BiggerPockets Money Podcast - 119: Coronavirus: Is it Time To Give Up On Financial Independence?
Episode Date: April 6, 2020In this week’s episode, Scott & Mindy bring back four previous guests (and introduce a brand new–and future–guest) to talk about retirement, the stock market, and how this current environment is... affecting their spending, saving and investing. Andy Hill last joined us for Episode 34 - and boy has his life changed! He left formal employment in January (and shares some surprising info about his income & investing prospects. Amy & Tim discuss their House Sitting & Travel Hacking plans, and how they are on hold during this unprecedented travel lockdown. Kristy & Bryce share how their Cash Cushion and Yield Shield strategy is working out (spoiler: just fine!) and how they are taking advantage of lower rates on AirBnB rentals to offset their now-postponed geographic arbitrage plans. The Mad Fientist is continuing to stay the course - but with a surprise revelation that he was a bit freaked out for a moment, too! And we introduce Doug Nordman from The Military Guide to our listeners, to hear his voice of reason and experience and offer encouragement during these crazy times. These five experienced retirees are here to reinforce the fact that Financial Independence IS worth pursuing, it DOES work, and the math IS accurate! Is it time to give up on Financial Independence? Nope, not even close! In This Episode We Cover: How Andy's life changed after his last interview in this podcast Andy's feeling about his decision on quitting his job and build his own business Andy's financial position before he leave his job One thing he wished he would have done differently before he left his job Amy and Tim's after retirement plan How they do their withdrawal on their stock portfolio to sustain their lifestyle What their plan right now Amy and Tim's advice for people who want to follow their footsteps How prepared Brandon was Brandon's opinion on the 4% rule What does he recommend having cash buffer Brandon's definition of a cash buffer Brandon's advice for people who are in the journey to Financial Independence Bryce and Kristy's cash cushion Their travelling routine Their advice Continuing to invest their money on stock market The reason why Doug is not concerned about the recession How prepared Doug was Doug's advice And SO much more! Links from the Show: How to Access Retirement Funds Early - Mad Fientist BiggerPockets Money Podcast 34 BiggerPockets Money Podcast 57 Determining Withdrawal Rates Using Historical Data BiggerPockets Money Podcast 55 BiggerPockets Money Podcast 55.5 Airbnb Fear And Despair In The Time Of Bear Markets - Military Guide Raising Your Money-Savvy Family For Next Generation Financial Independence Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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This is the Bigger Pockets Money podcast show number 119, where we are bringing back four previous guests.
Andy Hill from Marriage Kids and Money, Amy and Tim from Go With Less, the mad fiatist, and Christia Shen and Bryce Leung from Millennial Revolution.
We're also throwing in a new and future guest, Doug Nordman, from the military guide.
Why are we having all these people on the show?
Because they are all retired from traditional employment and are all going to share how this market is affecting them.
and shaping their future spending, saving, and investing.
So I think financial independence right now is more important than ever.
So I ask our audience, how are they feeling?
And anyone who's already financially independent,
we have people who've just pulled the plug on their careers
within the past one or three months.
That's huge.
And they're more excited than ever.
And I think that it's a very worthy path
because even just the pursuit of financial independence gives you options,
you don't have to be at the quote-unquote end goal
to have reaped the rewards.
Even if you were halfway there, you would still have so many more options and you would have
if you were at zero percent of the way there.
Hello, hello, hello, and welcome to the Bigger Pockets Money podcast.
My name is Mindy Jensen.
And with me, as always, is my Go With the Flow champion co-host, Scott Trench.
All right.
Well, thank you, Minnie.
That was very nice for my stay-the-course co-host, Minnie Jensen.
You want, today you're going with the flow.
Scott and I are here to make financial independence less scary, less just for somebody else.
and show you that by staying on the proven path,
you can put yourself on the road to early financial freedom
and get money out of the way
so that you can lead your best life,
no matter what the circumstances are in the outside financial world.
That's right.
Whether you want to retire early and travel the world,
rest in quarantine,
or go on to make big-time investments in assets like real estate
or start your own business,
will help you put yourself in position capable
of launching yourself towards your dreams.
Scott, I am so excited for today's episode.
First of all, we get to talk with five super awesome people,
but we also get to hear if people think that the fire movement is dead.
Yeah, that's right.
There's a lot of things going around that are kind of amusing.
I don't know about how the fire movement is going to really come out in a really bad shape
after all of this.
And it's just like unbelievable to me because after you hear from these five people,
everyone's just like, no, this is the whole point of what we plan for.
You know, you don't retire if you're afraid that,
a recession or a similar event to the situation that we're in right now can completely derail
my financial plan. That's why we save for years and years and years and build a rock-solid
financial fortress to sustain early financial retirement through good times and bad.
Ah, yes, good times and bad. And we are certainly in not a good time right now. And we are recording
this on Thursday before the show airs on Monday. So what is today? Thursday, April 2nd.
During the course of this episode, I asked questions and I thought I was going to know the answers to
them.
Some answers were rather surprising.
Andy Hill, who was the first up, really gave me some of the most surprising answers, but they're
surprising in a good way.
It's not, well, I shouldn't spoil anything.
But all of his answers were very interesting and, you know, very well thought out.
The order of the guests are Andy Hill.
Then we've got Amy and Tim, the mad fiantist, who shares some, I thought,
surprising insight into his thought process for putting money into the stock market.
Christy and Bryce are here through their now second recession, and Doug Nordman rounds them out.
Doug Nordman is from the military guide. He's the only guest who has not been on our show before.
He is a wealth of information. He'll be on the show in a couple of months. And I'm just super
excited to share these stories with everybody. It's not an hour each. This isn't a five-hour
episode. We've got about 15 or 20 minutes with each guest, and I think that it is, it's a very
reassuring episode. And then I'll just throw in, if you're listening on YouTube, if you go on the notes,
you'll be able to see where each of these interviews begins if you want to skip to or navigate
through this episode. We encourage you, if you're listening anywhere else, just listen all the way through.
They're all good. I encourage you to listen all the way through even on YouTube, but yes,
shall we bring in the first guest? Andy Hill from Marriage, Kids and Money, last joined us on
episode 34 titled The Low Stress, Surprisingly Simple Way to Pursue Financial Freedom with Andy Hill.
And he's back today to talk about financial freedom. Andy, welcome to the show. You're the first of
five guests that we're interviewing today from various points in their retirement journey to talk about
how the market is affecting them and if, in fact, fire is dead. What has changed with you since we last
spoke? Wow. Yeah, we spoke probably about a year and a half ago and a lot has changed. I am no longer
formally employed. I am doing my own self-employment thing as well as starting my own little business.
So I transitioned out of my full-time employment in January just two months ago. So for all that's
happening right now, it's been quite a wild ride. But you purposely left employment. You didn't
lose your job due to the current pandemic facing the world. Okay. That is correct. How are you feeling
about your decision. I know people are listening like, January, what?
Yeah, no, my decision, I feel very comfortable with it, honestly. It's been two months of me
figuring out how to be an entrepreneur. That's been the role of the dice there. But then March came
along and I'm like, all right, I got my groove here. I figured this out. I've got this whole
entrepreneur thing down. And then coronavirus, right? So if anything, I guess I could have prepared
myself for a global pandemic. But outside of that, my business is going fine. I don't
really have a desire to go back to full-time employment. And I'm really enjoying crafting this
lifestyle that my wife and I have designed. It's great. Could you let us know what your financial
position was such that you decided you were ready to leave your job? Yeah, absolutely. So at a point
in maybe November of last year, my wife and I kind of looked at each other and she said,
you've been planning this whole financial independence plan. You know, you're, you want to wait until
you vested at your company, why don't you just take the leap now and go for it? I'm like, well,
you know, I want to wait until I'm seven years vested at my company because I get all of these
shares and it's going to, you know, it's going to pay a lot of money out and it's going to be great.
It's a, you know, my company's doing really well. So I'm going to wait it out and just,
just go for it. So we had already saved up about 12 months of expenses at that point, which we were
going to use to buy our first rental property. We were hoping to buy our first rental property
in cash. That was our plan. We're going to save up a bunch of money and then buy our first rental
property and cash. After we did a lot of investigation and kind of planning through it, we decided that
we're young parents right now, and I do not think that we want to add the stress of owning a home
and being a landlord. That's just not something we wanted to do. The more we researched,
we learned that it requires a lot of work. And it's a job. It's something you got to do well.
So we decided to not do that and instead use that 12 months of expenses as a runway for me to
start my own small business, one that I had already started as a side hustle, but to move into a small
business. So that is the leap that we made in January. But as far as our financial position at that
point, we were completely debt-free. We had paid off our mortgage in its entirety. And we had
12 months of expenses set aside. And we were pushing the bounds of being millionaires,
just maybe $100,000 off at that point in January. And most of that wealth is in your home equity
and stock investments? Yeah, about half and half. Yeah, Scott. So we had maybe $450 in home value. And then
the rest was retirement and other assets of the like for investments.
So what area of the world are you in?
We are in southeastern Michigan, so the Detroit metro area.
Okay.
And you considered yourself in a good financial position having 12 months of expenses and a paid-off
house.
What do your monthly expenses look like?
I'm thinking utilities and food and like various little sundry things.
but I'm not thinking there's a huge outlay of cash from you every month.
No, not really.
I mean, my wife and I like to have some fun.
We like to go on vacations and plan things like that.
We got two little kids.
We want to set them up with summer camps because we're both doing work that we love now.
So some of those things are expensive, but we probably spend maybe $60,000 a year, something like that, $60,000 a year.
So not too bad, $5,000 a month.
Okay.
And now that you don't have a job, does your wife work?
She does, yeah.
So we're both kind of trying to ride this 30-hour work week kind of deal, which is great.
So she got a job as an administrative assistant at her old advertising agency.
She was very excited to go back to work.
She was a stay-at-home mom for five or six years and was just ready to talk to humans.
Adults humans.
Yes, adult humans.
And not have kids hang on her legs.
So she started back in the fall and she was just so happy to be able to check her email and drink coffee and talk to people.
It was great.
So she's been doing that.
And then with this transition from the pandemic, she's been working at home.
Her hours have dried up a little bit because the two gentlemen that she was supporting were global travelers,
and they're not really doing that much anymore.
So her hours have gone down, but I'm working a, you know, probably 34 hours, 30, 40 hours a week on my gig,
and life's pretty good right now.
So what is it saying?
Hindsight is 20-20.
Two whole months into it.
Is there anything you would have wished you had done differently before?
you left your job. Do you want to talk about your old job? Yeah, you know, one thing that I wish I would
have done differently is just done it earlier, honestly. I was holding out for this big prize of an ESOP,
which is an employee stock ownership plan. And it's based on how the company does. And they gave us
15% of our salary each year, just gave it to it, which was a great bonus to be a great company.
It's a really cool thing. But it's all based on how the company performs. And so since my
former employer is in the corporate event marketing space, they're not doing that hot right now.
