BiggerPockets Money Podcast - 347: Why “Just Keep Buying” is The Smartest, Simplest Way to Get Rich

Episode Date: October 24, 2022

Dollar-cost averaging—you may have heard the term before, but maybe not its implications. According to Nick Maggiulli, it’s probably the easiest way to get rich with stocks, real estate, or rea...lly anything else. But what about buying the dip? Wouldn’t investing at historic lows be the wisest move to make when the markets take a tumble? Surprisingly, no! Don’t believe us? Listen on! Nick’s investing theory is simple. But, the math backs it up. Doing less will make you more money—much more money. In his book, Just Keep Buying, Nick lays down the time-tested, proven ways to build wealth without being an expert day trader, cryptocurrency coder, or stressed-out landlord. This simple system of investing will allow you to build an almost unspendable nest egg without being glued to the market charts and graphs all day long. But maybe stocks aren’t your thing. Maybe you're chasing hundred-millionaire status? Don’t worry, Nick also gives his take on achieving monumental money goals without following the same path as everyone else. No matter where you’re at in life, this is an investing lesson worth learning as early as possible! In This Episode We Cover Dollar-cost averaging vs. buying the dip and which will make you more in the long run How to invest with a falling stock market, high interest rates, and higher bond yields Individual stocks vs. index funds and who should pick which type of investment Cryptocurrency, NFTs, and investing in alternative assets The downside of diversification and why it won’t help you build a big portfolio Why even billionaires don’t feel like they’re rich enough And So Much More! Links from the Show Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent BiggerPockets Money Facebook Group BiggerPockets Forums Finance Review Guest Onboarding Mindy's Twitter Scott's Instagram Listen to All Your Favorite BiggerPockets Podcasts in One Place Apply to Be a Guest on The Money Show Podcast Talent Search! Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel Listen to The “On The Market” Podcast: Spotify, Apple Podcasts, BiggerPockets Check Out Mindy’s 2022 Live Spending Tracker and Budget Are FIRE Naysayers Bad at Math? Yes. with Michael Kitces Click here to check the full show notes: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/money-347 Interested in learning more about today's sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Check out our sponsor page! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Bigger Pockets Money podcast show number 347, where we interviewed Nick Majuli and talk about money and investing. I have actually never looked at the market to try and decide when to put money in. I just buy regardless. I don't care about that because I'm doing this for the long term. I don't really, you know, if I'm investing for the next 40 years, right, I'm in my early 30s now, I'm doing this for the next 40 years. Why do I care about the price right now? Look at the price 40 years ago. Do you think people were probably equally obsessing over that day?
Starting point is 00:00:28 And now it doesn't matter. It's like the annualized returns are like 8. You know, whatever, 7.7 versus 7.8 or whatever it is. I mean, I don't know what the exact 40-year return was. But like it's like that's how small the difference is over like getting right in at the perfect time or not. Hello, hello, hello. My name is Mindy Jensen. And with me as always is my equities super fan co-host, Scott Trench.
Starting point is 00:00:48 The only thing I like more than equities is the bonds that we have with you listeners. Scott and I are here to make financial independence less scary. less just for somebody else. To introduce you to every money story because we truly believe financial freedom is attainable for everyone, no matter when or where you're starting. That's right. Whether you want to retire early and travel the world,
Starting point is 00:01:10 go on to make big time investments in assets like real estate, start your own business, or just buy investments for the entirety of your life. We'll help you reach your financial goals and get money out of the way so you can launch yourself towards your dreams. Scott, I am super excited to talk to Nick Majuli today. He is the author of a new book called Just Keep buying, which is kind of my philosophy for investing. Buy up, buy down, buy, buy, buy, buy. Yeah, Nick is a money nerd, expert, authority. In my opinion, in the same vein of Michael Kitts's
Starting point is 00:01:45 Bill Bangan and some of these other guests that we've had, like Jim Collins on the show. So I think he's a fantastic knowledge center for the world of investing. I learned a lot from him, both from his book, Just Keep Buying, and from the conversation we had today, I can't wait for you guys to hear it and think he's just a rock star in this space. Tax season is one of the only times all year when most people actually look at their full financial picture, including income, spending, savings, investments, the whole thing. And if you're like most folks, it can be a little eye-opening. That's why I like Monarch. It helps you see exactly where your money is going, and more importantly, where your tax refund can make the biggest impact. Because the goal isn't just to look backward,
Starting point is 00:02:22 it's to actually make progress. Simplify your finances with Monarch. Monarch is the all-in-one personal finance tool designed to make your life easier. It brings your entire financial life, including budgeting, accounts and investments, net worth, and future planning together in one dashboard on your phone or your laptop. Feel aware and in control of your finances this tax season and get 50% off your Monarch subscription with the code pockets. What I personally like is that Monarch keeps you focused on achieving, not just tracking. You can see your budgets, debt payoff, savings goals, and net worth all in one place. So every decision actually moves the needle. Achieve your financial goals for good with Monarch, the all in one tool that makes money management.
Starting point is 00:02:56 simple. Use the code pockets at monarch.com for half off your first year. That's 50% off at monarch. com code pockets. I love Matt, said no one ever. Nobody starts a business thinking, you know what would make this more fun? Calculating quarterly estimated taxes. But somehow, every small business owner ends up doing it. Your dreams of creating, selling, and growing, get replaced by late nights chasing receipts, juggling invoices, and wondering if that bad sushi lunch with Scott counts as a write-off. Change all that with Found. Found is a business banking platform built to take the pain out of managing money. It automatically tracks expenses, organizes invoices, and even preps you for tax season without you doing the heavy lifting. You can set aside money for business
Starting point is 00:03:33 goals, control spending with virtual cards, and find tax write-offs you didn't even know exist it. It saves time, money, and probably a few years of life expectancy. Found has over 30,000 five-star reviews from owners who say, Sound makes everything easier, expenses, income, profits, taxes, invoices even. So reclaim your time and your sanity. Open a Found account for free at found.com. That's F-O-U-N-D Found is a financial technology company, not a bank. Banking services are provided by lead bank, member FDIC. Don't put this one off. Join thousands of small business owners who have streamlined their finances with Found. Audible has been a core part of my routine for more than a decade. I started listening years ago to make better use of drive time and workouts, and it stuck. At this point,
Starting point is 00:04:12 I've logged over 229 audiobook completions on Audible alone, and I still regularly re-listen to the highest impact titles. Lately, I've been listening to Bigger Leeners Stronger for fitness, the anxious generation for parenting perspective, and several Arthur Brooks' audiobooks that have been excellent for mental well-being. What makes Audible so powerful as its breadth. Beyond audiobooks, you also get Audible Originals, podcasts, and a massive back catalog across business, health, parenting, and more, all accessible in one app. If you're looking to turn everyday moments into real progress, Audible has been indispensable for me over over 10 years. Kickstart your well-being journey with your first audiobook free when you sign up for a free 30-day trial at Audible.
Starting point is 00:04:53 Audible.com slash BP money. Nick Majuli is the chief operating officer and data scientist at Ritholt's Wealth Management, where he oversees operations across the firm and provides insights on business intelligence. He is a huge numbers nerd, so he will fit right in with the rest of us here. He is also the author of Just Keep Buying, Proven ways to Save Money and Build Your Welf. Nick, welcome to the Bigger Pockets Money podcast. Thanks for Army on Mindy.
Starting point is 00:05:22 Thanks, Scott. I'm super excited to talk to you. I just finished your book, and I have a lot of questions. First of all, I have a lot of praise. I love it. Yay. I have a problem with you putting chapter 14 all the way at the end instead of at the beginning.
