Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis - Bill's Election Prediction, Robert Cahaly's Insights on Battleground States Polling, & Is the White House Buying Votes?

Episode Date: November 1, 2024

Tonight's rundown: Hey BillOReilly.com Premium and Concierge Members, welcome to the No Spin News for Thursday, October 31, 2024. Stand Up for Your Country.  Talking Points Memo: Who is Bill predicting will win the presidential election next week? Pollster Robert Cahaly joins the No Spin News to analyze the current state polling between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. A look at Bill's appearance during last night’s NewsNation town hall. How the Harris-Walz campaign is providing financial support to boost their chances in the election. This Day in History: Happy Halloween! Final Thought: Former Congresswoman Debbie Dingell's crazy comment. In Case You Missed It: Read Bill's latest column, Reasonable Voters THE ULTIMATE KILLING SPECIAL. Get Confronting the Presidents PLUS the entire bestselling Killing Series. All 14 books for only $325. SHOP HERE. Get Bill's latest book, CONFRONTING THE PRESIDENTS, out NOW! Election season is here! Now's the time to get a Premium or Concierge Membership to BillOReilly.com, the only place for honest news analysis. Check out the NEW Not Woke Shop! We’ve got Not Woke t-shirts, polos, bumper stickers, and our signature Not Woke coffee mug. Get yours today and stand out from the crowd! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Hey, Bill O'Reilly here, welcome to the no-spin news on Halloween. Boo, October 31st, 2004 stand-up for your country. Are you ready? Is that how they do it in those dopey wrestling shows? For my prediction. about the vote next Tuesday. Are you ready? Well, it doesn't really matter.

I'm gonna give it to you anyway. And that is the subject of this evening's talking points memo. So no emotion here. I gave you my opinion about 10 days ago, I thought Trump would win, but that wasn't a prediction. Here is a prediction, and it is based on data, okay? Not wishful thinking, I'm not believing

what I wanna believe. I analyze data, and you can see this, data yourself. The Wall Street Journal printed it yesterday, and we've confirmed that it is accurate. Okay, the first one, the data is basically says that the Republican registration, voter registration among the GOP is way up. That's what I base my prediction on. For example, North Carolina, All right. The Democrats' advantage has fallen from 400,000, $399 to just $113,000. That means that many, many more North Carolinians have gone over to the Republican side.

The second one is Pennsylvania. And the Democrats' registration there, the advantage, has fallen from, 686 to 281, 400,000, then we go on to Arizona, where the Republicans now hold a 259,000 voter registration gap, all right, over the Democrats. And finally, Nevada, where the Democrats' advantage is 1-11 falling from 111 to just 45,000. So those are four-swing states, and if Trump were to take all those states, he wins. And there's momentum on the GOP side. So O'Reilly, who's trained in this, remember, I have a master's degree in public administration from Harvard. I'm braggy, but it cost me a lot of money to get it, and I actually had to study, so I'm entitled to brag.

But that's what I do. Okay, we're not emotional about this thing. Obviously, I don't want Kamala Harris to be president because she's so far left, I believe she'll damage the country, perhaps in a way that can't be repaired. Okay? So that's what I believe.

Now, last time I'm around, 158 million Americans voted. astronomical turnout. I don't think it's going to be as high this time. I think it's going to drop down to about 135. Why? Because there are a lot of people who still don't like Donald Trump. But because the Harris Biden administration, and I put her name first because she's the candidate now, has done such a dismal job and people are suffering financially, I think a lot of those people who hate Trump voted against them last time because they hate them, going to stay home. That's just a gut feeling. I have no data to base that on, no polling to base that on.

But I think it's going to happen. It's human nature. Now, here are the betting odds, and this is interesting. So the gamblers are the gamblers, right? Trump's 63% to win Harris 36. But I wouldn't bed on my prediction because I was wrong two years ago with the red wave. And that was pointed out last night on News Nation. I hope you saw that, and we'll give you more information on in a minute. Two-hour town hall, cast a thousands, and again, I'll lay it out for you later. But the fact that I was wrong two years ago became a talking point with Polster Frank Luntz. Go. It's interesting that I'm on with Bill O'Reilly. I don't know if you remember that you and I talked about this in 2022,

and I was very skeptical of how well Republicans were going to do, and he was very convinced that Republicans are going to have this big landslide. I was wrong. Yep. And that's the first time. Whoa. Whoa. Hold on.

