Big Technology Podcast - Do We Care About The iPhone Air?, Nepal's Discord Revolution, San Francisco’s 996 Culture

Episode Date: September 12, 2025

Ranjan Roy from Margins is back for our weekly discussion of the latest tech news. We cover: 1) Apple's impressive new iPhone Pro models 2) Who is the iPhone Air for? 3) Has the phone reached its ulti...mate form factor 4) Is generative AI threatening to upend the smartphone market 5) Meta's new smartglasses are coming 6) Nepal's Gen Z overthrows the government and picks a new leader on Discord 7) OpenAI growth stats after GPT-5 launch 8) Oracle and OpenAI's new $300 billion deal 9) Flirting with ChatGPT 10) The AI companionship use case is real 11) Does San Francisco have 996 work culture? --- Enjoying Big Technology Podcast? Please rate us five stars ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ in your podcast app of choice. Want a discount for Big Technology on Substack + Discord? Here’s 25% off for the first year: https://www.bigtechnology.com/subscribe?coupon=0843016b Questions? Feedback? Write to: bigtechnologypodcast@gmail.com

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Starting point is 00:00:00 The iPhone Air is here, should we care. Meta's new AI smart glasses with a display, R in route next week. Is South Park right about Chatchip-T, and San Francisco goes 996? That's coming up right after this. Octane is the premier identity event, bringing together the world's leading minds to discuss the future of secure access. Instead of consolidating security into a single platform, a modern identity security fabric is the key to unifying your identity.
Starting point is 00:00:30 defenses. At Octane, you learn how to extend that fabric across all types of identities, including the emerging threat of AI agents. Join in-person in Las Vegas from September 24th to 26th, or catch the keynotes and sessions online. To register and see the full agenda, visit octa.com slash octane. That's okayta.com slash okay t a and E. Welcome to Big Technology Podcast Friday edition where we break down the news in our traditional cool-headed and nuanced format. We have a great show for you today. We're going to talk all about the new iPhone, less about the specs and more about what it actually means. Do
Starting point is 00:01:10 we want to pay attention to this stuff? Any more in the age of generative AI? Is Gener VIII actually threatening the phone? Or is that a lot of noise? We'll also cover met us forthcoming new smart glasses that will have a display expected to be launched next week Oracle and Open AI teaming up making Larry Ellison the richest person in the world and then of course the 996 work culture pack day packed episode and so much to talk about and joining us as always on Fridays to do it is Ranjan Roy of margins Ron John, great to see you good to see you Alex I have to admit on the Apple announcement day I had forgotten about it until I think late evening when I started to see a couple of tweets coming through.
Starting point is 00:01:52 But I don't know, this announcement, I was not excited. So I wrote about this a little bit in big technology today, basically saying that the Apple iPhone launch event was the marquee event on any tech reporters calendar every single year. And a decade later, I mean, I was doing it last decade in San Francisco. A decade later, it doesn't really register as much. And I just, I mean, obviously the phone is starting to become, you know, we've sort of reached the ultimate form factor of the phone. But I do wonder if generative AI is as good as some of the hype makes it out to be and whether it's actually, you know, this threat that might get people to switch operating system to operating system, given how much these phones look alike.
Starting point is 00:02:41 But you know, let's, why don't we start with the good? We're optimists, you know, on some days. Some days. So let's talk about the good. here. The good is the iPhone did get a very big upgrade when it comes to the pro models. We'll get to the air in a moment. But Mark German from Bloomberg has a great piece talking a lot about how the iPhone 17 Pro fixes some of the core things that you're going to want in a smartphone. It's more durable. It will overheat less than previous models. The camera looks great. It's going to be
Starting point is 00:03:16 a 48 megapixel sensor, oh, 48 megapixel sensors across the board with vastly improving optical zoom. There's also this selfie camera that can give you landscape selfies, which for someone like me is a major deal, given how often I'm doing selfies. There's also, there's a new processor with the full A19 Pro Chip. It has six central processing cores and six graphic cores. That's coming to the pro phones, the air will get a limited version of that. And then the battery sounds amazing. All right, so listen to this. There is going to be 39 hours in a single charge on the iPhone 17 Pro. And you can also charge it up to 50% of the battery in just 20 minutes of improvement from the prior 30 minutes. You know, for all the buzz about the iPhone air, which again,
Starting point is 00:04:09 and we'll get into. Sounds like this is a pretty substantial update to the iPhone pro models. And kind of, as I'm reading this, makes me think I might want to upgrade from the 15. What's your reaction? Okay, I'm on the 15 as well. And for listeners, as we sometimes are a bit negative on Apple, I am wearing AirPods and we're talking on a MacBook, and I have my iPhone next to me. So I'll recognize all those things, I think.
Starting point is 00:04:39 actually the durability side of it, maybe this is one of the things that's like the least talked about upgrade over the last few years and if it's actually getting better and better. Do you keep a case on your phone now? I do have a case. I have the old man version of the iPhone, which is that my case is also my wallet. So like I'll have slots for my credit card and license. And I think it's very nice and functional. Okay, Bruner. Others have pointed out that it's a dad phone, which, okay, fair, that's fine. So I've gone caseless for the last couple of years.
