BiggerPockets Money Podcast - 334: Finance Friday: The 5 Questions to Ask if You Want to Fast-Track FI
Episode Date: September 9, 2022If someone told you that financial freedom could be achieved by traveling the world, you probably wouldn’t believe them. How can going on a work vacation to Europe make you richer? Surprisingly, d...oing this can help cut years off your retirement horizon, allowing you to save more, spend less, and invest for your future faster than ever before. Don’t believe it’s possible? Scott and Mindy prove the profits behind doing so in this Finance Friday episode! Today we’re talking to James, who is inches away from retirement. He has only a few years left before he can sail off into the sunset, but James wants to know how he can reach his goals even faster. He keeps his spending low, continuously invests, and has a remote work position, allowing him to work wherever he wants. He dreams of living in other areas of the United States but wants to ensure he has enough money to do so. His highest monthly cost? Housing! Like most Americans, a majority of James’ spending is for the roof over his head, but could geographic arbitrage turn his travel plans into a seriously profitable excursion? For those who are trying to hit FI, are close to FI, or simply want to spend more time enjoying life abroad, this episode is for you! In This Episode We Cover Calculating your FI number and getting to early retirement faster Defining your retirement goals and knowing what you want to do and where you want to be The 4% rule and whether or not it holds up as stock values have taken a tumble Geographic arbitrage and using it to reduce your largest monthly cost Coast FI and why a more gradual retirement option may work for you The five questions every investor should ask themselves when planning for retirement And So Much More! Links from the Show BiggerPockets Money Facebook Group BiggerPockets Forums Finance Review Guest Onboarding Mindy's Twitter Scott's Instagram Listen to All Your Favorite BiggerPockets Podcasts in One Place Apply to Be a Guest on The Money Show Podcast Talent Search! Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Listen to The “On The Market” Podcast: Spotify, Apple Podcasts, BiggerPockets Check Out Mindy’s 2022 Live Spending Tracker and Budget Ready to Retire: The Ultimate Pre-Retirement Checklist BiggerPockets FIRE Planning Worksheet Coast FI: The Calculated Way to Retire Early WITHOUT Giving Up What You Love w/Jessica from The Fioneers Ramit Sethi’s Money Advice for Couples: Live a Rich Life, Together Networthify Cfiresim Simulator Click here to check the full show notes: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/money-334 Interested in learning more about today's sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Check out our sponsor page! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
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Welcome to the Bigger Pockets Money podcast show number 334, Finance Friday edition,
where we interviewed James and talk about figuring out your fine number and determining when you can live out your retirement dreams.
I don't even know if you necessarily need to build a real estate empire.
I just think you're a boogeyman here is that more than half your spending is going towards your rent.
And so if you buy a primary residence, that is a duplex or it works for Airbnb and you just live in the carriage house and use that as your home.
home base to get your mail or something. Now all of a sudden, that barrier goes away and a bunch
of the options that you want to enjoy in retirement become accessible right away, you just happen
to work, you know, eight hours a day while you're living in those retirement locations.
Hello, hello, hello. My name is Mindy Jensen. And with me, as always, is my shining example of what
to always do, co-host Scott Trench. You're always right, Mindy.
What did I do?
What a humble man.
Scott and I are here to make financial independence less scary, less just for somebody else,
to introduce you to every money story because we truly believe financial freedom is attainable
for everyone, no matter when or where you're starting.
That's right. Whether you want to retire early and travel the world, like this episode,
go on to make big time investments in assets like real estate or start your own business.
We'll help you reach your financial goals and get money out of the way so you can launch yourself
towards those dreams.
Scott, I am excited about today's episode. I really enjoyed talking to James.
I think he is facing a dilemma that many people are facing.
I know that I want to retire early, but I'm not quite sure what my numbers are.
I'm not quite sure when I can actually retire.
So we have created a fire planning sheet that kind of gives you some questions that will
help you as you answer them help kind of streamline your thinking a little bit based on my
numerous experience with all these people in the fire community.
I think that the reality of his situation is James has finished or is two-thirds or three-quarters of the way through this grind to FI that almost everybody has to go through some version of.
And towards the end of that, do you really have to wait the last five years to fully reap the benefits of FIRE?
Can you start layering them in sooner than that?
And I think that's really the crux of today's episode.
And it's a fun problem and something that we hope many people have.
I need to tell you what my lawyer makes me say.
The contents of this podcast are informational in nature and are not legal or tax advice
in neither Scott nor I nor Bigger Pockets is engage in the provision of legal, tax, or any other
advice.
You should seek your own advice from professional advisors, including lawyers and accountants,
regarding the legal tax and financial implications of any financial decision you contemplate.
