Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis - No Spin News - Weekend Edition - November 1, 2024

Episode Date: November 2, 2024

Listen to this week's No Spin News interviews with Robert Cahaly, Rudy Guiliani, Dustin Olson and Bianca de la Garza. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices...

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the No Spin News Weekend Edition. There is a new book out. It is called on the front lines of the left's war on truth. It is by a journalist, Bianca de la Garza. And she joins us now from, where are you? Boca Raton, Florida. There she is. would you be anywhere else in Boca Raton with it? She works her newsmax and got big studios down there in Boca Raton, right? We do. And yeah, it's not too bad. I used to live in New York and the free state of Florida is a good place to be in a great place to broadcast. So good to see, Bill. Thanks for happening. You sound like Hannity, the free state of Florida. Hannees are going to give me that every time I talk to him. I'm in a free state of Florida. Okay. I like Florida. It's too hot for me, but I like it there. Now, I haven't read your book because I don't have the book. I should have
Starting point is 00:01:03 the book, but this is, I kind of figured this out over the weekend, and that's why I didn't know. I will take a look at it, Bianca, and we're very pleased to have you. So you and I have crossed paths a couple of times. We don't know each other, but we both worked at WCVB TV in Boston, a very fine station. And I almost worked in San Diego at KGTV, where you worked, and that's where you started investigating the border. So you've been doing this a long time. Give my audience on radio and television now your headline, most important thing that you're telling them in your book about illegal immigration. Well, it comes down to, I think, a lot of what you just laid out in your opening monologue. In incoming, we talk about the corporate media, which has
Starting point is 00:01:56 run cover for so many things that have now brought our nation really to a brink where things are not just unsustainable the tinderbox that they are trying to say Donald Trump is creating all of their policies have led us here so yeah San Diego late 90s bill I'm doing stakeouts at the border Tijuana the big busiest crossing in the United States going into Arizona and we're lucky if we seek two illegals flash forward I'm sitting down with J.D. Vance and Arizona late August and we go to start rolling and you know how it is I was had an exclusive with him we're trying to clear up some of the childless cat lady the weird moniker you know waltz gave him
Starting point is 00:02:35 and there's choppers above and he tells me oh yeah the cartel has a drone above us this is two weeks post butler first assassination attempt mind you I write about this in the book because it illustrates that the operational control of our border is cartels and we know how this policy of Kamala Harris and Joe Biden now is not just staying at the border. You're saying that the cartels really control this whole chaos down there. But once the undocumented migrant is in here,
Starting point is 00:03:12 is in the country, then basically the United States government is responsible. And they have been distributing the human beings, millions of them all over the United States and there, when they settle in wherever they go, they get all kinds of entitlements and housing and foods, and on and on and on. So the question then becomes why would a federal government of any country, not this, the United States, want to inject 14 million people in here when you have to support those people. Why would you want to do that, setting aside the criminality of it? Just overall,
Starting point is 00:03:57 why would you want to do that? Did you ever come across a why on this? Yeah, I think it's exactly what we're seeing play out in the state of Virginia. The DOJ is now suing and making the state put 1,600 people who identifies non-citizens back on voting rules. And Bill, you know the timing of this. Glenn Yonkin is following a state law, by Democrat Tim Cain. So we're looking at why, if it's illegal for an illegal to vote in our federal election, why is the judge now reinstating them? So it almost looks like all of this has been sort of a setup, if you will, and it's been planned.
Starting point is 00:04:33 And the corporate legacy media, which I also call out in this book, hasn't cared about it, hasn't cared at all about it. You mentioned the Democrats in their fight for abortion. Fine. We have missing children, 320,000 missing children. Democrats could have had a deal. test. So a cartel member bringing over a child? Well, we'll never know because the Democrats didn't want to do a DNA test. So that child could be so. But we still don't know the why. And as far as a Virginia situation is concerned, what the Justice Department is saying there, because I read the brief, is that it was too late that Yonkin, the governor, who's well-intentioned that I would have done the same thing. But I would have done it earlier because they missed the deadline of expending to vote.