So all that time that I waited for this thing to grow, I might see my single share retirement
plan or investment plan go down quite a bit. So it seems like I was waiting for something
that now this global pandemic is turning it into maybe not as great of an investment. So the whole
point, as we all know, is to diversify our investments. And this was a very single investment.
So something I was holding on to like, this is the prize that I'm waiting for at the end.
I really wish that I would have just pulled the trigger earlier and started this
entrepreneur life that I'm doing right now.
Do you believe that the company is in danger of having to go through, you know,
tough choices, layoffs, those types of things going forward anyways as well?
Yeah, there are already, from what I hear, they're already going through that right now.
The company is over 100 years old.
So I know that they're going to be very, very fine through this whole thing.
but yeah, they're going to have to make some cuts.
Client work is going to be slower and with that revenue is slower.
And, you know, they've got to cut expenses somewhere.
So with that, profitability is lower.
So it just makes sense.
I mean, we've got to do what you've got to do right now as a company.
Fair enough.
Well, how are you going to respond now to this current events, if anything?
Are you going to continue doing exactly what you set out to do or is there going to be any adjustments
or fine-tuning that you'll make?
I'm going to continue focusing on my business from the income side and further
invest there by, you know, bringing on some freelance resources to help me grow it. This is a great
time to partner up with people who are out there looking for work, too. As far as our personal
finances, I think that we feel really good having 12 months of expenses right now. And as things
start to look a little bit more clear with my wife's income, I think we're going to maybe
look at utilizing some of that income to continue to invest in the downturn. We have been,
and we will continue to do dollar cost averaging, as we always have been. So, we're
We're buying highs and lows, but with a little bit extra cash in the bank, we were thinking
this is a good time to invest and continue to develop passive income sources through the stock
market. So we are looking at investing more.
You know, that is not surprising to be. It's still surprising to me. I have to be honest. I can't just
tell lies and, you know, oh, wow, I'm totally on board with that. Like, that is a little
surprising to me, just knowing the very basics of your story, because we're in a lot of the same
groups. I see your comments on, you know, different posts. And I see, oh, I just left my job.
And my first thought when Scott and I were talking about getting this particular episode together was
we have to talk to Andy Hill. We have to bring him back because he just left his job.
You know, is there anything you wish you would have done differently? I wish I would have quit sooner.
Oh, that wasn't the answer I expected.
How are you, how is this, how is this shaping your investing?
I'm going in more.
Like, you don't have a job right now.
And you do.
And I say that as you don't have traditional employment right now,
but you're still generating income.
Yes.
You have a whole year's worth of expenses.
And frankly, you're kind of cut off from that whole travel and fun thing right now.
Absolutely.
The things we're spending extra money on,
we're not spending extra money on right now.
You probably have a little bit more than a year's worth of expenses.
And you said that was in cash.
That's not in the stock market.
Correct.
It's in cash.
That's in cash.
So you're probably good.
Let's say you're good till June of 2021.
I think they're going to figure this out.
The last big pandemic was 100 years ago, 102 years ago.
And that back in the dark ages, it was only what?
The dark ages of 1918.
Listen, were you around?
But then, Scott, they weren't all technologically savvy back then.
It was right around the trench war, which is my namesake.
Oh, there you go.
I don't even think they had discovered that you have to wash your hands with soap between
patients at the time.
So, I mean, part of that whole spread was lack of knowledge.
We know a lot more than we know then.
I would guess that this pandemic, and I'm not an epidemiologist, but I would guess that we're
not going to quite go that long.
So I think you're in a great financial position.
I think it's interesting that knowing what you know, knowing that you don't currently have outside employment,
you're still going to invest in the stock market.
It sounds to me like you don't think the fire movement is quite dead.
Oh, not at all.
I think if any time to talk about the fire movement, this would be a great time to start for a lot of people.
You get a great opportunity to get some great deals on stocks and index funds that you would have never been able to.
to buy at that price before. I mean, this is the, this is the time to talk about the fire movement.
This is the time to talk about financial independence. And yeah, I mean, it's easy to throw hate at
something that might say, hey, if I retired right now and is only solely relying on my income
from stocks, then, yeah, okay, I understand maybe that would be a difficult situation. But a lot of people
in this movement have a lot of backup plans. And they have a lot of different avenues for
investments and income, and rarely is that a major problem. I've seen, at least from the people
I've interviewed. Great. Yeah, I'm reading an impassionate piece about how I don't feel like this is
the end of days for that portion of the population who spends less than they earn, invest for the long
term, builds multiple income streams, creates lots of options, is not reliant on a single source
of income, all that kind of stuff. So I'm with you on that one. Well, the opinion that it is dead is
probably coming from an opinion that's not fully informed on what the fire movement is or what
financial independence is. And that's why it makes for hot headlines and the big pieces and the big
newspapers. But anybody who fully understands what this is all about and it's a lifestyle change,
then they know that this is just part of the coaster and we're riding it and we're going to get some
good buys right now. Absolutely. Like I've said before, I found value in the market on February
19th that it's high. I find even more value now.
Yeah, absolutely. Completely agree. Okay, well, you mentioned a new company. Andy, where can people find out more about you?
Absolutely. So I host a podcast and blog at marriage,kidsandmoney.com. It's all about helping young families build wealth and thrive.
Okay. We will link to that, both your podcast and your blog, in our show notes, which can be found at biggerpockets.com slash money show 119.
Andy, thank you so much for checking in with us.
I am super excited to check back in with you a little bit later in the year and see how
it's going and see how much your stocks have rebounded and how much even more.
Maybe you've hit that $1 million mark then.
There we go.
I'd love to celebrate with you.
Thank you.
Fingers crossed.
Okay.
Thanks.
Have a good day.
We'll talk to you soon.
Thank you.
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Amy and Tim from Go With Less, welcome back to the Bigger Pockets Money podcast.
We last chatted with you on episode 57 on an episode which we called Financial
freedom, house sitting, and travel hacking. Can you please remind our listeners when you
officially retired from traditional employment and what your after retirement plans were and how
that's all working out for you now?
I'm pretty good with the dates. Okay. I'm going to go with this one because Tim is date challenged.
I actually just had my five-year anniversary of fire this week. I have been fired for five years.
I left my corporate job on April the 1st. And the past five years have been
the most glorious days of my life. Tim left work in November of 2015. So he's a little bit away from
his five years. But we are unicorns, I think, in the space of fire in that we are drawing down.
We withdraw from our investments to live. So while we have a YouTube channel, we don't make
enough money on it to make even a dent in our low spending. And we completely credit spending less
in how we were able to reach this lifestyle. Wow. So,
Do you take your money out when you withdraw it from the stock market or however you do?
Do you do it all in one lump sum like at the beginning of the year?
Or is it little bit by little bit?
Usually it's towards the end of the year.
So we try and utilize capital gains to provide most of our living expenses or cash that we already have.
So we don't really have a withdrawal plan like somebody might normally have.
It's just at the end of the year we see where our cash is.
We try and not pay any federal income tax.
So we manipulate our withdrawal based upon what.
what's going on with other income sources, whether that's dividends or interest, et cetera,
they will withdraw a certain amount of capital gains just to maximize.
When she mentioned something that's huge, in January of this year, we became official Texans
because we sold our only residence, which was in Colorado.
So if you don't have any home, find a state that is cheaper to live and Texas doesn't have state
income taxes.
Amy always accuses me of this.
So we left out a piece of the story also.
So in addition to we were.
retired five years ago. In January of this year, we sold our house to become nomads. And so we didn't
talk about that. So in January, we sold our house. We were planning to be full-time nomads. We are
currently without a house. We are full-time nomads. But our plans were to do house-sitting to keep
our lodging cost incredibly low. We had over 200 and some odd nights plan this year in house sits
that were going to be at zero cost in terms of cash. There's work that comes with having a
house sit. But all those plans, well, number one, starting out the year before all this stuff
happened that's going on right now, two of our long sits, month long sits canceled. So we had to
adjust our plans from the very get-go. And then when everything that's going on right now happened,
our plans are pretty much completely out of the window. Before we get to kind of the specifics there,
when you guys retired, were you kind of strictly adhering to that 4% rule or were you more
conservative than that. We were much more conservative than that. And we're also not on the traditional
arc of fire because we hadn't been working toward it for years and years and years. We had a history
of a lot of good habits. So we spent less than we earned. We had bought a house that was well within our
means. Things like that. We didn't keep debt other than our mortgage. So we had some good practices.
And what that meant is that when we really learned about the fire movement, we were ready to go. So as
as we cut out a lot of spending and we did that. So we moved out of our big McMansion. We cut
everything in our life. We looked at every single expense we had everywhere we spent any money.
We kind of maximize our value there, reduced our cost of living from $115,000 to about $36 to $40,000.
So we cut about $6,000 a month from our spending, much of it directly from our house and
downsizing to a much smaller home. So our arc was a little bit different. And so when it comes to the
as a safe withdrawal rate, when we brought our spending down, we were able to fire because of that.
And we did take, we are much more conservative than 4%.
Because we were already there once we cut our spending.
Yeah, I just use that because I always like you guys as the example of the folks who actually
do withdraw from their stock portfolios to sustain your lifestyle.
Yet, you know, there continues to be this trend of I've met zero people ever who have retired
at the 4% rule without a cash buffer, without other income streams, and call it a day from there.
Everybody who has it has some other trick up their sleeve, in your case, it's just being more
conservative than the 4% rule, right?
And we're going to probably talk about this, but I want to make sure this is highlighted.
The reason why this works for us is because of that, you kind of talk about the buffer.
So our safe withdrawal rate, we had a number of what we could spend given a 3% safe
withdrawal rate. And we are still under that number. So we're spending, as I mentioned, $36, $40,000 a year.
It's significantly less than a $50,000. And that buffer, I think, is the key to our peace of mind,
especially when things are really rocky. Okay. I want to jump in right here and say that I was fascinated
by the 4% rule. And I read the whole study that William Bangen did. And I'm going to link to that in the
show notes for this show. And in that study, he runs the numbers or whatever for 4% withdrawal,
5% withdrawal. He also does 3%, 3.5%. And 4% is the safe withdrawal rate. It is the highest
percent that you can withdraw and still have, what was it, like a 96% chance of having at least
as much money as you need for 30 years. And in many cases, you have so much more than you even
started out with after 30 years of withdrawing. At 3.5% it was a 100% chance of.
of having enough money for 30 years.
You're saying you're coming in even underneath the 3.5%.
You planned at 3, and now you're coming even underneath that.
That is fabulous.
And here's the thing also.
So we just tweaked our life to make some math work.
Like we were looking to be under 50K.
And so it's just sort of worked out that 36K is where we've landed.
So we still have a target of spending about $3,000 a month.