Starting point is 00:05:37 Even God can't beat dollar cost averaging. This is my absolute favorite chapter because not only do you make this very bold prediction, you're like, hmm, I want to read more about this. You back it up with numbers and data, kind of your thing, to prove. that dollar cost averaging is not the way to go when you're investing to save for uh to save for buying the dip actually let me let you explain that a little bit better yeah could you explain that could you explain why you shouldn't wait to buy the dip and why even god can't time the markets perfectly yeah so in the thought experiment um i give you two choices uh you can either buy stocks every
Starting point is 00:06:18 month, and this is just 100% stock, you know, S&P 500 U.S. stock portfolio. Or I'm going to tell you the lowest point between two all-time highs and you can buy all of those. Basically, you buy the lowest point, you know, between two all-time highs. You buy the dip, basically, right? So, for example, the most recent, like the biggest recent dip was obviously March 2020. You would have known about that ahead of time. You could have saved cash, waited for that, bought then instead of buying, you know, every single
Starting point is 00:06:45 month. And most of the time, if you do that, like 80% of the time, you actually outperform if you're just buying every month, versus someone who even knows the future and knows where the dip is, right? He knows where the bottom is. Of course, there's some other, you know, things in the simulation. Don't make sure you know what. Why is that? Why does that happen? It basically happens because the market tends to go up over time and those dips when they do occur are usually at a higher point than where you could have bought originally. Now, I'll give you an example to explain this. I remember I wrote this post. I actually wrote a blog post called Just keep buying like literally four years to the day before the book came out. Actually, no, I'm sorry,
Starting point is 00:07:20 five years to the day before the book came out. And at the time, all of these people were saying, oh, this doesn't work because valuations are too high and the market's overvalue. This was in 2017. Early 2017, I was hearing this criticism, right? If you had just held cash, people said they were going to buy the debt, I'm going to wait until the next big crash. Let's say you held cash, and you held and held and held from 2017, 2018, 2018, 2019, etc. And then you bought on the exact day of the bottom, March 23, 2020, during the COVID crash, which is our, the biggest most recent crash that we've had, right? If you had bought exactly on that day, you still would have bought at prices 7% higher than the prices you could have gotten early 2017.
Starting point is 00:07:54 And that's why buying the dip doesn't work because those big dips are rare. And because they're rare and they don't happen that often, most of the time when you buy a dip, that dip is happening at a higher price point, right? So you can imagine this line, you know, going up into the right over time. And every time it dips, it doesn't dip back to where it was originally. So because of that, you end up buying at a higher average price over time, right? So, the better thing to do most of the time, throughout most of history, is to just buy every single month. And that's like, it's over the day, the evidence in that is overwhelming. And we're assuming that, that God can time the bottom of the market, but you can't perfectly time
Starting point is 00:08:28 the top and the bottom. Because obviously if you sold right, right before the dip and then bought again and then did every time on a daily basis, you could do that, but that that's preposterous. So I like, I like your framing much better. Yeah. Yeah, you'd have like a trillion dollars by like the middle of the year or something. I remember someone did analysis like that. If you found like the top performing stock every day and just day traded it and you could do that, you'd have like a trillion dollars like within half a year or something. But obviously no one knows that. Yeah. We'll all listen to their podcast whenever someone can figure that out. That sounds great. They better not tell anybody. They're just going to sit on that. So using that as a framework,
Starting point is 00:08:58 can you explain the concept of just keep buying at its root level, like the thesis for your work here? Yeah. The phrase I use in the book is the continual purchase of a diverse set of income producing assets. That is like the mantra of the book, right? If I had to say, what does just keep buying about? It's about that. It doesn't tell you exactly what to buy. It tells you a little about when to buy. Just keep buying over time. But the core component is just income producing assets, right? I can't tell you, oh, you need to buy real estate or you need to buy stocks or you need to buy bonds. Because I've seen people get rich in all these asset classes, right? I don't think there's any correct way to build wealth. I think there's a general path or general framework you can use,
Starting point is 00:09:36 but I don't think it's like you have to own real estate. Like there's real estate people who say stocks are scam. They really believe like U.S. stocks are a scam, right? And there's stocks people who think like real estate is stupid, right? And I think both of them are wrong. I think they're both ways or valid ways to build wealth because they're income producing assets. And so I believe in a diversified approach. And so I try to own a little bit of everything. And that's generally worked very well for me so far. Awesome. Would that advice change at all for someone who wanted to be more aggressive with their portfolio and get wealthy faster? Would you recommend going into one asset class over the others? Or how do you think about that? Well, I guess it depends.
Starting point is 00:10:10 on like the risk. I mean, what risk you want to take. I mean, honestly, I'm actually, if I do write a second book, it's going to be about that question, which is like, okay, if you just want to be like a millionaire, like, have a couple million dollars or something and like have a decent retirement, whatever, you can follow just keep buying, right? If you're trying to become like a hundred millionaire, this is not going to get you there unless you have a super, super high income. And that's the truth. Like, you can't go buy the S&P 500 ETF, you know, day and day out with the day job and get to $100 million. It's just not there, right? So if you're trying to get to a higher wealth level, the tactics have to change completely. And it's almost always going to be something
Starting point is 00:10:41 involving some sort of business ownership, right? So you're going to have to start a business, you're going to take a lot of risk, or you're going to have to build some sort of brand that can actually end up paying you that much money. Right. And so those things are very, very difficult to do, which is why they're so rare. But I think, yeah, the tactics would change. I don't know if your portfolio allocation actually is the real differentiator there. I think it's more about your labor choices and your income choices. How you build income is going to be more important than like, oh, maybe I should go all in on like a penny stock or something. Like, yes, there are people that got very rich doing that, but that's very rare. So I don't think the portfolio is really the differentiator
Starting point is 00:11:15 if you're trying to like it to very high levels of wealth like that. Awesome. So that'll be the next title, just build a business in 2024 from Nick, right? Okay. So walk us through the next kind of phase here. I've decided I want to do that. How do I begin tweaking that, accelerating that, or deciding on my asset allocation? Yeah, I think it all comes back to risk, right? And so you have to figure out, okay, which assets, like you have to like, you know, do a little bit of research, which assets have a riskier profile and which ones are less risky. And so generally that's like stocks versus bonds or real estate and stocks and all these versus bonds, things like that. But there's different ways you can diversify. And there's no right answer. Like, so I, you know,
Starting point is 00:11:52 we can start with like a, we can, I think everyone should just start with a very standard portfolio, whether that means like a 6040 or an 80, 20 or whatever, whatever works from you, just kind of start with some portfolio based on your age, based on risk metrics, and then build from there expand from there, right? Because I don't want to get, like, I can tell you what I have, right? But I don't know if that's going to necessarily work for you, right? So I'm like mostly equities. I have like, I think 10% in bonds, maybe 5% of bonds. I can't even remember right now. But I'm mostly equities and I'm split between developed and U.S. equities, like my equity share. And then I have like another 10% of my portfolio in REIT. So I'm like, yeah, 70% equity,
Starting point is 00:12:25 10% in REITs, like 5% to 10% in bonds. And then the other 10% is non-income producing assets. So that's things like crypto. I own some art. And I also own some like a little but a very, very small share of like a couple of private businesses, which I don't consider income producing even though they're technically like stocks because they haven't produced income yet. So, right? So that's kind of how I look at. If I had to break it out, 85% or 85% to 90% of my assets are income producing and the other 10% or not.
