Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis - Can Trump Maintain His Favorability?, Dems Oppose Domestic Abuse/Deportation Bill & Germany Takes Action Against Illegal Immigration

Episode Date: September 20, 2024

Tonight's rundown:  Hey BillOReilly.com Premium and Concierge Members, welcome to the No Spin News for Thursday, September 19, 2024. Stand Up for Your Country.  Talking Points Memo: Polls are starting to matter. Bill breaks down the latest Scripps News/Ipsos Poll. 158 Democrats are against a bill that seeks to deport illegal immigrants convicted of sex crimes. Why would Democrats oppose this? Germany increases security measures at all land border crossings to address immigration concerns amid rising fears of extremism. Smart Life: Why you should admit your mistakes. This Day in History: "The Twist" hits #1 on the Billboard Hot 100. Final Thought: 'Confronting the Presidents' is #1 on the NYT Best Sellers list! In Case You Missed It: Read Bill's latest column, Reimagining Kamala Harris For a limited time, get our three latest Political Memorabilia mugs at a 25% discount. Our Political Memorabilia 2.0 bundle includes a Not Woke mug in navy, a Team Normal mug in white and our newest mug, No Socialism in navy. ORDER TODAY! Election season is here! Now's the time to get a Premium or Concierge Membership to BillOReilly.com, the only place for honest news analysis. Get Bill's latest book, CONFRONTING THE PRESIDENTS, out NOW! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Hey Bill O'Reilly here. Welcome to the No Spin News for Thursday, September 19th, 2024, stand up for your country. So the polls start to matter now, but the polls, some of them, aren't honest. Now, I do my best to filter through it to explain to you who's bringing you data and the flaws in it. Earlier this week, we said, hey, we need gender on these polls because most American women, the majority of them, will vote for Kamala Harris. So if you poll more women than men, you're going to get a skewed result. Well, one polling agency said, okay, we're glad about that.

You may remember this time four years ago, they didn't even tell us. you who they were polling as far as Republicans, Democrats, and dependents. Now, all of them do that. I'm taking credit, hello, for this. But it's my job to keep all of these agencies honest, and I'm trying to do that. Now, I hope you are benefiting directly from our coverage here on Bill O'Reilly.com and the no-spin news, our radio stations across the country, and our television outlets like the First DirecTV, YouTube, on and on. I hope you are directly benefiting. I got to tell you, I'm looking around, and nobody has pointed it out, bill at bill o'Reilly.com, bill at bill o'Reilly.com. Does anybody equal to us or better? I want to know about it,

because I think we are far and away had the best coverage of this race. And there's no favor to it. I mean, obviously, I'm not going to vote for Kamala Harris. And I've said that. She represents a progressive movement that I think is extremely destructive to this country. And I don't care if Trump wants to eat, parakeets, goldfish, whatever, it's the bigger picture that I look at as an American voter and as a news analyst. So the dopey stuff, I'm easily able to put that aside. We reported here, because if I didn't know, I wouldn't be honest. But I'm just telling you how I process information. So the talking points memo tonight is again on the race. There's a new Ipsos poll out. Interesting poll. 1,027 adults, 84% registered voted, 14% not registered.

Why bother Ipsot's with 14% who are not registered to vote? Who cares what they think? Okay, they're not going to have any say at all in this election. It should be 100% registered voters. And even better than that, likely voters. That's when you really start to get it down. There's no reason for 14% non-registered voters to be in any poll, right? They're idiots. Okay, gender, 51% female, 49 male. That means the Ipsos poll is skewed slightly toward Kamala Harris, but that could be appointed to. First question, to what extent do you support or oppose limiting the number of migrants who can claim asylum?

support 69% overwhelming, okay? 27% opposed. Now, President Biden, by executive order, told Homeland Security to not impede anyone asking for asylum. Now quickly got out, the cartels told everybody, and so everybody comes to him and goes, oh, I want asylum. Biden didn't have to do that. He did it by himself. No Congress, no party. He did it by himself. Not only did He'd do that, but he ordered Mayorkas Homeland Security and let him go. Unattended into this country, we don't know where they are. That was perhaps the worst blunder of a president in modern times. That's why Joe Biden is ranked the second worst president ever in my book confronting the presidents.

