Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis - No Spin News - Weekend Edition - October 17, 2026
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On the next episode of Podforce I have an exclusive interview with U.S. Attorney General Todd Blanche.
In California, when they mail out ballots to every single person who's eligible to vote,
who's registered to vote, tens of thousands of people who are here illegally or who are not citizens
are getting ballots. So that's not, that's a pattern, and that's intentional, and they know they're doing it.
The midterms are looming. Is the Justice Department ready for the
fallout? Join me, Miranda Devine, as I ask the Attorney General about how he's stamping out
voter fraud, welfare fraud, illegal migration and violent crime. He'll tell us what else is in the Epstein
files and how he is cleaning up a justice department that was weaponized by the Biden administration.
Don't miss it coming this Wednesday wherever you get your podcasts. Have you ever wanted to hear
working defense attorneys tell you which cases they refuse?
to take and whether they ask a client if he did it, if he did the crime? Have you ever wanted
to hear a prosecutor explain exactly how they would secure a conviction? What tactics would they
use in the cases that you're watching on TV? Tune in to MK True Crime and you will. It is your
home for the very best true crime content, expert legal insights and newsmaking interviews.
We've got three shows all in one place, the MK True Crime channel on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, or
Spotify. There's something for every true crime fan. Practicing lawyers, not commentators,
these people are in the well in their real day jobs, making arguments in front of judges and
juries offering you insight and analysis on the latest true crime news with coverage of the
biggest cases and trials you do not want to miss, all while the jury is still out, not six
months after the verdict. The host of our three MK True Crime shows are covering everything from
Kohlberger, trying to take back his guilty plea, Luigi Mangione, asking to lie.
Live stream is murder trial and the latest updates in the Lindsay Clancy trial right now.
And they have a fascinating perspective no one else can offer.
Not only that, but they're fun to listen to.
They like each other.
They're clever.
They have good senses of humor.
The whole thing is so enjoyable.
Follow MK True Crime on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or YouTube.
Check it out.
Welcome to the No Spin News Weekend Edition.
The T-Boys tonight is another ice shooting.
This one in New York City, and this is out.
It really is an outrageous story.
All right.
So a guy named Oscar Belgall, 28 years old Dominican.
All right.
He's driving in the Bronx October 8th.
He's got his five-year-old son in the back seat.
The Homeland Security Apparitases after him because he's a criminal alien.
He pleaded guilty to grand larceny and was given probation.
Should have been deported right then and there, but no, the New York City authorities will not cooperate with the federal government.
So this guy's running around.
Two years later, 2025, they get him on 10 counts of selling narcotics.
That means he's a dealer.
He's a pusher.
Okay?
So, of course, Homeland Security is going to be looking for him.
And they find him in the Bronx.
And then he tries to get away using his car.
Now, I'm not going to adjudicate what happened there.
A court can do that.
But I says he was using his car as a weapon.
And so they shot seven times inside the gun.
the car. The boy was not hurt. Thank God. And kid should never have been there because Belgaal should
never have been in the country, ever. Just keep that in mind. So Begall is now in federal custody,
Newark, New Jersey, but his case is being overseen by a local Bronx DA named Darcel Clark,
who is very soft on crime. Doesn't want to put anyone away. Now, after you are sentenced to
probation. If you are re-arrested, you go to jail. Not in New York State. Nope. They let you back out on the street.
Even though you are not here legally, they tell no one. That is a violation of federal law and state law.
Think anybody will be held accountable? No. Okay. So this guy should have been in a New York state,
prison because he violated his probationary sentence, but no, he's running around, probably selling
dope because how else would he make a living? All right. So let's get to the reaction, which is
really incredible. Homeland Security says that New York State never
alerted it to this guy's presence, that he was on the street, and God knows what he was doing there.
That's number one.
And as everybody knows, ICE is charged with tracking down these people.
But the radical left doesn't want them tracked down.
They want, and it's just inexplicable.
They want them in the community committing crimes, as Bergau was.
They want that.
They want an open border.
They don't want any immigration law.
They want to abolish ICE.
This is the radical left.