This year we were hoping,
nomadic life to actually spend less because our lodging costs we're going to zero potentially
or low or low and now that's we'll see how it works out this year and we still have lots of wiggle
room with our plan also we have this phenomenally lucky event that happened in that we sold our house
in January and we didn't put the money back in the market we owned it outright we owned it outright
so we didn't feel comfortable just sticking all the money in we were sort of waiting to see I had this
recessionary sort of, it just seemed like a recession was on the horizon. To me, forget about
everything that's going on right now. It just seemed like the market was overvalued. And we have
a lot of cash from our house. We have that. Now we have this dilemma of what do we do with all
this cash because it needs to go back in the market, but when you put it back in? That's a great
problem to have, but a problem we have. Okay, so here's a question. You have X dollars
from the sale of your house. Do you put in 100% of
X in one time, or are you putting in smaller amounts periodically? And if so, what percentage of X
are you putting in and how frequently are you putting it in? We can say something now,
but you should really check with us in a year. We don't know. No, we don't know. Our plan is to
dollar cost average it back in. We just don't know when we're going to start that plan and what a
percentage is going to be. And are we going to do it monthly? Are we going to do it quarterly? Are we going to do it
weekly, we don't know. So we don't really have a plan just yet. So I don't know. I wish somebody could
give me a crystal ball to know, obviously, that would be amazing. We don't know. And where we're really
trying to get in our life, and this is really our core value, is spending less and spending less,
but we want a great life. So we're not looking for a life of deprivation or sacrifice at all.
We want the most extraordinary life that we could possibly have while spending as little for it. Now, we're not
looking to be take. I'm a big one that believes that I should be giving more than I'm taking.
So I'm not looking to be mooching off of people to get that life. But where is that that fine
line? And it's different for everybody. I know you guys say personal finances, personal. And this is
well. So where is your line? And thankfully Tim and I are really close to a similar mindset about
where that spend is. But for us, we're not looking at how much we can spend. We know we can't
spend more than so much or else we might get in trouble with our safe withdrawal rate. But we
have some upper boundary and then where are we just maximizing our life that we are the happiest
we can be and careful with our money and thoughtful with our money but still enjoying every single
day to its potential and it turns out that it's significantly less than even 3% of our safe
withdrawal rate and so be it and you know what that extra buffer comes in real handy now yeah it does
yeah it does and it lets us sleep we've never we haven't slept this well i'm not even exaggerating
This is a really stressful time for many.
Maybe I'm sleeping a lot because I have anxiety and I'm just tuning out.
That could be it.
I didn't sleep.
I didn't have a good night of sleep in 2019.
It was, I think, just very stressful getting toward our nomadic life.
I have no idea.
But I'm sleeping better than I've slept.
And that seems counterintuitive.
But I think that this buffer that we've, because we've been spending last, our plan works.
We've been doing it for five years, even in this time.
Even now.
We had the cake and ice cream yesterday to celebrate our Amy's five-year anniversary.
and I think that caused me to have nightmares last night.
So I did not sleep well last night.
But it's cake and ice cream.
It's nothing to do with what's going on.
You are sleeping better.
I am sleeping better.
Well, so you want to give back, but you also want to spend as little as possible.
It seems like house sitting is kind of the perfect thing for you
because you're helping somebody take a vacation.
I'm assuming that it's mostly vacations that people are having you watch their house
and their pets.
mostly. They could go on a business trip. They could go to a family event or a funeral or maybe
they're taking a sabbatical to, right? I mean, there's all kinds of things. Most of it's a holiday.
And they almost always have pets. And so it's not just an empty house using their pets that were
always. Always in our case, but some people don't have pets. Yeah. And people really want their pets to be
taken care of. This is a member of my family. I want somebody to take care of this pet. So that is
giving back. I am giving you the comfort of knowing that you can go on vacation and not worry about
your animal. But now that you can't travel, nobody else can travel either, what is your new plan?
We don't know. So we will see. So we assume we're going to have to pay to be in places.
So geographic arbitrage has always been a part of the plan for us. So we weren't going to be
house sitting back to back to back to back. Our plan was to potentially be in places that are less
expensive, maybe Southeast Asia or Central America or South America and spend money to be there
in addition to house sitting.
So now it's just going to be the waiting
is probably going to be more towards
being in those less expensive places.
Once we can go there again,
we don't know what the timeline's going to look like for that.
So it's obviously going to,
we're going to have to stay here in the states
or until the borders open up,
we'd maybe like to go to Canada this summer
or something like that, we'll see.
But we're just going to have to pay a premium
to be here at home, paying rent someplace.
Our assumption is once things...
At home in the U.S.
home in the U.S. And once things open back up, I think travel is going to take a while to recover
so that could potentially benefit us and that there are, it's going to cost less to travel
because places have to bring their business back up. And we don't know, but that's a dynamic
that we can see playing out is that maybe it's going to be less expensive to be paying for
places because people aren't traveling now. And the fact that we are, it's going to benefit both
of us. I'm going to just jump in for a second. We, at the beginning of January,
January 1st, I am the booker. I booked 49 weeks at a 52. We're totally booked for 2020.
We are already booked in January of next year. We're already booked in December of 2021.
So we are both advanced planners extraordinary. Well, now we can't be. And so all of our plans
pretty much have fallen apart for the year. And we don't have any ill will about this. This is what it is.
But what has really shown us is that we can survive and we can be adaptable. And I think as in our position,
period as nomads, as fire people, our flexibility and our adaptability are key and no more so than
now when we have no home. So everyone is, I say everyone's forced into a game of musical chairs of
staying at home, but we lit our chair on fire. And we have no home. So how crazy, but it's really
tested us as nomads to know that like we are resourceful. We don't have to be planned out a year
in advance to control the situation. We can do things on a dime. We can do things week to week.
So our now, our year plan has really turned into like a week by week plan because as everyone else,
everyone else will eventually go back to work, go back to having their kids at the same schools.
Even if you might have lost your job, you're going to probably go back to some work.
Well, we don't know where we're going back.
And it's this big mystery.
And so we're just living in the moment, which is something that neither one of us has ever really done.
But we're, I think we're really embracing it.
Love it.
What would you kind of say, you know, I love how you guys have such a rock.
solid position. You're so conservative with this. You have flexible plan. You have plans,
but you're showing yourselves how flexible you can be with this. What would your advice be to somebody
who's trying to follow in your footsteps who is partway along the journey to FI and maybe kind
of wondering how to navigate these times? So I think financial independence right now is more
important than ever. So I ask our audience, how are they feeling? And anyone who's already
financially independent, we have people who just pulled the plug on their careers.
within the past one or three months. That's huge. And they're more excited than ever. And I think
it's a very worthy path because even just the pursuit of financial independence gives you options.
You don't have to be at the quote unquote end goal to have reaped the rewards. Even if you
are halfway there, you would still have so many more options than you would have if you were
at zero percent of the way there. And so it just opens you up to all these options. So I think part
of it right now is that I'd recommend staying the course. So if you're on the path, you've already
been doing the right things. So keep, I mean, keep saving your money. Keep looking for the side hustles.
Keep a positive attitude. There's a lot of nasty press out there very recently about this.
Read the positives about why did you get started in this to begin with. And it's not maybe a get
rich quick kind of a thing. It's, it's maybe for the long haul and find people who are finding
the satisfaction in their fire life after they've maybe pulled the plug and did retire early.
What are they doing? And thinking about instead of just taking that journey so intensely and maybe
so incredibly frugally to a point that isn't pleasurable,
maybe get some pleasure along the way
so you can kind of buckle back down and get back into it.
And then look into what's on the other side.
So right, I think this has really shown us tomorrow is really,
we know tomorrow isn't promised,
but I think right now more than ever,
it's really held up to our, like a mirror to our face.
So think about what's on the other side
and let that guide you and your decisions.
Yeah, I love it.
We're not really afraid of the impasseh.
ending doom of the financial independence movement either. We think everybody who is good with their money
is likely to do better, not worse than the average person going through this type of situation.
So couldn't agree more. This is what you plan for. You know, you save for a rainy day. You plan for
not working anymore. And you guys don't work. It's the same thing. You were. We were already not
working. We work. We don't get paid for it.
traditional employment. You don't have a traditional job. You already didn't have a traditional job. You're just going to continue not having a traditional job. And you have built up your nest egg enough that you don't have to worry about that. And I think that's really the underlying message here is, you know, the fire movement isn't going anywhere. No, at all. I don't understand the nays here. I don't understand what there is to say about the movement that's negative. We don't get it. It's just incomprehensible to us. Why would this movement be dead? So I guess just on the other side, and it's, uh,
We love our life. I don't see how it could get much better.
I can see how I could get outside for one.
Three weeks ago I said something on our channel.
I said we were having a tough time.
So starting out our years, we were sick for like two months.
We get about all this stuff that's going on now.
And we were having a really tough time of things.
And I said something to the effect of,
I don't see how I could get much worse.
And then all this mess happens.
And so this is your fault.
This is your fault.
That's exactly right.
Okay, Tim could be found at Tim with going less.
And his phone number is.
Yes, I'm a big one about you.
Not like, I'm superstitious, that way.
Don't tempt fate because fate will be like, I'll hold my beer.
Okay, you can hear more about Amy and Tim's house sitting plans and their travel hacking tips,
which will still be valid once you can travel again on episode 57.
Amy, can you please tell people where they can find you online?
We are resurrecting our blog at www.gotholethlis.com.
But for the moment, our main thing is we're on YouTube every single week, also at
Go With Less, no spaces.
We will link to that in our show notes, which can be found at biggerpockets.com slash
Money Show 119.
Amy and Tim, thank you so much for taking time out of your not really all that busy day
to chat with us.
We're still busy.
It's surprising.
Well, thank you.
Thank you for taking time out of your busy day to talk with us.
I really appreciate it.
And I appreciate your message.
Yes.
Thank you guys.
And we'll talk to you soon.
Brandon from the Mad Fayantis, welcome to the Bigger Pockets Money podcast.
Welcome back to the Bigger Pockets Money podcast.
We have been interviewing people about the way that the market is affecting their personal finances.
And I thought of you when I thought of people to check in with because you've been retired for a while from traditional employment.
How long have you been retired?
I left my full-time job in August of 2016.
So are you having money now?
No.
So, yeah, so this is a very important thing to talk about.
Because ironically, I had created a credit card search tool for travel hacking way back
in, I think, 2010 or 2011, even before I created The Mad Scientist.
And it started earning money after I left my job, which I wish it had earned money
before I left my job and then I could have left my job sooner.
So it started earning money after I left my full-time job.
So I'm still earning money.
So that's very important for when we talk about how I'm handling the downturn
because I'm going to be doing things that maybe normal retired people aren't.
And I'm probably more similar to somebody who's employed or an entrepreneur
than actual someone who's retired.
Okay.
I think it's important to make that distinction for the Internet Retirement Police.
and just to placate them as well.
You are married to somebody who has a job.
Yes, yes.
That's true, too.
So, yeah, so we have income coming in both ways.
So, yeah, so I'm definitely more like just a normal working stiff than a retired guy, I think.
