Better Offline - Radio Better Offline: Adam Becker
Episode Date: September 24, 2025Welcome to Radio Better Offline, a tech talk radio show recorded out of iHeartRadio's studio in New York city.Ed Zitron is joined in studio by astrophysicist Adam Becker to talk about his new book Mor...e Everything Forever, the BS AGI story, why Eliezer Yudkowsky should never be taken seriously, and why billionaires love LLMs.https://bsky.app/profile/adambecker.bsky.social https://www.hachettebookgroup.com/titles/adam-becker/more-everything-forever/9781541619593/ YOU CAN NOW BUY BETTER OFFLINE MERCH! go to https://cottonbureau.com/people/better-offline use free99 for free shipping on orders of $99 or more.Newsletter: wheresyoured.at Reddit: http://www.reddit.com/r/betteroffline Discord chat.wheresyoured.at Ed's Socials - http://www.twitter.com/edzitron instagram.com/edzitron https://bsky.app/profile/edzitron.com https://www.threads.net/@edzitron email me ez@betteroffline.com See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Rothline and I'm your host Ed Zittron.
As ever, buy the merchandise, sign up to the newsletter,
message me on Goot, I'm everywhere, but today I'm joined by
the author of a book about how much I should be punished, what punishments I deserve,
and how long I should be punished.
I'm, of course, talking about more everything forever, written by astrophysicist,
Adam Becker.
Adam, welcome to the show.
Thanks for having me at it.
It's good to be here.
What's the book actually about?
I apologize.
No, it's okay.
The book is actually about the horrible ideas that tech billionaires have about the future
that they're trying to shove down our throthroes and why they don't work.
And so you're an astrophysicist, right?
Yeah, by training.
What is that?
Well, I did a PhD in astrophysics,
looking at how much we could learn about what was happening right after the Big Bang
by looking at what was happening in the universe,
you know, what's happening in the universe right now.
So how did you get into the touching in the world of Silicon Valley?
Because you have to talk about some of the dampest perverts I've ever done seen.
Yeah.
Yeah. Well, I started out my career as a science journalist straight out of grad school and was writing mostly about physics.
And what were you writing?
I was writing for pretty much everybody. I started at new scientists and then moved on to writing for the BBC, wrote a book about quantum physics, wrote some stuff for NPR, the New York Times, scientific American, yeah.
And, you know, like, was sort of having a normal science journalist career.
And then in 2016, the weirdest fucking thing happened.
What happened?
Um, uh, you know, we elected a fascist.
Oh, right.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
And I thought, oh, you know, I should be doing something more to, you know, directly combat this.
If I write another book, I would like it to have a more directly political angle.
Right.
And, um, I live in Berkeley.
I live in the San Francisco Bay Area and just surrounded by tech bros constantly and was getting
tired of their bullshit and it seemed more and more directly connected to the disintegration of
American politics. And I thought, okay, you know, somebody needs to write about how they have
these insane ideas about the future and how that informs their terrible politics. So how long
have you lived in the bay? God. Oh, 13 years. Okay. So you've got like a good backing of where
the bay has been in that time as well. Yeah. Because I think a lot of
of these people are transplants. And they say this is someone who literally moved to the bay for two years
in 2014. Yeah. Like, and even then, it was weird watching what they were doing. Yeah. But wait,
so that was, so you've been there 13 years, but when did the book get started? Like, how did all this?
Because it's, this kind of came out of nowhere in a good way. Yeah. Yeah. No. I got started on the book.
Probably the first inklings of it were around 2019 or 2020, right before the pandemic.
I uncovered a online magazine that was trying to sanewash creationism and climate denial that was being funded by Peter Thiel.
Hell yeah.
Yeah.
And I broke that story and thought, oh, yeah, yeah, these tech bros are awful.
And everybody thinks they know a lot about science and technology.
Even the people who don't like them seem to think that they know a lot about science and technology.
Right.
And it's just not true.
Like, they don't know anything about physics.
They don't know anything about biology.
Peter Thiel thinks that creationism is, you know, plausible or that evolution isn't the whole
story.
That's nonsense.
You know, Elon Musk thinks that we can live on Mars.
That's nonsense.
Or at least he says that.
Whether he actually believes it, I don't know.
But that's actually kind of my question.
Yeah, yeah.
How much of the shit do you actually think they believe?
Because I know Bezos is tied up with the Long Now Foundation.
Yeah.
And they do make nice tea over there in the Presidio.
Yes, they too.
However, the rest of the stuff not so good.
But how much they really believe in this?
Because I just, I, I, I, I, I, you've said that they, this is kind of a homecoming for them.
Yeah.
Yeah.
This is kind of them coming back to the things they truly believe.
Yeah.
I don't think they believe in anything is my thing.
I think some of them don't believe in anything.
Go into, I'm not saying I'm unilaterally right here.
Absolutely.
Yeah.
So like, for example, I think it's very plausible.
Obviously we can't know for sure, but I think it's very plausible that say Sam Altman doesn't
believe in anything. Yeah. That's quite possible. Yeah, yeah. Right. Karen Howell makes a good case for that
in her reporting and in her book. Excellent. Being a guest on the show, she's fantastic. She's amazing.
But at the other end of the spectrum, I think it's very plausible that Jeff Bezos really,
really does believe that we need to go to space. And the reason I say that is he, when he was
the valedictorian of his high school down in Florida in like 1978 or something like that,
he gave a speech about how we need to go to space.
We humanity need to go to space.
But that doesn't feel as ludicrous as a belief.
Like we go to space, but what does go to space mean for this guy?
Well, that's the thing.
The specifics of that belief that he professed at the time are pretty similar to what he's saying now.
And it is pretty ridiculous.
Like he has said very recently, and it echoes the stuff from his valedictorian speech when he was like 18,
that we need to move into, you know, hundreds of thousands or millions of enormous cylindrical space stations.
Oh, of course.
And have, you know, a trillion people living in the solar system.
Oh, yeah, tubes.
Yeah.
Chubs work really well like the hyperloop, for example.
Yeah.
Another successful tube.
Yes, or, you know, the internet itself, a series of tubes.
Yeah, and because those tubes and the internet worked, of course, the tubes work in space.
Yeah, that's, I think that's the logic.
Bingo bongo.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
This is science, I believe.
Yeah.
I failed all the sciences.
I'm really sorry.
But no, keep going.
Yeah.
So, you know, he said then we can like make Earth into a beautiful park that, you know,
allows us to, you know, save the environment.
I know.
And he said when we have a trillion people living in the solar system, we can have a thousand
Mozart's and a thousand Einstein's.
And like, buddy, we probably already have people who are just as talented as Mozart and
Einstein and all the other geniuses of history who are living and dying in poverty.
Yes.
And, you know, you don't care about it.
that and you don't seem to care about climate change because you know the carbon
footprint of the Blue Origin rockets and the Amazon warehouses and all that
stuff right but instead of that he's like no no no the solution is to go to space
why that's not gonna work because more spaces up in space Adam you put the
tube and it's really it's funny because these people are insanely rich yeah but also
sound very stupid yes when you really get down to the chops of it's like what's your
solution Jeff if called the money in the world
tubes.
Chubes of space tubes.
Yep.
Trillion people, Mozart's, more Mozart's, just sweating profusely.
Exactly. Yeah.
And he does try to give an argument, but the argument is hilariously bad.
He says that we need to go to space, among other reasons.
Like, he gives all that environmental stuff, but the thing he keeps harping on and coming back to is he says,
we need to keep using more energy per capita.
Right. Why?
