Big Technology Podcast - Generative AI Might Just A Be Feature, Crypto is Back, Substack’s Nazi Problem

Episode Date: January 5, 2024

Ranjan Roy from Margins is back for our weekly discussion of the latest tech news. We cover 1) Whether generative AI is a feature or the underlying tech of new powerful applications 2) Robin AI's rece...nt fundraising 3) Big Technology's latest piece on Snapchat+ 4) Jeff Bezos investing in perplexity AI 5) Google execs investing in a Gen AI search competitor 6) Microsoft copilot app debuts 7) Microsoft and OpenAI's weird competitive dynamic 8) Can Web3 still happen? 9) The implications of bitcoin's recent price rise 10) Pig butchering crypto scams 11) Substack's baffling position toward nazis 12) Peloton patterns with Tiktok 13) Crypto CEO was totally fake --- Enjoying Big Technology Podcast? Please rate us five stars ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ in your podcast app of choice. For weekly updates on the show, sign up for the pod newsletter on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/6901970121829801984/ Questions? Feedback? Write to: bigtechnologypodcast@gmail.com

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Generative AI might just be a feature. Crypto is back, baby, the CEO that wasn't real and the state of Substack's Nazi problem. All that and more coming up right after this. Welcome to Big Technology Podcast Friday edition where we break down the news in our traditional cool-headed and nuanced format. We have a very big show today covering some massive topics from generative AI to crypto and of course the travails of Substack. Here as always is Ranjan Roy from Margins. Ron John, welcome. How you doing? it's 2024 and crypto and generative i remain top of mind but i'm excited to get into it we'll debate whether crypto and ai are two sides of the same coin or not as some people are talking about but first
Starting point is 00:00:42 let's get right into the generative i discussion because and let me start with this post from fred wilson who runs uh uh union square partners a venture venture capital firm um he says we're moving into the application era of AI. And this is from his prediction post for 2024. While in 2023, everyone was rightly focused on the large language models like Open AI, Anthropic, Gemini, Lama, et cetera, we will now see AI-first applications emerge in 2024 that will start to move the focus and the conversation up the stack. And we will see legacy applications embrace AI to make their products better and to remain competitive with the AI-first disruptors. I agree pretty strongly with the second half of Fred's take here, but not necessarily with the first half, because it does seem to me, and we're going to go through some examples here, that generative AI in the near term, at least, is going to be an add-on or a bolt-on to existing products, maybe just a feature.
Starting point is 00:01:43 And we came out with chat sheet BT. That was the big application. It was like, oh, the age of the AI application is here, but we haven't seen any since then. So what do you think? Is generative AI going to be an application itself or an add-on? I think generative AI presents a new paradigm where we can't cleanly separate out features and, you know, pure applications. And the reason I think this is because generative AI, I think it will and should show up as a feature. There's news around Robin AI's legal co-pilot getting $26 million in venture, like this idea. And again, legal documentation and the whole legal field feels to me like the most ripe for
Starting point is 00:02:27 disruption field that exists. So I think we'll start out where existing companies and products essentially bolt on generative AI features. But I think then generative AI changes the entire way those features work. The example I always go back to is when Benedict Evans, I remember, had written that, you know, right now Microsoft is approaching generative AI as an add-on to. Excel, but what if generative AI completely rethinks the way we think about spreadsheets at all? And I do think it will.
Starting point is 00:02:59 And maybe Microsoft will guide us in that direction and we'll do it still in Excel and it'll look differently. But I think generative AI is going to start as a feature, but end up transforming all these applications. Right. And the question is what that timeline might look like. Because if you think about the near term, everything that we've seen, right, chat chip pt comes out in November 2022.
Starting point is 00:03:19 We're sitting here in January. 2024 and we're not anywhere close to that reimagination of Excel like this is what it seems like it was going to look like to me whether it's this thing this Robin AI and by the way so what you do with Robin AI is it's a Microsoft Word add-in and this company that's you know just got 26 million in funding and 43 million total and they use it you can use it to create contracts in minutes you can review this is this is an article talking about the funding I think it's from TechCrunch review existing contracts using plain language prompts and identify and propose edits. They say that it reduces the time to create contracts by 80%, and it reduces cost by 75%.
