Bankless - The Next Bull Market is Here, and Obvious | Spencer and Aleks, Blockchain Capital
Episode Date: August 3, 2026Crypto prices are weak, OG sentiment is exhausted, and institutions are leaning in. Blockchain Capital GPs Aleks Larsen and Spencer Bogart join David Hoffman to explain why this disconnect may be the ...opportunity. They unpack crypto’s shift toward application-layer value, stablecoins as onchain working capital, tokenized equities, Aave V4, public blockchains, and BCAP. Is the cypherpunk dream fading, or becoming the foundation of global finance? --- 📣SPOTIFY PREMIUM RSS FEED | USE CODE: SPOTIFY24 https://bankless.cc/spotify-premium --- BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🔓NEAR | TRADE CONFIDENTIALLY, GET 20% BACK https://bankless.cc/near-pod 🔑BITKEY | GET 10% OFF USE CODE: BANKLESS | #bitkeypartner https://bankless.cc/bitkey ✈️COINBASE ONE CARD | EARN 5% BACK IN BITCOIN https://bankless.cc/coinbase-one-card 📊BITGET | TOKENIZED STOCKS 2.0 https://bankless.cc/bitget-stocks 🎯THE DEFI REPORT | ONCHAIN INSIGHTS https://thedefireport.io/bankless --- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Buybacks, Burns and Tokenholder Trust 5:47 Why Blockchain Capital Is Doubling Down 14:38 Institutions Arrive as Crypto OGs Lose Faith 21:03 From Infrastructure Scarcity to Abundant Blockspace 30:24 What AI Can Learn From Crypto 38:43 Stablecoins Become Onchain Working Capital 44:41 The Stablecoin Revenue Multiplier 47:40 Aave and Open Financial Infrastructure 55:08 The Roadmap for Tokenized Equities 59:41 Public Chains, Ownership and Compliance 1:04:24 Blockchain Capital’s Tokenized Fund 1:09:03 Bringing BCAP Fully Onchain --- RESOURCES Spencer Bogart https://x.com/CremeDeLaCrypto Aleks Larsen https://x.com/alekslarsen --- Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Bankless Nation, we got blockchain capital on the podcast today.
We got Spencer and Alex, two GPs over at blockchain capital.
Spencer, Alex, welcome to the show.
Fired up.
Thanks for having us, David.
Spencer, you and I have interacted in crypto as long as I can remember.
Have we ever had you on the podcast before?
I think a couple years ago.
Yeah.
I think it's been a while, though.
But yes, as long as I can remember two.
I was going to say, in a way, I feel like we've grown up together in the industry,
you know, like especially for me following along with the show.
Yeah.
My first memory of interaction with you
was talking about MKR value capture
back in like 2019,
2018 or something
because like BKKKR was considering
buying MKR
and I think that was our first
our first like interaction before.
Wow, that's actually very funny.
Alex was actually very involved
behind the scenes on that discussion too.
Like I remember that one well
and was going back and forth
with Alex Evans
who was that placeholder at the time
now over at Bain.
And you know what?
I think he,
I saw him about a year ago
and he still loves
that MKR. And I get it. I still love MKR. And I treated this out not terribly long ago,
but just even the most modern projects. So hyperliquid, lighter, Venice are all doing the buy and burn
model. And MKR was the first one to pioneer that. And there's been so much like gnashing
of teeth about the inefficiency of the buy and burn model. But it's like, it's undefeated, dude.
Like here we are in 2026 and the best projects are still doing the buy and burn model.
100% works.
And it's funny because back in the day,
I was overly critical of it of like at the end of the tunnel,
like you can do a buyback,
a buy and burn, right?
At the end of the day,
people need to think about like cash flows.
And so like the only thing I struggled with was like at the end of the day,
there needs to be like when there's one share left,
you need to have some cash flow to direct to it.
Otherwise, like you're buying back and you can never really build a model
around what the realistic value is.
All of that was overthinking it.
Buy and burn works well.
I understand the like pushback from people of like why it could be
capital and efficient to do so. But I think it's the most logical model today because token holders,
like, unless we get Clarity Act passed, like the rights of token holders are not very clear.
Right. So like in theory, it would be better if I was a token holder. You're a startup. I want you
to continue reinvesting those cash flows into identifying more growth opportunities. But today,
like two things have happened. One, not very many protocols have demonstrated an ability to find an
adjacent opportunity to expand into and then actually been effective in doing it.
So a lot of token holders are saying, wait a minute, when you take the cash flows and go and pursue that path, it doesn't lead to anything.
At least not anything good for me.
For me as a token holder, yeah.
Yes, exactly.
And so they'd say, listen, I'd prefer that you just, you stake a flag in the sand and you say that this is what we're going to do forever.
We're going to buy back and burn.
And that at least provides some level of certainty.
Right.
If markets hate uncertainty, that's like, that's a, you know, token network providing some degree of certainty for it.
I don't mean to like launch straight into some of the topics,
but you happen to open it up with something that's like super interesting to me.
I also think this is super interesting.
I wonder to what degree does the need to buy back the token on day one,
which again, inefficient, not what startups do,
poor use of capital to do buybacks on day one.
But part of that has to be downstream of the fact that tokens in crypto have been so dog shit
that quality tokens need to like show, put their money where their mouth is
and show the market that they're serious,
and the best way to do that is buy and burn.
Maybe in a different equilibrium
when a higher percentage of our tokens or quality,
can we start to trust as the investing community
that just because they're not buying back their token today
doesn't mean that the cash flows that they're making
aren't actually going to the enterprise value.
So maybe it's a little bit of just like,
we need to kind of grow up
and we need clarity to allow us to do these sorts of things.
And then maybe the investor base,
can have more confidence and trust in these crypto assets,
but it's been a bit of a lemon market.
And so the people that are serious about their token
have to buy back and burn their token
just to show that they're better than the rest.
Feels like definitely like a sign of the times
and we'll look back on it as a rather inefficient use of capital
and a protocol treasury.
I mean, if you think about it,
we've got like what, around 75 billion
of aggregate deposit base in defy today.
And like the focus should be entirely on
how do we make this trillions of dollars
over the next couple of years?
or the next 10 years, whatever the time horizon is.
But to the points you guys have made,
I mean, this has been the only way to, like,
make a credible commitment that you are high quality,
that you are aligned with token holders.
You do it now because it makes sense
and because token holders really want to see that,
you know, but in five years from now,
I'd be surprised if that's still the dominant operating model.
I think it's a great point, Alex.
I mean, because, like, we invest in both tokens and equity,
right, oftentimes side by side. If we have a series A stage company whose business is taking off,
right, product is flying off the shelf and they said, hey, Spencer, we want to send you a dividend
and say, what are you talking about? We need to grow into this opportunity. Like, there's no way
that any venture investor would be sitting there saying, like, yes, a dividend would be a great thing
for you to do or a buyback, whatever it is. Like, I mean, fundamentally like, approximately the same
thing, right? And so I think the Alex is right that we'll look back on this as like this brief
moment in time where really what those teams are trying to do is acknowledge that there's a lot of
ambiguity of whether or not some of the folks around the network are aligned with token holders.
And what they're trying to do is put that flag in the sand and say, like, we are. We're aligned.
This is what we're going to do. I think that's the optimistic case. Like, we want that to be,
in five years, we want that to be the case where our teams can use their capital more efficiently.
And if, you know, things going according to plan, that's better. And maybe that's because we
have a growing proliferation of like native crypto assets that people can trust and like we're
kind of out of this lemon market i would say that's like the the the happy case not ever not always
the happy cases happens in the crypto industry a little bit of pain is healthy you know sure one conversation
i want to have with you guys is a there has been a growing conversation in the vc sector of
crypto about how there's no such thing as a vc crypto vc anymore and all the mega funds have expanded
their mandate to include AI, robotics, other frontier industries,
simply because, you know, the bare case is like VC and crypto is dead
or just that crypto is growing up and like a lot of the meta has shifted.
