Big Technology Podcast - Two VCs On AI’s Possibilities — With Joe Marchese and Michael Mignano
Episode Date: April 5, 2023Michael Mignano is a partner at Lightspeed VC. Joe Marchese is a general and build partner at Human Ventures. The two investors join Big Technology Podcast to discuss this new wave of generative AI's ...potential. We interrogate how this technology might be overhyped, and then speak about the potential areas of opportunity. Three domains stand out: 1) Content creation and entertainment. 2) Search and discovery. 3) AI as an assistive agent. Tune in for the second half where we discuss platform strategy and the associated risks.
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LinkedIn Presents
Welcome to Big Technology Podcast, a show for cool-headed, nuanced conversation of the tech world and beyond.
This week on the podcast, we have two venture capitalists talking about the opportunity that they see in this latest wave of generative artificial intelligence.
Joe Marquezzi is a general and build partner at human ventures,
and Michael McNano is a partner at Lightspeed VC and the co-founder of Anchor.
With all the hype we've been hearing about generative AI,
I figured it was just time to have a grounding conversation.
You know, what is the actual business opportunity here?
And is it going to be incremental or a sea change?
These two VCs you're about to hear from believe it's the latter,
that this is going to be big.
And they help us flesh out a bit about where this is going.
As you listen, I suggest paying attention.
attention to three main categories. One, content creation and entertainment, two, search and
discovery. And three, and this is probably the most interesting one, the AI acting as an assistive
agent. So, stay tuned for a nutrient-rich, fun conversation. And this one's a bit on the shorter
side after a few longer episodes over the past few weeks. My conversation with Joe Marquesie and Mike
McNano coming up right after this. Joe and Mike, welcome to the show. Good to be here. We're going to
talk a lot about the opportunity that this new wave of AI has. And one of the things I think a lot
of people are trying to figure out at home is, is this, it feels like it's something, but is this
going to be another fad like crypto was, right? Is this going to be something that has a tremendous
amount of hype and fades away? Now, I'm going to let you guys spend most of this podcast making
the case like that maybe there's something and maybe we should be afraid of it. But let's first
start with a theory of what, if this is a flash in the past,
hand? Like, what is the path for it just fading away as a bunch of hype? Joe, I feel like you'd
be good to start this one. I mean, I don't know if I'm good for what would make it fade away.
I think there's because I just don't believe that there's a chance that this isn't fundamentally
industry changing at every level. I think the difference is, you know, whereas crypto and Web 3,
they have aspirations to make wholesale changes to the monetary system and, you know, basically
new forms of government and new forms of governance like this AI is fixing the boring stuff
and that's how you know it's a real business it's like it's just making workflows more efficient
at these at these micro levels of like legal processes and HR and and like so just that alone
I don't I don't see a path that it isn't already going to have an impact on on multiple multiple
business lines so let me let me rephrase so instead of fade away like have a minimal impact
instead of an outsized impact because you see every day like all these predictions of how this is
going to change the world. And so what is, is there a way where it just like makes a few things
a little bit better or like, yeah, what is the path for that? I mean, I think maybe you would want
to start. So, so first of all, let me just say, I agree with Joe. So I think if you wanted a podcast
of two people like choking each other, this episode may not work out that way. But, but, but I
agree with Joe, but maybe a framework for analyzing your question and thinking about it is to sort of think about the areas of business or really life in general that stand to be most disrupted by this. And then maybe the areas that are least disrupted by this. And think about those areas, right? And those areas that this technology just can't or won't get to anytime soon. Now, the question is which areas are those? Well, I think let's start with the areas.
on the opposite end of the spectrum, maybe we can like work our way down. I think like inevitably
these tools we're already seeing are really good at doing things that humans can do, but just a lot
faster, right? And I think that's why you're seeing things like, you're seeing a lot of these
like virtual assistants. You're seeing things that write on behalf of people. You're seeing
technology that analyzes text far faster than humans ever could. So maybe,
Maybe one place we could focus are like, what are the things that are uniquely challenging
to do regardless of time, right?
I don't know.
Do either of you have an idea based on that prompt?
