BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast - 849: Seeing Greene: How to Use Home Equity to Retire Early and HOA Headaches
Episode Date: November 27, 2023Have home equity? Well, you could retire early, thanks to it. If you bought a house from 2009 up until 2021, there’s a good chance you could be sitting on tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands, o...r millions of dollars in equity. But equity just sitting in a property isn’t doing much for you unless you can use it to retire early! Want to know how? Stick around; we’ll show you! We’re back on another Seeing Greene where average investor Rob Abasolo joins buff, strong, beautiful, and bald David Greene to answer your real estate investing questions. In today’s show, we talk to Anthony, a slow-and-steady investor who’s built up an impressive amount of equity over the past decade. He wants to retire early and use his equity to increase monthly cash flow. But what’s the best way to do it? Next, we share some public loathing of HOAs (homeowners associations) and how they can be the bane of your investing existence, plus when it’s time to sell a property in an HOA. Finally, an investor who is STRUGGLING to pay off her HELOC asks what the next best move to make is: work hard to pay it off the old-fashioned way or leverage ANOTHER investment to become debt-free faster. In This Episode We Cover: How to turn your home equity into cash flow and an early retirement Buying rental properties in cash and when it makes sense to forgo a mortgage Syndications vs. active investing and when you should stay away from “passive” income HOA headaches and why a homeowner association could ruin your cash flow Cash-hemorrhaging HELOCs and the fastest way to pay off bad debt And So Much More! Links from the Show Find an Agent Find a Lender BiggerPockets Youtube Channel BiggerPockets Forums BiggerPockets Pro Membership BiggerPockets Bookstore BiggerPockets Bootcamps BiggerPockets Podcast BiggerPockets Merch Listen to All Your Favorite BiggerPockets Podcasts in One Place Learn About Real Estate, The Housing Market, and Money Management with The BiggerPockets Podcasts Get More Deals Done with The BiggerPockets Investing Tools Find a BiggerPockets Real Estate Meetup in Your Area Be a Guest on the BiggerPockets Podcast David's BiggerPockets Profile David's Instagram Rob's BiggerPockets Profile Rob's Instagram Rob's TikTok Rob's Twitter Rob's YouTube BiggerPockets Podcast 636 with Amy Mahjoory (Part 1) BiggerPockets Podcast 352 with Diego Corzo Join BiggerPockets Pro and Start Investing for Financial Freedom TODAY Shop The BiggerPockets Store SALE and Get an Additional 10% Off with Code “BOOKS849” Ask David Your Question Hear More from Expert Flipper James Dainard on The “On the Market” Podcast Books Mentioned in this Show Pillars of Wealth by David Greene Connect with Anthony: Anthony's BiggerPockets Profile Click here to listen to the full episode: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-849 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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This is the Bigger Pockets podcast show 849.
What's going on, everyone?
It's David Green, your host of the Bigger Pockets Real Estate Podcast.
The number one real estate podcast in the world every week,
bringing you up-to-date information, how-toes and stories of successful investors
that include how they did it and how you can too.
Today's episode is a Seeing Green show, and I brought in some support.
Rob Abasolo joins me today as we answer your questions, our loyal listener base.
and we walk through what to do in different real estate conundrums.
Today's show we are going to cover a flip gone wrong with HELOC interest eating at a bank account.
What happens when HELOC's turn against you?
Why we would sell a particular deal that's doing well because it's in an HOA.
And we also had one listener submitted question that was so good.
We were incredibly intrigued that we had to bring them in to talk to them personally to get more information
and give as solid of real estate investing and financial advice as we possibly could.
you're going to love today's show. The topics are relevant for everybody that's trying to invest
and make it work in today's market, which is the trickiest market that I've ever seen.
Rob, what were some things that you think people need to keep an eye out for in today's show?
This is a good one, man. This keeps us on our toes as investors. I feel like we always understand
the core concepts and fundamentals of investing. So it is always nice to answer some of these questions
that are hyper-specific and hyper-newance because it forces us to sort of think outside of the boilerplate
investing advice sometimes and a little bit more like, okay, if we were going to apply this stuff,
here's exactly what we do from a tactical standpoint, day by day in our operations.
Yeah, in the real estate education space, which is where we are, it's been ridiculously easy
to give advice in the last decade. It was kind of like, here's how you calculate a property.
It's kind of like, here's how you analyze a property to calculate cash, a cash return,
now go buy it. The market is becoming so challenging that you're starting to separate the men from
the boys, the women from the girls. It's getting trickier. And so, in today,
Today's show, we're actually going to break down some of the nuances that people need to be looking at when they're investing to make sure that they don't lose money.
Now, if you would like to be featured on a seeing green episode, we would love to have you.
Head over to biggerpockets.com slash David.
The link is in the description.
So pause this.
Send me your question and jump back in to listen to today's amazing show.
Before we get into our first question, I've got a quick tip for all of you.
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Anthony is a longtime investor in California and Hawaii, much like me, and he joins us in the
recording studio to talk about what to do once you've built up some equity. Anthony, it's great to
have you. So let me give you just a brief, I guess, I hope it's brief background,
started real estate investing in 2009 slash 10. I've done hard money loans, you know, did the
fix up rehab, you know, cashed out a lot, not a lot, not a bunch, but you know, put a little cap
money in my pocket, which was able to get me to the next property and the next property.
And I've done that a few times, to be quite honest, and kind of crappy markets.
But it's gotten me to the point today where I've done that, traded up through 1031 tax
exchange, and I was able to kind of get into better properties.
I mean, here in Hawaii now I'm sitting on some nice real estate.
one property is worth quite a bit.
It's hard to put a number on it, but if you look at comps just on whatever,
you know, Zillow or whatnot, you know, I'm putting my one property at, you know,
somewhere around $2,0,290,000 on it, tons of equity, right?
All right.
I have another piece of property in a small community in Southern California.
I bought for $48K worth about $250 now.
I own those by myself.
My wife and I own our primary residence, which we purchased for $5.95, probably worth about 1.4 to 1.5 now.
And we purchased a vacant lot attached to our primary home for $195, probably worth $8.75 now.
So I'm sitting on a ton of equity.
Yay.
Yeah.
And look, and I'm making good cash flow on my rental.
It's grossing about $10,820 a month once you break it all down.
I mean, I'm roughly cash flowing $6K a month-ish, but I'm using that cash flow to support our life here
because it's a single income household.
I'm only making about $82K a year with my job.
That's not a lot in Hawaii.
You know, I'm going on a limb here, but I'm going to say that's not much over poverty line here in Hawaii
because everything costs double.
You know, a 2x4 here costs $6.25.
You know, I don't know what costs in the mainland, but I feel everything.
$2.25 cents?
$3.
Yeah, right.
Everything I do out here costs me double.
I do all my own rehabs.
As I mentioned earlier, you know, tradesmen.
So I do all my work while having a full-time job.
So when I was rehabbing that one property, man, I was working around the clock.