All right.
So the first guy up is the mayor of New York City, a communist named Zoran Mam Dani.
Roll it.
We know that I,
is rotten to its core.
Today's shooting is only further devastating confirmation of what we have long known, which
is that ICE operates with impunity, that they sow chaos and terror across our country,
that they have killed far more of our neighbors than they could ever have claimed to save.
Oh yeah?
They've killed far more of our neighbors.
So an investigation by ABC News says that ICE, since President Trump has been in office
the second time, has eight fatal shootings, eight.
Okay?
Cross a country.
And they have hundreds of thousands of people in custody, criminal aliens, and others
who aided them.
All right.
So if you're in a car and you're helping a criminal alien, you're going to get arrested.
Okay.
The second one is from a congressional.
rational democratic candidate named Avila Chevalier.
Okay, she represents, or trying to, the second poorest district in the nation.
Roll it.
And, you know, I was actually very disgusted to hear Commissioner Tish's remarks yesterday
because just a few hours prior, public advocates Humani Williams reminded us that the way that
the victim would be spoken about would be in a demonizing way.
And just a few hours later, that is what police commissioner at Tisch did.
There was no reason for her to read out, you know, this person's past contact with police.
There was no justification for anything that transpired that afternoon.
No, there's my point right there.
No justification.
Let him run around.
Don't demonize him.
No, he's a drug dealer.
He's selling heroin and fentanyl.
Don't demonize him.
No, no, no. This is the radical left in America. It is here. And only good people, patriotic people, can stem the tide.
So this whips around New York City and gets to Madison Square Garden, where an entertainer named Harry Stiles weighs in. Go.
I just want us to take a moment to think about Russell Belgall tonight.
And I want us to just think and remember to just look after each other.
It is up to us to make these cities that we live in, places we want to see.
It's up to us to make a world a place that we want to see and we want to give to our children.
Yeah, nice.
outfit there, Harry. I want to give a place to my children where foreign drug dealers, convicted
of crimes in the United States, can do whatever they want, aren't punished. That's the kind of
country I want to live in. Now, I don't know Harry Stiles. I don't know what he does. I don't
know who he is, but that's just imbecilic. Imbecilic. Oh, we want our children.
in our cities.
Yeah, so just let out all the criminal aliens.
Let them out.
Open that border.
Let everybody in, like Biden did.
Let everybody in.
Criminal, that a rapist.
No, no, no, no.
Let them in it.
Come on.
We want these people in our cities.
Harry Stiles.
And believe me, Harry's not alone.
Okay, every kook on the left is thinking the same
thing Harry's thinking. Now, the reason this happens is because the governor of New York,
Kathy Hokel, has declared the state of New York a sanctuary place. She has ordered local police
in every county not to cooperate with the federal government's Homeland Security Office.
That looks to me like a crime, yet she may win re-election three weeks from tonight.
It's just stunning.
It is stunning how low the bar has dropped.
And that is the memo.
You're listening to the No Spin News Weekend Edition.
Joining his out of New York City is Bo Dietl.
You probably know him.
He was a member of the NYPD for 16 years,
1969 and
1985. He's now
a Bon Vivant, private
investigator, actor.
He'll come over to cut your lawn
if you want. Bo is a busy guy.
So I don't understand, and you can educate
me here. I know you
agree with me and Mamdani and
Hope, I know you do. So we don't have to
restate that. But you're on the job.
You find
a foreign national
the NYPD, takes him to custody.
And the guy is a criminal, convicted criminal,
pled guilty. Remember, this guy pled guilty to Glar and Lossity.
What did you do back then when you were on the job?
You would pull up ice, and they would come and pick them up from the station house, even.
This is something that we would do all the time.
There was no resistance for it.
And again, this fellow that got shot in the Bronx,
he did a gunpoint robbery.
It's not grand loss of thee.
They lowered it down to grand loss of thee.
But this is a violent felon.
They tried to take him two other times.
I've been in communication with Mark Gawain Mullen also on this.
And a lot of people don't know.
What ICE has done is put 16,000 legal detainers,
16,000 for 52,000 crimes that they're committing.