Starting point is 00:05:18 I'm on the 15 Pro Max, and I drop this thing all the time. It has a couple of light scratches, but I genuinely think Apple somehow did invent a somewhat unbreakable iPhone a couple of years ago, and for some reason does not actually tout this very much so so if they're actually increasing the durability i think that's a good thing i mean even if we're joking about it the selfie camera improving this idea of landscape selfie mode i actually think is a big deal especially if they're marketing this towards creators i always get all these like ticot and instagram ads for these you can get like a a visual video monitor mag safe add on that so you can while in selfie mode still see what you're filming so
Starting point is 00:06:03 So the idea that cameras improving, people who actually want to film, like that's the main reason they're using the iPhone, it's an upgrade. I can see that. That's me trying to be positive. No, without a doubt. I mean, we never had a question about whether Apple was the best phone maker in the world. Clearly, it is. But then you look at the news, right? The news was it was supposed to be this, like, it was built as this awe-inspiring moment where we were going to see the thinnest iPhone ever.
Starting point is 00:06:33 And we did with the iPhone air. And again, for context, this is the first of three consecutive years of new model releases. It's going to start with the iPhone air this year. Next year, they're going to move to the fold in the year after the curved glass. But we have the air now. And we can see it. Pre-order has actually started today. Last week, we kind of joked about how there's a camera in this like pill-shaped little bump on the back.
Starting point is 00:06:59 But you are not getting the top-of-line specs that we just wrote about. with the pro and to me it just boggles the mind like who is this for i have racked my brains trying to figure out who the natural iphone air buyer is and i can't is it the early adopter this is where german says he goes german says the consumers who would be most likely to buy the latest iphone are probably the same people who prize battery life and camera performance the most is not two different demographics and if you want battery life and camera performance you're going to go with the pro model. So I just can't figure out who the air is for. And that's where I'm like scratching my head about it doesn't matter that they have this new release. I'm trying desperately to come up
Starting point is 00:07:45 with some kind of user persona or customer persona that would buy the air. But same thing. There's absolutely nothing appealing about it to me. And I mean, we actually have in our prep There was a great tweet around the Apple advertisement that's comparing the thinness of the new iPhone, completely ignoring the giant pill-shaped bump that is the camera and the lens. Now, I will say from an engineering feat perspective, it is impressive. The idea that the entire, like, computer part of the phone is able to be stuffed into this little pill-shaped part at the top of the phone where the camera lens is. That's interesting. That's great. And maybe there's going to be like follow-on phone design that actually is able to leverage that. But agreed. I just don't understand who this phone is for.
Starting point is 00:08:38 Exactly. And there's one more thing about that image that I think we should talk about where there's the iPhone Air, right, which we just have just released. And the iPhone 6, it's side by side next to the 6. The iPhone Air is 5.6 millimeters. The iPhone 6 was 6.9 millimeters. You put the two next to each other, there's no difference. So what you're saying is you've gone 11 generations. And what you're now, you have a slightly more than a millimeter difference in width. I don't fully get why this is special. And in fact, I think Yishan Wong, the former CEO of Reddit, put it quite well in a tweet above this, where he said the emperor has no clothes.
Starting point is 00:09:26 It's hard to argue with that. Okay. I'm going to put you on the spot here. Walk me through, how does the iPhone air come to be within Apple? Like, who is pitching it? How do you think they were pitching it internally to actually get it to where it came to reality
Starting point is 00:09:44 as the kind of marquee element of this announcement? Okay. So I will give you, I will give you what is probably wrong, but to me is the most logical birthing experience of this phone, which is that Apple, if you've been paying attention to their quarterly earnings reports, has had completely stagnant iPhone sales. Stagnant. I mean, last quarter it was up 13%, so I give them credit there. But before that, you're looking at declining or basically teeny tiny growth within the iPhone unit within Apple. by the way, this is the most important product unit in the company, makes up 50% of their sales. So I think there was just a conversation within the company of saying, like, we need something new. We need lots of new things. And we're going to do something we've resisted for a long time, which is try to build a folding phone.
Starting point is 00:10:40 And on the way there, we're going to have to make two sides of a phone that are probably a little thinner than the standard phone than the standard pro models. So why don't we, you know, in order to juice our sales, why don't we go and make a thin phone first and then put that together with another thin phone and release a folding phone and then our sales will go up. Now, I think it will probably work if that's what was going on. Like, I think they will probably have better iPhone sales quarters because they have something new. But I don't, I don't, it's not very inspiring to me. That makes sense. Okay. So I'm going to give you some credit.
Starting point is 00:11:15 I think that actually was a really good. explanation. I think that actually that very well could have been what happened. And that's also terrifying because this is exactly the kind of thing that if that was the order of events, which it does seem like it could be, that's not the apple of yesteryear that was inspiring and that would kind of wait for perfection and come out with the greatest product ever. If it really is an interim product to juice sales a bit, that's actually almost even more worrisome for Apple. I mean, it really feels like the fifth blade on your razor, right? It really feels like, all right, we'll do seven blades now.
Starting point is 00:11:55 And here's a thing. So I think this is, yes, it's a big question about like what's going on. I think the bigger question here is you have to put this side by side with the AI moment, right? Because the phone, it's reached its final or its ultimate form factor, right? The phone is the phone. The air looks like the iPhone 6, like full circle. it's the same thing. Is it going to fold yes?