Literally just the only time I'd see my lady was I'd be in the shower and she'd served me lunch while I was showering,
getting ready to go to work. And I mean, I did that for like two years.
You know, but look at where I am. So I'm super happy.
I got a lot of equity feeling great about that, but I'm equitied up to here and kind of
don't care. I can't. I'm trying to get a he lock. Man, just throwing up bricks, man.
I'm not getting any, I'm not getting any traction there. I just went with a lender just recently.
Last week, a matter of fact, yesterday called him back. Finally got my phone after three calls.
oh, we're not going to do the he lock because it's in second position on a rental property,
but we got a he loan.
I'm like, that's great.
It doesn't mean no good.
I need the credit card effect.
I don't have any deals.
I'm not going to take a loan and just start paying for it monthly with nothing in the pipeline.
So really, where I'm stuck is tons of equity.
I'm 53.
I'm pretty bust up.
I've been doing a lot of work for a long time and my body hurts.
and I want to try to find a different path to continue investing in real estate,
and I really need to go after more cash flow.
I want to retire, but I want to retire to make a W-2 an option,
but I want to focus more on real estate.
I mean, if I just buy one house a year, fix it up, add to the portfolio,
add more cash flow, I'm super happy about that.
One additive piece of information, we are in the process of changing the lot lines
between the upper lot and the lower lot, and then we're going to sell that 1031 into a community
in California where we should be hitting about $2,000 to $2,400 a month cash flow based on my
calculations so far.
So, I mean, that's going to be a great boost, but I'm just trying to find the path forward
and I'm having a hard time as I've analyzed probably 30 or 40 deals in the last month
and I keep coming up with donuts.
Okay.
So the main crux of it is you've got a lot of equity.
and you can't really use it, right?
That's like, that's the main problem.
And if you could tap into that equity, you would use the equity?
100%.
I'd basically be my own hard money lender or private money lender,
however you want, whatever you want to use.
I'd go and buy it, fix it up, you know, refi out,
take the money back out, do it over again.
Okay, and then do you have any capital to put towards anything?
Liquid, not a bunch.
I just built a bunch of retaining walls.
I just spent a lot of cash over the last year, maybe $150K,000, fix up the properties.
And so I'm probably sitting on about $90k.
And then the only way you can really get cash is by the lot line adjustment where you're going to sell a lot off,
and that will be your watt of cash that you're then going to go and invest in a Southern California community?
That's correct.
Okay.
Is there any opportunity, just out of curiosity, to go with a new construction lender,
that can use your land as equity towards the down payment, basically, or use the equity in your land
towards the down payment, and then build on that piece of land.
That is an option, but we've been here in Hawaii 11 years, and my wife is not really
had a job because of what she does. She's a doctor of traditional Chinese medicine and acupunctures,
and they don't recognize her license here. So it's been single income. So I've been floating the
bill for her and her and her mom. So at one point, we were Airbnb and crushing it from 2016 to
right up into the pandemic. But Hawaii abolished that. They're super not into it. Get it. Understand.
So that was good. That was awesome. And I want to get back to the mainland to do that because we,
she was amazing. She was a super host. She was fantastic at it. You know, between the two of us,
we really crushed in that.
So I can't wait to get back into that because it's cool meeting new people from everywhere.
And it's a business and it's a lot of work.
But, you know, I'm a donkey and an ox.
So it's all good.
Great, great.
Okay.
And so, but what's the reason for not maybe turning over the stone on building a new construction on that lot?
Is it because you can't STR it?
No, she, no, she wants off the island.
She wants to go back to, she wants to.
She wants to go back to where she can have dignity of income.
She can have her own life here.
It's really, it's kind of one-sided.
I mean, I'm working around the clock and, you know, she's not.
And it's super imbalanced.
And to be fair to her, you know, she spent 11 years of her life here with me,
supporting me and, you know, building this, you know, small empire we have.
But I've got to give her, you know, I got to be fair.
Got it, got it.
Okay, so you won off the island, and that's why you're okay with selling that one lot.
And we are open to selling the house, but I'm like, oh, we're going to have good cash flow.
Let's not do that.
Because once we move out, hold on standby, sorry, I got this kind of pulled up here.
Once we move out, I did it kind of a light numbers out.
Once we move out and rent this out, because it's basically it's a duplex, duplex upstairs, downstairs.
We should be looking at roughly a cash flow at $2,100 a month.
So between the property, we potentially will 1030, 3,000.
1 and 2 on the mainland, we're, you know, we're looking at 5K a month in cash flow.
That's gross cash flow.
That's not accounting for some of the fix-ups and this and that.
But still, you know, 5K a month, that's, for most people, that's a monthly income from a W-2.
And that's in addition to the 6K that you're getting currently?
Correct.
Does that put you at 11?
Yeah.
I'm trying to get to 15, trying to 15 or 18.
You know, if I broke down all my numbers, basic household expenses, travel expenses,
travel expenses and reinvestment expenses.
If I hit 15 to 16K a month, I can basically retire and write my own story.
So we're going to have some cash and we're trying to make $4,000 to $5,000 a month.
Is that sort of $4 to $5 extra $1,000?
Correct.
And then how much cash will we have to do that outside?
Is it the 90 or is it the 90 plus the lot sale money?
I want to, I would, with a lot money, I would like to, that's,
1031 and with my cash on hand, I'd like to get into a new acquisition if possible.
So how much will that be total?
Um, well, uh, let's say we can get 875 for the lot.
You know, after fees and expenses, whatever, we got 825, 800,000 left over.
So, you know, we're close to 9, 890.
Let's call 890.
Simple math.
It's a good problem to have.
You're like, I'm trying to make $4,000, but I only have $900,000.
It's like, okay, well, at least you're not, at least you don't have $5,000.
You have 900,000.
I mean, if you could just even squeak out a, what, like a 10% return, you're looking at like, what, is that 9 grand a month?
Am I mathing that out correctly?
No, that'd be a little bit.
That'd be a 12% return.
Yeah, but like 80, 8,500 or something like that, right?
Yeah.
So it almost feels like you could, you could just, you know, since you, how close are you all to retirement?
Like, how many years away?
I'm 53 and I'm pretty beat up.
So I'm ready right now.
But like I said, retirement would continue with real estate.
Well, because it feels like, you know, typically I'd say if you were on the front end of the journey, it's like aggressive, aggressive short-term rentals.
As you kind of transition to the second half of the journey, that's where I feel like going more the long-term route's not a bad call.
It just takes a lot of acquisitions to do that.
However, you have the capital to do something like that.
So I might consider moving into some kind of, like, I know you like short term rental.
So maybe you could consider like a small multifamily that sort of brings everything together.
Like I'm a big fan of this model.
I'm trying to crack this right now with a couple of deals that I'm working through.
But small multifamilies that basically let me short term rent a couple, medium term rent a couple,
long term rents a couple.
That way I'm not taking on the complete risk of turning it all into a short term rental.