And so there's no there's no crypto VCs anymore.
That's like kind of the critique of the crypto VC industry.
That's not what you guys are doing.
You guys are staring this perceived malaise in the crypto industry and the crypto VC industry
and you're not blinking and you're doubling down on
crypto. And so I want to learn a little bit about, like, what you guys are excited about.
Because everywhere I look, I see two things. I see, like, institutions licking their traps
about blockchains and crypto and what can, crypto can do for their businesses. And then I also
see sad crypto-ogs. And like, why do I see so much of both? And how do we square these things?
And I want to get into, like, how that kind of leads your guys as investment thesis,
blockchain capital. But maybe Alex, I'll just start with you. Like, how do you square the two
things of just like pessimistic crypto-o-Gs and then institutions that are just like licking their
chops. I mean, there's a lot of things going on here, right? Like, I think for us, what we try and do
is zoom out and not pay attention to the ups and downs in, you know, bear and bull market cycles.
And I think it's very easy when you're in a bear market, a token bear market, especially, to get
very pessimistic about the opportunity space. And especially when there's other sectors that are
doing really well. That's what's different about this bear market. I mean, there's actually a lot of
things that are different about this bear market and some of them are really bullish. Like,
we've never had a bear market with this many positive capitalists, right? We're getting regulatory
clarity. We got the Genius Act, you know, fingers crossed on clarity, but it's a matter of time,
right? We're going to get it. If it's not right now, it's going to be, you know, in the next couple of
years. And so the rules of the road are being laid. Institutions have clearly seen the writing on the
wall and have, you know, gotten into the space in a serious way over the last couple of years.
And we have use cases now that have sort of broken out of the crypto zeitgeist into the mainstream.
Got things like prediction markets where people don't even know or care that it's on crypto, right?
But it is in polymercates case and a bunch of other ones.
And we have stable coins where what people get there is they get dollars, they get payments,
they get cross-border payments that are cheap, they get remittances that are cheap, these types of applications.
And so these are the kind of early examples where they've been growing through a bear market.
And that's really really notable to us.
So like that's something actually in past bear markets we didn't typically see.
We didn't see like concentrated like secular growth in a couple of different verticals.
But now we have this dynamic of like AI has sucked the air out of the room.
It's been moving much faster.
Like it had its sort of like really big moment in 2023.
And then maybe, you know, another one about like seven, eight months ago when people started
using coding agents like the open claw revolution and that kind of stuff.
So I think there's just been so much attention dream.
that is being kind of coupled with the bare market dynamic,
where people are getting a bit distracted from, you know,
the broader, I think, you know, dynamic that's playing out in crypto.
And when, you know, for us, like, we were started in 2012.
Like, we've weathered a lot of these crypto ups and downs at this point.
I think we've gotten pretty good at zooming out and, like,
staying focused on the long-term picture.
And from that perspective, what we see is, like,
we've crossed the threshold in crypto where, like, this is inevitable.
There's a network effect that has taken hold.
It's growing, but people don't appreciate how early it still is.
And I think probably the best analogy for it is the internet.
And like the internet, like if you think about the timeline here and at what point the S-curb inflected,
like we're not there yet in crypto.
Like the internet became publicly usable in 1989, right?
It takes a long time for network effects to take hold.
And so the first like 10, 11 years of that are like you're trying things out.
You got a couple applications.
A few of them are really working.
By the time, you know, you're in 1999, 2000,
you have a couple hundred million users of the Internet,
but it's still clunky.
It's bandwidth constrained.
You know, then you have 2000 through 2005,
and you have the broadband shift.
And so, you know, I would argue that's kind of what we basically just went through.
And maybe we're at like the tail end of that.
Like block space has just become cheap and abundant.
Blockchains have like in the last few years become very scalable.
I mean, obviously we had Solana.
in 2020, but that was like the first of its kind, right, that like gained traction and
which and showed the path forward.
L2s didn't get fast until, you know, 2024.
And today, like, that's the status quo.
Even Ethereum is like scaling progressively now.
And so like that that's the state of play.
Blockchains are cheap.
You can build mass market applications on them.
And then, you know, really for the internet, it wasn't immediately when broadband shifted, right,
that that, that, that, that, that, that curve inflected.
It was because the mobile explosion in 2006,
2010. So like this is a good like 15, 16 years since the internet first became publicly usable. So to me,
there's this question of when does the clock start. And like it's convenient to say it starts when
Bitcoin was created. I think you could make an argument that it starts when Ethereum launched in
2015. And we're like, you know, 10, 11 years into that like internet of finance or internet
of assets gaining steam. And, you know, when you look at it from that perspective, we've made a
tremendous amount of progress. There's 700 million, you know, some odd crypto holders out there. That's
like your, you know, most immediate top of funnel. Then you have maybe about 10% of those are like
on-chain active users that have like basically for the last couple of years, like chewed glass to
be able to use crypto applications. And, you know, a big, big dynamic here that like people don't
talk about enough is the fact that like good crypto applications, like usable crypto applications that, you know,
a retail person didn't need to be like a part-time cryptographer to take advantage of,
have been around for like two, three years.
Like the consumer stack in crypto is three years old.
It takes a while for people to like learn the new lay of the land and then start using those
tools and being able to like build the type of applications that really are going to bring
the next, you know, cohort of users in where crypto is totally abstracted away.
So that's things like, you know, obviously cheap execution, but like embedded wallets, you know,
policies around recovery and, you know, social recovery, this kind of thing, spending limits,
these types of things, familiar authentication.
Like, these are important primitives that really didn't mature or, like, become widely used
in crypto until the last few years.
Like today, this is how you build a consumer crypto application.
But like three, four years ago, this was a new concept.
Like, Ethereum didn't even, like, have, you know, account abstraction at the protocol level
at that point.
So you're kind of doing like extra protocol ways to get it done.
And so like my perspective is we're in like 2003, 2004.
We've just had that like shift to broadband.
And we're maybe like pre the mobile boom.
And so like we're in the flat part of the S curve.
At some point it's going to inflect upwards.
You're seeing signs of that starting to happen maybe on the edge of things.
So like in, you know, new application areas like prediction markets where like you simply didn't have these types of products before or in.
stable coins where payments networks just didn't reach into where stable coins are now showing a lot
of transactional activity. And so that edge around the use cases, eventually that's going to come
into the center. And when it starts permeating the center, that's when we inflect upwards. And so I think
this is right that moment when like it's best to double down on crypto actually. Like all like we've,
the hardest parts of crypto's path into the world, I think we've, we've already, you know, crossed that,
that that chasm. And now we're just waiting. Like, it's a bunch of kindling, waiting for,
you know, waiting for that fire to really start roaring. And when it does, it's going to look
obvious in hindsight. But we're just in that period of uncertainty where attention has shifted
away and asset prices are down. But this is a distraction. It's an absolute trap. And like,
we're headed for that inflection point. I am coming around and starting to accept this idea
that my prior, my earlier perception of crypto was too,
ambitious too soon.
I was talking to Mike Dutus
on the podcast recently
and I was talking about
when I got into crypto
I was 26, 27 years old
like borderline a child
and I thought we were going
to change the world like tomorrow
and 2021 was everyone
was realizing that
and maybe I was just a little bit
too accelerated in my timelines
and so Alex it's nice to hear
kind of like the pretty traditional
just like our rails needed maturing
the tech needed maturing
and actually the science
of the times is that they're quite mature now
and that bullish inflection point is ahead of us.