No, I mean, this is the struggle.
I mean, I've spent the better part of obviously the last couple of months as everyone has
been just captivated by the rollout of AI into people's hands directly.
And the more I've dug in with every business, I'm convinced that it's not a single business.
It's that every business is going to have to figure out what role it plays in it.
It's like saying that you're a cloud business.
You're not a cloud business because you worked on AWS or Azure.
Like that was just the most efficient way to host your servers.
And so I think that this is, I'm pretty convinced it's pervasive.
I guess what you could make the argument is that if it becomes so pervasive that everybody has it and it's then it doesn't mean anything to anyone.
right and but like you'd still make you'd still have to make the argument that those that are most
efficient at using it will end up winning like i i think the line was AI isn't going to replace
humans but humans who use AI will replace humans who don't use AI yeah we just had palmer lucky
on the show last week talking about like AI won't kill humans humans humans with AI will kill
you guys sorry same same philosophy yeah go ahead mike yeah i mean i personally like i think the
the companies that are most interesting right now or that will be most interesting
over these next few years are actually the ones that look to take advantage of the AI more aggressively
and more quickly than other companies, right? The companies that are more quickly going to be
adopting things like co-pilot to help write their code, you know, the marketing teams that are
more quickly going to be adopting chat CBT or, you know, or products that are based on large
language models to help with writing. Those are the companies that are going to have massive
efficiency gains. And it's almost like if you're not using those things, you're going to be at a
disadvantage. And one thing, one, one new lens that I've been looking at this through is like,
I think, you know, someone said once, I don't know if there's the exact quotes, so I won't butcher it,
who said it, but because I don't want them to not want credit for this, but it's basically like
strategy is doing the hard thing, right? Like, like, everybody has ideas, but like execution is
the hard thing. And it used to be the technology was the hard thing, right? Purely like, you know,
we needed enough engineers and enough coders. Now, if everyone's coding on top of the,
large language models and like using co-pilot so one engineer can do the work at 10 or maybe even
you get to a place where non-engineers can do like a lot of the technical architecture the question
you have to ask yourself is what's the hard thing like what is the new hard thing if everyone has
all these tools at their disposal and and you know I would make a big case for you know
cultural relevancy and brand and or you know things that we talk about like in the humanities
like what are the human insights that you're that are driving your business and how do you
How do you maintain an edge?
But it for so long was the ability to go from, I have an idea of how to put a button on
a screen to needing to build a lot of things to get to do that.
Now that's the easy part.
So now what's the hard part?
Maybe the hard part is places where technology can't go or has a hard time going, right?
It almost feels like where technology can go will be completely, AI will be completely deflationary
to those areas of commerce or business.
But actually the things where technology can't go, maybe, I don't.
know, whether it be construction or agriculture, and obviously technology can reach these
industries, but maybe more like the more offline aspects of these industries are the things
that will be most untouched by AI. Yeah, and the reason why I started at the beginning talking about
like the bear case here, and I know like, I think the three of us all believe that this is going
to be big, but like, yeah, I think there is some concern that, okay, how much should people buy in
It goes anywhere from CEOs deciding whether they need to input this in their business,
marketing teams trying to figure out whether they should use it.
Reporters, for instance, thinking about whether they should write about it.
And, of course, VC is thinking about whether they should invest in it.
The one thing that I'll say, and I want to get into some use cases, but the one thing that I'll say,
you know, as we think about the bear case, is I'm also curious if you guys could help put
into context the leap that we just saw.
Because, you know, if you think about it technologically, chat GPT was just taking a technology that was already there, GPT 3.5 and putting into a chat bot.
You know, so we were talking about an incremental step in, and you can push back on me on this one, but we're talking about an incremental step in terms of, you know, computers being able to read and write.
And that combined with image generation with things like Dolly and Mid Journey, which has gotten good.
So, okay, that's interesting.
but why would this represent a moment of like potentially unprecedented economic opportunity
if the technology change is incremental?
Well, well, there's, I mean, let me give, I give you one one thing on the bare case side
that could freeze us is we have no idea how trademark law is going to work with AI right now.