Hold on. But I've been right about everything. This shows up. It shows over. Have a good night. I haven't been very much. write about everything else, but most things, including the Biden, wouldn't be running. So let's sum up the talking points memo. I predict Donald Trump will be the next president.

I'm not going to bet on it, though, because it is an emotional situation. Whenever you have emotion involved, and we have big time emotion here, when John McCain ran, not a lot of emotion with McCain. Mitt Romney ran, not a lot of emotion with Mitt Romney, okay? Donald Trump, off-the-chart of motion, both pro and com. And that's the memo. Okay, schedules, Joe Biden is relaxing today. And Kamala Harris, busy day. Vice Presidents in Arizona and in Nevada, Phoenix, Reno, Las Vegas, and Donald Trump, even busier.

Albuquerque, New Mexico, apparently Trump people think that New Mexico could go Republican. I'd be shocked. But then they go to a Vegas area, Henderson, Nevada, and then they go back down to Arizona for a nighttime rally there. So candidates on the weekend will be all over the swing states. I apologize to everybody in Idaho and Massachusetts. You're never going to see these people. I think you'll never see them again in your lifetime, presidential candidates.

Even here in New York, Trump came through, of course, to do the big spectacle, but New York will go for Harris. Okay, the garbage comment update. This was, or is, I think it's still in play. This is a really interesting political story. Okay. So, as you know, there was a stupid comedian on the Trump undercard at Madison Square Garden, and he said that Puerto Rico is a floating something of garbage, and right away, all hell broke loose. Trump did not know he was going to say that. Trump even knew who the guy was. But Trump's in charge of his campaign. And then the press went wild for almost 24 hours, but then Trump took it and turned it. So he shows up to Green Bay, Wisconsin with former Packer, quarterback, Brett Farb, and Trump gets in a garbage truck. Okay,

now this is very clever with the Trump thing on his side. He's wearing a little vest, and he's taking what was a negative, turning it to a positive roll, the tape. And I think that the comment paid by really both of them, because there are really two of them, about being garbage, maybe 250 million people, they shouldn't be talking. That's like deplorable for Hillary. This is the deplorable for Hillary. And I think this is worse, actually. For Joe Biden to make that statement, it's really a disgrace. Let's face it, the U.S. economy is under stress. National debt rising, trade war, shaking the markets.

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business, pop culture, and everything in between. It's what you want from the New York Post wrapped up in one snappy show. Ask your smart speaker to play the NY Postcast podcast. Listen and subscribe on Amazon Music, Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts. All right, and Kamala Harris repudiated first time that she's ever made her boss look bad.

But Corinne, John Pierre, always loyal to the end, actually refutes that President Biden made the garbage comment. Go. So he was regarding to the comedian, and I quote, I refer to the hateful rhetoric about poor,

Puerto Rico spewed by Trump's supporter at his Madison Square Garden rally as garbage, which is the only word I can think of to describe it. His demonization of Latinos is unconscionable. That's all I meant to say. The comments, the comments at the rally don't reflect who we are as a nation. And to your question, your other question that you asked, no, he does not view Trump supporters or anybody who supports Trump as garbage. That is not what he views.

The last part of that, that's probably true because Biden doesn't know what he's saying. I'm not going to run it somebody again, but it's clear he has no idea what he's saying. And that comes back to Kamala Harris's honesty, because remember, up till yesterday or today, she's never said, well, yeah, he's a little diminished. He's always, no, he's the greatest guy. He's right on it.