Starting point is 00:04:03 So it's a co-pilot, really, like the idea, and by the way, that's like, you know, almost obvious that there's been this language copilot around AI, which basically says this is going to be something that helps you with the stuff that you're doing, you know, currently and not reinventing what you're doing. on the side of this, you know, assistive or this feature part of generative AI. I don't see it reinventing things like Excel or even search yet. So here's why I think this could be different. And in terms of timeline, what I'm about to say is definitely not happening in the next year or two. But the whole point of a contract always was. And for anyone, you run your own business now. I've run my own business. Like, it was always the most painful thing, especially when you're a
Starting point is 00:04:48 solo entrepreneur of like trying to sift. through legalese and feeling scared about these things and like all those words on those paper on that piece of paper are some kind of essentially a defense mechanism. It's some kind of programming that creates that idea. But once that stuff essentially becomes automated, the whole point of what a contract looks like changes. Maybe this is a little out there. But again, it's all those words are on the piece of paper to fit a specific way that we do, business and people read, humans, read that piece of paper and try to make a judgment around that. But if all that stuff is essentially programmed and being automated anyway, then why do you
Starting point is 00:05:30 even need a written contract? So Robin AI, you know, and again, I don't know what that looks like in the future, but, and I've thought about this with a lot of content that like, you already see it when an SEO driven article gets abstracted down to a Google snippet. We never really needed that article to begin with, I don't think we need a lot of this contract language. It's all just been there because it's been built in a certain way. Right. And basically, like, there's been talk about proof of work and we might cover this on the crypto side. We'll get into crypto. Right. That was supposed to take care of this with smart contracts by now. It hasn't, but I went through that whole thing and didn't even say smart contract. Yeah. Wow. Very impressive. Well,
Starting point is 00:06:12 you'll have plenty of opportunity coming up. But it is interesting that even if it is a feature, Right? It can change things. And, you know, it sort of goes back, and it can reshuffle the competitive balance of different applications and fields. And maybe even the mechanations in which business is done in certain fields. And I kind of go back to the Snapchat Plus example, which we talked about a little bit last week, where I made this bold claim. And I just wrote about this in big technology, thanks to your nudging, actually, about how this is, like, the first hit generative AI product after chat GPT. And the point is you go to Snapchat, not necessarily. And by the way, I re-downloaded Snapchat this week, and I've been playing around with it.
Starting point is 00:06:54 It's actually quite fun. I got a notification, your friend Alex Kitchwoods is joined Snapchat, yeah. This has really been a week of reawakening for me in terms of a few apps that I haven't used in a while. It's a new year. It's a new year. Snapchat and Coinbase. And we'll get to Coinbase in a minute. But, yeah, it's a super fun app. And you don't come to use the AI features. Like, you wouldn't go to use the My AI bot, like you would go to use a chat.
Starting point is 00:07:17 GPT. But they have that, they have image generation, they have image expansion, which helps you figure out what's outside of the frame, what the AI thinks is outside of the frame, and dreams which you take a bunch of selfies, and it puts you in these dreams scenarios like old Hollywood or
Starting point is 00:07:33 a movie poster or an alternative universe, and they're actually quite good. And the thing is that it just enhances the experience. It doesn't reinvent Snapchat. What it does is it makes everything you do on Snapchat better. And that's why it's worth of $3.99 a month. Yeah, I mean, and that's exactly it, that it starts as a feature. But even if
Starting point is 00:07:54 you think about it, like disappearing messages on Snapchat was a feature, but it changed the way people message. It changed, even sending photos that in the past, sending a photo as a means of communication, it needed to be a quote unquote good photo. But once that disappearing feature came in, it completely changed the entire paradigm of communication. And obviously that sounds a little grandiose, but I think it did, that people no longer felt like a photo was this, like, you know, eternal thing that's important and has to look good. It was just, this is happening right now, and instead of writing it, I'll send you a photo. So that's why I think what they're doing and making generative AI accessible,
Starting point is 00:08:36 I think is going to totally change the way people communicate. And that'll happen across whether they get it, whether other, whether meta comes in and figures this out on Messenger, I think it will, change the way people do things. Again, when you have an idea in your head, I think it was Rex Woodbury, if you read him, he said generative AI, it's an engine of imagination and that stuck with me, is that like you have a thought in your head. Now instead of describing it to someone, you just spin up a photo and send it to them. Yeah, it's pretty amazing. And another thing that might happen here is that the feature aspect of generative AI might pave the way for people to
Starting point is 00:09:16 use these products in those transformative ways. You get people comfortable with the idea of using it, and then all of a sudden it paves the way for them to start using completely different and transformative type of technology. And you actually, you know, it's kind of funny. Like I made this big proclamation in our document to prep for the show saying it's just a feature, and then you drop a story in saying that actually there's funding coming in from Jeff Bezos for a product that would.
Starting point is 00:09:46 will try to revolutionize search their generative AI and not just bolt it on. And I was like, dang, like the timing that you get to make this counterpoint is so perfect. But it is very interesting. So what is perplexity? So perplexity AI is a standalone app that essentially is trying to reimagine search in the age of generative AI. And, you know, and it's very good. And it's definitely been a buzzy on Twitter type thing. but it's, you know, Jeff Bezos just invested into it.
Starting point is 00:10:19 But it's basically, you know, you ask it the question as though you're talking to chat GPT, but the format it gives you, one of the things I really like is it's a lot more citation-based. Chat GPT, you get essentially a wall of text. Perplexity is very good about, you know, structuring the information that's underlying that, which Bard tries to do, but I don't even want to talk about Bard. my last few queries have been so bad. Bard has really gone downhill for you, Ron John. It's, it, I, sorry, just very quick rant.
Starting point is 00:10:52 It got quotes about, I asked, what are some famous quotes from George Washington? It made them up. It made up, I actually went through, and this is what I do with my time. It gave me 10 quotes, and three of them did not exist. How do you hallucinate quotes from George Washington? Like, I don't know. It's pretty bad. Google.