He didn't have to do it. He did it alone. And who cheerleadinged that? That would be Vice President Harris. For three years, Biden and Harris, for three years, told us, border was secure. No problem. Keep that in mind. Your liberal friends, whatever, if you're discussing it, it's got to be civil.

You can't be yelling at each other. All you've got to do is say that. Three years, this woman told the American people, border was secure. She know it wasn't. She said it was. That's the simplicity that we bring. to this race. Second question. Do you support or oppose local law enforcement having the ability to detain migrants? Support 62, oppose 35. And that are overwhelming, overwhelming majority.

And that would be if a traffic stop, cop comes in, license registration, person doesn't have it, immediately detained. And if it's proven a certain person isn't a citizen, they can't produce, any paperwork, then ISIS is called. ISIS is called. I'm sorry, I'm delirious today. I admit it. I try to cut down on the mistakes. ISIS called, not ISIS.

Okay, I support that. I'm sure support that. Why wouldn't you do that? You're protecting people. That's why the police are there to protect people. Third question. Do you support or oppose mass deport? of undocumented immigrants.

Support 54, opposed 42. Now, it gets dicier here. So what does mass deportation mean? Nobody knows what it means, because Donald Trump has not, and I don't think can define what it means. He doesn't know. It's a great slogan,

big applause line every time he says it, mobilizes his base, But how are you going to do it? Now, there's a way, and I'm going to tell you once again, I'm sorry to be repetitive, but this is the way you do it. Okay? You can't have people kicking doors in, chasing people around. Can't do that.

What you can do is say, to anyone in this country without documentation, you have three months. I had it originally at six, but I bring it down to three. You have three months, 90 days, to register with your local post office. Each post office will have a registration form. You're to fill it out. And then you send it to Homeland Security on an envelope that's already given to you. And the government pays the stamp. If you do not fill out the form in a form and say, who are you?

What country do you come from? Where are you living? do you have a job? Do you have dependents, children? That kind of thing. It's a questionnaire. If you don't do it within 90 days and you're caught by the authorities, local, state, federal, you're deported without a hearing. No hearing. You're gone. If you're not in the database, the Homeland Security database, as filling out this form, they're out of here. You get detained, until they can put you on a plane or a bus and send you back to wherever. Now, Venezuela says not take it anymore, people back, can't land the plane.

I understand that. So those people, those Venezuelans, be dropped to Mexico. Let's face it, the U.S. economy is under stress. National debt rising, trade war, shaking the markets. And meanwhile, China is dumping the dollar and stockpiling gold. That's why I protected my savings with physical gold and silver through the only dealer I trust, American Hartford Gold. And you can do this. Get precious metals delivered to your door or place in a tax advantage, gold IRA.

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Power, politics, and the people behind the headlines. Miranda Devine, New York Post columnist and the host of the brand new podcast, Podforce One. Every week I'll sit down for candid conversations with Washington's most powerful disruptors, lawmakers, newsmakers and even the president of the United States. These are the leaders shaping the future of America and the world. Listen to Podforce One with me, Miranda Devine, every week on Apple Podcasts. Spotify, or wherever you get your podcast. You don't want to miss an episode.

All right, you can walk back to Venezuela from there. But they're out of here. Okay, that's fair. Now, the people who do register, and it would be millions, then are assigned a hearing to get their status. So we have order. We know where the undocumented are, and we can do this in a humane. You want to call it humane?