Starting point is 00:12:50 So that's why I say if you want to play around with non-income producing assets, you can. I just don't recommend them for the bulk of your portfolio. Okay. So you have a diverse, fairly diverse portfolio. What are some examples of income producing assets? assets other than the equities and the reeds. You could get into farmland. That's not something I have done yet, but I plan on doing at some point.
Starting point is 00:13:13 And you can technically do that through reits. There are farmland reits out there, which is like the easiest way to get in. But if you want to like find an individual property, there are services online where you can crowd fund that, basically. It's like, you know, go fund me except for a farm. And all the investors go in, you're like become partners and you own the farm and everything. And I don't want to name any names. I don't have any affiliate relationships. But you can look them up and there are there plenty out there.
Starting point is 00:13:35 that's an example. You can buy royalties. That's another thing. Like, let's say there's a song you really like. You can own that royalty stream for five years, 10 years, however long, and it will pay you over time based on how many people listen to something. So that's all, and that's more of like, I think that's more of like, I think that's more of like, I think that's more like ego investing with like royalties. That would be kind of a cool way to earn money. That's another thing I like to think about. So there's a lot of different ways you can do that. But yeah, those are just a handful I can think of. I think real estate is a bigger asset class than just like there's like investment properties that you can do Airbnb's. And then in addition to that, there's like, as I said, private investments, investments in businesses, whether you're an owner-operator where you're actually operating the business or you're just someone who's giving capital and trying to provide some guidance in some way. Or you can just be a completely silent partner where you give capital and provide no guidance. So there's a lot of different ways that this can be done. But yeah, those opportunities are usually reserved for people with more wealth and as you kind of get older and stuff. And so I still am barely kind of dabbled into those. I think as I get older, I'll start doing a little bit more of that. How diverse do you recommend?
Starting point is 00:14:35 I hear that comment a lot. Oh, you need to diversify your investments, but nobody ever gives a specific amount. So, Nick, give me specific numbers. How do you diversify an investment? That's a great question. Like, what is diversified? I mean, some have argued, and I think this is fair, that, like, you can be relatively diversified with the portfolio of, like, 25 stocks, right?
Starting point is 00:14:56 If they're in different sectors and stuff, you can, you could be, like, diversified on your equity sleeve with that. Now, of course, that's not going to get everything, right? farmland's very different. It's not really correlated with traditional markets, right? And the other thing to remember in diversification, it's really like, okay, how many it's, I really, I break all assets at the end of the day down into risk assets and non-risk assets, right? And so most assets, like the things were time about income producing assets are risk assets, right? And so because of that, when markets crash, they tend to all move together. Not all of them completely, but usually when things crash, it's not good for real estate. It's not good for stocks. It's not good for farmland, etc. They usually all fall together. So because of that, I think, realizing that like in the bad times, like diversification only exists between your non-risky and your risky assets. And then in the good times, like the diversification shows up because every asset class is kind of getting a different return stream.
Starting point is 00:15:44 So some may do very well. Like right now energy stocks are doing incredibly well because of all the energy crisis stuff going on. But they didn't do that well at the beginning of COVID because no one was buying oil, right? So it's a very interesting thing that you can see high volatility in a certain sector. And so by being diversified, you'll pick up on those and you'll pick up some of the upside and you'll also get some of the downsides. side, you know, over time. We've talked about the word risk with a couple of these assets and used to use the word
Starting point is 00:16:07 volatility. What's the difference in how should I think through that? I guess volatility, I would say, is a measure of, you know, how much a price moves over time and risk, I think there's so many different like ways to define risk. My way of defining risk is when you need to spend money and you can't. That's true risk to me. Like, because at the end of the day, all, what is all, why are we investing or doing all this so we could like live the lifestyle we want in the future, right?
Starting point is 00:16:30 And so if in the future we need to spend money, on something to survive or do something. Maybe you want to get, you need to pay for something and you don't have money, that's risk. So the question is, at what point, what assets do you need to own so that you don't have a risk of not having funds to live the life you want, right? So that's kind of how I think about risk versus volatility is just literally it's a numerical measure of how much a, you know, a price moves for a given asset. Okay.
Starting point is 00:16:56 Speaking of risk and volatility, I don't know if you saw the stock market last Friday, but it was a little squidgy. How do you get over yourself and continue to invest anyway when you're waiting for the bottom? You're waiting, you're holding off on investing. You know, maybe Friday was supposed to be your day to put money into the stock market and then you see it going rather wampy. I can see people saying, you know, I'm waiting for the, I'm waiting to just for it to go down a little bit more, a little bit more. I don't do that. Most of the time, I, I, I have actually never looked at the market to try and decide when to put money in.
Starting point is 00:17:34 I just buy regardless. I don't care about that because I'm doing this for the long term. I don't really, you know, if I'm going to be investing for the next 40 years, right, I'm in my early 30s now. I'm doing this for the next 40 years. Why do I care about the price right now? Like, look at the price 40 years ago. Do you think people are probably equally obsessing over that day? Now it doesn't matter.
Starting point is 00:17:51 It's like the annualized returns are like 8. You know, whatever, 7.7 versus 7.8 or whatever it is. I mean, I don't know what the exact 40 year return was. But like, it's like that's how small the difference is over like getting right in at the perfect time or not. So I don't obsess over that at all. I don't think that really is going to affect my financial life in any way, me like whether I bought on Friday or not, like looking at this and caring. And the second thing you brought up Mindy about like waiting for the bottom. This is kind of gets back to even God can't be dollar cost averaging.
Starting point is 00:18:16 The whole premise of that is not to do that because it's very likely that you're not going to be able to time it and the market's going to take off. And the example I have and I use is March 2020. It was the perfect example. I knew so many people who were like, oh, I'm going to wait this one out. And within six months, we let all-time highs. It's like, oh, are you still waiting it out now? Like where, you know, I remember all these people telling me I was stupid to say, just keep buying in like March and April.
Starting point is 00:18:39 And yet we hit all-time highs once again. And so I'm not saying that's going to happen here. Right now we're, you know, we're down, what, 20 something percent maybe or maybe 18 percent. I don't know the exact number right now. But we could be down that much a year from now, two years, five, ten years. It has happened before. It is not impossible for us to still be down 20 percent a decade from now.
Starting point is 00:18:57 now, right? So I do want to like tell people like this is not perfect, but over the long haul, if you're diversified across many asset classes, to think that every asset class on the planet is still going to be down 10 years from now, I think is very unlikely. And if so, we probably have bigger issues in the world than like what's going on with our investment portfolio. So that's kind of like, it's a call option on the future, really. It's like, everyone's like, what if the stock market goes to zero, then it's not going to matter. If it went to, it's not going to matter what you did, right? You're going to have like, I know, guns and canned goods and all sorts of other things to survive. I mean, your investment portfolio won't matter. I think that's a fantastic
Starting point is 00:19:29 answer. And I think that, you know, most folks who are listening to Bigger Pockets Money would completely agree with that framework. I think, you know, what a lot of folks, you know, here at Bigger Pockets Money, we're talking a lot about early financial freedom and the ability to retire early and begin with withdrawing from your portfolio, for example, early in life, or I'm about to hit traditional retirement age. How do I catch up really quickly and get there at that point. So I think your premise works perfectly. I completely agree with everything you just said while I'm trying to accumulate wealth. I'm going to invest in asset classes that are likely going to be way more valuable, particularly relative to inflation 40 years from now. And I don't really care
Starting point is 00:20:05 about the puts and takes along the way. But if I'm about to withdraw from my portfolio or am withdrawing from my portfolio, I think you have a scary situation here in 2022. Right. And let's go back, let's zoom back like three months or maybe six months to January, February, March, and say, Okay, it's January, February, March. Bond yields are at all-time historical lows. They're clearly about to come back up. Inflation is super high. The stock market is at all-time highs from a valuation standpoint.