Starting point is 00:11:12 Sundar, if you're listening, get it together. Please. We're rooting for you a little bit. But perplexity. So again, reimagining search, a lot of traction. And I have been using it a lot. And so many queries that you start, you realize that if you're not hoping to necessarily end up on a website, even though it can direct you to a website and just get good information. But if you need to click out, it's already doing it. And it does it in a very clean format. The information from everything I've tried is very good. So it's just what it looks like and how search can act. I think it's a reminder, and especially as search has degraded over the last number of years and the top half of your search results screen are ads, I think like it's, it's time for it to reimagine
Starting point is 00:12:03 it. And they're starting to. So you use perplexity. I feel like after this discussion, I'm going to have to download yet another app because it sounds interesting to me. Are you using it to replace search? How has your experience been with it? Yeah, so definitely to replace search. And I had already started with the chat GPT iOS app using it to replace basic search queries. Again, if I'm like, if I'm looking for a restaurant or looking for something very up to the moment, I definitely, even though Bard should do it, I do not trust it. Perplexity. So it's more evergreen information. It's definitely my starting point. And again, it just presents things in such a better way than search does. Yeah. So, first of all, I'm intrigued by the idea that there are companies that are trying to
Starting point is 00:12:49 reinvent search already through generative AI and Jeff Bezos is investing. So it gives me, you know, at least some indication that this could be real. Another thing that happened in this story, as I read down, jumped out at me, which is that it's being invested in by top Google people, including Susan, well, Susan Winjickey, who's no longer the CEO of YouTube, but the former YouTube CEO, and Jeff Dean, who's a senior vice president on AI at Google. Jeff Dean is investing in perplexity? Yeah, this is from the Wall Street Journal. They both made personal investments before the recent round of funding.
Starting point is 00:13:25 I mean, this is, I don't understand how that happens. Sundar, get your house in order, man. Come on. I mean, it is AI search. How do you have the guy working on AI? a search company invest in a competitor. I didn't even know that that was half possible. That cannot be a lie.
Starting point is 00:13:44 It's Sundar. Come on, man. But yeah, yeah, no, this is, it is. And another very interesting thing, though. So I've been using perplexity a few months. So Microsoft just launched an iOS app for co-pilot. And it's interesting because you had already talked about, I think, from a branding standpoint. And I don't know if they're going to be able to own the term, even maybe from a copyright
Starting point is 00:14:05 perspective. but like I agree co-pilot is the best way to describe this technology to most people and the fact that that's what they call it and the app and the feature and all their existing pieces of software but so as I've been talking up perplexity I've played with co-pilot for the last week and it's pretty much as good and it does things in almost the exact same way yeah it's excellent this is what I've been seeing on the show for for months at this point that i am a big boy and it's now called co-pilot but bing chat is excellent yeah and okay i guess previously bing chat one had i remember at first they made you like download microsoft edge which i
Starting point is 00:14:50 did not want to do um but is even again the i guess this is a reminder that like user interface and all of these things matters so much i've always believed chat gpti's greatest trick was the fact that it kind of streams the letters and pretends it's writing to you rather than, even though if you ever use the API, it can return it as a block of text in far less time, but it creates the illusion of thinking happening. And so user experience and interface definitely matter
Starting point is 00:15:24 in all of these. And the thing is, co-pilot is good. It's a little more crowded and busy than perplexity. but it's still very good and again the way they present all the information but I think this also gets us back into the question of are these heavily funded buzzy startups what chance like how do they fight
Starting point is 00:15:47 against Microsoft and Google and Apple and whoever else because again here you have the buzz one of the busiest startups in the valley funded by Bezos and even Google's own AI search people and yet co-pilot It basically can replicate the quality, at least from what I've seen, in almost the exact same UI right away. Does that mean they just kind of disappear as Microsoft pushes co-pilot across every word in Excel and office user? Exactly.
Starting point is 00:16:20 I mean, so this is from the TechCrunch story. It says with co-pilot, you're getting access to OpenAI's GPT for technology for free, which is pretty significant because OpenAI's GPT app runs GPT 3.5. technology and charges for access to GPT4, you also get access to Dolly 3 for free. So it really is quite remarkable that Microsoft, which has put all this money into Open AI, is effectively offering something better for cheaper, for free. Sorry, that, you're right, that's actually a far more salient point. Like, how is, what does that mean in this whole drama that Open AI is majority of their
Starting point is 00:16:58 revenue, vast majority, and we've talked about consumer versus enterprise. a lot is consumer in chat GPT plus for 20 bucks a month and if I can get that free on Microsoft co-pilot right now like for them to do that to their own investment does are they doing that because they've lost faith after the whole oh that is interesting I mean there was always going to be tension in this partnership always right they're offering similar products chat GPT is you know potentially competing with some Microsoft products but But the fact that Microsoft is now offering such a competitive product, I don't know, Ranjan. It seems to me like there's going to be more tension between these two companies.
Starting point is 00:17:43 Yeah, it's not just a competitive product. And again, if you use the two. It's the product, better and free. It's the same product that. And it's OpenAI's entire revenue stream for free. Yes. Big tech's, big tech is still playing the big tech game. Well, I feel like if you spend all that money and you get 49% of open AI's revenue, but you don't own any of open AI, which is the case for Microsoft, you got to find a way. And this might be the way.
