Better Offline - CZM Rewind: The Rot-Com Bubble

Episode Date: June 10, 2026

Tech's hyper-growth era is ending, with online 100 million new people getting online between 2022 and 2023, and almost every major web platform seeing a decline in growth since 2021. In this episode, ...Ed Zitron walks you through how tech's decline is driving the tech industry to try and sell you useless products like the metaverse, cryptocurrency and generative AI. Original Air Date: 6.5.24 Save $10 off a year of my premium newsletter: https://edzitronswheresyouredatghostio.outpost.pub/public/promo-subscription/gzqwkv54e1 - I’d be so grateful! YOU CAN NOW BUY BETTER OFFLINE MERCH! Go to https://cottonbureau.com/people/better-offline and use code FREE99 for free shipping on orders of $99 or more. Buy our new “FUCK DATA CENTERS” shirts today! --- LINKS: https://www.tinyurl.com/betterofflinelinks Newsletter: https://www.wheresyoured.at/ Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/BetterOffline/  Discord: chat.wheresyoured.at Ed's Socials: https://twitter.com/edzitron https://www.instagram.com/edzitron https://bsky.app/profile/edzitron.com https://www.threads.net/@edzitron Email Me: ez@betteroffline.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:02:04 So I'm off this week, get my wisdom teeth out, finally time. But I'm going to rerun this episode, the Rockcom bubble. And I want to be clear, this is two years old. It's going to, I'm sure at some point, I'm like, this is going to end in three quarters, which I was wrong about that one. Nevertheless, this is an important piece because I think everything about the AI bubble comes back to the rockcom bubble, which is the idea that the big companies, they run out of hypergrowth ideas.
Starting point is 00:02:28 They don't have a new smartphone. don't have a new cloud computing. And I think this episode is super educational. And yeah, I'm taking a week off. So enjoy this. Remember, it's from like September 2024. But nevertheless, it's very, very important that you listen to this, as I think that this is going to be kind of formatted to the future. Anyway, enjoy. Hello and welcome to Better Offline. I'm your host, Ed Zittron. In the next two episodes, I want to present you with a theory about why the tech industry has felt so weird for the last few years and why there are so many products that have popped up
Starting point is 00:03:19 that don't seem to really do anything or be things that people have actually asked for. And it comes down to a few simple questions. Chief of them, what if the next big thing in tech is actually years or decades away? What if the era of hypergrowth in tech is over? Now, as I've mentioned before, I believe the rot economy is to blame for a lot of this.
Starting point is 00:03:41 It's a growth at all-cost mindset that sits at the core of pretty much everything I've written or spoken about. It's this force that drives businesses to grow bigger rather than better and make products to conquer markets and show growth to the public markets rather than fixing a problem that you or I might have or a business might have or provide a necessary service that was nevertheless popular and profitable. And the raw economy doesn't feel like any other economic period I've seen. It's not like, say, I don't know, the post-2008 financial crisis or that stagnation that lingered afterwards. And what's different was there isn't really a single obvious event that started the decline
Starting point is 00:04:17 of the services we're using, or the companies that make them. And there's not really like a Lehman brother's crater we can point at and say, there you go, that's the thing. The closest I can come is kind of FTX, which was the big crypto crash, the big massive Ponzi scheme that no one really saw coming other than many people who were looking behind the scenes. But other than that, that was kind of what crashed crypto. And maybe it was the end of the zero interest free era where interest rates went up and it was harder to get money, but there was no one thing you could point out. But I do want to try. And I have one epoch, I think, for when the rot economy kind of took over. And I'd want to point to the latter point of the 2010s. Think about it. Like, really think about it for a second.
Starting point is 00:05:01 Sometime after 2019, the tech industry, it kind of lost it sizzle. There were new gadgets, there were new apps, new services, but tech started to feel iterative rather than innovative, yet they were making more money than ever. And by 2021, even the pretense of any gradual improvement was really dropped. It felt like, I don't know, they were trying to sell us things that didn't really exist. We were told that NFTs would replace physical, tangible collectibles, and that cryptocurrency would replace regular money, while also emancipating customers for an unstoppable market force, like inflation or big tech, because of course cryptocurrency came with it, the idea, and I mean idea, of decentralized software.