But you work on your own terms.
Yeah, and I actually don't do much work, but I did all the work back to 2011, and it's only now paying off.
So it was like front-loaded work.
Yeah, your retired business owner with a recession.
proof business. Yeah, well, you know what? The income in that is going way down for the first time ever,
which you would think that that would be recession-proof. But that's the thing about recessions,
especially really scary ones like this. It's like everything gets hit, things that you don't think
would get hit or getting hit. Just like we were just on a Zoom chat with some friends last night,
and he works for a company that distributes people to like retirement places and care homes and
things. So he staffs those sorts of care homes and you would think that would be a booming business
right now. But that has also dropped off, which is really surprising. So that's the thing about
like really big recessions that you don't appreciate until you live through a couple. It's like
everything gets it and all your backup plans maybe aren't that great of a backup plan after all.
I think the toilet paper company is hiring.
That's true. I wouldn't have expected that to be booming right now, but it is ridiculous.
Okay. So how prepared did you feel before the beginning of March? And we should clarify,
you are over in the UK. Did this whole corona thing hit you much sooner?
Yeah, I would say so. Yeah, we were taking it a lot more seriously, I think, than the States.
Obviously, I talked to all my family and friends back home. And yeah, here we were pretty locked down
before you guys were even really realizing that it was going to be coming at you.
So I think it was the day that Tom Hanks got it where it felt like that you guys were like,
whoa, this is actually a big deal.
And I think the NBA canceled all their games.
And by that point, I think we were already pretty locked down.
My in-laws have been self-isolating for like three, over three weeks now, I think.
And the official lockdown didn't happen until a week and a half ago.
But yeah, things here, I think, have been pretty locked down earlier than you guys.
How prepared did you feel about your position, once you realized, hey, something's up here?
Yeah. So I felt actually really quite prepared. Something I learned about myself is that I can never sell any stocks.
Like, even though my brother-in-law is a biologist and he, when it was still in Wuhan, we were talking about it.
He's like, oh, this is going to be out of control.
It's already too big to contain.
And I was like, man, what should I do with the, because I'm, I, up until a couple years ago,
I was 100% stocks.
And I've since switched over to 90% stocks, 10% bonds, but that's not that much to cushion a big blow,
like would come from a big pandemic.
And so we talked about this way before February 19th highs.
Like this was earlier in February and the market was still going up.
And I was like, man, what should I do about?
this and I was like, well, I can never sell because getting back in is the hardest thing in the
world. When I was younger, I remember selling for some reason. And then it's so hard to figure out
when to get back in because every drop feels like it's going to keep going forever. And every rebound
feels like, oh, this is just a temporary thing. It's still going to go lower. And it's really
hard to get back in. So I knew I could never sell. And at that point, I was at 90% stock
10% bonds.
But my withdrawal rate to live off of was already well below 3.5% to cover all of our spending.
And my wife was still working and the card tool was still bringing in money.
So I felt good staying in 90% stocks, 10% bonds, but it's still been even more freaky than I expected
because that 30% drop was real fast.
And even though I was invested during 2008, obviously I have more money now.
So it's a bit harder to deal with when, yeah, the 30% of something is,
that thing is a lot bigger than it was back in 2008.
How is this going to shape your future spending and savings and investing?
But really spending, like you still have income and your wife is still working.
But is she, like, is her job at all in jeopardy?
Oh yeah, yeah. She's been off for weeks now. The UK government's supposedly going to be paying 80% of everyone's salaries while this is going on while the official lockdown's happening. Whether she'll get that or not, I'm not sure. But it hasn't changed. Obviously, we're spending a lot less since we're not a lot to leave. But besides that, it hasn't changed my plans or anything because as my income was going up, it was tempting to be like, oh, we can, you know, we can spend.
more because we have the portfolio could cover our normal spending easily, if not, you know,
maybe 10 grand a month, 10 grand a year more potentially. You're also earning income. I'm earning
income that I didn't expect. So we could potentially, you know, spend a lot more. But thankfully,
we didn't inflate our lifestyles at all, probably because, you know, I'm like really naturally
frugal. And every dollar has to still like definitely get a lot of value.
for me, so I can't just waste money. And, you know, we talked about it. We're like, do you want to
spend more on certain things? And we're like, no, actually, we're pretty happy where we are.
And we've actually downsized. We just moved into a one bedroom apartment because we had a two-bedroom
one and we were like, we barely used that second bedroom. So we've actually lowered our expenses.
But anyway, so all of this is to say that when this all hit, we were already actually really
below what we could spend. And now that the portfolio has decreased and both of our incomes have
dropped, we're still easily able to cover that amount of spending. And we see no reason to increase it.
It's definitely going to be decreased for the next couple of months, like I said, because we're
not able to leave the house. So, like, half of our budget is discretionary spending, which is, like,
travel and restaurants and bars and things like that. So obviously, that's going to decrease.
but when we're allowed to go out again,
we'll just pick right back up where we left off, I think.
If you spend all that you earn or very close to it,
this is going to force your hand as an individual.
But for the three of us,
since we spend so much less than we earn
and live so far within our means,
not going to be any change to spending or our lifestyle, right?
The lifestyle change is going to be that
which the government imposes on self-isolation
and nothing else, right?
Exactly. And like I feel lucky that
we've been able to dial in the spending so nicely.
Like when I was saving for financial independence,
I deprived us, like, I hit that lower limit of my spending
because we were just miserable.
I didn't realize it until my wife pointed it out, like, what are we doing?
We were miserable anyway.
So I know where the lower bound for spending is.
And then when we hit financial independence,
I worked for another two years after we hit five.
but before I quit my job.
And so during those two years, we tested the upper bounds,
which wasn't actually that much more because, like I said,
I can't waste money and, like, I'm perfectly happy with a 3,000 pound car
that runs really nicely and things like that.
So we tested the upper bounds of our spending.
And so now, like, I don't feel like I'm depriving myself,
but I also feel like we have everything we want,
and it just happens to be not a lot of spending, which is nice.
But it's hard for not.
unnaturally frugal people to do that unless they try it out, I think, and sort of find those
limits, I guess.
So what is your opinion of the 4% rule? I'm starting to see articles online. Oh, the fire
movement is dead and the 4% rule doesn't account for, what is that phrase, Scott? You and I were
just talking about this. Sequence of returns risk. The sequence of returns risk. The 4% rule doesn't
account for this. Somebody who has been retired for three and a half years, you have been
drawing down on your, you've not been drawing down. I haven't. So I can't talk about it from
a experience point of view, but I've done a lot of research into it. And I've talked to Michael
Kitsis, who's one of the internet's and the world's most respected people when it comes to
this sort of thing. And when we chatted, he said that 3.5% is pretty much the floor,
you know, anything more than that's like just being conservative for conservative's sake,
not really for any sort of usefulness. So 3.5% has always been my like lower limits for
withdrawal rates. And the 4% rule takes into account these periods. Like the market is
just, yes, that's the thing. All the time. I'm seeing, sorry, I just, I'm just seeing stuff.
it's frustrating me, where people are like,
this 4% rule doesn't take into account
secrets of returns risk?
No, no, this is an obvious problem
that anybody would be worried about
if they retired right before a recession,
that the 4% rule literally is designed
to take into account.
Sorry, I get my reaction.
That's it, yeah, it's the worst case scenario.
It takes into account all the previous crashes.
And I know this one feels different
because it always feels different,
but back in 2008,
it felt like the whole world was collapsing
and, you know, it's just as scary.
And I wasn't investing during Black Monday,
but I probably imagine that was feeling like the world was ending as well.
So the 4% rule takes into account all of this.
So, yeah, if you're retired on February 19th and we're like,
oh, this is going to be great, then you're going to have to tighten your belt a little bit
for the first few years until things recover.
But that's why you have a cash buffer and that's why you have bonds
so that you don't have, hopefully have to sell stocks when they're depressed.
and, you know, hopefully this recovery when it comes, which it will, because hopefully,
oh, yeah, go ahead.
The cash buffer.
In terms of annual spending, what does the mad scientist recommend having as a cash buffer?
And what is your definition of a cash buffer?
Sure.
Yeah.
So, like I said, I was not expecting this income to come in.
So I already had had a cash buffer when I left my job.
So I had probably two years of spending that I had in cash when I left my work.
So I didn't expect to have income coming in after that.
So instead of going through my cash buffer, it grew.
And I ended up being probably five, six years worth of spending in cash, which I wasn't happy with,
but I wasn't able to invest it because,
and this is a good lesson. This is why I try to automate as much of my investing as possible,
because my brain still gets in the way and I still try to time the market and still think I know
better, which I know I don't, but I just can't help myself. So I ended up accumulating probably
five or six years of cash. And then that's what prompted me to start getting into bonds,
because up until that point, I was happy with 100% cash portfolio, I mean 100% stock portfolio,
I'm sorry. And it was only when I started getting like more and more cash. And I was like,
I need to just invest in bonds at least. So I was like, all right, I'll get up to 10% bonds. And at the
time when I was investing in those, like I thought that they had nowhere to go but down because
interest rates were already lower than they've ever been in my lifetime. And I was like,
all right, truly the interest rates are going to go up, which means the price of the bonds are
going to go down. So this is likely a very stupid investment. But I was like, I just have to get out of
cash because that was way too much cash, in my opinion was like six years worth. So I ended up
going into bonds and then they've actually done really well, which just proves that I have no
idea what I'm doing when I'm predicting where the market's going to go. And I'm glad I did because
now I have those to then use to buy more stocks, which is what I plan to do if it continues to go
down further. Okay. One little investing tip. I guess I should say, you know, this is Brandon's idea,
not advice on what you should do.
But let's say you have X dollars.
Are you putting all X dollars dumping it into the market all at once?
Or are you dollar cost averaging every week or every two weeks or every day?
So this is, yeah, this is something that I thought I learned from the 2008 crash, but I didn't.
So this is, you always think you're going to act a certain way when this stuff happens and then you don't because it's always different than you imagine it.
And it's, so this is another one of those situations.
So back in 2008, we had just sold our house in Scotland in 2007, and we sold it for 50% more than we bought it for two and a half years earlier, which we did a live-in flip, but we didn't realize that's what it was called at the time.
So we invested half of the money in Scotland, and then we took half to America.
The money we invested in Scotland got cut in half pretty much instantly because 2008 happened.
and that was a good lesson for a big chunk, my first big chunk of money.
So then the American half, I was like, all right, I want to invest this,
but I don't want to put it all in at once because I got burned with that other batch.
So I put in a big chunk and then the market went down a little bit more.
So I put in a little less because I had less to invest.
And then it went down a whole lot again.
And then I just started trickling money in.
So then by the time the market bottomed in March of 2009,
I was only investing 150 bucks at a time,
not because I didn't have the money,
but because I was like,
oh, it's going to keep going down.
So why put a few thousand in when I could just put a few hundred in
and then I'll get it lower?