We have no idea what the models are being trained on.
Like even, like it's going to be so hard to figure.
So there could be a little bit of a delay as we figure out what's investable.
Because like to your last point there, to what VC's invest.
in. We look at, I mean, we're looking at everything we can here, and I will tell you it's hard to figure out investable unless you're going all the way to the arm's rent of like you're going to build your own LOMs. But the idea of, sorry, I lost my train of thought after the last, oh, no, sorry, the idea of what makes this a step change is two things. One is AI has been directing our attention for a long time. We famously all talk about the TikTok algorithm all the time. We all know what the Facebook,
news feed is, right? So, like, basically, consumers have been talking about AI without even
knowing they were talking about AI. But that was AI directing our attention to things made by
other people, right? Now, AI is literally creating the content. When you ask chat GPT, it doesn't
go search the web and then give you a reference. It creates an answer for you. So now, like,
what that does is it absolutely turns on its head search, which how much of the internet do you
think is based on search? Most of it, right? It turns advertising on its head, which is the entire
internet economy is built on advertising. So that means that like just trillions of dollars
of market cap are are up for grabs in some ways. But the chilling part of that is we don't really
have a replacement model for that yet. So like I as much as anybody am very excited for the day
the internet is not wholly ad base because it's done some horrible things to the internet,
including listicles and, you know, Alex, we've talked about these. Hey, wait a second.
All right. Your former ad tech executive, I'm forward BuzzFeed reporter. That hits home for both
I know. I think I think we have some sins to. We have some sense to it. But no, but the internet being
fully ad-based is was a problem for a lot of reasons. But for better or worse, it is an ad-based
economy. And AI by saying, okay, not only will I direct your attention, but I'll create the content
for you, I mean, it's hard to overstate how big a deal that is. Yeah, I think this is a really
important point. And, you know, it's something I've been thinking about as well. TikTok, per
your point, Joe, has proven, TikTok and Instagram. And frankly, companies like Spotify have been doing
this for a while. They've sort of proven to us how good the models can be and the algorithms can be
at giving us exactly what we want at the exact time we want it for as long as our attention,
we'll stay focused on it. And I think that those models are only going to be
more and more needed as AI creates this sort of explosion of content. However, per your point,
Joe, they're sort of all driving at the platform business model of today, which is effectively
ad revenue or some sort of proxy for ad revenue, right? Let's just call it attention.
If the platform can now make the perfect content, if the platform can deliver the perfect
content at the perfect time, and now it can make the content at the perfect time,
I mean, platforms are going to be, they already, they already are really, really, really good at
keeping us addicted. They're going to be literally perfect at keeping us addictive. And so I do think
new business models are needed to break away from that. I guess the question is, you know,
will users pay for new models, right? Like, will I pay for a model to give me the content I think
I want versus the content that the TikTok algorithm has sort of proven that I want? It's kind of like,
I know I should eat more broccoli and eat more vegetables, but I still eat the cheeseburger
every once in a while. Can vegetables win? Can a new sort of vegetable model win? Because I think
it's going to have to, or something's going to have to give. Otherwise, we may all end up
like the final scenes in Wally, where we're just floating around on these machines, staring at
our screens all the time. It seemed bad in the movie, but every now and again, I do wish to be
that Wally the style. They look happy. They seem to have. They seemed to have.
happy. I mean, yeah. So, so I'm just going to, well, I don't know if this is reading between the
lines or whether you guys are explicitly saying this, but hearing you both talk, it does
seem that content creation, AI-based content creation, and then getting that to people is like
the number one big opportunity here. Like just, it's just companies creating content through
AI. How right or wrong is that? I mean, I don't know how much your listeners, like, have been really
going deep on AI and what the LLMs are.
But just let's pause for a second and think about how insane this is.
When you ask it a question, when you ask chat tip to a question, it doesn't actually
understand the answer that it's writing out.
And it's not copying and pasting it from the internet, what it's writing out.
It's taking each individual word and giving a probabilistic outcome to the next word that
goes after it.
And then they end up forming whole ideas and thoughts.
And, you know, you can say, you could say, I did this yesterday.