Right, why, exactly. He never says exactly why. Oh, okay. Yeah, he says, the only defense he gives for that is he says, if we don't do that, we'll have a civilization of stagnation and stasis. As opposed to now when there's tons of innovation happening and all of big tech is focused on a diverse series of options rather than one big expensive dog shit thing.
Precisely. He nailed it. Yeah. And he says we have to go to space because, like, otherwise we're going to run out of energy here on Earth. We won't be able to keep expanding the amount of energy we use per cash.
What does the energy do?
Well, yeah.
First of all, what does the energy do?
And second, this is actually my favorite part.
Hell yeah.
He is right that if you just, like, idiotically kept that trend going in a way that's physically
impossible, you know, for hundreds of years, you would run out of energy here on Earth.
Like, you wouldn't be able to keep the energy usage per capita growing at the exponential rate
that it has been.
In about 300 years, it would be using all the energy that we get from the sun here on
the earth. But if you keep that trend going, if you try to do that by, you know, going out and
living in tubes in the solar system, that only gets you like another few hundred, maybe a
thousand years, then you're using all the energy that comes from the sun. Right. And we've still
not really established what we're using the energy for. Nope. Nope. No. So data centers. Yeah.
Finally. Right. And this and this brings us to like the bullshit that Sam Altman said about building
a Dyson sphere out of the Dyson sphere. Oh, God. Explain what a Dyson sphere is. I thought it was the
ball on the fucking vacuum, but I...
Yeah.
No, that's the only kind of Dyson sphere
that actually exists. No, a Dyson sphere
is a
giant mega construction
project, you know, beyond anything
that anyone's ever actually built or
probably could build.
That just encloses a star
and captures all of the energy
from that star. Right.
And... Have we ever built anything like that?
No, of course not. Okay, just making sure.
Just making sure we...
So it's building a big ball around the star to capture all of the energy from that star to use it for data centers.
Where would the energy, how would the energy get from the star to Earth?
I mean.
Oh, tubes.
Yeah, tubes.
Exactly.
Yeah.
So I think.
Battery?
Yeah.
It's so cool.
We live in a study.
I wish I could do what he does.
I would be saying shit all the time.
I'd be like, yeah, actually, we can change the world.
if we just create a series of tubes that just give me money every day.
No, wait, that's too obvious.
I'd need to come up with a better scam than that.
Well, no, I mean, I just think it's pretty interesting that these guys are spouting obvious bullshit
and the only reason people listen to them is that they're rich.
Like, if they weren't saying this stuff, but then I went around saying this stuff,
nobody would listen to me unless they funded me.
If a guy on the street who smelled kind of bad walked up to you and said the price of
intelligence is getting too cheap to meter, you'd be like, all right, mate, I can't do it.
anything, but clammy Sammy says it and everyone loses their fucking shit.
Well, yeah, and that actually, that brings me to something else that we were planning to
talk about.
You know, speaking of weird dudes on the street who are not billionaires making insane claims,
Eliasri Yodkowski.
Oh, that's how you say his name.
I'm not calling him Eliza.
I don't really, here's the thing.
He's a disrespectful sexist, moron grifter, so I really don't give a shit.
Yeah, no, it is rather bizarre that anybody listens to anything he has to say about anything.
So who is this fucking this fuck none?
No, no, no, the alternate title for my book, like in my head, the head cannon, was these fucking people.
Yeah, I love that.
No, no, I write these fucking bastards a lot.
Yes.
All right.
Elisa Yudkowski.
Yes.
Who, what does he do?
Why does, what does he do and why does so many seemingly smart people believe this shit?
So, Eliezer Yudkowski, I'm going to give you, like,
the formal version of who he is, what he might say, what would be in like his online bio,
and then I'll tell you the reality.
So, Eliasur Yudkowski is the co-founder of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute,
which has been around for about 25 years, and he has been researching artificial super
intelligence for all of that time and mostly going on about how dangerous it could be
if anybody built it without ensuring that it would serve humanity.
And this is, just to be clear, he has no scientific knowledge.
Can he even code?
Like, does he have any kind of...
He doesn't even have a high school diploma.
So I won't judge people for that, but I'll judge him for all the rest.
Here's the thing.
Yeah, no, no, no, I'm not judging him for not.
But that it doesn't really make fill you full of confidence.
No, no, no, no.
He has no formal qualifications.
And again, that's fine.
You know, there are many people who have made major contributions.
to many fields of human endeavor without any formal qualifications.
Right.
That's fine.
The thing is, if you make extraordinary claims like he's making, you need extraordinary evidence
and not having those qualifications, like you said, doesn't really inspire confidence.
He has made a series of really outlandish claims about what the future of AI could be.
Right.
based on essentially nothing, based on like reading a bunch of science fiction.
He explicitly cites science fiction authors like Werner Vinci as, you know, inspiring him.
Oh, Werner Vinci wrote a bunch of books like Marooned in Real Time and, oh, God, I'm trying to remember the names of the others.
It doesn't matter.
But he's still a fiction writer.
Yeah, he's a fiction writer who's also, I think, a scientist of some stripe, but I don't remember what.
Still writing fiction, though.
Yeah, still writing fiction.
And Vinji came up with this idea, or was one of the originators of and popularizers of an idea called the singularity.
Right.
So define this term for me.
So the singularity is this idea that the rate of technological change is just going to keep getting faster and faster.
And specifically the rate of intelligence of AI is going to keep getting smarter and smarter until we reach this sort of point of no return where we have a singularity accompanied by an intelligence,
explosion that leads to like self-
What is the singularity moment?
Yeah, the singularity moment is very ill-defined.
Oh.
And the-
I can't fucking believe this.
Yeah.
I've heard this bollocks so many times.
I thought they had a moment.
I thought they had a point.
No, not really.
Are you?
Yeah.
So like Kurzweil, right?
The patron saint of evangelizing the singularity.
The guy who wrote the singularity is near.
And then the sequel last year, the singularity is nearer,
which is the real fucking title.
I know. That's the real title of the book.
But his next book's just called Sorry.
Yeah, no.
His next book is like, it's here again. You see it?
Is the singularity in the room with us?
Yes, exactly.
But he doesn't define it.
He tries to, but it's incredibly vague.
He says, like Kurzweil says the singularity is going to be here in 2045.
He also said in 2005, and the singularity is near, that, you know, we would have all kinds
of nanotechnology by now.
They love nanotechnology.
They love nanotechnology.
They use it as a synonym for magic.
There was a, I swear to God also, there was a nanotechnology bubble briefly, like 10 years ago.
I vaguely remember them trying.
It didn't really go anywhere.
I mean, there was also a nanotech sort of hype bubble back in the 80s and 90s, and it also didn't go anywhere.
And it didn't go anywhere because it turns out that, like, this idea of nanotech is, like,
magic pixie dust that fixes everything is nonsense.
Oh.
And it's a real, like, it's being echoed right now in the AI bubble.
Yes.
Right?
It's the same kind of hype, often pushed by the same people with the same logic,
sometimes working at like the same nonprofits.
I mean, Yudkowski talks about nanotech constantly.
Jesus.
It's in his new book.
It's all over, you know, the websites that he's created.
And...
His book is called, If You Buy This Book, I'll Make Money.
Yeah.
Sorry, it's called If They Build, They Build.
everyone. It's such a stupid
fucking title. Sorry. I've got a man.
It's a very stupid title. I will say. The one thing
I'll say about Yodkowski, I am sure
that he is
a true believer. He is not a...
Yes, he's not a grifter. Why?
Because...
It's hard to explain,
but I am so much more
sure about him than I am about
anybody else, even baseless. I trust your
judgment. It's just he gives off the
air of like a
desperate forum admin.
Yeah, I would say the best way to think about Yudkowski or like the way that I often think about him is imagine like a really smart, self-educated 15-year-old.