And one more thing before we bring in James, I just wanted to note that the fire planning
sheet will be linked to the show notes.
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30-day trial at audible.com slash BP money. James, welcome to the bigger pockets money podcast. I'm so
excited to talk to you today. Today, James is joining us to talk about finance. He is 49 years old and
lives in a high cost of living area. Single with no kids and he does not plan to have any. He is
considering his next steps and deciding if he should move away from his career and start a new journey
in a lower cost of living country.
Before we chat with him, let's go over his numbers.
He has a net worth of approximately $730,000.
Yay, James.
His salary is $7,100 a month, including a bonus that happens once a year.
His expenses are $2,100 for rent, $80 for electric, $20 for water, $80 for internet, $80 for cell phone,
$1,200 for credit card and $184 for gifts for his mom. Normally, I would be like, hey, what do you mean,
$1,200 for credit card? Let's break that down. But his grant total spending is $3,700 a month.
And he's bringing in $7,100 a month. I don't really think that spending is his problem. And I don't
think we need to really dive deep into that area of your life. I think that you have your expenses down
pretty much as long as these are accurate. Going into your investment types, we have a 401k of
$465,000. That's fantastic. A Roth IRA balance of 138,000, HSA of 45,000, after tax brokerage
account of 69,000, cash reserves of 20,000. Normally I'd be like, wow, that's a little low,
but that's what, six months expenses? I think that's fine. And additional emergency funds of
$43,000.
So I think that you are doing pretty well in that regard.
Also, you have a 401k match that I, before we started recording, like, you get an 8%
match, 14% of his salary is contributed to his 401k every year.
Does that max it out?
It does.
Okay, good for you.
HSA is 2.3% for a total of $2.3% for a total of $2.2.000.
24% and post-tax is after-tax 401k, 9% of his salary, 16% of post-tax income, 8.1% to a Roth IRA,
additional saved surplus 15.9%, total 40%.
So, James, what are you calling us for?
Why on earth do you need our help?
Well, mostly to figure out what the end point is, what the goal is.
I had started my, you know, financial independence and, you know, journey, just knowing that I needed to embrace the rigor of doing it.
And I don't think I'd ever imagine that I might achieve an end point.
But I've started to realize that, oh, I'm closer than I imagined I would ever be.
And so I need to decide where the jumping off point is.
Okay.
Let's look at your money story.
Very briefly, let's look at where you started with your journey to financial independence
and how you got to where you are now.
Sure.
So when I was 28 is when I really started coming to terms with my personal finances and getting
control of them.
They were out of control completely before.
And so I initially just developed a budget, which was difficult for all of its own reasons,
being the first time to do it.
And then I started paying down credit costs.
card debt and then staying in good standing with my student loans. And then fast forward 10 years to
38, then I had gotten a new job and had a pretty good salary and realized that I needed to get
started with actual investing. Now that I had my budget under control and a good job, then I just
need to start the investment journey. And here I am today at 49. Awesome. You have mentioned that you
want to, you need some help with defining your goals. And I think that this is something that we
have spoken with several people recently about. And I think this is something that people kind of
struggle with. So I have created a sheet that I am going to walk you through. First of all,
when do you want to retire? Well, good question. Sooner would be great. With my financial planner,
we are estimating out till 55, which is earlier than she's comfortable with, you know,
but she came up with a plan and it has a good confidence of success.
But I'm just kind of wondering, okay, well, you know, are there some things that I'm not
thinking of or she's not thinking of that might open up a door sooner than 55?
What does retirement look like?
Yeah, so, you know, I thought about that over the last couple of years, you know,
with the whole theme of retire to something.
And really, I really liked the way that I was living before.
the pandemic, you know, hanging out with friends, going to brunch. And in being in Washington, D.C., you can just go to all of the museums all the time. There's always new exhibits. And so it's, you know, free activities to fill your time with. I was thinking about joining a museum's membership and then just letting their event schedule fill out my social calendar so that I'm, you know, mixing with different people and being exposed to things that I wouldn't normally go to.
So that's mostly it.
And that's a, did you say D.C.?
Right.
Okay.
Why do you want to retire and where do you want to retire?
Is it Washington, D.C.?
Well, that's a good question.
I had always kind of imagined that maybe I might retire to the Pacific Northwest, maybe Portland,
or maybe a second tier city like Baltimore, Philadelphia.
But then over the last, during the pandemic, what came into my awareness was people going to Portugal,
or lower cost of living countries.
And that's just fascinating to think about.
I don't really know how that would work out from a life perspective,
but it's fascinating to think about it because the cost of living is supposed to be so much lower.
When Scott asked you what your retirement looked like,
you said museums in Washington, D.C.
