BiggerPockets Money Podcast - 455: REITs: How to Make Real Estate Money WITHOUT Owning Rentals
Episode Date: October 2, 2023Want passive income? Well, DON’T invest in rental properties. Buy REITs (real estate investment trusts) instead. Yes, you read that right. Although rental properties are a phenomenal way to b...uild wealth and cash flow and pay fewer taxes on your income, they aren’t the most “passive” type of investment around. Between the 2 AM tenant phone calls, leaky toilets, evictions, and common headaches of owning a house, rental properties might not be worth the extra incomefor most Americans. But REITs probably are. REITs are traded on the stock market just like your favorite index fund. The difference between REITs and traditional stocks? REITs let you buy a share in a large landlord company, which passes their income down to you via dividends and often an appreciating share price. And now, as many commercial real estate values are dumping, top REITs could be selling at a HUGE discount. So, how do you start investing in them? We brought Jussi Askola on to help. Jussi runs Leonberg Capital, where he consults with some of the largest REITs in the world. He also writes the “High Yield Landlord” newsletter for Seeking Alpha and is arguably the world’s most up-to-date REIT expert. In today’s episode, Jussi gives you a top-to-bottom breakdown of REIT investing, who should (and shouldn’t) invest in them, how to know whether one is worth buying, and why rentals PALE in comparison to the passive income REITs provide. In This Episode We Cover REITs vs. rental properties and why one beats the other on profit and passive income potential How to make TRULY passive income by investing in REITs today Private vs. public REITs and which are safer, easier to exit, and provide better returns The MASSIVE REIT discount in today’s stock market and which companies are worth investing in REIT industries to avoid in 2023 that may continue to see their prices drop And So Much More! Links from the Show BiggerPockets Money Facebook Group BiggerPockets Forums Finance Review Guest Onboarding Join BiggerPockets for FREE Connect with Scott on BiggerPockets Grab Scott’s Book, “Set for Life” Listen to All Your Favorite BiggerPockets Podcasts in One Place Apply to Be a Guest on The Money Show Podcast Talent Search! Money Moment Passive Income (Without the Properties!) by Investing in REITs w/Matt Argersinger What Are REITs And How Can You Invest In Them? Click here to check the full show notes: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/money-455 Interested in learning more about today's sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email us: moneymoment@biggerpockets.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Welcome to the Bigger Pockets Money Podcast, where we interview UC Eskola about real estate investment trusts or REITs.
Hello, hello, hello. My name is Scott Trench, and with me today is my MVP, CFP co-host Kyle Mast.
Hey, Scott, good to be here.
All right. Kyle and I are here to make financial independence less scary, less just for somebody else,
to introduce you to every money story and every type of real estate investment or other investment,
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Kyle, I cannot be more excited about today's episode.
UC is just the kind of perfect guest to talk about REITs, real estate investment trusts,
a publicly traded, in many cases, way to get exposure to real estate. An asset class has been
hammered over the last 18 months to the tune of like 30% across the board and just maybe
presents a tremendous opportunity that we've been ignoring or overlooking here at bigger pockets.
And wow, is this guy pretty smart on this topic? This is a must listen episode.
100%. This is exciting. This guy knows his stuff. And this is definitely a neglected topic in
the real estate sector. So people are going to get a lot out of this episode. I'm excited for everyone
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UC Ascola is president of Leonberg Capital, a boutique advisory firm specializing in real
estate investment trusts.
UC also writes the number one REIT investment.
newsletter on Seeking Alpha, which I am a subscriber to and follower of, and has a YouTube
channel where he discusses REIT news and investment ideas. You see, it's so great to have you here
on the Bigger Pockets Money podcast. Thank you so much for joining us. Thank you very much for inviting
me. As I was telling you before this, before we started, this is my very first podcast ever,
so I'm very excited. Awesome. Well, we're honored. You came on here first and really grateful.
So would you mind starting off things by telling us a little bit about yourself and how you became
interested in real estate and investing? I come from Finland. I was born in a family of real
estate professional. So I've been going to, from one construction site to another already from a very
early age. I decided to go into real estate quite early as well. Basically during high school,
I was already running my own small business. It was an e-commerce business and I was earning a bit
of profits already from it. And so I bought my first rates at about 15 years.
old. Already back then, I was very interested in real estate investing. I really love this idea of being
able to buy your property with the bank's money, have your tenant reimburse it. And by the time,
your mortgage is paid off, you own a property free and clear that has likely gained a lot of value.
But back then, I wasn't able to buy real estate just yet because the profits were not quite large
enough. So I bought rates instead. And so that was kind of my introduction to rate investing. Later on,
I went to study finance with a specialization in commercial real estate.
It's quite common in Europe to specialize quite early on already at the bachelor level.
So that's what I did.
I also did the CFA curriculum.
I passed three levels.
Then I landed my first job in private equity real estate in Dallas, Texas.
So I was there for a little while.
But eventually I wanted to set up my own thing.
And so that's what I did.
Awesome.
And can you define REIT for us for the audience?
What is a REIT and are there special rules or differences between a REIT and a public stock company, for example?