But I don't completely think that that accounts
for my question about why institutions are bullish
but the OGs are jaded.
Because there's something else about the path
that crypto was on,
that it's seemingly according to the people
who came before 2024 or 2025,
don't feel like crypto is on that path anymore.
Like it's like a way of life style question that our way of life is no longer exists.
And so I accept your answer that like things take a little bit longer than my expectations.
But I don't know if that accounts for everything.
Spencer, I want to know if you have anything to add to this conversation.
There's, you know, it's that psychological dynamic, you see it in all sorts of places, right?
Like when a startup has its IPO moment, all of the early employees will talk about like how
magical it was in the early days and how like, you know, it became a large corporate entity
because that's what it had to do. It had to grow up. And like, I feel that. I've been along for
that entire path as well, right? Like I love the the crypto punk version of it, right? Like the rebel
pirates that are creating something better, a better alternative. It's not being infused with
the traditional financial system. It is distinct. It is parallel. It is already better in some ways,
you know, this is, I'm thinking from a perspective of years ago. It was already better in some
ways and it's going to continue to get better. I love that about it, right? And there is something
that's a little bit hard to see, like, to see it kind of grow up and see it starting to get
fused with the traditional financial system, but we have to acknowledge that, like, that's what
success looks like, right? And that dynamic, it could be the same thing for like when, you know,
we've all had that friend that finds that really niche band that eventually blows up. And they love it
until they blow up. And then they talk about how I actually only love their original albums,
even though those are never the albums that got them big, right?
And they almost regret the fact that they've become wildly successful.
So I think that there's a lot of that.
I think that some of that sentiment would dissipate
if some of the success that the industry is seen on a fundamentals basis
was reflected in prices.
But it's not today, or at least not relative to where prices were a couple years ago.
And the path dependency here matters.
If we had gone from David, when we started working in this industry,
we started following all this stuff.
If that line was like a nice, steady, linear path to where we are today,
sentiment would be completely different.
But there is some path dependency there.
Because we were once higher than we are today,
it doesn't feel as exciting to a lot of market participants.
The only thing I'd maybe add here is like,
and David, I think what you're getting at here is like it's not cypherpunk anymore.
Like that is not the meta and crypto.
The conferences are full of suits.
Like the conversation is about permission.
and rails, you know, compliance and these types of things. And like, that is not what the conversation
was like 10 years ago when you, when we were first like getting involved in this industry.
And like you, you know, I was excited about that. I was excited about freedom tech and like self-sovereignty
and like the cypherpunk version of what finance could be. And I think to Spencer's point, like
success in this case means accommodating so many different use cases, a huge amount of the pie,
especially in finance,
is just like,
this is a very regulated category.
And like,
there's no way around that.
You just can't succeed
without accommodating
these types of users.
But what I'd say is that,
like,
some of the elements
that made this interesting
to, like,
the cypherpunk audience,
you know,
the fact that, like,
Ethereum and Bitcoin
are decentralized networks.
They're neutral.
They're not controlled
by a company or a government,
right?
Like,
these are also attractive
properties to institutions
that value,
you know,
like a substrate
with better trust
assumptions and better trust requirements that allow them to do business more broadly.
And so I don't know that they're necessarily mutually exclusive.
Obviously, the areas of the space that are getting a lot of traction right at this moment are
taking a more kind of like buttoned up regulated form.
But a lot of them are doing that on top of a permissionless substrate.
And so I think that cypherpunk dream is alive.
It's just not loud.
And I don't think they're mutually exclusive either.
right? Like Bitcoin's not going anywhere. East isn't going anywhere. Like they're going to be around. Those are
going to be important assets to me, I think so, important assets that'll be an escape valve in some ways, right?
I mean, if you think about Bitcoin, are, you know, government's going to stop debasing their fiat money?
No. Right. So I think that it's at least an interesting asset. Whether or not people should own it is up to them.
I don't know. I'm not going to make that decision. But like, it's at least an interesting asset in that world.
ETH as well. These are interesting, unique assets. So I don't think that like the cypherpunk view
totally dissipates. It's just that there's, we're upgrading the financial system and it's
actually happening. Like we've talked about this for years. It's really materializing. And I think
people should be excited about that. It's this like, it's not the sexiest thing to talk about,
honestly, when you're talking about upgrading the financial system. Because like most of our
financial products that we use are invisible to us day to day. But if you can create more efficiency,
more utility from them, it genuinely benefits everybody in the world.
And so, like, that's what motivates me.
It's super exciting.
Small improvements and efficiency have these huge reverberating effects across the economy.
Like, everything that happens in the world, like, flows through some sort of a financial
system.
If you can make that piping better, it makes everybody better off, and you should feel motivated
and excited about that.
Yeah, that's definitely the optimistic perspective that I think has been missing from the
crypto industry for a while where, like, in crypto 2021 to 20,
we were so incredibly optimistic about doing exactly that.
Like how do we spread the wealth?
How do we get everyone on board?
There was another inflection point.
One last inflection point perspective
that I want to bring into the conversation,
at the same time that the institutions came in
in a very big way.
And Alex, you haven't mentioned this yet,
but a line that you said to me that I think
stood out when we were prepping for this
was that for the first time ever institutions
are leaning in while prices are down.
So they're leaning in under their own merit
rather than kind of being compelled by narrative
to lean in when prices are up.
And so that's validating, that's great, that's signal.
And at the same time, at the same time that that is happening,
for almost all of crypto's history,
it's been in this infrastructure investment cycle,
like infra investment, spawning,
infra investment, spawning infra investment,
spawning infra investment.
And like now in 2025, 2026,
it seems that like alongside the vibe shift,
alongside institutions stepping in,
it seems that we have permanently departed
from that infrastructure investment
just for the sake of infrastructure investment.
And that used to dominate the entire crypto industry
and now we don't do that anymore.
We don't do like the next L1
and we don't do like the 13th L2.
How would you account for what happened here?
Like what does this represent for like where we are
in the maturity of the industry?
Clearly, if you go back to 2019, and you're, you know, let's say you're using uniswap, you're paying
$5, $10 to make an exchange.
You know, obviously there was an infrastructure upgrade that was needed.
And that was the number one problem in the industry.
It was like people want to use these applications, but there's so little block space that,
that is just way too expensive.
And so people, people can't do it.
And like, what we needed was way more block space.
So like, as markets do, especially when you have.
have a dynamic where you basically put a public price on like a series A, maybe series B
startup.
Markets, the pendulum swung too far.
We overinvested in infrastructure.
We got that, you know, that block space expansion that we were looking for.
We got the scalability we were looking for.
And now the pendulum has kind of swung back.
And we're probably a little bit too negative on the infrastructure at the moment because a lot of
the blocks are empty.
And that's because we overinvested in them.
so we built so much block space that like we got ahead of where the demand was at this moment in time.
We have an abundance of block space.
But like that is the prerequisite, I think, for for application developers to come in,
take advantage of that cheap block space and build some of those applications that, you know,
five, six years ago were just too expensive to deploy on a blockchain.
And David, to put some numbers to this because you're exactly right.
Like it's been a huge shift.
Like the data really bears this out.
In 2021, over 70% of the fees.
that users were paying,
were going to infrastructure.
That was because we had elevated transaction costs,
we had limited block space.
The industry went on this big effort to say,
hey, listen, we can do better than that, right?
Transaction fees shouldn't be a couple hundred dollars.
Let's improve block space.
Let's improve the infrastructure.
And I think it was 2025 was the first time
that application layer fees
surpassed infrastructure fees.