Starting point is 00:05:19 of roles. That's what the Justice Department lawsuit is all about. But I have no, I don't disagree with you. I just want to make sure that everybody understands what happened there. That there seems to be. We should have done it earlier, but the DOJ knew this and they held back. There's a reason why they didn't do it. The DOJ is not in charge of anybody. It's the states that are in charge. And Yonkin picked up on it, but he didn't execute it quickly enough. But again, it goes back to the why. Look, Bianca, everything that is done in this country by politician, there's a reason they do it. And I don't know what the reason is.
Starting point is 00:05:58 Some people say they want to flood America with new people to vote Democrat. That's the most common, all right? That's why Biden did it. You want to open a board and get 14 million eventually new voters, most of whom would vote Democrat. Maybe, maybe, but it's so destructive to Americans today in every area, fiscally, criminally, there's nothing good about it. But they don't live in our world. Go ahead. They don't live in the world.
Starting point is 00:06:30 I think that's the only plausible thing we could say is that it is to import voters because they don't live in a world where they can't afford gas or groceries. And Donald Trump coming back as the president is the threat to them in a way because he's, has been an outsider, not a career politician. And so, yes, why would they do that? I think there's a contempt. I don't think there's anything you can look at. It's what's going on here in the Democratic Playbook, if you will, which I talk about in the book and outline the long game.
Starting point is 00:06:58 I think it's been accelerated, and we've seen it sort of in this truncated election season. We are living in extraordinary times to be able to witness this. I think that there is a contempt for the American institutions that we love, that we revere, and I think the people in power, it is power. all costs. And the media had to pay the part in this. Well, there's no question that there's a reason.
Starting point is 00:07:19 And the progressives do want to wipe out the white patriarchy, the white structure. That's absolutely at the top of their list. The book is incoming on the front lines of Left's War on Truth by Bianca de la Garza. You can see her in Newsmax. Appreciate it, Bianca. I know you're very busy. Thank you for taking the time to talk to us. Thank you, Bill, as we all are.
Starting point is 00:07:42 Thanks so much. You're listening to the NoSpin News Weekend Edition. I wanted to talk with the guy who runs American Pulse research tonight, and I'm going to, but first I want to explain what that is. Let's face it, the U.S. economy is under stress. National debt rising, trade war, shaking the markets. And meanwhile, China is dumping the dollar and stockpiling gold. That's why I protected my savings.
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Starting point is 00:08:41 You can trust American Hartford Gold as I do. Please call 866-326-55-7576 or text Bill to 99-88-99. Again, that's 866-3-2-6-5576-5-76 or text bill to 9988-99. Hey, I'm Caitlin Becker, the host of the New York Postcast, and I've got exactly what you need to start your weekdays. Every morning I'll bring you the stories that matter, plus the news people actually talk about, the juicy details in the worlds of politics, business, pop culture, and everything in between. It's what you want from the New York Post wrapped up in one snappy show. Ask your smart speaker to play the NY Postcast podcast. Listen and subscribe on Amazon Music, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:09:34 So it's a survey company. They do research. Obviously, if you're going to be named American Post Research, you do research. Hello. Anyway, they use sophisticated techniques to ensure accuracy, reliability, and objectivity, and results. And that's what we like. Joining us now from Alexandria, Virginia, in the shadow of the nation's capital. Dustin Olson, who is a poster for the group, and he hosts a podcast, Political Trade Secrets.
Starting point is 00:10:06 wow you know uh everybody thinks i do a podcast this is not a podcast this is a broadcast yeah a discipline broadcast but everywhere i go oh we watch your podcast not a podcast not a podcast not that there's anything wrong with podcasts but podcasts are ruminating you ruminate here we go boom this is what's going on so you say mr olson that uh you are seeing the best poll numbers ever for Trump. Is that accurate? Yeah, it's accurate. If you look at 2020 and you look at 2016 at this point today in those races, Biden nationally was up by 7.4% and Clinton was up by about 4.6%. So that's a pretty big difference. Actually, when I checked right before we came on and the real clear politics average nationally actually has Trump up a
Starting point is 00:11:02 a huge 0.4% nationally, but for him, that actually is a pretty big deal because he's never had at this point in the election. And then the swing states, this is the thing that I find really interesting, though. He's up by 0.9%. But each of the states are very close. And that's been different than previous elections. Sometimes one of the swing states will have a bigger margin, and then another state will have another bigger margin for the other person. They're all within a point or two and that is unusual. So that's kind of where I see the race right now. You mentioned there's some people who think that it's possible that he could get the popular vote. It is possible. Really the question is, have pollsters been able to figure out what their mistakes were in
Starting point is 00:11:47 2016 and 2020 and correct for those? I think we are really having accurate results. In 22, we had everything 91% accurate as far as the outcome and 98% within the margin of error. I'm not sure if that's the case for all pollsters. No, it's not. And that's why we have you on, because you were very accurate two years ago. The gender stuff, they sneak this in. And some of it's based upon what the voter turnout was in a previous election. But other times, it's the thumb on the scale.