Yes. So REIT stands for real estate investment trust. It's essentially a company, a corporation,
that holds a lot of real estate for the purpose of generating rental income.
And it has, it enjoys special tax benefits. And so you have to fulfill a bunch of different
requirements. One of them is that you need to pay out 90% of your taxable income in the form
of dividend. But there are many other requirements. And if you fulfill those, then you can,
you don't have to pay any corporate taxes. So that's the main benefit really of the rate
structure. They can be private. They can be public. In my case, I'm mostly invested
interested in the public listed rates. But yeah, so in short, that's what a read is.
You see, you are an expert at analyzing and evaluating the prospects and potential, the returns,
whether REITs are going to perform well or not.
How does one analyze the performance or expectations of a REIT?
Do we look at the net asset value of the properties underneath them?
Do we look at the income?
Do you look at a combination?
How do you make these calls and how have you developed the expertise in making these judgments
about the potential of these opportunities?
Yeah, so that's a good question. I think it's important to start here by, you know, remembering that a REIT is a real estate investment.
So a lot of the things that you will look in a real estate property will also apply to REITs.
So the first thing that you might look for is what are the properties that the REIT owns?
What's their quality?
What's their rent level?
What's the occupancy rate?
All these same factors that would typically be interested in as a real estate investor.
But then beyond that, because these are large corporations, you also need to analyze quite a bit their management.
Is the management good? Is it well aligned with shareholders? What's their track record? What's the strategy that they are following? Is it really creating value for shareholders?
Or are they trying to extract value for themselves in the form of fees or salaries? Then the balance sheet obviously is very important, especially today in today's rising rate environment.
So you look at a lot of different metrics. We can discuss those a bit later also if you want to in more detail.
things like debt to EBITA, the loan to value.
But yeah, so in short, you know, you're looking at the same things.
You will be looking in a private real estate investments, but then you'll add some additional
elements see these are large public listed companies.
Awesome.
So what's the difference between a REIT and a syndication investment?
So those syndication will typically be a private vehicle, so you're not going to have as much
liquidity in most cases.
They're also typically going to be smaller in size, so much more.
concentrated. The management will typically be external, which leads to greater conflicts of
interest and less economies of scale, because the sponsor will typically charge a fee based
on the assets and the management, as well as maybe a cut of the profits on the back end,
maybe also some acquisition fees, some disposition fees, and so on. Whereas the read typically
is going to be public, it's going to be liquid, it's going to be enjoying significant economies
of scale because of this, because of its scale. The management will typically be internalized,
which means that the executives are working as employees for the read. They are not earning
fees based on the assets and the management. Instead, they will be earning salaries based on
the real performance of the rate. So it's going to better align the interest between the
manager and the shareholder. So, yeah, I think that those are really the main differences and
also the reason why I prefer rates versus syndications. Well, that's a good segue.
to the next question. We were just going to ask you, you know, what's the advantage of a REIT for someone
who wants to kind of get into real estate investing as opposed to maybe direct investment in real estate?
And then maybe you can kind of, along with that, you know, what's a typical return?
You know, that's hard to estimate, I know, but kind of give an idea there.
And a time horizon for an investment like this, too.
I could give you a really long answer to this question because I really enjoy this topic of
REITs versus rental properties or syndications. I'm going to make it a bit shorter and we can then
expand on it. But in short here, I think that REITs offer better returns in most cases than private
real estate. They also safer than private real estate in most cases. And on top of that,
you also enjoy many other benefits here because this is, you know, it's going to improve, I think,
your lifestyle and also allow you to really focus on your career. So those,
in short, better returns, lower risk, and it actually improves your lifestyle, which is not always the case with rental properties.
Oh, man, shots fired.
Shots fired on the rental property one.
Love it.
Well, so let me ask you this, but haven't reits had a pretty bad year and a half, two years here?
And, you know, what would you say to the owner of maybe some single family rentals or duplexes out here in the States that haven't seen their properties come down by,
that much at this point. How would you make that argument to somebody who's in that position?
So you're totally right. Rites are down heavily in the recent past. They've dropped by about
30% on average since the beginning of 2022. And so over the short run, you're going to have time periods
when private real estate is going to do four better than rates. But over long time periods of
multiple decades, I believe that Ritz are going to do better than rental properties. And there are
There are studies to back this up.
There's also strong reasoning behind this argument,
and we can go into this reasoning in more detail if you want to.
Absolutely.
Let's do it.
That sounds like a fun topic here.
Do you want me to give you the long answer or the shorter one for this?
Because I can make it really long and comprehensive.
We want you to make the strongest case you have and to nerd out to the best of your ability on the topic.
That's the fun thing.
That's where everyone gets smarter.
So why rates are more rewarding than rental properties in most cases?
Before I dive into this, I think it's very important to correct some misconceptions that are very common on this topic.
The first misconception that I see all the time is investors will assume that REITs are less rewarding because you cannot buy REITs with a mortgage.
