punchy. I think this crypto cycle is harder to navigate than most. So let's do it together. Go subscribe to this podcast. Search the Defi report wherever you get your podcast, YouTube, Apple, Spotify, or find a link in the show notes. There's a new episode waiting for you now. This is something that you guys have some real world experience in actually Fund 3, Blockcheng Capital Fund 3, you guys actually tokenized into tokens on Ethereum. Tell that story
Starting point is 01:03:27 about why you guys decided to actually tokenize the fund for the real real, real tokenization of a real fund, real world asset on chain, but so early in 2017. So like why did you do that? What lessons have you learned along the way? Yeah, I think this was maybe like March 2017. And we're sitting there, It turned out to be very early days of kind of the ICO mania that manifested in 2017. It's not always obvious at that point that you're early in that type of mania, but it was certainly picking up steam. And we're sitting there saying, hey, listen, we are a venture capital firm that is dedicated to the blockchain industry.
Starting point is 01:04:02 And all of a sudden, we're looking at this new phenomenon that looks like it could disrupt the business of venture capital using blockchain technology. We said, hold on. If anybody is going to go and disrupt this business and this industry, using blockchains, it better be us. And so he said, listen, let's go walk the walk and not just talk the talk, right? Like sometimes you have to go roll up your sleeves
Starting point is 01:04:23 and go and actually build products in the space. That's both awesome and a great learning experience and incredibly painful because when you're trying to do it in 2017, the infrastructure doesn't exist. Right, right? There isn't, you know, we... You're doing like command line interface
Starting point is 01:04:38 to issue a tokenized security on Ethereum, yeah. Well, and then you can issue it compliantly per SEC exemptions, but then you need to all of a sudden, then people are trading these assets and that could put you out of line with where you're supposed to be. And none of the other infrastructure exists to enable you to stay in compliance of the SEC's requirements. Right.
Starting point is 01:05:00 And so that actually, that's what led us to leading, I think, multiple rounds, three rounds and securitize was specifically because they came along and said, hey, guys, we know that you have this problem. We can solve the problem for you. You said, listen, okay, if they can solve this problem for us, they're going to solve it for a lot of people, right? but it's been fun. I mean, the entire purpose of it was really twofold.
Starting point is 01:05:20 One, it was to expand access. So it was, hey, listen, could we improve access to a venture capital fund? We were very successful in this regard. I used to know all the stats off the top of my head, but I think we had participants from like 80 different countries, including, by the way, a researcher up in Antarctica. I couldn't believe that when we saw that, like on the actual subscription form. Like, no way, they're actually in Antarctica.
Starting point is 01:05:41 We reached out to them. Yeah, what was their address? Yeah, something like Sayla Clause lane or something, I forget. And then, so that was the first thing was access. And then the second one was, can we improve liquidity? Right? Because, I mean, typically for a venture fund, you're locked up for 10 to 15 years, right? That's one where, again, the challenge ends up being like,
Starting point is 01:06:03 we can't just put the token on uniswap and let anybody buy and sell it because it is a security, right, explicitly. And so I'm optimistic that now is finding it the first time where, as that fund has gone from an initial $10 million, we kept it small knowing that this is an experiment. There was a lot of demand for this, as you can imagine, in 2017. Could you guys make it $25, $50, $100 million?
Starting point is 01:06:26 I said, listen, I think it's better, given this is like very early stage. Let's keep it to $10 million. Let's see if we can make it successful. Today that fund is somewhere's around roughly a billion dollars in assets, so it has been wildly successful for those participants. But what I'm most excited about is the opportunity to help it fulfill its full vision, right? Because ultimately we can now have the trading infrastructure
Starting point is 01:06:49 built around this to make it liquid. Alex was talking about maybe we could enable token holders to borrow against it. That would be huge. I mean, so I think all of that is now on the horizon. And it's an opportunity for us to continue to use that fund because it's a permanent capital vehicle. There's no end of life to that to that fund. So the token never closes. The token is the token. Yep. If someone wants to exit it, they go and sell the token. So that is their choice. That is. is they don't actually redeem from the fund, they sell it to somebody else. And so, you know, for us, that gives us a unique opportunity to, I mean, we can invest in a company and actually hold it forever, right? Like, we never have an end of life of the fund.