Starting point is 00:18:14 Yeah, yeah. So let's go back to our friend Fred Wilson, who in his 2023 post talking about the age of AI application is also talking about how we're going to see a big year for crypto and Web3. For a while, I thought, like, okay, we're not going to hear about Web 3 anymore. You have the San Bankman-Fried scam, and everybody starts to, has gotten wise to the fact that this technology is largely overpromised and was pushed by many Hucksters. But we're starting to see the return of quote-unquote serious people talking about Web 3 again. And Wilson says that 2023 was the year Web 3 held its ground. Okay, that's a very interesting description of what happened. And 2024 will be the year that regulators and lawmakers come to turn. terms with AI. He continues, AI developed for over 40 years before it's coming out party. I think
Starting point is 00:19:07 it will take Web 3 less than half of that time. Satoshi gave us a playbook to build a decentralized internet stack back in 2008, and I feel quite confident that we will have massive mainstream applications running on this decentralized stack well before 2028. I think we will see mainstream decentralized applications emerge in 2024, as we now have inexpensive and fast transactions. and simpler user interfaces. And this is where he says, AI and Web 3 are two sides of the same coin. AI will help make Web 3 usable for mainstream applications,
Starting point is 00:19:42 and Web 3 will help us trust AI. Together they will lead to a more powerful, more resilient, more trusted, and more equitable Internet. Ranjan, we've been talking about how, like, AI is not Web 3 because it has actual use cases. Is it the case that Web 3 is just going to take a little bit more time to get there? or is this sort of the last gasp from, you know, boosters of a technology that have a lot of money in it
Starting point is 00:20:05 and are desperately trying to make it happen? I mean, it feels a bit like every other, every industry and company has tried to put AI in its name or company description. And that sentence to me felt it starts to feel a little bit. The part that I definitely took issue with is that AI took 40 years and Web3 will only be half that because we started 2008.
Starting point is 00:20:31 One thing with crypto is, I remember hearing endlessly, this is like the internet in 1994. This is like the internet in 1970 already. Like anything to try to justify the lack of a killer use case or any kind of use case, what are we now 15, 16 years into it? So I think trying to almost brag that the timescale will be halved for this relative to AI, I think is a bit disingenuous. the only thing, based on what we said earlier, where he says Web3 will help us trust AI,
Starting point is 00:21:05 there still is this massive trust gap that will only get worse with generative AI, and provenance and context will become more important than ever. And right now, it's funny because, like, you know, is this image real or not? Who made this image? These are the exact questions that Web3 has always promised us it can answer. And also I keep saying Web3 buying into the marketing term, let's call it crypto or, you know, blockchain. I think actually the greatest rebranding ever was blockchain into Web3 because everyone got tired of blockchain as a term. But that's what it was put.
Starting point is 00:21:44 That's what it is supposed to do. Like, and it should be doing that already. Like the idea that there's not a mid-journey plug-in, a blockchain slash Web3 plugin that tells you who made what, when it was made. what the prompt was, whatever else. Again, the idea that we're going to see that in 2024 when nothing has happened on that side, I think, is wishful thinking. But I also think at least as the promise is written,
Starting point is 00:22:12 I mean, it should help us there. So here's another place where I take issue with Wilson. And that's him saying that it took 40 years for AI to have its coming out party. Well, all along the way, AI has had real use cases that, may not have been generative AI, but computer vision and machine learning rankings, natural language processing, all this stuff has been used to power everything from translations to things like Google Photos, figuring out, even to self-driving cars. Like, this is already in-prime technology that just took another leap forward, whereas with Web 3, you're just not quite there.
Starting point is 00:22:55 Yeah, I agree. I think that's a good point. that you're right. He equates AI and Web 3, not generative AI specifically, and AI, Google search itself has been rebuilt around AI and machine learning. So almost every major technological use case, there's, I mean, very often some kind of AI component to it. But I think also, again, it's going to be an interesting year because I think if you've seen Fidelity now has set has announced the idea of a Bitcoin ETF with a fee of just around 0.39% and is waiting
Starting point is 00:23:33 for SEC approval. So there's energy back. There's energy back in crypto, in Bitcoin, and everyone's trying to set this as a year. Bitcoin's held strong at like 45K right now. So I don't know. Do you think Bitcoin ends
Starting point is 00:23:49 the year higher or lower than 46K? It's always such a crapshoot to predict what the price of Bitcoin is going to be, but I do that there's like looking at the fact that bitcoin is i am astonished that it's up to it's like 43 000 today i'm astonished it's back there i thought it was over you know when it went down to 17 000 i was like you know see it you'll never reach your you know the heights again and then i you know so i was researching our segment for today and i was like all right screw it i'll
Starting point is 00:24:18 open my coinbase app to see how much i'm down and those numbers were green baby like things look good and it's going to make people like say oh this crypto thing like I'm already getting formal for not having invested again at the depths and I'm happy to be in you know in the positive numbers again but it is it's very interesting that this thing just will not die and it's about to be like you mentioned it's about to be traded through ETFs which is going to bring mainstream investor you would imagine more mainstream investor interest in the app in the you know in the coin especially as it's had this search. I mean, it's on the way up,
Starting point is 00:24:58 and it's going to be listed as an ETF. You know, that's some serious momentum. So on one hand, I look at this Web 3 thing with some skepticism, and on the other, I'm just like, well, as long as the price of, I mean, that's really what this has been about. As long as the price of Bitcoin is as high as it is, it's a little bit hard to dismiss.
