BigDeal - How to ACTUALLY Achieve Your Goals (Backed by Science)
Episode Date: August 11, 2026My new book, Own Or Be Owned, is all about building a business so good it doesn't need you. More profit, less pain. It's out September 18, grab your ticket to the launch event here: https://contrarian...thinking.biz/oobo_bigdeal - cs You've been visualizing success. Watching the vision board. Repeating the affirmations. Trusting the universe to deliver. Here's the truth: the more vividly you fantasize about success, the worse you perform. And the science proves it. The Secret sold 30 million copies by promising that if you visualize wealth hard enough, the universe will deliver it. But two decades of research shows the opposite. NYU psychologists tracked college graduates and found that students who spent the most time in positive fantasies about their dream jobs sent out fewer applications, got fewer offers, and earned lower salaries two years later. Your brain books the fantasy as a partial payment on the real thing, giving you the reward before you've done the work. Manifestation isn't fuel. It's anesthesia. This episode breaks down the exact frameworks elite builders use instead, why Buddhist monks sit with decaying bodies to rehearse death, and the three anti-manifestation moves that turn goals into reality. From the Stoic practice of premeditation of evils to the WHOOP method that doubles your odds of success, you'll learn why imagining failure makes you stronger and how to engineer systems that make your obituary impossible. In this episode, you'll learn: Why NYU research proves that positive fantasies kill performance and how students who visualized success earned 24 pounds less in weight loss studies and lower salaries than peers who confronted reality The five step anti-manifestation practice: write your business obituary, name what caused the death, run the survival check, extract the system, and put it on the calendar quarterly The Stockdale Paradox: why optimists died in Vietnam POW camps and how brutal faith in the destination plus brutal honesty about the path is what separates winners from wishful thinkers Why announcing goals out loud makes you quit 33% faster and how premature applause becomes a paycheck your brain cashes before the work exists The WHOOP framework: Wish, Outcome, Obstacle, Plan, and how this method doubles your odds of hitting goals by naming the exact moment resistance shows up and engineering the if-then response in advance And one more thing for the business owners: stop making million dollar decisions alone! Join the Contrarian Growth Boardroom and get a board of advisors to help with every decision: https://contrarianthinking.biz/bdbr ___________ 00:00 Introduction: The Secret Sold 30 Million Lies and Science Proves It 01:10 The NYU Study: Why the Best Visualizers Earned Less and Got Fewer Jobs 04:04 Your Brain Books the Fantasy as Payment: The Blood Pressure Experiment 04:52 Rehearse the Funeral: The 2000-Year-Old Buddhist Practice of Mindfulness of Death 07:04 The Five-Step Anti-Manifestation System: Write Your Business Obituary 10:21 The Stockdale Paradox: Optimists Died in Prison and Realists Survived 11:52 Jeff Bezos Told Investors 70 Percent Chance of Total Failure 12:53 Swap the Movie: Visualize the Process, Not the Outcome 13:58 Swap the Audience: Shut Up and Stop Announcing Your Goals 16:02 Swap the Oracle: Ask the Market for Receipts, Not the Universe for Vibes 20:29 The WOOP Method: Wish, Outcome, Obstacle, Plan 21:25 The Future Belongs to People Who Face the Funeral and Build Anyway ___________ MORE FROM BIGDEAL 🎥 YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@podcastbigdeal 📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/bigdeal.podcast 📽️ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@big.deal.pod MORE FROM CODIE SANCHEZ 🎥 YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@codiesanchezct 📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/codiesanchez 📽️ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realcodiesanchez OTHER THINGS WE DO 🌐 Our community: https://contrarianthinking.typeform.com/to/WBztXXID 📰 Free newsletter: https://contrarianthinking.biz/3XWLlZp 📚 Biz buying course: https://contrarianthinking.biz/3NhjGgN 🏠 Resibrands: https://resibrands.com/ 💰 CT Capital: https://contrarianthinking.biz/4eRyGOk 🏦 Main St Hold Co: https://contrarianthinking.biz/3YfGa8u Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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The Secret sold more than 30 million copies by promising that if you've visualized wealth hard enough, the universe will give it to you.
But here's what two decades of research actually shows.
The more vividly you fantasize about success, the worse you perform.
Isn't that insane?
So today, I'm actually going to show you what the best builders on Earth do instead.
You'll learn about this 2,000-year-old Buddhist practice.
And then our version of the three contrarian anti-manifestation moves to make your goals actually reality.
I'm Cody Sanchez, and I've bought and built enough.
companies to know that hope is not a plan. Quick favor, before we start, if this show has ever made you
money or saved you from a bad decision, can you do me one solid? Hit subscribe. It costs you nothing.