You are David Ogilvy, come up with 10 taglines for new banana Oreo.
to do this and it comes up and it writes it like him and but he actually didn't go find it
anywhere it created that so it's not it's not just creating content it's it's creating the answers to
our questions you know based on the sum total of nods i mean that should be awe-inspiring to people
like and and it works right now this is an example back to your back to before where with the
crypto and the web three side of the world where you're saying hey we're imagining a world that's
going to change or become this well the world has already changed and now we're just figuring out what to do with it
but but it's it's it's it's unlike anything that we've seen so so it's hard to answer um
like how i what wouldn't be affected by that um but it's not just content creation it's
it's it's it's answering our questions like there's like that's crazy i mean search is a big
business yeah and and through yeah maybe it's more than that and it's not just answering our
questions but through you know i'm sure you both saw like the plugins got announced recently
You know, there are companies that are building models specifically for action taking, not just language.
So it's very, very soon going to start.
I mean, it already is possible, but more of us are going to see very, very soon at making the leap from words on a screen to taking specific actions that either we directed to or it directs itself to based on the answers to our questions, right?
Think of one small vertical, right?
Like travel, travel industry, OTAs, price line, trip advisor, expedia, hundreds of billions of dollars in market cap, right?
And they really rely on that you go to Google and you type, you know, where should I go on vacation?
And there's a search results page of which they are one, two, three, and four, most likely you click through one.
I'm on price line.
Oh, I know price line, William Shatner used to be the price line negotiator for me, right?
like out there negotiating my hotel room rates so I can trust that this brand is getting me the best
deal okay I trust this and then you you make a purchase and there's a revenue that entire flow goes
goes around the other way if you just say you know talk to me about where I should travel here's some
things about me here's my income like and it's giving you answers and so then the process of booking
I mean that's and that's just one vertical of commerce right and that is an entire vertical that
is reliant on the flow of consumers today that usually started a search bar.
So, Mike, Mike, you brought up the plugins.
So I feel like it would be great to just talk out what those are because they go into chat,
GPT.
And part of it is, for instance, like having basically talking with a kayak, right, and having it
then go book you a flight.
Like, can you expand a little bit upon what it is?
Yeah, basically OpenAI built in basically a developer ecosystem.
system now to chat chbt where developers applications you know product services can integrate
directly with with chat gbt so you know if joe says hey uh i you know i want to i want to travel
to barcelona next week what's the you know best time a day you know give me some option whatever
it can now go and plug in directly with i think actually kayak has a plug in yes
you're wrong um and go do the transaction right from within chat gbt and and you know there are a number
these wolf from alpha will from alpha but maybe the most interesting one is there's a plugin that
just connects it to the internet which is which is a huge deal because chat gbt you know or gb4
is trained on uh you know a corpus of data that goes up until i think you know somewhere in
2020 september 21 yeah september 2021 it's not live it's not connect to the internet it's just a
snapshot in time. But now it is connected to the internet. And so it can go seek real-time information
and take actions based on that real-time information. So, yeah. Think about that example.
Think about the kayak example for a second. Like, let's just all pause here. Okay. So a incredibly
smart AI has now plugged into a kayak, you know, so it can go book you or travel. But why does it
have to? Like, why doesn't it just plug into Delta and to Marriott and to, you know, like restaurants on
the ground like that layer in between doesn't really make sense if the AI can figure out what like
what it is you want to go do right and so how long until that becomes disemmediated or risk of
disintermediation like that is that is that is tons of industries I think maybe the more
interesting question is okay so everything is going to plug into this like chat gbt will be able
to go anywhere where can chat gbt go right right now it is in a box I'm like
computer. I have to navigate to whatever, chat.com or whatever. Where am I going to be able to access
chatGBT from a year from now, two years from now? That brings that capability so much closer to
me, to the thought in my brain, right? Like, oh, wait, I want to go to Barcelona next week. How can I
act on that immediately? I think it's probably pretty inevitable. It's going to get much closer to
our smartphones, maybe our watches, maybe our smart speakers in our kitchen. Where is,
where is this going to be distributed to, I think, is, is, is, is, and I can't stop thinking about this.