Starting point is 00:25:18 And maybe we will find use cases for this blockchain. Technology, as long as the money is there, which will attract more investment and more development. See, this is where I disagree. I think, and I've thought this for a long time, the focus on price is what distracts from any utilization around the technology, and that's why maybe we could have had that use case,
Starting point is 00:25:43 but because the focus on price was the core, it brought in the wrong people, they focused on the wrong things. And I actually think I'm shocked that the, I guess the Bitcoin community, but the Web3 community from everything I've seen is like incredibly excited about the ETF. Because think about what an ETF does. It abstracts away the entire technology and just makes it a vehicle for speculation. And that's literally what the definition is. It gives you exposure without having to touch the underlying asset. And that's exactly what I would think you should
Starting point is 00:26:20 not want with this because the whole point is now you're getting focus on it again everyone getting involved in casual investors their first exposure to this or maybe their fifth or sixth is through something that completely says the technology we don't care about that we only care about the price so i actually think the bitcoin etf idea is it's a negative for any potential web three development serious application killer use case. Yeah, this is a good moment also to plug that I have Albert Wegener, who is Fred Wilson's partner at Union Square Ventures coming on the show next Wednesday. So I'm going to do that interview on Tuesday, and I'm definitely going to bring this up to him. It should be interesting. So look out for that in your feeds next Wednesday. Oh, we're not done with crypto, folks, because
Starting point is 00:27:09 as crypto rises, there will continue to be more and more ridiculous stories about the way that this technology or this speculation has been used to scam people. So we have two big stories, one we're going to end with. But the first, let's talk about now because as I've gotten to know, Ron John, one of the things I've learned is that whenever it comes to a big scam or confidence game or con, this man lights up. And he dropped a story about pig butchering in our document this week. And I was just like, oh, boy, this is going to be so exciting to talk about because this one is a fun, fun scam. well i think we're going to have to say lose while i am my eyes are lit and i'm smiling because this is such a ridiculous story it it it there it's it's a serious one so i just finished reading number
Starting point is 00:28:04 goes up by zeke fox which honestly was one of the most fun business books i've read in a long time where it it's written in kind of like almost like a mystery style travel the globe story format, but the underlying business writing is very smart and very good. And so his focus is on tether. And we haven't really touched on it that much because I guess last year it wasn't quite the story. It was in 21 and 22. But again, this stable coin that underlies so much of the entire crypto infrastructure. And then how tether, and then kind of he goes through tethered through many cycles. And he even had interviewed SBF, Sam Bankman-Freed in person a number of times, covers that, covers the rise and fall of FTCS, and in the end, tether stays standing.
Starting point is 00:28:54 And then obviously the question is, where is it being used, other than pure speculation, why is it being used? And in that, he uncovers what are called pig-butchering scams. And I've seen more and more, the Wall Street Journal had a pretty big feature a month ago. CNN had an article just this week. There's news. to Colorado in the nation, there's a big piece. But basically it's the idea that, you know, you get, and I don't know, have you ever gotten those text messages from some unusually attractive, random-looking female who's like, hi.
Starting point is 00:29:29 No, no, they're always real. Yeah, for Alex, they're always real. And trust me. But so what's funny is, I actually myself, so the author, Zeke Fox, he starts responding. to it and takes them on this journey I'll quickly talk about not to spoil too much from the book but I had responded basically you respond they start kind of talking to you a little bit and try to flirt with you and then next thing it's like hey I'm making they tell you I'm making a lot of money in crypto and then potentially invite you to join a WhatsApp group where it moves further
Starting point is 00:30:05 and then they start giving you tips they start asking you to send money to get send tether the stable coin to convert your money to tether and then send that tether to what are often either fake exchanges, fake web, like entire websites that look like an exchange. And so this is not only scamming many people out of untold amounts of money. And, and, you know, like some numbers you hear, there was like $100 million scams uncovered, $300 million scams uncovered. The other crazy part of this story is the people who are on the other side are often trafficked. They're people who answer like an ad in their living, a lot of them are living in China and they go to Cambodia or Vietnam to work in a tourism agency or as a telemarketer and then
Starting point is 00:30:54 literally are imprisoned in buildings where they cannot leave. They're abused and they are forced to carry on these pig butchering scams. And the crazy part is, even from what little he sees, you understand there's potentially billions of dollars in this, tether the stable coin company just last month, even froze $225 million of what they say they've uncovered a huge ring of pig butchering. So they're at least taking some stance around it. But the idea that in terms of what that killer use case has quietly been over the last six years, it seems to be that there is at least a multi-billion-dollar economy in scamming people in the West, and then on the other side,
Starting point is 00:31:42 people in a horrible situation being forced to do this. Yeah, I probably shouldn't have used the word fun, but it is definitely, it is revealing. Like, it's a crazy, crazy story that does reveal so much of what crypto is being used for. And it's sad. And like, it is one of the things that these stories do is they bring home that there's like real people on the other end of this that are actually getting. scammed and are losing money because of this stuff. And you wonder, like a lot of technology, there's a tradeoff, right? We talked about this past week with Meredith Whitaker that
Starting point is 00:32:16 you have a new technology released. There's going to be some good and bad. Where does it land on net? I would argue most of it on net is positive. But when you hear these stories and you've heard them as people got cleaned out as they've invested in FTX and in all these other different. And I feel like everybody who's like in the tech industry now knows at least within one degree of separation, someone who's lost a ton of money under crypto scam, and you start to wonder whether this stuff is actually a net positive or negative. And it's really hard to argue that anything but the negative side at this point. Yeah. And I think what was even more eye-opening for me is as a former trader, relatively capitalist person, the idea of all, it's already
Starting point is 00:33:02 bad enough people falling for a scam. But then there's always, the, hey, getting into crypto was of your own accord. That's your fault. It was more the other side understanding is not just the people losing the money. It's the people who are actually facilitating the scams that this is a massive part of how these operations work is an even more depressing part. But in terms of people losing their money, too, the book, do you remember Axi infinity and spoiled love potion? Yeah. The play to earn revolution, which I remember when it was coming out. That was one of my biggest, I don't want to say eye roll moments, but just like, come on. Right. Come on. Why not? It's an eye roll moment. Why not?