It tells us exactly what to make more of for you. All right, I want to jump into the science of why
manifesting backfires. So manifestation makes basically this one core claim, right? If you see it and then
you feel it and then the universe will bring it towards you. But the research says your brain does
something else entirely when you visualize success. It actually, it relaxes. So there's this study we found
in 2002 by NYU psychologists, tracking college graduates entering the job market. And they basically
found that the students who spent the most time in quote unquote, I love this line, positive fantasies
about landing their dream job sent out what? Fewer applications. Got what? Fewer job offers.
and two years later we're doing what, earning lower salaries than their peers.
Like, the best visualizers did worse.
This is the opposite of the secret.
What a sham.
What also is fascinating is in that same study, the researchers laid out kind of this crucial
distinction between expectations and fantasies.
So students with high expectations of success, meaning like grounded judgment built on their
actual track record, aka what we would call reality, did better.
students who have crazy fantasies, meaning pleasant visualizations, unhooked from any evidence,
did worse. So what's the takeaway? Confidence built on evidence, you're winning. Dreams defying
evidence will cost you. Also, super big rant on this right now. Have you guys seen all these AI
bitches on Instagram? And they're like in fake podcast. Spoiler alert, there's nobody on the other side
of this podcast sitting in a chair talking to you about a bunch of stuff they've never actually
accomplished and using all these buzzwords and AI written scripts. They go super viral. I saw one the
other day and it was like, it actually makes me laugh out loud. One girl says to another fake AI girl
or AI enhanced girl and says, hey, who is the one type of person that will always be a millionaire?
And the other person responds, the people with ADHD, they will always find a way. They will always find a
their distraction is their focus. Their unwillingness to complete is the reason they were,
they will win. I was like, this is the stupidest fucking thing I've ever heard of in my life.
With respect, my mom's a 30-year special education teacher. It's harder to learn when you have ADHD,
especially if it's undiagnosed. Also, there is zero correlation between having ADHD and being
a millionaire, like zero. This just sounds nice because all of us self-identified as having ADHD,
when in reality we're just so distracted by these fucking things.
that we think that we have something when, in fact, we just have a lot of distractions.
And what's so interesting is, like, you have to be really careful what you fill your brain with.
Like, it wasn't just the NYU researchers.
At University of Penn, they found the same pattern in weight loss, actually.
Like, the women who fantasized most positively about their future selves, they lost 24 pounds less in one year than the women who pictured the process going badly.
So, like, I don't know.
This isn't going to go viral on the internet, but you guys will actually probably lose more
way, make more money and have better lives listening to it.
So you choose.
There's this amazing experiment where the same researchers who measured blood pressure while
people indulged in like positive fantasies.
What happened is their blood pressure dropped, which is a physiological signature of the body
powering down.
So your brain books the fantasy as like a partial payment on the real thing.
And it actually gives you the reward before.
you've done the work. So the drive to do the actual work drains out of you. Fascinating. So in other
words, manifestation is actually anesthesia, not fuel. It's like take it if you want to chill the
fuck out and not achieve what you want to do. Go ahead and do that, but you'll feel good about it.
Because here's the question that like actually matters if you want to win, which I know you do
because you're here. If visualizing success makes you weaker, what happens when you deliberately
visualize failure? So interesting. And I thought I was a little genius thinking about
this, well, it turns out humanity had already ran this experiment a couple times. I call this
Rehears the Funeral. So for most of recorded history, the clearest thinkers alive
practiced the opposite of the manifestation. And they did it on purpose. I became friends with some
Buddhist monks, you know, as one does. And they have a practice called Marin Asati. I don't know
if I'm pronouncing that right, but my friend Arthur Brooks told me about it. And it's called
mindfulness of death, where you literally sit with the fact that you, you, literally sit with the fact that
you will die possibly soon. Unhinged, the sect of Buddhist monks that Arthur sat with,
actually will sit with a decaying body over the seven stages of decay from like right when it
died all the way until it turns into skeletons. And they will sit and stare at the dead body
and continuously repeat to themselves, this is me, this is me, this is me. Like full on
just what would it be like if I was this dead person in front?
of me. And the Stoics were actually the same. Seneca told his students to rehearse your worst
fears in advance. Exile, poverty. Back in that day, shipwreck, probably not as common now. Okay,
and I don't know how to speak Latin, but it's called something like premeditatio malorum,
something like that, which basically means premeditation of evils. And Seneca's logic was super
simple. When you've rehearsed the blow, it will lose its power to knock you down when it hits you.