Starting point is 01:07:27 We are never forced to sell something. So, like, that's pretty unique that we can go to a founder and say, like, listen, we can hold this until like you're done with the business. And you say, like, listen, guys, it's over, wrap it up. We don't have to do that on year 10, which, by the way, again, like that's, you know, Circle Paxos Tether. All of them are like having their day in the sun finally now in year 10 when, you know, those investments were originally made quite a long time ago. So what are you doing with the token on like the crypto native side of things inside of crypto applications to provide because of the name in the game is capital efficiency here?
Starting point is 01:07:58 Like, why are people going to come on chain because of capital efficiency? So what ways is or will be the B-CAP token gain capital efficiency using on-chain mechanisms? You know, I would say like, you know, we're an RIA. Like we, I think are subject to some of the stricter rules of, you know, participants in the crypto ecosystem. And so obviously we're beholden to that. That does limit the speed that we can move at here. It doesn't limit our thinking on it. And so we're, you know, we're getting ahead of what we think is going to be possible in the near term.
Starting point is 01:08:31 And part of that has been the application space hasn't necessarily had the right infrastructure for like a tokenized fund to, you know, with our set of rules and requirements to be able to, you know, create a line of credit against it or like, you know, an AMM or something like that. But, you know, for us, this is always a lens when we invest in a company. We're talking about the founder from the perspective of obviously as a venture capitalist, but then also from the perspective of, you know, the creator of the first tokenized fund. And so we're thinking, you know, how can your product, whether that's, you know, something like Ave, you know, how, how, is that going to be usable with our product because we represent kind of like the hard end of the spectrum. If you work on the easy end of the spectrum with like crypto native collateral like East and then stable coins and things like that, that's one problem. But if you're extensible also to
Starting point is 01:09:23 like our end of the spectrum, that's when we start to get really excited. And when we're having conversations with with Stani about, you know, what does the V4 spoke look like here? And for the first time, you know, as of like the last couple of months with V4, that conversation has been, oh, you know, that'll take like a day to set up, basically. And so for us, it's a lot of thinking on the legal and the compliance front. But these are the types of ideas that we're kicking around right now and we're getting really, really excited about. And I think, you know, give us a year or two.
Starting point is 01:09:51 And we'll probably have a more exciting story to tell here about utility on chain. But it's certainly, it's something that has recently become possible and that I think, especially as we get regulatory clarity, it becomes easier for us to do. Yeah, I suppose the whole idea around B-CAP is like it's a canary for what other people can do with their tokens. And you guys are just doing it first because you guys are on the frontiers, what your guys' job is.
Starting point is 01:10:14 But if you guys can do with the B-CAP token, any other institution can do it with any other token. And compliantly, which is like what the big game is here. Exactly. Yeah. So I'm just you just have to show that you can do it, right? And so instead of just deploying capital,
Starting point is 01:10:30 and like, again, let's walk the walk and not just talk to talk, demonstrate people, show them that it's safe, the water's warm, you can go and do this too. Spencer, Alex, this has been great. It's nice to do a bullish episode. This episode has probably been one of the more bullish ones that I've recorded in a while. So thank you for coming on and just making me bullish.
Starting point is 01:10:48 I don't know how anybody could be anything other than bullish. Like honestly, with the stuff we're looking at, like I think the sentiment is almost confusing to me. I'm excited. I'm fired up. Let's go. Yeah. Thanks for having us, David.
Starting point is 01:10:58 This was great. Of course, of course. Bankless Nation, you guys know the deal. Crypto is risky, but it's not risky enough. The institutions are here, so we're going even more westward. This is the frontier. It's not for everyone, but we're glad you're with us on the bankless journey. Thanks a lot.

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