So what happened here is that as we reduce transaction
cost value moved up the stack to the applications themselves. So users are paying less for the
infrastructure, more for the financial services that are built on top of them. And if you think about
a maturing, healthy ecosystem, that's exactly what you want to see. People shouldn't be,
the infrastructure itself shouldn't be extracting enormous amounts of rent. This is the whole
thing that we set out with crypto to avoid, right? We said, listen, the banking system is sitting here
and extracting a massive amount of rent. We can do better than that. So like what we're seeing is
actually success, even if there's moments of pain associated with that kind of transition and that
structural shift. Does that mean we've kind of just like migrated? We're done with a fat protocol
thesis, not to say that the fat protocol thesis was wrong. It was just apt up until maybe 2022,
2023. And Solana really came and changed the game and was like, oh, sweet, constrained block space
you have over there theory. And what if I made it abundant? And then all of a sudden the abundant
block space meta took over, and all of a sudden, that was the end of the FAT protocol thesis.
You know, like, ETH's money was the ultimate expression of that.
And then now we're just moving higher up the stack.
So now we're at the FAT app thesis, which is just, you know, applications are businesses,
applications capture value.
That's just kind of like the natural trend that we would expect to see over and over and over
again, had we reran the crypto simulation.
You would just expect to see value captures slowly move up the stack.
I mean, my take here is like this is sort of an inevitable consequence of blockchains.
Like the protocols were never going to capture a huge amount of value, like Spencer said.
Like this is about disintermediating finance and making the system fundamentally more efficient.
That implies, you know, a small rake.
What I think, though, is maybe like the nuance, or at least like the way I think about this longer term,
like it's thin protocols but massive markets.
So like if you have a small take but you expand the size.
size of, you know, global finance by an order of magnitude, you could still be fat by today's
standards. In the context of that larger system, you're thin. And that's good for everybody involved.
I think this goes back to what I was saying about. Maybe I was just a little bit impatient and
overly ambitious in 2021, 2022. It feels now crypto is just like a pretty small industry, at least from the
OG perspective. But we're doing a lot of the things that we've set out to do. And like, to your point,
like institutions coming on chain,
finance is coming on chain.
And in the grand scheme of things,
that is what it is actually going to take
in order to actually become,
like, the global market,
like literally put the world on chain.
And maybe just in the fullness of time,
we'll get there.
We just need real finance to happen on chain.
And like maybe ETH is money in the big sense of the word,
not like the moderate sense of the word,
but like the grandiose version of ETH is money,
but first we have to get all finance on chain.
and that's how we do that.
That's certainly my perspective.
And I mean, empirically, like, Ethan,
ETH is money.
Like, ETH is used on many, you know,
non-Etherium L1 networks.
Like, it is, it's a popular currency
in the crypto economy.
I think that no way you can argue it's not, you know,
despite, despite people, you know,
maybe wanting that to be true
or, like, telling a narrative
that, like, no one's going to use it as money
or collateral.
Like, it continues to be used for, for these purposes out there.
So you can see it on Robin Hood chain, right?
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There's been something that's going on in the AI world, especially with the release of Kimmy K-3 from China,
which is compressing the margins of some of the...
the fat protocols on the AI side of things,
the Open AI and Anthropics,
which are taking in huge rakes
because they have the world's best models
and people are willing to pay for them.
Is the same economic dynamics
kind of playing out with like the AI industry
and the AI labs?
Like do these two industries rhyme together?
So like to some extent,
I mean,
there are similarities in how they're financed.
I think a lot of the similarities end up breaking down.
But like, I mean, it's when you're staring it up in the face,
like there are some things.
things that are, you know, too obvious not to notice, right? Like in crypto, we had, you know,
L1's launching on a white paper and founding teams at multi-billion dollar valuations. Like, that's like
the alt labs right now, right? Like, you know, with a research thesis and elite talent,
maybe coming out of open AI and anthropic, like, you can do something similar here. You know,
we were raising money on like having really good, maybe test net benchmarks or TPS. So like model
benchmarks are the equivalent there, right? Like exchange listings were like hyperscalor
distribution. So, you know, and then obviously validator is market maker support, this kind of thing. Like,
you could make an analogy to like cloud chip infrastructure partners. And maybe, maybe token prices,
like private financing valuation. And so that, you know, that's obviously one of the big
differences that the tokens were public. You had a price on it, like sort of a, you know, real time
sentiment gauge in, in AI that that's obfuscated. It's hidden by by private markets. And so like an unwind of
that like alt labs thesis, you know, probably looks, you know, much more like, you know,
down round, structured financings, aquilers, like talent migrating to other opportunities,
maybe consolidation, like some of the hyperscalers might like pick up some of the alt labs
that like much cheaper than where they were financed, you know, strategic control, basically,
and talent acquisition versus in crypto, you know, that decline was like,
your token's down 90% in a month because the narrative just fell out totally.
And it became clear that demand wasn't there for that.
And so, like, I think in that sense, like, these parallels hold quite a bit.
But, like, in other ways, like, you know, crypto is just, I think it's been more difficult for crypto to put the pieces together, like, to really make it, make it usable around the world.
It's not as simple as just deploying through existing channels with a product as obvious as intelligence.
Like, this is a network effect that gets built by stitch.
together the hundreds of financial systems around the world and then eventually absorbing them.
And that's just a longer transition. It involves regulation, I think, in a much more direct way.
You know, obviously, like AI has regulatory implications, but the financial system has sort of established
rules that, you know, crypto had to find their place in and then maybe to some extent, like, rewrite them
for the crypto markets, which is happening now. And so that's where I think it kind of breaks down.
but like, yeah, the parallels are very interesting,
especially on the financing side.
If we are trying to extend this,
and I don't want to extend metaphors too much
because they can only take it so far,
but just like, you know,
if the FAP protocol thesis,
which is like, to me, open AI and anthropic are the protocols,
does if the trend follows crypto.
And it does kind of feel like crypto is just five years ahead
of like the AI industry,
especially when it also comes to like regulation,
like I think AI is going to have to fight the regulatory fight
that crypto has kind of already or is working its way through.
But if the trend does go from fat,
protocol to fat app. Doesn't that imply that there's going to be like a layer above the LLMs
around applications that also provide all the value and are kind of like the consumer front end?
Maybe I'm taking this too far, but Spencer, I don't know if you have any thoughts here.
I think that's right. I think that that parallel works as well. And the reality is like, I mean,
this is what Alex Carp and Palantir out talking about, right? It's like somebody needs to actually
take this into the enterprise and make them successful in it. Right. And so like it's one thing to
have the model and have the intelligence, that doesn't produce the outcomes that people are looking
for. And so we see this even with some of our portfolio companies where like, you know, that whole
model of forward deployed engineers is becoming very real. Like you have to produce outcomes, not just
the raw intelligence. So it's moving away from just analysis and intelligence and more into like
workflows and actual outputs. So again, there's like, there's definitely a lot of rhyming there,
especially amongst investor sentiment is the one where like I see the strongest parallels, right?
where for the past year, it has been like,
I don't know if I want to invest in any AI applications.
I should probably just put another,
every marginal dollar should just go to one of the frontier laps.
That's it.
And then all of a sudden we had this big reckoning of like,
oh no, software modes are no longer a thing.
What are we going to do?
And that was kind of funny, right?
Because for all of us, we're sitting there going like, wait a minute,
you guys had software modes?
We've never had software modes.
Like we've been navigating the world without any software modes the entire time.
Right?
Like our entire industry is built on open source software
that anyone can fork. So like this entire notion, like all the questions of like, where is value
going to accrue in the stack? How do you build any defensibility without soft remotes? Like, it's funny to
watch like an entirely new industry, an entire new group of investors wrestle with the same questions
that we've been tackling for, you know, 10 years now. I do think the point is really good because like,
you know, alt L1s, you know, from my perspective are, you know, they're asking that question of like,
which part of the application layer do we have to play in? And like, to an extent,
Open AI, Anthropic, any other Frontier Lab that joins them is going to have to ask the same
question at a certain point because it's clear, I think, today that, like, you know, like your,
like weights are, you know, are largely going to be a commodity, but the harness is certainly not.