Okay, American Pulse. We had the CEO, Dustin Olson, on earlier this week, and he said he was going to make his prediction. And American Pulse is a think tank. It's very, very methodical, the way I am. So that's why we use them. And they made it this morning, American Pulse, and here it is. I'm going to quote it so everybody can hear it. Harris narrowly leads nationally in a race that's well within the popular vote, margin of error. But when you look at the fundamentals of the race, they do favor Trump. Okay? Then he goes on to say a majority of Americans say they're worse off today, there were four years ago, view Harris as a continuation of Biden, which he would be, and believe Trump would be a better

handle of the two biggest issues, the economy and the border. Okay. So, they are basically concurring, word of the day, with me. But we both could be wrong. Now, Trafalga, the Trafalgar polling agency. So the top of the chart inaccuracy last time was Atlas out of Brazil. We had their CEO on. And that's why I'm very pleased that you continue to watch our election coverage. That guy didn't go on anywhere else that I can think of. Okay? But he was the most accurate. Second inaccuracy was Trafalgar last time around. But they don't do national polling. Atlas does. Atlas has got Trump up by two. Okay? They issued yesterday. If you saw it, our broadcast yesterday on the NOSPen News, you saw it.

If you're a concierge, a premium member, you can get a transcript of all of our stuff. Anyway, back to Trafalgo. Second most accurate last time around, the most accurate in four 16. So they, they're players. They don't do national polling. They do state by state. And joining us now from South Carolina is the chief pollster Atrafalda, Robert. Am I saying, say your last name for me because I'm such an old guy. Cahaley, right? Cahaley, yes, sir. All right, I finally got it. It's an Irish name. I should be able to get it. Cahaley, you know. Anyway, I want to run down in the States. You tell me where they are and what you think is going to happen.

Fair enough? Yes, sir. Yes, sir. North Carolina, you have Trump up by three, 49, Harris, 46. Yeah, that's not our final poll in North Carolina, but I do feel very confident. There are a lot of people who think that North Carolina was in play, but the fact is, even in 2022, North Carolina elected a Republican senator and expanded their majorities in both House and Senate, and that was with the new maps and everything.

So I think North Carolina is going to be solid. I have a question about North Carolina because the GOP guy running for governor is getting waxed. He's going to lose by double digits. And is that going to hurt Trump in the Tar Hill state? Well, we had the same thing in 2016, the Republican candidate for governor lost in Trump won.

And then in 2020, the Republican for governor, lost and Trump won and we won a U.S. Senate seat in that in that state. So North Carolina are just really good ticket splitters and they can look between a candidate for governor they don't like and the Republican Party they do like. Obviously top of a ticket is president, so it's easier to do that. You said we. Who's we? Are you working for the Republicans? No, I just say in the sense that, like, when I'm, yeah, I grew up in South Carolina, so they're neighbors and we always kind of talk. Oh, I got it.

And I have a place in North Carolina as well. So I'm kind of a part-time North Carolina. I just want to clarify. You know me. Absolutely. I want everything on the table here. Well, I believe in, my company believes in being independent. I mean, certainly I am a Republican.

There's, I make no bones about that. But I care more about being right than I care about. party agenda this good for you let's go south to georgia you've got trump 48 harris 46 but remember the atlanta area fulton county and savannah those two places dominate in their big harris territory absolutely but what we have seen in early voting is the cab fulton guinette and uh cobb are down and the other counties that are more republican are up and that is significant uh because in They don't register by party. So the fact that people are turning out in the more rural areas

and the turnout in the more urban areas is down, and they have to get to 29% black participation in the early vote. And right now they're like at 27. It is significantly down, and that is a problem. All right. Now, I have said Georgia is going to go for Trump because of Lake and Riley. The University of Georgia student who was allegedly murdered by a venison. and criminal. I think that that tilted the race toward Trump. I don't think there's any data

to back that up. It's a gut feeling that I have. But I totally agree with you. I mean, I think illegal immigration, right, has a more intense bearing on the vote in Georgia. I also believe that you're right about North Carolina. I think it will go to Trump, but it's going to be very close there, in my opinion. Let's go out to Arizona. We got, you have, Trump 48, Harris, 46, and that's a tie within a margin of era. Maricopa County, Phoenix, dominates, and there's all kinds of problems with voting in Maricopa County. So I don't know about Arizona. Well, one of the things we did in 2016, and we kind of pride ourselves at doing, is recognize what's called the hidden vote and the vote for Trump. They're hard to get to tell you there for

