Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis - Media Ignores Tariff Success, President Trump’s Gaza Reaction, NYC Mass Shooting Update & Rafael A. Mangual Breaks Down NYC Problems

Episode Date: July 30, 2025

Tonight's rundown: Hey BillOReilly.com Premium and Concierge Members, welcome to the No Spin News for Tuesday July 29, 2025. Stand Up for Your Country.  Talking Points Memo: The math shows Donald Trump is winning on tariffs so far, yet the media continues to ignore it. A look at President Trump’s response to civilian starvation in Gaza. Bill breaks down what we know so far about Monday's mass shooting in NYC. Manhattan Institute Senior Fellow Rafael A. Mangual enters the No Spin Zone to discuss the NYC mayoral race, the potential impact if Zohran Mamdani wins and whether the city can be turned around. The reason thousands of people are protesting in Malaysia. Final Thought: Bill's plans for the rest of summer. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This is a true story. It happened right here in my town. One night, 17 kids woke up, got out of bed, walked into the dark, and they never came back. I'm the director of Barbarian. A lot of people died in a lot of weird ways. You're not gonna find it in the news because the police covered everything all up. On August 8th... This is where the story really starts. Bill O'Reilly here.

Welcome to the No Spin News. Tuesday, July 29th, 2025. Stand up for your country. Hot here and around the country, especially in the south. About 98 where I live, 100 plus in New York City. I'm going to relocate tomorrow out to Eastern Long Island by the ocean. It's 15 degrees cooler out there than here. And there you have the no spin weather forecast.

Sound like David Muir on ABC. We'll get to him in a minute. The talking points memo is on this tariff success that Donald Trump is having. Could be temporary. Okay. No euphoria. Stock market has not responded. It's kind of flat this week, maybe down a little bit. But the president took a gamble in April and

it has paid off so far. I think that's fair and accurate. All right. So this year alone, the United States government has generated $125 billion from tariffs. Now, that money goes into the U.S. Treasury. I'll explain in a moment. This is up 131% from the same time last year under President Biden, who did not care at all about the trade deficit. Never looked at it, never examined it.

He was second worst president ever and ignored most of the problems and the trade deficit is a problem. Okay. So we call the Treasury Department and they wouldn't even respond to us. Nice, right? Boy, oh boy. Those bureaucrats in Washington, mmm. Anyway, we did our own investigation and all of the money so far has gone into the general fund, which can be used for anything the Trump administration wants it to be used for. It's not going to pay down the debt at this moment. I hope it will. And I am going to go on a

little campaign to embarrass certain people to get some of this money to pay down that $37 trillion debt because it's mounting and mounting and mounting. Look, this is going to go into the trillions that the United States is going to get from foreign nations trying to sell products here. So why not pay down a debt with it? Okay. Most Americans love their country. It doesn't matter whether you're a Democrat or Republican or liberal or libertarian.

It doesn't matter. Say, that's good. So far it's working out. But not Senator Charles Schumer, the minority leader. No. libertarian doesn't matter say that's good so far it's working out but not senator Charles Schumer the minority leader no no he doesn't he didn't like it roll the tape Trump would have you believe it's the biggest deal ever that's his words dangly 250 billion dollars of new energy purchases and more in new investments there's just one hiccup. It's fake.

No, it's not. Schumer's lying. And I very rarely use that word. I usually say he's misleading or he's a propagandist, which he is, but he's just lying. He's just head down reading something that's been written for him by one of his propaganda people. And you know, I used to have a decent relationship with him and I run into him from time to time in New York. I have no respect for Charles Schumer.