So anyway, long story short, that was the bottom.
And I ended up having a fairly sizable chunk of cash
that I didn't even invest in what the lowest stocks may ever be in my entire life.
And it was because I was trying to time the bottom.
So I thought, all right, next time that happens, I'll be better at this.
I'll actually increase my investing as the market drops so that I'm putting more money in cheaper.
And I'll make sure not to like put little tiny amounts in because I want to get this money invested.
So this all started happening.
And I'm like, all great.
You know, the markets were down, I don't know, 5%, 5%.
And I start putting some money in.
And then I start doing the same thing that I did.
back in 2008, I'm like, oh, it's going to go down way more from here. Surely, this is, you know,
so then I was like, well, I need to, I need to have a plan that I stick to. So I put together
a spreadsheet, which is what I do for everything. And so by that point, it was like down 12.5%
or something. So I just put the price for VTI, which is the total international stock market
ETF that I was investing in, and then VXUS, which is the total international stock market
ETF that I was investing in. So I just put the prices that was the February 19th I, and then I just
mapped it out all the way down to 50% down. And now I have these price targets that I can buy.
And I also cut up all the cash that I wanted to invest, and I allocated that to each of those
price targets. So now I know when to invest and how much to invest. And I can actually just put in
in limit orders in Vanguard to just automatically buy them so that I keep my brain out of it.
Because even though I have that plane in place, I still screwed myself up because one day,
I hit two targets in one day. So I had to manually try to put money in on that second target
because the markets were tanking like 10%. And I couldn't do it because my brain was like,
oh, no, it's going to go down more. So just wait. And yeah, it's been up ever since. So I didn't put
my one target I missed because I was stupid and let my brain influence me. And now the markets
went up again, like whatever, 20 percent. And now it's back down again. But anyway, long story
short, like, I can't trust myself to do the right thing. So I have to make a plan and then automate
as much as possible. I think it's a really interesting approach. I haven't heard that before
of someone setting up targets like that. So I think that's fascinating. And I think a lot of people
benefit from it. What advice do you have moving, changing top?
here. What advice do you have for folks that are maybe on the journey to fly who are,
maybe let's call it earning an upper middle class income, $75,000 a year, a couple hundred
thousand dollars in net worth, not there yet, experiencing a massive road bump here. What's
your advice to that person? Well, first, I would say realize how valuable that stash that
you've accumulated is and how that makes you feel so much more secure, because this is really
uncertain times. And like I guess every, every job's at risk, every business is at risk. But if you have
five years of expenses, 10 years of expenses, even one year of expenses saved up that you could
survive off of, that's no doubt going to put you in a much more relaxed position than a lot of
the people out there right now. So appreciate that. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly. It's it's still,
you could still sell socks right away. They might not be worth it.
much, but you can still sell them. So yeah, realize that. The second thing I would say is
think about how you feel during this time, because this is when you learn how to become a good
investor and you know what's going to trip you up in the future. And you know, this is when you
learn all the things that you need to fix for the next time this happens, because it'll happen
again. That's just the nature of investing in the markets. So you may want to start a diary.
Like I luckily have a blog and I have a post coming out next week about all the things.
things that I've learned during this crash that I'm going to, you know, change my investment plan.
So it's sort of like a diary. But if you don't have a blog or anything, then just write it down
because going through it is much different than thinking about going through it. So you're going to
want to think about your asset allocation. So, you know, you may have been fine with 100% stocks
on February 19th because you felt like a genius because you'd been earning money for, you know,
eight years and just going straight up. But now if you're freaking out, then maybe you're
you need to rebalance.
And these are things that you want to do after the dust that has settled because you
don't want to act impulsively when the fear is high.
But make notes of these things and really just start thinking about how you're going to
invest in the future so that the next one of these crashes isn't as traumatic for you.
Yeah, that's, you know what?
That's really great advice.
And Brandon, when that comes out, please send me a link to that so I can link to it in the
show notes for this show as well.
The show notes for this show can be found at biggerpockets.com slash money show 119, Money Show 119.
Brandon, thank you so much for your time.
I really, really appreciate you coming on and sharing this.
You think that Michael Kitsis is brilliant and you're right, he is, but there's a lot of people
who think you're brilliant as well.
And hearing you say, you know, wow, I still freaked out.
Even though I know I have this plan, it just kind of brings it home like, hey, it's okay
to be freaking out.
this is a natural thing.
Now I need to look to Brandon's advice as well and say,
ooh, I need to not sell.
I need to not freak out and, you know,
gut react and panic.
So I think it's really helpful and thank you so much.
Can you remind people where they can find you online?
Sure, madfcientist.com and then mad fientists on all the social things.
It's a made-up word.
So I got all the accounts that I needed.
So it's just mad scientist everywhere.
That's awesome. Okay, Brandon, thank you so much. We will link to Brandon's contact information as well in the show notes.
If you wanted to hit him up, he is pretty active on Twitter if you tag him.
Yeah. And if you share with him your favorite beer.
That's true.
Tag him in your beer picks. Okay, Brandon, thank you so much for your time today. We'll talk to you soon.
Thanks for having me. See you guys. Great talking to you.
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Christy and Bryce from Millennial Revolution, welcome to the Bigger Pockets Money,
podcast. I'm sorry, welcome back to the Bigger Pockets Money podcast.
Right.
Christy and Bryce last joined us on episode 55 and then again the next day on episode 55 and a half
to talk about their cash cushion and their yield shield.
And now we're going to talk today about how this market is affecting you.
And first off, remind people, when did you retire?
So we retired in June of 2015.
So it's been almost five years.
Okay.
But that was from formal employment.
And now you have, you still have income coming in from different revenue streams.
Is that correct?
Yeah.
Inadvertently, so we didn't actually start the blog until almost a year after we retired.
So that just came out of a passion project.
But yes, there's an unexpected income after retirement.
But we don't use any of it.
It's, like, it's important for us to, like, retire and only live off of the, like, the original
amount that we retired with. Like the side hustle income, we're just kind of saving for a rainy day
and it's mostly for business expenses and this kind of stuff. We want to keep our, you know,
experiment pure because one of the criticism is like all these finance bloggers are just retiring
off of their blog. We're not actually living off of any of the money on our blog. So, but you're,
that means that you're completely out of money at this point, right? And your plan that you constructed,
completely imploded at the first dip, which we're experiencing right now, right?
Not at all.
That's what the haters would like to think.
At the beginning of the year, so the last time we talked about it,
we talked about kind of our strategy for how to segregate the cash to make sure that
when times are going great, everyone's happy.
But when times go turn bad, like, you don't want to sell in the middle of a downturn.
So what many alluded to the cash cushion, part of that is at the beginning of the year,
we've refilled all of the buckets of like this year's expenses plus cushion for like the next three years of expenses
just in case there is like a prolonged market downturn.
Christy is probably one of the most pessimistic people in the fire space.
So she always assumes everything's going to blow the hell up at any moment.
So that's kind of why we did that.
And boy, am I glad that we did that because people are in a state of panic right now,
as you might have noticed, because all businesses have shut down, you know, stock market
is tanking.
And even real estate investors might be getting squeezed with what's going on with this rent
strike thing.
but we're not feeling scared at all because this year, our entire living expenses is just sitting
in a savings account.
Which we accumulated the previous year from dividends and interest.
And the cash cushion was refilled when times were good, which is like last year, when
the stock market was up like 30%.
So we are good for four straight years of downturn.
We'll wait for this thing to go up.
It's because when we started investing, that was during 2008.
So I remember how acutely fearful it is trying to be a stock market.
invest it during time like this, it's not fun. So you want to make sure that all of your ducks in a row
before it happens. So do you feel that the people who are saying that the end of the fire movement
is nigh are being obtuse? I think what's going to happen is, I think as a result of this bear market,
we're going to be able to see who is actually a fireperson and who's a wannabe fireperson. So we're
going to separate the wheat from the chaff and see who actually knows what they're doing. Because
people think, fire it just put money into the index and index fund, and then that's it.
There is a little bit more complexity to it, not a whole lot more complexity to it.
And everyone has their own system for, like, how to mitigate the risk of sequence of return risk.
We have our system that we wrote about in our book, quit like a millionaire.
And as well as we talk about in our blog and we talked about it in the previous podcast,
other people have their own ways of doing that.
But it's like those are the people who actually have, are going to make it through this.
the people who are panic selling right now.
This is really like an acid test of who can actually make it through fire.
Because fire has become so picked up on the mainstream media,
a lot of people want to do it.
Well, here is where you have to put on your big boy pants
and actually do the things that we talk about.
You need to be able to have the intestinal fortitude
to at least not hit sell all,
but potentially if you're still working,
buy into the market.
Well, it just sounds to me like you prepared for exactly the present circumstances with your
financial portfolio going, you know, you didn't plan on the markets being really, really,
really good forever.
You planned your retirement around the worst case scenario, which is the point of fire, really.
Yep.
So one of the things that we did was not inflate our costs.
So in the last five years, we never spent more than $40,000 because I knew that relying on
on blog income, it makes no sense.
Thinking that the bull market is going to be around forever, it doesn't make sense.
We've been through 2008.
We know that it could happen again.
So as a result, the money that we accumulated and used to actually replenish our cash cushion,
and now we're just sitting and relaxing while some people are panicking because they didn't
actually think this would happen.
They thought that the stock market would rally forever.
It's really important to maintain that 4% spending when you retire because it's really
tempting when your stock portfolio was up like $100,000 to be like,
hey, how many Tesla did you want buy this year?
Right? But if you do that, the reason why you need to do that is you need every penny of the gains to withstand the drop, right?
And because we didn't do that, we are still actually, I think last I checked, we were still above a million, even after all this like market downturn, because our starting point was so much higher because the gains we actually let compound and compound over the past 10 years.
And another thing that I even I wasn't expecting is that in a recession,
costs the living drop.
Yep.
So one of the things that we had to do, this is actually because of a family emergency,
we're actually back in Toronto.
We were planning to actually just write out the pandemic in Southeast Asia because we were
in Valley at the time.
So what's happened now is that there's so many airports that are closed and there's a lot
of travel restrictions in place.
So then we've had to kind of change our strategy to do more local geographic arbitrage
rather than global geographic arbitrage.
But then what I found out was that after we came back to Toronto,
downtown condos in Toronto, the Airbnb is actually cheaper than rural areas,
which is where I was going to go to save money,
because there are no travelers.
There's no business travelers coming in.
There's all these travel restrictions.
So Airbnbs are actually emptying out.
And I talked to some Airbnb hosts.
They said that they had gone from 95% bookings to zero.
So one of the things people don't realize is that in a recession,
everything gets less expensive.
So you actually don't need as much money for your portfolio to live on.
So to give you an example, we're actually moving to another Airbnb today, which is in downtown Toronto.
Originally, it rents for $110 U.S. dollars a night.
It's actually on sale for $39 U.S. dollars a night.
