BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast - 945: Seeing Greene: Stolen Properties and Why Your Rate Doesn't (Really) Matter
Episode Date: April 30, 2024There’s a silent threat out there that most real estate investors have no idea about. It’s a threat that could take away all your cash flow, ruin your real estate portfolio, and put you right back... to square one after years of work. And even the most seasoned investors aren’t immune to this threat—our own David Greene almost got caught in this trap and had to act quickly to escape. What’s the danger we’re discussing, and how do you ensure YOU don’t lose everything? We’re about to tell you! We’re back on another Seeing Greene as David and Rob take your real estate investing questions and give up-to-date advice on what they’d do in your situation. First, a real estate investor sees his cash flow disappear due to rising operating expenses—should he sell the property or keep a low/no cash-flowing deal? Then, we talk about the silent threat targeting real estate investors—title fraud. An investor wants to know if a low mortgage rate on a subject to deal warrants a higher price, and Rob and David debate whether investing in expensive markets is worth the cost. Want to ask David a question? If so, submit your question here so David can answer it on the next episode of Seeing Greene. Hop on the BiggerPockets forums and ask other investors their take, or follow David on Instagram to see when he’s going live so you can jump on a live Q&A and get your question answered on the spot! In This Episode We Cover: Title fraud explained and how silent thieves can steal your real estate portfolio without you even knowing it Whether to keep, sell, or 1031 exchange a rental property that won’t cash flow The real value of a low interest rate and why many investors get this wrong Warning signs that your properties are being stolen out from under you Investing in expensive markets and why we would/wouldn’t invest in states like Hawaii And So Much More! Links from the Show Find an Agent Find a Lender BiggerPockets Youtube Channel BiggerPockets Forums BiggerPockets Pro Membership BiggerPockets Bookstore BiggerPockets Bootcamps BiggerPockets Podcast BiggerPockets Merch Join BiggerPockets for FREE Learn About Real Estate, The Housing Market, and Money Management with The BiggerPockets Podcasts Get More Deals Done with The BiggerPockets Investing Tools Find a BiggerPockets Real Estate Meetup in Your Area Expand Your Investing Knowledge With the BiggerPockets Books Be a Guest on the BiggerPockets Podcast Ask David Your Real Estate Investing Question David's BiggerPockets Profile Rob's BiggerPockets Profile Rob's Instagram Rob's TikTok Rob's X/Twitter Rob's YouTube BiggerPockets' Instagram This “CARFAX for Properties” Could Change EVERYTHING About Investing Ponzi Schemes, Property Fraud, and How to NOT Fall for a Real Estate Scam Cash Flow For Rental Properties: What is Average or Good? Get Short-Term Rental Comps with AirDNA (00:00) Intro (01:25) My Cash Flow Disappeared! (08:05) The Biggest Threat to Your Portfolio? (15:03) Comment Section Callout! (19:06) Would We Invest in Hawaii? (28:15) Ask Us Your Question! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-945 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
This is the Bigger Pockets podcast show 945.
What's going on, everyone?
This is David Green, your host of the Bigger Pockets Real Estate podcast here today with a
Seeing Green episode for you.
And I brought back up, Rob Avis Solo.
How are you today?
I'm doing well.
I'm excited.
I'm stretchy.
I'm stretched.
Were you dabbing just now?
I was dabbing.
Yes, that's right.
I think I'm doing it wrong, but I believe that's what the, what the children are doing.
You got to do it again and then look at your armpit.
You can't look where you're dabbing.
Like that.
I look the, yes, there it is.
Okay.
Gabelicious.
In today's episode, we're not just going to be talking about dance moves.
We're going to be talking about a lot of real estate related topics, including title
fraud and how to protect yourself, how to value lower interest rates when considering
a sub two deal.
If investing in Hawaii or other high appreciating markets is still an option, how to
protect yourself as a short term rental investor, what to do when positive cash flow
disappears.
A lot of people going through this as interest rate and taxes are going up and rents are
not keeping up, getting into the trades, recasting loans, all that and more on another amazing
fire episode of Seeing Green. I will say, hey, the first question, a little eye-opening,
you may learn something. I didn't know that this was possible. So hopefully this helps some of
you all prevent that. All right, everybody, we're going to get to our first question. But before we do,
remember, head over to BiggerPockets.com slash David and submit your question to be featured on this great
show. Hey, David, my name is Bobby Kemp. I'm from Laowland, New York. And my question to you is,
what should I do with my single family home that's also new construction in Rotunda West Florida?