And so before you file this under ancient philosophy, actually there's a ton of modern applications.
So it wasn't just the Stoics or the Buddhists.
There's a 2011 study in the Journal of Positive Psychology that randomly assigned people to vividly
manage their own death in like specific personal detail versus a control group that didn't
do anything, obviously.
And what happened?
Well, the death group came out the other side with way more gratitude for the life they
actually had.
and the effect was large. So like staring at those worst case scenarios in the eye made people
value what was in front of them. This is like the opposite of what all the gurus, the positive
mental health people and the like, oh, I just cut people out of my life if they don't tell you.
And so I want to apply this to like business in your life. The practice for you in business,
I call it the anti-manifestation, is five steps. And I go through this actually in the first chapter
of my book, owner be owned. By the way, we have an event on September 18th. Launch live,
million dollars in cash and prizes we're going to give away. Plus, I'll teach you to do this.
Okay, so anti-manifestation. Step one. Write in obituary for your business. So my company dies on
this date. Get specific. Like we run out of money. The email you have to send your team,
the conversation at your kitchen table, how you feel about it. Write it out. Step two,
name what caused the death. Like, not something generic like the economy. Like, you already probably
have something that scares you and keeps you up at night about your business. Like, oh, this client sued
us. You know, the prices, they never bought. You know, we should have raised these prices. The
employee, you know you had to fire, but you just didn't do it. Step three, run the survival check.
So then you ask yourself, all right, the day after the business funeral, am I still alive? Like, can I still work? Can I still feel
my family, start again. For almost everybody listening to this, the honest answer is yes. And the point
of the exercise is this. I think fear shrinks the moment you name it. And once failure becomes this thing
you can survive, then it's not a ghost that can haunt your problems because you can engineer
against it. And you have agency. Then step four, extract the system. So every cause of death
you wrote down is basically an instruction for you what to do next.
Client concentration kills you.
All right.
Well, don't have any client be more than 20% of the revenue.
Pricing kills you.
Hold that thought.
That's part three.
And then write the rule that makes the obituary impossible.
Like how can you have enough cash on hand?
How can you, you know, have a line of credit?
What can you do to make an impossible for you to die?
Then step five, put it on the calendar.
Once a quarter.
I think businesses drift towards death quietly.
they never run right into a wall on them. You always are kind of like moving your way towards it,
but ignoring all the signs. And this checkpoint actually catches it early. It's not just a Cody thought,
by the way, although we've helped thousands of business owners, and that's why we wrote this book on it.
This is all backed by science. So in like 1989, researchers found that prospective hindsight,
assuming an event has already happened and explaining why makes people feel about 30% better at correctly.
identifying the reasons for future outcomes, which is crazy. It's like if you think about what could go
wrong and then you, you know, pontificate that on a little bit, you're like more likely to predict the
future. Kind of makes sense if you think about it. There's also this psychologist by the name of Gary Klein.
And he realized that finding out like this premortem and exercise elite teams now run before, you know,
big launches. So why, if the project was to fail, what would have happened? If this was to not
work why. And everybody writes down why. Suddenly the risks, nobody would say out loud or sitting at the
table. And then it's helpful because you can figure out how to not die by them. This is the same idea.
Imagining your death will change how you live your life or run your business. And there's a great
story that illustrates this. I don't know. Do you guys know Admiral James Stockdale? My husband
went to the military. So he's kind of obsessed with this guy. But he spent more than seven years as a
prisoner of war in Vietnam, and he was tortured nonstop repeatedly. There's an incredible management
consultant by the name of Jim Collins, and he interviewed him. Collins asked, who didn't make it out of the
camps? Stockdale's answer was amazing. He said, oh, that's easy, the optimists. He's like, they were the
ones who said, we'll be out by Christmas. Then Christmas came and went. We'll be out by Easter,
then Thanksgiving. And in Stockdale's words, they died of a broken heart, which is so,
it's really tragic, but true. You know, Stockdale has this quote that I'd like,
love and he basically says, don't ever confuse faith that you will prevail in the end, which you can
never afford to lose with the discipline to confront the most brutal facts of your current reality,
whatever they are. And the principle is like, yes, I am going to win no matter what, total faith
in your destination, but brutal expectations about what it's going to take to get there. Like, you don't
win getting to Everest being like, it's not going to be that hard. I'll probably just like walk up.
Everything's going to be fine. I'm going to figure it out. No big deal. And you're like, no,
be terrible. It will be awful. I will want to quit. I might die. It will be freezing. And I'm
going to do it anyways because it's supposed to be hard and you're supposed to do it anyway.