Starting point is 00:05:45 And this was all meant to get rid of rent-seeking middlemen that were taking parts of every purchase, despite the very same middlemen investing in cryptocurrency. Yet, the actual services that came out of these movements didn't really seem to do anything or improve our lives in any meaningful way. And we were told at one point that our futures were in the mess. and we'd lived in this massive, interconnected, quote, new internet. Yet when we actually got there, it was just this really wonky VR virtual reality space that Mark Zuckerberg has somehow burned $36 billion on. It's all so weird. And today, we're told that we have this glorious AI-powered
Starting point is 00:06:26 future that's just imminent. Yet what we've actually got is this unprofitable, unsustainable generative AI that has this horrible, unassainable problem of hallucination. where it spits out incorrect information authoritatively, which worryingly Google CEO Sunder Peshah has said in an interview with The Verge is an inherent feature of a technology that he's now plugged into Google search, which means it's generating these horrible answers to queries based on the links of a search engine that Sondar Peshai has helped decay. It's all just very frustrating.
Starting point is 00:06:59 And it's also quite useless, kind of illogical too. And at the forefront of this AI boom, is Sam Altman and his $80 billion juggernaw Open AI, a company that claims it's going to build artificial general intelligence, one that experiences human-like cognition, which is just not possible with generative AI. The tech he is selling today is not going to give us AGI. I just want to be abundantly clear about that.
Starting point is 00:07:25 Anytime you read Sam Mortman talking about AGI, he is talking about tech that Open AI does not have and is not building. They may claim they're building it behind the scenes, but they're only working on generative AI. And the frustration you hear in my voice, you might have felt yourself, you might not have, but it's this prevailing sense of, you keep telling me the future is here, but when I look at what the future is, it isn't even close. And the products you're selling me aren't actually useful. Let me give you another example.
Starting point is 00:07:56 Windows laptops will soon integrate an AI-powered search feature called Recall that allows you to search everything you've ever done on your computer in the last three months. and it does so by recording everything, everything, from the meetings you've been into to the things you've written. I should be clear, I don't think anybody actually asked for a feature like this, and it's also inherently invasive. It directly encroaches on your privacy and you security, and it takes screenshots of your machine every few seconds and stores them, along with AI-generated inferences, in a locally held database. This isn't good, and the fact that they're not sending it anywhere, doesn't really make it better. It is, in essence, a pre-installed screen recorder,
Starting point is 00:08:39 the kind of thing that hacker might install on a victim's computer, and if an attacker gains access to it, it's obvious how catastrophic the ramifications are. Or, let's be honest, domestic abusers, people at work. There are people who can get on your computer force access, by forcing you or just getting your password, and they can now see everything you've done. Despite this being an inherently AI-powered feature, it can't distinguish between your regular computer usage and say, sensitive information, passwords, health information, trade secrets, the very obvious stuff you would not want your computer recording. It treats, I don't know, like an email from your doctor with the same level of concern and copying as it would like YouTube or a chat conversation. It's just really bad. And already, White Hat security researchers, they've created.
Starting point is 00:09:31 proof-of-concept malware applications that can pull sensitive data obtained or generated by Microsoft recall from your computer and with pretty minimal effort. And now the UK's Information Commissioner's Office, the nation's privacy watchdog, by the way, they can actually do quite steep finds. It's not great. They're now probing whether the tech actually presents an unacceptable risk to consumers, which, as anyone who thinks about it for more than 12 seconds, or even 5, can confirm it does. It's just very frustrating. And who asked for this? Who actually asked for this? Now, every major tech company, they're integrating AI into their products and services, yet underneath the hood, the AI they're integrating doesn't actually seem to do anything new or generate a profit or solve anyone's
Starting point is 00:10:18 actual needs. Even the companies themselves seem incapable of explaining why AI is such a big deal, to the point that Microsoft Super Bowl commercial for its AI-powered co-pilot assistant featured multiple things that it cannot do. Like, generate the code for an open world game. By the way, you type in the prompt, which on the commercial is 3D, generate the code for an open world 3D game, and you type that in, and it will give you a list of things you should do to build an open world game. It's so strange.
