Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis - The O'Reilly Update, November 8, 2019

Episode Date: November 8, 2019

On this Friday edition of the O'Reilly Update: Bill takes a look at the states that will decide the 2020 election. Plus, Bill's Message of the Day, is your mind already made up about 2020? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Phil O'Reilly here Friday, November 8th, 2019. You are listening to the O'Reilly Update. Here's what's happening today in America. The media already trying to handicap the 2020 presidential election with a focus largely on national polling. But as 2016 showed, those surveys are notoriously unreliable, especially this early in the race. Ultimately, the election, of course, will be decided by a handful of swing states. Here are the ones to keep an eye on. First up, Arizona, the last time Arizona went for a Democrat was 1996 when it voted to re-elect Bill Clinton. Donald Trump won the state's 11 electoral votes in 2016 by just four points. Florida might be the most influential state in the Union because it is the most notorious presidential

battleground. You'll remember in the year 2000, the recount debacle, which ended up in the Supreme Court. The Sunshine State awarded its 29 electoral votes twice to George W. Bush and twice to Barack Obama. It narrowly went for Trump last time around. Michigan. President Trump was the first Republican to win the state since George Bush, the elder in 1988. If the manufacturing sector continues to grow, President Trump has a good shot of winning Michigan again in 2020. North Carolina's 15 electoral votes also up for grabs. State has been reliably Republican since the mid-60s, with the exception of Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Barack Obama in 2008. The left is hoping the high turnout in cities like Charlotte will push North Carolina into the

Democratic column. To Ohio, a state President Trump won by eight points, the largest margins since Bush Sr. beat Michael Dukakis by 11 points in 1988. The last Democrat to win the presidency without Ohio? John F. Kennedy. Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes, another big prize. Donald Trump became the first Republican to win that state since 1988. The Democrats' radical environmental agenda, not likely to resonate with energy workers in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Finally, Wisconsin, Donald Trump was the first Republican to win there since Ronald Reagan, a shocker since every single poll at Hillary Clinton winning big in Wisconsin. With a new Democratic governor, the party has a good shot at reclaiming the state in 2020.

Coming up, my message of the day, is your. your mind made up already about the presidential election of 2020 moments away. Finding a good real estate agent who understands your needs can be incredibly difficult. My friend Glenn Beck started the service real estate agents, I trust.com to make sure you get connected with agents who are ambitious and have a long and successful track record. They're agents who are experts in your town and do business like you with your values. I heard a story of a family whose home had been on the market for more than a year, and they were

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in 2020. Mr. Trump was in full campaign mode, slamming Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren, the only two Democratic candidates that really have a chance to challenge him. A new poll this week from Monmouth College on Trump supporters says this, quote, President Donald Trump's approval rating remains stable as the impeachment inquiry intensifies, with evidence that both sides of opinion are digging in, unquote. Sixty-two percent of folks who supported President Trump say there would be nothing the Commander-in-Chief could do to change their minds in the next election. Seventy percent of folks who do not approve of the president's job performance say there is nothing he could do to get their support. So, 62 percent will

vote for him, and 70% will not, depending on who they voted for last time around. You're not going to change anybody's minds. Now, in January 2016, Donald Trump said, quote, I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody, and I wouldn't lose any votes. Well, that's not exactly true. If there is a big revelation that goes against Donald Trump, he will lose votes. But overall, most Americans are entrenched. They either love the president or they despise the president. Right now, the polls say 43 percent approve of Donald Trump's performance in office, 51 percent disapprove. Fifty-one percent say President Trump should not be impeached and removed from office. So the president has a good chance to be reelected if the Democrats overplay the impeachment,

and nominate a person that is unacceptable to independent voters. That would be Elizabeth Warren. Now, I have predicted Joe Biden will get the Democratic nomination, even though Mr. Biden has had his troubles and has been exposed as doing, let's say, dubious things in Ukraine while vice president involving his son Hunter. Joe Biden is still acceptable to moderate Democrats and some independence, while Senator Elizabeth Warren from Massachusetts is a radical leftist. She wants to change the entire economy. But the economy is doing well. Therefore, Elizabeth Warren, if she gets the nomination, is going to have a very tough economic wind in her face to convince independent, and moderate Democrats that we should change from capitalism, the quasi-socialism. Also, Elizabeth Warren would fire a whole bunch of energy workers, medical workers.

All these people would be on the beach, no jobs. So, in the upcoming campaign, it is still up for grabs, no question. And that's a message. Please check out my latest book, The United States of Trump. We posted an excerpt on bill o'Reilly.com. Up next something you might. Not known. Bill O'Reilly here with an important message.

If you're a listener to this program, you may know how much I love dogs. Today, let's talk about something I care about very much. There are thousands of abandoned animals in the USA, and these animals need your help. This is why I have partnered up with Delta Rescue, the largest no-kill care-for-life animal sanctuary in the world. Delta Animal Sanctuary is a one-of-a-kind rescue operation because they care for the animals for life. They're staffed by specially trained attendants who look after the animals, providing them with water, treats, toys, and affection. For more information on Delta's tax-saving estate planning vehicles, please go to the website deltarescue.org slash bill. It lays out all you need to know about growing your estate through tax savings, which can help

you build the size of your estate while letting your compassion for animals live well on into the future. Donate online today at deltarescue.org slash bill. That's deltarescue.org slash bill. Now the O'Reilly Update brings me something you might not know. Americans are known around the world as very hard workers, on average, full-time employees in the USA, dedicate 47 hours a week to the job, making American adults the most productive people on the planet. But we also know the value of leisure. So how are Americans spending time off? With personal devices, the machines. The average U.S. adult will spend three hours, 45 minutes a day on their smartphones. Our TV's also get a workout. We look at the boob tube for three and a half hours every single day.

Fortunately, Americans haven't forgotten about the joys of non-digital hobbies. According to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, 100 million Americans participate in wildlife recreation, hunting, fishing, even birdwatching. Americans also enjoy exercising their Second Amendment rights. About 50 million of us go target shooting at least once a year. For some perspective, that's more people and play soccer, tennis, or baseball. Shooting enthusiasts prefer handguns over rifles and shotguns. If you are not into the outdoors, there's a good chance you might be enjoying a few frames at the local bowling alley. Bowling! The most popular participation sport in the USA.

67 million folks hit the lane. at least once a year. But if you don't like the lanes, how about the links? Estimated 24 million Americans went golfing last year on one of the 15,000 courses around the country, with another 9 million enjoying time at the driving range. I prefer miniature golf myself. That windmill never defeats me. The newest activity on the list, poker. 10%. of U.S. adults play poker on a regular basis, generating 1.9 billion per year. And that's just the legal games of poker. We don't want to even think about the illegal. So next time you're thinking about turning on the TV or endlessly shuffling through YouTube videos,

remember there's a whole world out there that does not involve a touchscreen. The O'Reilly Update will be right back. It's an uncertain world out there. You know that. Disaster can strike at any time. So you need to be prepared to protect yourself and your family. One way to do that is with freeze-dried food. It tastes good. It's healthy. It can be stored for 25 years. That's why I'm happy to tell you about a company I recommend wise foods. I have experience with them myself. During Superstorm Sandy, I lost power for seven days, all of my refrigerated food done. But my food supply from Wise Foods was as fresh as the day I received it.

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