Big Technology Podcast - Cloudflare CEO: We're Ready To Block Millions of Websites From AI — With Matthew Prince

Episode Date: September 2, 2026

Matthew Prince is the co-founder and CEO of Cloudflare. Prince joins Big Technology Podcast to discuss Cloudflare’s plan to block Google from millions of ad and subscription-supported websites unles...s publishers choose to opt out. Tune in to hear why he believes Google must pay for access to online content, how AI is destroying the web’s traditional traffic model, and why the era of SEO is coming to an end. We also cover micropayments for publishers, the risks AI agents pose to small businesses, and how commerce could consolidate around a handful of giant companies. Hit play for an urgent look at the fight over who controls the future of the internet. --- Enjoying Big Technology Podcast? Please rate us five stars ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ in your podcast app of choice. Want a discount for Big Technology on Substack + Discord? Here’s 25% off for the first year: https://www.bigtechnology.com/subscribe?coupon=0843016b Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 In an internet where AI bots now outnumber humans, what happens to the web, and can news information publishers and small businesses survive? That's coming up with Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince right after this. This episode is brought to you by Genesis. If you're following where Enterprise AI is actually going and want to get deeper than the headlines, you're going to want to check out Genesis Experience 2026 this September. With two full days of free life keynotes streaming from Las Vegas on September 2nd and 3rd, You'll learn about agentic orchestration, the new operating model for customer experience,
Starting point is 00:00:33 and real stories from organizations already deploying AI at scale. And I'll be there, filming interviews for our YouTube channel. Experience 2026 is where enterprise leaders learn how to turn customer experience into growth. And you can watch it all live. Register free at genesis.com slash experience slash broadcast. Two and five Canadians will hear the words you have cancer. That's why every step and dollar raised matters. On September 19th, join thousands in Toronto for the Princess Margaret Cancer Foundation Walk.
Starting point is 00:01:06 Challenge yourself, friends, and family to walk 21 kilometers in support of life-saving research. Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcfwalk.ca.ca. Welcome to Big Technology Podcast, a show for cool-headed and nuanced conversation of tech world and beyond. Well, on the web, AI bots now outnumber humans. So we have more AI traffic than human traffic and that's obviously changing the dynamics and the incentives for news publishers, information publishers, and of course small businesses. So what is going to happen to the web? Well, today we are lucky to be joined by Matthew Prince. He is the CEO of Cloudflare. He was
Starting point is 00:01:49 with us almost exactly a year ago talking about Cloudflare's efforts to prevent the web from disappearing. The web is still here, but maybe not as healthy as it was a year ago, and obviously not due to the failure of those efforts, but the force of AI marches on until we will talk about what that battle is going to look like moving forward. Matthew, it's great to see you again. Welcome back to the show. Thanks for having me on. All right. Let's go with the headline here, which is that recently Cloudflare has found that AI bots outnumber humans browsing the web. I can't tell whether that's surprising or not. I think part of me would say, hey, of course, that's happened, and it's surprising that it just happened.
Starting point is 00:02:35 The sort of conventionalism is there's always been a lot of bot traffic on the web, but just talk a little bit about the escalation and AI traffic that you're seeing, whether that's crawling for new information or agents taking action and what it says about the rise in these. type of AI applications recently. Yeah, you know, I'm, I'm certainly surprised. You know, I was asked at Web Summit in November of 2025 when we thought that automated traffic would pass
Starting point is 00:03:04 human traffic online. And we pulled all the data and looked at it. And our best estimate based on trends was that it was going to be in the second half of 2027. At South by Southwest, in March of 2026, I was asked the same question again. We pulled the same data again. And we're like, huh, that's interesting.
Starting point is 00:03:21 It's moved up. is now we think it'll be in the first half of 2027. And so I was, I was floored when our team came to us and said, when my team came to me and said, in May of 2026, you won't believe it, but we now see that automated traffic is past human traffic for the first time in the history of the internet. And I think that that really does just show how fast this is progressing and how fast the actually the derivative is changing,
Starting point is 00:03:48 where the slope of the line is getting steeper. And if we just assume the current trends, what blows my mind is that if you just fast forward five years from now, we estimate now that automated traffic online will be a thousand times what human traffic is. And that's because human traffic is gonna drop. It's gonna be because automated traffic is just gonna continue to rise like crazy over that period of time.
Starting point is 00:04:15 And that's gonna put enormous strain on the resources of the internet. It's gonna put enormous strain on the infrastructure. And it's a lot of what the team at Cloudflare is thinking about is, how do we make sure that the internet is ready for what is going to be, you know, just a complete and total onslaught of automated traffic? Right. And I'm sure you've heard of dead internet theory, but for those who haven't, it's this theory that one day, the web is basically going to consist of bots and automated content.
Starting point is 00:04:44 And the bots will be manipulating that content for algorithmic curation. And so what you see in your social feed is effectively a dead internet that looks like it's real. Yeah. This is obviously a little different than that. Yeah, I don't think, actually the trends we're seeing kind of the opposite of that. It's actually interesting for, you know, Cloughflare started and launched in 2010. And around 2015, the web stopped growing. In fact, it plateaued and then it was even declining slightly over the last, you know, 10, 10 years.
Starting point is 00:05:19 years. And then right around kind of October of 2025, the web started growing again, and it started growing at a rate which, which most closely resembled kind of the mid-2000s. And the content that's being created is not, like, I would not describe it as as automated sort of slop. There's some of that, but there's always been, you know, there's always been some of that. What I think has happened instead is that, you know, people who were not particularly technical, people who didn't have a lot of resources, but they had an interesting idea. They had a story to tell. They had something to share.