But this reasoning is wrong because REITs already leveraged investments.
when you're buying shares of a rich, you're buying the equity. And so it's the equivalent of
your down payment. Reitz will then add leverage on top of it in the form of a mortgage, or
it can also be in the form of bonds, convertibles, preferred equity, lots of different forms of
capital to leverage your equity. And so you enjoy the same benefit as if you were buying a rental
property. I would argue that you enjoy even better benefits of leverage because reits in most
cases might get better terms than you could because these are large diversified public
listed companies, banks will be much happier to work with those than with a small rental
property investor, which is typically a riskier profile. So that's the first misconception to get
out of the way. Then the second one that I see often is that people assume that rates are less
rewarding because they must pay their managers large salaries. And so investors will assume that
they can save those expenses by taking care of their properties themselves. But, you know,
and it's true that rates are paying millions to their top executives. But because
does they enjoy such a large scale, the management cost as a percentage of the total assets is actually
going to be very small and much smaller than that of private properties in most cases.
Here we can take the example of realty income, which is one of the most popular rates in the
world, maybe the most popular.
Its management cost as a percentage of its total assets is just 30 basis points every year.
If you own a rental property and you out towards the management to a property manager,
it's going to be a lot more expensive than this.
If you do it yourself and you actually count how many hours you spend on it,
give some dollar amount to this, to account for the value of your labor,
it's also going to be more expensive in most cases.
Then the third misconception is on taxes.
Rental property investors think that they enjoy the best tax benefits,
that REITs are not even comparable.
But once more, this is not really the case, in my opinion.
I actually pay less taxes investing in REITs than in rental properties.
And so rental properties are very tax-efficient. I agree with this. A big part of this is the non-cash depreciation, which allows you to defer a lot of the taxes for into the future. But REITs enjoy very similar benefits. For one, REITs in most cases will retain about 30 to 40% of their cash flow within the company. Remember that the rule of 90% applies to taxable income, which is much lower than cash flow because of non-cash depreciation.
And so whatever the rate is going to retain in most cases 30 to 40% is not taxed because rates don't pay corporate income tax. It's fully tax deferred.
Then secondly, a portion of the dividend income is typically going to be classified as return of capital. This is also fully tax deferred.
Then third thing to consider is that the portion of the dividend income that's actually taxed is going to enjoy a 20% deductible.
So that reduces your taxes even further. And then fourth and final here, rate,
will typically invest in lower yielding, faster growing properties like e-commerce warehouses,
data centers, cell towers, and so on. And so a larger portion of their returns is going to come
from long-term growth and appreciation which once more is fully tax-defeared. And if all of that is
not enough, you could just put your rates in a tax-deferred account and defer the rest of it.
So there's not a significant advantage here for rentals, despite seeing that all the time in
various comment sections debating this topic. And then the final misconception is I see all the time
rental property investors claim that they are earning 20, 25, 30% annual total returns. In some
rare cases, this may be the case, but in most cases, I think that they are simply miscalculating
their returns. Warren Buffett became the richest investor on earth by compounding at 20% per year.
So I just don't buy into it that your average rental property investor is doing better than that by doing it as a side gig.
I think what's happening here is that they are miscalculating their returns in two ways.
The first and most important is that they are not accounting for the value of their own labor.
They will spend countless hours finding the right deal, negotiating it, financing it, then renovating it, finding the tenant, managing the property and so on.
And really it's countless hours that goes into it.
If you now decided that each hour is worth $30 and you deducted this amount from your returns,
you would see that a very big portion of your return is actually just your labor.
It's not the return on your invested capital.
And I think you really should deduct this because you could use all this productive time
to work extra hours at your main job or a side hustle or anything else.
So if you want to really see the real return on your invested capital, you need to deduct this.
And then secondly, I think that investors will also commonly make the mistake of looking at their typical year, the typical good year.
They will, let's say it's 15%, 20%, the return on your typical year.
But in real estate, you have good years, let's say you have five good years, and then on year six, you have some major expenses because you need to reinvest in your property.
This may cost you one or even two years of rental.
income. If you now calculate the average return over these six years, your return is going to come
down quite a bit. So now with these misconceptions out of the way, we can discuss a few research
studies that have been made on this topic comparing the returns of rates versus those of
private real estate as well as private equity real estate fund. You want to say something's
class. I just, you know, because we have a lot of real estate investors who are probably like,
he's kind of right on a couple of those points. I want to agree.
with you and then provide a couple of other things for your reaction here for a second. So first,
I want to see your $30 an hour of finding a good deal and raise you. I think that in order to buy
a rental property responsibly, you need to put in, and you'll find many of our investors do,
hundreds of hours of self-education, like the one that perhaps folks are consuming right now,
listening to this podcast, right, which is valuable time. Maybe you're doing something else or
driving or at the gym or whatever while you're listening to this. But that's,
is on top of the time that you've just described there.
About the dollar per hour value of that time, I often have thought that real estate's a really
valuable activity for someone to get into when they're perhaps a lower or middle or maybe even
lower upper middle class, if that makes any sense, right?
In those ranges, because, you know, if you're a doctor or lawyer, you're probably not going to
want to put in all those hours at $30, $40, $50 an hour depending on how you value that time
at that point in time. But it can be rewarding, more rewarding the many side hustles that are available
to you if your dollar per hour time is less than that, for example. So I think you see a lot of folks.