Starting point is 00:12:20 The pollsters know that most American women, by a small margin, will vote for Harris. and by a much larger margin, men will vote for Trump. So if you poll more women, the outcome is likely to be more favorable to Harris, correct? That's correct, though the population is generally more female than male, and then the voting populations, even though it's a little bit slightly more than that. So it's anywhere from 52 to 53% is usually what you want your sample to be. For female, it depends on the state,
Starting point is 00:12:55 and I can't speak to every specific state, But we always go in, we look at the census data, and we look at the previous elections of what the makeup was of the population. And that's really important for a pollster to do. People also look at the partisan breakdown, but that's been a problem in the last 10 years because the partisan breakdown. We've had a huge realignment within parties where a lot of pollsters have really, I think, honed in, especially for states like Wisconsin and Michigan, is looking at who someone voted for in 20. So we asked that question, who did you vote for? And then we look at that when we get the sample and see if it's in alignment with what the actual results were. And that has helped us to deal with the-
Starting point is 00:13:40 And that's a smart play. Now, the Republican registration has been reported to be up. Are you seeing that? Is that true? That is absolutely true. In Pennsylvania in particular, there's some Democrat counties that have now become Republican counties. there's been a mass operation to register voters in that state. Then also the early returns tend to be a little bit more Republican.
Starting point is 00:14:05 Now, that is a state that has party registration. So we do have a better idea of, you know, which party people are registered in. Though, as you know, a lot of people registered maybe in the 1970s. They were a Democrat then. But my theory is that the Republican registration has gone up because the economy is still hurting. many American workers in the higher price range. That's my theory.
Starting point is 00:14:32 Yeah, plus the party identification. That's actually what we use in polling as opposed to registration because it's kind of a state of mind. And we have seen over this election that people who identify as Republican are just that's growing and Gallup did a study over the summer where they found that this is actually the highest that they've seen that people identify, you know, as Republican or leaning Republican. They had it about 48% to about 45% I think for Democrat, which they also indicate is one of the primary factors to kind of guess who's going to win the election. Okay, final
Starting point is 00:15:08 question for you. Right now as it stands, if American polls had to make a call, a prediction, you would say? That's a great question. And if people go to polling club.com, we are releasing our final survey on Thursday morning. We're in the field currently with our survey. I haven't looked at the results. All right, good. Because I'm, here's what I'm going to do for you guys. All right. So you're going to do Thursday morning. I'm going to do Thursday evening on my prediction, but I'm going to set up my prediction with your prediction. Excellent. So I better be accurate. Well, yes, who knows, but I do think that the trend is in Trump's favor. But stuff like you mentioned in the last few days, you know, anything can happen in the last...
Starting point is 00:15:58 Yeah, I mean, the Trump campaign is largely undisciplined. But in the last seven days, I'm telling you, it's got to be very methodical. It has to be. Because a few more of these mistakes, and it didn't have to happen. It was such a crazy mistake to put a comedian unvetted. And they knew he was a bomb thrower. That's how he's made his reputation. And nobody's watching it.