None. None. He doesn't love this country, in my opinion. He's not looking out for you or me or anybody else. He is a rank propagandist. And again, I don't use this kind of rhetoric. All right, I usually can see two sides to this story. You know that. This guy? When we are evaluating the economy, it all has to do with how you are doing, the American consumer, because the consumer drives the economy. Yes, we're gonna get a lot of investment in here

under the Trump plan, and that will provide more jobs for Americans, higher paying jobs too, okay? It'll take a little while because they gotta build the plants and they've gotta reorganize what it is. But the key is that the money going out of the United States is now declining sharply, which is a good thing. If you know anything about economics, anything at all. Okay. Now,

will this last? Will this go into the annals of a successful economy. We'll know by December, because that's when all of the Trump stuff will coalesce. So you will see that it either works or it doesn't, that is a fair barometer, December. But I will tell you that in 24, last year under Biden, the second worst president of all time, the U.S. trade deficit stood at $1.2 trillion. $1.2 trillion, you figure that would get his

attention. I don't know how it's going to be in 25 because there's no estimate, but it's down 11% in one month, June, the trade deficit. So if you do the math, Trump is winning. And that's the memo. All right, so the left-wing media will never admit that Trump is winning on anything. You know that, I know that, which is why you're here watching and listening to me. Not that I'm rooting for President Trump, but I give him a fair shake and I report accurately,

unlike 90% of the others. All right. So last night on the World News roundups, the evening news on the three networks, here's how much time they gave the Trump tariff, which is a huge story for you. Okay, CBF evening news did its job, four minutes it spent on the tariffs, and CBS evening news is changing rapidly because they're all afraid they're gonna get fired when the merger goes in in October. NBC nightly news 35 seconds, ABC 36 seconds. So they ignored it, NBC and ABC.

What did they do instead? ABC did 3 minutes and 11 seconds on the weather, because that's what David Muir does every night. He's a weather man. I don't even know him. I have nothing against him. I thought he did a terrible job moderating the debate. But if you put on ABC World News tonight, it's a weather forecast because surveys show that's what Americans respond to. They like the weather. So 311 on the weather for ABC last night, 36 seconds on the tariffs. NBC is ridiculous. It's just off the board.

So they're on the Epstein jag. So Epstein last night got two minutes on NBC nightly news and the tariffs got 35 seconds. Now I think we've exhausted the Epstein thing. Have we not? I think so. I'm gonna do a thing tomorrow on this, uh, Ghislaine Maxwell now says she should be released. No, I'll do that tomorrow, but

I'm not gonna keep going over and over as NBC News does. It's ridiculous. So next up is China. Now that's the most important thing. If Trump can pull off a trade deal with China that both countries are happy with, the world immediately becomes a safer and more prosperous place. That's why I went to Beijing in May. And I know that right now Donald Trump wants to go to Beijing. I think that will happen. It's going to happen probably at the end of September or early October. And there are things in place where if you were a betting person, odds are the deal is

going to happen. And if it happens, that squeezes Putin. OK? I'm Chris Hadfield. I'm an astronaut, an author, a citizen of planet Earth. Join me for a six-part journey into the systems that power the world. Real conversations with real people who are shaping the future of energy. No politics, no empty talk, just solutions-focused conversations on the challenges we must overcome and the possibilities that lie ahead. This is On Energy. Listen wherever you get your podcasts. Big, big, big, big. China is it. And then as a footnote, Canada and Mexico, they have to make a deal.

They have to. Because if they don't, their respective economies will go into a depression, not a recession. So in Ottawa and Mexico City, hey, just get the best deal you can because you don't have any choice. You have no bargaining power at all. The EU took every bit of bargaining power away from you. The EU deal on the tariffs.

Okay. Trump is still in Scotland. He's opening another golf course over there. Trump International at Aberdeen. I've been to Aberdeen. Nice little town. Terrible weather. Okay. But it's cool even in the summer because I'd never see wind coming off there. Turn your head around as James Taylor once wrote. And he's coming back then tonight. He'll be back tonight, Tuesday evening. Now he was gonna take two weeks vacation in August but he's not. I understand. Hasn't been announced but you know me have pretty good sources. but he's not. I understand. It hasn't been announced, but you know me, I have pretty good sources. So he's not going to take any vacation at all

in August, which drives his staff nuts. Okay? But he's on an edge of making his China deal, so keep that in mind. Gaza, terrible, awful, you know, there are no adjectives, right? Starving people there, children, it's awful. Hamas is to blame mostly. Won't give up the hostages, they're just terrorists, they're never going to stop. You got to kill them, all of them, every one of them. And Israel knows that. But the problem is Israel is making it very difficult to get food into Gaza. And then when it gets into Gaza, Hamas steals it and other thugs. So it doesn't get to the poor kids. That's what happened in Haiti.