And so what do you specialize in? You know, obviously, like, there are some use cases where you can't
hallucinate. You can't get something wrong. Like manufacturing for semis is a good example of this,
where like the AI tools that probably speed up manufacturing a lot
are like not the frontier models today, right?
It's the frontier models plus fine-tuned models
plus data sets that like the companies that are supporting
this build-out have accumulated.
And there's very clearly a moat, I think,
at the application layer there,
if you can improve outcomes significantly versus a frontier model.
So are they going to chase that opportunity?
You know, probably not.
Like my guess is depending on how difficult it is
to move into that part of the application space,
they may not, but for certain other applications, they will.
Like, I could, you know, something like accounting, right?
Like, they're probably going to figure out how to do that,
would be my guess.
But, like, something more complex where, like,
it's a lot harder to specialize where there's a feedback loop.
The more problems you solve for customers,
the more you know about how to solve that problem.
Like, those areas are probably going to create a lot of value
at the application layer where that's not going to generalize to the model.
So a bit of a mixed bag.
And, like, maybe you see a similar kind of thinking going on,
in L1s right now, where you're realizing, look, the protocol fees just aren't going to sustain
the business long term, or at least there's no story if you're at like $5 billion FDV now.
Like you might already be at the market cap implied by like huge future adoption.
So you need to figure out something else, some other way to create value.
I do appreciate after being like an investor in crypto for a decade, how sharp teeth are
cut in the crypto industry from being an investor.
And maybe this is just what all investment is like.
like you started seeing patterns everywhere,
but this one feels particularly salient.
And I feel much better prepared to invest in the AI industry
simply just because I've seen some shenanigans
that you would have never seen in the equities markets
in the crypto world.
You've seen the shenanigans so you know how to be careful
of the three-layer SPVs.
You've seen the wild sentiment shifts.
You've seen the fast money grifters
that storm into any industry that's hot.
That's not something that's unique to crypto.
That's any industry that's hot.
Yeah, that's the human condition.
100%.
And that's the nice thing about the market environment that we're in
is those people are all distracted.
They're all gone.
And it's so nice.
Like honestly, I can sit there
and I can analyze these businesses on a fundamental basis
without all the hype attached to them
and without all the noise.
It's beautiful.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Let's get back into the crypto world.
tokenization of real world assets,
tokenization of equity seems to be
like we're on the frontier of that meta.
And it seems to also be a kind of a logical next step
after we have just a massive explosion
of tokenization of dollars,
like the first real world asset,
the first real world asset.
What lessons,
now that we've had the tokenization of dollars,
more or less in the rear view mirror,
plenty of dollars still left to tokenize,
but like we're doing it?
What lessons from the growth of the stable coin sector
can we apply to just the growth of tokenization of equities?
Stable coins have gotten the flywheel already spinning.
Okay, so that's going to,
you know, before I even jump into the flywheel,
let's step back like a little bit here.
this whole, the emergence of RWA is something we've been falling from the very beginning.
Okay, so we're, I don't have a hard time toot in our own horn sometimes, but we're the only
venture investor in all three of the major stable coin issuers, tether, circle, and Paxos.
And all of those investments were made almost a decade ago, right? So, you know, the classic,
like 10 years to make an overnight success, everyone's very excited about stable coins today.
We were excited about them 10 years ago. It took a while for them to realize their full potential.
Even today, we have not realized their full potential.
Okay. So, you know, today we're at something like 300 billion. I have zero doubt in my mind that we're going to the trillions by 2030. Like zero doubt. To me, that is like, it's an almost outlandish prediction and yet I can put like a 90% plus certainty on that. That's my confidence level anyways.
What about, what about two trillions? We're at 300 billion. What about two trillion by 2030? Do you think we'll get there?
I do. Yeah. Like, I really do. I think the flywheel is spinning incredibly fast now.
We have to realize that as more dollars move on chain, it creates more liquidity for all the applications on chain.
That creates an incentive for developers to build more applications to service this larger market,
which creates more use case and more utility, which pulls more dollars on chain.
And now historically, that flywheel, so this has been in place for now a few years.
That's what's been driving the adoption is that same flywheel.
Today, that flywheel, each turn of it is larger than the last because it's driven increasingly by
institutional adoption, right? Historically, that's been, that flywheel was entirely retail
drug. So today, as it spins, it's not just pulling in dollars, it's also pulling in tokenized
equities, money market funds, treasuries, basically all traditional assets are getting pulled on chain.
And why? Because we have better financial infrastructure, right? Like having financial infrastructure
that is global, always on, and programmable is simply better. If we think about like all of fintech,
all of financial innovation, like fundamentally, what are you trying to do? You're trying to improve
capital efficiency. Now, like, what are the hallmarks? What are the signs that we'd be looking for
that we've actually built more efficient financial infrastructure? One of the things I'd be looking
for is to see that the money that's in there is working harder for you. One way to measure that
is velocity. If we look at the velocity of stable coins, it's something like 120x, meaning that
the average stable coin dollar turns over 120 times per year in the on-chain economy.
That's actually extraordinary, right?
Like, I'd have to pull up all the latest benchmarks comparing it to like what your favorite
payment network or, you know, what M1 or anything else does.
I have so many favorite payment networks.
So it's much, much more efficient, right?
And so this is what's pulling in a massive amount of capital on chain.
and we actually ran the numbers
because we were curious of like,
what is actually the impact
of stable coins moving on chain?
Because there's this big misconception.
I hear this all the time
from other investors,
from casual market participants.
They say stable coins are cool.
They're a payments product.
Like, no, no, no.
They're actually not a payments product.
Right?
Because when you have the mental model them
as a payments product,
they're used for payments.
They're not a payments product.
There's a difference there.
Because when you think of them as just a payments product,
the mental model
that you're thinking of is a dollar moves on chain, it transits from A to B, and it hops off chain.
But that's not what's actually happening, right? What we see is that dollars that move on chain
tend to stay on chain. Like, there's a very high attach rate. They tend to be very sticky,
and they find their way into the applications that exist on chain. And so we actually went through
when we mapped, like, what happens if you have a billion dollars of net new issuance of stable
coins? And like, the vast majority of that is actually not set aside for payments. Like a little over
half of it is immediately deployed as working capital into the on-chain economy. That might be in
lending protocols, exchanges, other things that exist on-chain, purpose protocols. And it generates,
it doesn't just sit there idly, right? Like, this isn't working capital that just goes and sits there in
Obay or sits there in uniswap. It produces an enormous amount of economic activity. So a billion
dollars of stable coins in a year produces about $122 billion of economic activity. So what happens
is these dollars are not just coming on chain and transiting and hopping off.
They're coming on chain.
They're being deployed as working capital.
They're producing an enormous amount of economic activity.
And all of the applications, protocols, and networks downstream from that are capturing revenue from it.
And so when we ran these numbers, what it came out to was roughly a billion dollars of net new stable coin issuance produces about $19 million dollars of downstream protocol revenue.
So, David, connecting where we started with.
19 million.
Is that like on a yearly basis?
or in total?
How do you think about it?
Over the course of a year?
So it's just like, we went through this mental model
like, let's just track a billion dollars
as it courses through the on-chain economy
over the course of a year.
And that's what we landed.
It produces about $19 million of downstream protocol revenue.
So just going back and I want to let you finish,
but just to talk about some of the numbers,
you think there's going to be $2 trillion of stable coins
in four years.