So I think a really great homework assignment is to really think about,
okay, I have all the money that I need.
I'm going to quit my job today.
What are all the things that I want to do?
Watch that movie, The Bucket List.
I actually really like that movie because it gets you thinking about all these different things that you want to do.
The Pacific Northwest is great.
How do you handle rain?
I lived in the Pacific Northwest for 15 months when I was in second grade.
So like weather didn't really affect me because I was in second grade.
It rained for 12 months.
It snowed one day and then sporadic sunshine for the other three months over the course of 15.
It can be really depressing.
So if that is something that you don't do well with, the Pacific Northwest may not be for you.
But lucky for you, you can go check it out.
Go during one of the really rough months and see how much you like it.
That's one of the things is that especially over these last 10 years of pursuing financial independence, I haven't traveled or anything.
And so there's a list of places that I need to go look at.
I need to go to Portugal and see whether I might like it.
I need to go to Philadelphia, see if I might like it, Portland, the same story.
So, yeah, I haven't been to any of these places.
Okay, so that is another homework assignment.
That's a fun homework assignment.
That's not like doing pages three through nine in your math book.
That's, I get to travel.
Okay.
Go to Portugal and check it out.
So let's take a step back here and zoom out.
You've got $730,000 in net worth.
The vast majority of that is going to be in your retirement accounts, your 401k and your Roth IRA,
with a small amount in after-tax brokerage and a healthy cash reserve and emergency fund.
At the 4% rule, we could say that that might generate $29,000 a year,
which is actually fairly close to your monthly spending.
So you're not very far away at a 4% rule threshold, and you have a nice cash cushion on that.
You also, at the highest level, you earn, what, like 170,000?
thousand dollars a year if you're in your bonus 165 170 right and you you spend less than half of your
take home pay um on that or around half of that take home pay so we've got a really really good base here
you can you might not be able to retire tomorrow and generate that passive income at the highest level
but you could take a job for half pay and live in portugal next next month if you want to do that
and still be able to accumulate wealth.
Well, that's one of the things that I've also been thinking about is, you know, not going,
making a hard cut, you know, and going into retirement and being completely job-free.
But, you know, doing something else that might be interesting or just taking a
sidestep, you know, into something that's 50,000 per year and remote that I could do,
you know, internationally maybe.
Yeah.
I think that's a really good option for you right now because I think, I think you're like,
hey, I've been working towards five for a long time.
I now am starting to bubble up a number of options that I'd be happy with.
I'd be happy in the Pacific Northwest.
I'd be happy in Washington, D.C.
I'd be happy in Portugal.
Does your work require you to come in multiple times a week, or is it full-time in person?
No.
So right now, it's full-time remote still, and we are, we're likely to stay remote at this point.
There are some events that are on the horizon that might turn out in some different
way next year, but for right now, we're all remote. But I can only work in the United States
remotely. I can't go to another country. I think that's very fair. You know, your employer has to
set up a different agreement with that. But could you travel to another country and just happen to
work for a month or two while traveling? Yes, I can do that. Now, what is your living situation
like right now? You said you rent? Yep. And where are you located? Oh, I'm in Silver Spring,
Maryland.
Civil Spring Maryland.
Awesome.
I am from Howard County, Maryland, right around the corner.
That's where I grew up.
Oh, okay.
Awesome.
And does your lease allow you to Airbnb your property if you were to travel for a little bit?
You know, I don't know that.
Yeah, I don't know.
Okay.
Well, you can see where I'm going with this, right?
Where I don't think we have, you know, I think you know that you need to continue to begin
be investing for retirement in order to build that wealth over the next couple of years to really
have a solid nest egg that could totally support you without work with a good, a good variety
of lifestyle options, but you're not really far away. You're probably coastfi currently. You probably
don't have to contribute anymore. And by the time you hit with your spending, if you keep it this
low, by 59 and a half, you'll be able to begin withdrawing, and you should be set. And then social
security will kick in. And yes, you can count on at least some social security, a good chunk of it.
you might, you know, get a count on 75% of what you think you can get would be a fairly
conservative thing. But you're going to have a pretty good setup as long as you don't
do anything drastic, like start spending down your retirement portfolio right now with that.
So you're pretty close. But I think what's more important is like you've been,
you don't, you're grinding and you don't have to be grinding. You can actually start reaping
some of the rewards of that flexibility you've created right now if you just start
experimenting here.
You know, and, and my
preferred, my instinctive approach is,
see if you can Airbnb out your rental
for a little bit with your landlord's permission.
You know, if you give them a little higher security,
well, well, if it's not in the lease,
probably can just do it.