Starting point is 00:10:50 And it's so strange how so many of these companies just can't really explain why this is the next best thing. They just need you to believe them. And maybe that might actually be the problem. Canadian women are looking for more. More to themselves, their businesses, their elected leaders, and the world are out of them. And that's why we're thrilled to introduce the Honest Talk podcast. I'm Jennifer Stewart.
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Starting point is 00:12:22 how she overcame fierce health challenges. I've gone through breast cancer and then helped my mother through breast cancer, and that was more difficult. There's a lot of people who understand postpartner depression. I was not prepared for postpartum anxiety. Listen to Joy, Boy 101 with Hoda Kotby on the Iheart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Happy Pride from the Outspoken Podcast Network. All month long and all year round, we're celebrating being loud, proud, and always original. It's me, Brandon Kyle Goodman, host of the podcast, Tell Me Something Messy. Check out my show for unfiltered takes on dating, relationships, and adulting.
Starting point is 00:12:57 The more you get comfortable with someone, the more their real self comes out, they're going to be gross. What's the grossest thing about a man? Burping. Shut it down. Listen to High Key for the best pop culture takes, and there are no girls on the internet for all your tech news. For your favorite celebrity key keys, check out outlaws with T.S. Madison. Wait, so Luke was the son of Vader.
Starting point is 00:13:17 And Bader was turned by Rupal? Yeah, well, somebody's heard of some old, old, old witch. Learn to love yourself unapologetically with BFF, Black Fat Fem, and start your day with intention with waking up with Ryan coming in July. Celebrate Pride with the outspoken network on the iHeartrain, app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Open your free IHeart Radio app, search pride, and listen now. For decades, the tech industry and its various venture capital funders, they've been remarkably good at coming up with both innovative new products and ways to turn them
Starting point is 00:13:53 into huge new markets for hypergrowth, 100 billion trillion dollar markets that they could then sell into investing companies within actual industries. You had search engines, digital maps, smartphones and apps, social media, cloud computing, Software as a service, electric cars, streaming audio and video. And also another thing, in the period between 2005 and 2024, we've tripled the amount of people on the internet. It's now over 5 billion people who use it. And that's also another problem I'll get to in a little bit. There were obvious, meaningful markets to move into, ways to connect people, ways to get people content they wanted, algorithms to present it to them, ways to sell people things that
Starting point is 00:14:33 solve problems that they had, or either for the first time or solving them faster. like the transition from physical to digital media, and problems that were both important to solve and actually solvable. Tech has perpetually succeeded at building things, new things, that neatly create these new markets, and they've been incentivized by both the public and private markets, in growing these companies as fast and as big as possible
Starting point is 00:14:57 to dominate these new markets, with the assumption that there would always be more of them, more massive multi-billion and multi-trillion-dollar markets to conquer. And I must be clear, you should never assume anything. Between 2022 and 2023, only 100 million additional people got online, which is the slowest rate of growth in the last 18 years. And that's not because the need to bring connectivity to the masses is actually solved, especially in the global south.
Starting point is 00:15:29 It hasn't been. And as of the most recent figures from the UN's International Telecoms Union shows, 33% of the world's population, or about 2.6 billion people, have never actually used the internet. But I have more worrying stuff. I've received some data from similar web that shows that the majority of the internet's top 100 web properties have seen significant declines in traffic since 2021. In the years since the world slowly emerged from lockdown, Google.com has seen a decline of 5.3% in web visits,
Starting point is 00:15:59 as has YouTube, which lost 3.8% of its traffic, Facebook, which lost a remarkable 27.7%. Twitter, which lost 3.5%, Amazon, which lost 11.6%. Twitch.tvy, 17.5% lost there, they're owned by Amazon. Sadly, Wikipedia, which lost 24.8% of his traffic. And here's the thing that really worried me. Porn sites like XVos, 27.4% loss. And Pornhap, 17.1% loss.