Starting point is 00:20:34 Real estate prices skyrocketed 40% in many of the most popular markets around the country over a two-year period. What do I do at that point in time? And we're still, even later in the year, the stock market's only down, quote, only down 17% year-to-date. bond yields are clearly still likely to continue rising if we believe Jerome Powell last week. You know, inflation's still high, so I can't even put it in cash. I don't like Bitcoin because that lost 60% of its value. What do I, how do I think about that portfolio when I am setting it up for withdrawal? When you're saying for withdrawal, so I think you guys had Michael Kittsies on the podcast,
Starting point is 00:21:11 and he's done some great research on like withdrawals and, you know, how retirees, you know, go through retirement. And what he found, and I can't, I can probably send you guys the argument. after is it's not usually a bad year that really messes with the retirees. It's a bad decade. You have to go into a really like one or two years doesn't really. If you have a 30 year plan, you've saved up enough for that, you're using a 4% rule, et cetera. You're generally fine. And this is even, remember, this was run even through periods of high inflation. So like the 70s and all that, you'll generally be okay. It's if we go through a bad decade, that's where it can really hurt you. So I say right now,
Starting point is 00:21:41 I don't think we have enough to worry about yet. Now I'm not saying not to worry at all, you know, but at the same time, like, if you're withdrawing, like, you have other things. So I think the, my real advice is think outside of your portfolio. I know this is, you know, a money podcast, but there's a lot of other things we can do. Like, let's say you're like, oh, I'm going to pick up a part. If, oh, inflation's gone up. Maybe my costs have gone up significantly. Maybe I'll pick up a part-time job to do something.
Starting point is 00:22:04 Or maybe I will find a way to cut back on spending. And that's usually what retirees do. If actually look at the data, they just generally trying to match their spending with their income, right? So if, like, if they have an income of, you know, $1,500 a month, let's say only, they only, they only have Social Security, they're going to match their spending to that $1,500, even if they had like a portfolio, let's say they had actually more than Social Security. Let's say they had a portfolio that could pay them, let's say, you know, another couple hundred dollars a month, right?
Starting point is 00:22:28 Let's say $300 a month. So they have $1,800 in total income, right? They would spend $1,800. Even though they could be drawing down that portfolio every month, they generally don't do that. And the data shows they don't do that. They're just their income matching, right? So I think the main thing is think outside of the portfolio, what other things can you do to offset these,
Starting point is 00:22:44 these trying times and whatever that means. I mean, if that means getting cheaper hobbies, or that means cutting back somewhere, or I don't know, I'm trying to come up with ideas here, but I think there's more to your life than just, you know, owe my portfolio and exactly how much money I have every single month. I know that's one thing. It's important. Not saying it's not, but there's a lot of other, you have a lot of, you have a lot more flexibility than you think. And if you start to really analyze your situation, I think you'll discover that. You said something really interesting there where you talked about how people are income matching and are not actually withdrawing their portfolio. I've informally polled members of the community and found that while
Starting point is 00:23:21 the 4% rule is touted as this kind, oh, you just spend, you know, when you get to the 4% rule, you're done. The fact of the matter is that in order to achieve the 4% rule in a 6040 stock bond portfolio, I've got to start selling off my equity position at a regular basis. And I don't, I think less than 5% of the respondents are actually doing that. People who are actually fine are actually selling off equity positions to fund their. People who just aren't comfortable with that mentally, it seems, and are instead spending income that their portfolio is generating with that. And could you elaborate on that point you just mentioned around income matching and what the data shows there and where you found that? Yeah. So I think it's chapter two of the book I talk
Starting point is 00:24:02 about why I don't think people need to save as much. You know, people probably don't only save as much as you think, and everyone's always like, I'm not saving enough, not saving enough. Besides Social Security, we can put that aside for now. Yeah, most retirees, you know, only one in seven retirees with an actual portfolio. So this is beyond Social Security are actually withdrawing principle. The other six out of seven are doing exactly what you're saying, Scott, which is like they're living off of the dividends and the interest or the investment earnings and they're just living off of that, or they're living off of, most of them are living off of less than that and then reinvesting more. And one of the most common things we hear is, like, for example, people that get that have to do
Starting point is 00:24:34 RMDs, right? Once you're over 70, or I think 72 or something like that, 70 and a half, whatever it is, you have to start withdraw, required minimum distributions, by the way, RMDs for the audience. You have to start with your government forces you to start withdrawing money out. Well, so many people, they take money out and they just end up reinvesting it. It's not like they, oh, I need to spend this now. They end up just reinvesting it again. So it's very ironic that like the government's forcing you to do this and then you just end up reinvesting the money anyway. So I do think that retirees, because they're worried about, you know, long-term care. They're worried about all these sorts of risks. So they end up, you know, basically matching their,
Starting point is 00:25:06 um, their spending to that whatever income they have in retirement. And that's, the data shows that pretty clear. And I don't think that's going to change anytime soon. So instead of thinking about, oh, I need a million dollars in retirement, you can just be like, okay, well, how much income am I going to have in retirement? And that's basically what I'm going to spend to. So it really kind of takes the stress out of retirement saving, if you really think about it, because even people with no retirement savings and just Social Security somehow managed to get by. I'm not saying they're living a great life, but they're, they make it by somehow on, you know, $1,500 a month, which is what the average benefit is paying.
Starting point is 00:25:34 So six out of seven people, perhaps more in the early retirement community, if I were to guess, are not withdrawing principle from their portfolios. So the 4% rule, we can talk about how great it is all day, but in practice, nobody's following it is the reality of what's happening there. And then I have required minimum distributions from my 401K, right? Typically not my Roth IRA at that point in time. This is what we're talking about pre-tax retirement accounts here. So doesn't that put me at a major risk? Isn't that a vote in favor potentially? If you think,
Starting point is 00:26:06 if you're starting really young and you have a really high savings rate, doesn't that put a vote in favor of the Roth IRA instead of the 401K because I'm going to most likely be forced to take a huge distribution or massive distributions that are going to put my income in a high bracket at retirement? How would you think about that if I'm an aggressive saver in the fire community, for example? Yeah, so I think that's a really complex question. I'm not just trying to cop out of that because there's so many factors going into this. Really what you're trying to do, if you're like really trying to optimize perfectly
Starting point is 00:26:34 your tax situation over time, you want to pay the lowest taxes as you can, like, throughout your life. So if that means early in life, you have lower income, you expect to have higher income later, you should probably do the Roth because you're paying the lower tax now. And as you kind of, you know, grow your income, you move into a, you know, a traditional.
Starting point is 00:26:51 But then there's this other factor, which you just brought up with RMDs, which is an issue. But then there's also another, I can throw another layer on top of this, which is your state income tax, right? So, like, if you, you have to pay state, for example, I've lived in basically California and New York for the most part, most of my life. Because of that, I'm paying state income tax. But if I know I'm going to
Starting point is 00:27:07 retire in Florida, I should do pre-tax now so I could be paying less later. I'm not going to have to pay state income tax when I'm pulling that money out, right? Because there's no state income tax there, right? These are all hypotheticals and I can keep adding other layers on top of this. This is why talking about taxes is so difficult. I generally think most people Roth early and then into pre-tax is probably better. and I think it's better to actually have both accounts because there's more flexibility, right? You have options. When you have both of them, you have options. And so I generally recommend doing both or at least if you're only going to do one, just do pre-tax because you can always play the tax games later, right? You can find tax games later. Once you've already paid the tax, you can't unpay the tax, right?