People don't understand these gangs that are out there,
especially in the Bronx.
Let me stop you right there.
Go ahead.
The state of New York, according to the feds,
received 16,000 requests to hold criminal aliens
after they were taken into custody by the NYPD.
And they ignored all 16,000, right?
Is that what's on the record?
That's exactly right.
Yep.
And what's happening,
right now is again i got to reiterate on this bill 80% of these gangs these bad gangs in the
bronx it's the killing fields are illegal criminals and they don't want to do anything and then the
whole deterioration of the police department now with what's going on with the headlock law with the
when you climb on top of someone the iherfram law there was a new york city cop only a couple of
months ago that was convicted of getting someone in a headlock they didn't kill them they sent them to jail with no
to Rikers Island. It's so discouraging, Bill, when we were cops before the George Floyd effect,
that is exactly what's happened in this country. And what happened is the socialist and
communists jump on board with now to have their partners with them, the radical Muslims.
Now they've joined together just to distinguish one thing, to destroy this country,
destroy the police. They don't want police. They want open avenues so they could take the country
over. This is the communist plan.
Bill. I'm not a cycle bit when I'm talking about this. And right now on the police department,
you can look around during the UN. They have hired these cops. They're about four foot tall.
All they do is look at this cell phone because they don't want to get involved. They're going to lose
their job. There are three New York City detectors that I know about that they're trying to
fire because they put a violent felon. They called up ice on them. Now they're trying to fire
him for turning it over to ice. It's so ludicrous and ridiculous. Then you want to why cops are not
to do their job. They don't want to get involved. Now you could sue them civilly. So why would you
do your job? When I was a cop and a detective, we were regarded. We went out and got the bad guys,
the gang members, and we went after them, Bill, and we had all the support of the district
attorneys office. Now with these Nikken poops in the Bronx and Manhattan, they don't prosecute them.
No bail. No bail. That's all they do is no bail. They gave no bail to the...
This falls right at the feet of one person, not ma'am Donning.
The governor.
Hockel.
Yes.
She could have vetoed all of these crazy anti-police laws, didn't.
She didn't show any outrage about this guy not being in prison after he violates his probationary sentence.
None.
On the next episode of Podforce I have an exclusive interview with U.S. Attorney General Todd Blanche.
In California, when they mail out ballots to every single person,
who's eligible to vote, who's registered to vote,
tens of thousands of people who are here illegally or who are not citizens are getting ballots.
So that's not, that's a pattern and that's intentional and they know they're doing it.
The midterms are looming.
Is the Justice Department ready for the fallout?
Join me, Miranda Devine, as I ask the Attorney General about how he's stamping out voter fraud,
welfare fraud, illegal migration and violent crime.
He'll tell us what else is in the Epstein files and how he is cleaning up a justice department that was weaponized by the Biden administration.
Don't miss it coming this Wednesday wherever you get your podcasts.
Have you ever wanted to hear working defense attorneys tell you which cases they refuse to take and whether they ask a client if he did it, if he did the crime?
Have you ever wanted to hear a prosecutor explain exactly how they would secure a conviction?
What tactics would they use in the cases that you're watching on TV?
Tune into MKTrue Crime and you will.
It is your home for the very best true crime content, expert legal insights and newsmaking interviews.
We've got three shows all in one place, the MKTrue Crime channel on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, or Spotify.
There's something for every true crime fan.
Practicing lawyers, not commentators.
These people are in the well in their real day jobs, making arguments in front of judges
and juries offering you insight and analysis on the latest true crime news with coverage of the
biggest cases and trials you do not want to miss, all while the jury's still out, not six months
after the verdict. The host of our three M.K. True Crime shows are covering everything from Kohlberger,
trying to take back his guilty plea, Luigi Mangione, asking to live stream his murder trial,
and the latest updates in the Lindsay Clancy trial right now. And they have a fascinating perspective
no one else can offer. Not only that, but they're fun to listen to. They like each other. They're
clever. They have good senses of humor. The whole thing is so enjoyable. Follow MK. True Crime on
Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or YouTube. Check it out. None. Okay. So she got a debate tonight,
and we'll cover it tomorrow on the No Spin News with Bruce Blakeman, the Challenger.
