Behind the Bastards - It Could Happen Here Weekly 153
Episode Date: October 26, 2024All of this week's episodes of It Could Happen Here put together in one large file. Sources can be found in the descriptions of each individual episode. An Alex Jones Update feat. Knowledge Fight I...nfiltrating Local Nazi Groups How Trump Rigged an FBI Investigation for Brett Kavanaugh Economists Win Worst Nobel Prize Yet, Asked to Please Stop Charlie Kirk vs College Students You can now listen to all Cool Zone Media shows, 100% ad-free through the Cooler Zone Media subscription, available exclusively on Apple Podcasts. So, open your Apple Podcasts app, search for “Cooler Zone Media” and subscribe today! http://apple.co/coolerzone See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Hey everybody, Robert Evans here and I wanted to let you know this is a compilation episode.
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Oh, welcome back to It Could Happen Here, a podcast about it happening here, things falling apart.
And today the thing that is falling apart is Infowars. Now, this is not a new situation.
Infowars has been falling apart for like half a decade now, but we are we are reaching certainly
a point in that process. And to talk about that point, I am bringing on really the only two people
you can bring on if you want an expert opinion
on Alex Jones, Dan and Jordan of Knowledge Fight.
Dan, Jordan, welcome to the program.
Hello, thank you for having us.
Hello.
You can bring us on to tell you things
that every other expert in the world will say are wrong.
Yeah. Yeah. Well, it's nice to know that we are once again at that point where shit is
looking that bad for Alex. Yep. That it's relevant for us to, uh, yeah, get to start
doing your media tours. Yeah. I mean, I mean, hey, we'll, we're, I'm enjoying this because
I know we're going to see you next year to have the same conversation.
And I was flashing back to earlier times we've talked, we've probably been like,
hey, things are looking bad for Alex.
Oh, yeah.
My fingers are crossed that he gets a bad batch of supplements and goes on,
like not a sad murdering spree, but like a cannibal spree.
Like he eats three or four people.
And then the news, like you guys,
you guys are on fucking CNN talking about,
well actually Alex has been discussing eating people
for quite some time.
This is really, this is really a long story for him.
Really anyone should have seen this coming.
The writing was on the wall.
This is some of the least surprising cannibalism
in media history.
It turns out this supplement, it didn't make him a cannibal. It just brought out that cannibal that was already there
Yeah, that's what the iodine does. Mm-hmm first before we get into it, you know elephant in the room by which I mean Dan
You look like you're ready to lead the Union Army in a series of civil war battles. Dude, that's a compliment to your facial hair.
So by elephant, you mean the tusks.
Yes.
Well, thank you very much.
I'm learning to accept compliments,
but yeah, I've got a ridiculous handlebar situation
that I did as a joke.
I got this as a joke to go undercover
to a Tucker Carlson event.
That's an incredible decision.
And then the positive feedback's been too much for me to handle.
It's good.
Well, I mean, this is really changing things for me,
because prior to seeing this, Jordan would have been my go to
if I needed someone to help me burn Atlanta.
But now I don't know. I don't know.
I don't know. Could be either of you.
There's a lot of civil war jokes, a lot of hitting home runs in the 70s.
Sure, sure.
Jokes.
It's okay.
I have a whole subreddit full of people
that just Photoshop my face on the pictures of Rasputin,
so it's what happens.
Speaking of Rasputin, he was psychic,
and so was Alex, according to Alex.
Yep.
Yeah, where do you guys wanna start here?
Because obviously the big news right now is
all of Infowars is up for auction,
including apparently Alex's Twitter,
it sounds like will probably be part of the deal,
although I guess that's a little unclear right now.
He's trying to fight that inclusion of the Twitter handle
in his bankruptcy estate,
but I think almost anybody could make a pretty solid argument
that it's company property.
Yeah. Yeah.
He uses it to broadcast his show.
He takes calls on it for his show from Twitter spaces.
So like, yeah, he's probably gonna lose that fight
and it's probably gonna be part of the auction.
Yeah. But I mean, at the same time,
him not having it makes it valueless.
So it's worthless
Yeah, so if I were gonna auction it it would be worth zero dollars
But if I were going to give it to Alex it would be worth to him
Millions upon millions of dollars and that's the issue here
Yeah, it does kind of seem and I'm I listen to Alex primarily through you
But it does seem like from what I'm hearing your show
He's kind of more concerned about the Twitter account
than the multi-million dollar studio space.
Yeah. Big time.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Which actually is kind of funny
because I think it belies a lack of confidence.
Yeah. Because I think
if he loses real Alex Jones on Twitter,
he could have realer Alex Jones.
Yep. It doesn't seem like that would be a problem
for him actually.
Yeah.
Do you think you can't gather this audience back together?
I think that's the problem.
He's worried he can't get it back, yeah.
Yeah.
Well, and specifically him,
like Elon would tell people to follow him.
There'd be a bunch of people with huge accounts saying,
this is the new Alex Jones.
Like I really don't think it would be much more
than a speed bump actually, unfortunately.
You think that, but these aren't your friends.
No.
You can't trust Elon fucking Musk to help you out.
What?
Yeah, I do think that there's an abandonment fear possibly.
Yeah.
Or some sort of lack of confidence that like,
if this speed bump does hit, I won't be able to rebuild.
Oh no, and it makes sense. Yeah. I think it's delusional. I think he's totally fine. Start
a hundred new Twitter accounts. You can get a million followers on all of them. Agreed.
Yeah. But I mean, he's delusional about just about everything. So it makes sense that in
this case he would be delusional in the wrong direction. That's true. Yeah. So, yeah, how does this seem to be going?
My big concern when I'm when I'm thinking about it is like,
well, there's probably someone rich out there, some like rich
asshole, you know, think tank funding oil billionaire
that would consider it chump change to buy all this shit up
and just give it back to Alex.
But my understanding is that that's not actually like a thing you could do in these kinds of situations,
although I'm not an expert on it.
Oh, I think you can.
Yeah, the trustee has the ability to even say,
like if there was like a bid that was from
whomever you wanna say, like out of nowhere, George Soros,
if you like.
Fucking William Regnery the Fifth
or whichever Regnery we were on now. Yeah. Yeah
$10 billion more money than God could imagine but the trustee wanted it to stay in right-wing
billionaire hands. He could give it to somebody who bid $6 million for it or five. I don't think
that that's actually accurate fully. And I also don't think that the trustee is beholden to Alex accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately, accurately,
accurately,
accurately,
accurately,
accurately,
accurately,
accurately,
accurately,
accurately,
accurately,
accurately,
accurately,
Actually,
Actually,
Actually,
Actually,
Actually,
Actually,
Actually,
Actually,
Actually, Actually, Actually, Actually, or higher bids, it would be very difficult to rationalize not taking them if they are from people
who have the actual money,
aren't I guess involved with terrorism or something.
Unless there's a concrete reason not to accept it.
I would be surprised if they didn't accept Soros
if you made a bid.
I mean, I would be too, but also currently
we are on surprise number 7,500.
That's true.
If not more.
So that would be the least surprising thing if it was That's true. If not more. Yeah.
So that would be the least surprising thing
if it was a surprising thing.
Yeah, I guess so.
I think we're all agreed Alex isn't going to just shut up
and ride into the sunset.
He's physically incapable of doing that.
Like he would literally explode like a soda
with Mentos dropped into it if that were to happen.
Yeah.
But also there's a massive judgment on him, right?
So my understanding is that like any money
beyond whatever a court decides would be necessary
for him to maintain existence.
Although I understand there's also like ways
you can fuck around with that too.
Like, what do you guys know about like,
what kind of limitations the court has placed on Alex
for the future after all of his shit gets sold out
from underneath him
Well, I don't know about like specific details, but because his
Judgment was deemed to be like malicious and intentional. Yeah, the amount that he owes personally is not dischargeable by bankruptcy
Yeah, so he's in chapter 7 bankruptcy now personally and so he's liquidating all the assets.
So he has to sell off the company, which is how we get to the auction in the first place.
And so he will sell off these assets to go towards the payment of these people.
But that's not going to erase the debts and set things even.
So in theory, he could be hounded for the rest of his life.
He could have wages garnished,
have some oversight of his finances, in theory.
To the amount that that's exercised,
I'm not sure how much it will be,
but that's gonna be hanging over him
for the rest of his life.
Or I mean, if I was him,
and based on how things are going for him so far and the
direction things are taking, then once this is handled, then he's going to move all of
his money to alexjonesstore.com. And then once they catch him there, he's going to move
all of his money to alexjonesstore.com too. And then once they catch him there, he's going
to move his stuff to alexjones.com three until eventually everybody gets so fucking tired that they're like, fine, either we're
no longer going to come after you or we'll settle for fucking nothing.
Yeah.
Cause him and him and his lawyers explained that even as part of their legal strategy
early on, which is that you exhaust people with delays and, and to the point where someone's
just willing to settle
because you're such a pain in the ass.
And that's just kind of his mode of operation.
Yeah, and every time people have been like,
well, clearly you can't continue to be a pain in the ass
this way anymore.
It won't be allowed.
It has instead been allowed.
So you can do it.
It's fun.
I don't wanna get like in the way of people's,
you know, celebrating the downfall of Alex Jones,
but it does kind of seem like nothing realistically
is going to stop him from being rich
and being able to talk to an audience of people
who are dangerously devoted to his shit.
Like none of this is actually going to,
I'm sure it's unpleasant and stressful, right?
But it's not gonna stop him.
That's just not possible.
This is why you get other experts.
Because I do wanna get in the way of people enjoying
the quote unquote info or sound fall.
I'm just talking about like when I'm watching people
celebrate on Twitter, like you can't correct everybody.
It's like whenever there's like disinfo about Alex Jones
that people listen to your show know,
like there was a period of time
where I would correct people about that
or really literally anything else.
And I've increasingly gotten to the point where like,
everyone's wrong about almost everything they say
on the internet.
And there's really no point in correcting anybody
about it anymore.
Like, what am I going to do?
How is this going to help? Yeah, I see people like posting videos of Alex crying
and like changing the context of what it is for some post.
And it's like, ah, you guys are just,
I don't, it's not worth the energy to correct here.
Yeah. To your point though,
Jordan does want to stop people from celebrating
and ruining everyone's fun.
I'm in the middle.
Okay.
I would like people to be a little bit.
Half the time do it.
I'd like people to be a little bit more realistic
about their expectations.
People being like celebrating prematurely,
like you're just gonna have to deal
with the hangover of this.
That is, there's a pretty decent chance
somebody aligned with Alex is gonna buy the company
and then all of it is gonna get just given back to him.
And it's equally likely that someone like a Soros or whatever does end up buying it.
Infowars is destroyed and Alex's revenue streams remain intact because his dad runs his supplement company now that's outside of the bankruptcy.
Because his dad runs his supplement company now that's outside of the bankruptcy
He shifted all of his merch over to this Alex Jones store calm that's run by somebody else
So like all all the meaningful ways that he can make money are now protected and he can just start
Alex Jones fuck around our or whatever and have these people be sponsors and you know
It'll feel fun that info wars is gone or someone else bought it or whatever.
But like, you know, like you're saying, Robert,
it doesn't really address the issue
and nothing is really gained.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
It's kind of been a massive waste of everybody's time,
but a lot of lawyers are gonna make a lot of money.
So that's good.
It does seem, if I'm going out of my way
to kind of look at what are the most positive results
of this, like if, I mean, it does look like he's probably
going to lose control of all of the shit that they have
to film Infowars, right?
Yeah.
That won't stop them from filming and doing videos,
but maybe they'll look like crap
and maybe that will have an impact on like the degree of credence people give them, you know,
like maybe the fact that Infowars has a nice studio isn't zero percent of like
why their shit gets taken seriously by people. I don't think it's most of why, but it's not nothing either.
Otherwise, like they wouldn't be doing it. Like I do think that that is, although I don't know,
maybe that was a in a different era is when that mattered.
I think it's also psychologically important for him. Yeah,
that might be the most of it. He wants to think he's doing a real show.
And without the trappings of a fake CNN studio,
it's harder to pretend that you're not just reading Twitter headlines and then getting mad about them. But I do,
I do feel like this idea that it's a waste of time and everything has been a
waste of time.
I just want to give a little bit of voice to the fact that it may feel like a
waste of time and nothing has been achieved. But you know,
if you listen to the perspective of some of the plaintiffs and some of the
families, the ability to face him in court and reclaim some of the power that
he had over memories and the power and the pain, you know, that isn't something
that is quantifiable in terms of the money or, you know, all of his feet
dragging, but it is something that matters. And I don't want to pretend
that that hasn't been achieved.
Oh, great.
As much as it's not the catharsis of him getting arrested
or losing all of his money or whatever that you might want.
Yeah, no, I mean, I just,
I think we all needed to understand clearly
from the beginning what this was,
and that would have altered kind of the way
that this is perceived. Like if we had all known from the beginning what this was, and that would have altered kind of the way that this is perceived. Like, if we had all known from the jump, like if all the lawyers and everybody
and all the media had gotten together and been like, listen, this is going to be a moral
victory and it's going to be good to have this like in public to have this airing for
all of us to see and for the families to have, I think we would have been fine with that.
The problem was all the rest of the stuff
was a waste of everybody's time.
Yeah.
Does that make sense?
Yeah, no, that makes sense to me.
Yeah, I think if we had just had,
this could all have been banged out in a day, really.
Yeah.
Like we get everybody in court,
everybody gets to say their piece,
and then we're done and Alex gets to remain rich.
It's basically the same thing. everybody in court, everybody gets to say their piece, and then we're done, and Alex gets to remain rich.
It's basically the same thing.
All right, well, we're gonna keep talking on this, and I'm gonna ask you guys for an update
on how Alex is handling the election too.
But first, let's all handle some ads. I'm gonna go ahead and do that. I'm gonna go ahead and do that. I'm gonna go ahead and do that. I'm gonna go ahead and do that. I'm gonna go ahead and do that. I'm gonna go ahead and do that.
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I'm gonna go ahead and do that. I'm gonna go ahead and do that. I'm gonna go ahead and do that. I'm gonna go ahead and do that. I'm gonna go ahead and do that. We are using that in the porn sense.
My Alex Jones deep fake pornography website
is off the ground for $70 a month.
You too can have a subscription.
Dr. Jones big naturals.
Alex Jones shrunk naturals.
Yeah, Dr. Jones big naturals.
Take too many supplements,
you're gonna have some real shrunk naturals.
Yeah.
Honestly, most of what I do is just take clips from the graduate and put him in as the male lead.
I don't know why, I don't know why.
You gotta give the people what they want.
Anyway, we made $40 million last month.
Shit. Damn.
You're in the wrong business.
We should have stopped with this whole no ads thing.
So I wanna talk a little bit about
how Alex has been handling the election,
because one of the things that's always interesting to me
is how his sense about whether or not everyone's doomed
to be murdered by the New World Order
and have their corpse disposed of by a robot
is not related at all to like how conservatism
is doing, how his party has picked candidates are doing.
It's a pure, his own personal vibes
because right now is not a terrible time
if you're a fascist in the United States.
There's a real good chance they're gonna have a runaway win
here in the next couple of weeks.
But Alex is at least based on the most recent episode
of Knowledge Fund I've listened to,
more or less on the everything is fucked
and we're all doomed, the New World Order
is going to eat you all thing.
I think it's just because he's got the auction team
coming by his office.
Well, spoiler alert, in the next episode,
he's had a euphoria moment because he's realized
that they're gonna win.
They've already won. They've already won.
You're way too far behind.
Now tomorrow, of course, they will be losing
and we're all gonna die.
He's a rapid cycling kind of guy.
But the day after that, we're gonna win.
Yeah.
But I mean, I think that, you know,
we've even talked about this before,
this dynamic of like your enemy has to be super strong
and then super
defeatable and super weak. Like all of that must exist simultaneously or else.
Yeah. You know, his game doesn't really work as well. Yeah. So that, that energy
is going to keep going until the election.
And also it makes sense. I mean, I can't imagine the idea of a bunch of
professional people coming into my home or place of business and just like
cataloging things, just taking each individual pictures, the amount of stress and nervous
energy that that would provide. Like I would be like, Hey, I didn't know. I don't know
if I needed to clean that. I don't know if I needed to clean it. She would be getting
real. Yeah. I just like cleaning up my dad's place after he died was like this whole thing
of all of these are items that have meaning to our family and I would be okay burning But yeah, I just like cleaning up my dad's place after he died was like this whole thing of
all of these are items that have meaning to our family
and I would be okay burning them all in a fire,
in a pit right now.
Like I'm just, I'm done, I'm done.
So I can't imagine like the sense of fucking
I would have in Alex, especially if I had Alex Jones money.
Like he really, it's just more evidence
that there's a deep sickness involved in all this with him.
Like he can't stop himself.
Like go fish or something, bro.
Like go on a nice fishing trip.
What are you doing sitting in your office
watching your life get picked apart?
What a miserable place.
Give everybody the day off.
It's crazy.
Fishing's not gonna stop the devil.
And that is really, you know.
Fishing is actually how the devil gets out. It's every water as a portal to the fifth dimension of hell, which
is actually the lower fifth. There's a higher fifth dimension where good demons, I mean,
angels come out of, but then the lower fifth dimension comes up through the pond and that's
where catfish come from. This is not an Alex theory, but it plausibly could be. Yeah, I feel like that wasn't far off.
No.