Starting point is 00:27:44 So that's the only downside to that. But I think most people, if they're earning strategy, look like the average person, you're going to want to pay Roth early and then pre-tax later, you know. I like to recommend that people do the Roth for as often as they can because hopefully their income will increase to the point that they're no longer eligible to participate with their contribute to the Roth IRA. But yeah, that is that is an interesting dilemma and we've had that debate on the show multiple times. And it was just a fantastic answer, Nick. That was that was really good. I'm learning a ton from you today. This is fantastic. I think it's just really tough. It's a tough thing. Like any, that's why I hate writing about taxes, like because it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, I'm learning.
Starting point is 00:28:23 so individualized. You're like, well, what about this case where I'm doing? I'm like, well, yeah, that was genius that you did that, but like, I can't generalize. I don't know your situation to apply to everybody, right? So, you know, there's always going to be exceptions. This is why tax is so tough to write about in my opinion. That's why it was the hardest chapter for me to write on in the book because I do talk about these tradeoffs that are in there, but it really and I'm, for example, I'll give you another quick story. I have some friends who during our working years, they all went pre-tax. And I said, well, why are you guys doing pre-tax? They said, because we're all going to get our MBAs. And when we're in our MBA, we have no
Starting point is 00:28:51 income really. So we're going to then convert them to Roth then when our taxes are like when we have no income. So it will convert at the lowest rate possible, right? Because I mean, we don't, we're not, we're not working. So I was like, oh, that's kind of genius. Right. So like, that's even another layer. If you're like, oh, I know I'm going to get an MBA or I know I'm going to have a couple years or I'm not working. You can use those nonworking years to then convert all your traditional to Roths, right? And the much lower tax bracket like than you would ever pay during your normal working years, right? So that's another layer I can add to this in terms of complexity. That's awesome. Nick, going back to our discussion earlier, when we were talking about how very few people
Starting point is 00:29:26 are actually withdrawing 4% or selling off their equity position at a 4% rule portfolio with 6040 stocks, bonds, how would you kind of go about constructing a portfolio that could fund retirement today? Let's say you had $2 million. What would be something that you'd do if you were, you know, 35, 40 had that wealth and wanted to maximize the length of your retirement and the amount of income you could live off of during that. How would you think through that? And how would that be different than the Just Keep Buying portfolio? I mean, I think they can definitely be very similar. I think if you're doing something that's a much longer, you know, you need to think about longevity. I think that's the
Starting point is 00:30:06 most important thing, right, is figuring out longevity. And especially if you're retiring early and you're like, oh, I'm going to retire for 50 years or something, it's much tougher, right? This is even without like the 4% rule. So as you said, we're not withdrawing money. I'm just living off my income. The thing is, is inflation slowly is going to, in theory, raise your asset prices, which will help. But if inflation goes up, if your particular inflation rate for whatever you consume goes up more than the assets do, right, like in this year's a particular example where assets are actually down, you know, and inflation's up, you're going to be in, you know, in a tough spot there, especially if you have to do this for 50 years, right? So I think the thing with that is to like always
Starting point is 00:30:44 just be vigilant about kind of what's happening. happening in the economy and like how this can change. And like where can you fail? And so figure out ways to, you know, mitigate that, whether that means like you always know that you can go back to work if you had to, right? Like that's an example. I'm not saying you need to go back to work. You need to stress over that at all. But when you're when you're trying to plan for 50 years, it is very different than planning for 20 or 30 years. And I think I know that seems like, you know, like how it's only an extra 20 years, but like the amount of stuff like you can just imagine the error bars on like our prediction of the future just gets more and more massive like
Starting point is 00:31:14 as we go further in time. And so going out to to 50 years to be like, oh, I'm just, I'm going to be able to live like this forever, 50 years. Like, you have no idea how much is going to change. Like, imagine someone in 2019 with that idea. Like, oh, I have this, I have all these, you know, I have all these Airbnbs in this perfect location. How could I ever, what could go wrong? And then COVID happens and you get wiped out.
Starting point is 00:31:31 And so you had this long plan to do all this stuff. And then now, now that happened as a result. So it's really tough to like perfectly plan for it. In terms of portfolio, I would say I would have to get more assets that I think are longer duration, like things that I know will be like, of course. you're going to want to own stocks. Of course you're going to own that. You're probably going to have a little bit less bonds, especially with yields where they are now. Maybe you can reincorporate them later, but you have to kind of watch that. I'm not sure if yields will ever come back to what
Starting point is 00:31:57 they were like in the 80s or anything like that. So that's another thing to keep in mind. I would probably have some farmland in there. I just think there's something about farmland. Like land is, it lands a scarce resource. And so that's going to be something that I think is always going to have some sort of value. And then outside of that, like, I don't, I mean, I don't think the portfolios are any different. I think it's the tactics you use with that portfolio and how you think about your financial situation going to the future are different. So I think it's more of a personal decision than it is about your portfolio. Once again, we kind of talked about that theme earlier. I think early retirement is far more a personal choice and about what you do with
Starting point is 00:32:29 your day to day and your enjoyment in your life. It's going to matter far more about those things than like, oh, what's exactly in your portfolio? Nick, what, when you think about debt repayment, what is a level of debt that, or how do you think, like when I think about it, I think, okay, like 4% or lower interest rate, probably not going to pay that off. I'm probably going to invest instead. Five, six, seven percent, kind of this gray zone and north of 7 percent, I'm going to go ahead and pay that off. There's something there to me that then brings investing in bonds back into the fold.
Starting point is 00:33:05 If I can get an 8% or 9% yield on a debt fund, that's pretty good compared to the stock market return, which is going to be in that 8 to 10% range, and I've got a much lower risk profile on that debt. And secondarily on that point, you know, if I've got a 7 or 8 percent mortgage, for example, I'm a real estate investor and I buy a rental property. Rates are in the 7% right now, maybe a little higher and likely to go north. How does that change the math or how I should think about my portfolio allocation and investments? I do have to react at some point to those interest rates changes, even though, like you said, they're not quite where they were in the 1980s. Yeah, of course, you have to react.
Starting point is 00:33:41 I mean, that's why you can't, that's what I'm saying. We can't always have a fixed portfolio. like, oh, I'm perfectly set for the next 50 years. Like, I don't believe in that. I think too much information is going to change. Too many factors are going to change. We're going to have to react and move things around. So, yes, of course, if you can get, you know, 8% in a bond or something, which I don't
Starting point is 00:33:56 think there's any bond paying that right now. So if you can, and it's not not, you know, if it's truly a really safe asset, like, yeah, that's a great idea to do that and to maybe not have as much equity risk. But yeah, if you're really, you know, going for the long term, you have to have, I think, a much more diversified portfolio than someone who's even going a little bit shorter term. because, you know, you don't know what's going to happen, right? Like, if you think about, there's a great book called Wealth War and Wisdom. Barton Biggs talks about a lot of this, and he's like talking about, he really talks
Starting point is 00:34:23 about investing during World War II and, like, how he shows how, you know, equity markets do go to zero or, like, temporarily, like, the, you know, German equity market, Japanese, things like that, things that didn't really work out really well. But for the most part, equities do well. And they're really interesting to think about, like, investing for a very long time frame and how is that different than, you know, investing for, as I said, a shorter time frame. So that's kind of, that's my take there. Okay.