All right, whatever, but in a fair way. That's how you do it. Again, can't be raiding people, dragging them out in front of their kids are screaming. So the kids are an American citizen because he or she was born here, but the father and mother are. You can't. You can't. And the federal courts will stop you from doing it. that. If you're president or Congress or whatever, you pass a law, the authority is going

to come in and drag you out and whatever. FISA go, no. Why? Because as soon as you are on this soil in the United States, as soon as you are here, no matter, documented, undocumented doesn't matter, you get due process. That is the truth. Now, I know a lot of people don't want to hear it. They'd rather have people dragged out and throw on. It's not going to happen. Okay. Next, poll question. Which is the following, most important to you. Inflation, 57%. Immigration, 39. Threats to democracy, whatever they are. 25. Crime, corruption, 25. Environmental climate change, 24. So far and away, it's an economic race. And of course, when you ask Kamala Harris, how would you bring down inflation, as a journalist did earlier this

week, she tells you about her middle class upbringing. That's all you need to know. That's it. All you need to know. She had no idea how to do that. If I'm interviewing Kamala Harris, and you know what would happen, I would ask her the exact same question, and I wouldn't take the middle class. All right? I'd say, with all due respect, Madam Vice President, you didn't even come close to answer any question. Would you like a second shot at it? It's not a hard question. It might be a hard solution, but it's not a hard question. Next one. Which president of Canada do you believe be a better job handling immigration? Trump 44, Harris, 34, neither 12. So I don't get to 34. I guess you guys want open borders. I don't think 34% of the American

people want open borders. Doesn't really mean. It's kind of a lot of hate Trump thing. If Trump would do what I just suggested in that registration process and methodically break down how he's going to do it, that number would go up to 60, I think. Could be wrong. Do you have a favorable, unfavorable opinion of Kamala Harris, 45, favorable, unfavorable 48? Now, Donald Trump, favorable 38, unfavorable 57. But that may not be actually.

at Ipsos, because there's a Gallup poll that says differently, all right? So Gallup is a poll, put it at the same time of the Ipsos poll, 1,007 U.S. adults. Again, why bother? You've got to be likely a registered voters, Gallup, you should know that. Gender 50-50, okay, good, you got that. Favorability, Donald Trump, latest poll, 46, okay? So that is 8% higher than Ipsos. It shows you about the polls.

Trump has got a 46 favorable rating. On favorable 53, he's up five points since August, and I'll explain why in a moment. Harris, favorable 44. So in the Gallup poll, Trump's favorability is higher than Harris. on February of 54, she's down three in favorability since August. So why is Trump up in the Gallup poll? It's the assassination situation.

Stay with me here. And I did a message of the day where you'll be able to hear it, and I'll probably write a column on Sunday, but when someone runs for president, they cease being a person. they come a caricature. So their supporters love them, they're the greatest, and their dissenters hate them, they're the devil. Not a person.

It's a caricature. Both Trump and Harris are in that category. Now, they're not people. But once a tragedy before somebody, and having a bullet hit your ear, that qualifies, then they become human again. Okay? So to have it happen twice, people are taking another look at Trump now because of those

circumstances, because two would-be assassins try to take him out. Then he becomes a person, not a caricature. That always drives favorability up in this country. Okay. Now, whether Donald Trump can sustain that momentum that he has in favorability, and I do believe he has it. I do believe that Trump now momentum is with Trump. He was on Long Island just a few miles from where I am right now last night. 60,000 people wanted to see his speech. They could put 18,000 in to the Nassau Coliseum. I'll just give you 30 seconds of it. Go. With your vote,

we are going to rescue our country. We are going to rescue our Democrat-run states. We are going to start by saving the great state of New York. Is that good? We are here. The Democrats outnumber the Republicans on the voting rolls about 5 to 1. It's like California. However, New York needs to be saved. Okay? So it's not impossible, but with New York City

and 50% of New York City workers were foreign-born. 5-0. They're not illegal, but it's not the same crew. crew as in Nassau County. The odds are he's going to lose New York, but he may be competitive here. If he wins New York, it's over. It's over. He wins the presidency. Now, it was smart for Trump to do the rally here, even though this isn't considered a swing state, because it's the media capital of the world, New York. And the clips got out everywhere. It's a huge success. I harken back to the debate when Harris said, oh, you should go to a Trump rally, everybody's leaving early.