Starting point is 00:05:55 All of a sudden were able to use, you know, incredible tools like, you know, lovable or RIPLIT or, you know, with the team over it at base 44, you know, Wix is doing. Like, and then have those tools be able to build, you know, pretty sophisticated applications. And that's like for the first time almost in Cloudflare's history, we're seeing an explosive growth in things which are getting created. And instead of it making the Internet worse, I actually think the Internet's getting better right now. It's just the interface that we're all going to consume it through is going to be very different. It's going to be much more mediated through some sort of an AI interface. But I think it's incredible that, you know, you can, you can.
Starting point is 00:06:43 even if you don't have technical skills now, put together an application, put together a website, and bring that online. And again, I think that that's remarkable. And I think it's actually making, the web is getting healthier, not less healthy right now.
Starting point is 00:07:00 Okay, I actually want to press you on this one, because one of the studies that was done about this showed that, like, for instance, while there are many more apps on the Apple App Store, for instance, their reviews are, going down, right? It seems like the weekly active users hasn't really increased. So, yes, there's been this ability to create a lot of new stuff, but it also seems like a lot of that, I mean, I know you said it's not slop, but something close to it. What do you think?
Starting point is 00:07:30 Again, what I see every day is just people who didn't have the resources of the ability able to create things which are valuable. And so, yeah, is there going to be stuff that's not viable, of course. But I think that the net has been, that we're getting more things there are out there. I do think that we're going to move more and more away from kind of an App Store model because that's not going to be the interface where we reconnect with it.
Starting point is 00:07:53 And the App Store in some ways was an enormous threat to the web. Like it took people away from the web. It was probably one of the biggest, between it and Facebook were like the two biggest forces that really made the web less interesting. I think now putting things back on the web and then making sure that they're accessible across the different AI systems in a way that makes sense for creators
Starting point is 00:08:16 and make sure that creators get compensated is going to be something which actually I think will re-inviolize the web and it's exactly what we have been seeing. And again, I have both just personal examples from colleagues, family who have been able to get online and tell things, but then also professional examples where every day, I'm getting letters from people who are like, I'm able to do something that I was just never thought I would be capable of doing before. And using some of these, again, incredible tools that are out there combined with the infrastructure that someone like Cloudflare provides very cost effectively.
Starting point is 00:08:57 I think it's actually making it so that humans assisted with AI are more creative than they've ever been. Okay, I'm just going to pause to say when I built the website for our summit, which happened in June, and when I'm saying I should really put quotes around it, it was mostly the ClaudeCode harness hooking into the Cloudflare agent that went out and set up all these accounts for me and then built the site. I mean, it's better.
Starting point is 00:09:26 Like compare that with what you would have had to do in the past, which is, you know, hire a whole... I wouldn't be able to. There's no way. I couldn't even start. The resources would... Like, you alone would be able to start, so you'd hire someone to do it. And yeah, so that has enabled you to do.
Starting point is 00:09:40 do more interesting things. And I think that that's what technology at its best does. Is it it empowers more people to have access to something than they had they had before. We're doing this, you know, remote, even just 10 years ago, like what would it have cost to do like a live video setup with, you know, 4K video, you know, in two different places? I mean, it would have been hundreds of thousands of dollars just to have the studio time or, you know, set up cameras in order to do this. And yet we've been able to do this.
Starting point is 00:10:11 I think AI is no different. It's going to enable more people to be able to be creative and do interesting things. And if we get the incentives right, then hopefully it also makes it so that we can have more interest into the market place. I think there's like figuring out what's the business model of the next five years of the internet. I mean, over the next five years, figuring out what the business model of the next 30 years of the internet, like that's the most most interesting and important question in technology today by far. Right. If we get that right, I think it's, we're about to be on a golden age of content creation.
Starting point is 00:10:48 And it could be incredible. If we get it wrong, you know, there's a, we can, it's easy to list what the parade of horribles could be. Yeah. And so let's dig into this, right? Because on, there's two sides of it. There's the content creation side. And then there is the browsing of that content. And this is sort of picking up a little bit about,
Starting point is 00:11:09 we spoke about last year is more and more that content is being crawled or accessed by AI. Right. So you've seen this massive increase in AI traffic to websites in the past year to the point where it's now overtaken humans. So do you have any visibility into whether that is AI bots accessing it to train new models primarily, agents using those websites as a human would, or maybe a query at test time. So as the bot is trying to find an answer, it goes to a site and it ends up bringing that back into the chatbot interface without a person actually going to the website itself. So what are the proportions if you have any sense of that? I mean, it's all of the above. And so I think all of those will drive things.
Starting point is 00:12:04 there's definitely an uptick in training as more model providers are coming online. I mean, I don't think that, you know, like, open AI is, you know, crawling a little bit more than they did, you know, a year ago, Anthropics crawling a little bit more than they did a year ago. But it's more that we've just got more people building models. And I think that's great. Like, we should have, like, the world shouldn't be five, you know, frontier model providers. It should be 500,000. And how do we make it so that that's available?
Starting point is 00:12:29 I think at the same time, you've got sort of agents that are operating on their own. That's probably the smallest of the categories right now. I think that that will grow and become a pretty large category. But right now, that sort of agent-to-agent kind of commerce and things is less. Like that's more of a future thing than a present thing. And then I think you are getting more of the, you know, AI acting almost as on behalf of humans going out and accessing things. But I think it's almost, you know, it's wrong to say that they're acting exactly like humans do.