So how are we doing with Alex in terms of like,
one thing I've noticed, and maybe I have a,
you can tell me if you agree with my kind
of interpretation here is that he seems to be
at a little bit of a lower ebb in terms
of getting invited on and talking
with like much more popular creators.
I haven't seen like last year.
I felt like I saw him on a lot of stuff and this year.
I don't know if it's just that he's not, you know, as sexy as he was to them last year,
but I'm just not seeing him out as much as I kind of expected to in an election.
And I'm wondering if that's your interpretation too, or if I'm just kind of you think I'm off.
I think it's 50-50.
Cause I think that there is something to that.
Like he was on, he's been on more fun stuff
before in the past.
And it's been a little bit limited this year,
but he was just on Tucker's live show in Pennsylvania,
which is about as big as anything he's done, probably.
At least it feels pretty big.
Yeah, it wasn't the two drunk sports guys.
No, flagrant two.
Flagrant two.
That might've been a few years ago too.
Yeah, my memory is terrible.
Yeah, he hasn't been back on Rogan.
Yeah.
You know, there's some big gaps in terms of like
where he feels like he should be appearing,
but you know, if you look at the luminaries
that were on that Tucker
Carlson tour, like him being included in that list of people
is pretty, you know, that's, that's rarefied air.
I mean, unfortunately, I guess it is in a way.
You got RFK junior.
Yeah.
You got the vague.
They're consequential people, which is the most
disappointing part is that these are the dregs of humanity.
And yet they are very consequential people
that we should be paying attention.
It's absolutely infuriating that, yeah,
I have to care about, especially fucking Vivek,
because I ran into him at the fucking RNC,
and he was being surrounded by a cloud of guys
who all looked like Nick Fuentes.
Like, the only reason I didn't assume one of them
was Nick Fuentes is that any one of them
could have been Nick Fuentes.
And I had to fight this urge,
do you ever see those like old man comics
where like a guy will be fighting a hundred shrews
and like beating one of them to death with the others?
I had to fight off the urge to pick up one Fuentes
by the legs and just start swinging him.
Just start swinging.
You are my weapon.
So like, where do you, where do you see Alex a year from now?
Right?
Like, do you have any kind of expectation
for where he's going to be?
Cause like at some point his dad has to die,
which I understand is a pretty important part right now
of how he's able to keep money flowing
to his operation in the face of the judgment, right?
His dad and his brother-in-law both run
the Dr. Jones naturals.
So even if old David Jones kicks the bucket,
his brother is still gonna be there.
So I think Alex is fine,
but I think he almost killed his dad with COVID.
Yeah, yeah.
Yeah, I am surprised Dr. Jones lived through
that given Alex's.
Yeah, it's like a gorilla sitting on his chest.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
I think it is a little bit of a testament to how insane
and how the best torture for Alex is just being cursed
with being Alex is like, if I was in this scenario
where I plausibly have a reason to never touch
or talk about money again, and yet still make
the almost exact same amount of it. That would be perfect.
That's just taking a job away from me. Right now. It's my dad's problem to look at the
sales numbers. Dr. Jones go anywhere. Yeah. Not a good ad man. That's the thing. Do a
good read. Alex is the face guy. Dr. Jones handles the business. That means that Alex
doesn't have to do both. It makes perfect sense. But to your, to your question though, like I really do feel like right now we're in the
most chaotic possible moment, right? Because you have these two things that could go any
direction that are happening around the same time. Like you have the election and then
you also have the auction, right. And if Trump wins or loses,
there's a lot of different possibilities
of how his path might go.
And if someone who he's aligned with
ends up buying the company or not,
that's another like, the world will be very different
in terms of the choices that he has in front of him.
But I think it'll be bad.
I think it'll be unhappy that I think no matter what But I think it'll be bad. I think it'll be unhappy.
That I think no matter what,
I think it'll be pretty miserable.
Yeah, yeah.
And that's just cause of him.
He's just a real miserable piece of shit.
Yeah, I spent a lot of time thinking about his B cast
and how they might do.
Cause again, I don't see a world in which Alex
gives up what he's doing, but I do see a world
in which he can no longer pay Owen Schreuer.
That's the true goal.
And that could be a real win.
This is Owen Schreuer's paycheck is gone.
Owen's not making what?
A heartbreaking amount of money, I'm sure.
More further into the six figures
than Owen Schreuer ought to be.
Further than Will ever be.
I wonder what the deal with him would be, though, like he went to jail for Alex.
God, he sure did.
He sure did. He did time.
Like, what could he tell if he was off the payroll or, you know, like,
or how much do you pay to keep him on the payroll because he's the kind of guy
who went to jail for you? I mean, if you look at a, I mean, David
Knight's not going to jail for you, but if that's, if that's a comparable exit for a
personal popularity, I don't think Owen's got much of a shot. Yeah. I think he can be
tossed into the ocean. But I think chase chase geyser is more of a B player than, than, oh,
and we just have a personal, we just,
Chase Geyser is a new character who's popped up
in the later seasons of the show.
And he's really brought a new,
he's brought a lot of late season juice to it
that I think we needed.
Yeah.
He's better than Owen though, that's for sure.
See, I was gonna say,
it's like when Frasier brought on all those British people.
But speaking of British people,
our sponsors might be British.
We don't check.
And we're back.
Okay guys, so I guess kind of closing stuff out,
what do you think this year have been the big pieces
of Alex misinformation that you've seen people spreading
online, like what's kind of been your biggest,
I'm guessing this is gonna be a Jordan heavy question,
but like-
Stuff about Alex or stuff?
Yeah, yeah, yeah, stuff about Alex that's like specifically
what kind of stuff have you heard like people in media
saying about Alex this year that has pissed you off the most?
I mean, the funny part of this question
is that I've actually left the internet
about as much as possible because of the rage
that I feel at this very situation.
A wise move, yeah.
So I honestly, I think the big thing for me personally
is just the, if we are going to talk about
Alex's auction then to me what we're talking about is how much money the families are gonna receive
That's that's to me in my head of yeah
if we're gonna talk money then what we should talk about is the end point how much do the families get and
Even if this auction just goes gangbusters
the families get. And even if this auction just goes gangbusters, the families are going to get so, so little of whatever happens because they're the last in line before you pay. Like
Norm Pattis is going to make more money at the end of all of this process than any of
the family members. That's just probably true, probably true. I would say if not guaranteed true at this point,
unless, of course, Mark Cuban or somebody,
a billionaire shows up and showers them with money.
But for the most part, it's it's like the end goals
should be the family.
Yeah, they should be first.
But that's the wrong thing.
They're the last.
So it's very annoying.
It's very frustrating.
Yeah, that is especially given that, like, that's the whole reason that is especially given that like that's the whole reason for the suit
Like that's the whole reason for the season
But I mean obviously the system is not conducted to benefit families who are suffering this that's not who makes the rules
That's not who operates the system the system
Yeah, okay. We don't need to rant about that. It is a bummer. Dan, what about you? I mean, maybe it's recency bias and stuff,
but like, I do think that the conversation around the auction
is missing a little bit of the point.
Whether it be in terms of, you know,
what the sale is, like you were bringing up, Jordan,
or like people thinking that there is a solution
to the problem that Alex represents.
Like this isn't going to
be like a ding dong, the witch is dead type moment. You're gonna, you're gonna have, you
know, his new thing funded by the companies that he's been building up to avoid the bankruptcy,
or you're gonna have somebody who's with him, but that buys it. Infowars is going to be the same problem
on November 14th or whatever. Yeah. As it was the day before. And I think that, I think
that people are getting themselves maybe a little bit up for a disappointment. Yeah.
And I think that we've seen that a couple of times, like with the, um, Alex had the
night where he claimed that security guards were trying to shut him down. You know, people got excited about like, this is it?
And I think maybe I'm jaded too
because of years of doing this.
But yeah, it's almost never it.
I mean, I wanna say this,
and I want people to recognize that this is true.
In regards to this scenario, you are never going to come. You're never going to come.
It's never going to happen.
You're going to be perpetually close,
and then you're not gonna make it,
and then you're gonna come back.
That's how it is.
If you're into edging, Alex is the guy to follow.
Yeah, it's perfect.
No, I think that that's actually really good advice.
Like if you just as a layman are hearing people talk
about Alex Jones on social media
or like seeing some sort of like opinion column or whatever and some, you know, left-winger
liberal rag and you want to know like how credible is this?
I guess the first question to ask is are they predicting a massive change to Alex and what
he actually does?
Because if so, probably nothing has gotten, unless it's like an article that he's been
diagnosed with a disease, nothing's probably going to change, right?
Like at some point he's going to die, I'm not being mean.
I don't even know.
I wouldn't believe that article.
I wouldn't believe a word in that article.
They're lying!
Well, you faked that illness with Dr. Marbles
to get out of the deposition thing.
So like, you know, fuck even that.
Yeah.
I think I look at it slightly differently.
And that is that I do predict that there will be a massive change.
We just don't know what it will be.
Sure.
Like there will be something. He's got to do something.
Because his content is really stagnant and a bit uninteresting in the Trump sense.
Mm hmm. Yeah.
And I do. I think that there is a change that will be needed if he wants to maintain whatever he's doing.
But I mean, anybody who has an idea of what it is, is wrong.
Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
I imagine that predicting anything in the next 60 days is going to be a ridiculous proposition.
If you had predicted a new hurricane fucking two weeks ago,
people would have thought you were crazy.
Yeah.
Well, I think that's all I had to ask guys.
Anything you wanted to plug,
we'll bring up before we close out.
No, just, we exist, we have a show.
Check out Knowledge Fight, it's my favorite podcast.
It's the only reasonable way to keep up with Alex Jones.
And a whole network of other con men and grifters
who kind of latch onto him like that fish
that lives on the underside of a shark.
A remora.
Except for Alex, Alex is also a remora, a remora, right?
So it's just like a, it's like a,
just a series of smaller
and smaller ones, each sucking each other off.
Yeah, that sounds about right.
And Alex is latched onto the side of a cruise ship toilet.
Yeah.
He sees the Remora on the cruise ship toilet.
You've now turned this into a human centipede situation.
I have, I have, I don't know why.
Again, again, it's all, this is all viral marketing
for Dr. Jones's Big Naturals.
Now we've figured out an appropriate punishment
for defamation of character, human centipede.
Yeah, I've been saying that for years.
Years.
I feel like, and I do have to point this out,
that is both cruel and very unusual.
It is perhaps the most unusual thing
you could imagine really.
I hate to say, but it would take like some of these people
three months to have several thousand people convinced
that human centipeding is like a mental health hack.
Like it's like getting rid of seed oils, you know?
That's how you accelerate muscle development.
Right.
Yeah, yeah.
Ancient cavemen were always eating each other's shit.
You know what?
You've also made a very good point.
If this whole thing, if you wanna stop Alex,
Alex is a symptom.
Alex is a symptom of the larger problem.
You need to regulate supplements.
Yes, yes.
FDA approved supplements will get rid of most of these guys.
Every podcast episode we can. we are pushing the line.
In my dream, if I accomplish one thing in my life,
it would be getting this to become widely agreed upon
by liberals in the left, regulate supplements,
allow direct sales of cars to consumers,
and ban MLMs and prosecute people criminally
for trying to operate them.
Do that and you fix a lot of other problems.
I would do something about precious metals businesses too.
I would throw that into the mix.
Whoa, whoa, whoa, hey now, hey now.
Mike Lindell's giving us some gold money, sir.
Right now, you just wait right there
till he runs out, Dan.
Pillow sales are illegal also,
I should throw that on the pile.
Pillows are illegal.
Makes your neck weak.
Yep.
All right, everybody, listen to Knowledge Fight.
Thank you, Dan and Jordan, as always.
We'll be back tomorrow with some other episode
of this podcast that we do every day. Welcome, I'm and Sonora.
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Welcome to Icadapin here. I'm Garrison. This is a little special episode today. I'm joined
by Alex from Corvallis Antifa and Hank, who's using a pseudonym for personal safety, from
the Left Coast Right Watch team.
Hello to you both, and thank you so much for joining me.
Hey, what's happening?
Thank you so much for having us.
Thanks for having us, good to be here.
So today we're gonna be talking about this group
called White Lives Matter.
I guess originally, White Lives Matter was like a slogan
and like a very, very loose group from
like 2015, or at least it kind of started in 2015, as a reaction to the growing Black
Lives Matter movement.
I know I definitely saw this phrase propagated via like memes, flyers, billboards, and other
forms of propaganda as a way to like seed white nationalist rhetoric
to the then like growing and burgeoning alt-right.
Yeah, so there was a formation that was kind of like an NSM splinter formation that happened
in reaction to the initial Black Lives Matter protests in 2015.
The White Lives Matter that we're talking about today is a different formation
entirely that utilizes sort of the same slogan. They are a group that started in like 2021
and have been organizing primarily on Telegram and have grown really rapidly across the country
in the years since.
Yeah. It's like we can see the early use of this phrase spread by, you mentioned the National
Socialist Movement, along with a few other
kind of collections of neo-Nazis, the Aryan Resistance Society and the Aryan Nationalist
Alliance. But then things kind of like died down. It was just a, it was like a slogan you could see
at rallies, but it wasn't, it wasn't anything like too prominent, honestly. But then we had this big
second wave in 2021 with Telegram channels promoting a White Lives Matter march or a series of marches to be
held across the country on like April 11th. This batch of rallies were mostly a failure in part
due to the efforts of anti-fascists who worked to sabotage the planning of these rallies ahead of
time. Of the rallies that did eventually take place, really only a handful of white supremacists showed up and most were outnumbered by anti-fascist counter-demonstrators.
So then after this initial event with this big batch of channels on Telegram, which is
this encrypted messaging platform based out of Russia, it's not very good.
Don't use it unless you're trying to infiltrate a Nazi group.
But after these failed
rallies, White Lives Matter kind of turned into yet another one of these networks for
white supremacists and neo-Nazis that advocate quote unquote pro-white activism. Typically,
this includes putting up white nationalists stickers around neighborhoods, hanging large
banners with fascist rhetoric or Nazi imagery, flyering and just spreading
propaganda online with the occasional in-person rally.
I think you can see kind of the peak of the White Lives Matter slogan, at least, was when
it was propagated to the degree that Kanye West wore it on a t-shirt during his little
Nazi era back in 2022.
And I think now you see White Lives Matter as like a network.
It overlaps and crosses over a lot with like similar groups like the GDL, that's the Goaim
Defense League, as well as the National Socialist Club and Patriot Front to some degree. I guess
one thing that I wanted to talk about is that, and this is mentioned in the Corvallis and
Tifa article on the Oregon chapter of White Lives Matter, is like this idea of hiding your power level, which we used to talk about
a little bit more.
I think in some ways a whole bunch of Nazis kind of blew their cover back around 2020.
But now you see kind of more attempts to try to seed a white nationalist rhetoric into
other kind of right wing spaces to push them farther along that radicalization pathway.
And I would like to have a discussion at least a little bit about how White Lives Matter
specifically tries to hide their power level, like kind of disguise the level of like overt
fascism that they're really proposing by employing this like quote-unquote like pro-white rhetoric.
Yeah, so White Lives Matter as a national organization
is extremely like conscious of what they would describe
as like their optics.
They are very intent on like radicalizing
who they perceive to be everyday white people
into sort of fascist politics.
And in their national level manuals
and the materials that they provide
to the leaders of statewide organizations. They
specifically talk about stuff like not displaying Nazi flags or using neo-Nazi rhetoric, despite
that being what they believe. But their goal is to use more innocuous styles of sloganeering,
like the phrase white lives matter and protect white babies, stuff like that, as ways to
kind of open the door to get people to become interested in a more overtly national socialist
politics that they can radicalize people to who join their group.
And you see a lot of groups like active clubs, Patriot Front, other sort of white nationalist formations using the
national WLM org as sort of a way to recruit to their own organizations with this sort
of more innocuous, subtle style of propaganda.
Yeah, and like one other thing that's pointed out in the in the Krovalis and Tifa article
is like, they don't just do adjit prop,. They're not just a group that is composed of only doing stickering.
There's been multiple instances when their online propaganda as well as their in-person
stickering escalates to real violence.
Last year, a 28-year-old from New Jersey attacked an anti-racism concert at a church.
He yelled, white lives matter, at attendees, threw smoke bombs at the church, and then tried to bear spray the crowd. I think inadvertently, bear spraying
himself, which he then recorded the video talking about and posted online. Later, in
AR15 and High Capacity magazines were found in his home alongside White Lives Matter propaganda.
And later that year, a 20-year-old male associated with White Lives Matter firebombed a church
in Ohio, and the church was picked as a target because it planned to host two drag events.
After being arrested, police found six firearms and dozens of loaded magazines alongside Nazi
paraphernalia.
This guy also wrote a manifesto defending his actions, specifically stating that he
was happy about it because people online were proud of him.
And, like, you can even go back to the White Lives Matter rallies back in 2021, especially the
one in Huntington Beach, which saw a degree of physical violence.
It's important not to just write these groups off as being like, oh, they only do banner
drops, oh, they only do stickers.
Not only is propaganda a really important part of growing the number of them out there,
but they also
do real world violence.
It's also important to talk about the ways that WLM is organizationally connected to
more scary elements of the neo-Nazi right.
Recently Left Coast Right Watch published proof that Matthew Allison, who was one of
the leaders of the terror group, who was recently arrested,
was responsible for some of the national WLM propaganda that they published, which is quite
concerning. So even these groups that are more movementarian in nature and are trying to appeal
to more, quote unquote, normie white people are directly in bed with people who are like
associated with mass shooters and terrorists.