And I'm not sacrificing a ton of cash flow by making it all.
a long-term rental. And I'm, you know, I'm getting a diversified set of, of income from that. So is that
something that would be interesting to you is maybe getting into the multifamily space on a small
level? I forgot to mention. So I've probably, like I said, I ran about 30 or 40, you know, single-family
analysis. I've also probably done about 10 multifamily. I'm looking for anything from four units to
60 units, whatever. I've been looking at everything because I have a- That's where my mind went.
I think you need to get out into a better asset class.
I think you need to get into the multifamily space,
especially because I think you're going to be seeing some opportunity there in the next couple of years.
We're already starting to see opportunity there.
Rates are really high and you've got cash.
So these high rates aren't going to hurt you as much as your competition.
Everyone else competing with these assets,
they're trying to go and put 20% down.
They're trying to stretch that 20% as far as they possibly can.
And it has to cash flow and it has to get a high cash on cash return.
And it has to be in an area that isn't going to cause them.
a headache that you get at all these requirements to what you're trying to find in an asset it's
really hard to find everyone complains real estate sucks well you're going to be going in there 900,000
if let's say you buy a 1.5 million dollar asset you got to borrow 600 grand yeah those high
rates suck but they suck a lot less for you at 600 grand than somebody else would if they had to borrow
1.3 or 1.2 something like that to buy the same asset or even you buy something cash you could go in there
and buy something for $900,000 that nobody else,
and maybe it's worth a little bit more than that,
but they can't find a buyer because where rates are,
it doesn't work for another competitor, right?
I'd love to see you sell something out there
that's got a lot of equity and no cash flow
and exchange it for something that's meant to cash flow,
like commercial property.
I don't even know, yeah,
I don't even know if you'd need to go multifamily with that strategy.
I mean, whatever you want,
but I think, yeah, if you were open to that idea of just 10, 1030,
I mean, look, most real estate investors would be very angry at this advice.
But if you did pay cash for a $900,000 property, you could totally make $5,000 a month
on a short-term rental.
Like if you just went and bought a cabin in the Smoky Mountains, a lot of cabins out there
will cash flow, or so not cash flow, will gross $80,000 to $120,000 if it's like a five-bedroom.
And I think you could probably lock one down if it was an all-cash offer.
Granted, you're going to work for it, right? You still have to, like, run the business and everything
like that. That would be one option. The other thing I was going to say is, you said you're, you're,
tired, right? You know, if you just invested in some sort of fund or syndication that oftentimes,
like a lot of these right now are offering, like, an 8% preff on the money that you're investing,
8% on 895 is like $71,000, which is about $5,900 a month.
That would also get you to that and it would be 100% passive.
Obviously, you'd have to do your due diligence and you probably don't want to put it all
into one fund, put it into different to diversify.
But that would be a way to just completely be passive and not even have to like worry
about working for it.
So it just kind of depends on like, do you want it to be completely passive or do you
want to work for it and make a little bit more money?
One thing I should have added, so I apologize.
I'm 100% on board with the multifamily because my wife and I own that lower lot together.
She really has her heart set on eventually getting to this community we would buy in.
So that money is kind of earmarked for a very specific location.
So I'm not going to be, I'm going to use that money.
We're going to use that money for her wishes, right, to where we're going to eventually end up.
But as far as the syndication thing is, I've looked at,
into it a little bit. And, you know, with real estate, with the hard asset, the property itself,
I can analyze it, I can figure it out. And I know I'm the captain of the boat, and I'm not going to
let myself down. I feel with the syndication, I have to vet the property and the people.
And, you know, I was listening to the BP, you know, Bigger Products podcast.
or no, maybe it was on the market maybe and there was that syndication lost like 3,200 units.
And I'm like, yeah, that would really suck.
So who wants to be a part of that?
So I'm a little too conservative maybe.
Like right now when I'm sitting around waiting to do something, I'm buying T-bells for like 5.5% right?
I'm like, oh, that's cool.
I'm into that.
You know, no toilets, no roofs and no, that the variable, you know, that late in three,
of someone messing me up.
And I think I'd rather just me stay in charge.
I know I'm not going to screw myself.
That's what I like about multifamily.
You buy a 25 unit complex somewhere.
If you have to finance, you just don't finance as much of it.
You definitely don't finance 80%.
You do much less.
You have enough revenue coming off that you can put a management system in place
where somebody else is the front line that absorbs all the garbage.
And then you just tell them how you want them to handle the problems and then they go
execute it.
similar to a short-term rental, you could do something similar to that.
It's the asset you put your money in Anthony that's going to make the difference in the quality
of life, not the ROI.
Don't go chasing after the most growth you can get.
That worked great to get you to this point.
You're actually the poster child of what I tell everyone they should be doing is stop focusing
on cash flow when you're a young, able-bodied person that can work.
Focus on equity growth when that's the case.
And then when you get to the point of life where you're like, I don't want to work as much
like what you're saying, take all that equity, convert it into cash flow, and now you've got like
the perfect transition here. So even though you may feel frustrated, you've got all this equity in
Hawaii and you can't cash flow with it, you're actually the person that did everything right.
You're sitting on an incredible gold mine of several million dollars of equity and you don't need
to live in your primary residence because you're thinking about leaving Hawaii.
My brother, just like, don't go, don't put all three million into one deal and make mistakes.
and learn the hard way, okay?
Gently go out there and tip your toe into the water and see what it's like before you put
all of the money in there.
But put this into assets that are meant to cash flow.
Single family homes, though they do cash flow and they can cash flow, whenever meant to cash flow.
We have to find the perfect scenario in order to get that to happen, which was pretty easy
the last 10 years, getting a lot harder right now.
We're also probably heading into some kind of economic recession where I don't think
residential values are going to plummet, but I do.
I do think that it's going to be harder to find tenants.
It's going to be harder to pay their rents.
It's going to be harder to find opportunities.
I think the world, at least in our country, is about to hit a crunch.
We're going to feel it like we haven't had to fill it before.
So think about the location.
You want to be buying somewhere where there's going to be like steady jobs, where they're
not as likely to get laid off.
And if you don't have any leverage, you'll survive the storm that other people don't.
And if you keep some of that powder dry, you'll just start seeing more and more deals are going
to start popping up.
people running into financial problem.
People can't make their debt service payments.
People that have too much vacancy and they can't float it.
And I think that you'll be able to start gobbling some of these things up.
I mean, we don't talk about it.
But when rates are high, having a whole lot of cash is a really good thing.
Yes, sir.
And I appreciate that poster child thing, man, because half the time I feel like a boob.
I'm like, man, I've been doing this like 14 years and I still feel like an idiot.
Brother, there's someone that could be making 20 grand a month in cash flow.
And that comes out to a little bit less than a quarter million.
in a year, right?
It would take that same person like 13, 14 years to get to where you are right now.
And that's assuming that your equity never grows.
Okay.
And that's a 20 grand a month of cash that most people would give their right arm to be
able to be in that position.
You did it the way that you're supposed to.
You delayed gratification.
You bought it in the right location.
You forsake the immediate gratification of cashel that everybody wants.