And once you pay that price to get into it for the first five years and know how to do all this,
you can then reap the benefits for the rest of your career. So that's one nuance, I think,
to your argument that I largely agree with, you see, around straight rental property investing.
And then I want to give you one challenge and see how you react to it on this. One of the things
that I enjoy, I think, is an advantage as a real estate investor with a portfolio here in Denver
over by competition in the, or my alternative choice in investing in REITs is the ability to
have used and to continue to use fixed 30 year low interest rate debt that reduces my risk
and maybe amplifies my returns in a way that REITs are typically not able to access with the same
the same low risk and low rates.
Would you agree with that as a potential advantage for the little guy here?
Definitely.
Those are two good counterpoints, and I agree with you here.
And I also, I don't want to sound here as if I'm just bashing on private real estate.
I think private real estate is a great investment.
I'm just making the argument that I think that treats us slightly better in most cases for most people.
This is awesome.
We want the listeners to get a challenge and to think outside of the box.
and, you know, you're both kind of touching on something here that everyone needs to realize what
kind of investor they are.
What's your hourly wage normally?
What do you desire to do with your time if you're a professional and, you know, like the publicly
traded reeds are by magnitude more passive than anything you can do on your own in real estate?
I mean, that in itself, if, and we'll get into these research studies you were referencing,
I would love to hear about this next.
but that in itself, even if someone were to prove, you know, I can do a lot better.
If I do it on my own in real estate, even with my hourly wage, even if they can kind of make that case, in my opinion, you actually need to do quite a bit better.
Because if you're putting that much time and your resources into it and it's only a little bit better, well, man, that's not worth it if you can be fairly passive with these publicly traded reeds.
And to reinforce UC's point here, you know, in those high returns, 15, 20, 25%, maybe they are being achieved by some real estate investors. But if so, it's typically going to be in the first few years of the hold. And it only can be sustained if you're consistently applying very high leverage to those deals. And that maybe is another advantage that the little guy enjoys over REITs where they can actually leverage much higher.
up to 75% LTV with this kind of fixed rate debt.
And in the acquisition, 85 or even 95 to 100, you know, 100% if you're an owner occupant
in those first deals.
So maybe that's a part of that as well.
And then one last thing I'll also throw in there before we let you resume your wonderful
thoughts here at UC is the efficiency of the market, right?
A listener might argue with you and say, well, REITs are already priced appropriately
because smart guys like UC are constantly debating the actual, the,
value of those things. But there's a lot of good deals to be found in my local neighborhood because I
know how to add a bedroom or do the work there to create some value on the upswing.
So those are three very good counterpoints. I want to quickly address all three of them.
The first one was on the hourly wage. And I completely agree with you that the more you value your
time, the less sense is going to make to invest in rental properties. If you're a doctor,
you're a lawyer or your busy entrepreneur that's earning a good amount of profits through his own
business, then probably buying rental properties makes less sense. But then, yeah, if your hourly
wage is relatively low, it makes more sense. But even then, you know, if you really calculated
all the amount of time you're spending, educating yourself, and then finding the deals,
doing all the work, even if you value your time, let's say, $15 per hour, I would argue that
the returns would change very drastically in most cases and it becomes.
quite a bit less rewarding. But here you could also make the argument that it's work you enjoyed
and make sense. And a lot of people enjoy this type of work. But then to your second point,
and this is probably, I think, the strongest argument in favor of investing in private real estate.
And I myself own some private real estate. This is one of the reasons why you can really
use even more leverage. In some specific cases, I think it makes sense with some limits,
though. There are some limitations to it. But you know, REITs, they typically don't use.
quite as much leverage, but on the flip side, they're going to be having, they're going to have
access to a much larger variety of capital, as I mentioned earlier. So they can use mortgages,
they can use bonds, convertibles, preferred equity. Typically, REITs will have a bunch of debt. Let's say
they will have a 40 or 50% LTV and then they'll add still a bit of preferred equity to
leverage your common equity even more. So you're still getting a very good, you know, bump from all
of that leverage as a common shareholder of a REIT, even if it's not quite as much of that in
the case of a private rental property, perhaps. And then your third counterpoint that was,
what was it again? Can you remind me quickly? I wasn't counting all the counterpoints.
I wish I could remember, too. I think it was the hourly rate of time can be worth it.
And then the leverage, the local neighborhood. The local neighborhood, yes. The efficient market.
Right, the efficiencies of the market. So I agree that there are inefficiencies in the private market,
but I would argue that this applies very much also to the public reed market because when you
think of reeds, they're a bit of an odd category because, you know, they are right in between
real estate and stocks. And real estate investors typically don't trust the stock market,
and then stock market investors typically don't understand real estate. And as a result,
you have quite frequent mispricings happening in the reed sector. I'm a dedicated reed analysts
and I specialize in this sector, but there aren't actually that many people doing what I'm doing.
And this is part of the reason why I have this platform today at such a young age,
because there are just not many people doing this.
Most investors in the REIT segment, there are generalist investment firms,
you know, generalist analysts looking at them with relatively little understanding about real estate,
and so not surprisingly, you have mispricing Zoker.