Trump. And part of that is, in 2016, it was a shame thing that, you know, they didn't want to be judged. But in 2024, we get questions like, who are you? Why are you doing this? What are you doing this information? They're worried about the government getting a list of who's for Trump. They're worried about big tech getting them. They don't want to be canceled. They don't want to have lawfare and so you have to dig deeper to get that and we have ways of digging there one of the ones that we've kind of made we made public after 2016 was we asked and how do you think your neighbors are going to vote it's still a vehicle we use it's projection device that helps you get past what's called the social desirability bias I got it which is when people cater their answers

and what we see in Arizona is a significant hid vote that is over eight and usually when you have that kind of a disparity, a third to half of that can end up be added Trump's total. So I feel comfortable that Arizona is going to go their way, even if there are some typical Arizona shenanigans. So even though that Trafalgar has it a dead heat with the margin of error, you believe that Arizona will go to Trump. Right, because it's been a solid, and that's, again, not our final poll in Arizona, but it's been a pretty solid lead for a while.

Now, you're going to put out your final poll when so I can use it on Monday? Yes. I'll be out to use on Monday. All right. When are you going to put it out? So I make sure I don't want to be taking a nap while you put it out. We'll put it out over the week. We'll put them out over the weekend. Okay. Pennsylvania and Big one. I'll be there. Yes, sir. Yeah, I believe, you know, whoever wins Pennsylvania to be president.

You got Trump 46, Harris, 43, but you got the same problem in Pennsylvania that you have in Arizona with Philadelphia. Very shaky. Krasner, the district attorney, I believe, is corrupt. Okay? I don't think you have any regulation in Philadelphia at all. As far as voting is concerned, it dominates the state. So I wouldn't be surprised to see all kinds of stuff emerge there. Yes, I've been, even back in the 2016, I've been talking about Philadelphia and their unreliable elections.

I've studied this a lot. I have people who are very involved in this, going back to the Black Panther intimidation at the polls in the Bush elections. So what I'll tell you is I generally believe that you have to win Pennsylvania by two and a half to actually win Pennsylvania. And I feel like Trump has gotten to the threshold that he's winning Pennsylvania by enough to survive any shenanigans, any changes in the rules. I think, and I'm confident that Pennsylvania is one.

that will go in his column. And moreover, that's the place that we also see it, a significant amount of hidden vote, people nervous about staying there for Trump. So I think that added together, keep with what other Democrats do. And I think the African-American vote is going to be down from what it was last time around. Again, economics punishing African-American communities. They may not like Trump, but they're going to vote for four more years of that. Another situation, very similar. Detroit, biggest city, unreliable. You got Trump 46, Harris 44 in Michigan. What about that state? Michigan is a unique state in the fact that it has such a significant Arab and Muslim population. And it has a lot to do with how they're going to go. I think from what we've seen, we have a lot of them that have told us that they are looking at voting third party or not voting at all.

And to take those away from Kamala Harris's block, again, I agree with you. Michigan will have some shenanigans, but there's going to be a lot of people paying attention. A lot, you know, a lot more people watching what's happening in Detroit. Absolutely. I think Michigan's on the bubble. But if it's a good night for Trump, Michigan goes to the win column. I think Harris is going to win Michigan. But I could be wrong on that.

It's just, it's so, that state is so divided, but the Democrats have a very strong ground game, as you know, with Whitmer as the governor. Very strong. Okay, Nevada, I also think Harris is going to win Nevada. You have Harris up over Trump. The only one, by a point. Power, politics, and the people behind the headlines. I'm Miranda Devine, New York Post columnist, and the host of the brand new podcast, Podforce One.