Yeah.
Yeah.
And like, you know, because if a 15-year-old was running around saying the stuff that Yudkowski is saying right now, I'd be like, wow, bright kid, I hope he grows out of this.
I hope his parents have a lock on the gun cabinet.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Well, and also like I hope he, you know, I hope he grows up.
Yes.
And I'm still thinking that.
And like, and I don't think Jodkowski did.
I think, you know, I think like, I also think everybody fell for it.
Yeah.
Well, and that's the thing.
Like, he got a lot of support online.
He, you know, he got money from Peter Thiel.
Sam Altman said that he could, he should, he may win the Nobel Peace Prize one.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Sam Altman said that he should win the Nobel Peace Prize.
My falling down moment if that happens.
Yeah, no, that's not happening.
Defense.
Yeah.
there's no way but like look he got a bunch of money from Peter Thiel because
Teal thought that you know Yudkowski was saying smart stuff about AI right teal now
doesn't much like Yudkowski because he thinks Yudkowski's too pessimistic but the sort of the
damage has been you know Peter Thiel ever the optimist oh yeah yeah classic all grins and smiles
with that fellow yes no too pessimistic for Peter Thiel that that's actually bad yeah no it is no
But no, he's a true believer.
He's just kind of nuts.
But what does he do all day?
I say this as a blogger, PR person,
newsletter writer and podcaster and all this shit.
Like, I realize I have an email job.
Fine.
But at least I can tell you what I do all day.
What does he do, like go to parties with people at Kevin Roos and going,
the computer's going to kill us all?
I think that's a good chunk of it.
And I also think he writes an enormous amount, right?
Like, this is a guy who wrote that, you know,
Harry Potter fan fiction that's longer than war in peace.
Hell right.
He wrote like a one and a half million word BDSM decision theory novel.
I say this as someone who writes a lot of words.
That's an unhealthy amount of words.
I agree.
And it does help, I think, for him being able to write that many words.
He's not a very good writer.
Yeah.
I mean, again, I write 15,000 word blogs, so I can't really judge him too harsh.
But 1.5 million words.
How do you even know what it's about at that point?
I only know what it's about because that's what he said it's about.
I haven't read that one.
I did read most of the Harry Potter one as research.
How bad was it?
Really, really incredibly bad.
Any sexism or racism in there?
Or is it just strange?
I mean, it's JK Rowling, so.
Yeah, exactly.
Yeah.
That's a good question.
I don't remember anything specific.
That's good question.
I mean, it's just strange.
Yeah, I mean, he's definitely got a hard on for eugenics.
and
this is somewhat paraphrasing
the comic book preacher
but it's like why do these
fucking guys always look like that
if you're gonna claim
you're like a eugenicist
you should not look like an egg
with a hat on
and I won't get into
I don't generally get into personal appearance
because I'm self-conscious myself
but it's like
if your whole thing is like
yeah we need to make the perfect human beings
it's like you can't look like that made
I'm sorry
You can't do that.
Well, I don't...
I guess you can.
You'll be in the New York fucking Times.
Yeah, no, it's crazy.
It is really crazy that anybody listens to him.
But no, he's really into eugenics.
Why do they listen to him?
He's really into evolutionary psychology, and he's got, like, the sexism and racism that's, like, tied up in that.
Why do people listen to him?
I mean, part of it is that he got that money from those billionaires, right?
He was hanging out in the bay saying the kind of insane construction.
trarian shit about AI that attracts the kind of like brain dead billionaires like Peter Thiel.
And then, you know, he became the guy and started, you know, a series of online platforms that attracted a following.
Right.
Like, you know, less wrong.
And then that spun off this whole rationalist subculture.
So what is less wrong?
Yeah, that's a very good question.
Less Wrong is an online platform that serves slash maybe served as a home and like epicenter
for this movement called The Rationalists, which are sort of formed around Yudkowski's writing,
including this set of writings he has called The Sequences where he lays out.
Oh, he's a cult leader.
Yeah, in a way.
Yeah.
So the rationalists are just people, I'm guessing guys with Trilbies who say that.
we need to focus on rational thought and logic and there's a lot of it i mean some of them are
women and some of them are non-binary that's really surprising yeah i mean look um there are nerds of all
stripes yes and also he's very much playing in the older internet yes he is the idea of a large
forum with any kind of following is actually kind of adorable these days except when it's less wrong
it's not adorable well also less wrongs been around since the somewhat older internet right it's not
been around since the 90s, but it's been around since like the mid to late 2000s. Okay.
And Yudkowski is, you know, a lot of the rationalists are in their 20s and maybe early
30s, but Yadkowski himself is in his mid-40s. Right. Because, you know, he is terminally online.
And I'm sure, like, obviously he'd be unhappy with many of the things I've said about him. But that
one I'm sure he'd agree with, you know, like he's been online since he dropped out of school at
age, what, like 13 or 14.
He's been online since the mid-90s.
Learning from computer.
Yeah.
And like, you know, he was on transhumanist forums, like, you know, since the mid-90s,
like email threads and stuff like that.
Oh, God.
Yeah.
He really, he is like the detritus of the internet.
In a way, brought to life.
Like a catamari of center-right freaks.
Yeah.
Vering ever right.
I wouldn't even say center-right.
I would say techno-libertarian.
But that is just right wing.
Oh, no, it is right wing.
It's the center part that I disagree.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Perhaps he started there when he was 15 before he learned all of the wrong things.
Yeah, I will say he, like, I don't get the sense that like he likes Donald Trump, but he certainly like will parrot a lot of standard libertarian talking points along the way to, you know, making his argument.
The one thing I keep thinking, though, is I don't know if I can shake this thing.
he's a grifter just because you're taking a bunch of 20 year olds, you've got all of this
writing thing, he's either a grifter or a true cultly. He may actually just be a cult leader.
I would say cult leader is closer. Yeah, because he seems to, I mean, dangerous is probably
the wrong word. Yeah, I think that's right. He's not, I wouldn't call him dangerous, but he is.
You think the only dangerous to like a hot topic worker.
A very nerdy hot topic. Yeah, no, no, no, to them just just, just, just, just, just, just,
that he'd speak to them.
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Is there anything to the idea that because you're from Harvard,
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You only got in because your parents made a huge donation.
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The question is, how do you conquer them?
On hurdle with Emily Abadi, we sit down with the most inspiring women in sports and wellness,
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From the WMBA standout Kate Martin and rising hockey star Layla Edwards.
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At our level, at this scale, like being able to fail in front of the entire world.
Like, I can do anything.
I can do anything.
Because resilience isn't just about winning.
It's about showing up, even when it's hard.
Listen to Hurtle with Emily Abadi on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports.
There are times when the mind becomes a difficult place to live.
This is David Eagleman with the Inner Cosmos podcast, and for Mental Health Awareness Month,
we're dedicating a series to understanding the mind when it struggles.
I'm joined by doctors, researchers, and those with lived experience.
We'll talk with singer-songwriter Jewel about anxiety.
I started living in my car, and then my car got stolen.
I was shoplifting.
I was having panic attacks.
I was agoraphobic.
And making it through hardship.
To be present is a learned skill, and it's hard to be present.
We'll talk with John Nelson about clinical depression and the brain implant that saved his life.
What I learned is that procedure made me happy because I'm disease-free.
And we'll talk with leading experts like Judd Brewer about anxiety
and John Hirschfeld about obsessive-compulsive disorder
and the science of how the brain can change.
This is a month of deeply personal and honest conversations
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and what we can do about it.
Listen to Inner Cosmos on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts,
or wherever you get your podcasts.