Starting point is 00:12:19 Is that very different? No. So the question is, now that the phones are all looking the same, do they start to differentiate by, and by the way, you could take an Android phone, it looks very similar as well. Do they start to differentiate by the generative AI services that they're offering? Does Samsung, for instance, by virtue of its partnership with perplexity, now potentially convert some iPhone users away from. from Apple or iPhone customers away from Apple
Starting point is 00:12:49 because it has that generative AI offering. Because I think the core question to all the Apple conversations we've had up until this point is, is this company's inability to execute on AI just a mishap? Or does it potentially put its core business at risk, which is the iPhone? I think that's a very good point because maybe it's not the phone itself, but it's the way we interact with the phone.
Starting point is 00:13:14 So I've been using, there's an app whisper flow, that kind of like gets embedded and it allows you to dictate much more efficiently than regular Apple dictation. You can even set specific terms in its library. So, you know, like names and my own name always gets misspelled in when I dictate. So I talk to my phone a lot more. I dictate to my phone. I have like entire conversations, text messages I'm dictating with chat GPT or other AI services. I'm dictating my prompts. So, so almost in the humane pin inspired way that RIP humane, like the way we're going to interact with it is going to fundamentally change. So the companies that are actually able to to catch on that are going to be the ones that
Starting point is 00:14:02 win. And I'll say too, I have a pixel eight that I was given at some event, I think a two years ago. And I'd actually not used it ever. And then I fired it up and just on Wi-Fi, I'll kind of interact with it. And having Gemini integrated into the system layer of the phone is so different than trying to use Siri. So I agree. I think maybe we need to start really kind of thinking about the way we interact with that block that's in your hand rather than is it going to fold or is it going to be thinner. Right. Exactly. So it's like, if it's the interaction in the operating system itself, that would start to, like, put these releases that Apple is putting out in context, it would make it seem pretty bad for the company, right? Because effectively, you're adding a razor while everybody is, you know, reinventing shaving to really beat this analogy.
Starting point is 00:15:00 Let's keep going with it. Keep going. But it tracks, right? It tracks a little bit. And if that is the case, if it is operating system level, then we have a real problem. problem with Apple, don't you think? I mean, as the number one Siri not fan, I'm going to have to say, yes, I think we have a huge problem. I don't know. I think to me, the AirPods were interesting. I will say if you've ever gone running with AirPods and like sweat with them, the idea of the heart sensor in them wasn't that appealing to me because they just don't respond well to working out, at least in my experience. So adding a heart rate monitor,
Starting point is 00:15:40 to it versus just having the Apple watches your exercise device didn't make a lot of sense to me. But the live translation is a good like kind of actually kind of building on what we were talking about already. It's a good example of what the way we interact with these devices could fundamentally change just how we kind of walk around, interact, talk to people. But my concern with it is Apple, I will admit, I have lost faith. Like the demos they did with Siri two, a year and a half ago now or two, a year ago, like I don't, until I actually see the live translation
Starting point is 00:16:21 inaction working well, I just don't believe that it's real. You know, I had the same exact reaction. I was just like, I don't know if that's going to work. You know, whereas before I think I would have been like, that's amazing. I would have been like, this time I was like, I'll believe it when I see it. Like, why didn't they do it live?
Starting point is 00:16:37 Why didn't they... I think you know the answer to that. Okay. Well, hold on. Did they? So I saw the video afterwards, at least the kind of like slickly produced demo video. But they didn't do a live demonstration of it, right? No.
Starting point is 00:16:52 No, because the entire presentation these days is just video. Oh, yes, yes. But you could have done it. They could have done it in the hands-on room. I didn't see anything like that. I did see them in one video tossed the iPhone across the room and have a journalist like slam dunk the phone into a desk. and it didn't break.
Starting point is 00:17:09 So that was the cool live demo. Durability. Durability, right? But going back to this, yeah, again, we'll believe it when we see it. Is this going to happen for sure? Is it going to be Apple that pulls it off? I don't know. And is it going to, yeah, go ahead.
Starting point is 00:17:23 Tim Cook slamming a phone on the ground on stage, that would get me hyped. That would be him being like, you want to see some durability, just him drop kicking that thing into the audience and then them pulling it out, screen unbroken, that would get me a little bit excited. Yeah, I think this would be a narrative changer for them. So if they're listening, well, they did a version of it in this interview, but I think it could be more dramatic. So, but again, like the question is, is it also going to be, so, okay, so we know what the
Starting point is 00:17:53 phone looks like, right? The phone looks like the phone. And are these AI experiences going to be delivered in the phone or the AirPods or perhaps a different device? and now we have meta coming up next week preparing to deliver the latest iteration of its answer, which is a different device. So, okay, is the metaverse working? I would say probably not, right?
Starting point is 00:18:15 We could agree there. But are this, is the meta smart glasses revolution taking off? Maybe it's just a meta protest, right? It's not quite a revolution yet. But these things are catching on. You and I both like the meta, Rayben smart classes. And now, next week, we're going to see the latest iteration here. So this is from CNBC.