Every week, I'll sit down for candid conversations with Washington's most powerful disruptors, lawmakers, and even the president of the United States. These are the leaders shaping the future of America and the world. Listen to Podforce One with me, Miranda Devine, every week on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcast. You don't want to miss an episode. Hey, it's Sean Spicer from the Sean Spicer Show podcast, reminding you to tune into my show every day to get your daily dose inside the world of politics. President Trump and his team are shaking up Washington like never before.

and we're here to cover it from all sides, especially on the topics the mainstream media won't. So if you're a political junkie on a late lunch or getting ready for the drive home, new episodes of the Sean Spicer Show podcast drop at 2 p.m. East Coast every day. Make sure you tune in. You can find us at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcast. Why? What's happening in Nevada? What I have seen, I'm one of those guys, just like you admit it, I'm one of those guys that I've got Nevada wrong, three elections in a row. And I'm not calling Nevada because I'm for the Republicans because I really know what happened. That last weekend, this weekend coming up, what they will do with the unions on the Saturday with busing people.

They have a list of every union member. And they will elect their ballots and they will do something that is amazing. It can move this race two or three points. And even though I think there's Trump is doing. well there they can move it it's not even that hard to do robert because it's only clark county that's it's right Vegas and all exactly all the votes are in a very small area they know all of their names and frankly they give them paychecks they can control a lot of what's happening with this so well i got i got he's going to win Nevada i don't i got i got Harris went in there

And I don't want to offend anybody in Tonapaw, but it's vigorous that matters. Who knows the capital of Nevada out there? Raise your hand. Carson City. Nobody knows that but me. I mean, a geography. Wisconsin. Now, this one is another. You got two bastions of liberalism, Madison and Milwaukee. And the rest of the state's pretty conservative. But Trump made a big splash on the garbage thing with Brett Farve and all of that. So you got Trump up by 2.0.02. That's crazy. Well, and let me tell you what I think about that state.

And this is also some experience. This is, in fact, your viewers might not know. Of everyone who registered a vote in 2022, 2023 and 24, 50% plus registered and voted in November of 2022. They have same-day voter registration and voting. And so what happens is they'll go grab people off the street, college campuses, take them to the polls,

register the vote and vote, and that can move that state. And so it's one of the reasons that if he has just a hair lead there, I don't think he's going to win this one. In 20, unless he's... Republicans are doing this same thing. there, though. Republicans are got a decent ground game. They're doing much better. Right. In Wisconsin. So they'll do

exactly what the Democrats are going to do. I mean, I feel sorry for the old people in the little homes when they got one guy Republican pounding on the door, the other guy did. Oh, no, no, you got to do this, you got to do that. Republicans are bound, though, to try to be honest about who they registered a vote. Yeah, I know. But I don't want to generalize about corruption because we we know that it crossed the board but absolutely we do it's more sophisticated in the Democratic precincts so Wisconsin I think Trump's

gonna win because Trump has spent a lot of time there and the machine isn't like it is in Philadelphia or Detroit it's not as I don't know I think Trump has got a good chance there all right We haven't done our final one there. And so, right now we haven't taken. I might even lead with it on Monday what the Trafalgar people say. So Atlas predicts that Trump will win nationwide. Trafalgar predicts that Trump will win nationwide.

I know that pending a last vote. O'Reilly does, but we all could be wrong. I mean, that's just the reality of life. Absolutely could be. But there's also the possibility. with the hidden vote we're seeing that this could not this election could not be close and could be the best thing if it's not close if it's not close if the american people really make a statement okay robert thanks very much new hampshire what on new hampshire election night

if trump or somehow win new hapshire a booth in a couple points they'll be reported early if it's that close it's going to be a big not for trump very good tip thank you very much Sure. Okay, Robert. News Nation last night. So there was this town hall two hours. And they're going to rerun it Saturday night at 10. All right. And it's worth watching. So big cast, is Cuomo, Stephen A. Smith, myself, Sarah Palin, Mark Cuban, Robert Kennedy Jr., a whole bunch of other politicians, pollster, it was all right. Now, when I went into it, and I didn't even want to do it. Okay? Because, you know, right now, right now, Now, I'm so busy with Bill O'Reilly.com in my operation, for me to go into that dopey city, which I had to do, and be one of the moderators of it, means a lot of work. But, you know, News Nation been very good to me. They said, look, we need you in there as a traffic cop, all right? And they did.