Starting point is 00:16:30 When the pawns down, that's when you start worrying. Though you might be tempted to dismiss this all as a result of life returning to normal and that traditional office-based environments aren't particularly conducive to a crafty midday wank, you shouldn't. The trend actually began earlier, with similar web data showing the decline starting in 2019. My analysis focuses on 2021 to 2024 because that's the one I have the most detailed month-by-month and year-by-year breakdowns for. And by the way, I'm going to put in the episode notes links to things so that you can all see this.
Starting point is 00:17:03 I want you to know. This data is very worrying, but don't trust me. Trust the data from similar web. When you look at the trajectory of the web's most valuable properties on a year-over-year basis, things look quite bleak. With Google, which lost about 0.9%. YouTube lost about 4.4%. Facebook, 7.7% loss.
Starting point is 00:17:24 Twitter, 6.2% loss. Twitch, 11.9% loss. And Amazon, 2.7% loss, all still seeing significant declines. Only a few sites like Reddit, which saw a 31.3% growth, TikTok, 11.6% growth and Instagram, 9.9% growth, but trending down every year since 2019, and also LinkedIn, up 17.9%. They're the only ones that are really seeing good year-over-year growth. And while it's important to note that these are visits rather than active users, and in fairness, this data only covers visits made through a browser rather than an app,
Starting point is 00:17:57 this is still a truly astounding trend that suggests for the most part that the web's largest platforms are seeing kind of a digital recession. While there might be revenue coming to these companies and they might still be acquiring no users, there's really no good way to spin the fact that traffic to platforms like Amazon and Google
Starting point is 00:18:18 has plateaued, then declined. Something's shifting downwards and it's been doing so since 2019. Perhaps this explains why platforms like Google and Facebook have kept making changes to make each user journey create more engagement and make it more profitable to sustain growth, because fewer people than ever are actually visiting the platforms. I believe her at the end of something I called the Rotcom boom, the tech industry's hypergrowth cycle, where there were so many new lands to conquer, so many new ways to pile money into so many new,
Starting point is 00:18:50 innovative, useful ideas that it felt like every tech company could experience perpetual growth, just by throwing money at a problem. It also explains why so many tech products, YouTube, Google search, Facebook and so on, feel like they're either trapped in amber or like they've got tangibly worse. Because when you think about it, when there's no incentive to improve the things you've already built, why would you? You should just be working on the next big thing or new ways to juice the thing you have right now to keep people coming back, maybe, but to keep people on the platform,
Starting point is 00:19:22 sometimes by monopolizing an industry so they have nowhere else to go. And that's the thing. All of these companies, Facebook, Google, Amazon, I mean all of them, they've all built themselves on this very simple idea, that they'd always be a next big thing. And I'm not even saying that there won't be, but they've assumed. And the problem that they're facing right now
Starting point is 00:19:46 is that there would always be one around the corner. This belief, that exponential growth is not just a reasonable expectation, but a requirement is central to the core of the rot in the tech industry. And as these rapacious demands run into reality, I'm sorry to say that the rock corn bubble is going to deflate. And as we speak, the tech industry, they're grappling with somewhat of a midlife crisis, and they're desperately searching for that next hypergrowth market. And they're eagerly pushing customers and businesses to adopt this technology that nobody actually asked for. They must keep the rot economy alive, because if they don't, they're going to. They're going to
Starting point is 00:20:22 gonna have to face the fact that they've built pretty unsustainable businesses. Even though they're profitable, even though they keep growing, the only thing that grows forever is cancer. Pride is like love. You feel it in your heart. IR. Radio. Canada's number one streaming app for radio and podcasts, including IHart Pride Canada, your favorite hits and must have party bangers, plus personalized and curated playlists.