But I'll tell you, Bo, she may very well win another term, despite all of this danger.
And that's my next question.
Do these radicals not believe it's going to be their family, their children,
particularly in the poorer neighborhoods, that are going to be hurt by these unbelievably permissive tactics used by the far left?
Did they not understand that?
The same gang that this little punk was a member, remember the guy, Junior Gusman, was standing.
several times outside of the convenience store.
They stabbed them to death.
Young 12-year-old kids shot in Crosthwire.
Who cares about these poor people in the Bronx?
The good people that want to raise a family.
You're worrying about this piece of garbage
that was fleeing from ICE, getting away.
He had a kid in the car.
They didn't know that.
But on top of it, if the police department
were able to turn them over to ICE,
they wouldn't have to go into the neighborhoods
and chase him down.
Right there, I'm looking at the numbers.
16,000 people that were arrested.
It's amazing.
It is amazing.
And Bill, it takes my heart and soul out that I was a New York City cop and detective.
And these guys are feckless right now.
And that's what they want.
They want the destruction of this country.
And they're starting by taking down the police department.
Imagine, Bill, no police.
If they get rid of Jessica Tisch, you know, who they'll probably put in?
It's a councilman that was one of the Central Park Five.
He's a councilman.
Maybe it'll make him the police commissioner next.
We, Jessica Tish is trying to deal with the car she has.
She's trying to do a good job.
But, you know, if she leaves, it's going to be really bad.
Well, it can't get much worse.
If you're a criminal, foreign, or domestic, you know you can come to New York City.
And you know what's interesting.
In Nassau County, that abuts New York City, you don't have any of this.
Because Nassau County, police, even despite,
Hockel's order, cooperate with Homeland Security.
And if they have somebody in a jail here, then Homeland Security knows about it.
And so we don't have that here.
And we're 10 miles away from the killing fields.
Last word.
Where is the answer to this, Hogle Mondami?
If you've got a violent, illegal felon, somebody causing violence,
I think there was 200 people killed across this country by illegal felons that killed 200 Americans.
What would be the problem when a person's arrested to turn it over to ICE so they don't have to go into the neighborhoods so they don't have to cause all this disruption?
There's no answer to it.
And you've got snagletooth huckle that I don't like and Mayor Mundamy that I don't like and they want to destroy our city and our state.
Bill, I work in New York.
I carry a gun, but I tell you right now,
I feel for my children, my grandchildren,
and I feel for those people in the Bronx,
they have the largest homicide rate up there shootings.
Who cares about people in the Bronx?
Nobody cares about them, and they're being killed.
I'm going to give you one thing to think about before I let you go.
When the vote comes in three weeks from tonight,
you'll find that Hockel will carry
the Bronx. Okay? So some of it is on the backs of the folks. They're looking the other way. And it's one of the
themes of my book, Confronting America. If you look the other way, the other way is going to
hurt you. Appreciate it, Bo. We'll talk again soon. Thanks for coming on. This is the NoSpin News
Weekend Edition.
So I wrote a book called Killing Jesus, one of our biggest sellers, and we've had 20 number
ones.
And while researching the book, I learned an amazing amount about the history of the Nazarene.
It's not a religious book.
There's no religion in that book.
It's all history.
See, the cross is different than the regular cross, because that's the cross the Romans
used.
But anyway, I learned a tremendous amount about Jesus.
There's another book out that called My Attention, called The Stones Cry Out, Biblical
Archaeology Prophecy in the last days by our pal Dinesh DeSouza, who joins us now from somewhere.
Where are you?
This should be here.
It's not.
Where is it?
I am in the suburbs of Houston.
Okay. What did you learn from researching this book? Because you know it's all over the place,
a lot of theory and a lot of misinformation. What did you learn that you can carry with you for the rest of
your life? I was exposed to some of the artifacts of biblical archaeology when I went to Israel
for the first time at the end of 2022.
