Bankless - Will AI Kill Democracy? | Yuval Noah Harari
Episode Date: September 12, 2024Today on a special in-person recording of Bankless we welcome special guest and best selling author, Yuval Noah Harari. Yuval is best known for his book Sapiens, and today, he is introducing ideas fro...m his next book Nexus. We go deep down the history rabbit hole and explore the question, if human beings are so wise, why are we so self destructive? ------ 🎬 DEBRIEF | Ryan & David Unpacking the Episode: https://www.bankless.com/debrief-the-yuval-noah-harari-interview ------ 📣SPOTIFY PREMIUM RSS FEED | USE CODE: SPOTIFY24 https://bankless.cc/spotify-premium ------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🐙KRAKEN | MOST-TRUSTED CRYPTO EXCHANGE https://k.xyz/bankless-pod-q2 🦄UNISWAP | BROWSER EXTENSION https://bankless.cc/uniswap 🛞MANTLE | MODULAR LAYER 2 NETWORK https://bankless.cc/Mantle ⚡️ CARTESI | LINUX-POWERED ROLLUPS https://bankless.cc/CartesiGovernance 🗣️TOKU | CRYPTO EMPLOYMENT https://bankless.cc/toku ------ ✨ Mint the episode on Zora ✨ https://zora.co/collect/zora:0x0c294913a7596b427add7dcbd6d7bbfc7338d53f/61?referrer=0x077Fe9e96Aa9b20Bd36F1C6290f54F8717C5674E ------ TIMESTAMPS 00:00:00 Start 00:08:07 The World of Information Networks 00:10:59 Truth vs Information 00:21:28 Tribal Consequences 00:25:05 Naive View Of Information 00:34:27 Populist View Of Information 00:44:54 Inventing New Mechanisms 00:53:33 A Brief History Of Information Networks 00:58:43 The Most Successful Story Ever Told 01:05:13 Story vs Information Network 01:12:29 Story Of Debt Clay Tablets 01:14:53 Entering the Age Of AI 01:20:50 Self Correcting Mechanisms 01:25:35 The Potential Of Crypto ------ RESOURCES Yuval: https://www.ynharari.com/ ------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Welcome to bankless, where today we explore the future of humanity.
I think that's what it was.
Yeah, that's always been what Yuval talks about, actually.
This is Ryan Sean Adams.
I'm here in person with my co-host, David Hoffman,
and we are here to help you become more bankless.
Guys, we have Yuval Noah Harari on the podcast today,
and this was a special episode for us because Yval was like one of the founding,
his book Sapiens was probably one of the founding documents, let's say,
for the bankless podcast.
Yeah, that's right.
I think there's a lot of just Yuval influence across all bankless content, I would say.
100%. And, like, for my own part, his ideas around money being a story, being an intersubjective reality, kind of got me into crypto in the first place.
He's got a new book called Nexus that just came out.
His third book.
His third book.
And so we read that and prepped for this meeting.
It's all about information networks and how that is like a superset of the story and the document and led your-
Stories scaled.
I would say it's stories scaled with technology, is how I would define it.
Stories scaled with technology.
And I think, of course, we think cryptocurrency, property rights systems like Ethereum and also
Bitcoin, other crypto assets are one of the most interesting stories.
Some of the greatest stories ever told.
A new intersubjective reality.
So we got to that at the end, but we really started with his kind of thesis on information
networks and what those actually are, the lens of them.
He's got an idea of how they could go right and how they can go poorly.
couple different directions. So we talk about all of that. What kind of stuck out for you in this
episode? I think the biggest thing is that there's this idea that I think most people share,
and I think probably ideas that we've shared on the bankless podcast, that technologies that help
scale information are good, fundamentally good. And we've talked about this most frequently
with the printing press. The printing press allowed for data to proliferate, for information
to proliferate, and then this created better outcomes, good outcomes.
And I think, I mean, I think I still believe that, but you've all wants to come in and say,
He's got a butt, doesn't it?
Yeah, but first, they make very bad outcomes.
And he's also advocating that as we go into, like, what is perhaps the next version of the printing press?
We have the internet now.
But now we have this AI thing, which is going to be a very novel, challenging type of information network.
That first we're going to have to go through the butt phase before we come out through the good phase.
And that's a nuance that I don't think that we've.
shared very much on the bankless podcast before. No, we haven't. We also haven't done an in-person debrief
anytime. So that's, of course, the episode that David and I record after the episode. I'm really
excited to talk to you about all the content. So if you are a bankless citizen, you've got the bankless
premium feed that's available for you, and you can go catch that episode now. So I guess,
without further ado, this is Yuval Noah Harari. But before we get to that, we want to thank the
sponsors that made this episode possible, including our recommended.
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Bankless Nation, we are very excited to do an in-person conversation with Yuval, Noah Harari.
He is a writer. He is a philosopher.
He is a historian.
a new book called Nexus. And I think you've all, I got to start. I was telling you this off
air, but I got to start by actually thanking you because you've written one of probably the top
10 books for me. And it was actually my entry point into this podcast, into meeting David,
into actually starting in my cryptocurrency journey. It was sapiens. And that book really transformed
the idea of money to me, this idea of creating intersubjective realities, the power of myth and
storytelling and just the mental model of human beings as like these storytelling apes was incredibly
powerful for me just like in general. So I want to start by just thanking you and then also welcoming
you to Banglis. Thank you. It's good to be here. So let's talk about your newest book. It expands on your
last two, I would say. It's called Nexus. And I want to start with the question you kind of begin the book
with and you also conclude it with, which is if human beings are so wise, why are they also so self-destroids?
So I think this is one of the key questions of history and also now of politics.
We've named our species Homo sapiens, the wise human, and we are obviously the smartest animal
on the planet. We've reached the moon, we split the atom, we can read DNA, and at the same time,
we are now on the verge of destroying ourselves and much of the ecological system.
And we have an entire menu of ways how to do it, whether ecological collapse,
or nuclear war or the rise of artificial intelligence that could endanger us.
And, you know, in many mythologies and theologies, the answer to the question, why are humans
so self-destructive is that there is something wrong in our nature, which is why we have to
rely on some God or some Messiah outside ourselves to save us for ourselves.
And I don't agree with this answer.
the answer that I present in Nexus is that the problem is not in our nature, the problem is in our information.
Most humans are wise and good, but if you give good people bad information, they make bad decisions.
They make self-destructive decisions.
And what we have seen through history is that the quality of our information doesn't improve over time.
because information isn't truth and isn't knowledge and isn't wisdom.
And, you know, the truth is a very rare and costly kind of information.
And we've been flooding ourselves for thousands of years with mostly junk information
and fictions and fictions and fictions and illusions.
And this is why even very sophisticated modern societies, if you think about the Soviet Union,
you think about Nazi Germany,
they were still as susceptible to fall victim to mass delusion as any Stone Age tribe.
So let's talk about seeing the world because I think your book really sees the world through this specific lens,
which is the lens of information networks specifically.
And so your entire thesis for this book is it's not nature, it's networks that are the problem.
And in particular information networks.
I think when people first come across that phrase, information networks, they might
think of something, like you mean it in a much broader way, because they might think of like
their corporate IT policy or like network diagrams or something like highly technical. A religion
is also an information network. Okay, explain that. It's held together by information, by
holy books like the Bible or the Quran, by mythological stories, by commentaries on the
holy book, by images. This is what, if you think about what are some of the most successful
information networks in history. So Christianity, and maybe more specifically the Catholic
Church comes to mind. It's probably the biggest and oldest institution in the world. It's been
going for close to 2,000 years. You have more than 1 billion members all over the world.
And what holds it together, it's information. And again, it comes in various forms, not only the Bible,
but also church law and dogma and images and church music.
These are all types of information.
And interestingly enough, again, most of this information is not the truth.