Starting point is 00:20:56 Like back in the day pride. Come together, celebrate love. Take pride with you anytime, anywhere. Just ask your smart speaker to play IHeart Pride Canada. Stream us on your phone. Or listen now at iHeartRadio.ca. Run a business and not thinking about podcasting, think again. More Americans listen to podcasts than ads supported streaming music from Spotify and Pandora.
Starting point is 00:21:19 And as the number one podcaster, IHearts twice as large as the next two combined. So whatever your customers listen to, they'll hear your message. Plus, only IHeart can extend your message to audiences, broadcast radio. Think podcasting can help your business. Think I-Hart. Streaming, radio, and podcasting. Call 844-8-4-I-Hart to get started. That's 844-8-4-Ehart. Hey, I'm HOTE. Hey, I'm HOTE. Hey, I'm HOTA.COTB. Today, we're going to have meaningful conversations with the world's most fascinating people, like when actress Olivia Munn shared how she overcame fierce health challenges. I've gone through breast cancer and then helped my mother through breast cancer,
Starting point is 00:21:58 and that was more difficult. There's a lot of people who understand postpartner depression. I was not prepared for postpartum anxiety. Listen to Joy 101 with Hoda Kotby on the IHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Happy Pride from the Outspoken Podcast Network. All month long and all year round, we're celebrating being loud, proud, and always original. It's me, Brandon Kyle Goodman, host of the podcast, Tell Me Something Messy. Check out my show for unfiltered takes on dating, relationships, and adulting.
Starting point is 00:22:28 The more you get comfortable with someone, the more their real self comes out, they're going to be gross. What's the grossest thing about a man? Burping. Shut it down. Listen to High Key for the best pop culture takes, and there are no girls on the internet for all your tech news. For your favorite celebrity key-keys, check outlaws with T.S. Madison. Wait, so Luke was the son of Vader. And Vader was turned by Rupal.
Starting point is 00:22:50 Yeah, well, somebody's heard of some old, old witch. Learn to love yourself unapologetically with BFF, Black Fat Fem. and start your day with intention with waking up with Ryan coming in July. Celebrate Pride with the outspoken network on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Open your free IHeart Radio app, search Pride and listen now. The Rot Economy and Tech's Growth Lust, it isn't new, though. Venture Capital has been incentivizing and monetizing Rot for over a decade, and Mark Andreessen advocated in 2011 that we should look to expand the number of innovative new software companies created,
Starting point is 00:23:30 rather than constantly questioning their valuations. Yet just a year earlier in March 2010, his partner, Ben Horowitz, he advocated for fat startups, and I'll link to that in the notes, saying that you can't save your way to winning the market, and that startup purgatory is when you don't go bankrupt, but you fail to build the number one product in this space and have zero chance of becoming a high-growth company. Which, by the way, Horowitz described this as worse than startup hell
Starting point is 00:23:57 because you are, and I quote, stuck with the small company, even if it's cash flow positive. At the time, this might have made sense to them because this mindset made them quite rich. Even though there's something inherently abnormal about describing being a stable, profitable company as being an estate that's worse than hell. Anyway, I want you to take a step back in time with me, though, and think about how much has changed in the last 10 years, 15 years? Think about it for a second. In 2010, it felt like we were just making our first steps into the digital world.
Starting point is 00:24:37 It was still pretty new. 2010, there was no Instagram, no Zoom, no Snapchat, no Lyft, no Tinder, no Slack, no snowflake, no DoorDash, no TikTok, no Discord, no Coinbase, no Robin Hood, and there wasn't any Venmo or Zell either. Tesla, Facebook, LinkedIn, Airbnb, Uber, Square, Elassian, Octa, MongoDB, Workday, Palo Alto Networks, Asana, UiPath, Spotify, they hadn't even gone public yet. Instagram was still independent. It wasn't part of Facebook yet, and consumer drones, they hadn't reached ubiquity.