Starting point is 00:13:01 I mean, the scale is just dramatically different. I'm shopping for a digital camera, unassisted by an agent, I might visit me. If I'm really interested, I might visit five websites, you know, and on every website, maybe visit out of 10 pages or something like that. My agent is going to visit a thousand websites and visit every page on all of them. And so like the load that that then puts on this, especially if there's no, there's no financial disincentive to just crawl everything, right, is pretty substantial. Now, I think you have got to balance that against, you know, what's,
Starting point is 00:13:34 what's the benefit to the user and the fact that agents are infinitely patient, that they, you know, that they, that they will look through everything. I think that that's, that's, that's really good for end users. But there's servers behind, you know, every one of those requests. There's bandwidth that has to, you know, get paid for. There's content that had to get created. And so there's got to be some exchange of value. And if the AI outcomes are just taking without, you know, without returning some sort of value, then that, then that just doesn't make sense. And so that's, that's again, what I think we've got to, we've got to figure out. Right. So I think that what, you know, when you talk about this in your view is that we're eventually going to go to, I think you says, a thousand times more bot traffic than you know traffic, right? In five years, which is crazy. Okay, first of all, just quick.
Starting point is 00:14:19 And you need some sense of how like, how intense this is. The internet, European internet came this close to completely collapsing in COVID. Because in COVID, over a period of two weeks, internet traffic doubled, and especially doubled for video streaming, which was a very high bandwidth. It does a thing, but I remember being on a phone call with senior leaders at Netflix, Disney, Akamai, YouTube, all the major streaming platforms. And it was basically like this Mexican standoff where nobody wanted to reduce the quality of their video stream because, you know, they were like, people pay for us because we have, you know, 4K video and we're not going to reduce it. But what was happening was everyone was their kid, like in Europe, everyone was putting their kids in front of the TV, you know, streaming first thing in the morning. And that was unfortunately lining up with Asia where everyone was getting, you know, was turning after dinner was turning on, you know, something to watch. And it was just causing so much traffic that we were, we were running out of capacity online.
Starting point is 00:15:29 And eventually people had to, we had to cut their video streaming resolution down in order to make sure the European internet stayed online. And by the way, if the European had fallen over, then Asia would have been next. The U.S. would have been okay for a little bit longer. But at some level, like there's a finite capacity to all this stuff. So you've got to be able to support it. And that was at 2x. At 1,000x, it's going to be completely different. So again, we're spending a bunch of time trying to figure out how do we make sure that the technologies are ready.
Starting point is 00:15:59 WordPress, most popular platform for hosting content that's out there, is run a programming language called PHP, not the most efficient programming language. And so we're like, listen, we want to support the WordPress community. We want to make sure WordPress is successful. But if it costs, I was meeting with one of the largest WordPress hosts a little bit ago, and they said, you know, it is, it costs about $3.17 to host a website on WordPress. And then we charge like $12.99 to it. And that's sort of what their business is.
Starting point is 00:16:30 I was like, if traffic went up 1000 X, what would happen? And they're like, well, then it would cost us over $3,000 to host that website. And again, the average WordPress user isn't going to be willing to spend over $3,000 to host their WordPress website. So we've got to change some of these fundamental technologies. And again, I think in the best case, it's still the user interface in the ecosystem, everything that people have come to love about WordPress. But what the underlying technologies made much, much, much more efficient so that you
Starting point is 00:16:58 you can actually scale to what's coming. And that's, that, that volume of what's coming is just, is just, again, it's almost inconceivable to, to think about. All right, we have to spend some time talking about this because this is very interesting. So first of all, to anticipate a 1000x increase in web traffic coming from bots in five years, I mean, yes, like, you know, we've seen, or you've seen quite an increase recently, but And a thousand X is a crazy number. So what is going to make up that thousand X?
Starting point is 00:17:35 Like what makes you believe that that's going to be the case? We just look at the trends right now. I mean, in May, we saw that, you know, the automated traffic crossed. And we kind of extrapolate out what that rate of change is. And then we assume that, again, the exponent is going to increase on that. Because it's, you know, it's still way underprivile. penetrated with what's there, but we've got to invent new technologies in order to support it. So just to give you some success, let's imagine that just every knowledge worker on Earth
Starting point is 00:18:08 had an agent that was working for them 24-7, right, helping them do their job. And again, that seems reasonable. Like every knowledge worker is going to have some agent that's working for them. Very few do today, really. But over time, like that becomes reasonable. with that and putting GPUs aside, just looking at CPUs, if every one of those agents ran in a traditional container, like, you know, which is, which is not even a VM, not even its own server, but just a container, right? You would need more than 40 times the current CPU production in
Starting point is 00:18:50 a calendar year in order to support that level. And that's with one agent. I would guess that most knowledge workers are going to have many agents. They're going to be working on their behalf. So using the current technology, we don't have the ability to support what's coming. And so again, what we're spending a lot of time at Cloudflare is thinking about like, okay, like we went from servers to VMs to containers
Starting point is 00:19:13 in order to get more efficient. But even containers, you've got to pull in an entire operating system, you've got to build all the tool chain, all this stuff. It's pretty heavy weight. So what's even lighter weight in order to support what's coming in? And a lot of what we've built with our developer platform, which we call workers, and leaning
Starting point is 00:19:31 heavily on technologies like isolates that allow you to have much, much, much, much lighter weight services. We think that those are the sorts of things that the Internet's going to have to have if it's going to be able to continue to scale to support the level of agent traffic that just is inherent to what I think the future holds. So just to put a fine point on it, the increase is going to be agent-driven. right, that 1,000 increase is an eye agent. Or humans interacting with their agents, right?