If you think, for instance, about the most famous face in history,
the most common portrait in history is the face of Jesus.
Over the last 2,000 years, humans have produced billions and billions of people.
portraits of Jesus. They are everywhere in churches, cathedral, houses, and not a single one of them
is an authentic likeness. Yeah, there's no way he looks like that. Because there are no portrait
from his own lifetime has survived, if anybody even bothered to make a painting of him at the time.
And the Bible doesn't say a single word about how he looked like. Not a single word in the Bible. Was it tall or
short, fat or thin, blonde or black herved or bald, nothing, absolutely nothing. All these
images of Jesus, they are the product of our imagination. They're all fictional. And nevertheless,
they have been extremely effective in connecting together billions of people all over the world,
over centuries, enabling both good things, like building hospitals and charities and so forth,
and also bad things like crusades and inquisitions and whatever.
And this is an information network.
Let's unpack a little bit the difference between truth and information.
Do you see truth as a subset of information and information is much grander?
Unpack that difference for us.
So how is there information out there that exists?
And then how is that separate from what is true?
Well, I mean, there is enormous amount of information.
in human societies, in nature,
the truth is a very, very small subset of that information.
Most information in the world doesn't even attempt to tell the truth.
I mean, the truth is something that points at reality,
something that tries to point at an aspect of reality.
And most information doesn't attempt to do it.
The function of most information is not to tell us the truth, but to connect different individuals into a network.
Information is connection.
Think, for instance, about a paradigmatic case is music.
About music, there is not even, it's not even reasonable to ask, is it true or not.
There is no such thing as true music and there is not such thing as fake music.
There has been a lot of bad music throughout history, definitely, but there is no fake music.
You know, it's all this talk about fake news.
What is fake music?
It doesn't mean anything.
What music does is connecting lots of people together.
You go to church and you have these church music and change church hymns and you sing along with all the other congregation.
It connects you together.
You're a soldier on a military parade and you have these drums and the trumpets and you march together.
it forms, it takes a lot of individuals,
and military music helps turn a lot of single individuals
into a cohesive military unit.
You think about clubers going to a club or to a party,
the music connects them.
But there is simply no, it's illogical to ask,
but is it true or not, the music.
Now, there are some kinds of information
that claim to tell us something about reality.
They are not trying to construct a new reality,
like in a military unit,
they're trying to tell us something about reality.
Like there is a piece of military intelligence
that tells us there are now 1,000 Russian soldiers
attacking a position in Ukraine.
This is an attempt to point a finger at reality.
And it could be true or false.
Maybe there are 1,000 Russian soldiers there.
Maybe there are just 500.
Maybe there are 10,000.
So here the question of truth arises.
And most of this kind of information is not true.
Most of this kind of information that try to point at reality is lies and fictions and delusions and illusions.
Why?
Because the truth is costly.
Whereas fiction is very cheap.
If you want to produce a truthful report about a military action in Ukraine or about what happened in the Roman Empire,
in the time of Jesus Christ
or about the economic situation
of a corporation,
you need to invest a lot of time
and effort and money.
It's costly.
If you just write
the first things that comes to your mind,
you just write fiction.
That's very easy.
You don't need to do any research.
And in addition to that,
even if you went to the trouble
and did all the research
and produce this costly
and rare type of research,
information, a truthful account, it has two main big disadvantages in the market of information
compared to fiction. First, the truth tends to be complicated because reality is complicated.
That's part of the cost you pay. It's complication. It's very complicated to understand a pandemic,
to understand a war. It's so complicated. And people most of the time, we don't like complicated
story. We like simple stories. Now, the truth has to be complicated because most of the time
reality is fiction can be as simple as you would like it to be. So this is, again, one very big
advantage of fiction. Simple. The other thing is the truth tends to be not always, but sometimes
painful. Whether it's the truth about myself individually, like this is why we go to therapy,
to realize how we hurt the loved ones in our lives.
how we hurt ourselves.
It's not something nice often to learn about ourselves.
It could be the, I don't know, the CEO of a corporation
who learns truthful but painful things about his or her corporations and policies
that they made mistakes, that they are failing, whatever,
all the way to the level of a nation that, you know, in election campaign,
a politician who would tell people the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth
about the history of our nation
is unlikely to win many votes
that way, because every nation
whether Israel or the United States
or Russia or India,
there's a lot of, you know,
skeletons in, sometimes entire cemeteries
in the closet that people
don't like
to acknowledge.
So again, the truth is costly,
it's complicated, and it's often
painful, whereas fiction is
cheap, it's
simple,
can be made simple and can be made as attractive as you would like it to be.
So in a completely kind of free market of information,
if you flood the world with information,
the truth will not flow to the surface.
I'm reminded of Brandoli's law in internet culture
where the bullshit asymmetry principle is easier to produce bullshit
than it is to produce truth.
But that's a much more...
Brandoly's law, yeah.
It's a much brief way to explain what a lot.
It took like 10 minutes.
No, no, no, no.
I love that.
The stories are helpful.
It's absolutely true.
The idea that there is an economic cost, like almost like a proof of work, a proof of truth to truth, it certainly rings true.
Okay, so we've got the idea of information.
We're separating that from truth.
Truth is a particularly expensive form of information, but it's also a valuable form of information.
Let's scale back out.
Let's talk about information networks, like once again.
Why do humans create these information networks?
What does it help us do? Is there some sort of scale we can achieve with these things? Like, why have we created them in the first place?
They are much more powerful. You know, a country with a million people in it, cooperating, can do many, many things that a small tribe with just 200 members cannot.
You know, if you go back to ancient times, so if you live in a small tribe with just a couple of hundred people and there is drought,
So your small territory is hit by drought, there is nothing to eat.
You die of hunger.
But if you are a member of a much larger network, of a million people spread like in, I don't know, ancient Egypt or whatever, spread over thousands of kilometers.
So if drought hits one part of the country, you can rely on other parts of the country to provide you with food.
And similarly, if there is a war and you are attacked,
by the neighboring tribe.
If it's just 500 people in your tribe
that needs to defend themselves,
obviously it's much more difficult
than if you can call on the National Army
that is recruited for a population
of a million people.
It's the same with ideas.
If each tribe is for just for itself,
then you know, 500 people
every now and then somebody comes up
with a new idea, which benefits the other
499 persons in the tribe.
But if you have a million,
people in a network, there are many more ideas, new ideas of whether new medicines or new weapons
that somebody thought about. And you can share this with all the other members of the information
network. This is the big advantage of our species. If you think about our kind of humans,
homo sapiens, a hundred thousand years ago, the world was home to at least five other
human species. The most famous are the Neanderthals, but there are others.
And Homo sapiens did not have bigger brains.
The Neanderthals apparently had even bigger brains than us.
And on the individual level, there is no indication that our species was superior to Neanderthals.
Even today, if you compare us to chimpanzees, yes, there are some things I can do in a chimp con.
And vice versa.
There are many, many things that a chimpanzee can do and I can't.
And if it would be like a fair fight, you put us both on a lonely island and we have to struggle
for survival, I would definitely put my bets on the chimpanzees.
You know, chimpanzees 10 times stronger than the average human.
So why do we control the world?
And not the chimpanzees or the Neanderthals, because chimpanzees and Neanderthals,
they could cooperate only at a level of, say, 100 individuals top.
Almost sapiens have learned to cooperate in unlimited numbers.
thousands and then millions and today billions.
And when in the Stone Age, if it's a competition between 15 Neanderthals and 500 sapiens,
the sapiens win easily.
And if it's today a competition between 50 chimpanzees and 8 billion sapiens who cooperate
at least in some fields like science, like the global trade network,
you can say that all 8 billion humans on the planet today,
They cooperate in some ways.
So it's obvious why we control the planet.
And it's because we can construct this really big, sophisticated networks of cooperation.