Starting point is 00:34:45 Nick, way back on episode 120, we asked Michael Kitsis what he would do with a lump sum of money. Let's say that you just inherited $100,000. Would you invest it all at once or would you try to dollar cost average your way into the market over a period of time? What would you do? I would put it all in right away. And I know that sounds very risky and it can be at times. Don't get me wrong. But the data overwhelmingly shows, and this is true.
Starting point is 00:35:12 crossed basically every asset class. I show this in the book. I kind of go through every, I go through bonds, I go through stocks, I go through international stocks, I go through gold, I go through Bitcoin even. And I show generally for someone that is, you know, putting all their money in now, they are going to outperform someone who's putting it averaging in over time. I know you call it dollar cost averaging. I don't like using that term here because that definition is not the definition I like of dollar cost averaging. So just to remind the audience, there are two definitions for dollar cost averaging. The original from Ben Graham is, you know, just buying every time you have money. So, for example, buying in your 401k every two weeks, that's called dollar cost averaging. However,
Starting point is 00:35:48 what Mindy just described is also called dollar cost averaging, but it's very different because you have a large sum of money and you're slowly buying into the market. And so I don't agree with that because it takes you longer to get invested. The main principle you have to remember is like you should invest as soon as possible. And behaviorally, there's another layer to this, right? The only time when, you know, lump sum underperforms the average. in method or slowly kind of wading into the market is when the market's dropping. And that's the time when you're least enthusiastic to want to buy anyways, right? It's like, oh, the market's going down. Imagine, you know, imagine you have, you know, $100,000 and it's January 2020, right? I put all my
Starting point is 00:36:23 money in right away. You say, I'm going to slowly start putting it in. February happens. Oh, my gosh, what the heck is this COVID thing? March happens. Now you're like, oh my gosh, this is really scary. I'm going to wait it out. And so some people, a lot of people would have done that. And so the one time when you buying slowly would have outperformed me and you didn't. even take advantage of it, right? I'm not saying that you're going to do that, but there are people that will do that. So I don't recommend it because even the times when it's supposed to outperform a lump sum, people don't follow it. So it's like, you know, damned if you do, damned if you don't type of thing, right? So that's what Kitsa said too. Oh, great. I'm glad we're in agreement.
Starting point is 00:36:59 Nick, how do you feel about Bitcoin and NFTs? You haven't mentioned them, you mentioned them very much in passing there as part of the, you know, just keep buying. philosophy, but you didn't mention them as part of the portfolio that you've articulated there. Do you think there's a place for those? Are they something you're personally interested in? Oh, so I mentioned them slightly. I've talked about crypto generally. And I think having a little bit in non-income producing assets such as, you know, art or crypto or Bitcoin or NFTs, whatever you want, those can all, you know, work. I don't think you should have a large amount in those because we still don't know what they are yet. I don't, we don't have the staying, you know, they've only,
Starting point is 00:37:35 they don't have the history that a lot of these other asset classes have. So because of that, we don't know. And it's so funny because when I first, you know, started talking on podcasts about my book and stuff, there was a lot of people that said, well, income producing assets, crypto, there's all these, you know, things like yield farming. You'll get paid yield if you just lend your crypto. And I was like, hey, like, there's a lot of risks we don't know. Like, I don't think we should be doing that because I just, it just doesn't make sense to me that someone's paying you 20% a year when, like, treasures aren't paying that. Like, they're paying like a, you know, a tenth of that or something or even less, right? So I'm like, where does this come from? And like, oh, it comes from.
Starting point is 00:38:05 And so people had all these explanations and this and that. And I'm like, I wouldn't touch it because I just think there's, there's unknown risk. We don't know what's going on. And then we've now seen a lot of these schemes blow up because they were not, obviously, as safe as we thought. And there was hidden risk there. So my take on a lot of this is we still don't know. I'm not saying not to own any.
Starting point is 00:38:21 I personally own some Bitcoin and some Ethereum, but that's it. I'm not saying you can't own NFTs. I actually own like one or two NFTs, but they're very, very small. There wasn't like a high end NFT or anything. I'm not saying you can't do it. I'm just saying be cautious when you're going into it because this is still uncharted territory as far as I'm concerned. So I would say to hold some of it, but not a lot. I have 2% in crypto as of right now. Two percent. Two percent. I would like to reiterate that.
Starting point is 00:38:46 Used to be 4%. I'm just kidding. No, it's funny. So I'll tell you this story. One of my most viral tweets ever, I bought Bitcoin in like 8,000. It went up to 52 at one point. And I sold half of it. I said, you know, selling half my Bitcoin asked me anything, right? And it was just a firestorm response. Half the people said great trade. The other half said, you're an idiot. How are you going to explain this to your grandchildren? All these funny jokes. And they were actually pretty funny. I actually enjoyed it, right? I think they all meant good fun. But like, there was clearly the most polar responses. And the only reason I did was just a rebalancing. You know, I went from 2% to like 8% of my portfolio or something outrageous. And I was like,
Starting point is 00:39:24 I can't do this. Right. I have to like sell this down. So I sold some of it down. That's it. I have not since had to rebuy it because it's how everything is. It's basically back at 2%. But I think the main takeaway there is just like, yeah, we don't know what it is yet. I'm still, I still own some of it. I'm actually semi bullish on it. I think some of the value in it is it's like a private bank and it's like wealth that can't be taken. Like my bank account in theory, the U.S.
Starting point is 00:39:47 government could freeze, right? They could take all my securities, everything. But like as long as I know my seed phrase, right, like my Bitcoin's my Bitcoin, right? So I think there is a value that is outside of just traditional ways of thinking about finance. I think there is value there, and that's kind of how I look at it. And it's not the way that most people look at it, just trying to make money. I think there's value in just having a literal, unseasable store of wealth. And so that's my take there.
Starting point is 00:40:10 Okay, individual stocks, Bitcoin. I think a lot of people are doing Bitcoin because it is so hyped up. And we had individual stocks like GameStop and what was the movie theater one? AMC. AMC, that people like hyped up like. crazy and rose or generated really crazy nut returns. They bid up the price and then they all got out and then it collapsed again. You say don't buy individual stocks. And I agree with this with an asterisk next to it. But I want to know why you feel this way about individual stocks.