And I brought it up on the show before, but this Benedict Evans tweet talking about like people have been like, uh, awe inspired by the fact that you can have, um, GPT4 in Microsoft Excel and then ask Excel questions about your data.
And what he says is the old way of thinking about this is it's just a feature on programs you use already.
The real question is, why do we even need Excel?
Because if you just upload your data into some AI cloud and dialogue with it, you might not need to have those spreadsheets like you did before.
How do you guys think about that?
Yes.
I mean, I think that's that.
I guess it's kind of my point is that there's a step in there that might just get skipped entirely.
If AI is plugged into, you know, point of sale data at restaurants, they might not even have invoices at the end of the month to have to upload because, like, they just won't just won't need to do that.
And that is such an amazing efficiency addition for small businesses, for supply chains.
I mean, this could be very, very good news from a, and I know we'll get into the scarier sides of it before we finish here.
But like, it could be a very good news in terms of efficiency for the economy, like literal GDP up into the right, you know, with less people.
But we don't really have a replacement business model.
for that yet. Yeah, I agree with that. I guess the thing, you know, getting back to your question,
Alex, the part that I struggle with is like, what are the things where I actually do need to touch
and feel and see something for it to be really useful to me, right? Like, you know, goosies were
created for a reason, right? Like an actual user interface was created for a reason. It was because it
became easier or faster or more convenient for me to tap some buttons, either, you know,
through a mouse on my desktop or on my phone than it was for me to type into, you know,
a command line. So I'm curious to see, and I wondered a little bit about this like, you know,
five or six years ago when, you know, the sort of command K within Slack or whatever it is,
like started, that started to show up everywhere, right? Like the command bar. I'm curious, like,
if chat and voice and sort of interacting directly with an AI will replace this notion
of a user interface that has been so pervasive over the past 30 years.
I think that's a good point because I do think that audio architecture has not moved.
I mean, a lot of people ask, why didn't Amazon Home get there?
Why didn't Google Home get there?
Like, why isn't this all prevalent?
And it's because without menu listings, audio is very difficult for, because like we all talk
a little bit differently, right?
We all think in slightly different mental models of how we form a sentence.
And so without a command bar, it doesn't work.
But this new system, like I, you know, I would respond to chat GPT and I'd say number nine from above, give me this versions of that.
There wasn't, there wasn't some architecture that said I had to press, you know, pound sign number nine, you know, then this, or I'd spell out nine.
It just figured it out.
And I think that was what was missing from the last time audio.
So audio didn't work before because there's no interpret.
interpretation. And this has the ability to interpret. And so you won't need kind of a command hierarchy to be known by the user. Like the only commands that were useful on Amazon home, you had to already know what the commands are. Right. And that's, that's just not helpful because we don't all think the same way. Yeah. All right. Let's take a quick break and come back here. We're here with Joe Markezy, general and build partners at partner at human ventures and Michael McNano. He is a partner at light speed and the co-founder of Anchor. We're going to be back right after this to talk a little bit more about the opportunity for startups and then some of those worries.
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And we're back here on Big Technology Podcast.
We have Mike McNano here with us,
co-founder of Anchor and a partner at Lightspeed VC
and Joe Marquesi, a general and build partner
at Human Ventures.
Great to have you both on.
So we actually talked about some interesting things
in the first half that I think they require us
to expand upon them a little bit.
Now, we talked about the fact that OpenAI is releasing
plugins for chat GPT and you're both venture capitalists thinking about how can companies actually go
up and build on top of this software. So when the plugins came out, some people were like, well,
there goes a generation of chat GPT startups because OpenAI is just releasing it on their own.