And these networks are fueled by information.
I think this is also part of the Sapien story that I think connected me and Ryan,
where after reading this idea that it's this shared story that humans have was like kind of now seeing the matrix.
Like once you wake up to that fact, just the reality of how humans cooperate is just like fundamentally
changed once you perceive this idea of it's all coordination through communication through data.
Maybe you could also talk about the consequences that result once these information networks grow
larger and larger. A tribe with a shared story of 200 people has different levels of consequences
versus when there's 8 billion people here.
Yeah. Obviously, if a tribe, if a tribe,
of a few hundred. A key point to understand is that to create, whether it's tribes or modern nations or churches, you don't do it with the truth. You usually do it with some kind of fictional or mythological story. It's most obvious in the case of religion, but it's also true in the economic sphere. I guess we'll talk about it later, but money is a fiction. Money is not something that points at reality. Money is like music. It's a fiction. It's a fiction. It's a fiction. It's a fiction. It's a fiction. It's a fiction. It's not something. It's a fiction. It's a fiction. It's a fiction. It's a fiction. It's a
fictional story that as long as many people believe it, we can all dance together to the same
monetary tune. And again, it's very effective in terms of large-scale cooperation. But the danger
is that you're connecting people with fictions and occasionally with delusions and lies.
And this can have very dangerous consequences. And we see it again, like in the 20th
century, that you can create an extremely powerful and sophisticated information network like
the Soviet Union, which is held together by extremely delusional ideas about humanity and society
and economics. And again, when you have immense power in the service of mass delusion,
what you get is things like the gulags and things like an extreme totalitarian
our system that crushes the spirit and sometimes the lives of hundreds of millions of people.
And this has happened again and again throughout history, and we don't see any improvement over time.
We only see improvement in scale.
We don't see improvement in quality.
Which makes the danger bigger.
Right.
You know, if a Stone Age tribe had some delusion about the tribal spirit or whatever, so the consequences were limited.
Maybe a couple of hundred people could be killed
or there would have been some small-scale ecological disaster.
But in the 20th century and even more so in the 21st century,
when we have nuclear weapons and AIs and industrial technology,
the consequences can be millions and millions of dead people
and even the annihilation of human civilization itself.
For most of history, even if you think about, I don't know,
the Roman Empire or the,
the Mongol Empire,
Jiangis Khan could not destroy human civilization.
It could cause massive slaughter,
but eventually people would pick up the pieces and start again.
With the type of technology we have developed over the last hundred years,
if we make a big mistake,
or if some of us make a big mistake,
this could be game over.
You sort of wonder what Jangis Khan would have done
with the nuclear launch codes
when you replay that counterfactual in history.
Let's not do that.
We're going to go through kind of a brief history of these information networks in a second.
But before we do, there's another thing I think we want to set up that you set up in your book,
which is I'll call these the two villains of the book.
These are kind of negative attractor basins or like failure modes for how information networks can go wrong.
And so the first villain is the naive view of information.
These aren't actual villain.
these are idea villains, let's say.
And the second is kind of the populist view of information networks.
Let's define both of those things,
because I think it's going to be a recurring theme
as we talk about the history of these information networks.
So what is the naive view of information,
and why is it wrong?
Well, the naive view,
which is kind of the semi-official religion
of places like Silicon Valley,
is that more information is always good for us.
that information is truth or information is the raw material of truth.
So if you just produce more and more information,
if you just flood the world with more information,
this will result necessarily inevitably in a rise in knowledge and wisdom
and life would improve.
And this is simply wrong.
This is a misunderstanding.
As we said earlier, most information isn't truth.
And again, information,
a completely kind of free market of information, the truth is likely to lose to fiction.
Because fiction has these inherent advantages. It's cheaper to produce. It's more simple,
and it's more attractive. And it's no coincidence that, you know, we now have the most
sophisticated information technology in history, and people are losing the ability to talk with
each other. You look at politics, let's say, the United States. You can disagree about many, many
things. But one thing that Democrats and Republicans, I think, could agree on is that the
conversation is simply breaking down. That people can no longer agree on even basic facts,
that people can no longer hold a reasoned debate and listen to each other. So we have this seemingly
paradox that the most sophisticated information technology in history and a breakdown in the
conversation. And if you think, oh, this is just unique American phenomena because of this
unique social or political condition of the US? No, you see the same thing is happening in Brazil,
the same thing is happening in France, the same thing is happening in the Philippines.
So the problem is not in the unique politics or social situation of a specific country,
but of the underlying information technology, which is based on this naive view that we just need
to increase the volume and speed of information and everything would be okay. And again,
this is a lesson that should have been learned
many, many centuries ago, because every time
a new information technology appears, you see the same thing.
I hear people in Silicon Valley give these
historical examples like the way that the print
revolution led to the scientific revolution.
This is nonsense. The print revolution did not lead
to the scientific revolution. At least about 200
years had to pass between Gutenberg and his
printing press in the middle of the 15th century until you see the flowering of the scientific
revolution in the 17th century. What you have in between is a period when Europe is flooded
with new information coming from the printing press, but most of it is junk and it leads to
the worst peak of the wars of religion in Europe in the 16th and 17th century with the 30th
War being probably the worst war in European history until the World Wars of the 20th century.
You see the peak of the witch hunt craze.
Witch hunting, which we associate often with the Middle Ages, it's actually a modern phenomenon
which has a lot to do with the Deprint Revolution.
Europeans in the Middle Ages didn't care very much about witches.
But after print came along, a conspiracy theory appeared that there is a global
conspiracy of Satan worshipping witches, which tries to destroy human civilization, and
some of the biggest bestsellers of early modern Europe advanced this conspiracy theory.
It was not, people did not read Copernicus and with his complicated mathematical calculations
about astronomy.
This was boring.
They preferred, I mean, the biggest bestseller was a book called The Hammer of the Witches,
and just to give you a flavor of what this book was a book.
like, there was a chapter in the Hammer of the Witches, again, biggest bestseller in
the late 15th century Europe about how witches steal penises from men.
So this is like 1500s fake news?
This is 1500s, QAnon fake news.
QAnon.
And it's like, so they bring evidence.
Like the author Heinrich Klemel was a completely deluded and mentally unstable.
person, but he shaped the world
with the printing press, with his
book. He tells the story
of a man who wakes up in
the morning to discover that his penis is gone.
Nightmare scenario.
So he goes to the village
witch, because he suspects
that she stole his penis.
And then the village witch
he manages to kind of quorce or bring me
back my penis. And she says, okay,
okay, climb these three
and you find a bird's nest at the top of the tree.
So he climbs the tree, finds a bird's nest.
In the bird's nest, he finds a lot of penises
that the witch stole from different men in the village.
And she said, okay, you can take yours.
But he wants to take the biggest one.
So she tells him, no, no, no, no, no, you can't take that one.
This one belongs to the parish priest.
Now, this was number one bestseller in Europe.
Was this meant to be a story or is this meant to be truth?
It was supposed to be truth.
This was supposed to be true.
Like, this is a dangerous conspiracy of Satan worshipping witches.
They kill children.
They have these cannibalistic orgies.
They worship Satan.
They summon hellstorm.
If like the last hellstorm in the village that destroyed your crops, this was because of the witches.
I mean, very entertaining, though.
I would read that book.
It led to the murder of tens of thousands of people in the most unspeakable way.
This was the fuel of the great Europe, of the big,
European witch hunts, when, you know, people were burned as the stake, tortured.
One case which I explore in Nexus is the case of the Pappenheimer family, a family in Munich
in Germany, around 1600, that was arrested for allegedly being witches.
And you have a mother and father and three children, and they start the inquisition, the
integration of the family by taking the youngest member, a boy, 10-year-old boy, Hansel, and torturing
him until in an unspeakable ways, until he incriminates his mother saying, yes, she's a witch.