I keep on.
Yeah, for a two-bedroom.
Wow.
Really nice, fancy condo with pool and balcony.
So if this stays like this and, God, I hope it doesn't stay like this for the rest of the year.
Oh, me neither.
financially we're projecting our costs will actually come down from 40 to about 36,000 3536 which will make
our financial stuff even safer because we because we had budgeted 40 it actually will be able to put money into the cash cushion so
like the longer this goes on the safer our cash tuition becomes because we cannot able to grow it.
You know what? One silver lining of not being able to go out because we had to self-isolate for two weeks when we came back.
Like there's nothing for you to spend money on like even if you wanted to spend money you can't spend money.
So I was like looking at my spreadsheets, I was like, we spent like nothing.
Because we were spending less than 20 bucks a day.
Because we were quarantined that quality.
Yeah, we can't go anywhere.
I did drop a few hundred bucks on some home workout equipment.
So like dumbbells and that kind of stuff.
Yeah.
We just did a lot of yoga for free.
And Netflix, 69.
A lot of Netflix.
There you go.
There's a lot of Netflix going on.
Tiger King.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Oh, I have not watched that one yet.
So the 4% rule says you can.
draw down 4%. What is your actual drawdown? Have you been hitting the 4% every single year?
Are you going a little bit less, a little bit more? So we retired a million dollars and $40,000 is our
drawdown number. You're actually allowed to increase by the cost of inflation every year,
but we just haven't been doing that just because A, my wife is a budgeting genius. And B,
competitive shopping. That's the way to win. And humble, too. Look up a lot.
Yes, very humble.
It's so rare to have this level of genius and humbleness.
Anyway, and also the fact that we've been traveling continues to for the last four or five years
allowed us to basically side-step inflation because you can always adjust how much your living expenses are
just by spending more time in different places.
Like we were just in Thailand and your cost of living drops down to like nothing.
We were just looking at, out of curiosity, we were just seeing what Rendell looked like in Thailand right now.
And they dropped two down to like 300 bucks a month.
a month. That's how much it costs down right now if we were, if we had stuck it down in Thailand.
But it's like that level of, so we were able to keep our costs, not even just at the 40,000,
but we didn't even have to take the inflation increases. So it's actually been getting safer and safer.
Yeah, so it's actually going down as a percentage. So it's not even 4% going forward. It's like less than
4% because we haven't been inflating it. It's very interesting to who you say is because you think
that having retired on a 4% rule and being basically traveling nomads, you know, or
around the world, that you're in the absolute worst position to come out of this. But you don't say it that
way at all. You're in, in fact, you're in a completely unaltered position relative to everyone else who's
also all stuck at home. And you're not worried at all. We're actually finding that there are advantages
to being living out of our backpacks because we can move around and see where there are hot spots
of panicking Airbnb hosts. Like it's just, it's like you don't lock yourself down to one location.
Like we're able to pick up, like we were telling people our friends that are living in Toronto, like how
much we're paying for Airbnb. And it's less than how much they're paying long term for one year of
these. They're like that never happens. Short terms are never supposed to go below long term. But here we are.
Yeah. Well, I think it's really smart on the part of the long term or the Airbnb people to try and
capture some of that to reduce your price. What would that host be getting instead of $39? If you guys
didn't rent it, they would be getting $0. And yeah, 39 isn't 110, but it's a whole lot more than zero.
Yeah, that's true. Yeah. I mean, like, I can't think of a situation in which tourism has dried up globally, like, all at once like this ever. Like, I was talking to some people in New York and like 9-11, it wasn't even like this, right? So. Yeah, no. These are very strange times. Very strange times. And you know what? Every time one of these things happen, it does feel like, oh, it's different this time. But like 9-11, it felt like it was different this time. 2008 felt like it was different this time. This feels like it's different this time. But we're all.
I'm going to get through it, right? Or I'm going to get through it if we don't ride in the streets or
whatever. So put yourself in the shoes as someone who is on the journey to fire. Maybe they're
still working a job, you know, slowly and steadily accumulating wealth. They're doing all the right
things. They've got an emergency reserve and they're buying stocks and that kind of stuff. But they're
worried about their job income. They're worried about their progress. What's your advice to somebody
in that situation who is still working along the path? We want to talk to some of our friends and some of our
readers that are in that exact situation. They're like one or two years from firing. And I was asking them,
like, are you concerned? Is this going to stretch out your timeline? And some of them have actually said it's the
opposite. Because they have money right now, because they work in tech, so they can actually work from home,
they're actually putting more money into the stock market and expecting a bigger return because now they can
buy as it's going down, right? They actually have a lot of, a huge chunk of cash to deploy. Now,
for people who have actually lost their jobs and are not in that fortunate position of being able to work from home,
I would say that definitely having cash on hand is really important. Like before you think about investing in the stock market,
make sure that you have an emergency fund, you have at least six months of expenses covered,
and figure out your job situation before you figure out the investing, because you want to make sure that you have enough cash on hand
and to make sure that you have enough runway. Yeah, it's kind of like this that really kind of show how important it is to have a financial plan,
because you just don't know when this.
Like this year, there's, you know,
if anything would have caused a recession,
I would have been like something to do with Trump or Bernie Sand
or something to do with the election, something like that.
Pandemic, no way would I have ever guessed in a million years
that that would have happened.
But the panic that's happening right now,
especially in America, where, you know,
we hear these statistics like half of America
don't have more than like a couple hundred bucks
saving their checking account.
And it's like, and then now their job is taking me
for just like two weeks.
And they're like, I can't pay my business.
rent, I don't know, though I'm food. It's actually true that people are in dire straits financially.
And if people could, I kind of say, oh, fire is not going to work or whatever, you know,
these pandemics are going to happen, or not these pandemics, but these recessions and these global
crises are going to happen whether you like it or not or whether you're prepared or not.
So would you rather be facing one of these crises with like a couple hundred bucks in your checking
account or with a couple hundred thousand dollars of an investment portfolio? It's like, even if fire
gets whacked and it's not as easy anymore, I'd much rather be in our position than somebody who is
looking at rent or food and being like, I have to pick one. Yeah, I love it. You know, regardless of
where you are in the journey, it's firing, right? If you've been spending less than you've earned
and accumulating a cash cushion and investing in stocks for even a couple of months, you're better off
than the guy who hasn't. And so no matter where you are on that continuum, no matter what,
you know, everything becomes relative. This is not going to help your accelerate you
towards your journey unless you work in tech or one of those folks. But it will, I think it does
give you, it puts you in a relative position to strength by having good financial habits,
no matter where, how far along you are. Yeah, you're still better than the vast majority of
people in America and Canada who just are just pickled in debt and have no money.
Yeah. So here's a question. You said that you're not living off of any of your extra income sources,
you're only living off of your investments.
Are you continuing to invest?
Are you putting more money into the stock market right now?
Yeah, yeah.
It's like this separate account in any amount that we earn,
that we don't, doesn't go through business expenses.
I mean, like hosting is actually gets surprisingly expensive.
And Mailcham gets surprisingly expensive because this grows so big.
But anything that we're not spending on a drug-line business,
we're just shoveling into another portfolio that's another self-contained portfolio
that's just invested in the same index funds as our main one.
Okay, so we just spoke with the mad scientist, and now I'm going to ask you,
are you putting, let's say you have X dollars.
Are you putting 100% of X dollars in the market whenever you get it?
Or are you putting in at a more, what is the right word?
I don't know what the right word is.
Consistent, periodic?
Yes, periodic.
Thank you.
Look at how smart she is.
You're such a lucky man, Bryce.
And a more consistent and periodic.
And humble.
And humble, yes.
The most humble, the most humble.
The most humble.
So do you just dump it all in all at once?
Are you consistently putting in for the, to like take advantage of the dollar cost averaging?
It's more consistent.
We're basically doing it once every quarter.
I just made that, you know.
We just do a financial review and then when we do the review, we put it in.
Yeah.
Okay.
Oh, so did you put it in in January or did you put it in March?
January is the last time we did that.
And I think, and I think we're going to do one in April, probably.
In April, yeah.
It might be a good time to put a little bit more money into the stock market.
I'm not giving you advice.
That is just, you know.
Yeah, when there's locked inside and there's no deals to be had,
the stock market is the best deal.
Yeah.
I am waiting for it to be a little bit less volatile because it's like,
I have never seen Dow swings of 2,000 bloody points in a day before.
Like it went up and down like 10%.
Like J.O. Collins is like, ah, I remember 87 when it went down like, you know, 20 in one day.
But I was like, I've never seen that kind of volatility right now.
So I am waiting a little bit for the calm down because we're getting weird effects where, like, the index ETS are detaching from the underlying value of the index itself because there's so much volume, like, going one way or there.
So I'm kind of waiting for that to peter out a little bit because I don't want to buy it when it's at the wrong price.
Well, you know, it's never a wrong price to buy.
It's always...
If it's not reflecting the underlying assets, yes, it's not.
Okay, that's fair. That's fair.
Okay, great.
Bryce and Christy, can you please remind people where they can find you online?
Sure.
So you can find us on our blog, which is www.
millennial with two ends dashrevolution.com.
We have a contact us page.
You can contact us via email.
Also, our social media is on there as well.
And we have a book called Quit Like a Millionaire available.
We're all fine books are sold.
Or on Amazon, which is the only place that find books are sold right now.
The crazy thing is while we were in Singapore, just before we came back to Canada,
We found our book in the biggest, which is one of the voted the best airports in the entire world in Singapore.
We found our book on the best sellers.
Nice.
That's awesome.
I was like, oh, my God.
Because it's like those bookstores in the airport, they only have like the really most like famous ones.
Right.
So I'm just kind of.
That's like my favorite airport in the entire world.
So I was super.
I'm home.
Did you take a picture?
Yes.
Yes.
Okay.
Great.
And all the links to everything that we've talked about here on.
this episode can be found in our show notes, which are at biggerpockets.com slash
money show 119. So we'll link to your book and we'll link to your site and all of the
ways to contact you. And apparently they've got nothing better to do. So hit them up.
Save live. Stay home and listen to the Bigger Pockets podcast and read blogs. That's how you say that.
There you go. Thank you. Thank you. Okay. Bryce and Christy, thank you so much for taking time out
of your incredibly busy lives to talk to us today. But, you know, I think it's really important for
people to hear this message from people who have been doing it. Not just once. I think Scott made a mistake
when he said, oh, this is your first recession. No, didn't you retire and then instantly the markets
dropped because of the oil? It was in 2015. There was, like, you guys didn't feel as much, but it was
the oil crash that happened because the Saudi Arabians were trying to dump oil into the market.
And Canada's stock market got whacked as a result. So this is the second kind of downturn.
And this is the second major depression event that we, you know, invest it's really.
So it's, you know, it's going to be okay, everyone.
From seasoned pros, you heard it here.
Okay, Christy and Bryce, thank you so much.
I hope your next Airbnb is amazing.