Starting point is 00:16:25 what he's going to say? Unbelievable. All right, Dustin. Thank you very much. We appreciate it. This is the No Spin News Weekend Edition. Okay, so you may have noticed if you watch the Madison Square Garden Rally that the former mayor of New York City, Rudy Giuliani, was one of the speakers. Go. Maybe you don't like what Donald Trump says sometimes. Maybe you don't agree with it, but I'll tell you what. You always know what he's thinking. And we need that from a president. All right, so Mr. Giuliani has a new book out,
Starting point is 00:17:02 The Biden Crime Family, which I read last night. Okay. And it's a blueprint for prosecuting the Biden's. He joins us now from Palm Beach. Mr. Mayor, how you doing? Are you doing all right? I'm doing okay under the circumstances, yes. Yeah, I mean, anybody thinks when they come up and say to me, how you doing? I'm doing fine. I love to fight and I'm fighting the right cause.
Starting point is 00:17:34 Yeah, I've had a pretty rough go of it. That's for sure. But let's get into the book. So I'm going to run down things that I believe are true. And you tell me if I'm right or wrong. Let's do it this way. Sure. Any way you want them. I believe that as vice president, Joe Biden used his office to enrich his brother and his son. Am I correct? For 30 years plus, yes. All right, as senator and then vice president. As senator, remember he was 29 when he became a senator. Okay.
Starting point is 00:18:10 So for a very long time, low level as senator, high level as vice president. All right. So he used his power to bring money through contracts and things like that to his brother and son. That is called influence peddling. Correct. Influence peddling is not a federal crime. Well, first of all, it could constitute the crime of gratuity, which is only a two-year misdemeanor. Yes, it could be a crime. Right, because McConnell, you know the case of the governor, former governor of Virginia.
Starting point is 00:18:47 was charged with this and he got off, the Supreme Court threw it out because he said, look, unless you can prove a quid pro quo, Latin for this for that, this isn't doesn't rise. So you're, there is no, go ahead. We can get beyond that with, we can get beyond that with the email that is devastating and ignored, ignored by the left wing press. Tell me what the email. Tell me what the email is. Christmas of 2018, Hunter sends an email to his daughter, and he says something like you may be taking over for me.
Starting point is 00:19:23 They never respected me. But for 30 years, I've paid all the bills of the family, and I've given half, and I've been required to give half of my salary to pop. Now, to a lawyer, that's an admission. Okay. It's an exception to the Tuesday rule. It's a powerful piece of evidence in a courtroom, more powerful even than a confession. But if I'm the defense lawyer, if I'm the defense lawyer, I say it's hyperbole. He was just spouting off to his daughter.
Starting point is 00:19:56 It's no basis in fact. But I just want to clear one thing up. May I say, Bill, that every defense lawyer argues that on an admission, and nine times out of ten, the person gets convicted? Because the judge charges a jury that an admission is more powerful than a confession. confession because there's no element of coercion. The person volunteer. You'd have to back it up with some other evidence. But well, you can't.
Starting point is 00:20:19 The Justice Department couldn't charge Joe Biden with influence peddling because it's not on the books. That's one of the cruxes of your book. So you've got to have something else now. Yes. Hey, it's Sean Spicer from the Sean Spicer Show podcast, reminding you to tune into my show every day to get your daily dose inside the world of politics. President Trump and his team are shaking up Washington like never before, and we're here to cover it from all sides, especially on the topics the mainstream media won't.