All the billions of dollars went to Haiti. None of it got to the people. Same thing in Gaza. And Israel can't control that, okay? But Israel is being too harsh in Delaying shipments of food things like that because Netanyahu couldn't care less He couldn't care less. But Trump now is involved. Roll the tape. But we're gonna be getting some good strong food. We can save a lot of people

I mean some of those kids are that's real starvation stuff. I see it and you can't fake that so we're gonna be even more involved. Good. We are a humanitarian nation. Boy what a what a problem over there. All right NYC shooting you know it's a saturation coverage you know all about it. Some nut walks into a building in Midtown Manhattan and he kills four people including an NYPD officer. All right Shane Tamora, 27, African-American, shot himself after he killed the four. Horrible.

Could have been anywhere. You know, at the same time he was doing this, there was a mass shooting in Reno, Nevada. It got no coverage. Now this is elevated because a police officer was shot. And his name is Dideral Islam. Now interesting story here with this man. 36 years old, immigrant from Bangladesh.

Of course, he's legal. He signs up to the cops three and a half years ago. He's a good man by all accounts, two young sons, wife pregnant, okay, and he's dead because his nut shot him for no reason. And I've been looking at the motivation, which is the important part of the story. So this guy was really insane. The shooter, Tamara.

He writes a suicide note that says he has a brain disease and it's the National Football League's fault. He has a brain disease. He never played football. So he walks into the building where the NFL headquarters are. That's the story. Totally out of his mind. Okay? Now, the bigger picture is that I said this could happen anywhere, and it's absolutely true. But in New York City, there is a climate of fear. After this broadcast, I have to go into that city,

all right, 100 degrees, and everybody knows me. I'm a hometown boy. And I talk to people, and they're afraid. And here's what I said on News Nation last night. Go. The state of the country is this. In the rural areas and in most smaller cities, you don't have this chaotic anarchy as far as crime.

In states like Texas and Florida, big, big states, all right, throughout the South, they do enforce the law. They punish violent criminals harshly. Okay? There is a separation. The only solution of violent crime is punishment. That is it. I wrote a book called Confronting Evil, it'll be out in September. All of these evil mass murderers got away with it because the people in their countries looked away. Just like the people in Los Angeles and San Francisco, New York

City, on and on. They looked away. You will not stop these monsters unless you punish them. Now, New York City has declined in social order significantly. Everybody knows that. All right, the past 12 years have been horrific under de Blasio and the current mayor, Eric Adams. Why? Because the legislature in Albany passed a law that says you can commit a violent crime, you can punch somebody in the face, breaking their nose, and you will not be held on any bail at all you can go out and punch somebody else okay that's insane because Democrats control New York City and state and there isn't any Democrat who

is opposed to it so social order has declined drastically in almost every area. The city is filthy. The subways and certain lines are dangerous. The thugs run wild. The drug addicts are ruining neighborhoods. This is a quality of life. Now, when you have that atmosphere in any city, San Francisco probably the best example. All right? Violence rises. The violent culture kicks in. Now that's not to say this guy, because he's from Nevada, the shooter yesterday, all right, was part of that culture, but he came to New York, all right, and was I surprised? No, because I see violent crime every day in this city. I wasn't surprised. Joining us now is Rafael Manguel. He is a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute. The Manhattan Institute studies New York City, and state to some extent.

So Raphael wrote a book called Criminal Injustice, what the push for decarceration and de-policing gets wrong and who it hurts the most. All right, now we have a mayoral race coming up as everybody knows, and this ma'am Donnie, who won the Democratic primary, is a communist. And he wants to basically, he's not going to admit anymore once he defund the police, even though he said that, but he is anti-police. He doesn't believe in, and the only thing

that's keeping New York City even afloat is the police department. That's it. And he'll not attack, but he'll marginalize the police department if he wins. Are you with me so far, Rafael? Do you agree with that? I'm with you so far, yeah. I think you can probably go even further. I think you can probably go even further.