And then with this confession from the 10-year-old boy under torture, they break the other family
members, and then they execute all of them, including the 10-year-old boy, as witches.
So, you know, you read the hammer of the witches, and sometimes you feel like laughing because
of all the nonsense in there.
But then you need to remember, people took it extremely seriously.
and, you know, it reach eventually also America,
you know, the Salem witch hunts,
one of the kind of founding scenes of American history,
it starts with these books
that spread these outrageous ideas
that people took seriously.
So this is all in a very long answer
to what is the naive view of information.
The naiv view of information,
let's invent a printing press,
it would print a lot of books,
the books will spread information,
people will become wiser.
No, in a competition, in a free market between Copernicus,
with his mathematical equations about how the moon and the earth are moving
and the hammer of the witches,
with all these conspiracies about Satan worshipping,
cannibalistic witches that steal penises for men,
it's obvious who is going to be the bestseller.
So if it's only about, if you don't have any mechanism
to tell the difference between reliable and unreliable information
and to give a leg up to the reliable information,
then flooding the world with more information is not a good idea.
So more information is not necessarily more truth
and certainly won't be more truth
unless there's some sort of mechanism,
institution, something that pays the economic cost
to translate that truth into
or translate that information into truth
and get a picture of reality.
Okay, let's park that idea
because I think we'll come back to it
throughout the rest of our conversation.
Let's go to the other end of the spectrum,
which is, if we have a,
there's a naive view of information out there,
which is like more is better,
there's another view of information out there
that you think is equally kind of, like, long-headed,
which is the populist view of information.
And so what is the populist view of information?
I get the sense that this has to
do with kind of like the idea that information is power. It's all about power dynamics. So
explain that and why is that incorrect?
As a populist view, which you hear on both the right and the left, it's also in a way
the Marxist view. It's one thing that people like Donald Trump agree with Karl Marx on
is that information is just a weapon in a power struggle. Whereas the naive view is very,
very naive, this populist and Marxist view is very, very cynical.
Yes.
It tells us that humans are, the only thing humans care about is power.
Any human interaction is a power struggle.
So whenever somebody says something, this is just a weapon.
They are trying to get something by saying it.
If a scientist or a journalist or a judge or anybody says something about anything,
asking whether it's true or not is a mistake
because nobody is interested in the truth.
No journalist cares about the truth.
No scientist cares about the truth.
These are all conspiracies of various elites
and various cabals that want to gain power
and they use truth claims.
They claim to be telling the truth,
but they are not interested in it.
So every time you read an article in scientific newspaper,
every time you read, you hear something on the news,
you need to ask whose interests are being served,
whose privileges are being advanced.
You don't ask, is it true because there is no truth?
And this is a view, again, interestingly enough,
you hear it on the extreme left,
all the way from Marx to Foucault, to the people who follow them,
and you hear it on the right.
I would say, Yvall, it's, I feel like there's probably people listening
who are shaking their head, yeah, like obviously,
because what you just said,
this cynicism, David and I call it often like the spirit of nihilism is kind of the spirit
of the age, really.
I mean, people are like, yeah, of course it's like that.
These are all power games and power.
I will tell these people, start by looking at yourself.
Are you a power-hungry demon obsessed only with power?
Is power the only thing that interests you in life?
Not my goodness.
Yes, people are interested in power to some extent.
That's true.
In every institution, every family, in every relationship, to some extent there is a power struggle.
But is this the only thing that happens?
Is this your view of humanity is so dark and cynical?
If you look at yourself, you would say, no, I'm not like that.
Yes, I want power to some extent, but I'm also deeply interested in the truth.
I want to know the truth about myself and the world.
And this is essential for human well-being, for human happiness.
You can never be happy if you don't know the truth about yourself, about your life.
And starting from there, I think we should be more generous with our fellow human beings,
even if they are journalists or scientists or work in some government department.
They are, to some extent, they are all like me.
They are all interested in the truth.
And if you have this nihilistic view that, no, everybody is just.
just interested in power, then this leads to societal collapse. Because you cannot trust any
institution. You cannot trust your doctor. You cannot trust anything you hear on the news. So who do
you trust? Like if everything is just a manipulation to gain power on you, who can you trust?
And the idea that I don't need to trust anybody. I just need to be completely autonomous and
self-reliant. This is a complete delusion. We are.
As animals, we are interconnected.
We depend on the rain and the sun.
We depend on the plants and the bees and the animals for our food, for our oxygen.
We depend on our fellow human beings.
If we are injured, we need doctors and nurses to take care of us.
We are young.
We need elders and parents and community members to take care of us.
This fantasy is that I can be completely independent from everything in the universe.
No, you can't.
And again, this is destructive for our well-being.
It doesn't mean you need to trust everybody.
Yes, there are power struggles in the world.
There is corruption.
This is why institutions, we need, first of all, several institutions to balance each other.
It's good when you don't have just one newspaper in the country.
It's good that you have several independent media outlets that can identify and correct each other mistakes and balance them.
The hallmark of a really good institution is that it has strong self-correcting mechanisms.
Nature is built on self-correction.
If you think about how an organism functions, how a child learns to walk.
So yes, you get instructions from outside, like you make a wrong move.
Your parents, your elders might correct you, but this can only go so far.
Ultimately, you need to be able to identify and correct your own mistakes.
You make a step, you fall down, you acknowledge your mistake, you try something else until you get it.
Now, if you look at human history, you see institutions with weak self-correcting mechanisms and strong self-correcting mechanisms.
And I would advise trust institutions with strong self-correcting mechanisms.
How do you know?
Ask them if they ever make a mistake.
An institution that never admits mistakes is a very dangerous institution.
Don't trust it.
And if you compare, for instance, a church with a scientific discipline or with a scientific journal.
So a church is usually built on the assumption of infallibility.
We never make any mistakes.
Our holy book doesn't contain a single error.
It doesn't contain a single lacuna.
All the information humans need, all the truth human needs is in there.
And there is no way to correct it.
If you think about the Bible, for instance, there is no way in the Jewish or Christian religion to correct mistakes in the Bible.
To take an extreme example, maybe, in the Ten Commandments, the Tenth Commandment endorses slavery.
People often don't think about it, but there is an endorsement of slavery in the Ten Commandments.
Commandment number 10 says that you should not covet your neighbor's field,
or ox or slaves, which implies that God is perfectly okay with people owning slaves.
He's just angry if you covet the slaves of your neighbor.
No, no, no, no, this is not good.
Now, and even though we've changed our views on slavery since the Iron Age,
since the first millennium BCE when this text was written,
there is no mechanism in the Bible to make any change, any amendment in the text.
This in contrast to, for instance, the U.S. Constitution, which also originally endorsed slavery, but the U.S. Constitution included a mechanism to correct its own mistakes. It's not an easy mechanism, but it's there. And therefore, the amendment to the Constitution later banned slavery. There is no 11th commandment in the Bible that says, well, you know, if there is some mistake in the 10 commandments, if you have a two-third
majority, you can change it. No mechanism. Now, if you go now to science, science is all about
these amendments and corrections. Scientific journals only publish corrections. They don't, you know,
if Einstein already said something, there is no point repeating it. You would publish a new article
in a journal of physics only if you either discovered a mistake in Einstein's theories or, you would,
you discover the lacuna, something that Einstein missed, didn't know that you expand on his theories.
And it's baked into the incentive structure of the institution. It's very important to understand the
incentive structure of institutions. In a church, for instance, or in a political party,
you usually advance up the ranks by agreeing to what the elders before you said. If you
started as a parish priest, you can get all the way to being pope without deviating a single
inch from what the popes and theologians and bishops before you have said. You just confirm,
yes, they are all correct. Everything is correct. You can become pope. In science, it doesn't work
like that. The only way to get tenure and a professorship and eventually maybe a Nobel Prize is by
publishing new articles and books.