You didn't quit your job.
You kept working.
You grinded.
Now you've got this big, big reward.
that you just have to make sure that you space it out in the right way,
that you put it in the right places, okay?
Like, don't just get like,
ah, I got to do something and get nervous and run out there
and buy something that you don't understand anything about.
I like Rob's advice.
Buy a cabin in the Smoky Mountains.
Your cash on cash return could be low,
but so is your risk.
And if it's paid for in cash,
the cash flow will give you the life that you want,
and that's what this is about.
It's about building a life you want,
not having your ego get pumped up
because you get to tell someone you have a 40% cash on cash return,
even if that turns out,
to be like $800 a month.
It doesn't really too much to change your life.
So I'm stoked to hear this story.
You're a millionaire and you're going to sell your property and have...
Multi-millionaire.
You're going to have 900K to make a lot of decisions that will make you even more money.
So you're good.
You just need to sit with it a bit, talk it out with your partner and I think you're
going to be just fine.
Hey, man, thanks you guys.
I would tell people to follow the Anthony method.
That's how much I like what you did.
Because everybody else is doing the opposite of you, man.
they're like, I don't want to work. Works hard. I just want cash flow, so I don't have to work anymore.
So they go buy this $40,000 duplex in a terrible area thinking that they're going to, if they
just buy five of them, they can quit at 26 and never have to work. And they just get themselves
into a hole that's horrible. It makes their life, it's like running with weights as they try to get
out of it. And you said, no, I'm okay with work. I'm going to put my money where it's going to
grow the most, which was in an area with constricted supply, scarce resources and growing demand,
Hawaii. Now it did exactly what it's supposed to do. It grew exponential rates.
You grew the equity that you had more control over.
Now go transition that into cash flow.
That's a better method in general for growing wealth than the crypto method,
which is like, nah, just buy a bunch of crypto, hit a pump, cash out,
and then never work again for the rest of your life.
It usually doesn't work out and people take that approach.
Yeah, I must have been dropped on my head because a lot of times I wake up looking for more work.
How do I, you know, I don't know what it is.
You know, my boy's going to come over a day and we're going to do some work on the house.
I'm here, man, let's do some more stuff.
I love it, man. I mean, if you could bottle that up and you could put it in an energy drink and sell it, I would invest in that project, right? We definitely don't need less people that want to work hard. The more someone can love work, the better position they're going to be. And that doesn't mean be a slave to your job, of course, right? You're doing work that you feel good about, that makes you feel better about yourself that you enjoy and that adds value to the world as well as to your own portfolio. So Anthony, for people that want to reach out, maybe they've got some ideas that we didn't cover. Where can they find you?
Really just bigger pockets. Anthony, um, Anthony Isgrove, my last name, I S-G-R-O. I mean, I just got on
Instagram, but I don't have a picture. I'm not doing anything. I barely got on Facebook. I'm kind of a
hermit a little bit too, so bigger pockets. All right. Find Anthony Isgrove, his profile on biggerpockets.
All right. Thanks a lot, Anthony. Appreciate you, man.
Blessings. Thanks, thanks, you guys.
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All right.
And thank you to Anthony for that killer question about how to solve the problem of deploying
the equity that is built up over time.
I love that type of stuff.
that's where we get to really dig into the meat of what real estate investors should be thinking about at a high level.
So Anthony, congratulations on your problem in air quotes.
And thank you for submitting your question.
And I want you to submit your questions as well, everyone.
Biggerpockets.com slash David.
And you can be featured on the seeing green episode.
Now, Anthony's situation was so inspiring that I actually asked Rob to wait for a second,
jumped on a plane, headed to a Hawaii myself.
And I am now coming to you all live from Maui.
because I had to see for myself what's going on.
So, Rob, I apologize.
Yeah, it's been a little frustrating.
I've been waiting here in this spot for 12 hours.
You said, don't move, don't go eat, don't go use the restroom.
I'll be right back.
And, you know, as a true loyal friend, I've been here, man.
My back hurts.
I thought it would be a little faster.
Well, that's the level of dedication that it takes to be a Bigger Pockets podcast co-host.
So it's not meant for everyone, Rob.
You are one of the elite of the elite.
Go ahead and stretch out your back.
as I transitioned us into the next part of the show.
At this stage, we like to read the comments that y'all have left in the YouTube section for the show.
So if you're listening to this now and you'd like to be featured on Seeing Green,
just head over to YouTube and leave us a comment.
We're going to read them.
Our first comment comes from Florian, UU, who says,
a cash flow conundering debate with examples would be very helpful.
Thank you for letting us learn from your analytical thinking process,
complete with four different emojis. This was a very well-thought-out answer, which is probably why
we are reading it. So thank you. We are considering Rob and I having a debate either with each other
or maybe on the same side against somebody else about how important cash flow really is when you're
trying to build wealth through real estate investing, who it's important for, who maybe doesn't
need to worry about it as much and what role it should play. I think we have a question coming up on
this very same thing. So stay tuned after the comments.
Yeah, we'll get into this a little bit more than the cash flow conundrum.
Yeah, that is going to be the name.
I'm kind of debating over cash flow chaos, cash flow critic, cash flow conundrum.
There's a lot of alliteration here.
But the idea would be a book that explains all the ways you make money in real estate
of which natural cash flow is only one.
So thank you for the shout out there.
Cash flow critic is pretty good, actually.
I like that.
That'd be a good podcast name, the cash flow critic.
Here's the problem, though, is the minute that people hear that, they never read the article.
They just see the headline, right?
So now I become known as the guy who says I hate cash flow.
but I don't. I like cash flow just as much as everybody else. I just think that there's more to life than
just it, right? Much like Moana, who wanted to get off of the island and see what else the world
had to offer. It's not that she hated Maui. She just wanted to see what else was out there. Have you,
have you really seen Moana, by the way? No, I know I have you what I've heard the song.
I have seen it a thousand times without watching it. My daughter has watched it like so many times
and like it's white noise for me. But I like the songs. I just, I've never seen it in its entirety.
So maybe you and I can watch it sometime together after Interstellar.
If you hang out with Brandon Turner enough, you absorb every single Disney movie that there is in the world.
He just sings the song.
As a grown man, he sings those songs in front of other people with no shame.
Really embarrasses me all the time.
But that's mostly how I've heard it.
All right.
Our next comment here,
Hi, David and Rob.
I've been watching BP for over a year.
But David, it was your challenge to get into real estate in 2023 that lit a fire within me.
I signed up for BP Pro and I ran analysis of a little over 100 properties in three days.
finally found two properties that not only has a small cash on cash return of 5%,
but is expected to increase in value near a new medical center being built that's walking
distance away.
I'm focused on taxes, appreciation, et cetera, more than just cash on cash.
Thank you for this great and fun discussion and all you guys do.
Every time I hear both you and Rob, I become less fearful and I feel more empowered.
It's like you guys are virtual coaches.
By the way, David, Rob may be funny, but you have bigger guns, man.
Okay.