And then I think about Bing and Microsoft's offering. And I wonder in some ways whether these big
platforms, like the model has always been to build platforms and allow other people to build on top
of the APIs. And at first, it seemed like chat GPT and Bing were demos. And I even wrote that that was
the case. But now I also wonder, do these companies think they have something so powerful that their
use case is actually the demos themselves, right? The chat GPT and the Bing and not making this
available to everyone. I'm curious how you think about that. Like, doesn't it make more sense for like an
open AI to just make chat GPT, the platform as opposed to, you know, try to make money on its
API because of the power there. And how does that influence your thinking as a VC? Mike, do you want
to take this one? Yeah, honest answer is I'm not sure yet. And I think they may not be sure yet,
which I think is why they're probably doing both, right? And it, you know, it does, it's only
been a few weeks or a few months or whatever, but it does seem like they are investing more
and more into chat GPT. It does seem like it's becoming more of a destination than it was.
I mean, you know, I think there are some figures being thrown around about how many
subscribers they have and how much revenue they're generating. And they're all pretty
mind-boggling. But the same time, you know, I have to manage, I have to imagine that their
API business is really, really healthy and robust as well. Because it seems like pretty much
every company I talk to is integrating with the API and looking to get access to to more and more
credits for their users and more GPUs. So I'm not sure. It's hard to say from where I sit. And
if I was at that company, something tells me I'd be unsure inside that company as well. So it's
possible they're still just pursuing both. Right. Like Joe, like Joe. And just to set Joe up,
I mean, think about just the Bing example, right, where if this is something that can unseat Google or
even take a chunk of its market share, like isn't that where you want to focus versus like making
your GPT4 chat abilities available through Azure?
Yeah, maybe.
Again, so this is the hard part,
and this is where I'm perfectly willing to say,
we don't know yet, and you have to watch.
It's hard to tell what's exactly investable
except for a couple of key categories.
I think to your point that you brought up really
that Benedict had said about,
well, why are we adding chat GPT capabilities to excel?
why are we adding chat GPT capabilities to search?
Like maybe this is,
maybe there's a different interface that we're going to be coming through,
um,
that accesses these capabilities where,
where I think you can start to get a little bit of comfort right now is to say,
okay,
what were real businesses that might not have been venture investable businesses,
but they have a real product.
Usually I tend to like ones that end in the physical world somewhere because,
you know, atoms are infinite and molecules aren't, right?
Or sorry,
uh,
bits are infinite and,
and molecules or atoms aren't.
And so, you know, but now with AI, it might be a venture investable business because
you've got someone who can do the hard thing, like we talked about before, like maybe that's
logistics and getting products to people, manufacturing, hardware.
But now with this AI layer to it, it's going to improve the capabilities or efficiency
of the business to a place where there's venture returns.
So that's something that you can look at right now.
You can also look at people who are skilled craftsmen in a particular area that now, that now
we'll be able to expand or scale what they do.
You know, I was talking to a good friend of mine, Apollo, who's at LinkedIn,
and he's looking at this idea of the kind of future of work with AI.
And it's, yes, maybe I could do my job in a quarter of the time.
So what am I going to spend those other three quarters of my time doing?
Like, what is the part of my job that makes me uniquely good at it in a craftsman?
And I think that's exciting for a lot of people.
Do you guys both have companies that you've invested in?
that you want to talk about like why you think they're, you know, interesting and what do they
represent or is there like specific categories of companies that you're looking at that people
should be paying attention to?
This doesn't directly answer your question, but it sort of calls back to what I said earlier.
I mean, I think what I'm most excited about right now are companies that are using AI, maybe not only
in their actual products, but also as a company.
If you think about the things that companies can do to drive greater efficiency, better use of their capital and time, again, it seems like you're almost being wasteful at this point if you're not plugging AI into pretty much everywhere it can go inside of your company.
So that's one thing I'm looking at with almost every company that I'm talking to is just like, how are you leveraging AI to be more, to be, you know, more powerful than you could be without it?
And I think you look at some of the ones.
So I think Mike and I are both investors in Capsule.
Which is a perfect example of a company that the two founders had been building for a long time.
They found a unique insight in terms of the browser rendering of video editing.
They give it as no code video editor.
And it had always had a component of AI before it got fuzzy and cool and everyone was piled onto it.
But that's a perfect example of a real business that's now going to use AI to make it even easier for the editors to do their job.
But they were selling a product to a business, right?
I think that's interesting, you know, one that I'm not invested in.
So you can say, so you can see I have the same thesis even when it's not my, not my financial
upside, like Jasper.