I've been back four times,
and I've spent the last three years really diving into this field
because, you know, I have been in countless churches
where the Bible is typically taught as parables
or as morality tales.
A pastor will talk about Isaiah or Jeremiah,
but they'll never give you an idea of when they lived,
what century, who was the king,
what else was going on at the time.
And so in some ways, I had never considered the Bible
in terms of its historical specificity.
There are truly thousands of historical details in the Bible.
And they stretch across a period of over 2,000 years
from Abraham and the Patriarchs,
that's about 2,000 BC through Moses,
about 1,500 BC.
The Great Kings, David and Solomon,
around 1,000 BC, then the era of the prophets, Isaiah, Jeremiah, Daniel.
And then the Old Testament comes to an end, and the New Testament picks up with Jesus,
and of course the early Christian movement described in the Book of Acts.
So I got a foretaste of some of this archaeology.
I then began to study it because I realized the power of these artifacts coming out of the ground
and their ability to corroborate the Bible in large ways and in small.
Why is that worthy?
Because I'm a product bill of Dartmouth and the Ivy League,
and in the 1980s and 90s, I was exposed to something called
the biblical higher criticism.
This came out of Europe.
It then spread to America.
And the basic idea here is that the Bible was written hundreds of years
after the events it describes.
And for that reason, said the skeptics,
the Bible has a few grains of fact,
a lot of it is myth and legend, a lot of it is made up, a lot of these characters can't possibly
be verified. And so the Bible should be taken. Maybe it's theologically inspired, but it's not
historically reliable. And I must say that to a large degree, I kind of internalize that. I accepted
it. And so for me to see characters jump out of the Bible, sometimes, by the way, very minor
characters, not even people that you or I would typically have heard of, sometimes not even
people a pastor has heard of because this guy could be one line in the book of Jeremiah.
And yet a clay seal is found in the ground in Jerusalem.
It bears a name.
And then somebody goes, hey, that guy's in the book of Jeremiah.
And suddenly you realize that that guy's a real person.
He was an assistant to King Hezekiah or King Zedekiah.
And this guy now assumes a kind of historical identity.
So I think it's powerful corroboration, not of the theology or the miracles.
but it supports the historicity of the Bible.
Okay.
As you know, both in, well, primarily the Old Testament,
but plenty of stuff in the New Testament is allegorical.
It's based upon Jesus trying to teach a lesson,
and he uses various stories in which to do so.
So science cannot corroborate Adam and,
and Eve and never will be able to because that didn't happen.
But the story surrounding Genesis and Adam and Eve, the powerful message is that man gave
into temptation and is now paying the price.
Did you get into any of that?
Well, I think the way that most archaeologists think about this is that the biblical
account from Genesis or from creation through Abraham is what they call primeval history.
And some of that, I agree with you, is described sort of metaphorically.
But biblical history really begins with Abraham.
I mean, think about it.
The Bible has about 10 chapters from creation to Abraham, and then it stops and does 10 chapters
on this one guy.
And then from then, the Bible is kind of in its historic.
historical mode. And Abraham, by the way, has a rough date, about 2000 BC. So starting with Abraham
and then continuing with the Exodus, Joshua and the conquests, of course, the King David's
palace. Now you're in a historical mode. And so my book covers from Abraham on the way.
And the evidence backs it up, which is why I think your book is very important. So the book is
The Stones Cry Out, Biblical Archaeology Prophecy in the Last Days, Dinesh DeSouza.
We appreciate it, Denez.
Good luck with it.
You're listening to the No Spinoos Weekend Edition.
Wherever I go, people know me, and, you know, I've been in the public eye a long time.
And a lot of them are like, oh, we miss you.
And I go, you know, to quote boy, George, miss me.
I'm on bill o'Reilly.com.
We have tons of stuff there.
including my column from Sunday, which says even if the Democrats happen to win on election day in November, it's not Armageddon.
And I explain why, using historical facts.
The Talking Points memo this evening is the main driver of the vote, and that is energy costs, particularly gasoline at the pump.
So the stats were released today.
And inflation, it's hard to calibrate inflation now because there's so many aspects to it.