Starting point is 00:20:50 So if you're a political junkie on a late lunch or getting ready for the drive home, new episodes of the Sean Spicer Show podcast drop at 2 p.m. East Coast every day. Make sure you tune in. You can find us at Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcast. Power, politics, and the people behind the headlines. I'm Miranda Devine. New York Post columnist and the host of the brand new podcast, Podforce One. Every week I'll sit down for candid conversations with Washington's most powerful disruptors, lawmakers, newsmakers and even the president of the United States. These are the leaders shaping the future of America and the world. Listen to Podforce One with me, Miranda Devine, every week on Apple Podcasts, Spotify,
Starting point is 00:21:40 or wherever you get your podcast, you don't want to miss an episode. Well, that email, that email, whether you can dispute it, whether you dispute it as a defense book, all the evidence against Donald Trump came from Cohen. We disputed it. You didn't throw the case out because of that. State peace. I mean, the fact is, you always have witnesses who give testimony,
Starting point is 00:22:03 and it's disputed. I'm telling you, this is about the most powerful testimony I've ever had in a criminal case. I don't think it's enough. the feds to go after. The other Cohen thing was a state beef, and as you know, they would have used anything to charge Trump. Bragg and
Starting point is 00:22:19 Letitia James in New York. Anything. There were bank records to support. There are emails from a guy named Edelman who was a transferring money back and forth. Everything that he said there is corroborated. I don't want to
Starting point is 00:22:36 get... Well, I'm interested in Joe Biden now. Not Hunter Biden, not James. Well, that is Joe. The two congressional committees that investigated Joe Biden for this, both recommended that he be impeached on it. But in their 300-page reports, they did not say that Biden should be criminally charged here because they weren't able to produce cash going to. him. Now, when Hunter Biden says, and you chronicle it correctly in your book, I had to pay
Starting point is 00:23:15 dad or pop or whoever, half, okay? Where is that money? Well, first of all, they never bothered to subpoena all of the purchases of the homes, which would show that Hunter purchased the homes. They also didn't subpoena the four or 500 records of little items that Hunter paid for in the house that was sent to him, like storm windows and new painting of the house. Also, Hunter paid for the tuition of his half system. This is all part of the acting as a bagman and laundering the half to Joe. You have several transactions where 50 grand go directly to Joe, and it's exactly, it's exactly 50% of what they got. But where's a 50 grand? Where is it?
Starting point is 00:24:10 He's in his bank account. Oh, I haven't seen that. I haven't seen that $50,000. You didn't see the admission of much email either. No, I saw it. Listen, I read what was on that laptop that you got. I read all that. But the congressional committees didn't produce any documentation banking records that showed a $50,000 deposit directly to Joe Biden.
Starting point is 00:24:37 Well, there sure is. There's a bank record in February of 2016. It's a laundered transaction. What is that? It's a laundered transaction that went through Ukraine, Latvia, Cyprus, and then into the Biden account. And $800,000 comes out for Joe Biden. 800,000?
Starting point is 00:25:02 800,000 of the $3.4 million that they got. So you're saying that. That $800,000 went into Joe Biden's bank account? Yeah, it says $800,000 for the VP on the laundered transaction. The House subpoenaed banking records, they don't have that. I don't know why they don't have that. They also didn't subpoena the woman in Ukraine who is willing to give up the laundered money. All right, I got all that.
Starting point is 00:25:34 The offshore bank accounts. The FBI has left her stranded for four years. And so they're the committee. She has the numbers of the offshore bank accounts because they didn't just get $8 million. They've got money stashed away in offshore bank accounts. I don't know why Jordan and Comer, who hate Biden, if they had evidence that $800,000 went into Joe Biden's bank account, I think they would have put that out. Now, let's just advance the story.
Starting point is 00:26:03 They have a note. I haven't seen it. I'm a journalist. They haven't produced it. It's not in the report. The 300 page, it's not there. A lot of things aren't in the report. Okay, but that's the biggest thing.
Starting point is 00:26:16 That's enormous. The woman, the woman came forward in January of 2020. She said, I am the widow of the former owner who she believes was killed by Burisma, the person who, by Flochewski, the person who paid them off. Now, people can read your book and you got all of that in the book. Let me finish. Your people will never hear this, and it'll be covered up the way it has been covered up. The people that did this, she was willing to produce.
Starting point is 00:26:48 We handed it over to the FBI, and we handed it over to the Pittsburgh U.S. attorney, bar buried it, never did it. The woman went and hid for four years, and she's still offering to do it, and nobody has followed up on it. Okay, that brings us to present day. All right, that brings us to present day. Trump has indicated he's going to stop all this Biden stuff, that if he's elected next Tuesday, and he, of course, he's going to appoint Attorney General, that he's not going to go after Joe Biden.
Starting point is 00:27:20 He hasn't said it straight out, but he's indicated he's going to leave Hunter Biden alone, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. Do you think that Trump will resurrect this case and then put an attorney general in charge of getting to the bottom of it? May I say there's one thing I very much disagree with him on? he should have prosecuted Hillary Clinton and we may have created a deterrent effect he should prosecute this
Starting point is 00:27:44 because God forbid But do you think he will? Repeated by Democrats when they come back We have the criminal law not only to punish the wrongdoer but to deter the wrongdoer And one thing we've done with the Democrats Please let me finish Phil
Starting point is 00:27:58 One thing we have what the Democrats is We encourage their criminal conduct Do you know how many crimes they've committed? Comey perjury, straight out and out perjury. All right. Obama. I don't think he's going to.