Yep.
Specifically, try to groom people into becoming mass shooters.
Yes.
I mean, and that's why I think specifically with both these guys who did physical violence,
you can see violence as like an escalatory thing for the person who's doing it, right?
You start off with throwing a Molotov cocktail, and then later you might do a mass shooting. It's like
a testing ground. You can see the same thing with, you know, bear macing and anti-racism
concert. The fact that both these guys, specifically the one in Ohio, had like a lot, a lot of
guns. And like we're in America, there's a lot of guns around. But having that many guns
and loaded magazines in Ohio as a 20-year-old
with all of that Nazi paraphernalia, that is what a Nazi mass shooter's bedroom looks like.
And these are not isolated incidents.
I guess let's take a bit of a break and we will come back to talk about specifically the organ chapter
of White Lives Matter and what they've been getting up to the past few months.
["White Lives Matter Theme"]
All right, so after Corvallis Antifa leaked chat logs
from the organ White Lives Matter group back in 2021,
the chapter went dormant,
and then it restarted earlier this
year. I guess Alex, can you walk us through kind of the rebirth of White Lives Matter Oregon?
Yeah, so the way that WLM works as a national organization is there's like a series of groups
that all kind of are extants, like there are groups, and then people would like apply to be with the National
Order to be like a leader of a state group. So back when WOM initially began as a thing in 2021,
our group was running the Oregon chapter and exposed several people who tried to join that
group. And then after that, like interest in that organization became...
It stopped existing for several years.
Yeah.
Then earlier this year, we noticed that somebody had taken over the chapter and had started
engaging in some stickering and some propaganda.
So we were like, well, you know, we may as well join this group and see what's up. So we infiltrated the organization, gathered information about the membership and published
that information online in order to warn the communities that these guys inhabit about
their activities.
The group, you know, was doing stuff that was not like extremely intense, like they
were doing stickers, they did two banner drops,
or three banner drops successfully rather.
But in their chat, we also found that they were talking
a lot about military training and escalating.
And even though this group seemed very low key
and was not doing anything super, like the stuff they're
talking about is concerning and they're getting organized and they're getting to know each
other. So we put a kibosh on that.
So it looks like according to your research, the new leader is this guy named Cruz Dean
Walters.
Yeah, yeah. So Cruz is a Marine that kind of wash out who lives in McMinnville, Oregon, until
very recently was living a double life.
He was living with his mom and his fiancee, neither of whom knew about his racist beliefs
and now knew.
He was a highly incompetent leader who, you know, really had a tremendous number of security
flaws in his organization, you organization, as is evidenced
by the fact that we were able to infiltrate and destroy it in a matter of just a few months.
But it is worth noting that the group grew from just a handful of people to doing banner
drops with six or seven folks in just a couple, you know, a couple
of short months. So like, even though these groups can kind of be benign, if there winds
up being somebody who is like, particularly passionate behind the channel, like, they
can transform into something less benign very, very quickly.
And that's something we want to impart to other anti-fascists across the country is
there are all these channels and they might be seeming kind of like benign now, but they can turn
to something very malignant very quickly.
I wanted to ask specifically about Cruz's radicalization.
It's written in your piece that he was radicalized in part by the GDL, the Going Defense League,
and participated in the city council death squads as reported by our own Molly Conger. And then just seemingly like just getting bored of just calling into
City Council meetings to yell slurs. He then like cooed the organization. So I'm curious
if he ever wrote about or talked about his background with the GDL and his like apparent
boredom at their particular style of white supremacist activism?
Yeah. So he, I think, was just kind of sitting on the internet as a fucking dorky, lonely,
sad little man and got into the GDL. For those who have the fortune of not knowing, the GDL
is sort of this network of really grotesque, highly cringy, racist Twitch streamers.
Or, not on Twitch anymore, but there's streamers nonetheless.
They've been banned from Twitch, but...
Yeah.
But yeah, so they have this program called the City Council Death Squad, where they will
call into your local city council meeting and just like yell slurs
at the bleaker municipal employees that have to sit and watch.
They did one in Corvallis and like watching the footage was just like watching like these
like grown men acting like children, like, you know, hollering at like random like city
counselor 23 or whatever.
It's really pathetic.
So, and I think Cruz kind of saw that and many do.
The GDL is just a tremendously fucking pathetic organization.
And he was like,
kind of decided that he wanted to get more involved
and he chose to get involved with WLM
as opposed to another neo-Nazi formation
because WLM is like a really, really easy entry point and
has a very like, you know, kind of base politic.
It's not like, you know, Patriot Front or an active club where there are, you know,
membership requirements and you have to engage in certain amounts of organizing activity
or whatever.
It's just very easy for, you know, your lazy Nazi to engage with.
Yeah, absolutely.
It definitely feels like the lazy person's option who doesn't want
to go through the work of being vetted by like actual like larger organizations.
Yeah, and he took over the chapter from an even lazier Nazi named Christian Coates, who
lives in Portland, Oregon, who is like this old school bonehead from the 2000s who like
has some hate crime charges from, I think, attempting
to and failing to assault some black teens in 2007.
So Christian had, in the interceding years between us destroying the initial iteration
of WLM, taken it over and basically done zilch with it.
He posted one photo on the channel ever.
But then he got taken over
by this dude Cruz, who grew the organization from like just a few people to, you know,
being a reasonable street presence in a short number of months, obviously, at the expense
of including an anti-fascist infiltrator and, you know, also just a true coterie of scumbags and idiots in the group.
Yeah, one of the other guys that you've identified is, I don't know how to say his last name,
but Casey, I want to say Nutsim.
Oh yeah, Casey Knudsen.
Who after being kicked out of both the Proud Boys and Patriot Front, made his own group
in 2022, the Rose City Nationalists, which is kind of the laughing stock of all
white supremacist groups in the PNW. And the group has largely fallen apart after being
just extensively investigated and exposed by local anti-fascists, almost to a comical
extent.
Yeah, ourselves, Rose City Antifa, and the Stumptown Research Collective have been kind of going through and just, you know,
ripping apart Arsien. And Arsien is, at this point, more or less just Casey and this
fella named Jaren Huber, who is an absolute, like, freak. He's got a bunch of tattoos all over his
face. He was arrested for kicking a puppy nearly to death and beating up his grandfather.
Just real scumbags.
Jesus Christ.
Yeah, they all have domestic violence charges and are just real nightmare folks.
The funniest thing about Rose City Nationalists is they got in this conflict with the Proud Boys.
I believe it was in Oregon City where they got just absolutely washed by some drunken
Proud Boys on the street.
Not because of like ideological issues, but just because they like have, you know, interpersonal
issues between Casey and the Portland chapter of the Proud Boys.
It was, you know, they are truly just a laughing stock and are just like, you know, I hate
to use the term but kind of like wall accounts of this.
No, I mean, and one thing that you do like document is just how many of these guys are
like domestic abusers.
And like, this is not uncommon for like these types of fellows, but also Cruz, like both
admitted to stealing a gun and also abusing his wife and threatening other family with
firearms.
And this is like a trend across so many of the people exposed in these articles,
is the extent to which they're all in view of like,
like, spousal abuse, child abuse.
It's just, it's one of the very consistent factors.
Yeah, misogyny is, you know, one of the very, very core parts of neo-Nazism and white nationalism.
And, yeah, there's a really, really horrible
section of text in our article where Cruz discusses physically hitting his fiance and
then threatening his brother with a firearm. And yeah, it's really, really common that these people
have domestic abuse charges. Multiple people in WLM Oregon have histories of domestic abuse, including Jaron Huber and Casey Knudsen, who are the two other members.
And yeah, it's just, any time you look at a Nazi group, there's a dude who beats his wife in it.
Like, kind of bar none, as long as we've been doing this work, we've been seeing it.
I'd like to talk now about the second in command of White Lives Matter Oregon,
this small business owner in Coos Bay named Michael
Witt-Gatenbein, who usually just goes by Witt. Now Witt has been a part of the
White Lives Matter Oregon banner drops and was also responsible for a lot of
the stickering that gets done as he leaves stickers across the truck stop
bathrooms up and down the coast. Now Witt's kind of a fascinating fellow to me.
He has shockingly bad opsec, kind of one of the worst examples I've ever seen.
His very easily recognized custom flatbed truck can be seen at banner drops in August,
and it even appears in their own like propaganda videos for another banner drop in September.
He like talked about his just like utter disregard
for OpSec in one of the audio archives that you have hosted on Left Goes Right Watch. What else
can you tell us about kind of Witt's background here? Yeah, so Witt is a Nazi and I believe his
mother is actually, you know, he said at one point his mother was like, quote, awakened to the truth about the Jews or something like that. So he seems to come from, at the very
least, an anti-Semitic family, but he himself is certainly a Nazi. And I think he has believed
he can operate with impunity in Kuzbe. So I think it's less that he has that opsec and
more believes he seems to think of himself as living in a world where it's okay to
be a Nazi. Sure. We can talk a little bit more about that. But yeah, he runs a company called
Wit Industries, which he's claimed does business from Mexico to Russia. He works in the marine
and maritime industry within the Port of Kuzbe and Kuz County. We know that he's gotten about a quarter
million dollars in public contracts, primarily from
the Port of Coos Bay, but also the Port of Umpqua, the City of North Bend, Coos County,
South Coast Education Service District.
That's just what we've found so far.
It can be pretty difficult to find, you know, even though this is public money, it can still
be sort of a pretty difficult process to get public records and things like that. But we know that the port of Coos Bay alone has awarded him $219,000 in contracts for work ranging from
hydraulics repairs and replacements on vessels and the bridge. He's also painted the state dredge
and the trailer, things like that. You mentioned him using his work vehicle. So he
has stated, and this is from information we have from the Port Vales Antifa infiltration,
he stated that part of his goal is to build a white supremacist hub in Coos Bay. He wants to
get guys elected to mayor and city council and things like that. I mean, he actually was using White Lives Matter
to recruit guys to come and work for him.
He was recruiting a guy named Landon Calhoun,
who is also an alleged pedophile.
And we go into that in the Left Coast Right Watch article.
But if he got this alleged pedophile, Landon,
to come and work for him, they met in White Lives Matter.
And he said, hey, come work for an all white organization where
we can come and build the movement together. And as far as we know, it does appear that
Landon has moved there. He's planning to move there in this fall. And we believe he's currently
there.
Yeah, I'd like to kind of go by some of these points one by one, because he's he's certainly
like a worrying figure. The fact that he's using his income, which is largely derived, of government contracts to specifically fund white supremacist activity in the PNW and use his own company
resources to grow the number of far-right extremists in Coos Bay.
Specifically, his plans of having them eventually occupy positions of local government.
It's a degree of long- term planning that isn't always present
in some of these types of guys.
You know, plans are one thing.
But when you actually have a business that you are like hiring people
to move to this town to like actually build this plan up, like it shows
a degree of a chutzpah, I guess, on his part that he's actually like doing this.
I mean, it kind of reminds me of the the Rise Above movement's tree trimming business. But that was's actually doing this. It kind of reminds me of the Rise Above movement's
tree trimming business, but that was just to pay bills. They had no plans to slowly
actually just take over a small town. There's a lot of these businesses that are run by
Nazis that primarily hire other Nazis. But the degree to which that Michael Witt is able
to operate without much oversight and just
get all of this money from local government is certainly worrying.
I know he's stated that one of his employees prints out all of his White Lives Matter stickers
and has gotten help from employees to do one banner drop outside of Roseburg and has a
history of hiring far-right people, conspiracy theorists, and monetarily supporting them to
help them continue their own far-right activism. Yeah, and you mentioned his employees that were
printing the stickers for him. That was before he hired Landon. So yeah, he already has guys
that are doing this. And the port, I think it's important to point out that the port of Coos Bay,
its public body, the commissioners are elected by the governor and
they're confirmed by the Oregon Senate, you know, or yeah, the Oregon Senate, I believe it is. So
this is a state body that is giving state funding to this Nazi. And I think that's really important
to me. It's also like just to give people a little bit of the geography. Coos Bay is a small town, but actually, geographically,
it takes quite a while to drive from North End to Coos Bay. And Witt lives right over
by the Charleston Marina. And we know he's pretty in bed with the Marina folks there.
There was a big Oregon Department of Transportation grant at a state level that the port had written
that Witt would have been one of the like
people making money. He was like written officially into this grant for, it was a $3.5 million
grant that Witt was written into, right? So they're like his friends, you know, like they're
like, they're writing him into these grants. Witt's office is over there on Oceanview Boulevard,
which is right next to the Confederated Tribes of Kuzla,
Umkwa, and Sayusla Indians Tribal Housing Office and right next to one of their casinos. And
just to give folks the terrain of where he's living and kind of operating to, yeah.
Hello, Garrison from the future, just cutting in to say something that Hank said, but it got a
little bit garbled in the voice modulation. So I just want to state it a little bit more clearly here.
There's some other events that can help contextualize what Witt is doing in Coos Bay.
Because currently in Coos County, there's this sort of intense far-right power grab that is slowly happening.
Some people might know of this radio host named Rob Taylor.
He's said to be one of the guys who coordinated the breaching of the Oregon Capitol in late December, which was basically a test run for
January 6th. And he's hosted people with the far right group Patriot Prayer. He has an
old Gap account, which was essentially like Nazi Twitter before Twitter just became Nazi
Twitter under Elon Musk. So this guy is like very comfortable and associates with extremely
far right people as well as engaged in a level of activism in Oregon, at least. So this guy is like very comfortable and associates with extremely far-right people,
as well as engaged in a level of activism in Oregon at least. So that's Rob Taylor,
the radio guy. There's this other person named Rod Taylor, who's a Coos County commissioner,
who actually was a January 6th insurrectionist. He was arrested at the Capitol on J6. Now Michael
Witt-Gatenbein has also previously employed
this guy named Matt Wilbanks who's a buddy of Rob Taylor. He runs this blog
called The Daily Resistor and also one of the Coos County neighborhood watch
groups in the Empire District of Coos Bay which is mostly just focused on like
doxxing and harassing homeless people. And these guys are also part of various mega groups
like Citizens Restoring Liberty.
And Witt himself is a part of this network.
He has attended Citizens Restoring Liberty events.
He's also an admin on a telegram channel
called the Oregon Patriot Alliance,
which is like this mega patriots organizing channel
on telegram.
Nominally, these mega typespes typically say that they are,
you know, not for Nazis, they are against Nazis,
they are against pedophiles,
and yet they are associating with Witt here,
who employs a pedophile and is a Nazi.
But one other thing that Hank said
that I wanna reiterate is that
Kuss Bay is also a contested space.
Although there is this intense far-right power grab happening, there's also a contested space. Although there is this intense
far-right power grab happening, there's also a whole bunch of other much more
positive activism. Hank pointed to the tribal communities fighting for
indigenous sovereignty as well as environmentalist groups calling BS on
the ports greenwashing of all their projects. So it's not just that like
everyone's Nazis now in Coos Bay. Yes,
Witt is a Nazi and people should be concerned about that, but it is a contested space home to
a diverse group of people who are also fighting for good things.
We're now going to have an ad break and then return to talk more about White Lives Matter Oregon.
Okay we are back.
And Alex, you said you wanted to add something on this point about Kuzbe being a contested
space.
Yeah, I think one thing that is important to just like throw on to what Hank is saying about Coos Bay as a contested space is like it's not entirely
unheard of for neo-nazis to kind of try to do these projects of like moving a bunch of people to certain usually rural areas to
You know try to take them over, you know, most notably like leaf, North Dakota where Craig Cobb tried to take over. But what I think has been
shown really repeatedly is that these projects have failed because the communities that live there,
even if they're rural communities, even if they're small towns, don't have it and are willing to
fight back. And that's what we're really hoping to see from folks on the Oregon South Coast,
being willing to push back against this sort of
thing like was done in Leith and forcing these people out of the institutions they're trying
to inhabit.
Yeah, and especially with someone like Michael here, because he's hiring people who advocate
going much farther than White Lives Matter to actually engage in paramilitary training,
hiring someone who is like, not just accused
of being a pedophile, but has admitted to Michael that his family hates him because
of an allegation that he's touched someone and that Michael himself witnessed this guy,
Calhoun being quote unquote hands on with an eight year old girl while they were meeting
together in Cuspe. There's like that side of it. And then you have him like posting
on Telegram about like wanting the day of the rope to
come faster, kind of like an old like Nazi slogan about like racial lynchings and like
furthering racial conflict, as well as like sharing instructions from the meme Waffen
Telegram channel about how to make Maltav cocktails.
I believe we've talked about meme Waffen on the show before.
So he's like doing all of this type of stuff.
It's like so much more obviously objectionable.
We're also trying to like make like space for himself
within like the mega community, right?
Being the admin of this Oregon Patriots Alliance
telegram channel, which is like also an attempt
just to like further the radicalization
of these like mega centric members
by like inundating them with more explicit
kind of fascistic propaganda, but on like a slower level.
And then there are multi-million and multi-billion dollar government projects to improve the port that Witt is expected to receive funds from.
And I feel like this is something that's pretty objectionable and it should be easy to stop,
but it requires like attention and it requires a degree of public pressure to make sure that the government, both state and federal, are not giving funds to an explicit neo-Nazi who hires alleged pedophiles to fund
right-wing activism across the Pacific Northwest.