Thank you.
Rounding up this episode is Doug Nordman, who has been retired the longest.
Doug, how long have you been retired?
18 years.
Okay, Doug is from the military guide.com.
If you're not military, you can still learn a lot from Doug,
because he's been retired for 18 years, is positively swimming.
Actually, I guess he is positively swimming because Doug is a Hawaii resident.
I was going to say Hawaii native, but I don't think you are a native to Hawaii.
That's okay.
You live there now.
And Doug is a surfer.
Doug, have you been able to surf during this whole isolation time?
Yes, thank goodness.
All the beach parks are closed.
You know, we don't have any visitors here.
We don't want any visitors here.
But you can still park your car on a street, take your board out of the back.
across the beach park to the ocean and surf. But you know, you can't hang around and talk story with
your friends, but you can surf. So the beach is closed, not the ocean. Right. The beaches are closed. The
ocean's okay. Exactly. Okay. So, Doug, you have been retired for 18 years. That's right. And it's
been 18 really good years. And I see myself being unemployable for the rest of my life here.
Oh, but you have been retired for 18 years living off of your retirement funds. The markets have crashed.
I'm not sure if you know this. Clearly, you're
We're going to need to go get a job.
I don't see that happening. Seriously, don't see that happening.
I've enjoyed being responsible for my own entertainment and taking care of my own time now for that entire time.
And it's a good life.
I will point out that this is to us.
18 years ago was right in the middle of the Internet recession.
And so this is our third bear market, our third recession.
And frankly, the things that led into this recession, personally, I find far less alarming than the stuff that it was going on during 2008.
in 2009 with the financial institutions, almost locking up the country's economy.
Okay, that's fair. We just heard from Christy and Bryce, who have been retired for almost five years,
and they retired into their Canadian, they retired into a Canadian oil crisis.
So as soon as they retired, their markets dropped. So this is their second recession.
They are also not concerned. Why are you not concerned?
It's a lot of the same things that Christine and Bryce feel comfortable with. We spent a week together at Chautauqua last September talking about these things. And the idea is that you have control over your portfolio. You have control over your asset allocation and your expenses. And we've been doing that for 18 years. We're very comfortable with our spending. And in our case, because I have a military pension, we've also invested the rest of our assets very aggressively, literally 95% or more in the stock market. And because of that, over the last,
18 years, our portfolio, our investments have grown faster than inflation.
Much, much, exactly. I see your hand going up there and that's exactly what's going on.
What that means is when you get past the first decade of financial independence and you're
at the end of that period where you're vulnerable to the sequence of returns, risks,
and you're vulnerable to recessions at the beginning of your financial independence,
your actual portfolio withdrawal rate started out at 4%, but it's probably dropped to 3, 3.5%
just because your portfolio has grown so much faster than your spending. It's exactly what's happened
with us. The researchers are still trying to put the numbers on it, but everybody has heard these
anecdotes, and they start seeing that in the stories with financial advisors. We're living proof of that.
We have a portfolio that's sustainable for the rest of our lives. I don't want to say it's immune
to bear markets, but it's certainly highly resistant, and we'll come out of this pretty much
the way we started with more money than we need. Yeah, a lot of people, I was going to say,
smart people, I use people, are claiming, hey, this is the whole point, this is sequence of return
risk, this is why the 4% rule in early retirement doesn't work. What's your thoughts on that?
Well, they are absolutely correct, that the failures in the 4% Safe Withdrawal rate math,
the simulations, the failures were usually when there was a bear market right at the beginning
of that period. And because of that, the portfolio is, you know, blundered on for 20 or 25 years
instead of for 30 years. One example of that that's been around for a long time now is the Y2K retiree,
who retired right at the end of 1999 and went through all these recessions. That portfolio probably
will not make it till 2030 if he continues spending like a 4% safe withdrawal rate robot.
And that's the whole key, is that the simulation has a number of assumptions in it,
a number of modeling conveniences that don't resemble real life. And one of them is,
is that I'm not blindly raising my spending every year for inflation. I live my life. I optimize the
things I enjoy doing. And our spending is actually lag inflation. There's also a phenomenon called
the retirement spending smile. The theory is you start off your retirement. Mindy's smiling already.
You've got your spending at a certain level. And then as you go through your life, as you enjoy
yourself, your spending actually drops because you're optimizing things. Later on in life, you're not doing
much of anything. You started out as a go-go retiree and then in your 70s, your 80s, your
slow-go, maybe even no-go. And then there's a spike for end-of-life care at the end of your life
expectancy. But again, that's not modeled in a 4% safe withdrawal rate. That's an example of variable
spending. And there are many other techniques and rules that one can use for variable spending
in a recession. So all of these things that make the 4% safe withdrawal rate have failure rates in
well, we're human beings and we can work around that and we are able to do that with variable
spending. I got no worries.
So it seems to me like you, I mean, you just said, I have no worries. How prepared did you feel
before the beginning of March when this kind of all exploded in the United States and how,
versus how prepared you feel now? Kind of sounds like you're the same.
Pretty much the same. And it wasn't that we expected in December,
or January, oh my gosh, a fish market in Wuhan had some people get sick. Here comes the bear market. No. And the
other thing is that people have been talking for many years during the bull market about keeping some dry
powder for that next bear market and start investing in that recession and catch the bottom and really make out.
And we're not like that either. We're just keeping our money in our asset allocation and enjoying life.
And it seemed like the market was certainly richly valued. But that happens on and off during the market cycle.
and it didn't seem to have any impending doom behind it.
When the market's richly valued, I know that many times it just goes sideways
for a number of months before it starts going up again.
So there was no particular concern or worry.
And we didn't certainly, you know, take any money off the table
or bulk up an emergency fund or do anything like that.
We just enjoyed living our lives.
And frankly, most of our efforts these days, financial efforts are simplifying our portfolio,
taking care of our legacy and philanthropy.
As an example of that, by the way,
while we were visiting my daughter and my son-in-law in California,
they live in the same house where we're really visiting our baby daughter,
granddaughter.
One of the things we did during the visit is we put money into ARIA's 529 account.
She's 10 weeks old.
She's had a 529 account for a month.
And her parents were really happy to be able to start a 529 account.
2-9 account in this bear market. They feel like they got the whole thing at a 25% off sale.
You know, that is a common theme that I'm hearing from, whether it's our third episode after
the big coronavirus spike in America. And that's kind of the same thing I'm hearing is
stocks are on sale right now. I love a good sale. I'm frugal. Everybody that we've been talking to
loves a good sale because then you're getting the same value for a lower price. So right now,
stocks are on sale. If you have the means to buy, don't be selling. I will point out that Marge and I,
my spouse and I have simplified our lives and our investments and we're not buying or selling.
We're just continuing on in our plans to spend on the things we normally spend on and the lives we normally lead.
But somebody who's on the route to FI, someone who's saving for financial independence, by all means,
have that plan, have that asset allocation, and keep investing. Put it in autopilot, every paycheck,
month, whatever your plan is, keep investing. Don't worry that you're getting a 25% off sale,
but next week it might be 40% off. Just keep investing at whatever your regular interval is.
That gets rid of the decision fatigue. You don't have to look at the markets. You don't have to
look at your 401k statements. You can just put an autopilot and go live your life.
Who has the best returns, Scott? Was that dead people? What kind of portfolio?
That's right. Yeah, dead people get the best long-term returns.
They're highly logical when they're investing.
So let's ask the same question for everyone.
But imagine that you are just starting out on your journey
or you're a couple months or even a couple years
in you're still working and accumulating and investing.
And your income and your investments have both been disrupted at this point.
What's the advice for someone in that situation?
Well, if you're relatively certain, you still have your job.
If you're still employed, you probably have already built
an emergency fund, you're probably already looking at an unemployment fund to get you through a few
months if you do get laid off. If you've got all that stuff already taken care of and you should
as soon as you can, then going through this recession, I just continue with your asset allocation.
Get a plan on what your long-term goals are, make your asset allocation. Now, a recession
will help you recalibrate your asset allocation. It will tell you whether you really are
comfortable with that 80% equities, asset allocation. Maybe you want to dial it back to 70.
But you'll have an asset allocation and keep following that plan and keep investing as regularly as you have been, as regularly as you should be for financial independence.
And as you are investing, you're going to naturally rebalance your portfolio.
When you're starting to put money in there every two weeks, every month, if stocks are dropping rapidly, then you're going to end up buying more stocks with that just to there and bring them back up to your asset allocation.
And then for the rest of the life you lead outside of the investing part, again, you're going to look for ways to make yourself more valuable to that employer.
You're going to look for ways to maybe consider changing a job, changing a career.
If this is a good time to do that, you might even be thinking about starting a side hustle.
But these are all things that you would think about normally in the course of your annual life and your progress toward becoming more valuable in your career, more skilled.
and experienced and eventually financially independent.
So great opportunity, right?
You get the sale on stocks.
You get to keep investing.
Now, if you're unemployed, that is a problem.
You're going to go into financial survival mode.
You're going to make sure that you have enough of an unemployment fund
to get you through that period.
But otherwise, if that's the situation where you are still employed
and you expect to be employed, then you're going to just keep on investing.
We went through this at the exact point in our careers in 1987,
where we'd been employed for five years.
And that one day, gigantic retraction in the market happened,
almost 25% in one day.
That's going down now.
And we had some extra income from our paychecks
that we had been saving and certificates of deposit
that we put into the stock market.
And that's taking advantage of the sale
and continuing to grow our wealth.
And that made a big difference in the long run,
being able to put that money in there for the long term.
So I'd advise people to just keep doing it, have the plan, have the asset allocation, and keep investing.
Okay. The October of 1987 crashes been mentioned by several people in this episode so far.
I don't think that people can fully understand because when you look at the price drop, it was not nearly as significant as the price drops that we're having now.
a good way to describe it. Right now, the markets are down, what, 25, 30 percent, 20, 30 percent. I don't know the exact. We're recording this on Thursday before it releases on Monday, and I'm not sure exactly where the markets are right now. But imagine all of March dropping in one day. One day. One day. That was the October of 1987 drop. And I remember that. I was a sophomore in high school. And I remember looking at that and thinking, oh, wow, this is like a lot. We talked about it.
in economics class. I have been kind of a geek about money for my whole life. We talked about it
in economics class and my teacher made a point of saying this is a historic drop. This is,
you know, on par with the Great Depression because you didn't know if it was going to go,
you know, drop another 25 percent the next day. But so all of March dropped in one day in
1987 and did the market stay there forever, Doug? No, it came back. It came back. And it turns out
that most of that was program trading, right? People were using computer software to protect their losses
and it turned into a positive feedback loop and got worse and worse and worse. 2008, 2009,
we almost brought down the country's entire financial industry and infrastructure behind it.
I find that, in retrospect, reading the history books at that time, terrifying. Now, today,
coronavirus worldwide pandemic, yes, this is bad, but in no way is it as dangerous to the economy
or the long-term future of America.