And, you know, publish or perish.
And the only way that a prestigious scientific paper, like nature or science or cell,
would agree to publish your paper is if you uncovered a mistake in a previous theory
or you uncovered a lacuna.
If you publish a paper that says Einstein was absolutely correct,
you will not get a Nobel Prize for that.
We know that.
We know. So the basic incentive structure of scientific institutions is constantly putting pressure on the members of the institution to expose mistakes and lacunae in the institutions, models, and theories.
And this is something that gains my trust.
So, Yuval, the naive view of information that you call it, you're refuting this idea that when we invented the printing press, the commonly understood idea that when we invented the printing press, we were able to produce a Cambrian explosion of information. And that was not the thing that...
No, we did produce a Cambrian explosion of information. Most of it was junk.
Right. Which was not, and it wasn't the new information that brought us to the scientific revolution.
No, I mean, to get to Newton, you need these new scientific institutions that took 200 years.
to form, Newton appears at the same time that you have these first scientific publications
that when they publish something, they ask not how many people would buy this, but what
evidence do we have that this is true and what new knowledge, what corrections and Lacunae are
exposed by this new book by Newton? Right. So you're not advocating for more information. You're
actually advocating for new mechanisms, new institutions, which is a very hard thing to advocate
for. I think that's been kind of like the big meta problem of humanity since inception,
I would say. How do you propose to overcome this problem? How do we invent new mechanisms?
Or how have we done it in the past? First of all, we start by having a more accurate view of
of information networks and of the flow of information in society.
On the one hand, we avoid this naive view that we don't need any mechanisms because we just
need more information and everything else will write itself from there.
And also avoiding the cynical view that, oh, any institution we create, any mechanism
we create, it is just going to be this kind of power mechanism to enrich a small elite.
So let's get rid of all these institutions.
definitely not create new ones.
So we need this middle path.
And creating good institutions
is an extremely difficult
and very often unheroic
and boring thing to do.
What are these institutions?
So think about, I don't know, New York City,
how it functions.
So one of the things that enable New York City to function
is the sewage system.
And I think the sewage system
is a very good example of a good institution.
but something that is difficult to create and to maintain.
When I hear people talk about, you know, the deep state, I think about the sewage system.
This is the deep state, you know, a system of pipes and pumps running under our houses and streets and in the dark and protecting our lives.
And also full of shit.
And protecting our lives.
Not glamorous.
Not glamorous at all.
And where does it start?
You know, we go back to London in the 19th century.
is no kind of organized sewage system. And London in the 19th century, one maybe the biggest
city in the world, the richest, but full of epidemics. Cholera, dysentering. And there was a big
cholera epidemic in London in the middle of the 19th century. And people thought it was something
in the air. But one scientist, a doctor, John Snow, he thought that it was in the water. Now, how do you
decide whether it's in the air or in the water. You can invent all kinds of theories and what John Snow
was a bureaucrat. He was a scientific bureaucrat. He said, okay, I'll make lists. He goes around London.
Every time he hears about a new case of cholera, he runs to the place and interviews the person
or if the person is dead, his or her family. Where do you get your drinking water from?
and he has these lists upon lists of cholera patients
and the source of their drinking water.
And based on this very patient and boring and bureaucratic work,
he manages to identify a certain pump in Soho, in the center of London,
as the epicenter of the epidemic.
Most of the cholera patients, one way or the other, they drank water from that well, from that pump.
and he convinces the city officials in London to shut down the pump, the pump, and the epidemic stops.
And then they inquire further and they discover that somebody dug a cesspit, a meter away from the well of drinking water,
and sewage from the cesspit was sipping into the drinking water.
And today, if you want to dig a well or a cesspit in London, you have to do it.
fill so many forms.
You know, you have to go to this
government office and fill these
forms and get these permissions and there are
inspectors and whatever. And this is
bureaucracy and it saves our lives.
Sometimes. It sometimes
also, you know, can kill us or make
our laugh miserable. But
without a functioning
and, you know, it's a huge system.
You have so many
thousands of engineers
and workers working there
under the ground in
in fixing and discovering leaks in the sewage system.
And they need to get paid.
So you need accountants to make sure that they get paid.
And you need tax collectors because, well, you get the money to pay all these sewage workers.
And this is an institution.
It's not glamorous.
You know, part of a problem I think is with art.
Artists love mythology.
They hate bureaucracy.
If you think about, you know, all these Marvel superhero movies.
So it's basically mythology.
It's heroes and gods.
When was the last time you saw a Marvel movie about bureaucracy?
Like a super accountant that defeats the bad guys by forcing them to fill all these forms
and discovering tax evasion and whatever.
It's very difficult to create a good movie or TV series about bureaucracy.
Because really biologically, if you go back to the Stone Age, there is no bureaucracy.
heroes. If you live in a small tribe in the Stone Age, so you have heroes, the people who kind of
fight against the other tribe or who kill the mammoth in the last hunt, and you have the
guardian spirits, the gods, and this is the center of the mythology. And we carry millions of
years of this baggage of hero-worshiping. And in the Stone Age, there were no bureaucracies.
It's of a very, very new creation.
So we are not programmed to be interested in it,
even though if you live in a modern society,
then bureaucracy has a much bigger impact on your life
than these superheroes.
If you think about, you know, the government budget.
What an important thing, the government budget,
determines what the quality of the healthcare, education,
and the roads and the bridges.
And when was the last time you saw a TV series or a movie
about the government budget.
What's so interesting, I think, about that story
of the bureaucrat who figured out the epidemic outbreak
is sort of demonstrates what you've been talking about.
It would have been very easy for that bureaucrat
to read The Hammer the Witches,
and we saw this epidemic outbreak and just say,
oh, there's more witches to burn.
Let's get it.
Let's find the witch and burn her,
and the epidemic will be over.
Right.
He did the costly thing of actually finding out the truth
and figuring out what reality
is, and we all reap the benefits of that.
So as we're going through the rest of this conversation, I feel like there's a, one thing
that your books often do for me is like they unlock mental models.
And so we've got a mental model of the naive view of information.
The thing that maybe starts to solve that is self-correcting mechanisms.
We've got that piece.
And we've got another mental model of the populist view of information, which is too
nihilistic.
It's too cynical.
I mean, look at what we've created.
If that was true, we could never have a city like New York City or a nation state.
So that clearly also can't be true.
Now what I'd like to do is go through back in history.
And you said one of the things earlier in our conversation that one of the most useful things we can actually do is understand our information networks.
So I want to go back in history so that we can anticipate and take some lessons into the next information network, which is basically the network that we're living in, the computer age.
But before we get there, let's do a brief history of information networks.
And for me, there was a game, Yvall used to play all the time, it's called Civilization.
Oh, yeah.
Okay?
But if you've ever played this.
Basically, you start with some land and some resources, and your civilization has to unlock a tech tree.
And so at each stage of progress, you might unlock something like mathematics.
And mathematics leads to physics, and that eventually leads to, you know, nuclear reactors
and that kind of capability.
And that's sort of how I see,
that's my mental model for your books.
It's basically like you're talking about
these information network upgrades
that humanity has unlocked
to allow them to coordinate
and scale civilizations.
So let's talk about the first.
And this was kind of in your book, Sapiens, really,
which was like the original homo sapiens technology
that came about through language.
And that is really the story.
Yeah.
Is the original information network that set our species apart from the Neanderthals and the
champanesee and the entire animal kingdom.
When did humans start telling stories?
We don't know for sure, but the evidence points at around 70,000 years ago, 60,000 years ago,
that we start seeing larger numbers of homo sapiens cooperating.
And at the same time, we start seeing art,
new kinds of art like cave paintings,
and we start seeing evidence of religion,
like complex burials.