Nobody left early. I had people there. Nobody. And Harris could not get close to 60,000 people wanting to see anything that she does anywhere, even if she goes to San Francisco. He's not going to get that. So that's just a little aside. Now, there's a downside for Donald Trump's. rally, and that is that he will get intoxicated by the adulation. I know this is a long talking

points memo, but it's an important one. So Trump has a tendency to believe that his rallies reflect the popular vote. They do not. His people, MAGA, are much more enthusiastic than Harris's people. Harris's support very thin, even among the progressives, very thin. Trump's fanatical support. The Trump equates that with the polling. That's a mistake. Don't get intoxicated by the rallies. They're good for him, obviously lifts his morale and everything goes his way on that evening, but it is not a harbinger, word of the day, of what's to come.

That's number one. Number two, there will be a bad moon rising, and we had a full moon this week. The next full moon, the corporate media, and everything. everybody knows it's corrupt. The corporate media itself knows it's corrupt. They just don't care. They're going to go increasingly desperate as Kamala starts to waver. I don't see any way. And that's why I think Trump's not going to debate. I suggested he do debate, second debate. But I think the strategy is she doesn't have anything except the debate. We're not going to give her another one. I think that's what it is. So Harris probably is not going to gain fire.

Doesn't answer questions. Totally inarticulate. Oprah's going to be with her today. That doesn't matter. Tilla Swift doesn't matter. I mean, they're talking to the choir over there. To really gain momentum, I don't see how Harris does it. So the Trump people say, look, we're just going to do what we do.

We think we'll overcome any polling, slight polling leech you may have. That's the thinking. But a bad moon. rising is that the media is going to become desperate and create stuff to try to hurt Trump. Okay? Now, you may have heard that confronting the president is number one on the New York Times list, and I'll deal with that at the end of the program. But my attorneys and me, we are prepared now for attacks on me and the book. Now, I hope they don't come, but we are prepared because that's what always happens in this country. All right. Finally, the October

surprise is likely to be contrived by the press, not a Biden, I can't run again, not assassination attempts. The press is going to cook it. And we're here to watch all of this very, very closely, which is why I think you're here. And that's the memo. reminding you to tune into my show every day to get your daily dose inside the world of politics. President Trump and his team are shaking up Washington like never before, and we're here to cover it from all size, especially on the topics the mainstream media won't. So if you're a political junkie on a late lunch or getting ready for the drive home, new episodes of the Sean Spicer Show podcast drop at 2 p.m. East Coast every day.

Make sure you tune in. You can find us at Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcast. Hey, I'm Caitlin Becker, the host of the New York Postcast, and I've got exactly what you need to start your weekdays. Every morning, I'll bring you the stories that matter, plus the news people actually talk about, the juicy details in the world's politics, business, pop culture, and everything in between. It's what you want from the New York Post wrapped up in one snappy show. Ask your smart speaker to play the NY Postcast podcast. Listen and subscribe on Amazon Music, Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts. Schedule today, Joe Biden, the President of the United States, in case you have forgotten, delivers remarks to the Economic Club in D.C., and then he does another little speech for the Hispanic Caucus Institute,

whatever that is. Trump was in New York City doing some campaigning in Jewish districts. He's going to D.C. to hold some kind of an event at fighting anti-Semitism. Clearly, Donald Trump's going after the Jewish vote. Kamala Harris is with Oprah for a virtual town hall. I don't even know what that means. I know that they're buddies. I know Oprah, Oprah was buddies with the Obama's. Oprah's buddies with Kamala.

Nothing wrong with that. Nothing wrong with that. Oprah can vote for what you want, support anywhere she wants. I don't know what a virtual town hall is. I don't know what they're going to do. but whatever it is it's going to be a cupcake it's going to be a love fest all right there they are yeah i don't i'm i'm not cynical um i know Oprah a little bitch it's always been all right to me i mean but i know what her agenda is she speaks to her choir okay um this is an unbelievable

story i hate to report it i really do because i love my car country. House Resolution 7909. Do you know about it? Probably not. Mainstream media blacked out reporting of it. It's called Violence Against Women by Illegal Aliens Act. Okay. It would, if an undocumented person admits or is convicted of domestic abuse or sex offense, there would be immediately deported. Okay. So it passes in the House. 220 to 211, 158 Democrats voted against the bill. Okay? 158 Democrats voted against this bill. If you can imagine, 51 Democrats voted in favor. Two didn't vote. All Republicans voted to pass it. Five didn't vote. It's just staggering. It really is staggering. The measure passed 266 to 158. Now it goes to the Senate. I would assume it will pass

the Senate because there are Democrats in the Senate, like Tessler in Montana, I have to vote for it. They have to. But I don't think Biden would sign it. This is horrible. It really is horrible. And 58 House Democrats would vote against that bill? All right, Germany, tighten it up. They're not letting anybody in. If you're a migraine, can't come in. Okay. They're going to do it for six months.