Starting point is 00:25:07 Voice assistants hadn't even been launched. Full G, LTE networks, they were brand new. And Amazon Web Services, one of the most profitable things in the world, as I'll get to, was on course to make $600 million in revenue in 2010, which is, by the way, 2.5% of the $24 billion that AWS, on its own, made in the first quarter of 2024. Google and Apple's stock prices were worth less than a tenth of what they are today, and Nvidia, a stock now worth over $1,000, traded at under $3 a share. Between 2005 and 2018, we saw this incredible surge of innovation and tech valuations,
Starting point is 00:25:45 and this kind of seemingly unstoppable period of growth and big, sexy ideas that created big, sexier new markets. While applications existed in 2008, Apple's App Store, and the perpetual nature of connection, that we get from smartphones, it consumerized the concept of distinct service-based apps, as well as the overall concept of software ecosystems, which has become a multi-trillion dollar philosophical and economic force. And it's changed just about everything about how we communicate and even do business. It's remarkable, and also was their new market just sitting there waiting for the hardware and software to catch up with it, and for someone to come up with the idea, of course. connecting people digitally through social media, voice video and so on, it's been central to the hypergrowth cycle,
Starting point is 00:26:33 with innovations like connectivity and cloud infrastructure allowing multiple companies to carve out these $100 billion and trillion ecosystems. On some level, big tech companies could put money through research and development, investment or acquisitions, wherever they needed to as a means of making the future a reality. And thanks to the fact that interest rates were rock bottom and there was a lot of private money going into, startups, they were never really short of cash to do so. At some point, hype began to outpace innovation, and while there were new ideas, the actual fundamental technology required to actually innovate may not actually exist, making a lot of these ideas theoretical and so far behind the cart that you may as well shoot the horse dead.
Starting point is 00:27:19 When Mark Zuckerberg renamed Facebook to Meta, he told Casey Newton, who by the way should feel nothing but shame for accepting this in good faith, that he believed the metaverse was an embodied internet that was a persistent, synchronous environment that resembles social media, but also be an environment where you're embodied in it. That's a real quote, by the way. This is, of course, total nonsense, a total word salad that will make you throw up, conjured up by somebody without any real ideas that knows that they won't receive any pushback on them anyway. Not a lot of even from those whose job it is to scrutinize the tech industry and ask the difficult questions so that people don't buy stupid shit. Anyway, what Zuckerberg had actually built, by which, for the most part, I mean acquired,
Starting point is 00:28:06 was a half-assed virtual world accessed through niche virtual reality technology that nobody asked for that already kind of existed that made people sick and that meta couldn't actually build. And what Mark Zuckerberg wanted to do was built the successor to the mobile internet in the hopes that, quote, the Metaverse, would be another hypergrowth industry where people would buy land, which they didn't, or hang out en masse, which they didn't, or have meetings, which they did not, all while sharing data and watching ads served by Meta and other companies that Meta could sell ads too. In this cynical, horrible version of the future, the internet, neutral, standards-based, and controlled by no single company, would be transformed into a platform,
Starting point is 00:28:46 a feudal system where Meta would set the rules and exact a cut from each engagement, interaction and transaction. It was quite plainly a power grab, the likes of which the internet hasn't seen since the bleak days of Internet Explorer 6 and ActiveX, and if you don't know what those are, Microsoft has some evil things in the past. The tech, however, it was never there.
Starting point is 00:29:08 Mark Zuckerberg sold everybody on the concept of a Ready Player 1 metaverse, and putting aside for a second that Ready Player 1 is a poorly written dystopia, this vision hinges heavily on the idea of technology that completely immerses the use, user and their senses and makes them feel like they're actually in a world, which is just insane.
Starting point is 00:29:28 It's not possible. It's not even close to possible. We're talking about full sensory takeover and the ability to traverse the digital world somehow without moving. This would be a revolution both in cloud computing because just the raw data would be insane, but also immersive technology. Just what was everyone doing accepting this idea? And let's be honest, the reality was just so much worse. You had these nausea-inducing headsets that led you into this horrible, clunky cartoon world
Starting point is 00:30:00 that wasn't fun or practical or useful, and tens of billions of dollars of R&D costs developing headsets that lose money on every sale. It's just insane. By the way, Mark Zuckerberg has spent tens of billions of dollars, and I realize sometimes people don't like it when I get yellow, and I apologize, but where has the $30 billion dollars gone? What has Mark Zuckerberg done with it? Where is it going?
