Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis - Trump's Path to Victory, States to Watch With John McLaughlin, Debunking Campaign Lies, & California Senate Passes an Insane New Bill
Episode Date: September 4, 2024Tonight's rundown: Hey BillOReilly.com Premium and Concierge Members, welcome to the No Spin News for Tuesday September 3, 2024. Stand Up for Your Country. Talking Points Memo: Why a defensiv...e strategy won't secure a presidential victory for Donald Trump. Pollster John McLaughlin enters the No Spin Zone. We examine the accuracy of what candidates are saying. Bill outlines the three positions that Vice President Harris has shifted on. Democrats are seizing on the accusation that Trump referred to U.S. military members killed in Europe as “losers” and “suckers.” Hamas has released disturbing footage as propaganda featuring six hostages who were abducted from Israel and have recently been found dead. A new California bill will provide home loan down payments to illegal immigrants. Smart Life: EXCLUSIVE YouTube commentary. This Day in History: The United States and Great Britain sign the Treaty of Paris, officially ending the Revolutionary War. Final Thought: We’re one week away from the release of Bill’s latest book, CONFRONTING THE PRESIDENTS. In Case You Missed It: Read Bill's latest column, It's the Values, Stupid For a limited time, get our three latest Political Memorabilia mugs at a 25% discount. Our Political Memorabilia 2.0 bundle includes a Not Woke mug in navy, a Team Normal mug in white and our newest mug, No Socialism in navy. ORDER TODAY! Election season is here! Now's the time to get a Premium or Concierge Membership to BillOReilly.com, the only place for honest news analysis. Preorder Bill's latest book, CONFRONTING THE PRESIDENTS, out September 10th. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
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Hey, Bill O'Reilly here.
Welcome to the No Spin News, Tuesday, September 3rd, 2024, stand up for your country.
I hope you had a nice, pleasant Labor Day weekend or vacation.
We had a nice time.
I put some pictures on Bill O'Reilly.com if you'd like to see them.
And, you know, I'm always sad when summer's over.
I actually played the Beach Boys' last album.
That's why God made the radio.
There's a lot of great summer stuff on it.
It's not one of their most well-known albums, but it's excellent.
I was playing that last night, a little melancholy.
But I'm happy to be here because we have two months to vote in a very, very historical election.
And I want to spend the next two months educating as many.
Americans as I can to what is at stake. Now, many of you know, some of you don't. Our reach is
much, much wider than it's ever been, even when I was on the O'Reilly factor. We reach far
more people now than I reached on the Fox News channel because of YouTube, and I'm going to,
in the Smart Life segment tonight, I'm going to explain that to you. It's really some phenomenon.
But anyway, we're going to stay ahead of this election story, and we're always going to tell
you the truth.
I know many of you want Donald Trump to win, but if Donald Trump doesn't do something well
or screws up, I'm going to report it, okay, because if I didn't, I'd be a hypocrite.
And I'm not like the corporate media, and I'm relieved not to have to work for corporations
any longer, because they have agendas all day long.
I have no agenda other than presenting what is true and going on in this country.
And we'll start off at the talking points memo about how you cannot, cannot win the presidency.
It's very simple.
If you're on defense, you can't win.
Now, as you know, a week from today, my new book Confronting the Presidents will be out.
All right, I hope you take the time to read it.
Very important book.
But let's take a look at recent history.
So Gerald Ford lost to Jimmy Carter.
You remember that in 1976.
And he lost because he was on the defensive about pardoning Richard Nixon.
Whereas Carter, much like Kamala Harris, had no real experience at federal level.
He was a governor of Georgia.
Harris is a little experience, but both Carter and Harris never really accomplished anything at the federal level.
But Carter beat Ford because Ford was on the defense.
Then we had Reagan defeating Carter because Carter couldn't defend his record.
Couldn't defend it.
It was as bismal as abysmal as Joe Biden's record.
Biden's probably a little bit worse because of the open border.
But Reagan just trounced Carter because Carter was on defense.
He couldn't explain why the economy was terrible, why he couldn't get hostages out of Iran.
and you got waxed.
Then you had Reagan winning two terms, all right, because he had momentum.
It was rolling.