I read this comment. I was like, oh, that's so nice. And then they said, but David, you have big guns. And I'm like, did you write this? Did you write this, David? Yeah, that would have been nice, but we both know I can't. I'm not this articulate. What I do love is that he said that you may be funny, but he didn't say you are funnier. Right. So, like, he not only did he say that I have bigger guns. He didn't even say that you were funnier than me. So who is this here? And just to bring it back a little bit, they said, I may be funny. Rob may be funny. We're still, the jury is still out.
This person knew how to get included on seeing green.
This is from mindfulness spelled with a Y not an eye.
Mindfulness, you have an open invitation to comment as often as you possibly can.
And we will prioritize your comments.
Thank you for recognizing who the alpha of the show is here.
Wait, wait.
I have a follow up.
I'm just, I can't believe I'm just remembering this now.
Do you remember on the last seeing green?
Someone was like, you know, thank you so much bigger pockets for all the things you do.
And like, David, you're just such a good looking guy.
I can't believe you're single or something like that.
that. And then I was like, is this real? There's no way that this is real. Cassandra, who are you?
She, that episode came out and she sent me a message on DM. She DM me and she's like, I don't,
I don't know if her remember her name was Cassandra, but she was like, hey, this is Cassandra from that
seeing green episode that left the nice comment about David. Yes, I am real, L.O.L. And I was like,
Wow. Wow. Props to Cassandra for actually existing. First off, we didn't think that was real.
Not that there's anything wrong with it, but my audience vase tends to be, basically,
basically 100% men. I've never gotten a compliment from a female in all of my years on the
Bigger Pockets podcast. So I am on a role right now. What I can, what can I say? Like, I got a good
fortune cookie. Somebody blessed me. I don't know what it was. But thank you all for seeing
Green and Rob for you being here to witness it. Hey, congratulations, my friend. Yeah. And if your name
wasn't Cassandra, we apologize. Alexandra, there we go. Look at our production staff. Isn't it nice to have
the privilege of producers that just pop in here with like, like, it's like Jamie on the Joe Rogan
podcast right there with whatever we need. All right. Our next comment comes from Norie Carolyn,
who says you've got a gift for making engaging content. Well, wow, the compliments keep flowing.
I appreciate that, Norie. I agree that I do have a gift and I like to open it and give it to
myself sometimes. Rob, you've got a gift for making engaging content as well, which is why you're here
on the show. She might have actually been talking to you for all we know. I'm assuming that that
compliment was meant towards me. That's right. Hey, there's two of us now. Thank you very.
much, Nore. And from King Louis
the first. Thank you for this.
Was wondering how the HELOC approach would work
at this moment in time. I really appreciate
this conversation. Now, I love that comment, too.
I believe he's referring to when we
were discussing uses of a HELOC, and
it's typically described as the only
use is that you use it for the down payment on your
next property. And that's because over
the years, we've given that as a hypothetical
example of when you buy a property that you create
equity, the equity can be taken out to buy
the next property. We call it the snowball
method, or we've often said if you get one good deal,
it will buy your future deals.
One of the ways we've described that was using a HELOC to buy your next property,
but in today's market, that may not always work because cash flow can be so hard to find.
The debt to income ratios are very tight.
So we described using a HELOC to improve a property, which Rob is something that you've been doing
quite a bit of in your own portfolio as well as our property.
So I think this is something that people should take note of.
Don't just ask how to get the next property, but if it's a short-term rental, maybe ask
how to improve what you've already got.
Right, right. And just for everyone at home that doesn't know, a HELOC is a home equity line of credit. So it's like a line of credit against the equity that you've built in your house. That is right. And we will be discussing more uses for a HELOC shortly. All right, one more review and then we're going to jump back into your questions. This one comes from AS McNerney. They say, great content. Sign up for bigger pockets in 2014, searching for another income stream. Never got active in the forums, but have always enjoyed reading and looking at real estate. I ended up working my down payment generator and getting my finances in order.
Found the podcast about a year ago and it helped me towards a path I always wanted to get into but never took action.
I bought my first rental in January.
Consuming content every day from the podcast is incredibly inspiring and highly educational.
Keep it up.
Thank you very much for that Apple review.
We love your YouTube comments, but we also love the reviews that you leave us wherever you listen to your podcast.
So if you wouldn't mind going to Apple podcasts or Spotify or wherever you listen to your podcast and leaving us a review, we will love you forever.
And Rob personally promised me that he would.
start working out his biceps if we got more reviews. So if you'd like to see that, which I
think that I definitely would, and many of you other people would probably agree, go leave us a review.
All right, we love and appreciate your engagement. Please continue to like, comment, subscribe
on YouTube as well and submit your questions at biggerpockets.com slash David to be featured on the show.
Speaking of those questions, our next one comes from Francesco Panticelli.
Hi, David. My name is Francesco from Miami, Florida. Quick question for you. I have five
properties here in Miami area, two of which are condos in the prime area, that is the Brickle,
the Manatan of Miami. One property, I bought for $340,000 in 2019. I put 50k on it, and now it's worth
$650. I have a very low interest rate on that property. Insurance is skyrocketing that is
inflating the HOA. They doubled in the last four years, and they are going to increase 30% more next
here. Rent are flat, so I'm near the breaking even points. What do you suggest to do? One, keep the
property, hoping on the equity, even if there is a risk of a negative cash flow, sell it, and look
for other alternative investment that is not a condo in Florida or wait and keep the money and look
for investment out of state because in Florida, that's hard, waiting for your comment. Thank you.
All right. Thank you, Francesco. Very nice video. And you're actually in a good situation. You have
better or you have good or better options here, not just good or bad. Francisco also left us a little
bit of a written supplement here. So what he says in his writings is that given the current market,
I'm torn. Number one, do I keep the property and bank on equity in the long term, but risk possible
negative cash flow? Because as he said, the HOAs are adjusting and they're becoming more expensive.
Number two, sell it, then wait for a local gem to invest in. In the last two years, I haven't been
able to buy anything in the Miami area, price below $500,000 with a positive ROI. Or number three,
sell and venture out of state where you still have positive return on income, cash flow,
and equity growth. Maybe if I go further north. All right, Rob, I'm going to turn this over to you
in a second, but I find it very funny that we often assume every market is better than our own.
When I was in L.A. meeting with Meet Kevin, ironically, he was investing in a city called Oakley that is like six minutes away from where I record the podcast, right?
Like, I've never even considered buying there. I'm going to other areas. He did a bunch of research and ended up on this city that's right in my neighborhood that I didn't think anyone had even heard of.
And I just thought it was funny that I'm driving six hours south to find a person who's actually investing in my own backyard.
And I think Francisco might be in a similar situation here.
He's thinking my own market doesn't cash flow, should I go somewhere else?
When so much of the world is investing in his market, which ironically is what's creating
it, the difficulty in finding the cash flow.
So all way in here with my two cents, but before I do, what are your thoughts?
Okay, so let me get some clarity here because I thought he was thinking about, maybe I
misheard this question.
