Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis - No Spin News Audio Excerpt, November 2, 2020
Episode Date: November 3, 2020Bill gives his insight for what to expect on election night. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices...
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Hey Bill O'Reilly here, welcome to the No Spin News for Monday, November 2nd, 2020, stand up for your country.
So if I look a little tired, I've been up since 6 a.m., assembling information that I think you'll hear nowhere else.
you a good idea of what's going to happen tomorrow. You remember four years ago I did predict
that Mr. Trump would be Mrs. Clinton, but this year is different because of COVID. And I'm not
making an excuse because I'm going to give you some predictions. But it is very, very difficult
to nail down with certainty what is going to happen tomorrow. I can do it in most of the
states, but nationally it all comes down, in my opinion, of Pennsylvania. And I'm going to give you
the latest on Pennsylvania. Now, I talked to both campaigns. They're nervous. There nobody in
either campaign that thinks it's a slam dunk, all right? Very nervous. Jittery. Nobody wants to
go on a record. Um, the difficulty of
this race is that people are changing their minds, all right? Everybody says, oh, everybody knows
you're going to vote for. It's such a big contrast between Trump and Biden, changing their
minds. Now, so far, in the last week or so, it's benefited Donald Trump. But that doesn't
mean tomorrow when the bulk of Americans go to vote, that's going to hold. It does not.
all right so let's begin and i'll give you the stuff that i have rasmussen was accurate four years ago
it has the race essential tie today Biden 48 trump 47 all right this is based on 1500 likely voters
with 4% more democrats poll than republicans investors business daily not a poll-friendly
to Donald Trump. Came in just hours ago with Biden winning by three. All right. So that's within
the margin of error. So the national polls in these two cases are tightening. The network news,
no. All the network news has Biden winning by a landslide. And I'll get to that. So let's do the
electoral college map, all right? I think that'll be interesting for everybody to listen to.
Here are the states that I'm convinced Donald Trump will win. They're in red. There they are.
Alaska, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Utah, Arizona. Now, Arizona has been in play. It's gone back and
forth. But my information says that internal polling in both parties, again, internal polling
you don't see. This is paid for by the political parties. Shows that Trump has got out in front
now by a healthy margin. So Arizona, I'm going to put in a Trump category. North Dakota, South
Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas. I never thought Texas was in play. They have a
Republican governor, Republican lieutenant governor. The structure is Republican. Yes, Harris County, Houston,
and Dallas will vote for Biden, and so will the border counties. But that's not going to over
ride the other people. So I have it in the Trump category. Iowa, according to Des Moines Register,
which is an honest newspaper. It's broken for Trump fairly significantly. All right, that was
in play. And it looks like Joni Earth, the Republican Senator will win as well in Iowa.
Missouri for Trump, Arkansas, Louisiana, Indiana, Ohio. Now Ohio is a contest to say Joe Biden's
going there today. But internal polling says Ohio favors Donald.
Trump at this point. Not a lock, but I have it in the Trump category. Kentucky, Tennessee,
Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia. Now there's a state where the network say, oh, it's going to be
very close and this and that. I don't think so. Georgia is going to go for Trump by a couple
of percentage points. Florida, now this is the most interesting. Come back to me for a minute on camera.
This is very, very interesting. So Florida is it. If Trump loses Florida, it's over. Bye.
Okay? That's the end. But the Hispanic vote is breaking for Donald Trump more than it did in the past.
And there are many, many more registered Republicans in Florida than there were in the past.
So a very high-ranking Trump official told me this morning, very early in the morning, we got Florida.
That's a quote. Now Donald Trump gave a speech there at midnight last.
last night, Obolaca, where I taught high school, by the way.
There's an airport there.
And I believe Florida will go for Trump.
Now you'll remember that four years ago,
I had a big shootout with the late Charles Croudhammer
over Florida.
Google that if you have some time.
And I think that would be instructive for you.
There's 29 electoral votes.
You are listening to a free excerpt from
Bill O'Reilly.com's No Spin News broadcast,
where you can actually see me.
We'll be right back after this message.
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So let me give you the Pennsylvania polling because this is vital.
This is it.
I believe whoever wins Pennsylvania will be the next president of the United States.
We have a Susquehanna poll.
499 likely voters.
percent spread favoring the Democrats. Six percent. Susquehanna has Trump, 49 percent, Biden,
48 percent in Pennsylvania, even with the six percent deficit in Poland. Trafalga, very favorable
of Donald Trump. Okay? 1,062 likely voters in Pennsylvania. They don't give political
affiliation at Trafalgar. I wish they did.
Trump 48, Biden, 46.
So those two polls, Susquehanna and Trafalga have Trump winning Pennsylvania.
Monmouth poll, that's a university in New Jersey, has 9% gap favoring Democrats in the poll.
502 likely voters.
This poll is a fraud, and Mount Mouth College should be ashamed of itself.
You don't go 9% up on one party.
All right.
In Pennsylvania, they have Biden 51, Trump 44.
Poles of fraud.
I might have to eat my words on Wednesday,
but to me, this is just awful.
And then Rasmussen, favorable to Trump,
has Biden 50, Trump 47, Biden losing.
I'm sorry, Trump losing in Pennsylvania.
This is Rasmussen.
favorable to Trump. It's a 5% spread. Democrats were polled at a rate of 42%, Republicans 37%. So I can't call
who's going to be the next president. I can tell you, I believe Donald Trump's in the lead
right now. And if he wins Pennsylvania and Florida, he's in. So let's do it. So let's do
one more poll and then we'll get to
one of the most astute political guys
in the country. We're happy to have them
today, of course. This is
a Hill Harris poll.
2,093
registered voters, not likely,
registered. 5% gap
between Democrats
at 37 and Republicans
at 32. Who will win?
Biden, 51%,
Trump, 43%.
Okay, this is the Hill
Harris.
And they back it up with, when you think of Donald Trump, do you like him or dislike him?
Like him, 33 percent, dislike him 59%.
When you think of Joe Biden, do you like or dislike, like him 47, dislike him 38?
And back with the final thought about Sean Connery a moment.
Hey, it's Sean Spicer from the Sean Spicer Show podcast, reminding you to tune into my show every day to get your daily dose inside the world of politics.
Trump and his team are shaking up Washington like never before, and we're here to cover it from all size,
especially on the topics the mainstream media won't.
So if you're a political junkie on a late lunch or getting ready for the drive home,
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Make sure you tune in.
You can find us at Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcast.
Okay, final thought of the day, Sean Connery, dead over the weekend at age 90, died in
sleep. I knew Mr. Connery. I met him about eight years ago. He looks better than I do, right?
This is in the Bahamas, that picture was taken, where he lived. I met him in New York at the U.S.
tennis championships in Flushing Meadows, and he was a big factor fan. Because I watch you
every night. I said, Mr. Connery, I'm very, very compliment. I got to tell you, the guy was
funny.