Starting point is 00:28:14 Money laundering, money laundering to the Ayatollah. They keep getting away with it. I can give you 20 crimes that would have been prosecuted normally. We don't do it. We get scared. And then they prosecute us for crimes they make up. So we'll go through four years of being nice to them.
Starting point is 00:28:30 And as soon as they get back in power, they'll try to put me and Trump in jail for the rest of our lives. There's something we didn't do wrong. You've got to fight back. I don't want to do an unfair prosecution. I want to do one based on justice. I can convict these people. And that's what your book is...
Starting point is 00:28:44 That's what your book is about. That's what your book is about. It's called Biden Crime Family, a blueprint for their prosecution. But I don't believe Trump is going to take it any further if he's elected. I agree with you, but I think it's... No, I don't think you will. The top people, not the little people, the top people should be indicted.
Starting point is 00:29:02 Well, if Biden got 800,000, he should be in jail. And we appreciate you. I'm very much. Good luck. You're listening to the No Spin News Weekend Edition. Now, Trafalga, the Trafalgar polling agency. So the top of the chart inaccuracy last time was Atlas out of Brazil. We had their CEO on. And that's why I'm very pleased that you continue to watch our election coverage.
Starting point is 00:29:32 That guy didn't go on anywhere else that I can think of, okay? But he was the most accurate. Second inaccuracy was Trafalgar last time around. But they don't do national polling. Atlas does. Atlas has got Trump up by two. They issued yesterday. If you saw it, our broadcast yesterday on the NOSBIN News, you saw it.
Starting point is 00:29:54 If you're a concierge, a premium member, you can get a transcript of all of our stuff. Anyway, back to Trafalgo. Second most accurate last time around, the most accurate in 16th. So they, they're players. They don't do national polling. They do state by state. And joining us now from South Carolina is the chief pollster Atrofowlga, Robert. Am I saying, say your last name for me because I'm such an old guy, Cahaley, right?
Starting point is 00:30:26 Cahelie, Cahley, yes, sir. All right, I finally got it. It's an Irish name. I should be able to get it. Caheli, you know. Anyway, I want to run down to states. You tell me where they are and what you think is going to happen. Fair enough?
Starting point is 00:30:40 Yes, sir. Start with North Carolina. You have Trump up by three, 49, Harris, 46. Yeah, that's not our final poll in North Carolina, but I do feel very confident. There are a lot of people who think that North Carolina was in play, but the fact is, even in 2022, North Carolina elected a Republican senator and expanded their majorities in both House and Senate. and that was with the new maps and everything. So I think North Carolina's going to be solid. I have a question about North Carolina
Starting point is 00:31:12 because the GOP guy running for governor is getting waxed. He's going to lose by double digits. And is that going to hurt Trump in the Tar Hill state? Well, they had the same thing in 2016. The Republican candidate for governor lost in Trump won. And then in 2020, the Republican for governor, governor lost and Trump won and we want a U.S. Senate seat in that in that state. So North
Starting point is 00:31:40 Carolina are just really good ticket splitters and they can look between a candidate for governor they don't like and the Republican Party they do like. Obviously top of a ticket is president so it's easier to do that. You said we. Who's we? Are you working for the Republicans? No, I just say in the sense that like When I'm I grew up in South Carolina So they're neighbors and we always kind of talk And I have a place in North Carolina as well So I'm kind of a part-time North Carolina
Starting point is 00:32:13 I just want to clarify you know me Absolutely I want everything on the table here Well, I believe in my company believes in being independent I mean certainly I am a Republican There's make no bones about that But I care more about being right than I care about party agenda this good for you let's go south to georgia you've got trump 48 harris 46 but remember the atlanta area fulton county and savannah those two places dominate in their big harris territory
Starting point is 00:32:44 absolutely but what we have seen in early voting is the cab fulton guinette and uh cobb are down and the other counties that are more republican are up and that is significant because in jordan They don't register by party. So the fact that people are turning out in the more rural areas and the turn out in the more urban areas is down, and they have to get to 29 and 30% black participation in the early vote. And right now they're like at 27. It is significantly down, and that is a problem.