I could point you to several examples of REITs, and we can discuss this later,
that at today price at very large discounts to the value of their properties.
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most folks, it can be a little eye-opening. That's why I like Monarch. It helps you see exactly
where your money is going and more importantly where your tax refund can make the biggest impact.
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net worth, and future planning together in one dashboard on your phone or your laptop.
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But so these are my three quick counterpoints to your counterpoints, which I think are
valid and very good.
But so there are a few research studies that have been made on this topic
comparing the returns of both.
And the main conclusion here is that reads typically all,
perform private real estate by about 2 to 4% per year on average.
And this may sound surprising to some of you, but I think it's a result that's very much
expected because rates enjoy significant economies of scale in the management, which we discussed
earlier.
They also enjoy significant economies of scale in all their other costs.
Let's take the example of an apartment rate here that does a deal with a contractor in a
specific city to change 100 carpets each year.
naturally it's going to get a much better rate with this contractor than you could as a private rental investor changing one carpet every year.
But this applies really every cost.
They're going to pay less brokerage fees.
They're going to even their property taxes.
Reitz are going to have legal team working for them full time.
They're going to be able to fight the property tax hikes and so on.
So they're able to be much more cost efficient on every level.
Then Reitz will typically also develop their own properties to earn higher returns and create value for shareholders.
This requires a lot of skill and resources.
Most private investors are not able to do that themselves.
Rites have better access to a wide variety of capital,
which allows them to really take advantage of some distortion in the market.
Sometimes they're priced at a discount to the NAV.
They can buy back shares, creating value for shareholders.
Sometimes they are priced at a premium to NAV.
They can issue equity in the public market, raise it,
buy more properties at a positive spread,
which then results in growth on a cash flow per share basis.
What else? Rates have the best talent working for them.
That obviously helps.
They're able to pay them very generously because of their large scale
and it's still very much cost efficient.
Reeds can also enter other real estate related businesses
to earn additional profits thanks to their platform.
To give you an example here,
farmland partners, which is one of the biggest farmland rates,
it has also a brokerage business.
So it's going to help some third parties sell their farmland and earn fees.
You as a shareholder, you participate in these profits as well.
So I think these are the main reasons why rates have been able to be, have been more rewarding in the past.
According to those studies, and in my opinion, it makes sense.
How about syndications?
We've seen a lot of headlines in the last year about syndicators.
There's a lot of social media folks who raised a lot of money and built a business.
big name and built syndications, and many of those are in trouble. Some are going to jail,
and others are facing lawsuits here. Are we seeing those kinds of distractions and problems in the
reed space, or is that more limited to this kind of syndication or private fund market,
the private reed market? So bankruptcies in the reed sector, especially for public reeds, are
extremely rare. And I think we've had a handful of them over the past 10 years.
And when you think of it, it makes sense that they are rare because most reits are conservatively financed.
They are widely diversified.
In most cases, they're going to own Class A properties.
And so it's quite hard to screw it up.
There are some exceptions.
The few bankruptcies have been mall rates that were over leveraged.
And so it can happen, but it's really rare in the reed sector.
Considering the syndicators, it's much more common because there are much greater conflicts of interest and they will typically use a lot more leverage.
and they will also be concentrated.
So again, normal, it's quite normal that this happens.
The operators, the sponsors also might not be quite as skilled.
Perhaps they are skilled at raising capital,
but not quite a skill that's actually investing that capital.
If you ask me, I would think that these syndication is actually the worst option of all
if you're going to invest in real estate,
especially those that have been promoted heavily by, you know,
influencers who have questionable backgrounds in the real estate space.
I think that it's a much better option perhaps to learn it and do it yourself than invest in some of those syndications that I've seen online.
And I'm sure there are exceptions. This doesn't apply to all of them.
But some that I've seen online suffer extremely large conflicts of interest.
They're just incentivized basically to do as many deals as they can.
Just deploy the capital, whether the deal is good or not.
They charge huge fees, which will really impact your bottom line.
And then they will use way too much leverage.
And so then they end up in these situations that you just said,
mentioned. Yeah, I think I think you really highlighted on something there that we want to make sure,
like this is, we are painting a pretty, a pretty pretty picture of publicly traded reits,
which is very good. I mean, this is awesome for our listeners to hear this way of investing in
real estate that does not include a property with the sewer line breaking and you having to spend
three years of rental income to fix it. But we also need to, you know, UC, let us know some of the
risks that are out there. You know, I know some from my C.
FP background, some of the products that exist, they're not all publicly traded on exchanges.
There are non-traded public rates. There are things you're talking a little bit on high commission
products, high fee products. There's some high commission products that are brokered through
broker dealers. You know, there's other, there's other things out there. So if an investor is hearing a
reet to invest in, it doesn't necessarily mean this publicly traded with a ticker symbol reet,
which it could be, and there could also be some risks there, but maybe just hit on, like, the biggest
risks you see if someone's like, I need to go down this avenue of looking at real estate investment
trusts, what are they, what's a red flag they need to watch out for? Yeah, that's a great point.