Starting point is 00:20:01 So it's going to be automated. And again, the way to just think about it is, again, we've, if you've used chat GPT, if you've used Claude, if you've used GROC, like, and you play with them and you just ask them a question, just count how many websites. Like, you ask a lot of sites. A lot of questions. And it's just goes, br-gr across everything. Like now imagine that not in the hands of, you know, probably about 1% of global knowledge
Starting point is 00:20:24 workers, like in terms of using it in a regular basis, just scale that up to 100% of knowledge workers. And instead of it being something that you use maybe once or twice a day, it's something you're using for every task. And it's really easy to just see how a thousand X is not in five years is not only inconceivable, but it might actually be a low estimate. Yeah, that is crazy. So basically last year we talked about the economics for publishers might not make sense
Starting point is 00:20:50 because if you're paying somebody to write, you know, an article and, you know, and anthropic crawls it and drops it into clawed, then they sort of get cut out of the value proposition. That's right. But now a year later, you know, as we've seen this rise in agentic traffic, the problem actually is much broader because now a website that you might not have even needed to invest a lot into making the content for if they get faced with this increase of traffic could cost much, much more to upkeep.
Starting point is 00:21:20 And then the economics of, you know, even sustaining them become questionable. if you can't find a way to do it more efficiently. So I think the thing that's that's really important is that different content creators, different publishers, different app developers are going to have different preferences that are there. And in Cloudflare, what we believe is we want to make it as efficient as possible for the companies that want their content in AI. And we want to create the systems and incentives for those companies that don't want their content in AI, and especially if they're not compensated for it to be able to control that.
Starting point is 00:21:48 But let's talk about the majority. The majority of companies that are out there, the majority of content that's created, they actually want that content in AI, like Cloudflare. Like our knowledge base is a way of us sharing how to use Cloudflare really well. And we want to make sure that every AI system has it and has access to it. And so like for that, what we have to do is figure out how to make it as efficient as possible. How do we make sure that we're not delivering a big, heavy HTML page, but just the markdown that is actually required? How do we make sure that we can actually get systems into AI as efficiently as possible with cash
Starting point is 00:22:23 and other things that are out there. And our goal has to be, how do we make every time we serve a page one one thousandth of the cost of what it used to be? Because that's the only way that we're going to stay ahead of the demand, which is coming down for those companies that want to have their content in AI. There's a different class of companies and they tend to be companies that are either ad supported or subscription supported. And in those cases, AI, that's where that people are feeling like their content is being stolen from them. And in those cases, again, different from the majority of companies, but in those cases, those publishers want to have the controls to say, you can only get my content if you compensate me for it because you're going to hurt me in terms of advertising revenue to everything else.
Starting point is 00:23:04 The efficiency still matters. We still want them to be much more efficient, but then we also want to give them the tools to be able to say, you know, I want to enforce what the rules are where you can't have my content unless you pay for it. And then we want to make it as easy as possible for agents to actually pay for that content and be able to have a real exchange of value. Okay, so there's these two buckets. One is the bucket of companies that want their stuff crawled, which is most of them, but then we do get to the news publisher's side. And, you know, there is a risk here. And we've talked about this show a lot that the incentives for news publishers and information publishers will go to zero if the bots just crawl the information they put on their websites and then present it to them in the chat bot format. I think you've mentioned that people don't really click the footnotes anymore. They just trust what the bot says. And so let me share again the stats about where things looked last year. So last year you told us that 10 years ago on Google,
Starting point is 00:23:58 if you were to, Google would crawl your page twice and send one click for those two crawls. Six months ago, it was six crawls for one click. Once Google released AI overviews mid last year, it became 18 crawls for one click. Open AI had 1,500 calls, crawls for every click that it sent, Anthropic and Clod were about 60,000 crawls
Starting point is 00:24:24 for every click that it sent to publishers. Where do those numbers stand today? Yeah, everything has gotten basically, assuming you're a publisher, from the publisher's perspective, it's gotten twice as bad. They just double every one of those, those numbers over the last year.
Starting point is 00:24:38 Now, from the end user's perspective, I think what you see is actually something quite different, which is, seems like the world has gotten better. Like the AI systems are smarter, they seem like they're responding better, they're giving you the answers that you need with you out, having to double check them.
Starting point is 00:24:50 And those two things are actually completely consistent because it's not like the UI change. It's not like the behaviors of the AI companies change. What changes the results got better. And as the results got better, people click through to the sort of original sources, much less. And that I think is indicated by the fact that you've had, you know, again, a very substantial drop in further drop in that. And that's the trend.
Starting point is 00:25:17 Like over time, even Google has announced. that is sort of the era of 10 blue links is going away, and that everything is going to look much more like an AI interface. And I think that that's the change. And if that's the case, then the business model, which has supported the web for the last 30 years, which has been advertising and subscription-based, isn't going to be the business model that supports it for the next 30 years. And we've got to figure out what that is.
Starting point is 00:25:41 And for sure, some of that is going to be deals between the big publishers and the AI companies. We're seeing those increase substantially. But we've got to have something that actually, works for everyone. And so one of the things that we're thinking about is how do you have actually micro payments, where if you're accessing a piece of information that a site can say, listen, you can have this, but it's going to cost you a fraction of a penny. And at the minimum, that's going to cover the infrastructure costs of serving it. But in the case of, you know, people who are doing real journalism or academic work or other things, maybe it helps cover the
Starting point is 00:26:10 cost of actually supporting the creator that's behind it as well. But it's, it's crazy, like, the volume. Like, here's the interesting technical problem. So Visa. largest payments network in the world handles at peak during the holiday somewhere around 20,000 financial transactions per second. Cloudflare handles about half a billion internet transactions per second. Those are not financial transactions, so it's different stakes. But we think that somewhere between 1 and 10% of those will day one be monetizable through agents with a micropayments transaction, which means that if you're going to build something like this, you've got to build a payments infrastructure that can day one support somewhere around 10 and then be able to scale to over 100 million
Starting point is 00:26:54 financial transactions per second in order to be able to support what's there. Now, these are going to be really, really, really small transactions, but there's still financial transactions. You've still got to account for them and do that. That's an incredibly interesting and hard technical problem. And we're looking for both external partners that can solve that, but we're also working on how internally we can build that. And those are the sorts of things that you have to have in place in order to then support
Starting point is 00:27:16 what is a new business model for the internet. And that's, I can't imagine any problem that's more excited to be working on right now. Yeah, so a year ago, basically the solution that you proposed was, or sort of implemented, was a system where if you want to crawl a publisher page, you would have to pay that micro payment. And if you didn't pay it, then you'd be blocked. I don't think we had the infrastructure to do, and we still don't have the infrastructure to do the micro payments.