Starting point is 00:33:44 Yeah. The idea that people are going to lift themselves out of poverty by playing games. And again, he talks to a number of people who lost a lot, like took out loans, borrowed money to invest in making their own creatures in Axi Infinity to gather and gain smooth love potion tokens and then lost a lot of money. And again, it's not someone who has a bunch of money and lost a little bit. It's people who lose everything. So I think it's, I don't know, it's surprising to me that those conversations are not bigger and we seem to just move on.
Starting point is 00:34:23 Like even right now, Bitcoin 45K, people are tweeting a lot. People are like, yet those last few years are just glossed over. And I'm curious, I was surprised. surprised reading it that it wasn't a bigger story already given the book came out a few months ago, but it's starting to be covered a little bit, but still not where it needs to be. So Andreessen Horowitz actually reached out and asked me if I wanted to interview Chris Dixon, who has a book coming out about Web 3 and crypto, sorry, in the coming weeks. And of course I'm interested in speaking with him.
Starting point is 00:34:56 And then they wrote back and said, listen, he's, you know, he's now looking at some other shows. so we'll see. And it's like, Chris, Andrewsson Horwitz, if you're listening, come on and have the talk. Like, I understand this is not going to be an easy interview, but just do it, right? Like, what's the point of being an advocate for this technology if you're not going to step up to the plate and talk about it with people who are going to ask you tough questions? So that's my public plea.
Starting point is 00:35:23 I'll continue to work behind the scenes to bring this interview to folks, and if they decide not to do it, then we're going to talk more about it because I do think that the boosters or this technology need to have frank conversations with people who may not agree with them. I think that's a fair thing. And again, the idea of more democratization around disrupting finance, especially in emerging markets and making payments easier across borders and instantaneous, all these things would be an incredibly positive good, but it has not happened yet. And maybe it's happening more than we realize.
Starting point is 00:36:00 Exactly. For him to explain that, I would be happy to hear this. Yeah, as would I, and I think so at our audience. So I'll keep you all posted on that. All right, let's take a quick break and go from crypto to the Nazis on Substack and then finish with, you know, some more uplifting stories, or not even uplifting, but one really hilarious story that I cannot wait to talk about. Back right after this. Hey, everyone, let me tell you about the Hustle Daily Show,
Starting point is 00:36:25 a podcast filled with business, tech news, and original stories to keep you in the loop on what's trending. More than 2 million professionals read The Hustle's daily email for its irreverent and informative takes on business and tech news. Now, they have a daily podcast called The Hustle Daily Show, where their team of writers break down the biggest business headlines in 15 minutes or less and explain why you should care about them. So, search for The Hustle Daily Show and your favorite podcast app, like the one you're using right now. And we're back here on Big Technology Podcast here with Ranjan Roy of Margins. Ranjan we both write on Substack and Substack has had a bit of an issue with Nazis on the platform
Starting point is 00:37:07 There was an Atlantic story that uncovered that Substack has Nazi, you know, not even people that wink at Nazis, but full-fledged Nazis writing on the platform making money on Substack and it's a small amount of people but they're there and Substack refuses to either take them off
Starting point is 00:37:25 or demonetize them and it sort of gets to this it's like an essential example of like should online platforms be for free speech or you know should they take anything down and you know obviously this is protected speech is not illegal
Starting point is 00:37:40 to write this stuff in the US but should a tech platform be making money off of Nazi writing and subject itself to or expose itself to the possibility that people reading work on their site might go and then take
Starting point is 00:37:56 I mean, take violent action. Like, Nazism is a tradition with, it's an ideological tradition that's associated with violence. You cannot separate the violence out. And so do you want to be the platform that people are going to read and potentially take action there? And even 8chan, if you watch the great documentary about QAnon, so, you know, basically got to the point where it's like we cannot host this ideology anymore because people are going out and shooting folks up after reading it. And Substack is standing behind it. It's pretty wild. They're basically like, we don't like Nazis either,
Starting point is 00:38:30 but to censor this would be worse than allowing it to be up. I mean, I'm curious how you read this situation. To some people, it seems completely cut and dry. I mean, my newsletter is still on Substack, but I am not confident in staying there. I'm curious what you think. I have followed this for a long time. I mean, we were fairly early in starting margins on Substack.