And we don't have any written evidence, of course,
so we are not sure.
But before about 70,000 years ago,
there were homo sapiens,
but like Neanderthals,
they only cooperated in very small groups,
like 50 people.
How do you know that from archaeology?
You look at the tools,
made by Homo sapiens and Neanderthals
from about 100,000 years ago,
you see that the tools are mostly made
from local material.
Material from like you find a stone knife.
It's made from locally available stones.
But then 50,000 years ago,
in Homo sapiens' archaeological sites,
you start seeing tools
that are made from stones and seashells
and other material from hundreds of kilometers away.
You know, with seashells, it's easy to know.
You find an archaeological site in the center of Europe,
and there is a seashell from the Mediterranean.
But today with advanced chemistry,
even if you find like a flint knife,
you can tell exactly where the flint was sourced.
And you see that it's sometimes sourced
from 300 kilometers away,
a thousand kilometers away.
So this indicates some kind of trade or exchange.
between different human bands.
Now, how do you exchange or trade Flint
with people you don't really know,
people from another band?
You don't see chimpanzees do it.
You don't see evidence for that with Neanderthals.
We think about trade as something natural.
Oh, of course, it's good for me, it's good for you, let's trade.
If that was so, why is it that no other animal
except Homo sapiens trades?
Because interest is not enough.
You need trust.
In order to trade with somebody, you need to trust them.
Now, the biggest question in trade and in much of human history is how do you trust strangers?
It's easy to trust your own band members, family, friends.
How do you trust strangers?
And this is where stories come.
Stories are a technology to create trust between strangers.
Like, I believe in this big spirit.
you believe in the same spirit.
I don't know you personally,
but because we both believe in the same spirit,
I trust you.
And how do I know that you believe in the same spirit as me?
Maybe you have some kind of distinctive headgear
that indicates that you believe in the same spirit as me.
So now if you log on the streets of New York,
you will see it.
People going with different funny hats
and the hats telling like two Jews
that never met in their life,
They immediately know, oh, he's also Jewish.
Why? Because he has the same funny hat that I'm wearing.
So I can trust him or her, which means that there is a basis also for economic cooperation.
And it's no wonder that, you know, you look at the American dollar.
It's not the stonage.
It's also the modern era.
You look at the American, the U.S. dollar, what's written on it in God we trust.
There is no dollar without some God or some mythology.
In China, they don't have guts or they have Chairman Mao on all their enmity.
And in Mao, we trust.
He's the ancestral spirit.
And if I trust Mao and you trust Mao, we can cooperate.
That's what's so fascinating about these stories.
You have this concept of the difference between subjective reality and intersubjective reality.
And I think that's a really important differentiation.
So subjective reality would be something that a reality inside of my own head as an individual.
But what Homo sapiens does, what we do as humans, is we create these intersubjective realities,
these stories that we share and we all believe collectively together.
And we use these to coordinate on things.
And when you say stories, I just want to make this clear.
You're not just talking about mythologies, fairy tales, this type of thing.
You think of like a corporation is a story.
Yeah.
Money, as you were talking about earlier in the episode, is also a story.
Why? Because it's an intersubjective reality. We all believe the dollar is valued at whatever,
you know, CPI and the price I can purchase this basket of goods for, because why, we all believe it.
Yeah. It has no objective value. I mean, you can't eat or drink a dollar. There is nothing
useful you can do with it. But as long as everybody trusts it, you can go to a complete stranger
and give them a dollar bill and get a piece of breads or an apple that you can eat. And, you know,
you look at the United States today, and one of the last stories that still connects everybody
is the story of money. You know, Democrats and Republicans can hardly agree about anything,
but they still use the same money. And they still use the same price system. They can still
agree on the price of a gallon of gasoline. They don't even think about questioning it.
So it's not like one party's like, we're going to create our own unit and it's going to be called.
The Republican dollar and the Democratic dollar and we can't. What would happen if this would
be the case. I mean, then we really see societal collapse. If people can no longer trust,
even in many ways, money is the most successful story ever told, because it's the one story
that almost everybody believes and agree on. And if this goes, then it's really chaos.
So there's two aspects of a good story that I want to get your take on. One is scale,
one of the reason why money is such a good story is because it scales.
Successful. I mean, good or not depends what you do with it, but it is very successful.
Right, very successful, yes. And so one aspect, one successful aspect is how far can the scale?
If you take a dollar to basically any country in the world, you can generally trade it for what it's worth.
Successful story. And then there's also an idea of like how aligned with truth that story may or may not be.
perhaps the Constitution of the United States is a story that's more aligned with reality than a religious document.
How do you think about the qualitative nature of whether these stories are good or not?
You know, the basic question is whether the consequences are harmful,
whether it creates more misery and suffering and violence in the world of the story.
Or whether the story helps us to alleviate suffering.
So again, you think about a religious story.
It can be used for both purposes.
You can use religious ideals and mythologies in stories about Jesus
in order to inspire people to be more compassionate,
to donate to charity, to build a hospital.
And then it doesn't matter if what they tell you about Jesus is true or not,
or if the image, the portrait of Jesus that hangs in your house, whether it's a true liking
of the actual man who lived in the Galilee like 2,000 years ago or no, doesn't matter,
if it inspires you to help people, then it's a good story.
But you can use exactly the same story to start a religious war, to persecute minorities,
to start an inquisition, a witch hunt.
And then that's terrible.
And the story can go, usually, the story can go both ways.
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How we've been talking about information networks, and this is the subject of your most recent book, Sapiens, talks about stories.
How do you differentiate between story and information network? Are these the same things? Are they different somehow?
Story is just one, it's kind of the original information technology of former sapiens.
But after that, we came up with additional information technologies. For instance, the written document.
Oh, we're ready to unlock the next step in the tech tree then, which is the document.
So we had stories, and that was fantastic.
And then when did the document, when did sort of, I guess, the written story or the written word come about?
When did we first see that?
The written word appears when human societies grow big and there is a lot of boring information that doesn't fit into the kind of mold of stories.
And this is something like taxes.
Bad story.
I don't enjoy that story.
David hates that story.
You can use a very inspiring mythological story to explain to people why they need to pay taxes, why they need to pay the church or the king or whatever.
But to actually have a taxation system, it's not enough to have this mythological story.
You need very long lists of who owns what and who owes what and she already paid her taxes and he didn't.
And so he has also to pay a fine.
And these are a lot of, this is a lot of data, which is in the shape of a list, not of a story.
And even though it's crucial to our existence, if you live in a large society, it's just boring.
It's boring as, I mean, sometimes think that something objective about the way the human brain functions.
Because we evolved for millions of years as mammals and apes in social communities, we are very interesting.
in the kind of dramas of heroes and villains and the struggle.
But we never had until a few thousand years ago
to deal with a taxation system.
So even though it's extremely important,
you know, if they had a recitation on television
of the tax records of the United States,
who would watch it?
So you can't do a taxation system just with stories.
And this is where documents were invented.
The written document was invented not in order to write down our mythologies.
This came much later.
It was invented to write down ownership and to write down taxes.
And the original invention was very simple in technological sense.
It was basically just playing with mud.
The first writing system developed in Mesopotamia, what is today Iraq, about 5,000 years ago.
It's on clay tablets and clay is just mud.
really, just a glorified name for a certain kind of mud.
And they discovered that if you take a read or a stick
and make imprints in the mud,
you can preserve these boring lists
instead of in your brain that can't hold them.
And this is the birth of the written document.
And it leads to a major revolution, social, political, economic.
If you think about ownership again,
what does it mean to own a field?
If you live in a society without written records,
then to own a field means that all the neighbors in your community agree that this is your field
and they don't graze their goats there and they don't pick fruits there without your permission.
So ownership is a communal affair.
It's a communal agreement.