So the reason they're doing is liberals control Berlin, liberal Germans. But the German people have that enough. And they're voting for the conservatives. They always call them far right, but a lot of these parties aren't far right. They're conservative. So they get nervous in Berlin, and they're going, oh, we're going to crack down. It's like Kamala. For three years, Kamala said, hey, border is secure, and we supported all of what Biden did,

and now I'm going to crack down. Same thing. That's in Germany. Our U.S. has worst health care system among wealthy nations. This is another one. It's another fraud. Okay. Now, I want to tell you that the American health care system needs to be revamped. We don't have the best health care here. It's way too expensive. It's chaotic in many places.

We need a total revamp of this, particularly drug prices. They've got to be negotiated down. And both Trump and Biden did a decent job trying to do that, by the way. That was one of the few things they had in common. Group called the Commonwealth Fund puts this out. It says, USA, among wealthy nations, the worst. Who's the Commonwealth Fund? That's always my first question. All right, it is a nonprofit organization in business to promote a high-performing health care system, okay, for society's most vulnerable, including low-income people, the uninsured and people of color. But it's not across the board.

this is the and what the commonwealth fund wants is government run health care government takes over the whole system but the commonwealth fund doesn't tell you that i do all right so the countries ahead of us Australia Canada France Germany Netherlands New Zealand Sweden Switzerland UK all ahead of us why because the government controls all or most of the health care in those countries I don't want government run health care because I I have Canadian and British friends, and they tell me the horror stories, and I know. Do you need a knee operation in Canada? You've got to come here.

The waiting list is like five years. In Britain, you ever see the teeth? You ever see people? God. Okay? It was like, no. No. I went to school at the University of London with three doctors.

They weren't doctors then, and I would not let any of them near me to this day. All three went into private practice. You can do that in the UK. You can practice. They don't forbid it as Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris want to do. So if they had their way, you couldn't. I think that's unconstitutional, but what is Harris care? He wants us to be a communist country. All right. So that's another fraud. Gen Z workers, all right? Gen Z. These are the young folks who just graduated from college. So this is a survey by Intelligent.com. Intelligent.com. And it asked 966 business leaders, people like me, I run three companies, and I hire a lot of young people. The study says 75% of all Gen Zs, recent college grads, were unsatisfactory, their job performance, unsatisfactory.

In my case, that is not true. Over the seven and a half years we've been doing this, I've only had to move out for younger Gen X people because they couldn't or wouldn't do the job. We train them pretty extensively here. It's like the Navy Seals. I tell everybody, you have O'Reilly Factor, Fox News, or Bill O'Reilly.com on your resume,

you're going to get hired almost anywhere, except in Hollywood, because everybody knows the rigorous training that we give people. So this has not been my experience. The younger people that we hire are disciplined and they do a good job. They're dopey sometimes, but so is I, okay? I remember, but they try.

But in this survey, they're hopeless. So I think if you train people and they're really want to succeed, you cut that down. Media madness, might get to be my favorite segment of the night. Next to Smart Life. Smart Life's a good segment. So Hillary Cleans doing a media round. She got a book. She goes on a podcast, Kara Swisher. I think she used to work for CNN. And this is an unbelievable soundbite. Go. Does she have to do it? Because this is, you know, it seems like sometimes it's like she, she lands the plane, and then they're like, well, we'd like you to try it again. And she lands the plane. She does not have to do it,

Kara. I'm going to just cut to the chase. In fact, she's put out policies on her campaign website. Anybody who's truly interested can go and read about them. So she doesn't have to do interviews. That was the question. I should have set it up better. So Ms. Swisher says, does she have to do interviews? And Hillary goes, no. They put it on our website. Now, number one, Madam Secretary, I think that's what you call Hillary these days. She doesn't write that stuff on her website. Now, surely you know that. Can I invite somebody else?