Then Bush the Elder won, the Vice President under Reagan, because he had momentum.
Reagan gave him that momentum.
It's a handoff.
But then Clinton beat him, Bush the Elder, because Bush the Elder promised no new taxes
and then raised taxes, and the economy was in a recession anyway.
So Bush, the Elder, was on defense and lost to a guy nobody knew anything about, Bill Clinton.
You can't play defense and win.
Okay?
Clinton sails through two terms.
He was on defense because of Lewinsky, but the economy overrode it.
And the American economy was strong.
People said, ah, all right, as long as the economy's perking, I'll vote for Clinton.
He wants two terms.
So then Bush, the younger, shows up against Gore.
Gore was on the defensive because of Clinton.
And Gore, as you'll remember, didn't want Clinton even campaigning for him.
So Gore, in a very tight race, lost.
Then Bush won two terms largely on the 9-11 anti-terror situation.
And then Obama came in and beat John McCain because the last few months of Bush the younger's term,
the economy went into severe recession.
And McCain could not explain how to turn it around.
So Obama, another guy, nobody knew anything about wins.
Okay.
Now, Hillary Clinton was on the defensive because nobody likes her.
It wasn't about policy.
This didn't like her.
So Trump beats her because Hillary, no matter what she did, people go, I don't like her.
And there's enough people that won't vote for people who they don't like her.
Why?
And then Trump loses to Biden for the same reason that he was demonized so badly, and a lot of
it was unfair, that a lot of Americans, I don't like Trump.
Though I'm going to vote for Biden who won't come out of his basement.
All right, I think I've made my point.
You cannot win the Oval Office being on defense.
So Trump has to get off defense.
He's got to stop with the controversies.
It doesn't matter who's right and wrong.
If you go to Arlington and the Army says,
don't film it for any purpose
and you get in a controversy with the Army,
even though you may be right
because Trump was invited there,
it doesn't do you any good.
Every day, Donald Trump's on defense.
He's got to turn that around.
He's got to put Kamala Harris on.
defense next Tuesday night. Or he'll lose. Because the media is not going to stop. Trump himself
has to put the vice president on defense because the media won't. Okay. Now whether he can do it
or not, I don't know. If it were me and I'm debating Kamala Harris, it's easy. And I'm sorry
to be arrogant, supercilious, egotistical. I am sorry. I don't mean to be. But I could disassemble
the vice president, intellectually, in five minutes. Just ask your questions. The easy questions,
like, hey, when Biden Harris took over, inflation was 1.4%. It went to more than nine. Why? Why,
Madam. She can't explain it. She can't explain the open border. She can't explain the flip-flops
that we'll get to. She can't explain anything. Do you believe that Kamala Harris understands the
Middle East? And what's going on there? No. Let's face it, the U.S. economy is under stress.
National debt rising, trade war, shaking the markets. And meanwhile, China is dumping the dollar
and stockpiling gold.
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I would ask her three or four questions about Hamas, Israel,
and she couldn't answer any of them.
Because she doesn't know.
That's how you put her on defense.
That's why that CNN interview didn't work.
Okay, so summing up,
Trump can win, but he has to put her on defense and stop any controversies.
If they're fabricated and made up, and I'm going to get to that, I'll handle it.
Other people will handle it.
But he's got to stay away from personal attacks and creating controversy.
If he doesn't, he may lose.
That's a memo.
Okay, so today, President Biden emerges from a humongous vacation on the beach in Rojoboth, Delaware,
and delivers remarks about investing in America.
Okay, but with all due respect, President Biden, why would I want to invest in America when you want to tax unrealized games?
Okay, that's the kind of stuff you've got to throw out there.
Oh, invest in America.
Why?
you people want not only to take money for me if I succeed in my investment, but you want to
take money if I don't, if I just keep it there. It's unbelievable. Harris is doing nothing
today, I don't know, but tomorrow she'll be in Portsmouth, New Hampshire. And Trump is doing
nothing today, but tomorrow will be in Pennsylvania for some kind of town hall. All right,
So we are going to investigate almost every night on the no-spin news, some crazy thing that you've heard about and tell you the truth about it.
All right, I think that's worthy.
So tonight, one of the debate things will be about Kamala Harris's record.