Have you ever wanted to hear working defense attorneys tell you which cases they refuse to take
and whether they ask a client if he did it, if he did the crime?
Have you ever wanted to hear a prosecutor explain exactly how they would secure a conviction?
What tactics would they use in the cases that you're watching on TV?
tune in to MK True Crime and you will.
It is your home for the very best true crime content, expert legal insights and newsmaking
interviews.
We've got three shows all in one place, the MKTrue Crime channel on YouTube, Apple Podcasts,
or Spotify.
There's something for every true crime fan.
Practicing lawyers, not commentators, these people are in the well in their real day jobs,
making arguments in front of judges and juries, offering you insight and analysis on the latest
true crime news with coverage of the biggest cases in trials you do not want to miss, all while the
jury's still out, not six months after the verdict. The host of our three MK True Crime shows are
covering everything from Kohlberger trying to take back his guilty plea, Luigi Mangione,
asking to live stream his murder trial, and the latest updates in the Lindsay Clancy trial right now.
And they have a fascinating perspective no one else can offer. Not only that, but they're fun to
listen to. They like each other. They're clever. They have good senses of humor. The whole thing is so
enjoyable. Follow MK. True Crime on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or YouTube. Check it out.
On the next episode of Podforce One, I have an exclusive interview with U.S. Attorney
General Todd Blanche. In California, when they mail out ballots to every single person
who's eligible to vote, who's registered to vote, tens of thousands of people who are here
illegally or who are not citizens are getting ballots. So that's not, that's a pattern. And that's
intentional and they know they're doing it. The midterms are looming. Is the Justice Department ready for
the fallout? Join me, Miranda Devine, as I ask the Attorney General about how he's stamping out
voter fraud, welfare fraud, illegal migration and violent crime. He'll tell us what else is in the Epstein
files and how he is cleaning up a Justice Department that was weaponized by the Biden administration.
Don't miss it coming this Wednesday wherever you get your.
podcasts. It's up to 3.7%. Last year at this time it was 3.0%. So this is not a crisis.
Okay. It's annoying. And 100% is because of the Iranian war. That's what's driving this thing.
And you'll remember, and I have to remind you, because we have a lot of people coming in and out
that don't watch every day or they don't have to remind you that when President Trump decided
to confront Iran along with Israel, I said, biggest gamble of his life.
And it has been.
And the gamble has not worked out yet.
It could.
Mr. Trump did the right thing, but Americans are getting punished.
According to Moody's, which is an analytics firm,
The average American household is spending $2,000 more than it did before the Iranian situation.
2000 is a lot of jack.
And that is motivating votes.
There's no doubt about it.
Okay.
And it's not just the oil companies, which are greedy up to here, but it's trucking and it's shipping and it's all tied in.
I had a long conversation with my LIPA, with my power company, and I said, look, you've got to justify to me your customer, you know, why you're hammering me on air conditioning rates because I'm not even here.
And we keep our things very low when I'm out on the east end of Long Island.
They couldn't justify it.
lady was very nice, but they couldn't do it.
But I was curious, I was curious, but what are you doing?
I mean, my energy costs are doubling, and I'm not even here.
So they use what they call a across-the-board algorithm.
Nobody can understand it.
And that's what they're doing.
everybody's making money in the energy industry, except Iran. Putin's making money again,
because Trump dropped the sanctions against diesel oil. Still haven't figured out why, but there's
some kind of deal in place. I'll get it, but it's not easy. So, to sum up, it's a economic
election. Yes, the Democrats have lost their collective minds. There's no doubt about it. And the question
that I ask is, is it worth $2,000? All right? To see your country evaporate? To see socialism
take root? Is that worth $2,000? Because that's what you're getting if you vote Democrat.
That's what you're going to get. There are other stats around, but the one I want to
to zero in on, and it may be unfair, but I don't think so.
So there's an outfit called a Cook political report used by the corporate media all the time.
And they say that the odds are the Senate and the House will turn Democrat.
Okay? This is what they are predicting.