And that's like all this episode is based on is this one sentence. And I think like if you're a
founder, you already admire this and you probably already run this. Like when Jeff Bezos raised
Amazon's first million bucks in 95-ish, he took 60 meetings, he got 40 rejections and he told
every investor the same thing. He figured there was a 70% chance they would lose their entire investment.
I can't believe he said that. He gave his own parents the same odds before they wired in a big
chunk. And he told them he wanted them to know the risk because he still wanted to come home
for Thanksgiving if and failed. And this is the man who had like already attended the funeral,
right? He had priced in failure. He had confirmed everyone may or may not survive it, but that the
freedom is exactly what let him bet everything. So that's the mind side. You've rehearsed the death and
hold the systems out of the obituary. But for most struggling businesses, the cause of death was
written on the certificate as the word math. And so always remember, visualize the failure
instead of the win and then get to the reality, which I think of as the map. And these are like
the more contrarian moves I would use to flip everything that manifestation teaches right side
up. Okay, swap one. Swap the movie. So manifestation tells you to picture the outcome. So that's
the mansion or the fancy car. But UCLA psychologist tested exactly that on students the week before
a midterm. One group visualized the outcome. So getting that A, right? The other visualized the
process when they would study, where they would sit, which chapters. And then a control group
basically tracked their studying. So the first group, the outcome group, there was no improvement,
nothing, nothing better than the control. The process group studied more hours, panicked less,
and scored higher on the exam. And when researchers dug into why, it came down to two things. Not shocking,
but better planning. The second one kind of surprised me, though, lower anxiety. And so they basically
had the same scenario, but very different results. So I kind of think about it, like, you don't want to
actually screen what the game's going to be. You actually want to start screening in your head the
workout that you're going to do. You want to start thinking about the action you're going to have to take to get to the
podium eventually. The second swap is the audience. So manifestation culture says, speak it into existence. Have you ever
heard that? I'm at Austin. I hear it a lot. You know, post your goals. Tell everyone, say it out loud. Okay, fine. But the science
actually says the opposite. The science says, shut the fuck up. Isn't that crazy? Look at this study.
NYU psychologist ran four experiments on what happens when people announce identity goals. Like,
I'm becoming a founder type of goal. And they do it out loud. And the lab,
People got 45 minutes to work toward a goal they cared about.
The ones who kept the goal private worked nearly the whole session.
The ones whose goal got acknowledged by others, they quit at about 33 minutes.
And so here's the kind of twisted part.
The quitters walked out feeling closer to the goal, which like, think about that for a second.
Talking about the goal made them slower and it made them feel faster.
Why?
The researchers called it a premature sense of completeness.
You know, remember part one, your brain books the fantasy as a partial payment on the real thing.
Well, applause is a payment too.
So every like on your big things coming up post is a tiny paycheck your brain cashes before the work exists.
And I know this kind of can make you a miserable person, for instance.
I just launched my book.
I walk in on the day of book launch to our big conference room.
There's posters all over the wall with quotes from the book.
There's all these balloons.
There's like big pictures of the book up.
And the team is like,
yeah, like this. I'm like, nope. And I'm such a buzzkill, you guys. I was literally like,
I don't like to celebrate things until we finish. Like, once we hit our goal, I'll celebrate.
I celebrated when I finished writing the book. I had a nice dinner with my husband. That was amazing.
But I'm not going to celebrate having a big book launch on the day I do the book launch when we
haven't finished the book launch. Like, flip it around. The goals stay private. The results go public
when you have them. And do this in your life over and over again. I swear you'll be more successful.
It will be a little less fun in the beginning, but it is fun to win. So let's do that.
Swap three, the Oracle. So manifestation asks the universe for a sign. Builders ask the market.
Okay. In 1999, a guy named Nick Swinmern spent an afternoon driving between stores hunting one
pair of airwalk boots. I don't know if you guys remember those. Do you like right size, wrong color,
size, right color, whatever, he went home empty-handed with this crazy idea. What if people
bought shoes online, which actually is a great idea because I have very large feet, if you
don't know this already about me. And I used to have to go into the shoe stores and I stopped wanting
to go in there because one time I told the guy my shoe size and he says, oh, we're going downhill
skiing with those? And that was the last time I have ever been into a, God, what was the name of that
running store where you went and got running shoes and it was only for running shoes? And it was only for
running shoes. Anyway, the store sucks. So do that sales guy. Didn't buy the shoes from him. But every investor
back in his day said the same thing. Like nobody buys shoes they can't try on. Now the manifestation
move here is obvious. Vision board with a shoe empire on it, right? Affirmations in the mirror. But this dude,
Swinmer, he did the opposite. He walked into a local shoe store and cut a deal. He's like,
let me take picks of your shoes. Put them online. And when somebody orders, I'll buy the pair from you at
full retail price. He lost money on every sale, but he didn't care because he wasn't selling shoes
yet. He was basically buying evidence. Then the orders came in. The assumption sort of held. The
scrappy little test became Zappos. And 10 years later, Amazon bought it for $1.2 billion.