It's just peculiar as well because,
and this actually gets into some of your science background,
when you got,
my continual frustration,
because I am self-taught with all this economic stuff,
which is insane.
I probably shouldn't criticize you,
Kaczykowski quite as much,
but I will.
I'm a hypocrite.
I, looking through financial journalism and tech journalism,
the thing that I keep noticing is that people keep accepting
things that are just patently wrong.
Yeah.
There's just shit that they say,
like even with this Nvidia open AI,
people are saying,
Nvidia invested $100 billion.
They didn't.
They're investing progressively when they do the first gigawatt, gigawatts of data center
will take about a year and a half, two years to do.
It's just bollocks.
I imagine the last few years have been a little bit mind-bending for you,
hearing all this stuff about AGI and the future and all that gobs shite.
Yes.
Yeah.
I mean, the AGI stuff, which, like, I started working on this book before ChatGPT came out.
Right.
And so it's 2019, a few years into open AI's existence.
Yeah, exactly.
So, like, I knew about open AI.
And I knew about, like, transformer models.
But, like, you know, chat GPT comes out and suddenly, you know, the public conversation shifts in a way that I didn't anticipate.
Right.
I realize, oh, this book is going to have to be a little bit different than I thought it was going to be.
But also, you know, all of this conversation about AGI, right?
Like in a way, it helped me for writing the book because I thought I was going to have to spend a lot of time in the book explaining what AI is, what people think AGI is, right?
There's going to be a lot more explanation.
And then all of this stuff came out.
I'm like, oh, actually, this, you know, I can spend more time in the meat of the book.
This is, this is helpful for me.
Because you could just quote them directly.
Exactly.
Yeah.
But the thing is, AGI is this hopelessly ill-defined thing.
Yeah.
Like super intelligence, this thing that Yodkowski is on about, you know, what does it even mean?
Like, have you looked at the definition of AGI in the Open AI Charter, like the original one?
No, I haven't. Let's pull up.
Oh, yeah. No, it's great. Like, the original charter from way back, it says something like AGI is a machine that can reproduce any economically viable or economically productive activity that humans engage in.
That's a bad definition.
That's anything.
Yeah.
I mean...
That could just mean anything.
It's just a machine that can do anything.
It's both vague and really narrow, right?
Because it's like, okay, I thought AGI was supposed to be like, you know, Commander Data on Star Trek.
Right.
And so that means, you know, it's going to be sort of like humans.
It can do the things that humans do.
Also, economically viable work.
And the first thing they start with is fucking writing.
Yeah.
Like, Jesus Christ.
That's...
Like, oh my God.
Yeah, the first of the most, we're going to build boats and sell.
Like, we're going to buy boats as an investment vehicle.
Like, what the fuck?
Yeah.
These people don't do any real work.
It's so strange as well because the AGI conversation almost never happens about AGI.
Yeah.
Because my favorite thing to do is media go, isn't this slavery?
Because it is.
It's like, oh, yeah.
We'll do an autonomous thing.
We'll make do things, but it will be conscious, which will allow it to work better.
Yep.
And so then you get people talking about like a data center filled with.
with geniuses.
And like, oh, okay.
Wouldn't a data center filled with geniuses
not wanna work for you?
Wouldn't a data center full of geniuses
that can't leave and have to work
be called a prison?
Yep.
Yep. Cool.
Yeah, exactly.
No, I get into this in my book.
You know, the inspiration
for a lot of these ideas
ultimately traces back to mid-20th century science fiction.
Right.
And so you get people like Isaac Asimov, Arthur C. Clark, right?
Asimov's robot stories in particular
If you go back and look at Asimov's robot stories, it is very hard with like a modern eye to look at them as, especially certain ones of them.
It's hard to see them as anything other than like kind of being about slavery and race relations.
Yes.
Because you get like, for example, there's this one short story.
I think it's called, oh God, I think it's called Catch That Robot, but I might be confusing it with a different one.
It might be a little lost robot.
I get those two confused.
But either way, it's about.
a robot that is trying to escape and gain its freedom. And in that story, the humans are like
addressing a bunch of, they're interviewing a bunch of seemingly identical robots to try to find
the one that they're looking for that's trying to escape. Right. And they interview these robots.
And when they're interviewing them, they address them as boy. And the robots called humans
master.
Yeah, and these
stories are from like
1955, like, you know,
the Jim Crow South is alive and well.
It's really bad.
It's really, really uncomfortable.
And then, like, 40 years later,
in the 1990s,
you get Werner Vinji
writing about the singularity
and how great it's going to be
when we all have these robot assistants,
and he refers to Asimov's
wonderful dream of,
and this is a direct quote
from Vingy, willing slaves.
Jesus fucking Christ.
Yes, and that's something that someone wrote in like 1991.
I mean, but that's what this is.
Yeah.
And this is an uncomfortable topic because that's what this is.
Yeah.
It's what pisses me off other than like 19 other things about Kevin Bruce at the time.
Because he's written several things about AI and AGI and one thing about AI welfare.
And it's like the AI welfare begins with slavery.
And if you can't write that, you're a fucking coward and a bitch.
I'm sorry.
If you can't write, yeah, everyone is.
excited about slavery because that's what it is and it's nothing else it's not oh well it's like they
wouldn't be they wouldn't be they'd like doing it and it's like fuck you man that's like it's slavery
yeah what i really hope happens is if a jai happens it's just a just a regular dude yep and he's
lazy yeah and he's annoying yeah like he just just do this uh what i think that's way more
likely as i don't think a g i's possible yeah no actually that's a good question
Do you think it's possible?
Not really, no.
Why not?
I say this is a non-scientific person.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
No, I don't think that you can build, well, first of all, I think AGI is just hopelessly ill-defined.
Right.
But if we want to say, like, an artificial machine that has the cognitive capacities of a human, like, that can do all of the tasks, like, all of the things that humans do.
First of all, I think you're going to need a completely different kind of machine.
I don't, I don't think, certainly I don't think that, you know, scale is all you need.
And if you just scale up the L.
Yeah, give it, give it more data.
And if you don't have enough data, make more synthetic data with more LLM.
I'm like, dude, that, why would it?
No, absolutely not.
But, but I also think that, like, there is, there's this very simplistic set of ideas behind the idea of AGI.
Right.
and the two that I keep coming back to are the idea of the brain as a computer and the idea of our bodies as like meet space suits for our brains.
And both of those are just wrong.
Yeah.
The brain is not really very much like a computer.
It is more like a computer than it is like, say, a clock.
But there was a long history of comparing the brain to, you know, the most complex piece of machinery that humans have.
at the time, right? Before it was a brain, or before the brain was like a computer, it was like
a telephone network. Before that, it was like a hydraulic system. Before that, it was like a clock
or a windmill, right? Right. And it's not really actually like, I mean, it's a little like
some of those things, but the brain is like the brain and the main difference. And we don't understand
thinking, do we? No, and we don't understand exactly how the brain works. And part of that is that
the brain was not built. The brain evolved. Right. Right. But also, we are not our brains.
We are our bodies in our environments, right?
The brain is inextricably connected to the body,
and the body works in an environment surrounded by other bodies in a culture, a society, a world, right?
You need all of those things in order to get the human cognition that, you know,
these guys are so, you know, determined to reproduce inside of a computer.
If you just take a human baby and, like, leave it with a bunch of food,
in the woods,
even if you get rid of all the predators and everything,
that baby's going to starve to death.
Give it a bunch of books, mate.
Right, yeah.
Like, and the baby books.
Yeah, if you give the, if you somehow,
if you feed the baby but don't talk to it,
the baby will not grow up
being able to think properly or speak properly.
Or its thinking will be vastly different.
Exactly, yeah. And so, like,
you need so much
more than just the brain.