Starting point is 00:38:59 And I feel it's very representative in an interesting way around just platforms versus publications. Substack is always been funny to me because Substack calls themselves a platform that supports free speech, yet they chose very specific authors to give large cash advances to and essentially chosen curated what showed up on the front page, and it was a publication very much in that sense, which means you have an editorial view and responsibility, but they will never take the ownership of that. But by the same token, in terms of like platforms and content moderation,
Starting point is 00:39:41 I always feel this is always a game, and it's purely kind of being run in a, it's not done in an ethical way at all. It's purely in a capitalistic way of tried to, just deflect, try to just deflect and hope you can grow the business and raise the next round and potentially IPO or whatever else and keep growing. But I, less from the ethical side, I'm actually just more confused what they mean and what they're trying to do from a business standpoint. Because substack itself already took on kind of a specific branding, especially
Starting point is 00:40:14 during the COVID years. And why would you want to dig further into that, especially when there's reporting they were having trouble raising additional rounds they've raised a very very expensive round at their last money like so they have to grow why would they do this i mean do you think it's willful do you think it's just such a commitment to quote unquote free speech i think that they realize that they're going to signal to a lot of their right-leaning authors that they are going to be willing to censor and they don't want to do that But that's, I do not think this is smart. I do not think this is wise.
Starting point is 00:40:55 I do not think this is well thought through. I've emailed with them a little bit in the background, completely off record. So I'm not going to share what they said. But I mean, I'll say it's like straight up that I'm fairly dismayed by this. It should be easy, right? Nazis making money on your product. You should not allow them to do that. Even, like again, it's not controversial.
Starting point is 00:41:15 Even 8-Trent draws a line here. You know, it's crazy to continue to want to be in this. this type of business. And I think, you know, it's going to be maybe not the end of substack, but like it's going to meaningfully hurt this business and potentially lead to a spiral that leaves them on the on the boundaries of the tech world, on the margins, so to speak, but not those type, on the fringes. And I think it's some of the dumbest business management I've ever seen in my life. And I'm not, I'm like not in the like, I don't even think they need to take these people off the platform necessarily. I just think they shouldn't be able to make any money on
Starting point is 00:41:57 the writing that they're doing. I mean, YouTube wrote the playbook for everybody. Like, and again, I mean, in a very smart way, and to their credit, thing keeps growing and going, like, YouTube wrote the playbook and the playbook is right there. So why you wouldn't take it? I mean, I guess at that point you do wonder in terms of like the free speech pilling in within like a closed community funded by again andresen horowitz so that's probably part of it yeah yeah no i think i don't know i think this is going to be an interesting year for me with substack less the nazis more the growth yeah well they're definitely hurting the growth for sure yeah sorry go ahead yeah yeah the 2024 is going to be a year I think that we'll be talking about this all year long
Starting point is 00:42:45 where a lot of the 2021 and 2022 vintage hyped companies if they didn't realize those projections in 2023 that the rubber will meet the road and I think I actually think I think we will be hearing more about substacks business than content moderation in the next six months. Maybe this is a sign that they're quite desperate on the business front and they feel that they can't lose
Starting point is 00:43:13 But the other thing is that people are going to stop paying for substacks if they continue to stand by us. I mean, we just went paid on big technology, and I've definitely gotten notes from a couple of people saying, listen, I'm off a substack. I'm not going to pay anymore. And I guess I don't blame them. It's a very strange position for me to be in, right? Like, I've had multiple family members that were killed in the Holocaust and, like, to have people unsubscribe to big technology because I'm on a platform that allows Nazis to make money. It's just a very strange situation.
Starting point is 00:43:47 So I guess, like, I'm going to wait and see what they do. You know, it's very, very difficult to replicate the functionality, right? So it would be very tough for me to move, but I don't think it's completely out of the cards to think that big technology might go elsewhere if this keeps up. Anyway, talk about Peloton. We already knew there was going to be no transition away from this stuff. There was no transition.
Starting point is 00:44:11 we'd already discussed from pig butchering to Nazis. So I'm going to come in and tell you about how Peloton, which is I never sold my bike. I said I was going to a few months ago and I didn't end up selling it. So still, and I still pay for it. Are you riding? I ride. Since it's been cold, I've been riding again. And they've been making some updates.
Starting point is 00:44:37 But it still, it was my favorite pandemic company because I was a user for a few years beforehand, loved it. And then what they did during the pandemic thought was absurd. Again, once their stock went up, overpromising, trying to release too many products, letting the core product degrade. So it's a company in a bit of desperation now. And they just announced a partnership with TikTok on Thursday where they're going to, they're going to have hashtag TikTok fitness powered by Peloton. Within the platform, there's going to be a fitness space that you can go to. and try to take some fitness classes or watch some fitness videos. The thing that was interesting to me is this is a reminder.