Jasper was around for, I don't know, there's a great story.
I was it five, six years where they were kind of bumping around, copyrighting, copy editing.
And then they, because they were trying to fix this one thing that was bumpy, and then
they realized with AI, they could do it so much faster.
And it exploded.
Like, I mean, I'm looking for those.
And that's Jasper's a writing assistant.
very different. Yeah, it was a writing assistant, specifically marketing copy. I'm looking for
companies that have, they've built this infrastructure that with AI, they could take off. And I think
that's very different profile than most VCs look for. I totally agree with Joe. Capsule is a great
example. That team is incredible. And they're just shipping really, really high quality features so
quickly. The AI is making their product even better. But there has to be something really, really special
about the team and the product, even without the UI, or the AI.
I think Capsule is a great example that, you know, we invest-
What does Capsule do exactly?
Joe, you want to- Yeah, so, yeah, so, oh, well, that's what I was kind of describing earlier.
So basically, it allows you to appear, your, it's actually cloud-based that they have built,
but it appears that you're editing video right in your browser.
So social media manager, I'd say, Bloomberg in the New York Times, or could just edit video
and kind of no-code.
Think of it as like Canva or Vigma for video, I think.
And what does the AI do?
And so now the AI is starting to be predictive.
Put a kairon here.
Maybe you should, oh, maybe you should title this sequence.
Oh, here, I'll transcribe this.
I'll transcribe the video for you and now you can edit it.
So it's just making it recommendations.
You know, I like the joke when Microsoft invested in Open AI.
Remember Clippy?
Like, would just be up there and start talking to you.
Well, now we have, now we have Clippy on steroids there.
Like, that's going to be the idea everywhere.
But like, to Mike's point, the product of capsule had been building for a long time,
was trying to make it easier for no code people or, you know,
without using advanced video editing tools to edit videos.
That was the interface.
Now AI is making it.
They're making recommendations for them.
Like the person's just edited.
Like everyone's Scorsese at this point, right?
Don't tell Mark.
Marty, I said that.
I'd be in trouble.
Yeah.
So I was really fortunate to invest in Capsule as an angel investor.
I'm really excited that Joe invested as well.
But in the context of Lightspeed are recently invested in a company called
Tom. And Tom is taking a similar approach where, you know, they've taken this massive,
massive market of workplace presentations, right? Storytelling in the workplace through
presentations. Huge market, predominantly dominated by incumbents like Microsoft, et cetera.
However, these things are really, really hard to create. And they also don't travel well,
right? It's an old, outdated format. It's like a 16 by 9 fixed grid. And so sort of along the
same lines of what we were just talking about with Capsule, this team spent the past two years
building easier creation tools and a better format, a format that's actually mobile optimized
and connects to all your different data sources, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. And then when AI came
along, they realized, oh my goodness, we can leverage AI to drop the friction and reduce,
you know, reduce the cost to the user to create one of these things to zero. And so AI has
been a massive, massive force of democratization for this format and just makes the company that
much more interesting and that much better. So I think it's really important that like the products
and the companies have really, really sound and interesting business models and strategies,
even in the absence of AI and such that the AI serves as almost a rocket fuel for it. That's
at least how I've been thinking about it. So we have like five minutes left or we have exactly five
minutes left. Where are the worries coming in? Because you guys are both, you know, concerned about
what this technology will do to society. Where should we be worried about where it might lead?
Look, one thing for me, and there are definitely a long list of worries, but, you know, I have two
young daughters. And, you know, my daughter, one of my daughters and I recently have been saying,
oh, we want to, we want to write a children's book together, right? And so we've been playing around
with that. And naturally, we started using chat GPT to help us create the concept and some of the,
some of the, you know, narrative elements or whatnot. And by the way, it's been awesome and it's
been fun. But there is a part of me that's like, we're cheating. You know, we're like,
we're kind of cheating a little bit. We're not like, we're not doing this purely based on
our own creativity. We're tapping into this a little bit. So I do think a little bit about like
the educational aspect and, you know, obviously there have been a lot of stories around cheating on
exams and things like that. But I think more like, where are the, where are the areas where I'm
going to be using this or a child's going to be using this and they're not actually going to be
learning concepts themselves. I know that's something I think about. I think a lot about, well,
we talked a little bit before, trademark law, what's going to happen. I mean, I describe a good friend
as an advisor to human Esther Perel. So she focused on relationships. She's a world-renowned
relationship therapist. Somebody wanted to see her and obviously she's very busy. She can see it. So he
created an Esther bot. He ingested all of her books, all of her podcasts, all of her
writings and had a little thought that he could chat with that sounded like us there to him.