Starting point is 00:27:45 I think what we put in place was a set of tools that allowed those content creators that were typically ad supported or subscription supported to be able to control who had access to their site. And what we saw from the largest publishers that are out there, you know, the People Inc., you know, the Condé Nast, New York Times, you know, the Financial Times, the Atlantic, like those publishers actually went out, use those tools in order to, then control the AI companies and then strike deals with them. I think the next step now is both, how do we make sure that all of the AI companies have to play by the same rules? And the big boogeyman out there is Google, because Google is basically saying, you know, if you want to be in search, you also have to let us use our AI.
Starting point is 00:28:33 I think they're using one crawler to do two things, and they're trying to leverage their sort of monopoly that they had yesterday into the monopoly tomorrow. It gives them a huge advantage. Google, to give you some sense, these more than two times as much of the web as open AI, more than four times as much as Anthropic, more than five times as much as Microsoft.
Starting point is 00:28:50 Like they just have this enormous crawling advantage, which is gonna give them an advantage in AI over time. We've gotta figure out how to either bring everybody else up or get Google to play by the same rules. And I think we've made some real progress on that over the last year and we're headed towards a place where we're gonna treat Google the same as everyone else. And then I think the second thing that we have to do
Starting point is 00:29:11 is we actually have to have the infrastructure place to support the folks who aren't going to be able to go out and negotiate deals on their own. They're not Condi NAS, they're not People Inc. They're small blogs, their mom and pop shops. And we've got to be able to make it so that even they can essentially have a rate card where they said, listen, you want my content? Here's the way that you pay. And we can make it easy for those transactions to take place.
Starting point is 00:29:34 But it's important to remember that's just for the ad support and subscription sites that are out there. The vast majority of the web, people want their content to be in AI. And we've got to make that easy for them as well. Right. So then how do you read this Wall Street Journal article that came out recently? It said Google was a lifeline for publishers. Now some are thinking of cutting it off. The article talks about how Reddit has discussed shutting off the technology,
Starting point is 00:29:58 like Google's technologies, access to its content for AI use. It's also got some quotes from people who you've mentioned, I mean, come from companies that you've mentioned, right? Neil Vogel from people says, turning them off and blocking them entirely is 100% on the table. USA Today's co-chief executive Mike Reed. It's time to take a stand and say enough as is enough. Is the right way to read this article that now that these publishers have put into place
Starting point is 00:30:25 your technology that might allow them to block the AI crawling, they're now doing the sort of negotiating in public where they're telling Google, hey, listen, if you don't give us the terms that we want, we are just going to use Cloudflare's tech and block you. Well, if Google is just another AI company, then they should be treated like any other AI company. And if every other AI company has to pay for content, so should Google. Like Google is not special just because they were, again, the business model of the last 30 years of the internet. They're not going to be the business model, at least not that way.
Starting point is 00:30:56 It's not going to be ads. It's not going to be subscriptions for the next 30 years. And so as that changes, Google should have to change with it. And I'm encouraged that, again, all of the publishers are, are, are, are, coming to that conclusion independently, I'm encouraged that they can then use our technology to do that. And what we have said at Cloudflare is that by mid-September, we're going to treat Google the same way on if you have an,
Starting point is 00:31:22 you know, ads, if you're a business that's ad supported or the subscription supported, then we're going to restrict Google from being able to access your content. You can always opt out. Like you don't have to like, you, if you, if you're like, no, I love Google, they've always been good to me. They can have access to my content for free. Go ahead.
Starting point is 00:31:37 That's fine. But the defaults for us, starting in mid-September, are going to be that we are going to block Google by default. And I would imagine that a bunch of the largest publishers in the world are going to follow suit. Wow. And so what does that do to, like, let's say a publisher's ranking in the search algorithm? Well, again, I think my hope is that Google is going to come around and say, we're going to have to pay for the content. Because if they don't have the content, then Google's product is going to be significantly worse. I would say that ranking, like, thinking about SEO is, like, it's just not relevant anymore.
Starting point is 00:32:11 Ten blue links are going away. Google has said that the ten blue links are going to go away. And so if you care about being in Google, that's fine, but you should also care about being an opening eye and you should care about being in Claude. And again, the vast majority of content creators that they want that, right? And so that's, we're going to make that as easy as possible. But if you're ad supported or subscription supported, like, then those businesses are dying. and you've got to figure out a way to negotiate a different business. And it can't be that Google gets special treatment.