All right. They have a perfect role.
right to whatever their opinion is. But I look back, told my guys, look back and see in 2024,
presidential and senatorial races how accurate Cook political report was. They booted the whole thing.
But the corporate media never tell you that. They were wrong across the bore. They had Trump
on the electoral college losing to Kamala.
big.
Okay?
They had Trump at 219 electoral votes.
He got 312.
That's not even in the same hemisphere.
This is the Cook report.
So if they're going to boot it two and a half years ago,
unless they've overhauled their complete outfit,
which I don't believe they have,
why would I trust them this time around?
My guys in Brazil, the Atlas polling, had it 100% on.
why would I use anybody else?
So the polling is shaky.
Let's put it across the board.
And I'll make a couple of statements.
I was on Hannity's radio show today.
And we were talking about the individual races.
So Georgia and North Carolina will go to the Democrats,
which is not good news for the Republicans.
However, in New England, which is a pretty solid democratic area now in this country, I think Collins is going to win in Maine.
Sununu could win in New Hampshire.
All right.
So right across the board, Minnesota could go to the GOP.
I don't know how in Minnesota you vote for people who didn't weren't upset about the fraud there.
How?
How do you do it?
You know, Ohio, I think, will go Democrat.
Texas, I think Paxson will win.
But it's going to be close.
It shouldn't be that close.
Unless Tala Rigo gets the flu again.
Something strange about that story.
You know, I hope the Texas press is kind of looking at that.
It's something like, he disappears.
You mean to tell me your chief of staff can't text out?
Hey, James is a little under the weather.
You can't do that.
It just doesn't stack.
All right, sum it up.
So if I had to bed today, the Democrats will take the House
and the Republicans will keep the Senate.
This is the No Spin News Weekend Edition.
Joining us now from Florida, Democratic strategist, Doug Schoen.
All right, make any mistakes, Doug?
I don't think you made mistakes.
These elections bill are very close.
And so the races that you were describing are all within the margin of error.
I think what I might add is states like Nebraska and Kansas, which are, again, traditionally Republican, have Democrat and in case of Nebraska independent candidates who are competitive.
I'd still make the Republicans the favorites there, but those races are also.
Was that what the Putin thing was all about?
Was that why he took the sanctions off the diesel to help the farmers out?
Yes, yes, exactly.
Okay, I can't prove it.
No, I can't either, but I think you're right.
All right.
So at least we're getting somewhere on this.
So do you still trust the polls?
I don't.
Do you still trust them?
Bill, I'm old enough that I'm past the point of spinning.
polling is now much more of an art than a science.
There is undercounts of Republicans in virtually every poll.
That being said, with the president's approval at or below 40%,
there's a clear democratic advantage.
But what you cited in your talking points is really an issue the Republicans need to stress, I think,
which is that in a lot of these states, Flanagan, Troy Jackson,
in Maine, El-Said in Michigan.
These are radical socialists who do not stand for American values nor for capitalism.
And if the Republicans can make that argument, they have a chance to hold the Senate.
Well, it's been a lot of money.
Yeah, they're not making the argument as cogently as they can.
There's a lot of attacks on socialism without telling people what socialism really means.
And how it's going to affect them directly.
Correct.
And that's the fault of the Republican National Committee?
Correct.
What fault is that?
Republican National Committee, the candidates and the Senate and House campaign committees
who fulminate, bloviate, if you will, against socialism without saying that your taxes
are going to go up, that we're going to radically change our economic system, Medicare for
all radical climate change, which,
again, will cost you an enormous amount.
Do you think President Trump going to Alaska, for example, small state, small voting sample,
can...
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throw that to the Republicans. I mean, does he have the juice to do that anymore?
If he has the juice anywhere, it would be Alaska. That race is about 50-50. They have a system there
bill called rank choice voting where you distribute the votes of the third and fourth
place challengers who were likely to go to Sullivan. So I would say if you had to go anywhere,
going to Alaska makes sense, given that Peltolla, the Democrat, is narrowly, and I underscore
narrowly ahead.
Okay.
Now, the president has more than 30 engagements between now and Election Day.
He does hit the socialism stuff pretty hard when he's out there.