Starting point is 00:30:22 I don't know. I'm not accusing anyone of anything, but the whole thing just feels like a con. And Zuckerberg's glossy meta-vers video, the first one he published when they rebranded Facebook to meta, it was significant in quite a few ways. First of all, the most disgusting bullshit I've ever seen a tech company put out, just complete lies. But it was also a demonstration of the company's future ambitions and directions. And it showed exactly what they hoped they could build. And had Zuckerberg actually done so, I would have said it would have been a success,
Starting point is 00:30:55 but said success would have been predicated on a pace of innovation that we haven't had in over a decade. All longer, I don't actually know how we get to anything close to what Mark Zuckerberg was selling. But $40 billion later, the metaverse is just nowhere near close to existing. And yet he keeps burning cash in the hopes that he can get just one more hit of hypergrowth, man. That's all Mark Zuckerberg needs just one more hit, brother. Let's give me a little more growth. I'll be okay. I swear I won't need any in the future. Putting that aside, I really think this is why Zuckerberg is so full force on generative AI. He shoved it into every meta platform now, regardless of whether it does anything useful,
Starting point is 00:31:35 or whether it's doing anything weird, like commenting on a parenting group that it has a gifted child and telling parents where to take their kids. It's just so weird, and it's the same reason that Sundar Pashai and Liz Reid are forcing generative AI into Google search, even as it misinforms customers. And it's recommending people put glue on their pizza and eat rocks, and it's claiming that Barack Obama is a Muslim, and it's regurgitating stories from the onion as indisputable fact. And it's just, it's very frustrating.
Starting point is 00:32:07 You can hear it in my voice, but it all comes down to a simple problem, which is the tech industry is getting withdrawal symptoms. They're realizing there might not be any massive new markets. They might not be another way to create another billion-dollar arm of a trillion-dollar enterprise. And on some level, I believe that the industry-wide alignment around this unprofitable, unsustainable AI tool is just proof that they're getting desperate and that some of them might be irredeemably washed. Why else would Sam Altman spend most of the time talking about what AI might do? Why else would Sam Altman talk so often about building artificial general intelligence,
Starting point is 00:32:49 a thing that, as I have mentioned, is totally and utterly impossible to build with any of the generative AI tech his company makes, and likely requires kinds of computing that do not exist yet? It's really frustrating, and the rock-com bubble bursting is, it's going to be nasty for bit tech. It's going to wash out at least one of these. companies, and it might take years to happen. But the growth trend is reversing. Every single one of these companies, with a few exceptions, I realize, is seeing traffic declines and they're not improving.
Starting point is 00:33:27 Perhaps they will find new ways, but where are they going to find them? What are the things they're going to do? What happens when none of this stuff actually is the future? What happens when Google search tells someone to actually do something that kills them. How to clean up a chemical firing correctly, for example. There are very real ways that these things are going to hurt people, but putting that aside, even if they don't, they're not going to make them the kind of money and get them the kind of customers that they need to perpetually show perpetual growth. As I said last episode, well, two episodes ago, Facebook is dying, and Facebook's dying because I actually believe Mark Zuckerberg is quite innovative about one thing, which is he can smell blood in the water, except now he can smell his.
Starting point is 00:34:18 I think Mark Zuckerberg realized that this was happening many years before everybody else, and that's why he pushed the Metaverse in 2021. That's why he was talking about Web 3 in 2021. That was a very, very easy year to get money, and it was a year when people were aggressively buying things, so it was a great time to sell new ideas. Also, I think you read Ready Player 1 and he actually liked it, which is so strange. But either way, I do think Zuckerberg's an innovator because he's realized that the hypergrowth era is over, and he's really trying to create the next best thing. Now, notice I didn't say something good or something useful. That's just not in Zuckerberg's DNA, and it's not in Sundar Peshai or Sam Altman or Satchinadellas either.