Now, you remember in the CNN interview, she went out of her way, said, I took on the cartels.
And she did it at the convention, too.
As Attorney General of California, I took on the cartels.
Okay?
Jump on, roll the tape.
I fought against the cartels who traffic in guns and drugs and human beings.
Who threaten the security of our border and the safety of our communities.
And I will tell you, these fights were not easy.
We've investigated.
We can't find one thing.
thing that she's done directly to harm the Mexican cartels. Not one. Not in California,
not as vice president, not as a senator. Now, if you know one, my staff's pretty damn good.
All right? We can't find any. In California, as the attorney general, she prosecuted cases
that were brought to her by state and local authorities.
Her office didn't do it.
She didn't do it.
She was presented with evidence, gathered,
and she prosecuted, like every attorney general does.
Okay?
As senator, nothing.
As vice president, she created a dialogue about
smuggling.
With whom?
We can't find out.
What did that dialogue lead to?
Nobody knows.
So she took them on.
How?
It's all bold.
But again, if we missed it, and you know it,
Bill at Bill O'Reilly.com.
Very easy.
Shoot it over to me.
Okay.
New poll.
Media Research Center, Conservative Group.
They commissioned the McLaughlin
and his
Associates' polling outfit to ask Democrats and Biden voters, independents, about certain things
in his campaign.
First question.
Are you aware Kamala Harris supported the elimination of private health insurance?
These are Biden voters.
Aware 19% unaware 81.
Second question.
Are you aware Kamala Harris promoted a fund to bail out violent protesters during 2020 riots?
Aware, 22, Unaware, 78.
Third question.
Aware that Harris supported abolishing ICE.
Aware 23, Unaware 77.
Harris named the most liberal U.S. Senator in 2019, are you aware?
Aware 25, unaware 75.
And final two, Harris says she will not support.
criminal status for migrants who enter the U.S. illegally.
Are you aware of that?
26, aware, unaware, 74.
Harris supported reparations for slavery.
Are you aware, 29, unaware of 71?
So that's proof that Biden-Harris supporters don't know anything.
They have no idea, no blank an idea, if you want to get stronger.
Why?
Because the media doesn't report it.
And they watch left-wing media and read the New York
Times in a Washington Post. So how would they know? They don't listen to Fox News or talk radio.
These again are Biden voters, Democrats and independents. They don't know. That's the power of the
media. Joining us now from Blabout, New York, north of Manhattan, John McLaughlin, who did that
poll, and he is currently polling for President Trump. Were you surprised those numbers are so
huge that people voting for Biden and had no idea what Kamala Harris' record is?
No, and it wasn't a surprise.
Brent Bozell, it was his idea and he did at the Media Research Center and he published it
because last year we'd done a study and we found that 35% of the voters pay attention
to Fox News, Newsmax, conservative talk radio, listen to your show, et cetera.
And there's another 30% that are MSNBNB,
CNN, NPR, et cetera, and another 35% who don't care, who don't focus, and they have polar
opposite views of the world of what's going on with the issues. So when Brent did this, it was like
he had a hunch that they just weren't aware of these positions because if you watch that
Democrat infomercial called the National Convention, they would repeatedly attack Trump
and mentioned Trump, but they never really said where they stood on the issues and mentioned
they'd hardly mention immigration.
They hardly mentioned, you know, what was going on with Hamas and the hostages, et cetera.
They mentioned it one night.
But in economics, they don't talk about taxes or raising people.
No, and as you said, there are millions and millions of voters who don't care.
They vote a motion.
Now, Trafalga, which I fear that's a pro-Trump polling.
Would I be wrong in saying that, Trafalgar?
What I found is when I look at their surveys this year, them and Insider Advantage,
they've gotten more even.
Last year, they might have been two years ago with some of the Senate races.
They could have been more pro-Trump, pro-Republican.
But I think when some of those Senate races didn't materialize, they...
All right, so you don't think that they're leaning in any direction.
So, Trafalgar has Michigan.
Basically, Trump winning by 4 percentage, 0.4 percentage point.
That's a tie.
They got Pennsylvania, Trump winning by 2.1, one point.
And Wisconsin, Trump winning by one point.