Should he be honing his message in the same direction?
or a different direction?
What do you think?
Again, I would emphasize with specificity and precision,
what socialism will mean.
It will cost you money.
It will take away your ability to see your doctor and have that paid for.
It will mean that there will be a move away from fossil fuels,
which will be inexorable and societally disres,
Those kind of arguments need to be made.
To my mind, Bill, they haven't been made as explicitly as I think they can be.
Okay.
So as it stands now, it looks like the Democratic Party has a solid base of Americans voting their wallet.
So I don't think a lot of Americans are voting for socialism.
I don't think so.
That's kind of a hidden part of all this.
And unfortunately, a lot of us don't pay attention.
I mean, we don't know.
All we know is it's costing $2,000 more to live than it was this time last year.
And President Trump hasn't really explained how it's ever going to get better.
So that's a big advantage to the Democrats of people are just going to vote their wallet.
That's exactly right.
The Democrats have no positive message, Bill.
Their message is anti-Trump, as you saw in the soundbite from Kathy Hokel.
If she beats Blakeman, it is only because of anti-Trump rhetoric.
People want her replaced.
They've had it with her.
They've had it with the costs in New York.
And just speaking personally, as a Democrat, I'm very happy to live in a red state, Florida,
than New York, where I used to live, which is tougher and tougher to live in.
and much more expensive.
So you move for economic reasons from New York to Florida?
Economic, cultural, social, and lifestyle.
Cultural?
Does that mean shooting gators?
I mean...
I don't shoot gators, but I'd rather be in a place
where I don't run across homeless people,
drug addicts, and people who do not mean well towards me
on a daily basis.
All right, don't go to Overtown then in my house.
No, I promise.
I'm being a wise guy here, but one of the advantages that people in New York have is this myriad of sports and shows and always something going on.
There's a lot of juice where if you go down to Florida, it's more relaxed unless you're a pickleball fanatic.
I mean, you know, there's not a lot of options, although Palm Beach and Miami certainly have some.
You are going to make your predictions on individual states when?
Probably about a week, five, six days out.
Right now, virtually all of the races you've talked about are within the margin of error.
And I think the point that needs to be underscored is it is very hard to get the precise sampling correct.
There has been, as you said, with Cook, a democratic bias to a lot of the,
neutral projections, and it is tough to pick up low propensity Republican voters who typically break
for the GOP late.
Turnout, any thoughts?
I think it's going to be much closer to a traditional midterm turnout than it is a presidential
turnout, which hurts Trump and the Republicans.
All right, Joe Shone, thank you.
We'll check back in.
I look forward.
Yeah, about a week before the vote.
You're listening to the No Spinoos News Weekend Edition.
All right, the final thoughts, three weeks to go before the vote, as I mentioned earlier.
Now, a partisans are going to run wild now.
You're going to see bogus polls, number one.
We're keeping track of all the polls so that if it doesn't come down,
the way these pollsters say, we're going to name the names like we always do.
Okay.
some people dodge us.
I like Quinnipiac because they called me and said,
look, put us on.
I said, okay.
Okay.
Guys have been, you know, in the middle and not that accurate.
But we expect to see craziness in the polls,
not honest reporting.
That's what we expect.
Quinnipeak will be honest,
but I don't know if they have the wherewithal
to really nail down.
the electorate who is confused. That's for sure. Americans are confused. And we are, I waited as long as I
could wait to get into the midterms because, as I said, things changed. Things changed over the
weekend. Putin, Ukraine, Trump, that changed. Still waiting on Iran. No idea.
Talarico disappears for nine days because he's got the sniffles.
Is that going to affect him?
El-Said we're going to do on our YouTube commentary.
So he's getting a little antsy in Michigan.
It's going to be a very, very tight situation.
We will give you honest reporting.
That's all I can do.
Thank you very much for watching.
no-spin news today. I'm Bill O'Reilly. We'll see you tomorrow.
Thank you for listening to the NoSpin News Weekend Edition.
To watch the full episodes of the NoSpin News, visit Bill O'Reilly.com and sign up to become
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