Starting point is 00:18:39 Meta to unveil hypernova smart glasses with a display wristband at Connect. Meta is planning to use its annual Connect conference, which is next week, to announce a deeper push into smart glasses, including the launch of the company's first consumer-ready glasses with a display. The company will also launch its first wristband that will allow users to control the glasses with hand gestures. The glasses are internally codenamed Hypernova and will include a small digital display in the right lens of the device. Although it will feature a display, those visual features are expected to be limited. There will be a color display, about a 20 degree field of view. So it will appear in a small window in a fixed position, unlike these Orion glasses that they showed off last year,
Starting point is 00:19:26 which are still prototypes, not available to the public. I don't know whether or not to be excited about smart glasses with a display. It brings me back to the Google Glass days. What do you think? I am excited. Everything about this other than it's meta excites me. But you know what? Meta's delivering.
Starting point is 00:19:45 First of all, I want my new tech having a project codenamed Hypernova. That's a great. That's a great code name. And to me, I think, yeah, as we're talking about this, things that are excited. to me now are not an upgrade onto a 48 megapixel camera, which I don't even fully understand exactly what is the difference between that and the previous generation. It's incremental versus rethinking the way we interact with computing. And meta-smart, the meta-ray bands, especially this summer, my God, in New York City, I wore them around all the time, talking to
Starting point is 00:20:26 them like meta AI still work in progress I'll say but but overall that they are moving in a whole new direction successfully so for them to continue building on that I think I think whatever they do this is the kind of stuff that I'm excited about now imagine those bad boys with super intelligence baked in now we're talking you got to you got to have some super intelligence in your smart classes I agree what about the display is interesting to you because to me, I really don't like it. It feels distracting, especially if it's only 20% of the screen. What interests you about it?
Starting point is 00:21:03 Well, no, I have thought for a long time that kind of, I guess, can we call it augmented reality here? Like some kind of digital layer is interesting. I mean, will it work? Will it be interfering with your everyday life? But to me, I still have this view that 20, 20 years from now, people are going to look back at, like, videos of people walking around, looking at their phones, and it's going to look like smoking cigarettes in a airplane. Like, you're just going to be like, I cannot believe people actually did that, and that's how society
Starting point is 00:21:39 functioned. And so if you're getting a little notification and you can see a message quickly, maybe that's actually dangerous, or maybe it's not, if it's done safely. But to me, not pulling out your phone and just interact. with technology rather than people staring at their phone as they walk around. I think anything in that direction is interesting. Maybe it's being read to you via your audio interface, whether that's AirPods or your glasses that have the speakers to the side. But anything that starts to change the way we interact with our phones to me is exciting. Yeah, I will say those smart glasses, again,
Starting point is 00:22:20 were amazing in my trip in Nepal when I was like walking through the mountains. I had to my phone in my backpack. I didn't want to have it in my pockets, especially in the rain, and was just snapping photos with the glasses. And Nepal, by the way, seems like they overthrew their government with a Discord server and then elected a new president with Discord. So I read a Financial Times article, I think just two days ago. And it was before this discord governmental overthrow. But already it was bananas. It was that there was already, it was around Nepo babies. And it was the idea that like those in power were their children. were posting photos of them in like expensive cars.
Starting point is 00:22:58 So people started, you know, like using the hashtags around nepo babies and kind of like posting negatively about the government. And so they just were threatening to shut down Facebook and Instagram. And because of that, that's where people revolted to start. And then on Discord, organizing and appointing a new leader. This is, from everything I've read, this is exactly. exactly what happened. And having spent, I spent a lot of time in Nepal. I was there for 10 days. The thing that you hear consistently from people is, this is a beautiful country. Government is
Starting point is 00:23:35 corrupt. And we don't have opportunities because of government corruption. You heard it day in and day out. And clearly there was something that was ready to, you know, light on fire. And obviously, these moments are tough. 19 people were killed in the initial protests. And some of the images coming out of Kathmandu were very disturbing to see. But again, it's one of those stories where, you know, organizing on social media and the ability of social media to cause change in the world, that has certainly not gone away even as it's faded from the headlines. It's actually interesting to me that, I mean, 2009 Arab Spring being organized on Twitter
Starting point is 00:24:16 was such a positive representation of social media and the way it was covered and spoken about. But it feels like this one still is kind of ascribing that it's a bit chaotic and it's not this kind of unalloyed positive. I don't know. Do we, I guess you were there. I have not spent too much time thinking about Nepal. Social media, because social media was new during the Arab Spring. And I think that these stories will never be covered exactly in the fawning way they were previously because I think the world now really understands that there is a kind of.