And perhaps I should have clarified this a bit earlier in the call that most of the time, you know,
when I'm referring to rates, I'm really referring to the publicly listed rates, which are very
different from the private, non-traded rates, which are, in my opinion, I mean, I would
put them in the same category as the syndications that I discussed earlier. In most cases,
they are not any better. They exist in many cases for the main purpose of extracting fees from
investors. They will be externally managed. They will earn a fee based on the total volume of assets
under management. They might also earn acquisition fees, disposition fees that will incentivize
them to trade in and out of properties. They will try to raise as much capital as they can to maximize
their fee income. And that's not in the interest of the shareholder or the investor in most cases.
They also use too much leverage.
There are commissions, as you mentioned, also quite often.
So that's a super awesome overview of the risks.
And I just want to highlight one of those risks a little bit deeper just because of me experiencing it.
The firm that I first started at, you know, when someone's looking for a financial planner,
you want to look for a fee-only financial planner.
You want someone who you're going to pay, you know what they're paying them.
And a lot of, there's a lot of products out there from insurance to investments to non-traded,
public reits that offer a commission to certain types of financial advisors. And I guarantee
someone's listening to this podcast who has been offered one of these by a quote,
financial advisor. So if you're hearing from a someone who could potentially sell you a financial
product, if you're hearing about a reet, you need to ask a lot of questions because sometimes
these, they're called non-traded public reits. So they have the word public in there, which makes
them sound like they're traded on an exchange, but they're non-traded. So basically the structure
of them is the advisor, quote, advisor that's selling it to you often gets a seven to 10% commission
for selling you this product. And there's basically, they'll give you a time frame of a potential
liquidity event, and it's usually four to seven years or something like that. But it can be 20 years.
It can be no, it can be never if it was at the top of the recession, which I saw some of these
sold to people and they just completely went to nothing. But this is what UC has talked about.
Some of these, they over leverage, they got too excited. And the products are created
to make fees for the managers and make commissions for the people selling them.
Not that the people selling them that are bad people, but you just need to ask questions
because this is a product that is in offices of financial institutions that you know the names of,
and they will come up.
If you have any decent amount of net worth, these will be presented to you as an alternative
investment of some sort.
So just keep your ears open for that.
What UC is talking about are publicly traded reits that have the scale, have
the low fees that can really be a passive investment. And they have liquidity too. That's something
we haven't really touched on here. The liquidity of a publicly traded reet, it functions essentially
a lot like a mutual fund from a trading standpoint if you want to move in and out of most of these.
Yeah, no, you're correct. I mean, if you're buying a public listed rate, it's just like any other
public listed company. It's quite easy to buy the shares. It's quite easy to get out of it as well.
If you're individual investor, you're probably not going to run into liquidity issues with a public listed company.
But then, yeah, there are these public non-traded rates, and with those, it's quite different.
I mean, the biggest one in the world is one run by Blackstone.
It's quite a good public non-traded rate, actually.
It may be one of the best.
So, by the way, there are some exceptions.
Some of them can be decently good, even though I still probably wouldn't invest in them.
But so Blackstone and its public non-traded rate recently,
run into this issue. It has a redemption plan that allows investors to gradually get out of the
rate if they want to, but if too many of them suddenly want to get out, then they have to just
halt it and it's not possible. And that's what they experienced recently. But yeah, liquidity with
public listed rate, in my opinion, is a major advantage. I feel like a lot of real estate investors
see it more as a disadvantage because it leads to volatility at times, like we experienced now in the
recent years, but if you're a long-term-oriented investor with a landlord mindset, you can really
take advantage of this liquidity then to pick up more shares at heavily discounted prices.
So let's, yeah, so let's dive into, all right, we've defined all the other alternatives to
the word reet. We know you're, when you're using the word reet, you see you're talking about
a publicly traded reet. Let's talk about that market and good and bad within the sector.
now that we've kind of thoroughly dissected the alternatives in the landscape here.
Where are we at from an overall status in the market?
We talked about it being down.
And where should people be looking?
Where are you looking for good and bad in the space at this point?
Yeah.
So it's a very vast and versatile sector.
There are over 200 public listed rates in the U.S. alone.
There are also 30 additional countries in the world that now have reits or reit-like entities.
So it's a really vast and virtual sector.
and while I may sound like I'm very bullish on REIT and I only have good things to say about REITs,
this really isn't the case in reality.
There are a lot of REITs that I will stay away from.
Some that are publicly listed still suffer management issues despite most of them being well aligned with shareholders.
A good example from the top of my head is a rate called Global Net List, sticker symbol G&L.
It has attractive properties, but over the long run it has done very much.
very poorly for its shareholders because the management has really looked out for its only interest, in my opinion.
Then there are also some property sectors that you probably want to stay away from.
Today, well, the most obvious one that probably comes to the mind of most people are offices.
Myself, staying away from offices, the valuations may seem cheap today because they've come down quite a bit.
But, you know, if you now account for all the capex, the leverage and so on,
perhaps the valuations aren't that cheap.
So that's one sector to stay away from.
There are some others as well that I'm not quite as bullish.
I don't like hotels quite as much.
I don't like data centers.
So there are many sectors that I don't like.
There are also some countries that I'm not as bullish on as others.
There are some exceptions of rates that are also way over leveraged.