So I've had this home for about a year and a half now and I've been renting it out almost the entire time.
Cash flowing great.
Except now my tenants are about to leave at the end of March and my private manager has told me he's kind of worried that we're not going to be able to rent it right after because rental market's not that great.
And on top of this, my mortgage went up.
So I'm penciling the math out and it doesn't look like I'm really going to cash flow with anything at all now.
So I'm in a bit of a tough spot there.
And on top of that, I'm in contract as of a couple days ago on a triplex in the St. Petersburg market.
I'm going to house hack that and really make the most of that.
So I really want to make sure I'm set up for success.
So really, what should I do?
Sell the single family home 1031 or just sell it or just keep it and really do my best to cash flow even just a little bit.
Let me know your thoughts.
I really appreciate everything you do at bigger pockets.
It's helped me tremendously in my journey with real estate so far.
And I look forward to hear what you say.
Well, thank you, Bobby Kemp.
And shout out to all of our Long Islanders out there.
A couple of my buddies, Chris Whiteman and Al Jemaine Sterling are from Old Island.
And they're real estate investors as well, fans of seeing green.
So let's break down your situation.
First off, great energy.
You could be a podcast, so you've never thought of it.
Hold on, don't get my ideas.
Rob wants to keep his job.
Second off, if you guys were listening to this on YouTube, you would see that Bobby
has a strong resemblance to Colby Covington.
We got a lot of UFC coming through.
In this clip, and speaking of UFC, he's trying to figure out if he should fight to keep that property or let it go and tap out.
What do you think, Rob?
Well, initially, I mean, it was a bit of a roller coaster because initially he said that it was cash flowing great.
And then something happened with his mortgage.
And now it's not cash flowing at all.
My guess is that they had an escrow analysis.
Taxes went up.
And now his mortgage went up.
Maybe insurance, too.
Oh, yeah.
Insurance could change a lot.
So if that's the case, listen, there are a lot of ways to, you know,
to build wealth and real estate.
Cash flow is not everything.
With all that said, I prefer to make some cash flow.
So if you're just breaking even on this bad boy, I would say sell a thing and get out of it
into something that will hopefully produce a little bit of cash flow and then build your
wealth with the other three benefits, tax pay down, appreciation and appreciation.
Yeah, yeah.
Do that on the next property.
But try to get that fourth cash flow one in there, if possible.
I like it.
I was talking to my real estate team yesterday about contacting our past clients about selling
their house. And one of the agents said, I just hate telling anyone to sell a house because I want
them to keep it as a rental. So I don't want to go back to our past clients and ask if they want
to sell their home because I want them to keep it. And I said, well, yeah, if you sell the house
and you go buy a motorcycle and an RV and you take a bunch of vacations, that's dumb. But if you
sell a house in an area that's so-so to buy in an area that's better, if you sell a house that's
worth a little bit of money to buy a house that's going to be worth more and make more cash flow
and appreciate, you just move the equity from a bad place to
better place. Don't look at it like selling a house looking like replanting a tree.
You're transferring. There you go. You're transferring your wealth into a better pot for that
plant to live in. It sounds like the Long Island market or at least this specific property ain't
working out. If a property is not cash flowing and even more so, if you can't find a tenant,
get out of Dodge. That is not a good scenario. The one Achilles heel for all real estate investing
is it depends on having tenants. Yeah, yeah. He said that his property manager is a little nervous
that he's not going to be able to rent it. I mean, if you're, or rent it for the same amount. So if your
property manager is feeling that way, well, how much do you like them? Are they experienced? Maybe find
a new property manager and confirm that this is true. I would hate for you to sell it without
doing a little bit of due diligence. But if it seems correct, then yeah, just get it. Yeah, move the,
I like that analogy. Move the flower pot, move the flower planting stuff into a bigger pot, David.
I get it. Bobby also mentioned in our notes here that this,
property is actually furnished. And you don't want to lose all that furniture because the stuff's
freaking expensive. No one knows better than Rob, buy nice, not thrice, obis, solo. And so you don't want to
waste furniture. You're probably not going to get a lot for it in a traditional sale. So a couple
things we could do with that. Maybe Bobby, before you sell, look if you could rent this thing out as a
medium or a short-term rental. You never know. Is there a strong market out there for a furnished
property? And Rob, where would you recommend he go? Price Labs, AirDNA. What's your advice?