So it's essentially the three are tied, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Do you concur?
I think we're a little better.
But, you know, for me, the longer-term view, having worked for Trump in 2016, worked from in 2020,
this is a lot better position to be in, cautious optimism.
I listen to your introduction about what President Trump needs to do with the debate.
Totally concur.
If he adheres to that advice and we can expose her on the issues and let her talk.
Tell him that because it's not hard.
I mean, you can picture, John, you know me for a long time.
You put me up against Kamala Harris.
What do you think is going to happen?
Has she agreed to an interview yet?
No, no, but I mean, in a debate, I don't even want to interview her because she's just going to spout things and I'd have to be disrespectful.
And I don't want to do that.
But in a debate, I just ask her questions.
Question after question after question.
You can't answer any of them.
Right.
And that's why she's not doing press conferences.
That's why she's not doing.
But they're not going to ask her anyway, just like.
But Dana Bash didn't follow up on anything.
Okay.
Now, you mentioned Insider Advantage and in the polling center.
They have, this I find hard to believe, North Carolina, Trump is only up by less than a point.
Is that true in North Carolina?
That's no.
That's why I said we're a little better.
Okay.
But it's all margin of error.
And in Georgia, they have, they have Harris beating Trump.
Georgia.
Yeah, that's not true.
But I don't know how that could be true.
But it's a point of to, but way, what's great about Georgia is what's really
frustrating the Democrats, they change the election law compared to 2020 when you
have drop boxes all the Democratic.
Yeah, they tightened it up.
But Lake and Riley, just that alone.
Yeah.
I mean, you know, this poor girl murdered by the undocumented immigrant and the evidence
overwhelming. I'm not depriving them to due process. But I thought that was the end. But this is
insider advantage. It's not your outfit. Nevada, they have Trump up by a point and a half.
In Arizona, they have a dead heat. What do you say to that? I think we're a little better in all
those states. But again, it's like two, three points better. So we're in a close race,
and it's better to be in our position than Camel Harris. What's interesting is we're speaking
today, she's making plans to go to New Hampshire, Virginia, and Minnesota. I think they're worried
about those states beyond the seven battleground states that are getting the most attention.
When are you guys going to do a state-by-state in the swings? Are you going to do a poll soon?
The Trump campaign doesn't release their polls except on rare occasions. So I hope we do a lot more
polling, a lot more often. Yeah, it's better for your company. But do, I'm, you know,
You give them the polling they asked for it, just not made public, correct?
Right.
And we shoot straight with the president.
If the election were held tomorrow, in your opinion, I mean, obviously you think your company has great credibility.
Who would win?
Trump would win.
But it's, again, it's 64 days.
I tell you, the thing you got to watch is the early voting.
Four of those seven states start mail-in voting.
North Carolina starts on September 6th, three days for now.
You have, and then you have Pennsylvania, where 40% of the voters will vote mail-in.
That starts on September 16th, and you are all Wisconsin, September 19th, Michigan, September 26th.
The Democrats are trying to rush the clock.
And you've got David Plough, who was Obama's campaign manager, who worked for Zuckerberg in the 2020 election, spending his 400 million, to register vote in elect counties in those states.
and then basically, you know, ballot harvest.
And they would bring them in, whether it was Georgia or Wisconsin, et cetera.
So we got a new Republican hierarchy at the RNC, Lara Trump,
who says that she is countering that by having Republicans try to gin up their base
to vote by mail as well.
Do you see that?
Yes, you see that plus also the filing legal cases.
Like in North Carolina, they just filed a case where,
it looks like over 200,000 voters weren't required to show driver's license or Social Security
as proof of citizenship. So we've got it now, they've let in, what, 15, 20 million illegal
immigrants, and now they're trying to register them to vote in Texas. The Attorney General
has groups, nonprofits, under investigation for actively trying to recruit illegal immigrants
to vote. So the RNC is definitely stepped up the game and they're fighting. But, but, you
You can't take anything for granted because they push back.
Yeah, historically, the mail-in votes have always gone Democrat.
It's because a lot of the voters who go for the liberal candidates are people who are disenfranchised and they don't participate.
And so the ward captains, Democratic ward captains, canvas apartment complexes and senior citizen home.