Starting point is 00:45:21 The question with all these companies, right, has always been, were they ever a tech company? Was we work a real estate company or a tech company? Was Peloton an exercise hardware company or a tech company slash media company, basically digital? They're going all in, they're leaving the hardware behind and really trying to lean into streaming fitness, which is a very, very competitive space. So I think it's a move that reeks of a bit of desperation, but again, going back to actually to tie it into our last segment, companies that were hyped in 2021 that are doing extreme things to try to remain relevant in 2024. I think Peloton going on TikTok and Substack and Nazis perhaps or free speech, as you said, I think
Starting point is 00:46:09 we're going to see a lot more companies in that exact state do things that are kind of questionable or just try to lean in into the wrong business decisions because they have to do something. Exactly. Yeah. And I'm also a Pello fan. We had Emma Lovewell here, who's in Peloton instructor. It's one of our earliest interviews on the podcast. Wait, you had Emma Lovewell? Oh, yes. She was a 2020 interview for sure. I did not know this. Yeah. All right. Actually, one of my favorite interviews we've done on the show and she's a great instructor my favorite instructors yeah yeah so uh wait what was the i guess peloton the technology angle there yeah we just talked about like what was it what's it like to teach you know uh fitness classes to 50 000 people on the other side of your of your screen in a stadium
Starting point is 00:46:59 size ride effectively um without seeing any of them and like what it's been like just experiencing the Peloton rise in the middle of COVID. So I also, I mean, I had one, as soon as they announced the lockdowns, I was like, or even beforehand, I went to Amazon and was like exercise bike. Like, if I'm not going to leave my apartment, I'm getting an exercise bike. And I got one of those, like, you know, cheap Chinese made exercise bikes. And then I signed up to the Pelotone app. And I used it for months through COVID.
Starting point is 00:47:27 And it was, honestly, it was a savior for me. So, but yeah, it's been interesting to see where this company. He has gone since then. Do they end up acquired by Apple? They've been saying that for a long time. And Apple, this is even more reason. I think it's confusing, again, why it's a bad business decision. Apple has its own pretty good, if not great, streaming fitness media content.
Starting point is 00:47:53 They don't have hardware. So Peloton should just be tripling down that we are the best. And I think they are hardware company that also marries together software. where in a seamless, entertaining way, rather than were yet another streaming fitness content platform. Because it makes it less attractive to Apple. Right. Okay, let's end with my favorite story of the week,
Starting point is 00:48:18 which is that there was this, and by the way, I don't take joy in these scams, but they are fun to read about. I guess it's like the true crime type of thing that is intriguing to me, but there was this crypto company called Hyperverse, and they tried it out, this chief executive officer, Stephen Reese, Lewis, and the guardian did this investigation, and this person was fake.
Starting point is 00:48:45 So they, let's see, so they said, no records exist of Stephen Reese Lewis in the UK's company's register. Then he also said he was at the University of Leeds and the University of Cambridge. and neither of those universities have him in their databases. And he said that he had sold a company to Adobe. And Adobe said, there's no Stephen Rees-Lewis. And he also said that he worked for Goldman Sachs. And Goldman Sachs said they did not ever employ this person. And, well, the craziest thing is that this crypto company,
Starting point is 00:49:28 which again, speaking of the overall negative impact of crypto, took a lot of money from people and then didn't return it. And it had these testimonials from Chuck Norris and Steve Wozniak. And just who endorsed this company Hyperverse that he was the leader of. So Chuck Norris said, under the leadership of CEO, Steve and Hyperverse will be the leader of the Metaverse space. And Steve Wozniak says, I'm here to support Stephen and Hyperverse. I can't wait for the hyperverse. And the story found out that both of these guys are on cameo
Starting point is 00:50:03 and basically wink-winks at the fact that hyperverse bought cameo endorsements from Chuck Norris and Steve Wozniak who gave him willingly for like a hundred bucks probably $100, put them on the website and they're like, oh, all of a sudden they look legit. It's just the craziest story, man. I don't even know where to begin on this one. I think we've had a pretty serious show for the last half.
Starting point is 00:50:27 I think this one, this is the type of scam. and confidence game that does bring a full smile to my face because, again, it's not just crypto, cameo is involved. And the idea of, it's brilliant if you think about it, like Chuck Norris, here's a cameo, here's a hundred bucks, say exactly this, and then to put it on your website, it's nuts. The thing, also, Steve Wozniak, why is he doing cameos? He has to have enough money. Even Chuck Norris, what do they get paid? Do, that's what's really struck out. to me in this do they just enjoy it like why why is steve wasniak doing a cameo or chuck norris they don't they're not george santos they don't need you know a couple of clips of a hundred dollars here
Starting point is 00:51:13 there well i am i'm drawing complete blanks on this one ron what do you think the answer is i don't maybe they just love they love the format they love the cameo just making the people happy I guess so. I mean, if I was a billionaire, would I, you know, do shoutouts on a cameo for 100 bucks each? No. You should do it for free. Donate to charity at least. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:51:39 Maybe that. Maybe, oh, wait, that's the idea. Cameo, but people just do it for charity. Right. And then the companies that order the cameos use that for scams. So it could be this flywheel here, where? 2021, we would have raised some money already. We'd have been great.
Starting point is 00:51:56 Okay. So you have a celebrity, do a cameo. That cameo is used for a crypto company. That crypto company impoverishes people. And those people are made whole by a charity that the cameo thing funds. It's beautiful. Saving the world. Technology saving the world.
Starting point is 00:52:17 That's why I'm a techno-optimus. Ron John, thanks so much for joining us. Great talking to you, as always. All right, good way to end there. Optimism. We're optimistic. here. Just got to be creative. All right, everybody, thank you for listening. Thank you, Ranjan, for being here. On Wednesday, as I mentioned, my interview with Union Square
Starting point is 00:52:34 Ventures, Albert Wegner, is going to be live, and then Ronjin and I will be back next Friday, typical time. So we hope to see you there. And we'll see you next time on the big technology podcast. Thank you.

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