I typically use AirDNA.
Just make sure that you are sifting through the bad comps and the good comps.
There's a whole strategy around this.
But you just want to find comps that are very comparable tiers, right?
Same bed bath, same square footage, same location-ish, same amenities.
And that's how you can get a gauge of how much you could possibly make.
But typically, AirDNA is the one that I use.
Or you could talk to a property manager that manages short-term rentals and get a feel from a more
experienced hosts in that realm.
But let's say that that doesn't work.
The next thing I would do is I would go into forums.
like Facebook forums or online communities in the Long Island area for people that are short-term
rental and midterm rental operators. And I would see if anyone there wants to buy furniture
because you're probably going to sell it to them easier and for more money than if you just
sell it along with the house if you end up selling that thing. The last place I would go is
Facebook Marketplace. I'd advertise some of that furniture for sale. I'd sell it there. But you
don't want to just be like, oh, I'll give it to the sellers because the sellers are going to throw in a
couple grand maybe if they even want that furniture. They might actually tell you that you need to
get rid of it because they have their own furniture. It's a very inefficient way to capitalize there.
Yep, good points. Honestly, yeah, I mean, midterm rental, short-term rentals could be the exit
strategy that helps, but a lot more management. And then also, just a little word to the wise here,
just because of short-term rental grosses from a revenue standpoint a lot more than a long-term
rental, it doesn't mean that it'll make more money. Because to run it as a long-term rental
might cost you, now let's say $1,500 a month. And then you have operational expenses.
with midterm rentals and short term rentals, that could cost you $3,500 or $4,000 a month to run as a
business. And you have to make more than that. There's just some complexities there. So just make
sure you're running your numbers and that it's actually worth it to short term rent it because
you don't want to just take a look at that gross revenue at face value. You want to make sure
it's still going to be profitable. There's a fine line there, though. All right. There you go. Bobby,
thank you for your message, man. Best luck to you. Love the energy. Love that you're making
happen and good luck on that triplex out there in St. Petersburg. All right, we're going to be back
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All right, welcome back.
We're talking title fraud.
This question comes from Brian, and he says, I've got five rentals across four states,
and I own most of them completely outright, so no loan.
I'm looking for advice on how to protect myself from title fraud, as this is one of my biggest fears.
This title theft stuff is coming up a lot, hearing more and more about it.
When I read the question, my first thought was, well, if you don't have a lot of equity,
this is something that's not likely to happen. However, well, Brian here's got himself a
buttload. That's a technical term. Yeah, it is. Of equity. So I believe his fears are founded here.
Yeah, I got a question. What is the, what's the problem? Like, I didn't know, is you owning a house
outright open you open you up to more title fraud? Yeah, basically, if someone's going to steal title to
your home, okay, you got a million dollar home, but you owe $950,000 on it, what are they going to do with
a million dollar home that only has to the $1,000 of equity.
They're going to have a hard time selling it to anybody else.
It's not really that valuable to them and they don't know how to operate the thing.
So nobody steals those houses.
What they look for is a $300,000 house that's been completely paid off.
Because now they could go sell it to somebody else for $100,000 who thinks that they just got a great deal.
And the fraudster just made themselves a quick $100K.
This is very educational for me.
Run me through a scenario where this might happen.
So I have a house.
It's paid off.
It's worth $300,000.
Some fraudster can come in and what finagle some documents to make it look like.
Yeah.
Or forge my name and then basically steal my house title from me.
I don't know the exact process, but what it would involve would be.
And that's because I'm not a criminal.
You weren't a wire.
You got to tell me if you weren't a wire.
That's funny.
Are you a cop?
You got to tell me if you're a cop.
Yeah, you got to tell me.
So what you would do is you would forge documents just like you said that show you created
a doc, like an LLC and that person owns a property and they are going to,
to be transferred the title from their own name
or their entity into yours.
You would then take that to a notary,
which you could pay.
I mean, it's not like notaries work for the CIA.
I guess you can still buy someone off in the CIA.
They're not that hard to buy off,
so I'm getting that.
I've seen pain and gain.
Yeah, there you go, exactly.
If you and I were in that movie,
who would be pain and who would be game?
I think you would be Dwayne Johnson
and I'd be the other guy.