Although there wasn't any acrimony. There really wasn't any rudeness or personal attacks. We made that quite clear up front because there were about 100 people in the town hall. That wasn't going to be tolerated. Okay, let me play a couple of sound bites. So a Democratic Congressman Jared Moskowitz from Florida was there. And the Democrats pound the abortion issue, as you know, because they need women. They need 55% of women to turn out.

last time was 52%. They get 55, Harris, because Harris will take the majority of women. All right. So Moskowitz, you know, he's abortion, abortion, abortion, we'll take. Because I don't support late-term abortions. But if you look at President Trump's position, which it's unclear, he said he supported the amendment in Florida, the constitutional amendment, and then he said he was against it. He's come out and said that he supports 15 weeks, but he supports that with exceptions, right?

That's not some moral compass. He's looking at the polls. He's looking at the polling on the issue. Well, wait, wait, that's an interesting point. You're making, Congressman. What was your reaction when the nominee for the Democratic Party said Trump wants to ban abortion? You know that's not true? Well, hold on.

Wait, you know it's not true. I know. I know when Trump says something. I know it's not true. No what aboutism here. Know what aboutism. Hold on. You knew and know that what she said was false.

The only reason, does that bother you? Hold on. The only reason you can say that is because we have a filibuster in the Senate if it, hold on, if it's true. He made the statement in front of the world. It's not true. Do you support that? The bill. When you say, when you say it's not true in this world, it's not true today.

It might be true tomorrow. That's pretty convoluted. No, no, no, hold on. All right. So there you go. I get a little sample of it. it, okay? Now, you don't see that kind of stuff anymore on cable TV. You don't see it anymore. That's how I made my reputation on the O'Reilly Factor. But they don't do it anymore because it's hard

to do. And nobody wants to get in trouble. Okay? So it's all speaking to the choir. So, and I like Moskowitz. I mean, he stands up for Israel. He's a party apparatchnik. Okay. but he wouldn't answer the question when the vice president absolutely lied. There's no doubt, and it's not like, well, maybe it won't be true in the future. No, she lied. Okay, number two, Stephen A. Smith, who's another good guy. All right, so Stephen A. is a sports guy. He may know him, once he get into a little more serious broadcasting, and that's smart of him to do it.

So Stephen A is putting himself up, and I think he's very sincere, that he is big on women's rights. Go. I just want to make one quick point, and this goes to you. Sure. Democrats have been very effective saying to women, American women, that the government has no right to interfere with your body. That's the mantra, right? Okay. Isn't there another body involved here?

Amen. That's exactly. That's the point. Especially in late term, isn't there another body? Yeah. Okay? So now we never, and I mean never hear one word, adoption. We never hear what Bill Clinton said, abortion safe and rare.

What we hear from the Democratic candidate for president is abortion anytime for any reason. Do you know there are only three non-communist countries in the world? that has that law and there is a reason for that okay after the town hall somebody came up to me and says you know they would never say that what you said about there's another body involved which of course is the unborn child on the network you would be banned from saying that you couldn't say it on ABC NBC or CBS you couldn't say it that's how extreme this whole thing has gotten so fast. All right, final SOT on News Nation Town Hall last night.

Again, I'll remind you Saturday night, 10 p.m. Eastern, they're going to rerun it. So I injected some humor into this because I wanted people to feel relaxed. Go. I believe that polls are really good for strippers and cross-country skaters, but not for a lot of other things because the women you would there will be no demonstration you're the only person who can say that can get away with it but no I just I personally don't think that gender is such a big darn deal in this race but it is a big darn deal All right, men will overwhelmingly go for Donald Trump, maybe five or six points.

And women, they'll go for Harris. I don't think the plurality will be that big. If 55% of American women vote for Harris, she'll win. On the other end, the polls have Latinos at 44% for Trump. If that holds, Trump wins. that would override the women vote. All right, the White House continues to buy votes. Here's an unreported story.