Let's play a conservative here. Okay? You know, let's just do that. Because the city's quality of life is so far out of control now, the man's going to make it worse. And that'll lead to an exodus of affluent people out of New York City and state taking their tax revenue with them. Your mayor, Rafael, okay? This happened

before. This happened before. Giuliani came in after a series of weak mayors and cleaned it up. Could that happen again? Oh, it could absolutely happen again. We know not only from history that we've been able to clean up a mess far bigger than the one that we have now But we also have the lessons that were learned during that period of how to do it We also have the technology to do it much more efficiently and quickly now so, you know there really is a Key component here and you put your finger on it earlier

Which is that the NYPD has to be front and center in this effort. And that is one of the things that I do think scares voters about this Zoran Mamdani character, because not only is he on the record multiple times saying that he wants to defund and abolish the NYPD, not to mention jails and prisons and all of those things that help keep us safe, but even as he's moderated or pretended to moderate on those positions, you know, he's moderated to a level that is still unsatisfactory. I mean, the most recent thing that I think he said was that he would try to maintain the current force level that the NYPD has. Well, the current force level that the NYPD has is significantly below the ideal. Ten thousand.

The turn of the century. It's ten thousand below what a JPEG's what. Okay, so. FanDuel Casino's exclusive Live Dealer Studio has your chance at the number one feeling, winning, which beats even the 27th best feeling, saying I do. Who wants this last parachute? I do. Enjoy the number one feeling, winningning in an exciting live dealer studio,

exclusively on FanDuel Casino, where winning is undefeated. 19 plus and physically located in Ontario. Gambling problem? Call 1-866-531-2600 or visit connexontario.ca. Please play responsibly. Book club on Monday. Gym on Tuesday. Date night on Monday. Gym on Tuesday. Date night on Wednesday. Out on the town on Thursday. Quiet night in on Friday. It's good to have a routine and it's good for your

eyes too because with regular comprehensive eye exams at Specsavers you'll know just how healthy they are. Visit Specsavers.ca to book your next eye exam. Eye exams provided by independent optometrists. Say that he, I don't think he's going to win. I think something's going to happen here. And this shooting is going to hurt him. I'm donning. So it gets people's attention and you're going to vote for a soft on crime guy. It's gonna hurt him But what has to happen in the city? You say the police have to take the lead I agree But the police can arrest as many people as they want if the judges are just kicking them back to the street because of the state

legislature signed by Cuomo another person running for mayor Then it there's no solution you arrest goes in, judge lets him out. He commits more crimes, right? That's exactly right. So the bail reform, as well as the two other recent state level reforms to the state's discovery laws, which impose administrative burdens on prosecutors who have to now do significantly more work to bring cases

such that they have to triage and choose which cases they're gonna prosecute and which they're gonna allow to be dismissed for failure to comply with these regulations. But also there was a juvenile justice bill that was passed in 2018 called the Raise the Age Law, which basically makes it impossible to incarcerate 16 and 17 year olds who can be considered in serious bodily crimes. No matter what they do. right? No matter what they do. All right. So you can't put it. That's

exactly right. So what is the solution? Let me just quickly tell you that the worst part about all of this, because even if we were to fix the NYPD, and even if we were to convince the legislature to undo these bad laws, Rikers Island, which is New York City's jail complex, is set to close in August of 2027. And there is not going to be a jail system that is going to be ready to replace it. I don't think that's gonna happen. Let's, I don't think that's gonna happen.

The feds will take it over. I sure hope not. Okay, but again, I'm wanting solutions here. You say if we can convince Albany to do X and Y, you know what this state is. The highest tax state in the union is run by far left people and the democratic machine. I don't think it's realistic. They may moderate a little bit because Hocal is really underwater in the governor campaign, but in the city itself, you've had such poor leadership

for 12 years. I mean, what is a new mayor going to come in? What is he going to do? What should he do? I think the most important thing that the mayor can do is, A, keep Jessica Tisch in charge of the MITP. Okay, that's a police commissioner. She's done a good job.