Mark Wahlberg?
Oh, Mark, oh, I'd be Mark Wahlberg?
Hey, say hello to your mother for me.
Look how happy Rob just got.
First time you'd ever been compared to Mark Wahlberg.
First time. Marco Walberg, actually, is what was...
Marco Walbergo.
Walbergo.
No, Wal-Amburgessa.
That means hamburger in Spanish for anyone who's trying to put the piece together.
Very nice.
And we're back.
So you would just go to a notary and you would say, hey there, I'm buying this house.
I need you to notarize these documents.
Here's a little five grand to grease the wheels for you.
They would say, oh, I happen to have an ID from Rob Abasolo here saying that I want to sell my house
to David Green.
And now I take that to the county assessor's website and I say, I've got documents here showing.
There's a grant deed.
This property has been transferred from Rob to David.
And now they record it as belonging to David.
And there's nothing you can do.
You could go to the tax assessor's office and you could say, this was stolen from me.
I never agreed to it.
And they're going to say, I don't care.
If it's recorded as his, it's his.
It's a civil matter taken up with the judge.
and during that period of time, you've lost access to the house.
And then what I can do is I can go sell it to somebody else.
Now, I can't sell anybody else this house if it's got to lean on it for a lot of money.
Because when I go to transfer the title from me to them, the lender's going to get notified and they're going to ask me paid off.
So if I try to sell them the house at a discount of $900,000 when it's a million dollar house, but there's a note on it for $950,000.
There's no money in it for me.
So that's why they target houses that have a lot of equity particularly that's what paid off.
Wow. Okay, that's super interesting. I guess I would say, can you get title insurance after,
I mean, title insurance is just protects buyers. Like pre-purchase. Yeah, that's the problem is if you're being,
if someone's fraudulently stealing your properties, you are the seller in that situation. So the title
insurance would be protecting the person who's stealing the properties from you. So that's like putting
a bulletproof vest on the bad guy. That's not helping us here. So for anybody else that's worried about
this checkout episode 808, where we interviewed Sheila and Territus.
Risa, who have a company consortia that's a blockchain company that's designed to help with property
details and ownership.
It was kind of like Carfax for a home.
It might be able to protect yourself with some of the offerings they have.
And then look for these warning signs.
This will alert you to the fact somebody might have stolen title to your property and you don't know it.
You stop receiving water bills or property tax assessments because if the title changes from
you to somebody else, those bills are going to go to that person when the county tax assessor
office has their mailing address listed instead of yours.
The utility bills on a vacant property rise suddenly or you find other people living there.
You stop receiving your tenant's rent payments and learn that they've been making the payments
to another person in location.
That should alert anybody if that happens.
But if you're using a property manager, they might not have understood that you didn't
sell the property.
You receive payment books or other information from a lender with whom you haven't done business.
So if you get letters in the mail from a lender and you never did business with them, that's a sign
that something might have gone on, or you find yourself in default on a loan or are notified
of foreclosure proceedings through a notice of default. Any of these things like, what's up this?
Might indicate title fraud you want to call your county tax assessor's office immediately and
say, hey, I own this property. Can you make sure that it is still in my name? Now, if it's not
in your name, they're going to have the name of the person who recorded it under their name. And now
you can start your gum shoe work of hiring a private eye, a detective, or doing your own work to
figure out who that person is and how they took title. Now, the good news for you is because most
states require someone to have valid ID, in fact, all states that I know of to buy a property,
they would have had to make up a fake ID and somehow pulled the wool over people's eyes to not
use their own identity. So most of the time when this happens, you could find out who the person is
that did it. Yeah, I mean, there's definitely some paper trail and I guess corrective action that
could be taken, but it sounds very expensive. And I'm really glad we'd answered, I mean,
mostly, we talked about this question, but I think it's important because I bet you there's a lot of
people at home listening right now that we're just like, wait a minute, this can happen. Yeah.
And I'm one of them. Yeah, it actually can't happen. It happened to me. It didn't happen this same way,
but it did happen to me. And it was a huge, huge, huge problem for me that triggered a domino
rally of a bunch of other things that went wrong. So especially if you're a prominent investor like
we are where people know who we are and we can become targets, it's even more easily to happen
and if you own properties that are paid off or have a lot of equity, you're basically running around
the big target on your back.
Yeah, that's right.
Remind me, have you mentioned it the other day?
What was your mother's maiden name again?