Yeah, totally.
And I think it's important to point out too, Kuzbe is in this process.
They have the intermodal port of Kuz Bay, which is like a $2.3 billion
project where they want to become like, you know, they want to be as big of a port as Oakland,
California or whatever. And, you know, one of the things, I mean, my understanding from talking to
folks in Coos Bay is that it's just greenwashed capitalism that will be destructive to the
environment. It won't actually bring the community the kind of like, people are like, what about bike lanes? There's like community infrastructure
people want in Coos Bay and dredging the port is not that, you know, and I think there's
also like a couple examples of that is it will destroy eelgrass, which is a really important
marine habitat and also source of storage carbon. It'll destroy
indigenous cultural resources or impact those spaces. And you know, WIT, we haven't seen the
exact financials yet for what this project will be, but it's a $2.3 billion project that involves
dredging, you know, which is sort of deepening and widening the port and the channels. And we know
that WIT has gotten money, for example,
to work on the state dredge and do work on it.
So I think it's very possible that Witt would be,
until the port takes a stand and says,
hey, we're not funding this Nazi
who uses his work truck to do Nazi stuff.
I think people should be really concerned
about this port money going back
to help build
a Nazi community that he's trying to build there.
Yeah.
And like to your previous point, like the fact that he's able to be so flagrant about
his rights from his sister beliefs, the way that he doesn't feel like he needs to care
about OPSEC because he has a job that's like irreplaceable, like he provides a service
to this community that he feels like no one else can do.
Therefore he is secure in that.
Like you can't allow them that level of
comfortability. And that's something that has to be like opposed to do to both
like public pressure and research that like you have done as well as the crucial
work from Corvallis and Tifa.
Yeah. You know, I think just to add to like, like groups like the Oregon, Oregon's
Bay Area, which is like a popular Facebook group, has been doing a
really great job like raising, just talking about wit and what's going on. I think largely we really
haven't seen much response from the Port of Coos Bay or the governor who's confirming these
commissioners. Like largely the sort of institutions of power are not yet responding. And so I think that's something that both local folks in
Coos Bay could be pressuring and also at a statewide level, right? Like this is state funding and the
port of Coos Bay development has federal funding too. But I think those are places where there could
really be a lot more pressure being applied. And I think a lot more people should be talking about all of this as well as we mentioned earlier you know what Witt claims to have a reputation and work and
contracts all up and down the entire west coast so certainly if there are listeners in here
in oakland or alaska or washington or wherever you might be who know the name Witt Gaten Vine
or Witt Industries and you want to send in a tip to Corvallis Antifa or whatever, left-to-right watch, we
would be really happy to hear what you know about this guy because we know
he's working in other communities which we would love
details or any tips folks may have. Yeah, would either of you like to kind of add
anything else before we close out and point people towards both your work and
where to send information to? Yeah, I guess the thing that else before we close out and point people towards both your work and where to send information to?
Yeah, I guess the thing that I would just close out with is WLM is not just an Oregon
problem, it's a national problem. I know this podcast reaches folks all across the country.
If you are somebody who is Antifa curious or is interested in making a difference in
your community?
It's a group with really terrible security culture and it might be worth taking a gander at that and then you know
God, it feels so silly to do a podcast plug, but please check out our work at cvantifa.noblogs.org
We're also on Twitter at cvagainstfash and Instagram at
also on Twitter at CV against bash and Instagram at CV Antifa. And you know, we have lots of articles exposing neo Nazis in Oregon and across the country. And you might just find
somebody in your community who sucks.
Hank?
Yeah, I'll just add, you know, if you want to see the the of course, the Left Coast Right
Watch article gives a really deep dive on wit and also information for public use has
posted like the financials. So if you really want to like get into the numbers it's worth looking
there. And yeah just to reiterate I mean I think Kuzbe and so many other places are really contested
spaces and I think these Nazis want us to believe that they're in charge and that they're powerful
and they have this idea that they can operate
with impunity and it's really not true.
Like we've seen small and rural towns take down Nazis all over this country and I think
that will continue and I think that yeah like what tactics and ways people might do that
in from place to place can look different but I just you know encourage folks to dig
into your local Nazis and get
together and figure out how to mess them up.
It's a good way to have fun with your friends and we can do it.
We need to be doing it.
I mean, there just shouldn't be state money going to help a Nazi build a white supremacist
utopia.
I mean, that's the history of this country, right?
Like, that's the history of colonization.
That's the history of Oregon specifically.
So, yeah, it's a time to do something else.
Yeah, and Antifa isn't just for you big city folk, you know?
Those of us that live in rural communities
can and should be involved in these struggles,
and it is something that, like,
is not just something that
happens in Portland. People in rural Oregon are doing anti-fascism and will
continue to do it and will continue to win. Thank you both so much. I will leave
links to your orgs and your articles in the description below. Thank you
for listening and yeah if you are Antifa curious, give it a shot. It is indeed done
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What's Brett, my cavernous? I'm Robert, and this is It Could Happen Here, a podcast about it happening here.
With me today is Sophie Lichterman and Mia Wong.
We're gonna be talking about a guy
who is near and dear to my heart
because the second to the last conversation
I ever had with my mom was about Brett Kavanaugh.
Mia, what are we gonna learn today?
Oh boy. Oh my God.
Have you done the What's Brett-ing my cavena before? Like I'd
I know I'm certain I haven't why would I have? I don't know it felt oddly familiar.
So if he has somebody let me know. Thank you. Yeah tell us the good and the bad. Yeah we
already know the ugly. Yeah. I'm body shaming Brett Kavanaugh. Yeah, that's right, motherfucker.
That's right, motherfucker.
Hehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehe He has a sweet gig for life.
Yeah, he's set.
He's set, bro.
Yeah.
Yeah. He sucks so bad that even like, you know, Midwest dads hate him. So at least there's
that.
Yeah, he's really rancid. And so I think the place to start with this actually is not with
Kavanaugh, but with Trump, because what we're talking about today is a thing that we kind
of knew was true, but didn't know the extent of until now
Which is that the supposed FBI investigation into everything that Brett Kavanaugh did was?
Like fake and deliberately fucked by Trump
Specifically like this is wrong specifically told them to just like not do the investigation and so they didn't do the investigation and nothing happened
This is the sort of how we got confirmed. And I think the interesting thing about this partially is
because I hate Brett Kavanaugh. He sucks. He's the worst guy. A real dick. Yeah, but I think
the other thing about him is like, I feel like everyone has forgotten what it was like to live
under Trump. I agree. Because there was just so much shit happening all the time like every single every single day
It was like a new one of these things and I want to go back to what like one week of
Trump was like because every single fucking week was like this and it was the most miserable thing
So who is Brett Kavanaugh?
He's one of the nine assholes who get to decide whether we all have rights
For people who've sort of forgotten his background. So he's like an old old
Like 90s era kind of like protege of the 90s republican ghouls
He's like one of the people who helps ken star do the like monica luinsky trial
Like he's a he's involved in a whole bunch of sort of like Republican rat fucking operations he's also and I think this one's actually important to
remember is a co-op to the election Cavanaugh was part of the legal team
that helped Bush do the original stop the steal in 2000 just like straight up
stole the election in Florida love that these guys keep getting jobs as opposed
to I don't know getting the punishment for treason.
And he's only 59 years old. Yeah. He's so young for that job.
We have like 40 more years of him. If you ever wanted like a clear reason why
we shouldn't do things, like the death penalty for treason, it's because when people commit treason,
nothing happens to them. And when people, I don't know,
agitate for Puerto Rican independence, they get executed.
Like that's what happens with those laws.
Just bad.
Avoid laws existing.
Yeah, and especially avoid all of your laws
being dictated by a bunch of fucking serial predators.
And this gets us to, so Kavanaugh's appointment was very, very close.
The Republicans at the time, they controlled the Senate, but they had a 52 to 48 margin.
And a lot of those kind of marginal senators were like, not-
There was, there was a more realistic chance of it
not happening then typically yeah but they still fucked it in the end oh yeah
100% course but you know the reason the reason why it was close is as I think
most people probably remember Kavanaugh is a serial sexual predator he has
sexually assaulted so many fucking people people saw him do it there were times when he was the only fucking person there who did there were times we did in crowds
He definitely 100% did it and if he wants to fucking sue me about it like I'll see you in court
Motherfucker and and while we're here Clarence Thomas also a predator. Oh, yeah, we're gonna get to that
Let's be clear here like if we're doing an Olympics of predators Clarence Thomas is up in the number one spot Brett
Kavanaugh is down in place three, you know Thomas is is is a much much more I don't know
expansive predator
Yeah, there were some belief at the time in this is sort of like every single article about this
I talked about how this is peak me too
But it is sort of important that like this way it was a real possibility that he was going to go down in flames
Yeah, it has happened before it can happen again
and it was a
Real issue for him. It was a real issue for him in large part because christine blasey ford
Who's a psychology professor just like testified under oath in one of the most like fucking harrowing?
Things i've ever seen on on the floor of the most like fucking harrowing things I've ever seen on
on the floor of the Senate.
Horrific.
Yeah, the thing that stuck with me was it like he was laughing while he did it.
It's just like this guy is a fucking monster.
I mean, one of the things that you do have to take into account is that like the media
infrastructure that whirled up to defend Brett Kavanaugh to ensure that this didn't take him down
existed in part because
About a third of right-wing media like about a third of that whole infrastructure system exists because of the Clarence Thomas hearings
Yeah, like that and Nixon's resignation being forced are kind of the two two inciting incidents of modern conservative media
Those were the things that made them really commit
to the idea that like we have to build
a completely separate ecosystem of facts.
Because if we let reality in at all,
like our guys who are all sex predators and criminals
will never be able to win or stay in office.
Yeah.
Yeah, and also, I mean, it's worth noting too
that like Roger Ailes, who is like one of the people responsible for building all this infrastructure was also himself just a surreal predator on a like frankly
incomprehensible scale yes, and so all these people were also just defending themselves because they also are all
Fucking their own sometimes miniature Cavanaugh's sometimes worse Cavanaugh's
Uh-huh and it into this sort of breach, right?
This is a real PR crisis for the Republicans.
This is going even worse for them than the last time that they fucking did this, which
was as we've alluded to when they got Clarence Thomas on and when Joe Biden personally helped
railroad Anita Hill to make sure that she would get fucked when she tried to testify against Clarice Thomas
So that's great incredible stuff
There was a point in our nation's history where that was actually like a political problem for Joe Biden
We're fucking no longer there anymore and into this breach steps
What's supposed to be an FBI investigation? Yeah?
Ostensibly yeah, so so I'm gonna read from a recently released report
There's gonna be I'm gonna quote from this report a lot because this is this is the sort of new information that we have
Where can people see the report? It will be in the description if you just like search
Sheldon Whitehouse report you should be able to find it. There'll be a link in the notes. Yeah, we'll link it
Yeah, it's like it's like 30 pages
It's actually not their base more like 20 pages because like a bunch of the murder citations
So it's a pretty easy read. I'm gonna read some of it
And also I do want to point out the fact that the Senate Senate Judiciary Committee member who wrote this thing is named Sheldon
Whitehouse
Incredible name
That is a great name
Where does that come from that can't be a name. That can't be a name that existed before the White House, right?
Like, it has to have at some point been named after the White House, right?
Why else would you have that name?
Well, it could just be that this family historically lived at a White House for 700 years.
You'd have to be in a White House for a long ass time to get that last name.
So, here's from the report, quote, after hearing the testimony by Ford and Cavendall, the Judiciary
Committee agreed to request the FBI to conduct a supplemental background investigation, quote,
limited to current credible allegations against Cavendall before the full Senate voted on
his confirmation.
And so there's an important detail here that wasn't clear to anyone at the
time because fucking no one knows how the minutiae of FBI investigations work. But this was not
actually a full FBI investigation. This is this is something called a like supplemental background
investigation. And we'll get into what exactly that is in a second, but it's not like a real FBI investigation and
This investigation does
What it was supposed to do which was you know clear?
Cavanaugh's name and off Republican senators to be able to vote for him without immediately getting destroyed politically
What it didn't do was like actually conduct an investigation, right?
Trump very famously at this time. time says that the investigation had quote
free reign and it unbelievably did not. Bullfucking shit. Yeah, he just lied about this. Like, yep.
Yeah, the administration directly ran the investigation, killed it, and then used its
political power and the FBI itself to, you know, illegitimately railroad a serial predator, run it
to Supreme Court to take away everyone's rights to get an abortion.
And then after that, they stonewalled the investigation for six years.
So this is how that sort of process worked.
I'm going to quote from that report again.
Third, although the Trump administration and the FBI assured the Senate that the FBI's
investigation was being conducted, quote, by the book, they failed to disclose that
there was actually no, quote no quote unquote book at all.
The FBI produced no written records
for supplemental background investigation
saying it was merely acting as the quote agent
for the White House in such matters.
But which White House? Was it Sheldon White House?
Sorry.
No, unfortunately White House bad,
the one with the president.
Oh, the bad White House, yeah.
By the way, I was trying to the one with the president. Oh the bad White House. Yeah, by the way
I was I was trying to debunk his last name
He comes from the longest line of nepotism of that held I was like I was like
Oh, they must have gotten named that back when like the fact that they had a house at all was no
Yeah, these people have paint it literally kept going. I was like, okay, one level, okay, two levels,
okay, three levels, okay, four levels, okay,
when does it end?
And then I got bored.
And the funny part about this again is that like,
this is the good guy in this story.
Oh, I know.
Is this like, nepo baby, like,
infinite like, corruption guy.
Junior senator of Rhode Island, yeah, okay.
Yeah, and I wanna kind of focus in on this statement in and of itself because this is just like an absolutely hideous
a view of just like the hideous power of the unitary executive just do whatever the fuck it wants.
Like, what do you mean that the FBI produced no written protocols for how they're supposed to do supplemental background investigations?
What do you mean that they were quote acting as an agent for the White House?
What? That's bat shit. Why do your security services literally directly answer to one guy
who could just tell them what to do whatever the fuck he wants? That's insane. That is a,
that is a fucking, that is a deranged political system. And yet this is, you know, this is,
this is the system that's supposed to be
doing this stuff, which is also very funny because White House is like, not really trying to get into
a feud with the FBI. So there's a lot of kind of like a sculpatory stuff with the FBI. But like
also everything the FBI does in this is such a fiasco that it's very clearly like also very much
their fault. I'm going to read another quote from this.
This is from a bit later in the report.
Fourth, the FBI's tip line was not used to facilitate the FBI's supplemental background
investigation into the allegations against Kavanaugh.
On instructions from the White House, the FBI did not investigate thousands of tips
that came through the FBI's tip line.
Instead, all tips related to Kavanaugh were forwarded to the FBI's tip line. Instead, all tips related
to Cavanaugh were forwarded to the White House without investigation. If anything,
the White House may have used the tip line to steer FBI investigators away
from derogatory or damaging information. Which is, again, absolutely nuts.
Insane. And like, yes, so this is this is the kind of thing that like should be
serious crime, right?
Like yeah that you go you get locked up for forever. Like this is a forever crime
Yeah, it seems much more serious than I don't know robbing a bank to try and fund the Puerto Rican independence movement
Yeah, it's not clear to me whether this would have been a giant scandal for a normal administration
Just because the American presidency has so much power
But it should have been like this was just like a thing that would happen every week
under Trump was like he would just do shit like this mm-hmm
you know also what you should do shit like I don't know that was not my best
pivot no no but but dude do shit like yeah like like these products and
services that support the podcast We are back.
We've gotten to the point where again the FBI's tip line is not actually being used
in the investigation.
They're sending it all to the White House.
The report found that so the FBI like and they talked about this public at the time.
They talked to 10 people who they said had like
direct knowledge of the situation, but again, they only talked to 10 people and
There is a whole bunch of people who had very relevant evidence about a lot of important stuff in this like so one of the one
Of the claims that's going on here is that Cavanaugh was just wasted all the time
And this is like every single person you talk to who knew Cavavanaugh in college and isn't like directly employed by the Republican Party was like, oh yeah, this guy was wasted all
the time. Right. And this became a big part of the trial. And there were a whole bunch of people who
tried to go to the FBI to be like, hey, he did this. And they just like would not talk to them.
People who tried to come forward, like they wouldn't talk to people who sent them information to the tip line they just like didn't talk to them at all I'm gonna
I'm gonna read from the thing again according to a quote executive summary of the
FBI supplemental background investigation issued by the Judiciary
Committee majority the majority of that time was Republican majority so that's
why it's fucked these people were, all witnesses with potential first-hand knowledge of the allegations.
The FBI did not, however, interview Ford or Kavanaugh, the witnesses potentially with
the most first-hand knowledge, nor did it speak to other potentially corroborating witnesses
who had not witnessed the events first-hand.
Nevertheless, the Judiciary Committee's Republicans Executive Summary concluded that the, quote,
supplemental background investigation confirms there is no
Cooperation of an allegations made by dr. Ford and mr. Miras
So they didn't talk to either Cavanaugh or Ford the two people who the thing was about well
I mean, you know, why would you need to do that, right? I
What the fuck This is so insane!
Another part of this is that the FBI's initial background check didn't turn up any of this
and so the supplemental thing is being done in place of the normal background check
because the normal background check was also done like shit
so they never figured out any of this incredibly obvious stuff about him.
And meanwhile, the supplemental one, they just kept being like, oh, well, we don't actually like need to talk to the people who this is about for incredibly nebulous reasons.