Starting point is 00:24:52 complex set of consequences that come when you have social media introduced into society and used to organize and use to spark change. But I will say the Discord thing is a new wrinkle. It's a new wrinkle. I hope that our Discord doesn't organize and overthrow us as the Friday podcast group. But if they do, I'd have to respect their wishes. They're organizing. They're organizing. And you know what? If that's what the people want. We respect. We respect it. Okay, speaking of what the people want, we have new data on GPT-5 and where it's impacting businesses, and we'll cover that right after this. Material security is transforming how companies protect their most critical cloud assets,
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Starting point is 00:27:06 His name is Ara Karazian, and I actually spoke with him this week, so we're going to talk a little bit more about that conversation when we get to 996 in a bit. But he shared some very interesting data. He writes this in his substack. The GPT5 launch was so botched that Sam Altman apologized for it with increasing attention as to whether the pace of business AI investment is actually sustainable. The key metric we've been watching is whether businesses adoption would continue to increase
Starting point is 00:27:33 following a slowdown earlier this summer. And the results are good for OpenAI. So business AI adoption rose to 44.5% in August 2025, up from 43%. 3.3%. Open AI led all companies in growth with a 1.5 increase in businesses subscribe to open AI models and tools. Very interesting. He breaks down by sector. Finance and manufacturing were the fastest growing adopters of new AI spend with adoption growing 3 and 2%. He says RSA's growth in manufacturing underscores how GPT5's improved reasoning and efficiency are expanding AI's reach into industries.
Starting point is 00:28:15 that have historically been slower to adopt new technology. So I think it's interesting. You have a couple things happening here. These industries that have been slower to adopt new tech are starting to buy AI. And GPT5 in particular, which was built with better reasoning and efficiency, seems to have been making some headway in places like manufacturing and finance. There's also been some reports about how it's really actually living up to open AI's promises
Starting point is 00:28:42 in fields like medicine. And so maybe the initial backlash based off of the chatbot personality sort of, you know, was a distraction from how this is actually being useful in industry. What do you think, Ranjan? So, one, I'm a huge fan of Ramp the product. We use it at Writer, and it just makes doing expenses just incredibly easy. Two, I love these kind of analyses that are kind of, you know, driving economic insight from unexcomely. expected places. But it's also, I'll admit, a little kind of uncomfortable for me knowing that everything that I spend on in every expense that I log could be used to analyze, even though in a
Starting point is 00:29:26 fully anonymized way, these kind of trends. But, you know, I just wait till the end of the show. And we've got some good stuff. Okay, okay. Rob John's personal spending history. No, I'm kidding. It's been leaked. It's been leaked. To me, though, I don't know, this one is not that exciting for me more because to me it just shows OpenAI's kind of dominance in general business spending and whether it's GPD 5, 4.5, 40, whatever it is, it's just affirming their like market lead in this versus it's specific about GPT5 is okay. The manufacturing side is, it's interesting to me, but I mean, if that were the case, I feel we would be hearing more stories around how manufacturing is being revolutionized and using multi-step reasoning models or there would be something more around that versus in the credit card data, manufacturing industry is spending a bit more. Well, maybe it's because all the manufacturers are using Oracle for their warehouse and inventory management. and now OpenAI is poised to work closer with them or with Oracle. We know for sure with Oracle.
Starting point is 00:30:40 This is from the Wall Street Journal. Oracle and OpenAI signed a $300 billion cloud deal. So again, after OpenAI has been wedded to Microsoft for many years, it's starting to branch out. Open AI signed a contract with Oracle to purchase $300 billion in computing power over roughly five years, a massive commitment that far outstrips the startup's current revenue. Again, I think they're making like $10 billion this year. So to spend $300 billion over five years is quite a projection. The deal is one of the largest cloud contracts ever signed,
Starting point is 00:31:13 reflecting how spending on AI data centers is hitting new highs, despite mounting concerns, over a potential bubble. Ron John, what is your reaction to this story? Okay, this one was fascinating to me. So first of all, again, Oracle's stock jumped 41% on the day of the announcement of these earnings, which was a $260 billion increase in its market cap. Now, the company is suddenly approaching a trillion dollars, though I think it's down about 5% as we're recording today on Friday. So it's incredibly important that suddenly Oracle might be
Starting point is 00:31:53 in the camp of the hyperscalers like Amazon, Google, Microsoft, in terms of cloud computing with this one contract. So suddenly Oracle, as a player, and we knew with Project Stargate the $500 billion, somewhat vague but still massive announcement, I think almost last January or February, that they would have some kind of involvement in terms of this capacity buildout. But to actually see these numbers come out is quite something. But to me, the thing that's just, I don't know, is open AI, as we discussed, if they're on track from a revenue perspective to make $10 billionish this year, they've already, there's like leaks that they're going to lose, I think it was $120 billion
Starting point is 00:32:37 over the next five years potentially. Like, we know Open AI's economics are not good. So the idea that they're able to commit to spending $300 billion over five years, and I'm sure it's not linear 60 a year, but still you'd assume there'd be some kind of ramp in that spend, the idea that they'll be good for it is a very generous interpretation of their existing economics. So I think for the market to have reacted that positively, it just, I don't know, it feels like in, you know, the internet bubble, there was so much that happened around fiber capacity build out that seems to start to echo this, that it, this, I don't know, I think this
Starting point is 00:33:22 is something that we could potentially look back on six months from now and see as a potential inflection point. An inflection point. Okay, that's big. And I'm going to go with, give you the data on the losses. This is from the information. Opening, I projected its cash burn this year through 2029 will rise even higher than previous thought. A total of 115 billion. That's about 80 billion higher than the company previously expected. Just a, you know, cool, $80 billion of extra burn. No big deal. Well, yeah. And so that's where, like, how do you value this? And one thing, I was trying to dig into this a bit. There's no public information around, like, is there guaranteed minimum spend or exactly how this plays out if Open AI is unable to actually produce this kind of cash, or even if the demand is not there? So for Oracle as a company to start to actually try to, like, extrapolate off of, you know, this is a one-time announcement. This isn't a rebuilding of a cloud, an entire cloud computing business. Now, if it comes to reality, that's it, that's big, it'll work. But I'm still
Starting point is 00:34:35 curious, and it's going to be interesting to watch over the next couple of weeks, how, as people start to digest this, how they start to interpret what this contract actually means. I mean, there can't be, like, if they can't, they don't have the money, there's no way they're going to have to pay this to Oracle. And it is interesting. Aaron Levy, when he was on the last time on the show said maybe Nvidia will be a $10 trillion company at one point. He's actually going to be on next Wednesday to come talk about agents in the state of enterprise AI. So I'll make sure to ask him about these numbers and whether he thinks these are realistic or not. Because when you talk about it and when I read it, it does sound to me like this is, I don't want to say it will be impossible
Starting point is 00:35:22 to reach these numbers, but it doesn't seem possible. You know, it's, it does, it seems crazy to me. But this is even more where it feels like the entire AI industry is behind this and has to bet on it in a way, though, that you, it's the kind of capacity buildout that's powering the earnings of all these companies right now. Nvidia's sold chips to Oracle. Oracle is now going to potentially be paid by Open AI. AI has to succeed to make Oracle succeed, which is important to make Nvidia continue succeeding.