And one, and you're saying the math,
you ran the numbers, you got the receipts,
$1 billion of Sablecoin issuance creates $19 million of revenue a year,
reoccurring revenue a year. And so with $2 trillion more dollars,
multiply that by 2000, so $19 million of yearly revenue by $2,000. And then that is the
level of revenue that's going to be coming in the applications if these numbers hold.
Exactly. That's exactly the point. It's going to connect the dots on.
It's like exactly that. That's why we're so optimist. That's why I'm looking around the
corner, and I'm like, I cannot believe that people are talking about bear market or they're feeling
like maybe the industry isn't succeeding. I'm like, literally it's the fattest pitch of the game,
and a lot of people are taking their eye off the ball right now. Right. So even if we, you know,
David, let's assume that like fundamentally we should want all of this infrastructure, all these
applications to continue getting more efficient the way they have historically. Let's say that going
forward to that instead of one billion of net new stable coins producing 19 million dollars of downstream
protocol revenue, let's say it's only 10.
It's still big.
These numbers are extraordinary, and that's just the portion that's captured on-chain, right?
These are just the on-chain protocols and applications.
This doesn't include what's being captured by, you know, tether, circle, Coinbase, Cracken, TRM, like, all the great companies throughout there.
Because you can measure that because that's closed.
You measure the data that you can measure, which is the on-chain.
So, like, the $19 million is on-chain protocol revenue, which is, like, from the crypto-native, the OG people who are, like, sad and bummed lately, like, that's,
their stuff.
That's like the cyperf-the-cropunk stuff.
Yeah.
And it might not be all of the things, right?
Like not every crypto token is going to benefit from this.
But we are seeing a lot of the, you know, a lot of the same blue chips that you and I have
been following since the early days, right?
Like Ave and Uniswap, right?
They are participating in this downstream protocol revenue.
Yeah, that was my next question.
It's like, what types of applications are receiving some of these revenues?
Are you able to kind of like categorize which are the most exposed types of applications
to this 19 million per $1 billion dollar of issuance of revenue?
a year? Yeah, I mean, certainly like the, the lending protocols, the exchange protocols, those are a
huge portion of it, derivatives venues. So like Aves, Uniswops, morphos, vaults, kind of like the
defy stuff that we see having activity these days is probably probably the answer. Exactly. Yeah.
And so, and I mean, you know, we touched on earlier of there's been the structural shift of the
fees that users are paying are shifting away from the infrastructure and towards the application.
So we should acknowledge that this will continue to change over the next four years.
Maybe infrastructure fights back, right?
Like maybe the network affects materialized stronger.
They develop more pricing power.
And they're actually able to squeeze the applications a bit more.
Possibly.
Is AVE an application or is it infrastructure?
We have this debate internally.
I'd say it's somewhere it's both.
But Alex, I'd like to hear your answer to this.
Yeah, I think the answer is both, right?
Like they operate applications on their protocol.
They also built the protocol and launched new versions of it and invest in R&D.
So it's kind of both.
But like the cool thing about AVE is obviously their back end is open, unlike, you know, a traditional fintech or like a financial institution where you might expose APIs to developers.
But, you know, you're never sharing state.
You're never just opening up your liquidity for folks to use.
And so I think the really clever thing that ABE has done now is like they're very much anticipating the growth drivers for the next.
10 years, which is, you know, stable coins are step one. And that's been a huge driver of the
business, right? Like, I think something like half the deposit base, maybe even more are stable
coins. And that's the thing that people want to, to borrow against their collateral.
They're anticipating that growth drivers is going to start to be other tokenized securities.
So, you know, tokenized commodities, tokenized stocks, tokenized private credit. You know,
obviously the treasuries have been, have been driving that. And so moves like horizon, moves like
Ave v4 set Ave up to continue to evolve in that world.
And for us, like, as an issuer of a tokenized fund, like, we could create an
AVEV4 spoke and we could add liquidity.
And then all of a sudden, people who own the B cap token could go in and they could
borrow USDC against that.
You know, that that's a capability that is now possible as like the V4 era, you know,
sort of begins.
And it's still early days for V4.
So like that activity hasn't really shown up in a big.
way yet, but you don't have to squint to see what's possible now with something like Ave,
and you're seeing the same kind of dynamic with Uniswap. You're seeing the same dynamic with
hyperliquit that's now platforming other trading venues. And so the answer is both. Crypto protocols
simultaneously are platforms. And then oftentimes they build that application layer out first. I think
in a successful world, they're an awesome application, maybe the most important, unclear we'll see
in the future, right? But they're one of many applications that share this, you know,
this more like networked financial product that really has organized itself around the token
as the kind of unit of value, which is the very different thing here.
Like traditionally in finance, you are building a bespoke relationship with an institution.
You're being given sort of a limited menu of things that they deem, you know, are appropriate for you.
In the internet of assets that's reorganized where markets are reorganized around the token,
you have a balance sheet, you have assets on that balance sheet, those assets have capabilities.
You can go look across the network.
Where is this asset useful as collateral?
Where could I pledge it?
Like that's the shift that's happening here.
It's a subtle shift, but it's super powerful.
And like, I mean, maybe, you know, one of the ways I've kind of thought about this is like an analogy to shipping containers.
Where, you know, before shipping containers, like pre-1950, crates, barrels, sacks, would be,
individually unloaded, counted, inspected, repacked, like, wherever cargo moved between a truck,
a port, a ship, a railroad. And like, this effectively made it super costly, it meant that ships
had to, you know, be docked for a while. Like, ships spent more time parked dealing with cargo
than they did at sea moving it around the world. And so global supply chains were constrained
by the cost of, you know, the equivalent of like a transaction cost in shipping. And as a result,
we just did less business with other countries.
We did like companies couldn't establish global supply chains.
That just simply wasn't economical at the time for the vast majority of goods.
And then you introduced the container and you standardize it kind of in the 60s through the, you know, the early 80s.
And like that doesn't change the goods that move.
But what it does is it says, okay, here's the way that you can, you know, here's the way you can build ports and machinery that can handle these things.
here, now you can build larger ships because you can ship way more things more cheaply.
I think it was like a 97% reduction in like loading time that the standardized container produced.
And so the container reorganized global supply chains.
That's what the token is going to do.
And it's very early innings now.
But like the token basically is that interface to it's the interface in the same way that the standardized shipping container was was the interface for shipping.
Like this is the interface for economic rights.
And so it does like all to, you know, all tokens are different.
And it depends what types of economic rights and the strength of those rights that you
build into the token.
That's why we see this big spectrum of like quality of assets in the tokenized space.
But the point is that with tokens, you can have things like Abe.
You can have things like uniswap that pop up, that build like a network solution to that
problem rather than a new financial institution that's a, you know, centrally managed company
that, you know, operates within one specific jurisdiction.
Like now you have a global marketplace.
You have a network of opportunities where tokens can petition for the best deal.
And so I think that's what it ends up looking like.
It's really like, you know, the type of financial engineering that is accessible only to the most sophisticated and well-capitalized institutions around the world,
that becomes just like the state of play for anyone even down to like a thousand bucks in a savings account, right?
Like you're going to have the ability to use sophisticated financial products and you're going to be able to be part of.
of the global market. Like there isn't going to be this, you know, like barrier to entry. And that's
going to be transformative. That's why I think these markets are, you know, they're going to allow,
like the global financial market coordinated on blockchains through protocols that, that are
reorganized around the token. That's how we get 10x bigger. That's how we make sure that there's
nobody with merit that actually has an opportunity that someone out there would be willing
to underwrite. Like, this is the substrate through which you connect.
opportunities with capital in the future.