It also, I think, compresses human experience.
They conflate experience with learning.
Yep.
When we don't know how,
we learn. Like we learn, we learn intentionally, but also unintentionally societal conditions around us,
how we felt in a particular moment can vastly. Memory is also insane. Yep, yep. We, we experience
the world in, this is my personal experience. My experience of the world is vastly different to my memory.
My memory is like crystal clear and beautiful. And my real life is a mixture of slops. Yeah.
And it's, it's frustrating as well because these people also don't appear to like people.
They don't, they don't, like the human brain is kind of a, like human bodies are, even the dumbest dumb,
is kind of amazing thing.
Yeah.
No, and one of the things that's amazing is, yeah, we don't know how the human brain works.
We don't know how thinking or learning works.
But what we do know is that we don't do it in anything, like, any way, anything like on LLM.
Yes.
Right?
Because the amount of, you know, material that we take in over the course of the first three years of our lives when we go from not knowing a language to knowing a language, maybe multiple languages, is nowhere near the amount.
of material that is, you know, force-fed into these LLMs, and yet we get the trick done,
and three-year-olds know things that no LLM knows.
Also, there's no affordance for the fact that some people can't learn stuff.
Like, I cannot learn languages.
I've really tried.
I'm pretty trash at that, too.
But I also was really bad at.
Like, I was uniquely bad at a lot of things.
I have my various, no, but I have ADHD, dyspraxia and other stuff I won't get into.
Yeah.
But it's, I can't, like, certain things don't, like, the things that I pick up insanely
quickly, other people can't.
Other people can't even see the connections.
It doesn't...
Robert Evans actually had a really good point on the subreddit.
Yes, Robert, I read all your stuff.
Where he was saying that he is very good at, like, picking up stuff, like, almost
me, he can read fast than most people, as long as it's about conflict.
And it's no, but it's true.
And it's one of the remarkable things about the human brain.
And I think that it's actually kind of disgusting how little appreciation there is for
like human bodies and the brain and just how incredible the average person, even average
people are.
Yeah, no, and this is the thing.
These guys don't have a proper appreciation for the human brain and the human body.
And going back to the tech billionaires and I guess Yodkowski as well,
they don't have an appreciation for how remarkable Earth is in particular, right?
You know, they, you know, especially when you talk about somebody like Bezos or Musk,
they talk about Earth like it's doomed, like we need to get off of this planet.
Yeah.
And like, this is our home.
It's a remarkable place.
And there is nowhere that we could get to in the solar system.
There's nowhere else in the solar system that's remotely as hospitable as the earth.
I also think that they want more space.
They want their own land.
They want their own countries.
They want to escape governance.
Yeah, yeah.
They see spaces and escape from politics because they're like living a libertarian wet dream.
Which is really funny because when they get that, they'll immediately do fascism.
Yeah, exactly.
That's what's on the agenda the second.
You cannot run away from politics the minute you have more than one person in a room.
There's politics.
It's just really sad.
And I actually think on a grander scale, they don't have an appreciation for tech.
I was just writing something last night was on the way to New York where it was like, the actual state of technology is kind of fucking amazing.
Yeah.
Like we can message you.
I could message you in town.
You messaged me on blue sky hundreds of miles, thousands of miles away.
I was like, I'm able to write a note that was on my computer that's on my iPad here.
I know that this sounds like boosting, but it really isn't.
We have the raw tools that are just fucking incredible.
And these people do not appreciate them.
They don't appreciate them, which is why generative AI is so fucking ugly, because it's bad technology.
It's not even good technology.
It's poorly run, inefficient, endlessly expensive, and directionless.
Yeah, and it inflicts harms on users that, like, we would not accept from anything that was not subjected to such an enormous hype cycle, right?
Literally nothing.
Yeah, nothing.
No.
If 10 years ago, you, you know, took any, you know, person off the street and said, hey, there's this cool new technology.
It takes up enormous amounts of electricity.
It can do things.
It can do things that, you know, no other piece of technology you've ever seen can do.
Also, it's very good at talking teenagers into killing themselves.
Yes.
Should we release it into the, you know, wider world?
And they'll say, well, no, but can it do anything else?
you, of course, would say, yeah, it can sometimes write code.
Yeah, exactly.
And sometimes it also gets things horribly wrong.
And it writes bad prose.
Yeah.
And it just kind of makes everything feel kind of mediocre and smeared out.
Yes, exactly.
Like, they would say no.
Yeah, exactly.
And it makes some people go crazy.
And yeah, it drives people to actually, yeah.
How do you feel about that?
Like, how do you, like, did you see this coming?
Because this really jumped out of it.
No, no, no, no.
This surprised me.
This did surprise the hell out.
of me because I think that, you know, these machines, I don't even like calling them AI, right?
Because I think that's a marketing term.
It is.
Yeah.
Like if you go back in time to, you know, 1990 and tell me when I'm a kid, hey, I have a little
device in my pocket that lets me talk to an AI.
And then, you know, I would have thought, oh, like that lets me talk to, you know, like,
commander data from Star Trek.
Yeah, yeah.
It would be exciting.
And instead it's this.
And I would have been like, what the hell is that?
No, AI is this marketing term.
It's a text generation engine.
It produces, you know, homogenized thought-like product.
And the thing is, I was also, I'm in the midst of a long one, as usual.
It also conflates doing stuff with outputs.
I know that sounds kind of flat, but it's like that everything is a unit of work rather than actually creating stuff.
that you pay a person for their experience too.
Yeah.
And it's just also not very good at stuff.
No.
It's pissing me.
No.
It's really bad at stuff.
It is.
And I think that's where, you know, this sort of driving people insane is coming from, right?
Like, I, I, like, what I missed, the reason I think I didn't see that coming is, I failed to think about how, like, I knew that these things just generate text.
and in a lot of ways, they just sort of spit out back to you what you put in.
Right.
Right.
Which is an old thing with chatbots that goes way before LLMs goes all the way back to Eliza, right?
Oh, yeah.
And that was the first AI computer.
Yeah, the first chat bot.
I wouldn't even call Eliza AI, right?
Didn't even the creator of Eliza God, no, that's his board.
Yeah.
This is from Karen Howe's empire of AI.
Great bit about it in there.
Yeah, exactly.
Yeah.
No, no, no.
Eliza was just like a hundred or so lines of code that, you know,
you'd say, I'm having a bad day and it would say, oh, I'm sorry to hear that. Yeah. Why are you
having a bad day? Right? But like the gassing engine. Yeah, like that's the thing. I didn't think
about, oh, wait, if it just repeats back what you put in, but it does it in a way that's compelling
and convincing to some people, that's going to just get them sort of caught in this like dopamine
self-validation loop. And that could drive them off the edge. And I think that there is a condescension.
and I judge myself for this where I was like, oh, this doesn't fool me.
And it's like, but the harm also of, I'm very, I'm blessed to have tons of people who love me who also give me clear feedback, which is not just what I want to hear.
But I definitely, when I was younger and very depressed, would like crave validation and crave someone to just tell me what I want to hear.
I definitely never thought, what if someone did and the actual danger of having every fucking thought validated?
and also just the sheer horrors.
Like Matt Hughes, my editor just did a great story
about this kind of horrible story
where he simulated someone going through a mental health episode
and Claude was very clear to go,
yeah, man, you don't seem so good.
Chat GPD was like, no, everyone is out to get you, mate.
Yeah, they're actually...
It's insane. Any other tick in the world that did this,
you'd shut the shit down immediately.
Yeah, exactly.
You close it.
No, but I think...
Where's fucking Elyzer on this bullshit?