If it isn't the lease, you want to maybe talk
to the landlord say, hey, can I,
well, if there's no rule against it, can he not,
what is he going to do?
But if, but if there is, maybe you can say,
hey, can I do this?
I'll split some of the income with you.
I'll give you a higher security deposit, whatever,
or she.
And then can I go and travel to,
Pacific Northwest for a month or two and stay there? Can I go to Washington, D.C., which is only a 50-minute
drive for you? And then can I go to Portugal for a month or two and just see what it's like to live and
work there? You're not going to change your benefits or your address. You just happen to take a two-month
vacation, a working vacation. So anyways, what do you think about some of those thoughts and suggestions?
Right. No, I think those sound like good ideas. And I have wondered about that, you know, so I
think about maybe lowering my cost of living, lowering the housing costs. And so I think of maybe
Philadelphia or something. And then I, you know, step along the path and I realize, oh, I need to
actually go try it out. But then when I think about it, I can tell that this past decade of being so
focused on building my accounts, I'm really, I'm a little tight-fisted to actually pay for housing
somewhere else because I'm paying for housing here. Airbnb, this apartment would, you know, help
help with that. But it's kind of funny to me just to observe how cautious I am, you know,
about doing additional spending, even though it accomplishes, you know, trying, trying Philadelphia
on and seeing if it would fit. But yeah, those are, those are good ideas. I just haven't made any
plans to do them. And then given the pandemic, I'm still sort of feeling that out.
So this leads me to another, another, so two reactions to that. One is house hacking. That would be a
potentially great move for you if you were open to that. And if you thought about that, how do I buy a
house that gives me the maximum flexibility? That's a perfect Airbnb for when I'm traveling and not there,
and maybe even has a carriage house or something that I can rent while I am living there with that.
That might be a really good, if your goal is truly as soon as possible to move to Portugal or D.C.
or the Pacific Northwest and get out of Silver Spring, then that's a really good move while you're
living in one of those areas is just buy a property that makes a lot of sense as an income property,
take advantage of that and think through that. Another option, and I just read about this today on the
news, is this concept of exchanging your home. So there's literally a site called Home Exchange. I
forget which news source I saw it on, but it's like, hey, I want to go travel to Portugal,
and perhaps someone from Portugal wants to travel to Silver Spring. Great, we can just swap houses.
We have relatively similar houses. We're going to vet each other similar to how Airbnb would
vet it and go from there. That was a new concept that I didn't know about until previously today. We're
recorded this end of August in the news. But that might be an option for you that would also help you
avoid having to spend too much money. And then third would be Airbnb. I'm going to Airbnb out my
current place and I'm going to not spend too much more. It's just a spread between am I getting
a little bit more rent from Airbnb than I am in this. And now we get to test out a couple of things.
And I think you're at the point where you can make some big decisions and say, I'm going to enjoy my
life for the next five years. I don't have to grind it out to retirement. I'm CoastFi. I can start
reaping the rewards of this, even if I can't quite totally check out at this point.
Yeah, I've been wondering about that. And I've kind of been estimating in the projections,
you know, maybe doing some partial income from 50 to 60. And I have wondered about whether, you know,
buying a house or something, you know, might in some way make sense. It's obviously missing, you know,
from my budget, but because I've never really, you know, as much as I've read about real
estate, I've never been able to feel like I understood it enough to feel like I wanted
to get involved with it. I've just been very cautious about that. So it's mostly just a big
question mark that I don't really feel like I know enough about to make a good move.
I have a website for you. It's called biggerpockets.com. We will teach you.
How to invest in real estate. We have a forum. We have books. We have podcasts. We have
information. We have videos. We have YouTube channels. We have information in whatever medium you choose
to consume it and a blog. We have so much. I can't even remember all the things we have.
BiggerPockets.com. Your source for real estate investing information online. Did that sound like a
commercial? A little bit. But I think that, you know, I don't even know if you necessarily need to build a
real estate empire, I just think your, your boogeyman here is that more than half your spending is
going towards your rent. And if you go and take, you know, take off to Portugal, you're going to
still have to pay $2,000 a month in rent. And so that's, I think that's got to be a huge
mental hurdle to overcome to start enjoying some of the flexibility that you, like, that is
just right there at your fingertips. And so if you buy a primary residence, that is a duplex,
or it works for Airbnb and you just live in the carriage house and use that as your home base to get your mail or something.
Now all of a sudden, that barrier goes away and a bunch of the options that you want to enjoy in retirement become accessible right away,
you just happen to work, you know, eight hours a day while you're living in those retirement locations.
You might find that you can do that in multiple different places around the world for a time period and your employer may not care.
I don't know what your relationship is there.