Today, the average loan to value in the reed sector is only about 40%.
It's even a bit less than that.
So that's very conservative.
but some REITs have decided to take on more risk and today they are paying the consequences
following the surge in interest rate.
So the bad stuff to look for really is, you know, the wrong property sector at the wrong
time, then some over-leveraged balance sheet.
There are some exception of REITs that are poorly managed.
And then finally, one point that you want to also consider is that while REITs valuation
have come down a lot, there are still some REITs that are priced quite aggressively when
you account for the higher interest rates today.
And so while I'm bullish on the sector, it's still one in which you need to be very selective.
What do you make of the fact that a lot in a lot of commercial and multifamily real estate sectors,
cap rates, the amount of cash flow of property, the percentage of cash flow property will generate
relative to its purchase price are lower than interest rates in a lot of cases?
Do you think that there's a lot of room for these prices to come down in a lot of these sectors?
Or should we be afraid of REITs for the near time?
Or is it a buying opportunity because it's already down 30%.
Yeah.
So I think it depends heavily on what's your expectation for interest rates in the coming years.
I mean, one of the reasons why the cap rates haven't moved that much in the private market,
I think is because most investors are predicting that interest rates are going to come down in the coming years.
I think it's worth remembering here that, I mean, the reason is the reason.
reason why interest rates were high so much is because we're dealing with high inflation.
I think I still bind to the idea that the inflation was transitory. It happened because of
the pandemic, the stimulus, then Russia's brutal invasion of Ukraine, obviously, also made things
worse. But then we hiked interest rates. Now inflation is coming back down. If you adjust for
real-time shelter, I think it's already backed at the target rate of the Fed of 2%. And so do we need
is high interest rates for for much longer. I would argue, I mean, anyone who makes predictions
about interest rates always wrong. I'll put that out there, but I would probably argue that it's
quite likely that interest rates will come down in the coming years. And if that's the case,
then perhaps cap rates won't expand quite as much. Then another reason why cap rates haven't
expanded so much is because rent growth has been so strong in many of these property sectors.
Inflation was hot and so rents were also rising. And so investors were willing to,
to sacrifice on the cap rate to get this growth
because they could see the normalized forward cap rates
being quite a bit higher once those rents get hiked in the future.
But yes, I mean, would I buy an apartment community in Dallas, Texas
at a 4.5% cap rate today?
I probably wouldn't.
But would I buy a REIT that specializes in Texan apartment communities
at an implied cap rate of 6.5% or even 7%?
that's much more attractive to me.
And this is because reeds are so heavily discounted today.
That's an awesome argument.
Love that.
Yes.
I think you touched on something right there.
You know, the behavior of these publicly traded reeds behaves a lot.
The trading behavior, I'll say the trading behavior, behaves a lot like a mutual fund or a stock
as far as emotional upswing and downswings.
And when you advise people to invest in those sort of things, a lot of times dollar cost averaging
is the simple, easy, lazy way to invest over the long term and a good way.
And if you're doing these publicly traded,
REITs, when you're investing in a mutual fund like VTSAX, an index fund, do you see a 30% drop in the
market? What do you think if you're a really good investor and you have a really good long-term
time horizon and that's your goal? This is a garage sale. This is the strongest argument
in favor of rates specifically today. You know, if you go in the private market, you go by your
rental property, prices are pretty high. You're going to go to your bank, ask for mortgage. Interest rates
also really high. But if you today go in the reed market, there are plenty of reeds priced at
huge discounts relative to the value of their private properties net of debt. In late
2022, the investment firm Janice and Henderson came out with a study that showed that
reads were priced on average at a 28% discount to the net asset value. Since then,
reed share prices have come down a bit further, even as their rents have kept on growing.
And that's just the average. There are a lot of rates that are priced at even lower valuations
than this. So we can maybe take an example here to illustrate my point. BsR RIT is a small cap
reed that owns a portfolio of apartment communities within the Texan triangle. So Dallas, Austin,
and Houston, which would probably argue, agree as some of the most, you know, attractive markets
for long-term-oriented investors because they're attracting, there are a lot of growth happening in them.
rent to income ratios are still very low compared to other major cities in the US.
And yet, despite that, and also, well, the RIT has a strong management team.
They own a lot of shares themselves.
They are buying back shares today.
They're doing watch right with shareholders.
They have a strong balance sheet with an LTV of about 40%.
And despite that, today, they are priced at a huge discounted and net asset value.
the NAV is about $21 per share.
They trade at about $12 per share today.
So that's a 40% discount.
So you're essentially buying an interest in this portfolio of apartment communities
at roughly 60 cents on the dollar.
That's very compelling to me.
And then on top of that, you also get to buy an interest in these properties
and then you assume the debt of this rate,
which is mostly fixed rate and has long maturities.
and so you also get the benefit of these cheaper interest rates of the previous years,
which you wouldn't get if you're buying a property today in the private market.
I think this is awesome.
And what a fantastic thing to end on there as a potential example for folks to go in and take a look at.
What do you do all day, you see?
What is your profession right now and where can people find out more about you?
As you said in the intro, I've run a small investment firm that specializes in rate investing.