And the other part of this is going on is that like, while this process is happening,
the Democrats on the judiciary committee are trying to figure out how this process works.
And Trump just like refuses to talk to any of them.
And the FBI refuses to fucking send any of them.
People are fighting out like, we know that there's no specific process for this like
supplemental investigation thing because like their staffers found it out from a YouTube
video.
Jesus.
Like they did not find this out from the FBI.
It was like this guy's senators staffers were like watching YouTube videos to figure out
how this investigation was supposed to work.
So and it turns out we had known at the time that the FBI was doing some kind of
shady stuff, but what we know now is that so Ford and her lawyers repeatedly tried
to talk to the FBI and they were just never able to do so right.
The FBI completely stonewalled them.
And it turns out that they stonewalled them because Trump specifically ordered
the FBI not to talk to her or Kavanaugh. What? What? Which is absolutely insane. Yeah. I
love the law. It turns out, and this is the part of this is the most insane, right? Everyone thought
that the FBI was just doing a normal FBI investigation, right? And part of what's going
on here is that the media is just these like absolute credulous idiots, right?
Because every single day the media is reporting that like Trump is allowing an open investigation because like somehow again
This is this is like two years into him being in office, right?
None of these people have figured out that every single thing he says is a lie
They're all like, oh, yeah
Trump keeps saying that these people can talk to whoever they want and they can investigate whoever they want and this gets to the point
Where the FBI is calling the White House every day because
They'll be reading the news reports that say we can talk to anyone and they'll be like hey you told us we can't talk
To these people and they'll be like no no you actually you still can't talk to these people
And it turns out that what's happening is just like quote-unquote supplemental investigation. It's not an FBI investigation
They can only do things that are like quote-unquote directed by the president
so they can only talk to the people who the president tells them to talk to.
And they can't look at evidence that the president doesn't tell them to look at.
And so what ends up happening is that like, you know, there's initially like four people
that they're supposed to be talking to, right?
And, you know, they keep getting these like press things that are like,
oh, hey, this is an open investigation.
You can like do whatever you want.
And eventually they put in like six more people.
So like they talked to 10 total people.
But because this is an investigation that is not being run by the FBI, really, it's
being it's being directly ran by Trump himself, which he's lying about.
Because of that, they fucking never talked to anyone.
And then also, again, as we talked about, about right that that tip line they set up a bunch of people who tried to talk to the FBI who the FBI
wouldn't talk to
Were like told okay go submit stuff to this tip line and the FBI later admits that the tip line was like never real
Sure have a nice fake tip line. Yeah, they never use any of the investigation. They they sent it all the Trump
Yeah, and the reason they did it was that they were sick of people calling their regular tip line so they set up a specific tip line so they could just have
all the stuff they would never listen to and instead just send to the White House so they could
do I guess like oppo research bullshit on it so this is just straight up a sham there's no actual
investigation going on The media people at the time should have been able to figure out that obviously this thing
was bullshit, right?
But nobody looked into it except for this one guy on the Senate history committee.
And so this report comes back and goes like, yeah, we did no research.
We talked to like 10 people and we didn't like ask them anything and we didn't use any of the research that we had and we have cleared this guy. As this
is happening, right, the the Judiciary Committee Democrats are like trying to figure out what the
fuck is going on. And this begins a a six-year process of a Senator White House just fighting
a war with the actual White House and the FBI and the DO day to try to figure
out what the fuck just happened and
The interesting part of this also is that so obviously the Trump administration was never gonna talk to them, right?
It is of itself incredibly disturbing that like the Senate Judiciary Committee who in theory is one of the organizations
That's supposed to be doing oversight of the FBI would send requests to the FBI for information. The FBI would just tell them to fuck off
Yeah I would send requests to the FBI for information the FBI would just help him to fuck off. Yeah But the interesting part is they kept doing this under Biden. So Biden's FBI was also doing this
Which fucking liberals like have concluded politically at least that they have to be as like vociferously pro law enforcement
As they can and all cops ever do is say we are just waiting for the chance to kill you like
It's great cool good stuff. I'm gonna realign from this. It's so insane
When the senators followed up they faced the challenge of aligning
FBI DOJ and White House equities
So they sent like request for for the emails between Trump and the FBI right to figure out whether Trump was doing the thing
He was doing which was like directly running the emails between Trump and the FBI, right? To figure out whether Trump was doing the thing he was doing,
which was like directly running the investigation himself.
The FBI claimed it cannot answer without authorization from the DOJ and the White House.
The DOJ directed the senators' inquiries to the White House and the FBI,
and the White House referred the senators back to the agencies.
So they're doing this like they're doing the like the circular run-around thing
you get from your insurance company, where they tell you to talk to three people and every single one of them tells you to talk to
the other one but but again this is the Biden DOJ the Biden FBI and the Biden administration
all doing this the FBI finally provides documents about like their contact with Trump
for the investigation they finally provide the documents in November of 2023. This investigation started in late 2018. It took half
a decade, almost half of which was under the Biden administration. And also, Senator Whitehouse
literally threatening to torpedo a nomination for the DOJ's Office of Legal Counsel. Like he had to
threaten the Department of Justice in order to get them
to send the documents that proved that Trump colluded to stop the Kavanaugh investigation,
which even just from like a political standpoint from the Democrats, right? Why the fuck would
you not want that in the open? I mean, I guess I guess unless you're Joe Biden, you don't
want ever remembering like all the shit you need to need a hill. But like, this is literally
free political ammunition of your opponent
like abusing the political process and it still took a Democratic senator just directly
threatening the DOJ of a Democratic administration to get this out.
I just like it also took so many years like yeah Kavanaugh has has been able to take away and fuck up our rights since what, 2018, 2019?
Yeah.
And the damage he's done is permanent.
Yeah.
He will be around in office,
possibly very likely for most of the rest of our lives.
Yeah.
Like I said earlier, he's only 59 years old.
Yeah, he could have another 30 years there at least.
Yeah, and if this stuff had been known, she absolutely would not have gotten nominated, right?
There were two unbelievably close votes to get him appointed, right?
There was a first vote where the Republican straight-up bypassed the filibuster and still
almost lost.
And it turns out that, okay, the actual final vote ended up being 50 to 48 with two abstentions.
And one of the abstentions was because this guy was going to his daughter's wedding or
something.
But the other abstention was Lisa Murawski, who's the senator from Alaska, who's like
the most sort of liberal Republican senators.
And she does like a coward president vote so it can happen.
And if she had voted no, and if Joe Manchin hadn't fucking cross party lines to get
to get him in office which I think also people just forget about Joe Manchin that he he is also
like individually specifically the guy who got fucking Kavanaugh appointed this would have failed
and the only reason that it didn't fail and that this guy was able to fucking destroy Roe v Wade
it didn't fail and that this guy was able to fucking destroy Roe v. Wade is
that Trump just straight-up ran a fake FBI investigation and lied to everyone about it and
Fucking railroaded the nomination through that that's fucking Cavanaugh And I think I think the clothes on here again is like every single week of Trump is just like this
Yeah, right like every single day has some bullshit like this. It just like fucks everyone for the rest of their lives.
And it's deeply grim that he could take power again
and we could get back to like the stuff he was doing
at the end of his administration,
where he was just like having protesters killed
with federal marshals.
Yeah, that's the scary thing about it, right?
Is there's not any kind of like functional resistance to this, right?
The left has no power, has no serious organizing capacity in the United States and can't get
on the same page about anything that matters.
Whereas liberals, when they have four years of control of the federal government, cannot
adequately prosecute and attempt to overthrow the government
and murder them.
So I don't know.
Make sure you got clean water, folks.
Check on that garden.
I don't know what to tell you.
It's just so bleak because like I said earlier, everything is so permanent.
Yeah.
You know what I mean?
It just lasts so fucking long. Yeah. It lasts so permanent. Yeah. You know what I mean? It just lasts so fucking long.
Yeah.
It lasts so long.
And like, we don't even know the damage that Kavanaugh is going to do to our society because
of Trump.
And it's also just terrifying that, you know, Trump was able to manipulate the system in
this way, and that so many people were silenced and now our rights
are gone. Yeah. Or our rights are going to be taken away. We have no idea what
else is gonna be taken. Yep. We have no idea what else is gonna get fucked up.
We have it we have ideas. We have ideas. Again, the problem is that the root of the
problem is that liberals work tirelessly in this country to stop the left
from gaining any power and the left works tirelessly to stop itself from having any
kind of influence by having no capacity to organize or compromise with people who do
not agree with whatever their little brand of leftism is, right?
Whereas conservatives are willing to work together with other conservatives they hate
for 40 straight years in order to get us to the position that we're in.
That's what happened is they had message discipline, they had organizing discipline, and they successfully
pushed their madness into the mainstream in such a way that now the Democratic Party in
a lot of ways is expending a huge amount of its efforts on moving in
the direction of that madness, especially as regards immigration.
Look at where we've moved on immigration from 2016 to 2024.
That is the result of disciplined power building as opposed to what liberals and the left do,
which is fight with each other and fight amongst each other and
engage in a mix of like craven power politics and worshipping various con artists.
And the right worships con artists too, they just actually get power out of the deal.
Yeah.
And just like the other terrifying thing about this story is that it's not fucking everywhere.
It's not everywhere.
Ten years ago, this would be the scandal of all scandals. And it's barely a
barely a headline. No, because no one's gonna do anything about it. It's like
it's like Elon Musk paying people a million dollars a day to vote in
Pennsylvania. Like, yeah, that should be illegal. Like, you can at least
make a strong case based on existing laws.
But that is election interference.
The kind of which that can land you in prison.
Everyone knows nothing's going to happen to him.
Yeah, nothing's going to happen to him if Kamala wins.
Right. If the dims have a blowout and wind up with both houses of Congress,
nothing is going to happen to Elon Musk.
It's yeah. Again, just like we have no idea how how long this is going to go on and how much worse it could get and
Yeah, I have some ideas, but I podcasted about those back in 2019 selfie
I was quite literally there. Yeah, but yeah, so
Thanks Mia. That was a bummer. Thank you,
Mia. No, this was good. This is solid and a bummer. Again, when I started this by saying my last,
second to the last conversation I had in person with my mom was about Kavanaugh. It was her
almost screaming at me because of how unfair what the Democrats did to Brett Kavanaugh was because
of the good man that they, and she felt the same way about Clarence Thomas right that like these guys were the victims of media
Assassination attempts she felt the same way about Bill Cosby by the way anyway, whatever. I don't need to yell about my mom
I've yelled about enough this episode. Well tomorrow's episode will be more fun. I promise
We're gonna we're gonna yell about how why the econ develop prizes fake and read some of the dumbest things you've ever seen in your life
Hell yeah, there we go. There we go back to the good stuff back to the good stuff
Yeah, Mia's been deeply excited to do this episode. Look look out for that one and
I don't know touch grass and pet a dog if it wants you to yeah Yeah, bye! Dear Ydreho, won't you join me at the fire and dare enter?
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No bell prize. Welcome to It Could Happen Here, a podcast about Nobel prizes,
I guess. I'm your host,o Vogue with me with me is James
Hi, I'm here excited to hear about the dynamite guy prizes
Yeah
So as people I think are aware the the man who invented dynamite
Established a bunch of prizes to be like the pinnacle of human achievement right every year
It's decided on a bunch of judges and you know in this year in the Nobel Prize in physics right?
Nobel Prize in physics went to two guys who did a whole bunch of the sort of
fundamental basic work on what became machine learning algorithms and as as
annoying as modern AI is like machine learning algorithms has fundamentally
changed the way that science works it changed astronomy I've used it I use new
astronomy like there's all this you know it has fundamentally changed the way
that humanity functions yeah it's an there's all this you know it has fundamentally changed the way that humanity functions
Yeah, it's an important discovery
Yeah, and you know the Nobel Prize in medicine went to a group of people who discovered
micro RNA which is like a different type of RNA that
Fundamentally changed the way that we understand how like gene regulation works
That we understand how like gene regulation works This is like a fundamental path breaking thing in biology
They got that they got the fucking medicine to what price for the no one price in economics went to
three guys who discovered that
institutions affect prosperity
huge
groundbreaking shit
groundbreaking shit it's like
economists don't discover shit
they just say shit
and then other economists are like yeah cool
this is ok
when i was originally planning this episode
this is going to be an episode about the fake Nobel Prize
which is the economics Nobel Prize
which we talked about in the show before but it's worth saying again
this is not a real Nobel Prize
like this is not one of the prizes that was established
by Alfred Nobel
This was a thing established by the the Swedish Central Bank as a way to push neoliberal economics
classical economics and
Every year they're always very stupid is the thing right and and my plan for this episode
I started seeing stuff about this noble prize, and I was looking at this
And I was like this is the this is the one of the dumbest ones
They've had since they gave out one in the 2000 thousands for realizing that people could simply not make a trade
like
I was like, okay, I'm gonna go read all of these papers, right? We're to come back
We're gonna have a detailed analysis of it and I'm reading these papers and it's like it's nothing
These three economists are there from what's called institutional economics
These are supposed to be the smart ones, right?
These are these are the economists that like the neoclassical economists have to bring in
Like the normal neoclassical economists have to bring in because their models don't work
right and the thing and the thing that makes them like quote unquote smart is that they understand the institutions exist and they know how
to use really really basic game theory models and
Exists and they know how to use really really basic game theory models And this makes them like the cutting edge the absolute elite cutting edge of virtual economics
They're on the front lines. What have these people discovered? What do you see will win this prize for right?
Okay, the thing that they won this prize for like the initial thing
There's a couple of stuff that we'll get to you in a second
But like the big thing that they they figured out out is do a series of thunderously stupid regression analyses. They discovered something, I don't even know how
to frame the magnitude of this discovery, but it took them a shit ton of math and like a bunch of
like tabulations of mortality data to discover that in some places European colonial powers form settler colonies and in some places they established colonial rule that wasn't based on settler colonies and that these were different
This is what they won the Nobel Prize for they did a bunch of regression analyses and we're like holy shit
In some places the Europeans did settler colonies and in some places didn't, and it had to do with like disease and a level of
Redistance from the indigenous population. They won a Nobel Prize in Economics for this!
Are you fucking kidding me?
Also a paper that you could write for my history 110 class at a community college
Okay, so some of the discourse about this, right?
The Marxist economist, Sharama czar pointed out that like these fundamental
observations were made by another guy we've talked about on this show, the
renegade Marxist economist, Paul Buran.
And that's a good point.
But also what I was thinking about how to do this episode, right?
This isn't a thing like with like Donald Harris, like we talked about Kamala Harris's dad's book, right?
And that's a book where there's like ideas in it, right?
You can go through it and you can watch him developing ideas.
You can't do that with this because these people are not developing ideas.
They have discovered the most obvious things.
They have read a single book about history,
and they have attempted to use a bunch of regression analyses to prove things that, like,
you can just read a Wikipedia article
and discover about the course of colonization.
Yeah, and then you can go back and do a bunch of regression analyses
to prove something that everyone already knew.
Yeah, and the place that I got to about this was,
I have this joke about Maoism,
where all the things that people get from Maoism are things that you should have learned in elementary school
Like one of the most common things you get from Maoist is like you have to read no investigation
No right to speak and like my friend, okay
If you needed Mao Zedong to tell you that you needed to research something
Before you talked about it
What the fuck happened in here like?
What's wrong with your life?
What were wrong with your education like what what has gone wrong with the way you think about the world that you needed?
Bows a dung you can tell you this
This is this is what most noble prizes in economics are and this is the most that it has ever been
Yeah, so so basically their argument is that like this is also an argument that Paul Baran makes
Is that like okay depending on whether you're dealing with a settler colony or a a sort of like India style
Like administrative colony, I guess I don't like a technical term for it
I guess like an extractive colony where you're more about extracting labor and more raw materials and settling
Yeah, like that changes the kinds of institutions that are set up and like okay
You can if you want to credit Paul Baran for the discovery that
Like settler colonies and like extractive colonies have different
Legal institutions and they function differently and that has had long-range economic
impacts like stretching into the future
But like this is something again that you could you could just you can find in a history book and immediately
Understand and these people have tried to do this
They're trying to like track the difference in why we're like some colonies more prosperous leaders and other colonies, right?
They're trying to track this process through a whole bunch of incredibly sketchy regression analyses and weird assumptions about what income is.
They're trying to track, like, why was it that, like, China and Turkey were, like, rich in the 1500s,
but they ceased to be rich after that?
Oh, sick! They're doing a fucking Jared Diamond.
Yeah, they're doing a West and the rest.
Yeah, yeah, it's one of a Jared Diamond bullshit, except, doing a West and the rest yeah, yeah, it's wonderful. I am bullshit except you know with China
Standard of living in Europe if you actually go back to the historical record and aren't doing their like stupid weird
Like using population density as an index for stuff with a they're bringing Malthus into it
If you don't do that and you look at like the actual like historical record like the average quality of life in
China like is not eclipsed by Europe until like the mid 1800s. Yeah, like
You know, so like this is all this is all like very even then like life expects in the mid-1800s
Didn't take decades to go up after the Industrial Revolution, right?
Yeah, this is this is sort of drawing to what they're trying to do here,
is that a lot of this is directly as a product of colonialism, right?
And they sort of acknowledged that colonialism existed
and that it was extractive,
but their job is to take the basic insights of history and depoliticize it, right?
We are going to get to later.