I agree. Tisch stays. Invest in hiring at least seven to 10,000 more police officers and to do it very, very quickly without, and this is the real challenge, without maintaining the lower standards that they have come to. Look, they can't even get people to sign up. Because the police officers don't want to come into a system where they

make an arrest and it doesn't matter. And if you're a police officer in New York City, right, if you make one mistake, you're going to be sued civilly or charged criminally. Who wants to go into a system like that? You're never going to get 10,000 people to come in ever. That's exactly right. I mean, and this is the real challenge because what people don't really understand

is that as bad as the recruiting and retention crisis in the NYPD is now, it's about to get significantly worse over the next couple of years because we have several thousand officers who are gonna become eligible for retirement. And they're gonna take it. Over the next couple of years because I do think that that's the case.

So there are things that I do think that the next mayor can do to innovate and make the job more attractive to high quality candidates. And one of those things. I'm not sure. Not with that legislature. All right, final question. Your opinion is that it has to come from law enforcement.

The changes in the city and the quality of life changes have to come from the police themselves. I don't think that's possible. When you have marijuana smoke on every city, on every block in the city, when you have Alvin Bragg and D'Arcel Clark, DAs of Manhattan and the Bronx, and these people do not want to prosecute most crimes. You know that, I know that, the stats show that. The cops can't do it by themselves.

And if you have a weak mayor and none of the candidates, we asked to have the Republican running Curtis Llewell on as a guest tonight to put out his platform. He wouldn't come on. You don't want to come up against me. He doesn't want to answer the specific questions. So I assume a Democrat will win, and the Democrat will just do what the other Democrats.

Maybe not quite as bad. Cuomo's not going to be as bad as de Blasio, but is he a reformer, Cuomo? No, last word. No. Yeah, I certainly don't think Cuomo's a reformer. In fact, his name is on many of the pieces of legislation that are causing a lot of the problems

that we are still dealing with. But I do think it's going to take a mayor that has recognized that the problems lie in Albany, that those laws need to change, and who is committed to investing in the NYPD and putting pressure using the bully pulpit on people like Alvin Bragg and Darcel Clark to do more and to do more quickly. I don't know. This city needs about six months of martial law, and that's what it needs. And if it doesn't get it, it's going to be next year at this time, 100 times worse than

now and that's going to be, there's going to be disorder in the streets. Raphael, thanks very much for the time. I appreciate it very much. Okay. You remember in April that Chinese President Xi was mad at Trump because of tariffs. And he goes, Oh, I'm going to go to Vietnam, Cambodia and Malaysia and set up new trade deals whereupon I said this. Go.

I'll update you on the tariffs. Chinese President Xi Jinping is going to Vietnam Malaysia in Cambodia hey President Xi let me just break it to you those folks having no money at all okay they cannot help you not gonna buy your stuff because I don't have any money that was April 14th that was absolutely true. So the president of Malaysia who watches me on YouTube as almost all world leaders do Okay, his name is Anwar Ibrahim held a press conference in Kuala Lumpur and

Denounced me as a quote-unquote colonialist a colonialist is somebody who wants, I guess, America to rule the world or something like that. Anyway, he's in trouble now, our pal in Malaysia, Anwar. There was a big demonstration about 15,000 people. They want to boot him, All right, because it's corruption graft Nobody's making any money as I said Too high taxes and so Abraham he's not gonna survive this

I'm taking full credit. I Thought you'd like that update what goes around comes around Smart life. Can you change a tire? Okay, I love this. This is from Finance Buzz. Talk to a thousand American adults. Only 48% can change a tire. Now I can change a tire,

but it'd take me like eight hours to do it. I know the jack and I know the essentials. I have changed tires in the past way back. Now I got every service in the world but it takes a couple of hours for them to show up to change your tire. So 52% of America said they need somebody else to change the tire. All right, and The boomers are the worst and then Gen X then Millennials and then Gen Z the Gen Z's can Can change the tires the boomers can't

64% say they would need help to change their oil. I would need a battery help. I can't do that. 80% say they can refill the air in a tire. I can do that. Hey, Mike Baker here, host of the President's Daily Brief podcast. If you want straight talk on national security, foreign policy, and the biggest global stories going on of the day, this is the show for you.