So at this part of the show, we like to read some comments from previous YouTube post,
as well as comments people left when they left us a review on their podcast app.
Our first comment comes from Brady Morgan, and he says, David, you said it.
Learn the trades.
I left the corporate world about five years ago earlier in my real estate.
and investing journey from the first bird deal that I did and I learned that construction is the
biggest margin on real estate and I needed to know more about it. I started working as a framing carpenter,
joined my local planning and zoning board as a volunteer and then became a building inspector
for my town. Today I have my own construction company building rentals and specs. Investing in new
construction homes becomes so much easier when you don't have to pay someone the 20% general
contractor fee. Honestly, learning the trades and construction has been more valuable than my MBA degree.
plus I enjoy it so much more than sitting in a computer all day in a windowless office crunching data.
That is a cool.
I love this story.
In fact, we need to get Brady Morgan on the podcast and talk to all Brady about how we pulled this off.
Because I think this is a great strategy for how you can make deals work in a tough environment.
What do you think, Rob?
Yeah, it's great.
Yeah, doing the whole construction thing, whether you're doing it yourself, you know, DIY or professionally, I'm always an advocate for trying to build stuff at cost.
And if you're doing that, I mean, it's, I think new construction.
is one of the best ways to build wealth because you're getting amazing assets at cost to you.
I think as long as you're willing to suffer through the construction process and all that stuff,
but super sound, I love doing it. I'm doing more new construction this year.
Next comment, this is from dash zub0-885. He says,
the recast explanation was a little light. Most lenders now will allow you to do it purely
because it will typically free up lower interest rate capital that they wouldn't see and now can
relend at a higher rate. Inflation has some benefits, I suppose. Basically, a recast is tied to a reduction
of principle, and then the payment is reduced as the remaining balance is reamortized over the
remaining term. If you, as a borrower, don't mind the opportunity cost of not investing the
principal reduced amount, assuming it's a lower rate, then the lender slash borrower, it is a win-win
scenario. Borrower gets a lower payment at same interest rate to pay less interest over time,
and lender will get to reinvest those funds in another borrower at a higher rate.
Did you keep up with all that? That was a nice summation of the recast dilemma that we were talking
about. So yeah, when rates go up, but you have a lower interest rate, lenders are more likely to let
you pay them back quicker because they let you borrow money at 3%. You're paying it back.
They can lend it at a higher rate. That also puts them in a position where they are incentivized to now
call notes that are due. If you assume a loan from someone else at 3% or 4% and rates go up to
8, 9, 10%, lenders are like, hey, if I could get that money back for me, I can lend it out
at three times the rate that I let somebody borrow it at. Sure. It increases the odds that that could
happen. And it decreases the odds that could happen. Obviously, when rates go low, but when rates go
low, people refinance are not going to hold on to assume mortgages at 9%. So that is a great point. And if you're
having trouble finding loans and you're sitting at a high interest rate and you're just trying to find a way
to get more of a return cash flow-wise, hey, putting $100,000 or $50,000 towards your principal
balance and decreasing it, especially if you're at an 8, 9, 10% interest rate is a way
to increase your cash flow without buying more real estate.
Yeah, I love it.
One little note here from Island Derek, he says, recasting your mortgage, they typically
require a 30 to 50% equity before they can recast.
I don't know if that's you, I've never looked into it that much, but something to keep
in mind, I suppose, for some mortgage companies.
Thank you, Rob. Great job there. I'm glad I brought you along. We love you guys. We appreciate your
engagement. Please continue to like, comment, and subscribe on YouTube. And if you're listening to
this in a podcast app, take some time to follow the show so you get notified every time seeing
green comes out. All right, we're going to take a quick break. And then after that, we're going to
get into advice for investing in Hawaii if it's still possible and how to do it.
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financing.
Welcome back.
We're going to close out today's show with one final question.
This comes from G. Pettit in Florida.
David, what's your opinion on investing in Hawaii?
Where do you invest there and what strategies work on what islands?
You have mentioned frequently having different property types there, but is it worthwhile
market over the long term?
Many properties that I see are scummy leaseholds, condos that don't seem to appreciate
due to their vast quantities and overpriced shacks.
Is the Hawaiian dream dead?
and what strategies actually work on the island from your experience? Is it worth it to burn cash on a house hack just to live in the area and get high appreciation?