Think about the, forget whether how violating, you know, or not, who's responsible for that, right?
Section 230, like, prevents any algorithm for getting in trouble for recommending harmful content.
How is Section 230 going to apply to artificially generated content?
Like, who's responsible for it?
Who's responsible for that AI bot that got created?
Is it the large language model that they trained it on when they didn't have the rights?
Do we have the rights?
So trademarks one whole area.
then the area that we've all been waiting for,
that we've been afraid of for a long time,
but it hasn't quite reached capacity yet,
which is deep fakes and flooding the zone
with misinformation,
or everybody getting their own version of the news.
Like,
we all think it's a utopian future
where everything's customized to us,
but what are the three of us going to talk about
when we haven't seen the same movies
because we all saw our version of the movie?
Imagine we haven't seen the same news.
Like, I mean, society functions
based on having shared narratives,
like from religion to money to,
politics. This is, this, this, this again changes all of that in, in really significant ways.
So I, I, I worry that not that we couldn't figure it out, it's just the level of unattended
consequences on the scale is so great. You know, I don't believe in any world we're getting a
six month pause, but I can totally understand why it was asked. Neither of you brought up job losses.
Yeah, same. Well, I think, I, well, okay, yes, I do think job.
losses is a big one, but I think that's always been a fear, although I think this is different.
My hope is that the increase in efficiency to workflows and the GDP overall, we find a way
to put that back into society. I mean, it's for a whole other podcast, but I do think AI needs
to be tied to UBI and some sort of revaluing the purpose economy. So that is things that are not
counted in GDP, but we know benefits society, child care, a lot of education,
mentoring, elder care.
Like, there's a list that we know, like, volunteerism, that we know that makes society better,
civic participation.
That is a huge topic, and I have a lot of hope for that, because, yeah, I do think this
will be a net job destroyer.
Yeah, neither.
Oh, sorry, not neither.
Both of you have, you know, expanded thoughts on this that you write about on the
internet.
I'd like to direct listeners if they are enjoying this conversation, to enjoy this conversation
to find out where they can continue to follow.
your writing. And I think you have a piece that's dropping today, Joe.
So we'd just love to hear you both share where people can follow your work.
I'm easy to find on Twitter and LinkedIn is probably where I'll post most of my, most of my work.
I know this venerable podcast is sponsored by LinkedIn. So, you know, I like to be a home around that.
Yeah, similarly, I'm just at McNano, my last name, everywhere, Twitter, LinkedIn, medium.
substack. All my writing goes to all of those different places. But to the sponsor of this podcast's
credit, you should go check it out on LinkedIn. Nice. Yes. Well, we're glad to be part of the LinkedIn
podcast network here at Big Technology Podcast. And so glad both of you were able to join. This has been
great. Thanks so much for being here, Joe and Mike. And that will do it for us here on Big Technology
podcast. Thank you, Joe, and thank you, Mike, so much for coming on. This was great. You
guys have amazing podcast chemistry, so we'll have to get you back. Thank you, Nate Kowatani,
for handling the audio. Thank you, LinkedIn, for having me as part of your podcast network.
And thanks, of course, to all of you, the listeners. I appreciate you coming back week after
week. We had a record month in March, and let's go for another one in April. All right. So on
Friday, we will be joined again, as always, or well, back from vacation by Ron John Roy,
breaking down the week's news. So we hope to see you there. It can, of course, be here on the feed
and live on LinkedIn and YouTube, so please check it out there.
And we will wrap it here.
We will see you next time on Big Technology Podcast.