We can edit this out if it's not.
But I thought he was thinking about doing a refi and pulling equity out, but since he had
have a higher interest rate, his mortgage would go up. Was that not correct? He said that in the video.
It wasn't included in these three questions here. So you can weigh that in on an option. Okay. So,
I mean, I'm pretty much always going to be against negative cash flow. I don't think you should
ever refy into something that gives you negative cash flow. So he's wondering, should he bank on the
equity in the long term, but risk negative cash flow? So we think that his HOA fees are going to go up.
I don't like it.
Yeah, I don't really ever like to tell someone to sell a property either,
but I really don't want someone losing money every single month.
I don't know why I'm like that,
but I feel like it should at least break even.
Breaking even to me is like a win,
and losing money is not.
Well, I think he said he's nearing the break-even point,
but he's concerned if the HOA's keep going up,
he could actually go the other way.
Yeah, so I would probably just keep it until the HOA fees went up,
and then once they went up, I would probably sell it.
I don't think I would ever really want to keep something that's losing money every month.
I mean, unless he can really absorb it, but I don't know.
Not for me.
What do you think?
This question really highlights that real estate investing is sort of moving from like a checker's era into a chess era.
It was very simple.
Save money, buy property, run it through a calculator to find the highest ROI you can,
buying the best area you can, and wait.
That's what I'm using as a chess as a checkers.
example. Now you've got all these variables. It's much more like chess. You're like,
well, my rate is low. So if I sell and buy somewhere else, I'm going to get a higher rate,
which will hurt cash flow. But if I keep it, the HOA can keep going up. So that could hurt me,
would that hurt me more than the rate increase if I buy somewhere else? And oh, by the way,
I'm in an area that's still appreciating a lot. So if I sell to get more cash flow, I could
miss out on the appreciation. But is there a market where it's getting appreciation and
cash flow and your sort of mind just spins through all of these options and it becomes really
and they're all hard yes there are none of them are an obvious answer right yeah which is sort of
you mentioned the book that i'm working on right now that's why i'm writing it because we need a framework
to look at questions like this from it becomes confusing when you're thinking my job is to get as
much cash flow as i can well that's very simple find the market with the highest cash on cash return
and buy there but as you start to weigh in all these other factors like future appreciation future
rent increases, HOA increases if you buy into the wrong market, the cash benefits of buying
real estate if you work in certain ways. Now it just becomes less simple. So here's some of the
first thoughts that I was having. I will always prioritize the location or the area over the other
intangibles in a deal. So I really like South Florida. I really like Miami. When Francesco is saying
I can't find anything that cash sales under $500,000, there is a reason for that. The reason is there's so
much demand to get in on that market, that they are bidding the prices out of the range where
cash flow can work. But the reason that they're doing that is so many people are recognizing
you're going to get a lot of appreciation. So if you look at a scale with cash flow on one side
and appreciation on the other side, the appreciation in South Florida is so heavy that it's
outweighing the need for cash flow. So investors are buying there, which means that you can just
keep going up in price range until your competition thins. And you will hit a point where you can find
properties that other people are not necessarily fighting to get. You just have to be a little bit more
nuanced when you get there because you have to be creative at finding a way to make it cash flow.
It's not going to cash on its own. It's something you're going to have to do to it to get it to cash flow.
So that's one option. Overall, I don't like that he bought into an area with an HOA. For investors,
it's not terrible, but here's the problem. When you run the numbers, you can just include the HOA
as an expense, which is how people have been told to do this for a long time. But people aren't
explained, you lose control when you buy into an area with an HOA. You can't stop them from raising
that expense. You can't stop them from hitting you with a special assessment. So if you're not aware,
when you buy into an area that has shared common areas or shared parts of the building and there's
an HOA in place, if there's a flood, if there's a storm, if there's a tree that falls on the building,
if the pool leaks and they have to replace it, they can come to everyone in the complex and say,
you all got to kick in $6,000 so that we can take an accumulation of $700,000 and fix this problem
that we have with our plumbing or our electrical or a roof or whatever the problem may be.
And you have to pay it.
That can destroy cash flow.
And you can't account for that in your underwriting.
You don't know what's going to happen.
Now, what you should do when buying an HOA is make sure that the HOA itself is properly funded,
that they're not low on cash.
But that can even be tricky.
Real estate agents themselves don't always know how to figure that out.
So, long story short, try to avoid buying in an HOA if you can.
It's tempting because the prices are usually lower and it's easier to get in there.
The problem is it's easier to get in, but it's harder to get out.
It's harder to make cash flow.
Okay, so here's my thought.
I guess I would probably wait it out until the HOA fees go up.
Like, don't sell if you don't have to.
And I'm not even sure selling right now would even be all that easy.
But let's just, I would say probably keep it until you're in the negative cash flow.
his other option he gave us was sell it, then wait for a local gem to invest in.
I, you know, and then he said in the last two years, I haven't been able to buy anything in
Miami in the $300,000 to $500,000 range with a positive ROI. I really don't really like this.
I don't like this idea, like sell it and then wait for a gem to pop up. That's way too lax
a day's a, like it's not going to. I can tell you right now, you have to make the good deal,
right? That's what you and Brandon used to always say. So I would say, and also from a capital gain
standpoint, he's going to make 300K on this property, so he's going to pay capital gains on it.
So he can't wait. He's forced to 1031 this into a property unless he wants to pay a pretty
decent tax bill on that. So what about this? We haven't talked about this. I know this is going to make
a lot of people at home very bad, but he says that he can't find anything in the $300,000 to $500,000
range with the positive ROI, but he is going to make $300,000 on this sale. So what if he just put
like a larger down payment on a $300,000 property to get his payment down so that he could
actually cash flow every month. In my mind, it's kind of the same thing because he's currently
break even right now. But if he could go find something else and just put a really large
down payment on and make more money with it, then I would feel like that's ultimately he's going to
make more money that way. Does that make sense? He's going to make more money in the cash flow arena.
Cash flow. But he could lose money in equity growth because South Florida just, we don't know what's
going to happen. But all the metrics are leaning towards that being an area of incredible growth in the
future because they're so business friendly and the climate's great and it's like the trending place to
be. I was just out there a couple weeks ago recording a podcast to promote pillars. And I was amazed at
like how much growth had been there just in the year before. I mean, it was like, it looked like San
Francisco in San Francisco's prime, which is the opposite, right? People have left San Francisco and now
they're kind of moving out that way. The reason I'm going to, in this case, like you, Rob, I'm
to advise, I do think you should so, is that there is no way of controlling what the HOA is going
to do in the future. Okay. And HOAs are not always corrupt, but they are notorious for having
management that is not the most scrupulous people. They can mismanage funds. They can take
salaries for themselves. People that are listening to this that have had the experience,
probably know what I'm talking about. I don't like putting so many eggs in a basket that I don't
control. I'd much rather see him have a single family home. If he could sell it and buy something else
in South Florida that can function as a short-term rental and it's just a single-family home without
HOA's that he has more control over. I'd love it. If he has to sell and move that money into a
different area, I would prefer that and missing out on potential equity growth to at least have
the safety that you're not going to have your HOA's double over and over and over. Because if you
think about how most people raise prices, it happens with inflation. So the cost of the materials,
the cost of the what the things that the HOA needs to run go up, they're just going to pass that
expense off to the people who live there, and they're under no kind of pressure to keep expenses low.