This is the whole thing, I think, like, generally of why RWA isn't getting exciting is,
like, and by the way, also the reason why the private permission chains, I don't think are
going to work, right?
Like, there could be some level of permissioning around these, but I think they must be public
because, like, the entire value prop is, that Alex is just outlining is like, hey,
let's take these assets out of these silos where, like, it's really hard for me to get
a competitive bid when I exist within one of those silos, right?
Like, yes, in theory, I could borrow against my equity portfolio with Charles Schwab.
It requires me to get on the phone with somebody.
There's extreme limits around it.
I have to get permission.
It's a process that is fraught with friction.
And I can't get a competitive offer for.
When all of a sudden I can hold that same portfolio on chain,
I now have an open marketplace to people that will want to bid for the right to service my assets.
This is inherently very pro-consumer.
It's pro a competitive marketplace.
and that's just good for everybody, right?
But in order to do that, you must pull them out of these private silos,
and you must put them on public infrastructure
where other people can kind of compete to service those assets.
I opened up this conversation asking about, like,
what lessons did we learn from the stable coins
so we can apply to public to tokenize equities?
And I think, Spencer, you kind of just like rightly said,
like, whoa, whoa, hold on.
There's so much left to talk about in the stable coin world.
That's very bullish.
And I think the, really the TLDR of that is that there's so much left to bootstrap
and stable coins.
But once you do, the bootstrapping for the rest of finance is primed.
It's primed.
And that also feeds back into like satisfy the crypto OGs with $19 million of revenue per
$1 billion.
Fisciance.
I'm going to remember that metric for every single podcast moving forward.
It's such a good one.
But then it also produces the liquid market.
places to bring institutions on that they wouldn't have come if somebody wasn't there,
but now that the stable coins are there and the liquidity is there and people are going to
bid for rates, bid for lending opportunities.
All of a sudden, there's like room for institutions to come on chain.
But let me get back to the original question because we're moving from stable coins
into tokenized equities.
So like, Spencer, what's your like your roadmap of sorts for expectations for how
tokenized equities come on share?
and then grow in liquidity, because we have tokenized equities.
We've had them for a while.
They're marginally starting to grow in liquidity, but they're still not there yet.
So what's your roadmap for how tokenized equities goes from like A to B by the end of the decade?
Okay, so two things.
The first one is just access, and this is kind of the first wave of adoption for stable coins as well.
It turned out there was intense demand for dollars globally.
There was a lot of friction in actually accessing dollars.
It's not that they were, in most cases, they weren't explicitly prohibitive.
there was just a lot of friction and actually getting your hands on them, right?
All of a sudden, once they became internet native with global distribution,
stable coins proliferated around the world,
especially US dollar-backed stable coins specifically.
I think the same is true of the U.S. stock market.
There is a lot of demand for it internationally.
Yes, people can set up accounts to access the U.S. stock market from most countries.
It is not the easiest process.
Truthfully, in today's day and age,
people want to click a button and get access to it.
And I think that that's what tokenized equities are going to do.
it's not going to be super interesting for American investors, right?
The same way that stable coins are not super interesting for a lot of U.S.
participants that are generally reasonably well served by financial products in the states.
The second wave, though, and the one that gets me much more exciting is when you can leverage
the programmability and composeability of these, right?
So it's not just that suddenly people can access them easier than they could before,
but it's actually that they're better, right?
And this gets into the point that we were just talking about of like, once all of a sudden,
I can have my equity portfolio on chain, and I have service providers competing to provide me
the best offer to borrow against it or to generate securities lending revenue, whatever it might be,
that's exciting.
Right.
And so I think that that's the world that we're going to.
But there is some tension in here, right?
Because to get the programmability and composability benefits, we should unpack the different
models that are kind of emerging here.
We have like the X-stocks model that's produced by backed, which was acquired by Cracken.
And the upside of this model is you get full composability in defy.
You can use these things across all at defy.
That's fantastic.
That's actually what I love to see.
KYC, fully permissionless, like offshore.
Exactly.
Probably not clarity approved, but also indifferent to clarity approval.
I think that's right.
I think that's right.
And that's the part that actually gets me most excited,
but there is a serious downside to them,
which is you do not own an actual share.
Right.
Like I own a debt instrument that is tough.
to a vehicle that owns the actual share.
Now, for retail participants, that's close enough.
But that's not what's going to get you to trillions of dollars of tokenized equities
because the largest institutions that are holding these,
like once you're holding, you know, a billion, 10 billion, 100 billion of them.
No, no, no, I want to actually own the share.
Right.
Like not a debt instrument into an SPV in the Cayman Islands, right?
So I think that like there's a little bit of attention there.
I think it can be reasonably resolved.
I don't think going to full ownership is going to mean that you must sacrifice.
sacrifice all programmability and composability. But it does mean that it's less likely to be in a
pure fully permissionless environment because I don't think the SEC is about to say, yeah,
we don't really care if you trade shares of Apple with Lazarus Group. Like that doesn't seem very
likely. Right. Or we don't really care if Lazarus Group hacks your Apple shares. They just get
their share of Apple. Congrats Lazarus Group, like sweet hack. I think that kind of like begs the
or like kind of illustrates the sign of the times where for as long as,
long as I've been in crypto, the crypto industry and TradFi have been on two parallel tracks,
not intertwining whatsoever. And like, especially in 2021, like, you know, Cryptopunks, NFTs,
defy, you know, eth is money, all this is this crypto-native stuff. And we had this parallel financial
system and we were building it in spite of TradFi. We didn't care about TradFi. They were kind of
going to come begging on their knees to become relevant to us. And that was great. And like now in
26, it's like, oh, like, your guys' blockchains are really cool. We're learning how to use them.
But we kind of need some KYC on the tokens. And we kind of need some like, you know,
inter-centralized intermediaries for you guys to do all this cool stuff. And that's not tenable
to me as like somebody who believes in like public permissionless access. And so I don't,
I don't necessarily know how to square these things because the financial system has been built
in a particular way that is not aligned
with the way that public permissionless blockchains are.
But there is just so much momentum
to trying to make tokenized equities work.
But I don't know who gives.
Like, does the SEC give?
Or does the values of our public protocols give?
Like, who bends the need to who
and how do these things get resolved?
I don't know that anyone has to give, though, right?
And like, it is the first time.
It's a very unique moment.
I've actually been relatively bearish
on the notion of tokenized equities for some years.
but we do have, you know, an SEC that is pounding the table and saying like tokenized equities can and should and will happen, right? And I don't think that the two things are mutually exclusive because like, David, believe me, in my heart, like I love the whole parallel financial system. Let's go build this in isolation. Let's go prove to the world it's better. And let's let people opt into that system. Right. And we don't need to fuse them. I don't want to adopt the bad standards over here. But I still think that that can continue to exist and it will exist. The proposition that's on the table today is like,
hey, would you guys like to have tens of trillions of equities that also exist in like
little almost like sidecars to the main public permissionless chain, right?
They're not going to be totally private.
They're not going to be totally walled gardens, not going to be totally permissioned.
But hey, guys, listen, if you want this, which is going to be riding right alongside.
Yeah.
That like pure cypher punk version.
A little sidecar.
Yeah.
Yeah, exactly.
Like, I think that's a pretty good outcome for everybody.
Right?
I think that that will actually accelerate the pure public permissionless cypherpunk version as well
because now the capital is sitting right alongside it.
It actually gives us an even better opportunity to prove why we can continue to build better systems.
Now the capital can easily move into that.
If it wants to go and say, hey, I'm actually done holding my Apple or Invita right now.
I can go choose to hold Ethan's set.
And it can use that in a purely permissionless context.