Because this feels like if you write a book
about how everyone dies,
this should be the thing that if he,
actually believed in anything. He should be up saying like, hey, look, this is what I was talking
about. Oh, I mean, I do think that he thinks this is like an insipient version of what he's talking
about, like a baby version of it. I think he loves it. I think it helps him out. Well, I think that
he finds that useful for making the argument that he makes. Exactly. That's what I mean. But he is not,
again, the argument he's making, and this is the only nice thing I'll say about him, he means it seriously.
he's not a grifter, he's three anxiety disorders in a trench cup.
Damn.
You put that in the fucking book comedy, he's stupid asshole.
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There are times when the mind
becomes a difficult place to live.
This is David Eagleman with the Inner Cosmos podcast,
and for Mental Health Awareness Month,
We're dedicating a series to understanding the mind when it struggles.
I'm joined by doctors, researchers, and those with lived experience.
We'll talk with singer-songwriter Jewel about anxiety.
I started living in my car, and then my car got stolen.
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I can't think of any other movement in tech ever.
Yeah.
That is anything like this specifically because of how much it sucks us.
Like I can't think of any, maybe the metaverse and crypto, but even then I don't like
that comparison.
Yeah.
Because they were so much smaller.
Honestly, what I keep thinking about is, is that in a way it is taking the daily experience
of the tech billionaires and like bringing it to the masses, right?
because what is it like?
Oh, yeah.
What is it like?
To be Sam Altman, right?
You've got billions of dollars
and you're surrounded by people
who will never tell you no
and validate your every thought.
And they'll convince you that you understand every subject.
Exactly.
Yeah.
And so no.
Well, I've been saying this as well
because if you're an executive,
a machine that can write emails,
read emails,
and otherwise you go to lunch,
it's kind of magic.
Yeah.
But no, I like this idea
that is the extension as well,
just this completely like
separate thing that just is yeah
that's completely right man I fully agree
right and so of course
they don't see the harm because that's
their entire goddamn lives
and so they're like well but if this were
bad for people that would mean that you know I'm in a bad
environment that's unhealthy for me and like yeah
actually it is like but they don't think they don't think that but I
genuinely believe that like the best thing
for the tech billionaires themselves that could happen to them
would be to lose all their money it would be the best thing for their mental
health. Put me in a room of them. Yeah.
No, get me, let me, get them on the show. I think that I could have a great chat with any of them.
Sure. Just because I went to a private school, like, a lot of these American billionaires as well,
they would get destroyed by the average scum aristocrats of old in England, like the real blood
drinkers. So they're amateur vampires. No, they really are, though. Like, it's the classic
thing why British colonialism and American colonialism have never matched up, because
Britain was just evil.
They just fucking murdered people and destroyed communities and they're like, why are we doing
this?
It's because we're British.
This is what we do here?
What do you mean?
What's a moral?
I've not heard of that.
No, what do you mean?
No, no, send my eighth cousin to Africa.
Shoot whoever you see.
Like, that was the, horrifying stuff.
But they knew, they didn't care about what people think.
I still think the billionaires care.
Oh, they definitely do.
Like, this is the thing.
Which is insane to me.
If I had one billion dollars, I would no longer care.
Right.
If I had a billion dollars, I would just try to make sure that nobody knew my name.
And that, you know, I would post the same amount.
Yeah.
Well, I would be posting.
No, I think I'd just be done, man.
I'd be like, oh, okay, cool.
You know, I'm going to donate to a bunch of causes that matter to me.
And, you know, like, I still think it's bad for there to be billionaires.
And I try to change that.
But also, like, I'm just going to, like, you know, hang out in a nice house with my friends and have a good time.
Yeah, that's the problem, though.
They don't have those.
Well, yeah.
Because you've heard that, have you ever heard the really depressing story about Elon Musk and this guy called, here's this investor who got really cooked by COVID, Peter something.
No, I don't think I know this story.
And he told this story of going over to Elon Musk's house and there was a decanter of wine.
And Elon Musk picked up the wine before it was done decanting and then something said something along the lines of Honey Badger don't care.
And I just want to say that's one of the saddest fucking things I've heard in my life.
Just absolutely, just unfathomably depressing.
Because you can get things like a Coravan that can kind of aerating.
There are various ways around iration if you're really feeling it.
And you have hundreds of billions or whatever many, many dollars Elon has liquid,
you could just have someone whose job is to make sure the wine is errated.
They could make $250,000 a year.
It wouldn't matter you.
That's what you lose in the couch.
Yeah, but I think that what matters to Elon is not doing what he's supposed to, right?
So he can be seen as cool.
Or just drinking as quick.
Because otherwise you might feel something.
Yeah.
I mean, I just, he desperately wants to be liked, and it's never going to happen.
It's so funny as well, because it could be so easy for him.
I know.
He could just post his lunch every day and nothing else.
I would be like, Elon, like, but look at, this is actually what pisses me off as well, though,
because people are like, Elon Musk fucking sucks.
It's like, he was sending people up to Aaron Bieber, a science reporter in 20.
Oh, I know, Aaron.
Aaron's a friend of money.
Yeah, it's awful.
And, like, when that happened, not a single, Kara Swisher didn't say shit, didn't hear Kevin Ruse,
Casey Newton on these fucking people thought necessary.
But now, like, Elon Musk is such a bad guy.
He's such a bad guy.
No, he's always been like this.
And also, he called a paedophile for saving children.
Yep.
Because he wasn't allowed to send his submarine.
No, he's never been good.
Like, this is, this is the thing that confuses me about Moss.
I don't think any of these people enjoy anything as much as I enjoy Diet Coke.
Like, I'm 100% sure of that.
Because I love these things.
Like, it's, if this shit's meant to, like, in three years, they're like, it's rat blood.
Like, I'm like, I will keep drinking.
Better offline brought to you by.
Diet Coke.
It's rat blood.
I really hope that they sponsored this show at one point because that's the commercial.
But that's the thing.
Like, I'm only kind of joking because it's, I really enjoyed Diet Coke.
I love sitting down, chatting shit with my friends.
I love watching football.
I love watching football.
with my friends.
It's like there are very basic things I enjoy.
right? You know, one of the many tweets from back when Twitter was less shitty before Musk bought it.
There are many tweets that just like live rent free in my head. And one of them is about the cognitive impact of being a billionaire.
I know the one you're going to say. It ends. It's like, you know, like everything around you is really expensive. It's just a constant series of your own preferences.
Yeah, exactly.
In terms of the cognitive impact, it must be, you know, roughly equivalent to being kicked in the head by a horse every year.
day. Exactly. Yeah. I think I'd be fine, but that's my pathology, I guess. But it,
no, but it's, they have this weird, isolated thing. And even Benioff, who used to seem okay.
Well, I mean, his whole game was like to be the best of the billionaires, which is a low bar.
And then he was just like, ah, fuck it. Yep. Just fuck it. I don't give a shit anymore. Yeah. Agent
Force. It doesn't sell to anyone. No one likes it, but it's the future. Agent Force.
Jesus. See, he's donated to War. I know.
It's so cool. It must be really cool being a guy who actually has qualifications from proving things to watch the world.
All these guys being like, yeah, this is the future. And just articles want to go, it doesn't work. No one likes it.
Yeah. I mean, cool is one word. Incredibly frustrating is another.
Right. This is stymying real innovation. Yeah. Yeah. No, there's opportunity costs and and also just like actual stifling of real innovation in the effort to achieve impossible ends that,
would be bad even if we could achieve them.
So slight directional shift.
Is there anything within like science and tech innovation that you're actually excited about?
Anything you look at and like that's fucking cool.
I mean, MRI vaccines are the first thing to come in mind.
Exactly.
Yeah, they're really awesome.
Tell them up.