Starting point is 00:32:42 And so, again, I think that what the industry is saying is that the old world of SEO is gone, and we've got to invent a new business model for what the future looks like. Yeah, this is from a New York Times article writing about some of what we're seeing with Google. It says users are writing queries three times as long as the keyword heavy questions they asked of traditional searches. People are spending one to nine more minutes in AI mode than on traditional Google. Google searches. One October study from growth memo, a newsletter focused on search and marketing, found that in about 75% of sessions, users never left AI mode for the web. So basically what I think you're saying is we're heading towards this kind of seismic moment where publishers, you know,
Starting point is 00:33:24 they've played nice with Google because they had still a lot to lose. If, you know, they sort of blocked them, that could be a big portion of their revenue. But at this point, they've basically seem like they have very little to lose left, and yet they're still delivering a lot of value. And we could be seeing in September, basically, this moment where this key source of information to Google goes away. Yeah. And it's, you know, and that's, you know, and that's, you know, and that's, you know, and that's, you know, what a seismic threat that is to Google in some ways. Like, the whole page rank algorithm is, is about building a chain that attributes, um, information. If all of a sudden, a huge portion of that chain just drops out of their visibility,
Starting point is 00:34:02 it actually breaks the fundamental way that they can do search and they can do ranking online. And so I think that that they are finally recognizing that that is a systemic threat, that the business is changing. And I'm hopeful that Google who's been, you know, this incredible patron to the internet has been, you know, provided more for it for the last 30 years than anyone else, that they recognize that the internet's changing and that they should be supporting it. And again, I think actually from Google's perspective, from their business perspective, from the right thing to do as a Googler, is how do we make sure that we're the ones who are out there actually supporting content creators and doing it in an interesting way? And I am surprised that Google has dragged their feet as much as they have, as opposed to leaning in and saying, we're going to actually help build the future, invent the future, and support content creators in the future.
Starting point is 00:34:58 And that's going to be, again, different than what existed before. But again, done right, I think we could be a place where this is truly a golden age of contact creation online. So, okay, so I'm getting it. So that Wall Street Journal, I was wondering what the story was with that journal article that all of a sudden, all these publishers were speaking up about this. But they finally have effectively the technology to do it. And now they have a deadline for Google. And if you say it in, let's say, July, you give them two months.
Starting point is 00:35:26 Yeah. And they've seen the revenue. that Google is driving go down and down and down. Now, that, again, that doesn't mean that AI doesn't drive revenue for certain businesses. And Google keeps publishing these things, saying, you know, look at how great, you know, AI is for e-commerce or those other things. And that's right. The vast majority of the web wants to be in these AI systems, and we need to make it as easy
Starting point is 00:35:49 as possible for them. But if you're ad-supported or subscription-supported, this is an existential threat to your business, and you've got to make sure that there's something that. And what I think is also is just right is it needs to be fair. So it can't be that you charge open AI anthropic, but Google gets everything for free. Like it's got to be that everyone plays by the same rules. And I think we're at that tipping point where even Google is starting to realize that the economics of the internet are changing, the economics of media creation are changing,
Starting point is 00:36:19 and that they're going to have to get there. It's actually interesting to think about like the conversations with like some of the other AI labs where they're like, well, none of this matters because of Eventually, we're just going to, everyone's going to have universal basic income. And that's how people are going to get paid. And I'm like, okay, but that's, you're living so far in the future. Let's kind of work our way back. And before we get there, maybe we have some steps that we have to go through, you know, along the way.
Starting point is 00:36:43 And so, again, I am optimistic. I'm way more optimistic for media companies today than I was a year ago. And I really think that 2026 is going to be the year that in the media space, in the content space, that you're going to see a real shift and then content creators are going to get paid. Google, by the way, is the best of paying content creators. You look at YouTube. Why do content creators publish their content on YouTube? It's because YouTube pays content creators better than anyone else.
Starting point is 00:37:13 Like, they're not against this across their entire business. They know how to do this in various places. I think what we've just got to do is help them understand that the New York Times and the Atlantic and people, and, you know, Vogue. Like, they deserve, their content creators that deserve to get paid the same way that some, you know, influencer on YouTube does. So you think Google's going to pay up before this deadline? I don't know if they'll pay up before the deadline,
Starting point is 00:37:42 but I think it's inevitable that they'll pay out. Because, again, I think that they need the content, and they understand fundamentally that journalists and content creators and academics deserve to eat. How many of your clients, like, do you think we'll actually go ahead with the blocking of these AI crawlers? I'm talking about not your whole client base, but just the news publishers. Just the just the folks who are ads supported.
Starting point is 00:38:08 So again, we've done this. Like if you're if you're not ad supported, none of this applies to you. Like you can, you can set up to those going. If you're ad supported by default starting mid-September, we're going to, you know, switch this over. And you can opt out. But we expect that the vast, vast majority of people that have ad or subscription supported, businesses will do this.
Starting point is 00:38:26 So there will be millions of sites. that will drop off of Google's radar and at the same time that we will very much tighten up all of the other controls on AI crawlers. So right now it's basically put sort of a no trespassing side of the line say don't come and get this content. And most people are actually pretty good at respecting the no trespassing side. Starting in mid-September, we're actually make it not just a no trespassing sign, but we're actually going to have basically put a bouncer there saying unless you're compensating creators, you don't get this content. Millions of sites could, sites could drop out of Google's ranking. Correct.
Starting point is 00:39:04 That's a big deal. I mean, it's a huge percentage of the internet uses Cloudflare. And so, again, I think we're in a position to help fix what is a fundamental market problem, where Google is leveraging their monopoly of yesterday in order to generate a monopoly tomorrow. And I think that if we don't fix that, like, who's going to? And if we don't fix that, like as you said, the incentives for content creation just go away. And that makes everyone worse off, including Google. Okay. So big stuff coming up ahead.
Starting point is 00:39:39 I want to take a break. When we come back, we're going to talk about how this might apply to or how this new technology shift is going to reshape small businesses, which is not something that we've heard a lot about. But if we go to an agent type of web or a super app dominated, you know, way to browse and interact and do commerce, then potentially small businesses are at risk. So we're going to hear Matthew's perspective on that when we come back right after this. One thing I've learned covering AI is that efficiency isn't the same thing as good work.