Yeah, you wrote an article this morning.
I'm not military, so I don't spend a lot of time on your blog,
because it is a lot of military stuff that doesn't really apply to me.
But you wrote an article called Fear and Despair in a bare market.
And, you know, I think it should be read by everybody who is freaking out about this market.
And I think that there's been kind of a gloss over of everybody that we've interviewed today,
kind of a gloss over of the fact that this is a scary market.
This is a really scary market.
I thought it was really interesting to hear Brandon, the mad scientist, talk about how he's like,
oh, I have this plan.
But even though I have this plan and I'm, you know, I'm logical about it.
I'm still freaking out.
It's an emotional response.
It's okay to be emotional about it inside.
Just don't let that come out of you in the form of selling your socks.
Because unless, I mean, if you need them to eat, that's a different story.
but, you know, if you don't need them to eat, leave the money in there.
And this is a really great, you know, you can sum up this whole article by saying,
have a plan.
And your plan shouldn't be made today.
I like what Brandon said, you know, all of these emotions that you're going through right now,
write them down.
And in a few months, when, you know, you're not in the thick of things, go back and review that.
He said that he was really happy with 100% stocks until he watched it drop 30%.
And he's like, you know what?
Maybe I need a couple of odds.
He had actually already been in the bond market a little bit.
So he's writing these all down, all these ideas.
But have a plan, pick an asset allocation, put it on autopilot, turn off the news, and go and live your life.
Exactly.
And that just, you know what, this is a scary time for everybody.
But take a deep breath and just let it ride.
And you're going to thank me in two years.
when we're all recovered in X years.
I shouldn't say X. I shouldn't say two.
X years, yeah.
In X years, when we're back to where we were, you send me an email and say,
Mindy, you were right.
And thank you for encouraging me to stay in the stock market.
So, are all the people who spend less than they earn invest for the long term,
who are working towards fire already fired, is that that that's the movement that's going
to get wiped out by this coronavirus.
Is that right?
You know, when I read those articles,
I pick up the impression from the authors and a journalist that the fire movement was invented in 2010 right after the recovery began.
But we all know that Joe Dominguez, one of the very early financial independence guys, achieved his in the late 1960s, 50 years ago.
It took him a few years to get around to writing that book with Vicki Robbins, Your Money, Your Life, but people have been reaching financial independence for decades.
We reached it in retrospect.
We didn't know at the time, but we reached it 20 years ago in 1990.
I just didn't understand the 4% safe withdrawal rate at the time.
Yeah, Mindy's doing this because that's the year she was born.
But the whole point of this is that you go through enough of this
and you get enough perspective on it.
And the math and computer simulations have grown greatly over the last 25 years.
That's why the fire movement is so popular today is because we have the math,
the studies, the research, all of that to enable everybody.
to find out about it and understand it and adapt it to their own lives.
I mean, the World Wide Web has done a tremendous amount to distribute this knowledge.
As a guy who went through the 90s when we're still surfing the internet on 14.4 modems
and trying to figure things out with HTML, the access of the information has gotten so much better
and you can learn so much more.
And that, again, has led to the growth of the fire movement.
I don't see it getting weaker.
I see it getting stronger because people are going to stand back and say,
you know, if I have another bear market to live through, I have two choices. I could be paycheck to
paycheck, hoping that my employer keeps me on and doesn't cut me off and lay me off. Or I could
start saving for financial independence and have some assets and have some financial resiliency.
And the next bear market that comes along, I'll be in a much stronger position and maybe even
ready to stop working for a paycheck. I've made my choice. And I think that people that are aware of
fire now, we'll start making their choices during this recession, and the movement's going to grow even
bigger.
Love it.
I agree.
That is 100% perfect.
That's a great place to end.
Doug, can you remind people where they can find you online?
Yes, I'm a military guide.
And also, my daughter and I have a Facebook page for raising your money-sevy family.
You'll be able to find that by searching for that phrase.
That book is coming out in a couple of months.
It's all about next generation.
financial independence, which is why I happen to know that the fire movement is growing.
I am going to join that group right now if you'll accept me.
Yes.
Oh, absolutely.
Well, what did Groucho Marx say?
I'd never be part of a group that would have me.
That's more of a slam on Scott.
I guess that's not really.
Yeah, just get rid of that part of him.
Careful.
The first question he's going to ask you, Mindy is, who's Groucho Marx?
I know, I know.
Okay.
So we will include links to your very good article.
on our show notes at biggerpockets.com slash money show 119.
We will also include a link to your Facebook group, and we will, because I think that's really,
really a powerful group to be part of raising financially savvy kids.
You know, it's tough raising financially savvy kids, especially when they're kids.
My kids are 13 and 10.
And, you know, we moved into this neighborhood a very long time ago.
And my daughter comes home, she's like, how come this kid has more toys than I do?
I'm thinking of myself, well, because her parents never spend time with her and they're trying to buy her love.
And, you know, that's a super judgy thing to say, but listeners of this show know that I'm super judgy.
And, you know, it's just, it's hard to be in an environment where everybody else has everything else.
And you're like, but you don't need seven American girl dolls.
You don't need 27 bikes.
You don't need all these things.
So you're not going to have them.
And you still have love and shelter and all of that.
And it's, you know, it's much better.
We talk about all those moments.
Those are teachable moments.
And one of the jokes we used to have for our daughter when she was that age was,
well, you could have all that stuff too.
You're just going to have to go out and get a really good job and save your money.
And then we'd start talking about how much that costs and whether it's valuable.
And there's a whole bunch of lifestyle lessons to be learned by an American doll.
That's for sure.
There you go.
Yes.
So we will include links to all of these things in our show notes.
And Doug, thank you so much for joining us today.
I think it's really important to hear from people who have been through it and been through it in, you know, large quantities and just it's going to work out.
I'm here to help. And I'm not going to tell you it gets easier with every bear market, but I will tell you that you get more experience.
Well, I would like it to get easier.
As soon as we know, as soon as the bell sounds to say this is all going to be over, please tell me.
Yes, I will do that as soon as my crystal ball clears up.
Exactly.
Okay.
Thank you so much for your time, Doug.
We'll chat.
Oh, and I'm sorry, I meant to say,
Doug is the only person that we talked to today
that has not yet been on our podcast.
But as soon as his book comes out,
we will have him and his daughter on
to talk about the book
and raising financially literate children
and pretty much anything else you want to talk about, Doug.
It'll be your show.
Okay, Scott, give me your impressions of this whole episode.
You know, with the exception of Andy saying,
and hey, I just wish I had retired sooner or left my job sooner.
That was the only one where I was a little surprised.
Everything else I think is exactly how you'd expect these folks to handle the situation, right?
Because again, like we said in the intro, this financial independence is literally the act of planning to retire through good times and bad.
If you're not planning on being able to withstand a recession with your portfolio, you're not financially independent.
And that's just, I think, been been beaten into the community so thoroughly that all these folks who are long-time members of the community and long-time retirees, most of them, really just have that down and aren't worried about their financial position.
Well, as I alluded to in the beginning of this episode, I was actually surprised by a couple of things that Andy said.
Number one, what would you've done differently?
I would have quit my job sooner.
I was surprised by that.
And I'm very pleasantly surprised by that.
But when we asked him, hey, what are you going to do with this money?
or how is this going to shape your investing?
It's like, I'm going to put more in the stock market.
This is somebody who doesn't have a traditional job right now,
just left his traditional employment job,
and is starting out on his own.
But after we stopped recording,
he said that March was his best month ever.
Yeah.
I mean, it just goes to share that the right habits
will sustain you through good times and bad.
And look, Andy is either a millionaire or very, very close to it, right?
I think he's just shy of a millionaire, right?
And he's starting a business.
So guess what? The fact that he's starting a business means that his business is growing right now.
And it would have grown in good times. It will grow in bad times because he's going to be a great businessman with a starting that business from a position of financial strength.
And so I think that all of them are in really good position and he's no better or worse than anyone else.
He's maybe in a little bit better of a position as an entrepreneur and control of his own destiny.
Yes. And the other really surprising insight was from the mad scientist. I know him.
personally. He's a friend of mine and he's just Mr. Cool, calm and collected. He's a computer
programmer. He is, I don't want to say he's the stereotypical computer programmer, but he kind of is.
He's not emotional. He's not passionate, like fly by the seat of your pants kind of gut reaction.
And it was still really interesting to see him say, I freaked out. I second guessed myself.
I wasn't sure. And I missed a key place to put.
put more money into the stock market.
So frankly, it's reassuring to know that he's, I mean, in the space, he's held in very high regard.
And even he has a bit of a moment.
And that's reassuring to know that it's okay to feel like freaking out is, it's okay to freak out.
Just don't react poorly.
Yeah, I mean, have people as brilliant and seasoned and involved and people that are the type of student of
finance that Brandon and that financiists are. If he's making mistakes, everyone's going to make
mistakes. Everyone's going to have emotion. It's okay. We all do the same thing. Right. I think that's,
it is, that's a really wonderful observation, Mindy. And I think that it's, it's very powerful to see that
for him. Yep. And he's still investing. He is a student of the market. He's, oh, God, I think he
delights in his spare time reading IRS documents. But, you know, I recommend his article about how to
access retirement funds early almost every week. It's a really great article. And for him,
I mean, he just seems like such a rock solid, you know, and for him to have an emotional, you know,
oh, is this the right thing to do? It's just, it's nice to see. It's not nice to see. Like,
yay, he's freaking out. Hooray. But you know what I mean? Like, it's nice to see that he's human
too. And it's nice to know that freaking out isn't necessarily an off response.
So Scott, this show is called Coronavirus.
Is it time to give up on fire?
I'm going to ask you, is it time to give up on fire?
I don't think so.
I think this is exactly what fire community members are perfectly prepared for.
And I think that, if anything, it's going to enforce the lessons we learn.
We all learned from the Great Recession, where it's important to have emergency reserve.
It's important to have multiple sources of income.
It's important not to rely on just your job for your financial future.
It's important to be able to retire or remove dependence on that,
early as you can in life. And that's how you sit pretty, feel comfortable, and ride any type of
economic environment out from position of strength. Well, I don't know what the audio equivalent of
mic drop is. I don't want to drop the mic because then that makes weird sounds. So, but yeah, boom,
the end. And Mindy, this is Mindy's mic actually, and she's clearly labeled it that we should not be
dropping it. Oh, did you see my little notes? Yes, I did. Yes. I think it says, I think
I'll post it.
Oh, no, that will unplug the mic.
So you won't get to see it, everybody.
Yes, no.
It is a very forceful warning.
Do not steal my little plug adapter.
That's right.
Because it was being stolen all the time.
It was really frustrating.
Okay.
Scott, this was an epic episode and we need to leave.
From episode 119 of the Bigger Pockets Money podcast, he is Scott Trench.
And I am Indy Jensen.
and we are encouraging you to stay the course
and we'll see you next week.