Starting point is 00:33:21 All right. Now, I have said Georgia is going to go for Trump because of Lake and Riley, the University of Georgia student who was allegedly murdered by a event and criminal. I think that that tilted the race toward Trump. I don't think there's any data to back that up. It's a gut feeling that I have. But I totally agree with you. I mean, I think illegal immigration, right, has a more intense bearing on the vote in Georgia. I also believe that you're right about North Carolina. I think it will go to Trump. But it's going to be very close there, in my opinion. Let's go out to Arizona.
Starting point is 00:33:59 got, you have, Trump 48, Harris, 46, and that's a tie within a margin of era. Maricopa County, Phoenix, dominates, and there's all kinds of problems with voting in Maricopa County. So I don't know about Arizona. Well, one of the things we did in 2016, and we kind of pride ourselves at doing, is recognize what's called the hidden vote and the vote for Trump. It's hard. They're hard to get to tell you there for Trump. And part of that is, in 2016, it was a shame thing that, you know, they didn't want to be judged. But in 2024, we get questions like, who are you?
Starting point is 00:34:41 Why are you doing this? What are you doing this information? They're worried about the government getting a list of who's for Trump. They're worried about big tech getting them. They don't want to be canceled. They don't want to have law fair. And so you have to dig deeper to get that. And we have ways of digging.
Starting point is 00:34:56 They're one of the ones that we've kind of made, we made public. after 2016 was we asking, how do you think your neighbors are gonna vote? It's still a vehicle we use as projection device that helps you get past what's called the social desirability bias. I got it. Which is when people cater to their answers.
Starting point is 00:35:13 And what we see in Arizona is a significant hidden vote that is over eight. And usually when you have that kind of a disparity, a third to half of that can end up be added in Trump's total. So I feel comfortable that Arizona's gonna go their way, even if there are some typical Arizona shenanigans. So even though that Trafalgar has it a dead heat with the margin of error, you believe
Starting point is 00:35:37 that Arizona will go to Trump? Right, because it's been a saw, and that's, again, not our final poll in Arizona, but it's been a pretty solid lead for a while. Now, you're going to put out your final poll when, so I can use it on Monday? Yes. Well, I'll be out to use on Monday. All right. When are you going to put it out?
Starting point is 00:35:55 So I'm going to make sure I don't want to be taking a nap while you put it out. We'll put it out over the, we'll put them out over the weekend. Okay. Pennsylvania is a big one. I'll be there. Yes, sir. Yeah, I believe, you know, whoever wins Pennsylvania to be president. You got Trump 46, Harris 43, but you got the same problem in Pennsylvania that you have in Arizona with Philadelphia.
Starting point is 00:36:20 Very shaky. Yes, you do. The district attorney, I believe, is corrupt. Okay. I don't think you have any regulation in Philadelphia at all. as far as voting is concerned, and it dominates the state. So I wouldn't be surprised to see all kinds of stuff emerge there. Yes, I've been, even back in the 2016, I've been talking about Philadelphia and their unreliable elections.
Starting point is 00:36:46 I've studied this a lot. I have people who are very involved in this, going back to the Black Panther intimidation at the polls in the Bush elections. So what I'll tell you is I've generally believed that you have to win Pennsylvania by two and a half to actually win Pennsylvania. And I feel like Trump has gotten to the threshold that he's winning Pennsylvania by enough to survive any shenanigans, any changes in the rules. I think, and I'm confident that Pennsylvania is one that will go in his column. And moreover, that's the place that we also see a significant amount of hidden vote, people nervous about saying they're. for Trump. So I think that added together, keep with one of the Democrats today. And I think the African-American vote is going to be down from what it was last time around.