One of the things they win this prize for is depoliticizing revolution,
turning revolution into like a Nash equilibrium
game theory thing oh god which is unbelievable it's incredible yeah these
are the kind of people who I have to deal with on a daily basis on listservs
like these are the economists emailing the entire listserv with a unique
insight into something that we all knew 30 years like the all faculty email list
is plagued by this kind of individual
Yeah, and like like this is a thing where
so they're absolutely convinced that like like the 100% convinced that the thing that leads to economic prosperity is like the safeguarding of
individual property rights and like I
Will give them a little tiny bit of credit where they're like, well, yeah
So direct colonial institutions were extractive and they're bad because they infringe on property rights
Yeah, that's mildly better than most of these people. Yeah
These are these are these are again. These are the most advanced bushwalk economists, right?
They're not they're not like pro-rhodesia and neoclassical guys, right?
They do have a line where they say we're not going to say whether colonialism is good or bad
And I think that's been misinterpreted a little bit because like in their work
They're pretty clear that it's bad. It is trying not to make like a moral judgment because God forbid
Yeah, well they said they're saying it's extractive and they think that like extractions back is inefficient
Yeah, but basically they think that like okay, so like if you set up like regimes that like safeguard private property this will like make
People like richer, but I want to read a quote from one of the papers that wrote quote
In comparatively poor and less dense populated regions where Europeans could easily settle it was in the colonizers interest to introduce
Inclusive economic institutions that helped to boost prosperity for the majority in the long run
Now!
Now!
Fuck me!
They didn't go on to say how like, yeah, but Britain built the railways in India
Like this is one of these things right?
What's happening here, you know, this is something that economists love to do
Economists love to go into other fields and have to
Colonize them right? Yes, like what they're doing here is there they've gone into like this field of history
Yeah, and they're attempting to sort of colonize them, right?
many such cases, yeah, and you know, they're looking at this stuff, right and
You know things like this where it's like no like the economic institutions that were set up in like settler colonies were not designed to
like the economic institutions that were set up in like settler colonies were not designed to
Introduce inclusive economic institutions to like help us boost the prosperity for the majority in the long run like that was the result of social struggle Yeah, but they for some reason basically think that social struggle started in like the 1880s
Yeah, the Nobel like committee
They're like econ fake econ Nobel committee like releases like a giant statement like there's like press summaries
They have like a slightly more detail and they have like the econ II one and I want to read this
From so the part of part of what they're doing right?
You're talking about like the work that was inspired by this by the other but the understanding that like the different institutions change economic outcomes
quote
better G and Iver 2005 examined the legacy of British land institutions in India
that gave cultivators in certain regions to proprietary rights, including their productivity
was higher in these regions post independence.
Jenny Oli and Rainier and Michaelopoulos and Papa Ianu studied the impact of differences in political centralization
along ethnic groups during pre-colonial times.
Nunn documented the long-run negative impacts of the slave trade.
Dell 2010, by the way, Nunn paper in 2008.
So we'll go back to that in a second.
Dell 2010 investigated the long-run effects of the so-called Mita system, an operation
between 1573 and 1812 in Bolivia and Peru, where men were forced to work in mines.
Within the boundaries of Mita, household consumption was 25% lower in 2021 than just outside the
boundaries.
So, what they have discovered here, again, in the late 2000s and early 2010s, they discovered that slavery had long-run negative economic impacts on the places where there was slavery.
Jesus Christ.
Like...
Thanks for trying, guys.
This is the shit that they gave these people a Nobel Prize for inspiring
This is insane you're right economists do just love to tourist in someone else's discipline and like
Fucking have the most basic insight possible. All of these are things that would be like an interesting
undergraduate paper, right? Like, like, yeah.
Insane that these people are getting Nobel Prizes for this.
It's not insane, it's economics, but same difference, I guess.
Alright, so speaking of economics, we need to go to ads.
Yeah, because there'll be a long-term detrimental consequence for us if we don't.
But when we come back, there's some more unreal bullshit. We are back.
Okay, so speaking of undergrad bullshit, one of the big things in their initial paper,
they did the whole, oh my god, they discovered that there's a difference between settler
colonies and extractor colonies.
One of the big things in that paper was they spent a whole bunch of time looking into was it was the economic difference in
These countries because of the climate
Which now for those of you who are students of history, right?
The thing you will remember is that this this was like the most advanced race science theory of the early 1800s
Yes, and these people are like the economists are finally getting around to busting this in like 2004.
Have they ever looked at skull measurements?
Because I feel like we're heading down that path.
Like to econo-phrenology.
It's so bad.
Incredible.
That was actually a whole thing where they had like racial
categorizations and like biological characteristics of like the races and they would use them to like determine allocated efficiency of which slaves you should use to do what?
Oh cool. Cool cool cool cool cool. It was great. And by great I mean like holy fucking shit. It's so bad.
Yeah. Oh was great. Am I great?
I mean like holy fucking shit. It's so bad
They just missed that time there those people could kick the shit out of a Nobel Prize in like 2025 they came back with that stuff
Yeah, I get like you know I mean one of the things we were talking about right
It's like they see you were mentioning is like if you do like these like such obvious insights
I remember so I went to the University of Chicago, right?
And that means that I fucking know all of these fucking ghouls
Like I bet all the people who are going to become these econ dipshits
Yeah, you're a ground zero for that shit. One of the things that's funny
Is that like this is like a particular thing of the University of Chicago
You come people say they all think they can do math and they can't write they suck at it
But one of the thing I was fun was like so much my friends are math majors and math majors can like actually do math
Like they could do the kind of math. That's like
There's no there aren't like numbers involved like it's like they're doing like field theory or some shit or like they're doing a kind
Of math that when someone tries to explain it to you
They have to start like making diagrams of like the faces of cubes and then like explaining how there's like 32 dimensional edges or whatever and
There's always this joke from the math professors
Would they be mad because like they look at the economy will price and they'd be like this person made like an incredibly minor
Optimization to a trading algorithm that's like incredibly obvious to anyone who even sort of knows math and they gave them a little price for this
And this is that but for history
Yeah, so the other thing that that they discovered right?
God I I I'm trying to find the least depressing way to put this
They they discovered that there are revolutions
and There are revolutions and They discovered that like there are different
Interest groups at a revolution who have different interests and like like legitimately one of the things that they won this prize for is
a paper where they they discovered that
Giving people like the franchise I giving people the ability to vote and setting up the welfare state was something that was done by elites
Stop revolutions
Yeah Setting up the welfare state was something that was done by elites to stop revolutions Yeah
Again, yeah
They have all these mathematical models that look very impressive until you realize they're just they're like incredibly stupid game theory bullshit to like
Determine whether or not a country will do a revolution and their model for it basically is and you know
They've discovered some some genuinely impressive insights for like a 16 year old who wants to go into political science.
Right.
Like, they discovered that, for example, elites have economic interests,
and that those economic interests are different from masses.
But because they're economists, the only way they can conceptualize this is in terms of tax rates.
So, they make the argument, and this is not a joke, I am being serious about this, I read this fucking footnote.
They make the argument that the overthrow of Salvador Allende was about elite tax rates.
Oh, that one is fucking like... Jesus wept.
And it's so funny too, this is like one of of the biggest most obvious problems with their models, right?
And this is this is this is from all the way back to like their whole thing about like how the institutions that were set
Up by colonialists being different affected like the long-term trajectory of these countries
They treat these entire process because like this one of the things that they've discovered is that there are revolutions and counter revolutions
Because they read a Wikipedia article about like right-wing coups in Latin America and they discovered that elites can do anti-democratic coups because
They don't want their taxes to be too high. That's the only reason they do it
Yeah
But but their discovery of this right that that right wingers do anti-democratic coups to like preserve their wealth and political power, right?
Yeah, but never at any point in their process does it seem to have occurred to them that
elites are not purely single national figures
and that there are in fact multinational elites
and in fact there's something called the Central Intelligence Agency
that does in fact hope these people do good.
And this is like the fundamental core of this right?
These models talk about sort of like elite extraction right? But it's all framed through fundamental core of this right like these models talk about sort of like a lead extraction, right?
But it's all framed through the language of sort of like you'd like taxes or like rents basically like
They're making like land rent or like they're fighting over a surplus, right? Okay
But what they're trying to do is
De-politicize how this actually works because then you're trying to present is that all extraction happens through the state, right?
Yeah, like the state is the tool that elites use and now if you think about this for about five seconds
Well, like well, no, obviously like there's the exploitation in like the workplace. That's actually in the army military dictatorship
That's actually like the primary place where extraction happens
Will you shoot all the union organizers and then you'd fucking force all the peasants to work in the fields and shoot them if they
Don't right?
But what they're doing is attempting to sort of depoliticize
The deep lysis entire process. This is why I talk about like they are the most advanced bushwalk economists and
Being the most advanced bushwalk economists. They have finally figured out that the whole they call it modernization theory That's not really what modernization, but they're economists. They're fucking stupid. They don't know anything. You
can't judge them for not actually knowing what modernization theory is. But they
finally discovered that the old line about how economic development
inevitably brought democracy was wrong. Again, huge insight here. Yeah, but this
this brings them into the world of democratic transitions now
After we come back from these ad breaks. I am going to read you the most thunderously stupid line
I've ever read in a paper in my entire life, and that is fucking saying something given how many e-com papers
I've read yeah, you've been in the trenches
Okay Okay. Oh God. Let me read this slide. This is a quote from the econ noble prizes site. In their 2006 book, the two of the three economists made an ambitious attempt to provide quote
the first systematic formal analysis of the creation and consolidation of democracy.
The first...
The first...
This is very funny.
This is fucking insane.
This is like an entire field of international relations and political science. This is shit. No, no, just like there were a lot of people who were like, oh, this is very funny. This is fucking insane. This is like an entire field of international relations of political scientists and shit
No, no, there are literally multiple disciplines where this is an entire field of study
Yeah, right like I I have rated they're like obviously this is an entire branch of political science
This is an entire branch of international relations. This is an entire branch of sociology
There's like there's like an anthropological school kind of that's about this
interdisciplinary fucking Institute
So they just for this reason like this is shit that I studied from people who wrote books about it in the
1950s like this is like like you and the findings
They are lit. They literally quote people who are writing about this
The funny thing is they are lit. They literally quote people who are writing about this
People have been studying this for fucking as long as there has been democracy people have been studying this shit Yeah, yeah, the econ thing that I always use like oh nobody ever did formal analysis for like have you ever fucking read?
Yeah, have you read a poly side paper? I understand I too
Dropped my public policy major the moment I realized that public policy was just fucking econ with the lines on the graph relabelled
But like, have you ever fucking read one of these papers?
Like, you actually have a chance of understanding them because they are, you know, okay, I can't bet you mean to political science
They are about 150 times more advanced than the econ papers on this subject
But that's still not like a very high level of advancement
Right, but like still they're like they have formal models of this they they've done all the stupid math bullshit the sociologists
have done all the fucking number crunching like
Okay, okay
Here's another quote from this the authors start the paper by showing that democratic transitions are precipitated by falls in GDP per capita
They discovered this in 2019! I was having Twitter arguments, like arguments again with like 16 year
olds on Twitter in like 2016 about what the relationship between revolutions and declining
and raising living standards were like this was Twitter discourse, right?
This is seven years after the Arab Spring.
2019!
Insane!
They discovered this.
Yeah, do they do formal analyses of the Arab Spring, famously the first and only democratic
transition that's ever happened?
No, that's like two reasons for them.
All their stuff is what they call the quote the second wave of democratic transitions, which is not second wave at all
They're just those idiots. So they're talking about the the pro-democracy movements in the 80s
in Latin America and East Asia
Great. Yeah, which they also just thunderously wrong about like all of the time
Yeah, it's gonna say I can't wait to hear what they have to say about those
I'm I'm literally not even gonna talk about it because it's nothing.
It's just like air.
I'm just looking up a very insightful paper that Alika Deva wrote, who I've interviewed
several times for different things.
It's called Stick Stones and Molotov's Cocktails.
Oh, that rules.
And it is a fantastic analysis of democratic transitions.
It's about like the strategic use of violence against property
and the correlation it has between
successful democratic transition movements.
Good paper, read that.
Yeah, there's a lot of great like analysis.
We'll put that in like the notes here.
There's a lot of great analysis of this.
But what they're trying to do is they're trying to build
this model where they're like looking at like
basically bargaining between like the masses and elites to decide whether to do a revolution or a counter revolution and they're trying to build this model where they're like looking at like, basically bargaining between like the masses and elites to decide whether to do a revolution or a counter revolution
and they're trying to build like a game theory model based on like, fuck off the elites and
like give or hand in concessions and when they don't grant concessions and whether people
believe they're going to grant concessions. The other thing that's also very stupid about
this right is that like, the thing that they're interested in is why or why not people like
believe that neoliberal economic
reforms are going to work and a lot of democratic transitions are also about
like resistance to that shit yeah like the revolution in Sudan for example
like he is a pro-democracy movement but like it is also in large part a
reaction to IMF and post structural reforms these people all think are good
and will like cause long-term prosperity and like a lot of the democratic
Just they're talking about like like for example again Pinochet, right?
like that was like, you know, I know like obviously that the pro-democracy reformers I did more neoliberalism
but like a part of the big part of the reason like that stuff worked was because
Pinochet ran the economy into the gradually
Yeah, right, which is what he was there to do but yeah, but like I want to close it on two things one
I want to read this line
Mm-hmm, right from from talking about like the advances in their papers
This is again from the equitable prize thing
Yeah quote in the earlier models the probability that the masses are successful when they stage a revolution is always won
But this is a strong assumption that does not reflect real-world events very well they published a paper about how people
make a decision to do a revolution this this was peer reviewed in an economics
journal it's one of the papers that is cited in the fucking Nobel Prize they
gave them they assumed that revolutions always succeed yeah, no bell prize
And the second paper was the one they realized holy shit. That's not true
Malter isn't it this is the kind of assumption that these absolute fucking morons make all of the time all of the fuck This is why they had to bring in the institutional columnist in the first place to bring this shit in right because like their basic
Models of how humans work were like every single human like sys that and calculates a fucking utility curve
Yeah, figure out whether they're going to brush their hair in the morning was obviously not true
That's what I had to bring in game theory in the first place, right?
they make stupid assumptions like this literally all the time and
Again, this is one of the ones they're making in one of the papers that was cited in here as a reason
They want to know what price in economics. Yeah, I want to read this Molotov Cocktail's paper out to everyone.
Here's a fun little sentence.
An event history analysis finds that riots are positively associated with political liberalization
in 103 non-democracies from 1990 to 2004. Attacks by civilians on police stations during
the January 25th Egyptian Revolution illustrate one way in which unarmed collective violence
can bring about a democratic breakthrough. Incredible. Thank you. We love to see it. Great stuff. We love this. That's a pretty normal
thing from like, I guess you would call it like the center left of like democratic tradition studies
stuff, right? Yeah, it's a sociology paper. Yeah, that's like a pretty normal, it's like a good
life, a good paper. This is from one of the books written by people who won the economics Nobel Prize
Quote chapter 6 explains why several European countries have managed to build broadly participatory societies with capable
But still shackled states our answer focuses on the factors that led much of Europe towards the corridor
During the early Middle Ages as Germanic tribes
Especially the Franks came to invade lands dominated by the Western Roman Empire after its collapse
We argue with a marriage of bottom-up participatory
institutions and norms of Germanic tribes and the centralizing bureaucratic and legal traditions of the Roman Empire
Forged a unique balance of power between state and society enabling the rise of the shackle of the vines oh god
fuck me
sorry this is so depressing
i spent ten years getting a phd in history
and they've just given these people a nobel prize for like jordan peterson shit
they have discovered
like this is the thing
these people have discovered the concept of history
and they've read like four wikipedia articles and they've read like four wikipedia articles They have discovered Like this is like these people have discovered the concept of history
Yeah, and they've read like four Wikipedia articles, and they've used those Wikipedia articles or start doing regression analysis
Yeah, and this is this is what they want a Nobel Prize
Yeah, this is yeah
fake Nobel Prize
like again
like you know in physics what you have to do to
win a Nobel Prize is you have to make a prediction about the fundamental nature of the universe that
can only be tested by building a fucking machine that can measure a vibration of gravitational waves
which is a it has to be able to measure a ripple in the fabric of space-time that is smaller than the diameter of
The fucking nucleus of an atom that is what you have to do to win the Nobel Prize in physics
What you have to do to win the Nobel Prize in economics is
Realize that
institutions affect prosperity
affect prosperity? Jesus...
I just cannot...
So...
This has been the Vibes
Econ will prize episode
I... I don't know
I hope this made your day slightly
better because
holy shit this is the fakest prize
in the entire world. Shout out to
the Economists, like I guess I'm
eagerly awaiting you discovering
some other shit from my 101 class.
So feel free to sign up at any time if you want to get a Nobel
fucking prize in economics, I guess.
All right. Well, this has been a kidnapping here.
I will return.
Yeah, next time they give the economics
a prize for tying their shoes or something. Welcome, I'm Danny Drell. Won't you join me at the fire and dare enter?
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This is It Could Happen Here. Today I'm your host, Garrison Davis. And there sure has been a lot happening this past year.
I am kind of feeling emotionally exhausted and just numb in general.
It's a different feeling from the political desensitization that my job usually provides
me.
I'm frankly still recovering from attending the DNC, even more so than the RNC.