Are condos worthwhile with their fees and lack of controller appreciation? And can Airbnbs actually make money past all the regulation?
Rob, I'm going to let you start with this one. Well, this is very much a like, hey, do you have five minutes to chat? And then it's like 80 questions and like it turns into an hour. There are a lot of questions to unpack here. So what is your opinion on investing in Hawaii, to be honest? I don't know if maybe I'm,
I'm just, I don't know, I think too much about it, but I haven't really put a lot of thought
into it because I hear, you know, the different backlash and people not being super happy
with, I don't know, real estate being snatched up. I got to be careful about how I word that,
because I know you own real estate there, but I like the idea, but I don't know. I just don't
really, I do think about it a little bit, I guess. I think about that. I'm like, well, I don't
really ever want to, it's already hard enough to be a real estate investor in the United States
where everyone on TikTok hates you, but if I were to talk about how I invested in Hawaii,
I don't even want to know what those TikTok comments would say. So I guess I haven't really thought
about it. I could have said that. Yeah. Thank you for answering like a true politician with a lot
of words and very little substance in anything. I'm scared, okay? I'm scared. All right. So I own
properties in Maui. They are short-term rentals. I'm trying to get to all the questions that
was asked to me here. They are in a form of an HOA in Hawaii. I guess they would be technically
classified as condos. They're not leasehold. So these scummy leaseholds that G. Petit is describing is
when, um, how would I describe this? Like basically instead of owning the land, you own the building
that's on the land and you are leasing the land from the owner, which is usually a Hawaiian native.
so they didn't want to sell all their land to people coming in that didn't live there.
So they said, look, I'm not going to say land, but I'll let you lease it from me for 100 years.
And at the end of that 100 year term or whatever it is, we'll have to renegotiate another lease on this land.
Otherwise, I get to keep all the improvements that you made on the property, which can obviously be scary.
Because if you go build yourself a nice waterfront villa and the leaseholder says, hey, I don't want to renew the lease,
or here's my real expensive lease terms, they'd be able to take your property.
The other way of owning property is called fee simple, which means that you own it yourself, which is how most of us are used to owning property.
As far as should somebody do it or not, should they buy in Hawaii, I'm going to just relate this to every appreciation market.
In the golden era of real estate where we had low rates, lots of inflation, lots of opportunities to buy real estate before it became easy to do because software was created and podcasts were created and strategies were shared, you could get cash and appreciation in the same market.
it's getting to the point where I'm starting to see in my mind a delineation between these two
strategies. You've got cash flow markets, which tend to be low priced homes, closer to 1%
rule, where you can get cash flow, you're probably not going to get a lot of appreciation.
And then you've got appreciation markets that are almost the opposite. You're going to get
appreciation, but you're probably not going to cash flow. Okay. In order to invest in these appreciation
markets without losing money every month, you have to put a very sizable down payment down.
So what's starting to happen is that if you want to get into the appreciation markets where you will make more money long term, you have to have more money to play.
So what happens is instead of buying a million dollar place and putting $200,000 down, you buy a million dollar place and you put $500,000 down.
And then that million dollar place becomes worth $1.2.
So you made $200,000 on your $500,000 investment, which is a 40% return on your money, but it did not come as a cash on cash return.
It came as a cash on equity return.
Let's call it that.
Like your ROI basically, right?
Oh yeah, your ROE.
Yeah, a return on investment has been synonymous with cash on cash return, but it really
shouldn't be.
There's different ways that you get an investment.
That's kind of the topic of the book that I'm writing.
So if you don't have a really big down payment, you really shouldn't be investing in a market
like Hawaii or like Malibu or like Miami, some of these places that are going to be
more expensive because you're not going to cash loan.
If you're not in a financially strong position through a lot of money or
or through the ability to whether a lot of not cash flow,
you shouldn't be playing there.
You're gonna have to go to these cash flow markets
that aren't gonna get appreciation and just go slower.
You're gonna slowly build equity.
You're gonna slowly 1031 into something better.
You're gonna learn the principles of real estate investing.
You're gonna take a couple years to get it down
and then maybe a 1031 into a market like Hawaii.
And I guess that's the way that I'm starting to notice investors
have two different routes that they can take.
Well, we never had to have this conversation before.