You'll never get this on the corporate media. So did you know that after the garbage comment, that the White House has given the University of Puerto Rico $5 million, just wrote a check, and all told 19 million in grants to schools that serve Hispanic. students. Now, I don't, that's fine. But after the Madison Square Garden thing, and you write a check to the University of Puerto Rico for $5 million, you're buying votes. And here's something worse.

The Harris campaign, which has a billion dollars, is writing checks too. And one of the organizations that is receiving money from the Harris campaign is black voters math. Fund, Black Voters Matter Fund. I never heard of this. Did you ever hear of it? It's a non-profit. Okay. So this group has received hundreds of thousands of dollars, hundreds of thousands of dollars from the Harris campaign. This group Black Voters Matter has called for the defunding of American police. I'll take all the money away from the police, okay, and they want reparations for slavery. I told you that Kamala Harris supports reparations for slavery to the tune of hundreds of billions of dollars. That's income redistribution. That's the way

to take money from the general tax fund and give it to selected groups, reparations of slavery. It's impossible to regulate that. We're going to trace every single African-American's ancestry? Can't regulate it. Harris supports that. Do you know that? Does that been reported? Unbelievable. Unbelievable. Smart life. So here's the other side. You watch and listen to this program on our radio affiliates all across the country because I assume you want truthful reporting. But not everybody. So I got a letter from Miami, a guy in Miami, and he says this. After watching your program, O'Reilly, I have noticed unfair statements by you about Donald Trump. In my opinion, there's

no need to point out Trump's exaggeration of facts. But I've never heard him lie about anything as you often accuse him. Well, number one, I don't often accuse Donald Trump of lying, and I don't often accuse Kamala Harris are lying. I did on the abortion ban because that's just a flat-out lie. There's no other word I can use. Trump exaggerates all the time. Here's an example.

Trump said that every jurist in the country supported the Supreme Court decision to kick the abortion issue back to the states. That's an exaggeration. There's very lively debate in the... legal community about that. The debate is useless because the Supreme Court issued its ruling and it's where it is. Okay. So it's my job to report what's happening. But a lot of people

don't want that. They don't want a smart life. They want to hear what they believe. And if you criticize their candidate, they're mad at you. That's not smart. Okay. There's a disturbing story about Gary Sheepley. I don't have time for it right now. I'm going to get to it on Monday. I'm signaling my producers up there. He's the guy who blew the whistle, the IRS guy on Hunter Biden.

Will they punish him? But I'll give you all the details on Monday on that. Okay? So that'll be on the rundown. Stay on history is Halloween. October 31st, all hallows Eve. Here's how trick-a-treating got into play. So back in the 19th century early, kids, American kids who run around yelling bell snickle on Halloween, bell snickle, German word.

And what that was is when they came to your house and went bell snickle, you had to guess what their costume was. And if you couldn't guess it, you had to give them candy. That's how trick-of-treating got up and running. The Germans did it. Secondly, and that's from the Library of Congress, by the way, one in five adults pretend they're not home on Halloween. Ooh, talk about Grinch. Pumpkin capital of the United States, Illinois, a lot of pumpkins, and they have a governor who's a pumpkin hit. Do you believe in ghosts? Sixty-one percent of American adults believe in ghosts.

Now, I've never seen a ghost. Ghosts would not, no, you don't want to associate it with me. But I know a lot of people believe in them. So that is this day in history. Back with the final thought in a moment. Final thought of the day, here is probably the dopiest statement made in this campaign. Go. He wants to ban Muslims.

He wants to deport Muslims, and he wants to start interment camps. And that's what we are busy talking to every voter. Congresswoman Debbie Dingell trying to scare Muslims into voting for Harris. He wants to start intermin camps. Oh, you know, there's dumb and there's hopeless. Ms. Dingell might be in the hopeless category. That is it for us tonight. We will have our election show on Monday. Don't miss it. It's going to be a really good presentation. Thank you very much for watching and listening. I'll have a column on Sunday and we'll see you on Monday.