We publish twice a day, Monday through Friday, once of the day, this is the show for you. We publish twice a day, Monday through Friday, once in the morning, again in the afternoon, and on the weekend, we go longer with the PDB Situation Report with excellent guests, including national security insiders and foreign policy experts. Check us out on Spotify, Apple, or wherever you get your podcasts. Also on our YouTube channel, at Presidents Daily Brief. Hey, I'm Caitlin Becker, the host of the New York Postcast, and I've got exactly what you need to start your weekdays.

Every morning I'll bring you the stories that matter, plus the news people actually talk about, the juicy details in the worlds of politics, business, pop culture, and everything in between. It's what you want from the New York Post wrapped up in one snappy show. Ask your smart speaker to play the NY Postcast podcast, listen and subscribe on Amazon Music, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts. But 73% say they can't change their spark plugs.

I can't do that. So I got a guy who does it for me, but I thought it was pretty amusing that most Americans at this point in history cannot change a flat tire. Okay. Here is another thing. This is from Canadian casino website, Gamble Lizard. Take it for what it's worth. 43% of Americans say they would leave their romantic partner

for $1 million. 43% throw in a partner under the cliche ridden bus for a million bucks. Also for a million dollars. 41% say they would swear off sex forever. That is what they say. For a million bucks. 59% say they would give up their cell phones and live off the grid. And 15% say they would frame a friend for a crime the friend did not commit for a million bucks. Now that jives right into my stat that 15% of the world's population

of human beings are evil. A lot of folks. That's why I wrote Confronting Evil out in September. So Gamble Lizard has right into my wheelhouse. Some other stats. 57% of Americans would quit their jobs immediately if they got a million bucks. Today in history, July 29, 2004, Senator John Kerry accepts the Democratic presidential nomination. Roll the tape. reporting for duty. We are here tonight because we love our country. We're proud of what America is and what it can become.

My fellow Americans, we're here tonight united in one purpose, to make America stronger at home and respected in the world. Well, Kerry almost won. 2004, that was in Boston. Bush beat him, Bush the Younger, 286 to 251. Remember, 270 is what you need to become President of the United States electoral vocab. I was there in Boston, and you know who I hung out with those few days? Ben Affleck, the actor, because his mother is a huge fan of mine.

I hope she's still around. But that was a very interesting convention in Boston. And that happened in the nomination 21 years ago today. Subsequently, of course, Kerry was Secretary of State under Obama. He was the climate czar under Biden. I don't know what that accomplished. I'd love to know if all that money,

remember Kerry flew private all over the place, all over the world, and we paid for that. Well, what did we accomplish there with the climate czar? Now he is working for Galvanized Climate Solutions, a green investment group. All right, we'll be back with a final thought in a moment. Final thought, we're going into August. Oh, boy. Final thought, we're going into August. Oh boy, you know, and I have to make decisions about how much vacation time I'm going to

give my staff and myself. It's very intense this summer, as you know, with breaking news almost every day. Now Trump's not taking any vacation. I thought we were going to get a couple of weeks where he would play golf in New Jersey or something, but it doesn't look like that's happening. So what I've decided to do is that we're going to be very nimble, and I'm not going to get a couple of weeks where he would play golf in New Jersey or something. And it doesn't look like that's happening. So what I've decided to do is that we're going to be very nimble. And I'm not going to take many blocks of time

until the end of August. We traditionally take a week before Labor Day and that kind of thing. We'll still do that. But throughout August, I've got to give my peoples a break. I have to. And I will. but I'm going to spot it. So it's not going to be like the whole week, depending on the news cycle.

I think that's fair. Our memberships in BillOReilly.com are amazing. We've got like 90% renewals. And I know you guys depend on our information flow, because all the other media is lying to you. And the right-wing media too, they're not telling you the truth. They're spinning it their way. Okay, but we will. And I know that that becomes addictive every day. You want to know what's going on. So that's what I've decided to do. We'll spot it. I'll give you a heads up, you know, and all that. But I'm not going to be, I'm not going to take, you know, whole weeks until the end of

August. We'll take a day here, a day there. I think that's a fair way to do it. Alright, so thank you very much for watching and listening to the No Spin News. I'm Bill O'Reilly. We'll see you again tomorrow.