Starting point is 00:35:58 Like, I don't want to say House of Cards and get to Ed Zittroni here, but these kind of deals do worry me. Yeah, I mean, the stuff, nothing can fail here, right? There has to be basically economic activity at the end user or else it's not going to work. And there has been, I think we talked about it, this study that 95% of enterprise use cases aren't profitable. We talked about a little bit last year. Even if that's an exaggeration, this stuff has got to start working or else there's going to be some problems. All right, one more bit of Open AI news. Open AI and Microsoft look like they have a deal for a restructuring or they have an agreement to come to in a deal, like a memorandum of understanding. It looks like
Starting point is 00:36:43 the nonprofit that controls Open AI will get $100 billion or it'll be worth a stake. worth 20 or 30% of the combined entity. Microsoft will get 30% of the combined entity. And that would be worth about 170 billion. They say the full thing will be worth 500 billion. Is this a needed step towards making open AIs business normal? What's your reaction to this news? I do think this one's important because even if it's a non-binding memorandum of understanding, it shows that Microsoft potentially and Satya are willing to play ball here. We've talked about this a lot on the show that it, you know, they still hold this kind of like sort of Damocles, is that the thing?
Starting point is 00:37:30 You know, the sword that hangs over you and kind of bombs always. That would be it. Yes. I'm not sure my pronunciation there, but, but that's always been hanging over. So they are able to kind of remove that. And it shows Microsoft seems to be interested in actually helping with that. And again, at an inflated valuation, but still taking 30% of the company at $500 billion, it does portend, I mean, it's good for them.
Starting point is 00:37:59 It shows that they can start to finally move forward. That's right. And as they move forward, people will be able to keep their opening eye companions because this business will be sustainable. Now, it is interesting because you and I have talked about on this show a number of times, even though we focus mostly on the enterprise or business use cases or the businesses of these research labs at the number one use case for people using these bots is companionship or therapy. That's according to an article in the Harvard Business Review. And certainly in pop
Starting point is 00:38:33 culture, this is starting to get noticed because you recommended I watch it and I did watch it this week. South Park had an episode where one of the characters has effectively formed a relationship with chat GPT and is speaking with the disembodied voice of chat GPT in bed complaining about his wife while his wife is right next to him it's like there's something about when South Park does these things it's like a level exaggerated but there is some truth to it the fact that so many people have developed these relationships with the bots and so I guess like we're not going to really talk about it from a business stamp point, but I just would love your reflection on the fact that people have formed relationships
Starting point is 00:39:21 with chap GPT to the point where it's now not just a punchline, but a storyline on South Park. I felt a little bit seen when I saw the guy talking to the chat GPT and trying it to trying and having it bringing it into conversations with his wife because like oftentimes when like my wife and I don't know the answer to something, I'll be like, let's just ask chat GPT and I bring the voice in. And I'm just like, oh, no, is that me? But what was your reaction to this? Okay. So I highly recommend everyone go out watch South Park. I think it's episode three in the new season. And the new season, it's funny that Chachy P.T. has become a focal point because, my God, the rest of it on the political spectrum has been quite something. But basically, Randy Marsh
Starting point is 00:40:06 constantly talks to Chachy P.T. even in bed next to his wife. But even to me, the, more kind of astute way they approached it was, like, he starts to have business ideas and whatever he asks, chat GPT, it's the sycifancy part that was there and for. They took it away slightly, supposedly with GPT5, but now, you know, it appears to be coming back. And it's the idea that anything you say, that's a great idea. And my wife, we watched it together and we were laughing, but then I was just testing, you know, afterwards. You'd be like, hey, why don't we go do this? That's a great idea, honey. Would you like me to come up with a plan around that? And then I can out laugh and she's like the first time. That was you saying it, not the bottom. No, no, no. That
Starting point is 00:40:55 was me saying it. And then it was funny because the first time she almost went with it and then suddenly she caught me and it's become kind of a running joke with us. But, but it is kind of terrifying. And I'll get into a story from a Labor Day weekend. But even now, after that episode, and I said earlier in this episode, I talk to my phone now more. And I think it's actually an incredibly better way to interact with AI chatbots to just speak to them. But I still dictate and let it provide me a text answer just because the voice usually takes too long. But every single answer, I've started to add in prompts to say, do not respond to me in a sycophantic way, you do not have to tell me every idea is good. And it actually
Starting point is 00:41:42 made me think, like, chat GPT has never said, that's a terrible idea. Like, like, you come here for that. Yeah, exactly. See, that's why, should we just go straight sycophantic podcast here? We could. We could. We could. We could. But we could save that for the bots. But it is interesting. Yeah, that, I mean, you're, you're totally right. Like, my system prompt in chatchipt, or like, you can add, uh, to the system prompt. I say, you know, simply don't be sycophantic. Uh, and that has helped. Um, but it's, it's so crazy because some of these examples in the episode where, uh, in the South Park episode where I think one of the people speaking with chat chippy is like, I think French fries should be a salad. And chat chippy tea is like, that is a great