Which means, on the one hand, that it limits individual rights.
You can't sell your field to somebody else unless the country.
community agrees, because the community defines ownership. It also limits the power of distant
authorities, like a king in some distant capital. The king can't know who owns what field in
every distant village, because there are no records, so it's very difficult to build these
centralized authoritarian kingdoms. Yeah, the information didn't span very well. Yeah. It's, again,
it's an agreement between a couple of neighbors.
How would the king know who owns what and how much tax everybody should pay?
Then you have the written document.
And ownership changes its meaning.
Now to own a field means that there is a piece of dry mud which says that this field is mine.
And today it's the same.
To own a field or a house today means that there is a piece of paper or there is some
electronic data, which says that this field is mine.
That's it.
This is ownership.
Now, on the one hand, it potentially increases individual rights because now I can sell
my field to somebody without getting the permission of my neighbors.
I just, he or she gives me, I don't know, some gold, and I give them this piece of mud or
this piece of paper, and now they own the field.
That's it.
So this increases individual freedom.
At the same time, it also increases the power of distant authorities
because now the king can know who owns what.
In thousands of distant villages, he has an archive with all these dry pieces of mud
recording who owns what.
And this is the basis for a taxation system.
And he can tax everybody and pay bodyguards and soldiers
and you see the rise of the first centralized authoritarian kingdoms and empires in Mesopotamia and ancient Egypt around the same time.
So like with every information technology, it's very important to realize it usually goes both ways.
The same technology can liberate us and the same technology can enslave us depending on what we do with it.
It can either liberate us or save us, but it certainly does.
Enslave us.
enslave us, but it certainly does in either case scale us, you know, like in terms of the
capability and our power. I want to dive into that a little bit more because, as you can imagine,
like on bankless, we are pretty much obsessed with this story of what you just described of
kind of like money and property rights. And to see how it originated, where we had these stories
that were kind of myths and that translates from human to human very easy. You can recall it.
You're a good story. You want to tell someone else. You know. You know.
Oh, you can memorize it.
What documents unlocked for us was all of the boring side of things.
And so one of our first writing technologies that we created in Sumeria is the cuneiform tablets and the ledger.
And so from that, from these lists, from this ledger, we essentially are able to create new intersubjective realities like property rights, like credit.
Oh, how do I, you owe me something?
Usually it would be in a small tribe setting.
It would be reputational, okay?
You know, Yvall owes me such and such because I did Y'I favor, right?
But now we can record this sort of ownership in some sort of centrally managed bureaucratic ledger.
And that indeed is incredibly important.
I think one example of this that I loved from your book, and I'm wondering if you could kind of share this story here, is the old Assyrian documents.
Okay, so they would literally, and this is an example of taking an intersubjective reality and translating into some physical form.
but they would have a debt tablets, would they not?
And if you pay your debt, they would actually like break the tablet.
Yeah.
How did that work?
What's that?
So if you took a loan for somebody, then your debt is that there is a clay tablet that says
you own that person at 10 pieces of silver.
And this is the debt.
The debt is this clay tablet.
And if you pay back the loan,
then in all the Syrian dialect, they would say that the document is killed.
The debt is killed.
And they would actually physically take the clay tablet, which records the debt, and break it.
And so the debt is now dead.
That's over.
No more debt.
Now, what happens if the dog ate the debt?
Like an Assyrian merchant kept your debt, the disclay tablet.
in his house and the dog came and ate it.
It also died. That's it. There is no more debt.
And what happens on the other hand, if you repaid the loan,
but for some reason you forgot or you couldn't break the document, then you still own it.
And again, it may sound strange to us, but think today, again, a simple thing like money,
if you have a five-dural bill and the dog ate it, that's it.
these five dollars are gone.
So the debt is not something that,
it's not that you have the document
and the document points to something in reality.
There is a debt out there in the world
and the document simply points at it.
No, the document is the debt.
And if you destroy the document,
there is no more debt.
And this happens many times,
you see it in rebellions,
in popular revolts throughout history.
One of the first thing that the rebels do
is to destroy the central,
archive. Because they know if we burn all these papers that record our debts, the debts are gone.
So, Yvall, we're entering into a new era of storytelling. I use chatGBT almost every single day.
And when I prompt it, it spits me back information. It spits me back out data, which I then generally
kind of assume as truth, unless it's especially critical and I got to go double check it. But these
are the new mediums that we are now operating in in the 21st century. And so we have all of these
lessons that you have taught us from the past in Sapiens and now also in Nexus about the ways
that, you know, information networks scale either for better or for worse. Can you carry this lesson
forward into this age of AI where we now have these new technologies, which are fantastic at
processing information in one particular way? But we're still going to run into some of these
very similar problems that we've run into in the past.
What are your concerns about as we run into this age of like silicon and AI?
Well, the key thing to understand about AI, it's the first technology in history, which is not a tool. It's an agent.
I mean, everything we created before, tablets of clay or printing presses or radio sets or atom bombs, these were tools that we decide what to do with them.
AI is not a tool.
It's an independent agent.
The very definition, how do you know, like today everything is, they say it's AI.
How do you know if something is really an AI if it can make decisions by itself and create new ideas by itself?
And this has enormous positive potential.
It could lead to the best healthcare system in history, to the best education system in history, to the best transportation system in history.
You know, if you replace human drivers with self-driving vehicles,
I guess you could save a million people every year.
Every year, about 1.2, 1.3 million people die in car accidents.
Most of them are caused by human error, like a driver drinking alcohol and driving
or falling asleep at the wheel.
This is something AI won't do.
So it has enormous positive potential.
It also has enormous negative potential.
Because, and this goes back to issues of power,
we are losing power.
Every previous technology gave humanity more power.
This is the first technology that potentially takes power away from us
because it increasingly makes the decisions about us
and shapes the world according to its view of the world,
not according to our view of the world.
If you think, for instance, about ownership.
So AI is not going to be one big computer somewhere.
It's going to be millions, maybe billions of agents everywhere.
Think about millions of AI bureaucrats in every government office and corporation and university and whatever.
And these AI bureaucrats making decisions about us.
So what does it mean that I own a house?
It means that some AI says that I own the house.
how does the AI decide whether I own it or not?
I have no idea.
Part of the problem with the rise of AI is that, and again, I'm not talking about this Hollywood
science fiction scenario of robots shooting people.
It's about the AI in the government office or in the corporation that decides who owns
what.
And it will be increasingly difficult for human beings to understand how the AI decides
things because it's inherently.
an alien intelligence.
The acronym AI,
it traditionally stood for artificial intelligence,
but I think it's better to think about
it as alien intelligence,
not alien in the sense of coming from outer space,
alien in the sense that it makes decisions
and creates idea in a fundamentally different way
than the organic brain of human beings.
It can process immense amounts of data.
It can think on a mathematical level,
which is simply impossible for human beings.
It's relentless, it's tireless,
it never needs to rest or to sleep
or to go hang out with friends.
If you think about the financial system, for instance.
So this is the playground,
the ideal playground for AI is finance
because it's a purely informational
and mathematical realm.
In self-driving vehicles,
every year they say next year
and it's still not coming,
because it's very difficult for an AI
to interact with the massive physical reality
of a New York street.
Very difficult.
But the New York Stock Exchange,
it's perfect for AI's.
It's just data.
Data in, data out.
So what happens when AI takes over finance?
What happens if, which is happening all around us,
what happens if it starts creating
financial devices that no human
being is capable of understanding
because they are just mathematically
orders of magnitude
more complex than the human
brain is capable of handling.
So again, it's not necessarily
bad, but it means that
we are losing control.
We are losing, if today,
I don't know, maybe 1% of
humanity understands the financial
system, and I think this is a huge
overstate, overestimate,
in 10 years, it could be zero.
that because of AI, the financial system just becomes so complicated
that it doesn't matter how smart you are
or where you went to college or whatever.