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Starting point is 00:40:48 get more out of the work without getting in the way of it. Learn more about how Notion can support your business at Notion.com slash big tech. That's all lowercase letters, notion.com slash big tech to try Notion today. And when you use our link, you're supporting our show. One thing I've noticed about companies adopting AI is that they're often making decisions based on how they think work gets done, not how it actually happens. Without real visibility, it's easy to automate the wrong processes. That's exactly the problem Scribe was built to solve. Scribe is a workflow AI platform trusted by 94% of the Fortune 500. Scribe Optimize gives leaders a view of how work actually happens across their organization,
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Starting point is 00:42:27 Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcf walk.ca.ca. And we're back here on Big Technology Podcast with Matthew Prince, the CEO of Cloudflare. So Matthew, I've heard you speak about this a little bit, but basically your perspective is, as we go more agentic,
Starting point is 00:42:48 there are some serious risks to small businesses who might just kind of get lost in the Super App Shuffle. You've done it much more articulate than the way that I just described it. So can you explain sort of what the stakes are for small businesses, again, as this trend continues to progress, and we go to a web that's, you know, so much more bought than it is human? Yeah, so, you know, I think, I think, first of all, like a year ago, what we were talking about when we were worried about was what's going to happen to media. And I think we've actually done a ton of work and made real progress on how do we figure out a business model that's going to support media going forward. But as we've thought about that, we thought more generally about how is this going to have other impacts,
Starting point is 00:43:24 across the economy. And I really do worry about small businesses. Now, that doesn't mean small businesses are doomed, but I think we have to be extremely deliberate and understanding what the risks are and then trying to figure out, you know, what the solution is. The world that I'm trying to play for is one where there's not five AI companies,
Starting point is 00:43:41 there's 500,000. There's not, you know, a tiny number of content creators that everyone can be a content creator and put something out. And that really importantly, that we don't consolidate businesses into a few, big mega corporations, but it still becomes a place where I think the internet has done historically an incredible good job where new businesses can start up and thrive going going forward. And I think that's what we have to play for us. How do we have as many small businesses
Starting point is 00:44:08 as possible? So let me walk through what I think is the problem. So in order to understand, thinking about you're a small business, let's say you're starting something to be a new, you know, B to C, a DTC, a direct to consumer brand. I don't know, you're making, I don't know, new light bulbs or makeup or who knows what what possibly it is what do you do in order to reach customers the answer is you go on something like instagram or a facebook or even in google adwords of search and you start to buy the ability to get your product in front of consumers and consumers you know again they're scrolling through their instagram feed and they see your you know slickly produced video that you maybe you raise some venture capital or you've got you know a small business loan in order
Starting point is 00:44:52 to put together. And if you touch kind of the emotions and speak to consumers, then the companies that do that are actually going to rise and and thrive over, over time. And I think a lot of, if we're really honest, a lot of the small businesses that we do business with, we do business with because we have some either emotional connection to them or because they're convenient. Like they save us money. Why do I shop at the local Bataga, even though I know it's more expensive? It's because it's convenient. And like I, I, have limited time. And so I'm not going to, you know, go find whatever the cheapest place is for eggs. I'm just going to go to wherever is most convenient. And that's what humans do. And if you think about brands, what a brand is, is a shortcut for humans to understand value and quality without
Starting point is 00:45:38 having to do a ton of research. So I see a Marriott logo on the side of a building. I kind of know what the experience is going to be when I go in. I see a Walmart logo on the side of a building and know what the experience is going to be when I go into that. What I think is interesting is like brands are going to change radically. Like, it's not going to be a couple of swashes of pretty paint that agents are going to care about. As more and more commerce gets done through agents, what a brand means is going to be very different. Because agents have, like, they have almost infinite patients and they don't have emotion to sort of say, oh, you know, I have this brand affiliate to Marriott Hotel. So I always say to Marriott Hotel. Instead, they're willing to do really in-depth research in order to figure out
Starting point is 00:46:22 what's right. And at first, you might think, well, maybe that's good for the small guy. I think it's actually going to be really hard for new entrants because new entrants don't have very much information online. I launch a small business trying to sell my new light bulb or makeup brand. And like, how do I get my first customer if all customers are going to be agentic in in terms of that? I think that's a really interesting and hard problem because the agents have infinite time to research every possible detail. And so they're going to look for where the richest sources of information that are online, which are going to be for the established big companies that are out there. And if we can't be in a place where new entrants can easily enter the market,
Starting point is 00:47:01 then what happens over time is that the big companies will acquire each other, will have massive consolidation. And it actually for the end consumer might seem just fine because you can get hyper-specialized, I care, I only want brown eggs from certain hens. Right. And maybe, you know, Tyson farms can produce that for me, you know, very efficiently. But how does my local farmer find a way to actually reach this? Because they're just not going to have nearly the depth of information that's out there. And so what I think is the thing that we have to be continuously thinking about is in a world where we're increasingly having commerce sort of federated by agents and that that's the interface that people are going to do it. How do we make sure that a new brand without any real information in the market,
Starting point is 00:47:45 can actually be able to exist and thrive. Because if that doesn't happen, then agentic commerce becomes this massive tool of consolidation. And that's going to favor the big companies over the little companies. And over time, like I was meeting with the former CEO of PayPal, who before that ran small business had into it. And he said, I worry that in the future, there are only five companies, one that holds the money, one that holds the real estate,
Starting point is 00:48:08 one that makes things, one that ships things in an AI company. And obviously, that's not what's going to happen. But some level of consolidation is, I think, the natural trend of this. And what I've been doing to kind of, sometimes you can, you can sort of see the future by watching kind of science fiction. And like, go back and watch like episodes of the Jetsons, the cartoon show. And it's like, you know, as a kid, I watched it. I thought, oh, that's kind of fun and funny. It's an incredibly nihilistic and kind of depressing world.