I mean, like, look, you know, the fact.
And what is an MRI vaccine said flawlessly?
Yeah.
An M. Wow, now I'm going to call them.
Yeah.
And MRNA vaccine.
Nailed it.
Yeah.
It's the kind of thing that, you know, we have with the COVID vaccines, right?
Basically, the thing that's so exciting about them is that they are so much easier and faster to synthesize.
Right.
Than previous vaccines.
You know, I think the previous record before the COVID vaccine for, you know, how long it took to develop a safe, widely deployed vaccine was something like five to ten years.
Jesus Christ.
And then this vaccine, most of the time delay, most of that year that we were waiting for the vaccine was actually a little less than a year.
Most of that was testing.
That's amazing.
The actual time that it took to synthesize the damn thing was, I believe, on the order of weeks.
And what's crazy is I believe that was venture backed, right?
Yeah, some of it was venture backed.
Which is like, see, venture capital can be useful.
Yeah, it can be.
When it wants.
Yeah.
Some of it was venture backed.
Some of it was backed by, you know, NIH grants.
We do need those.
Yeah, we sure fucking do.
No, government funding of basic research is important.
And not just because it leads to amazing technological breakthroughs like mRNA vaccines,
but also because like basic scientific research is an important thing for humans to do, like the same way that art is important.
Right.
Right.
But it also does enable massive scientific.
and technological breakthroughs.
And I, you know, there's promise for MRNA vaccines to, like, open up a whole new
class of vaccines that, you know, for things that were previously very hard to vaccinate
against.
I am not an expert in the field, but like everyone I know who works in biomedicine, they're all
very excited about this and they're all really depressed by the fact that, you know, we have
an anti-faxer
who sounds like a fork that
got stuck in a fucking garbage
disposal as the health
rise from your grave guy from that one
video. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. It's very
depressing. I
just wish we would, like green energy as well
feels like it has. Oh yeah, green energy was the next thing I was
going to say. Batteries? Yeah, batteries, solar
panels, it's incredible.
And all this opportunity is
there as well. It's not like we need to innovate
like we are innovating
but like yeah and also like we even had the legislation that we needed right or some of it right
like the um you know Biden's big bill the the the bill back better um it uh you know was not a
perfect bill but it was the best environmental bill in American history yeah and and now you
know it's being destroyed because we have a government in this country that that you know
does not believe in climate change and doesn't believe in anything other than short-term
profits at the expense of everybody else.
Yeah.
And also doesn't believe in democracy.
That feels like a big problem, though, the growth at all cost.
Yeah.
I mean, that's the thing.
And that's why my book has the actual title that it does, rather than going with the title,
These Fucking People.
Yeah.
Though these fucking people, or just the bastards, I think is also very good, too.
I think so, too.
I mean, like, there's a...
And it would be so easy for them to do better.
So easy. I know. No, no, no, no. Because like, you know, forget, forget the best thing that they could do. They're doing some of the worst things that they could do. Doing better than they are right now is just an incredibly low bar. But even through like very poorly guided generosity. Yeah. They could very easily. Yeah. They could just fund media outlets versus whatever it is they're doing to them. Yeah. Tearing them down. But that would mean, you know, the possibility of losing control and losing, you know, losing some of their power.
and money and they just are not willing to do that because they've got something broken in their hearts.
We need to heal them. No. No, I think that I think we need to tax their money away. I think that too.
But I think we actually, my truth here is that we need to change how we do that though. We need to
start doing executive liability. We need to make it so if like crowd strike happens again, like a bunch of people
potentially get dying the NHS system because the computer shuts down, the Satchin Adela can lose
something because it isn't enough to find the companies.
Finding the company's not going to do shit unless you do scaling revenue,
percentage of revenue.
This and more in how I become the FTC.
No, they're not going to let me.
But it's just, I feel the, one of the wonderful things of having you on is you're able
to come at this from a science communicator perspective.
You're actually able to talk because it's not just about what these people want.
It's the practicality of it, which is that nothing's really happening.
Yep.
But that's the actual weirdest thing about the real nihilism of this is.
that nothing seems to actually be occurring.
Yeah, and they also act like there's not going to be any accountability for, like,
forget their actions, just even their words, right?
You know, Sam Altman says, you know, like this thing that just drove me up a wall
that he said about a month ago.
He said that, you know, in 10 years, college graduates are going to have really cool
jobs going out to explore the solar system and spaceships enabled by AI.
That is not happening.
Like, on the list of things that are not happening.
We don't have space exploration.
Yeah, no, no, no, no, no, no, that's not happening.
Yeah.
He is just wrong.
He's lying.
Right.
And he is probably still going to be alive in 10 years.
And you and I are also likely still going to be alive in 10 years.
And then we're going to say, hey, remember when he said that, that, you know, now we, we can show he's just wrong.
And he, and nothing's going to happen to it.
And what needs, like, this is why I'm so harsh on media criticism as well.
Yeah.
The one thing you can do is at least say, area man full of shit.
Yes.
Stupid bastard wanks off again
Well this is my
This is what I attempted to do with my book
Yeah
Yeah
And it's
I think that the change that we need in our hearts
Is to just regularly say this stuff
I regularly say in the show
I don't care if you quote me
Just say the shit about them
Yeah
Clammy Sammy he's been promising
He said that this was the year of agents
He said that
I don't but now
I read in the information dot com
The next year's the year of agents
So maybe
I do actually here's a question for you
Yeah
AI 2027
Do you read that
I read a little bit of it.
It's nonsense.
It's nonsense.
Yeah.
Why do you think things like that fool so many people, though?
Why do you think it got the media coverage it did?
I mean, part of it is bad journalism, right?
Part of it is that Kevin Roos has confused.
Kevin Roos has confused reiterating the views of the wealthy, influential, and powerful
with taking a brave contrarian stance.
And how he made that mistake, I don't know,
but I really get the sense that he thinks he's being very brave
when he's doing exactly what journalists are not supposed to do,
which is just uncritically parroting the powerful.
And it feels like it's the large language model, again,
it's just the affirming thing.
It's like, oh, I'm being contrarian
by stepping out against these people who say it isn't making any money
and it isn't very good at stuff.
And it's like, look, buddy, if there's a two sides,
to a debate, I mean, obviously there's more than two sides, but like if on one side you have
the wealthiest people in the world and on the other side you have people who say mean things
about you personally online and you think that, you know, it's the first side that's the
contrarian underdogs.
Yeah. Something is wrong with your brain.
And that's the thing.
But this is, and this I think is a weird thing in our society that we just, people trust
the rich.
And the media has got to a point where they've just breached.
out the real cynicism, because I swear, like, 10, 15 years ago, you used to have some tech journalism.
Like, I read a thing about Amazon Web Services that Kevin Rousse wrote.
And it was actually pretty cynical about it.
Yeah, it was actually pretty critical.
He then made, I feel bad for him because this can't have been his fault.
He basically said at the end, yeah, they'll never be profitable.
No, no, no, it gets worse at him.
A month later, Amazon announced that AWS is profitable for the first time.
Just like, buddy, miss the bean.
Come on.
Wow. Maybe that's the origin story. Maybe he was like, oh, wow, I screwed that up. I guess I better believe them.
I believe the origin story is actual social media. I think he felt, I actually think a lot of journalists think that they missed the boat on social media.
I have been in media relations since 2008. I have read, and this sounds insane, but it's true. I think I've read just about everybody's work since then, within the tech media at least, including Kevin's. And he has always had a little bit of anxiety that he missed social media. Nobody missed social media. Nobody missed social media.
Not a single fucking one since 2008, everybody was on Zuckerberg's Zuck.