But like, you know, I don't think that would be a problem at bigger pockets if people did that.
In fact, I think people would just do that and not even tell me.
And it would be totally fine.
I'd never know and be great for them.
And so I think that's how I would think about it at the highest level.
And that's why I would suggest real estate.
You can build a rental portfolio.
You're in great position to do that if you chose to do that.
You'd have to bring down your 401K savings a little bit.
But I don't necessarily think you need to achieve FI.
You just need to do something with your primary residence.
That's more flexible.
I have a fourth option for housing.
Before we started recording, we spoke of your mother and her housing.
Perhaps you could have that as your home base while you travel, and then you don't have
your own apartment at all.
If you're going to be in the Pacific Northwest and then in Philadelphia and then in Portugal
and all these peas, if you're going to be in the Pacific Northwest, and then in Portugal, and all these peas,
If you're going to be all these places, why do you need a home base at all?
Why do you need your own space?
Right.
Yeah, I hadn't thought about that.
So I don't know if that would exactly work.
She's many states away and in a remote area of her state.
She's in a good situation for her.
It's just not easily accessible.
And there's no like additional space to, I mean, I could.
put my things in storage and that kind of stuff and I guess use her address. But it wouldn't
practically, I don't think it maybe would quite work out. Okay. For some reason, I thought she lived
closer to you. Oh, no, no, no. We're many states away. Many states away. Okay. Well, then that's,
you know, that's just an option. Lots of things to think about. Mindy telling you to move back in with
mom. I love it. Oh, fantastic. That's what we're all about here. Yeah. Well, I've wondered,
I have wondered about some really exotic things that I've read about.
I read something about, I guess people who do RV in their retirement years,
I'm not interested in that at all.
But I guess they set up a domicile in Texas or North Carolina,
and somehow that satisfies some legal requirement to have a domicile,
whatever around that is.
And then they just travel around.
I mean, it seems like maybe that would be something that would work.
But that's very exotic.
I haven't really looked into it.
It's not that exotic.
My parents do this.
They have lived in an RV for the last 15 or 16 years.
And they live in South Dakota.
They have South Dakota license plates.
They have a South Dakota address, which is like a mailboxes, et cetera, that will mail all of their mail.
Because you have to get credit card bills.
And I mean, you could get them online, but not my parents.
So, and they have South Dakota driver's licenses.
the requirements to be a South Dakota resident is that you have to sleep in South Dakota
one day out of 365.
Okay.
But this is a really good point, right?
This is, I mean, this is actually a huge nuance, right?
I don't know how serious.
Like, are we going in the right direction that you want to go in with in terms of flexibility
and being able to live in various locations around the year?
Are we going way off the goal that you wanted to get here?
Well, I mean, I think it's in the ballpark.
Because one of the things that I had also imagined years ago is just moving from city to city,
you know, and just getting the flavor of those places.
Like maybe, you know, for six months live in New York and six months live in Boston,
six months in Philadelphia, you know, and just hop around and just do that until I get bored with it
and then do something else.
I had wondered about that.
I don't know if I'm really that adventurous, but at the same time, you know, I wouldn't know
until I try it. Well, if you want to do that, then I think, again, it comes back down to
flexibility of primary residents. And I think we're right on with this, right? Go, you have to do
some research, figure out where your home-based state needs to be. I don't know. That was the first,
I'm a complete novice in this. I have a lot of research to do, and I'm going to do this after the
show. And I want to learn about South Dakota. Like, oh, you have to live there one day a year?
Very interesting. Can I do the same thing in a state with, I don't know about South Dakota?
maybe it has no state income tax, but could I do that in Florida?
That has no state income tax.
That's a huge tax break.
And I'm going to live in Pacific Northwest for a month or two.
Then Boston, then D.C.
Okay, great.
Now, when I do that, my effective rent is probably going to be like three, four grand in each of those cities.
So what am I going to do with my home-based residents to help either offset that or have
someplace where I can, you know, how am I going to think through those challenges?
And that's where an Airbnb.
be in my home state might make a lot of sense if we can do that because you can put down a low down
payment, get a fairly low interest rate mortgage, although they're certainly fairly high right now
relative to where they were six months ago and think through that.
Yeah. When I thought about that years ago, I was really just thinking that I would actually
just move and I wouldn't have a permanent residence somewhere else. I would just move to these
different places. I don't know how practical that is. I think changing your address,
10 times a year is going to be really inconvenient.
So to me it just seems like you need to have a place where your mail goes that is your
residence, if you think through this.
And ideally that place is either super low cost or potentially generates income for you
to a certain extent.
So that would be how I think through that.