It's just beyond the human capacity.
You talk about some of the downstream effects
that we've seen in the early stages of these AI agents
and making decisions for us.
And of course, in the other previous manifestations
of information technology like stories and writing,
it was all human to human,
making the decisions in the network.
Now we have another entrant, which is some AI making decisions. And you talk about this idea of social media engagement algorithms being sort of the dress rehearsal for future AI agents. And basically, they are trained to just give you the most engaging piece of content that will capture your eyeballs for just like one more minute, one more minute. And we've sort of seen how that's gone. It's created a lot of fast food style content for us. So we've got that problem as kind of a dress rehearsal. And then we also have another
problem as we enter this computer digital age, which is mass surveillance. Yeah, that's a huge,
huge problem. You take the Soviet Union in the 1930s and you just extrapolate that forward.
Imagine if Stalin had the capabilities of AI agents and all of this digital data and the ability
to kind of like monitor you. So there are these two almost attractor basins. There's kind of the chaos
and anarchy type of attractor basin. If you just let things go wild and you have this naive view
of information, and then there's kind of maybe the autocracy, attractor base. And then there's kind of maybe the autocracy,
a tractor basin of mass surveillance and how terrifying that can be. But since we've learned earlier
in this episode, you think the way out is basically self-correcting mechanisms.
I guess my question to you is, all right, we're in this computer age now. What types of
self-correcting mechanisms can we add to this process? Like, no one's working on it. There's not
necessarily a market incentive to create a new scientific institution as we did in the wake
of the printing press.
Yeah.
But like, what can we do?
Do you have any ideas here
for what type of self-correcting mechanisms
might work
and how we should go about
even finding out what they are?
And the answer is boring,
which is institutions.
Because, again, I mean,
there are various regulations
we can think about today
and which we can discuss,
like forbidding AIs to pretend to be humans.
That's a very, very important regulation.
we need yesterday.
But these specific regulations
are not going to be enough
because we are just at the very beginning
of the AI revolution.
We haven't seen anything yet.
I mean, if you think about writing,
so we are now in ancient Mesopotamia
when the first geek thought
about putting a stick on a piece of mud
and say, this can make some imprint here.
I mean, and you have thousands of years
of developments ahead.
of you with writing.
And we are in an analogous situation right now,
that chat GPT and all that,
this is the first primitive generation of AI,
but the AI revolution move much, much faster
than the writing revolution.
And so we can't anticipate
what will be the threats and opportunities of AI in 10 years.
So we need living institutions
staffed by the best human talent and also the best cutting-edge technology
that can understand the new threats and opportunities as they develop
and react to them on the fly.
We can't anticipate in advance.
If you think you can anticipate in advance how AI will develop, it is not AI.
It's still basically limited to your brain capacity.
A real AI is something that can learn.
and change by itself.
Yes, we created the first.
It's like, you have a baby.
So yes, in one way you created this baby,
but a baby means something with a capacity
to learn and change by itself
in ways that the parents cannot anticipate and control.
And this is now the situation with AI.
So there is no alternative,
speaking from a historical experience,
to the difficult and boring job
of either updating existing institutions
or creating new institutions
that will be able to deal with it,
just putting trust in pure technology
is very dangerous.
It assumes that the technology is infallible.
Technology will never make any mistake.
And this is terrible.
I mean, the basic assumption about AI,
AI is extremely powerful, but it's not infallible.
I know, Yuval, we don't have much time left in this conversation.
We've gotten kind of to the end point of where we are in modern history
and the recognition that we need self-correcting mechanisms and sort of new institutions,
probably that the old institutions in the computer age won't help us out very much.
Governments are slow.
They're difficult.
They might do the wrong thing.
So the question that humanity is faced with is, what are these new institutions?
there is a class of bottom-up mechanisms and institutions that I feel like classically liberal democracies have depended on previously.
These are things like the U.S. Constitution of which you speak very highly of in your book, right?
Entrinements of freedom of speech.
What is freedom of speech?
Well, that is a self-correcting mechanism for societies or, you know, things like markets, free markets and the ability to sort of, if this market is not serving you, then you exit.
We also think that encryption can be part of the bulwark against digital surveillance.
If every citizen had the ability to encrypt all of their data, well, then third party totalitarian
dictatorships couldn't actually extract it from them and spy on them.
This is kind of the project, really, of cryptocurrency.
And what we think we're doing with Ethereum, Bitcoin, these other things, is creating
decentralized currencies, decentralized, decentralized property rights systems, ledgers,
that can be another avenue to express this self-correction mechanism into the future and into the digital age.
I know you're not an expert on that entire project, but what do you see in the potential of cryptocurrency,
at least at this point in time? It certainly is, I think you would acknowledge an interesting,
intersubjective reality, the way that Bitcoin has grown from nothing to, you know, $1.3 trillion today.
But what else do you see is the potential here?
I think the key two points is to keep the humans in the loop and to avoid this kind of trench warfare mentality.
That you see, and this is because of the type of information network that we now live in,
that almost every important subject very quickly become politicized and polarized,
and you have to immediately decide I'm for or against it and have very strong views and like a fortifier position and it's trench.
offer. And my basic view is I don't know yet. It's too early. It's definitely a very powerful
tools, new tool that we have with cryptocurrencies and blockchain and so forth. Based on
historic experience, my guess is that it can be used for good or for bad. And if you think
about blockchain, for instance, so it sounds democratic, like 51% of users basically decide
what reality is. But I...
users are not humans.
What if you have a blockchain system
in which the government
has 51% of users,
as is the case in some countries
today in the world?
So then it becomes
a tool of totalitarian
surveillance and control
like never before in history.
At the press of a button,
the government can change the past
if it is 51% of users.
So
and don't try
to conclusions.
And because the technology, every technology is fallible, this kind of technological
utopianism, we just need to find the right gadget and it will solve the problem of
all these fucked up humans.
That's again going back to these ancient mythological stories, that something is wrong
with human nature.
So we need intervention from outside humanity.
We need some God.
We need some magicians.
some spirit that will save us for ourselves.
And that's a very dangerous and irresponsible idea.
I wouldn't trust any of these kinds of magic technologies
to buy itself solve all the problems
because technology itself is fallible.
So we need to construct a system
in which humans are still in the loop
and they are able, if we create, I don't know,
some cryptocurrency and we put a lot of,
lot of trust in it, a lot of weight on it.
And something goes wrong.
There is still a human institution that can identify, look, this is going in a very
dangerous direction, and we need the ability to change it or to stop it.
And if you only trust the technology, that's very dangerous because we don't have a lot
of experience with these new technologies.
So to anticipate in advance where it will be.
in five years, with humans, yes,
with all their problems and faults and weaknesses,
at least we have, you know,
thousands of years of experience with them,
so we know what to beware of and how to handle it.
I wouldn't throw away all this experience
and then just put all my bets
on a new and really untested technology.
Evald, this has been fantastic,
and I know you take the longest view of history here,
so you're going to let this crypto-blockchain experiment
play out a bit more before you weigh in.
I'll share a personal hope, which is that your next book, you know, eight years from now,
six to eight years from now, I don't know what your writing schedule is on.
But hopefully by that time, we have some more proofcases for the self-correcting ability.
And the way to check, basically, AI centralization forces with blockchain tech.
So we'll see about that.
I think there will be a world of centralized blockchain technology and decentralized technology.
And the decentralized one is the thing to pay attention to.
So maybe I'll end with kind of your impassioned plea at the end of this book, which is we need to do the hard work to commit ourselves to the rather mundane work of building institutions with strong self-correcting mechanisms.
And the idea from your book that I took away was if you fix the information networks, you can fix the world.
Yvall, thank you so much for being with us on bankless.
Thank you.
Cheers.