It's called Lumber Capital.
We manage our own capital, but we also offer some research services, really three types.
We have a newsletter called High Yield Landlord that's hosted on Seeking Alpha.
We also offer customized research services to larger REIT investors like family offices, small private equity firms.
And then we also provide some consulting services to some REITs themselves to help them improve the investor communications.
So that's really taking a big chunk of my time on a day-to-day basis.
investing is really my passion and business in general is my passion.
And so I'm pretty much doing this the whole day.
So on seeking alpha, as I said, we have our newsletter called hired landlord.
There is a two-week free trial.
If I can put a little plug in here in case you want to access my REIT portfolio.
Then on top of that, I recently created a YouTube channel.
I created it earlier this year, so it's still relatively small.
But we are now approaching the 10,000 subscribers.
So if you can help us pass that, that will be really appreciative.
What's it called?
If you type UCASCola in the search bar, you'll find me, but the handle I think is Ask Ascola, Ask, J-U-S-S-I.
It's the same handle also on Twitter while I post some daily news on the REIT sector.
Everyone needs to go and check out UCASCola stuff.
We'll link to it all in the show notes here, and you can go check out the YouTube channel on high-yield landlord.
That's where I found you is on Seeking Alpha with a lot of the stuff you put out there.
Thanks for all the value you add to the community and your very compelling arguments in favor
of reads today. It was a true privilege to learn from you. And I think Kyle and I had a ton of fun.
So really appreciate it. Really, really respect your intelligence and the approach you take to
investing in the sector. Thank you very much, Scott. And to end this, I also wanted to add that,
you know, when I was still in high school, I was already reading, I think it was bigger pockets.
I was, and throughout my college as well, later on, I've been very actively following your
YouTube channel, all the content you put out there on your website. So it's been an inspiration for me.
And so I really appreciate that. All right, Kyle. That was UC Escola. What do you think at today's show?
It's always good when you hear somebody and they make you want to change your whole investment philosophy.
So, I mean, he just threw some great stuff out there that makes you really think through if you're a
real estate investor and you're doing it on your own or very directly, the incredible benefits of
not doing that, of doing it more passively and letting more professionals do it in these larger
funds. He just has a depth of knowledge that we just totally took advantage of today. And it was
great. Oh, yeah. I mean, how can you not help but leave today's episode just totally in total
admiration of UC? You know, who knows who's going to be right in the long term 30 years from now,
going to perform which other way. But what a really well-reasoned, well-crafted argument,
what a clear level of depth and understanding and due diligence over years, maybe a decade-plus
of just, I would call it an obsession that I got from him in understanding every intricate
detail of this market, the risks puts and takes opportunities within sub-sectors, how management's
compensated, understanding debt structures, all that kind of stuff. I mean, this is a true,
true expert. And I walked away admiring and really respecting his argument, even though I'm on
the other side of it as a single family and small multifamily rental property investor personally.
I probably will look into some rents, or some rents, into some reits. And like I told you,
I follow his newsletter and really respect a lot of his analysis. Yeah. I think this is a huge
benefit to the listeners because this fits a certain investor type. Everyone has a
different goal. Everyone has a different life stage. Everyone has different circumstances as far as
what they're doing with their time. And REITs are, if you are really into real estate and you want that
to be a big part of your investments, this is another great way to do it. And we touched on it a
little bit in the episode as far as like what your time is worth. And that really comes into play.
I mean, during the episode, I was constantly thinking about terrible properties I've had where I've
spent a lot of time where I shouldn't have. I was just two nights at one of my short term rentals
spending a lot of time there. I think it was worth it. We're doing a big renovation.
I needed to be there. But it just all these things are making me think and evaluate.
And an episode like this makes whether you continue to stay in your more direct investing in real estate,
that's fine. But just make sure that you listen to an episode like this to give you another perspective
to make sure you're making the decision that you should be making.
And I also thought he really handled my challenge of, well, hey, everything's down 30%.
Like, if that's not a crash, what's a crash in the sector?
You know, I think over the long run, you know, he's probably, you've got a very good reasoned argument.
And in the short run, hey, there's just a crash in the sector.
Maybe it's something to go and look into and do some research on as a listener for your own personal position.
Maybe maybe there's opportunity there and maybe now's the time.
If you can, if that's true and you can verify it with your own due diligence,
hey, there's a four and a half cap in Dallas.
That's pretty tough right now to believe in a lot of rent growth in the next couple years.
But if a reet is, oh, that owns a bunch of them is trading at six and a half.
an implied six and a half cap rate. That's a really compelling argument. Obviously, you've got to go do
your own due diligence and run all that stuff for yourself. But what is simple, but powerful.
Definitely. Yeah. Huge benefit to knowing more about this way of investing.
Well, should we get out of here, Kyle? Yeah. Let's do it. All right. From this episode of the Bigger
Pockets Money podcast, he is Kyle Mast and I am Scott Trench saying, won't be long, little fond.
If you enjoyed today's episode, please give us a five-star review on
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channel at YouTube.com slash BiggerPockets Money.
BiggerPockets Money was created by Mindy Jensen and Scott Trench, produced by Kaylin Bennett, editing
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