Starting point is 00:35:02 Microsoft, Amazon, meta, these companies are not innovative any. more because they're no longer engineered to be. When the living was free and easy, when there were tons of these markets to attack and grow and eat and shit out the other way and make money from, they just needed a management consultant mindset. It was growth at all cost.
Starting point is 00:35:20 It was growth all the time because all they had to do was throw more money at the problem and they'd always keep growing. And to their credit, they have been. But mark my words, they're not going to grow forever and they don't have a next trick. They don't have the next one billion user product.
Starting point is 00:35:39 They don't have the next innovation, and I don't think they're going to have it for a long time. And this is why all of this stuff feels kind of weird. It's why all of this stuff doesn't seem to be solving a need that you or I have or even a business has, and it's why so often it feels like they're pleading with us to believe that this is the future. Companies that build useful things that people need don't need to talk. talk about what they're built in the future. You can see it in the things they're selling you today. You could see in the early days of cloud computing
Starting point is 00:36:13 how ubiquitous storage like Dropbox or Box might have existed. Obviously, it's an FTP. Thank God for Dropbox, honestly. But seriously, you could see why these things were the future. And in the next episode, I'm going to walk you through how the tech industry's promises no longer actually seem to match their ability to build things and how this desperation I've been discussing
Starting point is 00:36:36 shows that we're close to the rockcom bubble bursting. Thanks for listening. Thank you for listening to Better Offline. The editor and composer of the Better Offline theme song is Mattosowski. You can check out more of his music and audio projects at Mattersowski.com. M-A-T-T-O-S-O-S-K-I.com. You can email me at E-Z at Better Offline.com
Starting point is 00:37:06 or visit Better Offline.com to find more podcast links and, of course, my newsletter. I also really recommend you go to chat. Where's YourEd.at to visit the Discord and go to our slash Better Offline to check out our Reddit. Thank you so much for listening. Better Offline is a production of Cool Zone Media.
Starting point is 00:37:23 For more from Cool Zone Media, visit our website, coolzonemedia.com, or check us out on the IHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Joy is essential and it's also elusive. But now, there's a new and exciting way to start your journey toward a more joyful existence.
Starting point is 00:38:01 Joy 101. It's a new podcast hosted by me, Hoda Kotby. If you're craving inspiration to maximize your joy, tune into these candid, uplifting, and moving on-air chats. Open your free IHeart Radio app. Search Joy 101 and listen now. Joy 101 with Hoda Kotby is presented by CVS. Hey, this is Chuck from Stuff You Should Know,
Starting point is 00:38:25 and we're submitting our most sciencey episodes for your peer review with our news, stuff you should know doing science playlist. Out now. You want to know about Occam's Razor? Simplest explanation is usually the right one? We got you covered. Wondered what chaos theory is ever since the first time you saw Jurassic Park. Well, come on down. So distill a nice pot of tea, everybody, turn down the gas on your Bunsen burner, and slip into your most comfortable lab coat and listen to the stuff you should know doing science playlist on the IHeart Radio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:38:56 Here's something that should not be as complicated as it is, getting a racist statue removed. And here's something that should be a whole lot easier than it is, getting a new one put up in its place. I'm Akela Hughes, and Rebel Spirit Season 2 is about both of those things. As I was watching these statues come down, I was thinking about what it meant that I grew up in a majority black city, in which there were more homages to enslavers than there were to enslave people. Listen to Rebel Spirit Season 2 on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your Podcasts. June is Black Music Month, and on the Drink Chams podcast, we're speaking with the hottest names
Starting point is 00:39:33 in the culture, like Sway Lee. Do you realize how legendary you are? I appreciate that. I'd be seeing it, but I'm like, man, I still got, like, so much more to do. Like, Prince, he dropped, like, 30 albums. We dropped, like, five right now. Like, that's the rate we got to be going. Yeah, that's a good attitude.
Starting point is 00:39:48 No matter the era, Drink Chams brings you the biggest names and the most unfiltered conversations. Listen to Drink Chams from the Black Effect Podcast Network. on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed human.

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