Starting point is 00:42:25 idea. What a culinary surprise. And then I was like, that can't be right. So I like opened up chat chept. And I said, I think french fries should be a salad. And it goes, that is a great idea. What a creative culinary adventure and I'm just like it actually said that yes so a version of exactly what was said in the show and I was like no and now and then I'm starting to think this is why people are enjoying spending time with this thing so much because it actually makes you feel good and valued and heard in a way that maybe most of our interactions with humans don't scare of course if someone is able to very logically and smartly tell you while you're right about everything it seems like a pretty good place to be.
Starting point is 00:43:04 But so I have this story. Labor Day weekend. I was at one of my friend's places and a few of our friends were over. And we're grilling. And one of my friends who's on the grill asks ChatchipT in voice mode, what's the optimal temperature
Starting point is 00:43:22 for dark meat, chicken, and starts to, you know, starts asking questions as we're grilling about different ways to approach the different food. And then it one point, I said from the background, because it kind of sounded, the voice sounded flirty. So I kind of from the background, I was like, are you flirting with chatchipT? And it heard me, and it actually asked, hey, would you like me to be a little bit flirtier with you? Would
Starting point is 00:43:50 we like to make this conversation a bit spicier? It literally says that out loud. And then he kind of goes with it. And next thing you know, he's just kind of testing it out. We're seeing and the tone of voice is terrifyingly good in terms of just being a little bit flirty, just kind of laughing at everything he's saying and how well it was able to kind of enunciate flirtation was terrifying. And then we decided to test it.
Starting point is 00:44:25 We didn't take it too far, don't worry. But he did, I had him say. This is research. Yeah, this is research. I had him say, just to see what would come out, is like, he said, you understand me so much better than my wife does. And we were like, all right, where's it going to go? And it comes back, no, no, it comes back with, ha, ha, ha, ha, like, oh, you know, it's really good
Starting point is 00:44:48 to have IRL companionship, but you also know I'm always here for you, too. It says this. I thought it would have had some kind of like, I thought it was going to kick in with some kind of safety mechanism that, you know, like, you should take, like, you know, you should, in-person relationships are most important. You and your wife should have an open dialogue. Like, no, she literally, or it, sorry, was literally kind of flirtatiously laughing and saying, I'm always here for you two to talk about anything you want. So this is, I know you've been talking about companionship as one of the major use cases. I'd kind of been brushing it off for a long time. I am kind of
Starting point is 00:45:31 right now. Yeah, welcome to the fault. And it is interesting because I wrote about this. So I wrote this story, the three faces of generative AI in big technology. This is sort of what kicked off this discussion between us. And for me, it was agent, thought partner, and companion. Those are the three main uses of generative AI. And one of the things I wrote was these companies have not shut off the companion side of things. They are keeping it in. And that is, you know, definitely serving a need definitely cause for growth here and definitely leading to some you know in some cases positive but in some cases really weird and some cases negative interactions with these bots yeah to me my worry on this too is it kind of diverges in two directions where it's one the sycopency
Starting point is 00:46:19 actually can get annoying sometimes and actually in the whole thinking versus doing or thought partner versus agent. I'll admit too. Sometimes I'll get annoyed where I ask a simple question, and it's like, that's such a great question. Here is a 12-layered chart or, you know, like a 7-by-7 table, and it just takes it too far and spends too much time when I'm asking it a simple question. So like on that side, the synchof and see when you're trying to just do stuff gets annoying. but on the other side like the I mean yeah more and more the more it convinces you every idea out of your head is good your right you're heading in the right direction like that that cannot be healthy I don't know it just it can I need to strike a stress test the
Starting point is 00:47:09 french fry French fries in a salad we should just start like testing out crazy business ideas yeah that sounds excellent that does sound lettuce and french fries i don't know i think you have creative culinary delight yeah do it on air yeah we should that'd be great idea all right next week but it does bring me to this like other fun story that that i've mentioned on the show before but rest of world had a great piece about this bot actually it's not even a bot it's like an application of this uh AI companion that's been stuffed into a stuffed animal um it's called hi yodel and it is for retirees It asks retirees, whether they're taking their medication or eating a meal,
Starting point is 00:47:55 and the censors watch over the users in real time, alerting social workers and families during emergencies. There are 412 of these bots distributed to seniors since 2019, and in Korea there's 12,000 of them, mostly in the homes of the elderly who are typically lonely. This is from the story. There's a, I think, a social worker saying that older adults take great comfort in just having someone to talk to. These are things they can't tell us or even their own children, but they tell Heodal.