There's no competition within HOA's. It's not like, well, if we get too expensive, they're going to
kick us out and start another one. It's incredibly difficult to do that. Yeah, I agree. I mean,
the HOA board, it's not like they're qualified, they're not necessarily qualified people to,
isn't it just like the people of the complex all come together and nominate people and stuff? Or it's not
like you're like a certified HOA person. You contract with a company to run and do the duties of an
HOA, but the people in the complex can vote on them. It's just no one's going to put a ton of time
into studying, well, who are the people that we want to bring in? And once they get brought in,
they just go make themselves comfortable. They just, this is what you have to pay us and
this is what we're going to get. It's not a capitalistic environment. Like, I've often said,
like, when I retire from real estate sales, I'm just going to start an HOA because it's like the
easiest thing ever. So my wife's complex back in the day, I think the president of the HOA was one of the
owners of the houses. It's possible to be small enough. Yes. Yeah, it was. It was a small enough
complex. So when it's small enough, it's kind of just ran by a lot of the residents who appoint the
people. And it's like, you know, who's really, I don't know. I could see how unqualified people run it.
Who's going to be the president of the Boy Scouts? Well, let's look at all the kids that are in the
boy scouts and pick the parent who ties the best not. But once it gets to a bigger size or it's
in an expensive area like Miami, they then contract with a company that provides HOA services.
That makes sense. So tough spot to be in here, Francesco, good news is you've
done well already, you've had quite a bit of growth in the property that you bought, which is
given you equity. And as I always say, equity gives you options. So I think Rob and I are both
on the side of you should sell this thing while the market is up and put your money into somewhere
that you have more control. Rob, any markets that you like that he should look into? I mean, if he's in
Florida, I was going to say he should stay in Florida, but I think with all the insurance stuff
going out there, I would probably say not Florida. I'm hearing a lot of people kind of rag on the
Florida insurance situation. So right around that area, oh gosh, I don't even want to say it. But
Shenandoah, this is something that me and Avery Carl keep joking about because she keeps talking about
Shenandoah. I'm like, don't ruin this market for all of us. I think that's a pretty good market
to invest in, but that would be really more on the short-term side. On the long-term side,
I can't really speak to the East Coast per se. I don't think anyone knows where you can buy long-term
rentals right now and just know you're going to get cash flow. It used to be like, hey, this is the
new place. Well, I don't want to go there. Okay, well, don't get cash flow. All right, fine, I'll go
there. Now it's like all the investors have flooded the market and there's so much demand for cash flow
that I don't know anywhere that traditional rentals are cash flowing, which is why so many people
have moved into short term or medium term or creative ideas here. All right, Francesco,
thank you very much for your question and giving Rob and I the opportunity to explain how
HOA's work as well as the checkers slash chess situation with real estate investing.
Our next question comes from Meredith in Austin. Meredith says that I did a success
successful first flip in Austin in 2017, and then I flipped another house in Austin this past summer
using a he lock and a hard money loan. On the second flip in this miserable down market,
it took forever to sell, and I ended up losing over 60K. Wow, glad that she's sharing that.
That sucks, but there's not a whole lot of people that are admitting when they lose money. So,
props to you, Meredith. I paid back my hard money loan at closing and only about half of my helock.
So she took out a helock for part of the money, and she was only able to pay half of it back because
she didn't have enough money, which left her with a balance.
So my helic is hemorrhaging interest every month and I have this massive loss I can use
against future capital gains and I'm trying to figure out what to do.
I've already decided to try a cheaper and less volatile market.
I'm reading your long distance investing book, David.
But I wonder whether you would advise that I try another flip or two despite my huge failure
in this one or try a burr instead and cash out to pay back my helock.
Is that even possible?
My remaining helic balance is around 60K and that's all the liquidity I have available for the next deal.
Rob, what say you?
All right, let me read this last part.
I've already decided to try a cheaper, less volatile market,
but I wonder whether you would advise that I try another flip or two
or try to burn instead and cash out my, to pay back my helog.
Oof.
All right, this is a hard one.
Well, first and foremost, Meredith, I feel you.
I've got two flips in Austin that turned out to be total dogs.
One of them is actually fine because I ended up turning it into like what's going to be
a super crazy Airbnb.
It's going to be like a Bachelorette themed Airbnb.
So David, I want you to go and stay there and give me your thoughts.
But the other one was a flip that we bought in Austin that was a screaming good deal when we got it.
It was like 400K and we were going to make like $100,000 profit on this and we're like,
heck yeah, we did it.
And then quickly after running through the bid and all the changes that happened in Austin like
literally within two or three months, we went from making a $100,000 profit to like breaking even
or like losing 10 or 20,000 bucks.
And so that's where we're at right now.
And we had already started the renovation, gutted everything.
And so we were trying to think what's the highest and best use for this property?
And we were like, well, maybe we can demo it, build a duplex.
And, dude, we went back and forth on this for like the last two months.
And then finally, I had the bright idea.
I was like, well, you know what?
It's already gutted.
What if we just sold it for all the money that we're into it?
And so we bought it for $400K.
We put about $7,000 into it.
paid about another five or six thousand in holding costs. We're all in like four 15 listed it for
450, got a full price offer. Someone's going to buy our gutted house. And it's like, oh my goodness,
I can't believe I pulled this off. But I'm going to say this. We were going to have to invest
100K to flip this house to break even. And I was like, holy crap. I don't want to spend $100,000
only to maybe break even. So I was like, I'd rather just spend no money and lose $10,000 now. So I say all
this merit to just let you understand that even someone like myself, like, I haven't done a ton of
flips. This isn't really what I do, but it was a really good deal at the time. And the Austin market
did turn very quickly for a lot of people out there. I think a lot of people in Austin are kind of
hurting. So definitely would advise you to break out of Austin, which sounds like you're willing to
do. Should you try to burr and build up so much equity that you cash out and pay back your
HELOC? Is that even possible? Man, I don't know, dude. That's a hard.
one. It's like she didn't succeed on her first one, but she could definitely use her mistakes on that
to kind of have a successful second or third flip or burr. I just don't really like getting into more
debt to pay back the debt that you currently have. Yeah, it kind of feels like when you lose money
gambling and you're like, well, I need to go make more to pay back my losses. Yeah, I need to double
up real fast. Exactly. But, you know, that's real estate, right? And like, people lose money on flips all the
time and people oftentimes have to flip another property to offset that loss. I mean,
I interviewed James Dainert about it and just for like some of my Insta Reels and he was telling
me about a deal that he lost money on. And I was like, what did you do? And he's like,
I flipped another house to pay for it. So I do think it's like relatively common. With that said,
I don't know if I want to advise it. Yeah. Here's why I think you're hesitant. I've been thinking
through it as you're talking. James Dainert is a professional house flipper. Exactly. He's dialed in.