I think literally moving all of your belongings every month would be very expensive and very,
very inconvenient potentially.
your employer might not enjoy your HR department will be very good friends with you by the time that's over as well.
Yeah, no, they definitely don't love that, which is why I was thinking on the order of, you know, six months in any one place.
So it's just a couple times a year.
But still, it's a big hassle.
Yeah.
Oh, and then there's the tax filing.
You've got to file in both states.
Well, apparently, you know, I would be under allowed if Mindy's parents really just file in South Dakota where they sleep one night a year.
They do.
That is their state of residence.
And they chose South Dakota for several reasons, no state income tax.
Then there's a lot of states, or not a lot.
There's like three or four states that have no state income tax.
But I think South Dakota is easy for them to get to.
And the residency requirements of actually sleeping there one night is something that they can do.
I mean, you could essentially sleep there on January 1, 2022 and December 31,
2021, 23, and satisfy the requirements without being there for essentially two whole years.
Yeah, you can probably just stay overnight between connecting flights as you pass through the
state.
Yeah, that's one way.
So have you calculated your phi number?
Have you sat down and run the numbers and figured that out?
I have, yeah.
So this is something that maybe I should have mentioned earlier.
So maybe I don't know.
My expenses are $43,000 per year.
Yeah, $3,700 per month, right?
Okay.
Yeah, so I'm multiplied by 25, and I like to do a little bit more because, you know, the 4% rule, you know, they're recommending close to a 3%.
So I really try to think more towards between 3.3 and 3.6.
So I usually multiply by 28 just to try to land in a ballpark.
It ends up, you know, it's between 1.2 and 1.5 million, which is also what my, you know, financial planner ends up estimating at 55.
So, yes, I've calculated the number.
And so I'm just kind of, you know, wondering, okay, but is there some legal room or are there different decisions?
And then, you know, Portugal's super low cost of living just sits out there.
It's this very exotic thing.
Or, you know, just getting a roommate, I mean, the easiest.
way that most people end up taking care of their housing expenses is they have a significant
other that they split, you know, housing costs with. So if I just had a roommate, maybe that
accomplishes something similar. Can I just something about the 4% rule? I think it's, it is,
it was correct, or I think it was more correct to worry about the 4% rule being not conservative
enough at the beginning of this year when the valuations were super high and bond yields were super
low, right? Your mixed stock bond portfolio can't support that. Inflation is at 10%. Right.
I think that now, three quarters of the way through the year, like the scary part, there could
certainly be further declines in the market in overall sense. There could certainly be inflation looming,
but we've now seen that get eaten up, right? So people who are at a 4% rule,
are now going to be under that. Their portfolio may not be able to sustain that at this point in time. But as far as going forward, if you're meeting the 4% rule, I think that now we can go back to that as a rule in a general sense. I think there may have been a period there for a few months where, okay, I'm a little concerned about the combination of really high stock valuations, really low bond yields, and really high inflation, and this rule not being appropriate. But I think inflation is going to start coming down over the next couple of months. And I think that stock market valuation,
have come down pretty substantially and bond yields are much higher now. So just I would just put that
bug in your ear as do I really need to go down to the 3% rule at this point in time or am I just
scared because that's that because rightfully so we were all scared earlier this year when when things
when it was like how can this possibly be sustainable. Now sure it could go up down it could
stay sideways but I think I think there's more more question marks about where the economy's at.
So anyways that's one point. And then second I think that from a a a, uh, uh, a, uh, a, uh,
an investing standpoint, you're likely to hit that $1.5 million
mark within the next seven to eight years with your current savings rate.
Would you agree with that?
Yeah, probably around 55 is what the projection seems to suggest,
but definitely between 55 and 60 solidly for the 1.5.
Do you think that there's anything you can do to accelerate that meaningfully,
or do you think that's just kind of like, let's play that game and that's a great outcome?
The only thing I think I can do is to reduce the housing expense, you know, so to move in with
roommate, and then that would save about $600 per month. So that's, you know, $7,600 per year.
But that's, I think that's all I could do to boost it.
I like the option of moving, of living in all these different locations at $2,000 a month
for the next five years and enjoying your life very much, even while you're still working,
much better than moving in with a roommate in Silver Spring and grinding it out until financial freedom for this.
I don't know about you, but that seems like a much better approach to me.
Yeah.
I agree.
James, how do you handle risk?
How do you handle stock market declines?
Do you remember back in March 2020 when it like bottomed out and people were like, oh my goodness, what's going on?
How did that feel?
Yeah.
So that didn't feel awesome.
but I'm pretty steady.
You know, I've been working with my financial planner for the last 10 years and doing all, you know,
reading all of the financial planning articles that, you know, came across my phone all those years.
And I'm pretty steady.