And they tell people how to fill out the votes and push.
it in the envelope for them. That's what's happening, right?
Yep, exactly. And they'll go to nursing homes and they'll have union work.
They'll go everywhere. But I wonder if Republicans are doing that too. I don't know.
Yes. And what's different is I think Republicans are more inclined to vote early in person
rather than trust the mail. Yeah. Well, he stayed as its own as its own thing.
All right, John, keep dispositive anything that comes across your desk you feel is interesting.
I mean, my audience is just absolutely, you know, an information-based audience,
and we want to get all the info we can get.
Thanks again for helping us out.
We appreciate it.
Hey, it's Sean Spicer from the Sean Spicer Show podcast, reminding you to tune into my show
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Amazon Music, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts. Okay, so we want to go on a record
here. Not only do we want to knock out falsehoods, and I'll do that in a moment, but we want to
actually tell you what the candidates are seeing and what is true. So Kamala Harris, as everybody
knows now, even the people who don't pay attention,
has flip-flopped on a lot of different things.
Roll the tape.
Because we have a president of the United States
who has created a fiction about a crisis at the border,
and he has held up the United States government
and its workers around his vanity project called a wall.
There's no question I'm in favor of banning fracking.
So, yes, and starting with what we can do on day one
around public lands, right?
And then there has to be legislation.
We have to have a buyback program, and I support a mandatory buyback program.
It's got to be smart.
We've got to do it the right way.
Okay.
So now she says she'll sign legislation that contains a border wall.
Now she says she's against banning fracking,
and now she says that she's not going to support a mandatory gun buyback.
So those are three.
Now, there's no doubt she flip-flopped on them.
Okay?
Why?
And she says, well, my values are still the same.
No. What? Why specifically you flip-flop on the wall, fracking, and the gun buyback?
No. See, if you're doing a bash, you've got to say that. You've got to look her in the eye and go, no, values that have anything to do with it.
You made these statements, and now you're contradicting your statements, and the American people need to know why you're doing that. Period.
That's how you interview.
Now, one of the most vicious lies that
the Democrats are putting out about Donald Trump is that he disparaged American vets who were killed
in World War I in France and were buried over there. And you'll remember that as President,
Donald Trump went over there with an entourage. And the Atlantic Magazine wrote an article
that said that Trump called the deceased military members buried in France, losers and suckers.
Okay. That's what Atlanta Magazine said. And it was a
immediately picked up by the Democratic Party.
Go.
Look, Donald Trump does not understand the world.
And he does not understand the service and sacrifice of our military.
Our fallen veterans are not suckers.
They are not losers.
They are our heroes.
Trump thinks that Americans
who have made the ultimate sacrifice are suckers and losers.
You know, he's called people who die in the military
and service to our country, losers, suckers.
And he enforced that by going to the Arlington National Cemetery
and trying to use it for a political advantage for him.
Another sign of his disrespect.
Okay, so all three of those people, Panetta,
Senator Kelly and Congresswoman Pelosi are lying.
Do they know their line?
Probably, yes, you would have to know, but they believe what they want to believe.
Now, how do I know that?
In Trump's entourage was Ambassador John Bolton, who turned on Trump, despises Trump now.
Bolton was there when Trump allegedly made those comments.
that the Atlantic Magazine put into print.
Atlantic Magazine wasn't there.
Bolton was. Roll the tape.
According to what that article said,
the President made disparaging remarks
about our soldiers, the people buried
at the Anmarne Cemetery,
in connection with the decision for him
not to go to the ceremony that was planned that afternoon.
And that was simply false.
Okay.
Now, I believe Bolton, why would Bolton come out and say that was false if he hates Trump?
Now, Bolton's assessment was backed up by former U.S. Ambassador to France, Jamie McCourt,
and a variety of people, including Governor Huckabee Sanders of Arkansas, was then White House Communications person.
It was all backed on.
Now, you expect the Trump people to back up the president.
You expect that.
but not bolton so when i hear somebody on the ground totally repudiated and then i hear pinetta
kelly and pelosi who are nowhere near this taking a smear out of atlantic magazine and perpetuating
it to this day that's just vile that's just vile and that's what's happened
Okay, so the Democratic mantra is two-state solution.