That guy is good. He can.
sit there and he can talk about construction. He knows the cost of capital. He does this. I mean,
how many houses do you think James has flipped? Well over a hundred. Hundreds. Hundreds. Yeah.
Okay. And he's like immersed in real estate every day. He's got a brokerage. That guy just never
stops. I like James's business ethic quite a bit. Meredith here is learning how to be a real estate
investor. Now, what's confusing, I think, is oftentimes real estate influencers describe flipping
as a strategy that makes it sound like it's just like every other strategy. You could flip a house,
you could buy and hold, just pick one and go for it. Right. But the reality is flipping requires a very
specific set of skills, much like Liam Neeson and taken. And if you don't have those skills,
you can lose a lot of money as Meredith saw. Now, in the last eight years or so, very few people
lost money flipping because the market itself was so favorable. You could do so many things wrong,
but you just happen to gain $50,000 of equity while you made all those mistakes. And so you
sold the house and you still made a little bit of money and the mistakes you made were less
expensive. They were less dangerous. It is the opposite now. As you saw Rob as an experienced investor,
you bought a property. A few mistakes were made, I'm sure. The market turned on you. The next thing you
know what looked like $100,000 of profit evaporated like that. And you were lucky to get out from
underneath it. I don't want to tell more people to rush into that mess and say, yeah, just try to do it
again. In general, what I'm saying here is that if you're going to flip houses in today's market,
you should be more of a professional flipper.
You know construction really well.
Maybe you own a construction company.
Or the deal is so fat and juicy.
You walked into a good one.
I had one time a friend who fell behind on her mortgage.
And she was a couple weeks away from literal foreclosure.
And she came to me and she's like, David, I don't want this to hammer my credit.
Can you buy this house?
And so I basically gave her what she, I paid off the loan and I gave her 20 grand to get out from underneath it.
That deal was super, super juicy.
So like if you mess up on it, you've got a lot of wiggle room there.
That's not the same as going on the MLS, competing with other buyers, trying to get the house and trying to squeeze it out to make it work.
So I don't think, Meredith, from what you've told us, that I would recommend you try to flip another house unless it's too good of a deal to pass up.
I'd much rather see you sort of focus on something that's a little more safe and wait out this market till we get some stability here.
And we don't wonder if the market's going to tank or if people aren't going to buy homes.
One metric that I think everyone should be looking at right now is the days on market.
It's easy when you look at a flip to say, here's a comp.
It's sold for X.
I'm going to pay Y and the construction and holding costs are Z.
Let me just do the math with those numbers.
But if you've got 15 houses available for sale and one or two pending, no one's going to pay that price that you saw in the comp.
It's very misleading.
You need to be looking at what is the supply in your market, how much demand is there for that,
and how long our houses sitting on the market before they sell and don't try to flip in a market
where there's already a lot of existing supply and not a ton of demand. Is that something that you've
been noticing as well, Rob? Yeah. Yeah. I think, okay, so I've thought about this while you were saying that.
I think we had to really talk this one out to give some advice. James doesn't really miss.
And I guess that's the difference. You're saying he's an experienced flipper. And if he does miss,
like he talked about on that one deal, he's got like eight other deals that are going to make up for it
because he's good at this, I don't think Meredith can afford to miss again. And that's why I don't
want you to go out and try to do it again until we kind of clean up your helock. And you may just have to
pay that down the old-fashioned way. You might have to get a, not to be too Dave Ramsey here,
but like a side hustle, another job, figure that out. I mean, I certainly don't want to discourage
anyone from continuing, you know, the real estate train, because I think it is something that anybody
can do. But if she's feeling the...
pain from one that's already hurting, I just would hate for her to, for this to happen again,
right? So, I don't know. I would feel like wading it out and nicking down her helock as
much as possible. And then when rates allow for it, refi, refi out of the helock in a couple years.
I think that's the, my apprehensive answer to that. We don't always have good ones, but that's
mine. I don't know. How do you feel about that? I think it would be irresponsible to tell
people, yeah, just rush into there and figure it out. I mean, if you're sitting on three million
dollars of money to play with, you got a big fat stack of poker chips. You can learn how to play
poker with live money, but in this case, I don't think that that's great advice. If Meredith was
saying she has some kind of an advantage, my dad owns a construction company, or I have an
end where I'm getting deals at better rates than other people. That would be a different scenario,
but I'm not getting that vibe from the question here. So based on that, I think Meredith,
you should be a little bit more hesitant.
Don't stop investing in real estate.
Don't stop looking at deals.
But don't be thinking, I have to make that 60 grand back.
Where's my opportunity to make it back?
Because now you're assuming that the deal is going to work out.
You could end up in $120,000 of debt just the same as $60,000.
There's a line from the movie Rounders with Matt Damon and Edward Norton,
a really good poker movie where they say you can only lose what you put in the pot, right?
Like you can't lose money if you don't actually put it into the market.
Now, is it true? You can't gain money? Yes, that is true. But once you're already in debt,
you need to be extra careful with what you do with the chips that you have remaining. And real estate
is not a magic pill that's going to save you from things. So Rob, I think you gave great financial advice
there. You can only lose the money that you put into the pot. So be very careful in today's
market. If you got a great hand, play it, but don't feel pressure to play a hand that's not great.
Eventually, the market will turn around and you'll have plenty of opportunities.
Rob, thank you for joining me today. I thought solid advice.
here and it was a lot of fun as well as supporting me with your Disney knowledge. That's true. Well, you know,
these are fun because they are so specific niche and situational that there isn't always a clear-cut
answer. There's just like you can hear a couple of pros bat around things that they would do or how
they would consider it. And you just use that to kind of inform your strategy, right? There's no right
or wrong. There's just what's right for you. So don't take anything we say too hard or too personally.
like we, you know, everything that we say pretty much comes from a place of like, all right,
we want to try to be as helpful as possible, but, you know, recognize that sometimes, like,
there isn't a beautiful resolution that's super obvious at the beginning, right?
You kind of have to work through it a little bit first.
That's right.
I really hope that we were able to help some of you brave souls who took action to ask questions.
And I look forward to answering more of your questions in future episodes.
Today's show, we covered quite a few topics, including what to do when you're strapped on
cash but have a lot of equity.
if you should buy in an HOA or if you shouldn't as well as how HOA's work,
when flips go wrong and helox don't work out the way you thought
and how to pivot in a hard situation to make sure you don't lose more money.
Don't forget to check the show notes for how to get connected with Rob and I on social media
and let us know what you thought of today's show.
Now get out there, look at some more deals, find the very best ones,
and take action when you find them.
This is David Green for Rob.
No one knows how far he'll go.
Abas Solo.
So, sorry.
Thank you all for listening to the Bigger Pockets Real Estate podcast.
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