I'm fairly relaxed about it.
There's no, there's no danger of, you know, not having a job or anything like that.
So with that being secure, the money's invested for the long term.
So, okay, you know, it goes down for understandable reasons.
And then, you know, you just wait and you don't react to it.
Everything is in ETFs.
I don't have anything in, you know, individual stocks or anything like that.
So there's nothing that I'm particularly concerned about.
So I just waited out.
And then, of course, in March 2020, there were lots of other things to be distracted by.
So that was only one among many things I was concerned about.
Yeah.
That's a good point.
when the stock market was going down, there was so many other things to also be concerned about.
It's hard to know where to put all of your attention.
Right.
Have you listened to episode 125 with Fritz Gilbert of the Retirement Manifesto?
I don't think so.
Okay. So you are approximately five years, you are within five years of retirement.
And Fritz decided five years before he was going to retire, he was going to write his retirement manifesto.
This is what I need to be doing five years before retirement.
This is what I need to do four years, three years, two years, one year, six months,
you know, the month before I retire.
And it's a really great checklist and overview of all the things that you may or may not
think about when you are on your retirement journey, you're winding down of your career.
So I am going to give you more homework to listen to episode 125 and to read the retirement
Manifesto.com slash the ultimate pre-retirement checklist, which we will link to in the show notes
because it's got a whole bunch of hyphins and stuff in it. I would also invite you to run your
early retirement numbers on a couple of calculators. There is one at Net Worthify,
N-T-W-O-R-T-H-I-F-Y.com, an early retirement calculator. When can I retire? You plug in the numbers,
and it tells you how long it will take you to retire.
And there's a fire simulator at cfiresym.com that I would also encourage you to go and use
because the numbers, I've seen your spreadsheet, you like numbers.
You will have a lot of fun playing with these numbers in ways that are, because you're a
numbers person, so solid for you to look at.
I would also send you to episode 323 with Jess from the Fioners.
We talked about the concept of Coast FI, which Scott has brought up a couple of times.
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James, what else can we help you with today? What are some of the big questions that we haven't
covered or that you'd like to go deeper on? I'm not sure there's really anything else.
we've touched on a lot of stuff, you know, different ways to do the, you know, housing costs to control the cost of living,
different ways to, you know, build lifestyle changes in, and then also co-spy, which I have been wondering about.
I think that's pretty much it.
It sounds like it confirms that, you know, the possibility exists and is relatively soon at some time within the next decade,
might be within the next five years. So it's good. That agrees with my financial planner. And I was
just looking to hear if there are alternate ideas that I hadn't stumbled across. I think you're
doing a great job. You've got a really good income. You've got really low expenses. That gives you a ton
of flexibility and ability to coast towards early retirement with a very high probability at
80 to 55. And I think that you have more than that an opportunity to
kind of start living in the here and now with this. You can achieve much of a big chunk of that
retirement dream while earning income if you think about that primary residence and how you can
live in various locations over the next couple of years. So I'd be really interested to hear
what you choose on that front and how things go. Personally, I like the grind it out and get a
roommate much less than live it up and go to a couple of these different places and keep, you know,
saving at a generally the same rate. You could even bring it down a notch and go from 3,700
to 4,000 or something like that and probably be fine to still hit five.
I would also just want to leave one parting shot about this 4% rule thing.
If we go to the 3% rule, for example, right, that assumes, let's say the 3.3% rule, right?
That says I'm going to spend 30, I'm going to accumulate 33 years worth of spending,
is what that says.
And that's before Social Security, before my emergency reserve.
before any other earned income.
It assumes you never earn another dollar after age 55 from any source in any sense.
And it assumes you don't adjust your spending if things go bad, whatever, right?
So that says if you're at 55, that's going to last you to your 88,
even if you just put it in a big pile of gold or something that matches inflation and
spend it down one bit at a time.
So it's so conservative that it's kind of like, really?
So I think that there's some.
thoughts to have around that as you're thinking about what do I want out of my life over the next
little bit. And you're going to have some boosts to that that may make you feel a little bit more
confident as you approach traditional retirement age there. Yeah, I have also thought about that.
I know that all of the projections are very conservative because my biggest fear that I talked about
with my financial planner is to, of course, run out of money when I'm old. You know, being 85 and
on the street and starving is not a solution.
But there are things that I haven't done.
Like, I haven't been traveling, you know, over these 10 years when I've really been
focused on building my accounts.
And, you know, that would be nice to do.
I actually took my first trip to Germany about 10 years ago and realized that I
like traveling, you know, to other countries and experiencing that.
So it would be nice to have some of that built in, too.
But I'm out of practice.
I'm unfamiliar with the spending.