There are no two states.
So as soon as you hear that, you know Kamala Harris, whoever's saying it doesn't know what they're talking about.
There's one state, Israel, and then there are the Palestinian people controlled by Hamas who are basically Nazis.
That's who they are.
They control Gaza.
Now, six hostages are found murdered.
by Hamas. Hamas admits it. Admits it. We murdered them. Okay. We still have, now, anti-Israel
protests all over the place. Reaction. President Biden said he's devastated and outraged.
Vice President Harris says it was a brutal barbaric act. Donald Trump blames Biden and Harris for
weak leadership. That was the reaction across the board. But in a discussion with Vice President
and Harris, two-state solution, madam? And what would the other state be beside Israel?
Who are you going to negotiate with? Nazis control. The Gaza Strip. Just drive me nuts.
The northern border with Canada, the busiest sector, is reporting 15,000 foreign nationals from 85
countries have entered the U.S. That is up from 365 when Biden took office.
365 when Biden took office. Now the number is 15,000 coming down from Canada to the northeast
United States. Vice President Harris, why do you think that's happening? I'm just giving
any future interviewer some questions.
California passes a bill, the Senate,
it hasn't been passed by the legislature assigned yet,
that would give undocumented aliens money,
taxpayer money to buy homes in the United States.
Okay. Nancy Pelosi's reaction.
This is for the undocumented.
Well, what I would like to do is move them to documented.
They said that I can move them to document it.
One of the best things that we can do for our economy is to pass comprehensive immigration reform.
It's just a joke. That means everybody's legalized. And she says it. Move them to document it. All of them. And then give them money to buy houses. Our money. In this case, California's money.
if you don't think this is insane you shouldn't be watching me right now okay should be watching some
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Say in history 241 years ago, the Revolutionary War formerly ended by the Treaty of Paris.
All right, so Great Britain finally recognized the 13 colonies as free and independent.
it, they became states.
There were 26,000 estimated deaths in the United States fighting the Revolutionary War.
26,000 people went down.
It was actually far more than that because of disease and things like that.
The British side lost 24,000 the German mercenaries, the Hessians.
They lost 7,500.
These are, you know, Iran.
And those people who fought under Washington,
were, they gave us what we have today.
Those farmers and merchants and 50% of the people in the colonies didn't want to fight the war.
So only 50% of the Patriots won it for us.
And that happened 241 years ago today, Revolutionary War ended.
Back with a final thought about confronting the presidents in a moment.
All right, here's the final thought of the day.
So as I probably mentioned too much, September 10th, release day for confronting the president.
And I reread the book over the weekend.
Why?
Because I got to do a million media interviews.
Now, we have been shut out of some of those media outlets.
I'm going to tell you exactly who shut us out for no reason, disrespectful.
But you should know.
And some of the names might surprise you.
But anyway, I reread the book, and there's so much detail in this book that you didn't know.
But we have essays on Trump and on Biden.
And Dugard and I, Martin Dugard, the co-author, we see them differently.
Okay?
And you'll find it very interesting because I said to Degarde, you write what you want.
I'm writing my essay.
You write your essay on both of them.
And I was very pleased the way they came out because it does give you different points of view.
Now, the other presidents, all right, the opening of this show today was you can't win the Oval Office by being on
defense. We show you how these people won. All right. And some of them were terrible people.
Awful. John Tyler, he lost. He got it because Harrison died. He's so bad.
Buchanan and Pierce and Fillmore and Hoover, LBJ, horrible, horrible. And you're going to see who they
really were and how they got there. And then you can apply it to what's happening now.
As I said at the top, Reagan Carter is the closest to Harris Trump. But Reagan, far different
personality than Donald Trump. So I think you'll find it fascinating. Pre-order on bill
O'Reilly.com. You'll get it first. Amazon, Barnes & Noble, books a million. It's going to be
everywhere. 750,000 first printing of this book. Nobody gets that. But we're the biggest selling
nonfiction authors in the world right now. And that's because of you, because you guys want the
truth about history and we give it to you. Confining the president's out September 10th.
Thank you very much for watching and listening to the No Spin News. We'll see you tomorrow.