Starting point is 00:37:37 Again, economics punishing African-American communities. They may not like Trump, but they're going to vote for four more years of that. All right, Michigan, another situation very similar. Detroit, biggest city, unreliable. You got Trump 46, Harris 44. in Michigan what about that state Michigan is a unique state in the fact that it has such a significant Arab and Muslim population and it has a lot to do with how they're going to go I think from what we've seen we have a lot of them that have told us that they are looking at voting third party or not voting at all and to take those away from Kamala Harris's block
Starting point is 00:38:25 again i agree with you michigan will have some shenanigans but there's going to be a lot of people paying attention uh a lot you know a lot more people watching watching in detroit absolutely i think michigan's on the bubble um but if it's a good night for trump michigan goes in the win column but i think harris is going to win michigan um but i could be wrong on that it's just it's so but the Democrats have a very strong ground game, as you know, with Whitmer as the governor. Very strong. Okay, Nevada, I also think Harris is going to win Nevada. You have Harris up over Trump, the only one, by a point.
Starting point is 00:39:14 Why? What's happening in Nevada? What I have seen, just like you admit it, I'm one of those guys that I've got Nevada I've got Nevada wrong, three elections in a row, and I'm not calling Nevada because I'm, for the Republicans, because I really know what happened. That last weekend, this weekend coming up, what they will do with the unions on the Saturday with busing people. They have a list of every union member, and they will elect their ballots, and they will do something that is amazing. It can move this race, two or three points, and even though I think Trump is doing well there, they can move it. It's not even that hard to do, Robert, because it's only Clark County. That's it.
Starting point is 00:40:00 That's right. Vegas. And all, exactly. All of the votes are in a very small area. They know all of their names. And frankly, they give them paychecks. They can control a lot of what's happening with this. So, where's a lot of people think he's going to win Nevada?
Starting point is 00:40:15 I don't. I got, I got Harris went in there. And I don't want to offend anybody in Tonapaw, but it's Vegas that matters. Who knows the capital of Nevada out there? Raise your hand. Carson City. Nobody knows that but me. I mean, a geography. Wisconsin. Now, this one is another. You got two bastions of liberalism, Madison and Milwaukee. And the rest of the state's pretty conservative. But Trump made a big splash on the garbage thing with Brett Fav and all of that. So you got Trump up by two percent. that's dot zero two that's crazy well and let me tell you what i think about that state and this is also some experience this is in fact your viewers might not know of everyone who registered to vote in 2022 2023 and 24 50% plus registered and voted in november of 2022 they have same day voter registration and voting and so what happens is they'll go grab people off the street
Starting point is 00:41:28 college campuses take them to the polls register the vote and vote and that can move that state and so it's one of the reasons that if he has just a hair lead there i don't think he's going to win this one uh in 20 and unless he's you're Republicans are doing this same thing there though Republicans are got a decent ground game they're doing much better. Right. And Wisconsin. So they'll do exactly what the Democrats are going to do. I mean, I feel sorry for the old people in the little homes when they got one guy, Republican, pounded on the door. The other guy did. Oh, no, no, you got to do this. You got to do that. Republicans are bound, though, to try to be honest about who they registered vote and vote.
Starting point is 00:42:13 Yeah, I know. But I don't want to generalize about corruption because we know that it crossed the board but it's it's more sophisticated in the democratic precincts so wisconsin i think trump's going to win um because trump has spent a lot of time there and the machine isn't like it is in um philadelphia or detroit it's not as um i don't know i think trump has got a good chance there all right robert we haven't done our final one there and so uh Yeah, and I'm going to, I might even lead with it on Monday, what the Trafalgar people say. So, Atlas predicts that Trump will win nationwide. Trafalgar predicts that Trump will win nationwide.
Starting point is 00:43:05 You know, I know that pending a last vote. O'Reilly does, but we all could be wrong. I mean, that's just the reality of life. Absolutely could be. But there's also the possibility with the hidden vote we're seeing that this could not, this election could not be close and could be the best thing if it's not close if the american people really make a statement okay robert thanks very much new hampshire what on new hampshire election night if trump or somehow win new hosier a booth in a couple
Starting point is 00:43:35 points they'll be reported early if it's that close it's going to be a big knock for trump very good tip thank you very much sir i'm glad thank you for listening to the no spend To watch the full episodes of the No Spin News, visit Bill O'Reilly.com and sign up to become a premium or concierge member. That's Bill O'Reilly.com. Sign up and start watching today.

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