Starting point is 00:40:48 So there's two different arguments we can make about this. The traditional argument, I'm guessing most of your audience has heard or a lot of your audience has heard at some point was you're probably going to underperform, right? Most, most professional money managers who are active funds, active managers trying to pick stocks, underperform after fees after a, you know, three to five year period. If you want to look these up, they're called SPIVA reports, SPIVA, you can look them up for basically any equity market on the planet and you'll see most of the time most managers underperform. So if professionals with resources and it's their full time job to do this underperform, what chance do you have, right? That's the traditional argument. It's fine. There's something wrong with your argument, I like it, but my argument's a little different, and it's the second argument, which is I call the existential argument, which is, how do you know if you're any good at this? Like, in most things in life, the feedback loops are pretty small, right? Like, if we went on to a, the example, like, if I went onto a basketball court with LeBron James, and let's say LeBron James wasn't famous, and we started playing basketball, you would know within minutes that I don't have talent and he does, right? Like, you could tell
Starting point is 00:41:49 quickly. If you asked a computer programmer to write a program and do something, you could tell within minutes, is it working, is it not working? The feedback loops are so quick. Either there's an error, it does what you want, what you want it to do or it doesn't, right? You can kind of get the feedback quickly. With investing, that feedback loop is massive. I would say it's at least a decade, right, if not longer. And I'm saying you can get feedback more quickly if you're doing day trading, but it's very difficult to like do that for a long time and show that you're good, right? So because the feedback loops are so long, especially, I'm guessing most of your audience is not day traders, but more long term investors, you're not going to know if you're actually good or lucky for a
Starting point is 00:42:23 long time. So I hear tons of people who tell me, oh, well, but I own this one stock and look, I've done so well, it's like, yeah, well, if you take that one stock out, how well have you done with all the other picks, right? And if you have done well with the other picks, then maybe you have talent. And remember, there's about 10% of people have talent at this, right, after fees, or even after all, taking into account, all that. However, the other 90% probably don't. And so that's my question you is, how do you know if you're good, right? And because you can't know, why waste your time doing all this when you can do something you can clearly add value. Like, I clearly add value as a data scientist compared to a stock picker. I know I can
Starting point is 00:42:57 add value because I can create charts. I can do stuff that people value versus I can pick stocks. I have no idea if I'm good or not, right? And that's kind of my argument against stock picking. It's more of the existential thing. Like, how do you know if you're good? Why are you wasting your time doing this? I'd rather you do something more that really capitalizes on your true strengths. I love that explanation. Thank you. Tax season is one of the only times all year when most people actually look at their full financial picture, including income, spending, savings, investments, the whole thing. And if you're like most folks, it can be a little eye-opening. That's why I like Monarch. It helps you see exactly where your money is going, and more importantly,
Starting point is 00:43:29 where your tax refund can make the biggest impact. Because the goal isn't just to look backward, it's to actually make progress. Simplify your finances with Monarch. Monarch is the all-in-one personal finance tool designed to make your life easier. It brings your entire financial life, including budgeting, accounts and investments, net worth, and future planning together in one dashboard on your phone or your laptop. Feel aware and in control of your finances this tax season and get 50% off your Monarch subscription with the code Pockets. What I personally like is that Monarch keeps you focused on achieving, not just tracking. You can see your budgets, debt payoff, savings goals, and net worth all in one place. So every decision actually moves the needle. Achieve your financial goals
Starting point is 00:44:04 for good with Monarch, the all in one tool that makes money management simple. Use the code pockets at monarch.com for half off your first year. That's 50% off at Monarch.com code pockets. just realized your business needed to hire someone yesterday. How can you find amazing candidates fast? Easy. Just use Indeed. When it comes to hiring, Indeed is all you need. That means you can stop struggling to get your job notice on other job sites. Indeed's sponsored jobs helps you stand out and hire the right people quickly. Your job post jumps straight to the top of the page where your ideal candidates are looking. And it works. Sponsored jobs on Indeed get 45% more applications than non-sponsored posts. The best part? No monthly subscriptions or long-term contracts. You only
Starting point is 00:44:46 pay for results. And speaking of results, in the minute I've been talking to you, 23 people just got hired through Indeed worldwide. There's no need to wait any longer. Speed up your hiring right now with Indeed. And listeners of this show will get a $75 sponsored job credit to get your jobs more visibility at Indeed.com slash bigger pockets. Just go to Indeed.com slash bigger pockets right now and support our show by saying you heard about Indeed on this podcast. Indeed.com slash bigger pockets. Terms and conditions apply. Hiring, Indeed is all you need. When you want more, start your business with Northwest Registered Agent and get access to thousands of free guides, tools, and legal forms to help you launch and protect your business
Starting point is 00:45:24 all in one place. Build your complete business identity with Northwest today. Northwest Registered Agent has been helping small business owners and entrepreneurs launch and grow businesses for nearly 30 years. They're the largest registered agent and LLC service in the U.S. with over 1,500 corporate guides who are real people who know your local laws and can help you and your business every step of the way. Northwest makes life easy for business owners.
Starting point is 00:45:46 They don't just help you form your business. They give you the free tools you need after you form it, like operating agreements, meeting minutes, and thousands of how-to guides that explain the complicated ins and outs of running a business. And with Northwest, privacy is automatic. They never sell your data and all services are handled in-house because privacy by default is their pledge to all customers. Visit Northwest Registeredagent.com slash money-free and start building something amazing.
Starting point is 00:46:10 Get more with Northwest Registered Agent at Northwest Registered Agent at Northwest Registered agent.com slash money-free. Marvel Television's Wonder Man an eight-episode series. Now streaming on Disney Plus. A superhero remake. Not exactly what we'd expect
Starting point is 00:46:25 from an Oscar-winning director. Action! Simon Williams. Audition for Wonder Man. I'm going to need you to sign this. Assuming you don't have superpowers. I'll never work again if anyone found out. My lips are sealed.
Starting point is 00:46:41 Marvel Television's Wonder Man. All eight episodes now streaming, only on Disney Plus. Nick, at the end of your book, you kind of conclude with a very powerful, powerful concept about why you will never feel rich. Could you explain that concept and help folks, you know, maybe overcome that? What are some tools to overcome that feeling? Yeah, so the story I use in the book is on Lloyd Blank Fine, who's the ex-C-O Goldman Sachs and who is a billionaire, actually a billionaire.
Starting point is 00:47:08 And he was being interviewed and he said, I'm not wealthy. I'm just like, well-to-do. This is a billionaire. and ask someone who has a billion dollars said this and you know as a as a normal person you're like what this is this seems crazy to me how can he say that right however when you realize like who does this guy hang out with who does you know his friends include you know David Giffin Jeff Bezos etc all these people who are much much richer than him right so when your best friends have a 10 or 100x net worth difference than you you can feel like you're not really that wealthy right so you can
Starting point is 00:47:37 really get into these bubbles and I started to say okay well like I know that seems ridiculous but I bet you probably feel the same way about your wealth. Like, I bet, like, me and you, most of the listeners here are probably very similar. Now, let me give an example. On a, on a global scale, if your net worth is $100,000, you're in the top 10% of the world, right? Now, I would say the top 10% is generally rich. I would say, 90% of people, you're better than that. I would say that's generally rich on a global scale. And now you're going to say, but, Nick, that's not fair. You can't compare me to, like, these random people on the world, maybe a farmer in, I don't know, Asia or Africa or whatever you can't that's not fair to compare me to them right but I'm going to argue that
Starting point is 00:48:15 Lloyd Blankfein is using the same logic about why we can't compare him to us right he's like oh you can't compare me to those average people I hang out with these people right so the issue is we're always like kind of comparing ourselves to our relative social circle and so Lloyd Blankfein's comparing himself to all these multi multi billionaires we're comparing ourselves to other mostly I'm guessing this podcast is mostly for Americans right so that's like that's who we're comparing ourselves to right So if you think about that, like we're always comparing ourselves into our social circle. And over time, especially if you gain more wealth and you start hanging out with different types of people, you join a country club, you do this, you do that.
Starting point is 00:48:49 Your social circle is going to change and you're always going to be able to point to someone richer than you. So that will never stop happening, right? And so I think the only way to overcome that is kind of like think about where you would be relative to yourself. Like if you could rerun your life a thousand times, you know, or 10,000 or however many times, and how many of those worlds are you better off than now, how many are you worse off? I think you have to compare it to yourself because if you start comparing it to peers and other people,
Starting point is 00:49:14 you're never going to, you're never going to feel rich. You'll always find someone richer, right? As successful as I am, I can always point to someone that's more successful, right? Until like you're like the most successful person, like the richest person in the world, right? So you see the problem with that. It's like, it's one of these things where you have to really, you know, spend some time and just kind of like really ground yourself and what actually matters.