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Some exciting news. We are launching a new podcast to help people figure out the crypto cycle,
how to navigate it. The best crypto cycle investor I know, his name is Michael Nato,
he runs the DeFi report. This is the guy that sent me a sell alert before the 10-10
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been following him for years. And this year, we started recording weekly podcast episodes. Each one,
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report wherever you get your podcast, YouTube, Apple, Spotify, or find a link in the show notes. There's a new
episode waiting for you now. This is something that you guys have some real world experience in actually
Fund 3, Blockcheng Capital Fund 3, you guys actually tokenized into tokens on Ethereum. Tell that story
about why you guys decided to actually tokenize the fund for the real real, real tokenization of a real
fund, real world asset on chain, but so early in 2017. So like why did you do that? What lessons have
you learned along the way? Yeah, I think this was maybe like March 2017. And we're sitting there,
It turned out to be very early days of kind of the ICO mania that manifested in 2017.
It's not always obvious at that point that you're early in that type of mania,
but it was certainly picking up steam.
And we're sitting there saying, hey, listen, we are a venture capital firm that is dedicated
to the blockchain industry.
And all of a sudden, we're looking at this new phenomenon that looks like it could disrupt
the business of venture capital using blockchain technology.
We said, hold on.
If anybody is going to go and disrupt this business and this industry,
using blockchains, it better be us.
And so he said, listen, let's go walk the walk
and not just talk the talk, right?
Like sometimes you have to go roll up your sleeves
and go and actually build products in the space.
That's both awesome and a great learning experience
and incredibly painful
because when you're trying to do it in 2017,
the infrastructure doesn't exist.
Right, right?
There isn't, you know, we...
You're doing like command line interface
to issue a tokenized security on Ethereum, yeah.
Well, and then you can issue it compliantly
per SEC exemptions, but then you need to all of a sudden,
then people are trading these assets and that could put you out of line with where
you're supposed to be.
And none of the other infrastructure exists to enable you to stay in compliance of the SEC's
requirements.
Right.
And so that actually, that's what led us to leading, I think, multiple rounds, three rounds
and securitize was specifically because they came along and said, hey, guys, we know that
you have this problem.
We can solve the problem for you.
You said, listen, okay, if they can solve this problem for us, they're going to solve it
for a lot of people, right?
but it's been fun.
I mean, the entire purpose of it was really twofold.
One, it was to expand access.
So it was, hey, listen, could we improve access to a venture capital fund?
We were very successful in this regard.
I used to know all the stats off the top of my head,
but I think we had participants from like 80 different countries,
including, by the way, a researcher up in Antarctica.
I couldn't believe that when we saw that, like on the actual subscription form.
Like, no way, they're actually in Antarctica.
We reached out to them.
Yeah, what was their address?
Yeah, something like Sayla Clause lane or something, I forget.
And then, so that was the first thing was access.
And then the second one was, can we improve liquidity?
Right?
Because, I mean, typically for a venture fund, you're locked up for 10 to 15 years, right?
That's one where, again, the challenge ends up being like,
we can't just put the token on uniswap and let anybody buy and sell it
because it is a security, right, explicitly.
And so I'm optimistic that now is finding it the first time where,
as that fund has gone from an initial $10 million,
we kept it small knowing that this is an experiment.
There was a lot of demand for this, as you can imagine,
in 2017.
Could you guys make it $25, $50, $100 million?
I said, listen, I think it's better,
given this is like very early stage.
Let's keep it to $10 million.
Let's see if we can make it successful.
Today that fund is somewhere's around roughly a billion dollars in assets,
so it has been wildly successful for those participants.
But what I'm most excited about is the opportunity
to help it fulfill its full vision, right? Because ultimately we can now have the trading infrastructure
built around this to make it liquid. Alex was talking about maybe we could enable token holders
to borrow against it. That would be huge. I mean, so I think all of that is now on the horizon.
And it's an opportunity for us to continue to use that fund because it's a permanent capital
vehicle. There's no end of life to that to that fund. So the token never closes. The token is the token.
Yep. If someone wants to exit it, they go and sell the token. So that is their choice. That is.
is they don't actually redeem from the fund, they sell it to somebody else.
And so, you know, for us, that gives us a unique opportunity to, I mean, we can invest in a
company and actually hold it forever, right? Like, we never have an end of life of the fund.
We are never forced to sell something. So, like, that's pretty unique that we can go to a founder
and say, like, listen, we can hold this until like you're done with the business. And you say,
like, listen, guys, it's over, wrap it up. We don't have to do that on year 10, which, by the way,
again, like that's, you know, Circle Paxos Tether.
All of them are like having their day in the sun finally now in year 10 when, you know,
those investments were originally made quite a long time ago.
So what are you doing with the token on like the crypto native side of things inside
of crypto applications to provide because of the name in the game is capital efficiency here?
Like, why are people going to come on chain because of capital efficiency?
So what ways is or will be the B-CAP token gain capital efficiency using on-chain mechanisms?
You know, I would say like, you know, we're an RIA.
Like we, I think are subject to some of the stricter rules of, you know, participants in the crypto ecosystem.
And so obviously we're beholden to that.
That does limit the speed that we can move at here.
It doesn't limit our thinking on it.
And so we're, you know, we're getting ahead of what we think is going to be possible in the near term.
And part of that has been the application space hasn't necessarily had the right infrastructure for like a tokenized fund to, you know,
with our set of rules and requirements to be able to, you know, create a line of credit against it or like, you know, an AMM or something like that.
But, you know, for us, this is always a lens when we invest in a company.
We're talking about the founder from the perspective of obviously as a venture capitalist, but then also from the perspective of, you know, the creator of the first tokenized fund.
And so we're thinking, you know, how can your product, whether that's, you know, something like Ave, you know, how, how,
is that going to be usable with our product because we represent kind of like the hard end of
the spectrum. If you work on the easy end of the spectrum with like crypto native collateral like
East and then stable coins and things like that, that's one problem. But if you're extensible also to
like our end of the spectrum, that's when we start to get really excited. And when we're having
conversations with with Stani about, you know, what does the V4 spoke look like here? And for the first time,
you know, as of like the last couple of months with V4, that conversation has been, oh, you know,
that'll take like a day to set up, basically.
And so for us, it's a lot of thinking on the legal and the compliance front.
But these are the types of ideas that we're kicking around right now and we're getting really,
really excited about.
And I think, you know, give us a year or two.
And we'll probably have a more exciting story to tell here about utility on chain.
But it's certainly, it's something that has recently become possible and that I think,
especially as we get regulatory clarity, it becomes easier for us to do.
Yeah, I suppose the whole idea around B-CAP is like it's a canary for
what other people can do with their tokens.
And you guys are just doing it first
because you guys are on the frontiers,
what your guys' job is.
But if you guys can do with the B-CAP token,
any other institution can do it with any other token.
And compliantly,
which is like what the big game is here.
Exactly.
Yeah.
So I'm just you just have to show that you can do it, right?
And so instead of just deploying capital,
and like, again, let's walk the walk and not just talk to talk,
demonstrate people, show them that it's safe,
the water's warm, you can go and do this too.
Spencer, Alex, this has been great.
It's nice to do a bullish episode.
This episode has probably been one of the more bullish ones
that I've recorded in a while.
So thank you for coming on and just making me bullish.
I don't know how anybody could be anything other than bullish.
Like honestly, with the stuff we're looking at,
like I think the sentiment is almost confusing to me.
I'm excited.
I'm fired up.
Let's go.
Yeah.
Thanks for having us, David.
This was great.
Of course, of course.
Bankless Nation, you guys know the deal.
Crypto is risky, but it's not risky enough.
The institutions are here, so we're going even more westward.
This is the frontier. It's not for everyone, but we're glad you're with us on the bankless journey.
Thanks a lot.