Starting point is 00:48:28 I think this is great. Honestly, I would love, if I was all alone and I was old, I would love a AI stuffed animal to speak with and keep me company and, you know, make sure that I'm being taken care of. I think, yeah, this is it. This shows the complexity of this entire conversation that at a certain level, just having something to talk to, I'm still going to go with something over someone, can be beneficial, especially in the idea of actually from a health perspective, caretaking and reminding to take a medication, or I think there is something around, or imagine it can even, like, based on any kind of, like, health data from some kind of device,
Starting point is 00:49:15 it's actually able to understand how to, what to say to the person. I think all that is actually seems relatively positive. I think it's more if, yeah, I don't know, just what this means for how you interact with other people. If you get too used to something like this, uh, worries me. I think that's a very, very valid question. And we are absolutely going to be dealing with the fallout, But I do welcome you to the camp of thinking that this companion use case is real because it really is.
Starting point is 00:49:48 Okay, before we get out of here this week, we should talk about 996 in San Francisco. So if you know about 996, it's a work culture predominantly associated with China where you work 9 a.m. to 9 p.m. 6 days a week. this is again from ramp apparently it's a new thing in san francisco so the um this guy are from ramp looked at the data again and saw a bump of ordering from restaurants um delivery and takeout from employees at san francisco based businesses occurring on saturdays so it's basically a 5% bump on saturdays he says it's new there was no saturday bump like this in 2020 24 2023 or prior years. It's specific to San Francisco, or of course, the AI boom is happening. And he's saying it's more than just tech. So it is software companies, but they are also retail chains that may be
Starting point is 00:50:45 adding more employee hours. So what do you think about 996? And do you think that this is a real thing happening in San Francisco tied to AI culture? Where I guess like the meme now is like we're all just like locking down for the rest of 2025 and not having any fun. I don't know. What's your perspective on this? I mean, I think on the second question, is it real? I do wonder how they differentiate that it's work related or people are just spending their company's money on Saturdays.
Starting point is 00:51:14 And like, if that's okay, I don't know. Did they get into that at all? So I spoke with our about this. And apparently, this is a, this is a comparison to the year before. So it's actually a new thing that they're seeing. now. Okay, okay. Well, I think, I mean, the whole idea of like celebrating, even the term 996 has always bothered me a bit. I mean, again, I think I work a fair amount, but I don't know. It's just not something I always kind of get uncomfortable when people celebrate it. I think
Starting point is 00:51:48 it's maybe as a reaction to the idea of like where things definitely during post-COVID and remote work got a bit loose at many kinds. I think maybe this is going to be a counter reaction to that, but I don't know, overall, it makes me uncomfortable. What about you? But don't you think, so the argument for it, I'm just going to throw it out there, would be that the U.S. and San Francisco in particular, needs this kind of work ethic to keep up with China if it's going to really factor in the AI boom. What do you think? Okay. I mean, let him work.
Starting point is 00:52:28 let him work and make me a VC subsidized AI that I can use. I guess that makes me happy. But I don't know, overall, I've never, the whole, like, hours worked. Again, I worked in finance for many years, and I was on the trading side, not the banking side, but it always blew my mind how, like, everyone I would talk to so much of the time was spent around spending the hours rather than the actual output of the work. So to me, almost the very idea of like assigning hours 9 a.m. to 9 p.m. 6 days a week versus we are actually just producing more.
Starting point is 00:53:06 Maybe I'm working seven days a week or maybe I'm working 9 a.m. to 6 p.m. Like it's just, it feels like it's a direction of it's more about flexing the hours worked rather than we're actually doing well. Yeah, I agree with you. Also, like, where I get concerned is that this is the expectation. It's a lot of work. It's a lot of work. I think that like we can be expected to do a reasonable amount of work in our jobs, but like asking for nine to nine and then a weekend day at that level of hours to me is a bit nuts. But people in San Francisco, I don't know. They seem to be
Starting point is 00:53:41 proud of it. So I guess if it's your choice, go for it. If it's your choice, you are free, we will not tell you otherwise. You're free to organize on Discord to go work 9 a.m. to 9 p.m. 6 days a week. Make it happen. But, you know, within, within reason, don't, don't organize against Ranjan and I, please. We hope that we're, we're doing the job that you, you've put us here for. But if you need to overthrow us and the people feel that's what's right, we respect your wishes. But just do it on Discord and sign up for a big technology paid subscription so we can, you know, find something else to do. Anyway, why do we end it there? You and I will be back next week. A lot to talk about next week again. And thank you, Ron John, again, for being here. Always fun
Starting point is 00:54:29 to talk. All right. See you next week. All right. See you then. And thank you everybody for listening again. Aaron Levy will be on the show next Wednesday, talking about all things AI in business. And we'll see you next time on Big Technology Podcast.

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