Starting point is 00:49:33 And you have to define like, okay, this is, I like, I can, consider myself, even though I'm not, I'm not a millionaire, I would consider myself rich relative to the world, right? Like, I would consider myself a rich person or a rich citizen of the earth. And I don't say that to brag or anything. I say that because if I don't consider myself rich, I'll always feel like I'm not rich and then I'll have to keep chasing money and that leads to all sorts of problems, right? So I think we need to kind of just, you know, redefine how we view ourselves and like realize how much privilege and how much, you know, advantages we had relative to other people on the planet. So I think that's my way of
Starting point is 00:50:02 looking at. Of course, not everyone's going to agree with that, but I think it's a better way of looking at it than, you know, constantly one-uping yourself. You know, I think that that's a fantastic framework and really thought-provoking concept that you just shared with us. I also wonder aloud if that problem certainly exists in the financial independence community, but maybe is a little bit more mitigated because the goal for most folks, I think we're trying to achieve financial independence, is not to be the richest person in the group.
Starting point is 00:50:33 It's just enough to cover their middle or maybe upper middle class lifestyle that they're sustaining. And there's a little bit better of a job of meeting the goalpost. And that's what feeling rich is about. So I wonder if there's an opportunity there for the fire movement, the financial dependence community, to maybe have less risk of falling victim to this really messed up worldview around, am I rich or not, you know, when I'm a billionaire or 10 millionaire or 100 millionaire or whatever. The circle never ends. And I think you're right. You're right. Yeah, I agree. And I think so I actually have a comment on that because I remember reading a post. Remember, this is n equals one. This is one person's experience. I don't want to say the whole fire communities like that. That's definitely not true for the record. But there was someone who did fire, retired early. Him and his wife retired early. They were doing everything fine. But a lot of their friends weren't on fire. So they kept, you know, getting more income. They started going in more fancifications, this and that. There was sort of this like feeling of missing out. FOMO's type of stuff started happening. That created tension in the relationship.
Starting point is 00:51:33 And then on top of that, you know, by chance, the person who was writing about this, he's a male, he started having medical issues that he did not think he was going to have. And that was very expensive. So then he had to jump out of fire and start working again. So I'm not trying to scare anyone with horror stories, right? If you can, you know, if you're around a bunch of people that are also doing, you know, financial independence, that's very easy because you guys. Because you guys are all, like, agree not to spend as much money. There's a lot of social norms there that will be, you know, pro social for all of you guys. But if your friends are not fire and you are, it can get really scary, especially as things start to progress.
Starting point is 00:52:03 So keep that in mind as you're kind of on that journey. I think that's really important. I think just hearing his story was super important for me because even though I don't plan to do any sort of like financial independence stuff, it does make me realize like the types of risks that you have to kind of think about. Like he had no idea. He thought him and his partner were on the same page. But after they started seeing all their friends posting all these crazy vacations all over
Starting point is 00:52:23 the place, then it was like, oh, why can't we do that? I know we can afford it. And so it started becoming attention in the relationship. And that wasn't obviously good for them. Yeah. That's a really, really interesting concept. So we should probably talk to more people who have been fire for a long time and see if that or have maybe gone back to work and see if this is a common thread. I wonder if social media has anything to do with this.
Starting point is 00:52:44 You see people on Facebook posting and how long has Facebook went around like 15, 20 years now? You see them posting only the good side of their life. Look at all these fancy things that happened to me and they don't show you like the crappy parts of their life. And you think, oh, I need that too. I need that too. I'm never going to be as rich as they are. well, maybe they just went on some big trip with points and they did all of these, you know, there's lots of ways to save money and still have a really great life.
Starting point is 00:53:08 But it's, this is good to hear because I do live in this weird little five bubble where I live in Longmont, Colorado, Mr. Money Mustache is my neighbor. There's a lot of financial independence people in this town that move here specifically because he lives here too. So I have a huge network of financial weirdo friends who never spend any money. You kind of described it perfectly. We do cheap things, and we have all kind of agreed that we're not going to like spend any money on anything. And that's not really the way it goes.
Starting point is 00:53:40 I mean, we all spend money on things that matter to us. But really, we're in Colorado. We get to go hiking for free all the time. And we get to do all these amazing things for free because we live in this amazing state. So it's just like nobody's keeping up with the Joneses in this community. You know what? they kind of are. Oh, I retired at 35. I retired at 33. I retired at 32. Like, it's a different kind of keeping up. It's not the spending so much. But that was an interesting, that was an
Starting point is 00:54:10 interesting way to look at it. Thank you. Nick, this has been absolutely fascinating. Thank you for a lot of thought-provoking frameworks for us. I know there's a lot to ponder here and really, really enjoyed your book, Just Keep Buying. So we'll be recommending that to everybody and really appreciate your time today. Thank you, both. Thank you, Scott. Thank you, Mindy. Appreciate it. Thank you, Nick. It was great to talk to you. We'll talk to you soon. Okay, Scott, that was Nick Majuli. That was an amazing show. I loved what he had to say about the different philosophies and the different ways to look at growing your wealth. And I just, I had a really good time talking to him. Yeah, I think he's really mastered
Starting point is 00:54:47 his frameworks for for investing in wealth building. And I think they're really strong. I agree almost completely with him. I instead of having 2% in Bitcoin, have 0% in Bitcoin, of course. But those are minor, really minor deviations, and he's probably more right than I am on those. And I really respected the way he thought through all of that. By the way, he did mention to us after the episode that the reason he arrived at a 2% Bitcoin allocation is because he ran a very sophisticated portfolio analyzer tool looking for risk-adjusted returns across various asset classes over the past decade and arrived that a 2% Bitcoin allocation was an appropriate allocation on a risk-adjusted basis.
Starting point is 00:55:30 So really fascinating concept there, and you can view that blog article that he's posted at of dollars and data.com. We will link to that in the show notes here. Yeah, I love how he divided assets into risk assets and non-risk assets. I haven't heard anybody explain it in quite that way, and that was really, really powerful
Starting point is 00:55:53 to explain that instead of having such a diversified portfolio just for the sake of diversification, you have it diversified by risk. Yeah. I think that that's a really important concept. I do wonder if he'll change his tune when he comes out with his just build a business book for $100 million in wealth, right? Because he's right, you cannot diversify your way to $100 million in wealth unless you earn an extraordinary income or own a business, in which case you're not diversified because most your wealth is in the business. So I think it's a really interesting concept there and really will look forward to exploring that concept as well at some point.
Starting point is 00:56:29 Okay, Scott, this episode had a ton of information, and we threw a ton of stuff at our listeners. Let's give some action items that our listeners can take away. Number one for me would be to check out of dollars and data.com and the book Just Keep Bying by Nick Majuli. The second tip would be to write out a one-page document, keep it to one page that supports your investment philosophy, and then review your portfolio. and confirm that your portfolio actually matches your investment philosophy. And number three is to write yourself an email, write your future self in email.
Starting point is 00:57:07 What does feeling rich look like to you in 2025? Remember to adjust for inflation. And then in 2025, read that email. And then laugh at yourself or congratulate yourself if you haven't pulled a Lloyd Blankflain. I think you'll laugh at you. yourself, but it's a good exercise. It gets you thinking. It isn't just a one-off, just, I'm going to be super rich. Really, really think about what it feels like in three years, four years, three and a half years. Wow, it's getting really late. Yeah, maybe let's write yourself an email for
Starting point is 00:57:42 27. 2027. So in five years, what does feeling rich look like to you? Go from your position now and where do you want to be in five years? What will it feel like to be rich then? Okay, Scott, should we get out of here? Let's do it. From episode 347 of the Bigger Puckets Money podcast, he is Scott Trench, and I am Indy Jensen saying take care, polar bear.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.