At the RNC I knew I was going to be walking through the pits
of hell and despite the immense evil on display, the sideshow conspiracy theory freak nature
of the event made it almost absurdly amusing. But the DNC kind of broke me. Between the
infighting among Palestine protesters and the insistence from the official
organizers, TM, to oppose any course of action that would actually disrupt the event or apply
pressure to attendees, and instead just use the Palestine protests to promote their little
socialist newspapers and political orgs. Meanwhile, inside the actual event, I was surrounded
by some of the richest, most powerful
people I had ever been around, and just watching them maintain their Kamala is Brat party atmosphere
at all costs and purposely blind themselves to the atrocities happening around the world,
especially Gaza, was a deeply unsettling experience.
These are supposed to be the, if not the good guys, at least the better guys or
the less openly fascist guys.
And like among the American right-wing's unprecedented focus and organized attack on
trans rights, this was the first DNC since 2012 to not feature a trans speaker, and trans
people were never directly mentioned during
the convention's primetime speaking slots.
And now with the election ramping up and the southeast still recovering from two devastating
hurricanes, Israel escalating tensions with Iran, and with the backing of the United States
continuing strikes in Lebanon and Palestine, I am just feeling more lost and discombobulated than I have been in years. So to cheer myself up, I decided to
go to a Charlie Kirk and Vivek Ramaswamy rally at Georgia State University. Now to
some that may sound just completely batshit, or perhaps some form of bizarre
self-harm, but look,
I've been covering far-right rallies and writing about these weird conservative influencers
for years now.
It's almost second nature to me.
Going to these events can feel paradoxically relaxing.
Even though it may trigger some stress, my body just kind of subconsciously knows what
to do in environments like this.
The RNC was so easy, it's like an autopilot just takes over.
And so I thought going to this Turning Point USA event might help reset my brain by giving
myself a simple task that I know I can excel at.
But before we get into all that, first, for those more fortunate than I,
here's some background on Charlie Kirk,
also known as the far right podcaster
with the smallest face.
As a teenager, back in 2012, Charles J. Kirk
co-founded an organization for campus conservatives
called Turning Point USA.
And then in 2019, he founded a sister organization
called Turning Point Action,
which focuses on elections
and conservative political advocacy.
Though initially more aligned with the so-called Alt-Light
rather than the Alt-Right,
Kirk has slowly moved farther and farther to the right
during the past 10 years.
And by 2020, he embraced
election fraud, COVID-19, and vaccine conspiracy theories. Also during 2020, he started his
own podcast, The Charlie Kirk Show, which is now somehow ranked as the number 7 podcast
for news in Apple podcasts. So that's not good. At this point, Charlie has kind of taken the place of, if not surpassed, the role that
was previously occupied by Steven Crowder before his fall from grace stemming from his
breakup with Ben Shapiro and the allegations of abusing his ex-wife.
Through the Turning Point Action Organization, Kirk is more tied in with the actual mechanisms
of the Republican Party than even the Daily Wire is.
Just this past Wednesday, Turning Point Action hosted a rally for Trump in Duluth, Georgia,
just outside of Atlanta.
Trump spoke at this event, and Tucker Carlson made a very fascist speech advocating to refuse the results of the election if Trump loses,
and likening Trump to a quote unquote daddy figure needing to punish the country for being
a quote unquote bad girl the past four years.
It's a huge indictment against Americans' deeply Freudian politics.
Now, the event that I attended on October 21st was a part of Charlie Kirk's Your Being
Brainwashed tour, where Kirk and friends travel from swing state to swing state to debate
college students on camera about why Trump is the better candidate.
Charlie's focus on debating unprepared college students shows how he has kind of picked up
the baton from Steven Crowder and his old Change My Mind videos.
But this year specifically, Charlie's version of this college debate content creation strategy
is more in line with this overall strategy to inflate Kirk's political influence leading
up to the election so that he can get more directly involved in the GOP's Get Out the Vote campaign in key swing states.
As a part of this strategy, Kirk has been on a bit of a media blitz the past few months
to promote himself.
Some listeners may have seen the viral video featuring Charlie Kirk debating 25 quote unquote
woke college students for over 90 minutes. This video from the YouTube
channel Jubilee has over 20 million views. And like, just as an aside, Jubilee is just
so deeply evil. This company claims to advocate for like empathy and human connection, while
turning life and death political issues into fucking game show segments for
YouTube ad revenue, often pitting media-trained conservative activists against just random
clueless liberals. I hate this company, they are so bad, but I digress.
Now I actually attended a Turning Point USA event on the GSU campus last year.
It was a smaller event that was ostensibly about defending the Cop City training facility
in Atlanta.
Though halfway through the event, it just stopped being about Cop City and it just turned
into an ad for Turning Point USA and this other political organization started by Candace Owens called BLEGZIT, which stands for the quote,
black exit from the victimhood mentality unquote. This was one of the most racist events I've ever been to. The main speaker in his best metrosexual attire blamed black people for creating situations
that result in police murders, said that the real problem is that black kids are never taught accountability, and that in the MLK days, people only ever
advocated for more police training.
He also claimed that rap music is causing a spike in violent crime, and ranted against
Jay-Z and Beyonce, and closed by saying that we need to support more conservative rappers
and singers.
It was really bad.
But on the plus side, I went undercover to this event, and when talking with the Turning
Point USA officials, I convinced them that I was actually a student at a different, nearby
university, and I reserved the right to start a fake TPUSA chapter in that school, so hopefully
that will never happen since I'm the one who's supposed to be doing it.
For the brainwashed tour event this past Monday, I dressed like an unfashionable campus conservative
and donned my Reagan Movie Baseball cap acquired at the RNC welcome party, and arrived at campus an
hour early to scope out the terrain.
They didn't announce the exact location for the event ahead of time, so for about half
an hour I just walked around to GSU with the fucking Ronald Reagan hat looking for like
a TPUSA booth.
Now luckily I spotted some people with red mega hats that I tailed to the nearby Hurt
Park, where it was immediately evident that this would be a much bigger event than the
Cop City one I attended a year prior.
In the middle of the park was a big table with microphones set up for questions and
debate, and on either side there were booths with turning point stickers, buttons, flyers, a pocket
constitution and sign up sheets to get involved in their political advocacy programs.
I took home a big button that read, Republicans are hotter.
And I got another, what I would call a brat style button, but brown instead of green,
that reads,
hi, period, stop being a socialist, period, thanks, period.
Not good, not good.
But I watched the crowd grow from like 20 people
to I would say around 200, you know, it got kind of fluid,
but yeah, around 200, you know, it got kind of fluid, but yeah, around 200, 250 maybe. A small
majority were students, or at least young, and appeared to be equally made up
of liberals and conservatives, with the rest of the crowd mostly made up of
conservatives from all ages who came to campus just to see Charlie Kirk. As the
event was about to begin, TPUSA staff moved all of the older quote-unquote non-college
students out of frame of the cameras to make the video seem more focused on liberal college
students.
And after waiting in the surprisingly warm October sun for over an hour, Charles J. Kirk finally arrived 30
minutes late from the official start time, tossing three mega hats wildly into the crowd,
one of which I am now in possession of.
For this leg of the tour, Kirk has been accompanied by the 2024 Republican presidential candidate
with the tallest hair, Vivek Ramaswamy, who by the
way has also won the Cool Zone Media Award for presidential candidate with the most Nick
Fuentes-Gruyper energy.
So there you go.
I can't believe I've seen Vivek Ramaswamy like four different times this year.
That doesn't feel good. But you know what does
feel good? That's right. These products and services that support this podcast.
Okay, we are back. It's time to finally talk about this fucking rally. So I'm not gonna
go over the whole event play by play because there was over two hours of quote unquote
debating that I have neither the time nor the desire to recap. But I will mention some
of the overarching topics and common lines of questioning. Even as the first student took the mic, I
knew that this was going to be a rough day. The first person to quote-unquote debate,
Charlie and Vivek, stated that their quote, primary opposition to Trump is that he's
anti-American and anti-patriotic, unquote. They said that they believed that Trump fundamentally undermines American
values and specifically invoked Trump's rhetoric online about suspending the Constitution and
the January 6th incident.
Look, I don't think this is a very compelling line of attack, especially in a debate setting.
I just don't believe that patriotism is like an inherently good thing.
And I think grifters and con men are pretty darn American.
But Vivek and Kirk responded by talking about
how social media censorship in 2020
was a much greater act of anti-Americanism.
Although later on in the day,
they defended Elon Musk and his running of Twitter,
since he's a private citizen and should be allowed to do whatever he wants with his
own platform.
This is of course ironic amidst reporting from the New York Times that Musk and the
Trump team colluded to suppress information damaging to Trump on the platform.
Basically exactly what the right was accusing the old Twitter of doing in the last election,
but none of that really matters.
There's no such thing as hypocrisy. You can never hold anyone account to this sort of thing on the
right. Charlie Kirk then just went on to deny that Trump called to suspend the Constitution.
Here's a clip.
He never has. You're misquoting him, but let's just look at what he did, not just
rhetoric.
Nice little quick pivot there from Charles. But yes, technically Trump didn't say suspend,
he actually said terminate, which is like worse. In 2022, Trump posted on Truth Social
calling for the quote unquote termination of all rules, regulations, and articles, even
those found in the Constitution."
I don't know how Kirk thinks that saying terminate is better than suspend. Of course
he doesn't. He's just playing this game. It doesn't matter. Kirk went on to lie about
the nature of January 6th and whether Trump literally personally committed the legal act
of insurrection, eventually
saying that even if Trump did, it would be thrown out under the new presidential immunity
ruling by the Supreme Court, and stating that though Trump didn't actually do a coup, the
Democrats did actually do a coup to get Kamala Harris on the ticket. Okay, sure, buddy. Now, part of Kirk's just flagrant January
6 revisionist history was claiming that Ashley Babbitt was suddenly killed with no warning
as she was retreating from the Capitol. And just none of that is true. That just isn't what happened.
The only person to die on January 6th is a Trump supporter killed by one of Nancy Pelosi's
bodyguards.
Okay, even that part isn't true. Two other Trump supporters died of heart attacks and
another died holding a don't tread on me flag after being trampled by fellow rioters.
Now a student countered Kirk's claim of Babbitt's
innocence by confirming that he believes in Stand Your Ground laws, that if you're
breaking into property you can be shot.
Hold on, but Ashley Babbitt was unarmed. Isn't the whole kind of shtick of the
American left like don't shoot unarmed people? If I break into your house and I
was unarmed but I broke into your house, was George Floyd was that a rightful
death? Okay, first of all incredible incredible deflection, but oh yes, as if these two situations are
in any way comparable.
A black man being pinned down and choked to death for over nine minutes, and a woman leading
a mob intent on killing US politicians right up to the last line of defense protecting
said politicians as they try to evacuate the capital.
Kirk tried to make this same gross George Floyd comparison like an hour later again to booze from the audience.
Later in the day, a second student hit the Charlie Kirk debate chair debating on whether Trump is
anti-American and mentioned Trump's recent comments talking
about a quote-unquote enemy within, some enemy inside the United States that poses a far
bigger threat than foreign enemies.
The VEC claimed that Trump was referring to people who shot at Trump, and Kirk claimed
that it was a reference to drug cartels.
So Donald Trump is talking about the enemy within.
He's talking about the cartels that are here that are poisoning our streets
with drugs that are bringing illegal guns into the country.
That is the enemy within.
Yet we say Russia is the enemy.
Russia has never attacked the United States of America.
Curious Russia comment there, certainly.
But like for this enemy within thing, we know that's just not true.
Trump has specifically named multiple Democrats as the enemy within.
It's not about cartels. it's not about people shooting him.
There's just non-stop lying coming from Kirk and Vivek, and none of the students are
equipped or researched enough to call him out on it.
Another common topic of debate was war, and the insistence that Trump didn't start any
new wars, unlike Biden and Harris, who have
personally started wars, I guess, with Kirk crediting Biden for starting the
Russia-Ukraine war by financing the Ukrainian defensive, as well as roping in
Harris by saying that she was quote, in charge of the Russia-Ukraine war before
it happened, unquote, Which really doesn't make
much sense as a sentence.
Vivek later added that Kamala Harris was personally in charge of the withdrawal from Afghanistan,
which again just isn't true. Vivek is parroting a failed attempt by Republican lawmakers from
last September to invent some way to blame Harris for the Afghanistan
withdrawal now that she is the presidential nominee. Harris is only
mentioned three times in the 3,288 pages of interview transcripts from the
Foreign Affairs Committee's investigation of the withdrawal. But by
far, Charlie and Vivek's main focus on the topic of war is just defending Russia.
Trump did not really end any wars in his first term.
In fact, he increased US troop levels in 2017 and raised the number of civilian deaths in
Afghanistan from drone strikes by 330% according to Brown University.
Still, Vivek tried to frame Trump as the much more principled anti-war candidate.
There were multiple arms deal packages to Saudi Arabia for the war in Yemen, and the
US increased its involvement in the Syrian Civil War under Trump. But to Vivek's earlier point, I really don't see a way Trump would
end the war in Ukraine that isn't just giving more territory over to Russia. But to Charlie
Kirk, that might not be such a bad thing, since he seems to be kind of fond of Russia.
You know who is the enemy? China is the enemy. And Russia.
Well, Russia's not the enemy exactly.
How many of your friends have died because of Russians?
Here's another soundbite from Vivek.
Joe Biden and Kamal Harris, along with some Republican help, I'm going to admit,
is sending more money to escalate that war that otherwise would have resolved itself
if we had just negotiated peace back in 2022.
Resolve itself sounds a lot like Vivek just means that Russia would have just
seized territory. And like later on, Vivek argued that Ukraine just shouldn't be getting
any NATO protection at all. So the US actually made a commitment back in 1990 to say that NATO
would expand not one inch past East Germany. Hmm. I wonder what may have been different geopolitically in 1990 in relation to Russia, Vivek.
I wonder if anything has happened since 1990 that might affect certain Slavic territories,
Vivek.
I wonder.
Oh my god.
Now the topic discussed probably the most during this event was immigration.
Even the liberal college students seemed to believe that an influx of immigration was
the biggest problem currently facing the United States. Kirk claimed that Kamala Harris let
10 million new quote unquote illegal immigrants into the country and like no, the total population
of undocumented immigrants in this country has fluctuated between 10 to 12 million over
the course of the past 20 years. Though like JD Vance, Kirk considers most immigrants illegal
regardless of their actual status. Kirk claimed that the quote unquote 9 million immigrants
seeking asylum that have come into this country under Biden
are all illegal because they are quote,
cartel sponsored fraudulent asylum claims unquote.
Kirk said that these false asylum seekers pay cartels
$10,000 to be smuggled into the United States.
They're all illegal because they're,
it's actually we know it to be trueuggled into the United States. They're all illegal because they're we know it's actually know it to be true
It's not the question. They're fraudulent. They're defrauding the American immigration system is what they're doing when pressed for proof on this
Kirk just stumbled and Vivek took over and later just plugged his new movie about illegal immigration
Yes, I mean, so for example, what is the asylum claim if you're coming from?
Yes, I mean, so for example, what is the asylum claim if you're coming from?
From North Korea. Yeah, actually Wow Wow very very convincing stuff happening
Vivek argued that most immigrants lie about seeking asylum in order to enter the country and
Since that's illegal that makes them more likely to commit other crimes once in the United States.
So right now our immigration system literally selects for the people who are most willing to lie
to the US government to get in.
And that's why it's no surprise that the people whose first act of entering the country breaks the law
often continue to break the law while they're already here.
I don't think that's racist or xenophobic, I think it's a fact based on who we're actually selecting to come into the country.
In actuality, immigrants, and especially undocumented or quote-unquote illegal immigrants,
are far less likely to commit crimes than U.S. citizens.
Most research puts it between 40 to 60 percent less likely, at least according to Stanford,
the Texas Department of Public Safety, and the Cato Institute, all famously liberal organizations.
One thing that Kirk kept trying to do is pander his nationalism towards the racially diverse
audience of Atlanta students.
The people in this audience, which is a very diverse audience, specifically Black Americans,
should be incensed that they're being replaced by foreigners.
Black Americans
are now being put aside so that a bunch of foreigners can come undercut wages
and fill your city. The black community which you obviously both care a lot
about is actually not being prioritized instead people from the third world are
coming in and black America is getting put last which seems to be a common
theme over the last 60 years when Democrats are in control. Well, okay. Thank you guys so much. Thank you.
The worst part is that this seems to work. The audience seemed to resonate with this
grossly fascistic framing, seemingly unable to recognize what Kirk was doing. And at this point, I was just like fucking losing it.
Vivek said that if you don't know English, you shouldn't be allowed in the United States.
And like no one cared, no one pushed back on that.
A pro-Kamala person repeated false migrant crime wave rhetoric in her question about
the Venezuelan refugee crisis.
That student said that 300,000 Venezuelan refugees came
to the United States in 2023. And Kirk then claimed that 3 million more would arrive if
Kamala is elected, along with 20 million more immigrants. Kirk promised that if Trump's
elected, any immigrant, whether legal, undocumented, or a refugee, just any immigrant who commits
a crime like a DUI will be immediately deported.
And unfortunately, when pressed to defend or even just openly express their own personal
views on whatever the topic of debate was, multiple students just like completely backed
down, saying that they would rather quote unquote-unquote, stay out of the political
realm. Or in another instance, what are you doing? You're trying to debate about access
to abortion or if all immigrants should be rounded up and deported, but you don't want
to get, quote-unquote, too political? What are you talking about? I'm sorry you couldn't get a fast dunk on Charlie Kirk,
but come on.