They sucked him off at Hardcore. Sorry, sorry. But nevertheless, they were on top of this. They wrote about social media was written about immediately. If anything, I think the media was a little slow to get on apps. Then they gone on hardcore. I know the history of this shit. I have been taking detailed notes. I sound crazy. But I think that there's just, there is this weird thing of like, the powerful would never lie to us. And then Prism came out. And then Cambridge and,
politic happened. And people like, maybe Zuckerberg's bad, but he wouldn't lie to us. He would.
And they're like, well, they know things we don't know. And that's actually another, that's my
favorite AI thing. It's like there's secret things that's like there's secret things, secret things sitting
in the, waiting in the wings, you'll never believe what's coming. And it's just, I actually think it's
just, um, what's his name, Ilya just goes to bars occasionally. It's like, you'll never guess what
I say. You never get this AI around the corner. Okay, okay. No, I, I have a thing to say about
Yes, yes, yes.
When, like, this is me just being petty and making a point that other people have made before.
I would never do that.
Yeah, no, of course.
No, when he announced that he was, you know, putting together a team to, you know, just go straight for safe superintelligence.
He meant to say when he posted this on social media that he was putting together a crack team.
But that's not what he wrote.
What he write?
He wrote that he was putting together a cracked team.
Crack E.D.
cracked. And I'm like, yeah, actually, you know what?
Yeah, I believe. I think that's true. I agree. Yeah, exactly.
I also think, him and Miramirati, I can't. And so for the listeners,
um, Inuits gave it one of the co-founders of Open AI raised, I think,
$2 billion at a $30 billion valuation. Miramorati did a billion,
some amount, some bullshit. Neither of these companies have told their investors
how they will spend the money or what on or what they will build. And you may think I'm
being facetious, Miramorati literally said to investors, I will not tell you, and then said,
I, and has board rights where she can veto everyone. I will be honest, go for it. Fuck yeah.
I think at this stage, if these people are so fucking stupid that you're just like, I promise you
literally nothing. I won't give you, you hogs a single oink. You're not going to get anything
from me. Give me money now. Fuck yeah, go for it. But on the other hand, I cannot wait for the
investigation. I just hope there is one, right? These people are acting with impunity. Like,
and, and also, like, again, accountability just for their words, right? The most basic
criticism of the wealthy in media. Like, this is to shift just a little bit. Eric Schmidt,
right, said about, about a year ago, shortly before the election. He said, we're never
going to meet our climate goals anyway. So we might as well just burn as much carbon and
and use as many resources as possible to get to AGI,
and then that will solve climate change for us,
which is ridiculous because we don't.
That's so cool.
Yeah, yeah.
It's like we have no responsibility for our actions
until we hand them off to someone else.
Right.
So he said this,
which is ridiculous for lots of reasons.
It echoes stuff the Sam Altman has said, right?
It's ridiculous among other reasons because, like,
HGI is not a thing and also because we don't need,
like, we know what we need to do to solve global warming, right?
We know what we need to do to solve global warming, right?
We know what we need to do to solve the climate crisis.
It's just a matter of actually getting everybody to do it.
Adam, Matt, Sam Olman said that they know what they need to do to get to AGI and then said a few months later that AGI wasn't the useful term.
QED.
Well, no, this is exactly what I was about to say about Schmidt, right?
He repeats this claim about like just pushing as hard as we can.
About a month after the last time he said it, maybe two months.
Only a few weeks ago, he comes out in the New York Times.
with this op-ed saying, oh, AGI is not really a thing.
It's so funny. And we shouldn't care about it. It's like, buddy, you were saying just a few
weeks ago that this was going to save the world from the biggest emergency of our time.
And now you're saying it's not a thing. Do you think we're all stupid? Are you that stupid?
What the fuck is going on? I can actually tell you, I think he thinks the media is that stupid
and we'll write and will publish anything he says. I mean, I was shocked to see that the New York
Times published it. I wasn't. Yeah. I would be honest. That's,
That's the least surprising.
No, no, no, no, no.
We've got fucking Ezra Klein being like,
AJI's those, fucking Ezra.
Ezra, what a peculiar fellow.
What a peculiar fellow, Ezra Klein is.
What's going on there?
You ever run into Mr. Klein?
I've never met him directly.
I know people who know him, but, um, no, I think,
I think he just hung out with too many tech billionaires while he was living in the Bay Area.
What is this fucking mind poison?
These people are boring.
Yeah.
These people are boring.
You sit down.
You sit down and have enormous amounts of money.
money and like if you're if you're if you're someone who's never been cool and I've never been
cool I love it I don't I know but like if you've never been cool one of two things happens to
you as you grow up either you desperately want to be cool and that can you know go wrong in many
different ways like Musk and possibly like Klein I don't know maybe like I'm willing to believe that
something else is going on with him I don't know but or you become like us and you stop
a shit. Yeah. And you accept, oh, I'm just permanently uncool. Whatever. I'll make my way through
life. And that's the thing. It's, these people are just disconnected from humanity. None of these
people seem to have friends or loved ones. Because there's just, if I did any of this wackadoo shit,
I would get texts from Casey or Sarah or any number of people who love me. Just like, hey, man,
are you okay? You sound insane. No, Casey would definitely not be, he just like, hey, yeah,
what the fuck you, you, you're okay? That doesn't make any sense. What do you mean? What,
What do you mean a Dyson sphere?
Do you know what that is?
A Dyson sphere?
It's just they don't have friends and I don't know if they want them.
I think it would require a certain level of vulnerability.
Have you talked to any?
Have you met up with any of them?
With the billionaires?
No, I tried.
There's a list at the end of my book of all of the tech billionaires I tried to interview
and they all said no.
The only one who I successfully interviewed was like a lower tier billionaire guy named
Jan Talyn, who's in deep with the affected altruist.
Was it in Skype investment?
Skype and Kazah.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Actually, can't hate him for those are two pretty good ones.
Yeah, exactly.
Though I will say Skype, definitely one of those inventions that I've never seen something just stop.
Yeah, no, it's gone.
Skype just got like, no, I mean trapped in amber.
It was the same product for 50 years.
Oh, yeah, that's true.
And then Microsoft was just like, like, what, Boxer and Animal Farm, bang!
To the glue factory with Skype.
We fucked this up well enough.
It's just, it's also sad, but this has been such a wonderful conversation.
Where can people find you?
Well, I'm on Blue Sky
because I don't want to be on a platform like X that's filled with Nazis.
So Blue Sky's the best place to find me.
I'm Adam Becker.
Dot blue sky.combe.
Or B-sky.com.
And...
Got book?
Yeah, I've got a book.
It's the main thing.
Yeah.
I've got a book called More Everything Forever.
I'll have a link to it in the notes.
Yeah, it is available wherever fine books are sold.
And if you like what I had to say...
on this episode, I think you'll like the book.
And if you like what I have to say on this show, you're a sick puppy.
You know where to find me.
Thank you so much for your time as ever.
I love you all.
Thank you to Paheed, of course, here in New York City, from producing this episode.
And of course, to Mattisowski, the wonderful producer at home.
I will catch you with the monologue in a few days.
Thank you so much.
Thank you for listening to Better Offline.
The editor and composer of the Better Offline theme song is Mattersowski.
You can check out more of his music and audio projects at Mattisowski.com.
WSKI.com.
You can email me at EZ at Better Offline.com or visit Better Offline.com to find more podcast links
and, of course, my newsletter.
I also really recommend you go to chat.
Where's Your Ed dot at to visit the Discord and go to R-Slas Better Offline to check out
our Reddit.
Thank you so much for listening.
Better Offline is a production of Cool Zone Media.
For more from Cool Zone Media, visit our website, coolzonemedia.com,
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