And so there's a little bit of just hesitance in doing the spending.
But yeah, those are all good things to think about.
You've got to free up the housing constraint as well.
By the way, right now, great time to travel to Europe.
Dollar is as strong as it's been relative to the euro in memory.
So I just think that's a, I think it's a, you know,
you've got a great window opportunity right now on a relative sense.
Okay.
One more episode I'm going to send you to is episode 243.
with Ramit Sati, he talks about letting go of your financial tight-fistedness and embracing spending.
And that, I struggled with that.
I still struggle with that.
And that was a great episode to give you a different point of view.
And you're not going to just instantly start spending.
I didn't.
But you will hopefully get some great tips from Ramit, who is apparently a master at spending.
But he can afford it. He can afford it. Right. Okay. Yeah, that would be great. Awesome. Well, James,
thank you so much for your time today. This was a lot of fun and I hope this was really helpful for you.
Thank you. It was. I appreciate the time and all of the ideas. Great. Well, we will talk to you soon. Have a great day.
Thank you. Okay. That was James. That was a lot of fun. I really, really enjoyed seeing his eyes kind of light up at the, ooh, I should go take out all these places and see if Portugal is really
where I want to live, or Philadelphia or the Pacific Northwest, or, or, or. So that was exciting, Scott.
Yeah, I thought it was a really fun conversation. And it's great, you know, to see, hey, these,
these things I want to do with my life, I can, I can do them now. Why, why not? I can really, you know,
you know, I don't know. If you move to Portugal, what do you do every day for eight hours
there? Yeah, I don't know, you know, during the meat of the day, like, could you not just,
you know, work and earn an income there and then enjoy it?
the most of Portugal right now. I don't know. That seems like a potential plan to me. So I think
it's fun and I think it's worth really seriously considering achieving those dreams in the here
and now if you have a flexible situation like James definitely has. I liked what you said in the intro.
You don't have to wait until you get all the way to the end of five to start layering in some of the
things that you want to do. I like that layering in. You don't just jump in with both feet.
you start adding a little bit at a time. I think that's great advice for James.
And by the way, I'd be giving different advice if it was, I've got a hundred grand in net worth right now
and want to make it there. Okay, well, then you need to get into this grind mode and consider,
you know, continuing to keep those expenses very low. I mean, otherwise, you're going to be in
trouble at that future state. And you're really going to be reliant on, on Social Security or
these other types of things. But that's not his case. So it's just a, it's just a different
spin based on where his situation was and his his ability to coast to that outcome.
Absolutely. The suggestions we make in the show are for the specific set of circumstances
that we're being presented by our guest. If you have a different set of circumstances you'd
like us to review, we'd love to talk to you. You can apply to be on the show at biggerpockets.com
slash finance review. And I want to plug again the fire planning sheet that I mentioned in the
beginning of the show. Just because I think it's really, really helpful.
for people who are wondering what the next step is, looking for a little bit of suggestion
on how they can figure out what their fire number is, where they want to be. Is this even
attainable with my current savings rate? And all the questions that you have with regards to
financial independence. I do feel a little uniquely qualified to comment on it since my
husband actually did quit his job. Yes, he's Wi-Fi, which is a great strategy.
Now, so Minnie did a great job with this. And there are five.
key questions for me in this that that kind of really gets the root of this is why do you want to
retire what do you want to do when you are retired when do you want it by can you do some of that
right now and is that what your is what your retirement goal look like looks like is that what
you're doing with your weekends and your free time and your vacations um to a large degree and then lastly
have you have you run your numbers what is that what are the numbers that are needed to support that
dream? Are you on track to that? Do you have a plan to get there? What's that going to look like?
There's a whole bunch more that goes into it. Like, how are you going to handle your risk?
You know, how do you feel about risk? What would you do if your went worth did plummet 50% like
you know is going to happen in the next 50 to 100 years from a stock market decline? Some point,
we are going to see that. You know, where do you want that to be? What specific, what are the, the
nuances and specifics? How do you think about cash flow versus appreciation? Are you willing to
sell off part of your stock portfolio? A lot of people have a real.
hard time with that in a practical sense, even though the 4% rule talks about that. They would much
rather be much more comfortable spending income that the portfolio is generating than selling off
principle. So lots of things to think through as you get into this and a really good resource there.
Yeah, lots of things to think about. And this is not an end-all be-all questionnaire. This is just
something to get you started on your, started thinking on all the things that you need to consider
before you jump ship. Okay, Scott, should we get out of here?
Let's do it.
From episode 334 of the Bigger Pockets Money podcast, he is Scott Trench, and I am Mindy Jensen saying,
Tooteloo, Kangaroo.