Not her. Number two, she should be able to explain her positions on policy. Verbly, in the moment, contemporaneously. This is such, so ridiculous. Now, Hillary Clinton herself was pretty good at that. And she didn't dodge most of the questions, some of them, but she asked a question. I interviewed her. She answered it.

But now she's going, oh, no, couple of it didn't have to answer anything. Warren Harding. That's what Harris is doing. Warren G. Harding. That's why you need to read confronting the presidents. Smart Life, admit me your mistakes. I've got to tell you, I'm a judgmental person, but I've been trying to pull back on that a little bit.

But if somebody won't admit a mistake when the evidence is overwhelming, then I lose respect for that person. I do, because they're narcissistic, and I don't want to hang with narcissists. So admit your mistake. So on Amazon.com, there are reviews. You read the book. You don't even have to buy it from Amazon. Anybody can post a review.

It always happens for any of my books. 10, 12% of people hate me. They don't even bother reading a book. They just hate me, so they hate the book by extension. So there was an O'Reilly hater that filed a review of the book. Hated it. Awful, worst book in the world. Okay.

80% of the people on Amazon right now think the book's great. but and that number will rise as more people read the book but this guy hated the book however he pointed out a mistake in the book we have in a footnote that Barack Obama did something in 2006 it was 2009 all right it's a mistake now he blames me for the mistake not my fault okay because I don't typeset. This was typeset wrong. Now, the publisher should have seen it when it came off, but the publisher didn't. So I scolded the publisher yesterday in a funny way, but I go, look, this is embarrassing to me, to blame it me. Let me just said, I write the book, I market the book, I can't typeset the book.

But it was a mistake, and I apologize for the mistake. And you should too. You make everybody makes mistakes. Trump never apologizes for anything, ever. That's a mistake. Stay in history, September 19th, 1960. I'm 11, okay? I'm in St. Bridget's School.

And I'm just starting to take an interest in the ladies. I'm 11, but I'm not, I'm still sports as I'm always sweating. and I didn't, and I'm in Catholic school, and I'm listening to the radio, Elvis and, you know, WABC radio I was listening to, which I'm on now. It's our flagship. And all of a sudden, there is a song that comes out and it takes the nation over. The name of the song is the twist. Go. Hey, come on, baby. Let's do the twill. Come on, baby.

Let's do the twill. Take me by my little hand. And go like that. Yeah, a twist. Babe, baby, baby, that's true. All right, Chubby Checker. He's still alive. We talked to his manager.

82. He lives in Florida. He did a gig. He did a show three weeks ago. All right? He raised money. It was a benefit show. The Twist sold 100 million records. One record. A hundred million according to Chubby's manager. And far in a way, the biggest dance craze, bigger than the Charleston in the 20s, bigger than the Macarena, whatever you do. The twist. Now, I was a twisting maniac. because the nuns they said the twist was all right because you didn't touch you could you were twisting you weren't wasn't slow dancing like johnny rivers once now i got to tell you all over levitown everybody's twist and then they got the hula hoops all right no hoops was kind of the twist but you had this little thing now i know you younger people don't know what the deuce i'm talking about but this was

huge huge and it happened 64 years Years ago today, the twist hit number one. Back at a moment with the final thought. Final thought, you may have heard because I'm bragging about it all over the place. That's just who I am. We're number one on the New York Times list. Nineteenth time. Ninth.

That's a record. We are the best-selling nonfiction authors, Martin de Gardiner, in the world. More number one times bestsellers than any other human being on earth. That's pretty stunning. And they don't even like me. As because of you, I know. I know why. And, you know, I thank you very much.

I know you'll enjoy the book. All right. So I'm going to write a column, pretty provocative column on Sunday about the presidential race because that's where we are. we're deeply embedded in that i got a youtube coming up this weekend so check out that channel well the message of the day tomorrow a new one so we're we're always busy on a weekend and we'll see you again for the no spend news on monday