But perhaps the most disheartening moment
was when Charlie Kirk was challenged on his opposition
to the Civil Rights Act.
Someone asked why Charlie thinks
that the Civil Rights Act was a mistake.
Kirk started by saying that
even if some of the original intent was good, it's now being
used for bad things, like allowing men in women's locker rooms to the complete shock
of the questionnaire.
Kirk and Vivek then went on to explain why we should repeal the Civil Rights Act.
The fanfare that the Civil Rights Act is met with, it's almost like the new Constitution.
We talk about the Civil Rights Act more than the Constitution, it is cited more than the
Constitution.
We almost had a new American founding in the 1960s with the Civil Rights Act.
So let me share a couple of hard facts with you, which is that it turns out that you're
much more likely to end up in prison, you're much more likely to end up in poverty, you're much more likely not to
graduate from high school
if you grow up in a single-parent household versus a dual-parent household.
Today you're talking about upwards of sixty percent of black kids born into
single-parent households rather than dual-parent.
What number do you think that was in the 1950s before the Great Society?
Probably like 40. It was even less, 20 percent.
20 percent back then. So then we look at what the results
have been of this entire agenda, put the Civil Rights Act, put the LBJ Great Society. Black
Americans are worse off today, even economically in terms of mobility, than they were back then,
in the name of laws that were passed to supposedly advance black interests.
Oh, God. Do you know what that can actually be attributed to? It's the massive increase
in policing and the carceral justice system that was specifically intensified as a conservative
reaction to black people gaining more civil rights in society.
The Civil Rights Act has nine different titles in it, and you have this Leviathan that was
created and something that most black
Americans don't support is men and female sports. Would you agree?
What did you say that again?
Men playing in female sports.
I have not.
Yeah, I know. No, no, for sure, right? Believe it or not, the Civil Rights Act is now being used
to keep men playing in women's sports. So the Civil rights act was used to help black America originally, totally
get that. But now the way it was written is that any claim of identification. So someone
says I'm a woman, therefore I can compete in your volleyball team. They come in with
a civil rights claim. And so what we're saying is, you know, it should be specified to racial,
not gender, all that other stuff. And there were all these other provisions as well.
How sad is it that this kid was convinced
that the fucking Civil Rights Act is bad through transphobia?
It's so fucking predatory what Kirk is doing here.
This was so fucking gross to watch in person.
As the day went on,
things just started to get more and more kooky.
A whole batch of like libertarian, Austrian-trained economists went back and forth with Charles
and Vivek on tariffs, free markets, and the validity of the economic philosophy of Friedrich
Hayek.
This fucking dude with a little mustache who ostensibly got up to debate Kirk on abortion said that, quote, I think my generation has started to abuse the option of abortion, unquote.
Why the fuck are you up there debating him then?
Jesus Christ.
And then, what I would call generously a himbo in a white dudes for Harris shirt said that
Kamala's greatest accomplishment is being an idol after
debating Kirk about FEMA money being spent on illegal immigrants. Meanwhile, Kirk just
continued to spew COVID-19 conspiracy theories to very little pushback.
They were wrong about everything. They were wrong about six feet to solar spread. They
were wrong about the vaccine safe and effective. They were wrong about whether the earth revolves around the sun.
What are you talking about? Oh my god. One student just got so fed up with Kirk's endless
rambling about topics unrelated to their question and decided to walk away, which then of course,
Kirk claimed as a rhetorical victory.
Hunter Biden laptop misinformation, where did the virus come from? Biolabs in Ukraine. I was losing it, and frankly just shocked at how little pushback Charles and Vivek were
receiving for what I saw as very clear lies and manipulative debate tactics.
The majority of people clearly did not think
too hard about the question they were going to ask, or let alone research the topic of
debate beforehand. I saw people in line to ask a question using chat GPT to generate
questions to ask using a prompt about how to debate Charlie Kirk at a Turning Point USA event.
Like what the fuck is going on?
Now, I fundamentally refuse to participate
in quote unquote debates like this
for reasons that I will soon get into.
So I just started taking notes of all the things
Charlie was lying about.
And I was right at the very front of the crowd,
so whenever TPUSA publishes the video
Charlie Kirk destroying silly liberal college students,
you should be able to see me pretty clearly in the background
in my fucking Ronald Reagan hat just furiously scribbling down notes.
Though I would recommend watching with an ad blocker
not to give Kirk extra money. The whole event was a pretty pathetic affair. By my count, there were only 8 liberal leaning
challengers who questioned Kirk, compared to 13 conservative leaning questionnaires who entered
a friendly discussion with Kirk. Out of all the liberal debaters, two backed down because they didn't
want to get too political, and three others appeared to be at least somewhat swayed by
Kirk and Vivek. Now, like, I can't entirely blame these students, right? Like, this setting
is not a real debate. Kirk holds all of the power. he does this for a living, and he fucking brought a friend with him to help. It's two of them versus what? It's Kirk and
Vivek. There's a reason he prefers debating college students rather than
working professionals. Most students are not prepared to effectively counter Kirk's
claims and don't have enough general knowledge on current events to call him
out on every one of his many lies.
And even if they do catch him on something, Kirk will try to project authority to sway
the uneducated audience into believing that he is correct.
Just because teens are chronically online doesn't mean that they have better media
literacy, critical thinking, or know how to determine the validity of information. A 2024 survey by News Literacy America found that only 50% of teens could identify that
an article labeled as branded content on a news site was in fact an advertisement.
Barely over half of teens could accurately identify an op-ed with the word commentary
in the headline as an opinion piece.
44% claimed that a company's own press release was more credible than an independent news
report on the same subject, and 34% of teens incorrectly labeled a random picture of damaged
traffic lights as quote-unquote strong evidence supporting a viral false claim that hot July
temperatures had melted traffic lights.
These teens surveyed said that local TV news and TikTok
were the most trustworthy sources of information.
And 35% of teens said that professional journalists
are more biased than social media content creators.
Meanwhile, 45% said that journalists are just as biased
as these TikTok influencers.
Let's do a test right now.
Try to see if you can determine
that these following clips are in fact advertisements.
["Sweet Home Alone"]
["Sweet Home Alone"] Okay, we are back.
Now, this was technically my first time seeing this format of conservative YouTube debate
in person.
The videos that get published online later get heavily edited down, and while I was going
at it in my notepad, I started to recognize the
repeating patterns that Kirk and Vivek employed to gain dominance in almost
every single debate matchup. So now I'm going to talk about some of these common
tactics used by Kirk. When Kirk or Vivek wants to end a particular line of
questioning or move on to the next person, they'll just restate their own opinions as fact and then end that debate, leaving the impression that
they won. They can just stop whenever they feel like they have made the final point that
gives them victory. Here's Vivek.
The number one human attribute that our legal immigration system selects for isn't who's
smart, isn't who's going to work hard, isn't who loves the country. It's are you willing to lie to the US government or not?
If you are, you get in. If not, you don't. That's the way it works. Thank you so much. Thank you.
And here's another example from Kirk. Black Americans are treated far worse than
illegals in this country. And we have violated our social contract to our own citizens.
And I just want you to think about that. Okay. Is that if you break into America,
you get a flight to the country, the city of your
choosing, you get taxpayer funded luxury hotels, you get a taxpayer funded phone, taxpayer
funded food stamps, whereas many Americans are struggling to even make ends meet. So
thank you so much for coming.
What a convenient way to say a bunch of bullshit without having to back any of it up. Now of
course, welfare programs like food stamps and even assistance to get access to
smartphones since they basically are now a requirement of everyday life, those programs
do exist, right?
Those are important programs.
But those free flights to any city, that's actually a reference to New York City's reticketing
program which offers one-way bus or plane tickets out of the city.
This program was actually started
because the governor of Texas sent 40,000 immigrants
to New York against their will.
And those quote unquote luxury hotels
are actually a small part of an emergency housing program
that utilizes some converted hotels,
as well as airport motels,
and even office buildings as temporary shelter for immigrants.
But I'm sure Kirk would rather these people
just be homeless living on the street.
I'm sure he wouldn't find ways to complain about that too.
A very common Kirk tactic to avoid answering a question
is just to simply flip it around and ask the students
a different question that might eventually
be related to the student's original question, but not necessarily.
Let me ask you just one more question. Can men give birth?
Can men give birth? Yeah.
If they're transgender?
Cue the audience's shocked response. These people probably don't even know if this refers to a
transgender woman or a transgender man.
Whatever.
For another example, here's how Vivek responded to a question about voter fraud allegations.
Do you think Donald Trump committed a coup against the US government?
This was part of Kirk's response to a question about US aid to Israel.
What is your strong opinion about the civil war happening in the Central African Republic?
For another example, a student asked Kirk, what should be done about hate crimes
against Venezuelan immigrants in cities like Chicago?
Chicago.
You would think that we should do about that.
I have a question.
So what part of Chicago are you from?
So these are all just classic red herrings.
Here's another.
Do you admit that the Hamas tried to commit genocide
on October 7th?
Also, simply not what a genocide is.
Now sometimes the students can catch what Kirk is doing with red herrings and deflections,
but even when drilled down on the original line of questioning, Kirk will try hard to
pivot away whenever the momentum is not going in his favor. on technical things that we could talk about forever. Let me just ask a question. I asked you, what is Kamala Harris's greatest accomplishment?
Can you tell me what that would be?
Perhaps the most common tactic Charlie Kirk employs
to maintain control over the interaction
is instead of just stating his opinion,
Kirk will throw a question back to his opponent
with the intent of getting them to say something
that's in support of
Kirk's own argument.
Alternatively, Kirk will ask a question that the student probably doesn't know, like some
specific stat, but something that Kirk already has a prepared answer for, so that he can
throw off his opponent, make them question their own ability to debate, and make himself seem
smarter.
Here's a short compilation.
If there was a policy that made markets more free but hurt your country, would you support
it?
Do you believe that FDR was right in partnering with Joseph Stalin to defeat Hitler?
Yeah, so I guess two questions with tariffs.
How do you avoid a tariff?
Let's ask another moral question then.
Is it ever okay to do something evil after an evil act? Under abortion, How do you avoid a tariff? Let's ask another moral question then is it ever okay to do
Something evil after under abortion. Do you carve out a new morality?
Is there like a different kind of morality that we apply only to abortion at what point does it get human rights?
Let me ask you just a question
Do you know which nation is the biggest supplier of the US military today?
You can probably guess it is your phone paid for by US taxpayers
Let me ask you did you have a vacation this summer in a luxury hotel paid for by taxpayers?
Ten people are murdered in Chicago.
Out of those ten, how many of those cases will be solved on average, do you think?
Okay, so you said he wanted to suspend the Constitution.
Did he do that when he was president?
His argumentative style looks pretty goofy when it's all broken down into its respective
parts.
Now, to circle back to my stance of just never engaging with these bad faith debate spectacles,
lastly, I'll show you what happens when you quote unquote do well against someone like
Charlie Kirk.
I think the only time Kirk was really thrown off was during one of the very last matchups,
with a student asking about Kirk's support of military aid to Israel,
despite his alleged anti-war stance
and his call for the US to pause all foreign aid
until the southern border is secured.
Like usual, Kirk first tried to deflect
by using red herrings and turn questions back on the student.
Let me ask you just a first principle question.
Do you think the Jewish people have a moral right to their ancestral?
Absolutely not.
Religions do not have any sort of right to ancestral ground.
Kirk then failed to accuse the student of anti-Semitism.
Kirk then tried to trick the student into saying that Hamas is more morally good than
Israel.
But the student saw what Kirk was trying to do with his bizarre moralistic framing.
The student, quite wisely, did not answer Kirk's precariously worded yes or no question,
and instead reframed the question in their own words and only then stated their opinion
that both Hamas and the IDF's actions
can be constituted as evil.
Still, Kirk wouldn't relent.
His nonsensical framing was once again rejected.
But then Kirk accused the student of being propagandized and then asked if they had personally
been to Israel to assess the situation,
and this is when everything fell apart.
Well, let me tell you this, that you know that there's Arabs serving in the Knesset,
you know that people in the West-
Yes, I know that there's Arabs in Israel, which is exactly why your point of Jews saying,
I don't like Jews because I don't like Israel makes absolutely zero sense.
I'm just going to go back to this, because I think it's so interesting, though,
which is that I believe that the Jewish people do have a right to their ancestral home.
Well, first of all, that you believe that they should be leveling buildings because that's their ancestral home.
I'm not defending every decision they made.
But that's exactly what they're doing. You're interrupting. I'm gonna ask the next question because you're not arguing a good thing.
Not much to debate because I believe that Israel should exist in its current form. You do not. Thank you very much.
You do not. Thank you very much.
Okay, the moral confusion on the Israel topic is it's hard to clear up in a day like this. Again, like these aren't real debates. If the conversation goes any way other than how Kirk wants it to go,
he has complete control of the environment and can move on to a more desirable opponent. Because beyond convincing any gullible people that might happen to be in the crowd,
the real reason Kirk does events like this is to make content. It's YouTube bait. These debate
videos rack up thousands and sometimes millions of views on YouTube and TikTok. And every single
person that participates, as if these are real
debates is directly helping Charlie Kirk make money and grow his brand.
This TPUSA brainwash tour will continue into November, and I'm sure Charlie Kirk will
keep doing events like this in the years to come regardless of who wins the election. So what's the options to counter something like this?
I'm of three minds.
My default response to stuff like this
is usually just to ignore.
Don't give these attention hounds what they're looking for.
Don't try to debate.
Don't try to own a Charlie Kirk with facts and logic.
There's no real benefit from engaging with him and his ilk
on their own terms.
But there will always be at least a few college students who think they can get one up on
Charlie Kirk.
So since these events are going to continue to happen, even if my friends and I withhold
our participation, the second option is just to simply confuse.
This is what I call the Skibbidi-Biden strategy, one which I deployed against the MyPillow
guy, Mike Lindell, in front of the Israeli consulate as he tried to suck up as much attention
as possible during the DNC.
Mike, Skibbidi-Biden!
What's up?
Skibbidi-Biden!
Skibbidi-Biden what? during the DNC. This was probably my favorite moment of the DNC. This strategy of complete
confusion doesn't just deny the subject what they want, if you're the MyPillow guy, attention from
reporters, or in the case of Charlie Kirk, an unfair debate against a non-media trained college freshman.
But the skimity Biden strategy also eats up their time, prohibiting others from being
able to engage on the terms decided upon by Turning Point USA.
The more time you spend spewing your near-unintelligible gibberish about how Warhammer connects to
US foreign policy, or explaining your made-up
conspiracy theory about how the Haq Tua girl is a CIA asset, all of that is less time for
some 19-year-olds to challenge Kirk on his abortion views.
And annoying Charlie Kirk is just a fun bonus.
Now that I think about it, this is essentially the Patton Oswalt filibuster tactic.
Now obviously Kirk has control of the mic and probably won't let you ramble on about
gibberish for too long, so this strategy becomes more successful if you can get a whole team
lined up in front of the microphone.
Now finally, the last option is disruption through force, preferably in a way that limits
the possibility of creating an on-camera spectacle that can be utilized by TPUSA.
This has typically not been a common tactic used to counter turning point events on campus,
but it may be time to reconsider.
Forceful disruptions were often utilized when figures like Milo Yiannopoulos toured college
campuses back in 2016-2018, and more recently against campus events featuring Daily Wire
employees like Michael Knowles and Matt Walsh.
Historically, this strategy has not been applied to Charlie Kirk as he's been viewed as less
radical than some of these other figures.
But I just don't think that's true anymore.
Kirk is spreading and normalizing hardcore xenophobic and nationalist rhetoric across
college campuses with little to no resistance, not to mention his complete embrace of conspiracy
theories and use of transphobia to undermine civil rights.
There's many ways to disrupt events like this through forceful means.
Sound disruption, visual disruption, physical disruption.
Planning an alternate event to take place at the same time and place.
Big banners with Charles' tiny face carefully placed in view of the debate cameras. Creative opportunities abound, but it requires people to be actively monitoring when and
where these events take place, and actually plan a counter-demo ahead of time, and that
just doesn't seem to be happening at the moment.
And so I thought going to this event would help reboot my brain, cheer myself up, and
amuse me with Charlie's childish display of debate kid politics.
But it just left me more sad, watching hapless kids fall prey to Kirk's transparent scheme,
just feeling like I had no way to stop the train wreck.
But it doesn't have to be this way with a few friends and a little preparation
There is an alternative and hey it could happen here
Well, that's my recap on this fucking Charlie Kirk rally. Oh
And heads up next week. There's gonna be no spooky week episodes for the first time in four years
Sorry, the world has just gotten too spooky this year.
Between the election and hurricanes and the genocide in Gaza and everything else happening,
the world's just too spooky. I'm really just not feeling Halloween-pilled as I usually am.
Hopefully things will get better soon.
But in lieu of Spooky Week, we actually have a special series from James on the
Darien Gap, so you have that to look forward to next week.
Goodbye, everyone.
See you on the other side.
Hey, we'll be back Monday with more episodes every week from now until the
heat death of the universe.
It Could Happen Here is a production of Cool Zone Media.
For more podcasts from Cool Zone Media, visit our website, coolzonedmedia.com, or check
us out on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to podcasts.
You can now find sources for It Could Happen Here listed directly in episode descriptions.
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