Like, he didn't ask the universe for a shoe empire. He has to customer for an order. Shocking,
I know. So like your version this week, take the single assumption your dream depends on.
usually some version of like people will pay for this. Design the cheapest possible way to get a real
yes or no from a real customer, like one offer email, one weekend of doing the thing manually.
Run it inside seven days. Like that's all you get. The universe might give you vibes. Fuck the vibes.
I want the receipts. You know what I'm talking about? And speaking of receipts, if you're listening to
the show, odds are you already have some. Like a real business with real revenue. You're probably already
in the top third that survives. But here's the thing about winners. You're,
don't just survive, you compound. The founders you admire, the ones that actually win long term,
they run the same playbook, documented systems, reporting, a machine that closes sales and prints money,
whether they're in the room or not. That is the goal of every great business. But the people
who have that playbook, they never share it. So on September 18th, I'm sharing that playbook. In my new
book, Own or Be Owned. It is anti-manifestation in physical form. You'll get the real systems that I use
to scale multiple businesses past $100 million in revenue.
You'll be able to score your business across what I call the 12Ps.
You'll discover exactly where you are still the bottleneck,
and you'll get the moves I would do that day to fix it.
So the thing you built out zeros to your net worth instead of hours to your day,
owner be owned is dropping with the greatest book launch event of all time on September 18th.
Tickets are actually free.
Zero dollars just for you guys.
You built something great.
Now go build it so it runs without you.
you. You can grab your free ticket in the link below. All right, quick recap. Swap the movie, swap the audience,
swap the Oracle. The funeral gave you the systems, the playbook. Well, that's going to actually
just give you your week back, my friends. Like the last piece, though, is the identity that ties it
all together. Because everything we've covered today splits people into really, like, I kind of
think about it as two camps, wishful thinkers and fucking killers, right? The wishful thinkers,
they want the outcome without changing any of their inputs. They want the seven figure exit at their
current prices with their current systems, and so they manifest Envision board, you know, and they let
their dreams be dreams. Killers, and I mean that in like the highest compliment in business, do something
almost boring by comparison. You decide what has to be true. You build the plan that makes it true,
and then you let your results do the talk in. Here's what should give every wishful thinker hope.
I believe deeply killers are made, not born, and the conversion tool takes about five minutes.
NYU researchers whose data torched manifestation, that was in part one we were talking about,
they didn't stop at the diagnosis. They built the cure and tested it. It's called whoop.
I call this wish outcome obstacle plan. Okay, so you're going to name the wish, feel the outcome
for a second. That part's fine. You're allowed. But then comes the step manifestation skips.
Name the single biggest reason why you will not hit it. Then write an if then plan for the exact
moment that obstacle shows up. So if the client pushes back on the new price, then I pause for 10
seconds before I respond. That's what you want to do. Whoop. In one trial, adults trained in this
method were twice as physically active over the following four months as a group that got
information alone. The measured gap between fantasy and plan is roughly the gap between wishing
and doing. So one last thing, because I can hear the objection now. Cody, this is dark. We're
talking about funerals, obituaries. Why build anything if like this is the angle? I want you to flip that
for a second. Like you and your stated mission in life should be strong enough to survive contact with
the facts, especially when those facts differ from what you want. Like life's hard, man. Stockdale
needed unshakable faith precisely because he refused to lie to himself in prison. Maybe that sounded
bad in the moment, but it worked. And so if you're lucky enough to run a business, you're going to spend
years and maybe decades solving little mini prison problems, right? And so you have to build the
discipline to look the reality in the eyes and overcome it. And so writing the obituary, then reading
it back, well, you're still standing at the end. And every builder you admire has already died
like this a hundred times on paper. And that is why you see the calm in the white,
with their eyes. Because once the worst case is survivable, what do you got to be scared of anymore?
You know, the future doesn't belong to the dreamers. It belongs to the people who face the funeral
and built something worth surviving for. And if you want more on the tactical side of building
businesses so good they run without you, then I got you. We'll see you on September 18th.
It's free. It is only for builders. You are going to want to be there live.