Starting point is 00:48:38 There are only two employers in the world of the Jetsons. It's basically Sprockets and Cogswell's Cogs. Like George Jetson's job is to basically push the button, but the robots do everything else. And all of the commerce that George Jetson does is basically through his helpful maid robot Rosie. He's like, go get me eggs. And she goes off and does it and it comes back. And George seems perfectly happy. But behind the scenes, like, do you think that Rosie is going and shopping at like the local
Starting point is 00:49:01 bodega? Of course not. She's going to wherever she can get the most information about what the quality of eggs is. And that's going to be some mega corporation that's out there. I worry about that. And I think we need to worry about that. And again, I'm not, I'm nervous. about it. But I think the first way of solving it is actually articulating what the challenge is
Starting point is 00:49:18 and then thinking about how can we make sure that new entrants have a shot in a world where more and more commerce is being done by infinitely patient, you know, deeply researched, unemotional agents that are acting on our behalf. Can I give the counter argument? And that is that brand is actually something that favors the big companies over the small companies because they have the money to spend and so like you might be much more much better suited to work with like a small business that you've never heard of but because you a busy person don't have the time to research them you just say okay brand i'm going to target go i mean by Nike as opposed to yeah whatever the new i think that might be right if you can get that but the question is how do you and that's that's the happy
Starting point is 00:50:07 story and that's what we want to get to but the question is how do you boot that how do you get the information into the system, how do you get enough customer reviews? How do you get like and then how do you encapsulate that? So like what is a brand in the world of agented commerce? I don't think it's pretty swirls of paint. I think it's actually like a true attestation of quality and experience. So like how do I take Amazon star ratings, but bundle that with what's your actual like shipping fulfillment time?
Starting point is 00:50:36 How many returns do you get? How many chargebacks happen to it? How do we aggregate all that information? package it up into some sort of module and then make it actually verifiable so that when my agent comes and sees it, they go, oh, I can see that this is a quality merchant and I'm going to be able to do that. I think you have to have that, but then you also have to think before I have any reputation, I'm just trying to prove that my product is better, how am I actually going to be able to succeed in doing that? I don't think it's impossible, but I think that left to its own devices, agentic commerce is going to be a consolidating factor. And so we have to be extremely deliberate and making sure that we're giving small businesses the tools to be able to do this. And again, I think Cloudflare can do this on our own.
Starting point is 00:51:19 I would love to be part of a solution. But I'm spending a lot of time with, you know, Shopify, you know, PayPal, Visa, MasterCard, American Express, you know, into it. The companies that actually deal with these small businesses and saying, how can we bring together the tools in order to make sure that they can succeed in this future? because if they're all just sort of following what the old SEO playbook is, that's not going to work for the future. It's got to be something else. And I think it's really, one of the most important questions is how do we make sure that these small businesses have the tools to be able to, again, live in what I think you described as the optimistic outcome. And again, I'm optimistic. But I think we should also, but in order to be optimistic, you also need to worry about what could go wrong and articulate it and then figure out what are the solutions to that problem.
Starting point is 00:52:05 Okay, so last question for you. What does that look like from a technical standpoint? Is it just like a small business has a portal in like the back end of chat chip PT? It just like spends, you know, the small business owner spends their weekends like dictating all the things about their business or what could it look like and what are the solutions we've discussed so far? Like I like when we talk last year, I didn't really have a sense of what like the solution for media is. And I just spent a whole bunch of time talking to media, talking to payments companies, talking to AI companies saying, hey, is the problem, how do we solve it? And I think we made a lot of progress.
Starting point is 00:52:39 My hope is that when we talk next year, I'll have a better answer to your question, but it's only going to be because people who hear this, say, hey, I had an idea and they reach out, right? Or, or, you know, I meet with Toby from Shopify and he goes like, hey, we've been working on this. Can you help distribute it for us? Or, you know, American Express says,
Starting point is 00:52:58 hey, we've been working with all these small businesses. Here's something we found works. I think we're trying to just gather as much information. And I don't think we're gonna solve the problem, But I hope that we can be a part of the solution to the problem because like we could be in a place done right where this is actually helping more small businesses reach customers and the better product finding the best possible consumers for that product. And done right, that's amazing. And then by the way, we get to worry about the next problem, which is that AI is this massive divider between, you know, the rich and the poor. And if we're not and if we're not in an ad-based business model anymore, which I think is.
Starting point is 00:53:35 likely. If you're spending thousands of dollars a year for your agent, you don't want it to be influenced by any ads at all. You want it to be completely honest. So I think the wealthy parts of the world are going to have just huge advantages over the poorer parts of the world. And so that's, that's the next problem that we have. And again, we're starting to think about it. I don't think we can solve it entirely ourselves. But I think we need to talk about these things in order to make sure that the future that we're building is one that, you know, is as utopian and, and, and, and not dystopian as possible. Yeah, well, we hope so.
Starting point is 00:54:09 So, Matthew, we've got a good routine going. We've done this two years in a row around this time, so we'll have to check in again next year. See you back here next year. And I'll tell you what the solution for small businesses is. Okay, it is a deal. It is a deal. All right. Thank you so much for joining, Matthew.
Starting point is 00:54:24 Great to have you on. Thanks for having me. All right. Thanks, everybody, for listening and watching, and we'll see you next time on Big Technology Podcast. Two and five Canadians will hear the words, you have cancer. That's why every step and dollar raised matters. On September 19th, join thousands in Toronto for the Princess Margaret Cancer Foundation Walk. Challenge yourself,
Starting point is 00:55:01 friends, and family to walk 21 kilometers in support of life-saving research. Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcfwalk.ca.ca.

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