It was, do I want a lot of
cash flow in a cheaper market or a little bit of cash flow in an appreciation market. And I think
that the skills have kind of tipped away from that. What do you think? Yeah, interest rates have made it
harder to, yeah, have made everything a little bit tougher. I want to impact something you said,
which is the cash on cash versus ROI because some people might be like, whoa, what? I totally get this.
This cash on cash, you right, has been synonymous with that. So basically, cash on cash is how hard
your money works for you in one year time. So if you invest $100,000 into a property and the profit after
all of your expenses is $15,000, you would divide that $15,000 by the $100,000 investment,
and that would be a 15% cash on cash return. That is the golden metric and a lot of different
real estate investments for sure in Airbnb too. Whereas you get into the ROI side of things,
and I think ROI is a breakdown of cash on cash, the tax benefits that you got from deductions,
appreciation. When you factor all four of those in, that's what gets you your IRA or your
rate of return. Which is another metric for.
measuring return on investment. Are you agreed with that definition? And that's what literally the next
book that I'm writing is about is ROI should not be synonymous with cash on cash return. They're not the
same thing. There's 10 ways you make money in real estate and I have invited in the four categories you
said, Rob, cash flow appreciation, tax savings, which is depreciation. That's why you keep getting mixed up
as well as loan pay down. So you can make money in real estate in all of these ways, but that doesn't
mean that they're all equally good for everybody. If you're someone who's got a $3 million net worth, you can
go invest in Hawaii and delay gratification and make your money through equity, which is energy
stored in the property. But if you're someone who's living paycheck to paycheck, you don't really
have that luxury. You're going to have to go into somewhere that's lower risk where you actually
get cash flow every single month and you're going to make your money through energy you put in the
bank, which would be the cash. And we've never needed in the past to differentiate between
these two things. What we always said was invest for cash flow and hopefully appreciation will
happen. So the question was, is the Hawaiian dream dead? It probably is not dead, but it is out of reach
for the new investor who's like, I want to buy my first house. I want to do it in Maui. No, you don't.
That's like, I'm going to start going back to the gym and get in shape. I should go to CrossFit.
Absolutely not. You will die. Don't do that. Start taking a walk. Measure your steps.
Go to a gym, work out at a pace that you can handle and earn the way to get into CrossFit.
I think investors should look at it the same way with these appreciation markets. Final little thing on the
question he ended with, which is, can Airbnbs actually make money past all the regulation and
what locations do you invest in? I do want to say one little thing, you know, going back to my
non-answer earlier about genuinely considering what the Hawaiian population, kind of their feedback
about investors coming in and snapping up property, there is a housing shortage in Hawaii.
And typically in cities like L.A., New York, San Francisco, and then places like Hawaii where
there are such extreme housing shortages, the regulations typically follow suit. And so for that reason,
I'm also uninterested in investing in Airbnbs out in Hawaii because I just don't, I don't know
if I can trust that regulation will keep me as an Airbnb investor, you know, keep my interest
at play. I think it's, you know, they don't really, they're not going to watch out for us,
which is, you know, I don't have an issue necessarily with that, but that is my... I mean, that happened
to me in Maui. I bought properties. Luckily, I bought in a resort zone. A lot of people were not
buying in resort zones and they all had the hammer come down on them.
Our producer here put ordinance 227, which was packs in October of 2022,
basically spelled out that Hawaiians can find people for operating short-term rentals
if it's not in a resort zone.
And I believe it's like $10,000 a day.
And they actually have department officials that proactively go look for these.
They send someone in a car.
They take pictures of your guests, checking it out with their suitcases.
They hit you with a $10,000 fine.
So they're not joking around.
It's not just Hawaii. I'm seeing this everywhere, and they only do it when people apply for a short-term rental permit. So it is, it's not like it's a bad strategy, but you have more due diligence going into this than people ever had before.
All right, everybody, we hope you enjoyed today's show. Rob and I sure did. So if you like this stuff, please make sure that you subscribe to this podcast. Rob, anything you want to say before we go?
No, I liked all of. These were all thinkers. Usually we have a couple softballs, but I feel like we really had to talk through every one of these questions.
Absolutely. This was a tough show. Thanks for being here with me to take some of the pressure off, Rob. If you want to know more about Rob or I, our info is in the show note. So go check that out and keep it out for the next episode of Seeing Green. This is David Green for Rob Aristotle Abasolo, signing off.
What's the connection on that one? You're a thinker. Oh, I like it. Thank you. That's the nice thing you've ever said about me.
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